[HN Gopher] COVID-19 Supply Chain Update
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       COVID-19 Supply Chain Update
        
       Author : Reedx
       Score  : 182 points
       Date   : 2020-02-28 19:38 UTC (3 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.fda.gov)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.fda.gov)
        
       | rahan46g wrote:
       | Hi
        
       | andreygrehov wrote:
       | tl;dr?
        
       | jefftk wrote:
       | "Regarding personal protective equipment--surgical gowns, gloves,
       | masks, respirator protective devices, or other medical equipment
       | designed to protect the wearer from injury or the spread of
       | infection or illness--the FDA has heard reports of increased
       | market demand and supply challenges for some of these products.
       | However, the FDA is currently not aware of specific widespread
       | shortages of medical devices, but we are aware of reports from
       | CDC and other U.S. partners of increased ordering of a range of
       | human medical products through distributors as some healthcare
       | facilities in the U.S. are preparing for potential needs if the
       | outbreak becomes severe."
       | 
       | This is very weird: my understanding is that masks are sold out
       | at standard suppliers and have been for a while (though available
       | at extremely high prices from resellers). This seems like it is
       | beyond "supply challenges" and into being a "specific widespread
       | shortage"?
        
         | reaperducer wrote:
         | _my understanding is that masks are sold out at standard
         | suppliers and have been for a while_
         | 
         | Where I live it's hit-and-miss, but not as bad as it used to
         | be.
         | 
         | When this first started, masks were hard to come by because
         | people were buying out stores to ship to relatives in China.
         | 
         | Today I've been to three places, and two of them had masks. The
         | third was out of hand sanitizer.
        
           | scottlegrand2 wrote:
           | Unavoidably slightly political but...
           | 
           | I saw a shift in behavior following Trump's conference
           | appointing Mike Pence as the effective coronavirus czar.
           | 
           | Every morning there was a small stash of N95 masks at my
           | local Home Depot until yesterday. Similarly I started seeing
           | specific sorts of non-perishables disappearing from the
           | shelves of Trader Joe's and Safeways. Where it goes next, I
           | don't know. But I think the crowd has spoken on the subject
           | already.
        
             | airstrike wrote:
             | Correlation, causation, etc.
        
         | mc32 wrote:
         | I think they're still in stock at _some_ Home Depots. At least
         | last I checked.
         | 
         | In any case, an N95 mask is insufficient if you don't cover
         | eyes as well and don't use IPA70/Sporklenz or similar after
         | touching any common surface. 10% bleach should also work but
         | it's nastier.
        
           | themodelplumber wrote:
           | > IPA70/Sporklenz
           | 
           | OK, searching on that term brings up an impressive number of
           | PDF data sheets.
           | 
           | IPA70 seems to mean Isopropyl Alcohol, 70%.
           | 
           | Sporklenz no idea but it conjured up images of a European
           | Homer Simpson repping cleaning products as _Mr. Sporklenz._
           | (Herr Sporklenz?)
        
             | drewmol wrote:
             | Not sure about Sporklenz but yes IPA70 is referring to an
             | Isopropyl Alcohol solution of 70% isopropyl alcohol. Higher
             | concentrations are also effective but above 75% you risk
             | burn or excessive drying upon direct skin contact. FWIW, a
             | 99% concentration will very quickly pick up atmospheric
             | moisture and stabilize closer to 96% in all but the most
             | dry of environments.
        
               | Scoundreller wrote:
               | > Not sure about Sporklenz but yes IPA70 is referring to
               | an Isopropyl Alcohol solution of 70% isopropyl alcohol.
               | Higher concentrations are also effective but above 75%
               | you risk burn or excessive drying upon direct skin
               | contact. FWIW, a 99% concentration will very quickly pick
               | up atmospheric moisture and stabilize closer to 96% in
               | all but the most dry of environments.
               | 
               | During a previous outbreak that led to hand sanitizer
               | getting hard to find/expensive, I just dumped a bunch of
               | 70% rubbing alcohol into my existing bottle once it gets
               | half empty.
        
             | milankragujevic wrote:
             | https://www.sterislifesciences.com/products/surface-
             | disinfec...
        
               | themodelplumber wrote:
               | > Spor-Klenz(r) Ready-to-Use Sterilant
               | 
               | > cleanroom disinfectant, sterilant and sporicidal
               | cleaner
               | 
               | Ah...got it. Thank you.
               | 
               | > Odor: Vinegar
               | 
               | Ewww. Hope it's not too bad. I wouldn't want a strong
               | vinegar smell in my clean room.
               | 
               | Also interesting:
               | 
               | "Spor-Klenz RTU sterilant was found to be effective
               | against mouse hepatitis virus, minute virus of mice,
               | murine norovirus, murine para influenza virus type 1
               | (Sendai) and Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV-1) when
               | tested according to EPA guidelines undiluted for 10
               | minutes at 20degC (68degF) exposure. Spor-Klenz RTU
               | sterilant was found to be effective against mouse
               | parvovirus when tested according to EPA guidelines
               | undiluted for 25 minutes at 20degC (68degF). Treated
               | surfaces must remain completely immersed for 25 minutes."
        
               | cwkoss wrote:
               | That hyphenation makes a lot more sense, I was parsing it
               | as 'spork-lenz'
        
               | TeMPOraL wrote:
               | Yup, me too. Something sounding like "spore cleanse"
               | makes a lot more sense in this context than "spork lens".
        
           | post_break wrote:
           | 0 inventory at Home Depot, Lowes, Harbor Freight, etc. Hand
           | sanitizer sold out at almost all retailers in the major city
           | I live in too, I managed to snag some from a store people
           | wouldn't think of (office depot). I have a few N95 masks, but
           | I bought them ages ago and I'd be using them for painting or
           | grinding metal, not the virus.
        
         | Consultant32452 wrote:
         | I'm guessing they mean "specific widespread shortage (at
         | medical facilities)." Which is categorically different from a
         | retail shortage at your local pharmacy or retail store.
        
         | hanklazard wrote:
         | I work in an outpatient medical office. Our office manager said
         | that the major mask supplier that we use is rationing the
         | number of boxes of masks that can be ordered, but still
         | fulfilling orders. So while there may be a true shortage in
         | medical facilities in the future, current shortages are in
         | retail. Or at least that's my n=1 data point.
        
           | Scoundreller wrote:
           | Usually one gets put on "allocation", where you can only
           | order amounts based on your historical ordering history.
           | 
           | Sometimes it's 100%, other times it's less, depending on
           | actual availability.
           | 
           | Helps prevent stockpiling, but creates issues if your
           | operation is bigger than it used to be.
        
         | SargeZT wrote:
         | I think they're referring to availability for medicine. My
         | facility has zero issue ordering PPE at the moment; we order
         | many thousands of boxes of gloves and masks and have no issue
         | with that.
        
           | alasdair_ wrote:
           | I wonder how many boxes of masks "go missing" in a given
           | month and if this will spike now that the resale price is so
           | high.
        
             | hanklazard wrote:
             | We're starting to keep a more careful eye on inventory for
             | that reason.
        
         | ssully wrote:
         | I am guessing they are speaking specifically about supplies to
         | medical facilities, not the general public. The NYTimes ran an
         | article recently [1] that makes it sound like the New York area
         | has a hefty stockpile ready in the case of an outbreak.
         | 
         | [1]: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/27/nyregion/new-york-
         | coronav...
        
         | hourislate wrote:
         | Manufacturers have stop shipping Masks and other protective
         | gear to retail. Everything is going to the the Healthcare
         | Industry.
         | 
         | HomeDepot will not get resupplied, Hospital down the street
         | will get everything.
        
       | mark-r wrote:
       | Just make sure you're all stocked up on Forsythia.
       | 
       | (Oblique reference to the movie Contagion)
        
         | 1001101 wrote:
         | I was reminded of that when reading about a compound in
         | licorice (glycyrrhizin) that seem to be effective in reducing
         | the replication of SARS, (another coronavirus):
         | 
         | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/12814717
         | https://www.nature.com/articles/news030609-16
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glycyrrhizin
        
       | citilife wrote:
       | This almost read like a bot wrote it...
       | 
       | > A manufacturer has alerted us to a shortage of a human drug
       | that was recently added to the drug shortages list. The
       | manufacturer just notified us that this shortage is related to a
       | site affected by coronavirus. The shortage is due to an issue
       | with manufacturing of an active pharmaceutical ingredient used in
       | the drug. It is important to note that there are other
       | alternatives that can be used by patients. We are working with
       | the manufacturer as well as other manufacturers to mitigate the
       | shortage. We will do everything possible to mitigate the
       | shortage.
       | 
       | They don't name the manufacturer, the drug, or really much of
       | anything.
        
         | throwaway9878 wrote:
         | California looks set to explode into another Italy scenario as
         | local, human-to-human transmission now appears to be taking
         | place in Solano County, where a woman now critically ill with
         | the coronavirus previously exposed dozens of hospital workers
         | in two hospitals. She was not tested for 11 days because the
         | CDC's testing flow chart excludes the testing of people who
         | contract the virus in America and who didn't visit China.
         | 
         | The Governor of California stated yesterday that California has
         | only around 200 test kits for the entire state. To this very
         | day, there is virtually zero testing of anyone happening in the
         | entire United States -- a fact that many people still are
         | unable to believe (they remain in total denial). The SF
         | Chronicle also confirms this story.
         | 
         | According to a highly disturbing Wall Street Journal story
         | (https://www.wsj.com/articles/whistleblower-says-federal-
         | empl...) federal employees who ran the quarantine sites in
         | California and elsewhere failed to wear proper protective
         | equipment (PPE) and also weren't trained in how to handle
         | people exposed to the virus. Most disturbingly, as the WSJ
         | subhead says, "Employees weren't tested for virus before
         | leaving California quarantine sites on commercial flights."
         | 
         | I am astounded by the frequency of idiots in key decision
         | making positions globally.
        
         | orblivion wrote:
         | > This almost read like a bot wrote it...
         | 
         | Particularly with reference to "a human drug"
        
           | Seenso wrote:
           | > Particularly with reference to "a human drug"
           | 
           | Veterinary drugs are a thing, and it appears the FDA
           | regulates them, too:
           | 
           | https://www.fda.gov/animal-veterinary/resources-you/fda-
           | regu...
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | drugones wrote:
         | Maybe in purpose to avoid drugs related panic purchases.
        
           | rubber_duck wrote:
           | Why publish anything then ?
        
             | taywrobel wrote:
             | Because otherwise once shortages begin they'll be accused
             | of a "cover-up"?
        
             | ydnaclementine wrote:
             | So they can't say you they didn't tell you anything
        
             | wyldfire wrote:
             | Well, we know that there is a disruption and that as far as
             | the FDA knows it's just the one report so far.
             | 
             | In an administration that frequently gets involved in
             | cover-ups, you can't fault the FDA for trying to disclose
             | as much as they can without causing new problems.
             | 
             | Plus the press release goes on to detail many other areas
             | of FDA's regulatory domain that are also helpful.
        
               | TheSpiceIsLife wrote:
               | This this other comment (not mine) detailing these FDAs
               | transparency re drug shortages:
               | 
               | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22445961
        
           | zerkten wrote:
           | This is what I'd expect having worked for ~10 years in
           | pharma. These companies are very sensitive to announcements
           | like these because they can be misinterpreted by the
           | public/media. They'll be trying to find some alternative
           | options and the details of the shortage will become evident
           | from other sources eventually.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | frisco wrote:
         | This is called "Special English" aka "Simple English" or "Voice
         | of America English". It is meant to be very clear and
         | straightforward to understand to minimize the possibility of
         | miscommunication and make it so that non-experts of all
         | backgrounds can take away the important messages. Given how
         | important the medicine supply chain is to lots of people's
         | daily lives, I'm sure they didn't want this page to seem
         | understandable only by the educated.
         | 
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special_English
        
           | inetknght wrote:
           | I'm honestly _more_ concerned that the FDA is dumbing things
           | down so much that smart people have trouble understanding it.
        
             | sezna wrote:
             | I didn't realize anybody here was having trouble
             | understanding it. It looks like regular English but with no
             | pronouns.
        
               | BigJono wrote:
               | I had a lot of trouble understanding it until I read it 5
               | times. All the words just turn to soup in my brain as I
               | read them... It's like the information density of the
               | text isn't high enough to keep my attention or something.
        
           | anigbrowl wrote:
           | It might be special but it's not simple; it's vague and
           | overly verbose, such that important information is buried and
           | ambiguity is amplified.
        
           | reaperducer wrote:
           | I work for a health-related company, and to us it's called
           | "Health literate."
           | 
           | But, you're right- the idea is to write as plainly and
           | clearly as possible so the largest number of people can
           | understand.
           | 
           | As for why the drug or manufacturer wasn't named, my guess is
           | that it's so that there isn't a run on a particular
           | medication causing unnecessary shortages.
        
             | joezydeco wrote:
             | Or price gouging by pharmacies that still have inventory?
        
           | pyuser583 wrote:
           | There is not enough of a drug, according to a drug maker.
           | There aren't enough ingredients to make the drug. The missing
           | ingredients are made at a place affected by the coronavirus.
           | 
           | Fortunately, there are different types of drugs that can
           | help. We are making these other drugs available.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | im3w1l wrote:
             | Yeah wtf, the original was not easy at all to read. Also re
             | your version I would use medicine instead of drug to avoid
             | confusion.
        
             | jiofih wrote:
             | This is not an improvement at all. Try to read the original
             | at a slow pace, it is very straightforward but still
             | precise.
        
               | vehementi wrote:
               | > an issue with manufacturing of an active pharmaceutical
               | ingredient used in the drug
               | 
               | is WAY WORSE than
               | 
               | > there aren't enough ingredients for the drug
        
           | gizmo385 wrote:
           | Is there anything similar in other languages? I would love to
           | have a similar resource for my German learning.
        
             | tomjakubowski wrote:
             | I'm also interested in this question of "Special $LANG" for
             | other languages. For German learners, DW has a daily
             | podcast Langsam gesprochene Nachrichten ("News read
             | slowly"), which I have found invaluable.
             | 
             | https://m.dw.com/de/deutsch-lernen/nachrichten/s-8030
        
             | yorwba wrote:
             | The equivalent term is "leichte Sprache".
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leichte_Sprache
             | 
             | The websites of government agencies usually have a version
             | in leichter Sprache, although it tends to be
             | counterproductively hidden.
             | 
             | The NDR offers news using leichte Sprache:
             | https://www.ndr.de/fernsehen/service/leichte_sprache/
             | 
             | Edit: or any of the other sites on this list:
             | https://bpb.de/politik/grundfragen/politik-einfach-fuer-
             | alle...
        
             | teagee wrote:
             | Linguistica 360 has news in slow ____ for a number of
             | languages
             | 
             | https://www.linguistica360.com/
        
           | allovernow wrote:
           | I'm glad to see this posted. When you dumb down the vast
           | majority of media that your population consumes and make all
           | of it essentially predigested, the average person becomes
           | substantially less able to parse technical literature or
           | think critically, because in the majority of the media they
           | consume there is little required in the way of thinking.
           | 
           | Making things accessable to the common denominator has a
           | generally negative effect on society IMO. This is one major
           | reason why our U.S. schools have been falling behind for
           | decades - they are too focused on not leaving the poor
           | performers behind, at the cost of limiting the achievement of
           | those above the average.
        
           | metalliqaz wrote:
           | That's interesting, thanks.
           | 
           | Non mobile link:
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special_English
        
         | dfsegoat wrote:
         | FDA has an entire drug shortage database that is updated daily
         | and publicly accessible. _There are tons of drug shortages at
         | any given time_ , and most of them go back to API (Active Pharm
         | Ingredients) - the raw active chemicals produced in bulk, that
         | are then put into pills, injection solutions etc.
         | 
         | You could probably figure it out from there. My guess is it
         | would be irresponsible for them to name the Mfgr in the press
         | release, particularly if it were a publicly traded company and
         | people are going to jump to uninformed conclusions.
         | 
         | https://www.accessdata.fda.gov/scripts/drugshortages/
         | 
         | Supply chain security has also been a major focus at FDA over
         | the last ~5 years, basically to ensure there are not "choke
         | points" with respect to approved medicines:
         | 
         | https://www.fda.gov/drugs/drug-supply-chain-security-act-dsc...
         | 
         | So in general, I appreciate their transparency on this since
         | they have been building up regs around this very type of issue
         | for awhile.
        
           | adrianmonk wrote:
           | > _My guess is it would be irresponsible for them to name the
           | Mfgr in the press release, particularly if it were a publicly
           | traded company and people are going to jump to uninformed
           | conclusions._
           | 
           | Not only could it harm the company, it could be bad for
           | patients. Naming it could cause a run
           | (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Market_run) on the drug, and
           | if some people hoard it, there will be other people who are
           | unable to get it.
        
             | TeMPOraL wrote:
             | And even worse than the hoarders: the sudden appearance of
             | "entrepreneurs" smelling easy profit.
        
               | adrianmonk wrote:
               | Price gouging? Of drugs? _In the United States?_
        
               | TeMPOraL wrote:
               | Right. It's business as usual.
               | 
               | I guess I'm grumpy today, after looking at the prices of
               | respirators and antiseptics in Poland being already
               | 10-20x the usual, and growing. And we don't even have a
               | confirmed case just yet (doesn't stop the media from
               | reporting a new "first case" every day for the past two
               | weeks).
               | 
               | Also this morning I've seen an ad on our local equivalent
               | of Craigslist; somebody is trying to sell a pre-packaged
               | web store for selling face masks, complete with a bunch
               | of legit-sounding domains (using phrases "medical
               | respirators", "anti coronavirus respirators", etc.) and
               | three contracts to wholesalers of surgical masks, for
               | roughly $1k total. Note: _surgical masks_. The ones that
               | are worn to prevent accidental exchange of bodily fluids
               | between patient and the surgeon. The ones that are
               | completely ineffective against airborne viruses.
               | 
               | I really feel that some people need to have cooperation
               | and civil behavior beaten into them.
        
               | DoreenMichele wrote:
               | I deal with protecting myself medically daily. If you
               | want to chat about your concerns, you are welcome to
               | email me.
               | 
               | Not medical advice per se. I'm not a doctor. I'm just
               | someone continuing to rudely fail to die instead of going
               | along with politely dying according to schedule so other
               | people can feel like they are smart and know things.
               | 
               | (This comment will self destruct in the near future.)
        
               | TeMPOraL wrote:
               | Thank you.
               | 
               | Still, what can I say about my concerns? I'm scared. For
               | myself, my wife, our infant, our families. In this island
               | of emptiness in the middle of red dots the Europe is on
               | COVID-19 maps, we're all just nervously waiting for the
               | first real case. Personal protection goods are already
               | gone, people are slowly realizing that maybe it's about
               | time to start stockpiling food. We've stocked ourselves
               | up with ~two weeks worth of long-life consumables. Going
               | to extend it over the weekend to a month's reserve. Our
               | infant already has 2+ months supply. I try to be calm,
               | but it's getting harder.
               | 
               | I don't know what I'm afraid more of at this point - of
               | the virus, or of the quarantines and panic that will
               | follow.
        
           | tejtm wrote:
           | They also have to tread a very fine line where these
           | companies are "required" to self report important details
           | that would damage a "brand". By not naming names they
           | maintain the trust which increases the prospect of getting
           | the important information we all need. (and that is not
           | X.inc's next quarters earnings)
        
       | Fomite wrote:
       | Things conspicuously not mentioned that always drives me nuts:
       | Medical oxygen.
        
       | someonehere wrote:
       | I stumbled on a daily supply chain sub over at reddit.
       | r/supplychain which gets a daily update from a user who pulls his
       | data from across manufacturing, shipping, and other sources. I
       | recommend anyone interested in supply chain detailed analysis,
       | that's where to go.
        
         | Zaskoda wrote:
         | I've been reading the updates there and have been making
         | specific purchases as a result. For example, I read about
         | disruption to clothing manufacturing and bought some summer
         | shorts, pairs of boxers, and packages of socks - stuff I was
         | expecting to buy soon anyway.
        
       | ryanmercer wrote:
       | There is a good general daily thread in
       | https://www.reddit.com/r/supplychain/ that's a decent starting
       | point each day for what's going on in the world of supply
       | chain/logistics.
        
         | dfsegoat wrote:
         | This is a little different. The FDA has an entire
         | infrastructure setup around Supply Chain security - basically
         | to ensure critical medicines are always available from SOMEONE.
         | Not to spam on my comments, but see here:
         | 
         | https://www.accessdata.fda.gov/scripts/drugshortages/
        
           | TheSpiceIsLife wrote:
           | You're message here and in your other comment is quite
           | important.
           | 
           | There are quite a few people in this thread assuming the
           | press release is all the FDA has to say, and who appear to
           | have made little effort to test that assumption.
           | 
           | I guess this proves the point that the use of _Special
           | English_ as per this comment
           | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22445952 is well
           | warranted.
        
       | qrbLPHiKpiux wrote:
       | Relying on another nation like this for our critical supplies if
       | a national security threat that I'm surprised is even in
       | operation like this, today.
       | 
       | China Rx is a very good book about this.
        
       | pkaye wrote:
       | Someone had posted this on Reddit today. Mentioned some of the
       | drugs made in China to be aware of.
       | 
       | https://www.reddit.com/r/gout/comments/faym30/pharmaceutical...
        
       ___________________________________________________________________
       (page generated 2020-02-28 23:00 UTC)