[HN Gopher] Dogs poop in alignment with Earth's magnetic field, ...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Dogs poop in alignment with Earth's magnetic field, study finds
       (2014)
        
       Author : pionerkotik
       Score  : 277 points
       Date   : 2020-02-08 16:18 UTC (6 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.pbs.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.pbs.org)
        
       | k__ wrote:
       | What are the applications if we would breed dogs based on that
       | "skill"?
        
         | Waterluvian wrote:
         | We could breed homing dogs that can find their way home by
         | following the treasure trail they left behind.
        
           | quickthrower2 wrote:
           | Well they have a good sense of smell already so the magnetic
           | aspect probably wouldn't add much.
        
         | quickthrower2 wrote:
         | Instead of packing a heavy compass when you go hiking, just
         | bring a dog!
        
       | shd4 wrote:
       | God damnit, that made me laugh. Beautiful creatures.
        
       | polynomial wrote:
       | Surprised to see this on pbs (then again, not) but a great
       | example of anti-science being buoyed by a sea of epistemic
       | uncertainty. Hopefully we'll being hearing more about this study
       | come September at the Ig-Nobel awards, in the category of best
       | p-hacking.
        
         | gnicholas wrote:
         | *pee-hacking
        
       | jwmerrill wrote:
       | This study hinges on binning by variability of the magnetic
       | field. It's important to realize how small these variations are.
       | The authors measure variation in the field direction in
       | "percent", but the units are arch minutes (1/60 of a degree in
       | compass heading) per minute of time [0]. Calling this a
       | percentage is kind of an odd pun on two meanings of the word
       | "minute".
       | 
       | According to the authors' own interpretation, variation of 2 arch
       | minutes of heading per minute of time is enough to destroy the
       | claimed effect. In other words, they're talking about a 0.03
       | degree change in direction in the amount of time it takes a dog
       | to poop.
       | 
       | Perhaps you believe dogs are sensitive to magnetic fields, but
       | can you really believe that they are also sensitive to such tiny
       | relative variations in magnetic fields? Much more sensitive than
       | a handheld compass?
       | 
       | I also agree with the general criticisms about p-hacking, but I
       | think it's worth having some sense of the actual size of the
       | thing the authors are talking about, and how implausible it all
       | is, apart from any details of the statistics.
       | 
       | [0] See figure 4 in
       | https://frontiersinzoology.biomedcentral.com/track/pdf/10.11...
        
       | geuis wrote:
       | I'm a real skeptic on this. I've had dogs my whole life and they
       | just shit any which way they want.
       | 
       | There have been no follow up studies that I can find to replicate
       | this "experiment".
       | 
       | Searching around just finds lots of duplicate stories in the old
       | echo chamber based on the original paper.
        
         | eganist wrote:
         | https://frontiersinzoology.biomedcentral.com/track/pdf/10.11...
         | 
         | The dataset seems to be robust. Would be even more interesting
         | if reproduced, but I'd be surprised if someone faked nearly
         | 7500 datapoints for the sake of giving dogs a magnetic sense.
        
         | codazoda wrote:
         | Same. Reminds me of the study on stork vs human baby births.
         | That was proven wrong shortly thereafter.
        
         | huffmsa wrote:
         | Do they though? Take a compass out with you next time.
         | 
         | Mine almost always face mostly north or mostly south, now that
         | I'm thinking about it.
         | 
         | And I'm pretty sure the dogs out my apartment window face
         | mostly N/S. Will observe. There's a busy road right there so
         | they might face it some
        
         | Ididntdothis wrote:
         | I think it depends on the dog. Mine circles several times until
         | she has found the perfect spot. Some fosters we had would just
         | throw down wherever. I'll definitely watch the direction next
         | time.
        
           | pbhjpbhj wrote:
           | When I saw this, my first thought was that circling could
           | allow magnetic alignment.
        
             | mthoms wrote:
             | They do the same before lying down. It's never been
             | understood exactly why that is.
        
               | dx87 wrote:
               | The reason I've read is that it's a leftover from when
               | they lived in the wild, and it would help make sure they
               | don't lay down on top of something dangerous, like a
               | snake or ant colony. It would also make since to do it
               | before pooping since they're going to be in a vulnerable
               | position.
        
       | jackcosgrove wrote:
       | Dogs circling to poop, puts a new spin on the idea of the
       | lodestone.
        
       | alexilliamson wrote:
       | I just want to say that these are some of the most fun comments
       | I've seen in a while on an HN thread. Thanks everyone and make
       | sure your toilets are aligned!
        
       | jimnotgym wrote:
       | I think the authors need a reminder that coprology does not imply
       | causation.
        
       | remcob wrote:
       | You don't need any magnetic field to distinguish the north-south
       | direction. It is simply the direction shadows are cast when the
       | sun is at its brightest. Consequently, plants will have adjusted
       | to it, providing many (subconscious) clues. The sun makes things
       | strongly non-isotropic, and these clues are everywhere; in the
       | light, in the plants, in the wind, in sound, in urban planning,
       | etc.
       | 
       | I expect most of the anecdotal 'evidence' to be explained by
       | this. What would compel me is if randomly changing the magnetic
       | field correlates with the observations, which is what this study
       | seems to have done.
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | MrEldritch wrote:
       | hm. upon reading the paper, this is sounding _very_ suspicious.
       | 
       | > The study was truly blind. Although the observers were
       | acquainted with our previous studies on magnetic alignment in
       | animals and could have consciously or unconsciously biased the
       | results, no one, not even the coordinators of the study,
       | hypothesized that expression of alignment could have been
       | affected by the geomagnetic situation, and particularly by such
       | subtle changes of the magnetic declination. The idea leading to
       | the discovery of the correlation emerged after sampling was
       | closed and the first statistical analyses (with rather negative
       | results, cf.Figure 1) had been performed.
       | 
       | Like, am I reading this wrong, or are they straight-up saying "we
       | couldn't achieve statistical significance on our original
       | hypothesis, so we just went fishing for correlations until one of
       | them came up significant, and it turned out to be magnetic
       | declination"?
        
         | rossdavidh wrote:
         | Well, it would be p-hacking if you tried 1,032 different
         | hypotheses until you got one that passed your threshold.
         | There's quite a lot of scientific history (e.g. Kepler's
         | discovery that planets went in elliptical orbits) that would
         | have to be thrown out if you decided you could never use data
         | for anything other than the original hypothesis. Kepler didn't
         | even collect the data, much less collect it with the idea that
         | the planetary orbits were elliptical.
         | 
         | Having said that, the results smells (pun intended) bad, just
         | because I cannot think of any plausible reason for a non-
         | migrating animal to align with the magnetic field, when
         | defecating or at any other time.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | monocasa wrote:
           | I mean, humans can detect magnetic fields as well. There's
           | even languages without relative egocentric positions like
           | left/right, only north south east west. Given all that, I
           | don't think it's out there that dogs sense it and like being
           | aligned when they're trying to poop.
           | 
           | https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2019/03/humans-other-
           | animals...
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Guugu_Yimithirr_language
        
             | azernik wrote:
             | The predominance of geographic directions in Guugu
             | Yimithirr has nothing to do with magnetic sensing; humans
             | know what north and south are from sun positions and
             | memory.
        
           | MrEldritch wrote:
           | This is true, and a valid point. The way they phrased it does
           | make me feel more than a little suspicious, nonetheless.
           | 
           | (Besides, there's some other oddity there, like that
           | apparently the alignment only matters when the magnetic field
           | is _calm_ )
        
             | austinjp wrote:
             | You're right to still feel suspicious. Who's to say they
             | didn't try 1,000 different post-hoc ideas? They declare
             | only one, the may have been others. I'd be looking for
             | preceding research and any published protocols, if I wasn't
             | on mobile and didn't think it would be fruitless.
        
             | petschge wrote:
             | When the magnetic field is non-calm that is probably due to
             | a space weather event that is geo-effective and inducing
             | large currents in the ground. The local magnetic field an
             | then be significantly distorted depending on local
             | conductivity. So to me that is not an oddity.
        
           | jb775 wrote:
           | > any plausible reason for a non-migrating animal to align
           | with the magnetic field, when defecating or at any other
           | time.
           | 
           | I got my dog a few years back when she was just a pup. Over
           | the years, she's done things that she was never taught how to
           | do (swim, hunt, bury her food), she just new how to do them
           | instinctually. I believe something like this falls under that
           | category.
           | 
           | And for the record, she took a crap this morning and was
           | pointing directly north/south.
        
           | Xylakant wrote:
           | > any plausible reason for a non-migrating animal to align
           | with the magnetic field, when defecating or at any other
           | time.
           | 
           | Snow foxes seem to hunt better when oriented in direction of
           | the magnetic north.
           | 
           | https://m.phys.org/news/2011-01-predation-foxes-aided-
           | earth-... https://youtu.be/D2SoGHFM18I
        
         | lonelappde wrote:
         | Yes, that's a straight up admission of p-hacking.
         | 
         | Also, the weasel word "truly" signifies deceit.
        
           | eganist wrote:
           | I don't think that's necessarily a bad thing, though my
           | opinion might've been influenced somewhat by 538.
           | 
           | https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/science-isnt-broken/
        
         | ncmncm wrote:
         | Why not? Science that insists on hypotheses written down
         | beforehand is cargo-cult science. Observation is the first and
         | most productive science. Double-blind experiments are to cement
         | gains.
        
           | stygiansonic wrote:
           | You seem to be under the impression that a study like this
           | gives a hard "yes/no" answer as to whether some hypothesis is
           | true. That is not the case, nor is it ever the case with most
           | studies like these. Instead, you need to do some sort of
           | _statistical hypothesis test_.
           | 
           | As other comments have pointed out, once you start testing
           | multiple hypothesis on the same dataset, you cannot apply the
           | same significance threshold that you would if you had just
           | begun with a single hypothesis before observing the data.
           | Instead, you need to apply some sort of correction that takes
           | into account the number of hypothesis being tested:
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Family-
           | wise_error_rate#Control...
        
           | lonelappde wrote:
           | You are confusing hypothesis generation with hypothesis
           | testing. Both are science, but only one is a reliable way to
           | determine truth.
        
             | throwawayhhakdl wrote:
             | Probable claims. Not truth.
        
           | BenoitEssiambre wrote:
           | Not if you want to claim statistical significance. The math
           | behind this method is based on defining the hypothesis before
           | seeing the data (and even then it's usually very weak
           | evidence of a tiny signal within the noise).
        
           | MrEldritch wrote:
           | basically, because once you start trying multiple hypotheses
           | on the same dataset, the math used to determine "is this
           | conclusion real, or am I just fooling myself" begins to break
           | down.
           | 
           | The statistical significance threshold usually used is
           | p<0.05, meaning that something is (generally, this is
           | beginning to change since the replication crisis) considered
           | to be a real discovery if it has less than a 1/20 chance of
           | being a false positive under the chosen model.
           | 
           | As soon as you start trying _multiple_ hypotheses, then that
           | 1 /20 chance of being a false positive begins to become
           | meaningless. If you can just keep rolling d20s until one of
           | them comes up with a critical hit, then you can easily
           | generate false positives that still look very robust.
           | 
           | This is exactly the sort of bad science - p-hacking, fishing
           | expeditions, and the garden of forking paths - that led to
           | the replication crisis. (And that makes sense, as this paper
           | is from 2013, and predates the widespread discovery of the
           | crisis)
        
             | ncmncm wrote:
             | p<0.05 is also cargo-cult science, and is much more
             | responsible for the replication crisis -- along with biased
             | sampling (pop. 18-22 yo US psych students).
             | 
             | It is also why we see repeated, spurious insistence that
             | anti-depressants don't do anything.
             | 
             | Experiment design is a subtle skill.
        
             | dodobirdlord wrote:
             | The math continues to work out as long as you use the right
             | approach. You have to collect twice as much data, and then
             | set half of it aside at random without examining it. Then
             | you can do whatever perverse p-hacking multi-modeling
             | curve-fitting whatever to the half you kept until you reach
             | a hypothesis, then check it against the half you set aside
             | to recover the statistical significance you lost by using
             | techniques that may have overfit the first half.
             | Unsurprisingly, the math works out because this approach is
             | isomorphic to collecting the first half, studying it to
             | form a hypothesis, then conducting a proper pre-
             | hypothesized experiment to collect the second half.
             | Validation via holdout sets is the same approach used in
             | machine learning and elsewhere to prevent models from
             | overfitting data.
        
               | MrEldritch wrote:
               | This is true! I was trying to simplify things a bit for a
               | basic explanation, but I fear I oversimplified. I just
               | meant that the _generally used_ math breaks down; if you
               | 're aware of the problem, you can correct for it, but
               | very often people don't.
        
             | ORioN63 wrote:
             | Thanks! For someone that didn't understand why this was
             | considered p-hacking, that made a whole lot of sense.
        
           | yodon wrote:
           | No. If you collect data and then hunt for "significant"
           | results in it you are guaranteed to find spurious results.
           | This is one of the most basic truths of statistics.
        
           | shanemhansen wrote:
           | xkcd explains it better than I can. Basically if you pick p
           | values that give 95% certainty 20 times you're probably going
           | to "discover" at least one falsehood.
           | 
           | https://xkcd.com/882/
        
         | marcosdumay wrote:
         | P-hacking only apply to proofs. This study does two things, it
         | falsifies a previous hypothesis fair and square, with no
         | p-hacking, and it postulates another hypothesis, an activity
         | where the concept of p-hacking does not even apply.
         | 
         | The only wrong party here is the one that reported the study
         | found something.
        
         | Reason077 wrote:
         | > _" The study was truly blind."_
         | 
         | I'd argue the study would only be truly blind if the dogs were
         | blind. If blind dogs also oriented themselves north-south, then
         | that would prove that they weren't using visual cues for
         | alignment, such as the position of the sun.
        
           | philosopher1234 wrote:
           | You can feel the heat of the sun
        
       | metabagel wrote:
       | Instant Ig Nobel finalist.
       | 
       | https://www.improbable.com/ig-about/
        
       | ebg13 wrote:
       | 2013/2014
        
       | archsurface wrote:
       | I don't have dogs, but I see people walking their dogs, and they
       | don't give a damn which way they're facing. Tree, bush, wall,
       | open pavement - all fine. They walk, they break, they walk.
        
       | tomas_aspre wrote:
       | Hope this gains traction - imagine the societal consequences of
       | optimizing human magnetic alignment in city planning and
       | building/room layout.
       | 
       | Also interesting and relevant:
       | 
       | Magnetic alignment contributes to difficulty falling asleep
       | (north-south alignment is best)
       | [https://www.researchgate.net/publication/280093617_The_Relat...]
       | 
       | Grazing cattle align on north-south axis
       | [https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23700176]
        
         | yoavm wrote:
         | Is it just me or is it really weird to start a scientific paper
         | with "sleep has been one of God's most precious blessings since
         | human's existence and it is vital for both body and soul"?
        
           | schoen wrote:
           | It reminds me of a line in "The Rime of the Ancient Mariner":
           | 
           | https://www.litscape.com/author/Samuel_Taylor_Coleridge/The_.
           | ..
        
         | trehalose wrote:
         | I'm extremely skeptical of the study you linked about magnetic
         | alignment and sleep latency.
         | 
         | Just looking at table 6 (the only table related to the only
         | association stated significant), the stats for South-North
         | sleepers look noticeably better than the stats for North-South
         | sleepers. I'm no statistician, but just look at it. The South-
         | North sleepers sample, versus the North-South (supposedly best)
         | sleepers, has proportionately three times more people
         | experiencing zero days weekly of difficulty getting to sleep,
         | two-thirds as many people having even one day of difficulty,
         | two-thirds as many people having two days of difficulty... and
         | 50% more people having three days of difficulty, but even then,
         | we're talking only four people each among a group of 47 vs a
         | group of 35. Again, I'm no statistician, but does that last and
         | smallest column overshadow the three much bigger columns with
         | the opposite trend, to the point of being a 1 in 1000 result
         | assuming the null hypothesis?
         | 
         | Furthermore, the sleep measures were self-reported, through the
         | Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Inventory (PSQI), which I quote:
         | 
         | >In Iran, Tehran psychiatry institute assessed the validity and
         | reliability of the Farsi version of this questionnaire with
         | 89.6% for sensitivity and 86.5% for specificity.
         | 
         | Did the math behind this eye-catching <0.001 p-value take into
         | account that the questionnaire used was measured to have a
         | 10.4% false negative rate and a 13.5% false positive rate? I
         | find it hard to believe. But I'd love to see a statistician who
         | actually knows how to interpret these numbers tell me that I'm
         | wrong.
        
       | c3534l wrote:
       | Turn it into an experiment and I'll believe it. See if you can
       | control where dogs poop with an elecromagnet.
        
       | salawat wrote:
       | I'm kind of skeptical on this one.
       | 
       | I find that there are far more factors that tend to take priority
       | in the direction our dog relieves herself. Oncoming/prevailing
       | wind, rain, whether she was spooked in a particular direction or
       | not, amount of exertion (was she running or walking before the
       | urge hit), ambient noise, presence of echo, presence of other
       | animals and whether or not she feels safe around them.
       | 
       | I mean, it's a nice sample size, and I suppose the data is fun,
       | but a follow up should probably be done taking into account
       | magnetic north is currently hauling ass to the geospatial west
       | and see if dog alignment changes with that.
       | 
       | Furthermore, where are the instances of dogs forming defecation
       | circles around MRI's?
       | 
       | No defecate based outlines of magnetic field lines, no dice in my
       | humble opinion. Yes. I know, I'm a stick in the mud; but if
       | you're going to claim something like this, that's actually a
       | fairly easy way to confirm it. Just head to a radiology clinic
       | with your dog and have them do their business. You should see
       | wildly divergent behavior over time, because they aim to keep
       | those machines operating regularly, which should definitely be
       | able to overwhelm the Earth's ambient magnetic field in close
       | proximity.
        
       | lonelappde wrote:
       | Considering all the cases that were excluded, and the imprecision
       | inherent in measuring poop direction, N is pretty low here.
        
       | j-james wrote:
       | Related: in 2008 the German University of Duisburg-Essen did a
       | study on cattle based off of Google Earth images, with similar
       | results.
       | 
       | The researchers also did field studies of deer in the Czech
       | Republic. They found that the vast majority (well over 2/3)
       | aligned themselves along a north/south or south/north meridian
       | [1].
       | 
       | edit: it seems tomas_aspre found the actual publication [2].
       | 
       | [1] http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/7575459.stm
       | 
       | [2] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23700176
        
       | cumunism wrote:
       | my dog cares that his back isn't facing the open, that is about
       | it. lol "study"
        
       | lonelappde wrote:
       | You could answer this research question much more accurately by
       | building an app and collecting data from users mobile devices.
        
       | xenospn wrote:
       | Anecdotally, I actually tested this one time. I pulled out my
       | phone and launched the compass app. My dog was PERFECTLY aligned
       | and was facing north while pooping. Never tested it again, tho.
       | But if it was a fluke, it was a very impressive one.
        
       | cgriswald wrote:
       | Did they have a control group pooping inside a Faraday cage?
        
         | unsrsly wrote:
         | Fun fact: Faraday cages don't block low frequency magnetic
         | fields. But mu metal and active magnetic shielding can :)
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | blazespin wrote:
       | To be fair, this is pretty common in animals.
       | https://www.momtastic.com/webecoist/2008/09/18/animal-magnet...
       | 
       | It's quite possible.
        
       | nate_meurer wrote:
       | I have four dogs, and I watch them poop every day. For some
       | reason they have to slowly turn lots of circles before they're
       | satisfied they have the best pooping position, and if the sun is
       | out, they almost always settle on a position where they're not
       | facing directly into the sun.
       | 
       | Makes sense from a practical viewpoint. You're more vulnerable to
       | attack when you're pooping out in the open, and even moreso if
       | the sun is right in your eyes.
       | 
       | To the extent that more pooping is done near the middle of the
       | day, north-south pooping orientation would naturally dominate. No
       | need for a sixth "compass" sense.
        
         | amelius wrote:
         | > and if the sun is out, they almost always settle on a
         | position where they're not facing directly into the sun.
         | 
         | The (linked) article says:
         | 
         | > (...) This calls for necessity to test whether the dog
         | alignment is not actually influenced primarily by time of the
         | day and most probably by position of the sun on the sky. We
         | can, however, exclude this alternative. (...)
        
         | wyldfire wrote:
         | > north-south pooping orientation would naturally dominate. No
         | need for a sixth "compass" sense.
         | 
         | What if it's both? Compass sense helps align them north/south
         | for better vantage even when the clouds obscure the sun at the
         | start of defecation/urination.
         | 
         | I skimmed the study and did not see anything regarding having
         | controlled for day/night/cloud cover.
        
           | ehsankia wrote:
           | That's a hypothesis that can be checked. Go over the data and
           | splice it by time of day, or rather position of the sun given
           | the location/time/day of year. Then you should see a much
           | higher correlation when the suns out than when pooping at
           | night.
        
         | blazespin wrote:
         | from the paper --
         | https://frontiersinzoology.biomedcentral.com/track/pdf/10.11...
         | 
         | Typically, the daily declination comprises westwardshifts in
         | the morning and eastward-shifts in the afternoon, while the
         | magnetic field is rather stable at night [21,22]. This calls
         | for necessity to test whether the dog alignment is not actually
         | influenced primarily by time of the day and most probably by
         | position of the sun on the sky. We can, however, exclude this
         | alternative. First, days when the magnetic field parameters
         | change erratically and unpredictably (i.e., magnetic storms)
         | are quite frequent. These changes have been well studied by
         | others and are described in the literature (cf. [21,22] for
         | reviews). Second, the data collection was not biased to either
         | morning or afternoon (Table 8). Third, periods of sampling
         | under conditions of quiet magnetic field were rather evenly
         | distributed in the course of the day. Fourth, and most
         | importantly, alignment during excreting was apparent under
         | conditions of quiet magnet field, irrespective of the time of
         | day or month. Time of day per se was not a reliable predictor
         | of expression of alignment (Figure 2, Tables 3, 9). Fifth,
         | generally, there are on average 1,450 sunshine hours per year
         | at maximum in the Czech Republic and in Germany, on localities
         | where measurements were done. Even if we would assume that
         | these sunshine hours were evenly distributed over the daylight
         | period and the year (as our observations were), there would
         | only be a probability of 33% that the observation was made when
         | the sun was visible. Hence, with high probability (67%) most
         | walks during the daylight period were made when it was cloudy.
         | 
         | Last but not least, the argument that the dogs might orient
         | with regard to sun position so that they turn with their back
         | to the sun in order to avoid dazzling by sunshine during such a
         | sensitive and vulnerable act as excretion can be questioned.
         | This argument is not plausible for urine marking, which is a
         | brief act. We doubt that a dog that cares of not being attacked
         | would always make sure to be turned away from the sun. The dog
         | will likely look in that direction from where danger can most
         | probably be expected - and this is for sure not always the
         | direction away from the sun. In contrast to a human, the dog is
         | relying also on its nose and its ears (in some breeds even more
         | than on its eyes) when monitoring its surroundings - so we may
         | expect that the dog heads with its nose and pinnae against the
         | wind or in the direction of interest. Directing the pinnae and
         | the nose may take priority over eyes. One can also often
         | observe that dogs (especially during defecation) align in a
         | certain direction, which is actually a different one from the
         | direction of interest and they turn their head then in that
         | other direction. Also we have to take into account that dogs
         | are smaller than humans, they look at a different angle over
         | the horizon and even in situations when we are dazzled, they
         | might be not. Quite important: note also that the preference is
         | axial - there are many cases when the dog actually looks
         | southwards. There is no evidence for shift of the alignment
         | axis during the day.
        
           | jshevek wrote:
           | That's an awful lot of unsubstantiated speculation. This has
           | the vibe of a writer that has a foregone conclusion which
           | they seek to reach.
        
           | modzu wrote:
           | that is.. a stretch. so they didnt actually look at sunlight
           | hours they simply assumed the probability from the
           | distribution of the data?? both hypotheses are plausible
           | (sunlight vs magnetic fields) but this reads like data
           | fitting rather than treating each possibility equally blind.
           | where was it published?
        
           | nate_meurer wrote:
           | Yes, I read the whole thing when it came out years ago. I
           | remain thoroughly unconvinced. Back when this study came out,
           | pop-sci magazines and websites reported it uncritically. But
           | it was also a much less cynical time, before the
           | reproducibility crisis really took hold.
           | 
           | Aside from the blatant and unapologetic p-hacking, there are
           | some other flaws of data gathering and analysis that make
           | their conclusions dubious. For example, note that your first
           | paragraph above seems to admit that the actual presence of
           | direct sunlight was not recorded in the raw data. They only
           | figure in a statistical inference based on average hours of
           | sun in a locale.
           | 
           | Rather than copy-pasting myself, here's a better critique
           | from 2014 with good explanations of the study's problems:
           | 
           | http://skeptvet.com/Blog/2014/01/do-dogs-line-themselves-
           | up-...
        
             | blazespin wrote:
             | Maybe you should have started with that, rather than
             | anecdotal evidence. I agree as a case study of potential
             | p-hacking, it's pretty illustrative. Not sure if it's
             | failed p-hacking though. For example -
             | 
             | High school students, but did make it into a journal ..
             | 
             | Dogs excreted with the body aligned along the North-South
             | axis, but when exposed to small bar magnets, significantly
             | changed their directional positions. The study suggests
             | that dogs are able to recognize MF.
             | 
             | Additional value of this research is that the data were
             | collected by local high school students, which required
             | collaboration with teachers and their parents. We think
             | that this idea has great potential and can be developed at
             | a global scale and to become a citizen-science project
             | involving other high school pupils and their families.
             | 
             | https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1558
             | 7...
             | 
             | Dogs can be trained to find a bar magnet
             | 
             | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6301327/
             | 
             | We excluded visual cues and used control trials with food
             | treats to test for the role of olfaction in finding the
             | magnet. While 13 out of 16 dogs detected the magnet
             | significantly above chance level (53-73% success rate),
             | none of the dogs managed to do so in finding the food treat
             | (23-40% success rate). In a replication of the experiment
             | under strictly blinded conditions five out of six dogs
             | detected the magnet above chance level (53-63% success
             | rate). These experiments support the existence of a
             | magnetic sense in domestic dogs. Whether the sense enables
             | dogs to perceive MFs as weak as the Earth's MF, if they use
             | it for orientation, and by which mechanism the fields are
             | perceived remain open questions.
             | 
             | So maybe there is some value in p-hacking, when taken with
             | an appropriate grain of salt? The problem is science
             | journalism and its readers often don't know how to do that.
        
               | nate_meurer wrote:
               | > _Maybe you should have started with that, rather than
               | anecdotal evidence._
               | 
               | Oh dear. You mean I didn't approach this topic with the
               | care it deserved?
               | 
               | > _High school students..._
               | 
               | Good for them! I only glanced at it, but it looks
               | interesting.
               | 
               | > _Dogs can be trained to find a bar magnet..._
               | 
               | I read this. Right away, I can tell you the authors
               | didn't take _nearly_ enough care to eliminate the dogs '
               | olfactory sense from the data, and the proof of that is
               | that the dogs couldn't locate the jars containing food.
               | Dogs should easily have been able perform that task, as
               | anyone who operates a sniffer dog will confirm. The fact
               | that these dogs couldn't do it means something is wrong,
               | and I'd bet money that the problem was that the jars were
               | handled in such a way that they _all_ smelled of food.
               | 
               | To be fair, this would be quite hard to get right. Dogs
               | have a sense of smell that can seem downright
               | supernatural. When I was in high school, Denver PD had a
               | bloodhound named Yogi who tracked down the body of a
               | murdered child who had been transported ten miles by car.
               | Yes, by car [1]. In training exercises, Yogi was able to
               | track things that had been sunk thirty feet underwater at
               | a local reservoir.
               | 
               | That craziness obviously presents an enormous challenge
               | when designing a study on another hypothetical dog sense,
               | and while this study went to some length to address it,
               | something clearly slipped through the cracks such that
               | the study's "food" arm (which was intended to serve as a
               | control arm) was rendered useless. It also makes me
               | strongly suspect that the magnets were also handled in
               | such a way that there was some olfactory indication of
               | which jars contained them. The paper doesn't tell us how
               | the preparers handled the magnets and their containers,
               | and there's no indication that they took measures to
               | either prevent the transfer of any odor from the magnets
               | to the jars, or somehow ensure that the odor was
               | transferred equally to all jars.
               | 
               | My skepticism notwithstanding, I'm fascinated by the
               | concept of magnetoreception in animals, especially birds,
               | and I think it definitely deserves extensive study.
               | 
               | 1 - Look up the Alie Berrelez murder case.
        
         | ohazi wrote:
         | This is also why dogs stare directly into your eyes as they
         | poop. They're vulnerable, and you're their lookout.
         | 
         | Might also be why they come into the bathroom or wait by the
         | door when you're doing your business.
        
           | abootstrapper wrote:
           | I'd ask for a source, but I choose for this to be true.
        
           | flaviocopes wrote:
           | That looks like a good explanation for all that monitoring
           | borderline stalking going on in that specific room! I never
           | thought of it, from now on I'll thank my dog for their
           | service!
        
         | cstejerean wrote:
         | Sounds easy to test in the Southern Hemisphere. The sun being
         | north rather than south is one of the things that threw me off
         | when I first went to Australia.
        
         | weinzierl wrote:
         | > Makes sense from a practical viewpoint. You're more
         | vulnerable [..] and even moreso if the sun is right in your
         | eyes.
         | 
         |  _" Dogs, like everyone, don't like the sun in their eyes."_
         | would be enough of an explanation for me. Predators even don't
         | like the sun in their eyes, that's why they attack with sun
         | behind them, if they can. Wouldn't make much sense for the dog
         | to turn it's back in the most likely direction a predator is
         | going to attack.
        
           | djsumdog wrote:
           | Dogs are predators. We've domesticated a lot of that out of
           | them, sure, but they've got the eyes facing forward and
           | carnivore digestive tract. What would be higher to a wild dog
           | or wolf in the wild?
        
             | pushswap wrote:
             | Actually dogs & wolves have jaws and digestive tracts
             | consistent with omnivores which are significantly longer
             | than that of carnivores.
        
           | ramblerman wrote:
           | If predators attack with the sun behind them then shouldn't
           | dogs look into the sun to protect themselves?
        
             | thayne wrote:
             | But dogs are descended from wolves, which I think are apex
             | predators, and were domesticated by humans, another apex
             | predator.
        
             | cgriswald wrote:
             | Dogs look to their pack for protection while doing their
             | business. If your dog stares at you while he's pooping,
             | this is why. It's also why he might follow you into the
             | bathroom... to keep _you_ safe while you do your business.
        
           | kempbellt wrote:
           | Anything can be explained away depending on which variables
           | you take into account.
           | 
           | Some people like heated toilet seats. Maybe most dogs like
           | some warm sunhine on their behinds while pooping.
           | 
           | Or maybe they want to face upwind for other reasons.
        
         | danek wrote:
         | Lots of pooping happens at night too, though...
        
       | huffmsa wrote:
       | Now that you mention it, my childhood dog almost always faced
       | mostly north or south when conducting her business
        
       | nebulous1 wrote:
       | I'm so glad somebody is finally looking into this
        
         | thisisnico wrote:
         | Tax dollars well spent!
        
           | numlock86 wrote:
           | Czech tax dollars to be accurate.
        
             | yread wrote:
             | The study was supported by the Grant Agency of the Czech
             | Republic (project. nr. 506/11/2121)
        
           | _jal wrote:
           | "Duckspeak" was the term from Orwell's 1984 for babbling
           | slogans as a sort of automatic pattern matching response to
           | stimuli.
        
       | HappyDreamer wrote:
       | I wonder how the researchers came up with the idea to study this.
       | 
       | Anyway, this is good news? Dogs are more similar to humans, than
       | what birds are, right. Maybe there's a magnetic field sensing dog
       | gene that can be copied to humans? So that at least the future
       | generations won't lose their orientation, as fast as I do, in the
       | streets and indoor shopping malls.
        
         | jshevek wrote:
         | They were fishing for anything of apparent statistical
         | significance.
        
         | blazespin wrote:
         | Likely because this is common behavior in animals and humans.
         | It makes sense that dogs could be influenced.
        
           | HappyDreamer wrote:
           | > this is common behavior
           | 
           | What does "this" here refer to? (Thanks for the reply :- ))
        
         | James_Henry wrote:
         | There is a human neural response to magnetic fields:
         | https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2019/03/190318132646.h...
        
           | HappyDreamer wrote:
           | > revealed a decrease in alpha-band brain activity -- an
           | established response to sensory input -- in some participants
           | 
           | Interesting this happened in only _some_ participants.
           | 
           | Makes me wonder about sensing fields caused by electricity or
           | the very weak fields caused by flowing water (which tends to
           | contain some salt ions / charged particles).
        
       | fallingfrog wrote:
       | Or maybe, dogs just don't like to look straight into the sun when
       | they poop, which rises in the east and sets in the west. Good
       | grief. Sometimes the smartest people are also the dumbest. Would
       | you stare right at the sun when pooping?
        
         | fallingfrog wrote:
         | I'm right about this and all you guys are someday if you
         | remember it going to regard this as tremendously embarrassing..
         | I mean you all just immediately believed the most far fetched
         | of hypotheses based on one flawed study in which they didn't
         | record which days were sunny.. signing off
        
         | mmastrac wrote:
         | They tested for that:
         | 
         | > The fact that larger and faster changes in magnetic
         | conditions result in random distribution of body directions,
         | i.e., a lowering of the preferences and ceasing of the
         | avoidances, can be explained either through disturbing or
         | conscious "shutdown" of the magneto-reception mechanism.
        
           | fallingfrog wrote:
           | I'll bet if you repeated the whole thing on cloudy days only
           | the effect would go away. You'd have to have very very strong
           | evidence that dogs have some sensory organ that detects
           | magnetic fields when the sun is right there in the sky and
           | explains the effect in a way that is obvious to everyone.
        
             | eganist wrote:
             | > I'll bet if you repeated the whole thing on cloudy days
             | only the effect would go away. You'd have to have very very
             | strong evidence that dogs have some sensory organ that
             | detects magnetic fields when the sun is right there in the
             | sky and explains the effect in a way that is obvious to
             | everyone.
             | 
             | again, pages 5-6:
             | 
             | > Even if we would assume that these sunshine hours were
             | evenly distributed over the daylight period and the year
             | (as our observations were),there would only be a
             | probability of 33% that the observation was made when the
             | sun was visible. Hence,with high probability (67%) most
             | walks during the day-light period were made when it was
             | cloudy.
             | 
             | There's wisdom in reading the study before commenting
             | further considering your specific rebuttals have all been
             | addressed in the source material. There were _literally_
             | nearly 7,500 measurement events factored into this study,
             | the majority of which were likely cloudy given the
             | location.
        
               | fallingfrog wrote:
               | _Likely?_ so let me get this straight, they didn't even
               | _record_ which days were sunny? Extraordinary claims and
               | all that. Sorry but I'm right about this no matter how
               | many downvotes I get.
        
               | jshevek wrote:
               | Voting is often influenced by tone and adherence to site
               | guidelines, not just accuracy.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | eganist wrote:
               | > _Likely?_ so let me get this straight, they didn't even
               | record which days were sunny? Extraordinary claims and
               | all that. Sorry but I'm right about this no matter how
               | many downvotes I get.
               | 
               | Please just read the paper. Events were timestamped,
               | aggregated over two years, and took place at all times of
               | day (including well after dark) with the same outcome.
               | 
               | Disengaging. Cheers, friend.
        
         | laretluval wrote:
         | They only find the effect for cases where there is low flux in
         | the magnetic field.
         | 
         | This indicates another reason to be skeptical of the study. If
         | an effect is found in one condition and not another this is a
         | red flag for p-hacking.
        
           | lonelappde wrote:
           | High flux means the direction of the field is undefined.
        
             | tlb wrote:
             | "High" flux for geomagnetic fields means it changed by a
             | few degrees. So it's not anywhere near undefined, just
             | slightly off.
        
         | eganist wrote:
         | > Or maybe, dogs just don't like to look straight into the sun
         | when they poop, which rises in the east and sets in the west.
         | Good grief. Sometimes the smartest people are also the dumbest.
         | Would you stare right at the sun when pooping?
         | 
         | Pages 6-7 (pdf pages 5-6, or just grep 'sun') of the source
         | study (https://frontiersinzoology.biomedcentral.com/track/pdf/1
         | 0.11...):
         | 
         | > This calls for necessity to test whether the dog alignment is
         | not actually influenced primarily by time of the day and most
         | probably by position of the sun on the sky. We can, however,
         | exclude this alternative. First, days when the magnetic field
         | parameters change erratically and unpredictably (i.e., magnetic
         | storms) are quite frequent. These changes have been well
         | studied by others and are described in the literature (cf.
         | [21,22] for re-views). Second, the data collection was not
         | biased to either morning or afternoon (Table 8). Third, periods
         | of sampling under conditions of quiet magnetic field were
         | rather evenly distributed in the course of the day.Fourth, and
         | most importantly, alignment during excreting was apparent under
         | conditions of quiet magnet field,irrespective of the time of
         | day or month. Time of day per se was not a reliable predictor
         | of expression of alignment (Figure 2, Tables 3, 9). Fifth,
         | generally, there are on average 1,450 sunshine hours per year
         | at maximum in the Czech Republic and in Germany, on localities
         | where measurements were done. Even if we would assume that
         | these sunshine hours were evenly distributed over the daylight
         | period and the year (as our observations were),there would only
         | be a probability of 33% that the observation was made when the
         | sun was visible. Hence,with high probability (67%) most walks
         | during the day-light period were made when it was cloudy.
         | 
         | > Last but not least, the argument that the dogs might orient
         | with regard to sun position so that they turn with their back
         | to the sun in order to avoid dazzling by sunshine during such a
         | sensitive and vulnerable act as excretion can be questioned.
         | This argument is not plausible for urine marking, which is a
         | brief act. We doubt that a dog that cares of not being attacked
         | would always make sure to be turned away from the sun. The dog
         | will likely look in that direction from where danger can most
         | probably be expected - and this is for sure not always the
         | direction away from the sun. In contrast to a human, the dog is
         | relying also on its nose and its ears (in some breeds even more
         | than on its eyes) when monitoring its surroundings - so we may
         | expect that the dog heads with its nose and pinnae against the
         | wind or in the direction of interest. Directing the pinnae and
         | the nose may take priority over eyes. One can also often
         | observe that dogs (especially during defecation) align in a
         | certain direction, which is actually a different one from the
         | direction of interest and they turn their head then in that
         | other direction. Also we have to take into account that dogs
         | are smaller than humans, they look at a different angle over
         | the horizon and even in situations when we are dazzled, they
         | might be not. Quite important: note also that the preference is
         | axial - there are many cases when the dog actually looks
         | southwards. There is no evidence for shift of the alignment
         | axis during the day.
         | 
         | ---
         | 
         | Shoot, they even have pitch-dark measurements on page 8 (pg 7
         | pdf)
        
       | amriksohata wrote:
       | This reminded me of this article in the BBC of
       | 
       | https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/stories-51281856/electrosensit...
       | 
       | and related studies behind it
       | 
       | http://www.utdallas.edu/news/2016/2/3-31891_Study-Uncovers-H...
       | 
       | https://www.theguardian.com/science/2019/mar/18/humans-earth...
       | 
       | Basicaly in nearly all Hindu texts, when praying or doing Yoga
       | they tell people to face East/the sun, so that your magnetic
       | field is aligned as unaligning it risks disease.
       | 
       | The team say modern environments would likely interfere with this
       | "sense", while there is no sign as yet that such a system is
       | linked to human consciousness, or that it influences our
       | behaviour - although the team say it remains a possibility, and
       | are planning experiments to find out.
       | 
       | I wonder if dogs almost feel a need to align with field in the
       | right way to feel comfortable.
        
       | erickhill wrote:
       | Is this why some folks think dogs seem to be able to predict
       | earthquakes? They have some built-in connection?
        
         | ncmncm wrote:
         | Earthquake build-up produces electric fields.
         | 
         | It would be a different sensory system.
        
       | sebow wrote:
       | EM fields are sensed at different levels by different animals,
       | plants, etc. Arguably the fact that the human brain is so complex
       | and interconnected means that we sense very hardly these fields
       | (like a black box).
       | 
       | No study needed really,this has been known for decades.
        
       | badtooling wrote:
       | Fwiw- India's vastu too has rules regarding pooping direction
        
       | jammygit wrote:
       | ...I used to joke with my wife this must be the case.
       | 
       | My dog spends so much time trying to find the right place. It's
       | during the day, so it can't be astrology, so must be leylines or
       | the magnetic field of the earth. Elementary really
       | 
       | She will get a kick out of this article for sure
        
       | jb775 wrote:
       | I just grabbed my compass to check...can confirm that my black
       | lab Piper's recent poops have been north/south. Now that I think
       | of it, I can't remember a time she hasn't been facing
       | north/south...no matter the weather or time of day.
        
       | williesleg wrote:
       | The shit PBS does for clicks.
        
       | aj7 wrote:
       | My wife, who can barely read a map, has such good directional
       | sense that I am convinced that attoampere(?) currents induced in
       | her brain as she cuts through the earth's magnetic field are
       | interpretable by her and form memories.
        
       | A4ET8a8uTh0 wrote:
       | It is interesting. Now that it was pointed out, the pattern does
       | seem to match our dog as well. I would love to find out more.
       | 
       | Mamy who saw dog select a spot are aware of the 'thrice blessed'
       | dance.
        
       | tribeofone wrote:
       | LOVE weekend posts on HN!
        
       | yovagoyu wrote:
       | Tax dollars.
        
       | contravariant wrote:
       | I encourage everyone to read the paper linked in the article.
       | They've gone through surprising amounts of effort to justify
       | their conclusion, and it includes some surprisingly nice graphs
       | of the 'alignment during defecation' of dogs.
       | 
       | I sincerely hope their works will be recognised by the (Ig)-nobel
       | committee.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | ebg13 wrote:
         | The article was published at the end of 2013. They did get
         | recognized.
        
           | contravariant wrote:
           | Oh right, I hadn't seen the date. Glad they got recognised
           | though.
        
         | supernova87a wrote:
         | I did not understand the 3 bins of 0%, 1%, 2% etc. declination.
         | Does anyone have a simple explanation for that?
         | 
         | Also, the point about the sun is good -- maybe they just don't
         | want sun in their eyes. Clearly the very dedicated and obsessed
         | researcher needs to do a similar study but indoors. Can you
         | imagine who has the personal passion to do this data
         | collection?
        
           | contravariant wrote:
           | I don't have a particularly good explanation for those
           | specific choices, but I did notice that they resulted in
           | somewhat similar sample sizes across all three bins, so it
           | might just have been that.
        
             | supernova87a wrote:
             | Oh, I meant, I don't even understand what the bins are --
             | what is the declination measuring that they wanted to
             | divide the data up by?
        
         | nebulous1 wrote:
         | They indeed won the 2014 Ignoble Biology prize!
         | 
         | https://www.improbable.com/ig-about/winners/#ig2014
        
       | yovagoyu wrote:
       | The sun set/rises East/West. Maybe dogs just don't like looking
       | directly into the sun when they go.
        
         | eganist wrote:
         | Pages 6-8 (5-7 pdf) discuss the sun as well as measurements
         | across times of day.
         | 
         | https://frontiersinzoology.biomedcentral.com/track/pdf/10.11...
        
         | dmode wrote:
         | What about pooping at night though?
        
         | chewbacha wrote:
         | That was my first thought too.
        
       | tuesday20 wrote:
       | Would be nice to know if there is any other reason, other than
       | "don't like sun in my eyes".
       | 
       | I remember during the tsunamis, animals knew something is gonna
       | happen and got restless. I wonder how much of these intuition and
       | senses humans have lost, by tuning out nature
        
       | simonw wrote:
       | The thing I love about this story is that it is SUCH a dog thing
       | to do. Dogs would absolutely poop in alignment with earth's
       | magnetic field. They wouldn't need a reason to do it. It's just
       | the kind of thing they'd do.
        
       | heimatau wrote:
       | I come to HN for the comments. You don't disappoint. I'm glad we
       | have multiple people whom thinking critically enough about a
       | publication to demystify it.
       | 
       | Nate says it's simply primal. Eldritch talked about the cognitive
       | bias. Etc, etc. thanks for the critical thinking!! keep up the
       | great work!
        
       | blululu wrote:
       | This is fun, however it seems like it would be easier and more
       | reliable to just put some dogs next to a gigantic magnet. There
       | are a number of confounds related to sunlight and other
       | geophysical parameters (wind) that are not controlled for in this
       | study. A magnet would demonstrate a clear causal link much faster
       | than forcing some grad students to watch dogs pooping in
       | uncontrolled settings. Though I suppose people who own 4T magnets
       | are probably not cool with some random person showing up with a
       | dozen dogs and a couple of compost bags.
        
         | blazespin wrote:
         | That's the next paper I'm sure. This one was likely a study of
         | the results and an accidental reveal of the correlation. It's
         | possible the correlation was accidental though, a minor bit of
         | p-hacking.
         | 
         | It'd be awesome to prove this false (if false) as it'd be a
         | very compelling learning study for problem of p-hacking.
        
       | amiga_500 wrote:
       | Should humans be doing the same? Is the failure to align toilets
       | contributing to increased stress? We need more research!
        
         | jaldhar wrote:
         | Pitch to Gwyneth Paltrow: Pooping magnets.
        
         | ncmncm wrote:
         | Dogs get feng shui.
        
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