[HN Gopher] Anxiety as an algorithm
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       Anxiety as an algorithm
        
       Author : goldfish
       Score  : 62 points
       Date   : 2020-03-03 15:43 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.adamjuliangoldstein.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.adamjuliangoldstein.com)
        
       | skmurphy wrote:
       | It's a thought provoking post.
       | 
       | One refinement is that there are a number of earlier challenges
       | you faced that are now "solved problems" so some of the squares
       | should be marked blue instead of black or white because it's a
       | risk you have encountered and mastered. For example, how to file
       | taxes as a corporation. How to hire someone.
       | 
       | A second refinement: there are also decision rules you can follow
       | that limit your exposure to entire categories of risk. For
       | example: don't finance your startup using credit card debt.
        
         | goldfish wrote:
         | Regarding blue instead of black, you read my mind for the
         | second essay :)
        
           | skmurphy wrote:
           | Happy to collaborate if it's of interest. Here are some
           | related posts.
           | 
           | Constructive Pessimism
           | https://www.skmurphy.com/blog/2016/09/07/constructive-
           | pessim...
           | 
           | How to Tell When Your Team Has a Workable Plan of Action
           | https://www.skmurphy.com/blog/2012/06/02/how-to-tell-when-
           | yo...
           | 
           | Risk Mitigation: If You Predict Rain Build an Ark
           | https://www.skmurphy.com/blog/2015/12/01/risk-mitigation-
           | if-...
        
       | nineteen999 wrote:
       | I have noticed a tendency (especially amongst HN articles and
       | readers) to continually compare our bodies, minds, souls etc. to
       | machines, as if they could be "biohacked" into perfection with
       | just the right patches or software updates. Or that we could
       | easily be replaced by the "correct AI" algorithm, if we could
       | just get the simulation close enough.
       | 
       | Not that I don't believe we aren't complex systems, we are, to be
       | sure, and it's not that life doesn't hurt sometimes, as it surely
       | does.
       | 
       | But the whole idea really just grates on me. I like being a
       | monkey, with all my strengths and weaknesses, I wouldn't trade
       | that to be a cyborg for all the money in the world. Each to their
       | own I guess! I guess I just don't think the analogies,
       | simulations, etc. really do us much justice as a species.
        
         | exrook wrote:
         | Personally, I like that as a human, I have the capacity to use
         | tools as an extension of my being to improve myself and my
         | place in the world. I don't think applying the same tools I use
         | to solve problems in the physical world to solve problems in my
         | mind makes me any less human. Sure, those tools may not be a
         | perfect match for the problem domain and provide the wrong
         | answers sometimes, but it doesn't hurt to try applying them. I
         | don't think this makes me a cyborg any more than lighting a
         | fire or driving a car does.
        
         | dagav wrote:
         | I also don't appreciate the comparison. The whole magic of
         | being human is our capacity to transcend our "programming",
         | something we haven't been able to achieve with computers (and
         | something I personally don't believe we ever will achieve)
        
         | gloriousduke wrote:
         | A world of only perfect beings does sound pretty boring. I'm
         | not sure if anything worthwhile would actually happen in such a
         | place. That being said, mental (rational) tools that help one
         | recognize the origin of anxiety and reduce its deleterious
         | effects are quite welcome. I think this article could help
         | programmers/founders do just that.
        
           | thrwaway69 wrote:
           | If you had a world of perfect human beings, then they would
           | create imperfections to stop themselves from getting bored. I
           | know, I would.
        
       | Apocryphon wrote:
       | It's interesting that the article mentions the immune system,
       | because I've always considered if allergies are the physical
       | equivalent to mental anxieties.
        
       | mjevans wrote:
       | I only skimmed so I might have missed these points being
       | discussed...
       | 
       | The 'mental immune system', which uses imagination to search for
       | potential paths to classify likely future outcomes suffers from
       | one very critical issue.
       | 
       | Selection bias / neural network (literal) training set problems.
       | Repeated failures without success lead to the weight of that
       | success against the failures skewing the prediction algorithm.
       | Reality might or might not match the perceived lack of paths
       | worth perusing, but the weight of that imagined failure against
       | the slim odds of success surely also influences the ability to
       | take the paths that could work even if they are discovered.
       | 
       | Repairing a biological entity's neural network for predicting
       | future outcomes must surely also correlate with providing a
       | 'good' feed of data to re-normalize expectations. My own theory
       | and belief is that our evolutionary ancestors communities were
       | small and 'depression' or other signs of distress resulted in
       | this reconditioning; a social control rather than a directly
       | biological one. Modern society seems to have broken that control
       | loop and thus the situation becomes irreparable.
        
         | acephal wrote:
         | Are you saying talking to an encouraging family (encouraging
         | being re-normalization) was the ancestral solution for
         | depression?
        
           | mjevans wrote:
           | While Having family can be part of a solution (or a treading
           | water situation), and lacking family could be part of the
           | problem...
           | 
           | No, I chose the word __community__ for good reason.
        
       | fossuser wrote:
       | > Developing a habit of recognizing thoughts as distinct from
       | reality has been shown to reduce anxiety. For more information on
       | this approach see here.
       | 
       | I think this helps with catastrophic thinking (i.e. "I'll never
       | pass another technical interview if I quit my job -> My
       | girlfriend will leave me -> I'll run out of money -> I'll be on
       | the street" etc.), verbalizing this kind of thing can help show
       | that often the extreme worst case thinking seems a little more
       | ridiculous out loud.
       | 
       | It also helps to imagine a friend thinking these things and what
       | you would say or point out to them.
       | 
       | I suspect that a lot of anxiety comes from too actively
       | predicting future negative outcomes along with too much
       | uncertainty, as you get more comfortable with things anxiety
       | tends to go down. The problem with growing a company is if you're
       | successful you'll never get comfortable because things are always
       | changing and scaling up (like mentioned in the article).
       | 
       | I've also found it personally helpful to reframe failure as
       | 'learning experience' and now you know more of what works and
       | what doesn't (rather than a direct evaluation of some fixed
       | ability), this helps embrace failure and growth without
       | constantly doubting yourself or thinking that you may just not
       | have the capacity to do what you want.
       | 
       | Sometimes it can be hard to zero in on the anxiety cause though -
       | it took me a while to realize that one of the reasons I didn't
       | want to go to the city (SF) is that I was afraid I wouldn't find
       | parking, along with just generally more uncertainty in a
       | crowded/busy place. Sounds ridiculous, but high base anxiety can
       | make pushing yourself out of local maxima to do things you want a
       | constant vigilant effort. The easy thing to do is rationalize why
       | the status quo is better or why the status quo is actually what
       | you want. I think a lot of people do this without realizing
       | anxiety is a partial driver of those decisions.
        
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       (page generated 2020-03-04 23:00 UTC)