[HN Gopher] FDA just cleared a $20 Covid-19 antibody test
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       FDA just cleared a $20 Covid-19 antibody test
        
       Author : ck2
       Score  : 172 points
       Date   : 2020-03-20 21:41 UTC (1 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (coronachecktest.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (coronachecktest.com)
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | ars wrote:
       | Keep in mind this is an antibody test, it only works >1 week
       | after someone gets sick.
       | 
       | It might help differentiate COVID from Flu if someone is sick,
       | but it's not great for screening otherwise healthy people.
        
         | joezydeco wrote:
         | What if you're asymptomatic?
        
           | ElijahLynn wrote:
           | Should work if someone is asymptomatic because it tests the
           | antibodies that our bodies produce after having gotten SARS-
           | CoV-19.
        
         | gpm wrote:
         | I'm curious what you're basing the 1 week off of?
         | 
         | As far as I can tell the company isn't reporting any data about
         | how long it takes, but they think that it is likely to be
         | similar to SARS per their manuscript:
         | https://coronachecktest.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Devel...
         | 
         | > It was reported that after SARS infection, IgM antibody could
         | be detected in patient blood after 3-6 days and IgG could be
         | detected after 8 days. Since COVID-19 belongs to the same large
         | family of viruses as those that cause the MERS and SARS
         | outbreak, we assume its antibody generation process is similar,
         | and detection of the IgG and IgM antibody against SARS-CoV-2
         | will be an indication of infection.
        
       | Animats wrote:
       | OK, good. With both antibody tests and virus tests available,
       | people who have had COVID-19 and recovered, and now presumably
       | have immunity for some length of time, can be identified, even if
       | asymptomatic. They can go back to normal life. In China, they'd
       | be given a green card with a QR code to identify them.
       | 
       | How long immunity lasts after recovery is still an unknown. Maybe
       | for life, maybe for weeks. Repeated tests over time will tell.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | ElijahLynn wrote:
       | It says > "This test has not been reviewed by the FDA."
        
       | classics2 wrote:
       | Not fda reviewed, they don't even have permission to ship it yet,
       | per their own sales page.
       | 
       | Probably violating the master merchant agreement of every card
       | network by selling it at this point, so proceed with caution.
        
       | joezydeco wrote:
       | They also cleared the Pinnacle BioLabs assay. You can order a
       | 2-pack or a 25-pack.
       | 
       | https://www.pblabs.com/products/pinnacle-biolabs-covid-19-no...
       | 
       | Mine arrived in the mail this morning.
        
         | carlhu wrote:
         | The kit looks very interesting. Unfortunately, it appears to me
         | that the Pinnacle kit is not yet approved under the emergency
         | fda authorization, yes? I'm using this web page for reference:
         | https://www.fda.gov/medical-devices/emergency-situations-
         | med....
        
           | joezydeco wrote:
           | The in-vitro EUA list on the FDA page only seems to cover PCR
           | tests and not ELISA immunoassays (yet).
           | 
           | Pinnacle's webpage earlier this week said they were shipping
           | to the EU but waiting on the FDA EUA for shipments to the US.
           | The tracking on my order was marked as held up at the
           | factory.
           | 
           | The EUA notice disappeared from their website on Wednesday,
           | it shipped yesterday, and I got it this morning.
           | 
           | It's reasonable to believe Pinnacle obeyed the rules and
           | waited. My plans weren't to use the kit unless absolutely
           | necessary, so I can wait for the documentation to update.
        
         | WoodenChair wrote:
         | Are there any reviews? Any third party verification? How do I
         | know that this is legitimate? These are sincere questions, I'm
         | not just being difficult.
        
       | jupp0r wrote:
       | > The sensitivity is 97.90 %, the specificity is 91.77%.
       | 
       | This seems like it could provide a false sense of security to
       | many if used widely by the general population.
        
         | mikeha wrote:
         | And also this.
         | 
         | >Positive results may be due to past or present infection with
         | non-SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus strains, such as coronavirus HKU1,
         | NL63, OC43, or 229E.
        
         | chrisshroba wrote:
         | So other people don't have to google like I did: this means
         | this test should correctly diagnose 97.9% of people with the
         | disease, and should correctly diagnose (i.e. give a negative
         | result to) 91.77% of people without the disease.
        
         | product50 wrote:
         | Some smart ass always has to comment how this is not perfect
         | and thus not useful. Look at the alternatives. Should we just
         | keep on waiting otherwise?
        
           | joshmaker wrote:
           | But there are other tests, the US just didn't use them. South
           | Korea has had tremendous success with testing.
           | 
           | > On Feb. 4, two weeks after South Korea reported its first
           | coronavirus case, the government gave "emergency approval"
           | for Seoul-based Kogene Biotech to move ahead with the test
           | kits.
           | 
           | > Kogene currently exports test kits for the novel virus to
           | 35 countries in Asia, Europe and the Middle East.
           | 
           | https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/coronaviru.
           | ..
           | 
           | > Researchers say a viral test is relatively easy to develop.
           | Rather, scientists say, the chasm between the testing haves
           | and have-nots reflects politics, public health strategies
           | and, in some cases, blunders.
           | 
           | > South Korea opened nearly 600 testing clinics, including
           | dozens of drive-through stations. More than 250,000 people
           | have been tested
           | 
           | https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/20/world/europe/coronavirus-.
           | ..
        
           | vscientist wrote:
           | jupp0r is correct; this is a real problem for a disease that
           | is so contagious.
           | 
           | Lets say the covid-19 (real) prevalence is 0.1% in the US
           | now. That means 10k infected people for every 10 Million
           | people. If 10M take the test, 97.90 % sensitivity means, of
           | the 10k (true) infected people, 210 will show up as negative.
           | If these people go out and "mingle", there is potential for
           | the infection to pick up again.
        
           | cma wrote:
           | It is probably useful for getting population statistics and
           | directing higher level actions, or even overquarantining
           | people based on positives and false positives, but people
           | that get a false sense of security are a risk. There was an
           | article about a village leader who tested negative and had
           | 200 villagers come to congratulate him, then he tested
           | positive on a subsequent test.
        
         | sheeshkebab wrote:
         | Nothing is life is certain
        
         | kragen wrote:
         | It also means that, if that number is correct, 8.23% of not-
         | yet-infected people will test positive. At a time when only
         | 0.01% of people are infected, that means that 8.2301% of people
         | will test positive, and of those people, on average one person+
         | of every 82301 people will have the infection; the other 82300
         | are all false positives. They'll need to improve that for this
         | to be useful, since at the time 1% of the population is
         | infected, you're already suffering the worst catastrophe in a
         | century.
         | 
         | + (well, precisely 0.979 out of every 82300.979 people, but the
         | difference is not significant in this context)
        
       | yread wrote:
       | This group (Christian Drosten and the Dutch virologists who found
       | a human monoclonal antibody against COVID19) has published a
       | paper today which seems to be a better test:
       | 
       | https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.18.20038059v...
        
       | jspash wrote:
       | From the website: "This test has not been reviewed by the FDA"
       | 
       | So which is it?
        
         | ck2 wrote:
         | Website has not been updated. There's been news and press
         | releases.
         | 
         | https://www.biospace.com/article/releases/20-20-bioresponse-...
         | 
         | The "cleared" is a bit concerning to me, it's essentially the
         | lowest level of "okay" - there is all kinds of nonsense out
         | there that is "cleared" but I guess this is a bit of a
         | priority.
         | 
         | Mass bulk testing that is $1 a hit would be better, I thought
         | there were machines in place that could do this and just needed
         | reprogramming but that doesn't seem to have ever materialized
         | and was just another empty promise in the moment.
        
           | ilyagr wrote:
           | That's an excellent link, better than the one current story
           | points to.
           | 
           | > CoronaCheck was evaluated in China using 760 clinical
           | samples. In this cohort, 286 samples were confirmed positive.
           | Our manufacturers report a sensitivity of 97.2% and
           | specificity of 92%.
           | 
           | I wonder how this compared to other tests.
        
       | dktoao wrote:
       | Ummm, guys. Unsubstantiated claims along with a website clearly
       | designed to sell... Screams scam to me. If it is real, wait to
       | hear about it from the CDC or other reputable source.
        
         | chapium wrote:
         | Its so easy to take in news we want to hear. You are right,
         | this needs better sources.
        
       | kragen wrote:
       | "Qualatative detection of COVID-19's IgM and IgG antibodies"
       | 
       | I hope their test kits are more carefully made than their
       | website.
       | 
       | I mean, normally I know it's in poor taste to criticize someone's
       | spelling, since what really matters is their ideas, not their
       | educational background or learning disabilities. But I think this
       | case is an exception: we're talking about a company who's
       | claiming to offer a solution to the biggest problem in a century
       | -- a solution that requires extreme and exacting quality-control
       | processes to make sure it functions correctly. An obvious
       | spelling error on the front page of their website could, of
       | course, be a fluke; but it bespeaks a company whose expertise
       | does not include extreme and exacting quality-control processes.
        
         | skellington wrote:
         | Why? That's how the test kit works. It develops colored stripes
         | that you QUALITATIVELY interpret. There is interpretation in
         | the meaning of the saturation of the strip color.
        
           | gbjw wrote:
           | I think they are referring to the (mis)spelling of
           | 'qualatative.'
        
       | nsxwolf wrote:
       | Isn't "cleared" status the same thing that those laser hair
       | regrowth hats get?
        
         | ck2 wrote:
         | -exactly- and why it's a bit concerning but I guess right now
         | it's all they can do to rush it out the door and cover all the
         | mistakes made to now
         | 
         | "cleared" is like "won't kill you" status and that's about it
         | 
         | Except I guess in this case if you get a false negative you can
         | accidentally kill someone else?
         | 
         | The hindsight on this disaster a year or two from now is going
         | to be stunning.
        
       | jariel wrote:
       | They need to be free, universal, and possibly mandated in some
       | areas.
       | 
       | Given the 'cost' is shutting down the economy and 1 trillion Fed
       | bailout, it's probably worth widespread distribution of these
       | things, and nailing down 'everyone' who has it, just as S. Korea
       | is doing. They have not 'shut down' their country, they're just
       | aggressive at going after cases.
        
         | chki wrote:
         | This test will not be able to help by shipping it out to
         | everyone. As someone else in this thread already described, if
         | you give everybody in the US this test, the probability that if
         | someone tests positive he/she is not actually infected is well
         | over 99%. Also there will be a lot of cases where people are
         | infected but haven't had an antibody reaction yet. Those will
         | not test positive.
        
       | CriticalCathed wrote:
       | Is this a serum or antibody test? If so, this is very good news.
       | 
       | If mass testing occurs we will know very soon the true nature of
       | the disease. For example, after serum testing for H1N1 we learned
       | -- to our horror -- that 1.4 billion people had it. However, it
       | also meant that H1N1 wasn't as dangerous as we thought it was.
       | 
       | I hope this will give the medical community and our governments
       | the clear data we desperately need. The decisions our governments
       | are making are based on unsound data -- we are flying blind.
        
       | chrisweekly wrote:
       | "Shipping to consumers for home use can occur only after receipt
       | of Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) from the U.S. FDA. Please
       | check back for updates."
       | 
       | um...
        
       | absherwin wrote:
       | This is an antibody test which will only be positive days after
       | the onset of symptoms.
       | 
       | This is principally useful for several purposes:
       | 
       | 1. Figuring out who to isolate in hospitals if the RNA test isn't
       | available in sufficient quantity
       | 
       | 2. Understanding who has already recovered from COVID-19 and is
       | thus immune with all that implies in terms of inability to spread
       | the disease and reduced need for PPE
       | 
       | 3. Enabling us to confirm continued immunity later this year and
       | understand how long the recovered will remain immune
       | 
       | This is not unique to this company. It's unclear to me whether
       | the price is meaningfully less than competitors.
       | 
       | This thread is helpful for further understanding of the test and
       | its utility:
       | https://twitter.com/NAChristakis/status/1240689953895411714
       | 
       | Two more helpful references: State of testing techniques as as of
       | a week ago: https://sph.nus.edu.sg/wp-
       | content/uploads/2020/03/COVID-19-S...
       | 
       | The paper on which this test is based:
       | https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/jmv.25727
        
         | gridspy wrote:
         | Bear in mind in relation to immunity -- "Positive results may
         | be due to past or present infection with non-SARS-CoV-2
         | coronavirus strains, such as coronavirus HKU1, NL63, OC43, or
         | 229E."
        
           | teruakohatu wrote:
           | Slightly off topic question: are people who have been
           | infected with those varieties have any sort of immunity
           | against covid-19?
        
         | BurningFrog wrote:
         | A test for who is immune seems _very_ important a few months
         | down the road!
        
           | munk-a wrote:
           | Oh that's easy - just find one of those Floridian beach
           | goers. Anyone still fine in three weeks is immune.
        
         | supdatecron wrote:
         | > will only be positive days after the onset of symptoms.
         | 
         | If you're asymptomatic, would it also be positive?
        
           | dogma1138 wrote:
           | Yes since it's an antibody test.
        
         | pfranz wrote:
         | > 2. Understanding who has already recovered from COVID-19 and
         | is thus immune with all that implies in terms of inability to
         | spread the disease and reduced need for PPE
         | 
         | I've been looking forward to seeing this kind of test just for
         | this reason so we can whitelist people. But since a large
         | percentage of people don't have symptoms how can you tell if
         | you're still shedding the virus?
        
         | nostromo wrote:
         | Question: would it show who has antibodies from previous
         | exposure, long after they've been exposed?
         | 
         | It'd be great for people to know if they have antibodies and
         | can return to work.
        
       | baybal2 wrote:
       | That's an antibody test, not an RNA test. Quite a different
       | thing.
       | 
       | It will only detect an infection when you have an immune response
       | already. It will not if you don't.
       | 
       | RNA tests can detect the virus even if it doesn't turn a person
       | diseased.
        
         | cactus2093 wrote:
         | I don't know how much precedent there is for this type of
         | testing (have we used similar things for Ebola or SARS or
         | measles or anything else?).
         | 
         | I've read that this will be useful in broad studies to track
         | how widely the disease might have spread without being
         | diagnosed. But will this type of antibody test eventually be
         | available for any doctor to order for a patient? I'm just
         | getting over a fairly mild but persistent chest cold which also
         | had me with a slight fever last week, and would really like to
         | know if it is/was covid-19 or not. Last week when I still had
         | the worst of the symptoms, my doctor said I didn't meet enough
         | of the criteria to be tested.
        
         | whateveracct wrote:
         | Surely still important progress & a big deal though, right?
        
           | lisper wrote:
           | This will make it easier to tell if a symptomatic person has
           | COVID or something else. But it won't help with early
           | detection, which is what is most urgently needed.
        
             | noelsusman wrote:
             | We needed early detection weeks ago. That ship has sailed.
             | At this point a test like this is probably more urgent. The
             | lead time on getting tests for patients showing up to the
             | hospital (i.e. they have symptoms) will make a massive
             | difference in how much PPE the hospital goes through.
        
           | mantas wrote:
           | Big chance of getting false-positive. People will think
           | they're clear and won't distance themselves from vulnerable.
           | While they may be carriers.
        
             | Amygaz wrote:
             | I don't know why you are being down voted. The risk is for
             | false-negative, but you are right that people might think
             | this is going to clear them.
             | 
             | Even the manufacturer/supplier warns that: "Negative
             | results do not preclude SARS-CoV-2 infection and should not
             | be used as the sole basis for patient management decisions.
             | Negative results must be combined with clinical
             | observations, patient history, and epidemiological
             | information."
             | 
             | They also indicate: "The sensitivity is 97.90 %, the
             | specificity is 91.77%."
             | 
             | But when you read the technical document you realize that
             | this was for a subset of patient. The real numbers are
             | 88.7% and 90.6% respectively, and again these are for
             | severe cases.
        
             | JshWright wrote:
             | That would not be the effect of a false positive.
             | 
             | In any case, these tests would be used to confirm or rule
             | out SARS-CoV-2 as the cause of someone's symptoms. They
             | wouldn't be used for routine screening of asymptomatic
             | people.
        
         | hackcasual wrote:
         | This also requires a blood sample, as opposed to a swab.
        
           | baybal2 wrote:
           | That's actually better, some competent people said, because
           | the chance of contact with virus carrying bodily fluids is
           | eliminated
        
             | hackcasual wrote:
             | Except people generally don't like needle sticks.
        
         | gopalv wrote:
         | > That's an antibody test, not an RNA test.
         | 
         | Yes, this is an exposure test - which works okay for a
         | completely novel virus like this one.
         | 
         | The real question is whether this has a drop-off factor for
         | immunity for instance (i.e non-infectious herd immune) or if it
         | can differentiate between exposure and carrier for the disease.
         | 
         | It might be useful right now, but it will get less useful as
         | the months go by.
         | 
         | For instance, the QuantiFeron test for TB tests me as positive
         | because my white blood cells take TB very seriously (or so it
         | looks like).
        
         | 1996 wrote:
         | It will also detect recent infection after the virus has been
         | wiped out but the antibodies remain.
         | 
         | So this is much better than any RNA test to assess the
         | progression of the disease through the population.
        
         | KerrickStaley wrote:
         | From my understanding, this should still detect the virus in
         | individuals with mild or no symptoms, correct? Because those
         | individuals do have an immune response.
         | 
         | But what you're saying is that RNA tests will have better
         | recall during the initial stages of infection when the virus is
         | multiplying in someone's body and that person doesn't yet have
         | an immune response?
        
           | Gibbon1 wrote:
           | That I understand is totally correct.
        
         | adrr wrote:
         | It's important to test the public to see the penetration into
         | the population. People who test positive should get an RNA test
         | to determine if infected. People who are not infected become
         | valuable assets to keep logistics and supply chain up and work
         | front line tasks as they have little risk of getting infected.
         | This group people can return back to normal life and don't need
         | to be lockdown.
        
           | CreepGin wrote:
           | I can't help but ask... How much risk is "little risk" here?
           | Can they still contribute to the spread? And what percentage
           | of population can fall into this group?
        
             | codyb wrote:
             | I think if you test positive with an antibody test but not
             | an rna test it means your immune system has the ability to
             | fight it off from a previous infection but the virus isn't
             | currently multiplying inside you.
        
             | devonbleak wrote:
             | If you're testing positive for antibodies and negative for
             | the virus RNA itself it means your immune system has been
             | exposed and recovered. This is also what you'd expect to
             | see in someone that has been vaccinated. They would not be
             | contagious at that point because the virus is not present.
             | This is not the same as someone that gets infected but is
             | asymptomatic - they would still test positive for RNA.
             | 
             | The percentage of the population that would naturally fall
             | into this group would likely be very small given this is a
             | novel virus so pretty much nobody's immune system had been
             | exposed prior to a few months ago, and we're seeing pretty
             | massive infection rates globally.
        
             | maxerickson wrote:
             | We don't know.
             | 
             | The period of immunity following infections varies, and
             | this virus is not well understood.
        
         | Gibbon1 wrote:
         | I think it's likely useful for mild cases and for detecting
         | people previously infected. People that recovered can be put to
         | work in hazardous places. And can donate plasma to make
         | serum[1] for treating sick people.
         | 
         | [1] Antivirals are a crap shoot but serum works hands down.
        
           | frandroid wrote:
           | How about a source for that [1]
        
             | hackcasual wrote:
             | https://www.jci.org/articles/view/138003
             | 
             | It's far to early to call it a slam dunk for nCov-2, but it
             | is a treatment already used for rabies and hepatitis.
        
         | product50 wrote:
         | Are you a doctor? If not, why are you commenting on things you
         | have no expertise on?
        
         | erentz wrote:
         | One reason people seem to be missing for why antibody tests are
         | very useful is it will allow us to confirm those that are now
         | immune. We can't get this from the RNA testing because it's
         | primarily being used on only symptomatic people at the time
         | they have symptoms (and then only if they can get the test
         | which typically means severe symptoms)
         | 
         | But if we start to test widely for antibodies we can start to
         | clear people from this effective quarantine/lock down situation
         | we are going through. Those people can then start to go back to
         | regular life (what's left of it), moving around as normal,
         | doing work helping others, so on, and that will help all of us
         | (and of course the economy).
         | 
         | I don't know if this is something that anyone official is
         | talking about yet, but it seems like it should be.
        
           | jimmcslim wrote:
           | > I don't know if this is something that anyone official is
           | talking about yet, but it seems like it should be.
           | 
           | I agree. I think this will greatly help with people's mental
           | state, etc, plus they can help family and friends who are
           | under quarantine. The question of how long immunity lasts, is
           | it effective, etc is still a bit open. Also, how in a Western
           | democracy do we distinguish (from the point of view of law
           | enforcement personnel) between those who are immune and those
           | who are breaking quarantine?
        
           | yzmtf2008 wrote:
           | Having antibody doesn't mean you can't spread the virus. For
           | example, antibody tests are often used to diagnose HIV, but
           | testing positive for HIV antibody (i.e. you are infected)
           | doesn't mean that life will be normal.
        
           | throwaway2048 wrote:
           | There is evidence that people can become re-infected, so
           | antibodies aren't enough.
        
             | xsmasher wrote:
             | Citation?
             | 
             | I saw the one story about people "testing positive again"
             | but that seemed to be a testing abnormality, not people
             | getting sick a second time.
        
             | crispyporkbites wrote:
             | Citation? IIRC all of the examples were either false
             | positive re-tests or atypical patients (i.e. with some
             | immune issue that only supressed the virus when they tested
             | negative)
        
             | erentz wrote:
             | There's not good evidence of that. There have been cases of
             | people testing negative then positive again but that
             | doesn't mean they had cleared the virus and got reinfected.
             | It more likely means they had a false negative. (E.g. I
             | have a friend in hospital right now with COVID-19 that has
             | had four tests, one positive, two negative, then one
             | positive again, all tests within the space of four days.)
             | 
             | It also can be the case if you are immune compromised that
             | you may clear the virus through good luck, drugs, and your
             | innate immune response. But you never developed a good
             | adaptive immune response and so don't show a strong
             | antibody response.
             | 
             | Immunity to this virus may not last 10+ years, but it's
             | seeming unlikely that is lasts less than 6 months.
        
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       (page generated 2020-03-20 23:00 UTC)