[HN Gopher] Ultralight lithium-sulfur batteries for electric air...
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       Ultralight lithium-sulfur batteries for electric airplanes
        
       Author : pross356
       Score  : 111 points
       Date   : 2020-08-19 18:14 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (spectrum.ieee.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (spectrum.ieee.org)
        
       | zzedd wrote:
       | For speculative (near future) fiction, that uses a lightweight
       | electrically-powered aircraft as a linking device, "News From
       | Gardenia" by Robert Llewellyn, is a good read.
        
       | ncmncm wrote:
       | Can I just say this was an extremely well-written article? Each
       | time a question came to mind, it was answered within the next two
       | sentences.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | rolleiflex wrote:
       | > Oxis recently developed a prototype lithium-sulfur pouch cell
       | that proved capable of 470 Wh/kg, and we expect to reach 500
       | Wh/kg within a year.
       | 
       | Meanwhile, gasoline / petrol / benzin (wherever you are in the
       | world) has an energy density of 12200 Wh/kg.
       | 
       | In other words, even in a world where all petroleum is perfectly
       | depleted, we would still be producing synthetic gasoline for
       | high-demand applications and capturing 100% of the emissions for
       | recycling -- essentially using gasoline as a battery. It's just
       | too good an energy storage to ignore.
       | 
       | I've been looking at cars and geeking out on internal combustion
       | engines for the past few weeks since I had to buy a car, and for
       | the usual Silicon Valley guy such as yours truly whose standpoint
       | on cars hadn't been much more than 'I want a Tesla', it was an
       | outright revelation.
       | 
       | ICEs are real technology -- and for a software guy it is easy to
       | understand because the complexity is bounded by physical
       | dimensions of parts (i.e they don't work past a certain small
       | size) so you literally see human-size machinery with human size
       | movements. It's been a refreshing change from potentially
       | unbounded complexity of software.
        
         | outworlder wrote:
         | > Meanwhile, gasoline / petrol / benzin (wherever your are in
         | the world) has an energy density of 12200 Wh/kg.
         | 
         | Yeah, and yet, if you are talking about cars, you are bound by
         | the Carnot efficiency, which is at most 35% no matter what(in
         | reality more like 20% or so). Now gasoline goes to 4270 Wh/kg
         | even assuming the best possible engine. That's without
         | accounting for extraction, refining, transportation losses.
         | 
         | Yes, still 10x more. However, you don't really need 10x, as
         | electric motors are way more efficient (85 - 90%).
         | 
         | The long range Tesla Model 3 only requires a 75kWh (72.5
         | usable) battery for a 450km (~279 miles). In other words, it
         | uses 161 Wh/km .
         | 
         | > ICEs are real technology
         | 
         | So are EVs. For all the tech they tend to have, it boils down
         | to: Battery and electric motor. There are some pretty reliable
         | solid state electronics to monitor and deliver power, but
         | that's all you really need(even the 'charger' is optional - and
         | for quick charging, it's located outside the vehicle).
         | 
         | You could theoretically use decades old technology to control
         | the amount of power delivered to the motors - so you could see
         | with your naked eye. And, in fact, we have done that! The first
         | cars ever designed were electric, battery tech just wasn't
         | there. It doesn't make sense to do that in this day and age,
         | electronics driven by software work better. We would replace
         | ICE engines with solid state components if it was possible.
         | 
         | Now, for an ICE car, you have valves. You have a crankshaft,
         | controlling said valves (and tied to pistons) - hundreds of
         | moving parts right there. You have spark plugs (and a coil to
         | generate the voltage). Air filters. You have an alternator
         | (usually driven by a belt). You have water pumps (optional on
         | EVs - and for the battery only, when they are used). You need
         | fuel pumps. Fuel filters. Radiators (because of all the engine
         | inefficiency). You need oil - and replace said oil, as well as
         | the oil filter. You have an exhaust with a catalytic converter.
         | 
         | Each one of those things may break and some are even
         | consumables. So much crap EVs don't have.
         | 
         | And you still have software and the tiny electronics you can't
         | see with your eyes ! Unless, of course, you still use
         | carburetors (which add a few hundred more parts each).
         | 
         | EVs are much, much simpler. And more reliable, less parts and
         | most of them don't move. The only thing that degrades is the
         | battery. For now. I drive a Leaf, which is notorious for having
         | no battery thermal management, and degradation is minimal.
        
           | zkms wrote:
           | > you are bound by the Carnot efficiency, which is at most
           | 35% no matter what(in reality more like 20% or so)
           | 
           | Internal-combustion engines are not limited by the Carnot
           | efficiency; see page 4 of these slides. In fact, latest-
           | generation Priuses gets almost 40% thermal efficiency on the
           | gasoline engine, and large diesel engines -- thanks to lean
           | combustion (favorable ratio of specific heats for the gases
           | that push on the piston), no throttling losses, higher
           | compression ratio -- do even better.
           | 
           | https://www.energy.gov/sites/prod/files/2014/03/f8/deer11_ed.
           | ..
        
         | petre wrote:
         | True but gas turbines (not ICEs, those are mainly used on small
         | aircraft) can reach a theoretical efficiency of 30% while
         | electric motor efficiency of 92...93% is quite common. So you
         | can multiply that number by 1/3 since 2/3 becomes heat.
        
           | microcolonel wrote:
           | With turbofans and turbojets it gets a little harder as well,
           | since unlike stationary turbine generators, not all "waste
           | heat" is actually wasted, when considering thrust-specific
           | fuel consumption.
        
         | pixelbash wrote:
         | > ICEs are real technology
         | 
         | They are real technology, in the sense that this is where over
         | 100 years of optimising every aspect of ICE has got us to.
         | Fascinatingly complex, extremely well engineered, and depending
         | on the brand still relatively likely to break down within the
         | first few years.
         | 
         | The engines are also longer designed to be maintained without
         | special processes, and are increasingly designed around
         | emission regulations. To the point where a lot of the
         | complexity is in emission systems and the cars are choked by
         | their own extremely lean fuel maps.
         | 
         | Electric motors on the other hand are still relatively
         | unoptimised and the potential in things like torque vectoring
         | is amazing. I'll miss driving manual, but it's getting just
         | about impossible to buy those now anyway.
        
         | DarmokJalad1701 wrote:
         | Sure. The average car gets 25 mpg, consuming ~1400 Wh/mi. A
         | Tesla Model 3 uses ~240 Wh/mi. Thats almost a factor of 6
         | difference. You don't need quite as much energy when you are
         | significantly more efficient and it is only getting more
         | efficient as time goes on. Also add in the factor of recovering
         | energy using regenerative braking which is impossible with ICE.
         | 
         | With a car, unless you have a specific use-case where you are
         | driving 200+ miles a day, an EV is a no-brainer when it comes
         | to efficiency in operating cost as well as emissions and
         | overall energy use.
        
           | asdfadsfgfdda wrote:
           | A Model 3 is smaller than the average car, it should be
           | compared to something like a Honda Accord hybrid. Both have a
           | similar cabin volume of ~100 ft^3. The fuel economy for a
           | hybrid Accord is 48 mpg, or 760 Wh/mile.
           | 
           | The Accord is also $10k cheaper, presumably that is because
           | the Model 3 requires more materials and more embodied energy.
        
             | mulmen wrote:
             | > The Accord is also $10k cheaper, presumably that is
             | because the Model 3 requires more materials and more
             | embodied energy.
             | 
             | Do economies of scale and manufacturing expertise factor in
             | to "embodied energy"?
        
         | jmercouris wrote:
         | While energy density as an important measure when talking about
         | a fuel source, we can not forget about the other part of the
         | equation. Energy efficiency, of those units of energy in jet
         | fuel, how much of it can we effectively utilize? In other
         | words, what is the distance travelled for a given weight of jet
         | fuel vs the distance travelled for a given weight of batteries.
        
         | tenuousemphasis wrote:
         | >Meanwhile, gasoline / petrol / benzin (wherever your are in
         | the world) has an energy density of 12200 Wh/kg.
         | 
         | Electric motors are 90% efficient, ICE are less than 20%. So in
         | reality gasoline is 2-3x as energy dense, when you look at how
         | much of the fuel's energy can be used to do useful work.
        
           | throwaway189262 wrote:
           | Electric vehicles have range problems in cold climates
           | because you don't have waste heat.
           | 
           | On a very cold day 60% of that waste heat might be used to
           | warm the cabin. This translates to up to 50% range reduction
           | in electric vehicles.
        
             | DarmokJalad1701 wrote:
             | This is a myth. It is not nearly that bad. I own a Model 3
             | in a place where it is frequently below 30F in the winter.
             | My last road trip when it was 17F throughout I consistently
             | got around ~250-270 miles out of 310 rated range. The new
             | hybrid heat-pump based system in the newer models makes it
             | even more efficient.
        
               | throwaway189262 wrote:
               | Isn't the range penalty a lot worse on short trips? When
               | I was researching Leaf I noped out of buying one because
               | range penalty in the cold for daily commutes was almost
               | 50%
        
           | tengbretson wrote:
           | You also have to factor in the weight reduction as petroleum
           | fuel is consumed vs the fixed weight of a battery.
        
             | Tuna-Fish wrote:
             | True, but the effect of this is less than it sounds like,
             | as while the fuel is consumed, in an ICE car the engine is
             | the heavy part and that isn't consumed.
        
               | klyrs wrote:
               | Don't discount this so easily. You can't land a jumbo jet
               | immediately after takeoff because its maximum allowed
               | landing weight is much less than its maximum allowed
               | takeoff weight. So you'll need a stronger fuselage and
               | landing gear for electric plans, which means even more
               | weight
        
             | tenuousemphasis wrote:
             | Yes, that's true. And the cost of electricity vs. fuel.
             | Safety is another factor. The point is there's a lot more
             | to it than Wh/kg of the energy source.
        
             | outworlder wrote:
             | This is a huge deal for aircraft. Not much for cars, as EVs
             | are not carrying a lot of extra baggage that ICE cars
             | require.
             | 
             | When was the last time you saw an ICE with both a trunk and
             | a frunk? :)
        
               | throwaway189262 wrote:
               | Modern gasoline engines are not as heavy as you may
               | think. I once transported 2 liter car engine in the back
               | seat of my civic. Only ~150 lb and quite manageable.
               | 
               | Even monster SUV motors are only ~350 lbs. That doesn't
               | include cooling, oil, accessories, or transmission but
               | EV's have those too.
        
               | ScottBurson wrote:
               | > When was the last time you saw an ICE with both a trunk
               | and a frunk?
               | 
               | Seconds ago -- there's one in my carport :-) (A 1993
               | Toyota MR2; it's mid-engine. The frunk is small, and
               | completely filled by the spare tire and aftermarket
               | stereo amp.)
        
             | oh_sigh wrote:
             | My SUV is 4500 lbs and has a 17 gallon tank. Gasoline
             | weighs ~6lbs/gallon, so it only factors for about 2% of
             | total mass between a full and empty tank. Seems safe to
             | mostly ignore it.
        
             | gibolt wrote:
             | I'd love to see a future where part of a plane's battery
             | pack is a detachable drone that could fly back right after
             | takeoff (most taxing on energy use) and thus decrease the
             | weight of the plane.
             | 
             | You could also have battery swaps during flight as they
             | pass over drone battery depots.
             | 
             | Sounds crazy. Might not be worth the gains for the
             | complexity, but could be worth it across a whole fleet.
             | 
             | Microwave laser groundstations (or solar satellites) could
             | come first, removing much of the battery requirement.
        
               | mikeyouse wrote:
               | Seems like you'd be better off with a ground-based
               | catapult system to get the plane up to speed and in the
               | air where the on-board motors could take over.
        
               | klyrs wrote:
               | Catapult really paints the wrong picture... but if you
               | say ballista and actually mean a maglev rail accelerator
               | then I'm down
        
               | gibolt wrote:
               | If these are passenger aircraft, that probably wouldn't
               | fly
        
               | microcolonel wrote:
               | > _If these are passenger aircraft, that probably wouldn
               | 't fly_
               | 
               | Well, it doesn't need to have the same rate of
               | acceleration as a carrier's, but honestly it just doesn't
               | make sense in general.
        
               | mikeyouse wrote:
               | Right -- you could use the full length of an existing
               | runway to have a gentle acceleration , bt I'd argue this
               | makes a lot more sense than some sort of drone delivered
               | jettisoned/retrieved battery if your goal is to reduce
               | on-board energy expended for takeoff. Much less complex
               | and the wear parts would be fixed at the airport rather
               | than on every single airplane.
        
               | tengbretson wrote:
               | Hah, now you've got me imagining a gentle rain of 18650
               | batteries following a plane as it travels across the sky.
        
               | gibolt wrote:
               | Yes, gentle :D
        
         | woodandsteel wrote:
         | Top-level ev's like the Model 3 are already superior for most
         | drivers. The only problem is cost, and that is being fixed in
         | the coming years through steadily falling battery prices.
         | 
         | Other use cases like aviation and ocean boats are more
         | difficult. It may well be that synfuels made with renewable
         | energy will be the solution there.
        
         | speedgoose wrote:
         | I drive both ICE cars and electric cars and there is something
         | about ICE engines in cars : they are very unresponsive compared
         | to electric engines. They are fine at high RPMs, but you don't
         | want to and shouldn't drive at high RPM. They have things such
         | as turbo lag or really shitty torque curves. The gearboxes do
         | not help as well. It's weird to wait half a second to get full
         | power when you are used to the instant torque.
         | 
         | You should test drive a random eletric car and a random ICE
         | car.
        
           | ramses0 wrote:
           | If you have the opportunity, try comparing your ICE
           | experience with a manual transmission ICE.
           | 
           | Many modern ICE cars are effectively fly-by-wire with eco-
           | junk-softwware in between the accelerator and engine.
           | 
           | Manual transmissions would likely not have the lag that
           | you're experiencing, but I definitely recognize what you're
           | saying w.r.t. torque curves.
           | 
           | I'm not challenging ICE v. Electric, but instead attempting
           | to clarify that there is quite a wide variation in ICE-
           | behavior that is less present in a manual transmission ICE
           | car.
        
           | jfindley wrote:
           | Well engineered ICE cars are the opposite of unresponsive.
           | Gear shifts are in the order of 100ms. Turbocharged engines
           | require some revs to get moving, but good engines rev _so_
           | fast that unless you have no idea what you 're doing this
           | isn't a big problem.
           | 
           | Electric cars are like synthetic computer benchmarks -
           | amazing on paper, but to actually drive? On a real road, with
           | corners and a competent driver? So, so much worse. We'll get
           | there, in time - some hybrids are really great, but we need
           | to work a lot on battery weight before a pure electric car
           | can match an ICE/hybrid car for real world performance.
           | Weight always has been and always will be the enemy, and
           | right now a tesla is closer to a truck than a sports car in
           | terms of weight. The day will hopefully come, but today is
           | not that day.
        
         | phonon wrote:
         | Electric motors are simpler, more reliable, smaller, lighter,
         | almost perfectly efficient, and have better torque
         | characteristics than ICE.
         | 
         | You can't compare the energy storage density in isolation.
         | Engines are heavy...Model S's motor generates 362 horsepower
         | (according to the official specs), and only weighs 70
         | pounds...the equivalent ICE would be 500+ :-)
         | 
         | (Yes, the inverter weighs something, but the transmission is
         | much simpler as well for electric...overall you save a few
         | hundred pounds easily...A Model 3 battery pack is between 600
         | and 1000 pounds--so pretty close to the crossover point.)
        
           | riffraff wrote:
           | But the two aren't at odds, o e could use an electric engine
           | and still burn gasoline to produce the electricity, sort of
           | like ships do.
        
           | outworlder wrote:
           | Forgot about that on my longer reply. EV engines are _tiny_
           | and incredibly efficient.
        
           | BoorishBears wrote:
           | You're making the parent comment's point, ICE != ICE
           | 
           | Mercedes is selling cars with an engine that weighs 354 lbs,
           | with just 2 liters of volume. Now 354 lbs is still pretty
           | heavy, but it's 354 lbs _with fluids and accessories_.
           | 
           | Some (many even) of those accessories have equivalents on a
           | Tesla that aren't included in saying it weighs 75lbs, like
           | pumps for coolant and the AC compressor
        
           | throwaway189262 wrote:
           | We're still not at the point where weight savings from motor
           | offsets battery. Tesla cars are all extremely heavy for their
           | size
        
             | froh wrote:
             | The mass is a problem of you don't t recuperate braking
             | energy. Tesla's do recuperate braking energy. A heavy ICE
             | driven vehicle in contrast just loses braking energy as
             | heat.
             | 
             | Edit: typo
        
               | throwaway189262 wrote:
               | Energy recovery from regen is minimal unless you're stuck
               | in stop and go traffic. Usually less than 5%.
        
               | baybal2 wrote:
               | It highly, highly depends on motor setup.
               | 
               | Tesla low gearing induction motor is by far not the best
               | here.
               | 
               | Synchronous motors have much better regen capability.
        
               | throwaway189262 wrote:
               | There's just not that much power available for regen.
               | I've done a lot of dicking around with E-scooters. Even
               | at their low speeds with lots of stop and go, regen is
               | less than 10%.
               | 
               | It's only used because dumping excess energy back to
               | batteries is cheaper than including brake hardware. The
               | math may work out the same for EV's. Regen just to
               | decrease the cost of brakes rather than increase range
               | significantly. In the e-scooter world, the cheap ones use
               | regen and more expensive models have traditional disc
               | brakes.
               | 
               | Air resistance burns a ton of energy at any speeds over
               | 20mph.
        
               | baybal2 wrote:
               | How much RPM were you getting at your scooter, and what
               | was the vehicle mass?
               | 
               | You say 5% at most... The difference in between, say, 5%
               | and 10%, a bad and good regen is huge.
        
               | throwaway189262 wrote:
               | The RPM's are huge. Like 16k, because smaller motors are
               | lighter for same power. Mass is generally 40lb + rider.
               | 
               | The RPM doesn't matter much though. Regen efficiency is
               | around 80% from wheel to battery. With cars you get much
               | less regen because you lose tons of energy to air at the
               | speeds they travel.
        
               | usrusr wrote:
               | The argument made wasn't so much about getting more range
               | from regen as about regen lessening the impact of added
               | mass: with perfect regenerative braking, a ten ton
               | vehicle wouldn't use much more energy than a one ton
               | vehicle if they shared the same outer hull.
               | 
               | Real life doesn't have perfect regen, but on the other
               | side of the equation real life ICE cars actually lose
               | more efficiency to added weight than just what is
               | converted to heat while breaking because they tend to
               | compensate worth a bigger engine to get comparable (or
               | better even) acceleration than a lighter counterpart and
               | that means that during cruise where the mass is
               | irrelevant the engine is running at all an even worse
               | load point in terms of efficiency. ICE are terribly
               | inefficient at partial load and when your engine is sized
               | to get decent acceleration despite high total mass you
               | simply can't gear long enough to get the engine to a
               | reasonable load point in a moderate speed cruise.
               | Electric motors don't have this problem (or a much, much
               | smaller version of it), so they wouldn't suffer quite as
               | hard from added mass as ICE even worth no regen at all.
        
               | BoorishBears wrote:
               | First off, 48 volt systems doing regen is already taking
               | off, and there are already _many_ new cars doing it (not
               | just ones that have a hybrid sticker on them either:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mild_hybrid#Examples)
               | 
               | Second, as other comment says, the idea that braking
               | regen is going to make up for an extra half a ton of
               | batteries is pretty laughable
        
             | jashmatthews wrote:
             | Not by much. The Model 3 is approximately 1 person heavier
             | than a comparable BMW 3 series. The Model 3 Long Range is
             | about one person heavier than a 3 series wagon.
        
               | throwaway189262 wrote:
               | The BMW 330i is about 660lbs lighter according to some
               | questionable internet sources for curb weight
        
               | jashmatthews wrote:
               | Base Model 3 is 1611kg vs 1545kg for a 330i. I'm looking
               | at both a 330e and a Model 3 at the moment or maybe an
               | M340i xdrive touring.
        
           | Shivetya wrote:
           | However you are ignoring that while you can spin the blades
           | more efficiently, however scaling an electric motor to that
           | size may end up with even more weight, you also have to
           | replace the turbojet portion of these motors. So you will
           | need even more engine. That turbo jet is more efficient at
           | speed while the fan is better at lower speed.
           | 
           | In the end we would have slower planes but we will eventually
           | reach a point where we can do it.
           | 
           | Someone can probably explain it better and my understanding
           | is rough and not current; jets were cool when I was kid
        
             | hwillis wrote:
             | Your speculation about motors is incorrect; motors are
             | actually more efficient the larger you build them. It's a
             | property of the goodness factor:
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goodness_factor
             | 
             | It is profoundly foolish to compare motors and heat engines
             | on first principles like this, obviously. Still, here's a
             | turbine that handles 30x the power of a jet engine, running
             | a generator that is about the same size as a jet engine: ht
             | tps://www.ge.com/news/sites/default/files/Reports/uploads/.
             | ..
             | 
             | generator is in the upper left. Obviously not at all
             | optimized for size or weight- there aren't even any magnets
             | in that thing.
        
           | rootusrootus wrote:
           | > the equivalent ICE would be 500+
           | 
           | It's not quite that heavy. An LT1 makes 500 horsepower and
           | weighs less than 500 pounds.
        
             | samatman wrote:
             | Are you including the transmission?
             | 
             | Teslas have a transmission, but it's not in the same league
             | of complexity or weight.
        
       | msaroff wrote:
       | Two things: * The next great battery technology always seems 6
       | months away.
       | 
       | * What, if any, are the combustibility issues with this tech.
       | 
       | Higher energy density typically means greater potential for a
       | thermal runaway.
        
       | elihu wrote:
       | Higher energy density makes electric planes a little bit more
       | reasonable, but they'd still be quite range-limited compared to
       | gas. For some use cases, that might be okay.
       | 
       | I'm more interested in how this affects cars. Getting four or
       | five hundred miles out of a battery pack that's lighter than
       | what's in a typical Tesla would be a great thing, especially if
       | it's cheap.
       | 
       | I'm currently working on an electric conversion of a Mazda RX-8.
       | I just bought about 450 pounds of lithium iron phosphate
       | batteries. They're the most expensive component, and provide
       | about 27kwh; maybe enough for 100 miles if I'm lucky. I sort of
       | assumed that in about ten years or so I'll probably replace the
       | whole pack with whatever great new technology can provide more
       | range with less weight, and probably cost less too. It would be
       | wonderful if we had awesome batteries now.
       | 
       | (I considered used tesla modules; they have much better energy
       | density, but they're more dangerous and they wouldn't have fit
       | well in the odd-shaped places I wanted to put them.)
        
       | inamberclad wrote:
       | Everyone is talking energy density but nobody is talking about
       | Urban Air Mobility.
       | 
       | Electric is the name of the game for a VTOL plane that will take
       | you from SFO to downtown or Santa Cruz. They don't have to have
       | all the performance in the world, they just need to have enough
       | performance to do their job.
       | 
       | Also, pilots will appreciate the operating costs and simplicity
       | of these aircraft. Student pilots will love a plane that costs
       | $10/hr instead of $100/hr in the Bay Area. 90 minutes of flight
       | time (1 hour lesson + 30 minute VFR 'fuel' reserve) is all it
       | needs.
       | 
       | Neighbors will appreciate higher torque motors that turn modern
       | props at 1500 RPM instead of 2200 for the noise reduction.
        
         | the8472 wrote:
         | > nobody is talking about Urban Air Mobility.
         | 
         | Because flying cars have always been just behind fusion.
        
         | Antipode wrote:
         | How much of a prop plane's noise is from its propeller vs its
         | engine?
        
           | nickff wrote:
           | This varies extremely widely depending on engine selection
           | and propeller design. Urban air mobility vehicles are also
           | very likely to be loudest during vertical take-off and
           | landing, which is not comparable to a conventional small
           | aircraft.
        
       | dougmwne wrote:
       | Here's a fun bit: in the article they say that lithium-sulfur is
       | hard to measure charge level for due to the voltage properties of
       | charging and discharging.
       | 
       | "The upshot is that voltage is not a good proxy for the state of
       | charge and, to make things even more complicated, the voltage
       | curve is asymmetrical for charge and for discharge."
       | 
       | Since it would be bad if your battery suddenly died and you
       | dropped out of the sky, they had to develop complex statistical
       | and neural network algorithms to accurately determine state of
       | charge to within a few percent. One black box for staying in the
       | sky and another in case you end up on the ground!
        
         | mulmen wrote:
         | This makes me wonder how accurate float bulb based fuel level
         | sensors really are. This _sounds_ like a major problem and the
         | solutions are interesting but potentially even better than what
         | we are used to.
         | 
         | My 1990 Toyota never read full. The buffer on the fuel sender
         | was so extreme that by the time the needle made it to the "F" I
         | had already burned 1/8 of a tank! My current car warns me when
         | I have about 50 miles of fuel left, I wonder how much
         | historical data it uses in that calculation.
         | 
         | None of my motorcycles even have fuel gauges. I just keep an
         | eye on the odometer and when I stop to stretch my legs I give
         | the tank a shake or a peek.
        
           | rlpb wrote:
           | > This makes me wonder how accurate float bulb based fuel
           | level sensors really are.
           | 
           | They aren't. On light aircraft, the only thing they're good
           | for is as a double check on a manual fuel reading (using a
           | dipstick) or a time-based calculation, and to confirm during
           | flight that the fuel cap wasn't left off. Beyond that, the
           | needles bounce around so much during flight the only thing
           | you can really verify is "yes there's some liquid there;
           | somewhere between empty and full".
           | 
           | Many light aircraft owners have since retrofitted "fuel
           | totalizers" which measure fuel consumption, and are manually
           | reset by the pilot to a dipstick value when fuel is added. My
           | group aircraft's fuel totalizer seems accurate to within at
           | least about 10%. It can be calibrated better, but manual
           | dipstick readings are only accurate to a couple of gallons
           | anyway.
           | 
           | However, one key difference is that I do know, to within
           | about half an hour, my fuel endurance before departure. I'd
           | want the same from a battery.
        
           | nippoo wrote:
           | They're pretty inaccurate in light aircraft where you're
           | often flying at an angle / slightly asymmetrically; in
           | commercial airliners, under most flight conditions, they're
           | generally within a couple percent. Aircraft will generally
           | use fuel flow sensors and use those to calculate remaining
           | fuel (by integrating the fuel flow over time) and
           | float/capacitance sensors in tanks are used as verification /
           | a sanity check (which can sometimes only end up being noticed
           | inflight, eg https://www.flightglobal.com/safety/boeing-
           | modifying-777-fue...)
           | 
           | For more than you'd ever want to know about the fuel systems
           | in a modern airliner, see http://www.b737.org.uk/fuel.htm
        
           | TheRealSteel wrote:
           | > float based fuel level sensors
           | 
           | I initially read this comment thinking you meant floating-
           | point based...
        
             | cogman10 wrote:
             | Dang floats ruin all calculations!
        
             | mulmen wrote:
             | Hah, didn't even think of that! I made a small edit to
             | clarify.
        
         | mrfusion wrote:
         | Can you just measure the current coming out of the battery and
         | keep track of it?
        
           | hwillis wrote:
           | AKA joule counting- for normal li-ion it gets you to ~5% most
           | of the time, up to 20% off at the start and end. That's
           | assuming the voltage stays constant the entire time- in
           | reality the first bit is at 4.2+ volts, and the last bit is
           | down to ~3 volts. That's a 40% energy difference per electron
           | that leaves the battery.
           | 
           | It's also one of the reasons you get electronics that die
           | suddenly at 5%- current gas gauges usually account for it,
           | but older stuff wasn't always good at knowing when the
           | voltage would drop off. Nowadays (and always, for the most
           | part) the sudden shutoff is because electronics often pull
           | very brief power spikes that drop the battery voltage below
           | the minimum voltage temporarily. The chemistry takes a moment
           | to recover after that.
           | 
           | The problem with Li-S batteries isn't just that they have a
           | goofy curve- that can be charted and saved, even as the
           | battery degrades (Note- I'm mostly up on conventional
           | chemistry. Don't know much about Li-S). It's more have a
           | couple phases they go through during discharge. Impedance and
           | other properties of the battery change, which changes the
           | discharge characteristics of the battery, which changes the
           | voltage. Proportionally, the swing in voltage is also larger
           | (although this kind of thing is always changing, so I may be
           | out of date).
           | 
           | There's also a small amount of self-discharge and parasitic
           | reactions that will consume electrons, but that number is
           | necessarily fairly small and predictable. The main thing is
           | that 50% of the energy variance is in the voltage, and you
           | need to know a lot about the current chemistry inside the
           | battery (as well as the future load profile) to be able to
           | predict the voltage that all the remaining electrons will
           | have as they leave the battery.
        
           | hn_acc_2 wrote:
           | You could use this technique to estimate the remaining
           | capacity __starting from a full charge / known charge __, but
           | not to arbitrarily measure the remaining capacity of the
           | battery
        
             | dougmwne wrote:
             | It sounds like the voltage curve is all over the place as
             | the battery phases through its chain of different chemical
             | reactions, unlike a normal battery. I take that to mean
             | there's no way to just measure the voltage at a given point
             | of time to estimate capacity, hence why the statistical
             | method was required.
        
               | rbanffy wrote:
               | It's a good thing to measure the instant capacity, but
               | the voltage and current (and, hopefully, thermal output)
               | are being measured during the whole flight.
        
           | ChuckMcM wrote:
           | Many battery monitoring circuits do this, sampling both
           | voltage and current to compute power over time. With a
           | suitable inductor to limit the rate of current change to be
           | within the nyquist sampling interval of the monitor, you can
           | pretty accurately measure charge going in or coming out of a
           | battery. Combined with a model for the battery and you've got
           | a modern battery monitor circuit.
        
         | cameldrv wrote:
         | Or you could do what they did on Apollo (forget if it was the
         | CM or LM). They had the problem of measuring how much was in a
         | tank, but the tank was in 0G, so a float is no good. The
         | proposed solution was some sophisticated radiation based thing
         | where they measured the attenuation of some radioactive source
         | through the tank. This wound up being highly complex, and the
         | solution was simply to have a reserve tank. When the main tank
         | ran out, you knew you had exactly the amount in the reserve
         | tank.
        
           | rbanffy wrote:
           | Another possible solution is to measure how much fuel (or
           | energy) got in and how much is getting out. You know the
           | nominal capacity and you know the flow rate.
        
             | cogman10 wrote:
             | You'd have to account for charge losses (Some energy ends
             | up just being heat while charging) but that could probably
             | be simply guestimated on battery temp while charging and
             | some constant factor.
             | 
             | For example, assume a 90% charge efficiency for a battery
             | at 20C... or whatever makes sense.
        
       | ddoice wrote:
       | Still orders of magnitude less energy-dense than jet fuel.
        
         | henearkr wrote:
         | To be fair, you need to compare a complete workflow including
         | the renewable production of the jet fuel.
         | 
         | If the overhead of heavy batteries does not annihilate the
         | benefit of the carbon-neutral production rendered possible by
         | using electricity (and associated carbon-neutral sources like
         | photovoltaic etc... heck, even nuclear fission), then batteries
         | are still the path to go.
         | 
         | If there are carbon-neutral ways to produce the jet-fuel, and
         | to have a completely carbon-neutral(or even negative) cycle
         | production+consumption, then why not. If it could be done
         | without turning the Earth into a giant bio-fuel crop, that
         | would be nice.
        
         | DesiLurker wrote:
         | IIRC real-engineering on youtube did a detailed analysis of the
         | current operating limitations with electric planes:
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VNvzZfsC13o
         | 
         | He also identified a couple of sweet spots where electric
         | flight would make sense factoring in engine efficiency & cost
         | of fuel etc. bottom line is that the picture is more complex
         | than just comparing energy density of jet-fuel & batteries.
         | with batteries becoming much lighter IMO it should open up many
         | more use cases for short haul frequent flights without the need
         | of big central hub airports. which is good. an more importantly
         | give the trajectory of battery energy density it should provide
         | enough justification for heavy investment into research into
         | electric planes so i wouldn't dismiss it out of hand.
        
         | umvi wrote:
         | Yes but presumably electricity is order(s) of magnitude cheaper
         | than jet fuel. And also order(s) of magnitude more available
         | than jet fuel. And also order(s) of magnitude cleaner than jet
         | fuel (depending on the source).
        
           | asdfadsfgfdda wrote:
           | Jet fuel is ~36 kWh/gallon raw energy density (13 kWh/gallon
           | mechanical power assuming 35% engine efficiency). The pre-
           | covid jet fuel price was $2/gallon, or $.15/kWh. The average
           | price of commercial electricity is $.06/kWh in America, or
           | $.08/kWh including charging/motor efficiency. This cost will
           | definitely be higher if you only buy clean electricity, and
           | this ignores battery wear out.
           | 
           | But where the economics break down is aircraft utilization.
           | If charge time is greater than ~1 hour typical turn time, all
           | of your costs will grow. Capital cost, crew costs, and
           | airport infrastructure cost will increase. To charge in <1 hr
           | is a challenge, you need a huge power source (tens of
           | megawatts per plane) and serious cooling.
        
             | ramses0 wrote:
             | Or swap the component, although that introduces its own
             | design challenges and provenance risks.
             | 
             | Aircraft refueling generally runs in-ground (at the largest
             | airports), then 5-10k gallon trucks (~20-40k liters), then
             | ~500-2000 gallon smaller trucks (2k-10k liters) for smaller
             | aircraft or smaller airports.
             | 
             | If you reimagined refueling trucks as "forklifts carrying
             | batteries" instead of "tubes of gasoline on wheels" then
             | you'd likely end up with similar delivery practices
             | (central charging, swap/refuel, discard/recharge batteries
             | instead of refilling the fuel tank on a fuel truck).
             | 
             | Effectively it would be standardizing on some way to slot-
             | in pre-charged batteries, and treat them similar to a
             | propane tank rental company, where each removed battery is
             | considered suspect and tested/refurbished/recharged after
             | each use.
             | 
             | Otherwise, yeah, putting a bunch of 220v outlets in the
             | ground around an airport... you're going to be sitting
             | there a while to recharge the ten planes that landed that
             | day. It'd effectively be untenable for smaller airports to
             | be able to provide "quick-turn" refueling services, and
             | potentially risky to be able to guarantee overnight
             | refueling.
             | 
             | This is all nudging towards personal / corporate aircraft,
             | not commercial aircraft operations, which would "never"
             | want the plane in more than one spot for more than one
             | hour, which would require something similar to battery-
             | swaps that they control, OR some very fancy electrical and
             | heat management associated with the airport/jetbridge that
             | the plane pulls up at.
        
           | bronco21016 wrote:
           | I'd debate the 'more available' statement. It is more widely
           | available overall but not in the places you'd want it. Of
           | course that can be fixed but someone will have to build out
           | that infrastructure to make electric planes viable.
           | 
           | It's a bit like Tesla. Prior to them building out their
           | charging network, electric cars had a bit of a chicken and
           | the egg problem. You might buy a car but have no where to
           | charge it, but nobody wanted to build places to charge them
           | because nobody has an electric car.
        
             | harg wrote:
             | That's not the case at all. Everyone has electricity at
             | their home. You can charge basically any electric car from
             | a domestic wal socket and higher power chargers are easily
             | available. Commercial charge points only really need to be
             | used for long distance travel. Most EV owners can do the
             | majority of charging at home.
        
               | lacksconfidence wrote:
               | One confounding factor is parking arrangements. If you
               | have a garage then a wall socket is reasonable, but for
               | many years the only place i could park a car was
               | somewhere on the street, hopefully within 100m of my
               | address. In that situation commercial charge points
               | (hopefully near my employer, if lucky) would be the only
               | reasonable charge point.
        
             | bdamm wrote:
             | Yeah basically all airports that have commercial service
             | also have access to power. There are exceptions like
             | seaplane bases and small country strips, but there are more
             | than enough airports with access to commercial or even
             | industrial grade power to make electric airplanes that
             | require charging viable. The final step of linking up the
             | airport power supply to the airplane charger is peanuts in
             | the world of aviation. Almost all airports have a fleet of
             | fuel trucks, therefore, the cost of buying a fuel truck is
             | the low end of the acceptable cost for ground
             | infrastructure investment to open a new route for an
             | airline.
        
               | bronco21016 wrote:
               | I just reread what I wrote and I think maybe I wasn't
               | very clear.
               | 
               | There's electricity at every single gas station in the
               | US. Why can't we pull into any gas station in the US and
               | charge an electric car? Even now that electric cars are
               | gaining market share and becoming more common.
               | 
               | Someone has to build, supply, and hook up high power
               | charging systems. You can't just fly your $5 million eJet
               | into any airport in the US and run a 100' extension cord
               | into the FBO. If that's the plan, you certainly can't
               | hope to leave the same day. It will take at least 3 days
               | for your 1 MWh eJet to finish charging.
               | 
               | We're in the pre-Tesla days of electric aircraft. There's
               | a few players working on the aircraft and they're getting
               | close. However, until a 'Tesla' comes along where they
               | also install charging infrastructure at the airports
               | their customers are planning on using, we're not going to
               | see a commercially viable electric aircraft.
        
               | ramses0 wrote:
               | The best way to do it would be start in the corners and
               | cross in the middle. Seattle/SF/LA => { colorado? vegas?
               | texas? chicago? } => NY/DC/Miami
               | 
               | If you can link up some sort of route(s) to deal with
               | range-anxiety / weather, and can criss-cross the country,
               | you're in business.
               | 
               | Once your route is built, it's straightforward to manage
               | capacity/flight-plans (reservations / networks /
               | routing), and then you move directly to demand-
               | generation, but you'll have a real tough time competing
               | directly with coast-to-coast direct flights.
        
           | aphextron wrote:
           | >Yes but presumably electricity is order(s) of magnitude
           | cheaper than jet fuel.
           | 
           | It's really not even about the cost of fuel. With aviation
           | it's all about maintenance costs. Electric aircraft will be
           | orders of magnitude simpler and cheaper to maintain than jet
           | turbines. This is what will unlock cost effective small scale
           | commuter routes, allowing you to just hop on a small 10
           | passenger plane at a neighborhood airport and take a 300 mile
           | flight with no need for security.
        
         | blisterpeanuts wrote:
         | >> Still orders of magnitude less energy-dense than jet fuel.
         | 
         | Does that matter, if other aspects of the system compensate
         | with lighter weight? For example, lighter weight electric
         | engines versus heavier fuel-burning engines along with exhaust
         | and cooling systems.
        
           | threeseed wrote:
           | If it's anything like ships/yachts then the lighter weight
           | doesn't come anywhere close to making up for the loss of
           | energy.
           | 
           | Could still be very useful for flights between nearby cities
           | e.g. LAX to SF.
        
           | asdfadsfgfdda wrote:
           | A PW150 turboshaft engine is ~5 kW/kg. Some electric motors
           | are up to ~10 kW/kg. But, as an example, engines on a Q400
           | regional airliner are only ~5% of the total weight. Fuel is
           | up to 15% of total weight. So the savings are not
           | significant.
           | 
           | Also, the batteries will likely require a cooling solution.
           | This can be challenging (heavy) for high altitudes (where air
           | is cold but very low density). Jet fuel requires no cooling.
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Power-to-weight_ratio
        
       | adammunich wrote:
       | With every lithium-sulfur battery I've come across you need to
       | have a lot of steel clamping plates together because they expand
       | so much when charging, and will otherwise delaminate. So
       | ultimately they become the same mass.
       | 
       | This includes the oxis energy battery mentioned here.
        
         | mulmen wrote:
         | Is there some way to embrace this in the design of the plane?
         | Could the wing structure be built in such a way that an
         | expanding battery actually adds strength?
        
           | nippoo wrote:
           | The idea of making a battery a structural part of an aircraft
           | wing has come up before, e.g. https://newatlas.com/axial-
           | stack-battery-supersonic-electric.... I'm not sure if any
           | progress has been made on this front recently, or whether
           | they've come up against a materials-science roadblock!
        
         | cmrdporcupine wrote:
         | This might sound crazy but is it possible to do that in some
         | way such that the clamping plates etc. are only there during
         | the charging process? Prevent the delamination during charging
         | and then remove the prevention mechanism?
         | 
         | Or just charge really really slowly? Airports etc. could just
         | have terminals full of trickle-charged batteries to swap in and
         | out.
        
           | ngold wrote:
           | That was my first thought as well. But I don't have a clue if
           | it's practical.
        
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