[HN Gopher] Destruction of Nuclear Bombs Using Ultra-High Energy...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Destruction of Nuclear Bombs Using Ultra-High Energy Neutrino Beam
       (2003)
        
       Author : monort
       Score  : 88 points
       Date   : 2020-06-15 16:11 UTC (6 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (arxiv.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (arxiv.org)
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | emeraldd wrote:
       | The concept reminds me a lot of device described in
       | https://www.amazon.com/The-Genesis-Machine-James-P-Hogan-aud... I
       | wonder if the authors have read it ...
        
       | roywiggins wrote:
       | Reads like something out of Vernor Vinge's Peace War.
        
         | gojomo wrote:
         | The invention of a "fission blanket" (aka "weak force
         | intermodulation projector") that renders fission impossible, at
         | a distance, is also part of the backstory for a scifi novel
         | 'Emprise', by Michael P. Kube-McDowell.
        
       | fnord77 wrote:
       | Not sure triggering every nuclear bomb on the planet is a great
       | outcome. I suppose if nations knew this was coming, they'd either
       | dismantle their weapons or try to destroy the 1000km accelerator.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | aerostable_slug wrote:
         | I'd put my money on the latter. Perhaps with the former.
        
           | marcosdumay wrote:
           | Both will destroy the nukes with similar collateral effects.
           | 
           | Throwing them on the accelerator may even be the less
           | damaging option.
        
       | atemerev wrote:
       | Sorry, this wouldn't work at all. I don't have time and desire to
       | verify their neutrino beam / neutron shower calculation, but they
       | want to detonate bombs by raising the core temperature to 300C,
       | assumed ignition temperature of surrounding explosives.
       | 
       | This doesn't work, because: 1) you cannot detonate explosives
       | there by simple ignition, 2) you need a very precise timing for
       | simultaneous activation of all detonators, to achieve the smooth
       | shockwave front, and 3) even if all this somehow happened, you
       | just can't explode the bomb just lying around AT ALL, as it is
       | not in pre-critical configuration yet. There are many things that
       | need to happen simultaneously, in exact order and with nanosecond
       | precision. There are PAL devices that provide encrypted timing
       | differences to the detonation controller by loading external
       | codes -- without these codes, it is physically impossible to
       | achieve nuclear explosion, even if you somehow activated all
       | other things from pre-detonation checklist. Etc etc.
       | 
       | Not to mention that in the real bomb, there is much less
       | plutonium than 10 kg they have mentioned.
       | 
       | I assume the rest of the paper is of similar quality.
        
         | CapitalistCartr wrote:
         | The paper seems to be talking about merely destroying bombs,
         | rather than getting a nuclear yield.
        
           | atemerev wrote:
           | They assume 3% fizzle yield. It wouldn't work anyway (there
           | will be exactly zero yield), the core will remain intact,
           | ready for insertion into another physics package.
        
             | maxander wrote:
             | I don't know the details of how durable a uranium warhead
             | core is (and I suspect it's very highly classified) but
             | they're pretty precisely machined bits of metal. Even a
             | 3%-yield fizzle should be more than enough to de-rate one.
             | At that point the uranium could be recycled to build a new
             | core, but that's about it.
        
               | atemerev wrote:
               | I know some details. (It is plutonium, not uranium). Any
               | yield, even fizzle yield, is impossible by simply
               | igniting the explosives around the core. Again, it is not
               | in pre-critical configuration yet at this point. Arming
               | the device, i.e. assembling the initial configuration, is
               | an incredibly complicated and precise process. It is so
               | beautiful from the engineering point of view.
        
               | aerostable_slug wrote:
               | You don't seem to get it. The object of the exercise is
               | not nuclear yield. BTW, you can physically damage fissile
               | material that needs to be in a particular physical
               | configuration with neutrons and/or x-rays. One is not
               | trying to detonate the weapon, but rather render it in a
               | state where it cannot reach the desired yield (preferably
               | none at all, of course).
        
             | yborg wrote:
             | You are suggesting that just simple combustion of the HE
             | lenses surrounding the core won't damage it at all? Even if
             | the explosive just burns it would melt the physics package,
             | there won't be any reinserting it anywhere. You could
             | recover the fissile material I suppose.
        
       | credit_guy wrote:
       | It's not clear why they are aiming at exploding the nuclear bombs
       | instead of simply degrading them. If you induce enough plutonium
       | nuclei to split, the core won't reach criticality when the
       | implosion happens, so no mushroom cloud.
       | 
       | To do that, you can point a lower intensity neutrino beam for
       | years at a nuke or a group of nukes. The adversary won't even
       | know the nukes are compromised.
        
         | tandr wrote:
         | So it accelerates the decay of Pu or U-xxx inside the bomb. But
         | this process is heat- and radiation-emitting, so I suspect if
         | stockpile is monitored for either of these (probably both),
         | something will be detected.
        
       | seiferteric wrote:
       | Is this similar to the idea that solar neutrinos might affect
       | nuclear decay rates on earth? And if so, I thought this was very
       | speculative still.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | cowboysauce wrote:
         | Not really, this is more akin to using a laser to destroy
         | something at a distance. The neutrinos would interact with soil
         | near the weapon, some of these reactions would produce neutrons
         | which would go on to induce fission in the weapon, destroying
         | it.
         | 
         | The idea that solar neutrinos impact decay rates generally
         | assumes that neutrinos are directly interacting with
         | radioactive isotopes (usually through some unknown physics).
        
         | dr_dshiv wrote:
         | It makes no sense to me that half-lives can't be affected by
         | anything. Do you have a source for a discussion of this?
        
           | TheOtherHobbes wrote:
           | https://arxiv.org/pdf/1301.3754.pdf
        
       | dreamcompiler wrote:
       | Star Trek needs this.
       | 
       | "Mr Saru, destroy all the Klingon relay stations on the surface."
       | 
       | "But Captain, some of them are on the other side of the planet."
       | 
       | "Use the neutrino beam."
       | 
       | "Aye Captain."
        
         | aerostable_slug wrote:
         | I used to work with a guy from LLNL who was involved with some
         | of the X-Ray laser stuff and the like. There were some systems
         | that, in theory, weren't that attenuated by the atmosphere...
         | 
         | And that's where I learned the phrase: "Pre-Boost Phase" -- hit
         | them in the silos. None of those systems appears to have borne
         | fruit (or have they? oooo-eeeee [x-files music]).
        
       | nordsieck wrote:
       | In many ways, I'm glad this is so impractical. If it weren't, the
       | prime candidate for actually doing this is one of the nuclear
       | powers. They'd just "forget" to target their own nukes.
        
       | opwieurposiu wrote:
       | Not sure this would work for the nukes that are constantly moving
       | around on submarines. Would have to know the exact position of
       | the sub to aim the beam.
        
       | tener wrote:
       | It feels like it would be much easier to modify the nuclear
       | weapons to be immune to this device than to actually build it.
       | 
       | OTOH it may be easier to build than authors assume: what if it is
       | build in orbit so it doesn't have shoot the beam across the
       | Earth? I know we don't do accelerators in space, but it may be
       | easier than reaching 1000 TeV.
        
       | ufmace wrote:
       | The idea is kind of cool, but doesn't sound very practical. The
       | beam width is my concern. If it's really narrow, then we have to
       | know exactly where every nuclear warhead is to hit it. If it's
       | really wide, then the power draw will be that much more immense,
       | plus a huge risk of collateral damage to any life, human or
       | otherwise, that happens to get in the path of the beam.
       | 
       | Not to mention that the prospect of detonating every nuke in the
       | world, even at only 3% or so of normal yield, sounds pretty
       | destructive too. If we're gonna get rid of some nukes, how about
       | Megatons to Megawatts instead?
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Megatons_to_Megawatts_Program
        
         | jessriedel wrote:
         | > plus a huge risk of collateral damage to any life, human or
         | otherwise, that happens to get in the path of the beam.
         | 
         | Why? This doesn't actually deposit that much energy directly in
         | any given volume. The beam is about a meter wide and the power
         | is about a kilowatt (1000 joules per second). The authors say
         | 
         | > This is equivalent to about 1 Sv/sec. We note that this value
         | of the radiation dose is very large, compared with the U.S.
         | Federal off-site limit of 1 mSv/year.
         | 
         | but that seems wrong. Up to a dimensionless factor Q that
         | adjusts for biological details, a sievert (Sv) is 1 joule of
         | radiation energy deposited per kilogram. But that neutrino beam
         | has a mean-free-path of the diameter of the Earth! That means
         | it is roughly distributing the kilowatt of energy over 1 m^2 *
         | 13,000 km ~= 1e7 m^3. At the density of water, that's 1e10 kg,
         | so the deposited power is about a 1e-7 watts per kilogram, or
         | roughly 100 nano sieverts per second. You'd have to point the
         | beam at someone for 3 hours straight to exceed the
         | (conservative) federal limit.
        
           | function_seven wrote:
           | My reading of the paper shows they already factored that into
           | the equation. So at the target, in the 1m2 cross-section,
           | 1,000 W of energy is being delivered. It takes about
           | 50,000,000,000 W at the beam generator to achieve that.
        
             | 3pt14159 wrote:
             | If it's just 50 gigawatts it is potentially viable,
             | considering the stakes of nuclear warfare. The precise
             | locations of most stationary nuclear weapons systems are
             | already known, though this would run into some trouble
             | finding nukes on submarines unless they were detected by
             | submerged drones or subullites. I'd look into it.
        
               | CSSer wrote:
               | > most
               | 
               | Sounds really perilous. If even one is missed isn't its
               | risk of usage now astronomically higher?
        
             | jessriedel wrote:
             | Which part of the paper? I don't know why they would quote
             | power per unit area for a beam that is clearly depositing
             | it proportional to volume. What is the assumed depth?
        
           | lend000 wrote:
           | Furthermore, assuming it becomes feasible to develop multiple
           | neutrino beam machines, you could use a technique similar to
           | "Gamma Knife" to reduce the radiation exposure along the beam
           | paths (and to make it harder to detect/track) [0].
           | 
           | [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radiosurgery#Gamma_Knife
        
           | ufmace wrote:
           | I don't know that much about the physics of neutrino
           | radiation, or the fine details of bomb design. I do have a
           | hard time believing that such a beam can dump enough neutron
           | radiation into a subcritical bomb core to trigger a meltdown
           | or fizzle detonation without also giving a dangerous exposure
           | to any human who is in the way of that beam.
           | 
           | I'm also suspicious of the difficult of aiming a beam that's
           | a meter wide at the target distance to hit a nuclear warhead
           | core reliably halfway across the world. If you miss, how do
           | you tell what direction you missed in and correct?
        
             | maxander wrote:
             | I could imagine a wider "targeting" beam, fired so that a
             | satellite overhead of the target site could catch neutrino
             | scatter from the warhead. I don't know what ridiculous
             | engineering would be required to get sufficient neutrino
             | collection for that to work, on a satellite, but if the
             | budget covered a 50GW neutrino beam it might stretch to
             | that, too.
        
         | rbanffy wrote:
         | I'd assume Selenites will want to have such a weapon pointed
         | towards Earth in case Earthlings decide to act up.
         | 
         | They'll have a lot of solar power to play with too.
         | 
         | And it's much neater than throwing rocks too. And faster.
        
           | lsllc wrote:
           | At least the Trisolarians can use their sophons to prevent
           | such a thing.
        
       | caffed wrote:
       | 2020: 1. Covid 2. Polic Brutality 3. Cicadas 4. Global Thermal
       | Nuclear war
       | 
       | Yep....
       | 
       | Hey, it's only a "3% fizzle reaction". How bad can that be?
        
         | redis_mlc wrote:
         | The US sent 3 carriers towards Asia last week to deter China
         | and other countries from thinking that the corona pandemic and
         | US riots was a good time to escalate.
        
       | e0m wrote:
       | From the introduction of the Paper:
       | 
       | "We emphasize that the whole technology is futuristic and the
       | reason should be clear to all the accelerator experts... We also
       | note that a 1000 TeV machine requires the accelerator
       | circumference of the order of 1000 km with the magnets of [?] 10
       | Tesla which is totally ridiculous... Even if it becomes the
       | reality, the cost of the construction is of the order of or more
       | than 100 billion US$... the power required for the operation of
       | the machine may exceed 50 GW"
        
         | bufferoverflow wrote:
         | $100 billion for a high-tech structure of 1000km in size? I
         | think you're severely underestimating.
        
       | CalRobert wrote:
       | The title alone should give you pause; neutrinos are no easy
       | thing to wrangle. We build giant swimming pools of water
       | underground in the dark to try to catch them.
       | 
       | https://what-if.xkcd.com/73/
       | 
       | "We emphasize that the whole technology is futuristic and
       | thereason should be clear toall the accelerator experts.
       | Actually, even the simplest prototype of our proposal, i.e.
       | theneutrino factory of GeV range needs substantial R & D work.
       | Wealso note that a 1000 TeVmachine requires the accelerator
       | circumference of the order of 1000 km with the magnetsof[?]10
       | Tesla which is totally ridiculous. Only if we can invent a magnet
       | which can reachalmost one order of magnitude higher field than
       | the currentlyavailable magnet, the proposalcan approach the
       | reality. Even if it becomes the reality, thecost of the
       | construction is ofthe order of or more than 100 billion US$. Also
       | we note that thepower required for theoperation of the machine
       | may exceed 50 GW taking the efficiencyinto account. This is
       | abovethe total power of Great Britain. This implies that no
       | singlecountry will be able to affordthe construction of this
       | machine and also the operation timemust be strictly restricted.
       | Webelieve the only way this machine may be built is when all the
       | countries on earth agree todo it by creating an organization
       | which may be called the "World Government" for whichthis device
       | becomes the means of enforcement."
        
         | ApolloFortyNine wrote:
         | >This implies that no singlecountry will be able to affordthe
         | construction of this machine and also the operation timemust be
         | strictly restricted.
         | 
         | Meh, $100 billion? The US has spent more than that on it's own
         | defense initiative ($200 billion from the sources I found). [1]
         | And as for the power usage, 1 of the two reactors on the new
         | class of aircraft carriers would provide 125MW (or 700MW of
         | thermal energy, granted I'm not a physicist, but the thermal
         | power is probably what they're after here?) [2], so I don't
         | think it'd be out of the realm of possibilities to either build
         | more reactors for the project, or do a combination of hooking
         | up to existing naval reactors and new reactors to run.
         | 
         | If the Cold War was going on, I'd be shocked if this wasn't
         | something the U.S military looked into doing. No one is
         | thrilled with MAD approach, it's more of just no one has found
         | a better way to deal with nuclear weapons.
         | 
         | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strategic_Defense_Initiative
         | [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A1B_reactor
        
         | pugworthy wrote:
         | It sounds staight out of Star Trek
        
         | cshimmin wrote:
         | Particle physicist here! Actually it's pretty easy to generate
         | intense neutrino beams. You just have to accelerate protons and
         | smash them into a lead wall. This produces all kinds of
         | particles, including for instance muons. Since muons are
         | charged, you can filter and focus them into a beam using
         | magnets, and then they rapidly decay in flight, producing a
         | beam of neutrinos going in the same direction.
         | 
         | As you say, they are quite difficult to detect once produced.
         | This is exactly what the DUNE experiment will be doing. It's a
         | large underground detector in North Dakota that will measure
         | properties of neutrinos produced in a beam at Fermilab near
         | Chicago.
         | 
         | The difficulties mentioned in the quote from the article have
         | little to do with neutrinos. 1000 TeV is simply an insanely
         | high energy for any particle beam.
        
           | protomyth wrote:
           | Sanford Underground Research Laboratory is in Lead, _South_
           | Dakota.
        
             | cshimmin wrote:
             | D'oh you are correct. I'm always getting my Dakotas mixed
             | up. I should have also added that this is not my specialty
             | (I work on the ATLAS experiment at the LHC in Switzerland).
        
               | protomyth wrote:
               | Happens all the time, the NY Times confuse which state
               | has what Senator and ESPN's stock footage for "North
               | Dakota" is a bison with the I90 Highway sign in the
               | background (I90 is SD, I94 is ND).
        
             | gpderetta wrote:
             | > Lead
             | 
             | I guess it is not a coincidence they are putting a neutrino
             | detector in a place called that way.
             | 
             | Am I correct to assume there are old lead mines there?
             | 
             | Edit: there are mines, very deep mines, but not Lead mines
             | in fact. And the detector is in one of them.
        
               | zedpm wrote:
               | Lead is not named for the element lead nor is it
               | pronounced the same. It's pronounced like leader (without
               | the er, of course) and named for a mining term[0].
               | 
               | [0]: https://www.britannica.com/place/Lead-South-Dakota
        
           | Animats wrote:
           | Can you modulate and detect the beam fast enough for this to
           | be useful for transmitting low-latency info for high-
           | frequency trading? That could pay for the experiment if you
           | had a detector near NYC.
        
             | cshimmin wrote:
             | Fascinating idea. The neutrinos travel at effectively the
             | speed of light and can be sent directly through the earth,
             | providing a minimum-distance "line of sight" between any
             | two points on earth. However, the same property that allows
             | the neutrinos to pass through the earth is also the reason
             | they're so hard to detect. You would probably only be able
             | to be able to detect modulation frequencies on the order of
             | weeks or months. The bandwidth would be very low to say the
             | least!
        
               | lostmyoldone wrote:
               | There are research where they've done short haul (~1km i
               | think) neutrino comms at about 0.1bit/s.
               | 
               | Slow but still cool, and yes if you could get high enough
               | bitrate for less money than you could gain in HFT trade,
               | it would probably already exist. Them HFT guys and girls
               | do rather crazy stuff to get their nanosecond advantages.
        
           | aaronax wrote:
           | Actually the detector will be in Lead, South Dakota (in the
           | Black Hills, somewhat near Mt. Rushmore) according to their
           | website.
        
           | CalRobert wrote:
           | Thank you for that! I just learned something.
        
           | deftnerd wrote:
           | > Actually it's pretty easy to generate intense neutrino
           | beams. You just have to accelerate protons and smash them
           | into a lead wall. This produces all kinds of particles,
           | including for instance muons. Since muons are charged, you
           | can filter and focus them into a beam using magnets, and then
           | they rapidly decay in flight, producing a beam of neutrinos
           | going in the same direction.
           | 
           | That's pretty fascinating. When the protons hit the lead
           | wall, are there any other "messy" particles created that are
           | problematic? Filtering and focusing the muons might be
           | relatively easy to handle, but what about the other kinds of
           | particles that will be created?
        
             | jjk166 wrote:
             | By selecting the energy of the proton beam correctly, you
             | can prevent much besides the muons from being produced.
             | Whatever other particles do show up - if not guided by
             | carefully set up electromagnetic fields - will quickly
             | smash into the walls of the device, generating heat as they
             | scatter and decay. Some of this heat can be used to boil a
             | coolant and regenerate energy, but for the most part it is
             | just an inefficiency. The lead wall and some of the
             | material around it will become radioactive waste as some
             | long lived isotopes are produced, but they could
             | potentially have many years of service life.
        
         | mandevil wrote:
         | Fortunately, Lederman, Schwartz, and Steinberger won the 1988
         | Nobel Prize in Physics for figuring out how to build a neutrino
         | beam, which is much easier than detecting them. Basically, slam
         | a proton beam into a few feet of something big and heavy. The
         | big heavy stuff will absorb everything else, and leave just a
         | beam of neutrinos, which don't care if you have miles of armor
         | rather than feet.
        
       ___________________________________________________________________
       (page generated 2020-06-15 23:00 UTC)