Subj : OUTLOOK: Nws National Hur
To   : All
From : Dumas Walker
Date : Fri Jun 14 2024 09:09 am

ABNT20 KNHC 141138
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. (AL90):
Satellite data and surface observations indicate that the low 
pressure area offshore of the southeastern U.S. coast has become a 
little better organized since yesterday.  However, upper-level 
winds remain strong, and the system is forecast to merge with a 
front over the western Atlantic Saturday or Sunday. Regardless of 
development, heavy rainfall is forecast to continue across portions 
of the Florida peninsula through Saturday. For more information, 
see products issued by the Weather Prediction Center and local 
National Weather Service Forecast Offices.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the 
southwestern Gulf of Mexico late this weekend or early next week.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of 
this system, and a tropical depression could form during the early 
or middle part of next week while it moves slowly westward or
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven
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