[HN Gopher] Vitamin D deficiency and Covid-19 mortality [pdf] ___________________________________________________________________ Vitamin D deficiency and Covid-19 mortality [pdf] Author : black6 Score : 207 points Date : 2020-08-05 14:30 UTC (8 hours ago) (HTM) web link (borsche.de) (TXT) w3m dump (borsche.de) | RosanaAnaDana wrote: | I'm a simple person. I see two y or x axis on the same plot and I | cast doubt. | emdowling wrote: | This conclusion (10x higher mortality if deficient in Vitamin D) | is rather significant. How trustworthy is this source? | troupe wrote: | Keep in mind that they aren't saying that their data doesn't | say that people not given vitamin D supplements were 10x more | likely to die. Instead that people coming in with a deficiency | already were 10x more likely to die. Imagine if you had two | groups. Group A runs for 1 hour a day outside. The group B is | confined to their beds in a nursing home. | | Group B is going to have a vitamin D deficiency compared to | group A. Group A is also much more likely to survive Covid. | However, this wouldn't give you any evidence that vitamin D is | the cause of better survival rates. You should assume that it | might just be an indicator of better health over all unless you | can find some way to control for all the other health factors. | mixmastamyk wrote: | And yet it has been long known D supports the immune system. | Being technically-right here is not a good survival strategy. | James_Henry wrote: | Borsche and Glauner don't seem very trustworthy, but it is no | secret that a vitamin D deficiency is correlated with higher | mortality. The comorbidities that are associated with Covid-19 | mortality are, pretty much, all correlated with vitamin D | deficiency. The real question is, if someone is obese, or has | diabetes, or has CKD, or is old, what is it that is making them | more likely to die of Covid-19? Is it a vitamin D deficiency or | some other related issue? and can supplemental vitamin D help? | | My guess is that it helps more than hurts to supplement vitamin | D if you are deficient or insufficient. I'd also guess that it | is no miracle cure like Borsche and Glauner seem to want people | to think. | russfink wrote: | From a technical writing style perspective, the thing going | against this paper is the folksy way of writing. It also | includes things called weasel words, such as saying very young | doctor, versus young doctor, or even just doctor. | | The results are compelling, and I suppose it would not hurt to | take a prophylaxis of vitamin D (5,000 units per the article?) | as compared to a prophylaxis of something else, such as | hydroxychloroquine (or Lysol!) | black6 wrote: | https://hcqtrial.com/ | | "...an extensive discussion of the differences between the | death rates of New York City and Lagos, Nigeria, which both | received infected travelers around the same time. NYC's high | rate has been linked to population density, poverty, | overcrowding, and ethnicity. Lagos is a crowded urban center | of about 22 million people with 30 families often in a single | building sharing the same bathroom, and none of the factors | mentioned favor reduced death rates in Lagos. Lagos further | has lower quality of medical care. Yet NYC had a death rate | 600 times higher. The younger population can only account for | a small part of this difference. Mitchell concludes that | there is a crossover prophylactic effect of antimalarial | agents against COVID-19." | James_Henry wrote: | The paper that is talked about here doesn't make a very | strong case for prophylaxis use of hcq. They may look at | population-adjusted death rates, but that's not really | enough. You could do the same things between different | neighborhoods in NYC and probably see huge difference in | death rates that may actually be caused by obesity or so | many other factors. | | I will grant that prophylaxis use of HCQ is much more | interesting than its use in treatment, but I don't think | this paper is very strong. | macawfish wrote: | I've been very frustrated in my attempts to raise this issue with | the local health department where I live. I was brushed aside, | and was told "correlation does not imply causation". I doubt that | the person on the phone wanted to get into a conversation about | dynamical systems or nonlinear data analysis, so I didn't even go | there. | | Instead I sent a letter full of references to published research, | and citing other letters (peer reviewed) urging public health | officials to recommend safe levels of supplementation. I received | 0 engagement. I should really send the letter every day until | someone responds. | | Aside from all of the promising anecdotal evidence and population | studies, there is plenty of established theory to understand just | how Vitamin D might help lessen the load of Covid-19. Decades of | published, reviewed research have shown that Vitamin D: | | - helps regulate calcium metabolism and ionization... | disregulated calcium levels are also linked to poor covid | outcomes | | - downregulates some of the same inflammatory cytokines involved | in the positive feedback loops seen in bad covid cases | | - directly regulates the expression of ACE-2 genes | | - regulates the renin-angiotensin system | | - regulates circadian rhythm | | Other supplements that work with Vitamin D to help regulate | calcium metabolism and ionization are also promising, including | K2 and magnesium. | | https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.01.20112334v... | | A friend of mine who's a doctor also told me that a lot of people | with bad covid outcomes just have general electrolyte imbalances. | To what degree is this pandemic just a manifestation of basic | malnutrition on a massive scale? | | At this point, I've come to the conclusion that there is a | systemic conflict of interest in many health systems around the | world. It's most blatant in the US. Specifically: It seems that | there are certain "neo-Malthusian" individuals high up in the | chains of command who simply have no interest in implementing low | risk, low cost measures that prevent loss of life, and instead | use their power to further cater to the already privileged groups | of people they deem fit for life. This goes beyond covid-19. | ColanR wrote: | I'd tend to agree with you. There's a lot of pharmaceutical | money to be made on this crisis, especially if Covid-19 becomes | seasonal. Don't want to waste that opportunity by treating it | with something cheap like Vitamin D. | | In line with how Monsanto covered up studies showing the | dangers of Roundup (and faked other studies that indicated no | danger, and did a fair bit of astroturfing, iirc), I'd expect | to see a lot of misinformation in the future about the | ineffectiveness - maybe even the danger? - of Vitamin D | supplements. | davidwitt415 wrote: | A simpler explanation is profit motive; it doesn't 'pay' to | promote free/low cost alternatives. Most of western medicine is | geared this way, imo. | y0ssar1an wrote: | In this case, the doctors really do know better. Vitamin D | deficiency has been linked to just about every disease. That's | because it's a marker of frailty, not a direct cause for most | of these diseases. In other words, correlation does not imply | causation. | | It sounds like you have too much confidence in published | research and not enough confidence in your local health | officials. | ColanR wrote: | > too much confidence in published research and not enough | confidence in your local health officials | | I can't figure out if you're being sarcastic, or if you | really do think that a local politician knows more about | medicine than is contained in actual medical research. | y0ssar1an wrote: | He's been talking with "the local health department", not | some local politician. I trust health departments a lot | more than I trust techies grepping PubMed. Techies don't | have the context to understand and filter bogus research. | Studies that correlate Vitamin D deficiency with X goes | straight to the mental spam filter for experienced people | in public health. If Vitamin D deficiency actually caused | all this disease we would be living in a golden age of | progress on cancer, heart disease, infectious disease, | mental health, etc. because Vitamin D deficiency is easy | and cheap to treat. | wtetzner wrote: | > That's because it's a marker of frailty, not a direct cause | for most of these diseases. | | Do you actually know that? | | > In other words, correlation does not imply causation. | | Sorry, but just because correlation does not imply causation | doesn't mean that Vitamin D deficiency isn't a cause. | black6 wrote: | > It seems that there are certain "neo-Malthusian" individuals | high up in the chains of command who simply have no interest in | implementing low risk, low cost measures that prevent loss of | life, and instead use their power to further cater to the | already privileged groups of people they deem fit for life. | | Especially the push for new expensive drugs like Remdesivir--by | people who stand to profit from the sale thereof--over existing | safe, effective, and _cost effecient_ treatment protocols like | HCQ-Zn-azithromicin[0]. | | 0: https://hcqtrial.com/ | tekgnos wrote: | It is not surprising at all that Covid-19 matches what we already | know about Vitamin D and Influenza. There are consequences for | radically altering the environment in which humans evolved. We | were nude outdoors and now we are clothed and indoors. When we do | briefly go outside, we are all conditioned to slather on | sunscreen, which blocks all Vitamin D generation. | | Why do people tend to get sick in the wintertime and not the | summer? | | https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/16959053/ | baix777 wrote: | Humans have being wearing clothes for about 170,000 years, | indoors and outdoors, long enough for a evolutionary response. | Along with fire, clothing is one of our great inventions and | allows humans to live in colder climates than we could | otherwise. We have, along with other creatures like lice, been | evolving since we started wearing clothes. | | But why do people get more sick in the winter, when they are | forced into close proximity with other people, making illness | easier to spread, rather than the summer, when people are | outdoors more, and can do things like walk to work in the warm | summer sun rather than take the bus in the cold winter rain and | snow? Stated differently, we naturally do more social | distancing in the summer. | tekgnos wrote: | Sure, there has been evolution. Like the adaptation of white | skin for humans in northern latitudes. Why was it so | important to evolve pale skin for humans living in high | latitudes? | | Social distancing in summer as a reason why people don't get | sick is an interesting theory, any studies that support it? | cwhiz wrote: | >Why do people tend to get sick in the wintertime and not the | summer? | | There are lots of reasons for that. Vitamin-D is just one of | those theories. There are also behavioral changes, such as | people spending more time indoors and in sealed spaces. There | is also the fact that certain viruses may survive better in | colder, drier climates. There are also some theories that | particles evaporate more quickly in the heat. | | Not to mention... humans started wearing closes about 100,000 | years ago. | tekgnos wrote: | Agree, it is a theory and one I believe. Also how/why white | skin evolved is another data point to consider. Lighter skin | means more Vitamin D in the summer months which is vital for | humans in northern latitudes. | | Clothes sure, but still were outside in the sunlight during | most of the day without sunblock. Take a look at hunter | gather tribes still alive today. Not a whole lot of clothes! | But sure, some. | aauchter wrote: | Interesting but a there's a decent chance of correlation not | causation. Unhealthy people and people over 65 (i.e. those most | susceptible to serious COVID complications) are the same group | that are most likely to be Vitamin D deficient. The primary | source of Vitamin D is sunlight. People over 65 tend to stay | indoors, etc. People with darker skin are also more prone to D | deficiency due to increased melanin, but also have higher rates | of obesity, more likely to suffer from diabetes, are more likely | to live in cramped conditions, etc. | | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3447083/ | https://www.cantonmercy.org/healthchat/42-percent-of-america... | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6075634/ | KerryJones wrote: | There's a lot more data here that specifically tested about | vitamin-D levels in early and late stages: | http://agingbiotech.info/vitamindcovid19/ | | I agree that causation hasn't been completely proven, but | there's a lot of data to support it could be causative. | nostromo wrote: | From the paper: | | > _After correction for age, sex and previous illnesses,_ the | risk of death is 10 times higher for people with vitamin D | deficiency. | | That said, it could still be correlative and not causative with | some different underlying health issue. | wtetzner wrote: | > That said, it could still be correlative and not causative | with some different underlying health issue. | | On the other hand, maybe Vitamin D deficiency is the cause or | one the causes of those underlying health issues. | et2o wrote: | Vitamin D has been endlessly promoted as a treatment for many | diseases due to evidence from observational studies, but hundreds | of millions of dollars in randomized controlled trials have never | demonstrated it to be effective for any disease except rickets. | | There was just a large trial published in JAMA [1] examining its | effectiveness for depression given solid observational data. It | was not at all effective. | | The reason that Vitamin D is associated with many diseases but is | not causative for anything is that Vitamin D level is highly | correlated with other metrics of health such as socioeconomic | status, active lifestyle, nutritional sufficiency, etc. | | We are wasting our time and money looking at Vitamin D again and | again and again. | | 1. https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/article- | abstract/27689... | jogundas wrote: | The recent JAMA only says that Vitamin D does not help with | depression. On the other hand, it seems to be useful in | preventing respiratory infections, see the following for a | review of randomized studies https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.i6583 | . | disgruntledphd2 wrote: | Depression is a tough thing to treat. The amount of | treatments that show promise, but essentially don't make a | meaningful difference in RCT's is very, very large. | | (Perhaps not coincidentally, placebo effects in depression | are known to be large). | autisticcurio wrote: | When looking at studies that show Vit D is not helpful, it pays | to understand whether the dose is significant or not. | | In this case, 2,000UI is not a significant amount. | | Someone in the UK can generate 10,000UI - 20,000UI from | spending 5 mins in the midday summer sun. | | This amount various depending on whether they are in the | countryside, where about 25% of UVB radiation is absorbed by | plants or sunbathing on a concrete/sand surface can reflect | 100% of the UVB upwards. If sunbathing in a polluted area, the | low level ozone can also reduce the UVB radiation reaching the | ground depending on the pollution levels. | | The Vit D Receptor has a zinc finger which is seems to only be | structural, so it would seem that without enough zinc in the | diet, even the 2776 VDR's in the human body according to the | Wellcome Trust, Cambridge Aug 2010, most of which are | concentrated around the immune system genes wont function | optimally. | | A point worth noting about Vit D3 supplements derived from | Lanolin, aka Sheep Fat/Oil, as most sheep are dipped in | organophosphates (Nerve Agents), there is a chance that you | could be exposing yourself to harmful residual levels of | organophosphates. I've yet to see any legislation which | monitors this in Vit D supplements in any region of the world | (if you know of any please reply so I can update), so | megadosing Vit D3 supplements could be increasing the tiny | residual amounts of organophosphates to significant and | possibly harmful levels. In a study on different Vit D3 | specific supplements, the amounts quoted also varied | significantly. | | Its also worth noting that due to the way patents work, | manufacturers of Vit D serum levels measuring equipment use | different methods and markers to calculate your serum 25(O)HD | levels, 10 years on, the medical equipment is still not | standardised as noted here. | https://ods.od.nih.gov/Research/vdsp.aspx In my own limited | tests using NHS equipment, the amounts measured varied by 45%. | | Like all fat soluble vitamins, D3 (25(O)HD) also has a half | life of about 28days so you could do what I have done in the | past and purchase some UVB reptile flo tubes and bask under | them during the winter months for a few hours a day to monitor | serum levels. | https://www.reptilecentre.com/blog/2016/09/difference-t8-t5-... | If you want to know how UVB levels vary around the world, this | is a good resource http://www.uvguide.co.uk/ reptiles like some | other mammals also need UVB radiation for good health. | | I could go on, I dont agree with some professors in this field, | sometimes science seems to be a scientific Ash conformity | experiment which can prevent you from becoming a qualified | expert and harm your health but as always with health, there is | no panacea and a variety of factors influence our health. For | example if your kidneys and/or liver are not healthy you wont | be able to make as much Vit D. Diet also plays a part, but if | you should find yourself getting into hypercalcaemia territory, | increase your Vit K intake, eg eat Brussel Sprouts, and | increase your Leucine and Lysine intake as these keto amino | acids also stimulate all type collagen synthesis and can reduce | the calcium in the blood stream. | | As the airways are the main entry point, it would seem logical | to increase Vit A intake because this is required by all | epithilial cells as is choline for cell membrane integrity, and | choline also helps to reduce the pressure in alveoli to | facilitate gas exchange which also increases physical | performance but could make it easier to breath when on a | ventilator and Choline also helps clean the blood through | methylation. Epithelial cells secrete things, so those two | supplements will enable the lungs and airway secretions to work | properly producing enough functional mucous in order to trap | pathogens before it even gets into the lungs where the real | damage can take place. Like I said it would seem logical to do | this, but I'm not an expert, just a self taught IT geek like | many of you guys. :-) | pieter_mj wrote: | Quite on the contrary, scientific research is still severely | lacking. There's even no sound scientific consensus on vitamin | d's rda. How should we acquire it, by sunbathing or by | supplementing, in a high dosis bolus or a daily small amount, | there are endless unanswered questions and endless unposed | questions. | | You rightfully mention a high correlation with other metrics | that make, in my opinion, vitamin d health benefits and health | disadvantages scientifically impenetrable. | | As a tiny datapoint, I refer to the research of the (on hn at | least) highly acclaimed Dr. Rhonda Patrick, who states that 70% | of Americans are currently deficient on vitD. She also states | that vitD has effects on 5% of gene expression, and is very | important in the brain formation of foetuses since it assists | the production of serotonin. | | If anything, and despite of admittedly huge efforts already, | vitD is heavily underresearched and many of its mechanisms | unexplored. | m463 wrote: | Although there is no proof that things like vitamin D are a | cause of something, I think it might be useful to treat them as | biomarkers. | | (basically saying they correlate, without leaping onto the | cause bandwagon) | d_burfoot wrote: | My view is that sunlight is the confounding effect. Getting | substantial exposure to the sun has many health benefits, | probably including Covid resiliency, and also increases vitamin | D levels in the blood. So vitamin D correlates with, but does | not cause, those health benefits. | | How is it even plausible that sunlight does not have | significant health benefits, given that Europeans _evolved_ to | have pale skin because they lived in high latitude | environments? | zamfi wrote: | > How is it even plausible that sunlight does not have | significant health benefits, given that Europeans evolved to | have pale skin because they lived in high latitude | environments? | | No one is arguing that sunlight doesn't have benefits. We | just don't know if those benefits are mediated through | vitamin D (in which case supplementation could be enough!) or | something else. | tekgnos wrote: | This study used a tiny amount of Vitamin D (2,00IU/day) which | is absolutely not enough Vitamin D to have any affect on | someone who is deficient. Going outside in a swimsuit produces | 10,000+IU equivalent. We evolved nude, outdoors. | | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3356951/ | AQuantized wrote: | It's not a tiny amount, probably about 40% of what most | adults should be getting optimally, and significantly better | than having almost no intake, which is the case for a lot of | people who rarely go outside and don't eat any fatty fish. | tekgnos wrote: | That's fair. The RDA at 400 is tiny. | mnm1 wrote: | Guaranteed that not a single study exists where they | intentionally exposed people to a live virus (since it's | unethical and horrific) so whatever studies you're referring to | are completely irrelevant. If not, please link to a relevant | study. Depression is not a virus. | nradov wrote: | A number of influenza challenge studies have been conducted | on human subjects. | | https://www.nih.gov/news-events/news-releases/influenza- | huma... | y0ssar1an wrote: | This should be the top comment. | unstrafed wrote: | But vitamin D almost certainly does help with certain | conditions. For example, I have psoriasis and can develop awful | (painful, itchy, ugly) plaques on my knees and elbows, as well | as painful skin nodules on the palmar surfaces of my hands and | feet and dandruff. I had seen a dermatologist who prescribed | some cream that sort of worked, and she recommended I expose | the surfaces to 15 mins of sunlight a day. Those kind of | worked, but the plaques and dandruff remained. I started | supplementing Vitamin D on my own (my PCP recommended it since | I'm slightly deficient), and the plaques disappeared within a | few weeks. The nodules only rarely appear when I'm having a | stressful time. If I forget to take vitamin D for a few days | (or, in the case of the pandemic, when I run out of it and | can't get a timely resupply), voila, the plaques reappear. Now | that isn't a peer reviewed, double-blind controlled study or | anything, but the signal is extremely strong that vit. D | supplementation fixes the bulk of my psoriasis symptoms. | Skepticism is warranted about all vitamin claims, but my priors | for vitamin D are that it may actually be effective even when | the peer reviewed research isn't out. My only caution to people | is that since it's fat soluble, people should try to determine | the right dose before gobbling it down. | ericb wrote: | Just because it doesn't cure one thing, we shouldn't consider | it for others? Should we toss our antidepressants because they | don't cure respiratory infections? | | I believe there's a plausible mechanism in this case, and | related studies on respiratory infections where an effect was | found. Also, in terms of studies, often the no effect data is | from bolus doses, which don't seem to do a good job moving the | needle. | [deleted] | MontagFTB wrote: | Supplementing with vitamin D should be easy enough to test. Given | that most people get their necessary vitamin D by going outside, | couldn't the presence/lack of this vitamin be an indicator of | other lifestyle choices that may affect the person's ability to | fight off the disease? | James_Henry wrote: | Sure, but a bigger confounder is probably that vitamin D | deficiency is associated with metabolic syndrome, CKD, obesity, | diabetes, etc. These may be, for some people, indicative of | lifestyle choices as well, but those choices are, I'd guess, | not the direct cause of a person's inability to survive the | disease. | dlojudice wrote: | "Pending results of such trials, it would seem uncontroversial to | enthusiastically promote efforts to achieve reference nutrient | intakes of vitamin D, which range from 400 IU/day in the UK to | 600-800 IU/day in the USA. These are predicated on benefits of | vitamin D for bone and muscle health, but there is a chance that | their implementation might also reduce the impact of COVID-19 in | populations where vitamin D deficiency is prevalent; there is | nothing to lose from their implementation, and potentially much | to gain." | | https://www.thelancet.com/journals/landia/article/PIIS2213-8... | dirtyid wrote: | Everyone should try a Vitamin D cycle if only to see if makes a | big difference in daily life, especially if you live in area with | sad winters. It's one of the few supplements that dramatically | improves mood for those deficient or sensitive to large doses. | James_Henry wrote: | Vitamin D tests aren't usually too expensive (as far as medical | tests go), so it might be worth just getting tested rather than | trying to see what difference it is making (which can be tricky | if you are someone sensitive to the placebo effect or if the | effect of vitamin D supplementation isn't immediate or what | not). | Jeriko wrote: | If you are trying to use it to treat mild depression | specifically, a placebo effect is great! Placebo effects get | a bad rap. If something improves your subjective quality of | life that should be considered a win, especially for | depression. | | Honestly the best thing vitamin D has going for it is being | super inexpensive and safe. Because of that you can | supplement vitamin D for almost any reason and expect to see | at worst a very small cost (someone up thread said 3 cents a | day, which seems in the ball park) and at best a significant | subjective benefit (even if it's from a placebo effect). | James_Henry wrote: | Placebo effects can be great; they can mask underlying | issues though. Also, if you actually have a vitamin D | deficiency (or some other health issue), it could be good | to know why. Perhaps your kidneys are having issues, for | instance. | jcampbell1 wrote: | After having several kitesurfing vacations ruined by sunburns, | I decided to just go to a tanning salon in the winter. It had a | profound mood effect and respiratory effect almost immediately. | Now I go a few times per month in winter regardless if I am | going to the tropics. The UV does is completely metered. | | It may be a risky, but given that people that work outside have | half the risk of melanoma as people who work indoors, I think | regular low dose UV exposure may be a net positive even for | cancer risk. | | Spending 5 minutes under UV lamps is a guaranteed way to get a | huge dose reasonably safely, and you will know the effect | almost immediately. The vitamin D seems to be maintained for | 2-3 weeks after as well. | James_Henry wrote: | One concern that I would have is that I've heard that the | light from a tanning salon doesn't match the light output by | the sun. Supposedly the sun has more UVB or something and | there are reasons to believe it may be healthier. Do you, or | anyone else, have any knowledge on this? | [deleted] | jcampbell1 wrote: | That is a concern, and the salons pitch expensive machines | using high pressure bulbs with basically no UVA which will | make your skin brown with little worry about sunburn and | has little vitamin d effect. Since you wouldn't be going | for aesthetics, the best is to use one of the cheap beds | that makes UVA and don't go for very long. Your skin will | take a month before it gets even subtly darker. | | The salons call the cheap machines "sun burning" machines | to up sell the more expensive "browning beds", but just use | that cheap machine and only use it for say 5 minutes | instead of the max 20. | | I also cover my face. I am in no way noticeably tan after | years of doing this, and the low dose protocol I use makes | my body similar to the color my forearms are from normal | sun exposure. | | I hope that is helpful, and it was years ago that I was | evaluating the risks and I don't have the exact figures | anymore, but you can lookup the UV profile of the bulbs | that are in the machine. Just google search the numbers on | the bulb. | y-c-o-m-b wrote: | I can provide my anecdote. I live near Portland, OR and been | taking 5000IU of Vitamin D for years. It doesn't do anything to | help with seasonal sadness. Neither do those "sun lamps". The | only thing I've found helpful (although short-lived) for that | is literally leaving the state for a week to somewhere warmer; | like Hawaii or San Diego. The sadness comes back shortly after | returning though, and sometimes even worse than before. It | seems to me that treating seasonal depression is more | complicated than simply taking medication or sitting in front | of a lamp. | 0DHm2CxO7Lb3 wrote: | Yeah, it would be nice to be able to replicate a warmer and | sunnier climate indoors during the winter. | | Another thing you can try is to use red to near infrared | light which has been shown to affect the mitochondrial | electron transport chain. I read "Brain Photobiomodulation | Therapy: A Narrative Review" a couple of days ago which is | pretty interesting. | | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6041198/ | hrasyid wrote: | Is this a peer-reviewed finding? As someone without expertise in | the area how do I evaluate its credibility? | shock wrote: | How do you evaluate the credibility of anything in life? I'm | not being facetious, it's a question I've been asking myself a | lot lately after making decisions based on the information from | a medical doctor, who, turns out, was not competent to make | certain affirmations. | searchableguy wrote: | I have been asking that too. | | What steps should I take to verify information without | becoming an expert in the field? | | What about more nuanced political topics? | deckar01 wrote: | It does not appear to have been peer reviewed. It is being | hosted by a diet book author, which should be a red flag. The | most reputable source they cite for correlating Vitamin D level | with Covid-19 cases and deaths called the correlation "crude" | [0]. It is a weak correlation. Their suggestion that there have | been controlled studies on infected patients seems to be | misleading. As far as I can tell from the sources they cited, | none of them administered Vitamin D to Covid-19 patients. I | think the trials they are citing were performed years ago on | pneumonia patients, not on Covid-19 patients [1]. | | [0]: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7202265/pdf/405... | | [1]: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4939707/pdf/mai... | ColanR wrote: | There's other studies cited in this discussion. Those are peer- | reviewed and do back up what the post is claiming. | odysseus wrote: | As I wrote at https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23025501 : | | There is an app I've been using to track my Vitamin D for a few | years now: http://dminder.ontometrics.com | | (Not affiliated with the app, just happy with it.) It tells you | the sun angle, peak hour of the day, and maximum time you should | be in that day's sun based on your skin type, to avoid getting | burnt while still getting enough D. | | Be careful though - you might get a little OCD about Vitamin D | tracking with this app. I did, and mainly use it now for checking | how long it is safe to stay outdoors. (Instead of full blown | tracking.) | tingletech wrote: | Dr. John Campbell has a lot of videos about vitamin D and | covid-19 -- here is one from last week | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cv4iINxf4IM | aplummer wrote: | > The rapid increase of vitamin D levels in covid-19 infected | patients with vitamin D deficiency (< 30ng/ml), as well as | vitamin D supplementation for doctors, nursing staff and risk | patients to a healthy blood level of 40-50ng/ml, is - in the | authors' view - the only conceivable solution to effectively | contain the corona pandemic. | | Research paper warning alarm sounding here. | James_Henry wrote: | I don't know if this should really be considered a "research | paper" even. | disgruntledphd2 wrote: | This is a pretty poor article on an interesting topic. | batrachom wrote: | This article is (badly) written by un-qualified authors (two | software developers). This would be enough to raise at least a | few red flags on the conclusions drawn here. Has it even been | peer reviewed? From a first look, there no way this work would | have been published by any reputable journal. | | If there is any truth in what the authors claim, the best they | could do is to work with field experts and/or submit their | findings to a reputable journal for review and publishing. | Someone's health might be on the line following pseudo-scientific | works. | cbsmith wrote: | Yeah, this seems to be mostly idle speculation than an actual | study... and it ignores a preponderances of additional data | (like, say... COVID-19 cases in the US). | [deleted] | del_operator wrote: | I've heard people talk in other offline conversations about | COVID-19 induced hyper-coagulability. How much did that play a | role in these cases? | [deleted] | zaroth wrote: | My wife just had a Vitamin D test which came at 15ng/mL, so we | are chuckling right now that she is 100% going to die if she gets | COVID. | | Dark humor aside, that is one hell of a chart. Really helps | explain the huge drop in death rate over the summer. | | I must say it's a bit of a missed opportunity to build up herd | immunity while the sun is shining here in the northern | hemisphere. | conorh wrote: | I've mentioned this before, but my wife is a parathyroid surgeon | (parathyroids are the glands that regulate the calcium in your | neck) and would beg you to PLEASE monitor your calcium levels if | you are supplementing with Vitamin D. She often sees patients on | high doses of Vitamin D from well intentioned doctors, but with | out of whack calcium levels because of it, and the patients can | be very sick without understanding why. Often their doctors don't | understand the processes either which is why they end up with | her. I'll have her write a blog post about it at some point, but | it is a real risk with possible severe long term consequences and | she sees it a lot more often these days. She is getting her blog | kicked off here (just yesterday actually) https://devaboone.com | if you want to follow along. | wpasc wrote: | Would you mind elaborating on what you mean by "wacky" levels? | I can't tell from your comment if that means high or low. | Asking as a Vitamin D supplement user who uses 2-3k IU a day | devaboone wrote: | Hi, I'm the wife. High dose Vitamin D can cause elevated | calcium levels (meaning over 10.0 mg/dl for adults over 40, | it can be a little higher for younger adults). I usually | don't see that occur with doses at 2-3 K IU daily. You can | also check your Vitamin D 25-OH levels (the level that will | be done if you just get a standard "Vitamin D level") and | these should be in a reasonable range. What constitutes | reasonable may be debatable, but in general I do not see | elevated calcium levels with Vitamin D levels that are under | 50 ng/ml (unless the person has parathyroid disease, another | topic). The "toxic" range for Vitamin D is usually set to | 100, but this is well over where most people should be. | Toxicity with regard to Vitamin D means high calcium - that | is the toxic effect. And I have seen this toxic effect occur | with Vit D levels in the 50s. | cactus2093 wrote: | Would you still consider 5,000 IU of Vitamin D per day safe | as far as these calcium issues go? | | I had a doctor tell me to take that dose for at least a few | months a few years ago after low levels in my bloodwork | during the winter. But I've never known if I should lower | the dose to take on a continuing basis or adjust during the | summer when I get a little more sun (but I still work in an | office/at home so spend a lot of time indoors, especially | now). | graeme wrote: | Great answer, thanks. So measuring blood levels of vitamin | D and setting a specific target no higher than 50 ng/ml | should be enough to avoid this problem for most people? Or | could taking a high daily dose for a short time to get to | the desired blood level cause trouble as well? | | Finally, do you see much difference in getting to that high | blood level of vitamin D from sun exposure vs D in diet | (fish, etc) vs supplements? | | I recently started trying to get more vitamin D from the | sun, a sperti vitamin d lamp, and food, in order to reduce | the amount of pills needed for a given IU. I use the | dminder app to track estimated blood levels between tests. | devaboone wrote: | Some people can tolerate Vitamin D levels above 50, so I | wouldn't set that as an absolute cutoff - a Vitamin D in | the 50s is good for many people, but I definitely don't | want to see it above 70. Taking a higher dose for a short | period of time is completely acceptable, as long as it | doesn't become something that you stay on for years. It | is really hard, if not impossible, to get toxic levels of | Vitamin D solely from the sun or diet. I only see it with | people taking supplements. And usually it's not a low | dose of supplements. (And actually, many people don't | even realize that they are getting high doses of Vitamin | D. It is added to a lot of vitamins and supplements - so | that supplement you take for hair growth may contain a | few thousand units of Vitamin D, for example. I ask | everyone to get out all of their supplements and look | through for vitamin D.) In general, getting vitamins and | minerals from diet is preferable to getting from | supplements. | dang wrote: | Sorry about the rate limiting! That's a new-account | issue, and I hate that it affects perfectly legit new | accounts. I've switched that off now, so she can post | freely. If you'd like, we can transfer your comments | beginning "From devaboone" to her username. (Edit: done | now, by permission via email. The parent comment was | originally posted by conorh.) | | (All: when you see issues like this affecting HN threads | and feel like doing a good deed, please alert us at | hn@ycombinator.com. We see all the emails but often have | no idea what's going on in the threads.) | andy_ppp wrote: | If taking Vitamin D do you recommend Magnesium and K2 as | well, as I understand it these need to be in balance? | pow_pp_-1_v wrote: | What are the ill effects of elevated blood-calcium levels? | Is there a way to avoid the bad effects of high dose | Vitamin D supplements? Thanks! | crawfordcomeaux wrote: | Does this material affect your advice? | | https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/28768407/ | devaboone wrote: | No, it doesn't. I haven't had a chance to really | critically review the studies that are cited in that | article, so I can't give an in-depth answer as to why | that article is wrong. But I know that my recommendations | are based on patients I have treated. And I have treated | thousands of patients with parathyroid, calcium, and | Vitamin D problems. That is all that I have done for the | last 6 years, in fact. I've never had a patient require | 8000 units of Vit D daily to get to a normal level - | never. Yet this article would have me believe that 98% of | people require over 8000 units to get Vit D in the normal | range?! That is absurd. Anyone who has prescribed Vitamin | D and watched levels knows that this isn't true. Many | things published in medical literature are not valid, and | not reproducible. | woko wrote: | Not a doctor, but I have had kidney stones. | | The answer is a loss of calcium, so high level found in urine | test: if you had way too much vitamin D, then you would start | releasing the calcium from your bones. | | I don't think that taking calcium supplements would help, | because calcium metabolism | (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Calcium_metabolism) is much | more complex than that. | devaboone wrote: | Calcium metabolism is complicated, but there are a few | things that are straightforward. 1. Vitamin D helps the | intestines absorb calcium, so taking more Vitamin D can | lead to more calcium being absorbed in your intestines, and | thus more calcium in the blood. The excess calcium in your | blood is caused by increased absorption from the | intestines, not from bone release. (High calcium with | parathyroid disease is caused by bone release, as well as | increased intestinal absorption) 2. Taking calcium | supplements along with Vitamin D will allow your intestines | to absorb more of the calcium you are taking. 3. There are | several reasons for having a lot of calcium in the urine. | Primary hyperparathyroidism can do it, and in this case you | will see high blood calcium levels also. If the blood | calcium is low or normal (under 10.0 mg/dl), then you have | another reason for high urine calcium. | pure_simplicity wrote: | Do you know what could be happening if taking vitamin D | gives you severe headaches that last for days and | gradually get weaker? | | If you need more information, please ask away. | keldaris wrote: | Could you elaborate in more detail? Given your wife's | background, I'd guess you were referring to people with pre- | existing hyperparathyroidism who are therefore prone to quickly | develop hypercalcaemia from even modest Vitamin D | supplementation, but perhaps there's more to it? | | If your wife wants to write a blog post on the subject, I'm | sure there'd be a lot of interest. | conorh wrote: | She was thinking about writing a blog post on Vitamin D | already and she says she will it in the next few days and | I'll post it here when she does. She is not talking about | patients with pre-existing hyperparathyroidism - they often | think they have it because the calcium is high, but it is | only high because of the vitamin D! | graeme wrote: | You/she should put an email signup on her site or in a | comment here. Would help people see the eventual article. | ruffrey wrote: | What level of supplementation? I see huge ranges of vitamin D, | by mouth or intramuscular, mentioned in this thread. As someone | taking vitamin D (1k IU) with K2 I wonder what levels affect | calcium. | jessriedel wrote: | All the vitamin D supplements I see in the pharmacy come | combined with calcium. Should that take care of it or does "out | of whack" mean calcium could be too high as well as too low? | devaboone wrote: | Calcium supplements often include Vitamin D because it aids | in intestinal absorption of calcium. That is actually one of | the main roles of Vitamin D. You can find Vitamin D by | itself, in anywhere from 400 to 5000 units per pill. Taking | high doses of Vitamin D can cause high calcium (due to more | being absorbed in the intestines), and taking extra calcium | would just exacerbate that. If someone has low calcium | levels, I recommend taking both calcium and Vitamin D. Low | Vitamin D can cause low calcium levels. | ColanR wrote: | Right now, I'd rather have a calcium problem than a Covid-19 | problem. Also, some of the studies being thrown around in this | discussion have mentioned that safe levels of Vitamin D are | much higher than a lot of medical professionals actually think. | | > there is virtually no risk of toxicity in supplementing up to | 10,000 IU of vitamin D3 daily | | https://sci-hub.se/https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/art... | devaboone wrote: | I read the study that is cited on your link. It was a review | article about Vitamin D, not a study on Vitamin D toxicity. | And in fact, in the references for that article, there is no | study cited directly related to Vitamin D toxicity that I can | see. The cutoff at 10K is largely someone's opinion. I cannot | say how many people will be harmed by taking such a high | dose, but I know with certainty that toxicity at that dose is | not rare, because I see it all the time. Some people can take | very high doses and be just fine, calcium stays normal. | Others will take 5000 units daily and end up with high | calcium, and all the symptoms that go along with that | (including kidney stones, fatigue, cardiac arrhythmias, etc). | Now I am not saying that NO ONE should take high dose Vit D. | Some people actually need that high dose, but that is only in | the case of someone with very low Vit D and low calcium | levels - often in someone who has problems with intestinal | absorption, as you would see in someone who had a gastric | bypass, for example. | ColanR wrote: | Thanks for the response. I'm curious what your wife thinks | about this article [0], mentioned elsewhere in this | discussion. It makes the case that the current RDA for | Vitamin D is based on a statistical error, and that the | recommended dose should be closer to 8000 IU for young | adults. | | [0] https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/28768407/ | seamyb88 wrote: | I recently stopped taking my (self-prescribed) dose of 1,000 IU | Vitamin D3. Before this I was on 2,000. I work all day and | rarely leave the house, sometimes for a couple of weeks. I | thought I was doing the sane thing. | | A good number of months in and I start getting all of the | symptoms - lethargy, constipation, stomach and intestinal pain, | urinating very frequently and feeling like I had a kidney | infection. | | Bloods came back all normal, including vitamin D and calcium. | My symptoms chime so much with Vitaminosis D (Vitamin D | toxicity) that I wonder whether the serum levels are accurate | indicators of such toxicity. Vitamin D is stored in fat and the | calcium gets deposited in muscles - two possible mechanisms for | this. | | However, I do not know for sure. Either way I have been scared | sh!tless of self-prescribing anything else. No matter how | mundane it seems. | mellosouls wrote: | Without a reference to go by a quick Google indicates toxicity | is only likely by taking _far_ above recommended levels (max | recommended is 4000iu daily) for an extended period. | | Presumably people on those kind of doses are taking it under | medical supervision, or are idiots/under the control of idiots. | | I am not a doctor, but without further information it seems | that as ever, following the guidance on legit supplies | specifically and mainstream medical advice generally is a good | rule of thumb. | devaboone wrote: | There are some very vocal people who argue that the risk of | toxicity is very low. The studies aren't great. But for most | people, taking a moderate dose of Vitamin D will be safe. | Unfortunately, I have treated many patients who come to me | with high calcium levels due to taking Vitamin D. They do not | have parathyroid disease (I have treated thousands of | patients with parathyroid disease). They have simply been | taking high doses of Vitamin D. High dose is generally 5000 | units a day or more, though I have seen it occur with lower | doses if taken over many years. Vitamin D is fat soluble, so | it will stay in your system for a long time, building up. Of | note, some of those patients were instructed by their doctors | to take those high doses. Even doctors forget the | relationship between calcium and Vitamin D, and I have spoken | with doctors who did not realize that 5000 units a day could | cause problems. As a doctor, there is a lot to know and | remember, and most doctors haven't studied calcium metabolism | in many years. | mellosouls wrote: | Thanks for the reply and contextual information. | [deleted] | jjeaff wrote: | I've seen mention that the risk of overdose at 10,000iu daily | is still very slow. | conorh wrote: | There are great questions on this thread, when she is available | she will weigh in. I don't have the answers unfortunately! Feel | free to reach out to her via her website too if you have very | specific questions - she doesn't mind that at all. | abawany wrote: | Thank you. Somewhat related: I wanted to inform that ublock | hides the submit button on the blog - if someone is having | difficulty subscribing, they should trying disabling ublock | for a bit before the submit button becomes visible. | fbr wrote: | It seems that you have to balance it with Vitamin K2 | | https://info.dralexrinehart.com/articles/vitamin-d-and-vitam... | dropin685 wrote: | Here (below) is a quote from the article, on the subject of | calcium. (I suppose some of us may be reluctant or unable to | have calcium levels monitored. But it seems all of us should be | taking vitamin K2 along with our vitamin D.) | | >The authors explicitly point out that each vitamin D | supplementation must be accompanied by sufficient vitamin K2. | This certainly prevents the rise of the calcium level in the | blood, which is often seen as a risk for the supply of vitamin | D | devaboone wrote: | Vitamin K2 does help bones absorb calcium, but it will not | prevent the blood calcium level from rising if you are really | taking more Vitamin D than you need. This is simply wishful | thinking. | jjeaff wrote: | Thanks for the link and please have her include whether k2 | supplementation is recommended or necessary along with the d3. | I have been supplementing with k2 due to a history of kidney | stones. | williesleg wrote: | Please, if you plan on voting Biden, please stop taking any and | all Vitamin D. | | The rest of you, pay attention to the science here. | FreelanceX wrote: | Would it be reasonable to hypothesize that, through lack of sun | exposure and ensuing vitamin D deficiencies, lockdowns kill more | people than they save? (that is, the increase in mortality would | more than overcome the decrease in cases) | | We cannot know for sure of course, but is it unreasonable to even | consider? | ColanR wrote: | Looks like this has been posted a lot on HN recently [0]. | Previous Vitamin D & Covid-19 discussions that garnered some | comments: | | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23023703 | | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22463713 | | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23119949 | | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23390264 | | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23349962 | | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23167802 | | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23188675 | | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23083619 | | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22600685 | | [0] | https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=pastYear&page=0&prefix=tru... | KerryJones wrote: | This isn't the first set of studies on Vitamin D3 and COVID-19, | and very happy more is coming out that is supportive: | http://agingbiotech.info/vitamindcovid19/ | | Per Nicholas Taleb this is "optionality", very low risk and | potentially very high reward. | archildress wrote: | I think the findings are good and interesting but I wish we could | dodge the politicized angle of this: | | "A lockdown would then be just as unnecessary as the justified | fear of our elderly fellow citizens and the risk groups, which | imposes an abnormal life on all of us." | ve55 wrote: | Although this is a notable finding it's important to remember | that it doesn't lead to the conclusion that supplementing vitamin | D will be very beneficial here. When vitamin D is produced in the | body naturally via exposure to sunlight there's a huge amount of | other things that occur as well, and we don't have a ton of good | science to back up if curing a vitamin D deficiency via | supplementation of pure vitamin D is really nearly the same as | getting it naturally, which is a common problem for supplementing | things and nutritional science and epidemiology in general. | | The extent that covid harms those that are metabolically unfit in | many different ways much more than those that are perfectly | healthy is still pretty under-discussed imo though, and this is | yet another good data point in favor of it, even if Vitamin D is | much more of a different proxy than some of the other large | correlations we see with covid mortality. | sharpneli wrote: | In Finland we put Vitamin D in milk that's sold on normal | shops. And taking a supplement is heavily recommended. | | Though this is mostly because for 6 months of a year one simply | cannot get it the natural way (too cold and sun is too low). | And thanks to this we don't have much deficiency, long time ago | we used to have. | | Not saying it means it would help with covid. But the | supplements definitely help with deficiency in a way that does | cure/prevent rickets. | [deleted] | graeme wrote: | You had a very limited coronavirus outbreak it seems. Does | Norway have the same vitamin D supplementation policies? | Their outbreak was similar in size to Finland's. | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_Finland | | Edit: Interestingly, the source pdf notes the nordic | countries have higher D3 levels than Mediterranean countries. | And speculates this may help explain lower incidence up | north. | | -------- | | The researchers around Petre Cristian Ilie have tested the | number of Covid-19 deaths per 1 million inhabitants against | the vitamin D level in 20 European countries and come to the | following conclusion: The mean vitamin D level in the | countries studied (mean 22.4 ng/ml, StDev +-4.24) correlates | strictly with the number of Covid-19 infected per million | population (mean 295.95, StDev +-298.73, p=0.004) and with | mortality (mean 5.96, StDev 15.13, p<0.00001) The death rates | in Spain and Italy are much higher than in Scandinavia. The | researchers explain this with the statistically significant | higher vitamin D level among the inhabitants of the Nordic | countries: The study shows that in older people, the average | blood vitamin D level in Spain is 10.4 ng/ml, in Italy, 11.2 | ng/ml, while in the Scandinavian countries it is 18 ng/ml. | The northerners obviously do have the better vitamin D | levels, although the sun is not as intense there as in the | south. This could either be because they are more active | outdoors or because they get more vitamin D from food, e.g. | fish, or both. Fat sea fish contains a lot of vitamin D. And | southerners tend to spend their midday hours in the shade or | indoors. Shadow, window glass and a longer way through the | atmosphere (morning/evening, autumn/spring) reduce UVB | radiation much more than UVA. | Johnny555 wrote: | In the USA we fortify milk with Vitamin-D too, but only a | small amount - each 8oz cup (240ml) has 15% (3mcg) of your | recommended daily allowance. | | There's research that suggests that the RDA is way too low, | plus many adults don't drink a lot of milk, certainly not | enough to make significant impact on their vitamin-D intake. | | https://www.cdc.gov/nutrition/infantandtoddlernutrition/food. | .. | | https://www.healthline.com/nutrition/fortified-milk#3 | Florin_Andrei wrote: | Also, isn't milk consumption unevenly distributed across | the whole population? E.g. those with an Asian background I | would expect to consume less milk than the population | average. | Johnny555 wrote: | True, I think food supplementation is hard to do in | general since the dose needs to be appropriate for anyone | that may consume it, with age ranging from infant to | elderly. | conistonwater wrote: | The last time I looked into this what I got was that | there'd been a statistical error made in the process of | determining the RDA, and it was just never corrected. The | RDA is the amount that guarantees that only a certain | fraction of the population has a deficiency, if everybody | eats that much, but they calculated it so that only a | certain fraction of population studies would find a | deficiency on average. Furthermore, dietary vitamin D is | absorbed rather poorly, so the amount of it you have to eat | is immense compared to going out into the sun, resulting in | really high "recommended" RDAs---it's the blood | concentration divided by sensitivity but the measured | sensitivity is surprisingly low. [1] | | [1] A Statistical Error in the Estimation of the | Recommended Dietary Allowance for Vitamin D, Paul J. | Veugelers* and John Paul Ekwaru | https://dx.doi.org/10.3390%2Fnu6104472 | Florin_Andrei wrote: | > _In Finland we put Vitamin D in milk that's sold on normal | shops._ | | Historically, the diet in that region included fish and other | foods rich in vitamin D. I'm not sure what's the typical diet | like these days. | | But yeah, up north you definitely need to increase the intake | of vitamin D. Same as Alaska in the US. | justinator wrote: | What's the amount of Vitamin D supplementation? This is | common in the States, but I wonder if Norway is higher. | BurningCycles wrote: | >In Finland we put Vitamin D in milk that's sold on normal | shops. | | I'd wager it's the same in all the Nordic countries, at least | it's the same here in Sweden. | | A couple a months ago when I spoke to my dad, he told me he | had a checkup because he had been unusually tired, turned out | that the only thing the testing showed was that he had | d-vitamin deficiency. | | What surprised me is that he was given prescription | d-vitamins, since you can buy them anywhere without | prescription. | pkaye wrote: | You can get larger doses of vitamin D in one pill as a | prescription. Like 20000 IU once every week or two instead | of daily. | | Also there is vitamin D2 and D3. The normal stuff you take | is called D2. The D3 is made by the kidneys from converting | D2. But those with certain diseases, the kidneys don't do | the conversion so they provide vitamin D3 in the form | called calcitriol. Its something I need to take due to my | kidney failure. | nicoburns wrote: | At least in the UK, it's pretty easy to get D3 over the | counter too. I've been buying D3 drops off of Amazon. | pkaye wrote: | Looks like I misunderstood it. Calcitriol is different | from D3. Normally your body converts D3 to calcitriol but | those with certain diseases will not get it converted. | | Calcitriol is actually the most confusing of my | medications to manage since the dosage needs to be | adjusted based on monthly blood tests. Things like amount | of sun exposure can swing my numbers around. And it | interacts with so many blood test numbers like PTH, | phosphorus and calcium levels. | disgruntledphd2 wrote: | My wife was given these, during the early part of her | pregnancy. I too, was surprised that they came via | prescription. | | The dosage did work out to be 50x what was in the standard | products though. | noir_lord wrote: | UK government changed it's advice to recommend | supplementation in the winter months (unsurprising given | how far north the UK is). | [deleted] | mrfusion wrote: | > When vitamin D is produced in the body naturally via exposure | to sunlight there's a huge amount of other things that occur as | well | | Any further reading on that? On the other hand worth | supplementation you don't get the harmful uv rays. | glofish wrote: | UV rays should not be considered harmful de-facto! | | Overexposure to UV rays is what causes trouble. | | Slathering on the sunscreen even when not necessary (like | walking from point A to point B, or spending 15 minutes | outside, is what causes the predominant vitamin D deficiency | in the first place. | James_Henry wrote: | Are you sure the "predominant vitamin D deficiency" isn't | caused by the prevalence of metabolic syndrome? | nradov wrote: | There is no evidence that a brief daily exposure to UV rays | is actually harmful in terms of all-cause mortality. | ntsplnkv2 wrote: | Personal anecdote - vitamin D supplements did absolutely | nothing for my vitamin D levels. | | it wasn't until I committed to getting more sunlight that my | levels increased. | function_seven wrote: | What was your daily IU supplementation, and how long did you | supplement before checking your levels again? | | I take 5000 IU daily, but also wonder if I'd do better with | more sunlight instead. | ntsplnkv2 wrote: | I was taking 50000 IU a week. Checked multiple times over | periods of months. | ColanR wrote: | > Although this is a notable finding it's important to remember | that it doesn't lead to the conclusion that supplementing | vitamin D will be very beneficial here....we don't have a ton | of good science to back up if curing a vitamin D deficiency via | supplementation of pure vitamin D is really nearly the same as | getting it naturally | | I don't know what you mean by 'a ton', but there is good | evidence that Vitamin D supplements do provide much of the same | benefit [0] [1]. | | > Ultraviolet radiation (either from artificial sources or from | sunlight) reduces the incidence of viral respiratory | infections, as does cod liver oil (which contains vitamin D). | | [0] https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/16959053/ | | [1] https://sci- | hub.se/https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/art... | ellyagg wrote: | It's frustrating that when this comes up, this comment is | always the top one, because it's not true. | | We have dozens of RCTs suggesting that vitamin D | supplementation prevents respiratory infections[1]. There is a | very good chance people could mitigate C19 risk with | supplementation. | | And I personally trust the vast majority of people to use | reasonable enough dosing that overdose is unlikely, especially | with appropriate messaging. | | Downplaying the risks of low vitamin D (way more prevalent than | vitmain D toxicity) seems as dangerous as the early pandemic | messaging in the US that masks are ineffective. | | 1. https://www.bmj.com/content/356/bmj.i6583 | arkitaip wrote: | Dr. Rhonda Patrick on "Vitamin D may reduce susceptibility to | COVID-19-associated lung injury": | https://www.foundmyfitness.com/episodes/vitamin-d-covid-19 | graeme wrote: | What about this section of the pdf? From a 2016 study on | patients with other respiratory diseases. | | ----------- | | High dose vitamin D administration in ventilated intensive care | unit patients: A pilot double blind randomized controlled trial | In the study, patients with vitamin D deficiency (<20ng/ml) | were divided into three groups: A placebo group, and two groups | that were given different doses of vitamin D. The single | administration of 250,000 IU of vitamin D was compared with the | single administration of 500,000 IU of vitamin D by injection. | In addition, the vitamin D levels were increased to 45 and 55 | ng/ml, respectively. While the length of stay of the placebo | group at the ICU was 36 days, the 250,000 IU group averaged 25 | days and the 500,000 IU group averaged 18 days. This is a | smooth halving and means that vitamin D is useful not only in | prevention but also in acute cases. | | https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221462371... | | ------------ | | Ah, the pdf has a second such study. Mortality almost half less | | ------------ | | Intervention was carried out intramuscularly with 300,000 IU of | vitamin D. Instead of 28 days only 18 days mechanical | ventilation, instead of 29 only 19 on ICU, instead of 61% | deaths only 36%. | | https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/31531088/ | mrfusion wrote: | Wow that could be a game changer. I'm surprised I hadn't | heard about that. | LegitShady wrote: | Those dosages are far higher than anyone supplementing | vitamin d are likely to take. | graeme wrote: | They're single use doses. These are often used by doctors | to treat severe deficiency, e.g. weekly 50,000 UI. | | It is plausible that in an ICU situation with limited time | a single, even larger dose makes sense. For an individual | not critically ill, more gradual daily boosting of vitamin | D is possible. The ICU patients didn't have this time. | Florin_Andrei wrote: | What's the LD50 for vitamin D? | LegitShady wrote: | You experience issues with hypercalcemia long before the | ld50 becomes an issue if you plan on supplementing too | much | credit_guy wrote: | I found out on HN that the official daily recommended dose | for vitamin D is flawed, it was based on an erroneous | statistical analysis. [1] contains some details. The bottom | line is the daily dose should be about 8000 IU rather than | the official 400 IU. | | Obviously, 250000 IU or 500000 IU is much higher, but this | is a one-shot, not a daily dose. If you take 8000 IU daily | dose as correct, then those 2 megadoses correspond to a one | month or two month intake. Very high indeed, but not absurd | | [1] https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/28768407/ | Florin_Andrei wrote: | A few things. | | Whenever your conclusion is that the "official | recommendations are flawed", and those were in place for | a while now, scrutinize your process. Reading a post on | social media is rarely paradigm-changing - and when it | is, it's overwhelmingly in the wrong direction. | | Secondly, the 8k dose doesn't seem realistic | historically. Is there any diet that does not include the | products of modern tech, that gets anywhere near those | levels consistently? Doesn't seem likely. | | Megadoses of anything are not without issues. There will | be side-effects with vit D, esp. related to calcium, etc. | | The data on the possible connection between vit D and | respiratory illness is still way more sketchy than most | people assume. There is no solid research yet. | | --- | | That being said: | | Vit D deficiency is pervasive in a lot of places. Most | people would benefit from taking some supplementation. | | 1000 UI capsules are cheap and readily available. That | dose is not far from the various "official" | recommendations (which are all over the range of the | hundreds, depending on country). There are no known side- | effects at that level. | krspykrm wrote: | > Secondly, the 8k dose doesn't seem realistic | historically. Is there any diet that does not include the | products of modern tech, that gets anywhere near those | levels consistently? Doesn't seem likely. | | Because historically most vitamin D intake didn't come | from diet, but from sunlight exposure. Varying widely | depending on how much skin you're exposing, the color of | your skin, latitude, season, etc., estimates of vitamin D | hourly vitamin D synthesis can be on the order of tens of | thousands. | graeme wrote: | Diet wise no. Skin production wise, yes. Though these are | different mechanisms and the body can turn off vitamin d | production from the skin past a certain point. | diydsp wrote: | When that came out a few years ago [1], I began getting | my vitamin D tested through my doctor and slowly ramped | up my dosage. It went from 28 ng/mL (70nmol/L) [2] to | 32-35 ng/mL (80-87.5 nmol.L). In my own physiology, this | required 4,000 IU (100 mcg) daily, orally. 2,000 IU was | not quite enough. | | I'm going to add another 2,000 IU daily to see if I can | reach the recommended 100 nmol/L from the OP. [3] | | [1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=15867918 | | [2] converter here: | https://www.azcalculator.com/calc/vitamin-d-ngml-nmolL- | conve... | | [3] https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/28768407/ | Florin_Andrei wrote: | Now, there is a difference between "ramping up" levels | and maintenance levels, right? | | It's generally been found that larger doses are required | to move the blood levels up, but it doesn't seem like | people need to remain at those dosages to maintain those | levels. | ve55 wrote: | I haven't seen that one, that looks pretty impressive, | especially for administering it in a single dose that is that | large. That's definitely a good data point in favor that some | of it is direct causation though. | throwanem wrote: | 31 total subjects, only 13 vitamin D deficient initially, p | = 0.03. This study at best suggests further, more rigorous | research here may be warranted. It says nothing about | causation, for all that its authors seem to feel otherwise | - and _that_ they feel otherwise suggests its results | should be taken with more than the usual amount of | skepticism. | graeme wrote: | Have a look at table 1. Only 5/31 subjects had | "sufficient" vitamin d. In between deficient and | sufficient there is the insufficient category, from 20-30 | ng/ml. | | Though I agree further study is warranted. The highest | vitamin D group actually had the highest mortality after | 84 days. Though this group also had the most pre-existing | heart conditions by far, so that could account for it. | | Ah, there was a second such study in the pdf. Mortality | down by almost half. | | ------------ | | Intervention was carried out intramuscularly with 300,000 | IU of vitamin D. Instead of 28 days only 18 days | mechanical ventilation, instead of 29 only 19 on ICU, | instead of 61% deaths only 36%. | | https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/31531088/ | mtgx wrote: | More studies referenced here, also showing ~55 ng/ml being | optimum for maximum health benefits. The current | recommendations are way below that. Well worth to watch the | whole video: | | https://youtu.be/v3pK0dccQ38?t=4105 | nradov wrote: | Also see this letter by Dr. Gerry Schwalfenberg. It's just an | anecdote but his claim of success in treating influenza | patients with a "vitamin D hammer" is interesting and should | prompt additional research. | | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4463890/ | xutopia wrote: | The study showed that supplementing (though it was injection) | to between "45 and 55 ng/ml" is "useful not only in prevention | but also in acute cases". | | So yes... sunlight does probably way more benefits for us but | supplementation if you are deficient is still showing | significant effects. | James_Henry wrote: | Just to be clear, the study that you are quoting isn't about | Sars-Cov 2. This is a quote from a 2016 paper on other | respiratory diseases. | James_Henry wrote: | And here is the quote in context, not that this isn't about | Covid-19: | | "High dose vitamin D administration in ventilated intensive | care unit patients: A pilot double blind randomized | controlled trial In the study, patients with vitamin D | deficiency (<20ng/ml) were divided into three groups: A | placebo group, and two groups that were given different | doses of vitamin D. The single administration of 250,000 IU | of vitamin D was compared with the single administration of | 500,000 IU of vitamin D by injection. In addition, the | vitamin D levels were increased to 45 and 55 ng/ml, | respectively. While the length of stay of the placebo group | at the ICU was 36 days, the 250,000 IU group averaged 25 | days and the 500,000 IU group averaged 18 days. This is a | smooth halving and means that vitamin D is useful not only | in prevention but also in acute cases." | nradov wrote: | One effect of sunlight exposure is to stimulate production of | nitric oxide, which lowers blood pressure. Hypertension is one | of the most common comorbid conditions for COVID-19 deaths. I | don't know if there's a causal relationship but it could be | worth further research. | disgruntledphd2 wrote: | That's interesting. Do you have pointers to relevant | research? | BurningFrog wrote: | Technically true, but you should still eat vitamin D | supplements. | | It's very cheap and safe, so worst case it has less effect than | you hope. You _can_ overdose, but you have to really crazy with | the dosage. | | Also 1: Vitamin D supplements _do_ cure rickets. | | Also 2: All of us who eat supplements should show up in the | stats as high in vitamin D, so the data does partially cover | that case. | zzz61831 wrote: | It's not that safe, not like vitamin C safe. Especially not | in doses sold in pills in pharmacies around the world. | newsbinator wrote: | I still can't figure out the safe + effective dosage of | Vitamin D. | | I was taking 1,000mg a day and that didn't seem to move the | needle on my Vitamin D blood work. | | In recent weeks I've been taking 4,000mg/day (with K2), | which is 4x what I've had pharmacists recommend. | | I plan to keep that up for a couple more weeks while I'm | under quarantine (recently flew from a high-risk country to | a less high-risk country). After that I'll level off to | 2,000mg a day. | | But I'm shooting in the dark. I have no idea if 2,000mg/day | or 4,000mg/day is too much or not enough. | BurningFrog wrote: | Quick Google results: | | - Mayo Clinic says "Taking 60,000 international units | (IU) a day of vitamin D for several months has been shown | to cause toxicity." | | - news-medical.net says "To prevent toxicity, tolerable | upper intake levels have been fixed for vitamin D as..." | 4000 for adults. | | - healthline.com says "A daily vitamin D intake of | 1000-4000 IU (25-100 micrograms) should be enough to | ensure optimal blood levels for most people." | | https://www.mayoclinic.org/healthy-lifestyle/nutrition- | and-h... | | https://www.news-medical.net/health/Vitamin-D- | Overdose.aspx | | https://www.healthline.com/nutrition/how-much-vitamin-d- | is-t... | tekgnos wrote: | Studies of pale skinned Norwegiens who go in the sun | during summer show they make 10,000-20,000IU equivalent a | day. Results will vary depending on skin tone and the | position of the sun (lower in the sky means no vitamin D | as the right wavelengths of light are not hitting your | skin) | | https://www.healthline.com/nutrition/vitamin-d-from- | sun#time... | James_Henry wrote: | The safest way is to take an occasional test for your | vitamin d levels. There are tests that you can take at | home that aren't too expensive! | secabeen wrote: | Yep. I work inside a lot, so I started taking 5000IU of D | a day. After two weeks, I had my levels tested and it | showed a level of 37. When fall comes around, and I'm | outside even less, I'll probably up the dosage for a week | or two, then test again. Target is between 50 and 70, so | I definitely need more. | BurningFrog wrote: | Thanks. I didn't know. | | Amazon has a few options in the $50-90 range. | | You prick your finger, draw a "small amount" of blood, | and send it to a lab. | secabeen wrote: | The order it yourself lab companies compete on the | Vitamin D test, you can usually get one for $40. | zelphirkalt wrote: | This is also what I read. People please read up on vitamin | D overdosing. | ve55 wrote: | Yeah, agree completely. I still take Vitamin D daily, and its | among my cheapest supplements, I think somewhere around 3 | cents per day. | r00fus wrote: | What brand/strength of VitaminD supplements do you all take? | adventured wrote: | I registered a 5 ng/ml with a blood test. I wasn't feeling | tired or seeing any negative effects at that time from it | and most likely it had been low for a decade. However for | obvious reasons I began immediately taking actions to move | that number persistently into a healthy range. | | I've been using a D3 supplement of 5000 IU from NatureWise, | for several years. I take one per day depending on the time | of year. It's inexpensive, ~$11-12 for a year supply, and | it has worked very well. I take it daily throughout Fall & | Winter, and then lighten up on it during Summer. | TacoToni wrote: | Thone 5,000 IU once per day (qd) | dx87 wrote: | I take Jocko D3[1], it's $25 for a year supply. The dosage | is on the high end though, it's 5000IU per dose whereas | doctors recommend 4000IU per day. It's important to get | bloodwork done once you take it, because if you aren't | deficient on vitamin D, it can have adverse health effects | if your levels get too high. | | https://originmaine.com/nutrition/jocko-d3-gel- | capsules-360c... | Johnny555 wrote: | I take NatureMade brand vitamin-D supplements. | | That brand is USP certified which means their product is | externally certified (through products purchased at stores) | to contain the amount of supplement they say it has. | | There are some other similar certification programs that | you can look for when choosing supplements, but USP seems | to be the most rigorous: | | https://www.consumerreports.org/supplements/how-to-choose- | su... | abawany wrote: | Sam's Club has this really crazy-understated product (imo) | that I like because it contains fish oil and 2000IU VitD in | a fish gelatin capsule: https://www.samsclub.com/p/mm-fish- | oil-dbl-d3-200ct-fish-gel... . | nathwill wrote: | the problem with vitamin D is there's a lot of confounders that D | is a proxy for, particularly met-syn and old age, so until | there's actual mechanistic descriptions for how D inhibits covid | severity, i'm remaining cautiously-optimistic-bordering-on- | skeptical about its curative powers. ___________________________________________________________________ (page generated 2020-08-05 23:00 UTC)