[HN Gopher] Hiroshima (1946)
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Hiroshima (1946)
        
       Author : kibwen
       Score  : 119 points
       Date   : 2020-08-09 18:26 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.newyorker.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.newyorker.com)
        
       | terrorOf wrote:
       | Given what Japanese have done to other non-Japanese (disgusting
       | experiment on people alive) as well as Pearl Habor, and also
       | given that they do not sincerely apologize on what they have done
       | during the war before atomic bomb, I don't think they deserve
       | apologizing. Also as what "dang" found out duplicated article
       | from 2016 and 2018, I feel this is kind of money-supported ad by
       | Japanese government.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | ErikAugust wrote:
       | Feynman on Hiroshima is fascinating:
       | https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p018w6rc
        
       | idlewords wrote:
       | If you ever get a chance to visit the Hiroshima Peace Museum, it
       | is a moving and worthwhile place to go. Give yourself a few hours
       | so you can spend time watching eyewitness interviews. The main
       | tram line through downtown goes right past Ground Zero, which
       | never stops being shocking.
        
       | mholt wrote:
       | If you're interested in this, I highly recommend watching _In
       | This Corner of the World_. The perspective of a young woman who
       | lives her life during the war, and her family 's tragic
       | experience with the bomb.
       | 
       | If I'm not mistaken, it is the first anime the Emperor of Japan
       | has gone to see personally in theaters
       | (https://www.crunchyroll.com/anime-
       | news/2019/12/18-1/japans-e...).
       | 
       | Spoiler-free analysis:
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kPS2U2ijBkU
       | 
       | US Netflix: https://www.netflix.com/title/80192244
        
       | dang wrote:
       | If curious see also
       | 
       | 2018 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18536235
       | 
       | 2016 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=11750331
        
       | mytailorisrich wrote:
       | The allies had already started to resort to obliterating whole
       | cities and their inhabitants before Hiroshima (see Dresden,
       | Tokyo).
       | 
       | IMHO, this was not the result of how "evil" the German and
       | Japanese regimes were (which seems to me to be a rationalization)
       | but the result of 5 years of total war. I think that at some
       | point people came to accept doing whatever it took to win and end
       | the war.
       | 
       | In the context of what was going on I think dropping atomic bombs
       | to precipitate the end of the war and send a message to the
       | Soviets was perhaps not considered as big a deal as we might
       | think because, as said, the result was already accepted looking
       | at the conventional bombing raids that had taken place.
       | 
       | War is hell and total war means total hell.
        
       | spicyramen wrote:
       | I have had the opportunity to visit Hiroshima and lived in the US
       | where I had the chance to study under professor William Perry
       | former Secretary of Defense and responsible for many post war
       | research. The perspective and official version that Americans
       | have is that dropping the bomb was the right thing to do and only
       | way to finish the war in the Pacific. The history is written by
       | the winners simple fact to always keep in mind. This is clearly a
       | misunderstanding of World War 2. In Europe after England and
       | France lost their hegemony as empires, it became a race between
       | USSR and US for world domination. The Red Army after controlling
       | Germany were on their way to Japan, and Japanese were really
       | afraid of it. There was a previous dispute over Kamchatka
       | peninsula and other territories that Russians would want to claim
       | back. US already defeated Japan in the Pacific and most of Japan
       | was already destroyed. US sent the bomb to send a message to the
       | World and USSR: we have this weapon and we will use it. It was in
       | their best interest to control a Russia-free Japan than get into
       | the same mess as in Germany.
        
       | overkalix wrote:
       | This is such a remarcable piece of writing. I'm sure among
       | americans this is already somewhat of a classic but if you
       | haven't read yet it do yourself a favor and take half an hour to
       | read it.
        
         | dan-robertson wrote:
         | If you look up the author, one of the first things a you will
         | read is that this was judged to be the finest example of 20th
         | century American journalism by a large group at New York
         | university.
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | supernova87a wrote:
       | When I was young in grade school, and learned about the bomb, and
       | its terrifying aftermath, pictures, scars, I thought that this
       | was clearly a wrong against humanity to have been dropped on
       | anyone. Clearly the visceral kind of "this should never happen"
       | reaction that any average person would have. "How could we put
       | the Enola Gay on a stamp to glorify this?"
       | 
       | Then, in college and especially after, learning about the equal
       | horrors of the Japanese war machine, and maybe actually more the
       | non-horrific but relentless robotic support for the war (or
       | obedience towards the emperor, government, etc) among the people,
       | I realized that it actually did bring an end to the war. Which if
       | it had continued, could have consumed far more lives. (whether it
       | had to be this tool, of course, is certainly worthy of debate)
       | 
       | Now, my 3rd phase of thinking -- beyond any opinion on tactics or
       | reaction or bombs in the moment of a war -- is how do we get
       | people to help themselves get out of the path to war? Each and
       | every one of us, who whether by support or indifference, or tacit
       | approval, or compounded misinformation, or ego, get ourselves
       | into situations that we look back 50 years from now and say,
       | "what happened?".
       | 
       | Surely, we have the tools and desire, don't we? I hope.
        
         | eska wrote:
         | My school education about this was also essentially "bombs are
         | bad, kids". The Wikipedia article (https://en.wikipedia.org/wik
         | i/Atomic_bombings_of_Hiroshima_a...) is actually quite
         | enlightening in this matter. A lot of people seem to think that
         | the Americans didn't try anything else before. Likewise most
         | people don't realize how much more death there would've been on
         | both sides if the US invaded Japan by sea.
        
           | rbecker wrote:
           | > Likewise most people don't realize how much more death
           | there would've been on both sides if the US invaded Japan by
           | sea.
           | 
           | That's begging the question - _was_ a US invasion the only
           | alternative?
           | https://www.commondreams.org/views/2020/08/05/nuclear-war-
           | or... argues that Japan would have surrendered without the
           | bombings. And that's for _unconditional_ surrender - a
           | conditional one would be even more easily achievable.
        
             | valuearb wrote:
             | There was no conditional surrender possible. The Japanese
             | were still demanding to keep their "colonies" in China and
             | elsewhere. Agreeing to that would be agreeing to continue
             | the Japanese holocaust against the Chinese and the peoples
             | in their other captured territories.
             | 
             | And from the Allied perspective, after the Bataan death
             | march, the massacre of surrendered US troops and civilians
             | in Wake, and the hundreds of similar massacres of
             | surrendered allied troops, and rape and murder of nurses
             | and civilians, across the Pacific, no one was going to
             | allow the Japanese leadership or military off the hook.
        
           | renewiltord wrote:
           | It strikes me as odd that practically any victorious military
           | finds all of its actions optimal. If it had not done as it
           | did, then the outcomes would be worse. The regularity of the
           | superiority of the action taken is fascinating.
           | 
           | Curiously, this website has a large number of commentators
           | that believe that luck is one of the biggest factors in
           | startup success. Yet, in this other domain of antagonistic
           | participants, war, the victor is always the better
           | strategist, having seen through the flaws of his enemy. Mere
           | luck plays no part here. A curious result to me. It appears
           | that Man is elevated to supreme intelligence when tasked with
           | war, and finds himself a mere leaf on air currents otherwise.
           | 
           | Of course, I'm no peacenik. I have no problem over-bombing a
           | population so I don't really see Hiroshima and Nagasaki as
           | tragedies. Since no one has an incentive to reveal the true
           | minimum that would cause them to capitulate, it is usually a
           | good idea when you're almost winning to make sure you're
           | definitely winning. I have no problem with the death of those
           | who would prefer my death. Just fascinated at how we conquer
           | luck in this sphere alone.
        
             | PhantomGremlin wrote:
             | _I have no problem with the death of those who would prefer
             | my death._
             | 
             | The most memorable line from the movie Patton (I don't know
             | if General Patton said this IRL):
             | 
             |  _Now I want you to remember that no bastard ever won a war
             | by dying for his country. He won it by making the other
             | poor dumb bastard die for his country._
        
             | the_af wrote:
             | > _I have no problem with the death of those who would
             | prefer my death_
             | 
             | What about those who have no opinion one way or the other
             | about your death, or are incapable of having an informed
             | opinion, such as very young children?
        
               | renewiltord wrote:
               | Well, this is a personal position so I don't see the
               | value in sharing it, but since you asked: I'd rather be
               | alive and evil than dead and good. After all, alive and
               | evil I can be redeemed and die good after a fulfilling
               | life. If I win, presumably following generations will
               | talk about my courage at having turned my life around and
               | any detractors of mine will find themselves outdone by my
               | supporters - who will either be more numerous or will
               | have the ability to call my detractors hypocrites since
               | they only exist by my actions.
               | 
               | So the children will die if they must die. And they will
               | live if it does not affect victory.
        
         | renewiltord wrote:
         | A fascinating comparison with British steadfast resolve in the
         | face of overwhelming force. Britons would fight on the beaches,
         | and on the landing grounds and streets. They would never
         | surrender, even against overwhelming odds.
         | 
         | Truly inspiring in comparison with the robotic obedience of the
         | Japanese who would dig in to protect their island, whatever the
         | cost may be.
        
           | quietbritishjim wrote:
           | * A rousing public speech is very different from actual
           | policy. A sibiling comment to yours make reference to a plan
           | by the Japanese, made in secret and actually started, that
           | was known to cost millions of Japanese lives and wasn't even
           | meant to secure victory but just better surrender terms. Your
           | quotation doesn't come close to showing that the British
           | would be prepared to do something similar. (In fact I'm sure
           | I read about a plan Churchill had to surrender if Germans did
           | make it onto British soil, but I'm not going to search for it
           | now - the burden is on you to show that the British wouldn't
           | have surrendered.)
           | 
           | * Aside from broad policy, the difference in attitude is
           | clearly shown by actions of individual soldiers. Individual
           | Britons in theatre would usually be prepared to surrender if
           | their situation was hopeless, as shown by the number of
           | actual British PoWs in WW2, whereas this was much rarer for
           | Japanese soldiers.
        
           | valuearb wrote:
           | To meet the first American invasion of their home islands,
           | the Japanese had 10,000 kamikaze planes prepared. They had
           | millions of civilians prepared to serve as suicide bomb
           | carriers against the allied ground troops.
           | 
           | Let me know if the British prepared troops and civilians to
           | use suicide as a weapon against a German invasion in any
           | significant quantity.
        
           | jmknoll wrote:
           | I see the point you're trying to make, and by no means am I
           | saying that the British were without fault, but there is a
           | very significant difference between the the British defending
           | their liberal democracy from Nazi domination and a largely
           | rural, largely uneducated Japanese population being
           | conscripted into fighting a war of aggression on behalf of a
           | totalitarian state.
        
           | claudiawerner wrote:
           | >Truly inspiring in comparison with the robotic obedience of
           | the Japanese who would dig in to protect their island,
           | whatever the cost may be.
           | 
           | That's not quite the case. The conditions of surrender
           | proposed, which the Japanese government rebuffed (or,
           | 'mokusatsu'[0]) particularly included that Japan surrender
           | its control over Korea and the island known now as Taiwan.
           | It's more accurate to say that the Japanese empire would dig
           | in to protect the areas they'd acquired, not just their
           | island. In Korea, they'd put a lot of effort into trying to
           | integrate the peninsula into Japan proper, for example
           | linguistically.
           | 
           | [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mokusatsu
        
         | senand wrote:
         | Even assuming it did bring an end to the war: was it really
         | necessary to drop two bombs for that?
        
           | renewiltord wrote:
           | Conventional wisdom is that you have to prove you can do it
           | on demand rather than it being a one and done. If you have
           | one, it could be the last one. If you have two, you could
           | have infinity.
        
             | claudiawerner wrote:
             | An interesting point here, in the Wikipedia article on the
             | atomic bombings, that Japanese nuclear scientists reported
             | to their government that the US could be expected to have
             | between two and four more such bombs ready to go. They were
             | under no illusions that the US had hundreds of these
             | sitting around.
        
             | eska wrote:
             | And the first one was likely to be a dud, thereby
             | completely removing the psychological effect from further
             | atomic bombs, of which there was only one for the next
             | couple months.
        
             | throwaway_pdp09 wrote:
             | Wiping out one city in one single gigantic unprecedented
             | flash was pretty convincing.
        
               | catalogia wrote:
               | Not to everybody it wasn't. Some Japanese officers wanted
               | to keep fighting even after two cities were wiped out.
               | (Three if you count the firebombing of Tokyo, which you
               | probably should...)
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bombing_of_Tokyo
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ky%C5%ABj%C5%8D_incident
               | 
               | As proven earlier with Operation Ten-Go / The Battle of
               | the East China Sea, many in the Japanese military
               | preferred spiteful suicidal attacks to surrender, even
               | when the hopelessness of their situation was abundantly
               | clear.
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Ten-Go
        
             | userbinator wrote:
             | _If you have one, it could be the last one. If you have
             | two, you could have infinity._
             | 
             | For some reason, this reminds me of the refactoring advice.
        
           | catalogia wrote:
           | Even after the second bomb, some Japan's military leadership
           | wanted to keep fighting.
           | 
           | > _The Kyujo incident (Gong Cheng Shi Jian , Kyujo Jiken) was
           | an attempted military coup d 'etat in the Empire of Japan at
           | the end of the Second World War. It happened on the night of
           | 14-15 August 1945, just before the announcement of Japan's
           | surrender to the Allies. The coup was attempted by the Staff
           | Office of the Ministry of War of Japan and many from the
           | Imperial Guard to stop the move to surrender._
           | 
           | > _The officers murdered Lieutenant General Takeshi Mori of
           | the First Imperial Guards Division and attempted to
           | counterfeit an order to the effect of occupying the Tokyo
           | Imperial Palace (Kyujo). They attempted to place the Emperor
           | under house arrest, using the 2nd Brigade Imperial Guard
           | Infantry. They failed to persuade the Eastern District Army
           | and the high command of the Imperial Japanese Army to move
           | forward with the action. Due to their failure to convince the
           | remaining army to oust the Imperial House of Japan, they
           | performed ritual suicide. As a result, the communique of the
           | intent for a Japanese surrender continued as planned._
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ky%C5%ABj%C5%8D_incident
           | 
           | Would resistance to surrender have found more support if only
           | a single bomb had been dropped? We will never know.
        
           | walleeee wrote:
           | Similarly, can someone explain why the bombs weren't dropped
           | a few miles out to sea? It would still have clearly
           | demonstrated the capability.
        
             | stu2b50 wrote:
             | After the two bombs, there was an attempted coup to prevent
             | the Emperor from surrendering.
             | 
             | And you think bombs at sea would scare them?
        
             | valuearb wrote:
             | The bombs barely performed their intended effect being
             | dropped on cities. Even after Nagasaki the Japanese
             | military argued they could continue to fight from
             | underground bunkers.
        
             | Someone wrote:
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atomic_bombings_of_Hiroshima_
             | a...:
             | 
             | "...many U.S. officials and scientists argued that a
             | demonstration would sacrifice the shock value of the atomic
             | attack, and the Japanese could deny the atomic bomb was
             | lethal, making the mission less likely to produce
             | surrender. Allied prisoners of war might be moved to the
             | demonstration site and be killed by the bomb. They also
             | worried that the bomb might be a dud since the Trinity test
             | was of a stationary device, not an air-dropped bomb. In
             | addition, although more bombs were in production, only two
             | would be available at the start of August, and they cost
             | billions of dollars, so using one for a demonstration would
             | be expensive."
        
           | valuearb wrote:
           | The second bomb coming so quickly was key to convincing
           | Hirohito's to surrender. The military had argued that
           | Hiroshima was a one time thing, and the US couldn't possibly
           | build another bomb any time soon.
        
             | Larrikin wrote:
             | The main argument against this, which I personally believe,
             | is that the first bomb should have been dropped on a remote
             | Japanese island or area. I don't believe this would have
             | lead to an end to the war but I believe a second one in a
             | more populated area would have, saving Nagasaki at least
        
               | valuearb wrote:
               | The worry was that a remote nuclear explosion would not
               | carry the same impact and they only had two bombs at the
               | moment. It would have been easy for the Japanese
               | militarists to downplay its effect.
               | 
               | And it turns out the Japanese military was exactly in
               | such a deep denial. After Hiroshima they said it would
               | take a longtime for the US to build another. After
               | Nagasaki they said so what, we will just retreat to
               | bunkers and force the Allies to invade. After Hirohito
               | decided to surrender, the military attempted a coup.
        
           | overkalix wrote:
           | I don't know how accurate this information is but they way it
           | was completely explained to me, the Japanese government and
           | population were not that affected by the first bomb in terms
           | of morale. They had already suffered horrible large-scale
           | bombings (e.g. Tokyo) and regardless of the initial effect,
           | the US leadership had already decided to drop two bombs to
           | give the impression that these bombs could keep coming 2-3
           | times a week.
        
             | valuearb wrote:
             | The second bomb coming so quickly was key to changing
             | Hirohito's mind. The military had argued that Hiroshima was
             | a one time thing, and the US couldn't possibly build
             | another bomb any time soon.
        
             | gambiting wrote:
             | Emperor Hirohito was nearly overthrown in an
             | (unsuccessful)coup after he announced the desire to
             | capitulate after the second bomb dropped, as his generals
             | wanted the war to continue. So if anything, the two bombs
             | were nearly not enough.
        
         | ChomskyNormal4m wrote:
         | > horrors of the Japanese war machine, and maybe actually more
         | the non-horrific but relentless robotic support for the war (or
         | obedience towards the emperor, government, etc) among the
         | people
         | 
         | When you think of the black ships of the Perry expedition, and
         | then forward to the Japanese attack on England's Hong Kong
         | colony, the French colonies in Indochina, America's colony in
         | the Philippines (and Hawaii!) - then you see the above blurb is
         | a perfect encapsulation of the western bourgeois mind.
        
         | kingkawn wrote:
         | A quote from General Dwight D. Eisenhower, "Japan at the moment
         | was seeking a way to surrender with a minimum loss of face. It
         | wasn't necessary to hit them with that awful thing." There are
         | more quotes, but basically everything you were taught about the
         | necessity of wiping out hundreds of thousands of people in a
         | flash was after the fact American propaganda to justify a war
         | crime.
        
           | valuearb wrote:
           | Dwight was being disingenuous, as the terms the Japanese were
           | seeking to "save face" including keeping all their conquered
           | possessions, especially in China.
        
           | ThrowawayR2 wrote:
           | > " _Japan at the moment was seeking a way to surrender with
           | a minimum loss of face_ "
           | 
           | Not really; some in Japan were seeking a surrender and some,
           | notably nearly all of the Japanese military, were quite
           | definitively not. Had the internal coup intended to prevent
           | the surrender succeeded
           | (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ky%C5%ABj%C5%8D_incident),
           | Eisenhower's quote would have been entirely false instead of
           | a half-truth.
        
             | kingkawn wrote:
             | You know more than Eisenhower?
        
         | Entwickler wrote:
         | I've heard the idea that atomic bombs were the deciding factor
         | in ending the war is in large part American propaganda. The
         | fact is the Soviets had far superior divisions (in both
         | manpower and fire power) lined up against the Japanese in
         | Manchuria, and shattered them within weeks.
         | 
         | From wikipedia(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soviet%E2%80%93Jap
         | anese_War), "Tsuyoshi Hasegawa's research has led him to
         | conclude that the atomic bombings were not the principal reason
         | for Japan's capitulation. He argues that Japan's leaders were
         | impacted more by the swift and devastating Soviet victories on
         | the mainland in the week after Joseph Stalin's August 8
         | declaration of war because the Japanese strategy to protect the
         | home islands was designed to fend off an Allied invasion from
         | the south and left virtually no spare troops to counter a
         | Soviet threat from the north. Furthermore, the Japanese could
         | no longer hope to achieve a negotiated peace with the Allies by
         | using the Soviet Union as a mediator with the Soviet
         | declaration of war. That, according to Hasegawa, amounted to a
         | "strategic bankruptcy" for the Japanese and forced their
         | message of surrender on August 15, 1945.[39][16] Others with
         | similar views include the Battlefield series
         | documentary,[2][11] among others, but all, including Hasegawa,
         | state that the surrender was not caused by only one factor or
         | event."
        
           | trhway wrote:
           | yes, USSR squashing Kwantung army may have naturally led to a
           | scenario where USSR forces could flood down south into China,
           | Korea, may be even invade the North Japan, etc. with US
           | having no troops there to "meet" USSR forces like it happened
           | in Europe. Whether USSR had such plans doesn't matter really.
           | 
           | It is very telling that USSR offensive on August 9 was
           | according to the plans made together with US months in
           | advance, and so US could hardly time the 2 bombs better - one
           | on August 6 and another several hours after the start of the
           | offensive - to make such an extremely clear message.
        
             | [deleted]
        
           | purple-again wrote:
           | In the surrendering words of the emperor himself the atomic
           | bomb is directly mentioned as one reason for the surrender.
        
             | catalogia wrote:
             | Words which almost weren't heard at all because some parts
             | of the Japanese military attempted to prevent the surrender
             | from being published.
        
         | EarthIsHome wrote:
         | For those interested in arguments about whether the bombings
         | were necessary, there's a good Wikipedia article:
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Debate_over_the_atomic_bombi...
         | 
         | I do believe the bombings were a strategic show-of-force to the
         | Soviet Union since they were coming out of the war as a global
         | power; USSR were instrumental in ending the war.
        
           | mholt wrote:
           | I also recommend The Shadow Peace, a short 14-minute video
           | analysis on the utility of nuclear weapons and their role in
           | our modern era of relative peace:
           | http://www.fallen.io/shadow-peace/1/ (unfortunately no HTTPS)
           | 
           | It's a slightly more optimistic take on the tragedies of the
           | 20th century.
        
           | growlix wrote:
           | An interesting perspective summarized here [0] is that the
           | bombings were not just unnecessary to end the war and were
           | conducted as a show of force to the Soviets. They were
           | conducted in an attempt to end the war ASAP, before a planned
           | Soviet ground invasion of Japan so that the US wouldn't have
           | to share control over post-war Japan with the Soviets.
           | 
           | [0] https://www.globalresearch.ca/the-real-reason-america-
           | used-n...
        
           | iguy wrote:
           | Not mentioned on that list: It made the sort of stories that
           | circulated in post-WWI Germany, about the old men selling out
           | while they could still have kept fighting, much less
           | plausible.
           | 
           | If the war aim was the permanent political defeat of Japanese
           | fascism, then this was important. You don't just want the
           | leader's signature on paper, you want defeat to be undeniable
           | to everyone.
           | 
           | In both cases, the naval blockade left a lot of civilians
           | hungry, and was great military value-for-money. But
           | politically, that was easier to forget afterwards. Your
           | adversary's ability to destroy whole cities with one plane
           | was not.
           | 
           | (In germany's case, having two different armies in Berlin for
           | half a century was also kind-of hard to forget.)
        
             | pasabagi wrote:
             | I don't think the war aim was the defeat of japanese
             | fascism - perhaps, japanese militarism. After all, the
             | basic element of japanese fascism (the Zaibatsu)
             | essentially persists today. It's also notable that japan,
             | while technically a democracy, has had the same party in
             | power since 1955.
        
           | missedthecue wrote:
           | The fact that the military is still awarding Purple Hearts
           | that were manufactured for the invasion of Japan tells me
           | that it was more than justified. Japanese intelligence itself
           | estimated 20 million casualties during an invasion.
        
             | manfredo wrote:
             | We also have Germany as a point of comparison. 1945 Was the
             | bloodiest year of the European theater, a fact made even
             | more palpable considering that the European war ended in
             | May. Compound this with the fact that the ratio of troops
             | killed vs surrendered for Germany was about 4:1 versus
             | 120:1 for Japan (granted this isn't really a
             | straightforward comparison, Japan was often fighting over
             | heavily fortified islands that afforded little opportunity
             | to encircle large formations which is what precipitates
             | most surrenders).
        
             | pmachinery wrote:
             | Regardless of the number, there was no need to invade
             | Japan.
             | 
             | It was already defeated, and offering to surrender, before
             | the USSR joined the fight.
             | 
             | Totally surrounded/blockaded, no allies left in the world,
             | bombed at will, what else could it do but accept defeat?
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | manfredo wrote:
               | Offering to surrender _conditionally_. Specifically, on
               | the condition that it keep Korea and Taiwan (and maybe
               | Manchuria, too), and that it 's military government
               | remain largely unchanged. This is was not a surrender
               | that was acceptable to the Allies.
               | 
               | This thread is being rate limited, reply in edit:
               | 
               | Denying Korea and Taiwan is easier said than done.
               | Remember that Japan essentially won the continental war
               | against China. It's best equipped and most experienced
               | troops are there. Japan is also in an optimal position to
               | control ocean access to Korea. Any boats have to travel
               | through the East China Sea, or sea of Japan to reach
               | Korea. Both of which are in range of the thousands of
               | kamikaze planes built for the purpose of destroying
               | vessels that sail close to Japan.
               | 
               | At this point, you're talking about conducting an
               | invasion of a landmass even larger than the Japanese home
               | islands, against better troops, and with more difficult
               | naval access. It would undoubtedly incur substantially
               | more losses than the 100 to 200 thousand inflicted by the
               | atomic bombings. And to what end? A hostile military
               | government would still be in power back in Japan.
        
               | goatlover wrote:
               | Even so, doesn't mean you have to do a land invasion or
               | drop atomic bombs. You can just deny Korea and Taiwan and
               | leave Japanese mainland be.
        
               | valuearb wrote:
               | Not invading or dropping nukes would mean the deaths of
               | millions. The Japanese would still fight, Japanese and
               | Allied planes would still get shot down and warships
               | sunk. Japanese Civilians would still be dying at a high
               | rate, from bombings, starvation, lack of medical
               | supplies, etc.
               | 
               | Before these bombs were dropped, tens of thousands were
               | dying on days with no large military operations.
        
               | dreamcompiler wrote:
               | > [Japan was] offering to surrender, before the USSR
               | joined the fight.
               | 
               | This is blatantly false. Even after two atomic bombs had
               | fallen on Japan, their military leaders -- and indeed
               | most of their population -- remained committed to fight
               | on until the nation of Japan ceased to exist. It was only
               | the intervention of the emperor himself (who never gets
               | involved in matters of war) that convinced the military
               | and the people to surrender after the bombs were dropped.
        
         | dylan604 wrote:
         | > Surely, we have the tools and desire, don't we? I hope.
         | 
         | Military conflicts through out the world since suggest we do
         | not.
        
         | the_af wrote:
         | > _I realized that it actually did bring an end to the war_
         | 
         | This may be the mainstream opinion in the US, but do note it's
         | not the mainstream opinion in other countries. Alternative
         | explanations include that the _real_ purpose of the two bombs
         | was to show the Soviets the nuclear might of the US (this view
         | is suggested in the Hiroshima museum in Japan, but just in case
         | you discount it because Japan is obviously not a neutral party,
         | this opinion is also held in some countries in Latin America --
         | even some people in the US believe this). Even at the time,
         | some people in the US army opposed the bombing and believed it
         | had no military justification.
        
           | xenocyon wrote:
           | As someone who grew up outside of the US, I have found that
           | Americans have a unique view on Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
           | American schoolchildren are raised to believe that it was
           | morally justified because it won - and therefore ended - the
           | war. This attitude is so deeply and fundamentally ingrained
           | into most Americans (including many who would self-identify
           | as liberals) that it is very hard for them to see it as a war
           | crime despite obviously meeting the criteria for such.
        
             | vinay427 wrote:
             | Honest question: can it not be both a less fatal end to the
             | war and a war crime? This classification of something as a
             | war crime, even if appropriate, isn't the ending of a
             | discussion.
        
             | dreamcompiler wrote:
             | It is hard to overstate how many civilians suffered and
             | died in war crimes perpetrated by Japan before and during
             | the war. The number vastly exceeds the number who died as a
             | result of the American atomic bombs. Breaking Japan's will
             | and ability to make war was the entire world's highest
             | priority in late 1945. Any discussion of "American war
             | crimes against Japan" is meaningless without discussing
             | Japan's crimes against half the world, together with the
             | very real possibility that the nation of Japan continues to
             | exist today solely because those two bombs were dropped.
        
             | valuearb wrote:
             | The nuclear bombings saved at least a million Japanese
             | lives. It can easily be argued it would be a war crime not
             | to drop them.
        
           | manfredo wrote:
           | Necessity and justification are two different concepts. Few
           | believe it was necessary - the United States' overwhelming
           | industrial capacity was bound to prevail over Japan. The
           | state of the two countries warmaking capacity was totally
           | lopsided by 1945. Thus it was not necessary to achieve
           | victory.
           | 
           | That is brought an end to the war with fewer casualties, both
           | American and Japanese even moreso, is not a difficult claim
           | to support. Japan planned to fight a defensive war against an
           | amphibious invasion in order to negotiate more favorable
           | surrender terms. The Japanese estimated that this would incur
           | 20 million Japanese casualties, and this plan was approved.
           | Even if we assume that Japan's war machine would collapse
           | before this figure of lives lost was reached, it is almost
           | certain that the death toll would be in the millions.
           | Germany, without the advantage of being a mountainous island
           | nation and having a lower population than Japan, fought on
           | its own soil in 1945 to the effect of several million dead.
           | Thus, it's almost certain that the atomic bombings resulted
           | in an order of magnitude fewer Japanese lives lost than an
           | conventional invasion.
        
             | hutzlibu wrote:
             | Yes, but maybe the bombs would have had the same effect, if
             | dropped on actual military targets (or even unhabitated
             | land, but close enough to demonstrate the power) instead of
             | an civilian city.
             | 
             | (a city with military production, sure sure, but they were
             | choosen not because of military value, but because they
             | were relatively undamaged, so the effect of the bombs could
             | be studied. Concern for loss of japan civilian live was
             | never an issue)
        
               | manfredo wrote:
               | Remember, it took not one, but two atomic bombs dropped
               | on cities for Japan to surrender. And even after that,
               | there was an attempted coup to continue fighting the war:
               | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ky%C5%ABj%C5%8D_incident
               | 
               | There only existed two bombs at the time. Had the bombs
               | been dropped as a show of force, it is very likely the US
               | and Japan would have to suffer through a costly invasion
               | anyway.
        
               | dboreham wrote:
               | Hmm. I think the US had at least one more core for a fat
               | man type weapon.
        
               | hpcjoe wrote:
               | Specifically, the demon core[1]. It was the core-in-
               | waiting for a third bomb if needed, and I believe that
               | the uranium and plutonium production lines were ramping
               | up by that time[2].
               | 
               | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demon_core
               | 
               | [2] https://www.atomicheritage.org/history/timeline
               | search for 1945 July 23 entry.
        
               | Gibbon1 wrote:
               | 40 years ago I wrote a paper on nuclear weapons. My
               | memory isn't perfect and the sources are 40-50 years out
               | of date. But here goes.
               | 
               | The US built a massive manufacturing pipeline to make
               | nuclear weapons. Little boy was a once off. Fat man was
               | basically a functional prototype. And the manufacturing
               | pipeline was running and kept running after the war. How
               | much weapons grade plutonium they had left over after
               | they bombed Nagasaki is kind of a quibble.
        
               | ThrowawayR2 wrote:
               | Given that the Japanese military wanted to continue the
               | war even after both Hiroshima and Nagasaki, your
               | conjecture is demonstrably untrue. Remember, the military
               | was the primary power in the Japanese government, second
               | only to the emperor, and were the driving force behind
               | starting the war as well. Also remember that the
               | firebombing campaign across all of the other major cities
               | had already inflicted combined casualties far greater
               | than Hiroshima and Nagasaki combined; immense deaths of
               | their own civilians was seen as an unavoidable necessity
               | to defend their homeland.
        
               | dreamcompiler wrote:
               | Minor elaboration: Nagasaki was not an undamaged city. It
               | had been bombed multiple times by conventional American
               | bombs. But then Nagasaki was just a backup target anyway.
               | Kokura was the primary target for the second bomb but it
               | was obscured by clouds and smoke during the bombing run
               | on August 9 so the plane went to Nagasaki instead. By the
               | time they got there it too was socked in by clouds which
               | is why the Nagasaki bomb fell so far off target.
        
             | rbecker wrote:
             | You misunderstand - the belief is not that the US could
             | have won the war even without the bombs, but that "bombs
             | vs. invasion" was a false dichotomy, and that Japan would
             | have unconditionally surrendered around the same time
             | without the bombs, or perhaps even sooner had the
             | _conditional_ surrender they were _already seeking_ been on
             | the table.
        
               | manfredo wrote:
               | Japan had actually repeatedly offered conditional
               | surrenders. Specifically, surrenders on the condition
               | that it keep some of its colonies (Korea and Taiwan),
               | that the Japanese military government remain intact, and
               | that nobody be charged for war crimes. This is as if
               | Germany offered a surrender on the condition that it keep
               | western Poland and Czechoslovakia, that the Nazi party
               | remain in power, and that nobody be tried for war crimes.
               | This is not remotely close to an acceptable surrender.
               | 
               | And the US ultimately did accept a surrender on the
               | condition that the imperial family not be tried for war
               | crimes (a particularly contentious point for China, since
               | a royal family member was the commanding officer in
               | charge of the forces that perpetrated the crimes at
               | Nanking).
        
               | valuearb wrote:
               | The Japanese offered to surrender if they could continue
               | to control their captured territories, essentially
               | continuing to rape China. That's a hell of a condition to
               | allow them.
        
               | rbecker wrote:
               | I'm curious where you found this information, because the
               | best I could find was that negotiations regarding those
               | conditions were never finished:
               | 
               |  _To this end, Stalin and Molotov strung out the
               | negotiations with the Japanese, giving them false hope of
               | a Soviet-mediated peace. [..] The Japanese would have to
               | surrender unconditionally to all the Allies. To prolong
               | the war, the Soviets opposed any attempt to weaken this
               | requirement.[56] This would give the Soviets time to
               | complete the transfer of their troops from the Western
               | Front to the Far East, and conquer Manchuria, Inner
               | Mongolia, northern Korea, South Sakhalin, the Kuriles,
               | and possibly Hokkaido_ - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Su
               | rrender_of_Japan#Soviet_inte...
               | 
               |  _However, the Japanese presented no formal terms,
               | because details were to be worked out by negotiation._ -
               | https://www.quora.com/When-Japan-offered-conditional-
               | surrend...
        
               | valuearb wrote:
               | That is a reference to what the Russians wanted, and this
               | is after the nuclear bombs. Once the bombs were dropped
               | terms acceptable to some of the Japanese changed. Japan
               | wasn't a monolithic government, you had competing
               | leadership, the empowered, the military, the politicians,
               | etc.
               | 
               | The military fervently wanted a US invasion, believing it
               | could inflict millions of casualties and then negotiate
               | better terms. And many Japanese didn't feel like they had
               | even lost yet, they were willing to endure bombings
               | feeling their fortress island was unassailable.
               | 
               | https://www.stripes.com/news/special-reports/world-war-
               | ii-th...
        
           | gen220 wrote:
           | It's worth noting that many in Japan sincerely believed it
           | was the best way to end to the war.
           | 
           | I've changed my opinion on this topic many times over the
           | years. Today I think it's just arrogant to say it was
           | obviously wrong or obviously right. Reality is too
           | complicated. Counterfactuals abound.
           | 
           | One dimension that people _haven't_ discussed in this thread,
           | is that ending the war with atomic bombs and napalm prevented
           | a bilateral invasion of Japan, which would have led to a
           | Korea or Germany-like partitioning of postwar Japan.
           | 
           | Instead of a speedy recovery and track to self determination,
           | there would have been 50 years of Cold War tensions, perhaps
           | proxy wars.
           | 
           | But maybe not! It's very complicated.
        
         | ekianjo wrote:
         | > I realized that it actually did bring an end to the war.
         | 
         | Then you have been fed propaganda. The bomb had nothing to do
         | with Japan surrendering.
        
         | antisthenes wrote:
         | You've recreated the Ultimate Ideal from movie Hero (2002)
         | 
         | 1. Mastery of a weapon and combat (the nuclear weapon)
         | 
         | 2. Weapon not in hand, but in the hearts and minds (loyalty and
         | devotion to the cause)
         | 
         | 3. The ultimate ideal - the weapon disappears altogether, and
         | the warrior is at peace with the world.
        
         | rland wrote:
         | We had a discussion about this in high school, I think my
         | junior year. Most of these types of discussions were very
         | lopsided, so the teacher would usually have to encourage people
         | to take the "bad/unpopular" position somehow. But this one was
         | right down the line in my class and produced a lively debate. I
         | still think about it, but my opinion hasn't changed -- it was
         | the correct decision.
        
           | j-james wrote:
           | My Modern World History class in high school also did this.
           | 
           | Our debate came down to whether or not directly / immediately
           | killing hundreds of thousands of citizens was justified by
           | potentially preventing even more dying in a subsequent
           | invasion. The class was similarly split.
        
         | jacobush wrote:
         | There's no consensus it ended the war. Rather the opposite. The
         | Japanese generals had larger problems to consider, such as the
         | fact that most targets were _already_ rubble, and the fact that
         | the Soviets were on their doorstep.
        
           | rbecker wrote:
           | This article elaborates that the bombings probably weren't
           | necessary: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24093814
        
           | valuearb wrote:
           | Strange, as the Japanese military mutinied when the Emperor
           | ordered the surrender.
        
         | Hokusai wrote:
         | > and maybe actually more the non-horrific but relentless
         | robotic support for the war (or obedience towards the emperor,
         | government, etc) among the people
         | 
         | That is a lot of words to say "civilians trying to survive
         | during a war".
         | 
         | To make it even worse, the war criminals, that ones that were
         | part of the "horrors of the Japanese war machine" were spared
         | by the USA after the war. Fearing an increase influence of
         | Communism in Asia, the USA let the war criminals go unpunished.
         | 
         | Targeting civilians while sparing war criminals is hardly a
         | moral stand point.
        
       | sorokod wrote:
       | Kazutoshi Hando, The Pacific War Research Society, Japan's
       | Longest Day (Tokyo: Kodansha International, Ltd., 1968), pp.
       | 11-53.
       | 
       | https://web.archive.org/web/20110225124451/http://www.mtholy...
        
       | MrsPeaches wrote:
       | If you have never read it, I high recommend "The Atomic Bombings
       | of Hiroshima & Nagasaki" by the Manhatten Project [1].
       | 
       | There are some facinating technical details (in particluar the
       | way heat reflected in the hills of Nagasaki) but in general it
       | makes for grim reading.
       | 
       | I was always struck by the contrast between the dispassionate
       | analysis in the report and the final eye witness account in the
       | appendix.
       | 
       | I always had the feeling that they knew what they had done and
       | knew that it was wrong.
       | 
       | [1] https://www.abomb1.org/hiroshim/hiro_med.pdf
        
       | traceroute66 wrote:
       | Nuking the Japanese was just the culmination of rather horrific
       | methods used by the US against Japan.
       | 
       | Another one the US was quite keen on is firebombing (aerial
       | incendiary bombing of urban areas). Grave of the Fireflies is a
       | movie well worth watching that provides a depiction of the effect
       | of war on society.
        
       | dkyc wrote:
       | The pop-up advertising a 'flash sale' over the first paragraph
       | couldn't have been placed worse.
        
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