[HN Gopher] How early American inventors funded their ventures
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       How early American inventors funded their ventures
        
       Author : raleighm
       Score  : 44 points
       Date   : 2020-03-10 10:12 UTC (12 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (rootsofprogress.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (rootsofprogress.org)
        
       | gumby wrote:
       | Researched in a book by L Sprague de Camp! That explains some
       | things in his fiction.
       | 
       | Though strangely the origin of modern project finance seems to
       | have evaded the author: seems to have evolved in New England
       | where groups would band together to fund whaling and slaving
       | missions (yes, abolitionist Massachusetts made a huge part of its
       | wealth on slave missions and slave mortgages).
       | 
       | These bands were themselves evolved from a European model, in
       | particular England (later Great Britain), Portugal, and Spain.
        
       | ozten wrote:
       | I wish the article noted that $30k was in which year roughly, and
       | value in today's currency. Interesting research!
        
         | tzs wrote:
         | That plow was patented in 1797. If the $30k was $30k then, it
         | would be about $450k now.
         | 
         | I doubt, though, that it was $30k then. Blacksmiths in 1800 on
         | average made under $1/day [1]. It would be very rare for a
         | blacksmith then to be able to put $30k toward an invention.
         | (For comparison, $25k/year was the salary of the President of
         | the United States then).
         | 
         | If the $30k is $30k now, it would have been about $2000 back
         | then. That seems feasible for a blacksmith to save up in around
         | a decade or so.
         | 
         | [1]
         | https://babel.hathitrust.org/cgi/pt?id=wu.89071501472&view=1...
        
           | gxqoz wrote:
           | Comparing values in the past to values today is tricky and
           | comes down to judgement.
           | 
           | "It helps if one understands how the comparators are
           | constructed. They have two components. The first is prices of
           | a range of goods which the ordinary person might buy, such as
           | bread, meat, beer or clothing and possibly rent or the cost
           | of fuel; these are gathered from a range of archives or
           | surveys. These prices have to be added together in a way
           | which reflects the proportions which these items formed in
           | the spending of an average person. If - as was the case in
           | the past - bread accounted for 25 per cent of what the
           | average person spent, then the price of bread has to have an
           | influence of 25 per cent on the overall set of prices. This
           | is known, in the jargon, as its 'weight' and the weights add
           | up to 100 per cent. A calculation is then done for each year,
           | multiplying the price of each good by its weight, adding the
           | results together and finally dividing by the number of items
           | to get an average price of goods for that year. Then, if the
           | result is a figure of, say, PS10 in 1800 but of PS767 in
           | 2017, we say that prices rose between those two dates by
           | about 77 times. Another way of putting it is that PS10 in
           | 1800 equates to - or has the same 'purchasing power' as -
           | PS767 today."
           | 
           | https://www.historytoday.com/archive/feature/changing-
           | value-...
        
       | jedberg wrote:
       | Skip to the summary at the end for the juicy bits (although the
       | rest was interesting reading too).
       | 
       | In the summary is this:
       | 
       | "What there doesn't seem to have been, at least in what I've seen
       | so far, is any kind of structure around early-stage financing. I
       | haven't seen any formal networks of angel investors, and nothing
       | comparable to venture capital. Funding seems very ad hoc,
       | dependent on the circumstance and connections. If so, then the
       | rise of institutional early-stage funding in the mid-20th century
       | was a real revolution."
       | 
       | And I think that is the crux of it. Most people back in the day
       | had to find wealthy people they knew, but there was no "industry"
       | around early stage financing.
       | 
       | Now there is, which has probably been great for funding ideas
       | that would not have otherwise been funded, but is also a double
       | edged sword for entrepreneurs, as the institutions get better and
       | better at extracting as much value as possible.
        
         | gxqoz wrote:
         | The recent book VC: An American History by Tom Nicholas argues
         | that the whaling industry in the early 19th century shared many
         | characteristics with modern VC markets. The profits of whaling
         | vessels had distributions similar to startups (most were not
         | profitable, a few profitable, a very few delivered excess
         | returns). Whaling captains were incentivized similar to startup
         | founders (returns heavily tied to how much whale oil they
         | harvested rather than a fixed salary). Many of the families
         | that invested in whaling ventures branched out into other
         | industries like textiles.
         | 
         | https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/42449471-vc
        
         | vikramkr wrote:
         | I don't think it's a double edged sword, if there are more
         | financiers there's more competition, and if it's
         | institutionalized then terms and all become more easily
         | compared. I think you're much more likely to get a good deal
         | when there are multiple investors than when you have to count
         | on the goodwill of the one investor you have access to
        
           | jedberg wrote:
           | It's an oligopoly though. The investors know each other's
           | terms, they have no reason to compete on that aspect. They
           | compete on other aspects, like their network with access to
           | potential acquirers and access to subject matter experts.
           | 
           | They don't really compete on terms, other than valuation. If
           | anything, as things become more transparent, the deal terms
           | are becoming more homogenized.
        
             | vikramkr wrote:
             | I don't think homogenized is a bad thing though, it
             | standardizes the process, and with swings in the market
             | (e.g. emergence and dissapearance of SoftBank) we see deals
             | change accordingly. By all accounts terms have changed
             | dramatically from what they used to look like in the 80s to
             | now, and an oligopoly is not a monopoly. Founders have some
             | semblance of market power now, and with increased
             | transparency people know what they're getting into and are
             | able to make sure they're getting a deal on par with what
             | they deserve. The competition on valuation is probably the
             | most important part now given that most other terms are
             | standardizes and generally founder friendly (and I don't
             | think terms are as homogeneous among all investors as you
             | might think, there are some crazy termsheets out there...)
        
               | jedberg wrote:
               | The terms are founder friendly, but they are no longer
               | employee friendly. All the value that used to go to
               | employees goes to VCs now.
               | 
               | It's a lot harder to hire good employees when they look
               | around and see that they have a much better chance of an
               | equity payout with RSUs from Google.
        
               | vikramkr wrote:
               | And if that proves out to be problematic for companies
               | (markets aren't instantly efficient, it takes time for
               | information to be incorporated), I think we'll see terms
               | shift to provide portfolio companies a competitive
               | advantage in hiring
        
               | jedberg wrote:
               | That's not how the real world works. Just like employee
               | wages don't magically go up when a few employers pay
               | more, it is unlikely that things will shift in employees
               | favor.
               | 
               | The situation now will just be the new normal.
        
               | vikramkr wrote:
               | Then in that case, the employees aren't actually
               | providing value to be worth the favorable terms in term
               | sheets and aren't providing a real competitive edge and
               | so aren't worth negotiating better terms for. I don't
               | think that's the case, and if employees provide a real
               | competitive advantage, then companies will need to be
               | able to attract them to survive. I don't see a world
               | where in the long run (and I admit that could be decades
               | - it took that long for terms to become founder friendly)
               | employees don't get more power if they actually bring
               | value. All it takes is a few years of wework style
               | Fiasco's where the founder walks away with a huge payday
               | and workers get screwed before workers start negotiating
               | harder, and founders that can oblige would be in a better
               | position. And frankly, if that ends up not mattering for
               | company success, then the employees clearly aren't worth
               | getting employee friendly terms. I don't think that's the
               | case though.
        
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