[HN Gopher] Washington pressures TSMC to make chips in US
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       Washington pressures TSMC to make chips in US
        
       Author : baybal2
       Score  : 89 points
       Date   : 2020-01-16 20:30 UTC (2 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (asia.nikkei.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (asia.nikkei.com)
        
       | awinter-py wrote:
       | security risks aside, andy grove of intel publicly regretted
       | offshoring semiconductor manufacturing because of his suspicions
       | about generational shifts in innovation and expertise
       | 
       | I've tried to read econ papers on colocation of innovation and
       | manufacturing -- they're mostly long-winded and unconvincing but
       | the concept is compelling
        
         | bschne wrote:
         | > I've tried to read econ papers on colocation of innovation
         | and manufacturing -- they're mostly long-winded and
         | unconvincing but the concept is compelling
         | 
         | Sounds interesting, do you have some references?
        
           | awinter-py wrote:
           | I think Ketokivi is the paper I read (no idea what website
           | this is hosted on):
           | 
           | https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/63693/1/519737458.pd.
           | ..
           | 
           | aside from the basic claim that large factories are doing
           | some amount of R&D on-site, this read like nonsense to me.
           | Could be my lack of depth in industrial organization /
           | economics.
           | 
           | maybe also search 'industrial clustering' or 'innovation
           | clusters'
        
         | jmole wrote:
         | intel is one of the few companies with leading-edge fabs in the
         | US.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Intel_manufacturing_si...
        
           | Turing_Machine wrote:
           | Doesn't Samsung have some fabs in Texas?
        
             | bradstewart wrote:
             | Samsung does have a fab in Austin (maybe elsewhere), but
             | it's mostly flash in the 50-180nm range, not a leading edge
             | process AFAIK.
        
         | lonelappde wrote:
         | > regretted
         | 
         | But not enough to lift a finger about it
         | 
         | > > Andrew "Andy" Grove was a Hungarian-American businessman,
         | engineer, and author who had a net worth of $500 million
         | dollars.
        
         | Cedricgc wrote:
         | Dan Wang explores this idea in 'How Technology Grows' [0]. To
         | summarize, he asserts that the main downside of offshoring is
         | the loss of process knowledge (the tacit knowledge that is
         | learned by doing and transmitted through culture).
         | 
         | [0] https://danwang.co/how-technology-grows/
        
       | wrkronmiller wrote:
       | Couldn't this have the opposite effect from what is intended? If
       | all the US military TSMC chips come from a separate facility from
       | those for Huawei, etc... then there's only one, big, target with
       | minimal collateral damage.
        
       | Nokinside wrote:
       | I think there is a geopolitical reason why most TSMC's 300mm
       | GIGAFAB's and advanced backend fab are located in Taiwan (1 fab
       | in China). https://www.tsmc.com/english/contact_us.htm#TSMC_fabs
       | 
       | Concentrating geopolitical risk of TSMC operations makes Taiwan
       | more important to the rest of the world. The US would naturally
       | want to reduce this risk. In Taiwan-China conflict world chip
       | production would take a huge hit or be in the danger of falling
       | under Chinese rule.
       | 
       | If TSMC's leadership is patriotic, they should refuse this
       | pressure as much as they can and ask more weapons for Taiwan
       | instead.
        
         | justicezyx wrote:
         | A chicken asking for sharper beak is not going to survive 2
         | foxes...
        
         | joe_the_user wrote:
         | Arguably, the situation is something of an incentive for peace
         | since it makes the cost of war huge for all concerned.
        
           | SiempreViernes wrote:
           | The cost of war is always huge for all concerned, and is very
           | rarely the outcome of any sort of cost-benefit analysis. Most
           | wars between nations are fought for something like honour:
           | https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2013/07/16/most-wars-
           | are-...
        
             | lonelappde wrote:
             | Cost is huge for the lower classes and maybe half the upper
             | classes. They are sold on honor, but they fought for the
             | profit of the ruling class, via conquest or be diverting
             | fund to the military industrial complex.
        
         | corporate_shi11 wrote:
         | What will probably happen is weapons for Taiwan in exchange for
         | TSMC moving some production to the US.
        
         | sct202 wrote:
         | The Taiwanese government owns 6% of TSMC, and all the
         | leadership is based in Taiwan so I would imagine they'd prefer
         | to not endanger their family and friends.
        
       | phkahler wrote:
       | I'm curious about the politics here. I get making the chips in
       | the US, but if security is the concern they should no be made by
       | a company based in Taiwan regardless of where the fab is.
        
         | kevingadd wrote:
         | Why is Taiwan specifically a threat? They're a long-term ally
         | and their voters recently gave a new mandate to anti-China
         | leaders in an election. If the US is worried about threats from
         | Chinese electronics companies like Huawei it doesn't make any
         | sense to alienate Taiwan.
        
           | nwallin wrote:
           | Taiwan isn't the threat. China annexing (or otherwise
           | disrupting) Taiwan is.
        
           | Apocryphon wrote:
           | Chinese espionage in Taiwan, perhaps.
        
         | amerine wrote:
         | Why?
        
           | Roboprog wrote:
           | So that there is a "chain of custody " from plan to
           | production completely within the US. Presumably the people
           | working in such would be reachable by US law, if not closely
           | aligned with their own country's interests.
        
       | bgorman wrote:
       | TSMC already makes chips in the US through Wafertech in
       | Washington (state)
        
         | Nokinside wrote:
         | Wafertech has 0.16-micron and above processes.
         | 
         | The US wants TSMC's latest GIGAFAB's.
        
         | metaphor wrote:
         | From the article:
         | 
         | > _The U.S. accounts for 60% of TSMC 's sales, but the company
         | operates only its subsidiary WaferTech there, producing chips
         | for mature technologies._
         | 
         | In this case[1], "mature technologies" appears to mean downto
         | 160nm tech node...essentially irrelevant with respect to FPGAs.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.wafertech.com/en/foundry/technology.html
        
         | wyxuan wrote:
         | the article mentioned that, but you aren't having stuff like n7
         | or n10 nodes being done in US, which is what Washington
         | presumably wants
        
       | ausjke wrote:
       | TSMC is beating Intel for making chips.
       | 
       | Still Intel is the last hope for US to secure IC manufacturing
       | should a war, or a huge earthquake brought down Taiwan someday.
       | 
       | I suddenly think it's time to buy INTC stocks.
        
       | zweep wrote:
       | What Washington should be doing is investing in creating a US-
       | based top-notch semiconductor foundry business. And that's
       | something that takes 20+ years.
        
         | andromeduck wrote:
         | Or Intel can just spin off their foundary business.
        
           | foota wrote:
           | He said top notch though :-)
        
         | agoodthrowaway wrote:
         | Absolutely. NSA has its own fab to guarantee security and
         | ensure secrecy. No reason why we can't have a corporation that
         | pushes semiconductor tech forward.
        
           | jagger27 wrote:
           | So did NSA buy last gen tech from Intel/GlobalFoundries and
           | set it up somewhere secret or did they develop it in-house?
        
         | manicdee wrote:
         | Are Apple and Tesla building their own foundries or
         | outsourcing?
        
           | shakna wrote:
           | I believe Apple use TSMC, whilst Tesla use Samsung for their
           | customs. So, outsourcing. I haven't heard of either going
           | into the silicon business recently.
        
           | wmf wrote:
           | They use TSMC.
        
         | creddit wrote:
         | There's Intel today but, also, presumably this could be done
         | with GloFo? They were in the midst of research into 7nm
         | processes but stopped due to competition. Feels like investment
         | there could work faster than 20+ yrs.
        
           | ghaff wrote:
           | And ON Semiconductor bought Global Foundries' Fab 10
           | (formerly IBM) in East Fishkill.
           | 
           | Sematech was the last US government effort to improve US
           | competitiveness in semiconductors. It's still around but
           | isn't a US government initiative any longer.
        
           | agoodthrowaway wrote:
           | Intel does not support a fabless semiconductor business
           | model. Lots of other chips are necessary besides CPUs.
        
             | davidf18 wrote:
             | Perhaps Intel could spin off a separate company that has a
             | fabless business model.
        
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       (page generated 2020-01-16 23:00 UTC)