[HN Gopher] What harm do minimum wages do? ___________________________________________________________________ What harm do minimum wages do? Author : prostoalex Score : 132 points Date : 2020-08-19 17:39 UTC (5 hours ago) (HTM) web link (www.economist.com) (TXT) w3m dump (www.economist.com) | seiferteric wrote: | I know that in economics it is difficult to do proper studies | hence the "dismal science", but my understanding is that most | economists agree that minimum wages don't work right? So why is | it still pushed? Shouldn't we "listen to the experts"? Besides | there are other tools like the EITC. | fulafel wrote: | There doesn't appear to be consensus like that - but not | because lack of trying: https://www.anderson.ucla.edu/faculty- | and-research/anderson-... | seiferteric wrote: | Sorry but that seems to be an opinion article by a non | economist? Or am I mistaken? | fulafel wrote: | I thought it was a pretty even handed piece covering the | debate in the field. | | Here are personally penned unedited opinions from econ | nobelists etc if you prefer :) | | https://www.nytimes.com/2015/07/17/opinion/paul-krugman- | libe... | | https://www.epi.org/publication/raise-minimum-wage/ | seiferteric wrote: | Thanks, those are a bit better, though still single | opinions. I guess I am looking more for a survey of | economists opinions. What was interesting about Krugman's | piece was that he said minimum wage used to not work, but | now it might due to changes in the economy, which is | surprising if true. To me, neither one was a resounding | affirmation of minimum wage, both said that $15 did not | seem to hurt, and might help slightly. | mdoms wrote: | There's "economics" and then there's real world effects. Take | some time to study what actually happens in countries with a | living wage. | seiferteric wrote: | My point is about questioning minimum wage specifically, as | opposed to other tools like EITC or negative income tax. | alex_young wrote: | Why don't we index the minimum wage to inflation? | | The 1968 minimum, in todays dollars, is over a third higher than | our federal minimum wage today. [0] | | [0] | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minimum_wage_in_the_United_Sta... | jldugger wrote: | You probably know this but the opponents of raising the minimum | wage fear that it will lead to inflation. The old adage "labor | is 2/3rds the cost of everything." | alex_young wrote: | Sure, and there is some logic there, but isn't the somewhat | random real wage a problem? Whatever we select, it seems | healthy to index it right? | fulafel wrote: | Many countries effectively do this and it doesn't make | inflation get out of habd. | jldugger wrote: | States can and sometimes do set higher rates than the | national minimum. And frankly, a national minimum wage | doesn't make sense -- why should wages in low CoL areas | like rural Alabama be the same as high CoL areas like | NYC/SF? | | Even state lines may be too coarse grained for minimum wage | policies, Since there are many metro areas that cross state | lines. On the other hand, economists have been able to | treat these places as natural experiments with mixed | success: when one state raises the minimum wage but the | other does not, you can measure a variety of things, | including regional inflation. But it's still difficult to | disentangle causation and substitution effects, since the | minimum wage directly affects only a small portion of | society. The evidence on that front has been... shedding | more heat than light. I'm not sure anyone's proved | conclusively that inflation does or does not happen, or | that unemployment does or does not happen. | | Probably the most interesting study I've heard of is one | looking at restaurants as a sort of model species for | minimum wage jobs, the same way that biologists study fruit | flys because they have short lifecycles. The supposed | evidence there is that the type of restaurants change in | response to wage increases: more self-bussing, less staff | hired per dollar turnover. The people left get paid more, | but fewer people employed overall. That said this was from | a podcast discussion and I haven't reviewed the peer | reviewed article personally. | sys_64738 wrote: | They don't do any harm anywhere other than in an ECON 101 class. | The invisible hand and equilibrium ECON 101 doesn't account for | unlivable wages. That's why there's a minimum wage. | snake_plissken wrote: | I've thought about a similar question: what happens if there is | no minimum wage? If people are already struggling when being paid | the minimum wage, what happens if business are able to lower it | even more? Yeah I get the dynamics of supply demand are supposed | to work here, but it just feels like at some point it's not worth | people's time to work for such a low wage and they just give up | and go on the dole. | | I also wonder if in some perverse way, a minimum wage does some | harm to workers. Basically the thinking goes like this: companies | that are looking to hire labor at these pay levels don't really | need to compete for the labor because they know all of their | competitors are going to be also paying the minimum wage. The | resulting effect is stagnant wages that never go above the | minimum wage because everyone knows they only ever need to pay | that. | | Anyway, I support concepts like the minimum wage which are well | intentioned, it's probably just time we reevaluate how to help | low income workers achieve more financial security. | | PS: didn't read the article, just wanted to get my thoughts out | there real quick while on lunch break. | GoodJokes wrote: | The labor theory of value would be a more useful read than more | economist garbage. | baron816 wrote: | If society decides that people should have a minimum | income/minimum quality of life, then the burden of providing that | minimum should fall on society as a whole. I don't think it's | right (or efficient) to place that burden on a certain set of | firms or industries that are providing jobs for low skilled | workers. We would be much better off with a negative income tax | plus universal health care. | DINKDINK wrote: | "The first thing that happens, for example, when a law is passed | that no one shall be paid less than $106 for a forty-hour week is | that no one who is not worth $106 a week to an employer will be | employed at all. You cannot make a man worth a given amount by | making it illegal for anyone to offer him anything less. You | merely deprive him of the right to earn the amount that his | abilities and situation would permit him to earn, while you | deprive the community even of the moderate services that he is | capable of rendering. In brief, for a low wage you substitute | unemployment. You do harm all around, with no comparable | compensation. | | The only exception to this occurs when a group of workers is | receiving a wage actually below its market worth. This is likely | to happen only in rare and special circumstances or localities | where competitive forces do not operate freely or adequately; but | nearly all these special cases could be remedied just as | effectively, more flexibly and with far less potential harm, by | unionization. | | It may be thought that if the law forces the payment of a higher | wage in a given industry, that industry can then charge higher | prices for its product, so that the burden of paying the higher | wage is merely shifted to consumers. Such shifts, however, are | not easily made, nor are the consequences of artificial wage- | raising so easily escaped. A higher price for the product may not | be possible: it may merely drive consumers to the equivalent | imported products or to some substitute. Or, if consumers | continue to buy the product of the industry in which wages have | been raised, the higher price will cause them to buy less of it. | While some workers in the industry may be benefited from the | higher wage, therefore, others will be thrown out of employment | altogether. On the other hand, if the price of the product is not | raised, marginal producers in the industry will be driven out of | business; so that reduced production and consequent unemployment | will merely be brought about in another way. | | When such consequences are pointed out, there are those who | reply: "Very well; if it is true that the X industry cannot exist | except by paying starvation wages, then it will be just as well | if the minimum wage puts it out of existence altogether." But | this brave pronouncement overlooks the realities. It overlooks, | first of all, that consumers will suffer the loss of that | product. It forgets, in the second place, that it is merely | condemning the people who worked in that industry to | unemployment. And it ignores, finally, that bad as were the wages | paid in the X industry, they were the best among all the | alternatives that seemed open to the workers in that industry; | otherwise the workers would have gone into another. If, | therefore, the X industry is driven out of existence by a minimum | wage law, then the workers previously employed in that industry | will be forced to turn to alternative courses that seemed less | attractive to them in the first place. Their competition for jobs | will drive down the pay offered even in these alternative | occupations. There is no escape from the conclusion that the | minimum wage will increase unemployment." | | [...] | | "As to the prices, wages and profits that should determine the | distribution of that product, the best prices are not the highest | prices, but the prices that encourage the largest volume of | production and the largest volume of sales. The best wage rates | for labor are not the highest wage rates, but the wage rates that | permit full production, full employment and the largest sustained | payrolls. The best profits, from the standpoint not only of | industry but of labor, are not the lowest profits, but the | profits that encourage most people to become employers or to | provide more employment than before." | | Henry Hazlitt "Economics in One Lesson." | | To those who are downvoting: There are no illegal people, there | is no illegal two-party consensual trade. | Trias11 wrote: | In a poor areas government-enforced minimal wage will cause mass | layoffs, black market economy and more misery. | dayjobpork wrote: | The richest person in Australia seriously floated an idea to | import foreign workers and pay them $2 a day to work in her mines | | I've always looked at minimum wage as an employer saying "I'd pay | you less if I legally could". In workplace negotiations all of | the power is held by the employer, unless you have some form of | collective bargaining, and having a Government mandated minimum | prevents companies from totally exploiting low paid workers. | qeternity wrote: | These policies are always double edged swords. The other way to | frame minimum wage is that it makes it illegal to work unless | you can produce $X value per hour. | csours wrote: | Ehhh? What are you talking about? It's not illegal to do | things that don't make money. That's called a cost center. I | don't make money for my company, I reduce the risk of losing | money, and provide tools for people who do make money. | qeternity wrote: | I didn't say making money, I said providing value. You're | creating some value for your company that exceeds what they | pay you, otherwise you wouldn't have a job. | | Let's say I'm a widget maker. I can make 10 widgets per | hour for my company, and they in then earn $1 profit per | widget. This company is not going to pay me $15/hr if I'm | only able to generate $10/hr in value for the business. But | if minimum wage is $15 then it makes it illegal for me to | work for them. | csours wrote: | That still doesn't make it illegal. It only makes it non- | viable from a unit-economics point of view. | | Now if you want to talk about how larger companies have | better unit-economics, and small companies can suffer | with high minimum wage, then we can certainly have that | conversation. | lokar wrote: | The anti-min-wage / free market argument ignores a key fact: as a | society we have decided we won't let people starve to death. So, | if someone can't make ends meet, we will (via taxes) support | them, at least to some extent. | | This support factors into the wage negotiation, allowing the | employer to force a lower wage (absent a state imposed min). | Absent state sate welfare style support many low wage (min and | sub-min) jobs would simply not work, people could not feed | themselves, and they would not accept the jobs. | dragonwriter wrote: | > Absent state welfare style support many low wage (min and | sub-min) jobs would simply not work, people could not feed | themselves, and they would not accept the jobs. | | Given the choice between nothing and less than adequate pay, | they would accept the jobs to buy a little more time to find | something better before starving. | | They wouldn't be sustainable, but without public welfare people | are going to grasp at what straws they have, not turn away | something when they have nothing. | bhupy wrote: | This argument ignores that the anti-min-wage argument isn't | monolithic. | | The other argument is that a minimum wage can usually (though | not always) result in higher prices because employers just pass | on the cost of higher wages to the buyer (especially in | competitive markets), and that this is a regressive way to | guarantee a minimum standard of living. | | The strongest anti-min-wage argument is that a UBI/EITC is the | better way to guarantee a minimum money floor because it's paid | for by progressive taxation, while allowing the market to find | the lowest possible cost for goods/services/labor. It also | gives workers negotiating leverage by enabling them to choose | not to work somewhere without fear of starving to death. | dragonwriter wrote: | > The strongest anti-min-wage argument is that a UBI/EITC is | the better way to guarantee a minimum money floor | | EITC doesn't guarantee a minimum anything since, as the name | suggests, you need earned income to get it and you get more | of it with more earned income, to a certain point. | | It's true that NIT, which is equivalent to UBI, was the | inspiration for EITC, but EITC is a NIT through a carnival | funhouse mirror. | bhupy wrote: | Sure, I meant a "reformed" EITC, but my point was to | compare it to a UBI/NIT. It would absolutely be more | desirable to remove the employment requirement and perhaps | even increase it by at least 3x. | qeternity wrote: | This gets to the heart of the problem of minimum wage. Walmart | is often cast as a villain because many of their workers | receive government benefits. Nobody stops to ask the very real | question of: what if the average Walmart worker doesn't add $X | in value per hour. What if the value of the "Walmart Greeter" | is less than that of minimum wage? Is it better for Walmart to | fire this person because they're not worth minimum wage | (presumably it's the highest paying job they could find, | suggesting they're not worth "minimum wage") or is it better to | have lower minimum wage with state benefit offsets? At least in | the latter scenario Walmart helps shoulder the burden. | | Tl;dr - Often corporations are accused of abusing state | benefits by not paying workers more as opposed to shouldering | some of the burden that states would otherwise be left with due | to unemployed masses of unskilled labor. | nickff wrote: | So they would starve, jobless, because the work wouldn't pay a | subsistence wage? This seems unlikely, as many people work at | jobs where they don't earn enough to support their lifestyle. | | I think the below-subsistence wage earner would be more likely | to (though not certainly) move somewhere that their skills were | more needed. | smileysteve wrote: | > I think the below-subsistence wage earner would be more | likely to (though not certainly) move somewhere that their | skills were more needed. | | This introduces us to indentured servitude's abuses. | zelphirkalt wrote: | In which country? I don't think it is true everywhere, that we | wont let others starve. | greggyb wrote: | Is the goal for people to receive a certain amount of money? | There are many approaches to this. | | Is the goal for companies to pay some people (specifically, those | employed) a certain amount of money? There are fewer approaches | to this. | | Is the goal to shift the distribution of revenue in a company? | There are fewer approaches to this. A minimum wage is a poor one. | StreamBright wrote: | There are valuable insights and measured numbers on minimal wage | laws. | | https://www.aei.org/economics/thomas-sowell-on-the-cruelty-o... | sparker72678 wrote: | I know research is hard, and these issues are fraught with | complexities and challenges in acquiring data, but it still | boggles my mind just how many macro economic theories don't have | strong empirical data to support them. | fragsworth wrote: | It is basically impossible to produce real empirical evidence | in economics. You can look at data/correlations, and try to | reason about cause and effect. But real empirical evidence | requires you use the scientific method to test hypotheses | (ideally done in a double-blind way), which is impossible for | economists to do even if we had a national desire to do it, | because the test itself would impact reality for its | participants too much. It's similar to the "observer effect" in | physics, but on a massive scale. | | At best, I think you can create mathematical simulations built | on certain assumptions about reality. Those simulations depend | on how well the assumptions model reality, and very easy to | miss an important detail. | ipnon wrote: | AI researchers are important for this reason. Super | intelligence, even if limited to simulations, can find | results outside of the mainstream that are more optimal than | the economic convention.[1] | | [1] https://blog.einstein.ai/the-ai-economist/ | rtkwe wrote: | It's because it's trying to create simple formulas for a | complex system with people involved at all levels. | coldtea wrote: | What if the strong empirical data were against the interests of | the rich and powerful? | | They couldn't afford to base policy on those then! | [deleted] | gridlockd wrote: | How much empirical data do you need to convince yourself that | jumping out of a window with an umbrella is unsafe? | | Everybody can understand that employing people at a loss is | unsustainable and that the goal of employers is to make a | profit. I think there's plenty of empirical data for that, the | rest just follows logically. | | Of course there's bound to be a narrow range where you can move | some profits into wages and you have neither rising prices nor | unemployment, but that number is going to be different for | every location, every sector and every business. I wouldn't | trust politicians to come up with a magic number here. | CoolGuySteve wrote: | > How much empirical data do you need to convince yourself | that jumping out of a window with an umbrella is unsafe? | | A non-zero amount, at least: | | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FBN3xfGrx_U | gridlockd wrote: | Maybe he was just holding it wrong. | CraigJPerry wrote: | The more research i do in economics the less impressed i am with | the discipline. | | Economics is defined as a social science. That point never really | struck home with me until recently. I think the fancy models, the | cutting edge statistics and clever use of logic blinded me to the | fact that the entire discipline is built on top of stories. | | There's no gravity, there's no absolute zero, there's no | kilogram. There's no fundamental tangible truths underlying the | concepts of free markets. | | It's stories we tell each other as a way to explain a system we | don't and possibly can't understand. | | I've never been so disappointed to realise all the arguments of | economic theory are built on a foundation of sand. Shifting sand | at that. | Naac wrote: | >> This school of thought argues that some labour markets are | characterised by a market structure known as monopsony. Under a | monopolistic regime one dominant supplier sells to many buyers, | whereas under a monopsonic regime, one dominant buyer purchases | from many sellers. Just as a monopolist can set prices higher | than would be the case in a competitive market, a monopsonist can | set prices artificially lower. | | I had a really hard time understanding this paragraph. Did anyone | else? | MisterBastahrd wrote: | The people who argue hardest against minimum wages are those who | would never expect to be paid a minimum wage for their services. | Our "essential workers" are usually some of our lowest paid | workers. If a UBI is ever implemented, I would suggest that these | people get those funds first | csours wrote: | OT: Is there an economic theory that explains or talks about job | creation? | neonate wrote: | https://archive.is/R8WCe | pwfisher wrote: | Non-paywalled: http://archive.is/zF4ei | | Great read. The real labor market is more complex than a simple | model of supply and demand. It's like the old physics joke, "I | have a solution, but it only works for a spherical chicken in a | vacuum." | moth-fuzz wrote: | I'm going to flip this one around and ask: why are businesses | entitled to low-cost labor? In other markets, markets of objects, | if you don't have the funds to purchase something you don't get | to have the thing, and if you attempt to coerce the thing into | your ownership, we call that robbery, and prosecute it | accordingly. So why doesn't that apply to human labor? Labor is a | product, it exists in a market, and there is a baseline amount of | money a person needs to survive - the 'price' of a human doing | work (compare this to covering the cost of materials, production, | etc for some nonhuman item). If companies cannot meet that price, | why are either laborers or governments expected to shoulder it so | that businesses can get their hands on the human product | regardless? Why is human labor constantly sold at a loss? | drak0n1c wrote: | There is no distinction - all markets are ruled by consent. | Both parties have to agree to a voluntary transaction, and that | applies to employees and products. | AnotherGoodName wrote: | Look i get that USA has a lot of billionaires and the GDP per | capita looks great for the USA but I want US citizens to please | take a look at median wealth per adult and see how far you have | to scroll down to find the USA: | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_wealth_pe... | | This is a great way to rule out outliers. My home country | Australia has 3X the median wealth per adult of the USA. This is | similar to the median wealth difference between the USA and China | for reference. It shows to be honest having lived in both | countries. Specifically it shows in the conditions that minimum | wage earners in the USA face, eg. having to live off food stamps | as is common for wallmart workers for example is just horrendous. | eg. https://www.kiro7.com/news/local/report-amazon-walmart- | worke... | | Australians usually call out companies that make things in | sweatshops where pay is below the poverty line. Specifically | clothing in Asia. But i believe we should start doing this for US | companies as well. Sure the US minimum wage is higher than say | Bangladesh but since the cost of living in the US is higher too | so it doesn't change the fact that things manufactured at minimum | wage in the US are coming from companies that pay wages below the | poverty line. | MuffinFlavored wrote: | > But i believe we should start doing this for US companies as | well. | | We can "call out" whatever you want. People vote with their | dollar. Target, Walmart, cheap resellers on AliExpress/Amazon | are "winning" every day because the most important thing most | consumers care about is rock bottom price. I don't think | "calling out" will do much other than virtue signal. | kennywinker wrote: | Here's the trick. If choice has been eliminated, i.e. walmart | has replaced your local shop, you can no longer vote with | your dollar - pressuring the companies (via "calling-out") to | give you options becomes the only choice available. | | That said, there are a ton of areas where we still have | choice. In those cases, people do need to become more aware | of the impact of their purchasing decisions - but in those | cases I agree with you: making different decisions is the | actual required action. | qeternity wrote: | > Here's the trick. If choice has been eliminated, i.e. | walmart has replaced your local shop, you can no longer | vote with your dollar - pressuring the companies (via | "calling-out") to give you options becomes the only choice | available. | | Aside from actual monopolies (utilities, etc) what is one | example of having no choice? Whenever I hear this argument, | it's not that there's no choice, it's that there's no | cheap, convenient alternative...hence Walmart's domination. | It's like people never stop to ask why Walmart is so | successful: people would rather have abundant selection at | low prices rather than support their local mom and pop | shop. | Qub3d wrote: | Take a look into how Dollar General is actively | displacing and destroying local grocery opportunities in | small towns: | https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-12-20/when- | the-... | ardy42 wrote: | > We can "call out" whatever you want. People vote with their | dollar. Target, Walmart, cheap resellers on AliExpress/Amazon | are "winning" every day because the most important thing most | consumers care about is rock bottom price. I don't think | "calling out" will do much other than virtue signal. | | _People also vote with their votes._ If voting with dollars | was the only thing that counted, we 'd still have rivers so | polluted they'd regularly catch on fire (see | http://ohiohistorycentral.org/w/Cuyahoga_River_Fire). | | All all "voting with dollars" does is sum up an unfathomable | number of myopic, usually short-term decisions. Sometimes the | overall result is counter-intuitively brilliant, but other | times the terrible result of myopia magnified. | bhupy wrote: | On an article about wages (not wealth), did you consider | looking at median income per adult? | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disposable_household_and_per_c... | grandmczeb wrote: | Wealth is very hard to accurately measure and is impacted a lot | by demographics (e.g. age distribution). Consumption is a | better measure of how people actually live. | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_household... | mdoms wrote: | Yikes. Measuring wellbeing by consumption is a VERY American | perspective. | cynicalkane wrote: | Consumption is the income and wealth that you end up using. | Measuring wellbeing by consumption is the standard economic | perspective, since it describes how much of society's goods | and services one ends up using. | | More simply, if you save then spend, wealth-based measures | will rate you as better off than a person with higher | income who just spends. That doesn't make sense. | mdoms wrote: | A wealth measure will give a higher rating to someone who | spends on assets than someone who spends on Fortnite | skins. What it doesn't do is arbitrarily favor someone | who lives in a HCOL area or in a country (sorry, the | country) that forces individuals to spend their own money | on things like health care. | kennywinker wrote: | This is confusing. If you save, you have more wealth. If | you have more wealth, you are more resilient to hardships | (economic, health, etc.) - a population of people with | large savings accounts and low debt seems obviously | better than a population that makes a ton of money but | lives close to the wire or carries large debts | jldugger wrote: | The problem though is that personal savings grows over | time -- a nation full of young people with high incomes | will eventually become a nation full of weathly old | people, but if you were to compare the two nations, the | yard stick matters. | | edit: if you want to cook up some evidence, look at a | scatter plot of some indicator of age (national average | age?) vs national average wealth. I suspect, given the | countries at the top of the list, you'll end up with a | pretty good r. | scatters wrote: | Resilience is unnecessary in countries with a safety net. | Are individuals in those countries who make the rational | decision to save less somehow worse off than those who | have to carry a large savings buffer to guard against | misfortune? | qeternity wrote: | And how would you measure it? | AnotherGoodName wrote: | I disagree simply because expenditures are completely | different for more socialist countries. Eg. Total healthcare | expenditure per capita is well below the USA in Australia. | Less than half in fact. https://onthewards.org/the-inside- | scoop-part-one-a-compariso... | | So that's $4500 a year more the average US citizen has in | total expenditure that isn't some type of luxury good or | indicator of a better life. It's just survival. | | I mean Australia beats the USA by any quality of life index | out there. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Where-to-be- | born_Index | grandmczeb wrote: | If you add American's median household healthcare | expenditure (~$8,200) to Australia's consumption, America's | consumption is still 20% higher. | | > I mean Australia beats the USA by any quality of life | index out there. | | I don't think it's worth it to get into an argument about | which country is "better", except to say a lot of indexes | are designed to advocate for the creator's goals rather | than as a useful comparison. E.g. your linked ranking uses | "the share of women holding seats in national Houses of | Assembly". Is that really a useful comparison point for | quality of life? | AnotherGoodName wrote: | >If you add American's median household healthcare | expenditure (~$8,200) to Australia's consumption, | America's consumption is still 20% higher. | | Yes but the point is that's one example. I'm not going to | got through the full list but i can't think of one USA | government provided service that's better quality or | requires less private intervention compared to social | democracies like Australia and it shows up in so many | intangible ways. eg. little things like the Australian | government provided online tax filing. In the USA people | need to pay to file taxes online (sure paper is free but | ugh what a hassle). More private toll roads in the USA. | Public housing is more common per capita in Australia. | Australias national broadband network (i still can't get | fibre here in the USA but i had it in regional | Australia), etc. Again i'm not going to keep going except | to say that i've lived in both nations and it's really | obvious. | | In more socialist countries per capita spending can be | seen as lower but the services are better despite no | spending from consumers going to them. The spending comes | from the government. You can't compare spending between | the USA and Australia for this reason. | qeternity wrote: | Very odd to hear from someone who lived in both. I've | lived in both as well. | | > More private toll roads in the USA. | | And more public. More roads period. The interstate | highway system is one of the modern wonders of the world. | | > Public housing is more common per capita in Australia. | | I'm not sure if this is true, but I'd argue it's not a | good thing. | | > Australias national broadband network (i still can't | get fibre here in the USA but i had it in regional | Australia), etc. Again i'm not going to keep going except | to say that i've lived in both nations and it's really | obvious. | | This is an extremely strange one. Internet in Australia | is so bad it's painful. The national network is a joke. | modeless wrote: | Online tax filing is free for everyone under the median | income. Private toll roads may or may not be "more" | common but they are certainly rare. Average internet | speeds are twice Australia's. | https://www.fastmetrics.com/internet-connection-speed-by- | cou... | umvi wrote: | Does that take into account cost of living? | | In America you can buy a gallon of milk for $1.50 at Walmart. | In Australia (after some brief googling[0]) it's more like | $4.50. Same with gas, video games, you name it, a lot of things | seem to cost 2-4x more in Australia. | | [0] https://www.numbeo.com/cost-of- | living/country_result.jsp?cou... | thomasahle wrote: | Yes, you probably want to look at the Purchasing Power Parity | Median: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disposable_household_ | and_per... | | Or the household version: | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Median_income | AnotherGoodName wrote: | Not quite that extreme. ~AUD$4 for the fnacy brand which is | under USD$3. Less for the loss leader store brands. | | Looks like 10% difference in cost of living by official | figures but regardless the median wealth being so much higher | isn't due to a few percent difference in cost of living or a | small difference in average age as some suggested. Australia | is objectively doing better on the wealth gap leading to a | higher median (but not a higher mean). You can look at USA | wealth historically too and see the USAs decline in median | wealth over the years (but again mean wealth is doing fine). | It all comes down to the thing we all know and have heard a | lot. The wealth gap in the USA is increasing a lot. The | lowest paid workers are now well into the poverty zone. The | arguments against minimum wage are similar to the arguments | for Asian clothing sweatshops. | [deleted] | scatters wrote: | Median wealth says absolutely nothing except how many | homeowners you have and to what extent the housing market is | out of control. | | The metric that actually reflects people's lives is consumption | adjusted for purchasing power. Disposable income (again, | adjusted for purchasing power) is useful as well. | aussir wrote: | If you raise the price of cigarettes through taxes, less people | buy cigs. Same for gambling, driving, flying, etc. | | If you raise the price of labor through minimum wage, you fix | poverty. Opposed to literally everything else plus evidence. | simsla wrote: | This fallacy is addressed in the article, I suggest you read | it. | | The key point is that wages are being kept artificially low by | monopsonies. And the evidence supports this. (Current | hyperlocal minimum wage laws make for good A/B-ish tests.) | trentnix wrote: | _Minimum wage_ , despite all manner of contortion by those that | seek to justify its existence, is a political concept. The | minimum wage is, always, zero. | | Minimum wage is also what drives the market for illegal immigrant | labor. As Milton Friedman pointed out decades ago, immigration is | most beneficial to employers precisely when it's illegal. Those | workers don't enjoy the protections, wagers, and respect their | legal counterparts enjoy. If illegal immigrants are made legal, | then the benefit of employing an illegal plummets. | | These wages also avoid other form of government oversight, such | as taxation. Lack of immigration enforcement and lack of | penalties for those that hire illegals provides an unfair | advantage to those employers who, brazenly, break the law. They | get cheaper labor, avoid taxes, and gain an unfair market | advantage over those employers who follow the law. There's | nothing "free" about a market whose government selectively | enforces its laws. | | Consenting adults should be able to work for whatever wage they | like. | jandrese wrote: | I'm not sure how your first three paragraphs support the | fourth. Illegal immigration drives down wages so we shouldn't | have a minimum wage? | trentnix wrote: | Illegal immigration is a side effect of minimum wage. And | minimum wage puts unskilled Americans (or Americans whose | skills aren't valuable because of a changing market) at an | unfair disadvantage in their attempts to obtain employment | and acquire new skills. | | Sorry if that wasn't clear in my post. | jandrese wrote: | So why not provide a legal path to immigration instead of | abolishing the minimum wage then? | trentnix wrote: | Illegal immigration and immigration in general is its own | rabbit hole. You shouldn't assume from my post whether | I'm _for_ or _against_ illegal immigration (or any type | of immigration) because it doesn 't really matter one way | or the other to the points I'm trying to make. | | Economically speaking, granting legal status to unskilled | illegals results in a combination of undesirable side | effects: | | - it increases the price of the goods they produced | reducing the buying power of the _minimum wage_ , | | - it prices many of those illegals out of the market | because they are unable to produce value for the wage | they are paid (but now they are eligible for government | benefits), | | - and it encourages new types of "black market" | employment. | | Try all you like, but you won't outsmart the market. | jandrese wrote: | This is where you lose me. The jobs still need to be | done. Some companies might just fold up and die, but most | would be just as happy passing on the higher costs to | customers, and said good or service still needs to be | produced so the companies that survive will take over for | the ones that folded. | | Economists have this weird idea that all fast food would | close because the people working there clearly aren't | worth $15/hour because they're doing jobs that currently | pay only $10/hour. | | The crazy part is that higher minimum wages tend to | increase the market, not decrease it. Turns out that poor | people are bottlenecked on money. If you reduce the | bottleneck they can spend more, which increases demand | for labor (to fill the supply) which increases the labor | rate. You can see this effect all throughout history, the | more wealth gap an economy has the slower its economic | growth rate is. The super rich can't spend the money fast | enough or broadly enough to increase the economic base, | the economies grow stagnant. | ativzzz wrote: | > lack of penalties for those that hire illegals provides an | unfair advantage to those employers who, brazenly, break the | law | | I've thought for a long time that the easiest way to curb | illegal immigration would be to re-allocate resources targeting | illegal immigrants to much more aggresively fine/jail/punish | employers who employ illegal immigrants instead. As long as | there is a supply of (illegal) jobs willing to pay more than in | the country they are emigrating from, the immigrants will come. | If there is nobody willing to hire them, they will not come. | | This will not happen though because it is in nobody's best | interests. Not for business in the US, because they will make | less money (or possibly even be unprofitable and have to shut | down), and not for consumers, because their prices will | increase. | calkuta wrote: | What I find important to remember about minimum wage is that it | constitutes a restriction on the freedom of workers to negotiate | for their labor. The existence of a meaningful minimum wage | implies that there are people in the society who desire to | negotiate for lower compensation (because they are more motivated | to get the job for whatever reason), but they are disallowed from | doing so. It might be our opinion that it is undignified or | exploitative to work for a certain wage, but we should not have | the right to bar others from doing so if they wish. | | As individuals, we should demand the freedom to negotiate the | terms of our employment without government influence, including | wages, benefits, and even working conditions. Using the | government to coerce employers into giving greater compensation | is appealing in the short term, but ultimately it disenfranchises | others by blocking them out of jobs and results in long term | economic stagnation. | | Mandatory minimum wage significantly above the "natural" level | dictated by prevailing economic conditions unquestionably causes | harm, mostly to workers who, if they choose to continue to work | for less money, are now doing so illegally. Mostly they just | don't get work. This is why politicians tend to let minimum wages | lapse behind the market rate - economies work better without this | restriction. And when a _significant_ minimum wage hike is | imposed, like $15 /hour in some places today, the economic harm | to workers quickly becomes apparent. | Sohcahtoa82 wrote: | Without a minimum wage, the "market rates" for what is | currently minimum wage labor will create a race to the bottom, | not just in wages, but in standards of living. | | There will _always_ be someone more desperate for _any_ amount | of money, and eliminating the minimum wage won 't create | significantly more jobs, as businesses only hire enough people | to satisfy demand for their products. Wal-mart won't suddenly | hire more cashiers just because they can now pay $2/hour to | someone living in a cardboard box. | | When it comes to negotiating wages, people in current minimum | wage jobs have _zero_ leverage. Minimum wage is a _necessity_ | to keep people out of cardboard boxes or packed into tiny | apartments like sardines. It is necessary to keep a decent | baseline standard of living. | eesmith wrote: | Indeed we should - demand the repeal of Taft-Hartley Act and | other laws which have nerfed collective bargaining power far | from any "natural" point. | | Jurisdictional strikes, wildcat strikes, solidarity or | political strikes, secondary boycotts, secondary and mass | picketing, closed shops, and monetary donations by unions to | federal political campaigns are all part of the freedom to | negotiate the terms of our employment, which we are currently | disallowed from doing. | flyingfences wrote: | I can't tell if you're saying that sarcastically, but I do | agree unironically. | eesmith wrote: | You can see my relevant comment history - https://hn.algoli | a.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=true&que... | rconti wrote: | I tend to find the libertarian argument appealing, as well, but | you're making a whole lot of assumptions. | | I think your worst unchecked/unstated assumption is that | "unemployed people are all looking for a job below the minimum | wage but are unable to find one". That's simply untrue. | "Unemployment" in the US is defined as people who are _actively | searching for a job_ (not merely those who do not HAVE a job), | but there is no requirement that they accept any job at any | (legal) wage. | | Presumably, the vast majority of unemployed people, even in | good times, would not accept work $1 below the minimum wage, | even though they are actively searching. | | IOW: You are assuming that the entire reason these folks are | unemployed is because they are not allowed to contract their | labor for a lower wage. | gjulianm wrote: | > Textbooks state that, in the absence of a minimum wage, a | worker is paid his "marginal product of labour", which means the | value of what he produces. | | > Just as a monopolist can set prices higher than would be the | case in a competitive market, a monopsonist can set prices | artificially lower. | | A lot of economic arguments forget these ideas. The labor market | is not a free market: companies have more power in negotiation, | they have more information and, most important of all, they can | deal with a job opening not being covered most of the time. | Workers can't usually live too much without finding a job. | | That's why minimum wage laws and workers rights are important. | Companies will always push for lower wages wherever they can, | without a care for the actual wealth created by the worker. The | only way to counter that push is by giving more power to the | worker, and in low-skilled fields with lots of available workers, | you need to do that through regulations and subsidies. | throwawaysea wrote: | You're redefining what a 'free market' means. If one side has a | greater need or desire, that is still within the bounds of what | a free market is. The market creates incentives and | disincentives to fulfill different market demands, by creating | an incentive to supply what's in demand (by paying more) and a | disincentive to supply what we don't need more of (by paying | less). | gjulianm wrote: | Not a greater need or desire, but a fundamental need. It's an | important distinction. In a perfect market, if the only | offers to buy a product are too low, you will stop production | and close the company because you can't make a profit. In the | labor market, if the salaries are too low, people will still | take the jobs because low income is better than zero income. | collyw wrote: | Thomas Sowell makes quite a convincing argument that minimum | wages stop people getting onto the bottom rung if the | employment ladder. He convinced me to an extent, in that it can | be useful for young people starting out and small companies | that couldn't otherwise afford staff. But I do think it need to | be balanced with some checks to stop it being exploited by | companies who can afford it. | hankchinaski wrote: | high regulation and subsidies effectively make 'doing business' | a nightmare. the real question is: who are the value creators? | how can you reward everyone appropriately based on how much | value they create and how much risk they incur whilst keeping | an healthy base level (minimum wage) for those who don't? i | think the answer is in the middle. too much regulation is | harmful for businesses which are ultimately the risk takers and | the value creators in our economies | missedthecue wrote: | A free market does not mean that both sides want something with | equal desire. I need food to survive much more than Krogers | needs my business to survive. This does not mean that grocery | sales are not a free market. | | A free market means that the supply and demand of goods rely on | price signals rather than a centralized planner. Labour is | absolutely a free market. As wages in one particular area | increase, people respond to that price signal by learning the | relevant skills and working in that field and getting greater | salaries. It's also why Amazon (and essentially no business) | pay $7.25 an hour, even though they legally could. | yarrel wrote: | And what happens when those signals are distorted? | | Remove the state and there are still many things that can go | wrong with a market. Price signals become a way of laundering | this fact past a certain point. | gjulianm wrote: | > I need food to survive much more than Krogers needs my | business to survive | | Yes, but you can buy from anywhere other than Krogers and the | cost of switching is almost negligible. A job is very, very | different in that regard. | | Responding to your edit: | | > As wages in one particular area increase, people respond to | that price signal by learning the relevant skills and working | in that field and getting greater salaries. | | Learning the relevant skills costs time and money. If your | wage is too low, you won't be able to learn new skills. And | moving and changing jobs is not that easy for most people. | missedthecue wrote: | _Yes, but you can buy from anywhere other than Krogers and | the cost of switching is almost negligible. A job is very, | very different in that regard._ | | It doesn't matter who I buy from, I need food much more | than any retailer needs my business. I can sell my labour | to many different companies with a relatively low switching | cost. The average time people between jobs is lower than it | has ever been. | | _Learning the relevant skills costs time and money. If | your wage is too low, you won 't be able to learn new | skills. And moving and changing jobs is not that easy for | most people._ | | If the price of steel increased, building new mines to | extract iron ore would cost great sums of money as well. It | is not easy for all mining companies to do this. It doesn't | mean that the market is not relying on price signals to | coordinate the production of goods. | gjulianm wrote: | > I can sell my labour to many different companies with a | relatively low switching cost. | | Well, I disagree on this. Maybe you specifically can do | it, but housing prices, healthcare costs, transport cost, | family charges, etc, can make the cost and risk of | switching prohibitive. Not to mention that "just | switching" doesn't mean prices will be better. Just have | a look at the latest stats on working poor people to | imagine whether those can easily switch jobs and get | better education. | | > If the price of steel increased, building new mines to | extract iron ore would cost great sums of money as well. | It is not easy for all mining companies to do this. It | doesn't mean that the market is not relying on price | signals to coordinate the production of goods. | | So there's a high cost of entry? That's very much a non- | perfect market. A free market doesn't just "respond to | price signals", that's a very low threshold as you'll | hardly find a market that doesn't respond in any way to | price changes. A free market has to respond to them in an | elastic way. | missedthecue wrote: | Free market is not the same thing as a perfectly | competitive market | hirundo wrote: | > Labour is absolutely a free market. | | In what sense is a market with price controls absolutely a | free market? | missedthecue wrote: | You're right that price controls obfuscate the mechanism on | which pricing signals work, but it's not central planning. | pydry wrote: | >A free market means that the supply and demand of goods rely | on price signals rather than a centralized planner. | | That's one definition but it's not one of the more common | ones. | | It also begs the question what counts as a centralized | planner. Does Boeing count if it sets the price of jet planes | that only it and Airbus sell? What about when Singapore fixes | the price of medical care even though anybody who wants can | cross the border to have it done? Or Venezuela that fixes the | price of its own money - at a rate literally nobody pays? | deegles wrote: | > people respond to that price signal by learning the | relevant skills and working in that field and getting greater | salaries | | Many people stay in jobs they don't like or that don't pay | enough because they need the healthcare or don't have the | resources (including time) to learn new skills and move to a | higher paying job. So the fact that people can't freely | respond to price signals means that it is not a free market. | edoceo wrote: | Y'all might be using different meanings for the word | "free". | | As for being stuck in a job for health or skill reasons, | those are choices, crappy choices but still free choices. | | Universal Healthcare would, IMO, do more for the worker | than a nominal pay-rise. The link between employment and | healthcare is an abomination. | missedthecue wrote: | Again, a free market doesn't mean that everyone can easily | buy or sell any good or service. Plenty of things prohibit | this, including geographical challenges, language barriers, | import tariffs, and other natural and contrived barriers to | trade. | | A free market means that the distribution and production of | goods and services do not rely on centralized planning, but | on price signals. | avianlyric wrote: | Free markets are also free of monopolies, and generally | expect the actors how have good "information" about the | market. | | This simply isn't true for the labour market, ignoring the | monopoly aspect for the moment, workers don't have good | market information. | | Worker pay is usually heavily obfuscated by employers so it's | almost impossible for an individual worker to accurately | gauge how much they can demand. | | Addition workers have very limited time and resources to | spend on gather information on the labour market. How are | they supposed to discover better paying jobs, or better | industries without constantly job hunting? | | Compare this to companies who in comparison have a huge | amount data. At a minimum they know the wages of all their | employees, they also have the resources to be constantly | surveying the labour market and adjusting to it. | | All of this compounds to produce a heavily skewed labour | market, that skews in the favour of employers. | dragonwriter wrote: | > Free markets are also free of monopolies | | Usually, that's covered by the adjective "perfectly | competitive" rather than "free" modifying "markets", but it | is an aspect of textbook idealized markets. | javert wrote: | The free market is _very_ good at solving information | asymmetries of the kind you are talking about. If it isn 't | being solved, it's probably because of regulation | (regulatory capture). Or maybe it isn't a real problem. | | I'm going to guess in this case it's more the latter than | the former. | Sohcahtoa82 wrote: | I've always considered this a very naive idea of how a | free market works. It ignores how irrational and short- | sighted humans can be, not to mention that many consumers | are price sensitive. | | A free market will not solve climate change as long as | coal and fossil fuels are inexpensive. | | A free market prioritizes one thing: Profit. That is all. | A free market only solves problems when it is profitable | to do so. Yeah, charities exist, but they typically | aren't big enough to solve the big problems on a big | scale. | machinelabo wrote: | This is an unbalanced opinion of free markets (but I | generally agree with downsides of unregulated | capitalism). | | > Profit. That is all. | | Free markets also have intense competition so "Profits" | that you talk about don't just go out of control - Prices | are set at the intersection of supply and demand curves. | Companies would need to shave off profit margins to stay | competitive. | | I think it is fair to say that there are no ideal free | markets. There are always asymmetries, downsides, side | cashing and a whole bunch of complexities in any market - | nothing is ideal. | | So, we should have regulations that control those | asymmetries. | javert wrote: | I think you're reading more into what I said, than what I | actually said. But I also think part of what I said was | dumb, so I partially agree with you. | dragonwriter wrote: | > The free market is very good at solving information | asymmetries of the kind you are talking about. | | No, it's not. | megablast wrote: | Sure, but you don't need food from Kroger's. You can get it | from 100s of places. | AnthonyMouse wrote: | > companies have more power in negotiation, they have more | information | | You're just asserting this without any argument or evidence. | | > and, most important of all, they can deal with a job opening | not being covered most of the time. Workers can't usually live | too much without finding a job. | | Workers don't specifically need a job at _that_ company. Even | if they need a job, they can go work somewhere else. And if | that isn 't the case, you have bigger problems than minimum | wage. | | > The only way to counter that push is by giving more power to | the worker, and in low-skilled fields with lots of available | workers, you need to do that through regulations and subsidies. | | Even if you want to do this, it still makes minimum wage a | ridiculous policy, because it harms the same workers it's | purporting to help. The ones who work for companies that can | absorb the cost get more, but the others lose their jobs. When | there are policies that do only one and not the other (e.g. | UBI), there can be no justification for the one that does the | bad thing in exchange for no relative advantage. | AlexandrB wrote: | > You're just asserting this without any argument or | evidence. | | This is ridiculous. If I assert that the sky is blue, I don't | think I need to provide a list of sources. Under what | possible circumstances does the _average_ individual have | more negotiating power or more information than a | multinational organization with teams of lawyers, an HR | department, and access to labour market research? | | Edit: To add, when we talk about minimum wage jobs we're | usually talking about low-skilled labor. Please explain how a | ditch-digger can have negotiating leverage over the average | road construction company? | AnthonyMouse wrote: | > Under what possible circumstances does the _average_ | individual have more negotiating power or more information | than a multinational organization with teams of lawyers, an | HR department, and access to labour market research? | | You're assuming a level of competence for corporate HR | departments that isn't in evidence. What do you think they | have that you can't get from Glassdoor or similar? Not | much, if anything. | | > Please explain how a ditch-digger can have negotiating | leverage over the average road construction company? | | By taking a job at some other ditch-digging company, or | Walmart, or Uber, or anywhere else, until one company | offers a better wage than the other. | | For commodity positions it's not even really a negotiation | for either party -- everybody on both sides knows what | ditch diggers get paid, the employers offer that much and | the employees accept that much because anybody who offered | less or demanded more wouldn't find any takers. | | Which is also why there can't be any meaningful information | asymmetry -- when everybody knows the prevailing wage for | that category of work, there is nothing else you really | need to know in terms of wage negotiations. | TuringNYC wrote: | >> Workers don't specifically need a job at that company. | Even if they need a job, they can go work somewhere else. And | if that isn't the case, you have bigger problems than minimum | wage. | | This works in a theoretical perfect competition in an | economics textbook. In real life people have financial | handcuffs (vesting periods, mandatory option | execution/abandonment on job exit), school districts for | children, underwater mortgages, 10% gross transaction fees on | home sales/purchases. | AnthonyMouse wrote: | > vesting periods, mandatory option execution/abandonment | on job exit | | We're talking about minimum wage jobs. None of that | applies. | | > school districts for children, underwater mortgages, 10% | gross transaction fees on home sales/purchases. | | Nobody says you have to move. Take a job from another | employer in the same city. | | Also, again, minimum wage employees? Typically not | homeowners. | pwinnski wrote: | Yes, there are some circumstances in which labor ends up more | concentrated after a minimum wage hike, but other | circumstances in which that is not the case. | | The article at hand does a decent job summarizing the | different observations people have made. | AnthonyMouse wrote: | > Yes, there are some circumstances in which labor ends up | more concentrated after a minimum wage hike, but other | circumstances in which that is not the case. | | But that's what I'm saying. Minimum wage is ridiculous | because there are alternative policies that don't do the | bad thing at all, not even sometimes. | pwinnski wrote: | Alternative policies that don't involve people being | woefully underpaid? Such as what? | bhupy wrote: | > Such as what? | | UBI/NIT. Or more realistically, just expanding the EITC. | gjulianm wrote: | > You're just asserting this without any argument or | evidence. | | I don't think it's a controversial statement at all. Even | then, my argument was just in the next sentence. | | > Workers don't specifically need a job at that company. | | Nor companies specifically need a job filled by a given | worker. It's a statement about general needs. If a company | finds no satisfying candidates, they can deal with leaving | that post open. If a worker doesn't find a satisfying job, | they will still take something because they need to eat. | | > Even if they need a job, they can go work somewhere else. | | Doesn't make a difference if "somewhere else" offers the same | low wages. Which is what happens, because most companies have | the same incentives and the same lack of limits to push wages | below livable levels. | | > Even if you want to do this, it still makes minimum wage a | ridiculous policy, because it harms the same workers it's | purporting to help | | The OP linked article shows that there's no clear evidence on | whether minimum wages destroy employment or not. | | > When there are policies that do only one and not the other | (e.g. UBI) | | Of course UBI or UGI policies would be far better, and would | remove the need for a minimum wage. However, they work in the | same direction: give more power to workers to offset the | power of negotiation that business have. And, being | pragmatic, a minimum wage increase is far more likely to be | accepted, at least in the short term, than UBI. | tastyfreeze wrote: | It is not the role of government to set prices of labor or | products. If a company wants to pay less than market rate for | labor they will find themselves without employees. By letting | the market dictate the price of labor, wages certainly fall | from the artifically high price now. But, that is the result of | people willingly entering a contract for the lower pay. People | choosing to work for some money instead of no money. People | choosing to work to improve their lives instead of being | supported by welfare. | | Minimum wage removes the choice. Minimum wage infringes on your | freedom of contract. | dasil003 wrote: | The role of government is to set the rules of the game to | provide for the livelihood of all citizens. Free markets | bring certain efficiencies but they are not a priori good and | virtuous. If they bring the best outcome for society as a | whole then we should lean into them, if not then we should | consider regulation of some form. | | Increasing income inequality should be very alarming to | everyone. The bottom 90% because they're getting screwed, and | the top 10% because the perfection of conservative talking | points and scapegoating of minorities and immigrants will not | address the truth on the ground: nostalgia for post-war | prosperity will not bring the jobs back. Policy in today's | interconnected world is complex and almost entirely driven by | expert lobbyists representing special interests who donate to | both political parties to guarantee their influence. It's | going to get worse and worse until either the 1% see their | own danger or the pitchforks come out. | nakedlunch wrote: | Is the freedom to accept a contract for poverty wages to | avoid starvation a desirable feature in our society? | jlawson wrote: | Since we have a social safety net, nobody needs to do such | to 'avoid starvation' so the question makes no sense. | flyingfences wrote: | Is the alternative - a total absence of contracts offered | to those people - a desirable feature in our society? | tastyfreeze wrote: | If labor costs less products as a result cost less. How do | you reconcile your view with the success of Singapore? A | country with no minimum wage and a comparatively free | market. There is income disparity in every time and every | place. The question to ask is do the rules of the game | allow anybody to succeed. Minimum wage is a rule that says | some people just don't get to play. | gjulianm wrote: | > How do you reconcile your view with the success of | Singapore? | | A country general success does not equal the success of | its poor people. There are not many income inequality | stats of Singapore, but the ones I've seen [1] actually | put Singapore with a similar income inequality to the US. | | Furthermore, it is a small country (5M people) with a | pretty high GDP per capita (8th in the world). I don't | think you can extract too many conclusions that would be | applicable to other, bigger countries. | | > The question to ask is do the rules of the game allow | anybody to succeed. Minimum wage is a rule that says some | people just don't get to play. | | And without a livable minimum wage, you'll get people | that are working full time for peanuts. They won't be | able to save, get healthcare, provide their kids with | good education, etc. Are those people succeeding? | | 1: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_inc | ome_eq... | tastyfreeze wrote: | In this discussion a country's population is irrelevant. | For a small country with a GDP per capita higher than the | United States only 55 years after independence I would | say they are doing pretty damn good. | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(P | PP)... | | There is no requirement that everybody succeed at the | same level. The measure of a country's success is | improvement of society over time. Has the general quality | of life improved for the people of Singapore over the | last 55 years? I think that is a resounding yes. | gjulianm wrote: | > In this discussion a country's population is | irrelevant. | | It's not. You'll see that a lot of the top companies in | Singapore are operating at global level while | headquartered in Singapore. It's a little bit like | looking only at the economy of the main US cities. | | > There is no requirement that everybody succeed at the | same level. The measure of a country's success is | improvement of society over time. | | Inequality is a pretty important measure. What society is | better, one where everybody earns two times a livable | wage or another where 25% earn eight times a livable wage | and the 75% remaining are in poverty? | tastyfreeze wrote: | There is always inequality in all aspects of life. We all | do not perform on the same level. Looking at a specific | point in time and comparing inequality is a poor measure | of society. The only measure that matters is improvement | over time. | | Upon independence, "Singapore faced a small domestic | market, and high levels of unemployment and poverty. 70 | percent of Singapore's households lived in badly | overcrowded conditions, and a third of its people | squatted in slums on the city fringes. Unemployment | averaged 14 percent, GDP per capita was US$516, and half | of the population was illiterate." [https://en.wikipedia. | org/wiki/Economy_of_Singapore#Independe...] | | Compared to today, Singapore has about 1000 homeless, | 3.16 persons per household, a literacy rate of 97.3%, GDP | per capita of $602 billion, an unemployment rate of 4.11% | and a median household income of $9,293. The income | distribution isn't bad either. From what I could find the | cost of living (minus rent) for an individual is $575 a | month. | | https://blog.seedly.sg/average-singaporean-household- | income-... | | The better society is the one where everyone has an | opportunity to improve their lot in life by satisfying a | need of others. | karpierz wrote: | Do you think Singapore is a free market? What do you | think of their housing policy? | tastyfreeze wrote: | Thank you for pointing that out. That housing market is | certainly not free. Not an aspect of Singapore I had read | about before. | | Other than my opinion that the needs of the people would | have been better met with a free housing market. I don't | have much to say on it. | OCASM wrote: | Is starvation preferable to getting a low wage job? | | You start somewhere. Minimum wage laws just reduce the | amount of opportunities low skill workers can choose from. | brendoelfrendo wrote: | This could just go in circles. What benefit does a job | that doesn't provide enough of a wage to survive actually | provide to the employee, except a way to waste their time | while they accrue debt and wait for an emergency | expenditure to bankrupt them? | [deleted] | gjulianm wrote: | > If a company wants to pay less than market rate for labor | they will find themselves without employees. | | What if multiple companies in an area do that? What incentive | does a entering company have to increase wages if employees | will take jobs at lower wages nevertheless because they need | to eat? | | > But, that is the result of people willingly entering a | contract for the lower pay. | | This viewpoint ignores that people need to work in order to | eat. It's not exactly willing if your alternatives are | "accept this contract or starve". | tastyfreeze wrote: | You mean price fixing and collusion that are already | illegal? | | Without price fixing and collusion the employers have to | compete for labor. Competition that would as a result | improve the compensation for employees. | gjulianm wrote: | It's not price fixing nor collusion. It's just the | incentives companies have to lower wages. | | Look at this example: a number of companies in an area | are paying a livable wage at time T for low-skilled | workers. Now, time goes on and inflation kicks in. Those | wages, which did not grow, are not livable now. Workers, | however, can't complain too much because they will be | fired, and bad income is better than no income (not to | mention healthcare tied to the jobs). There are also more | workers than job positions, and new young workers are | constantly entering the market, so companies will always | find someone that needs to work even at that low wage. | | What incentives do those companies have to increase | wages? Absolutely none. In fact, this is what is | happening right now. | | > Without price fixing and collusion the employers have | to compete for labor. | | If employees actually had to compete for labor in all | cases, we wouldn't be having this debate and people | wouldn't be complaining that their wages are not enough | to live. | tastyfreeze wrote: | That sounds like blaming a broken money supply for lower | wages. They are making the same wages. The inflation of | money supply makes their dollar worth less. Two separate | issues. I would prefer to examine one issue on its own. | | The company has no say in the money supply. Their money | is worth less as well. Do you expect a company to pay | more when they are earning the same amount and employee | production stays the same? | | The Fed is the only entity that controls money supply and | the purchasing power of a dollar. Upset that what you are | earning doesn't buy the same amount of stuff? Blame for | that is entirely on us for asking the government for more | while demanding lower taxes. Their only alternative to | raising taxes is printing more money. | gjulianm wrote: | The example is not about inflation, it's just a method to | show how without any specific action, companies don't | have incentives to raise wages. But in fact, it's a real | example because it's what has been happening in the US | for a while, inflation increasing, company profits | increasing but profits stagnating. | | Anyways, the point is that companies will tend to push | for lower wages, always. It's just how capitalism works, | it pushes for maximizing profits. If there are more | workers than jobs (which is the case almost everywhere) | you can't say that competition will push companies to | increase wages, because there will be no competition, and | workers can't just stay home if there are no satisfying | jobs. | unfortun8 wrote: | Irony is Adam Smith only brings up markets in terms of a free | labor market. | | Labor must be free to move among opportunities. Fearing that | extreme division of labor would make a person a limited | thinking tune easily swayed by corrupt political intentions. | | Amazing how 200+ years ago, and even more if you lump Plato & | Aristotle's awareness of human behavior, how true much of their | concerns still apply. It's almost as if humans haven't evolved | much socially, we haven't escaped the same theme. We've merely | improved the world around us. | ccffpphh wrote: | The issue is that nobody is entitled to anything. You aren't de | facto entitled to receiving money for any services you may or | may not provide, regardless of whether you're skilled or not, | just because you exist. A company exists because one or more | people risked wealth in order to create a net positive system - | their existence is not as riskless as one would believe. | mdoms wrote: | > The issue is that nobody is entitled to anything. You | aren't de facto entitled to receiving money for any services | you may or may not provide, regardless of whether you're | skilled or not, just because you exist. | | This is a value judgment you have made, and one that seems | popular in USA. It's not a priori true and it's not | necessarily so popular in other parts of the world. | ccffpphh wrote: | Are you claiming that if someone else exists, it is now | your burden to ensure their living at your own expense | until they die? | [deleted] | throwaway2048 wrote: | I think we as a society can do better than whinging about how | "entitled" people are for wanting to work for livable wages. | mattmanser wrote: | Risk is a strong word, often there's little risk involved, | it's often more about who you know, which entitlements your | birth gave you and what parachute mummy and daddy can give | you (especially if you're white, male and privately | educated). | | There's no inherent entitlement or human right to give your | children your money, or to not be simply turfed off what ever | land you are using when society decided there's a better use | for it, for a competitor simply stealing your inventory, | expecting protection from thugs taking your business etc., | etc. | | Because wealth begats wealth, there needs to be certain | checks and balances, minimum wages are one of them, | inheritance taxes and capital gains taxes are others. | | For that, you get the protection of strong laws, an | infrastructure you paid almost nothing towards, legal | protections for your property, protection from foreign | governments, access to skilled trained workers you didn't pay | to educate, etc. | | Your argument is circular, Fred is wealthy and can afford to | speculate, therefore Fred deserves more wealth. | | But Fred is only wealthy when everyone else buys into the | system, otherwise Fred would soon be Dead Fred. | ccffpphh wrote: | There is risk in any action taken due to the fundamental | lack of information regarding events occurring in the | future. I agree with you that much of it is luck, this at | the same time does not mean because one is born lucky that | they now need to suffer to bring someone else to their | level. I disagree that it is meaningless, I believe that | since no one person is entitled to anything from anyone | else (to think otherwise would be to support slavery), the | only morally correct form of interaction is through | consensual voluntary action. | | I do not think we need checks and balances. Minimum wage | actually harms those who are most disadvantaged - if I am | hiring two people and I must pay them the same amount, | there's no reason I would take the socially less valuable | person. At the very least, eliminating the floor would | allow the disadvantaged to compete and make racists pay for | their prejudice, i.e. "Do I really want to pay $10.00 for a | white straight privileged [whatever insert here] or $5.00 | for a black trans [etc]". | | Inheritance tax is violence against those who pass on their | wealth. If you have indeed earned so much that you would | like to ensure your lineage, what right does anyone else | have to stop you? Why is it wrong for you pass on wealth to | your children? Whose business is it? What if instead, you | simply lived a thousand years and kept your wealth? | | If you want to donate money because you are very rich and | have a lot of money to spare and truly believe this, then | by all means, you can even pay more in taxes nowadays and | never file a return. Nobody will stop you. | mattmanser wrote: | I stopped reading when you started directly contradicting | the fact based article with an armchair philosopher | supposition. | | Your view is merely dogmatic and ignorant, the opposite | of what I come to HN for. | bakuninsbart wrote: | > The issue is that nobody is entitled to anything. | | That's an ideological statement. You may subscribe to it, but | not everyone has to. Society is fundamentally based on the | notion of shared rights and duties, what these rights and | duties entail can be up for debate, but if you don't want to | owe anyone, you will have to live a pretty lonely, primitive | existance in Siberia or Alaska. | Press2forEN wrote: | > Society is fundamentally based on the notion of shared | rights and duties | | This statement is equally ideological. Proximity to others | imparts no responsibility outside what individuals choose | to take on for themselves. | | You may subscribe to it, but not everyone has to. Most of | our social unrest today can be laid at the feet of those | who insist otherwise. | dependenttypes wrote: | > a pretty lonely | | Nowadays with the internet one does not need to be lonely | even if they are away from society. | | In addition others might decide to follow them. | | > primitive existance in Siberia or Alaska. | | This does not make much sense. Why would living somewhere | else automatically give them any duties? | | Anyway, I do not see the point of this argument. It is like | saying to a gay person "if you don't want to be | discriminated by anyone, you will have to live a pretty | lonely, primitive existance in Siberia or Alaska." | frenchyatwork wrote: | > Nowadays with the internet one does not need to be | lonely even if they are away from society. | | How are you going to pay for the internet? If you want to | operate with state currency, you need to abide by the | rules of the state. Render unto Caesar ... | | Edit: I suppose you could try doing it with bitcoin. Best | of luck if you try! | Klinky wrote: | This is incredibly simplistic and reductionist thinking with | regards to the development of society. It comes from a | brutal, cold and careless place. The goal of societies should | be to evolve beyond the brutality of nature, not regress | backwards to a place where we're eating our young. | abdullahkhalids wrote: | Universal Declaration of Human Rights | | Article 3 | | Everyone has the right to life, liberty and the security of | person. | | Article 22 | | Everyone, as a member of society, has the right to social | security and is entitled to realization, through national | effort and international co-operation and in accordance with | the organization and resources of each State, of the | economic, social and cultural rights indispensable for his | dignity and the free development of his personality. | | Article 23 | | 1. Everyone has the right to work, to free choice of | employment, to just and favourable conditions of work and to | protection against unemployment. 2. Everyone, without any | discrimination, has the right to equal pay for equal work. 3. | Everyone who works has the right to just and favourable | remuneration ensuring for himself and his family an existence | worthy of human dignity, and supplemented, if necessary, by | other means of social protection. 4. Everyone has the right | to form and to join trade unions for the protection of his | interests. | | ------------ | | You can either give people unemployment (wage without | work)[as per 22 or 23(3)] by taxing the companies you | mention, or you can make the companies to give money directly | to the people in return for work. There is no third way. You | can't deprive people of a dignified life by ignoring them. | ccffpphh wrote: | Anyone can make any arbitrary decision and call it a human | right, it does not make it so. Watch: | | ---- | | Article 6753 Everyone has the right to play video games 24 | hours a day. | | ---- | | Nobody is entitled to life, nor dignity. Simply because | someone else exists on the planet doesn't mean their | livelihood is now my burden. Me existing doesn't mean you | ought to be enslaved to provide for me. | DINKDINK wrote: | Positive and Negative Rights or Coercion and Non-Coercion | Rights | | "Negative and positive rights are rights that oblige either | inaction (negative rights) or action (positive rights). | These obligations may be of either a legal or moral | character. The notion of positive and negative rights may | also be applied to liberty rights." | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Negative_and_positive_rights | | Rights are either (1) liberties that are stipulated to not | be infringed by the government (Saying "Dear Leader is a | bad leader" is protected speech and taxes/government cannot | be used to prosecute someone for saying it) or (2) The | ability to demand services to be rendered by the government | so one's desires are fulfilled (I demand the ability to | take from you via taxes to pay police so that I can have | protective forces / police to defend me saying "Dear Leader | is a bad leader") | | Organizing political unions around negative rights (1) is | socially scalable and recursible: "who among us agrees we | will never kill our fellow man? of those in the subset, who | will agree to never assault someone unless if and only if | the person who is to be assaulted, has already assaulted | someone" (2) is not socially scalable "Who agrees we should | coerce person/group x if some of you feel person/group y | wants what person/group x has" | | If you think it's possible to write laws the subsidize the | well-being of the destitute, Please let me know who I | should sue for landing on a desert island and starving to | death. Reality isn't fortunate nor charitable -- | consensual, opt-in unions can be. | javert wrote: | > Universal Declaration of Human Rights | | Well, I declare differently. Words are wind (unless backed | up by an argument). | | > You can't deprive people of a dignified life by ignoring | them. | | Ignoring someone is not depriving them of anything. | | Sacrificing some people for the sake of other people--what | you are advocating--deprives both groups of a dignified | life. | | Human sacrifice is utterly barbaric and would be outlawed | in a truly civilized society. | dependenttypes wrote: | The UDHR is a joke. It considers it your human right for | someone to kidnap you and (re)educate you. In addition it | considers marriage a human right. | | > There is no third way | | You can give them a piece of fertile land. | tfehring wrote: | So capital is entitled to a return but labor isn't? Why the | distinction? | throwaway894345 wrote: | The parent said "no one is entitled to anything". I take | that to mean "neither capital nor labor is entitled to a | return". It's probably also useful to scope this | conversation to a certain context: "in a free market, no | one is entitled to anything". This is a sort of | hypothetical scenario since there are no perfectly free | markets, and a completely unregulated market is very likely | not a desirable thing (evolutionary forces aren't stable | and stability is a prerequisite for sustained prosperity, | security, etc); however, it's still a useful concept to | guide discussion. | tfehring wrote: | They didn't explicitly say that capital is entitled to a | return, but the comment pretty clearly indicated an | asymmetry between capital and labor. You could invert the | wording to the following | | > _You aren 't de facto entitled to receiving a return on | any capital you may provide, regardless of whether that | capital is put to productive use or not. A company exists | because one or more people provided their labor in order | to create a net positive system._ | | and the tone clearly changes from the original. I agree | that neither capital nor labor is entitled to a return, | but I don't think that's what the parent comment was | suggesting. | throwaway894345 wrote: | Via "no one is entitled to anything", the parent | _explicitly said that capital is not entitled to a | return_. No need to read between the lines here. We can | all agree that no one is entitled to anything in a free | market and move on to the next question, which is | probably something like "to what extent does a perfectly | free market deliver on our collective objectives"? I.e., | "Can we balance market freedom with some amount of | regulation to deliver a system that is both prosperous | and stable/sustainable/equitable/etc?". | ccffpphh wrote: | That's exactly what I was suggesting. The throwaway was | correct. | coliveira wrote: | The argument goes both sides. No company is entitled to | receive profits on the products it creates or the money it | invests, just because it exists. There is no reason to | believe or accept that companies and investors should have | more protections from losses than workers. | ccffpphh wrote: | I agree! | JoeAltmaier wrote: | ...and because workers show up to make it run, and because | everybody pays taxes for the roads and electricity, and on | and on. | | We could have a dog-eat-dog society like Mad Max or | something. Or we could set simple rules and live a decent | life. Its kind of what Democracy is about. | ccffpphh wrote: | You don't need taxes for roads or electricity. In the same | way we don't need taxes for grocery shopping, or education. | | Workers indeed show up and make things run, but only | because they voluntarily chose to agree to a contract where | that is their duty. If they don't like the terms of their | contract, they can not take it, renegotiate their current | one, find a new one, or take on risk and start your own | income. You can't "accidentally" fall into a job. | jmcgough wrote: | > A company exists because one or more people risked wealth | in order to create a net positive system | | What about companies that exist solely as rent seekers? | TurboTax is a net negative on society - congress has tried | repeatedly to simply mail people a bill or refund, instead of | the silly song and dance we go through now, but Intuit has | lobbied aggressively to prevent this. | jlawson wrote: | Only possible thanks to government policy wielded through | regulatory capture. Not a free market outcome. | dmitriid wrote: | Ok then. What would taxes look like in a "free market" | where "no one is entitled to anything"? | OCASM wrote: | There would be no taxes, only voluntary cooperation. | dmitriid wrote: | What is this ideal world, I want to live in it. | | Reality and all of history tells us that doesn't work at | scale. | ccffpphh wrote: | Under the current government system, they clearly provide | value - otherwise they wouldn't exist. Whether the | government is complicit in their existence is another | matter entirely - but they're not just making money appear | out of thin air. They clearly provide value in streamlining | the spaghetti nest of the tax code for average consumers. | | The issue is with government enabling the monopoly. | ckocagil wrote: | If no one is entitled to anything why did humankind abolish | slavery? Child workers? Indentured servitude? | | Think about it. Indentured servitude is nothing but a | contract between two people. By your ideology it should be of | no one else's concern. Yet, it is considered slavery and is | illegal. Why? | | Because it turns out life isn't as simple as "you're not | entitled to anything". This same sentence has been uttered by | people throughout the ages who profited by the status quo | until the commoners got their heads, literally or | figuratively. | | Every law we have, including the ones that allow you to have | private property, private land and virtual property such as | copyrights and patents are man-made and arbitrary. | ccffpphh wrote: | Yes, the one thing we can all agree on is the right to | self. Nobody other than themselves can control their body - | by that I mean that no matter what you do, nobody can tell | you what to think. You can be brainwashed by force, or | conditioned to react a certain way to escape force, but you | can never really know what another person thinks. | | Regardless, one has a right to their body. It is their | property. More explicitly, any individual intelligent agent | that exists takes up some physical space and that space | they occupy at any point in time to continue their | existence is theirs only. Property can be given up | voluntarily or if nobody else has a claim to it - in this | case it extends that clearly rape is wrong, but | prostitution is okay, as it's voluntary on both sides. | Seizing someone's house is wrong, but exploring space and | building new structures in the middle of nowhere is not. | | Whether laws exist regarding private property (or the lack | thereof), we can define a set of natural rights that any | person has regardless of any local, regional, or global | laws, constructs, or ideologies. We can all agree murder is | wrong, rape is wrong, stealing is wrong, slavery is wrong, | and the clearest and most concise way of setting this | forward is by understanding that nobody is entitled to | anything other than their body and any property they have | gained which was either unclaimed or voluntarily from | another agent. | | Certain schools of thought disagree on unclaimed property, | e.g. if one settles a piece of land and the landowner | doesn't notice, but after a decade or so has passed and the | resident has worked the land and only then the landowner | notices, who really owns it? I am not in a position to | answer this but I don't think it's "arbitrary" or "man- | made" to expect natural rights over your body and property. | Everything else, indeed, is abstract. | ajmadesc wrote: | Why are we entitled to property? | ckocagil wrote: | >Regardless, one has a right to their body. It is their | property. | | To what extent? Does this principle apply to indentured | servitude? How about work related accidents, should a | company be legally required to prevent them? Should a | mining company pay compensation for the lung damage | sustained by their miners, even though that was not in | their contract? How about the environment, does this | principle imply I have a right to breathe fresh air? How | about drinking water? | | >Whether laws exist regarding private property (or the | lack thereof), we can define a set of natural rights that | any person has regardless of any local, regional, or | global laws, constructs, or ideologies. | | _You_ can, but it doesn 't mean I or anyone else will | agree to them. | | >We can all agree murder is wrong, rape is wrong, | stealing is wrong, slavery is wrong | | No, we can't. People used to think slavery was ethical. | What changed? Raping and plundering used to be ethical | for a victorious army. What changed? Today the majority | of the world eats meat, and it is very possible that in a | century we will be seen as primitive carnivores. | | You are also not defining what constitutes these crimes. | Is capital punishment murder? Is it murder to kill an | enemy soldier? How about an enemy civilian? How about | collateral damage? Is it slavery if a company destroys | all your other options, forcing you to work for them on | their terms? | | Is it unethical for companies to collude and fix prices | or wages? Is it unethical when workers do the same? Is it | unethical when a company pays the local police to break a | strike? | | The thought that "you only own your body, and you have to | earn everything else" falls down pretty quickly once you | look outside that idealistic bubble and see historical or | ongoing issues. | p49k wrote: | Companies aren't inherently "entitled to" anything either, | including "personhood," avoidance of personal liability of | shareholders for company actions, patents and trademark | protection for inventions, rights to use public | infrastructure, etc. You can't pretend like society hasn't | granted corporations their own reasonable entitlements while | arguing that workers shouldn't have their own. | ccffpphh wrote: | That's true. Companies are just collections of people. They | are not entitled to anything either. I don't think they | should have any entitlements. No entitlement is | "reasonable" if none are owed to anyone or anything to | begin with. | RockIslandLine wrote: | "Companies are just collections of people." | | False. Corporations are golems, not people at all. | kube-system wrote: | Naturally? Maybe not, but many societies have decided to form | governments in which their citizens are ascribed those | entitlements. | ccffpphh wrote: | How many of those governments are just, however? Can you | reasonably claim that all citizens consent to the policies | of their government? If everyone agreed to murder you, | would that make it ok? What about if everyone agreed to rob | you of all of your property, your livelihood? What about | only half of that? Quarter? A tenth? What's the right | number? Non-consent to any degree is not morally right. In | the same way, it would morally wrong for me to coerce you | to pay me some arbitrary amount I come up with. | kube-system wrote: | In the interest of expediency, most groups of people have | decided that democracies can make decisions as a proxy | for consent, and people continually work to improve that | process. Larger groups of people have all found it | necessary to delegate daily governance tasks to a subset | of people, because the time and effort needed to govern | scales with the size of the group. | | > Can you reasonably claim that all citizens consent to | the policies of their government? | | People will disagree with each other whether they have a | government or not. Those who live ungoverned tend to | experience _more_ coercion, violence, and violations of | their rights than those who are governed. | ChrisLomont wrote: | >companies have more.... | | and | | >Workers can't usually live too much without finding a job. | | Conversely, most workers can go to a different job, and hiring | is expensive, so companies cannot simply keep spending on | hiring and get no workers, so companies must offer enough value | to attract workers. | | Workers also have information companies do not - they know | where else they might or are looking, they sometimes have | competing offers in hand, and they can always not take a job | based on these things. | | >Companies will always push for lower wages wherever they can, | without a care for the actual wealth created by the worker. | | Conversely, workers will always push for more wages wherever | they can, without a care for the actual value they produce for | their employer. | | And it's much easier for a worker to go elsewhere than it is | for a company to replace all workers. Both sides have interest | in getting a good balance on wages. | WalterBright wrote: | > The labor market is not a free market | | If it is as you say the employer has all the power, then nobody | would have a job at more than minimum wage. | cactus2093 wrote: | > The only way to counter that push is by giving more power to | the worker, and in low-skilled fields with lots of available | workers, you need to do that through regulations and subsidies. | | Even assuming everything else you've said is true, that's quite | the leap to make. And also quite the oversimplification. There | are lots of regulations and subsidies that have been tried | where the unintended consequences end up negating most of the | benefits, and just turn out to make the entrenched powers even | more entrenched and wealthy. Plus there are ideas like UBI that | don't fit neatly into the traditional buckets of "regulations | and subsidies" and could be another (better?) way to give | workers more leverage. | gjulianm wrote: | Of course actual policy is difficult, and complex. UBI or | guaranteed income would seem to be the better way to give | workers more leverage, but for that one needs to accept that | we indeed need to give workers more leverage. You'll see in | this thread a lot of people arguing that less regulation will | somehow lead to better wages, when in reality that will only | increase the power imbalance between workers and businesses | and push wages lower. | macspoofing wrote: | Where are you getting all this stuff from? It's like you're | only reading communist blogs where they engage in creating | fictitious straw-men of every aspect of a market-based economy. | This is not how the world works. | | >The labor market is not a free market: companies have more | power in negotiation | | That's not what a free market means. And I don't know how you | can say companies have more power in negotiation. They post | their rates, and people apply or they don't. There are millions | of alternative jobs. If I sell my car, I post the price and if | I don't like the offer, I don't take it. Are you claiming that | this is not an aspect of the free market? | | A friend of mine is a shift supervisor at a food supplier. He | uses a staffing agency to augment their full-time workforce | during busy seasons. The company he works for pays above | minimum wage (and so does the staffing agency even after | commission). If he calls in 10 people, maybe 6 will come in and | 2 will leave mid-shift (and those 10 are those that accepted | the job). If he calls people in on Saturday, those ratios are | even worse. He offers full-time positions to agency workers he | likes and gets denied often because those workers may actually | prefer the flexibility of agency work (e.g. they can choose to | work this week, but not next week). | | There are wages that people will just not work for. Even if | minimum wage laws were lifted, people aren't going to go work | at MacDonald's for $1/hr. Talk to any small business owner and | hear what they have to say about that. And you also see this | will undocumented labour (i.e. where minimum wage regulations | are ignored). Those laborers may be getting less than minimum | wage (but even that isn't a sure thing, when factoring in the | type of job - skilled or unskilled - and lack of taxes), but | they certainly aren't getting paid pennies either. | | >Workers can't usually live too much without finding a job. | | Sure they can. What are you talking about? Tens of millions of | people, for all kinds of reasons, either choose not to work, or | choose to work part-time. | B4CKlash wrote: | Ironic that you complain about the parent maintaining a | particular set of ideology while maintaining a similar set of | irrational beliefs... | | Just looking at your first point. Companies wield an extreme | asymmetric information advantage about 'your' specific hiring | cohort. They know who has applied to the job, the size, | relative experience, and in many cases they know the expected | salary range of those individuals. They know the explicit and | implicit cost of their benefits on an actuarial scale - costs | potential-employee will never know. They have a firm | understanding of their actual needs and a higher degree of | flexibility. Like other comments have concluded - it's easier | for an organization to fold tasks into other jobs. Employees, | especially when you consider health insurance (and that of a | family) is tied into these decisions. | | In today's model potential employees are required to | negotiate with themselves (as a result of being unaware of | the qualifications, expected incoming, etc. of the pool). We | wonder why salaries remain stagnant... | | If you look at CEO pay as a counterexample it becomes | obvious. It's not about adding or demonstrating value, it's | about extracting value and an understanding of your ability | to extract value. CEO compensation is a published number in | public companies. "High CEO pay reflects economic rents-- | concessions CEOs can draw from the economy not by virtue of | their contribution to economic output but by virtue of their | position." https://www.epi.org/publication/ceo- | compensation-2018/ | macspoofing wrote: | >In today's model potential employees are required to | negotiate with themselves (as a result of being unaware of | the qualifications, expected incoming, etc. of the pool). | We wonder why salaries remain stagnant... | | To be clear, you have no actual basis to believe that | asymmetric bargaining power (as you defined it) is the | reason for stagnant wages. This is just something you | reasoned through and it _feels_ right to you.. correct? | | And you just say things ... what do you mean employees are | unaware of the market - from other job seekers, to | competitive? That is completely untrue. When you're looking | for a job, you are very aware of the range of salaries you | are expected to be offered for positions you seek. I | literally just had someone decline a position because our | offer was lower than what they were offered by other local | company. Where was this asymmetric advantage you speak of? | | I have no idea what CEO pay has to do with anything except | that this is a kitchen sink approach to argumentation where | you just throw anything against the wall and hope something | sticks. | gjulianm wrote: | > That's not what a free market means. | | It looks like in this thread people have different | definitions of free market. For me, the fundamental property | is that supply and demand respond elastically to price | changes, and a quick test (necessary, not sufficient) is the | following: if the price asked by buyers is too low, does | supply stop? For example (and simplifying), if people wanted | to pay just $1 for consoles, the supply of consoles would | drop because it's not profitable, so it could be a free | market. Now, for jobs, if companies wanted to pay just $1 an | hour, would people stop working? Given that their alternative | is starving, they probably wouldn't. So the job market can't | be a free market. | | > And I don't know how you can say companies have more power | in negotiation. They post their rates, and people apply or | they don't. There are millions of alternative jobs. If I sell | my car, I post the price and if I don't like the offer, I | don't take it. Are you claiming that this is not an aspect of | the free market? | | A car and a job are very, very different things. You can live | without a car, you can't live without a job. If the available | offer of cars is too bad, you won't get a car (well, maybe | you need to because you need a means of transport). If the | available offer of jobs is too bad, you will still get a job | because you need income to live. | | > A friend of mine is a shift supervisor at a food | supplier... | | I don't know how this is related to the debate at hand. Do | you know the situations and motivations of those people? | | > There are wages that people will just not work for. Even if | minimum wage laws were lifted, people aren't going to go work | at MacDonald's for $1/hr. | | IIRC, current minimum wage puts people below the poverty | line. Why do people go to work on that? Maybe because they | have no alternative? | | > And you also see this will undocumented labour (i.e. where | minimum wage regulations are ignored) | | Which is a separate problem. Any regulation of any kind will | push incentives towards undocumented labor. That's not an | argument against regulation, it's an argument for better | oversight. | | > Sure they can. What are you talking about? Tens of millions | of people, for all kinds of reasons, either choose not to | work, or choose to work part-time. | | Working part-time is working. And if you've found the formula | to live without income, please share it. | macspoofing wrote: | >It looks like in this thread people have different | definitions of free market. | | No. Words have meaning. You made up a definition for 'free | market'. | | >For me ... | | Well how about we use the general understanding free | market? It just makes it easier when you don't redefine | common terms. But OK ... | | >Now, for jobs, if companies wanted to pay just $1 an hour, | would people stop working? | | Yes. They would indeed not bother working. | | But try it. I can guarantee you that even poor migrant | workers would laugh at you if you offered them that kind of | wage. | | >Given that their alternative is starving, they probably | wouldn't | | That is not an alternative. I'm not even sure if there was | a single case of starvation in the last few decades that | was a result of lack of income or lack of a job. On the | other hand, plenty of starvation in Soviet Russia ... with | full employment! | | >You can live without a car, you can't live without a job. | | This is just pure gaslighiting. Unemployed people do not | die. What are you talking about? | | >Which is a separate problem. | | No. It's not. It is an unregulated market where minimum | wage laws are ignored, and yet, you don't see a race to the | bottom. The wage settles at some equilibrium. And yes, | skilled labour even in that type of environment will be | much much higher than minimum wage. It kills your argument | because clearly minimum wage laws are not the thing that | prevent a race to the bottom, but rather, you know ... | market forces. | | Do you also realize there are countries with modern | economies that do not have minimum wage laws. | | >And if you've found the formula to live without income, | please share it. | | That's not what you said. You wrote: "Workers can't usually | live too much without finding a job." | | But even with this, let me throw it back at you. There are | tens of millions of people without income or a job - how do | they survive? | roenxi wrote: | Hasn't the experience, considering Asia, been that the greatest | benefit of free markets is for low-paid workers? | | I buy a lot of notionally 'American' products (iPhone, computer | gear, electronics) that are all manufactured in Asia for cost | reasons. A bunch of places have become extremely wealthy in the | last century, basically creating a middle class out of poverty, | through a strategy of cheap-wages-lots-of-manufacturing. | Coincidentally, the greatest reductions in poverty are all in | Asia. And one shudders to think what the Chinese could be | achieving if their government was a bit more competent and left | people alone to prosper. | | Is there evidence that the poor in America are prospering under | high minimum wages? The stats I've seen suggested it is | basically status-quo for the last 50 years. Minimum wage is a | small part of the puzzle, granted, but it isn't necessary to | generate absurd improvements in the general welfare. | deegles wrote: | I think it makes sense to get rid of a minimum wage requirement | _after_ universal healthcare and a basic income is implemented. | Capitalists whine that the free market should be allowed to | play itself out, but conveniently forget that labor is not a | free market as is mentioned above. | abstractbarista wrote: | It's just not as simple as "companies have more power in | negotiation". At times, it can be. But usually, it is a more | complex interaction. | changoplatanero wrote: | the firms in the market are competing against each other and | that's what drives up the wages. it's not so much about the | relative power between the employee and the employer | prostoalex wrote: | > That's why minimum wage laws and workers rights are | important. | | How do you translate that into numbers? If $15/hr is better | than $14/hr, wouldn't $150/hr be 10x better, and if so, what's | wrong with a comfortable $1,500/hr? | | I think that's where economists start to differ. | TheCoelacanth wrote: | If eating a hamburger is better than starving, wouldn't | eating 10 hamburgers be 10x better? | yarrel wrote: | How much should workers pay their employers for being able to | work, since working is a benefit? We can differ reasonably | about how much, surely. | | A minimum wage is not set in a vacuum, and high numbers that | ignore this fact do not illustrate anything useful. | bitdotdash wrote: | Slippery slope / Straw-man fallacy. One is to do with tying | the minimum wage to a livable wage. The other is just large | numbers for the sake of trying to win an argument. No one is | arguing for $150/hr. The argument is simply that you aught | not to be able to run a business and extract a profit if the | cost to do so is employing people at such a low wage that | they require governmental handouts just to pay rent and eat | food. Given that, imaginary large numbers like $150/hr or | $1500/hr do not come into play and thus do not need to be | considered. | OCASM wrote: | They don't need the handouts. They could for example live | in communal spaces and share resources. | | What exactly is "livable" anyways? Millions of people live | every day with only a couple of dollars a day. | RockIslandLine wrote: | "Millions of people live every day with only a couple of | dollars a day." | | Not in the USA they don't. There is no possible way that | an individual could pay for food, clothing, and shelter | on that income. | mrkstu wrote: | That is still better for society than not having the | economic activity. | | What exactly is the benefit of wholly depriving the | putative worker of a job vs. making up the difference with | something like food stamps and Medicaid? | adrr wrote: | Rate that allows the employee to live without government | assistance like food stamps and Medicaid. Otherwise the | government is just subsidizing the company. | dragonwriter wrote: | > Rate that allows the employee to live without government | assistance like food stamps and Medicaid. Otherwise the | government is just subsidizing the company. | | No, the government is subsidizing the _worker_ , and in a | system of means-tested aid doing so _less_ than it would be | without the job. | | If you can't employ people at wages that don't get them | fully off public aid, then people can't get the jobs that | let them build the skills to be employable at decent wages. | Your plan is a recipe for (1) killing businesses and tax | revenue that support public assistance, and (2) killing | people's ability to move up and off of public assistance, | so that for any given minimum standard of living we'll need | more public funds to reach it but have less available. | | It's much better to tax capital returns and use the | proceeds to support the un- and under-employed (whether | permanent or transitional) then it is to block the onramps | to people becoming employable at wages that are livable. | | And that's even ignoring that Medicaid and other public | assistance usually aren't based solely on individual income | but household circumstance, so that the required minimum | wage by that standard would be dependent on household | circumstances, which is problematic. | prostoalex wrote: | Thanks, that seems to be the most rational approach and can | be tied to a specific formula. | | I wonder why states/municipalities don't just leave it at | that - a specific consumption basket whose cost is | recalculated annually, vs having recurrent loud debates | about it with some arbitrary round numbers. | dragonwriter wrote: | > I wonder why states/municipalities don't just leave it | at that - a specific consumption basket whose cost is | recalculated annually, vs having recurrent loud debates | about it with some arbitrary round numbers. | | Because the level at which it is safe to set local | minimum wage without net adverse effects from job loss | depends on a variety of conditions besides price levels, | including prevailing low-end wages in localities that | compete to attract employment. Building a formula that | fully addresses this is nontrivial, and even with one | that worked locally there would be a reason for broader | regional/national campaigns to kick the floor up. | kube-system wrote: | I agree in spirit, but not in execution. What you suggest | implies the necessity of discrimination between different | workers in the same job, which I don't agree with. | | I think the better solution is to set a reasonable rate, | fix it to inflation, and use corporate taxes to fund social | safety nets. | endtime wrote: | To "live" at what standard of living? A smartphone? A | recent one? What standard of medical care? What about | entertainment? What if someone wants only to eat organic, | fair trade food? | | When you pay for yourself, you're price sensitive and try | to choose what makes sense for you. When you're not price | sensitive, you run into a major incentive problem. If your | life is funded by taxpayers, you have no reason not to | argue that basic subsistence requires a lifestyle as | expensive as you can get away with. | dmitriid wrote: | > To "live" at what standard of living? | | Decent. | | Roosevelt: | | """ In my Inaugural I laid down the simple proposition | that nobody is going to starve in this country. It seems | to me to be equally plain that no business which depends | for existence on paying less than living wages to its | workers has any right to continue in this country. | | By business I mean the whole of commerce as well as the | whole of industry; by workers I mean all workers, the | white collar class as well as the men in overalls; and by | living wages I mean more than a bare subsistence level-I | mean the wages of decent living. | | """ | | > A smartphone? | | Yes | | > A recent one? | | Define "recent". One that has internet connectivity, | allows you to install apps that are increasingly required | today (banks, school, mail, auth etc.) | | > What standard of medical care? | | All of it except cosmetic. A.k.a. universal healthcare. | | > What about entertainment? | | What about it? Define entertainment. Let's do this way | more broadly: how about vacations, sick leaves and | parental leave? | | > What if someone wants only to eat organic, fair trade | food? | | Yes. The poor cannot escape bad eating habits because | (especially in the US) more often than not they have no | access to healthy food, and healthy food is much more | expensive than current government assistance can cover. | OCASM wrote: | Demanding other people take care of you even against | their will and using the power of the state to achieve | so. How is that not slavery? | dmitriid wrote: | Demanding other people live in perpetual poverty with no | safety nets, how is _that_ not slavery. | | BTW: Are you American, and do you by any chance identify | as Christian? Because I've only seen two groups of people | so hellbent on never helping their fellow man. American | Christians and American libertarians. | tick_tock_tick wrote: | You must have lived a horribly isolated life if those are | the only groups you've ever seen this behavior from. Take | a look at the EU and austerity measures if you want to | see this kind of behavior on a large scale. | adrr wrote: | There's obviously income thresholds for Medicaid, food | stamps and other services. ACA clearly defines standard | of medical care. Not sure what your asking because the | government has already figured this out base on data. | mdoms wrote: | Everyone I know who has lived on government assistance is | most certainly price sensitive. | pineaux wrote: | I dunno, it has never been tried right? What do you think | would happen? | lawnchair_larry wrote: | But that is theory. It might be true, it might not, but it's | irrelevant. Many "protections" and well-intentioned policies | fail to accomplish the expected outcome, and we routinely | forget to judge them based on their results rather than their | intentions. | wdn wrote: | The labor market is a free market. If you don't agree the | employer offer is fair, you don't have to accept. When you find | a better offer, you go to the better offer. | | As for minimum wage, it is hurting the unskilled workers, like | high school students, college students who are looking for | experience. If you are stuck in a minimum wage job, then this | is what the market is paying for your skill set. If you think | you worth more, then proof it, don't blame the system. | | When I was in high school, I was working in an unpaid | internship to get some experiences. I don't know if there is | any unpaid internship now or if it is even legal now. | Broken_Hippo wrote: | Unlike, say, buying a game, most folks can't just decide not | to work. If you need to eat, pay rent, child support, need | health insurance, or a slew of other things - you can't say | no. You must work. Period. The safety net isn't good enough | not to take that minimum wage job, especially if you are a | childless adult. The only real thing keeping you from being | paid less is minimum wage, and that's there because companies | aren't fair about hiring practices. | | The only reason you were able to work an unpaid internship is | because your family not only didn't need you to work, but | they also didn't need you to watch younger siblings in your | free time. To top it all off, that was offered to you - this | isn't a thing most folks can do. Not to mention that unpaid | internships are often slavery under a different name. If | someone wants to give someone experience or train someone, | they should pay. | | I wish people would quit acting like the market is fair by | any means or like people have a real choice in working. | Neither of these things are true with the labor market. | wdn wrote: | No one is saying you shouldn't work at a job where you | think it is unfair compensate to your skill sets. | | What I am saying is this, if I think I worth $50/hr and the | only offer I got after 2 months of searching is $10/hour. | If I desperately need some income, I will take the job and | continue my job search. $10/hr is still better than $0. | Next job offer may be $30/hr. Then the next one may be $50 | or $60. | | No one is forcing you to stop looking or improving yourself | while you are at a job don't value your skill sets. | dlp211 wrote: | I challenge you to poke your finger through the massive | hole in your argument. I'll give you a hint, it has to do | with the resource utilization that you can never buy more | of. | Broken_Hippo wrote: | It never matters if you think you are worth $50/hour if | the skills you have never pay that much in your area. A | preschool teacher makes minimum wage or slightly above, | despite needing an associates degree. You can be really | good, too, but there is only so high that pays. A normal | teacher starts out pretty low and if you are in the wrong | area, you'll never get paid $50/hr and you'll get lucky | to get half that with experience. Lots of jobs never pay | a fair wage compared to skill sets. It just doesn't | freaking matter most of the time. | | The game is rigged. You can be stuck somewhere simply | because they have good insurance and your kid is sick. It | doesn't matter how good you are. Not everyone can improve | themselves in ways that will get them paid more. Even if | everyone did this, there are only so many jobs out there | and you should hope not to have the disadvantage of | wanting free time, time with children, or a health issue | that puts any limits on your work. | klodolph wrote: | The labor market ain't free. There's minimum wage, all these | regulations around payroll and healthcare. Consider that 40 | hours a week is standard... why is that standard? Is it | because a majority independently arrived at that same | conclusion? Or is it because of overtime laws? Consider the | W2 vs 1099 employee, or the fact that you can't purchase | healthcare at a competitive rate outside of employment, and | employment isn't required to provide that below 30 | hours/week. | | Doesn't seem very free to me, sounds downright byzantine. | anoraca wrote: | Unpaid internships are definitely still a thing, and they are | yet another way that privileged people have an advantage in | society. Not many people can afford to work for free unless | they have family wealth to support them, or are willing to go | into large amounts of debt. Unpaid internships should | probably be illegal to make things more fair. | nucleardog wrote: | >> The labor market is not a free market: companies have more | power in negotiation, they have more information and, most | important of all, they can deal with a job opening not being | covered most of the time. Workers can't usually live too much | without finding a job. | | > The labor market is a free market. If you don't agree the | employer offer is fair, you don't have to accept. | | You disagreed with him while not actually addressing his | point at all. Care to elaborate how you think he's wrong | here? | jsmith99 wrote: | They are arguing about semantics. The labour market is a | _free_ market but not a totally _efficient_ market as some | participants use their power over demand or supply (huge | corporations, unions) to drive different outcomes to a | perfectly competitive market where all participants are | price-takers. | thethethethe wrote: | > The labor market is a free market. If you don't agree the | employer offer is fair, you don't have to accept. When you | find a better offer, you go to the better offer. | | Not everyone has competitive skill sets. People who work at | McDonald's don't have much of a choice of where they work. | Burger King isn't going to pay them much better. | | > If you are stuck in a minimum wage job, then this is what | the market is paying for your skill set. If you think you | worth more, then proof it, don't blame the system. | | I think what OP was saying is that employers of low-skill | workers have a asymmetric power. Because low-skill workers | have no where to turn, they are forced to accept low wages | and poverty over living in the street, even when their | employers can very well afford to pay them more. And because | the live in poverty, they cannot afford the time or materials | to build skills which lift them out of poverty. | | We are going to need service workers for the foreseeable | future, not everyone can be a fancy software engineer with | marketable skills. Covid has certainly demonstrated this. Are | we just going to say "tough shit you should have worked for | free when you were a teenager" and let a large portion of the | population live in poverty when they don't have to? | | > I don't know if there is any unpaid internship now or if it | is even legal now. | | They definitely are | gjulianm wrote: | > you don't have to accept. When you find a better offer, you | go to the better offer. | | What if there aren't better offers? | | > As for minimum wage, it is hurting the unskilled workers, | like high school students, college students who are looking | for experience. | | The article shows that there isn't conclusive evidence | pointing to employment destruction with minimum wage | increases. | | > If you think you worth more, then proof it, don't blame the | system. | | If the market can get away with paying less than your worth, | it will. That's precisely the point of my argument: companies | have more power than workers to negotiate wages. | | > When I was in high school, I was working in an unpaid | internship to get some experiences. I don't know if there is | any unpaid internship now or if it is even legal now. | | Don't you see how unpaid internships can be harmful? If you | need experience to have a nice job and unpaid internships are | a requirement, it means a "forced" period where you are | working without income. People without savings won't be able | to take those internships and have those better jobs, further | locking them in poverty. | david38 wrote: | Minimum wage, applied universally, absolutely validates worth | of a worker. | | If the minimum wage is set too high to plant grapes for | example, grapes will not be grown. | | $15/h too high to flip burgers? Ok, I guess we don't need fast | food. Oh wait. Except it somehow doesn't put the corps out of | business. | OCASM wrote: | Destroys small businesses and consolidates big corps as | monopolies. | Broken_Hippo wrote: | If you cannot pay your workers a decent amount, perhaps you | should not have your small business. Working for a small | business shouldn't mean sacrificing your ability to buy | food. Offer something better than the large places. | ChrisLomont wrote: | >Minimum wage, applied universally, absolutely validates | worth of a worker. | | And minimum wage prices those unable to produce that much in | value out of any job whatsoever. | sushshshsh wrote: | We are already seeing Flippy the burger flipping robot taking | over jobs originally meant for humans. The technology for | Flippy is only getting cheaper and better, the quality of | human labor is already at its most optimal point and is only | getting more expensive due to laws passed. | | Now, you could make Flippy the robot illegal, and maybe x | number of businesses would eat the cost of the more expensive | workers. But something else will suffer as a result, and I | would argue it would involve price, efficiency, quality, and | compliance... | entropicdrifter wrote: | Or you could make an automation tax and use it to fund UBI | Stupulous wrote: | You could only use it to help fund UBI, unless UBI is | significantly less than minimum wage. If the price of | buying the robot and running it plus automation tax | exceeds what you would spend on employing people at | minimum wage, businesses would just keep employing | people. | chc wrote: | That sounds like a win-win scenario. In cases where | robots can do things so efficiently that no human could | compete when the minimum wage is a living wage, robots | will can do the jobs and anyone who could only have done | that job will be OK. In cases where it's cheaper to pay | people a living wage than to have robots do it, people | can work for a living wage. | aidenn0 wrote: | That ignores productivity gains. When automation makes | things cheaper, it lowers the living wage. | asdff wrote: | Some jobs are too dynamic for automation. Every shift means | a unique set of tasks with unique sets of variables, even | if they are routine tasks, and it gets very expensive to | design and support an automated solution that will | continually adapt to changing conditions and replace human | creativity and plasticity. | | I think back to my minimum wage job working as a grounds | keeper at a golf course. To the uninformed, it seems like a | perfect space to deploy a roomba with knives and never hire | a groundskeeper again. I can tell you that this high tech | course would sooner burst into flames than maintain | playable conditions for a golf season. For a groundskeeper, | the generalized routine is the same, cut the same greens | and teeboxes every morning with a shotgun start and the | fairways and rough every other day or so, but how you cut | those sections changes by the day, even by the minute over | the course of a dynamic weather event. What angle you cut, | how high or low the cutting surface should be, whether or | not the grass is slightly slippery that day and would | require more focus with the mower to maintain a straight | line, how the grass was cut yesterday and the day before | are all variables that an experienced greensmower accounts | for subconsciously and instantly. Then you might have a | drought which changes how the grass should be cut, or a | rain storm which might require a lot of emergency drainage | work to keep irrigation equipment functional or to preserve | the playing surface before you could even begin regular | cutting, which would be with extreme care given the rain | soaked earth (you might even opt to roll rather than cut). | | A comprehensive automated solution for many jobs is | exceedingly complex and highly custom, which could really | add up in pricier engineer-man-hours and service contracts, | versus having your own maintenance shop hidden on the | course and hiring a low skilled crew to operate that | equipment. It's so much easier to tell a human to cut grass | than to spend 100x the man hours maintaining an automated | solution that continually captures all the variability of | that dynamic job. | Ekaros wrote: | That's not very good argument. As we are where we are now | because our productivity has increased insanely since | invention of agriculture... | | If burger flipping robot is more productive than human, we | should replace all humans with such robots. | cogman10 wrote: | There's a lot of blind faith in "New jobs will appear as | old ones are obsoleted". | | That's certainly has been true, but I don't think it's | absolutely always going to be true. | | Further, what we've seen is that primarily low skill high | wage jobs have been replaced with high skill jobs. This | is evidenced by the fact that you simply can't make a | good living off a high school degree. | | Based off this | | https://www.careerprofiles.info/careers-largest- | employment.h... | | How many of those jobs are in danger of being automated? | Cashiers, food preparation, freight, | Customer service representatives (I know, you're thinking | no way, but a lot of effort is going into AI chatbots to | cut down on CS requirements). | | accounting (In fact, this is what I'm working on), order | fillers, Truck drivers | | What happens to the millions when those jobs are slowly | eroded away? It's easy to cheat and say "Something else | will probably come up" but I simply don't think that will | continue to happen in the next 10->20 years. | | There's only so much productivity we can utilize. What | happens when we've saturated? Unemployment. | | I don't think any nation is really well equipped at this | point to handle large portions of their workforce being | automated away. | | Sure, the standard of living will go up for everyone with | jobs. However, that will be less and less of the | population as time goes on. | | This is why programs like UBI and universal healthcare | are important. Without them, things are going to be | pretty bleak for a lot of people (even with them, and a | constant population growth, things won't look good). | giantrobot wrote: | Fast food has _always_ been about efficiency, consistency, | and streamlining. If Flippy has existed in 1961 when Roy | Kroc bought out McDonald 's it would have been a fixture in | every location. | | Making fast food isn't a job "meant for humans", it's a job | humans perform for the legal minimum of pay. The moment | fast food chains can replace humans with Flippy without a | PR backlash they will do so without hesitation. | nickff wrote: | Most arguments against minimum wages are not concerned with | the impact on businesses, they are concerned with the impact | on low-skill workers, inexperienced workers, and unusual | workers (i.e. individuals with restricted schedules, or | issues communicating). | abvdasker wrote: | The Marxist perspective is that the employer is incentivized to | pay as little as possible to extract the maximum amount of | value from the person's labor, realizing the difference as | profit (even though crucially that value was created by the | worker). An example of this would be software engineers at | companies like Apple and Google, whose labor has been shown to | produce several times the value of their compensation. Unions | and worker cooperatives are meant to counterbalance these | forces by giving workers more negotiating power in the case of | the former, or aligning the profit motive with employee | compensation for the latter. | throwaway894345 wrote: | > even though crucially that value was created by the worker | | Crucially the value wasn't created by the worker, but rather | the worker played a part in the creation of that value. In a | capitalist society, that worker's wage is determined based on | the value of their contribution and the supply of workers | with the requisite skill. In a Marxist society, it is set by | the state, and it seems to be very hard for states to | determine a price that is sustainable. | | In my humble opinion, Marxism seems like a denial of basic | economic realities--namely that the state can set the price | of anything to whichever value they prefer and it won't have | disastrous economic ramifications ("price is just an | arbitrary number"). Maybe I'm creating a straw man, but I do | notice a lot of Marxists who make arguments about what is | _fair_ and not what is _economically sustainable_ as though | economic sustainability is an invented problem that we can | disregard. Perhaps this view isn 't uniformly shared among | Marxists, in which case my criticism is "too many Marxists | are making these kinds of unconvincing arguments, and more | convincing arguments would be centered around economic | feasibility--we all agree that we want poor people to have | more money, the question is 'how?'". | cmrdporcupine wrote: | Marx never said anything about the state setting prices. | Wasn't part of his analysis. He was only concerned with | analyzing how prices came to be what they are under | capitalism, and what the consequences of that are | | He did feel that some other model of ownership & management | could lead to some other form of remuneration, but he | definitely left it unclear. | | Read the other discussions on this thread, there's far more | nuance here than I think you're understanding. | throwaway894345 wrote: | You're making a motte/bailey argument, but either way it | doesn't look good for the 'Marxist'. | | If a Marxist is one who says "Capitalism is imperfect; | I've got a gut feeling that there is a better system out | there, but no idea what it looks like concretely", then | that may be correct but it's close to worthless. | | If a Marxist is someone who says "Capitalism is | imperfect; the state needs to fix the price of $X (labor, | etc)" with no mention of the economic feasibility of said | price-fixing, then that's better but still far from | persuasive. | | My criticism was directed at the latter. There are | perhaps many good Marxists who make convincing economic | arguments; I'm asking for more of this. | Sohcahtoa82 wrote: | > In a capitalist society, that worker's wage is determined | based on the value of their contribution and the supply of | workers with the requisite skill. | | I think we need to define "value of their contribution". | | If a friend of mine has an idea for an app, but he has zero | programming knowledge and so he pays me $1,000 to develop | it, and he ends up making $1,000,000 from selling it, what | is the value of my contribution? | | Is it only $1,000 because that was the agreed price for my | labor? Or is it $1,000,000 because that's how much money he | made from it? Or something in between? | | Obviously, in this hypothetical, I should be negotiating a | share of the revenue instead of just a flat fee, but | generally most workers don't get to do this. | | So...what was the value of my contribution? | cmrdporcupine wrote: | I think it's more correct to say that the Marxist (well, | labour theory of value) perspective is not that the employer | is incentivized as such, but they _have_ to. That the | capitalist market _requires_ it or it doesn't work, business | won't survive. It's intrinsic to the profit / wage-labour | model, even if you switch to something like cooperatives or | state ownership. | | The theory is that surplus value (which can become profit, or | be reinvested, etc) exists only through paying the worker | less (on aggregate) than the aggregate amount that the worker | provides through their labour. | | The mainstream economics answer to this is to say that the | labour theory of value is bunk and that prices are defined | purely by market forces. But this kind of misses the bigger | picture of what Marx was getting at rather by getting lost in | the weeds about price definitions and really is a critique of | Ricardo more than Marx. | | Despite using the term "exploitation" which has moral | overtones in English, Marx really isn't casting a moral | judgement here. It's a technical description. But he does | believe that this phenomenon leads to structural inequality | and injustice and that the only resolution is some other kind | of property ownership or method of production. Though he was | famously vague on what that alternative would be, and people | far less intelligent than him were left to fill in the blanks | with some rather awful alternatives. | abvdasker wrote: | Thank you for the more precise definition. Broadly I think | Hacker News could use a little more discussion of Marx, | which is why I brought it up. | cmrdporcupine wrote: | Hah, here we go, a few minutes of meaningful conversation | and then when I check back in the conversation... | downvoted to -1 by a bunch of guys who read Ayn Rand when | they were 16 and now know better than everyone. :-) I | think that discussion you want will probably have to take | place somewhere else. | claudiawerner wrote: | >But this kind of misses the bigger picture of what Marx | was getting at rather by getting lost in the weeds about | price definitions and really is a critique of Ricardo more | than Marx. | | This is very true, and cannot be overstated. Often, the | criticisms of one theory are actually much better direceted | at a predecessor theory. Students in a history of economics | course, or a regular economics course, may learn of the | "labour theory of value", but they may learn either | Smith's, Ricardo's, or Marx's, and assume that the theories | are the same, or that the same criticisms apply to all of | them. | | There are good and serious criticisms of the "labour theory | of value" from those unsympathetic (and even those | sympathetic) to its apparent normative conclusions. It's a | shame that many people seem to confuse one thinker for | another, especially when each boasted of their improvements | (Marx, for example, writes "I was the first to point out | and examine this [...]" when writing on the "LTV" and | discussed the law of the tendency for the rate of profit to | fall again in his original understanding, despite being | extremely well read on - and critical of - his | predecessors). | oneplane wrote: | Minimum wage is not just important for the employer-employee | relation, but also in society as a baseline of survivability. | If you work a 100% of your time (so no sleep, no rest) and | still cannot afford basic requirements for life then I'd argue | that a minimum wage is the only way to guarantee that someone | working about 8 hours a day can live. | | If a normal workday cannot pay for a baseline life, the system | is simply wrong. | least wrote: | Minimum wage laws aren't important. Forcing companies to | classify freelancers as employees or gig workers as employees | is harmful and leads to less work available. | | If you want to meaningfully create leverage for laborers, you | need to ensure their livelihood is not dependent on being | employed. A negative income tax or some other form of UBI would | serve better to accomplish this goal. | | On the flipside, providing all the basic needs of living to | someone can potentially lead to a large drop in labor supply | and create its own problems. | aidenn0 wrote: | >> Textbooks state that, in the absence of a minimum wage, a | worker is paid his "marginal product of labour", which means | the value of what he produces. | | This sentence is just wrong. First of all a rational actor will | not intentionally pay a worker the value of their production; | you get no profit. | | Textbooks actually say that a worker will be paid _no more | than_ the marginal product of labor, and _if_ labor is in short | supply, they will be paid very close to their marginal product | of labor. If there are a huge number of workers willing to work | for $5 /hr then workers won't tend to make even a penny more | than this. | | Information asymmetry and differences in negotiating power will | further distort this, but the initial premise is already a | strawman of basic microeconomics. | efxhoy wrote: | >> Textbooks state that, in the absence of a minimum wage, a | worker is paid his "marginal product of labour", which means | the value of what he produces. | | > This sentence is just wrong. First of all a rational actor | will not intentionally pay a worker the value of their | production; you get no profit. | | In the econ 101 textbook simplified free market that the | author is refering to firms do not make any economic profit. | If a firm in a free market is turning an economic profit more | firms will enter that market, raising supply, lowering price | and driving profits to zero. | rbanffy wrote: | > First of all a rational actor will not intentionally pay a | worker the value of their production; you get no profit. | | That's true for a single employee, but you don't need to make | a profit out of every single employee. | | If you do, your CEO will be extremely underpaid in relation | to the rest of the market. | aidenn0 wrote: | I am willing to work as the CEO of Walmart for say $750k | per year. The fact that I don't work there means that | either: | | 1. Voting Walmart shareholders think that the having Doug | McMillon for $24M/year is a better deal than having me for | $750k/year | | 2. Voting Walmart shareholders are unaware that reasonably | intelligent people with no executive experience are willing | to work for a lot less than McMillon. | | 3. There are other forces at play; e.g. CEOs as Veblen | goods or good-old-fashioned corruption. Maybe the board | members are also C level employees (at different companies) | and they are colluding to keep the C level compensation | high. | | #2 seems rather unlikely so pick one of #1 and #3. | | #1 Certainly does not contradict my use of _intentionally_ | , since they believe that McMillon | rbanffy wrote: | You also have to consider it's difficult to measure the | exact economic value of an employee. | throwaway894345 wrote: | > A lot of economic arguments forget these ideas. The labor | market is not a free market: companies have more power in | negotiation, they have more information and, most important of | all, they can deal with a job opening not being covered most of | the time. Workers can't usually live too much without finding a | job. | | I'm generally in favor of stronger job protections and so on, | but I'm not aware of any definition of "free market" which | supposes that all players have equal leverage. As I understand | it, an economy with powerful corporations and relatively weak | workers could still satisfy the definition for 'free market'; | in other words, power dynamics are orthogonal to market | freedom. | oarabbus_ wrote: | >As I understand it, an economy with powerful corporations | and relatively weak workers could still satisfy the | definition for 'free market'; | | Sure, this can be true. | | > in other words, power dynamics are orthogonal to market | freedom. | | No, they are certainly not orthogonal. One needs to only | perform a simple thought experiment and increase the | corporations' power to the point which constitutes a | monopoly, to see immediately that they are not orthogonal. Do | the same thing with increasing the power of unions and | workers and you will again quickly leave free market | territory. | | It's a bit astounding to make the (false) claim power | dynamics are orthogonal to market freedom. | unfortun8 wrote: | Really, none at all? Because a labor market free of | manipulation is the only way in which Adam Smith ever | contextualizes the idea. | | He even describes how the government should protect equality | of condition for workers to avoid manipulative behaviors the | of bourgeois class. | | If seems the information filtering system worked. | wtallis wrote: | If you're having a rational conversation with reasonable | people, sure. But there are plenty of people who will insist | that anything making a market less free is harmful, a bad | idea and bad public policy. If you try to reconcile that, you | may infer that they seem to be working with an unusually | constrained definition of "free market", but that's usually | not the most straightforward explanation. | trentnix wrote: | I've not found _my position is rational, other positions | are not_ to be all that convincing. | brokensegue wrote: | ec101 often assumes perfect competition. google defines that | as. | | >the situation prevailing in a market in which buyers and | sellers are so numerous and well informed that all elements | of monopoly are absent and the market price of a commodity is | beyond the control of individual buyers and sellers. | | so everyone has equal leverage (zero). | baddox wrote: | Perfect competition is definitely taught as a concept, | mostly as a benchmark to measure real-world markets | against, but I don't think it's literally an assumption of | everything you learn in Econ 101. | mcguire wrote: | Most of the theoretical results of basic economics (i.e. | Econ 101) are built on really sketchy assumptions, | including perfect competition. I recommend Steve Keen, | _Debunking Economics_ , for one amusing reference. | mywittyname wrote: | Assuming a perfectly spherical cow... | AmpsterMan wrote: | That's kinda the point. We define what a spherical cow is | to be able to compare the real world against it. The | problem for economists is that lay persons take that | spherical cow to be truth and base whole ideological | systems on those spherical cow. | throwaway894345 wrote: | This is a straw man argument. The issue at hand isn't | "whether a free market is eminently desirable", but | whether or not the relative ability for employers (or any | buyer) to wait for a better price on a good or service | renders a market unfree. My position is that a market in | which one party (the employer in this specific case) can | wait for another party (the worker) to come down to | market price is entirely congruent with the definition of | a free market. | AmpsterMan wrote: | Not really sure where there's a straw man here. I've | addressed your concern on whether power dynamics are | orthogonal or not. I've described the academic definition | of what a perfectly competitive market is and referred to | Coase's Theorem which essentially concludes such markets | rarely exist in reality. | | You say they are orthogonal, and I provided evidence that | they are not. | throwaway894345 wrote: | It's a straw man in that no one in this thread is arguing | that a free market is eminently desirable or otherwise | making ideological arguments (contrary to the implication | in your post). There's the chance that you weren't | talking about "arguments made in this thread" and were | simply digressing to "arguments made by other people | elsewhere in the world" which is differently bad (off | topic). | | To be clear, I wasn't remarking about any comments you | made about my orthogonality claim. | AmpsterMan wrote: | Yeah, I was talking to the immediate commenter, not the | parent. I can understand where you're coming from with my | off-topic comment; it was not intended to imply anything | about anyone on the thread as such, nor was it a response | to the op. It was just a lament of a frustrated person | when it comes to their field of study. | throwaway894345 wrote: | Fair enough, and thanks for the clarification. I | empathize with your frustration about bad arguments. :) | mcguire wrote: | _Economists_ take the spherical cow as, if not the | current state of cow-dom, the perfected nature of cows | and what cows would be if they got to make the rules. | dragonwriter wrote: | > Economists take the spherical cow as, if not the | current state of cow-dom, the perfected nature of cows | and what cows would be if they got to make the rules. | | Well, sure in a way, but that includes the parts that lay | people ignore like the perfect information element and | perfect value optimizing decisionmaking of the rational | actor model, and the absence of externalities. But most | economists recognize that people aren't omniscient, don't | always optimally apply the information they so have, and | that you can't avoid econonicndecisions having impacts on | people other than those voluntarily participating in | them. | | Far fewer economists (basically, just the | Chicago/Austrian schools, the latter of which does so as | pretty overtly an article of faith) think that if you | can't magically handwave those elements of the model into | reality, the rest of 101-level simplified regulation-free | markets still remains desirable as an ideal. | AmpsterMan wrote: | I'm not really sure I understand what you are trying to | say here. | | The almost purely "logical" and "ideological" statements | of 19th and early-to-mid 20th century economics have been | supplanted with with more empirical methods. | WalterBright wrote: | A lot of people seem to think that free markets require | perfect information and perfect competition. | | These requirements are not remotely necessary for free | markets to work and work well. | karpierz wrote: | What are the requirements for a free market to work well? | And how do you define working well? | WalterBright wrote: | > requirements for a free market to work well | | Most generally, transactions can be freely negotiated by | either party. I.e. no force or fraud. Contracts need to | be enforceable. Individual liberties must be guaranteed. | | > working well | | Delivering on prosperity. | | To clarify, imperfect information is not fraud. | | Force in this context is something proactively applied, | such as your signature will be on the contract or your | brains. Force is not withholding something you have that | the other party needs. | | Charity, voluntarily helping others in need, etc., is | perfectly in line with free market principles. Unions are | perfectly in line, too, although laws bestowing monopoly | powers on unions are not. | | A free market does not have to be a perfect free market | in order to deliver prosperity. Even small amounts of | free markets can have outsized positive benefits, as the | Soviet Union discovered when it allowed farmers to farm | small plots, sell the produce, and pocket the proceeds. | throwaway894345 wrote: | I think this is a difference without a distinction. I was | using "leverage" in a non-standard way (I didn't realize it | already had a formal economic definition). The parent cited | the relative ability for some employers to wait for lower | labor prices to be evidence of an unfree market--such a | definition of 'free market' seems like it would preclude | differences in wealth (and thus runway to await better | market prices) between any two players in a market. | AmpsterMan wrote: | Free Market used colloquially is very broad and usually means | free from government intervention. | | Free market in the microeconomic context is a market in which | no one entity can significantly move the prices of a product | but deciding how much to supply, therefore they don't have | price setting power. | | A second condition is relative ease of entering and exiting a | market for competitors. | | Coase's theorem is a good place to look for when thinking | about power dynamics in a free market. Essentially, perfect | information is a requirement when it comes to optimal | decisions. Absent that, some party will be able to absorb | some surplus, one essence "getting a better deal" | throwaway894345 wrote: | Yes, the example we're discussing is very contrived and | over simplified. Notably, I'm implicitly assuming "perfect | information" for both parties for simplicity (spherical | cows and all that). There's lots I'm glossing over because | this is an HN post, and I was responding to the specific | claim that an employer's ability to avoid bankruptcy | without filling a position gives them the ability to fix | labor prices such that the labor market is not free. | littlestymaar wrote: | > but I'm not aware of any definition of "free market" which | supposes that all players have equal leverage. | | You'll find it in the same chapter of the textbooks that | state "that, in the absence of a minimum wage, a worker is | paid his "marginal product of labour", which means the value | of what he produces.". This is also called "perfect | competition", and you won't find a textbook to say that the | marginal cost equals the marginal value without summoning | this hypothesis. | fsckboy wrote: | > I'm not aware of any definition of "free market" which | supposes that all players have equal leverage. | | bog standard microeconomics 101 uses as an assumption that no | player can thru individual choices affect prices in the | market, i.e. all players do have equal leverage, zero. | | "free market" has more than one usage, but economics's | conclusions are valid only if the assumptions are met. | socialdemocrat wrote: | A lot of the analysis and conclusions economists make are | based on these kinds of assumptions. That is how they | concluded in the past that minimum wage was a bad thing or | many of them was against labour unions. | | Although Adam Smith grasped this better than many modern | economists and was hence a strong supporter of Labour | Unions. | | Of course Smith had not gotten his brain poisoned by | excessive reliance on overly mathematical models of the | economy. | throwaway894345 wrote: | Fair enough; we're using 'leverage' differently. I didn't | realize it had a formal economic definition. Never the | less, my point stands: that employers can afford to wait | for a given worker's labor prices to come down to the | market price for their labor is affirmative evidence that | the labor market is free whereas the OP considers this | evidence that the labor market is unfree. | WalterBright wrote: | > employers can afford to wait for a given worker's labor | prices to come down to the market price for their labor | | That seriously underestimates the cost of a business | being idle. Ample evidence for that is the devastation | wreaked on businesses from the recent lockdowns. | dredmorbius wrote: | The lockdowns are (incidentally, effectively) a case of | collective action. It's not a case of _one_ worker | withdrawing from the market, but _all_ workers. | | Individually, with any positive level of unemployment, | any one worker's nonparticipation is mooted by a ready | waiting pool of available workers. Eventually the hold- | out gets hungry. Or starves. | | Blacklists operate similarly: businesses can afford the | exclusion, the (unorganised) excluded cannot. | | _[I]n every part of Europe, twenty workmen serve under a | master for one that is independent... What are the common | wages of labour, depends everywhere upon the contract | usually made between those two parties, whose interests | are by no means the same. The workmen desire to get as | much, the masters to give as little as possible. The | former are disposed to combine in order to raise, the | latter in order to lower the wages of labour._ | | _It is not, however, difficult to foresee which of the | two parties must, upon all ordinary occasions, have the | advantage in the dispute, and force the other into a | compliance with their terms. The masters, being fewer in | number, can combine much more easily; and the law, | besides, authorizes, or at least does not prohibit their | combinations, while it prohibits those of the | workmen...._ | | -- Adam Smith, _Wealth of Nations_ , 1776 | | https://en.wikisource.org/wiki/The_Wealth_of_Nations/Book | _I/... | WalterBright wrote: | If that were true, every job I've had would be at minimum | wage. But I tended to be well-paid, despite being at the | bottom of the organizational pyramids. | | As for blacklists, there are solutions. Blacklisted | people can join together and start their own enterprises. | One of the nice things about a free market is you can't | stop people from doing that. | throwaway894345 wrote: | To the OP's credit, I think there's a difference between | "a company can continue without filling a specific role | for a very long time, while a worker must find a job | quickly" and "a company can continue without any | employees for a very long time" which seems to be more | consistent with your lockdown example. | | The OP's position is IMO wrong in that (rational) | employers aren't incentivized to wait for the absolute | lowest-price worker because of opportunity cost. Consider | the example of a successful restaurant looking to fill | the role of 'marketer'. The company is already profitable | and could continue indefinitely without filling the role. | However, the company is looking to fill this role | precisely because it believes that it stands to profit a | lot, and every day that the role goes unfilled they're | losing out on that profit. So here the worker has some | leverage. Further, the restaurant isn't the only game in | town, the worker can have offers from multiple employers | and parlay them against each other for still better | offers. The wage ultimately depends on the size of the | opportunity (the company won't pay the marketer 100% of | the opportunity or it won't be worth hiring them) and the | supply of marketers. Ultimately, the restaurant wants to | hire the least-expensive marketer (ignoring variance in | worker quality for sake of argument) without waiting too | long (losing out on the opportunity). This is what a free | market looks like--the OP is arguing that because an | employer can theoretically avoid bankruptcy indefinitely | without filling the position that the market is not free, | but I think they misunderstand what "free market" means. | WalterBright wrote: | Every job that pays more than minimum wage is evidence | that workers do have negotiating power. | avmich wrote: | Unpacking this: | | > employers can afford to wait for a given worker's labor | prices to come down | | So employers can wait. | | > is affirmative evidence that the labor market is free | | For employers. | | > whereas the OP considers this evidence that the labor | market is unfree | | For employees - they can't wait (that much), see above. | xphos wrote: | I think this is a question about timescales. Employers | especially larger ones can afford to wait much longer | than any singular employee. People break union lines | because future better pay is not worth starving to death | today. The average minimum wage American cannot afford to | miss 1 paycheck without serious economic trouble. | throwaway894345 wrote: | Sounds like you define "free market" such that all | parties have equal wealth, or at least equal runway to | wait for a better price. Per my original comment, I'm not | familiar with this definition. | dnautics wrote: | if you could wave a magic wand and create a system for | deciding labour allocation: Let's keep it simple: You | must harry potter sorting hat people into, some salaries | in the real world in parentheses: instagram influencer, | video game tester, poet laureate, astrophysicist, | molecular biologist (~35k USD), code monkey (~80-200k | USD), oil rig worker (~80k USD+), road paver, garbage | collector (~70-100k USD+), lyft driver (~40k USD -- | though I made 50k doing that), and farmer (< ~20k USD)... | How would you do it, and how "free" would it be, and what | is your operational definition of "free"? | dnautics wrote: | > no player can thru individual choices affect prices in | the market | | That might be Econ 101 with fully continuous utility | curves, and realized price equilbria, but anyone who has | traded on a market knows that as soon as most bids are | fulfilled it causes a dislocation of the price, so in | reality the opposite is true: all individual choices affect | prices in the market. | | There is an old concept that rolls through bernanke, | krugman, keynes, marx, smith, and aristotle (you're in very | smart company if you make this mistake), that somehow | prices represent an equivalence class of values. That's a | very mistaken view of the world and also, in a perverse | way, considering the progressive bona fides of some of | those smart people, reflects an illiberal fetishization of | the power of money and numericism. | LudwigNagasena wrote: | > prices represent an equivalence class of values | | What do you mean by that? | dnautics wrote: | there is this pervasive assumption in economic theory | that if two things have the same price they have the same | value in some global sense. To make an obvious example: | If you are allergic to peanuts, then the value of a | peanut to you is quite extremely different to the value | of that same peanut to someone else. This is unaffected | by the price of the peanut. | whatshisface wrote: | If I'm allergic to peanuts and the price of peanuts is | $100/pound, the value of a pound of peanuts to me is | still $100... because I can sell them and buy something | I'm not allergic to. | munk-a wrote: | There are a lot of assumptions required to have that | statement be sensical including a lack of transaction | fees (including, just, effort - you're assuming the time | it takes for you to arrange the purchase and resale is | without value) and extreme price stability. 100$ worth of | peanuts isn't worthless to someone with a peanut allergy | but it is certainly worth less than it is to someone | without since to the person with an allergy the only | value of peanuts is as a bartering currency. | dann0 wrote: | True. Value to an economist is an aggregate of all the | individual's values. Your individual value is likely to | have not influence on the market value (unless you're | buying a lot at a different price). | dnautics wrote: | not really. If you are planning an arbitrage operation, | then their resell price (and thus value to you) must be | at least MORE than $100, otherwise you wouldn't buying | them and going through the hassle and opportunity loss of | the arbitrage. | | If you don't bother buying them, then the total value to | you is probably less than the value of $100 for you. | | It's possible that the value just happens to be equal to | the value of $100. That's a vanishingly unlikely | coincidence. | dredmorbius wrote: | I'd argue that the economic sense distinguishes _market | price_ and _individual value_ (market value === marginal | consumer value), but that much political-economic | rhetoric, particularly from free-market fundamentalists, | does not. | brazzy wrote: | > there is this pervasive assumption in economic theory | that if two things have the same price they have the same | value in some global sense. | | Um... quite exactly the opposite? Very nearly the most | basic assumption of all economic theory is that wealth is | created through trade (which includes trading labor for a | salary) because each party values the thing they are | receiving more than the thing they are giving away. | xvedejas wrote: | The quantity in question here is "price", not "value". | Prices only exist when buyer and seller agree. You're | right that values will be different, but I think you've | missed the subject of the previous post. | dnautics wrote: | > because each party values the thing they are receiving | more than the thing they are giving away. | | We're not disagreeing. I think I could have been | imprecise. It seems a lot of arguments made by economists | who _should know better_ quietly use models which which | effectively ignore the "most basic assumption" or | average it out, which is a nonsensical operation. | dann0 wrote: | This is a faulty argument. | | Value to an individual is very different to value to a | market. | | Value in this sense is the aggregate of the individual | values to all of the buyers and all of the sellers. | | Price and value only match when supply and demand are at | equilibrium. | dann0 wrote: | It's knowledge of settlement that causes the | "dislocation" of price. Actual settlement has minimal | affect. | | Price, at equilibrium, is a true representation of value. | But other market forces ensure that equilibrium is seldom | met. Tax, tariffs, subsidies on the product and its | components skew price away from value. | | Also, this kind of analysis only works at market level. | Individual actors all have different values. It has to be | viewed in aggregate. Think anecdote vs data. | dredmorbius wrote: | Keep in mind that "free market" and "perfect competition", | whilst commonly used interchangably, are in fact distinct | terms. Few standard economic texts even _mention_ "free | market" whilst "perfect competition" is a standard | microeconomic term (along with monopoly/monopsony and | oligopoly/oligopsony), referring almost entirely to | marginal value analysis, price/quantity behaviours, | allocations of producer/consumer surplus, and deadweight | losses. | | "Free market" is a political term regarding the level of | government regulation. | | Neither "free market" nor "competitive market" adequately | describe all (or even significant) levels of power | differentials between economic (and social) actors. | littlestymaar wrote: | > Keep in mind that "free market" and "perfect | competition", whilst commonly used interchangably, are in | fact distinct terms. | | But the author used a "textbook" result that is only true | in case of perfect competition, so he must be talking | about perfect competition right? | nxmL wrote: | Power dynamics are not at all orthogonal to market freedom. | | Academics hold all the power in the "free" market and have | their snouts in the trough. In a truly free market Milton | Friedman would be on minimum wage at best (or find a rich | sponsor). | LoSboccacc wrote: | > Workers can't usually live too much without finding a job. | | > Companies will always push for lower wages wherever they can | | but it's not just megacorp tho. | | minimum wage will lower employment from small business | significantly; i.e. small shop owner will get by with one less | garcon to pay the other one more. | | and if you think that can be resolved just by ample | unemployment benefits, look no further than the Dublin heroin | epidemic. | | maybe two tier of minimum hourly wage + progressive hour cap | could work: x$/month minimum wage for part time capped at 20 | hour/week, x+50%/month for full time workers. | | but it's a thorny issue where in the fight between drones and | megacorp it's easy to incur in collateral damage around the | middle. | mdoms wrote: | > minimum wage will lower employment from small business | significantly | | Can you show some data that demonstrates this? Because, | despite all of the wailing and gnashing of teeth (and flawed | economic theory), in my country this has never been shown to | be an actual effect after minimum wages go up. | LoSboccacc wrote: | https://epionline.org/wp-content/studies/sabia_05-2006.pdf | gjulianm wrote: | > minimum wage will lower employment from small business | significantly; i.e. small shop owner will get by with one | less garcon to pay the other one more. | | As a counterpoint, where do we put the threshold then? I | could argue that if I could pay employees in breadcrumbs, I | could create a new company that would be profitable and I | would increase employment! | | In this issue, either you're driven by empirical data of the | exact effect of minimum wage on social welfare (which is | impossible to achieve without actually doing those changes) | or you're driven by ideology. Mine is that someone with a | full time job should at least be able to live a decent life, | specially in our current society where we clearly have the | capacity to do so. | monocasa wrote: | Who are these mom and pops that are hiring extraneous | workers? If they can get rid of a position, they probably | already have. | kube-system wrote: | They're out there. Mom-and-pops are not known for their | efficiency. I've known some that hire people as a favor to | friends/family/community. ("hey, my kid needs a summer job, | do you have a job for them?") Heck, there are entire mom- | and-pop shops that exist not as a serious income stream, | but as a hobby. | | If you're running a business with <5 people, hiring an | 'unnecessary' person could just be a luxury so that the | business owner can take a vacation or get an extra hour of | sleep... and when times are tough, they forego that luxury. | | These are probably not a significant part of the | overarching discussion here, though. | monocasa wrote: | I've seen "my kid needs a summer job" way more at medium | size $100m/yr revenue companies where that can be hidden | in the budget easier, and you can get a kickback for | internships if you play your cards right as one of those | companies. | | And it is relevant, because there's a lot of data that | there is no negative effect on employment elasticity, but | there is significant publication bias in the field. And | what always gets brought out is the argument that | "businesses will start letting extra people go". They | already do that even without minimum wage increases. | Certhas wrote: | Universal Basic Income would also help with this problem. | Romanulus wrote: | Have you considered the converse of very larger companies that | have a stranglehold on their market (like Walmart, perhaps) | pushing for a higher minimum wage to stifle smaller businesses | in the same domain? | | It seems like a viable tactic, though I will admit I have not | looked into it much myself. | aeternum wrote: | I believe you could make the labor market much more competitive | with one simple and easy to implement change: | | _Make it a requirement that companies publish salaries._ | | We did this with CEO pay and it resulted in huge increases in | CEO pay because it removed the information asymmetry. We make | companies disclose important safety and nutrition information | to the public so consumers can make good decisions about | purchases, why not enable people to make good decisions about | employers as well? | opportune wrote: | That entire excerpt is bollocks. I seem to recall a pretty | influential treatise explaining how wages tend towards the | exchange-value of the _labor_ to produce a good, not the use | value or even marginal exchange value of the good itself. | ouid wrote: | most of these problems can be solved by just giving everyone | the right to say no to labor with a guaranteed poverty income. | It's not enough money to live on comfortably, but it gives the | labor negotiator a chance to walk away from a monopsonist. | bcrosby95 wrote: | Also, do textbooks actually say that? Because it seems | trivially false: if a worker is actually paid that, then | there's no money left for investors. | [deleted] | ianai wrote: | Yes. In one of my grad Econ classes an entire lecture was | devoted to deriving individual pay based on marginal input | and aggregate utility functions. The prof ended the | derivation with a laugh then discussed all the obvious places | wage does not equal marginal societal benefit. Ie school | teachers vs entertainers. | | The takeaway is that Econ theory only explains what it's | capable of explaining. The real market clearly has a lot more | going on than purely rational actors exchanging goods and | services. | oivey wrote: | It's also obviously untrue given the fact that wages in the | US have stagnated while productivity has continued to grow. | That's despite a floor on wages. | nemo44x wrote: | Over the last 50 years, the combined middle and upper- | middle class of the USA has been the part that has grown | the most. The lower middle and poverty classes have shrunk. | The upper class has grown a small amount. 62% of the | country today is middle or upper-middle class today as | opposed to 50 years ago when 51% were. [1] | | However, the middle class has shrunk quite a bit as the | upper middle class has seen tremendous growth while lower | middle and poverty classes have seen a good deal of | shrinkage. | | 37% today are lower-middle or poverty class compared with | 50 years ago where 48% were. In particular, the poor have | shrunk from 24% to 20% today. | | So the middle and upper-middle have grown over the last 50 | years with the upper-middle in particular growing and | lower-middle and poverty has shrunk. However, middle class | people may feel left behind as they see more people | becoming upper-middle. | | [1] https://www.urban.org/sites/default/files/publication/8 | 1581/... | colinmhayes wrote: | No it's not obviously untrue. Productivity growth has been | driven by capital, not labor. | Fargren wrote: | If I dig one hole a day with my hands and ten holes a day | with a shovel, I still dug the nine extra holes even if I | don't own the shovel. | AnimalMuppet wrote: | I believe that colinmhayes' point is that you dug the | extra nine holes because there was a shovel, not because | you got better at digging holes with your hands. The | productivity gain was because a shovel was being used. It | didn't matter who owned the shovel, it mattered that you | were digging with one. | | But that's not completely true, because a person who only | knows how to dig with their hands still only digs one | hole a day, even if there's a shovel just lying there. | Knowing how to use the tools does in fact make you a more | productive worker. | | It seems to me, then, that part of the gain from the | productivity from better tools should go to the worker | who knows how to use the tools. And part should go to the | person who bought the tools. | colinmhayes wrote: | Not really sure what you're saying as this is an example | of my point. The growth was caused mostly by the shovel, | and partly by the worker learning to use the shovel. | Wages have grown to show that. | claudiawerner wrote: | But if you follow that logic further, which you should, | it's also true that part of that capital is "human | capital", or what some economists called variable | capital. I can't think of any increase in productivity | which has not been the result of human labour (whether | technical, scientific, in discovery of new natural | materials, or otherwise). Non-labour ("constant") capital | is inert (literally, as physical goods, it just sits in a | warehouse) without labourers to work on or with it. | e12e wrote: | > Productivity growth has been driven by capital, not | labor. | | What does capital produce? | sudosysgen wrote: | What produces capital? | geogra4 wrote: | Maybe some textbooks? But like - when a software engineer is | billed out by a contracting company at 250/hr and only is | paid 50/hr it's pretty obvious that the wealth created is not | what the worker is paid. It's been a long time since I took | microeconomics in college but even the most charitable | analysis of that is basically that the worker gives up the | other 200/hr for stability and benefits. | mywittyname wrote: | And support. That $200 goes to paying accountants, sales | staff, executive, marketing, custodians, etc. All of which | help keep that $250/hr paycheck rolling in and getting | distributed. | | When I was working solo, I could not bill out remotely | close to what I can as part of a firm. Not to mention that | I had to find a cheap accountant, pay for office space | myself, etc. | danenania wrote: | Right, many minimum wage opponents focus on the scenario where | someone is worth e.g. $14/hr to a business, and rightly point | out that this person won't be hired with a $15/hr min wage. | | BUT without a minimum wage, someone worth $50/hr can be paid | $5/hr _if_ anyone can do the job. It strikes me that this | situation is far more common than the first scenario, and | minimum wage opponents tend to ignore it in their arguments. | | Minimum wage sets a floor for the market. That could | theoretically increase unemployment in _some_ industries with | razor thin margins, but it 's far from a given. | macspoofing wrote: | The only arguments for minimum wage that I've ever seen, are | those that claim that under certain conditions minimum wage | may not be _noticeably_ detrimental. What you never see is | the minimum wage actually make a lick of difference to any | metric that matters (like unemployment rate, or poverty | rates, or income rates, or whatever else). Never. And I 'm | serious about this. Have you ever seen a region that adopted | minimum wage, then come back a year later and show, for | example, that poverty rates have fallen as result? Curious. | | So you have a policy that cannot demonstrate it actually | makes anything better, sometimes can be demonstrated to not | measurably negatively affect anything, and frequently | actually hurts. | | Policies like minimum wage, or rent control, are not really | about facts. They are driven purely by emotion and ideology. | heylook wrote: | > Never. And I'm serious about this. | | You know that we have search engines, right? | | https://www.healthaffairs.org/do/10.1377/hpb20180622.107025 | /... | | https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=267875 | | https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3381978 | | https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3520915 | macspoofing wrote: | Let me summarize what you did here: | | 1) You had a conclusion in your mind that minimum wage is | beneficial. 2) You googled with terms that match your | conclusion. 3) You cherry-picked the studies that match | your conclusion. 4) The studies all point to either mixed | outcomes or minor effects - with no attempt to even | establish a causal effects (some of those are downright | silly. Like tying minimum wage policy to rising wages in | a country that is going through 7-9% GDP growth) | | Do you honestly think that this is a way to argue? That | you just shut-gun random links you cherry-picked? | | How about this, survey after survey of economists (and | you can google those since apparently googling is all you | need) show either a majority or plurality of economists | oppose rising minimum wages and deep skepticism of its | benefits. What are they missing? Or do you want to | cherry-pick economists that support your conclusion like | a climate change denier pointing to that small number of | climate scientist that show some skepticism of climate | change? | lsiebert wrote: | Wait, your contention is that paying poor people more | doesn't effect poverty rates, and you are asking other | people for citations, not citing something of your own? | | You might find this CBO report useful. | https://www.cbo.gov/publication/55410 | macspoofing wrote: | >your contention is that paying poor people more doesn't | effect poverty rates | | No. That is not my contention at all. Do you want try | again without straw manning the argument? | jackvalentine wrote: | This article links to a lot of studies about the health | benefits of a minimum wage: https://www.nytimes.com/interac | tive/2019/02/21/magazine/mini... | prostoalex wrote: | > someone worth $50/hr can be paid $5/hr if anyone can do the | job | | What business sectors enjoy consistent 90% gross margins? | danenania wrote: | That's not the right question to ask, since many other | costs besides labor figure into gross margins. | prostoalex wrote: | What formula then is used in calculating "someone worth | $50/hr"? | | Does it omit or include those costs? | danenania wrote: | It's not always easy to quantify. Consider people like | janitors or security guards. They may be absolutely | critical to the business running even though they don't | produce revenue directly. Even if minimum wage was set to | $100/hr for these jobs, it would still be worth it for | many companies to hire them, since producing _any_ | revenue could be contingent on having people in those | positions. At the same time, they are very competitive | labor markets, so without a floor, the pay could go very | low despite being essential to the business. | | When someone is directly contributing to revenue, like a | factory worker or salesperson, it's a bit simpler since | you can look at their output, but you still need more | information than gross margin to know the maximum a | company _could_ profitably pay an employee, since a | company might design their operations very differently | depending on the price of labor. | leetcrew wrote: | $100/hr is considerably more than I make as a software | engineer. if my employer was required to pay a janitor | $100/hr, they would fire them and have all the junior | engineers spend the last hour of their day cleaning. | having _someone_ clean the building is essential for any | business with a physical presence, but it 's only worth | hiring a person specifically to clean if they can be paid | less than your core employees or if they can do it much | more efficiently. this is why restaurants typically do | not employ janitors. | bumby wrote: | Another example that has come to mind lately is how do | you quantify non-production skilled or intellectual | labor? | | The value of maintenance, safety, quality are often only | only apparent _after_ being cut | nemothekid wrote: | I know you were trying to make a broader point, but | Facebook has been flirting with 90% gross margins for more | than 5 years. | AnthonyMouse wrote: | But then you have to ask, how can they do that? And the | answer is, of course, the network effect of their social | network. The value derives predominantly from that and | not what the employees are doing -- if they did the same | work for someone else who doesn't control a popular | social network, it wouldn't create the same returns. | jandrese wrote: | In economics this is called a barrier to entry. | Industries with lower barriers of entry are more | competitive (see: restaurants) and have lower margins. | Industries high high barriers to entry tend to gravitate | towards monopolies. For industries with the highest | barriers to entry (like tap water) markets don't work and | we have to use heavy handed regulation to avoid letting | the industry completely screw over the populace (see: | water barons). | | Of course it is pretty weird to think of a social network | as a utility. | olva22 wrote: | Apple's appstore? :) | Aunche wrote: | >That could theoretically increase unemployment in some | industries with razor thin margins, but it's far from a | given. | | It's not a given when you're talking about a small region | like Seattle. However, increasing the minimum wage to the | entire US would dramatically increase unemployment in the | poorest areas. The minimum wage is why territories like | American Samoa and Puerto Rico have the highest unemployment. | | Edit: changed Guam to American Samoa | gamblor956 wrote: | Puerto Rico has structural issues related to endemic | corruption that discourages business investment, and that | is why companies generally avoid doing business there | despite the very generous tax incentives for doing business | in Puerto Rico. | | PR's minimum wage has very little to do with it, except for | being a convenient scapegoat. | dragonwriter wrote: | > The minimum wage is why territories like Guam and Puerto | Rico have the highest unemployment. | | But...they don't, even though Guam, unlike several states, | has a higher minimum wage than the Federal level. | | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_U.S._states_and_ter | r... | chrischen wrote: | Guam's minimum wage is on the low side, about $1 higher | than the federal minimum. | dragonwriter wrote: | > Guam's minimum wage is on the low side, about $1 higher | than the federal minimum. | | There are, if I counted right, 19 states and all other | federal districts except DC and the Virgin Island at | (well, below for American Samoa) the federal $7.25 level | (American Samoa's level is also _a_ federal level, but it | 's federally set lower than the rest of the US), and a | few more states at the same level as Guam; so it's pretty | close to the middle, not really much on the low side. | Aunche wrote: | I must have been thinking about another territory rather | than Guam. It looks like unemployment was counted before | the pandemic for the US territories and after the | pandemic for states. | lukevdp wrote: | Someone is not worth $50/hr if someone else is willing to do | the same job with equal capability for $5/hr. | gamblor956 wrote: | There is a difference between someone being worth $50/hour | and another person willing to do whatever for just $5/hour. | | For example, rich kids can take unpaid internships because | they don't have to worry about food or rent for the | duration of internships. | | Poor kids can't usually afford to take jobs that don't pay. | frogpelt wrote: | I'm guessing poor kids usually don't have jobs at all. | | Only about 40% of poor people 18-64 even have jobs. | chc wrote: | The parent was comparing the value a worker brings to the | company against the worker's compensation. To illustrate | how the worth of a transaction can be different from the | cost: If I offer to give you a $50 bill in exchange for a | $5 bill, is that bill not worth $50 just because I lost on | the deal? | lukevdp wrote: | Yes but it is wrong to do so because wages are not set | only by the worth a worker is to a company. That is only | one side of the equation (demand). The labour market also | have a supply side component which is the ability for the | company to find labour. | gwright wrote: | I would certainly value that piece of paper at $50 but | apparently you value it at something less than $5 because | you are willing to accept $5 for it. I haven't a clue as | to why you would value it at less than $5, perhaps you | get some entertainment value in giving away money? | | This doesn't seem like a particularly helpful | illustration. | chc wrote: | You arrived at the conclusion that something can be worth | more than you paid for it, which is the point I was | trying to illustrate (because the person I was replying | to assumed that the lowest price you can pay = worth). So | it seems like the illustration did its job to me. | seiferteric wrote: | If a company can hire someone worth $50/hr for only $5/hr and | therefore make huge profits/margins, couldn't another company | easily come along and undercut them? I don't think a scenario | like that could exist very long. | chc wrote: | Undercut them in what sense? Pay the employee even less for | $50 worth of labor? | aidenn0 wrote: | Sell the results of that labor for just $49. | asdff wrote: | They sure could and do if labor is limited. If the supply | of labor exceeds the demand, you wouldn't need to undercut; | you and your competitor would advertise $5/hr and you would | both get a worker. In our current world, we don't see | chipotle trying to out compete mcdonalds on wages, so | clearly for many classes of worker there is an oversupply | of labor. | | Sometimes even in the real world things do flip, and there | is a demand for low skilled labor that isn't being met. I | overheard a few restaurant owners talking about the | pandemic and their business while I was in line outside the | grocery store a month or two ago. They bemoaned how no one | wanted to come back to work at the restaurant since they | were making more on unemployment. Neither brought up the | idea of paying more if they failed to find labor at that | price point in the market. Instead, they quipped back and | forth about how lazy their staff are behaving after these | owners themselves laid them off not too long ago and put | them on unemployment in the first place. This anecdote is | American capitalism in a nutshell, imo, just pure cognitive | dissonance between the realities of the working class and | the perceptions from the capital class. | [deleted] | jusssi wrote: | If the other company can also do the same, why would they | piss into their own cereal by reducing their profit? | | And if the other company is a newcomer looking to gain | market share by undercutting, they'll likely find | themselves strongarmed or bought out of the market. | AnthonyMouse wrote: | > If the other company can also do the same, why would | they piss into their own cereal by reducing their profit? | | Because that's how newcomers gain market share. | | > And if the other company is a newcomer looking to gain | market share by undercutting, they'll likely find | themselves strongarmed or bought out of the market. | | But then the high margins are still there, so the dynamic | that attracts new entrants is still there. | | The markets that maintain high margins are the ones with | barriers to entry. Which, of course, we try to avoid as a | matter of policy, so any policy that relies on their | existence is quite problematic. | [deleted] | CJefferson wrote: | Between all the patents, it would be basically impossible | to start a new mobile phone company from scratch which made | its own chips, for example. | collyw wrote: | I went looking for a new phone recently, there were | brands I hadn't seen before on the shelves. Why you would | need your own chips is beyond me, when you can buy them | for a pretty small price. | wonnage wrote: | Not wanting to get Huawei-ed? | jayd16 wrote: | >couldn't another company easily come along and undercut | them? | | Not necessarily. A lot of factors might give one company an | exclusive position. Another coal mine can't just open up. | There might be a large barrier to entry into the market or | it might just take time for a competitor to surface. | strbean wrote: | > companies have more power in negotiation, they have more | information and, most important of all, they can deal with a | job opening not being covered most of the time | | This will be the case as long as we have monetary policy based | on the idea that "100% employment is the apocalypse". | | It seems like it is accepted as fact that 100% employment would | lead to hyperinflation, despite the fact that this has never | occurred. It is a totally untested theory that is suspiciously | convenient for employers and shitty for workers. | throwawaysea wrote: | > This will be the case as long as we have monetary policy | based on the idea that "100% employment is the apocalypse" | | Can you share where you are deriving this from? I don't think | monetary policy is based on this idea. I think it is based | more on managing inflation and economic growth, with | employment impacts being a side-effect. | | > It seems like it is accepted as fact that 100% employment | would lead to hyperinflation | | I also don't think it is that 100% employment would lead to | hyperinflation. It's more that full employment might imply | inflation has taken place, meaning that a basket of | goods/services might cost more (in terms of number of | Dollars). But maybe I don't understand the argument here? | dannyw wrote: | Monetary policy is to benefit the owners; not the workers. | 100% employment will drive wage growth as demand exceeds | supply. That's not good for the stock market. | pratik661 wrote: | Source? That is an extraordinarily broad statement to make. | | Central Banks' (the primary institutions behind monetary | policy) primary goal is to promote a stable environment for | commerce. This typically means maintaining a stable rate of | inflation (2-4% for mature economies, 4-7% for frontier | economies). This often requires performing a balancing act | between managing unemployment and inflation. We have PLENTY | of evidence to suggest that inflation is harmful for | everyone, ESPECIALLY for low income workers. The stock | market usually has ZERO consideration in the decisions | central bankers typically make. | lotsofpulp wrote: | Whatever their goal is, the execution obviously benefits | owners of capital disproportionately more than sellers of | labor. | | If economic growth is more than the interest rate, the | owners pocket the difference. If economic growth is less | than the interest rate, the owners get bailed out. But in | all cases, growth for the sellers of labor always lag the | growth for the owners of capital. | aNoob7000 wrote: | The Federal Reserve has been trying to get inflation | above 2% consistently for over 10 years. What are the | chances that they get that even now with rates at zero? | | Also, I would disagree with you about the Federal Reserve | not targeting the stock market or other assets. Anytime | in the past couple of years that the stock market in the | USA has dropped roughly 10-15%, the Federal Reserve has | jumped in dropped rates. They might say the don't target | the market, but in reality that is what they are doing. | | I think biggest issue in the future will be how will the | Federal Reserve ever raise rates. They can't even go | above 2.5% without the market collapsing. | novok wrote: | If you really want to up inflation, go towards a %100 | employment target :p | jsmith99 wrote: | 2% is the Fed's inflation target. | bumby wrote: | I agree with you in theory, but it seems naive to believe | political appointees like a chairperson of central banks | give zero consideration to the stock market when that | market is fundamentally important to those who appoint | them. | | I hope they have that kind of integrity but I won't be | surprised if there's a gap between theory and practice | GedByrne wrote: | Not necessarily. In this case the business seeks an | alternative to workers such automation or simply going | without. | Supermancho wrote: | > 100% employment will drive wage growth as demand exceeds | supply. | | I hesitate to call this a fantasy thought experiment (like | all the atoms in the right place for a brick wall to allow | a baseball to pass through). Not to mention the illusion of | employment statistics (how it's measured), in many | countries. | | This stable equilibrium is impractical. The world is not a | singular country. Employment within a single country is not | representative of labor supply/demand, in this context. | mattmcknight wrote: | This is the one of the two biggest flaws in most | macroeconomics. They act as if the national economy is a | closed system. Of course, if wages rise too high, (in | addition to automation) the products the wages were | producing can be produced in other economies and | delivered as finished goods. Immigration is of course | another violation of the closed system model, where labor | flows to places with higher wages. (The other biggest | flaw in macro is treating the economy as an | undifferentiated GDP factory) | cik2e wrote: | There's a lot of very understandable confusion in this thread | about the directionality of the unemployment-inflation | tradeoff. It's not that increased employment causes | inflation, but rather the idea is that inflation will | increase if central banks try to get there by printing money. | So the frequently used statement of "increased employment | will cause inflation" should only be considered in the | context of monetary policy. But the phrasing is unfortunate | because it implies the wrong causality. | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Full_employment#The_NAIRU | Analemma_ wrote: | I don't enough to say whether 100% employment is good or not, | but I do know that this: | | > It seems like it is accepted as fact that 100% employment | would lead to hyperinflation | | is a strawman. The argument is that 100% employment will | cause an undesirably high inflation, but serious economists | almost never talk about hyperinflation. (It tends to be a | boogeyman used by deficit hawks and the like, since it almost | never happens except in cases of war or truly disastrous | policy). | strbean wrote: | It isn't a straw man. The theory states that inflation will | _continuously increase at an accelerating rate_ as long as | employment is above the "natural level". For any | definition of hyper-inflation, proponents of NAIRU believe | that we will meet that definition at some point if | employment stays too high. | | > Only with continuously accelerating inflation could rates | of unemployment below the natural rate be maintained. [0] | | [0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NAIRU#The_natural_rate_h | ypothe... | sumtechguy wrote: | For it to be basically unlimited inflation would mean | there is an unlimited amount of cash and capital and | capital in the system. That seems on the surface | improbable. It strikes more as one of the formulas has | gone off the chart and someone is making assumptions. | strbean wrote: | Well, my own view is that NAIRU is a complete crock. | _shrug_ | CountSessine wrote: | Why? If prices and wages keep going up in step, why did | you need unlimited cash and capital? You just keep | raising people's wages with the increasingly worthless | cash you earn in revenues? | fulafel wrote: | It seems this targets difficulty depends on the the threshold | to get registered outside the labour force and that options | incentives vs regitering as unemployed. For example, | motivated stay at home parents would need strong incentives | to become employed. | coliveira wrote: | This is one example that shows how economy is skewed against | workers. If salaries rise because there is a shortage of | workers, this should be accepted as normal. Instead, it is | seem as a cataclysm for the economy that should be avoided | because, of course, this shrinks the profit margin for | companies. The monetary policy is designed to maintain the | power of companies over labor. | bgorman wrote: | Your chain of causality is actually completely wrong. At 15 | dollars an hour only a few companies can hire unskilled | workers. At 1 dollar an hour many people can pay workers that | amount, so there is more competition out there for wages. The | idea that there is a monopolistic employer in the US labor | market is laughable. Even for monopolistic industries like | telecom there are multiple options. | | Minimum wage jobs should not be expected to be a long term | viable career choice. Minimum wage jobs are a way for people to | get their first experience, and then move one once they have | gained valuable skills. | | People like to twist reality by imposing arbitrary constraints | e.g. workers need to be able to get paid 15 dollars an hour | without needing to relocate or learn new skills. The world | isn't a charity, and anyone disputing that price floors don't | result in shortages is frankly uneducated. | jayd16 wrote: | A livable minimum wage is the only way someone can move on. | If you're working in an unskilled job, living paycheck to | paycheck, how are you going to improve that situation? | dragonwriter wrote: | > If you're working in an unskilled job, living paycheck to | paycheck, how are you going to improve that situation? | | One of the most common ways people move on to higher-paying | jobs in the workforce is by skills (not necessarily in | "skilled labor" sense, but even just basic work habits) | earned and/or demonstrated through work in lower-paying | (even unpaid, though less that since the crackdown on | unpaid internships) jobs. Minimum wage jobs, even when | minimum wage does not meet any criteria for "living wage", | are absolutely part of that. | asdff wrote: | It's a lot easier said than done. There are a finite | amount of management positions. | dragonwriter wrote: | Not all positions which aren't poorly paid are | supervisory/management positions. | | Of course, restricting employability at the bottom end | proportionately reduces the number of | supervisory/management positions needed. | Broken_Hippo wrote: | IT doesn't matter if minimum wage shouldn't be expected to be | long-term. The reality is that many folks basically work | minimum wage or slightly above for large chunks of their | life. And some folks are happy in these jobs. | | Some of these minimum wage jobs even require degrees. | Preschool teachers, for example, often pay minimum wage or | just above it - but this somehow shouldn't be a career | choice. Many other jobs pay just a little above this - which, | realistically, is what you'd get working late at a burger | place. They get paid more than preschool teachers many times. | | There is a limit to the ability to relocate with these jobs | as it costs money: Same for learning new skills. | | Denying folks a living wage when you know that low-paying | jobs is reality for a large band of people (regardless of | what you think it should be) is just cruel. The world "isn't | a charity" because folks look down on folks. | gjulianm wrote: | > Your chain of causality is actually completely wrong. At 15 | dollars an hour only a few companies can hire unskilled | workers. At 1 dollar an hour many people can pay workers that | amount, so there is more competition out there for wages. | | That theory is good if there's a surplus of job offers, | something that doesn't happen outside of very specific | sectors. | | Moreover, your argument assumes that changing jobs is easy | and risk-free, when in reality it's not, specially for | unskilled workers. | | > Minimum wage jobs should not be expected to be a long term | viable career choice. | | Why not? Of course it's not the optimal career choice, but | why wouldn't one be able to live off a full-time job? | | > Minimum wage jobs are a way for people to get their first | experience, and then move one once they have gained valuable | skills. | | Yeah, the "serving fast food" skill that is so demanded in | the current job market. | | > workers need to be able to get paid 15 dollars an hour | without needing to relocate or learn new skills | | If you don't get paid a livable wage, you can't save for | moving and/or changing jobs, and it will be far harder to pay | and/or have time for further education. | | Non-livable wages just lock people into poverty. When the | alternative is losing your house, or your healthcare, or | starving, people will be forced to make non-optimal long-term | decisions because it's their only option. | dragonwriter wrote: | > Non-livable wages just lock people into poverty. | | No, non-livable _income_ does that. Relying on _wages_ to | solve that relegates people to a permanent underclass if | they ever experience more than brief unemployment. | chanfest22 wrote: | http://archive.is/zF4ei | | tl;dr -- when labor markets are artificially depressed by | employers with monopsony power (e.g. workers only have one | employer to work for), a minimum wage can improve efficiency of | the marketplace. | | Enjoyed the dispassionate take on the age old minimum wage | question. It is difficult to figure out which people are in | monopsony labor markets because it depends on so many things | including geography and even within a zip code could vary based | on a variety of factors such as internet access, public | transportation access, etc. Makes sense that in some cases, when | there is only one employer, they are artificially driving the | price of labor down because people have no choice. | | Have policymakers considered other solutions to this monopsony | problem? For example guaranteed government jobs that pay a | certain $ amount adjusted for the geography to incentivize | private sector to match or beat that price? | coldtea wrote: | They harm the bottom line of people using the Economist to | suggest public policy... | jsanford9292 wrote: | What a useless article. No real conclusion and no new | information. | | Raising the minimum wage CAN have negative effects. This is | obvious. If you raise the minimum wage to $10,000 per hour, what | happens? Hamburgers cost $1,000 each and nobody buys them. | Restaurants become insolvent and they close. Bad outcome. | | I believe no minimum wage CAN also have negative effects but | those effects are less clear to me. Maybe workers get taken | advantage of by companies? But is a minimum wage the best way to | fix this? Would love to hear other thoughts on what specifically | a minimum wage fixes compared to having no minimum wage. | pchristensen wrote: | (can't read the article, but I've read and thought a lot about | it) | | I'm on the fence about the net cost/benefit of localized minimum | wages. I think that a federal minimum wage (or at least, a high | one), and to some extent, state minimum wages, are a bad idea. | The Fight for $15 movement came from expensive cities, and it | might be the right policy for those places. But it would severely | distort and crush lower-cost cities and states. The right policy | for San Francisco isn't necessarily right for Birmingham. It's | one thing to have uniform national laws for human rights. But the | nominal value of $15 means something very different in different | parts of the country. | | It seems to me that the right policy to increased pay for low | wage jobs would be to set the minimum wage so a full time job at | that rate puts you at some multiple of the | metropolitan/micropolitan area poverty line. Wages would | automatically increase with costs in a predictable way, and local | economic conditions determine the rate. State or federal minimum | wages could set a floor but acknowledge that regional differences | matter in economics. | eloff wrote: | I think you're very right that this is policy best done | locally, because cost of living varies wildly even in the same | state. | ghayes wrote: | My only fear is that wouldn't businesses constantly relocate | to new areas with lower minimum wages? If the area you're | located in goes from $5 to $8 (possibly due to your factory), | why not relocate three counties over to an area that's still | at $5? A national standard mitigates this issue. | pchristensen wrote: | Moving 3 counties means basically every employee has to be | relocate or be replaced. If a business is willing and able | to make that choice, they are a) not attached to their | current location, and b) probably willing to consider | farther moves for further cost reductions. | Nasrudith wrote: | Reloction isn't free either and there are "implcit | secondary standards" for the work beyond just the nominal | task such as infastructure, literacy, and scale. Even if | anyone can put widgets in boxes they may only need very | unskilled labor for the task other aspects like "able to | read the numbers to know how many to box up" are included. | The labor may be technically cheaper across five towns of | 200 but a larger factory in a big city could be more | efficent because you can muster larger workforces quicker. | | A national standard would have merits but more in the sense | of scale - it means less friction from adapting to 1 | different standard instead of N different standards. It is | simpler but has the downside of being low for expensive | locales and high for cheap locales and the trade offs that | apply to both. | Sohcahtoa82 wrote: | 1. Relocating a factory is extremely expensive. | | 2. What about businesses where their location is critical, | like restaurants? | wccrawford wrote: | That is already what happens with factories. They find | cheap land and cheap labor. | | They generally don't move factories unless the wages are | enough different to justify all the other pain and expenses | that moving would entail, including hiring almost all of | their low-pay workers from scratch in the new area. | crooked-v wrote: | > It seems to me that the right policy to increased pay for low | wage jobs would be to set the minimum wage so a full time job | at that rate puts you at some multiple of the | metropolitan/micropolitan area poverty line. | | I would be in support of that in the abstract, with the caveat | that various business lobbying would immediately push for | abstruse redefinitions of 'poverty' as used in the law. | snarf21 wrote: | It is a very tough problem. Trying to do it all locally also | pits town against each other. I think the thing is that this | kind of minimum wage isn't a living wage so having it as a | floor is not awful. I also think we have better tools to help | the poor than minimum wage. | | I've also tried to think a little about this from the spend > | consume > work > spend cycle. Minimum wage isn't a factor in SV | tech jobs. The places that employ people at the minimum also | tend to service those same people. Rich people don't shop at | Wal-Mart (largely) so we are only adding costs to goods that | poor people want. So wages go up but if prices go up the same | or more, the poor have lost buying power. I think EITC is a | much more targeted and effectively way to help the poor but it | needs expanded. | adrr wrote: | I am fine with localized min wage laws if the federal | government based distribution of spending on a per tax revenue | by each state. High min wage, means more federal tax revenue. | State should get most of that money back in federal spending. | nobody9999 wrote: | >The Fight for $15 movement came from expensive cities, and it | might be the right policy for those places. But it would | severely distort and crush lower-cost cities and states. The | right policy for San Francisco isn't necessarily right for | Birmingham. | | Your point is a valid one. At the same time, if you look at how | these numbers actually play out in reality, $15/hour (assuming | 40 hours/week -- certainly not a given and 50 weeks per year) | works out to $30,000/annum. Figure in the 12%[0] Federal income | tax plus the 6.25% FICA (Social Security/Medicare) withholding | and that $30,000/annum nets (not including state and local | income taxes, which vary) to ~$25,000/annum. | | Assuming (a big assumption) no income tax at the state/local | levels, that leaves ~25,000/annum at $15/hour, 40 hours/week. | | This works out to ~$2100/month for a single earner. Given that | rent, food cost, transportation requirements, etc. vary widely | across various localities, it's difficult to determine how well | folks can get by on that amount of money. | | The median rent in the US[1] is ~$1000/month. That represents | ~50% of net income (again, assuming zero state/local income | tax. Which doesn't bode well for those making $15/hour, given | that many don't get 40 hours/week. | | Even in the places with the least expensive rent[2], that's | still ~25% of income. That's often considered an appropriate | level of housing cost relative to income. | | What's more, given that the median income in the US is more | than twice as high[3] as 40 hours/week at $15/hour, a $15 | minimum wage wouldn't put any upward pressure on median income | (how relevant such an eventuality might be is arguable, but is | interesting to note). | | So yes, a national $15/hour minimum wage isn't a panacea. Those | living in the _poorest /cheapest_ places could likely live | pretty well on $15/hour (again, assuming 40 hours/week, 50 | weeks/year -- which doesn't apply to many). | | Contrariwise, those who live in places with costs around the | median for the US would likely struggle with $15/hour, and | those living in the most expensive places would likely not be | able to live on just one full-time job. | | So yes, $15/hour nationally is a bad idea. In fact, it should | be significantly _higher_ in places that are more expensive. | | [0]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Income_tax_in_the_United_State | ... | | [1]https://www.deptofnumbers.com/rent/us/ | | [2]https://dailyhive.com/mapped/10-cheapest-cities-rent-usa | | [3]https://www.census.gov/library/stories/2019/09/us-median- | hou... | | [Edit: Fix spacing typos] | leetcrew wrote: | I think you're overselling your point a bit. $15/hr would be | very rough in NYC or SF, but it's actually a pretty decent | wage for a single person most places in the US. | | for comparison, I make quite a bit more than $15/hr, but | $2100/month is pretty close to what it costs me to live a | nice life in one of the most desirable neighborhoods in my | city. I spend closer to $2500 in a typical month, but $200 of | that is because I chose a nice apartment with a good view, | and I could probably shave off another $200-300 by not | shopping at whole foods and downgrading the alcohol I buy. a | year ago, I was living in a detached home (with a driveway!) | in the county with three other people and my monthly spending | was well under $2000. | | so imo, $15/hr is more than enough as an absolute floor for | wages in most locales. probably not enough to support an | entire household with n children on a single income, but I | don't think that's a reasonable expectation for a minimum | wage. | nobody9999 wrote: | >for comparison, I make quite a bit more than $15/hr, but | $2100/month is pretty close to what it costs me to live a | nice life in one of the most desirable neighborhoods in my | city. | | What's your monthly healthcare premium? What's that, your | employer provides that for you? Mine is almost $750/month. | That's just for me. | | What's more, as I pointed out, many folks earning minimum | wage don't get 40 hours/week. As such, their income is | _less_ than the numbers I stated. | | To go even farther, it's not so much about $15/hour or any | other arbitrary figure. It's about whether or not someone | can support themselves (and their dependents -- I didn't | address children or parents or other non-working folks in a | household, let alone the costs of child care if all adults | need to work to pay the bills). | | If the current minimum wage doesn't allow for that, then | the government (that means you and me) has to subsidize | those folks. | | in the end, it comes down to how we choose to deal with | this situation. Do we require employers to provide a | (theoretical, remember many don't get 40 hours a week) | living wage, or do we as a society pay to subsidize those | employers who don't pay enough to allow people to support | themselves? | | But the issue goes beyond just the dollars and cents. The | hoops that many government programs force those who need | help to jump through is often demeaning and tends to | dehumanize people. What's more, those programs have | overhead too. The costs of administering these programs | need to be considered part of the subsidy to employers. | leetcrew wrote: | > What's your monthly healthcare premium? What's that, | your employer provides that for you? Mine is almost | $750/month. That's just for me. | | yes, my employer pays the premiums for my HDHP. the | coverage is comparable to something at the boundary of a | typical silver/gold ACA plan. these cost $450-480/month | for an individual, but someone making $30k would likely | qualify for a federal credit of $100+/month (not to | mention that their tax burden would be significantly | lower than your quick estimate). | | > What's more, as I pointed out, many folks earning | minimum wage don't get 40 hours/week. As such, their | income is less than the numbers I stated. | | "many" being about 6% of workers making the minimum wage, | according to BLS in 2017.[0] | | > in the end, it comes down to how we choose to deal with | this situation. Do we require employers to provide a | (theoretical, remember many don't get 40 hours a week) | living wage, or do we as a society pay to subsidize those | employers who don't pay enough to allow people to support | themselves? | | > But the issue goes beyond just the dollars and cents. | The hoops that many government programs force those who | need help to jump through is often demeaning and tends to | dehumanize people. What's more, those programs have | overhead too. The costs of administering these programs | need to be considered part of the subsidy to employers. | | as a taxpayer, I'm not happy about paying for it, but I | tend to think this is society's problem more than any | particular business's. inevitably, there will be people | who do not produce enough value to sustain themselves. in | my ideal world, we would do away with minimum wage | entirely, give people UBI sufficient to at least subsist | (perhaps coupled with a public option for affordable | heathcare), and let businesses employ anyone who wants to | work for a market wage. | | [0]https://www.bls.gov/opub/reports/minimum- | wage/2017/home.htm | jefftk wrote: | _> Figure in the 12%[0] Federal income tax_ | | You're forgetting the standard deduction: $12k for an | individual. This brings taxable income to $18k. Per | https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-pdf/i1040tt.pdf that puts tax at | $1,929, so $30k becomes $28k after Federal income tax and not | $26k. | nobody9999 wrote: | >You're forgetting the standard deduction: $12k for an | individual. This brings taxable income to $18k. Per | https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-pdf/i1040tt.pdf that puts tax | at $1,929, so $30k becomes $28k after Federal income tax | and not $26k. | | A fair point. I'd point out (again) that many folks earning | minimum wage don't get 40 hours/week. What's more, once you | add in health care costs, not to mention any children or | other dependents, that extra ~$175/month won't go too far. | jefftk wrote: | Children or other dependents will add more deductions, | though, and likely qualify you for the earned income tax | credit. | wccrawford wrote: | But it's okay to have a national minimum wage and _also_ a | state, county or city minimum wage that 's higher than the | national. That doesn't mean we shouldn't at least start with | the national one. Individual areas can fight for their own | raised minimum wage in their area. Everyone can fight for the | national one, which would still be a big increase over what | minimum wages are everywhere. | nobody9999 wrote: | >But it's okay to have a national minimum wage and also a | state, county or city minimum wage that's higher than the | national. That doesn't mean we shouldn't at least start | with the national one. | | You won't get any argument about that from me. | | My point was that, except in the poorest places in the US, | $15/hour is _not_ a living wage. Especially since many, if | not most folks earning the minimum wage _don 't get health | care benefits (a big additional cost) and often are not | afforded 40 hours/week either_. | clairity wrote: | i'm generally in favor of state-level control of such things, | but i'd be remiss not to point out that that's a great way to | further entrench inequality across america. | | i mean, if $15/hour is a little more than subsistence level in | rural north dakota or the hills of west virginia, so be it. | maybe it means they can buy a laptop for the kids, but it won't | be mansions and teslas everywhere. | | current labor markets are profoundly unfair, and a little | imperfect leveling of the field is fine, while we work on | fixing the decades of extractive policies that got us here in | the first place. | kenhwang wrote: | It's one thing to be unfair when the government is footing | the bill, like basic income or tax brackets. It's a good | incentive to balance out rising cost of living. | | It's another when it's small businesses footing the bill. | There's a very painful lag time between being required to pay | employees more and when employees have more spending power. | Typically all that happens is local business don't have the | finances to cover that lag, but national businesses do, and | the latter survives and dominates. | Klinky wrote: | Then we should advocate for government footing the bill, | either UBI or subsidized minimum wage. | | Someone is paying the cost in the end, and probably | shouldn't end up on the small business owner, and | definitely shouldn't end up on the laborer being unable to | make ends meet. | clairity wrote: | small businesses don't foot the bill, at least not to any | painful level if they're anything approaching a reasonably | run business. their customers might, and having it be a | blanket policy means that small businesses are not | disadvantaged or penalized for not having the leverage of | big businesses to distribute costs onto the rest of society | (e.g., walmart and welfare). | | at most, on the margin, a small business might give | employees 1-2 fewer hours per week. that actually puts | selective pressure on small businesses to be more | efficient, and therefore more competitive with big | business. | | this also counters the other oft-cited rebuttal that people | will lose jobs due to the minimum wage - no, they may lose | an hour or two on the margin, but whole swaths of jobs | aren't at stake, and their take-home will likely stay | roughly the same even with fewer hours per week. | | economic lag isn't particularly relevant either, because | folks making minimum wage turn around immediately and spend | that money. there's virtually no lag there. | dylz wrote: | I don't have an opinion on this in either direction, but | i'm curious: how do you define a small business, and do | inefficient/wasteful small businesses get selectively | 'bailed out' compared to national ones? Why should small | businesses not have to foot the bill while large ones do? | Just because they are small, they don't have to be | competitive or efficient - do not-profitable hobby | businesses get propped up for no reason other than they are | small? | | Many chains and non-small businesses have also been known | to split off (for example, an incorporation per chain | location, franchise location, or per physical building) - | then that one national fast food chain or REIT building is | now a "small business" with only a few employees? | leetcrew wrote: | locally owned businesses are arguably better for a | community because the owner is more likely to recirculate | their profits back through the local economy. the profits | from a walmart location are ultimately captured by the | shareholders, who may be disproportionately concentrated | in some far-away place. of course, this can be outweighed | if the large corporation serves the community much more | efficiently than the smaller competition. | | subjectively, I find it a lot more pleasant to deal with | local businesses. on the rare occasion I go to starbucks, | I grab my coffee and leave immediately, but I would be | happy to spend a few hours reading in any of the nearby | independent coffee shops. | credit_guy wrote: | > maybe it means they can buy a laptop for the kids | | Or maybe it means they can't buy a laptop if they don't have | a job at all. | EduardoBautista wrote: | I am wondering if this would convince many people to move to | areas with lower cost of living. | sthnblllII wrote: | The only politically feasible alternative is increased welfare | spending, which means a low minimum wage is just a way to have | taxpayers cover employers' labor costs. | | https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2014/02/13/ron_unz_h... | Spivak wrote: | I think a more politically feasible alternative is a corporate | welfare program where companies apply to have the government | step in and just pay a portion of worker's wages. | | I don't like it but I think it would be something that would | actually manage to pass with some amount of bipartisan support. | The market still sorta-kinda allocates the labor, incentives | for employer and employee are aligned, and as part of the | program they would could implement some form of corporate | austerity to audit spending so companies couldn't just walk | away with the cash. | crooked-v wrote: | See, for example, how Wal-Mart has the single largest | collection of workers who get food stamps in the US. | pchristensen wrote: | Not defending Wal-Mart's labor practices, but there are | probably very, very many companies where they have the single | largest collection of workers who $INSERT_CONDITION_HERE. | Ekaros wrote: | I would actually say that it is the opposite... As there is | few very large employers. Wal-mart being largest one of | them. Companies employing lot of people also has largest | collection of workers with $INSERT_CONDITION_HERE. | | Not that the whole sector couldn't do better. Wal-Mart just | having that statistic because they employ the most. | kennywinker wrote: | This is a puzzling comment. Yes, you can probably find a | unique characteristic among various groups... but this | specific value of $INSERT_CONDITION_HERE is relevant to the | discussion, and probably a negative force in our society. | Seems like you're trying to dismiss it for some reason? | marshmellman wrote: | Or a high minimum wage is a way to have employers cover the | government's welfare costs? | | Who really should front the bill for low earners to live above | poverty, and why? | kennywinker wrote: | If you are getting a significant chunk of someone's time and | labor, but not paying them enough to live well, that seems | like the definition of exploitation. If you can't pay a | living wage, your company should go out of business - it's | not helping society, and it's sucking up air that could be | used by other companies that CAN pay their workers a livable | wage. | | Specifically in the case of walmart, they CAN pay their | employees a living wage. They drain about 6-7 billion from | taxpayers (1) by way of workers on assistance. From 2006-2020 | walmart has made over 10 billion/year every year except two | (9ish billion and 6ish billion) (2) | | (1) https://www.forbes.com/sites/clareoconnor/2014/04/15/repo | rt-... | | (2) | https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/WMT/walmart/net- | in... | afinlayson wrote: | Without a minimum wage, some jobs would pay effectively zero. | | You see that with waiters, who get paid below minimum wage, and | are expected to make tips, the issue is if there's no customers | because of a pandemic, they are now making no income. | _ah wrote: | The direct effect of the minimum wage is to make certain low- | productivity jobs _illegal_. Consider that for a moment: a person | with limited skills and /or needs is simply _prohibited_ from | doing low-productivity work regardless of desire. | | The counter-argument is that many workers do not have a choice; | they will always accept wages vs nothing, but have no power or | ability to negotiate. | | With a minimum wage we've made the decision as a society that, in | order to prevent worker exploitation, we will also eliminate | certain classes of work. Some of this work does vanish entirely, | while some of it reappears in the shadow economy through | untracked cash payments or self-employment. | | As with all policy decisions there's a messy balance here and | we're arguing mostly over where the line falls. I do wish there | was a cleaner way to protect against monopsony (higher minimum | wages) while also providing good opportunities for low-skill | workers (those who are very young, very old, have physical or | mental impairments, etc). | anigbrowl wrote: | No they're not. Employers are prohibited from paying them below | a certain amount. No employee can be or ever has been | prosecuted/sued for accepting sub-minimum wage. | | I realize you're trying to say minimum wages limit economic | opportunity for ad-hoc and casual labor that the poorest rely | on. But you've fatally damaged your argument by presenting it | in an untruthful way. | saas_sam wrote: | Can you locate for the audience where the poster you are | responding to said anything to the effect of "employees can | be prosecuted/sued for accepting sub-minimum wage"? I read | his/her post a few times and do not see where that was | stated. On the contrary, I see where he or she said that | certain _jobs_ were illegal. Your point about who gets | prosecuted or sued comes across as a total non-sequitur, at | least to this reader! A very anti-charitable one at that with | an aftertaste of moral grandstanding. | mdoms wrote: | > The direct effect of the minimum wage is to make certain low- | productivity jobs illegal. Consider that for a moment: a person | with limited skills and/or needs is simply prohibited from | doing low-productivity work regardless of desire. | | Has this ever been shown to be the case? Use real data or case | studies. | _ah wrote: | Walmart eliminated all greeters last year. | mdoms wrote: | Was there a corresponding increase in minimum wage? | fragsworth wrote: | No, but I don't think that makes the point any less | relevant. | mdoms wrote: | Well either the greeters became more expensive or their | utility dropped, if we're taking a simplistic market- | based approach. So which is it? | pwinnski wrote: | And yet this year I see people standing outside the front | door with a box of masks, ensuring everyone is masked | before entering, and greeting people at the same time. | fragsworth wrote: | The fact that they were hired back during a pandemic | isn't a good counter-argument, greeters obviously add | very small value to the company under normal | circumstances. | flyingfences wrote: | McDonalds locations now have replaced most of their cashiers | with touchscreens. | mdoms wrote: | Did this happen in response to minimum wage? | fragsworth wrote: | Yes, because if there were no minimum wage, they would | simply pay employees less and forget about the | touchscreens. | mdoms wrote: | So these touch screens are not being introduced in | countries with low or no minimum wage? | smileysteve wrote: | This is incorrect; There were multiple steps of | acceptance of the touchscreens including order accuracy, | expediency, and customer interaction. | | If McDonalds could pay less, not train employees, have | them touch buttons accurately, and customers enjoyed | interacting with those people; then, and only then is | what you have said close to truthful. | | What you have proposed is that the internet wouldn't send | electronic bits if we just paid mail carriers more. | kennywinker wrote: | minimum wage in the usa has been largely static or | declining since 1968, if you control for inflation (1). | Given that, it seems like the thing driving the mcdonalds | cashier job losses are not minimum wage laws, but rather | technology and probably the economic pressure to maximize | shareholder value caused by the stock market. | | (1) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minimum_wage_in_the_Unite | d_Sta...) | abstractbarista wrote: | Back-breaking farm work is done largely by humans who are | present in the country illegally. | mdoms wrote: | So the fields would be left fallow if governments enforced | their laws properly? | klmadfejno wrote: | I don't think that's a reasonable point of view. Most minimum | wage jobs are not productivity jobs, but jobs that need to get | done by someone but require no special skills. That is, you | can't easily define the value of the sanitation worker who | keeps a restaurant clean enough to pass health standards. You | just observe that there's enough people willing to do it that | you can offer a low wage. | | What jobs are being made illegal? | nickff wrote: | Many of the people employed at very low wages have attributes | which mean that they are not worth hiring at higher costs. | Factors such as lack of job history, attendance | issues/unreliability, language issues, etc. mean that the | employer will opt for a more 'attractive' candidate if there | is a price floor. | | As an example, if you are looking for a bottle of wine to | accompany your Tuesday night dinner, you might opt for a low- | cost, low-quality option, as it is adequate for your needs; | but if there is a price floor, you will opt for a different, | higher quality option. | | Price floors mean that deals below the set price are illegal. | klmadfejno wrote: | > any of the people employed at very low wages have | attributes which mean that they are not worth hiring at | higher costs. | | Unless the job needs to be done, which is generally the | case among minimum wage workers. That was my point. You | need cleaning staff, and retail workers, and what not. You | still hire them even if they cost more. People don't have | intrinsic prices. It's not like an old person costs exactly | $4.32 an hour and therefore is unable to find work if the | minimum wage is $7.25. | nickff wrote: | The fact that the job needs to be done does not mean that | _the job needs to be done by the type of person currently | doing it_. One common response to price floors is to | change the qualifications /requirements (as in my wine | example). The employer will hire 'over-qualified' | candidates to perform a job which does not require their | skills or abilities. | | Wine is still being 'hired' with a price floor, but it is | a different wine, and the price floor doesn't do the low- | quality wine producer any good. This example is actually | derived from a time when England imposed a flat tax on | French wines. | _ah wrote: | Sanitation workers may be low-skill but they are high-value. | I don't think this is a good example. | | In contrast, a friend of mine recently hired the teenager | next door with cash (for less than the local minimums) to do | some manual yard labor. This job simply wasn't worth paying | for at a higher cost; my friend would have left the work un- | done. But in this case the value proposition at a lower price | was acceptable and the neighbor was glad for the extra cash. | klmadfejno wrote: | Well sanitation workers make up a fairly large fraction of | the minimum wage workers so that's a representative group | of people for the matter at hand. | | You're not wrong that unnecessary private exchanges like | that might be lost, but those are unnecessary, not that | noteworthy in terms of economic scale, and generally aren't | relevant to minimum wage laws anyway. My point is precisely | that most of the labor that is priced at minimum wage is | not like the example you describe. | abstractbarista wrote: | All jobs are productivity jobs. It is the definition of a | job. You are paid to accomplish some process. To be | productive. Some non-zero skill is always needed. Cleaning | surfaces in a restaurant happens to be fairly low-skill. | There is a high supply of humans who can produce the result - | a clean restaurant. Thus, the wage commonly paid for this job | is (compared to higher-skilled jobs) quite low. | aidenn0 wrote: | You make low-productivity jobs illegal while also raising the | wages for low-skill high-productivity jobs. Worker productivity | in the US has gone through the roof while real wages have | stagnated. Combined with the (at least pre-pandemic) low | unemployment rates, it seems likely that most minimum wage | workers are in jobs that would not be eliminated by raising the | minimum wage. | hpoe wrote: | One thing I found was interesting | | > The effects of a wage floor can also be felt outside low-pay | sectors. A preliminary study in 2019 of the impact of Germany's | minimum wage found it led to more reallocation of workers from | smaller, lower-paying firms to larger, higher-paying ones. | | Is it possible that although the change in overall employment was | muted smaller shops were closed up and their work simply | transferred to larger ones better able to expend the capital? | supernova87a wrote: | A most frustrating thing about many kinds of protectionist | economic policies is that frequently the people who would benefit | from the opposite policy aren't allowed to vote to count the | value of it. | | The people who would get hired if you didn't put this policy in | place are the ones who don't get to vote against it. | | The people who would be able to afford to live in a city that has | rent control, don't get to vote against it. | | It's not until you have some external shock that shows you how | much this little island of protectionist policy has cost you that | you realize what it did. And in the meantime you've favored and | built up a system that is that much less resilient to whatever | new problems you face. ___________________________________________________________________ (page generated 2020-08-19 23:01 UTC)