[HN Gopher] Ancient Egyptian pregnancy test survived millenia be...
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       Ancient Egyptian pregnancy test survived millenia because it worked
       (2018)
        
       Author : vezycash
       Score  : 95 points
       Date   : 2020-04-23 19:14 UTC (3 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (science.howstuffworks.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (science.howstuffworks.com)
        
       | teilo wrote:
       | > Researchers currently poring over the papyri in the Carlsberg
       | Collection are finding that medical information discovered in
       | ancient Egypt didn't disappear when the Library of Alexandria
       | burned
       | 
       | That's because almost nothing was lost when the library at
       | Alexandria burned. Because there was almost nothing there to burn
       | at the time. The library had long been in decline by this time
       | period, and there were many other great centers of learning in
       | the world which had extensive libraries. Why does this myth still
       | persist?
        
         | sillysaurusx wrote:
         | Can anyone verify or contradict this, with reliable sources?
         | 
         | I've spent my whole life believing that it was a disaster when
         | the library at Alexandria burned. Is it possible it wasn't a
         | big deal? How do we know?
        
         | throwaway_pdp09 wrote:
         | Probably because I've never heard anyone contradict it until
         | just now. If you have some reliable references, I'd be happy to
         | learn from them!
        
           | ashtonkem wrote:
           | Alexandria also mostly had copies, they were famous for
           | stealing books from arriving ships in order to make copies
           | for a while there.
        
             | CyreneOfCyrene wrote:
             | Incoming ships got searched for books because there was a
             | law in place made by one of the Ptolemies that any ships
             | coming in would be required by law to lend any books on
             | board to the library to make copies. Sometimes, the scribes
             | would keep the original and give the copy back because they
             | would be hard to distinguish.
        
           | wl wrote:
           | https://www.open.edu/openlearn/ocw/pluginfile.php/437863/mod.
           | ..
        
             | throwaway_pdp09 wrote:
             | That's not great. A quick skim says that the number of
             | books were probably (edit typo: overestimated) by a fair
             | bit:
             | 
             | "The actual numbers were probably lower, perhaps by as much
             | as one order of magnitude"
             | 
             | Reference to this says "a library that was a tenth of this
             | size [sc. the 500,000 in Ps.-Aristeas] would still have
             | been very large in antiquity") so it was a large library. I
             | have to say, claims of hundreds of thousand weren't really
             | plausible anyway.
             | 
             | Second it doesn't say it was dwarfed elsewhere at the time.
             | It does say "The Library of Alexandria, however
             | comprehensive for its time, was not on a scale comparable
             | with the great research libraries of the twentieth
             | century[0]". Which is fair, but doesn't support what you
             | say.
             | 
             | finally it doesn't say (that I can see) that it was empty
             | when destroyed. The guy does say there's now way it would
             | have survived a long time due to the humidity and climate
             | it was in, but doesn't suggest (AFAIKS) that it was nearly
             | empty when it was destroyed.
             | 
             | [0] well duh
             | 
             | So I'm going to go with the more common view for now.
             | Thanks anyway.
        
         | ardy42 wrote:
         | >> Researchers currently poring over the papyri in the
         | Carlsberg Collection are finding that medical information
         | discovered in ancient Egypt didn't disappear when the Library
         | of Alexandria burned
         | 
         | > That's because almost nothing was lost when the library at
         | Alexandria burned. Because there was almost nothing there to
         | burn at the time. The library had long been in decline by this
         | time period, and there were many other great centers of
         | learning in the world which had extensive libraries. Why does
         | this myth still persist?
         | 
         | Because it's a rather romantic myth, and it's repeated by
         | influential people in still-prominent works (e.g. https://old.r
         | eddit.com/r/badhistory/comments/1nqrl0/carl_sag...).
         | 
         | The actual source howstuffworks.com cites for that section
         | doesn't mention the myth (https://sciencenordic.com/denmark-
         | videnskabdk/unpublished-eg...). My guess is the "freelance
         | science writer" who wrote this piece interpolated it for color
         | from a memory of a pop-science source like the one in the
         | critique above.
        
           | hutzlibu wrote:
           | I also learned it in school on history class, as probably
           | most other people. (And I believe they still teach it). Good
           | to get an update.
        
       | aazaa wrote:
       | There's more about this in an Atlantic article:
       | 
       | > One of the oldest descriptions of a pregnancy test comes from
       | ancient Egypt, where women who suspected they were pregnant would
       | urinate on wheat and barley seeds: If the wheat grew, they
       | believed, it meant the woman was having a girl; the barley, a
       | boy; if neither plant sprouted, she wasn't pregnant at all.
       | Avicenna, a 10th-century Persian philosopher, would pour sulfur
       | over women's urine, believing that the telltale sign was worms
       | springing from the resulting mixture. In 16th-century Europe,
       | specialists known as "piss prophets" would read urine like tea
       | leaves, claiming to know by its appearance alone whether the
       | woman who supplied it was pregnant.
       | 
       | https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2015/06/history-h...
        
       | Herodotus38 wrote:
       | A similar method, that is detecting hCG in urine, was used in the
       | early 20th century by injecting into xenopus frog.
       | 
       | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2211252/pdf/brm...
       | 
       | Another recent article: https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-
       | news/doctors-used-to-us...
        
       | gus_massa wrote:
       | Is there a link to the study where they got the 70%? If they used
       | a group with a 50% of pregnant women then 70% is not too much.
       | Also it would be nice to know the number of women to estimate the
       | error in the 70%. *If they had 10 women in total and they get the
       | right result in 7, it is not impressive at all.)
       | 
       | Also, the weeks of pregnancy are important. This test is useful
       | proably in before the week 6, but I think the homones level
       | change with time.
        
         | credit_guy wrote:
         | I'm trying to picture a bunch of archaeologists deciphering
         | some Egyptian papyri, and then going to some hospital (or maybe
         | university) to enlist women who would be willing to pee in some
         | bags with wheat and barley. In order to assess the accuracy of
         | an ancient wives' tale.
        
       | syntaxing wrote:
       | I always like to think about the first person who thought of
       | this. "Hmm let's pee on some wheat and barley, I wonder if this
       | will prove if the woman is pregnant".
        
         | watwut wrote:
         | Some woman peed on wheat/barley while working outside, it
         | sprouted. She noticed and later found out she is pregnant.
         | Theory formed, gossip did rest to let others know too.
        
         | emmelaich wrote:
         | There's also the strong link between fertility and spring.
        
         | hutzlibu wrote:
         | It was a different time, with magic thinking.
         | 
         | Urine was (and is) considered to be strong magically tied to
         | the person, so it was on focus for shamans and priests since
         | ages. And used in combination with many other materials, to
         | heal, to foresee, to curse ..
         | 
         | And given, that urine does contain many personal informations,
         | there is truth to it ..
        
         | RandallBrown wrote:
         | It's probably something more like the wheat and barley was
         | waste and they peed in the same area they dumped their waste.
         | 
         | One family noticed their barley was sprouting, while another's
         | didn't. Shortly after, the family with the sprouts had a baby.
         | It could have taken generations for this to be actually used as
         | a pregnancy test.
        
           | ardy42 wrote:
           | It's also possible that there was some theory behind it that
           | was wrong but happened to lead to an accurate technique.
        
             | nerdponx wrote:
             | I was going to suggest this. The Romans for example took a
             | lot of medical interest in urine.
        
           | TheCondor wrote:
           | It's still a remarkable observation. Presumably urination was
           | a private thing then as it is now. It seems like a coin toss
           | between some 'shaman' suggesting it and it turned out to be
           | true vs the many observations that had to happen.
           | 
           | Women generally have a good idea, perhaps some women started
           | to observe it as they maybe didn't want more children and
           | didn't want men to know about it and we worried about each
           | and every possible indication that could reveal it.
        
             | roel_v wrote:
             | Urination isn't really private in most of the world outside
             | the West.
        
       | lurquer wrote:
       | Ambient temperature is important. Seeds are more likely to sprout
       | at certain temps, and women are more likely to conceive in
       | certain seasons (spring, for instance... not due to biology, but
       | rather due to cultural/farming/religious cycles.)
        
       | gwern wrote:
       | The paper in question: "ON AN ANCIENT EGYPTIAN METHOD OF
       | DIAGNOSING PREGNANCY AND DETERMINING FOETAL SEX", Ghalioungui et
       | al 1963 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1034829/
       | 
       | I'm mostly surprised that they cite two previous experiments by
       | Manger (1933, "Untersuchungen zum Problem der Geschlects diagnose
       | aus Schwangerenhamn"
       | https://www.gwern.net/docs/biology/1933-manger.pdf ) and Hoffmann
       | (1934, "Versuche zur Schwangerschaftsdiagnose aus dem Harn"
       | https://www.gwern.net/docs/biology/1934-hoffmann.pdf ). Who knew?
       | Truly an example of Cowen's second law.
        
       | jdtang13 wrote:
       | Not a fan of the patronizing tone the author uses to describe
       | ancient Egypt. Reeks of chronological snobbery.
        
       | carapace wrote:
       | Kind of a tangent (but potentially useful and little known) is
       | the "baker's method" of male contraception.
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marthe_Voegeli
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heat-based_contraception
       | 
       | > It has long been observed that men who work in professions that
       | expose them to heat in the nether regions: bakers, cooks,
       | steamworkers; have had a hard time fathering children.
       | Interestingly, men in these professions were observed to start
       | having children after retiring or finding a new job. Based on
       | these observations, Dr. Martha Vogeli [ _sic_ , her name ends
       | with 'e': Marthe] ran a long set of experiments starting in the
       | 1940's in India. After trying all possible combinations, Dr.
       | Vogeli found a consistent method for inducing temporary
       | infertility in men by a series of hot baths. In short, men who
       | sat in hot water for 45 minutes a day for 3 weeks were protected
       | for at least 6 months.
       | 
       | ~ https://www.dontcookyourballs.com/heat-based-contraception-n...
        
         | cafard wrote:
         | a. Forty-five minutes is a long time to sit in a bath, and a
         | long time to keep water hot.
         | 
         | b. Long ago, I read that wearing jockey shorts rather than
         | boxers put one at a slightly higher risk for testicular cancer,
         | presumably because the jockeys keep the freight warmer. Now,
         | the risk of testicular cancer is pretty slight to start with,
         | but I whether the hot-bath method raises it.
        
           | Elof wrote:
           | It's not that long if you have a spa. I have a family friend
           | who were having trouble getting pregnant with their second
           | child. They tried everything and took over a year, but
           | finally the dr suggested that the husband stoped using the
           | spa... it worked
        
         | SaltyBackendGuy wrote:
         | I am wondering if my MBP on my lap was the root cause of my
         | fertility issues. I can't believe I didn't google this before.
        
           | renewiltord wrote:
           | Mate! This is well known! My mum told me this a decade ago ht
           | tps://scholar.google.com/scholar?hl=en&as_sdt=0%2C5&q=lapt...
           | 
           | I'm mad it wasn't well known enough that everyone happens to
           | know it.
           | 
           | Also cycling.
        
           | yellowapple wrote:
           | Wasn't there a comic or meme or something about this exact
           | premise?
        
         | agumonkey wrote:
         | Does it affects cultures with regular hot baths ? Japan people
         | are said to enjoy that. Also .. saunas ?
        
         | qppo wrote:
         | that's one hell of a domain name
        
         | freeone3000 wrote:
         | Honestly this seems a damn sight safer than most forms of
         | female birth control. Maybe I should register "cookyourballs".
        
           | mrwnmonm wrote:
           | A hour for 3 weeks, what the hell
        
           | novok wrote:
           | It's inconsistent, you would need easy & cheap at home sperm
           | count testing to be reliable, like we have with pregnancy
           | tests.
           | 
           | With other forms you can see results via period activity
           | reduction or increasing (in case of copper IUD) or physical
           | breakage or feeling changes.
        
           | nickpinkston wrote:
           | I wonder if the jacuzzi people love or hate this.
        
             | gboss wrote:
             | I imagine love
        
           | airstrike wrote:
           | Make sure to recruit Olivia Wilde nee Cockburn for the
           | advertising
        
         | user982 wrote:
         | I've wondered before if Japan's love for hot, daily baths has
         | played some part in its low birthrate.
        
           | ashtonkem wrote:
           | Maybe originally, but not anymore. Demographers regularly
           | survey women in various countries about how many children
           | they want to have, and in Japan women want to have on average
           | 1 child, which means they're having that many children by
           | choice and not accident.
        
             | barry-cotter wrote:
             | Japanese women are _having_ on average one child. They want
             | two.
             | 
             | > Japan is one such country that discrepancy between
             | intended and observed levels of fertility is relatively
             | large. For example, calculated from a nationally
             | representative survey in 2010 (IPSS 2011), the average
             | number of intended children among women aged 40-44 is 1.84,
             | while their observed cohort total fertility is estimated to
             | be 1.48 . These discrepancies between intended and observed
             | fertility suggest social constraints on meeting intentions.
             | 
             | https://paa2014.princeton.edu/papers/141630
        
       | zwieback wrote:
       | 70% is 20% better than random, don't buy that crib yet.
        
         | Drdrdrq wrote:
         | So, 100% is 50% better than random? Weird math.
        
         | dredmorbius wrote:
         | Might invest in a bushel basket.
        
         | X6S1x6Okd1st wrote:
         | Depends on the true distribution of the classes. Although the
         | naive strategy gets even higher accuracy if the classes are
         | unbalanced.
        
         | nostrademons wrote:
         | Would need to know how the sample was chosen for that test. If
         | you sample women of reproductive age at random, there's
         | decidedly _not_ a 50 /50 chance that she's actually pregnant:
         | by rough estimation it should be about (1.75 [fertility rate] *
         | 9 months [duration of pregnancy] / 30 years [reproductive
         | lifespan] = 4-5%). If you give all of those woman a
         | wheat/barley test and 70% of the positive tests were truly
         | pregnant (implying about 6.25% test positives) that's actually
         | pretty good, roughly 8x better than a coin flip. If you take a
         | sample that's known to be half pregnant and half not pregnant
         | and only 70% of the pregnant women are identified, it's
         | decidedly less good.
        
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