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       The sad state of Australia's security discourse
        
 (HTM) Source
        
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       Australia has all but institutionalised self-censorship in
       intellectual strategic thought. An absence of secure academic
       positions, widening of the policy-scholarly divide, and a corrosive
       culture of in-fighting over a piece of the same (dwindling) funding
       pie continues to diminish our national security studies sector.
        
       We have curated an intellectual space in which the same voices exist
       in harmonious agreement. Most strategic analysis or intellectual work
       tends to be churned out by design, not debate. Who needs robustness,
       let alone nuance?
        
       Where there is difference, it tends to be personalised and emotional.
       Ad hominem jabs, attacks, and improper (often lasting) accusations of
       political allegiance are no longer manageable hazards of public
       intellectual life. Instead, they have become entrenched realities of
       our security discourse. Such forces use social media platforms, spill
       ink in national newspapers, and tend to dictate the membership of
       security centres and institutes - as well as the invitation lists for
       seminars and conferences.
        
       To understand the depth of tribal thinking and dysfunction, just look
       at two specific issues in our international affairs sector: China and
       Russia. We know that China is a critical variable in Australia's
       future security. Yet a cursory assessment of Australia's commitment to
       understanding China and growing our capacity to do so well into the
       future, is bordering on negligent. A recent study of the Australian
       Academy of the Humanities found only 17 people have graduated with
       Honours in Chinese studies between 2017 and 2021—including just one in
       2021.
        
       It is doubtful that these dismal numbers are due to a lack of interest
       in the field, particularly given the broad range of career pathways
       such training offers—from private sector to government. More likely,
       this reflects the toxicity our national China debate portrays. If you
       aren't critical (enough) of Beijing's foreign policy, you are tarred
       'pro-China'. If you venture deeper to understand the drivers of
       Chinese strategy or consider the merits of it, you risk being branded
       an agent of the Chinese Communist Party.
        
       Australia's Russia sector is no better. Well known is the consistent
       public dismay directed at the state of the sector for its inability to
       invest in and grow the next generation of expertise since the original
       exodus in the 1990s, after the Soviet Union collapsed. But recent
       calls for more investment merely attempt to mask the deeper problem:
       apparently only one variant of Russian expertise in Australia is
       worthy. Attempts to dissect Russian foreign policy, consideration for
       Moscow's Asia-Pacific territorial interests, its Antarctic Treaty
       role, or its potential to blunt our China or Iran challenges, are
       simply reflective of a 'Pro-Russia' agenda.
        
       In today's context of the enduring Ukraine-Russia war—or 'conflict'
       for those seeking to be labelled a Russian sympathiser—any commentary
       or research output that questions the utility of Russia sanctions or
       the Australian national interest in providing military equipment to
       Kyiv, attracts accusations ranging from being a useful idiot to a
       Russian spy. Why would any young scholar want to wade into such a
       minefield?
        
       There will one day be a post-Putin Russia with which Canberra will
       have to co-exist in the international system. Foundational
       understanding of the state, the language, its history, and its web of
       bilateral—and growing—global ties, is critical for Australia to
       navigate for the future adequately, let alone competitively.
        
       Dismissing research and analysis on opportunities for dialogue with
       Russia as demonstrating someone's lack of morality and values is
       perplexing, given Russia has well-established military interests
       throughout our neighbourhood. But that didn't stop a piece being
       published in an international journal in 2020 that canvassed the
       emergence of 'Russia's Australian well-wishers', hyperlinking my
       publications in three of the four instances. Of course, being compared
       to Professor John Mearsheimer was not itself cause for offence, nor
       was being tarred a 'realist'.
        
       Over the past few years, our sector has lost significant voices.
       Brendan Sargeant, Allan Gyngell and James Goldrick are three figures
       who supported the next generation of security scholars. They each
       pushed us to be better analysts, to take the time to reflect on
       strategic trajectories, and urged us to keep at the centre of our mind
       curiosity as to what role Australia could—or should—play in the
       international arena.
        
       All three also implored us to lead by example and cultivate robust
       debate on Australian security affairs. It was not the notion of
       'right' or 'wrong' that shaped discourse with these giants, it was a
       question of how best Australia could, or should, navigate strategic
       competition. Debate over the 'why' necessarily required deep
       reflection of all aspects, known unknowns, and consideration of
       duelling positions.
        
       A former senior Australian Government public servant continues to
       follow my work closely, often sharing their opinions of my analysis
       with—unknowingly— mutual networks. For some time, I stopped covering
       Russian strategic developments, despite holding a PhD in Russian
       strategy, fearing 'scholarly' retribution, or blacklisting in the
       Australian intellectual community. What resulted was a vacuum, filled
       quickly by non-experts bent on feeding the 24-7 news media cycle with
       Russia analysis.
        
       We can learn plenty from watching the anti-Mearsheimer camp expand in
       Australia's security sector. Mearsheimer will no doubt weather the
       storm, and his privilege no doubt promotes his sense of safety in
       continuing to contribute to the international security discourse. For
       emerging analysts and early career researchers, things are not so
       easy. One must decide on either side of a binary construct in which
       expertise does not get to exist in the nuance, the middle-ground.
        
       Facts no longer exist; emotion shapes Australia's security discourse.
       What does this mean for the future of our intellectual culture?
       Australia is growing a next generation of scholars and experts who are
       going to self-censor to navigate increasing political pressures. The
       damage will be generational.
        
       If you have concerns of the foreign influence or espionage variety,
       use the well-known systems in place to act on it. Robust debate and
       dialogue are a foundational aspect of our liberal democracy, something
       we should all work to protect and promote. As a sector, we need to
       raise the bar and instil a culture of durable contestation. Demand
       more of your colleagues on this front. And to you, the former senior
       public servant, please do reach out directly for a coffee. My shout.
        
        
        
        
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