[HN Gopher] Intel to buy smart urban transit startup Moovit for ...
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       Intel to buy smart urban transit startup Moovit for $1B for its car
       division
        
       Author : 1cvmask
       Score  : 95 points
       Date   : 2020-05-03 15:42 UTC (7 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (techcrunch.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (techcrunch.com)
        
       | gallego2007 wrote:
       | Interesting acquisition by Intel, but also equally surprising
       | valuation at $1B. I thought Moovit was entirely crowdsourced and
       | made up primarily of volunteers[1]... maybe that changed
       | recently?
       | 
       | [1] https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/crowdsourcing-just-ticket-
       | exp...
        
         | 303space wrote:
         | Also the article claims "800 million riders" which is
         | astounding for an app that is currently #36 in the navigation
         | category (iOS App Store). Unless this app is more popular than
         | TikTok everywhere outside of the US they've gotta be playing
         | fast and loose with those usage statistics.
        
       | bfrog wrote:
       | What a terrible purchase. Moovit is worth exactly $0.
        
         | Gys wrote:
         | Clearly that depends who you are asking
        
       | en4bz wrote:
       | Can someone create an equivalent of the Google Graveyard but for
       | dumb Intel acquisitions?
        
         | Zigurd wrote:
         | I nominate Spectron. It died twice I think: the corpse was sold
         | to Dialogic, then Dialogic was bought by Intel later on, and
         | then there was more spinoff/merger pinball.
         | 
         | The original idea was for Intel to wrest control of multimedia
         | from Microsoft and create an Intel controlled multimedia
         | subsystem. They didn't actually acquire Dragon for the speech
         | recognition part, but Dragon's fate was even worse.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | jSully24 wrote:
       | This appears to be a very desperate move by a company just
       | realizing the desperate situation they find themselves in. I
       | agree with others sentiment that they need to find a way to get
       | back to doing well what it is they know, or used to know.
        
         | jeffbee wrote:
         | Yeah Intel really has their back against that wall, after all
         | they are one of the most highly capitalized businesses in human
         | history, just recorded their largest annual revenue in the
         | history of the firm, and earn a profit of only about $80000 per
         | minute. Pure desperation down there in Santa Clara.
        
           | eldavido wrote:
           | Financial results are always a lagging indicator in tech.
           | That doesn't mean they aren't important, just that you can
           | coast on an existing product line for a really long time
           | (decade+) and then everyone's "surprised" when unit sales
           | decline, and there's nothing else in the pipeline.
           | 
           | An example of this: Sears. Dominant retailer, completely
           | missed the boat on ecommerce, now bankrupt. Literally.
        
             | bluGill wrote:
             | Sears missed the boat on ecomerce, but that isn't why they
             | are gone. Walmart missed the boat too at first, but they
             | are still big because their manageme was good. They also
             | have adjusted overtime such that now my family does most of
             | our shopping there (once this pandemic is done I'm looking
             | forward to going back to the local stores I used to go to.)
        
             | jeffbee wrote:
             | Microsoft missed the boat on mobile and now they are the
             | biggest firm in the universe.
        
       | chx wrote:
       | Let me grab this occassion to draw attention to a lesser known
       | feature of Citymapper (not everywhere alas): it can make a public
       | transit plan augmented by a cab. This is something I have been
       | doing without an app myself at my home city in a very clear
       | demonstration of the "time is money" principle. This is one of
       | the true differentiating capabilities between Citymapper, Moovit
       | and Google Maps, otherwise they would be quite similar.
        
         | petra wrote:
         | Moovit has audio alerts, which Google Maps doesn't have. It's a
         | valuable feature when riding a bus.
        
           | fastball wrote:
           | Citymapper has "get off the bus" alerts too.
        
         | cwhiz wrote:
         | I actually hate that feature and can't figure out how to turn
         | it off. It thinks getting me within 1-2 miles of my destination
         | and hailing a car is better than being on a train for 20%
         | longer but being much closer to where I actually want to go. I
         | outright stopped using the app because it's too annoying to
         | make sure the suggested route doesn't involving getting off a
         | train and catching a car.
        
           | skrtskrt wrote:
           | Use the Transit app, it is almost completely focused on city
           | transit only + walking.
           | 
           | It suggests ubers and bike shares, but they're pushed down to
           | the bottom of the options list.
        
         | kungato wrote:
         | Google Maps has this
        
         | mFixman wrote:
         | It also interfaces with bike shares in some cities.
         | 
         | Bike share + train multimodal commutes being the norm is the
         | dream of every modern urbanist.
        
       | crazygringo wrote:
       | Wait... let's rewind. Why does Intel have an "Israeli automotive
       | hub" from acquiring "Mobileye, the autonomous driving company" in
       | 2017?
       | 
       | It makes sense when a large company acquires a smaller one, or
       | founds a division from scratch, because it can provide that
       | smaller company/company with uniquely valuable resources. E.g.
       | Google/Alphabet founding Waymo because of Google's existing
       | expertise in ML.
       | 
       | But how does expertise in processors translate to _any_ kind of
       | advantage for autonomous driving? Presumably the microprocessors
       | in a self-driving car are one of the most commoditized parts...
       | who cares if it 's Intel, AMD or ARM?
       | 
       | Does anyone "in the know" have a clue around Intel's strategy
       | here?
       | 
       | I can only guess they want to repeat the "Intel Inside" marketing
       | campaign of the 1990's -- i.e. if they lost mobile, they don't
       | want to lose cars too. But then wouldn't they want to form strong
       | subsidized partnerships, the way they did with Intel Inside?
       | Developing their own technology seems like it would make the
       | autonomous car industry view them as competitors, not partners,
       | and thus _less_ likely to use their chips.
       | 
       | What am I missing?
        
         | jocker12 wrote:
         | https://www.calcalistech.com/ctech/articles/0,7340,L-3815790...
        
         | detaro wrote:
         | NVidia has product lines specifically for this field. Tesla
         | proudly announced to the world that they made their own chip
         | for autonomous driving. "Autonomous driving"
         | research/development right now means lots of Machine Learning,
         | image processing, ... High-performance stuff that benefits from
         | GPU-like designs, all the while the systems for that need to be
         | reasonably energy-efficient and build in a way that they'll
         | survive in an automotive setting. They're not a competitor to
         | car companies because car companies typically don't want to
         | design chips themselves, they'll happily buy them if they can
         | (Tesla is a really odd one out in that regard, and even they'll
         | use superior hardware made by someone else if it makes sense).
         | If it takes off across manufacturers, Intel very much would
         | like a slice of that pie instead of leaving it all to
         | NVidia&Co.
        
         | omarforgotpwd wrote:
         | MobilEye's key advantage was they fabbed their own chips. Back
         | when you couldn't really run a neural net in a car, they
         | essentially kind of hard coded the evaluation of a certain
         | neural net into a special chip.
         | 
         | Not sure I described this 100% accurately, but it's something
         | like that. Hence the Intel acquisition. Their tech is pretty
         | good honestly, used to power Tesla Autopilot 1 before they
         | decided to build their own solution.
        
         | arijun wrote:
         | Actually one of Mobileye's big strengths is their custom chips.
         | They are purpose built and very efficient, which allows them to
         | mount them under the windshield (important for their main
         | business, ADAS), and they are built with the needs of the
         | software in mind. I don't know if Mobileye uses any Intel fabs,
         | but it's not such a crazy stretch to say one could help the
         | other.
        
         | my123 wrote:
         | Their competitor here is Nvidia, which has quite good hardware.
         | Also, yes the ISA doesn't matter that much in the field,
         | because no 3rd-party user-installed apps on automotive by
         | design...
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | saipraneeth wrote:
       | can someone explain the differences between Moovit, Transit and
       | Google Maps.. seems to me that they solve the same problem..
        
         | skrtskrt wrote:
         | I've used Transit and Google Maps and to me Transit's
         | suggestions are closer to how a human considers transit
         | options.
         | 
         | Google Maps seem strangely over optimized for things like
         | minimum walking at the beginning of the route. Plus the Google
         | Maps "how far away the bus is" doesn't update based on new data
         | (from the city bus trackers or crowdsourced data) unless you
         | close the app and re open
        
       | jackyinger wrote:
       | This sort of stuff is why I quit Intel and sold all my stock. In
       | my opinion (and I haven't been following post-Kersanich Intel
       | closely) Intel should be focusing on their process and
       | processors, I don't think the execs really have the will it would
       | take to diversify.
       | 
       | These acquisitions almost always end up being run into the ground
       | because Intel is so used to turning the crank on their mature
       | (read: awesomely ubiquitous software support) CPU architecture
       | that they don't want to spend much on R&D on things that aren't
       | proven money makers. But they keep trying to div diversify in a
       | very half-assed way because they have such a high market share in
       | CPUs (not that it is without legitimate threat from AMD) that to
       | continue to grow they want to hit new markets.
        
         | azinman2 wrote:
         | I'm just wondering why they have a billion to spend on this.
         | Clearly they can walk and chew gum at the same time, yet being
         | so under fire directionally makes me think they should be more
         | focused on getting their core business right instead of chasing
         | extremely expensive pipe dreams. Those side distractions almost
         | always get cut at Intel...
        
           | toomuchtodo wrote:
           | The appearance of generating value in the short term until
           | executive leadership parachutes out leaving shareholders
           | holding the bag.
        
         | dehrmann wrote:
         | Around 2008, Intel really needed to become a player in mobile
         | computing. Now they're a decade late, and this wasn't what I
         | meant by "mobile."
        
           | samfisher83 wrote:
           | Lets look at least the Highend cellphone space you have Qcom
           | and apple.Even Samsung doesn't really compete with Qcom. Qcom
           | has a moat for their mobile business which is their radio
           | patents. Even apple uses the Qcom radio chips, but they can
           | because they have their insane margins.Lets look at the
           | biggest semiconductor company in the world tsmc they
           | generated about 4bil in Free cash flow. Intel generated about
           | 18, and going after the low cost market is not a good idea.
           | The best option would be for intel is just to return money
           | back to the shareholders.
        
         | eldavido wrote:
         | Completely agree. Had a friend start a career at Intel, moved
         | to Apple because he saw it coming.
         | 
         | In case anyone isn't totally clear on why Intel is in such
         | trouble: they made a lot of money selling high-end CPUs for
         | desktops, and even higher-margin parts to datacenter operators.
         | 
         | On the PC front, when I was in high school (late 90s/early
         | 2000s) it was common to have the computers on a "3 year
         | replacement cycle" where they'd replace 1/3 or 1/4 of the
         | computers every single year. Compare that to today where "2009
         | era" iMacs (!!) are floating around, ready for purchase at
         | 200-300 dollars. There's no growth here.
         | 
         | On the mobile side, Intel had the chance to make chips for
         | Apple but said no. They couldn't make the numbers work volume-
         | wise. It's an interesting story, read it if you haven't.
         | 
         | Then comes datacenters. High-performance, high-power has been
         | an Intel stronghold for 10-20 years but the whole industry is
         | consolidating into AWS/Amazon/Azure who will probably make
         | their own CPUs at some point, if not their entire own PCs.
         | Either way this is bad for Intel: they face either someone who
         | doesn't want their product, or a much larger buyer with much
         | more purchasing leverage than a corporate IT department buying
         | in small quantities. Same deal with storage -- the larger
         | operators aren't paying the crazy EMC/NetApp margins those guys
         | could cram down corporate IT's throats. Amazon has already
         | announced plans to make ARM EC2 instances for reasons of both
         | power and not paying Intel's crazy margins.
         | 
         | The thing Intel still does have is world-leading fab
         | capabilities. I remember back in the 90s Intel always
         | outperfomred AMD by running at much higher clockspeeds, and
         | they could do it because of their superior process technology.
         | But that allowed AMD to run laps around them in
         | microarchitecture, which is showing with Ryzen. I don't see
         | Intel becoming a contract manufacturer soon but I'm sure
         | they've discussed it internally.
        
           | gniv wrote:
           | I've been hearing this "Intel is in trouble" story for many
           | years now. Yet their stock doubled in the last 5 years. What
           | gives?
        
         | Traster wrote:
         | I actually disagree with your analysis, my experience with
         | Intel was from an acquisition. They decided they were going to
         | do 'big bets' which involved massively massively investing in a
         | few areas. What happened, was they acquired the company and
         | told us to grow in certain areas enormously and quickly. So
         | it's not that they acquired and then cut R&D. The opposite
         | happened, they hugely increased R&D (sure they cut lots of
         | other things that caused trouble), but it was like winning the
         | lottery, suddenly everyone could hire for everything. So the
         | message was "Get on and hire, because it won't be like this
         | forever, and if you fail your hiring target, you'll be stuck
         | delivering big projects with no staff". Immediately hiring
         | became a mess, the weight of bringing on all this new staff
         | massively slowed everything down. In most ways we ended up
         | delivering less with twice the staff. Needless to say: this
         | didn't produce the results they wanted.
         | 
         | Fortunately for my team, Intel completely shitting the bed on
         | 10nm meant that all these problems were barely noticed - who
         | can blame you if the silicon isn't there.
         | 
         | The thing is, that when you pay a premium, overinvest and
         | under-deliver you end up with no choice in the exec team - and
         | you end up 'cutting you losses' and doing a McAfee.
        
           | phkahler wrote:
           | >> So the message was "Get on and hire, because it won't be
           | like this forever, and if you fail your hiring target, you'll
           | be stuck delivering big projects with no staff".
           | 
           | Pay attention kids. There are times when a company is
           | investing in the future. Do exactly that. Buy equipment that
           | will be useful down the road because it won't last.
           | 
           | One place I worked had some awesome custom test stands for
           | the product we were developing. I wondered how they ever came
           | to be since money seemed tight and we actually had some
           | layoffs. Development had been going on since years before I
           | got there and they hadn't landed a customer yet. We rebooted
           | the design for the 3rd time and did finally win. The business
           | became very significant to the company. Sure, they let a
           | small team keep trying but we never could have made it
           | without that initial investment in equipment/infrastructure.
           | Spend the money when it's available, but try to make it
           | count.
        
           | Zenst wrote:
           | That would be down to how they do accusitions, it's not just
           | what they are paying, it's also backedup with a plan and
           | investment. So you get a couple of years of nice big budget
           | and the expectations would be that it would yeild back within
           | that period. Now if those expectations play out, not just the
           | product doing as they expected, but also the customers buying
           | into it as expected. Those two are sepeate beasts. So either
           | the company lives up to expectations and everything aligns
           | and carry's on, or it gets a restructuring, which can take
           | many forms and can happen more than once.
           | 
           | But like anything new, gets fat marketing budget, then after
           | that grace period runs out, they are expected to be self
           | sufficient and yielding a return.
           | 
           | Then even if everything goes well, those expectations and
           | returns will also grow and eventually things change.
           | 
           | But initially, the honeymoon period is always fun, bit like
           | first year at university, then things start to get real, real
           | fast.
        
           | dehrmann wrote:
           | > doing a McAfee
           | 
           | Do you mean the person or the company? If you mean the
           | person, this is going to pretty weird.
        
             | PaulHoule wrote:
             | Intel was big into antivirus in the early 2010s and bought
             | the company
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/McAfee#Acquisition_by_Intel_a
             | n...
             | 
             | at first they thought it would sell quad-core processors,
             | but discriminating consumers learned that third-party
             | antivirus makes your machine slow, unstable, hot and runs
             | down the battery. Thus it damaged Intel's brand.
        
           | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
           | It's amazing to me how often this story repeats itself in
           | tech, yet the results are almost always the same:
           | 
           | 1. Old, hugely successful company needs to find new growth
           | areas.
           | 
           | 2. Company acquires company in high growth area (sometimes
           | innovative, sometimes not)
           | 
           | 3. Taking from the MBA playbook that higher investment equals
           | more growth, acquired company is given aggressive targets but
           | also a huge budget to meet them.
           | 
           | 4. Company goes on a massive, usually relatively untargeted
           | hiring spree, things become a major shitshow, acquired
           | leadership team is eventually canned.
           | 
           | Instead of finding some realistic _product_ targets and then
           | setting a budget around what resources will be needed to
           | attain those goals, the budget is allocated based solely on
           | desired revenue and somehow hiring all these people without a
           | clear plan will make that happen.
           | 
           | I'm genuinely curious, has this ever worked?
        
             | MasterIdiot wrote:
             | From what I see in the B2B space, acquisitions are a major
             | avenue for quick innovation. Large corporations buy smaller
             | startup, do some integration into existing solutions and
             | come out with a new product (If they don't just keep the
             | new company as a separate costumer-facing identity (Look at
             | NetApp + SolidFire, or the whole Dell-EMC conglomerate)
        
             | 1121redblackgo wrote:
             | Twitch into Amazon worked, but I do think its an exception.
             | What you describe is a very high-level view of how things
             | usually turn out.
        
             | renewiltord wrote:
             | I think Google did it with YouTube if you want a B2C
             | example but this has happened many times in the B2B world
             | successfully.
        
               | dmitriid wrote:
               | Survivor bias and all that. I wonder what the ratio is
               | between
               | 
               | - bought and turned into success
               | 
               | - bought and integrated into the larger business
               | 
               | - bought and closed after running into the ground
               | 
               | - bought and then later spun off due to inability to
               | create a successful business or integrate.
               | 
               | Not just for Google, but across IT as a whole.
        
               | PaulHoule wrote:
               | The number I have heard (from maybe 15 years ago) is that
               | "2/3 of corporate mergers meet their goals." That was
               | across a range of industries. Tech in 2020 might be
               | different, there is a certain kind of mindlessness around
               | acquisitions that happens around technology sectors. For
               | instance, AOL bought Time Warner, regretted it, AT&T
               | bought Time Warner, now the vulture funds like Elliot
               | Capital Management are circling and they will have the
               | CEOs head.
               | 
               | AT&T's mistakes were made by people who were more
               | technical than MBA, but it's a consistent trope that
               | "Google bought Company A" and then Company B brings their
               | salespeople to muster the next morning to inform them
               | what's going to happen at Company A, and the next sales
               | retreat is fistbumps all around.
               | 
               | I wonder if we could put a break on mergers and
               | acquisitions, not for the sake of communities, workers,
               | and competition, but just for the poor stockholders!
        
               | clairity wrote:
               | > "The number I have heard (from maybe 15 years ago) is
               | that '2/3 of corporate mergers meet their goals.'"
               | 
               | my recollection is that it's closer to half. m&a deals
               | tend to be executive vanity projects as often as sound
               | strategy.
        
               | joejerryronnie wrote:
               | Perhaps when the acquisition target is a smaller but
               | fairly mature company who is being asked to scale
               | existing processes. I think this is much more difficult
               | for a startup when you're essentially asking them to
               | scale both their output and shrink their time to maturity
               | by orders of magnitude.
        
               | renewiltord wrote:
               | Yeah, the cases where I've personally seen it work were
               | when the company had product market fit but was money
               | constrained for how much it could grow.
        
         | Zenst wrote:
         | Agreed, Intel seems to buy companies and then destroy or borg
         | only small bits leaving everything else to rot.
         | 
         | But such purchases are good PR for the shareholder perception
         | and almost gets down to churning purches thru the books on the
         | surface, look good at that level of perception.
         | 
         | Agreed, They should focus upon what they have and with that,
         | perish the thought they focused upon there FPGA with toolchains
         | and support that could drive it into that and many markets.
         | 
         | If Intel added a small FPGA to their CPU's and they could -
         | that could drive a whole new market of development and one in
         | which they are placed to capitlise upon what IP they do have.
         | Certainly an FPGA would make for a good mix with AI, if Intel
         | would make such tools and open up FPGA's more to users and get
         | that adoption going. Then the whole CPU/GPU race may well
         | change into their favour.
        
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