[HN Gopher] Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa ...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program
       requiring higher pay
        
       Author : grej
       Score  : 229 points
       Date   : 2020-10-06 21:13 UTC (1 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.wsj.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.wsj.com)
        
       | x87678r wrote:
       | > Under the changes, an applicant must have a college degree in
       | the specific field in which he or she is looking to work. A
       | software developer, for example, wouldn't be awarded an H-1B visa
       | if that person has a degree in electrical engineering.
       | 
       | As an EE, that is rough.
        
         | fizwhiz wrote:
         | Yikes. I would have been unemployed by that measure because I
         | work as a SWE without a CS degree.
        
           | ketzo wrote:
           | You and many others. My first mentor was a cognitive science
           | major, and she was the person every developer on the team
           | went to for help.
           | 
           | This is one of those policy decisions that I guess might
           | sound reasonable on the outside, but has absolutely no
           | bearing on reality.
        
         | throwaway49872 wrote:
         | This is deeply ironic given that an number of the best software
         | engineers I know have EE degrees.
        
       | Will_Do wrote:
       | > Under the new rule, the required wage level for entry-level
       | workers would rise to the 45th percentile of their profession's
       | distribution, from the current requirement of the 17th
       | percentile. The requirement for the highest-skilled workers would
       | rise to the 95th percentile, from the 67th percentile.
       | 
       | This is pretty abstract and probably the most important detail.
       | How much would a software engineer have to make to qualify? I'd
       | figure it'd have to be at ~200k if it's 95th percentile. A number
       | high enough and it truly would be for only highly skilled, hard
       | to find software talent, rather than just labor cost cutting.
       | Does anyone have concrete numbers?
        
       | jedberg wrote:
       | Credit where credit is due, this is a good move. The H1B program
       | has been abused for a long time. It sounds like these changes
       | should help make it too expensive for the fraudulent abuse to
       | continue.
        
         | Bukhmanizer wrote:
         | I hit the paywall, so I can't tell whether it's explained in
         | the article, but are they planning on fixing other H1B related
         | issues?
         | 
         | It's great if the program is abused less, but there are a ton
         | of other problems with the work visa programs in the US.
        
         | 908B64B197 wrote:
         | This is a great move. The current H1B program made no sense at
         | all.
         | 
         | If I wanted to hire: A smart graduate from EPFL, Polytechnique
         | or ETH Zurich who interned at CERN and has contributed to the
         | Linux kernel for a software engineering job at a unicorn
         | startup or
         | 
         | A grad from a second tier "technical college" in India with a
         | visa refusal rate of ~90% for a job doing manual UI testing and
         | QA for a body shop
         | 
         | my only path forward is H1. They'll both be listed as "computer
         | related occupations" and apply for the same visa in the same
         | quota. Does that makes any sense to anyone?
        
           | dmode wrote:
           | The changes has nothing to do with the problem you are trying
           | to address
        
             | tlear wrote:
             | In the new wage rules one will not be cost effective at
             | all. It changes everything
        
               | dmode wrote:
               | That's not true at all. The engineer from India will
               | simply be re-classified to L1 with a reduced wage
               | requirement. While the grad student will require a much
               | higher wage requirement. In the end it will actually turn
               | out worse for someone trying to hire the engineer from
               | Switzerland
        
           | ianmobbs wrote:
           | The changes described in the article do not change your
           | hypothetical whatsoever.
        
             | 908B64B197 wrote:
             | It does indirectly.
             | 
             | Hiring for the later will hopefully cease to be cost
             | effective. But the former should still be worth it.
        
               | ianmobbs wrote:
               | Why do you care whether or not it's cost effective to
               | hire a foreign UI tester? That has zero correlation with
               | whether or not its cost effective to hire someone with
               | experience at CERN. Your hypothetical lists 2 different
               | profiles that would be hired for vastly different jobs,
               | and it seems like you only care that one of them is
               | fucked over - is it just a strawman for racism? Can you
               | point to any actual examples of CERN interns being passed
               | over in favor of foreign UI testers?
        
         | api wrote:
         | Fair trade policy has consistently been the _one thing_ on
         | which I agree with the Trump presidency.
         | 
         | It hasn't been enough to outweigh all the other absolutely
         | horrible stuff, but it is one thing.
         | 
         | I am concerned that Biden will return us to the old days of
         | "free" trade that allows corporations to import totalitarianism
         | via near-slave or even actual slave (see Uyghur prisoners and
         | forced labor) wage arbitrage to crush domestic wages and
         | liquidate the middle class. This isn't even getting into the
         | export of environmental destruction ("out of sight out of
         | mind") or the export of American technological expertise to
         | unfriendly totalitarian states.
         | 
         | H1B programs can be shady this way too. It's not as shady as
         | actual slave labor or near-slave sweatshops, but there is
         | certainly a serious power imbalance when your employer can pay
         | you sub-standard wages and threaten to cause you to be deported
         | if you don't keep your head down.
        
           | ponker wrote:
           | If he had spent four years on trade instead of being a moron
           | on Twitter I might be voting for him this month.
        
           | jedberg wrote:
           | > I am concerned that Biden will return us to the old days of
           | "free" trade
           | 
           | Based on his latest rhetoric, he seems to have adopted
           | Sanders's views on trade, which is mostly protectionist.
        
           | perfectbeeing wrote:
           | This undecided voter would appreciate the gesture of you
           | sharing with me some examples of the "other absolutely
           | horrible stuff".
        
         | nrmitchi wrote:
         | I'll give you that, but it seems like a much simpler solution
         | would have just been improving the flexibility for an H1B
         | worker to be allowed to work at any employer for the term of
         | their status.
         | 
         | If an employer used an H1B in order to hire a foreign worker
         | and then under pay them, the worker would just get another job
         | that pays market rate, without the work status concern. Without
         | the artificial control over the employee, H1B fraud, in this
         | manner, wouldn't be worth it.
        
           | commandlinefan wrote:
           | > under pay them, the worker would just get another job that
           | pays market rate
           | 
           | Then the employer would go back to the H1B well, underpay
           | another worker for 6 months until the worker bailed, go back
           | to the well, lather, rinse, repeat.
        
             | nrmitchi wrote:
             | Applications for an H1B open up in April, IIRC are accepted
             | for a short period of time, and are not actually granted
             | until October.
             | 
             | That is 6 months, plus a couple thousand dollars minimum,
             | to try to get an H1B status for someone you want to hire.
             | 
             | If an employer is knowingly expecting the person they hire
             | to bail after 6 months, they won't go through the process.
        
             | systematical wrote:
             | Six months of development is barely useful for most
             | companies. It can take 3 months before a developer is
             | reasonably efficient. Learning the codebase, culture, and
             | business logic takes time in most cases.
        
           | jzymbaluk wrote:
           | This is right. The answer that's best for the economy is to
           | allow more immigration, not less (especially skilled
           | immigration). This move will just make it more dificult for
           | the average company to sponsor H1B workers
        
             | booleandilemma wrote:
             | Serious question: wouldn't that be leaving less jobs open
             | for Americans?
             | 
             | As an American myself, I want to see my fellow Americans
             | getting good jobs over people from other countries.
        
               | addicted wrote:
               | Those jobs will flee the US. What has happened over the
               | last few years is that many of those jobs have flown to
               | Canada. And that's just with talking about making things
               | slightly difficult, and not succeeding in actually
               | changing rules.
               | 
               | I don't understand how people can go through this
               | pandemic, where at least 50% of the people on this site
               | are of the view that we can all work from wherever we
               | want all time, and think that a company who is willing to
               | pay 90k to hire somebody in the US, will not be willing
               | to pay half that to hire that same person in Bangalore or
               | Kiev instead.
        
               | nrmitchi wrote:
               | I'm not an American, but I fully understand your point.
               | 
               | Let me provide some background. If you already know this,
               | my apologies.
               | 
               | The process of getting an H1B is not the employer picking
               | up the phone and ordering "1 H1B for delivery please".
               | 
               | It involves applying at the beginning of April, being
               | entered into a lottery, and you find out if you "won"
               | (and your application is looked at) around the end of
               | March. IIRC it is ~30% that your application is even
               | looked at.
               | 
               | At this point, you're out legal and processing fees (at
               | least a couple thousand), and likely more if USCIS wants
               | more evidence that the position qualifies, or that the
               | individual being sponsored is eligible. As a side note,
               | this is often why job descriptions have degree
               | requirements and such, even if they will hire people
               | without a degree. If a similar job at the same company
               | doesn't "need" a degree, it will be much more difficult
               | to get a work status for, even if the requirement bar is
               | actually quite high.
               | 
               | After this, assuming you actually get your status, you
               | don't "get" it until the beginning of October.
               | 
               | It's now cost your employer 6 months of lead time, a
               | legal process, thousands of dollars, and uncertainty
               | throughout to know if they even _could_ hire someone.
               | 
               | It is not _easy_ to get an H1B.
               | 
               | If you have 2 equally qualified people, who will make the
               | same amount of money (which is what market rates are, see
               | my initial suggestion above), then any reasonable
               | employer is going to go with the candidate that they can
               | hire the next week, rather than going through the H1B
               | process.
        
               | claudeganon wrote:
               | > then any reasonable employer is going to go with the
               | candidate that they can hire the next week, rather than
               | going through the H1B process.
               | 
               | Except in industries that have high turnover, like
               | technology and fashion. There, H1Bs are abused by
               | companies who don't want to compete for talent at market
               | rates and instead can lock in foreign workers. It makes
               | more sense to hire the foreign worker specifically
               | because they can prevent them from leaving. Illegal
               | threats and intimidation of H1B workers is more common
               | than you think.
        
               | nrmitchi wrote:
               | You're right. My initial comment that spawned this thread
               | addressed exactly this. I'm copying it here for
               | reference, because it is pretty high up the thread at
               | this point:
               | 
               | """
               | 
               | I'll give you that, but it seems like a much simpler
               | solution would have just been improving the flexibility
               | for an H1B worker to be allowed to work at any employer
               | for the term of their status.
               | 
               | If an employer used an H1B in order to hire a foreign
               | worker and then under pay them, the worker would just get
               | another job that pays market rate, without the work
               | status concern. Without the artificial control over the
               | employee, H1B fraud, in this manner, wouldn't be worth
               | it.
               | 
               | """
        
               | addicted wrote:
               | If that is the case isn't the simple solution to
               | eliminate the mechanisms that allow employers to threaten
               | the employees instead of increasing the burden on the
               | employee and therefore the power the employer has on
               | them?
               | 
               | Stop tying the H1B visa to an employer, and the entire
               | basis of fraud that you have outlined disappears.
        
             | 4763382973 wrote:
             | Low skill immigration hurts the poor. When economists talk
             | about it having a neutral impact they are referring to 4-5
             | year time scales which is different from having zero
             | consequences. Most poor people are not in a comfortable
             | enough position for it to be ethical to tell them "just
             | deal with it" without offering some kind of support.
        
             | dartdartdart wrote:
             | I agree, American is built on the hard work of immigrants.
             | We need to allow more immigrants, especially highly skilled
             | workers
        
             | mc32 wrote:
             | Why not make companies sponsor underprivileged kids who
             | need the opportunity just as much but don't get as much
             | consideration?
        
               | bufferoverflow wrote:
               | Start a company and see how much it costs to sponsor some
               | uneducated kid.
               | 
               | You have good intentions towards the kids, but some
               | communist intentions towards business owners. Let them
               | decide how to spend their money. It's their money.
        
               | acituan wrote:
               | Because a good chunk of immigrants _are_ underpriviliged
               | kids of the world, when you compare the GDP levels of
               | their home countries to the US.
               | 
               | That and US doesn't need to pay a dime for them
               | developing their skills while getting to skim the cream
               | of the crop.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | rbultje wrote:
               | Because educating underprivileged kids takes up to 20
               | years(school, college, potential post-grad studies),
               | whereas the H1B worker can start immediately. H1B workers
               | also typically have several years experience in the
               | specific position where they're being considered. You
               | need both.
        
               | mc32 wrote:
               | Some H1Bs are talented, many, many copy paste.
               | 
               | Yes it takes years to develop talent. It's not easy. But
               | these are the same companies who throw money to the wind
               | for the purpose of empty virtue signaling and making some
               | connected politicos happy. Why not devote that money to
               | real causes that actually provide hope for kids rather
               | than fill the pockets of people who know how to shake
               | corps down?
        
             | xt00 wrote:
             | An important dynamic very little talked about is the fact
             | that in the majority of industrialized countries within a
             | very short time populations will be decreasing. The battle
             | of the future will be who can bring in a continual stream
             | of people to keep the economy growing. So various countries
             | will likely be battling for highly skilled workers in the
             | future. So the challenge with more immigration is that you
             | have to have some robust level of job creation and growth
             | for the existing people in the country because otherwise
             | you will have a combination of a broken system (people come
             | to the country and get a job, but then their kids never get
             | jobs, or they lose their job and cant get another one), or
             | people will resent the people who are getting jobs, or
             | people will come to the country and then end up leaving. So
             | lots of bad outcomes if you don't actually set things up in
             | a good way. Countries like Germany have a really strong
             | system of vocational jobs, apprenticeships, career ladders,
             | etc so there is a sense that the local people have some
             | career trajectory, so somebody else having some level of
             | success after arriving in their country is not bothering
             | them. Of course that's not universally true, but definitely
             | people will be resentful in a particular area if tons of
             | new people show up and have tons of success while they
             | struggle to get off square one..
        
           | dkhenry wrote:
           | H1B employee's can work at any employer for the term of their
           | status. The employee only has to transfer the visa to the new
           | employer. I have done this for multiple employee's on H1B's
           | its nothing like getting a new H1B for someone on OPT or
           | getting a new H1B for an oversea's employee
        
           | jedberg wrote:
           | I agree 100% with you. My view is even more extreme, I think
           | we should allow anyone who passes a criminal background check
           | to be able to get a work visa, with no quotas.
           | 
           | But barring that pipe dream, this seems like a good interim
           | step.
        
             | marta_morena_29 wrote:
             | And that's why you are luckily not in charge ;).
        
             | ed25519FUUU wrote:
             | Wouldn't that cause a large displacement of the existing
             | labor force and significantly drive down wages?
        
               | AnIdiotOnTheNet wrote:
               | Maybe, but I find it hard to square the idea that someone
               | capable of and willing to do my job for less money
               | shouldn't have the opportunity to better their prospects
               | at the expense of mine.
        
               | mrkurt wrote:
               | This is the intuitive belief, but the research doesn't
               | really prove that: https://www.cato.org/cato-
               | journal/fall-2017/does-immigration...
               | 
               | There are studies showing a slight decrease in wages,
               | studies showing a slight increase in wages, and studies
               | showing nothing conclusive. There's basically not enough
               | scientific consensus to use for decision making, which
               | means it's more a moral choice than an economic one.
        
               | kbenson wrote:
               | It depends. Short term and long term there's a lot of
               | shuffling that would happen until it settled into an
               | equilibrium (Maybe. On the other hand maybe it would be
               | extremely sensitive to global issues). Those people all
               | need food and housing and need to buy goods and services,
               | so it's not like you're obsoleting an existing person's
               | job, you're adding demand as you add supply. Whether one
               | _eventually_ outweighs the other is dependent on many
               | factors.
               | 
               | That said, I would assume that short term increased
               | supply would lead to a tighter job market.
        
               | Retric wrote:
               | The problem beyond simple policy choices is
               | infrastructure takes time to build. If hypothetically
               | 100,000 people show up in NYC tomorrow there is some
               | slack that might accommodate them. But, how do you scale
               | the transportation network to handle even just 1 million
               | extra people in NYC? Now extend that to every other part
               | of the country.
               | 
               | Sure that seems unlikely, but when millions of people are
               | willing to become undocumented immigrants, it's likely a
               | more open policy would see dramatically larger influxes.
               | Especially in response to local events like civil wars.
               | Really, just raising the caps by say 10% every year gets
               | the same result without the chaos.
        
               | 6338363363 wrote:
               | The only real change you would need is to eliminate
               | birthright citizenship to avoid birth tourism. The rest
               | is a CoL problem which is mostly a blue state problem
               | because they like pretty policies over effective
               | policies. Housing's cheap to build, oil is cheap, and
               | farming is easy if you don't hate industry. The only
               | thing that would need help to prevent scarcity initially
               | is probably internet availability. After that just use
               | some of the increased tax revenue to provide support for
               | struggling citizens.
        
             | dheera wrote:
             | Personally I think there's a middle ground that's very
             | important, which is that I think anyone who received a
             | university degree in the US and passes the background check
             | should be able to get an unrestricted work visa.
             | 
             | The US should want to _keep_ the talent it selects and
             | trains. These are people who build the economy, generate
             | IP, and create jobs in the long run. Not only that, but
             | these people who have spent 4+ years in the US university
             | education system are extremely well-adapted to life in the
             | US and will thrive at making the US a better place.
             | 
             | (Yes there's OPT, but it's not long enough and doesn't
             | provide a path to permanent residency.)
        
               | HarryHirsch wrote:
               | _anyone who received a university degree in the US_
               | 
               | No. No. No. That would mean that anyone from the
               | University of Oxford would be out until he got himself a
               | masters degree from the Christian College of Lost Hope,
               | AR. There are far too many paid masters degrees around
               | already that serve exactly that purpose and that are good
               | for no one except the useless college.
        
             | 3pt14159 wrote:
             | There is a lot of political science research that speaks to
             | growing xenophobia when immigration is unleashed. I
             | understand the sentiment--I'm very pro-immigration--but
             | with respect to domestic policy my primary goal is
             | stability and faith in government.
             | 
             | Personally, I like how my country, Canada, does it. Points
             | based system that rewards multiple factors, including
             | skills, employability, and fluency in English and French. A
             | large, sensible limit and a separate target for refugees.
             | Some affordances for family reunification, but
             | fundamentally economically and societally stable.
        
             | runarberg wrote:
             | I actually think that anyone--regardless of criminal
             | background; as long as they've paid for their past crimes--
             | should be allowed to live and work wherever they want, no
             | quotas, no visas, no restrictions.
             | 
             | But barring that pipe dream, yours seems like an acceptable
             | interim step.
        
             | dudul wrote:
             | How would you avoid seeing 500M indians/Chinese landing in
             | America on the very next day?
             | 
             | I think there is a middle ground between the disaster that
             | are immigration laws today, and full open borders.
        
               | 14 wrote:
               | Well could it be dependent on employment and housing
               | availability? Are there 500m jobs that need filling? If
               | not then they would not be able to apply. If there was a
               | flood of people coming the housing market would see a
               | shortage so again these people would need somewhere to
               | stay before being granted a VISA. I don't think unlimited
               | necessarily mean without restrictions.
        
               | desert_boi wrote:
               | > housing availability
               | 
               | The real bottleneck in most American metros is more
               | people than not loath density and want a garage and a
               | yard. Without changing that, or finding a way to make it
               | work, it's hard for the States to absorb people.
        
               | jedberg wrote:
               | You would still have to have a job lined up to get a work
               | visa. So there would need to be 500M new jobs.
               | 
               | If our economy grew by 500M new jobs, that would be
               | unequivocally good. Those 500M people would be paying
               | taxes, buying goods and services, paying for housing,
               | etc.
        
               | throwqrm wrote:
               | [idea retracted; proposed a tax-based solution but maybe
               | too distracting]
        
               | 6338363363 wrote:
               | People have a choice of where they want to go for work.
               | If you tax them so hard that anywhere else is better then
               | you may as well have simply not bothered pretending like
               | you wanted it to be easier for them to come at all.
        
               | wu_tang_chris wrote:
               | So government slaves, basically?
        
               | throwqrm wrote:
               | That wasn't my intent but I think I might retract the
               | idea.
        
               | chii wrote:
               | I am against taxation without representation. If it
               | require "balancing out" (via taxation), then it wasn't a
               | workable system in the first place.
        
               | belltaco wrote:
               | I guess the idea would be that the employers are taxed,
               | not the employee. Also, H1Bs are already taxed all the
               | regular taxes even if they return to their country before
               | they could use Medicare or gather enough SS credits.
        
               | AlexTWithBeard wrote:
               | A side question: should representation without taxation
               | be allowed?
        
               | jedberg wrote:
               | We actually already tax immigrants more than citizens.
               | They pay the same taxes we do but don't qualify for all
               | the deductions, and pay into social security and medicare
               | even though they can't get those benefits.
        
           | TuringNYC wrote:
           | The best thing to do would be to treat them like local
           | workers -- increased pay AND increased flexibility. This will
           | help retain the best overseas workers in the US.
           | 
           | Even better would be a _salary auction_ where US companies
           | get to auction (higher and higher salaries for the best
           | overseas workers.) The highest auction rates would fill the
           | quota first. Overseas workers win bigtime. Companies seeking
           | talent also win. Local workers win as well. Companies trying
           | to underpay lose.
        
             | nrmitchi wrote:
             | The problem with this is that H1Bs are not just for
             | software engineering jobs. Other professions that qualify
             | are things like accountants, or health care workers.
             | 
             | If it was a straight up "who pays the most", then the
             | software industry (mostly FAANG) would end up with 80k H1Bs
             | per year, and other industries would still not be able to
             | hire for jobs they can't fill locally.
        
               | TuringNYC wrote:
               | The H1B system is supposed to be for shortages. In a real
               | economic shortage, prices are supposed to go up. If
               | salaries are not going up, it is not a real shortage.
               | 
               | I think there is a shortage, so I'm proposing increasing
               | salaries. Accounting firms are not competing with tech
               | firms necessarily, they are competing with the market for
               | accountants (lots of accountants go into other fields
               | because they cant find work at a suitable rate.) Their
               | business model should not be to underpay workers, it
               | should be to pay workers high enough to attract them and
               | charge customers appropriately.
        
               | nrmitchi wrote:
               | > Accounting firms are not competing with tech firms
               | necessarily, they are competing with the market for
               | accountants
               | 
               | Yes, I'm not disagreeing with this. However if you put
               | ALL H1Bs in a single pool, and they go to the highest
               | bidder across all industries, then yes, accounting firms
               | are competing with tech firms.
        
               | gwd wrote:
               | > accounting firms are competing with tech firms.
               | 
               | I think GP's point is that that's the way it's supposed
               | to be. The shortage of accountants could be due to some
               | combination of:
               | 
               | 1. There are not enough people with the physical / mental
               | / psychological capability to be accountants in the US
               | 
               | 2. People with the physical / mental / psychological
               | capability to be accountants are choosing other jobs;
               | perhaps because they pay better, or are more fun, or have
               | better work/life balance, or whatever.
               | 
               | #1 is a reason to steal^W import capable people from
               | other countries; but I doubt very much that's the source
               | of accounting's problems. It's almost certainly #2. In
               | which case, if accounting firms want more accountants,
               | they should make the job more attractive: pay more, have
               | better hours, etc.
        
               | chii wrote:
               | but it does not need to be single pool for auctions to
               | work - each category of work could have their own
               | individual auction.
        
               | jojobas wrote:
               | There's no such thing as "can't fill locally", there's
               | "can't fill locally right now".
               | 
               | The sacrifice to the "right now" bit is immense, it
               | destroys incentive to learn pretty much anything.
        
               | nrmitchi wrote:
               | When you're trying to hire someone, "right now" is
               | important. If I want to hire a nurse, and there are no
               | nurses available, I can't afford to wait 4 years for
               | someone to train as a nurse to be available for me to
               | hire.
               | 
               | If I just keep offering to pay more, then yes, I will
               | eventually be able to hire a nurse that was previously
               | employed somewhere else, but now _that_ person needs to
               | hire a nurse. No matter how many times you go around this
               | circle, there are not enough nurses for everyone to hire.
               | 
               | That is a shortage. A shortage doesn't typically come
               | with the asterisk of "but if I wait long enough then
               | maybe there won't be".
        
               | jojobas wrote:
               | While that is true, ignoring the fact that H1B destroys
               | the feedback between shortage and supply is just as bad.
               | 
               | Possible solutions are:
               | 
               | -Require the hirer to contribute to scholarship funding
               | in the area of work
               | 
               | - Limit H1B to 75th percentile in salary terms.
        
               | nrmitchi wrote:
               | > - Limit H1B to 75th percentile in salary terms.
               | 
               | Do you mean, cap the amount of money a company is allowed
               | to pay someone on an H1B? The entire change of rules here
               | is because companies were _not_ paying market rate.
               | Requiring them to not pay market rate defeats the purpose
               | here entirely.
               | 
               | If you mean require that companies pay _at least_ the
               | 75th percentile, then yes, I believe that is what the
               | action that this entire thread is about is going.
               | 
               | I would also disagree that H1B destroys the feedback loop
               | of jobs being needed. I don't believe the number of H1Bs
               | issued is any where near large enough to disrupt an
               | entire industry.
        
               | edoceo wrote:
               | Seems like you assume a finite number of nurses. If the
               | pay keeps going up, then new candidate will appear, not
               | immediately but, pretty soon. Market forces and all that.
        
               | nrmitchi wrote:
               | > I can't afford to wait 4 years for someone to train as
               | a nurse to be available for me to hire
               | 
               | From my comment. Nurses require training. I did not
               | assume a finite number of nurses. If I am sick and need a
               | nurse, I need one _right now_. There not being enough of
               | them is a shortage. It may not be a shortage in the
               | future, but right now, it is.
        
               | Lammy wrote:
               | What profession doesn't require training or experience to
               | do well? I wouldn't hire someone who had never built a
               | house before even if I wanted one built _right now_.
        
               | nrmitchi wrote:
               | You're right, you would look outside of your country's
               | talent pool to try to find someone qualified to do it for
               | you.
               | 
               | Or are you suggesting that you would wait around and be
               | homeless for 4 years until someone local built up enough
               | training and experience in order to build your house? If
               | you're going to suggest that you would wait and "live
               | somewhere else", I would point out that people who are
               | trying to hire, for example, nurses, often don't have
               | that luxury. If they wait 4 years, they'll be dead.
               | 
               | No one is suggesting that high skill work status are used
               | for people with no training or experience; they
               | explicitly require training and/or experience in order to
               | qualify. If think you're proving my point; if you need to
               | hire someone right now, and there is no one available
               | locally to do it right now, then there is a shortage, and
               | you need to look outside of your local market.
        
             | addicted wrote:
             | So you have an auction, and you're capping the number of
             | people.
             | 
             | A hybrid monster that takes the worst of both a private
             | market (heavily benefiting the richest incumbents) and
             | government regulations (broad and non targeted rules).
        
           | jsnk wrote:
           | This will elevate the income of low paying H1B workers, but
           | also decrease the income of average paid American workers. If
           | the market has an abundance of low paying workers, the market
           | overall will pay workers lower.
        
         | reissbaker wrote:
         | The higher pay seems like an overall positive change to reduce
         | the prevalence of "body shops" and so that H1-Bs aren't an easy
         | way for companies to lower overall pay rate. I'm not sure that
         | narrowing degree qualifications is a win; high-skill
         | immigration is a significant boon to America's economy, and I
         | think ability to do the work, and American company willingness
         | to pay above-rate salaries (legally mandated now to 95th
         | percentile for the highest-skill work) ought to be enough
         | signal, and having a particular degree is not as useful a
         | measure at that point. I know plenty of people who are
         | incredibly qualified in terms of industry experience who don't
         | have advanced degrees.
         | 
         | I've been pretty impressed with Taiwan's Gold Card work visa
         | program, where you either need certain educational achievement
         | qualifications, or need to be a highly-paid employee in
         | specific fields -- but not both. And it's not tied to a
         | specific employer, which I think helps negotiation (and thus
         | also helps domestic workers, by raising labor prices). I wish
         | America's immigration program worked more like that -- specific
         | quibbles about what exactly the rate should be aside; Taiwan's
         | is certainly too low to use for the US -- since I think
         | encouraging high-skill immigration would help much more than it
         | would hurt: high-skill immigrants tend to generate more jobs,
         | and also tend to pay more in taxes than the services they
         | receive, meaning it's a win-win where immigrants can get the
         | jobs they want in the country they want to be in and Americans
         | end up with more jobs available and more government services
         | per (American) tax dollar spent.
        
         | dmode wrote:
         | This is not. As with anything in the Trump admin, this is not
         | well thought out and just focused on election based xenophobic
         | messaging. The people who can game the system, can easily do
         | that. However, many people who really benefit from H1B will be
         | shafted. For example, doctors and nurses in rural areas. H1
         | also is a path for many engineers, doctors, and phds to enter
         | the workforce. With blanket higher salary requirements, it will
         | just deny a path to the job market for many international
         | students graduating from Ivy league universities. Also, this
         | benefits FAANGs, and if you are a startup looking to hire
         | someone on H1B, forget about it.
        
         | cactus2093 wrote:
         | Genuine question, what type of fraudulent abuse are you
         | referring to? I see this vaguely mentioned a lot without much
         | to back it up, but I'm open to the idea that it happens.
         | 
         | From my own anecdotal experience, I'll admit I have found the
         | rules to be a little ridiculous. Company needs to post a sign
         | in the office advertising the role to any Americans, wait a
         | certain amount of time, and only then can offer it to an H1-B
         | candidate. Of course nobody was following the spirit of those
         | rules, but I wouldn't call that fraudulent abuse. These were
         | companies that needed hires and had a genuinely hard time
         | finding people that would pass our interviews and then accept
         | our offers. We really didn't discriminate at all in the hiring
         | panels between American and H1-B candidates (I think we were
         | probably supposed to discriminate more than we did, and
         | supposed to explicitly prefer Americans?), and it had nothing
         | to do with saving money on salaries.
         | 
         | I recognize that the Bay Area tech boom is very unusual in how
         | competitive it is (was?), but H1-Bs are technical visas and
         | it's often tech companies that get the blame for abusing the
         | system.
        
           | pwinnski wrote:
           | The abuse I've seen most often is that companies hire H1B
           | workers and then contract them out to other companies, and
           | the H1B worker can't change employers, and gets to watch most
           | of what their time is billed for go to the original
           | contracting company which often misleads the people about
           | what they'll find when they arrive.
           | 
           | The worker ends up with very few choices, and the companies
           | at which the workers are working are likely overpaying for
           | what they're getting. The only one _truly_ happy is the
           | "placement" company that holds the workers' contracts.
        
         | matz1 wrote:
         | I don't think this is a good move, it will encourage remote
         | work/outsource more.
        
           | koluna wrote:
           | Which... can already be done today?
        
             | matz1 wrote:
             | yes but this will further encourage it.
        
               | koluna wrote:
               | If someone is keen on cost-cutting through outsourcing,
               | they already don't have an incentive to bring someone in
               | and pay benefits. This is a false narrative.
        
               | matz1 wrote:
               | it possible that someone keen on cost-cutting through
               | outsourcing but didn't do it because it still affordable
               | enough to bring someone in but now with the higher cost
               | to bring someone in, they will chose to outsource
               | instead.
        
           | pdxandi wrote:
           | I share your concern. It feels like this will make it harder
           | for immigrants to find work and incentive outsourcing.
        
         | notJim wrote:
         | > The H1B program has been abused for a long time
         | 
         | What's the abuse?
        
           | IvyMike wrote:
           | There's lots of articles if you google for "h1b visa abuse",
           | but this will get you started:
           | https://www.infoworld.com/article/3004501/proof-
           | that-h-1b-vi...
        
           | SpicyLemonZest wrote:
           | A majority of H1B visas are currently issued to relatively
           | low paying consulting firms, who are then hired by big
           | enterprises in place of their more expensive technical
           | employees. This isn't supposed to be legal - you're not
           | allowed to hire H1B employees if an equally qualified
           | American could have filled their role - but due to the
           | specifics of how the program is administered you can often
           | pull it off with that kind of arms-length deal.
        
           | JohnBooty wrote:
           | You're bound to the employer that sponsors your visa. Lose
           | your job? You're effectively deported.
           | 
           | Your employer has... well, a power imbalance over you, to put
           | it nicely.
           | 
           | I'm not sure how the proposed changes will play out for
           | American workers. Theoretically, treating H1B workers better
           | could benefit American workers: there is less incentive to
           | callously replace them with underpaid H1B workers. On the
           | other hand, American workers will face increased competition,
           | it seems to me.
        
             | menage wrote:
             | If you can find another employer to take over the
             | sponsorship, you can transfer (without having to deal with
             | the visa quota gantlet).
        
             | Lammy wrote:
             | > Your employer has... well, a power imbalance over you, to
             | put it nicely.
             | 
             | I can't help but think of this any time I see an HN comment
             | about some questionable surveillance-ad-tech, usually
             | saying that engineers should just refuse to build that
             | stuff.
        
           | mikeyouse wrote:
           | "Body shops" like Infosys and Tata Consulting that import
           | thousands of H1Bs under borderline fraudulent applications,
           | and then underpay these employees.
           | 
           | Just a random link, but the contours of the problem:
           | 
           | https://www.epi.org/blog/new-data-infosys-tata-
           | abuse-h-1b-pr...
        
         | jopsen wrote:
         | Will an executive order (which I assume this is) actually make
         | any difference?
         | 
         | Doesn't it take an act of congress to make any serious headway
         | here?
         | 
         | Personally, I was an H1B a 4.5 years before Trump convinced it
         | was time to leave. I was in the bay area and handsomely
         | overpaid. I have no personal experience of it being abused, but
         | I'm obviously privileged, having worked at reputable tech
         | companies and coming from reasonable wealthy european country.
         | (I was never as scared of loosing job or healthcare as my
         | American co-workers, because I would just move home, and have
         | access to healthcare if I lost my job)
         | 
         | But I will say, that the lottery aspect of the H1B adds a lot
         | of uncertainty that might discourage me from living in SF
         | again. So lifting the caps and/or stemming abuse might be a
         | good idea.
        
           | jedberg wrote:
           | This is a rule in the Federal Register. So it's basically
           | like law. It's essentially how the executive is interpreting
           | the laws that congress has passed.
           | 
           | There is a rule that says a new President can automatically
           | overturn all rules made in the last 90 days of the previous
           | administration, but we're before that deadline, so this is
           | pretty much a done deal.
           | 
           | If the next admin wanted to change this, they have to go
           | through the long and arduous rule making process again.
        
       | arcticbull wrote:
       | It's pretty amazing to me how anti-immigrant America is, for a
       | country built on immigration, but I suppose it's always been that
       | way. Benjamin Franklin hated the Germans in the 1750s [1].
       | 
       | For perspective, Canada, a country 1/10th the size of the US,
       | brings in 30,000 refugees each year. The US brings in 18,000.
       | This means Canada brings in 25X the number of refugees per capita
       | than the US does.
       | 
       | Canada, a country 1/10th the size of the US, brings in 300,000
       | new immigrants each year. The US brings in 366,000. This means
       | Canada brings in ~10X the number of new immigrants per capita
       | than the US does. [2]
       | 
       | [edit] This rate has been consistent since 1992.
       | 
       | [edit] I originally stated the US brings in 140,000 immigrants
       | per year, this was a mistake, my cursory search led me to the cap
       | on employment based green cards, not total. By Immigrants I
       | include green cards per year, as everyone else is by definition a
       | non-immigrant. It is my understanding the Canadian number is the
       | same category.
       | 
       | Blanket requiring additional pay for H-1Bs seems fine, but leaves
       | startups in a difficult spot where they're unable to bring in the
       | same level of foreign talent that bigger companies are, as, of
       | course these rules do not take into account equity based
       | compensation. As it stands, 4 out of 5 H-1B holders make more
       | than average Americans.
       | 
       | The process of bringing in H-1Bs is already so expensive, arduous
       | and wasteful that companies aren't going to be bringing in huge
       | quantities of "US replacement" labor. I certainly wouldn't if I
       | were in charge of hiring.
       | 
       | [1] https://qz.com/904933/a-history-of-american-anti-
       | immigrant-b...
       | 
       | [2] https://www.boundless.com/immigration-resources/how-to-
       | read-...
        
         | smhost wrote:
         | For most of America's history, immigration meant indigenous
         | genocide and the slave trade. Maybe there was some small window
         | when immigration was a net positive, but that window has been
         | closing for while now.
        
           | newfriend wrote:
           | Super woke! Wait til you hear about the history of literally
           | every country on Earth.
        
             | smhost wrote:
             | "every other country is just as bad, therefore this bad
             | thing is good, actually"
        
               | newfriend wrote:
               | "Every country has a troubled history, but I will only
               | call out the USA for some reason"
        
               | smhost wrote:
               | because this post is about american immigration. i'm
               | specifically challenging a comment that implies that
               | immigration has been good for america.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | dahdum wrote:
         | > Canada, a country 1/10th the size of the US, brings in
         | 300,000 new immigrants each year. The US brings in 140,000.
         | This means Canada brings in 20X the number of new immigrants
         | per capita than the US does.
         | 
         | The US had 1.8 million new immigrants (legal and otherwise) in
         | 2016 and ~13% of the population is foreign born. Canada exceeds
         | that (~21%) but nothing like the 20X rate you're claiming.
        
           | arcticbull wrote:
           | Immigrants are defined in US law as green card holders.
        
             | dahdum wrote:
             | ~1.2 million green cards were issued in 2016, with the rest
             | of the 1.8 million immigrants being undocumented. I'm not
             | sure what data you're looking at?
        
               | arcticbull wrote:
               | The INA allocates 140,000 visas annually for all five
               | employment-based LPR categories. 226,000 are available
               | for family based migration. [3, 4]
               | 
               | I was likely neglecting the Immediate Relatives of US
               | Citizens? Is that un-capped?
               | 
               | [1] https://www.stilt.com/blog/2020/03/visa-bulletin/
               | 
               | [2] https://www.cato.org/publications/policy-
               | analysis/immigratio...
               | 
               | [3] https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R45447
               | 
               | [4] https://www.congress.gov/116/crec/2020/05/12/modified
               | /CREC-2...
               | 
               | And also, 2017 Yearbook of Immigration Statistics, Table
               | 6, "Persons Obtaining Lawful Permanent Resident Status by
               | Type and Major Class of Admission," Department of
               | Homeland Security.
        
               | dahdum wrote:
               | There's the problem, you're comparing the overall
               | immigration numbers for Canada to just the capped
               | employment portion for the US. In addition, Canada isn't
               | as accepting of illegal immigration (estimates of 35-120k
               | in total there now), while the US adds 600k+ yearly.
               | 
               | > Immediate family of U.S. citizens. U.S. citizens can
               | sponsor their spouses, unmarried children under age 21,
               | and parents for a green card. This category does not have
               | annual numerical limits.
               | 
               | > Family-sponsored preference visas. There are 226,000
               | green cards reserved each year for other categories of
               | relatives. U.S. citizens can sponsor adult children and
               | siblings, while green-card holders can sponsor their
               | spouses and unmarried minor or adult children.
               | 
               | > The Employment Route. There are 140,000 green cards
               | available each year for immigrants in five employment-
               | based categories (formally known as "preferences").
               | 
               | https://www.migrationpolicy.org/content/explainer-how-us-
               | leg...
        
               | arcticbull wrote:
               | The Canadian numbers are number of new permanent
               | residents, excluding migrant workers, which would be H-1B
               | types in the US.
               | 
               | The US number is also the number of new permanent
               | residents, however if my mistake was in fact that I
               | excluded immediate family of citizens, then the number is
               | 5X, not 10X. However, still, dramatic. I'll have to dig
               | in more to make sure that's what I did.
        
         | x87678r wrote:
         | How many of those Canadian immigrants move to the US as soon as
         | they can? I've seen a bunch.
        
         | frequentnapper wrote:
         | As a canadian immigrant, I'm actually against the ramping up of
         | so much immigration because we do not have the infrastructure
         | to support it. I liked the slow and steady pace of quality over
         | quantity before liberals came into power.
        
           | kazinator wrote:
           | When, maybe over a year after the incident, it somehow came
           | to light that it was a Syrian refugee who murdered a 13-year-
           | old girl in Burnaby, BC's Central Park, the media swept the
           | whole thing was swept under the rug almost like it never
           | happened.
        
           | arcticbull wrote:
           | It wasn't much lower in the past -- the number's been
           | hovering around the high 2xx,000 to low 3xx,000 per year
           | since 1992, and immigration per year as a percentage of the
           | population has remained around 1% that entire time, according
           | to IRCC and statcan. [1]
           | 
           | The real issue is that Canada's birth rate is 1.4 children
           | per woman on average. This means within a generation the
           | population would be reduced to 2/3. With a points-based
           | immigration program, the country is able to be selective
           | about who it brings in.
           | 
           | I find blanket statements like "the infrastructure can't
           | support it" pretty weak sauce without citations, especially
           | as more folks in the country means more economic
           | productivity, which means more taxes, which means more money
           | to throw at, you guessed it, infrastructure.
           | 
           | [1] https://www.cicnews.com/wp-
           | content/uploads/2020/03/Levels-Pl...
        
             | frequentnapper wrote:
             | Right, in the long term it would be beneficial, but the
             | infrastructure takes time to build up. Most immigrants
             | understandably crowd in either Vancouver, Toronto or a
             | couple of other big cities because that's where the
             | opportunities are. Not sure where you live, but the food
             | and rent have gone up dramatically in these cities. Forget
             | about being able to afford buying a house or an apartment
             | even if you've been responsibly saving up. The commute
             | before covid was killer. I don't understand this off-hand
             | dismissal of concerns because I don't have citations.
        
             | cmdshiftf4 wrote:
             | >The real issue is that Canada's birth rate is 1.4 children
             | per woman on average. This means within a generation the
             | population would be reduced to 2/3. With a points-based
             | immigration program, the country is able to be selective
             | about who it brings in.
             | 
             | And instead of supporting the native Canadian population in
             | having more children themselves, Canada, like most of the
             | modern West, simply opted to replace them over time via
             | migration.
        
               | arcticbull wrote:
               | > And instead of supporting the native Canadian
               | population in having more children themselves, Canada,
               | like most of the modern West, simply opted to replace
               | them over time via migration.
               | 
               | This doesn't make sense. The country already incentivizes
               | child birth, and provides socialized medicine. You can't
               | _make_ people have children.
               | 
               | The reality is that as a country becomes more developed,
               | it's birth rate plunges. There's a strong negative
               | correlation between income, development and birth rate.
               | [1] This is not an east-vs-west thing, it applies the
               | world over.
               | 
               | In developed countries, women do not want to have more
               | children, and you can't make them. So, you allow
               | immigration
               | 
               | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Income_and_fertility
        
           | koluna wrote:
           | If you are going to call out "infrastructure to support it",
           | care to elaborate and maybe throw in some numbers?
        
             | core-questions wrote:
             | It's about _carrying capacity_, not "infrastructure". We
             | can only absorb people at some maximum rate and still have
             | a chance of bringing them on board with hard-fought
             | Canadian cultural values, getting them up to speed with our
             | official languages, and integrating them into local
             | communities. Past that rate, the tendency is for newcomers
             | to seek out people who are from their home country and
             | speak their language. This creates insular bubbles of
             | culture and damages any effort to actually create a
             | cohesive whole.
             | 
             | Multiculturalism in Canada is different than in America.
             | Here, there's something bigger for us to assimilate to that
             | actually still holds value as a construct; a greater
             | Canadian archetype that has done extremely well as a common
             | point for newcomers to converge on for the past few
             | decades. However, it would be easy to exceed the rate at
             | which this is workable, and end up with a fractured country
             | where people retain their entire original identity and
             | never "become Canadian". This is a legitimate concern for
             | people that love the country created by people who are
             | Canadian through and through and want to see some of our
             | lesser-known values (such as anticorruption, engineering
             | quality, sustainability, etc) continue to propagate.
        
               | koluna wrote:
               | OK, so where exactly has this NOT worked? Where is this
               | huge number of people that just aren't adjusted to the
               | "Canadian lifestyle"?
        
               | frequentnapper wrote:
               | Thank you for explaining it so well. Like I said I am not
               | against immigration as I myself am one. I would just like
               | our government to be mindful about the challenges it
               | poses as well and adjust the rate based on how much we
               | are able to take in at any given point without stressing
               | out the system and making life worse for people already
               | here.
        
           | malandrew wrote:
           | There's a lot to be said for a slow steady pace. Society's
           | relationship with politics tends to be oscillatory. If you
           | push too hard in one direction (liberal or conservative),
           | things swing back the other way and you end up with two steps
           | forward, one step back and a loss of power for your team.
           | 
           | A more productive approach would be to set the cruise control
           | just left of center and not get greedy. If you do that and
           | simultaneously monitor and manage externalities of policies
           | you see as progress, you'll probably see more mileage.
           | 
           | The complete lack of concern for externalities of policies
           | and disregard for second and third order effects is why I've
           | largely abandoned supporting most democrat positions. It's
           | gotten so destructive that I'd rather stick with the devil I
           | know than the devil I don't. And I would rather avoid
           | oscillating between which devil has power since it's at the
           | point in the reversal of political direction that the worst
           | authoritarian abuses from either side happen.
        
           | SECProto wrote:
           | Immigration to Canada has stayed very consistent over the
           | last 20 years, check the wiki article [1] for details. It's
           | not political (well, the rhetoric is political. The actual
           | policies and statistics are not.)
           | 
           | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Immigration_to_Canada
        
           | BitwiseFool wrote:
           | It's a shame you're getting downvoted so heavily for such a
           | reasonable position to take.
        
             | cmdshiftf4 wrote:
             | If you're expecting HN, in all its "rational glory", to be
             | anything but extremely pro-migration to the West when most
             | of the users' are likely either 1st or 2nd generation
             | migrants to the West themselves, then you're very naive.
        
               | BitwiseFool wrote:
               | You can still be pro-migration while disagreeing with the
               | pace of it - despite what the downvotes imply.
        
         | victor106 wrote:
         | I am all for immigration, but not at the expense of suppressing
         | wages for anyone. That money that was suppressed (indirectly)
         | goes to the pockets of the C suite and contributes to income
         | equality. What is wrong in addressing one of the reasons
         | contributing to income equality?
         | 
         | > Canada, a country 1/10th the size of the US, brings in
         | 300,000 new immigrants each year. The US brings in 366,000.
         | This means Canada brings in ~10X the number of new immigrants
         | per capita than the US does.
         | 
         | I love Canada, would move there in a heartbeat, but the he IT
         | salaries in Canada are pitiful compared to the US. Maybe one of
         | the reasons?
        
           | arcticbull wrote:
           | Canada has much lower income inequality than the US, so it
           | seems like the increased immigration rates are not the
           | reason.
        
         | vmception wrote:
         | The H1Bs rules were outdated.
         | 
         | Startups in the 1980s had the same challenge because the H1B
         | minimum salary was a really good salary then, average salaries
         | just rose, lets do that part again.
        
         | berryjerry wrote:
         | The thing to remember about US immigration is that most
         | immigrants simply over stay their visa. The US may bring less
         | immigrants over but there is a reason you can press 2 for
         | Spanish on nearly every single companies help line.
        
           | arcticbull wrote:
           | > The thing to remember about US immigration is that most
           | immigrants simply over stay their visa.
           | 
           | That is patently false.
        
           | nrmitchi wrote:
           | > there is a reason you can press 2 for Spanish on nearly
           | every single companies help line
           | 
           | 1. If you're trying to imply that the majority of people who
           | speak spanish in the US are illegal immigrants from Mexico, I
           | suspect that you're highly wrong on that.
           | 
           | 2. I'm sure there are many people on tourist visa's who over
           | stay. I'm sure there are many less people who came over on
           | H1B's who overstay. H1B has a path forward (no matter how bad
           | that path is), which allows you to still work at your career.
           | You can't group every type of visa together to make broad
           | claims like that.
        
           | dang wrote:
           | Please don't take HN threads further into flamewar.
           | Especially not on classic flamewar topics like immigration,
           | nationality, and race.
           | 
           | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
        
         | core-questions wrote:
         | > This means Canada brings in 25X the number of refugees per
         | capita than the US does.
         | 
         | > This means Canada brings in 20X the number of new immigrants
         | per capita than the US does.
         | 
         | You assert this as though it's just automatically a good thing
         | with no actual analysis as to the impact on Canadians. What
         | happens to the cultural cohesion, wages, and living standards
         | of Canadians when immigration is at such a rapid pace? Is this
         | not a factor? Or is the sheer availability of cheap,
         | undercutting labour just a natural capitalist good that we
         | should accept regardless of the hard to measure, intangible
         | impacts?
        
           | zo1 wrote:
           | It's just one of those things that's assumed as good and not
           | to be questioned, not even with reasonable and genuine
           | discourse.
        
           | koluna wrote:
           | Canada is selective about immigrants (they have a points
           | system), so all the things you call out are accounted for in
           | their model - they bring in those their country needs. And
           | from what I see from down south, they benefit a lot from it.
        
             | drpgq wrote:
             | With housing prices in Canada now it's terrible to be
             | young. As a landlord it is working great for me when I can
             | get $2000 a month for an apartment in Hamilton.
        
               | koluna wrote:
               | How is that related to immigration?
        
           | arcticbull wrote:
           | The rate has been consistent since at least 1992.
           | 
           | The wealth and income inequality in Canada is much lower than
           | in the US.
           | 
           | The standard of living in Canada is just as high as the US.
           | Canada's Human Development Index is .922, 13th globally. The
           | US HDI is .920, so a hair lower. 45% of the Canadian
           | population lives in 6 of the 35 most livable cities in the
           | world.
           | 
           | "Social cohesion" doesn't come up, it's not an issue.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | mastazi wrote:
         | FWIW I am an immigrant myself (in Australia) and I am in favour
         | of strict regulation. Skilled migration schemes should bring in
         | skilled people, I've seen many people migrating on a skilled
         | visa only to end up making a living as taxi drivers.
        
           | kazinator wrote:
           | Some people ending up as taxi drivers actually have skills;
           | their skilled visa isn't based on lies. They are just not
           | able to continue in their field in the new country for
           | whatever reason. Their accreditation is not recognized, or
           | they don't interview well or whatever. Meanwhile, there are
           | bills to pay.
        
         | jwagenet wrote:
         | > of course these rules do not take into account equity based
         | compensation
         | 
         | I would not consider startup equity equitable to salary
         | compensation.
        
         | mardifoufs wrote:
         | First of all, I'm pretty sure the US accepts way, way more
         | immigrants than that. Also, how is it anti immigration to ask
         | employers to pay H1Bs a competitive wage? Yes the process is
         | expensive, but so what? If you really needed H1Bs, you'd be
         | willing to foot the bill. The program shouldn't be used to get
         | access to cheap labor & it shouldn't be used to save money.
        
         | 908B64B197 wrote:
         | The immigration quotas in Canada are simply out of control.
         | 
         | Almost every week on this forum I see Canadians whining about
         | low wages in Software.... in a market that's more or less
         | flooded with cheap labor!
        
           | arcticbull wrote:
           | Immigration quotas have remained constant at about 1% of the
           | population per year since 1992.
           | 
           | Low wages in software compared to the US for sure, but that's
           | in part because Canada has very low income and wealth
           | inequality compared to the US. Most people make a living
           | wage, and there's not a huge spread.
           | 
           | The US ranks near the bottom of the world in income
           | inequality [1]. Canada's GINI coefficient was 33.8 in 2018 vs
           | the US of 43.4. This puts America at 51st in the world (lower
           | being worse) vs Canada's 107th.
           | 
           | [1] https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2011/09
           | /ma...
        
             | jsnk wrote:
             | The issues of income inequality, most people making a
             | living wage are non-sequiturs to the argument that says if
             | you have an ample supply of cheap labour, the wage goes
             | down.
        
           | koluna wrote:
           | Mind sharing some numbers? This is a patently false
           | statement. Wages in Canada might be lower, but that is
           | because they get a number of other social benefits, such as
           | healthcare, that gets paid through taxes taken from said
           | wages.
        
             | gruez wrote:
             | >Wages in Canada might be lower, but that is because they
             | get a number of other social benefits, such as healthcare,
             | that gets paid through taxes taken from said wages.
             | 
             | Not really. They (and most other developed countries)
             | simply pay less of their GDP towards healthcare.
        
               | koluna wrote:
               | That is... the opposite of what Canada does? Healthcare
               | there is not uber-funded, but also not necessarily
               | strapped for cash.
        
               | gruez wrote:
               | I'm not implying that Canada (or other developed
               | countries) are cheaping out on healthcare. I'm only
               | pointing out that your initial claim (that the
               | differences in pay can be accounted for because of the
               | various taxes paid) isn't true, or at least isn't telling
               | the whole story.
        
             | mardifoufs wrote:
             | But gross wages are also lower here. If anything almost
             | everyone I've came across here in Canada talks about their
             | salary using the gross amount. So not only are wages
             | employers advertise pretty low already, they are usually
             | pretax too.
             | 
             | Unless there's something more that is taken from wages that
             | isn't shown on paychecks. Which would be weird considering
             | that paycheck stubs usually have a full breakdown of where
             | your money went and how much taxes were taken.
        
               | koluna wrote:
               | Everyone I talk to in the States also talks about their
               | salaries in gross amounts, not post-tax (same applies for
               | business advertising jobs).
               | 
               | Canada in general has much lower income inequality, which
               | is an a-OK trade off for slightly lower wages, as long as
               | basic needs are covered.
        
         | SpicyLemonZest wrote:
         | Do you have a reference? The numbers I'm familiar with have the
         | US adding over a million new permanent residents each year (htt
         | ps://www.dhs.gov/sites/default/files/publications/immigra...).
         | (Good numbers for "immigration" are hard to find because
         | programs such as H1B aren't legally considered immigration.)
        
         | xyzzy_plugh wrote:
         | > Blanket requiring additional pay for H-1Bs seems fine, but
         | leaves startups in a difficult spot where they're unable to
         | bring in the same level of foreign talent that bigger companies
         | are, as, of course these rules do not take into account equity
         | based compensation.
         | 
         | That's fine by me. For the vast majority of startups, the
         | equity compensation should be considered worthless anyways.
         | 
         | > As it stands, 4 out of 5 H-1B holders make more than average
         | Americans.
         | 
         | The average American doesn't work in a job for which an H-1B
         | would even be permitted, so I'm not sure what this point means?
         | I'd expect everyone in an H-1B position to be making more than
         | the _average_ American.
         | 
         | > The process of bringing in H-1Bs is already so expensive,
         | arduous and wasteful that companies aren't going to be bringing
         | in huge quantities of "US replacement" labor. I certainly
         | wouldn't if I were in charge of hiring.
         | 
         | It's expensive, yes, but it's still a very small amount
         | compared to their overall compensation and benefits. If your
         | entire staff is on visas maybe you'd have a bad time, sure, but
         | otherwise it's usually a drop in the bucket.
         | 
         | The real joke is that H-1B is still a lottery, and in the time
         | it takes people to get theirs, they might reconsider living
         | somewhere else, like Canada.
        
         | grumple wrote:
         | Refugees != immigrants. The US admits over 1M immigrants per
         | year. [1] We have the largest immigrant population of any
         | nation in the world and it isn't even close (our immigrant
         | population is larger than the total population of most
         | countries) at over 50 million immigrants (current population
         | not born in the US). [2]
         | 
         | The rest of your comment is incorrect because of this
         | misunderstanding, so I'll give you a break. And I'll also give
         | you a break for accepting current Trump policies as standard
         | American policies.
         | 
         | 1.
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Immigration_to_the_United_Stat...
         | 
         | 2.
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_sovereign_states_and_d...
        
         | amadeuspagel wrote:
         | > Canada, a country 1/10th the size of the US, brings in
         | 300,000 new immigrants each year. The US brings in 140,000.
         | This means Canada brings in 20X the number of new immigrants
         | per capita than the US does.
         | 
         | Actually, "more than 1 million immigrants arrive in the U.S.
         | each year. In 2018, the top country of origin for new
         | immigrants coming into the U.S. was China, with 149,000 people,
         | followed by India (129,000), Mexico (120,000) and the
         | Philippines (46,000)."
         | 
         | Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2020/08/20/key-
         | finding...
        
           | arcticbull wrote:
           | Those are non-immigrants, guest workers or temporary workers.
           | Immigrants are defined, in US law, a green card holders.
           | Congress caps the number of green cards to be issued at
           | 366,000 (140,000 for employment based green cards) per year.
        
             | throwawaysea wrote:
             | This is incorrect. A green card holder is a "permanent
             | resident". But that's not where the line is for being
             | considered an "immigrant". Someone on an H1B without a
             | green card is still an immigrant. As are temporary workers
             | (for example on an agricultural visa).
        
               | arcticbull wrote:
               | "The term is often used generally to refer to aliens
               | residing in the United States, but its specific legal
               | meaning is any legal alien in the United States other
               | than those in the specified class of nonimmigrant aliens
               | such as temporary visitors for pleasure or students.
               | Immigrant is also used synonymously with lawful permanent
               | resident."
               | 
               | As this article was about US immigration, I was using the
               | US immigration definition of an immigrant, which is
               | roughly speaking, a green card holder.
               | 
               | H-1Bs are considered non-immigrants, although it is a
               | dual-intent class meaning they are allowed to possess
               | _immigrant intent_ for immigration purposes.
               | 
               | https://www.ncsl.org/research/immigration/common-
               | immigration...
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | newfriend wrote:
         | Your numbers are wrong [1].
         | 
         | > The United States has more immigrants than any other country
         | in the world. Today, more than 40 million people living in the
         | U.S. were born in another country, accounting for about one-
         | fifth of the world's migrants.
         | 
         | > The U.S. foreign-born population reached a record 44.8
         | million in 2018.
         | 
         | > More than 1 million immigrants arrive in the U.S. each year.
         | 
         | What amazes me is how much hate the US gets for being one of
         | the most generous countries on Earth.
         | 
         | The US has changed since the 19th century, when we needed
         | endless amounts of unskilled labor. Things are much different
         | today, and the H1-B Visa has been abused for decades.
         | 
         | > The process of bringing in H-1Bs is already so expensive,
         | arduous and wasteful that companies aren't going to be bringing
         | in huge quantities of "US replacement" labor. I certainly
         | wouldn't if I were in charge of hiring.
         | 
         | Good. It sounds like it's _somewhat_ serving it 's purpose.
         | Hopefully these changes will improve it more.
         | 
         | https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2020/08/20/key-finding...
        
           | vincentmarle wrote:
           | > What amazes me is how much hate the US gets for being one
           | of the most generous countries on Earth.
           | 
           | Well, "generous" is a big word. There's not much handed to
           | you when you move to the US, you'll have to work hard for
           | your money, like everyone else. If you want to know what
           | generous looks like, try talking with an immigrant in Europe.
        
           | arcticbull wrote:
           | Let's get some terminology right.
           | 
           | Immigrants are defined in US law as lawful permanent
           | residents, i.e. green card holders. Congress caps the number
           | of green cards issued at 366,000 per year. Therefore, the
           | number of new immigrants to the US each year is 366,000. The
           | 140,000 number I initially used incorrectly was the number of
           | employment based green cards as compared to family based.
           | I've updated the math.
           | 
           | Everyone else is a non-immigrant, and not relevant to my
           | numbers.
           | 
           | > The U.S. foreign-born population reached a record 44.8
           | million in 2018.
           | 
           | The immigrant and descendent of immigrant population of the
           | US is roughly 100%, because there are only 5 million native
           | Americans in the US.
           | 
           | > What amazes me is how much hate the US gets for being one
           | of the most generous countries on Earth.
           | 
           | Canada brings in 25X per capita the number of refugees and
           | 10X per capita the number of new lawful permanent resident.
           | 
           | You're simply mistaken.
        
             | newfriend wrote:
             | Unfortunately your smug reply is wrong, as I said before.
             | 
             | From: https://www.dhs.gov/immigration-
             | statistics/yearbook/2018/tab...
             | 
             |  _Table 1. Persons Obtaining Lawful Permanent Resident
             | Status: Fiscal Years 1820 to 2018_
             | 
             | Year Number
             | 
             | 2018 1,096,611
             | 
             | 2017 1,127,167
             | 
             | 2016 1,183,505
             | 
             | This also obviously doesn't even count the number of
             | illegal aliens coming here every year.
             | 
             | > The immigrant and descendent of immigrant population of
             | the US is roughly 100%, because there are only 5 million
             | native Americans in the US.
             | 
             | Native Americans came from elsewhere at some point too, I
             | suppose they are immigrants also according to your
             | meaningless definition.
             | 
             | Forgive me if I don't care about the per-capita number of
             | refugees in Canada.
             | 
             | You are the one who is mistaken.
        
         | oh_sigh wrote:
         | Where are you getting the 140k new immigrants each year number
         | from? Wikipedia says: "According to the 2016 Yearbook of
         | Immigration Statistics, the United States admitted a total of
         | 1.18 million legal immigrants (618k new arrivals, 565k status
         | adjustments) in 2016"
         | 
         | And refugees are only one type of immigrant. Should illegal
         | immigrants count as refugees, since many frequently claim to be
         | fleeing violence, even if they don't get officially declared as
         | a refugee by the US? If so, that means the US admits closer to
         | 500,000 refugees per year.
        
         | gok wrote:
         | > Canada, a country 1/10th the size of the US, brings in
         | 300,000 new immigrants each year. The US brings in 140,000.
         | 
         | I don't know what definition of "brings in" you are using, but
         | around 1.1 million people obtain permanent legal resident
         | status per year in the US. By this metric your Canada numbers
         | are about right (a bit low, around 340,000 in 2019).
         | 
         | Perhaps you're looking at purely comparing Canada's Temporary
         | Foreign Worker Program with just H-1Bs? If so those numbers are
         | still a bit off -- there were around 190,000 H-1Bs issued in
         | 2019 -- but also that's only a small sliver of all temporary
         | foreign work visas issued in the US (there are again over a
         | million per year).
         | 
         | Canada does admit many more immigrants per capita and generally
         | has a much better immigration system but the numerical
         | difference is not quite as huge as you say.
        
           | arcticbull wrote:
           | I'd love to understand where the gap is.
           | 
           | I believe the cap on the number of green cards issued per
           | year is 366,000 -- 140,000 of which are employment based. [1]
           | Is mistook the latter for the former and have updated my post
           | to reflect.
           | 
           | Similarly Canada's 300,000-ish per year number is also the
           | number of new permanent residents admitted per year. [2]
           | 
           | My goal was to track immigration, i.e. becoming permanent
           | residents, not temporary migrant workers, including those
           | under H-1B.
           | 
           | [1] https://www.boundless.com/immigration-resources/how-to-
           | read-...
           | 
           | [2] https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/canada-to-
           | admi...
        
         | jandrewrogers wrote:
         | Your data for the US is far off every source I can find. Per
         | the UN, ~20% of all immigrants globally reside in the US.
         | 
         | On an annual basis:
         | 
         | The US brings in 100-200k refugees. Total immigration is
         | 1.0-1.1M. The US grants citizenship to 700-800k immigrants.
        
           | arcticbull wrote:
           | The data I provided for you is per capita.
           | 
           | The US has set a target cap of 18,000 refugees next year [1]
           | vs Canada's now world-leading (per capita) 28-33,000 [2]
           | 
           | You are correct that I was off re: 140,000 (that's the quota
           | for employment based green cards), the number is 366,000
           | total and I have edited my post to reflect. This is based on
           | the total number of green cards available, as they are the
           | only "immigrant" visa. Every other class is considered to be
           | non-immigrants -- temporary workers, or visitors.
           | 
           | However, the fact 20% of the world's immigrants reside in
           | America doesn't mean nearly as much on a per capita basis.
           | 
           | [1] https://www.cnn.com/2019/09/26/politics/refugee-cap-
           | historic...
           | 
           | [2] https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2019/06/19/canada-
           | now-...
        
             | djrogers wrote:
             | I'm not sure you're using the term 'per capita' in the way
             | it's intended or normally understood. If Canada allowed
             | 28-33000 refugees per capita, that would effectively mean
             | every person in the world could move to Canada.
        
               | arcticbull wrote:
               | My multipliers were per capita. Canada brings in 2X the
               | US refugee count per year in absolute numbers, but is
               | 1/10th the size, so ~20X per capita migration rate of
               | refugees. Napkin numbers of course.
               | 
               | My parenthetical section indicated that Canada's numbers
               | are world-leading per capita, not in absolute numbers.
               | 
               | Apologies if that was unclear.
        
             | grumple wrote:
             | > However, the fact 20% of the world's immigrants reside in
             | America doesn't mean nearly as much on a per capita basis.
             | 
             | What? We have 5% of the world's population and 20% of its
             | immigrants, 4 times second place, but that's not enough for
             | you? Wild moving of the goalposts.
        
               | arcticbull wrote:
               | I have not moved the goalposts. I never mentioned the
               | total number of immigrants already in the country. That
               | number is pretty close to 98.4% of course, since the
               | number of First Nations or Native Americans is 5 million.
               | Everything in my post is focused on the _rate_ of new
               | immigrants per year.
        
             | [deleted]
        
         | rayiner wrote:
         | The US receives half a million undocumented immigrants per
         | year; Canada receives almost none. Plus another 1.2 million
         | legal immigrants.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | gruez wrote:
         | >The process of bringing in H-1Bs is already so expensive,
         | arduous and wasteful that companies aren't going to be bringing
         | in huge quantities of "US replacement" labor. I certainly
         | wouldn't if I were in charge of hiring.
         | 
         |  _You_ might not be, but there are certainly companies where
         | H-1Bs are their bread and butter[1]. Taking Cognizant as an
         | example:
         | 
         | * their wikipedia page says "The company has 281,200[2]
         | employees globally, of which over 150,000 are in India", which
         | means there are at most 131,200 US employees
         | 
         | * in the year 2017 they brought in 28,908 H-1B workers. This
         | works out to 22% of the US workforce. If we include 2016 as
         | well that works out to 38% of the US workforce.
         | 
         | * the figures above are conservative estimates. We probably
         | overestimated their US workforce and underestimated their H-1B
         | population (we've only looked at 2 years of visas, but H1-B
         | visas are good for up to 6 years).
         | 
         | [1]
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/H-1B_visa#Top_H-1B_employers_b...
         | 
         | [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognizant
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | kevin_thibedeau wrote:
       | > Under the new rule, the required wage level for entry-level
       | workers would rise to the 45th percentile of their profession's
       | distribution, from the current requirement of the 17th
       | percentile. The requirement for the highest-skilled workers would
       | rise to the 95th percentile, from the 67th percentile.
       | 
       | Looks like there's going to be a lot of new entry level guest
       | workers as existing visa holders get shuffled around. It'll be
       | interesting to see if the wage distribution stays lopsided once
       | the situation stabilizes. If the program is fulfilling its
       | intended goals, they should match their domestic coworkers in the
       | same age brackets.
        
       | throwawaysea wrote:
       | >The Trump administration announced an overhaul of the H-1B visa
       | program for high-skilled foreign workers that will require
       | employers to pay H-1B workers significantly higher wages, narrow
       | the types of degrees that could qualify an applicant, and shorten
       | the length of visas for certain contract workers.
       | 
       | This seems like a great move. It corrects the incentives to hire
       | foreign workers over domestic workers, and also ensures that
       | foreign workers aren't abused with lower wages due to their
       | immigration status.
        
       | Cherian_Abraham wrote:
       | " Because those required wage increases take effect this week,
       | existing H-1B holders looking to renew their visas might not
       | qualify unless their employers raise their salaries accordingly."
       | 
       | This is really bad. Families are going to get told to leave. I'm
       | surprised that there is no discussion on this thread about the
       | impact to people who haven't done anything wrong.
        
         | curiousllama wrote:
         | Oof, here's the catch. This is bad.
         | 
         | A non-retroactive raise of the wage scale isn't bad per se - it
         | cuts down a lot of the incentive to flood the system, and
         | prioritizes employees who will add the most value.
         | 
         | But I have a sneaking suspicion that this surprise kick-out is
         | a feature, not a bug.
        
         | kingnight wrote:
         | I find this really sad. Knowing a lot of people who work in the
         | US who aren't citizens and have more and more been stressed
         | about their access to return home and back for a variety of
         | reasons, this just adds to a pile of depressing realities
         | people in America are facing.
        
         | tshaddox wrote:
         | > I'm surprised that there is no discussion on this thread
         | about the impact to people who haven't done anything wrong.
         | 
         | Existing H-1B holders should clearly be grandfathered in, but
         | those aren't the only people who have done nothing wrong. What
         | about the would-be future H-1B holders who would have benefited
         | from working while making less than the new requirements? In
         | other words, the vast majority of people who are going to be
         | affected by these new rules.
        
         | muzaffarpur wrote:
         | That's not the kind of families HN cares about. Only the right
         | kind /s.
        
           | fernandotakai wrote:
           | let's be honest, HN does not care about H1B workers.
           | 
           | i've seen so many damn comments saying shit like "only low
           | skill indians come here on h1b". it got to a point where i
           | couldn't discern between right wing "they took our jobs".
        
             | nicoburns wrote:
             | Eh. I think that's a little unfair on us HNers. I have seen
             | comments like that. But I've also seen a lot of comments
             | about how the H1b visas should be more flexible and widely
             | available so as to give visa holders more freedom.
        
         | belltaco wrote:
         | Not just that but this is likely to backfire. Since remote work
         | has become acceptable and they already know the ins and outs of
         | the job, many of these folks losing their visa will just be
         | allowed to work remotely from India. This means the US economy
         | will lose all the taxes and local expenditure in the economy
         | like rent, food, utilities, cars, home sales, etc. etc. And if
         | that works out, the next hire may just be directly hired in
         | India itself.
         | 
         | There is already a small industry in Canada where a company
         | takes a few % of the billing rate in order to sponsor and hold
         | a Canadian visa for people who lost their H1B visas due to
         | inconsistent rejections, but whose employer is willing to allow
         | them to work from Canada. This moves a lot of money to Canada.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | Rapzid wrote:
       | Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't this just in reference to
       | legislation introduced recently that has has to, but has not,
       | pass through congress?
        
       | MichaelZuo wrote:
       | Well it seems as if all parties will be better off in the long
       | term if this gets implemented correctly. It certainly would
       | reduce many of the bad incentives in the immigration system.
        
       | maerF0x0 wrote:
       | > "America's immigration laws should put American workers first,"
       | 
       | Quotes like these irk the heck out of me. American workers is a
       | subset of the populace and no, they should not be prioritized
       | over other competing groups. For example, American Business
       | owners, American Retirees, American disabled folks...
       | 
       | It's a lot less about the specifics of this article/case and more
       | about how the "Jobs" aim has become impossible to balance
       | 
       | EDIT: If you're going to downvote then leave a rebuttal to the
       | point. Why should Immigration laws (or any law for that matter)
       | focus on a subset of Americans?
        
       | chairmanwow1 wrote:
       | Overall, I really support these changes.
       | 
       | However, this piece really struck me as a big mistake:
       | 
       | "Under the changes, an applicant must have a college degree in
       | the specific field in which he or she is looking to work. A
       | software developer, for example, wouldn't be awarded an H-1B visa
       | if that person has a degree in electrical engineering."
       | 
       | Some of the best software engineers I know are graduate degree
       | holders from neuroscience, biophysics, EE, and more. This might
       | be a distinction that is only relevant in software engineering,
       | but my intuition is that other fields will feel the sting of this
       | decision.
        
         | sushshshsh wrote:
         | I would absolutely speculate that this requirement was made to
         | block many good candidates. After all, the point of a visa
         | system is to constrict the pool of potential candidates anyway.
        
           | xenospn wrote:
           | Simple. List multiple jobs requiring "electrical engineer" or
           | "data scientist" and pool all applicants together for a
           | single position.
        
         | AlexTWithBeard wrote:
         | Will they keep recognizing equivalent experience in lieu of
         | formal education?
        
         | kichik wrote:
         | Have they removed the 3 years of experience for each missing
         | degree year exception?
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | hoot wrote:
         | I share the same experience. The most talented software
         | developers that I've worked with have just about all been EE's.
         | On the flip side, I've also met some terrible software
         | developers who were also EE's.
        
         | cm2187 wrote:
         | That's going to be interesting for people who studied
         | humanities.
         | 
         | In banking, you have even more diverse backgrounds than
         | software development.
        
         | haolez wrote:
         | Useless policy. This will only create a market for schools with
         | easy-to-obtain degrees.
        
       | ponker wrote:
       | Maybe Trump's Hail Mary for his re-election is... governing?
        
       | fizwhiz wrote:
       | > Under the new rule, the required wage level for entry-level
       | workers would rise to the 45th percentile of their profession's
       | distribution, from the current requirement of the 17th
       | percentile. The requirement for the highest-skilled workers would
       | rise to the 95th percentile, from the 67th percentile.
       | 
       | If you've got an undergraduate degree in CS looking for work as a
       | SWE does that mean you'll need to get paid at p95? Won't this
       | isolate all employment opportunities to places like the Bay Area
       | at companies that pay a high base-salary (no equity counted)?
        
       | paxys wrote:
       | While I'm in favor of the move, wages are just a band-aid fix.
       | The core of the problem is that the premise of the H1B visa
       | itself - extraordinary skill that cannot be found in the US - is
       | complete bullshit. Everyone participating in the program
       | (including the government) knows this, and yet they have to do
       | the entire song and dance of years long approval processes, fake
       | job listings, RFEs and whatnot.
       | 
       | Fix the real problem, and salaries will take care of themselves.
       | 
       | Another problem with simply raising the salary bar is that there
       | are actually professions (especially in healthcare) that
       | genuinely have a talent/supply gap. A small hospital in the
       | midwest, however, isn't going to be able to compete with a
       | hotshot SF startup with unlimited venture funding to throw at
       | foreign hires.
        
         | eldavido wrote:
         | Yes and no.
         | 
         | Most companies I see using H1-Bs are startups looking for
         | people to get technical work done as cheaply as possible. These
         | are the same people who give employees 0.1% of a series A
         | company and whine about how there's a "skill shortage".
         | 
         | When in truth, there is no "shortage" -- it's just that
         | software engineering is one of the only (somewhat) high-end
         | careers subject to absolutely no credentialing whatsoever,
         | meaning, if you can get someone here (to the US) and they can
         | do the work, great, they're hired.
         | 
         | Contrast this to the absurd coddling present in other
         | professions. Doctors, dentists, lawyers, architects, etc. have
         | _massive_ barriers keeping people out, competition down, and in
         | the end, prices of their services up.
         | 
         | It blows my mind what middling lawyers can charge: $300/hr or
         | more for mediocre law work for my California HOA. These people
         | have zero side projects, don't study a minute out of work, and
         | work strict 8-hour days, with the expectation of earning
         | $250k/yr or more mid-career. This is what the cream of the crop
         | in our field earns (Google SWEs making 350k or so). The cream
         | of the crop for layers make millions/year at places like
         | Cravath or Orrick billing $1000/hr or more. Even my wife, an
         | architect, is now billing out at $250/hr.
         | 
         | It blows my mind how underpaid software developers are, given
         | how difficult the work, and the working conditions are,
         | compared to other similarly demanding fields in terms of
         | professional education, and raw intellectual horsepower
         | required to do the job. A typical H1-B can be productive a few
         | months after a good software education anywhere in the world,
         | assuming they speak passable English. My best friend's sister-
         | in-law, an Indian dentist, had to retake the last year of
         | dental school before she could touch a single tooth in the US.
         | 
         | The biggest winners from the H1-B regime are high-skilled
         | professionals in the US. Low-end labor doesn't care about any
         | of this. They work for cash, and still pay sales and property
         | tax (through rent) just like the rest of us, and all for
         | absolutely zero government benefits.
        
         | cromwellian wrote:
         | Really? What if you need a bunch of translation/localization
         | work done. America has a shortage of people who are bilingually
         | fluent and have the engineering skill, in many of the needed
         | cultures and languages.
         | 
         | Do you think companies are going to go to war bidding up
         | salaries for a tiny number of qualified American candidates who
         | can do this work, or are they going to outsource to overseas
         | firms that can do the work?
         | 
         | So then the question is, do you want this work being done here,
         | in America, paying taxes here, or do you want some consulting
         | company in Asia or Eastern Europe to get the money?
        
         | mastazi wrote:
         | It's not "extraordinary skill that cannot be found in the US"
         | though, it's for skills for which there is a shortage in your
         | market, similar to the subclass 189 visa here in Australia.
         | 
         | When you say "extraordinary skill" you are probably thinking
         | about the O-1 visa (which is similar to the Australian subclass
         | 124).
        
         | tyre wrote:
         | I take it you've never tried to hire experienced software
         | engineers. The supply is significantly below demand.
        
           | eldavido wrote:
           | At what cost? $50/hr?
        
             | pavanky wrote:
             | I am on H1B (bay area last 4 years, Atlanta 6 years) and my
             | total compensation is significantly higher than that.
        
           | diggernet wrote:
           | Perhaps that view says more about the hiring process than it
           | does about the available labor pool.
        
       | vkdelta wrote:
       | Without reading the whole IFR, what would be the minimum pay for
       | h1b holder? Will it make harder for entry level F1 OPT students?
        
         | pavanky wrote:
         | I think this can potentially affect startups who may want to
         | hire H1bs at a lower than prevailing wage for their area(even
         | if they are paying their American colleagues the same amount).
         | 
         | Other than that, the biggest issue might be to IT consulting
         | companies (mostly based in India) that tend to have their
         | employees work at a lower rate than tech companies.
        
       | throwaway777888 wrote:
       | Can't wait to hear leftists cry about how racist this is.
        
       | sjg007 wrote:
       | I mean they will pay H1bs higher but still doesn't make a company
       | pay a us citizen higher. Maybe it will open up space for lawsuits
       | based equivalent responsibilities and help the equal pay for
       | equal movement. Even excluding H1bs we know there are people
       | doing the exact same work for vastly different
        
         | nerdface wrote:
         | H1Bs usually require the employer to prove they couldn't find
         | someone within the country.
        
           | drewbug wrote:
           | I don't think that's true.
        
             | sjg007 wrote:
             | Why not? Seems entirely plausible.
        
           | sjg007 wrote:
           | Well yes, theoretically, but I imagine there are plenty of
           | ways to game the system.
        
       | victor106 wrote:
       | I finally agree with something this administration is doing.
       | 
       | This is a solid move.
       | 
       | H1B has been/is being abused by all companies (big and small) for
       | a number of years at the cost of not only American workers but
       | also the visa holders. The only ones benefiting are the companies
       | that sponsor H1B visas by suppressing wages for everyone.
       | 
       | I just hope the new administration don't role back these changes.
       | Typically when a new administration comes in they have a
       | "throwing the baby with the bath water" mentality. I hope they
       | realize the things that the previous administration did which
       | makes sense and keeps them
        
         | AnIdiotOnTheNet wrote:
         | > I finally agree with something this administration is doing.
         | 
         | As they say, even a broken clock is right twice a day.
        
         | guitarbill wrote:
         | exactly. although there's more than one way to fix this. one
         | controversial idea, but in line with capitalism is to just give
         | (highly) skilled immigrants permanent residency (other
         | countries do this already, and the H-1B process is also pretty
         | rigorous). why? because right now with e.g. the H-1B, your
         | employer has to petition for a green card. as you've said, it
         | costs a lot of money to sponsor an H-1B. a reason some bad-
         | faith companies do this is because they know the H-1B employee
         | is tied to them (although an H-1B transfer is not too
         | difficult). imagine if it was easier for visa holders to switch
         | employees? i'm not holding my breath though.
         | 
         | in any case, having H-1B be a lottery was always weird. i just
         | hope this doesn't impact any existing H-1B holders :(
        
       | neonate wrote:
       | https://archive.is/N3uMd
        
         | spurgu wrote:
         | Or https://github.com/iamadamdev/bypass-paywalls-chrome
        
           | findjashua wrote:
           | this doesn't work for wsj, ft etc - archive.is does
        
             | ra7 wrote:
             | Not sure about Chrome, but that extension works on Firefox
             | for me for WSJ.
        
       | greatwave1 wrote:
       | I'm working on a dashboard to track H1B visa hiring and salary
       | data at https://www.quiverquant.com/sources/visas
       | 
       | Right now you can use it to see the biggest H1B employers and
       | their median salaries for workers on visa. Open to any
       | suggestions on how to make it more useful!
        
       | notJim wrote:
       | The new rule is that H1B workers need to earn higher salaries
       | relative to the distribution of salaries in their profession. The
       | worker must make the 45th percentile wage, where previously it
       | was 17th. Won't this primarily hurt people early in their career,
       | or does it also take into account experience level?
        
         | mamon wrote:
         | I think this is by design. You don't want to issue visas to
         | "people early in their career" - those jobs should go to
         | Americans first. You only hire from abroad if there really is a
         | shortage of specialists in some profession, and you want those
         | professionals to prove their worth in their home country first,
         | before allowing them to the US.
        
       | muzaffarpur wrote:
       | It's not gonna take a long time before, most of the tech jobs
       | move to Canada/rest of world. Why should someone hire entry/mid
       | level engineer in usa, if they can hire at same price much senior
       | engineer in same time zone? After successful taste of work from
       | home, things have changed a lot. Unfortunately, now USA have not
       | much to offer (rising healthcare cost, continuous
       | degradation/humiliation of non white immigrants, rising
       | intolerance of society, high cost of education etc). Let's see
       | how it works out!
        
       | airstrike wrote:
       | Link to DHS press release:
       | https://www.dhs.gov/news/2020/10/06/department-homeland-secu...
       | 
       | Probably a better link than the WSJ submission - even though I'm
       | a subscriber, I want the facts, and the facts seem to be hard to
       | find
       | 
       | As a matter of fact, I still haven't found the actual "interim
       | final rule" (an oxymoron if I've ever seen one), so if anyone has
       | a link, I'd be immensely grateful
       | 
       | EDIT: Here's the unpublished ruling in PDF: https://public-
       | inspection.federalregister.gov/2020-22347.pdf
       | 
       | One paragraph I was keen on knowing more about - and which seems
       | pretty uncontroversial:
       | 
       | > Under this new rule, the petitioner will have the burden of
       | demonstrating that there is a direct relationship between the
       | required degree in a specific specialty (in other words, the
       | degree field(s) that would qualify someone for the position) and
       | the duties of the position. In many cases, the relationship will
       | be clear and relatively easy to establish. For example, it should
       | not be difficult to establish that a required medical degree is
       | directly correlated to the duties of a physician. Similarly, a
       | direct relationship may be established between the duties of a
       | lawyer and a required law degree, and the duties of an architect
       | and a required architecture degree. In other cases, the direct
       | relationship may be less readily apparent, and the petitioner may
       | have to explain and provide documentation to meet its burden of
       | demonstrating the relationship. To establish a direct
       | relationship, the petitioner would need to provide information
       | regarding the course(s) of study associated with the required
       | degree, or its equivalent, and the duties of the proffered
       | position, and demonstrate the connection between the course of
       | study and the duties and responsibilities of the position
        
         | dboreham wrote:
         | I had high hopes for the "Executive Summary".
        
         | guitarbill wrote:
         | This was already the case, they would ask for a request for
         | evidence (RFE) how the degree was related. This is annoying if
         | you e.g. studied maths and then started working in IT.
        
         | swyx wrote:
         | how much higher wages are we talking? skimmed the ruling and
         | didnt see anything.
        
       | tcarn wrote:
       | I can't believe I'm actually agreeing with something this
       | administration is doing...
        
         | gotoeleven wrote:
         | Im just curious, what actual policies / actions has this
         | administration taken that you most disagree with?
        
         | tux1968 wrote:
         | His prison reform was a good thing and not commended enough.
        
           | impalallama wrote:
           | If your talking about the First Step Act that was a
           | bipartisan bill that passed in the Senate unanimously. Semi
           | props for embracing it, but this gets into a bigger issue of
           | whether an administration can take credit for the bills
           | passed underneath them.
        
             | rayiner wrote:
             | Trump's (and Jared Kushner's) role was much more active
             | than just signing it after the fact:
             | https://time.com/5486560/prison-reform-jared-kushner-kim-
             | kar...
        
         | ed25519FUUU wrote:
         | There's polarizing issues, but actually a lot of issues I find
         | myself agreeing with lately. Anti-war sentiment is a big one (I
         | love hearing about troop draw downs in Iraq and Afghanistan and
         | Syria).
         | 
         | And Trump accuses the IC community of unconstitutional spying
         | on politicians and Americans, the same thing technorati have
         | been saying (at least until 2016, when it became cool to trust
         | the FBI and CIA).
        
         | paulryanrogers wrote:
         | Even a broken clock is right twice a day
        
           | anonytrary wrote:
           | Misuse of analogy. This analogy says that inaction eventually
           | is the right thing to do. This is action.
        
             | Strilanc wrote:
             | Even a clock running backwards at triple speed is right
             | eight times a day.
        
         | flyinglizard wrote:
         | I'm sure this administration's policies on China will find many
         | fans around here.
        
           | cblum wrote:
           | _raises hand_
           | 
           | Oh yeah. It's the _one_ thing I can agree with them on.
        
           | arcticbull wrote:
           | Also, Trump's criminal justice reform in the First Step Act.
        
           | paxys wrote:
           | Good rhetoric, half-assed and ineffective implementation.
        
       | curiousllama wrote:
       | I really, really want to like this move.
       | 
       | I've written on HN before that the Trump admin's revealed
       | immigration preference is, in effect, "as few immigrants as
       | possible" [1]. Every past move this administration has made with
       | regard to visas has been ill-advised and badly executed (imo).
       | That they solved problem 1 (ill-advised) does not mean they've
       | solved problem 2 (badly executed).
       | 
       | In that light, I can't help but think this is just another RFE
       | hole: "you studied math and cs, and now want to work as a data
       | scientist? That's not closely enough related" or "quantitative
       | economics is not STEM, even though 12/15 required courses were
       | math, stats, and CS, and we previously approved the program"
       | (both objections I've heard raised in the past year, _before_
       | this new emphasis on degree-job relatedness).
       | 
       | This isn't a bad policy - it may be good, even! - but I hope it
       | gets implemented by the next administration.
       | 
       | [1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23760337
        
         | 908B64B197 wrote:
         | > "you studied math and cs, and now want to work as a data
         | scientist? That's not closely enough related"
         | 
         | This could be trivially avoided by simply aggregating the job
         | posting requirements for similar positions or doing any sort of
         | survey of the qualifications and education of currently
         | employed highly paid data scientists.
        
       | dognotdog wrote:
       | Is it only me, or does this sound pretty empty? Except for
       | narrowing of the `specialty occupation` moniker, all the rest
       | seem like things that are already part of the H1-B program?
        
       | flowerlad wrote:
       | Requiring competitive wages is a good move. They should also have
       | allowed H1B holders to switch to a different employer without
       | requiring a new visa. Along with that they should also have
       | increased the number of H1B visas available.
       | 
       | Currently many strong developers are being hired into Amazon and
       | Microsoft but being positioned in Vancouver BC (a Canadian city a
       | couple of hours from Seattle) [1]. These developers take American
       | jobs but pay taxes to Canada, and contribute to Canadian economy
       | instead of American.
       | 
       | [1] https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/industry-
       | news/prope...
        
         | vsskanth wrote:
         | You need to pass laws for all that. Even this regulation
         | surviving legal challenges is doubtful.
        
         | dmode wrote:
         | Offering competitive wages has always been part of H1
         | requirement
        
       | notJim wrote:
       | I feel like rather than pitting immigrants against native born
       | workers, and trying to come up with the perfect arcane rule, we
       | should have sectoral bargaining where the workers could negotiate
       | pay standards directly with their employers. Then it wouldn't
       | matter where someone is from, because they'd be covered by that
       | contract, and the government could get out of the way of the
       | labor market.
        
       ___________________________________________________________________
       (page generated 2020-10-06 23:00 UTC)