[HN Gopher] Why Rocket Internet has come down to earth
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Why Rocket Internet has come down to earth
        
       Author : edward
       Score  : 61 points
       Date   : 2020-09-24 18:40 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.economist.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.economist.com)
        
       | juliansimioni wrote:
       | I moved to Berlin for a while in 2014, and so I ended up
       | interviewing at a couple Rocket Internet companies.
       | 
       | I'm by no means an expert in any of this but the impression I
       | took away was that while they did some really impressive things,
       | all their companies had a fatal flaw.
       | 
       | The impressive things were:
       | 
       | - They had a common tech stack that while no means elegant was at
       | least effective at getting to decent scale quickly
       | 
       | - They clearly had marketing and growth talent to also scale up
       | businesses quickly
       | 
       | - They had expertise in specific geographies that are often
       | difficult like South America, Europe, and China (these are
       | difficult at least from the perspective of an American :) )
       | 
       | But the fatal flaw all their companies have, by design, is that
       | they are really good at cloning a product and not good at
       | actually creating one. Every company was clearly designed to be
       | acquired before that problem became insurmountable.
       | 
       | If the acquisition didn't happen, turning a several hundred
       | person organization into one good at figuring out what changes to
       | make to a product to make it successful is...messy.
        
         | danjac wrote:
         | Out of interest, what was their tech stack based on?
        
         | johnnyfaehell wrote:
         | I worked at Foodpanda, which was one of the Rocket Internet
         | flagship companies for a time. Foodpanda was a mess, and the
         | people from Rocket Internet were saying it was 10x better than
         | Rocket Internet. Which I can believe since Foodpanda outsourced
         | work to Rocket Internet because Rocket Internet said so. They
         | literally assigned me to make sure they didn't screw the
         | project up, they wouldn't take any feedback really. I ended up
         | not caring about the project because it wasn't actually within
         | my offical responsibilites. At the end of the project I was
         | included in the email threads between the two CTOs where the
         | Foodpanda CTO repeatedly pointed out that they were warned
         | about all the shortcoming in the project way before the end and
         | that they needed fixed. Rocket Internet responded saying that
         | was a lot of work and they would need developer resources from
         | Foodpanda. Me and one of the guys I worked with at Foodpanda
         | decided a way to tell if a developer was worthwhile in Berlin
         | was how long they stayed at rocket. Majority in Berlin would
         | have worked for them at some point, so working there wasn't a
         | sign they were bad. But if they stayed there for more than a
         | year, that was.
         | 
         | From my experience Foodpanda's biggest problem was tech. They
         | literally had hundreds of servers be knocked off line because
         | one redis server with session data went down. This was
         | considered acceptable within the company. There was a culture
         | of failure. And the business side had these issues too. There
         | was a write up in an Indian newspaper where they basically got
         | tore to shreads for all their failures publically. Turned out
         | half of the company didn't realise how bad things were.
         | 
         | Foodpanda was Rocket's attempt at buying up competitors and
         | dominating India. They literally bought everyone and still lost
         | the war to dominate food ordering in India.
        
           | juliansimioni wrote:
           | First of all I'll admit I was trying to err on the side of
           | generosity when describing Rocket. Maybe that's a mistake.
           | 
           | They definitely seemed to have a culture of well...internal
           | chaos. But that jives with their "copy fast" mentality. It's
           | worked at least a couple times, right?
        
             | johnnyfaehell wrote:
             | > It's worked at least a couple times, right?
             | 
             | Yea, HelloFresh seems to be doing well and Zalando
             | dominates in fashion. There are probably a few others doing
             | well too.
        
               | fs111 wrote:
               | Delivery Hero too, they just entered the DAX
        
               | johnnyfaehell wrote:
               | I am not too sure about them. They sold the German
               | companies and pulled Foodora out of a few countries.
        
               | deusex_ wrote:
               | Look at their global results, Europe is largely
               | irrelevant compared to APAC and MENA. Germany exit was
               | loss of prestige losing home market but also not a major
               | loss of revenue compared to gains elsewhere in the world.
        
       | johnnyfaehell wrote:
       | The only time I would advise people to deal with rocket internet
       | is if they're a developer who is just moving to Berlin. Lots of
       | fun to be had, everyone else has just moved so there are tons of
       | people who hangout. After a while get to know the city and find a
       | different company to work for.
       | 
       | Rocket Internet is known for doing pretty much what the quote in
       | the article has "What they're doing is totally legal and totally
       | immoral." How they operate is rather well known.
        
         | bogomipz wrote:
         | Out of curiosity are you still in Berlin? What happens when a
         | company like Rocket hires you and you leave? Do you need to
         | have something lined up immediately for visa reason or is there
         | a grace period where you have a bit of time to find something
         | new?
        
           | nicbou wrote:
           | If you're not a EU citizen, you have 3 months after losing
           | your job to find another visa sponsor, if I'm not mistaken.
        
             | atlasunshrugged wrote:
             | No longer in Berlin, I ended up moving to Estonia to work
             | for their government and then just bounced around Eastern
             | Europe until Covid happened. If your work was sponsoring
             | your visa you have to leave after a set amount of time
             | unless you get another one (assuming non EU citizen). That
             | said, if you're an engineer or have access to capital it's
             | not that tough to get a visa somewhere in Europe. I'm
             | personally considering doing the Dutch American Friendship
             | Treaty path once Covid is over but haven't decided yet.
        
           | dolel22 wrote:
           | Generally yes, there was strong demand for software engineers
           | in Berlin pre-covid. It's still there albeit weaker, so you
           | might not find something you want immediately. As for the
           | visa, there's generally a 3 - 6 month grace period to find a
           | new job that's granted by the immigration office before you
           | lose your status.
        
         | atlasunshrugged wrote:
         | As a nontechnical person who moved to Berlin and whose first
         | job was at Rocket, I echo this even for non-technical people.
         | Stuff was a mess, turnover was absurd (I lasted about 8
         | months), but you have a great little network from Rocket people
         | who leave and go to other companies in the city
        
       | rbrtdrmpc- wrote:
       | Rocket Internet has the amazing skill of buying healthy
       | companies, assure founders they are not going to shut them down
       | on third party interests and shutting them down on third party
       | money settlement. They are plain old assholes.
        
       | FlorianRappl wrote:
       | Much of the money of rocket internet is coming from other sectors
       | these days. A major sector here is real estate, where they
       | founders have created a massive network of companies / holdings.
       | 
       | I still don't quite understand how they could be that
       | "successful". But maybe its just a reflection of society...
        
         | gabaix wrote:
         | One of my friends worked directly under one of the brothers. He
         | had to double any of his objectives: his revenue goals, his
         | hiring goals, his layoff goals. Whatever it was, he had to
         | double it. It was to the point of absurdity. He would be
         | berated for any missed goal.
         | 
         | Samwer brothers never cared for innovation. They picked
         | whatever worked in the US and made a copy. They could either
         | sell to the the US market leader, as they did with their first
         | company when they sold to eBay, or IPO. All that mattered was
         | to grab the market and get investors to value on the growth.
         | 
         | And to be first, they hired new grads or junior McKinseys they
         | could impress with high pay while giving monkey equity, while
         | pressuring at will.
        
       | k__ wrote:
       | Guess, in times of globalization "copying US companies" doesn't
       | cut it anymore, hu?
        
       | whoisjuan wrote:
       | You can copy business models but you can't copy trajectories.
       | Their failure is not selling businesses fast enough. Perhaps they
       | drank their own Koo-Aid and thought they could build an actual
       | tech behemoth out of copying ideas but clearly all the things
       | they copy have the same uncertainty that the original ideas they
       | copy have.
       | 
       | Maybe they thought that they could pass that upper limit of
       | uncertainty with capital and operational speed but that doesn't
       | work for unproven ideas. It's not like a private equity buying a
       | crackers company. Startups in general have very undefined
       | horizons with no operational references or data to build on. How
       | could something like FoodPanda be successful when all the other
       | players in this space struggle and just a few are barely
       | successful?
        
       | fxtentacle wrote:
       | That's a very investor-friendly title. Effectively, they are
       | taking the company private again using a legal method where
       | investors lose the difference in stock value. It's not nice, but
       | also not illegal. And these people were never known for their
       | friendliness, so no investor should be surprised that they're
       | taking the unfriendly route now.
        
         | jansan wrote:
         | _> And these people were never known for their friendliness_
         | 
         | They were the founders of Jamba, a notorious company
         | specialized in selling ringtone subscriptions for 3 to 5 Euro
         | per month (called "Jamba Sparabo"). This may have well been the
         | most hated company in Germany in the early 2000s.
        
           | rbrtdrmpc- wrote:
           | They were hated everywhere, In Italy the damn frog ringtone
           | became associated with shitty annoying people
        
         | shoo wrote:
         | > Rather than using external capital to buy investors out at a
         | premium, the usual way to take a firm private, Mr Samwer has
         | used company cash to buy back EUR223m ($260m) of its own
         | shares. This pushed his clan's stake to over 50%. He plans to
         | use another EUR1bn of Rocket's cash to buy out minority
         | shareholders at EUR18.57 a share, the volume-weighted average
         | price in the past six months but down from the ipo price of
         | EUR42.50.
         | 
         | > Investors are under no obligation to sell their shares, of
         | course. But those who stay put will have little power to affect
         | the course of the firm now that the Samwer brothers control the
         | board with their majority stake. Rocket has stated it will be
         | "better positioned" for long-term development if not listed on
         | a stock exchange.
         | 
         | It seems like the main tipping point is one group (the Sameer
         | "clan") getting into a control position. Presumably enough
         | other investors agreed to the earlier buybacks that allowed
         | that to happen.
        
         | rahimnathwani wrote:
         | "where investors lose the difference in stock value"
         | 
         | According to the article, the investors have the right but NOT
         | the obligation to sell their shares at the tender price. They
         | might trust the company's governance less after de-listing, but
         | it doesn't appear they're being forced to sell.
        
           | gundmc wrote:
           | What are the implications of owning shares in a company that
           | is no longer publicly traded?
           | 
           | Apologies if this is discussed in the article, it's partially
           | behind a paywall.
        
             | shoo wrote:
             | > partially behind a paywall.
             | 
             | if you search for the title from the desktop version of
             | Google it's possible to read the cached version
        
               | boogies wrote:
               | Or just stop allowing JavaScript.
        
             | pas wrote:
             | The same as with any other (private) company. You have to
             | deal with the majority shareholders and the
             | board/management.
             | 
             | It's not like you have any more control if the company
             | happens to be public anyway.
             | 
             | Also, big companies, private or not, in most countries have
             | to retain an accounting auditor.
             | 
             | Also, if you are a member of the company (as in you have
             | equity) the management has a fiduciary duty toward you.
             | (yes, yes, sure, in practice that means very little, they
             | can siphon off the money in many creative ways), but
             | usually people who are already minority owners have some
             | trust in the majority owners.
             | 
             | In some jurisdictions there are rules about what kind of
             | mechanisms are available for the minority shareholders, and
             | usually the get a board seat, and so they can kind of try
             | to audit the majority.
             | 
             | And in the end they can still sue, or threaten to sue, or
             | whatever. That usually doesn't help with the valuation, and
             | since the majority has more to lose, they can usually work
             | out some minimally satisfactory deal between themselves.
             | 
             | Aaaaand if not, we can finally get the popcorn, because
             | then usually it gets dirty and juicy.
        
               | paxys wrote:
               | Practically speaking the biggest difference is that it is
               | a lot harder to sell the shares to someone else.
        
             | gumby wrote:
             | You'll have no control, will probably find it difficult to
             | sell your shares at _any_ price, and while you're entitled
             | to any dividends, the controlling entities (Sam wer
             | brothers) can take cash out in different ways and never
             | declare a dividend.
        
             | elcomet wrote:
             | Maybe dividends?
        
             | tus88 wrote:
             | Just because something is private does not mean it cannot
             | be owned, in whole or in part.
        
               | function_seven wrote:
               | Ok, but what are the implications of that? If I own
               | 0.001% of a private company--having decided to opt out
               | during this process--am I at the mercy of that company in
               | the future to determine how much they're willing to buy
               | me out for?
               | 
               | How hard would it be to locate another 3rd party to buy
               | my share? There's no longer an exchange to trade it on,
               | and there might be all sorts of additional rules about
               | how and who I can sell to.
               | 
               | Those are the questions each investor is asking
               | themselves, and I assume that even with the large
               | discount they're being offered, it's probably the better
               | choice unless you hold a significant minority stake.
        
               | rbrtdrmpc- wrote:
               | I'm pretty sure you can't do much with those if you are
               | not a major shareholder or you gather under a third
               | company that acts on behalf of you and your (enough)
               | peers
        
       | newdude116 wrote:
       | Rocket Internet may be a dubious company.
       | 
       | But as a rule of thumb: A public listed VC does rarely well.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       ___________________________________________________________________
       (page generated 2020-09-24 23:00 UTC)