[HN Gopher] The most important scientific problems have yet to b... ___________________________________________________________________ The most important scientific problems have yet to be solved (1897) Author : anarbadalov Score : 133 points Date : 2020-01-08 19:10 UTC (3 hours ago) (HTM) web link (thereader.mitpress.mit.edu) (TXT) w3m dump (thereader.mitpress.mit.edu) | [deleted] | yters wrote: | Most of reality is inexplicable according to modern science. So, | there are probably vast quantities of discoveries to still be | made. | scottlocklin wrote: | One of the great Spanish thinkers, criminally underrated in Anglo | countries. | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Santiago_Ram%C3%B3n_y_Cajal | enriquto wrote: | I'd rather say he's criminally underrated in Spain. | | It is definitely easier to hear casually about Ramon y Cajal in | "anglo countries" than in Spain. For example, I have spent my | childhood in the spanish state, and I first heard about Ramon y | Cajal during the first conference that I attended, in | Switzerland, from a lovely presentation by an English | professor. | | One of the dramatically few spanish first-rate scientists, and | he's not a household name. Very, very sad state of affairs. | scottlocklin wrote: | I learned about him talking to a Spanish plumber while eating | a bocadillo. | iagovar wrote: | I'd say he's pretty well known in Spain. I knew about him | from school, so maybe your school didn't teach you about him | or you didn't pay attention. | | I studied first in Madrid and later in Galicia. | yiyus wrote: | I do not know what you are talking about. We study Ramon y | Cajal in school, the most important grants in Spain are named | after him, there is a Ramon y Cajal square or street in every | city... Even the most ignorant Spaniard knows him and will | tell you that he is our most respected scientist from all | time. | | Science, in general, is criminally underrated in Spain, but | Ramon y Cajal is literally the household name. | buboard wrote: | He s known as the father of Neuroscience, i don't think he s | underrated | luhn wrote: | (1897) | | An excerpt from _Advice for a Young Investigator_. | https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/437689.Advice_for_a_Youn... | breck wrote: | Impressive how timeless this is. | | I would say the great problem of science right now is integrating | all of the knowledge there is. | | It's time scientists stopped publishing dumb weakly connected | PDFs, and start switching to a GitHub like pull request model. | | We could build a single strongly typed peer-reviewed repo of all | of the world's scientific information, complete with definitions, | experiment protocols and data, and make it universally | downloadable and usable by all. | walleeee wrote: | I think you're describing something like a hybrid social | network/semantic web with versioning, knowledge provenance, and | asynchronous peer review. | | One serious problem for any such system is ontology selection: | how is one to represent the entire body of scientific knowledge | under a single type system? Different fields of inquiry make | use of extremely diverse conceptual models. I suppose | mathematics are in a way a unifying language, but there's | hardly a single homogeneous mathematical discipline. | | The present "weakly" connected network has almost zero | technical barriers to entry. It uses well-established | technology within a well-established workflow, and it offloads | the hard, fuzzy work (e.g., all the model-binding that would | presumably take place in the proposed system) to the most | flexible computing device we know of: the brain. Everything is | already freely downloadable/usable, for the most part (lots of | research is open access, and what isn't can often be obtained | from the investigators by request). | | That said, maybe the sort of thing you describe could be | translated into a research question. One could try to compare | the shape of various data under different encodings, for | instance (some sort of topological analysis?) to identify | similar structure? I think category theory has been used to | unify previously disparate regions of mathematics. | | There are already a few entries in the social network/resource- | sharing platform space. Have a look at Open Science Foundation. | Academia and ResearchGate are similar, but without the | materials-and-data-sharing. | yiyus wrote: | Having such a repo would be great, but IMO we'd still need | those dumb PDFs. | breck wrote: | Okay okay you can still have your PDFs, but only after you | submit your pull requests. | hyperbovine wrote: | Ah yes, the old everything-is-broken-and-software-engineering- | has-all-the-answers trope. | breck wrote: | Sometimes things do. | cs02rm0 wrote: | Wikipedia? | at_a_remove wrote: | I am attempting to imagine the horror of wading through all of | the pull requests received by, say, the physics department. | Requests were awful enough when postage stamps were required. | | You underestimate the number of cranks who have "great ideas" | and "just need someone else to work out the math." | throwaway_tech wrote: | >You underestimate the number of cranks who have "great | ideas" and "just need someone else to work out the math." | | You're not wrong, but, it is important to note there also | isn't a shortage of great physicist who "just need someone | else to work out the math." | | For example in 1846, Faraday proposed that visible light is a | form of electromagnetic radiation. But because he couldn't | back up the idea with mathematics, his colleagues ignored it. | It took 18 years for Maxwell to come along and prove it. | | This sentiment about math is so cringe, because it is the | same type of prejudice of social class that Faraday himself | fought against his whole life being the son of a poor smith. | Not to mention physicists such as Carl Sagen, generally held | in high esteem within the physics community, always preached | of an eventual point in physics that transcends math (i.e. | something more fundamental and basic) to describe the | universe. | at_a_remove wrote: | It isn't prejudice, or classism, or any -ism, it pure | numbers. We have billions of people who have ideas about | how the world works and a much smaller number of people who | can work to disprove those ideas. | | Camp out in an IRC channel like #physics on any network and | prepare to be bombarded by idea people who just want | someone else to do the heavy lifting, from math to the | experiments. And woe betide those who want to say "by the | way, your idea leads to perpetual motion/faster-than-light | travel, so I will not bother." I personally have | experienced _soul-crushing_ numbers of philosophers who | happen to think they 've disproven special relativity who | are also under the impression that the Michelson-Morley | experiment was performed precisely once and everyone just | sort of ... ran with it, never looking back. | | Who has time to weed through this sort of thing? It isn't | ideas that physicists lack for, not in the least. | throwaway_tech wrote: | >We have billions of people who have ideas about how the | world works and a much smaller number of people who can | work to disprove those ideas. | | Like I said you aren't wrong...its just important to | note, that some of the best minds in physics didn't have | the math chops to prove their ideas. But if we ask why | there are so many more people with ideas of how the world | works and such a small number that can validate/disprove | them speaks directly to classism. Being able to | prove/disprove physics theories is generally, going to | require a significant investment in education from early | childhood that has been, and still is, out of reach for | most. Its not a lack of intellect or talent, but lack of | investment across the board. | | In other words until the ideas are disproven you | shouldn't call them a cranks simply on the basis they | don't have the math chops to prove their own theories. | | >Camp out in an IRC channel like #physics on any network | and prepare to be bombarded by idea people who just want | someone else to do the heavy lifting, from math to the | experiments. | | Seems to be a pretty efficient strategy. The entire point | of this website is to support a similar model where YC is | bombarded by investors who want someone else to do the | heavy lifting, and business and make the returns. | at_a_remove wrote: | No, it is not classism, it is finiteness of resources. | The constraining factor is the number of experiments we | can perform based on what we have. Those accelerators do | not just whiff themselves into existence as fast as | people have ideas. We could wave our CRISPR wand and | produce an army of geniuses, we would still need those | experimental setups to test out the ideas, and those | costs both money and time. | | Cranks are cranks. I will most definitely call them that | and continue to do so. I no longer camp out like that | because I could not bear it any longer. If you would like | to spend your life attempting to work out the particulars | of some FTL drive that supposedly works by repeatedly | raising magnets above the Curie temperature and then | lowering them back under it, have at it. Fire up IRC. I | suspect you will spend much time laboring to support the | ideas of cranks because it simply is not a good use of | your time. It was a good use not of my time, either. | | That's all it is -- efficient allocation of limited | resources. My time, your time, someone else's time. How | are these decisions made? How do we decide which of the | ideas do we examine first? | | If it is "possible greatest payout," then we would spend | all of our collective time on perpetual motion devices. | They would, after all, be the greatest payout. And yet | the patent office won't even look at them. | | No, our first filter is: can this be tested? And to test, | we must measure. To measure, we must calculate. And there | is our math. | | Good ideas will bubble up from the bottom, and more than | one person will have a good idea. If one of those people | does not have the math and another does, then science | will eventually get around to the person who has the | math. | | What's _your_ algorithm for deciding whose ideas get | worked on? I bet that it has some kind of criteria | attached to it. I doubt you are suggesting selecting | humans from across the planet purely at random and asking | for their scientific ideas. | | Simply put, this is the scientific method. Make a new, | better scientific method if you have a better (by whose | standards?) algorithm for deciding whose ideas are worth | examining first. | raymondrussell wrote: | Ramon Y Cajal was a contrarian when this was written, but he had | great timing. In the late 19th century, it was fairly popular to | believe that all the laws of physics had already been established | --remaining progress would come from improvements in experimental | methods. There's a famous "physics is over" quote misattributed | to Lord Kelvin (actually said by Michelson, the guy who measured | the speed of light). | | A few years after this was written, Planck proposed energy | quanta. And in 1905, Einstein published his four Annus Mirabilis | papers, introducing the photoelectric effect (applying quantum), | special relativity, and the mass-energy relationship. | DevX101 wrote: | Thanks for the context. Thought that this was contemporary. The | language did seem antiquated. | dekhn wrote: | This book tries to argue that we've got as close to objective | truth about the universe as we'll ever do: | | https://www.amazon.com/End-Science-Knowledge-Twilight-Scient... | | and that most remaining science is just find of filling in the | tiny bits. | | I personally don't expect anything that will change with | respect to backwards time travel or faster than light travel. | ivalm wrote: | And like all such books, almost certainly it is wrong. | | Backwards time travel or FTL are not measure of progress. | Even with the field of "fundamental" physics: | | 1. There are lots of things we do not understand in cosmology | (cosmological constant, nature of dark matter, | matter/antimatter asymmetry, force unification at very high | energy scales, gravity at high energies, etc). Each of those | could potentially revolutionize our understanding of the | universe | | 2. There are lots of things we do not understand at small | scales (Casimir effect/vacuum energy relationship, plank | scale effects, why the particle soup, gravity on very small | scale, reason behind asymmetry in helicity/weak interaction | and other parity/symmetry related effects, doing "useful" | calculation with renormalization group, etc). Each of those | could potentially revolutionize our understanding of the | universe. | | There is also a lot to be done in our understanding of | computing (as in, nature of computation) | | 1. Computation related problems (Church-Turing thesis, novel | algorithmics + computing platforms such as quantum | computing). Is approximately correct/probabilistic computing | a loophole for getting essentially/mostly correct results in | P time for NP-hard problems? Nature of AGI/what enables | sapience when doing computing. | | Of course as we go into "less fundamental" sciences like | chemistry/biology/etc then the amount to be learned is just | overwhelming, we truly know very little. | HenryKissinger wrote: | The difference between the problems physicists were | tackling at the turn of the 20th century and the ones we're | trying to tackle today is that we don't have the technology | or the resources required to build the kind of experiments | that would allow us to study these phenomena at a | meaningful scale and test out our hypotheses. | | E.g. https://gizmodo.com/we-could-solve-the-mysteries-of- | time-and... | | "We Could Solve the Mysteries of Time and Space--If We Had | a Particle Accelerator the Size of the Solar System" | | That's the problem. Our collective civilization will need | to move a few levels forward before we can afford to tackle | these problems. | cosmodisk wrote: | But the same was 100,200,300 and so years ago. Thete were | always some sort of limitations, mostly technological. | I'm not saying that we'll build solar system size | colliders any time soon, however 50-100 more years and we | should be much much more sophisticated in terms of what | we can do in space and back on the earth. | Koshkin wrote: | Linear extrapolation is not always adequate. I tend to | agree with GP that we may be close to a saturation point. | ivalm wrote: | This is not clear to me at all. I don't think "bigger | particle accelerators" is what we need, and lots of the | questions I posted are not necessarily solvable by | particle accelerators. We do need new experiments, but | probably in a sense of "new ways to observe the universe" | rather than "old ways to observe the universe scaled | bigger." | earlINmeyerkeg wrote: | I personally believe a lot of that stuff cannot be further | studied unless we are able to divert solutions to other | problems in our society first. I'm saying that we need to | have things like mass quantity sustainable energy, | significant automation, global unification and standards, | higher minimum education levels. | | I'm saying that imagine 50% of the population works in blue | collar general labor or semi-skilled labor fields. Now in | this hypothetical worlds, all those jobs are managed by | autonomous robots. Also we have a green power that is | sustainable, storable, sufficient for even double the | population, and can be held in high densities at low | volumes. So there are now innumerable sectors within the | economy that we don't need people themselves to learn. That | leaves more time for people to take extended amounts of | time to learn and study. I mean quite literally a Star-Trek | "post-scaricity world" in a lot of ways. People use time to | further themselves and expend time on cultural or | scientific endeavors. Life is no longer about struggle and | survival since money clearly would have no value if any and | everything can be made or consumed for free. I mean it's | really interesting to think that the only "conflict" that | would exist is between people trying to min-max life in | terms of achievement. There would be no achievement in | religion, money, or ownership since everybody can do it. | | Ultimately what I'm saying is that a lot of our advances | are contingent upon other sectors becoming automated and | allow for more people to get into academic sectors. | AareyBaba wrote: | The origin of life, why life is evolvable, the evolution of | the complexity in a eukaryote cell, and multicellular | consciousness/intelligence are to me big unanswered questions | in science. | | Although, life can be reduced to chemistry and chemistry to | physics I feel we are missing some high-level self-organizing | principle of the universe. | ggggtez wrote: | >why life is evolvable | | Sorry, could you explain why you think life _is not | evolvable_ exactly? Assuming you take the existence of a | single celled organism with DNA as a given (we still don 't | know the origin of life), evolution gets you the rest of | the way rather nicely. Notably, "life" usually contains the | assumption that it is evolvable as part of the definition. | If the children of the organism can't adapt to the | environment, we don't consider those things to be "alive" | (e.g. a 3d printer that can print a copy of itself isn't | _alive_ ). | | As for the origin of life, all serious scientists are | onboard with abiogenesis, though we don't know the | mechanism. Every year, new science comes out showing how | microfluid droplets with organic compounds + the natural | environment, can result in behavior that looks similar to a | cell. | | For example, this one shows fairly interesting "cell like" | movement without any life, and there was another last year | that proposed a possible abiogenesis of cell walls through | evaporation and organic compounds that suck up large | molecules into the interior when evaporated. | | https://qz.com/487712/why-these-colored-water-droplets- | seem-... | AareyBaba wrote: | We know that life is evolvable because life exists and we | know the biochemical mechanisms involved (DNA + cellular | biochemistry). | | Evolution implies a relatively smooth path through "DNA | space" from, say for example, an early single cell | eukaryote to a mushroom. However the search space is | enormous. Even if we account for billions of years of | evolution and a trillions of evolutionary experiments | each year, a simple random walk with selection through | DNA space should go nowhere because of the numbers | involved. The curse of dimensionality[0] means there has | to be some other principle of nature to make the search | space yield a path from one viable life form to another. | The search space of life would have to be 'smooth' in | some sense. That 'smoothness' is something we don't | understand. | | If DNA space is just 256 bits (as a dramatic | simplification), then 2^256 is a very very big space to | search just by chance [1]. Now imagine a space orders of | magnitude bigger. | | [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Curse_of_dimensionality | | [1] https://youtu.be/S9JGmA5_unY?t=22 (3Blue1Browns | wonderful illustration of how large 2^256 is) | ggggtez wrote: | Physics might be bumping up against limits of knowledge, but | I think it's quite short sighted to claim that this means all | of Science is bumping up against fundamental limits. | | Just because many of the questions we want to solve today are | of practical significance (inventing new medicines, perhaps) | doesn't make it any less scientific. | | Indeed, almost 20 years after the Human Genome Project, we | have only scratched the surface on how to understand what any | particular genes are doing, and are very far from doing | anything more than "hacking" on existing genes, let alone | writing a biological program from the ground up. | LiquidSky wrote: | This seems like the kind of thing people a hundred years from | now will point at and laugh about how quaint our time was. | whatshisface wrote: | Why are time machines and Starship Enterprises a good | standard of scientific progress? Why not immorality, sentient | computers, and stuff like that, which is equally science- | fictiony but possible? | dekhn wrote: | I just said time machines and faster than light travel are | unlikely to ever occur; I do think life extension and AGI | are not technically impossible, but rather inevitable (my | training is in biology, and I work on machine learning). | | For the first two, we'd need to have a radically different | physics than the current model, while the last two, they | seem like reasonable extrapolations from modern technology. | whatshisface wrote: | A radically different paradigm of physics would result in | technologies that can't be imagined in the present | paradigm of physics. For example nobody had even remotely | guessed that transistors were possible until well in to | the development of solid state theory. | dekhn wrote: | we have plenty of unrealized technologies that can be | imagined in the present paradigm but that we're not | exploiting yet (see for example recent advances in 2D | topological materials). | | (based on my understanding of transistors, the first ones | were conceived before the theory for them existed, and | the first ones were built around the same time the | quantum theory for them was expressed). | nostrademons wrote: | The nature of a paradigm shift is that it recasts all the | existing laws of nature as special cases of a more | powerful, more general model of reality. | | Who knows, maybe we'll find that we actually are living | in a simulation and then figure out how to hack the | matrix. The idea of "travel" and "time" would become | obsolete then; you'd just poke new values for your wave | function into the simulation's RAM. | dekhn wrote: | This seems implausible for many reasons, it seems more | likely that if we're living in a simulation, we'll have | trouble figuring out how to proloxify the feeblegarps. | whack wrote: | "Immorality" is not only theoretically possible, it has | been thoroughly mastered by many ;) | | I think there's a noteworthy distinction between science | and its applications. In my mind, science is about | understanding the world, whereas fields like | engineering/medicine are about their practical | applications. | | I do think that there's a tremendous amount of progress | that could be made in sciences like Biology, Psychology | etc. But I would draw a distinction between the things that | fundamentally change the way we understand the world, vs | building really cool toys that we would love to have. | dekhn wrote: | I think the point of the "End of Science" argument is | that any discoveries in biology (and physics) will merely | be elaborations of basic principles that already exist, | rather than elucidations of any as-yet undiscovered | principles. | | For example, CRISPR. Many people think that CRISPR was an | amazing discovery, but really, it's just a biological | system that has existed for a long, long time, where a | collection of smart people realized that with some | engineering it could be used for effective genetic | modifications with high precision and no need for | engineering custom proteins to bind specific sequences. | That seems fundamentally different from, for example, the | experiments that established that DNA is the molecule of | heredity when nobody had an idea how DNA could encode | information. | epistasis wrote: | DNA as the molecule of encoding information for heredity | is also "merely" a discovery of an ancient biological | system. However, it's not as though physics predicts the | existence of DNA specifically, or CRISPR, yet these | things are important for understanding biology, and in | the case of CRISPR it's been turned into a technology | that humans can use. Which is why I have a lot of | complaints about the commonly held belief such as this | one: | | > merely be elaborations of basic principles that already | exist, rather than elucidations of any as-yet | undiscovered principles. | | This is not a meaningful or thoughtful examination of | even chemistry. 3D structure of proteins is "merely" an | elaboration of physical properties, yet "physics" doesn't | have the tools to make much progress on solving the 3D | structure of a sequence of amino acids, despite it being | a purely physics process. | | Is the world "physical" in the sense that probably don't | have new fundamental forces of nature? Of course. That | doesn't mean that physics helps understand much of the | physical world, because the "elaboration" in the "merely | elaboration" has nothing to do what physicists or other | scientists consider "physics." | charlieflowers wrote: | > "Immorality" is not only theoretically possible, it has | been thoroughly mastered by many ;) | | Well done! | izzydata wrote: | Apparently it was the first thing humankind mastered. | ggggtez wrote: | Obviously, we are discussing immortality of non-human | species. | | However, we more or less understand that morality of | larger lifeforms is encoded in our DNA (e.g. telemers). | Mortality seems to be a defense against cancer. | | There is no particular reason that a human _needs_ to | grow old, except for the accidents of evolution. | baddox wrote: | > But I would draw a distinction between the things that | fundamentally change the way we understand the world, vs | building really cool toys that we would love to have. | | It may very well be that understanding emergent | phenomenon at the appropriate level of emergence will | turn out to be vitally important, and that reductionism | (while undoubtedly useful in many scenarios) is impeding | our understanding of emergent phenomena like | consciousness and evolution. | gmuslera wrote: | You don't send a message if the receiver can't understand | it. | | People need to have a point of contact with that | extrapolated future to became a popular science fiction | work, even the culture in the far future fiction is usually | pretty similar to our own (or at least, the one of the | moment where that book was written). | | Present works (not the ones with inherited universes from | old ones) are updated to our current expectations of the | future, so you have sentient computers and other "possible" | technology, and probably in 50 years we will have a | different set of standards and not something as naive as | what used to stand as possible 50 years before. | gooseus wrote: | Why not better understanding of complexity and complex | systems? | | The assumption that any of these new technologies would be | desirable and create a net positive effect in the world | sounds very naive after seeing the results of something as | simple as "connecting the world". | | We need to have a better understanding of how new | technologies interact with our existing technologies | (including institutions and communities) and our | environment, or else we risk (further) destabilizing | everything that has allowed us to get this far. | iCodeSometime wrote: | nah | dekhn wrote: | personally I believe that improving the techniques we use | to study complexity is the most important thing in | science today. In many fields we are now drowned in tons | of high quality data, yet scientists struggle to store, | process, and turn that data into knowledge. | jhbadger wrote: | As typical with contrarians, Ramon y Cajal said some things | that held up well and others that didn't. In the same book | "Advice for a Young Investigator" that this excerpt is from he | also gave his view of theorists: "Basically a theorist is a | lazy person masquerading as a diligent one because it is easier | to fashion a theory than to discover a phenomenon"! | glial wrote: | At least in the psychological sciences, he's not wrong. | [deleted] | cryptonector wrote: | How is that wrong? Clearly anyone who says that is being | somewhat facetious / comedic. | jhbadger wrote: | Well, it's true that we can't really tell how serious he | was being. And it is worth remembering he was a | neuroscientist who studied neurons. He was probably | thinking of people who made complex theories about "how the | brain works" without ever designing experiments to test | them, not physics theorists. | jonny_eh wrote: | > Basically a theorist is a lazy person masquerading as a | diligent one | | Tell that to Einstein. | behringer wrote: | Didn't we recently confirm gravitational waves by | checking out a couple interacting black holes, originally | theorized by Einstein 100 years ago? I think even | Einstein would agree that it was much harder to discover | it than to theorize it. | prostaff wrote: | www.aeroworxglobal.com We can sovle them! | nxpnsv wrote: | Well, if they were solved, then they would not be regarded as | problems... | deith wrote: | Ramon and Cajal, two great thinkers. | gfiorav wrote: | If this was a joke, it's a pretty good one | deith wrote: | It's probably one of the most widely known jokes in Spain. | anarbadalov wrote: | Just a quick note to the moderators: thanks for adding (1897) to | the title and clearing up the confusion that i caused! i assumed | Ramon y Cajal was more of a household name. | [deleted] | carapace wrote: | ORT (Only Read Title) but uh... | | WTF is gravity? Why is gravitational mass and intertial mass | identical (in all known situations)? | | Do we orbit the Sun or the image of the Sun? In other words, | what's the _speed_ of gravity? | | _Can we control gravity?_ | | - - - - | | What is subjectivity? | | Why is "it" always _now?_ | | "You" and "now" are synonyms, why? | | - - - - | | WTF is up w/ the structure and dynamics of the Solar System? ( | 97.77deg axial tilt!? Go home Uranus you're drunk!) | | - - - - | | QM and Relativity, chocolate and peanut butter? | | Or the Universe is messing with us and actually _is_ describable | by multiple _irreconcilable_ models? | earenndil wrote: | > WTF is gravity? | | That's metaphysics, not science. | | > Do we orbit the Sun or the image of the Sun? In other words, | what's the speed of gravity? | | The image. Speed of gravity is the same as the speed of light. | AmericanChopper wrote: | > It is nevertheless true that if we arrived on the scene too | late for certain problems, we were also born too early to help | solve others. | | I think this could be used to describe almost any point in | history though. The greatest discoveries in science have always | required massive breakthroughs in thinking, that typically defy | conventional intuition. Perhaps there are some rare moments in | time following a major discovery where the fruitful areas of | inquiry seem obvious. But "I don't even know where to start | looking for the next major scientific discovery" or "this | hypothesis might be wrong and we could potentially spend the rest | of time investigating it" seems to be the default state of trying | to make major breakthroughs in science. | lordnacho wrote: | Well written. One thing that I keep thinking is that even if you | know the law, there's still a lot of applications where its use | is unobvious. | | For instance, you might be satisfied you know how a pendulum | works. Now put another pendulum on it. | | Or you think you understand gravity, because you got taught the | inverse square law. And you then get Kepler's laws. But then with | three bodies, things get really hairy. | | Or you understand statics and materials. But how do we shove that | into finite elements? Not an obvious thing, and required some | real investigation. | | There's also completely new ways of seeing things. Who would come | up with information theory? Doesn't seem like something that | would obviously be found, despite not really requiring any | physical experiment. | | And then there's things like algorithm research that turn out to | be really big once there's a bit of computational power on the | horizon. (Probably people think about the algo before they can | try it on a machine.) | commandlinefan wrote: | Well I definitely didn't expect to see this at the end: | | _Santiago Ramon y Cajal (1852 - 1934)_ | | But I believe he's probably still right in 2020. | mtnGoat wrote: | Why come up with new ideas and solve hard problems when you can | just be the User for X and become a unicorn based no nothing but | smoke, mirrors and clever accounting like WeWork? | dang wrote: | " _Eschew flamebait. Don 't introduce flamewar topics unless | you have something genuinely new to say. Avoid unrelated | controversies and generic tangents._" | | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html | mtnGoat wrote: | strange how this is selectively enforced around here. :x | dang wrote: | It always feels that the mods are against you. The other | side feels the same way. | | https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=false&q | u... | sadmann1 wrote: | I do wonder if every generation picks slightly higher hanging | fruits in science will there come a time when a single human | lifetime won't be enough to digest even the most specialised | domain of science in order to build upon it | 6gvONxR4sf7o wrote: | Right now, science has an emphasis on causal discovery. Showing | that X is a mechanism by which Y happens. That includes finding | the different X's for a Y and finding evidence for the | relationship between a given X and Y. Once you know _how_ a | thing works, that doesn 't necessarily make it easy to work | with it. For example in quantum mechanics, a common phrase is | "shut up and calculate" because the mental models are all | messy. | | But as we all know (especially those of us who have refactored | many systems), every once in a while you find a new way of | looking at a thing that makes it all much simpler. A geometric | way to look at an algebraic thing, or vice versa. Or a unifying | structure to combine disparate pieces. Or just a "wow that was | dumb" undoing of unnecessary complexity. It makes further | progress easier. | | I could imagine that, as the boundaries of science get more | complex, there will be more scientists working on making the | rest of it less complex. Meanwhile, maybe we get smarter and | live longer. The calculations involved with many areas of | modern science have already outpaced what we can do by hand, | but we invented computers, so I can take the mean of a zillion | numbers without much effort and spend my time elsewhere. | | And in med school, apparently they say "half of what we teach | you will be false, but we don't know which half." As science | progresses, you don't just add, you prune too. | n4r9 wrote: | Nicely put. In fact a lot of the field of quantum foundations | (and interpretations) could be seen as an attempt to work | towards this sort of perspective/paradigm shift. | uoaei wrote: | Scientific "unified" models hide this complexity by abstracting | it away so we can keep chipping away at the next level. We can | navigate this hierarchy, up or down, to understand respectively | large- and small-scale behavior, and the hierarchical model | makes it so humans can still comprehend at a given level of | abstraction. | [deleted] | Enginerrrd wrote: | Sure, but this doesn't address the possibility that there may | well be problems of sufficient complexity that this model | doesn't work. | stabbles wrote: | That's an interesting question. In Kuhn's view on science the | tree would be replaced after a paradigm shift, meaning there is | enough low-hanging fruit in a period of normal science (between | two major breakthroughs). I wonder if Kuhn had any claims about | whether paradigm shifts would happen less often in time. | klyrs wrote: | In my exposure to number theory, this certainly seemed to be | approaching. Grad students barely have a grasp on the basic | definitions; postdocs seemed shaky but familiar; professors | "get it" but don't claim to understand. And sure, we've got | Terry Tao making everything look easy, but that isn't a | comfort. | clSTophEjUdRanu wrote: | Doubtful. Just look at computer science. How many people | actually grasp what the computer is doing at the lowest level? | Relatively few compared to the number of developers there are. | | Abstractions are the key. | dumbfounder wrote: | We are still in an explosive growth mode, and probably will be | for a very long time (>100 years is my guess). But yes, it will | be asymptotic at some point, unless you think the amount of | science to grasp is infinite. | hinkley wrote: | A sometimes-spoken hope is that the universe is built on | relatively simple rules with complex behaviors. If fields grow | too complex, they hope to find some underlying principle that | explains (away) that complexity. | | We started out that way, I dunno if we'll end that way. | | And even if it does eventually come down to 30 rules that | explain everything? How many rules does Chess have? Way more | than Go, and both can take decades to really understand. | SonOfLilit wrote: | This is a wonderful short story related to this question: | https://slatestarcodex.com/2017/11/09/ars-longa-vita-brevis/ | commandlinefan wrote: | https://slatestarcodex.com/2017/11/09/ars-longa-vita-brevis/ | tom-thistime wrote: | The author of this essay died in 1934. | n4r9 wrote: | I was going to post a criticism along the lines that all the | historical examples given by the author were from the 19th | Century until I saw you point this out! | | The date definitely changes my perspective but I still think | the essay is a little too waffley - it doesn't to give any | actual examples or indications or where the author thinks | important scientific problems lie. In fact it kind of begs the | question. In response to a concern over whether there are | important scientific problems left to solve, it simply lists | some historical important scientific breakthroughs. | | I suppose the point is that breakthroughs are unexpected... | Animats wrote: | Right. _" Who, a few short years ago, would have suspected that | light and heat still held scientific secrets in reserve? | Nevertheless, we now have argon in the atmosphere, the x-rays | of Roentgen, and the radium of the Curies, all of which | illustrate the inadequacy of our former methods, and the | prematurity of our former syntheses."_ That had to be from the | early 20th century. | | The problems today are either in areas where complexity is the | limiting factor, like biology, or beyond current experimental | reach, like string theory and dark matter. The complexity | problem can probably be overcome with computer assistance. | Experimental reach is harder. | rygh wrote: | May be it's yet to be discovered ___________________________________________________________________ (page generated 2020-01-08 23:00 UTC)