[HN Gopher] Show HN: I built a service to discover and monitor r... ___________________________________________________________________ Show HN: I built a service to discover and monitor rapidly growing trends Author : mikerubini Score : 272 points Date : 2020-04-04 10:18 UTC (12 hours ago) (HTM) web link (treendly.com) (TXT) w3m dump (treendly.com) | shireboy wrote: | Very interesting and nicely done. I could see lots of uses for | this. | | One possible glitch. I searched for ".net" (as in the programming | framework) and got no google searches. Maybe am escaping issue | there too? | mikerubini wrote: | Hey there, | | Thanks a lot and thanks for the feedback. It's probably due to | dot in the search query. I'll fix it! =) | arianestrasse wrote: | I opened the page and tried to register but got "Too many | requests" message. Any reason for that? | | Edit: Also, the website field doesn't accept at least some | ccTLD's. | mikerubini wrote: | Hey there, | | Thanks for the feedback. | | Re: "Too many requests", not really but I do have some | throttling in place. I'll see what's going on. | | Re website field: I'm just using an HTML5 input with HTML | validation (type="URL" kind of thing). | | I'll fix these ASAP. Thanks for the comment! | mikerubini wrote: | Updating re: "Too many requests" - it was, indeed, the strict | throttling. It's now ok. | diimdeep wrote: | How many trends you are currently tracking? How many in total are | curated trends? | mikerubini wrote: | Hello, | | With Treendly, I am embracing transparency and openness by | sharing our app and revenue metrics with everyone. | | So, you can find that info here: https://treendly.com/open | | So far, we have 1.5K trends in the db but not all are growing | and rising. | | Keep in mind that we track a lot more keywords/topics in order | to find a rising trend. | | Thanks for commenting! | kirubakaran wrote: | You're running this on a $5 server? Impressive! Thanks for | making the stats open. | | Your scrapers are probably expensive to run, right? They | don't seem to be listed. | diimdeep wrote: | How many keywords/topic ? BTW, seems broken | https://treendly.com/trend/%D0%A4%D0%9D%D0%A0?geo=RU | mikerubini wrote: | Hello, sorry I missed this comment. | | A lot of keywords/topics. We don't currently support | languages with special characters. Please, search in | English. | chasers wrote: | Google Trends scraper. | mikerubini wrote: | Yes, we do take data from Google Trends as well as other | sources. | | Thanks for commenting! | bobosha wrote: | Are you able to share which other sources? | mikerubini wrote: | Yes! It relies on Google Trends, Google News, Google | searches, Amazon searches, Twitter searches and YouTube | searches (for now!) | | We also have a partner for e-commerce data (usecart.com) | saturday14 wrote: | Is this based on Google Trends? Where is the data coming from? | | Interesting project, btw | mikerubini wrote: | Our data relies on Google and it is based on what consumers are | searching for. | | Specifically, it relies on Google Trends, Google News, Google | searches, Amazon searches, Twitter searches and YouTube | searches (for now!) | | We also have a partner for e-commerce data (usecart.com) | saturday14 wrote: | Very cool. I guess as you grow, you could get more partners | and the data will keep getting more and more accurate. I wish | big guys like Amazon released aggregated sales data. | | How do you get access to Amazon searches, google searches | etc? do you have to pay for those? | mikerubini wrote: | Absolutely. I don't pay to access data. All of my projects | are around collecting data. I'm a master scraper [?] | | If you are curious, at https://rubini.solutions you can | check out my other SaaS products =) | saturday14 wrote: | Just checked your list of products, very cool! | | I've always wondered about building a career with | scraping, but never got around to it. One reason is the | legality of scraping - big sites like Craigslist have | gone after (and shut down) smaller projects. I believe | priceonomics (YC company) built a big business with | scraping. | riku_iki wrote: | And how do you scrap Google data? They don't ban you or ask | to enter "I am not robot" captcha? | mikerubini wrote: | No, as I mentioned, I'm a master scraper. | saturday14 wrote: | Are you not breaking their ToS though? | mikerubini wrote: | Nope, everything is ok | marian2js wrote: | The project looks very good. It would be nice a feature to modify | the time range, for instance on the Covid-19 trends, Zoom is -50% | over the last 30 days. It would be interesting to know the change | over 2 or 3 months. | mikerubini wrote: | Hello there, | | Thanks! Yes, range modifier is coming, but also please take | note that -50% is the change regarding the last 30 days | compared to the previous 30 days. | | This year the month over month growth in the US was 3.52% which | is very good. And, the average interest was only 4.85% which | tells me there's still a lot of margin for growth. | | https://treendly.com/trend/zoom | _____smurf_____ wrote: | Good work! | | I have few questions: 1/ How do you determine keywords/topics. Do | you use any kind of clustering, or do you manually enter the | labels? 2/ How do you deal with different languages? 3/ How do | you deal with Spams. | mikerubini wrote: | Hey there, | | Sure. | | 1 - Please read https://treendly.com/tech and | https://treendly.com/models - those should answer this =) | | 2 - We are still in the process of dealing with special | characters in our search. But, it's coming along! Right now you | can search in pretty much all languages that do not require | special chars (English, Italian, etc..). | | 3 - Spams? I don't understand the question | | Thanks for commenting! | riedel wrote: | Hi Mike, nice work! I noticed that you have some problems with | UTF8 characters like German umlauts. Might want fix that: | https://treendly.com/trend/Kunstliche-Intelligenz?geo=DE | mikerubini wrote: | Hello there, yes I'm aware and fixing. | | Meanwhile please feel free to search in English. | | Thanks for the feedback! =] | kevinyun wrote: | Hey Mike, this looks really interesting -- nice work! We're going | to try it out to follow 'referral software' topics. Any | tips/advice you can give us? I've already created a new Track for | that keyword set. | mikerubini wrote: | Hey Kevin, | | Sure, let me understand your needs a little bit more. What kind | of software? Like a getrewardful.com ? | | Also, feel free to connect over email: mike@rubini.solutions or | Twitter: @mikerubini | orbifold wrote: | The interest over time graph uses spline interpolation to connect | the datapoints, while that might look prettier than straight | lines, it is something that is strongly discouraged in a | scientific / data analysis context, because the curving line does | not carry meaningful information. | mikerubini wrote: | Hey there, | | I agree with your analysis, actually. I'll try with straight | lines and see how it looks! | | Thanks for the feedback! | londons_explore wrote: | There are other more valid ways to make a curved line. | | If your data points are equally spaced in time, look into | 'sinc interpolation' | mikerubini wrote: | Interesting, thanks! | atreyad wrote: | Do you mind pointing to some links that explain why? | narrator wrote: | Is the data coming from Google Trends? If so, are you worried | they're going to shut down your scraping at some point? | mikerubini wrote: | Our data relies on Google and it is based on what consumers are | searching for. Specifically, it relies on Google Trends, Google | News, Google searches, Amazon searches, Twitter searches and | YouTube searches. We also have a partner for e-commerce data | (usecart.com) | | I'm not too worried. Everything that is publicly available and | printed to a screen, I can take. So unless they completely shut | down the service, I should be good =) | | Thanks for the comment! | mikerubini wrote: | Hey everyone, my name is Mike and I'm the developer. | | On Treendly, you can search a topic or keyword in any region and | immediately get an understanding of its trend. | | You can also set up alerts so that you can monitor a | keyword/topic and be alerted when it begins trending. | | Treendly also curates trends. Getting in early on a trend is key | these days and within a few minutes, you can find a topic that is | worth exploring. | | Under the hood, I also try to predict how a trend will perform in | the near future by using Facebook Prophet and other similar | technologies. Right now we are predicting using the last 5 years | of data on any topic. | | Hope you like it! | mikesabat wrote: | Sales/marketing guy here. I like the idea. If you want to get | more signups, be clearer about what I get if I signup. There is | a huge yellow banner on the trend page, telling me it's better | to signup. Use some of that space to tell me why it's better | and what registered users get. | mikerubini wrote: | Hey Mike, | | Nice name! I hear you. Will update that banner with more info | now! =) | | Thanks for the feedback! | ryan_glass wrote: | Great idea - I can see this being popular. Small heads-up on | responsiveness needing fixed on tablet in portrait view. | mikerubini wrote: | Thanks for the feedback! I'll fix it | treyfitty wrote: | Kinda tangential: but what's with startups naming their companies | ending in vowels since 2010- especially ending in -ly? It kinda | irks me but I can't put my finger on it. | mikerubini wrote: | Hey there, | | Good observation. I personally do not spend a lot of time | finding a domain, or a logo, or setting up the perfect | onboarding sequence, etc.. | | The truth is the business can work out with whatever domain. I | have another SaaS (in the e-com space) that started with the | domain angage.net and now we have usecart.com - maybe if we | grow we'll get cart.com | | But, when you start, you don't need 99% of the things you'd | think you need - and a good domain is one of them. | | When I'm starting a SaaS I focus on its core features and | making it profitable. | | Just my 2 cents | bobwaycott wrote: | It started with registering .ly domains (think bit.ly). Then it | stuck for others who weren't using a .ly domain. Same trend | occurred for .io domains. There was also that trend of | _removing_ vowels. | ficklepickle wrote: | Little CSS bug in the nav bar. 770px to 1200px screen width | causes a horizontal scrollbar to appear. The problematic rule is | coming from bulma.css, so it might be easiest to just set | div.nav-left { overflow: visible; }, that fixed it for me. | | Chromium on Debian, FYI | mikerubini wrote: | Hey there, | | Thanks for the feedback! I'll fix it ASAP | NicoJuicy wrote: | https://treendly.com/trend/Fitness?geo=FR | | There's a huge uptick for fitness gear and it seems not being | signalled. | | All gear in France and Belgium are sold out. I'm pretty sure it's | elsewhere too. | mikerubini wrote: | Hello Nico, | | It depends on what you search. Just searching for "fitness" is | not enough. | | In fact, we did spot a trend. Look at trends like: - | https://treendly.com/trend/at-home-workout?geo=FR - | https://treendly.com/trend/gym-equipment-rental | | You can also try searching trends directly in French (but | without the special characters, please). | | Thanks for commenting! | jefflombardjr wrote: | Really cool - I'm interested in this. Despite similar services - | I like your opportunity indicator. Love the search functionality | idea - but hit a bug so it took a couple of tries to get it to | search. | | This has potential and I hope you keep working on it. I would | consider paying for it down the road if it's more mature. Also | hit the free limits very quickly. | mikerubini wrote: | Hey Jeff, | | Thanks for the feedback. We have no limits on all tiers | regarding searches: you can search all the keywords/topic you | want, for free. | | The only limit we have on the free plan is the fact that you | can track only 1 trend, meaning that you can receive alerts | only for one trend. | | The other limit we have on the free plan is regarding curated | trends, because these are trends that we personally curate and | are rising and I feel like $9/m is not a lot of money to get | access to those opportunities. | | Are you referring to any of these limits in particular? | dgtlmoon wrote: | Beat you by about 16 years on that one, sadly the website is not | around anymore and the CSS appears to be broken.. | | https://web.archive.org/web/20070210013005/http://trendwatch... | | check out 'blog' | https://web.archive.org/web/20070501172450im_/http://trendwa... | | or 'youtube' which had just 80,000 results.. | | https://web.archive.org/web/20070501172450im_/http://trendwa... | mikerubini wrote: | Interesting, thanks for the comment! | AznHisoka wrote: | Whose is your target customer? Ie what are their job titles and | what are their jobs? How would your tool fit into their workflow? | mikerubini wrote: | Hello, at this point this question is hard to answer. | | I've identified a lot of real customer profiles (as I call | them) that can use the product and receive value. | | Some of those are: e-commerces, marketers, affiliates, | investors, SEO experts. If you are curious, you can read more | about each of them on the homepage, in the "use cases" section. | | I don't know which one of these customer profiles will benefit | the most at this point. It's too soon, but time will tell. | | Thank you for the comment! | AznHisoka wrote: | Nice. A lot of people have said that tools like Glimpse and | ExplodingTopics are cool and fascinating but they find it | hard to find a concrete use case for them. once you find that | target audience, I recommend really nailing down that value | proposition. Rather than rely on people trying to find a job | to be done for it. | 1337biz wrote: | On the website you are showing 7 trends for free. So I created an | account in the assumption that I can see more for free. But when | I logged in I can only see 6 for free and then you are trying to | upsell me. That doesn't make sense. | mikerubini wrote: | You are right, I'll give logged users the ability to see a | little bit more trends =) | | Thanks for the comment! | capableweb wrote: | Tried adding a monitor for a trend with two words, got lots of | matches for just one of the words that is generic. Tried then | again but putting the two words in quotes, expecting it'll match | the entire query instead of each one of them individually, but | then encountered bug that quotes turn into %22 and trend report | has no data. | | Otherwise, looks like a useful service! Thanks for sharing | mikerubini wrote: | Ah, thanks for this. I'll fix it right now! =) | p2detar wrote: | A bit slow when searching, also there seems to be an issue with | umlaut letters. But keep it up! | mikerubini wrote: | Hey, yeah, it's probably overload from HN. Thanks for the | feedback! | DeathArrow wrote: | I've got no data while searching for "javascript". Is the signal | too small or does the app only cather to some niches? | mikerubini wrote: | Nope, it's probably just overloaded from HN. | | I just updated the trend and, as you can see, it does show the | data: https://treendly.com/trend/javascript?geo=US | | We don't cather to any specific niche: | | Thanks for the comment! | capableweb wrote: | According to the " Interest over time by search volume " | graph over the last 5 years, interest/what-your-measuring | seems to have decreased. | | I'm my experience, but I'm probably in a bubble, more and | more people are talking, interested in and using JavaScript, | in the last 5 years, but again, probably biased as I'm a web | developer. | | Is the graph adjusted to the number of people on the planet | or some other metric? Or why do you think it shows the data | it's showing? | z3t4 wrote: | JS got an upswing with Node.JS. But was then EEE:ed. | capableweb wrote: | They entered the European Economic Area (Espacio | Economico Europeo in Spanish)? | mikerubini wrote: | Hello there, | | The graph is a little bit adjusted, but if you go on Google | Trends, you will actually see the same trend: https://trend | s.google.com/trends/explore?date=today%205-y&ge... | seapunk wrote: | Hi Mike, your service and interface remind me Exploding Topics | [https://explodingtopics.com/]. | | Known as Trennd before and launched here: | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=20478339 | | I noticed you have a related searches section with amazon queries | and youtube queries. | | Do you plan to display accounts/pages ranking the best for these | queries? | mikerubini wrote: | Hey there, | | Yes, we both find rising trends but we differ in so many ways. | | First and foremost, we give our users the ability to monitor a | keyword/topic over time. As a user, you can receive daily, | weekly and monthly email alerts. | | Secondly, you can search a keyword/topic in any country and | what you search stays private to you so that you can build your | own private library of trends. | | Thirdly, each trend has so many related topics that we find by | querying Google, Amazon, YouTube, etc that you can dive into. | | And finally, we have a beta feature where the tool forecasts | how a trend will likely perform in the next 6 months. | | > Do you plan to display accounts/pages ranking the best for | these queries? | | No, but I do have another tool in the making for Amazon self | publishers. I don't know if you are in that target market. | supremerumham wrote: | Hi Mike, I like the YouTube search queries. | mikerubini wrote: | Thanks! It's a nice addition and we plan to add more =) | bastijn wrote: | So this is a bit like https://explodingtopics.com but with a | different angle to find the categories and trends? I see no | "world/global" option, is that on purpose? | | I do like how the data is presented in the details page. In | exploding topics you have to leave the site to see the same on | gtrends. | mikerubini wrote: | Hello there, | | Yes, we both find rising trends but we differ in so many ways. | | First and foremost, we give our users the ability to monitor a | keyword/topic over time. As a user, you can receive daily, | weekly and monthly email alerts. | | Secondly, you can search a keyword/topic in any country and | what you search stays private to you so that you can build your | own private library of trends. | | Thirdly, each trend has so many related topics that we find by | querying Google, Amazon, YouTube, etc that you can dive into. | | And finally, we have a beta feature where the tool forecasts | how a trend will likely perform in the next 6 months. | monkin wrote: | Exploding Topics has a one huge advantage. They don't require | account to search and test. Maybe leave basic features for | everyone to use without account? | mikerubini wrote: | You actually do not require an account to see the trends in | the home page. For example, | https://treendly.com/trend/dalgona-coffee is free to look | at at. | | You do require an account to search because I'd like to | understand who is searching and protect me a little bit | better against bots. Also, searching has a much higher | computing cost for me under the hood. | | Hope it explains why I did it this way. Thanks for the | comment! | bastijn wrote: | Thanks for explaining. So Exploding topics as a Service and | with additional features to make it a business. Can be | interesting depending on how accurate your trend spotting are | and how well the prediction beta feature works. Keeping track | of new technology trends and competitors offerings is a | healthy amount of work in any business. If a service could | already take out the initial search part that could be value. | mikerubini wrote: | I agree 100% that it could be a lot of value. That's what | I'm going for =) | oogetyboogety wrote: | I liked this for example to watch how people are going crazy due | to viral epidemiology | https://treendly.com/trend/Healthcare?geo=US | mikerubini wrote: | Yep, you might also like our coronavirus case study: | https://treendly.com/blog/coronavirus | | Thanks for commenting! | lettergram wrote: | I created something similar to be deployed on any network | (internet, company, even social group): | | https://hnprofile.com/ | | Happy to discuss with you (OP) about some things I learned along | the way. | mikerubini wrote: | Seems cool! Your thing is specific to HN, though, right? I plan | to integrate HN as a source in Treendly, too. | lettergram wrote: | The way our system works (might be similar - but Treendly | looks like integrations?) is looking solely at comments. | Basically, all that's sent to our API are messages (author, | comment/message, and some unique identifier). From there we | use topic modeling to determine related topics, track | sentiment, trends, author expertise, etc | | We also have: | | - https://redditprofile.com/ | | - https://insideropinion.com | | - https://lettergram.net | | Among others... | | Are you (OP) planning to make this a business? | mikerubini wrote: | Got it, yes. Building successful SaaS products is my | business =) | m3kw9 wrote: | How is this different from google search trends? | mikerubini wrote: | Google Trends is for researching things you've heard of. | Treendly is to find things you haven't. | Jemm wrote: | I don't see Canada on the list which makes me sad eh. | mikerubini wrote: | Just added! | | Sorry about that, I'm manually adding them one by one after I | test them. | | Thanks for the comment! | saadalem wrote: | I know trennd could be the inspiration, but what is different ? | mikerubini wrote: | First and foremost, we give our users the ability to monitor a | keyword/topic over time. As a user, you can receive daily, | weekly and monthly email alerts. | | Secondly, you can search a keyword/topic in any country and | what you search stays private to you so that you can build your | own private library of trends. | | Thirdly, each trend has so many related topics that we find by | querying Google, Amazon, YouTube, etc that you can dive into. | | And finally, we have a beta feature where the tool forecasts | how a trend will likely perform in the next 6 months. | | Btw, I'm pretty sure that I originally launched this tool | before them. I'm just revamping it now =) | [deleted] | cmauniada wrote: | A suggestion! While logged in, when you want to track a trend, it | isn't clear how I can track it after I search for it. | | Instead of having a dropdown list menu for choosing frequency, it | would be nice to spread them out. Like a normal list, or 4 types | of buttons. Or you can also add a plus button which might bring a | popup asking the frequency type too. | mikerubini wrote: | That's a fantastic feedback! I'm going to do that now. Thank | you! | personjerry wrote: | How is this different from Glimpse https://meetglimpse.com/ ? | mikerubini wrote: | We both find rising trends but we differ in so many ways. | | First and foremost, we are an actual tool you can use, not a | simple newsletter. | | We give our users the ability to monitor a keyword/topic over | time. As a user, you can receive daily, weekly and monthly | email alerts. | | Secondly, you can search a keyword/topic in any country and | what you search stays private to you so that you can build your | own private library of trends. | | Thirdly, each trend has so many related topics that we find by | querying Google, Amazon, YouTube, etc that you can dive into. | | And finally, we have a beta feature where the tool forecasts | how a trend will likely perform in the next 6 months. | _curious_ wrote: | Goodstuff Mike, thanks for making and showing Treendly! | | "Proudly built nomading." i love it. | mikerubini wrote: | My pleasure, and thank you for checking it out! | [deleted] | mam2 wrote: | how does it work ? if i look for "business" i have not so much | about business... | sdrothrock wrote: | I tried it out and it doesn't seem to support unicode well. | | I searched for "Xue Xiao " (Japanese: gakkou, school) in Japan | and the results page was headed with "%E5%AD%A6%E6%A0%A1". | | Additionally, the actual results weren't great; it found a 2014 | movie and a handful of Amazon/Youtube searches that aren't | accurate. Some of the Youtube search results weren't even | Japanese, but Chinese. | | Just in case I'd weirdly picked a bad word (dubious since school | closings etc. are all over the news), I also tried pankun | (Japanese: pan-kun, the name of a chimpanzee who was famous for | being with Shimura Ken, a recently deceased comedian), which is | currently trending on Twitter. | | I didn't get any trend information at all. | mikerubini wrote: | Hello there, | | Yes, I'm aware of the bug. We don't support Japanese characters | still. Sorry, I'll fix it as soon as I can. | | Meanwhile, please give the tool a second chance by searching in | English if you can. | | Thanks for the feedback! | sdrothrock wrote: | Maybe remove the Japan option until you do support Japanese? | It just seems to be an invitation to make yourself look bad. | :/ | mikerubini wrote: | Yep, thanks for the feedback! =) ___________________________________________________________________ (page generated 2020-04-04 23:00 UTC)