Subj : OUTLOOK: Nws National Hur
To   : All
From : Dumas Walker
Date : Sun Jun 30 2024 09:17 am

ABNT20 KNHC 301120
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Beryl, located several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands.

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94):
An area of low pressure located over the southern portion
of the Bay of Campeche is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for
further development, and a short-lived tropical depression could
form before the system moves inland over Mexico on Monday morning.
Interests along the Gulf Coast of Mexico should monitor the
progress of this system.  Regardless of development, heavy rainfall
associated with the area of low pressure will continue to affect
portions of Central America and Mexico through early next week.  An
Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
system later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of
low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo
Verde Islands.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for
additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is
likely to form by the middle part of this week while it moves
generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts
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