[HN Gopher] Getting a 787 back in the air after a diversion
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Getting a 787 back in the air after a diversion
        
       Author : ycombonator
       Score  : 141 points
       Date   : 2020-01-04 03:22 UTC (19 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.flightradar24.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.flightradar24.com)
        
       | inferiorhuman wrote:
       | Meanwhile a month prior things didn't go so well for American:
       | 
       | https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7504393/American-ai...
        
       | supernova87a wrote:
       | You know, behind these on-the-surface feel-good / oh-that's-cool
       | stories is generally a less positive tale of deferred maintenance
       | and poor choices by AA (and other airlines) that leads to this
       | kind of rescue flight being necessary.
       | 
       | The article was from 2016, and the question you want to be asking
       | is, "how often _should_ a 2 year old 787 be having engine issues
       | requiring unplanned diversion? " and is AA's maintenance regime
       | causing them to encounter these situations more than is expected?
       | 
       | What you will generally find is that because of labor costs in
       | the US, and the thin maintenance margins that our carriers are
       | incentivized to follow (partly also because penalties for
       | stranding passengers is quite low), these kinds of diversions are
       | more frequent than other airlines operating better-maintained
       | long-haul routes.
       | 
       | Things are always breaking on airplanes. How much proactive
       | maintenance is conducted is up to the airline, and determines how
       | much builds up before 1 out of many issues on the minimum
       | equipment list rises enough to ground the aircraft. It's quite an
       | active decision for an airline, actually. In this case, AA
       | maintenance probably made a decision (under all the other
       | constraints they face) to fly the 787 to Shanghai (where they
       | don't have a full maintenance depot) with some marginally
       | performing or slightly-overdue-for-recommended-replacement engine
       | part. And then on the return the strategy backfired.
       | 
       | Consider that when you wonder, "is it just me, or why does
       | airline X seem to have so many more delays and aircraft swaps
       | than others?"
        
         | Aloha wrote:
         | You got a source for any of this?
        
           | supernova87a wrote:
           | Nope. People in maintenance departments don't generally write
           | blogs about this, and it's not like an airline is going to
           | help publicize their issues. And judging by how even my post
           | is downvoted, they're not likely to either.
        
             | ryguytilidie wrote:
             | I like this thing people are doing where they're like,
             | "huh, my post on Hacker News was downvoted? must not be for
             | content, must be because, um...its DEFINITELY because
             | airlines arent going to publish negative things about them,
             | theres definitely a logical connection there!
             | 
             | ...?
        
       | CaliforniaKarl wrote:
       | As this is aviation-related, of course there is a Wendover video
       | on this topic, and indeed covering this specific incident!
       | 
       | Small Planes Over Big Oceans (ETOPS Explained) (2017) [video]
       | 
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HSxSgbNQi-g
        
       | WalterBright wrote:
       | Back when I worked at Boeing they had the AOG (Airplane On
       | Ground) crew to do this sort of thing. Their job was to be on
       | call 24/7 and do whatever it took to get that airplane back in
       | the air, and they pretty much had a blank check to do it.
       | 
       | Naturally, they were the best mechanics Boeing had.
       | 
       | An airplane makes money only when it is flying. When it is
       | sitting on the ground, it loses money at a prodigious rate. A
       | large focus of the engineering on the 757 I worked on was to keep
       | that airplane flying as much as possible.
       | 
       | I understand that Microsoft has a similar crew they can dispatch
       | to any customer to get their business software working again.
       | This is how Microsoft is able to successfully compete against
       | free software.
        
         | _trampeltier wrote:
         | "Naturally, they were the best mechanics Boeing had."
         | 
         | I know people who do this kind of work, but are they really the
         | best? - As long you hold a screwdriver in your hand, you are
         | No.2 in salary. - Family, your child has birthday, something to
         | show you in school or sport? Forget it, 5 minutes before it
         | starts, you get always a call. So you have no family (anymore).
         | - 9 to 5 nah.. more like 9 plus 5 hours to work a day. -
         | Friends, forget it you don't have any. But of course they have
         | storys to tell. But why would you choose a such life?
        
           | ethbro wrote:
           | Because some people will always want to be the best.
           | 
           | And one of the more difficult things when you're that sort of
           | person is finding a rewarding challenge up to your skills.
           | 
           | Or as a president once quipped, "Why does Rice play Texas?"
           | 
           | Because it is hard.
        
             | WalterBright wrote:
             | Exactly right. It's no fun getting the easy jobs. It's very
             | sweet getting something done that everyone else said
             | couldn't be done.
        
         | __sy__ wrote:
         | "Prodigious Rate" -- To put this in context, the latest numbers
         | I saw is about $125 per min of unscheduled delay. It also
         | doesn't take that many delays to wipe profitability to zero.
        
           | CalChris wrote:
           | A plane sitting on the ground _costs_ revenue.
           | 
           | The highest revenue per hour route is JFK to Heathrow at
           | $24,639 [1]. A 787-800 costs about $8000/hr [2]. So that's
           | about $277/min of revenue. Yeah, $125/min sounds about right
           | for an average route.
           | 
           | [1] https://www.planestats.com/bhsw_2014sep
           | 
           | [2] https://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?t=1398091
        
             | ethbro wrote:
             | Well, expected revenue looks a bit difference when you're
             | leveraged to the hilt and have interest payments scheduled.
             | 
             | My understanding is that very few airlines outright own
             | their planes.
        
               | WalterBright wrote:
               | Even if they own the planes outright, the interest cost
               | of the airplanes remains the same (because the money tied
               | up in the airplane could be otherwise put to use earning
               | interest).
               | 
               | For example, conventional wisdom is that owning your own
               | home outright is a Good Thing. But if mortgage interest
               | rates are low, taking out a mortgage and investing in
               | something that pays more than that interest rate is a
               | Better Thing.
        
               | cesarb wrote:
               | > But if mortgage interest rates are low, taking out a
               | mortgage and investing in something that pays more than
               | that interest rate is a Better Thing.
               | 
               | Yes, but there's extra risk that way. That strategy
               | depends on either the investment returning enough every
               | month to pay the mortgage for that month, or another
               | funding source (like a salary) being available every
               | month to do so. If for some reason neither are available
               | on a given month, you risk losing your home.
        
               | bronco21016 wrote:
               | It varies. Some airlines are printing money like it's
               | their job and have very savvy purchasing teams. Large
               | piles of cash spent on second hand aircraft can really
               | help soften the blow when times get tough. Although in
               | the current market some are even spending cash on NEW
               | airframes which is really kind of crazy.
               | 
               | But speaking globally, I would say you're likely right.
               | The majority of airlines are very heavily leveraged and
               | as soon as the economy softens we'll see at least a few
               | casualties again.
        
           | bitexploder wrote:
           | Southwest had a really memorable slogan: "wheels up" and the
           | business really rallied around that priority ruthlessly for
           | many years. It was pretty cool and gets used in business
           | analysis as an example a lot about how to achieve big goals.
        
             | sokoloff wrote:
             | One such (very lightweight) analysis:
             | https://www.cnbc.com/id/43768488
             | 
             | It really is a great systems thinking story. Set the
             | overall context and goal and then figure out how to
             | optimize for the thing that drives results.
        
               | ethbro wrote:
               | The _How I Built This_ podcast on Southwest [0] with
               | Kelleher (since deceased) is an amazing episode. Both for
               | trivia and giving context to what it takes to be
               | successful behind the scenes.
               | 
               | Kelleher (a lawyer by training) ran a private practice
               | while litigating a _3-year_ lawsuit against airline
               | incumbents at the time... before Southwest flew its first
               | flight in Texas.
               | 
               | And when asked "Why?" As in, why didn't you stop, return
               | to law, or do something easier, he basically said
               | "Because it didn't seem fair. Or right. That they could
               | keep us from flying."
               | 
               | I'm sure he had his fair share of sharp business
               | decisions, but he came across as a truly great human
               | being.
               | 
               | [0] https://www.stitcher.com/podcast/national-public-
               | radio/how-i...
        
           | WalterBright wrote:
           | A corollary is that airline operations revolve around
           | maximizing the amount of time their airplanes are flying and
           | loaded to the gills with payload.
           | 
           | The word "payload" is not a misnomer :-)
        
         | jvolkman wrote:
         | There's an episode of "World's Toughest Fixes" that follows an
         | AOG team during the replacement of a 767 pressure dome.
         | 
         | https://www.google.com/search?q=Worlds+Toughest+Fixes+S01+E0...
        
           | dbarlett wrote:
           | Probably the same
           | incident:https://www.airspacemag.com/flight-today/airliner-
           | repair-247...
        
         | sethgibbons wrote:
         | > I understand that Microsoft has a similar crew they can
         | dispatch to any customer to get their business software working
         | again.
         | 
         | Given how much Microsoft software tends to "blue screen of
         | death" it's no wonder they have to keep a crew on standby.
        
         | philshem wrote:
         | > I understand that Microsoft has a similar crew they can
         | dispatch to any customer to get their business software working
         | again.
         | 
         | There is a saying that these teams are dispatched by private
         | jet and consist of 8 executives and 2 engineers.
        
           | kmbond wrote:
           | > I understand that Microsoft has a similar crew they can
           | dispatch to any customer to get their business software
           | working again.
           | 
           | Yikes well I work for a large corporation that uses tons of
           | Microsoft software, and we use their dispatch team
           | constantly. Granted, we are probably one of their largest
           | customers. It's great to have such a resource. But the fact
           | that we need it doesn't speak well for Microsoft -- I would
           | prefer if we didn't need such a dispatch team on a constant
           | basis.
        
             | peterwwillis wrote:
             | The fact that most people don't need to call said team
             | might say more?
        
           | TeMPOraL wrote:
           | I imagine these 8 executives are there to lay down
           | suppressive fire, keeping customer's management at bay so
           | that the engineers can go in and fix the problem
           | uninterrupted.
        
             | ethbro wrote:
             | Point. It'd be a bit aggressive to fly trained German
             | Shepherds in with the engineers.
        
             | Moto7451 wrote:
             | Hehe. The comparison is both amusing and apt. I'm often in
             | the "executive" position in this scenario and this barrier
             | between the angry team/customer/partner and the people
             | doing engineering work really pays in spades. The people
             | doing the "real" work on both sides usually avoid animosity
             | and the management teams slugging it out in conference
             | rooms usually understand that the dance they're doing is
             | just business as usual and not personal. When the
             | separation is violated you can have engineers doing shoddy
             | work because they're stressed or emotionally overloaded.
             | Early in my career I was in that situation and made some
             | very pointed comments that the company's CEO had to smooth
             | over.
             | 
             | If you do a really good job at handling the communication
             | separation the business relationship is stronger after and
             | each side better understands one another's needs and
             | motivations. My foot in mouth moment ended up turning into
             | a larger business arrangement because the CEO turned it
             | into a positive experience.
             | 
             | While not a universally perfect negotiating book, I've
             | found "Never Split the Difference" to be an interesting
             | tome on making the best of adversarial business situations.
        
               | ethbro wrote:
               | NStD is something _everyone_ in the business world (or
               | who aspires to be) should read.
               | 
               | The fact that much of what we say, especially in times of
               | stress, isn't what we _really_ care about is easy to miss
               | in actual practice.
        
               | technofiend wrote:
               | That job actually sounds like a lot of fun. Thank you for
               | tip on _Never Split the Difference_.
        
         | sethgibbons wrote:
         | I'm not surprised Microsoft has a standby team, given how bad
         | their software is
        
       | molecule wrote:
       | (2016)
        
         | wayne wrote:
         | Ah, that was back when AA and Alaska were much closer partners,
         | before the Virgin acquisition... I was surprised when reading
         | the article that Alaska was so helpful.
         | 
         | https://thepointsguy.com/2017/12/last-call-alaska-american-a...
        
       | pauldelany wrote:
       | Had to build a runway for one take-off to get this private jet
       | back in the air in 1983:
       | https://www.irishexaminer.com/lifestyle/features/humanintere...
        
       | sajomojo wrote:
       | It just seems like a very bad idea that twin-engine planes can
       | fly so far from an air strip. If the #1 engine had failed as well
       | it would have been game over. There's no possibility of gliding a
       | 787 for 2+ hours and hundreds of miles.
       | 
       | If the FAA wanted to prioritize safety, it would still require
       | the use of four-engined planes, as it used to for most long ocean
       | routes. The desire to fly twin-engine planes over the ocean is
       | entirely driven by a desire to maximize airline profits.
       | 
       | Admittedly, it does appear that modern twin-engine planes are
       | reliable enough that it's not entirely crazy. But it would only
       | take a couple of fatal engine failures to make it seem really
       | dumb in retrospect.
       | 
       | People are weirdly dogmatic around this ETOPs rule change by the
       | FAA. There is almost no one questioning it and yet the entire
       | motivation is purely monetary. The FAA and airlines continue to
       | push the limits further and further.
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ETOPS
        
         | inferiorhuman wrote:
         | _It just seems like a very bad idea that twin-engine planes can
         | fly so far from an air strip. If the #1 engine had failed as
         | well it would have been game over. There 's no possibility of
         | gliding a 787 for 2+ hours and hundreds of miles. _
         | 
         | You're right, and that's why 787s with Rolls Royce engines had
         | their ETOPS certification reduced from 330 minutes to 140 or
         | 180 depending on which version of the engine the frame has.
        
         | jrockway wrote:
         | ETOPS seems to have done pretty well. As far as I know, no
         | ETOPS-certified twinjets have been lost due to both engines
         | failing. There are a couple cases of the jet running out of
         | fuel (the famous Gimli glider and Air Transat Flight 236), but
         | that is going to be bad no matter how many engines you have.
         | There are cases of airplanes flying into volcanic ash clouds
         | and losing all engines; but more engines doesn't help you if
         | the air around the plane kills engines. There are some poorly-
         | engineered planes with 3 engines that have had a single-engine
         | failure bring down the entire plane (United Airlines Flight
         | 232).
         | 
         | ETOPS is not just some rubber stamp for a particular model of
         | airplane that manufacturers self-certify (hello, 737 MAX
         | debacle), but rather a process applied to (airframe, engine,
         | airline). You have to service particular engines to particular
         | standards to be allowed to fly ETOPS, and it depends on the
         | airline. I could go to the store, buy a 777 and hire 4 ATPs and
         | fly a 777... but I wouldn't be allowed to fly it ETOPS, for
         | example.
         | 
         | All in all, the program seems massively successful to me. It
         | saves fuel, which means cheaper flights and less CO2 being
         | generated. That's a good thing. The main downside seems to be
         | medical emergencies; I remember some stories about the aircraft
         | that flew EWR-SIN... it has some special corpse compartments to
         | stash away the inevitable deaths that occurred 9 hours away
         | from an airport. (It had 4 engines, but engines don't perform
         | heart surgery on passengers.)
         | 
         | The reality is that engines are pretty reliable. 2 is the right
         | number.
        
           | sajomojo wrote:
           | Thanks for the thoughtful replies, all. I still don't buy the
           | idea that this change was made with public safety as the top
           | priority. I do get that it might be a reasonable trade off of
           | safety/profits. I really do hope the ETOPS rule changes turn
           | out to be a good choice over the long term.
        
             | mulmen wrote:
             | ETOPS is not new. The 767-200ER entered service in 1985. We
             | live in the future you are alluding to. Your concerns have
             | not been validated by reality.
        
             | jrockway wrote:
             | The safest way to avoid aviation incidents is to not have
             | planes at all. From there, there is a continuum of how much
             | risk you want to take on.
             | 
             | If we add many safety bells and whistles to planes, it
             | would mean nobody could afford flying. If people couldn't
             | afford it, they'd use other transportation methods. Those
             | methods might be more dangerous than flying. So it wouldn't
             | actually increase the safety of travellers. Oceanliners and
             | cars are far from 100% safe, for example.
        
             | meristem wrote:
             | ETOPS-like rules have been in use since late 70's. It is an
             | evolving standard with different craft types being approved
             | for different ETOPS. While some current frames are rated
             | ETOPS 330 or 370, this type of operation began officially
             | with planes allowed to do only 90-minute ETOPS.
             | 
             | If flying commercial over oceans, it is either ETOPS, A380,
             | or a current type of 747 (747-8).
        
           | Piskvorrr wrote:
           | Volcanic ash is a completely different beast from normal ops:
           | you could have four engines and it still wouldn't be enough,
           | prompting what was perhaps the most British announcement in
           | the history of aviation, as narrated here: https://everything
           | 2.com/title/The+most+engine+failures+in+on...
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | WalterBright wrote:
         | > If the FAA wanted to prioritize safety, it would still
         | require the use of four-engined planes, as it used to for most
         | long ocean routes. The desire to fly twin-engine planes over
         | the ocean is entirely driven by a desire to maximize airline
         | profits.
         | 
         | That intuitively makes sense, but it's incorrect. The FAA
         | certified twin engines over water because it's safer. Half the
         | number of engines mean half the failures, and half the risk of
         | cascaded failures from the failing engines.
         | 
         | Statistics bear this out. Twin engines are safer.
        
           | sajomojo wrote:
           | Can you point to the statistics? I'm sure modern twin-engine
           | planes are more reliable than very old four engine planes but
           | what about modern vs modern?
        
             | WalterBright wrote:
             | No. I was simply told this by the other engineers at
             | Boeing.
        
             | CaliforniaKarl wrote:
             | The ICAO has accident statistics available here:
             | https://www.icao.int/safety/iStars/Pages/Accident-
             | Statistics...
             | 
             | You'll probably have to do some processing, but the answer
             | should be in there!
        
         | jacquesm wrote:
         | Contrary to your assertion the two engined craft are just as
         | safe (or safer!) as the four engined craft because of changes
         | in procedures. Fuel management, weather forecasting, general
         | engine reliability, lubricant reserves are all different and
         | much more stringent for a twin engined jet over water on a
         | straightline route. The effect is the aircraft is less long in
         | the air anyway which has a big effect on the risk calculation.
         | 
         | The main motivation is money, that's true, but the secondary
         | motivation, the environment is also important and the math
         | really does work out to a negligible safety difference
         | (advantage twins) that to date has not led to the observation
         | of numbers that would indicate a deviation from the predicted
         | reliability figures.
         | 
         | Finally, the chances of something going wrong on a twin engined
         | aircraft vs a quad are higher for the quad because it is a much
         | more complex system. So yes, _if_ an engine fails a four
         | engined plane would be able to deal with it better but the
         | chances of something going wrong are twice as high.
         | 
         | In the 60's, when the 747 was designed the reliability of jet
         | engines was such that four engines was more or less a must but
         | we are now a good 50 years away from those days and our ability
         | to deal with complex reliability issues has gone up
         | substantially (recent Boeing issues notwithstanding). The A380
         | has four engines because it is simply too heavy to take off
         | with only two engines.
         | 
         | Engine shutdown is so rare now that pilots can go a whole
         | career without encountering it even once and typically it is
         | the monitoring system that has a fault rather than the engine
         | itself but you would shut down the engine anyway in those
         | situations as a precaution.
        
           | sajomojo wrote:
           | Doesn't the fact that the twin-engine planes have to submit
           | to more stringent ETOPS requirements mean the FAA believes
           | they're less reliable than four engine planes?
        
             | jrockway wrote:
             | 2 engines of the type that they put on 4 engine planes are
             | less reliable than 2 ETOPS-certified engines. ETOPS-
             | certified engines (actually engine, airframe, airline
             | combination) are going to be more expensive than engines
             | where you have three extras next to them.
             | 
             | I could build a jet engine in my garage and the FAA
             | wouldn't let me fly 270 minutes away from an airport with
             | paying passengers on it just because I made four of them.
             | Certification is always going to be important.
        
             | mulmen wrote:
             | That's not a reasonable conclusion. The 787-8 and _747-8_
             | are both ETOPS-330 certified.
        
             | ryguytilidie wrote:
             | I'm genuinely baffled at how you're going back and forth
             | between authoritatively talking about how ETOPS is
             | definitely scary, unsafe and new, but you also clearly know
             | nothing about it.
             | 
             | Why not research a thing BEFORE deciding you have a strong
             | opinion about it?
        
         | fulafel wrote:
         | If we are concerned about loss of life resulting from air
         | travel, the main issue is co2 emissions. We should drastically
         | refuce especially long distance air travel.
        
         | lsc wrote:
         | I dunno, man; I think it is _deeply weird_ how we put so much
         | effort in to airline safety, but let anyone drive essentially
         | anything on the road, without even requiring more than
         | homeopathic liability insurance, and only the most cursory of
         | skill tests. (In California, it 's totally legal to drive with
         | $35K in liability insurance; and not all of that needs to cover
         | personal injury!)
         | 
         | I personally think that any additional safety effort ought to
         | be put into making cars safer, and not just safer for the
         | occupants, but safer for the poor SOBs who they run into. I
         | mean, sure, I'm not saying we should decrease airplane
         | regulation (except maybe in the security theatre bits) but I
         | think there's a lot more to be gained, safety wise, by
         | regulating cars more than by regulating airplanes more.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | DuskStar wrote:
         | The only thing that a 3rd+ engine helps with in this context is
         | uncorrelated engine failures. (Correlated ones - like "oops we
         | used the wrong fuel units" or "that volcanic ash cloud sure is
         | pretty" - are the same for two engines as they are for 4)
         | 
         | These failures are really, really rare. A very conservative
         | approximation would be one in 100,000 flights. (That would be
         | once every other day in the US, for reference. Like I said,
         | conservative) That means you'll have _both_ engines fail
         | randomly every 100,000,000,000 flights, which frankly no one
         | cares about.
         | 
         | Carrying around an extra engine for the 1 in 100+ Billion
         | situation it'll be useful isn't a good idea. It'll probably
         | kill more people than it saves, for that matter - how many
         | extra compressor disks will be thrown into cabins because of
         | that?
        
           | sajomojo wrote:
           | Except this ignores that the motivation was not increased
           | safety but money. It does seem true that twin-engine planes
           | can be quite safe but if Boeing/Airbus were motivated to
           | create the safest possible plane, it would probably have four
           | engines.
           | 
           | I doubt the US President will be flying on a twin-engine
           | plane any time soon. They'll choose the safest (American
           | made) option. Probably an updated 747 model, no?
        
             | DuskStar wrote:
             | And my point was that motivation is irrelevant, and I would
             | find it quite plausible that a two engined airliner would
             | be safer than a four engined jet. Two fewer things to
             | explode, after all.
             | 
             | The president flies a 747 for size and prestige more than
             | safety. Safest option would be to recommission an Iowa and
             | use it as an armed ocean liner or something and skip planes
             | entirely. Or just to stay home.
        
               | Piskvorrr wrote:
               | If we're talking about a command center, "stay at home"
               | is not safe at all. Even Google Maps knows the
               | coordinates and elevation for 2600 Pennsylvania Avenue
               | (or Cheyenne Mountain, or Area 51, or whatever). Hence,
               | Air Force One.
        
             | furgooswft13 wrote:
             | Presidents often fly on a 757 when the destination airport
             | cannot accommodate the larger 747 [1].
             | 
             | They also fly on Marine One (helicopter) which is probably
             | less safe overall than any modern airliner.
             | 
             | 1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_C-32
        
           | burfog wrote:
           | If you must allow for the failure of one engine, adding more
           | engines reduces weight.
           | 
           | 2 engines: You need to install and carry 200% of the engine
           | power needed to fly the plane.
           | 
           | 3 engines: You need to install and carry 150% of the engine
           | power needed to fly the plane.
           | 
           | 4 engines: You need to install and carry 133% of the engine
           | power needed to fly the plane.
           | 
           | It is really quite interesting that twin-engine planes are
           | cheaper to operate than planes with more engines. The engines
           | in twin-engine planes should be larger and thus more
           | expensive in every way. It seems that larger engines must be
           | discounted somehow, either by the manufacturer or by the
           | maintenance crews, or that there is a scaling factor that
           | hugely effects efficiency of large passenger jet engines.
           | 
           | For example, are maintenance costs dominated by paperwork?
           | That could be enough to overcome the extra expense of needing
           | powerful equipment to lift and otherwise manipulate the parts
           | of a huge engine.
        
             | nemetroid wrote:
             | Flight with inoperative engine(s) is altitude constrained.
             | The aircraft is going to be able to _fly_ with one engine
             | operative, but not at its usual altitude, so the 200
             | /150/133 idea doesn't really hold.
             | 
             | Further, larger engines are more efficient than smaller
             | ones. You pretty much want to install the largest engines
             | you can fit. It's the underlying reason for the 737 Max
             | debacle.
        
               | burfog wrote:
               | Engines are sized for failure at take-off. At that time
               | they are at maximum power, the aircraft is heavy with
               | fuel, and the ground is mighty close.
               | 
               | I see no evidence that larger engines are more efficient
               | than smaller ones. Larger total frontal area (counting
               | all engines together) is more efficient, as is a higher
               | bypass ratio. Both of those tend to lead toward larger
               | engines, but you could leave those unchanged while
               | modifying the number of engines.
               | 
               | For example, switching from 2 engines to 8 engines, you
               | could maintain the same frontal area by changing the
               | diameter from 10 feet to 5 feet. The bypass ratio, which
               | is the portion of air that bypasses the combustion, could
               | be 12-to-1 or 10-to-1 or whatever, and need not change
               | with engine diameter.
        
       | joemag wrote:
       | I found it interesting that a town of 100 had a runway capable of
       | landing a 787. Was it built specifically for these kinds of
       | scenarios, i.e. as an earliest diversion point for trans pacific
       | flights?
        
         | andrewem wrote:
         | Wikipedia says it was built for as US Army airfield in World
         | War II. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cold_Bay_Airport
        
         | bwooceli wrote:
         | Cold War. Almost an 11,000 foot runway.
        
       | Waterluvian wrote:
       | I'm going to bet those GE Aviation technicians that they charter
       | anywhere to fix planes are unbelievably talented, experienced and
       | well paid. I bet they've got all the best stories.
       | 
       | Also: on the first page, second paragraph of the special
       | coverage, what does "Check Airman" mean?
        
         | __sy__ wrote:
         | "Check Airman" -- likely a 3rd pilot in the cockpit, probably
         | for observation/rating. Since this is a 9+ hour ETOPS* flight
         | (over-ocean), there should be at least 4 pilots on board
         | anyways. Airline ground flight ops will also get involved.
         | 
         | * ETOPS: Extended-range Twin-engine Operational Performance
         | Standards; jokingly referred to as "Engines Turn Or Passengers
         | Swim"
        
           | redis_mlc wrote:
           | Check Airman is a company instructor pilot.
           | 
           | They check out other pilots and write procedures.
        
         | inferiorhuman wrote:
         | _I 'm going to bet those GE Aviation technicians that they
         | charter anywhere to fix planes are unbelievably talented,
         | experienced and well paid. _
         | 
         | Airframe manufacturers like Airbus and Boeing have similar
         | teams (AOG - Aircraft on Ground). The logistics and skills are
         | just staggering. Delta dented a 757 pretty hard in Azores last
         | year and had it patched up and back in the US pretty darn
         | quickly. Stuff like this is exactly why neither the Russians
         | nor Chinese are any threat to the Airbus/Boeing hegemony.
         | 
         | https://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?t=1429525
        
         | t34543 wrote:
         | Anecdote: My dad did this in the 70s. I believe you're correct.
         | He was working overseas and was frequently dispatched to
         | countries without modern repair facilities such as Saudi
         | Arabia.
         | 
         | One story that stands out is he asked a local worker to warm up
         | the APU. The worker proceeded to build a fire under the APU,
         | destroying it. What he meant was start it up and let it run
         | until it reaches operating temperature.
        
           | jcims wrote:
           | APUBBQ
        
           | dehrmann wrote:
           | I might get some of the backstory halfway off, but my
           | grandfather was in Alaska during WWII for the construction of
           | the Alaska Highway. They tried to never turn off truck and
           | equipment engines because if you did, you had to build a fire
           | under them to get them warm enough to start again.
        
             | acomjean wrote:
             | Cars in northern Canada sometime have block heaters
             | installed for cold starting.
             | 
             | How cold should it be before you use it? Ask the internet:
             | 
             | https://www.theglobeandmail.com/amp/globe-
             | drive/culture/comm...
        
               | Waterluvian wrote:
               | Standard in every car I've owned in Canada. Never needed
               | it.
        
               | tonyarkles wrote:
               | Based on your name, I suggest coming west, but not too
               | far west :). Trying to start a car at -40 in SK is
               | rough... if you've got a good battery and thin oil you
               | might be able to, but it's so much nicer after the block
               | heater's been going for a few hours.
        
               | refurb wrote:
               | Cold weather starting is MUCH better on cars than it was
               | 30 years ago. Fuel injection made a big difference.
               | 
               | I had to use a block heater (and battery heater) a number
               | of times. But once I moved to a late 80's car, I almost
               | never had to use the block heater.
        
               | fnbr wrote:
               | In my experience, it's all cars in Canada- I've never
               | seen one that doesn't have it (other than imports). I
               | guess you could probably get away without it on the west
               | coast.
               | 
               | Most cars do start though. It's really a maintenance
               | issue, where it's bad for your car to start it at -30 (as
               | the linked article says). In my experience, a newer car
               | in decent shape will start consistently.
        
               | inferiorhuman wrote:
               | Yeah my E39 doesn't have any sort of heater and it came
               | from BC. I've not seen anywhere to plug a block heater in
               | though BMW did sell auxiliary coolant heaters (from
               | Webasto). Of course if I lived in a climate where block
               | heaters were required a BMW wouldn't be my first choice.
               | The heated seats and steering wheel come in handy more
               | than I thought they would tho.
        
               | lb1lf wrote:
               | -Block heaters are quite common in Norway, too - and
               | while my old diesel will start in -30C without one, it
               | does not like it. (I cheat, though - the starter motor is
               | pilfered from a light truck, and two batteries with
               | approx. 800 CCA each work in parallel to make it turn
               | over; it was a necessity as there is no electricity where
               | we park the car before heading for our cabin in the
               | mountains...)
               | 
               | In addition to less engine wear, it also works wonders
               | for fuel consumption and makes the car comfortably warm
               | in a couple of minutes.
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | You'd have a very hard time starting a diesel without a
               | block heater. When I lived in Canada I kept an older Ford
               | (a 1949 one!) around for winter use because the diesel
               | tractor was that much harder to start. You can make
               | things a bit better by mixing about 5% gasoline in with
               | the diesel to avoid the diesel becoming flaky but that
               | has limits too and the Canadian winters can throw -40
               | Celsius at you with some regularity.
               | 
               | Block heaters are a must in that environment.
        
               | freeone3000 wrote:
               | I live in the habitable zone near the US and while I've
               | heard of one, I've never seen one.
        
               | dsfyu404ed wrote:
               | Gasoline powered cars in good repair will start just fine
               | any any temperature the North American continent can
               | provide. Block heaters are to speed warmup and reduce
               | wear.
        
               | greglindahl wrote:
               | Engine block heaters are a part of optional or standard
               | cold weather kits in cars sold all over the colder places
               | in the world.
               | 
               | Electric cars have the standard advice to leave them
               | plugged in overnight in cold areas.
        
             | jandrese wrote:
             | Old farm tractors used what was called "farm oil" in the
             | old days. Basically the cheapest form of fuel you could buy
             | since it was effectively a byproduct of the refining
             | process. It was closer to paraffin wax than diesel, solid
             | at room temperature. In order to start the tractor there
             | was a second tank with diesel that was used until the
             | engine warmed up enough to melt the primary fuel. If your
             | tractor stalled out and you couldn't get it started again
             | quickly the fuel would solidify in the lines and you would
             | have to light a fire under the tractor to get it started.
        
               | WalterBright wrote:
               | The Germans in Russia in WW2 would use fires to warm
               | their tanks and airplanes to get them to start.
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | They still do this in some places in Russia.
        
               | WalterBright wrote:
               | I might add that lighting a fire under a gas engine that
               | likely has leaks and drips is a pretty ballsy thing to
               | do.
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | Usually done for big rigs, diesels not gas engines.
        
               | WalterBright wrote:
               | Airplane engines are gas!
        
               | inferiorhuman wrote:
               | _Airplane engines are gas!_
               | 
               | Sure, small ones with piston engines. Sure. Most anything
               | running a turbine uses Jet-A which is closer to kerosene
               | / diesel than gasoline.
               | 
               | If you're leaking fuel you've got bigger problems than
               | how to safely heat up the engine.
        
               | dredmorbius wrote:
               | Jet aircraft were little-used during WWII.
               | 
               | (There were some, late in the war, but only just.
               | Otherwise, all aircraft were piston-driven, running
               | avgas, a/k/a petrol / gasoline.)
        
               | dehrmann wrote:
               | Modern prop planes tend to use high-octane gas. Jets use
               | jet fuel (kerosene), which is really a light diesel.
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | I didn't have airplane engines in mind when I wrote that
               | (tanks = vehicles) but given the thread context and your
               | airplanes reference I see how that could happen, same
               | thing with 'block heaters' elsewhere in the thread, I
               | take it that is in the context of other vehicles (heavy
               | equipment, tractor-trailers, buses and so on).
               | 
               | And yes, some airplane engines use gas but the majority
               | of them runs something that in constituency is closer to
               | regular diesel than to gas.
               | 
               | Kersone is #1 diesel!
               | 
               | AV gas is another matter entirely but I'm not aware of
               | any jet that would use it, though that might be a fun
               | thing, and given that turbines can run on almost anything
               | combustible it will probably work to some extent but I
               | don't think it will be a happy ending unless the engine
               | is really designed for it.
               | 
               | Btw, this is an interesting start-up:
               | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ESdHyNtHpqs not cold
               | weather but I'd hate to fly that in any conditions.
        
               | WalterBright wrote:
               | Being WW2, these were piston engines running avgas.
        
               | ethbro wrote:
               | I guess the sole redeeming thermodynamic property of the
               | operation would be that most seals would expand as they
               | heated?
               | 
               | Still, I imagine that was a "light fire, move away"
               | procedure!
        
               | kortilla wrote:
               | It's rare to have an engine that just drips fuel.
               | Lubrication oil for sure, but straight up petrol leaks
               | for a non-running engine require a lot of things to be
               | wrong.
        
               | WalterBright wrote:
               | You're talking about a very heavily used airplane in a
               | barely usable airfield with desperate mechanics, often
               | under attack, adverse weather, and parts shortages.
        
               | weaksauce wrote:
               | Or an sr-71
        
               | grogenaut wrote:
               | hey at least they decided not to use hypergolic fuel in
               | the sr-71 tho having a jet that was on fire all the time
               | would be pretty bad ass looking. Titanium would probbably
               | handle it and it'd eventually warm up the skin and close
               | the gaps.
        
               | m4rtink wrote:
               | IIRC, there are some issues with Red Fuming Nitric Acid &
               | titanium, possibly resulting in sudden explosions under
               | some circumstances.
               | 
               | Hydrazine + nitrous oxide could be fine though, but
               | better check first before use. ;-)
        
               | dredmorbius wrote:
               | Whilst the SR-71 didn't run on hypergolic fuel (because
               | reasons -- including leaky tanks and supersonic skin-
               | heating, so JP-7, which specifically has a _high_ flash
               | point was used for fuel), the _ignition_ system for the
               | aircraft, including its afterburner ignition system, used
               | hypergolic fuel (triethylborane) to initiate combustion,
               | with a limited number of ignition cycles aboard each
               | mission.
               | 
               | Afterburner light-ups were limited by the availability of
               | TEB aboard.
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Triethylborane
        
               | grogenaut wrote:
               | I remember thinking from one of the books on the sr71
               | equating restarts to setting off a stick of Dynamite in
               | the tailpipe... But I was younger then and didn't know
               | about these fuels. Thanks for the details
        
               | fencepost wrote:
               | The more modern takes on this likely include "greasecar"
               | diesel conversions that still have a small diesel tank,
               | plus the different summer and winter blends of diesel
               | fuel itself (since "A" diesel that gels at 5C is going to
               | be a problem in a lot of places).
        
               | greglindahl wrote:
               | Is this the same as the "bunker oil" burned by big ships?
               | Wikipedia seems to think so:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fuel_oil#Bunker_fuel
        
               | dredmorbius wrote:
               | Yes.
               | 
               | The WWII Liberty Ships utilised a triple-expansion steam
               | engine, fired by bunker fuel. Both the expended steam
               | _and_ the boilers were used to fluidise the fuel to
               | flowable tempertures -- the steam circulating either
               | through or around the feed tanks, and the fuel line
               | itself passing _through_ the boiler and flame trench
               | before final injection.
               | 
               | There are two remaining Liberty Ships in the US -- the
               | John W. Brown in Baltimore, and the Jeremiah O'Brien in
               | San Francisco.
               | 
               | Pay a visit and one of the engine-room crew can tell you
               | the details.
               | 
               | The generaly kluginess and hackiness of the design
               | instantly brought to mind what many software projects
               | I've worked on might look like if physically
               | instantiated. Though the Liberty Ship design is by far
               | the more robust and useful than most.
        
               | frank2 wrote:
               | American liberty ships used steam engines because US
               | industry had been building cargo ships for the Brits and
               | wanted to avoid the delay of switching to a more modern
               | design. The Brits specified steam engines so they could
               | run the ships on coal so they wouldn't have to import the
               | fuel.
        
             | lb1lf wrote:
             | I once owned a Lada Niva, which while it was overall a
             | rather - to put it charitably - interesting car to own, it
             | excelled during wintertime.
             | 
             | The engine sump was incredibly heavy; when inquiring as to
             | why, I was told the idea was that you could light a
             | (small!) fire under it to make it easier to get the engine
             | cranking in severe cold.
             | 
             | That's Soviet engineering for you!
        
             | newnewpdro wrote:
             | Sounds right, they describe this method in Alaska Crude, an
             | interesting old book photo-documenting the development of
             | Prudhoe Bay Oil Field.
             | 
             | The engine and gear oil would freeze solid. Required fires
             | under differentials, oil pans, etc. just to get the oil
             | liquid again.
        
             | WalterBright wrote:
             | My family was stationed near London for a time. My father
             | told me later that once an airline pilot mistook a WW2
             | strip for the Heathrow runway (!) and landed there, using
             | every inch of it to get it to stop. The strip was too short
             | to take off from, so what to do?
             | 
             | They stripped everything off the airplane they could.
             | Seats, interiors, galleys, everything. They put in just
             | enough fuel to hop over the trees to Heathrow. He said they
             | did it, but barely.
        
               | netsharc wrote:
               | I'm trying to google a similar "we landed here but now
               | it's too short for us to takeoff again" story which IIRC
               | happened in California, but I can only find this incident
               | that happened with a cargo plane in Kansas: https://www.t
               | heatlantic.com/national/archive/2013/11/giganti...
        
               | therockspush wrote:
               | This has happened more than a few times in Wichita. They
               | are usually aiming for KICT but hit other airports. We
               | had to file a flight plan out of Jabara for a private jet
               | that was actually trying to land at KICT for maintenance.
               | Didnt make the news but we did have to plan for the
               | minimum amount of fuel.
        
               | fhars wrote:
               | Spantax used to do that in Hamburg, scroll down to
               | ,,Incidents" on https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hamburg_F
               | inkenwerder_Airport
               | 
               | The interesting thing is that ,,the end of the runway" is
               | actually a major river.
               | 
               | And a Vuelling flight almost made the same mistake two
               | years ago (but today it would be less critical as they
               | have extended the runway to accommodate A380s some time
               | ago).
        
       | raverbashing wrote:
       | I was wondering why didn't the crew elect to divert directly to
       | Anchorage, reading the event description
       | http://avherald.com/h?article=49f44548 it seems they were 2h from
       | CDB and ANC would be another hour from there. Not sure what's the
       | ETOPS rating of that aircraft but it might not have been 180min
       | (though even longer times are common now)
        
         | t0mas88 wrote:
         | No sane pilot would fly an extra hour in a twin with a failed
         | engine if it's not necessary for safety (e.g. weather and
         | runway length are considerations, the rest isn't really
         | important in case of an engine failure)
         | 
         | The plane doesn't just fly nicely with one engine, it will yaw
         | and become much less stable. You will also usually be
         | descending (drift down procedure) because the single engine
         | service ceiling is lower than normal cruise. And the autopilot
         | doesn't work so you're flying manually, for all of the
         | diversion.
         | 
         | You really don't want to be doing that any longer than
         | necessary. You have also no redundancy left, so continuing
         | means you're increasing risks. Even more so because you'll
         | increase your remaining engine to max continuous power
         | stressing it more than usual.
        
         | Denvercoder9 wrote:
         | If you're down to one engine, you opt for the nearest safe
         | haven, independent of how long you're rated to fly on one
         | engine. You don't tempt fate.
        
           | raverbashing wrote:
           | Not necessarily the nearest if you have a couple of airports
           | at approximately the same distance, but in this situation I
           | guess it makes sense to land ASAP and CDB is ok.
           | 
           | Some emergency situations will have the plane fly back to its
           | origin even if there are closer airports (source: have been
           | in one), some others will have you land at the closest
           | airport _period_ even if might not be 100% suitable.
        
       | andr wrote:
       | If you enjoyed this story, you might enjoy the story of a
       | seaplane having to get back to LaGuardia from New Zealand the day
       | after Pearl Harbor: https://medium.com/s/story/the-long-way-
       | round-the-plane-that...
        
         | gokhan wrote:
         | Fascinating read. Thank you.
        
         | keyme wrote:
         | Wow! They should really make a movie out of this
        
         | Aloha wrote:
         | What an absolutely incredible story!
         | 
         | https://www.amazon.com/The-Long-Way-Home-Revised-ebook/dp/B0...
        
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