[HN Gopher] Sensors detect rise in nuclear particles on Baltic Sea
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Sensors detect rise in nuclear particles on Baltic Sea
        
       Author : BerislavLopac
       Score  : 250 points
       Date   : 2020-06-27 15:01 UTC (7 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (mobile.reuters.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (mobile.reuters.com)
        
       | Torkel wrote:
       | Now, this is probably nothing. The sensors are doing their thing
       | and from time to time there is a spike. On the other hand, this
       | is how Chernobyl first was reported...
       | 
       | For more radiation horror pease read about the "Goiania
       | accident": https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goiania_accident
       | (Learned about it recently and wow. What a story.)
        
         | Arech wrote:
         | Wow.. Never heard of it before, thanks.
         | 
         | That heavily reminds me the "Roadside Picnic" (1972) novel of
         | Strugatsky brothers (that same novel, that coined term
         | "Stalker"). The only difference that the heroes of the novel
         | dealt with consequences of alien civilization visit, and
         | "Goiania accident" is purely our's own...
        
           | sampo wrote:
           | > "Roadside Picnic" (1972) novel of Strugatsky brothers
           | 
           | Before his death, Boris Strugatsky gave a license for writing
           | a sequel to Finnish author Ville Vuorela. Vuorela published
           | The Hollow Pilgrim in 2014 as ebook. Something went wrong
           | with the deal between the small Finnish publisher and Amazon,
           | and now the ebook is annoyingly difficult to find.
           | 
           | https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/23354402-the-hollow-
           | pilg...
        
             | gorgoiler wrote:
             | The filming of _Stalker_ [1] was itself fraught with
             | industrial contamination -- possibly with to the extent of
             | eventually claiming Tarkovsky's own life, by cancer.
             | 
             |  _Zona_ by Geoff Dyer is an excellent discourse on the
             | work, which I heartily recommend, and where I first read
             | about this and many other fascinating details.
             | 
             | [1] ...or _ker-tan-kep_ as my own ignorant tongue insists
             | on pronouncing it.
        
           | fnord123 wrote:
           | Roadside picnic didn't coin the term stalker. Stalker is a
           | Soviet film based on the book.
        
             | cptskippy wrote:
             | Roadside Picnic is the equivalent of LOTR or Neuromancer
             | when it comes to defining a genre of pop culture.
             | 
             | It was published 7 years before the movie Stalker.
             | 
             | It is a short novel and a great read, it is also a stark
             | contrast to Western SciFi.
        
               | kbenson wrote:
               | Both Roadside Picnic from Russia and the Remembrance of
               | Earth's Past trilogy from China have made me interested
               | in Science Fiction from non-western cultures. There's a
               | freshness of view that's hard to describe.
        
             | Arech wrote:
             | You'd better read the book first before making such
             | statements.
        
             | krick wrote:
             | Yes it did. "Stalker" is the name of their profession in
             | the book.
        
             | ehnto wrote:
             | I'm not a huge film buff or anything, but I did watch
             | Stalker. The music and cinematography was captivating in a
             | way I rarely get in anything but video games or books.
             | Usually movies don't capture me that way, they're far too
             | fast, literal and descriptive. Stalker left so much to the
             | imagination that I was constantly engaged in trying to
             | figure out what they were thinking, where they were going,
             | and what it was they expected to find. It gave me all the
             | time I needed to think about it too.
        
               | zabzonk wrote:
               | Not SF, but watch "Ivan's Childhood", his first film. I
               | saw it first on New Years Eve in Scotland. Me and my then
               | wife went round to her friends house to pick her up for
               | the usual celebrations. While the girls were getting
               | made-up I started watching the film on the TV - I had
               | never heard of it or Tarkovsky before, and I have no idea
               | why it was on at New Year. They eventually came down and
               | said "let's go" but I refused - "catch you later" - I
               | just had to watch the film. Somewhat later friends mum
               | came in and said "X why aren't you out with Y and Z" - I
               | said "I HAVE to watch this". And I did, and then I went
               | out and got pissed. It's a great film.
        
               | mongol wrote:
               | It was interesting but much too slow.
        
               | frankie_t wrote:
               | If you like slow paced movies I would recommend checking
               | out his (Tarkovsky) other works. Ingmar Bergman and Bela
               | Tarr also come to mind. They are definitely slow and
               | pretty far from being literal too.
        
               | tpm wrote:
               | I highly recommend his other movies too - I love Solaris
               | and Andrey Rublev, but others are great too.
               | 
               | And I think currently in his steps is following another
               | great Russian director, Andrey Zvyagintsev. The Return
               | was mindblowing.
        
               | gorgoiler wrote:
               | > _Usually movies are too fast_
               | 
               |  _Stalker_ consists of 143 shots in just under three
               | hours. A blissful pace.
        
         | kens wrote:
         | My favorite radioactive contamination story is the truck in
         | Juarez that was unknowingly contaminated with Cobalt-60
         | pellets. The truck died (for unrelated reason) and was scrapped
         | and melted down in an iron foundry. The contamination was only
         | discovered by accident when a truckload of rebar made a wrong
         | turn in Los Alamos National Laboratories and set off a
         | radiation alarm. They managed to track down the truck, find the
         | source of the radiation, and get rid of the contaminated metal.
         | Fortunately, nobody died.
         | 
         | https://www.orau.org/ptp/collection/accidents/juarez.htm
        
           | qbaqbaqba wrote:
           | I live near an aluminum foundry and everything going in goes
           | through a radiation detector.
        
             | m4rtink wrote:
             | Same with waste incineration plants, for the same resons -
             | apparently it is sensitive enough to detect even diapers
             | with radio contrast therapy residue inside a full garbage
             | truck.
        
         | mcguire wrote:
         | Or the Church Rock incident:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Church_Rock_uranium_mill_spill...
        
           | hirsin wrote:
           | Thank you for this. It's my first time learning about it. I'm
           | almost happy it's unknown since this is such a better
           | argument against nuclear power than 3 Mile etc. Although I
           | suppose for it to be an effective scare tactic you'd have to
           | ask yourself some tricky questions about how much you value
           | indigenous lives over corporations...
        
             | perl4ever wrote:
             | Highly radioactive materials are couriered around all the
             | time for medical purposes.
             | 
             | Edit: my point being, dangerously radioactive materials are
             | valuable products of nuclear power, not just pollution that
             | comes as a side effect.
        
             | AnthonyMouse wrote:
             | Not exactly:
             | 
             | > Approximately one month after the spill, the Puerco River
             | had regained normal levels of salinity, acidity, and
             | radioactivity at low flow levels, with contaminants being
             | detectable only after heavy rains.
             | 
             | Natural uranium is mildly radioactive, but it was a uranium
             | mine. The radioactivity was there before they started. They
             | managed to move it around some. The damage was at least as
             | much attributable to the chemical contaminants which would
             | be present in any similar mining incident regardless of
             | what they were mining.
             | 
             | Saying that it was worse than Three Mile Island is a low
             | bar. Three Mile Island wasn't exactly Chernobyl.
        
             | ficklepickle wrote:
             | It's not a tricky question. Human life > profits. Period.
             | 
             | By specifically mentioning the value of indigenous lives,
             | it makes me wonder if you value human life differently
             | based on ethnicity.
             | 
             | You are glad that an atrocity committed against human
             | beings is relatively unknown? I just cannot understand
             | that. Is it because you value promoting nuclear power over
             | indigenous human lives?
             | 
             | I almost didn't bother replying to your comment. But
             | indifference to the suffering of "the others" needs to be
             | challenged.
             | 
             | Go spend time with literally any indigenous peoples. Learn
             | about their culture and challenges. Meet individual
             | indigenous people, look them in the eyes, then tell me
             | their lives have no value.
             | 
             | Would it be acceptable to say this about any other
             | ethnicity? For example, would it be OK to end a sentence
             | "...ask yourself some tricky questions about how much you
             | value Jewish lives" ? What about Muslim lives? No, of
             | course it wouldn't. "Obviously labour camps of Uyghur
             | Muslims are not ideal, but you gotta ask yourself tricky
             | questions about how much you value Uyghur lives over
             | profit." That is an absurd statement and so is yours.
        
               | perl4ever wrote:
               | The comment you are responding to didn't express
               | indifference to "indigenous lives", but attributed it to
               | others. Attacking them as though they said people
               | _shouldn 't_ care about them seems weird and
               | inappropriate to me. They clearly implied people _should_
               | , but may not.
        
               | barrkel wrote:
               | > human life > profits
               | 
               | We shouldn't have cars then, or motorcycles. We
               | definitely shouldn't have horse riding schools - horse
               | riding is 20x more dangerous than riding a motorcycle,
               | and the only reason you start a business offering it is
               | to profit, thus you're profiting off human death.
               | 
               | Right?
        
               | sfblah wrote:
               | It seems like it matters that the people riding horses
               | and motorcycles are choosing to do that. No one chooses
               | to have a radioactive cloud come kill them.
        
               | Gibbon1 wrote:
               | That's one of my litmus tests it's one thing if people
               | sign up for a risk, another when it's being imposed on
               | them.
               | 
               | I see you arguing that necessary risks are a society wide
               | decision. Which I agree with. Which means arguing from
               | that point is fair. Someone that argues otherwise I have
               | no idea what to say about that.
        
             | dmix wrote:
             | > how much you value indigenous lives over corporations...
             | 
             | Why is this the dichotomy for supporting modern nuclear
             | power plants? Or in this case a uranium processing plants?
             | 
             | Especially compared to burning burning and mining coal.
        
             | grogenaut wrote:
             | Take a look at the hanford site if you want to be scared.
             | And look at where it is, note that's the Columbia river,
             | which rolls right through northern portland. Or if you
             | don't care about people, it also powers most of the data
             | centers in the northwest. And is right near where most of
             | the hops are grown (won't someone think of the beer!).
             | 
             | https://www.hanford.gov/page.cfm/AboutHanfordCleanup
             | 
             | https://www.google.com/maps/place/Hanford+Site/@46.5656811,
             | -...
             | 
             | https://www.google.com/maps/place/Portland+International+Ai
             | r...
        
               | mcchew wrote:
               | That area also has lots of Bitcoin mining operations. All
               | of society is at risk over here.
        
         | pizza234 wrote:
         | I find something in this story puzzling - why were the IGR
         | owners charged? Based on the story as published on Wikipedia,
         | they tried to recover the unit, but they were officially barred
         | to do so.
        
         | georgecmu wrote:
         | Or this:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kramatorsk_radiological_accide...
         | 
         | In 1989, a small capsule containing highly radioactive
         | caesium-137 was found inside the concrete wall of an apartment
         | building, with a surface gamma radiation exposure dose rate of
         | 1800 R/year.
         | 
         | The source, originally a part of a radiation level gauge, was
         | lost in the Karansky quarry. The gravel from the quarry was
         | used in construction. The cesium capsule ended up in the
         | concrete panel of Apartment 85 of Building 7 on Gvardeytsev
         | Kantemirovtsev Street, between apartments 85 and 52.
         | 
         | Over 9 years, two families lived in Apartment 85. A child's bed
         | was located directly next to the wall containing the capsule.
         | By the time the capsule was discovered, 4 residents of the
         | building had died from leukemia and 17 more had received
         | varying doses of radiation. The accident was detected only
         | after the residents requested that the level of radiation be
         | measured in the apartment by a health physicist. Part of the
         | wall was removed and sent to the Institute for Nuclear Research
         | (NASU), where the cesium capsule was removed and disposed of.
         | 
         | The total number of deaths is alternately reported as 2, 4 (3
         | children and one adult), or 6 (4 children and 2 adults).
        
           | gambiting wrote:
           | It looks like China(and potentially other places) are willing
           | to accept incredibly dangerous(and expensive to recycle)
           | material and melt it into their main steel supply. After all,
           | cobalt diluted into a supply of steel is harmless, right?
           | 
           | https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/local/radioactive-metal-
           | tiss....
           | 
           | I would really like to know how much of a problem is it, how
           | much of global steel supply is tainted. Can we be buying cars
           | and other items made with steel that's contaminated?
        
             | swebs wrote:
             | It should be easy enough to check with a geiger counter,
             | right?
        
           | fsflover wrote:
           | Or this: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demon_core
        
             | WhiteSage wrote:
             | Or this: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Acerinox_accident
             | 
             | In May 1998, a caesium-137 source managed to pass through
             | the monitoring equipment in an Acerinox scrap metal
             | reprocessing plant in Los Barrios, Spain. When melted, the
             | caesium-137 caused the release of a radioactive cloud. The
             | Acerinox chimney detectors failed to detect it, but it was
             | eventually detected in France, Italy, Switzerland, Germany
             | and Austria. The radioactive levels measured were up to
             | 1000 times higher than normal.
        
           | divbzero wrote:
           | This makes me want to get a radiation detector to test the
           | places where I hang out.
        
             | xur17 wrote:
             | How expensive is something like this?
        
               | ilogik wrote:
               | you can build your own
               | https://www.sparkfun.com/products/14209
        
               | Red_Leaves_Flyy wrote:
               | That's cool, and cheap at 70. But it doesn't detect alpha
               | radiation. Unless I missed something.
        
               | Red_Leaves_Flyy wrote:
               | $130 or less, shipped.
               | 
               | https://soeks-usa.com/collections/radiation-
               | detectors/produc...
        
               | thesz wrote:
               | You already have your smartphone, most probably:
               | https://phys.org/news/2014-06-smartphone-detector-app-
               | positi...
               | 
               | Smartphone cameras are sensitive to radiation (radiation
               | produces additional spurious reading in camera sensors -
               | additional noise over thermal one) and it is possible to
               | use these cameras to more or less accurately measure
               | radiation levels.
        
         | shrimp_emoji wrote:
         | Well There's Your Problem did an episode on that:
         | https://youtu.be/34rdxDgpaaA
        
         | jl6 wrote:
         | It's probably not a problem... probably... just a showing a
         | small discrepancy. It's well within acceptable bounds.
         | 
         | Seriously, I'd be interested in some stats on how various
         | nuclear accidents have been disclosed/reported. Feels like a
         | good litmus test of transparency.
        
           | ixfo wrote:
           | Set anti-mass spectrometers to 105%.
        
         | highhedgehog wrote:
         | I read about that story. it's incredible. love it (in a weird
         | way I guess, but it was so fascinating)
        
       | noja wrote:
       | Nuclear energy is very safe, but to be safe it relies on the
       | systems that support it. One of those systems is the economic
       | system. I hope nothing bad has happened.
        
       | godelski wrote:
       | Since everyone is saying Russia, I just want to include a map of
       | reactor locations. It _may_ be Russia, but there are quite a few
       | reactors in the area.
       | 
       | https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/e/e9/%D0%90%D...
        
         | SubiculumCode wrote:
         | I wonder, could it be related to the Nyonoksa radiation
         | incident in Russia in 2019?
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nyonoksa_radiation_accident
        
         | imrelaxed wrote:
         | As someone who follows Russian news and political atmosphere.
         | Here's what's been happening there as of late: Corona,
         | sanctions and the tremendous drop in oil prices have hit the
         | Russian economy very hard and the situation is projected to get
         | worse. Putin's rating is the worst it has ever been and the US
         | is currently bipartisan on new, much worse sanctions (rightly
         | so). Putin is becoming desperate. The last time his rating
         | began to drop the invasion of Crimea propped it back up to 90%+
         | (Russians apparently love invading weak neighbors for
         | territory) and staid that way for a long time despite sanctions
         | and western pressure. Recently, in consistence with the drop in
         | ratings, the saber rattling against Ukraine has picked up a
         | lot. Russia has massed even more troops on the Ukrainian border
         | and preformed a huge mock invasion exercise from Crimea (US
         | reacted by flying stealth bombers in the area). Last week Putin
         | also gave a huge inflammatory interview claiming that Ukraine
         | and other exsoviet countries illegally left the USSR with
         | rightfully Russian territories (a lie). Many see these events
         | as the preparation for another invasion of Ukraine. These
         | nuclear fission byproducts can potentially be the result of
         | Russian weapons tests in preparation for military action that
         | may result in NATO reaction (Ukraine received enhanced NATO
         | status earlier this month, likely in response to the saber
         | rattling). The last time nuclear fission byproducts were
         | detected in the region (last year I believe), it was due to
         | Russia testing a new nuclear engine powered missile with near
         | unlimited range and maneuverability. This missile spews
         | radioactive byproducts as it flies and creates a mini Chernobyl
         | (along with an explosion due to a payload in addition to its
         | reactor engine) where ever it hits. A similar missile was
         | tested in the US but scrapped due to the potential damage to
         | the environment. This of course is just one of many possible
         | explanations for this detection.
        
           | sergeykish wrote:
           | They believe USSR won WW2 by itself - no Lend-Lease, without
           | Allies they would seize entire Europe. And no, not _free_ ,
           | no self determination allowed [1]. Then they would certainly
           | beat Japan by themself - it is just an island. Afghanistan
           | was another territory that could be _ours_.
           | 
           | Putin plays on ideology created by USSR. Lie, lie, nothing
           | but lie. Bolsheviks invented a lot in terrorism. It takes
           | century to unfold. ISIS follows same book.
           | 
           | Sorry to bring it here, it is awful they want to start it
           | again.
           | 
           | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prague_Spring
        
         | matthewdgreen wrote:
         | An unreported release of radionuclides from a Western European
         | reactor would be much more surprising.
        
           | bonestamp2 wrote:
           | Unless they too were unaware of it.
        
           | legulere wrote:
           | In Germany they tried to use Chernobyl to hide a reactor
           | accident https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/THTR-300
        
           | tobias3 wrote:
           | Yeah, I was surprised that there are a handful of reactors of
           | the same type as Chernobyl (RBMK-1000) still online. For
           | example west of St. Petersburg (
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leningrad_Nuclear_Power_Plant )
        
             | wbl wrote:
             | They did substantial renovation to control the more
             | interesting characteristics of the design. CANDU has an
             | excellent safety record despite the same external
             | moderation technique.
        
               | m4rtink wrote:
               | The power power/to cost radio of RBMK is still pretty
               | good, as well other aspects (online refueling, isotope
               | production, good scalability - there were plans for RBMK
               | 2400 and RBMK 4800 etc.).
               | 
               | If it just were not for the few desing flaws that make
               | them unstable and dangerous in some situations.
        
               | gdubs wrote:
               | "On the next episode of 'This Old Reactor'..."
        
         | fyfy18 wrote:
         | There's also the Astravets plant in Belarus, of which the first
         | reactor is due to come online later this year. The initial
         | batch of fuel was received last month.
         | 
         | The plant has sparked some tensions in the area, especially
         | with Lithuanian, as it's being constructed on the border, 28
         | miles from the Lithuanian capital.
        
         | eganist wrote:
         | The likely region in yellow:
         | https://twitter.com/SinaZerbo/status/1276559857731153921
        
       | unnouinceput wrote:
       | Quote: "We are able to indicate the likely region of the
       | source..."
       | 
       | Then tell us who. And since they didn't said it in the first
       | place, I bet is mother Russia again.
        
         | norenh wrote:
         | They do indicate the region, and it does include sweden,
         | finland, large parts of baltics and certain areas in russia:
         | https://mobile.twitter.com/SinaZerbo/status/1276559857731153...
         | 
         | Had you included the full quote you would have known why they
         | did not point out the exact location: "We are able to indicate
         | the likely region of the source, but it's outside the CTBTO's
         | mandate to identify the exact origin"
         | 
         | If I interpret it correctly it means that they do not know the
         | exact location and other organisations will now have to
         | investigate it further to get the exact origin.
        
           | unnouinceput wrote:
           | The article itself lacks the region. As I don't have twitter
           | I don't care about following links to it and furthermore,
           | because of NoScript that I have, it didn't even appeared in
           | the first place. In order to see the twitter link I had to
           | temporarily allow it to see that as well.
           | 
           | And including the entire quote would've made no difference on
           | the region, but the origin. I differentiate between source
           | region (Sweden, Norway, Finland, Russia as indicated in the
           | twitter post) and origin (a nuclear plant, a mining operation
           | etc - that's for me meaning origin of radionuclides).
        
           | ip26 wrote:
           | _If I interpret it correctly_
           | 
           | Sounds more like they are pretty sure where but aren't
           | allowed to say.
        
             | davrosthedalek wrote:
             | I think that's the point. They are only "pretty" sure.
             | There is always room for error, and not pointing out the
             | likely culprit protects them from retaliation.
        
               | BurningFrog wrote:
               | Or they _are_ sure, but relations with the guilty party
               | are not conducive to revealing it.
        
             | beervirus wrote:
             | Yeah that wording was strange. If they don't know, they
             | should just say that.
        
         | valuearb wrote:
         | What? You think the same Russia that offered bounties to the
         | Taliban to kill US soldiers might be up to nuclear shenanigans,
         | again?
         | 
         | https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/26/us/politics/russia-afghan...
        
       | Mugwort wrote:
       | Do you think it might be related to this event? (linked below _)
       | I 'm going to make a guess, that there might have been a nuclear
       | detonation. It probably wasn't a test. This seems to be an
       | accident. Not all weapons are accounted for, e.g. there a
       | American hydrogen bombs lost in Spain (I know... it sounds crazy
       | but look it up.). Could there have been a bomb laying around
       | someone in a place everyone forgot existed maybe some forgotten
       | relic from the Soviet day?
       | 
       | _ A GLOBAL MAGNETIC ANOMALY: On June 23rd, Earth's quiet magnetic
       | field was unexpectedly disturbed by a wave of magnetism that
       | rippled around much of the globe. There was no solar storm or
       | geomagnetic storm to cause the disturbance. So what was it?
       | 
       | https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/06/25/weird-out-of-nowhere-...
        
         | m4rtink wrote:
         | It basically impossible the lost bombs from old broken arows
         | woild detonate i nuclear way (the conventional explosive might
         | still explode and contaminate a small area).
         | 
         | Even if you discount machinery still working after being
         | embedded in the ground or unde water any neutron initiators or
         | bateries would have lomg sonce became unusable.
        
         | sebastialonso wrote:
         | What the hell? Thanks for this, haven't seen anything about
         | this anywhere.
        
           | qayxc wrote:
           | Maybe because only specialists even took note of this. The
           | article itself states that it's more like "hearing a pin
           | drop".
           | 
           | If you look at the scales on the included diagrams, you might
           | note that these "ripples" are on the order of a few nT.
           | 
           | The natural variation of the magnetic field can be 2 orders
           | of magnitude higher, so the real story here is that they were
           | even able to pick this up in the first place...
        
       | theophrastus wrote:
       | This couldn't be the leakage from that nuclear powered cruise
       | missile 'test' lost by the Russians 2017-2018[1]? That is, is
       | Barents sea too far from the Baltic for a couple of years of
       | tides?
       | 
       | [1] https://www.theverge.com/2018/8/21/17766426/russia-
       | nuclear-p...
        
         | eitland wrote:
         | If it was transmitted through the sea, then more or less
         | (depending on where in the Barents) the whole Norwegian coast
         | and then some is between the Barents sea and the Baltic.
         | 
         | And the Norwegian coast is long. Really long.
         | 
         | That said this seems to be airborne.
        
         | joezydeco wrote:
         | The anomalous readings were airborne. Would that be possible
         | from a missile lost at sea?
        
       | rurban wrote:
       | To those saying it's nothing: Lookup the historical data and
       | compare. Chernobyl caused 0.1 mSv/h in radiation in Sweden, this
       | incident caused 0.18 mSv/h in Helsinki. Only two short spikes
       | over one week, Chernobyl was over two weeks, but certainly not
       | harmless. These are deadly poisons.
       | https://www.stralsakerhetsmyndigheten.se/contentassets/66f4f...
       | 
       | It's either one of the old Chernobyl-like pressure water reactors
       | in Tallin or St Petersburg. Really interesting is also why the
       | control commission in Vienna is not allowed to call them out.
        
         | ProblemFactory wrote:
         | > old Chernobyl-like pressure water reactors in Tallin or St
         | Petersburg
         | 
         | You must be confusing Tallinn with some other city - Estonia
         | does not and has not had any nuclear power plants.
         | 
         | The map covers Sweden, Finland, Estonia, Latvia and Russia.
         | Estonia and Latvia have no nuclear power or weapons programs,
         | and the first four are EU countries where staying silent about
         | an incident would be very unlikely. That leaves Russia.
         | 
         | Interestingly enough the possible source area includes the
         | Arkhangelsk naval base, where the Russian nuclear submarine
         | fleet is stationed. An incident there may explain the lack of
         | information.
        
           | catalogia wrote:
           | I think Arkhangelsk being involved seems likely. The Russian
           | ship "Akademik Aleksandrov" aka _Project 20183_ was
           | apparently in that area recently[1], and seems obviously
           | related to Poseidon[2]. If the source of the radiation were a
           | Poseidon, that would certainly explain the secrecy.
           | 
           | As for claims of the fission products coming from a "civil
           | source", I don't think enough is known about Poseidon's
           | reactors to rule that out. I could be wrong, but as far as
           | I've read the details of that reactor are up in the air
           | (besides being small, obviously.)
           | 
           | [1]
           | https://twitter.com/FrankBottema/status/1276930424170844162
           | 
           | [2] http://www.hisutton.com/Akademik-Aleksandrov.html
        
         | ksaj wrote:
         | Mandates are mandates. You can only say and do what you are
         | authorized to say and do. Overstepping other agencies'
         | jurisdictions is a guaranteed way to garner negative attention.
         | 
         | Eg: In Canada people are trying to push the Prime Minister into
         | releasing Meng back to China. But the government is strictly
         | separate from the legal/court system to avoid the type of
         | corruption one sees the US Dept of Justice accused of right
         | now. So yes, he very well might be able to push the matter
         | through loopholes or influence, but the very same people
         | pushing him to do it would also decry corruption and call him a
         | dictator if he did so. So he won't overstep that boundary.
         | 
         | Additionally, I used to provide technical expert witness
         | services in certain types of court cases. I had to state only
         | things that I can back up as part of my expertise. I had to use
         | the word 'apparent' and 'presumed' a lot, even when file names
         | were so extremely obvious. I couldn't refer to a hacker as a
         | hacker in certain contexts - they're simply "suspects" etc. As
         | a technical expert, I spoke to the technology and not the
         | person or any literal content.
         | 
         | It's exactly the same reason you see the word "alleged" used in
         | the news even when it is super obvious the "alleged" facts are
         | obviously true -- Jurisdiction and authority to state specifics
         | as fact.
        
       | chronicsunshine wrote:
       | Probable sources would be:
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kola_Nuclear_Power_Plant or
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leningrad_Nuclear_Power_Plant
       | 
       | Notably the second uses RBMK-1000 reactors, the same as used in
       | Chernobyl.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | Nginx487 wrote:
       | Can't even guess, who's riding the horse with the naked torso
       | could be responsible.
        
         | rantwasp wrote:
         | that's speculation. i could be a horse, it could be a bear, a
         | moose, you name it
        
       | aaron695 wrote:
       | Russia, damaged fuel rod.
       | 
       | https://www.rivm.nl/nieuws/radioactieve-stoffen-gedetecteerd...
       | 
       | 21st century and the current top comment on HN is it's a random
       | spike. Even though the article says it's not. This shouldn't be
       | hard people.
        
       | highenergystar wrote:
       | Could this be from the test of the nuclear powered hypersonic
       | missile that Russia is developing [0]? Those things aren't
       | designed to 'land' no pun intended
       | 
       | [0] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/9M730_Burevestnik
        
         | catalogia wrote:
         | My first guess is their nuclear powered torpedo, 'Poseidon',
         | aka STATUS-6, or Kanyon:
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Status-6_Oceanic_Multipurpose_...
         | 
         | I'd sooner expect it in the Arctic Ocean, but who knows.
         | 
         | Edit: Some supporting evidence from twitter:
         | https://twitter.com/FrankBottema/status/1276930424170844162
        
       | m3kw9 wrote:
       | Wouldn't be surprised if nuclear fission waste is being dumped
        
         | canada_dry wrote:
         | Hell, with all the regulatory rollbacks by the EPA [i] that
         | might happen here soon enough.
         | 
         | [i] https://www.brookings.edu/interactives/tracking-
         | deregulation...
        
         | catalogia wrote:
         | I would be surprised if they were doing that in the Baltic
         | Ocean. Traditionally Russia has dumped their nuclear waste near
         | Novaya Zemlya, into the Arctic Ocean.
        
       | sradman wrote:
       | I understand the political reason for not naming the
       | reactors/nation-states most likely responsible for the release
       | but I don't understand the lack of context. Why wasn't short-
       | lived iodine-131 detected along with the caesium-134, caesium-137
       | and ruthenium-103? How do the measured levels of the long-lived
       | caesium/ruthenium isotopes compare to known events like
       | Fukushima? How do these measured levels compare to known nuclear
       | weapon tests?
       | 
       | I'm worried about the geopolitical implications, not the global
       | health implications.
        
         | cowboysauce wrote:
         | The release likely happened during fuel reprocessing. Since
         | fuel is left to cool for at least several months before
         | reprocessing, there's essentially no I-131 left at that point.
        
         | ISL wrote:
         | 103Ru has a 39-day half life. 134Cs has a 2 yr half life, 137Cs
         | has a 30-year half life.
         | 
         | 131I has an 8 day half-life.
         | 
         | One can use those numbers to infer, in the absence of
         | supporting chains, how-recently the released material was
         | involved in a fission reaction.
        
       | Nodraak wrote:
       | The original data seems to be available at [^1] but I dont see
       | any spike around the 22-23 of June ... Let's wait to know more
       | before saying anything stupid (looking at you Greenpeace)
       | 
       | [^1] https://www.stuk.fi/aiheet/sateily-
       | ymparistossa/sateilytilan...
        
         | syvanen wrote:
         | That system you linked only measures radiation. While the
         | sensor in Sweden actually sample the air to detect certain
         | isotopes. STUK does have this type of sensors also and did see
         | these same type of isotopes in the air[1]. [1] Announcement in
         | Finnish https://www.stuk.fi/-/helsingin-ilmassa-pienia-maaria-
         | keinot...
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | GekkePrutser wrote:
       | I wonder where this is from. First thought was Fukushima. As they
       | say it's from a civil nature. It's very far from the Baltic
       | though. Wouldn't really be possible.
       | 
       | Or one of the many nuclear subs that have sank perhaps? I believe
       | most ship reactors are quite similar in design to civil power
       | plants, just much smaller.
        
       | chiefalchemist wrote:
       | Has this been verified / confirmed by a second or third sensors
       | location? Wouldn't multiple locationns help pin point the
       | possible source?
        
       | albntomat0 wrote:
       | What's the base rate for this type of detection? Another
       | commenter mentioned this is how Chernobyl was first reported, but
       | I can't find anything on how often such things happen randomly
       | without a catastrophic root cause.
        
         | lifeisstillgood wrote:
         | I am quite disturbed to find that this is not a zero level base
         | rate.
         | 
         | I remember the "CIA Whole Earth" from Snow Crash. I always
         | thought that Google Earth would be something like that - some
         | cross between a weather station and wikipedia.
        
           | re wrote:
           | > the "CIA Whole Earth" from Snow Crash
           | 
           | I was curious about this so here's some of the references I
           | found (in the novel, it's "a piece of CIC software called,
           | simply, Earth").
           | 
           | http://www.technovelgy.com/ct/content.asp?Bnum=843
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Snow_Crash#Influence_on_the_Wo.
           | ..
        
             | m4rtink wrote:
             | IIRC this was an (acknowledged!) inspiration for Google
             | Earth.
        
           | serf wrote:
           | > I am quite disturbed to find that this is not a zero level
           | base rate.
           | 
           | speaking of disturbing factoids about radiation.. This is one
           | of those nerdy cocktail topics I spout out about when i'm
           | bored at a bar.[0]
           | 
           | [0]:https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Low-background_steel
        
       | mongol wrote:
       | I saw this tweet a short while back. It does not add anything to
       | the article but is an official source
       | 
       | https://twitter.com/SSM_Nyheter/status/1275416038755139584
        
         | guerrilla wrote:
         | Tack. Do they have a live map like Finland does [1]?
         | 
         | [1]. https://www.stuk.fi/aiheet/sateily-
         | ymparistossa/sateilytilan...
        
           | alkonaut wrote:
           | The Leningrad plant looks suspicious given the pattern in
           | southern Finland.
           | 
           | And in that I case we'll never find out.
        
           | mongol wrote:
           | Not that I am aware of. Kind of disappointed actually.
        
             | guerrilla wrote:
             | Yeah, same. I found a couple [1][2] of live maps but I'm
             | not really sure how seriously to take them. Especially
             | since they don't appear to show this spike.
             | 
             | [1]. http://radioactiveathome.org/map/
             | 
             | [2]. https://radmon.org/index.php
        
           | swebs wrote:
           | English Link
           | 
           | https://www.stuk.fi/web/en/topics/environmental-
           | radiation/ra...
        
       | rurban wrote:
       | So they know where the emission originated from, but they are not
       | telling it?? Please. Are we still in the 80ies?
        
         | user_50123890 wrote:
         | https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EbdAa9qXQAYji-z?format=jpg&name=...
         | 
         | Spoiler: 99% chance it's from Russia.
        
           | rurban wrote:
           | 50/50 Either Tallin or St Petersburg. One of them is not in
           | Russia, but both are Russian-style (ie Chernobyl) water
           | pressure reactors. One of them leaked in a massive scale, but
           | thanksfully only twice.
        
             | BurningFrog wrote:
             | I'd expect Estonia to have admitted it already if it was on
             | their side.
             | 
             | For Russia, my expectations are completely different.
        
               | ProblemFactory wrote:
               | I'd expect Estonia to be very surprised and alarmed if it
               | was on their side, given that there are no nuclear power
               | stations or weapons in Estonia.
        
             | catalogia wrote:
             | Despite what the article may say, I think it's premature to
             | rule out a naval reactor.
        
           | guerrilla wrote:
           | 80% of that area covered is not in Russia btw.
        
             | user_50123890 wrote:
             | ? Nuclear accidents don't come out of thin air, they are
             | caused by humans, some countries/areas have higher risks of
             | accidents, and most areas have zero risk.
             | 
             | Russia is definitely a high risk area (if not THE high risk
             | area), considering their soviet legacy of ancient nuclear
             | power plants etc.
        
         | krick wrote:
         | I guess it's not 80's, it's a silly mistake of making an
         | assumption that "now we are living in the different times".
        
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       (page generated 2020-06-27 23:00 UTC)