[HN Gopher] How H-E-B planned for the pandemic
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       How H-E-B planned for the pandemic
        
       Author : parkaboy
       Score  : 147 points
       Date   : 2020-03-26 15:52 UTC (7 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.texasmonthly.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.texasmonthly.com)
        
       | PTOB wrote:
       | After moving from Texas years ago, the emptiest hole in my life
       | is still H-E-B.
        
         | skunkworker wrote:
         | I miss their Hill Country Fare store brand and their meat
         | department
        
           | dustincoates wrote:
           | And their tortillas. Can't forget those.
        
       | heyflyguy wrote:
       | On Monday I realized we needed to restock our own shelves for
       | this week. Nothing in large quantities, just trying to be a good
       | citizen. I went to Tom Thumb and they were sold out of most
       | necessity items. Same at Wal Mart. Same at Kroger. I went to HEB
       | and bought a week's worth of everything I needed except eggs
       | which they were sold out of.
       | 
       | HEB, Dr. Pepper and Whataburger are Texas treasures as far as I'm
       | concerned.
        
         | uberduper wrote:
         | Whataburger is no longer TX owned. :(
        
         | bigtex wrote:
         | Don't forget Blue Bell.
        
           | StillBored wrote:
           | Or shiner which made a reasonable beer when everyone else was
           | trying to be bud. I thought they had gotten absorbed, but no
           | they are apparently still independent.
        
         | techsupporter wrote:
         | What sucks is the last two aren't "Texan" and haven't been for
         | a while. The original Dr Pepper company hasn't been owned by a
         | Texas firm for decades and Dr Pepper Snapple sued their last
         | iconic bottler, Dublin Dr Pepper, nearly out of existence, but
         | definitely out of bottling cane sugar Dr Pepper, eight years
         | ago. And two years back, the Hobson family cashed in and sold a
         | majority of Whataburger to a private equity firm out of
         | Illinois.
         | 
         | I wonder how much longer the Butt (yes, really) family will
         | keep hold of H-E-B.
        
       | smacktoward wrote:
       | The interesting bit here: this is a company that has a full-time
       | Director of Emergency Preparedness. They've had plans for dealing
       | with a pandemic flu outbreak on the books since the bird flu
       | outbreak of 2005. So when it actually happened, they could just
       | pick up those plans and run with them.
       | 
       | This is remarkable because it's hard to imagine most American
       | companies, which are always looking to squeeze out a little more
       | profit to juice the quarterly report, keeping someone on staff
       | whose full-time job is to plan for what seem in good times like
       | extremely remote contingencies. H-E-B, notably, is privately
       | held.
        
         | superquest wrote:
         | > This is remarkable because it's hard to imagine most American
         | companies, which are always looking to squeeze out a little
         | more profit to juice the quarterly report
         | 
         | HEB is privately owned and run by the owners. Those are very
         | different incentives than public or VC-backed ventures.
        
         | gfisher wrote:
         | What's even more interesting to me is that HEB has a chief
         | medical officer on staff at all times as well.
        
           | theNJR wrote:
           | They were by far my favorite retailer to work with when I was
           | CMO at Quest Nutrition.
        
           | tbyehl wrote:
           | Everyone operating at scale in the food supply chain needs an
           | executive with medical/scientific expertise. The risks from
           | foodborne illnesses are real.
           | 
           | It feels like an eternity ago but there were several major
           | food scares, recalls, and deaths, from contaminated
           | vegetables last year.
        
           | leetrout wrote:
           | I dig this. If I were ever blessed with the opportunity to
           | run a private, profitable company these are the types of
           | people I would want to hire and retain. Building a company
           | with a slice of my citizens. My local food distribution
           | company had the volunteer fire chief on payroll in a town
           | that couldn't afford to pay a salary for a full time chief. I
           | think it was a great civic service to let him leave work when
           | we had calls during the day.
           | 
           | Some day...
        
         | worldsoup wrote:
         | also important that this is a private company that does not
         | face the same quarterly earnings pressure as a publicly traded
         | company
        
         | ranrotx wrote:
         | Another thing worth noting: HEB is privately (family, I
         | believe) owned. The difference is night and day between their
         | stores/employees and those of the competing grocer in my area
         | that is owned by private equity.
        
           | dopamean wrote:
           | Which could explain the lack of interest in squeezing every
           | bit of profit out of it. For them their name is literally on
           | the business so being prepared to do the right thing is
           | important to them.
        
         | notJim wrote:
         | I don't think contingency planning is actually that unusual for
         | large companies. I did Google searches for "$groceryChain
         | director of contingency planning" and found that many major
         | chains have them (via LinkedIn). Also found some for hotel
         | chains, etc.
        
           | criddell wrote:
           | Is contingency planning the same thing as emergency
           | preparedness?
        
             | kortilla wrote:
             | Yes. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Contingency_plan
        
               | criddell wrote:
               | From that page:
               | 
               | > A contingency plan is a plan devised for an outcome
               | other than in the usual (expected) plan.
               | 
               | That sounds a lot broader than emergency preparedness.
        
         | eterm wrote:
         | If you're a big company then busuiness continuity plans are
         | required to get those magic ISO numbers that enterprise clients
         | and insurers like to see.
        
         | tnorthcutt wrote:
         | It probably doesn't hurt that the Texas coast regularly gets
         | hit by hurricanes, so they deal with emergencies (albeit on a
         | smaller scale than this) somewhat frequently.
        
           | Kalium wrote:
           | Even their HQ is in an area that regularly floods. Disasters
           | are a somewhat regular event for them.
        
           | mchristen wrote:
           | HEB is routinely one of the first on site with stockpiles of
           | water and essentials ready to go during disasters.
           | 
           | I'm so happy they have my back.
        
       | mbrd wrote:
       | I've just got back from doing an HEB shop about 10 minutes ago,
       | our first shop since the crisis full hit the USA. It was
       | surprisingly pleasant!
       | 
       | There was a short queue to get in (~5 people stood 6 feet apart),
       | but once inside there were very few customers compared to any
       | other time I've been in the store. I got everything that was on
       | my shopping list.
       | 
       | Of the things that I saw labelled as limited to a certain number
       | per transaction, toilet paper was the only one that was
       | completely out of stock (I didn't check hand sanitizer, but
       | assume it was too). I got eggs, milk etc with no problems.
       | 
       | I spoke to the cashier and they said toilet paper sells out by
       | 10am most days.
        
         | starpilot wrote:
         | I'm in Seattle, and the grocery stores here are almost exactly
         | in the same state. 90% back to normal. Just no one's posting on
         | social media the full shelves now.
        
           | empath75 wrote:
           | It wasn't a panic. People were rationally stock piling so
           | they would have to make fewer trips to the store later.
           | 
           | Now that they've stocked up, they're not going to the store.
        
             | Tempest1981 wrote:
             | Someone compared it to preparing for a big snowstorm.
        
           | skunkworker wrote:
           | I just shopped at my local Trader Joe's here in Utah and they
           | had pretty much everything back in normal stock amounts.
           | Costco though still was out of 5 or 6 staples
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | mimixco wrote:
       | I shop HEB and I noticed they were ahead of this thing weeks ago.
       | Their delivery service is terrific and, though quantities are
       | limited and deliveries have to be scheduled several days in
       | advance, you can still buy everything.
       | 
       | The article doesn't mention the huge food bank donations the
       | company has made during the crisis. HEB is a good corporate
       | citizen and a great place to shop. As the story says, thank an
       | HEB employee for everything they're doing right now.
        
       | aka1234 wrote:
       | Moved from central Texas to Dallas about a year ago. Wife drives
       | an hour out of her way just to shop at HEB because fuck Kroger.
       | 
       | P.S. Dallas is a shithole.
        
       | bdcravens wrote:
       | We went to HEB a couple of days ago. There was no toilet paper,
       | but plenty of meat, milk, eggs, etc. A trip to Target a few days
       | prior found a store deplete of all of the above.
        
       | throwaway5752 wrote:
       | _" Justen Noakes: So when did we start looking at the
       | coronavirus? Probably the second week in January, when it started
       | popping up in China as an issue. We've got interests in the
       | global sourcing world, and we started getting reports on how it
       | was impacting things in China, so we started watching it closely
       | at that point. We decided to take a harder look at how to
       | implement the plan we developed in 2009 into a tabletop exercise.
       | On February 2, we dusted it off and compared the plan we had
       | versus what we were seeing in China, and started working on step
       | one pretty heavily."_
       | 
       | Read the article. It is rage-inducing how much better a single
       | grocer did than the federal government with all of its resources.
       | January. Talking with counterparts in China. Executing on
       | existing disaster plans (federal response had one, but ignored it
       | https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/25/trump-coronavirus-n...).
        
         | chrisco255 wrote:
         | The competence of private companies in the U.S. shouldn't
         | enrage you, that's one of the U.S.'s strengths.
        
           | joe_the_user wrote:
           | I don't think the GP is enraged that there are competent
           | private sector actors. I'd guess they're enraged that this
           | competence can't be transferred to the places where it could
           | matter 10x or 100x more. I feel kind of similarly.
           | 
           | An obvious example is that the president could have picked a
           | highly competent, non-partisan manager as the head of his
           | coronavirus team. Regardless of his competence, Vice
           | President Pence is clearly a polarizing figure without a
           | track record of dealing with crises of this scale.
           | 
           | This crisis could really benefit from a highly competent
           | manager who could bust heads and sweep away bureaucratic
           | hurdles. But that person would need to be someone honestly
           | trusted by all stakeholders. We're seeing lots of actors
           | maneuvering to gain ideological advantage even in the midst
           | of these terrible events (shame on them). I don't even know
           | if such a person exists any more but their non-existence
           | would mean the US is in for serious trouble.
        
           | throwaway5752 wrote:
           | I'm obviously enraged by the incompetence of the federal
           | response, not the strength of H-E-B's.
        
             | heliodor wrote:
             | You get what you pay for, basically. If governments were to
             | pay top dollar and actually fire incompetent people, I'm
             | sure our world would be a much better place.
        
             | jonfw wrote:
             | That's government work for you
        
               | nicoburns wrote:
               | Not everywhere though. Governments in Singapore, Japan,
               | South Korea amongst other places have had an excellent
               | response.
        
               | jonfw wrote:
               | I feel that the successes in those countries result more
               | from their cultures than their governments.
               | 
               | One of the common criticisms of those countries is the
               | singular culture that creates social pressure. Social
               | pressure can go a long way in these sorts of events.
               | 
               | Taking these tiny, mono-cultural, rich countries and
               | comparing them to the world's leading superpower does not
               | make a strong argument.
        
               | kube-system wrote:
               | The social difference is only relevant in that it results
               | in a different governing style. US style lock-downs have
               | so far been very voluntary in nature compared to what
               | several other countries are doing.
        
               | anbop wrote:
               | Singapore is anything but a mono-cultural country and is
               | only recently rich. Basically through extreme government
               | competence they made themselves rich and yes, their
               | society definitely has Chinese at the top but unlike the
               | US, the society is not completely riven by racial strife.
        
               | nicoburns wrote:
               | How do you explain the early government-enforced
               | shutdowns, and expansive testing programs? I think the
               | response from the general population has _also_ been
               | better in some of these countries, but there is a marked
               | difference in the government responses.
        
               | azmodeus wrote:
               | Comparing a large multicultural richer country does seem
               | weird.
               | 
               | Indeed a tiny 126 million soul tiny country can not be
               | compared with a country of 330 million souls. Also the
               | USA having 1.5x the GDP / Capita does make Japan the
               | richer country.
               | 
               | These countries unlike the USA have more economically and
               | socially interventionist governments. I do wonder if the
               | culture of Germany is closer to Japan or USA. To tackle a
               | pandemic do you need more leadership or culture?
               | 
               | I mean beyond national security where is USA leadership?
        
               | lonelappde wrote:
               | > the USA having 1.5x the GDP / Capita does make Japan
               | the richer country.
               | 
               | ???
        
           | malandrew wrote:
           | > The competence of private companies shouldn't enrage you,
           | that's one of the their strengths.
           | 
           | When you have to compete, you have to develop competence to
           | survive. Only those that don't have to compete (monopolies)
           | or those that survive despite incompetence (bailouts) are the
           | exceptions.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | worldsoup wrote:
             | need to throw the federal bureaucracy into the 'don't have
             | to compete to survive bucket'
        
               | pjscott wrote:
               | They fall under the category of monopolies.
        
           | ardy42 wrote:
           | > The competence of private companies in the U.S. shouldn't
           | enrage you, that's one of the U.S.'s strengths.
           | 
           | That's a misleading and false generalization. You can't
           | cherrypick one of the better prepared companies to make a
           | statement about companies in general. Especially when there's
           | nonsense all over the news about other companies like
           | GameStop and Guitar Center claiming to be essential retail
           | against all reason:
           | https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/25/business/coronavirus-
           | esse....
        
             | kortilla wrote:
             | How is finding an anecdote a invalidate a generalization?
             | The majority of the most powerful global corporations are
             | US companies. They don't (in general) get that way by being
             | incompetent.
        
               | Chai-T-Rex wrote:
               | You can't support a point about private companies in the
               | US in general with a point solely about powerful global
               | corporations that are US companies.
        
             | giggles_giggles wrote:
             | This is interesting because the GP, I think, didn't intend
             | to say "private" to mean "privately held", but I think it's
             | worthwhile to note that GameStop and Guitar Center are
             | publicly traded while H-E-B is still family owned.
             | 
             | H-E-B does a lot of things that are more benevolent than
             | the kind of behavior that we're used to seeing from
             | publicly-traded organizations and I can't help but wonder
             | if the private ownership (truly private, as opposed to
             | publicly-traded) has something to do with that.
             | 
             | H-E-B is one of the things I will really miss if I ever
             | have to leave Texas. They're always there any time there is
             | any kind of disaster, to provide relief. I've even heard
             | that they treat their software engineers well (they bought
             | Favor). They're really a one-of-a-kind company. I hope they
             | never IPO.
        
         | Reedx wrote:
         | The failure goes well beyond just the federal government too.
         | 
         | One example being NYC leaders and even health officials
         | encouraging New Yorkers go participate in parades and other
         | large gatherings through Feb and even into March, with messages
         | of defiance against Coronavirus concerns:
         | 
         | https://mobile.twitter.com/wesyang/status/124303311804449997...
         | 
         | Edit: Removed ventilator comment as that specific claim seems
         | to be misleading, and it's not something particular to NY. Many
         | governments weren't prepared for a surge.
         | 
         | The U.S. as a whole had plenty of advanced warning about
         | ventilator[1] and pandemic preparedness[2].
         | 
         | 1. https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/disaster-medicine-
         | an...
         | 
         | 2. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Af6b_wyiwI
        
           | ardy42 wrote:
           | > New York was warned years ago that they didn't have enough
           | ventilators and had the opportunity to stock up, but chose
           | not to.
           | 
           | That's misleading.
           | 
           | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/mar/25/donald-
           | tru...:
           | 
           | > A 2015 New York state report said that in the case of a
           | "severe" pandemic, the state would be short about 16,000
           | ventilators during the peak week. _But the report did not
           | recommend buying 16,000 ventilators_ [emphasis mine], and did
           | not indicate whether the state was at a fiscal position to
           | purchase them.
           | 
           | > The state did not plan to increase its ventilator stockpile
           | because it anticipated that in the event of a severe crisis,
           | there would be shortage of trained staff to operate them and
           | demand would outweigh any emergency stockpile.
           | 
           | > The report said the state had to balance the likely
           | ventilator shortage with the need for adequate funding for
           | current and ongoing health care expenses.
           | 
           | And even if New York had bought them, _they 'd still be
           | significantly short_. Apparently current projections say
           | they'll need 30,000 (https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/24/gov-
           | cuomo-says-new-york-need...).
        
             | anbop wrote:
             | I'm sure there are 16,000 people that would be thankful
             | that you were 14,000 ventilators short instead of 30,000.
        
           | lonelappde wrote:
           | The Health Commissioner on Feb 9 was still pretty early.
           | That's 8 weeks ago, ancient history in this pandemic.
           | 
           | On Feb 25, over 2 weeks CDC said covid-19 was detected in the
           | US (from travelers back from Wuhan) and wasn't a risk for
           | spreading among the general public.
           | 
           | The flu is here every year but we don't cancel parades.
           | 
           | De Blasio on Mar 2 was a lot later.
        
         | mc32 wrote:
         | If it's any comfort few governments have shown the same amount
         | of forethought and attention to detail.
         | 
         | Singapore has done well, but besides them there have been lots
         | of missteps all over.
        
           | azepoi wrote:
           | South Korea, Germany and Taiwan have done well. Most other
           | countries really mishandled it. Denial until the last minute
           | with no preparedness even when neighbour countries were
           | already in dire situations.
        
             | screye wrote:
             | Must mention India in some sense too.
             | 
             | Given the scale of difficulty, the country has moved
             | swiftly.
             | 
             | It is yet to be seen if it is even possible to organize a
             | shutdown the solve this problem, at India's scale. But,
             | even the naysayers have acknowledged that in this case Modi
             | made good decisions.
        
               | satya71 wrote:
               | Na, they're reacting too late. Given India's size and
               | lack of healthcare infrastructure, they should have
               | shutdown international travel and tested exhaustively
               | early on. They let it get out of control and now are
               | imposing a haphazard shutdown. The shutdown is needed,
               | but there are too many reports of poor people going
               | hungry for days.
        
           | malandrew wrote:
           | Singapore is tiny. It's an area 6 times the size of San
           | Francisco with a border with passport control.
        
           | throwaway5752 wrote:
           | The US has what is generally considered the worst COVID-19
           | response among developed nations.
        
             | something539953 wrote:
             | Italy and Spain are not developed countries?
        
               | kube-system wrote:
               | The US is going to blow past Italy and Spain in a couple
               | of days.
        
               | Tempest1981 wrote:
               | The US passed Italy (and China) today. And Spain
               | previously. Although only for cases, not deaths.
               | 
               | https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html
        
             | lonelappde wrote:
             | Even compared to China Communist Party who tried to
             | suppress their own doctor's evidence of it and let it
             | spread to the whole world
             | 
             | And Italy, where 1 in 10K have already died?
        
             | malandrew wrote:
             | On a per capita basis, the US is at 20% of where Italy is.
        
               | fzeroracer wrote:
               | Italy is also
               | 
               | A. Doing far more testing
               | 
               | B. Further along the pandemic curve
               | 
               | Give it another week or two and you'll see how bad things
               | are really going to be.
        
             | oh_sigh wrote:
             | Generally considered among who? Epidemiologists? Public
             | health officials? Anonymous commenters on message boards?
        
               | res0nat0r wrote:
               | I'm going with "everyone" now that the USA is #1 at
               | something as of today: The most diagnosed cases of any
               | country in the world, even China.
        
             | CraigJPerry wrote:
             | I don't think the US as a whole, NY seems to have its
             | finger out. Testing really well too.
        
               | _delirium wrote:
               | NY has done more widespread testing than most states, but
               | lost a lot of time ramping up its hospital capacity
               | (beds, staffing, and equipment). Cuomo issued an order to
               | do that only on Feburary 26. I could imagine not wanting
               | to preemptively take stronger measures like turning
               | convention centers into makeshift hospitals, but not
               | clear why they weren't at least increasing stocks of PPE
               | and generally getting better prepared for a possible
               | influx of cases.
        
               | satya71 wrote:
               | What about Bill de Blasio refused to shutdown restaurants
               | and pubs over St Patrick's day, because "He wasn't there
               | yet"
        
               | heliodor wrote:
               | Good response now but slow to pull the trigger on the
               | lockdown. People seem to have forgotten that already!
               | Precious days were wasted before Cuomo finally called a
               | lockdown.
        
               | halfmatthalfcat wrote:
               | Try winding down a city of 8 million in one day without
               | instilling fear, panic, a run on groceries, etc. Taking
               | three days to slowly get everyone working from home is
               | sound especially when you're just starting to get a grip
               | on the situation. I'm biased though, living in Queens.
        
               | throwaway32120 wrote:
               | Yep. Just a week ago Cuomo was shut down the idea of
               | shelter in place when de Blasio (who had been dragging
               | his feet as well) was suggesting it[1]. This was a day
               | after the Bay Area health officers announced a shelter in
               | place order. He only relented when things really spun out
               | of control.
               | 
               | The fact that people like Cuomo are now being praised for
               | the way they handled this suggests that we aren't going
               | to learn the lessons we need to.
               | 
               | [1] https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/17/politics/bill-de-
               | blasio-andre...
        
           | wahern wrote:
           | The U.S. Federal government's response is better
           | characterized as willful incompetence bordering on
           | maliciousness, than a misstep. NY Governor Cuomo and NYC
           | Mayor De Blasio deserve special mention for cynically playing
           | a game of chicken with each other, together with Trump, and
           | the three of them with COVID-19; the losers are the poor
           | people of NYC.
           | 
           | I think the San Francisco Bay Area counties did a pretty
           | decent job (not S. Korea or Singapore, but that's a high bar)
           | and I'm optimistic that they've significantly bent the curve
           | (that's what I see plotting the data), but can't be very
           | confident until after this weekend.
        
       | draw_down wrote:
       | This is an ad.
        
       | DoreenMichele wrote:
       | Previous article about how Waffle House handles supply chain
       | issues in the face of disasters. It's practices are so good, the
       | federal government uses the Waffle House Index to help gauge
       | impact of disasters.
       | 
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=15105662
       | 
       | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Waffle_House_Index
        
         | yankeehue wrote:
         | https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/25/business/coronavirus-waffle-h...
        
           | DoreenMichele wrote:
           | Yes, I'm aware.
           | 
           | My best understanding is that current Waffle House closures
           | have nothing to do with supply chain problems and are mostly
           | due to state or local restrictions on venues like
           | restaurants. Many places are insisting that takeout is fine,
           | but dine in is unacceptable (and I don't disagree with that).
           | 
           | Complying with the law to contain the pandemic in no way
           | tarnishes their track record for having an amazingly robust
           | supply chain system.
        
       | lonelappde wrote:
       | Texas Monthly writes great longform articles, thorough and
       | informative and without the heartstring manipulating hype usually
       | seen in magazines.
        
       | adrianmonk wrote:
       | Several days back, they put out a video to try to discourage
       | panic buying by reassuring customers they have plenty of
       | everything in their warehouse:
       | 
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A7hCw5Q8qGw
       | 
       | I enjoyed watching the video just because it gives an idea how
       | big one of these company's warehouses is. (Best view starts about
       | 0m55s.) Those are some tall shelves, and there are a lot of rows
       | of them.
       | 
       | They're supplying probably millions of people with food, so it
       | makes sense, but I still found the visual impact interesting.
        
         | mc32 wrote:
         | What I don't get is people hoarding perishables. Like what is
         | your plan? Have it, is that the plan, have it?
         | 
         | At least TP or water have a long shelflife, but (regular) milk
         | and eggs???
        
           | aidos wrote:
           | Eggs last quite a long time. Not that it worries me, my hens
           | laid their first egg today! Believe it or not, people in the
           | Uk actually panic purchased chickens this week.
        
             | graton wrote:
             | Yep. In the US, eggs in the refrigerator should be good for
             | 4-5 weeks after the listed expiration date on the package.
        
             | yardie wrote:
             | American eggs have a relatively short shelflife. In order
             | to make it look more marketable they wash and bleach the
             | protective coating. A natural egg should be brown but in
             | America they are all white. If you buy your eggs from a
             | farm you're fine to leave it in the pantry. If you buy it
             | from an American supermarket you'll need to keep it in the
             | fridge.
        
               | learc83 wrote:
               | >A natural egg should be brown but in America they are
               | all white.
               | 
               | That is incorrect. Different hens lay different colored
               | eggs.
        
               | aidos wrote:
               | Yup, can confirm. Our first egg is from our Pheasant
               | Leghorn, which lays white eggs.
        
               | DanBC wrote:
               | Yes. The shell colour is genetic. https://www.canr.msu.ed
               | u/news/why_are_chicken_eggs_different...
               | 
               | Also, the thing farmers do have control over is the
               | colour of the yolk.
               | 
               | You can buy Egg Yolk Color Charts:
               | http://www.robotmation.co.jp/keiranycceng.htm
               | 
               | This article talks about it a bit more:
               | http://blog.chickenwaterer.com/2013/03/influencing-egg-
               | yolk-...
        
               | aidos wrote:
               | Even weirder, if a chicken has white earlobes, it
               | probably lays white eggs. Not always, but mostly
               | (apparently).
        
               | empath75 wrote:
               | It's actually because American eggs are washed that you
               | have to put them in the fridge.
        
           | gwern wrote:
           | To eat first, obviously. Delay being forced back onto the
           | nonperishables as long as possible.
        
           | stagger87 wrote:
           | You can freeze milk and eggs for like a year no problem.
        
             | StillBored wrote:
             | If the s __t really hits the fan you won 't be able to run
             | that freezer for long unless you also have sufficient solar
             | and an ability to run it without grid tie.
        
             | SketchySeaBeast wrote:
             | I never had any luck unfreezing milk - the water and cream
             | unfroze at different rate, and it ended up weird.
        
               | effingwewt wrote:
               | You can just shake it vigorously to reconstitute it. More
               | places than you may think freeze their milk until they
               | are ready to use it. I personally find that low fat or
               | skim milk takes to unfreezing better.
        
       | totablebanjo wrote:
       | Putting aside the awful human toll... I'm looking forward to
       | reading and hearing from demand planners/time series forecasters
       | about how they responded. Both in terms of updating models as
       | well and how they communicated within their companies. One idea
       | to alleviate the future forecasting challenges raise from this
       | would be to add an explanatory variable/flag this time period.
       | Another challenge will be if there are aftershocks and waves of
       | social distancing required which could lead to more panic buying.
        
       | yourapostasy wrote:
       | Check out the city-oriented forums around the Net for Texas
       | cities. I just sampled cities as diverse as El Paso, San Antonio,
       | Houston, Dallas, and Austin, and the article doesn't do justice
       | to how fervently Texans appreciate H-E-B, and how much the
       | company shows its appreciation to its customers. Some quick
       | Googling around in past disasters shows this is a love story that
       | stretches back decades. Costco and H-E-B are possibly this
       | generation's Nordstrom's story.
        
         | bobbiechen wrote:
         | >Costco and H-E-B are possibly this generation's Nordstrom's
         | story.
         | 
         | Can you elaborate on what this "Nordstrom's story" means?
         | Didn't find anything on a quick search.
        
           | yourapostasy wrote:
           | Nordstrom a decade ago was very well-publicized for its
           | customer service. Example write-up [1]. Could all be PR-
           | drummed-up. But from first-hand experience, at least in my
           | experience they were customer-focused.
           | 
           | [1] https://sharpencx.com/blog/nordstrom-customer-service/
        
           | function_seven wrote:
           | Nordstrom was (still is?) notorious for their customer
           | service. Taking anything back, helping customers with
           | whatever requests they had, and generally going much further
           | than a reasonable company would.
           | 
           | https://www.bizjournals.com/jacksonville/blog/retail_radar/2.
           | ..
           | 
           | (The tire story is half-true it turns out. Nordstrom didn't
           | just occupy a former tire store location, they bought out the
           | company that sold the tires.)
        
         | kodablah wrote:
         | Aside from a couple on the far west side of the metroplex, HEB
         | hasn't really moved into the DFW area yet (Central Market
         | notwithstanding)
        
       | el_don_almighty wrote:
       | Having moved away from the Austin area to Illinois, all I can say
       | is...man I miss H-E-B
        
       | gwern wrote:
       | > Craig Boyan: We've been working very hard right now to deliver
       | meat and poultry and eggs to our stores. We're accelerating
       | opening a new warehouse in Houston that was due a few months
       | later. We're taking some of our warehouses in the state and
       | transitioning them over to serving just meat, because we're
       | seeing such significant demand for meat, poultry, and eggs. We're
       | still having a real hard time sourcing eggs. We had big loads in
       | the last few days, and they've been scooped up as soon as they
       | hit the shelves, so we're working very hard with egg suppliers to
       | see where we can get additional eggs. But our meat plant is
       | running 24/7--we have our own meat plants here. They normally
       | don't go 24/7, but we've focused them down to serving the top
       | fifty items out of our meat plants; they normally carry several
       | hundreds. [Focusing on top items] means fewer changeover delays,
       | and it allows us to ship significantly more meat. We're seeing
       | those kinds of moves across the board as we look to ramp up
       | volume in a rapid way.
       | 
       | One interesting thing about disasters and wars is the ways in
       | which they point out (if only by subtraction) how the world
       | spends its capabilities and resources during peacetime. In this
       | case, what HEB is pointing out is 'the cost of variety': by
       | offering hundreds of slightly different meat products, HEB is
       | able to manufacture a lot less total than it would if it focused
       | on a few products and could scale them & get economies of scale /
       | experience curves (http://www.overcomingbias.com/2014/02/what-
       | cost-variety.html). Similarly, one can see this with any retailer
       | like Aldi or Apple which makes a point of having as few distinct
       | units as possible.
       | 
       | This massive societal loss is particularly disconcerting when you
       | note how rarely the different varieties ever actually differ in a
       | noticeable way (I've done this with many food staples), and in
       | some cases are literally the same product in different labeling
       | (for price discrimination); they don't exist because of any
       | actual need for such specialization, but because they can and
       | they are useful for rich First Worlders to help signal & consume
       | an identity. But when the rubber hits the road, no one _really_
       | needs those hundreds of varieties of slightly different meat
       | products, and 50 works fine.
        
         | nicoburns wrote:
         | What's been amazing to me about this shutdown is how little of
         | our population's work is actually required. We have key workers
         | only working and... we still have everything we really need.
         | 
         | Ok, so some of that work would be missed over longer
         | timescales, but I still feel like there's a lot of wasted
         | busywork.
        
           | stuartc23 wrote:
           | you're amazed that people have interests besides their basic
           | needs?
        
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