[HN Gopher] IBM is splitting itself into two public companies
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       IBM is splitting itself into two public companies
        
       Author : dredmorbius
       Score  : 485 points
       Date   : 2020-10-08 16:16 UTC (6 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.reuters.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.reuters.com)
        
       | code4tee wrote:
       | IBM went from a great tech company into some sort of overly
       | financially engineered Franken-firm that has tons of employees
       | and yet nobody on the outside seems to know what they really do.
       | 
       | Throw in there various expensive hand-wavy marketing campaigns
       | about AI, blockchain and quantum computing to add to that "but
       | what do you actually do?" confusion. Case in point if I go to
       | IBM.com I'm presented with a giant fluff PR piece about quantum
       | computing.
        
       | protomyth wrote:
       | So, is this Global Services splitting off or is it something
       | else? Is there a better announcement?
        
         | abrowne wrote:
         | Exactly what I am wondering.
        
       | splap wrote:
       | Anyone know what effect this will have on folks drawing a pension
       | from IBM?
        
       | ciarannolan wrote:
       | How is a post with 9 points and zero comments, at 8 minutes old,
       | at the top of the front page of HN?
        
         | edejong wrote:
         | dx of points over time.
        
         | ajb92 wrote:
         | Not sure, but I think the algo around placement has something
         | to do with upvote velocity (now at 23 upvotes 10 minutes in)
        
         | gus_massa wrote:
         | The order is approximately upvotes/(1+time)^1.5
         | 
         | Comments don't give extra performance, but too many comments
         | may trigger an automatic penalty.
        
         | Xelbair wrote:
         | mods can give posts a second chance, by hand. but only once per
         | post.
        
           | dredmorbius wrote:
           | In this case the rise seemed to come from the beginning ---
           | 2nd chance queue usually takes a day or two and tends _not_
           | to be newsworthy. I 've had no 2nd chance notice (HN
           | generally emails when resubmitting).
           | 
           | Several submissions earlier today of the IBM split by others
           | didn't take. This one's success surprised my. HN is quite
           | fickle.
        
       | Someone wrote:
       | So, what does this mean for their hardware?
       | 
       | I guess their mainframes will continue slowly getting less and
       | less important, but what about their Power CPUs? If they end up
       | in the company with fewer resources, do they have a future?
        
       | edejong wrote:
       | Bit late to the game. Only when the company is in existential
       | crisis it knows how to act. First step: restore trust with
       | potential customers after gambling it all away with dirty sales
       | tactics.
        
         | admax88q wrote:
         | IBM is always an interesting company. They seem to get dragged
         | kicking and screaming into the next paradigm shift every 10
         | years or so, but they do still seem to manage to actually
         | _make_ the pivot and stay somewhat relevant.
         | 
         | They're never a leader, but their staying power is impressive.
        
           | ponker wrote:
           | And their businesses can generate revenue for decades after
           | they're obsolete. I pay $30+ for OEM IBM typewriter ribbons.
        
             | danans wrote:
             | Are they actually required for your business or just for a
             | hobby? If for a business, I'm curious what kind of business
             | still relies on those.
        
               | ponker wrote:
               | For me it's just a hobby but plenty of businesses still
               | use typewriters. Any time there is a international
               | bureaucratic process like "Affidavit of intellectual
               | property for imported electronics" when shipping between
               | two countries that don't have huge shipping volumes (say
               | Ecuador to Senegal or whatever) you will see the
               | typewriters come out because bureaucrats often only trust
               | the true rubber stamped copies.
               | 
               | The IBM typewriters are rock solid enough that they'll be
               | a supply for the next several decades. There are
               | mothballed Selecteics in attics that for $2-300 can be
               | made good as new.
        
               | segfaultbuserr wrote:
               | > _There are mothballed Selecteics in attics that for
               | $2-300 can be made good as new._
               | 
               | Wow! I need to get one now...
        
               | Miraste wrote:
               | I don't understand. They type important legal documents
               | on typewriters? Why can't they rubber stamp a printed
               | one, and what do the shipping volumes have to do with it?
        
               | ponker wrote:
               | Let's say you have a affidavit from your Ecuadorian
               | supplier saying that the goods do not contain lead. It's
               | then rubber stamped by the Ecuadorian government office
               | that does this. The Senegalese customs official says
               | "this needs to be notarized and attested by the CEO of
               | the supplier." So now you have an official document that
               | took months of work and lots of bribes to Get. You just
               | take this document as is to get attested and notarized.
               | So the CEO types his attestation on the typewriter and
               | signs it and the notary applies their seal.
               | 
               | Large countries like the US, EU, China have solved this
               | with automated processes but the smaller countries
               | havent.
        
             | markus_zhang wrote:
             | Wow I don't know they still sell the ribbons...
        
               | ponker wrote:
               | There's actually a very thriving market for ribbons,
               | especially generic half inch ribbons for manual
               | typewriters. It's a very low capital business.
        
           | nexuist wrote:
           | The chewed-gum-stuck-on-your-foot of tech hardware companies.
        
       | king_magic wrote:
       | Good, IBM consulting is about as useless as you can possibly get.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | 2bitencryption wrote:
       | question about the "smaller guys" in cloud (Oracle, IBM):
       | 
       | Do these companies operate their own data centers all over the
       | world to make their cloud offerings work?
       | 
       | "Cloud" is kind of a magical handwavy way to say "don't worry
       | about where the computers are, it will just work." With AWS and
       | Azure I don't worry about where the computers are, because
       | they're all over the world (and even under water, if you follow
       | publicity stunts).
       | 
       | But where are the massive IBM/Oracle/etc data centers? Are they
       | out there, and I just don't know about it?
        
         | ksec wrote:
         | I was under the impression ( Not sure if it still true ) that
         | AWS and Azure do not operate and owe _all_ of their  "own"
         | datacenter, some of them were with Eqaunix ?
        
         | wmf wrote:
         | Yes, they have their own data centers. They tend to be smaller
         | since they don't have demand for 100K servers in any one city.
         | 
         | Weirdly, IBM's map seems to have disappeared but here's Oracle:
         | https://www.oracle.com/cloud/architecture-and-regions.html
        
           | sachinag wrote:
           | The map is right here; you can scroll over and see the
           | locations. https://www.ibm.com/cloud/data-centers/
        
         | st1x7 wrote:
         | IBM operate their own datacenters for IBM Cloud.
        
           | alpha_squared wrote:
           | As does Oracle. Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) is actually
           | aggressively expanding regions.
        
             | dragonwriter wrote:
             | > Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI)
             | 
             | Not to be confused with Oracle Call Interface (OCI)
        
         | jannes wrote:
         | I don't know if this is the case here, but you can also rent
         | space in someone else's datacenter. Meaning the datacenter
         | itself wouldn't be run by IBM/Oracle, just some of the hardware
         | inside it.
        
         | b203 wrote:
         | Oracle cloud is quite a thing. It's in 4th place behind AWS,
         | Azure and GCP and has significant presence. For example zoom is
         | a big customer:https://www.lastweekinaws.com/blog/why-zoom-
         | chose-oracle-clo.... I assume under the new tiktok deal, tiktok
         | might run on the Oracle cloud.
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | bee_rider wrote:
       | It isn't clear to me what they're doing -- are they spinning off
       | their cloud compute services _because_ those are more profitable?
       | That doesn 't make any sense.
        
         | pboutros wrote:
         | My read is that they're spinning off the professional services
         | wing.
        
         | yourapostasy wrote:
         | With IBM Cloud, this is more a Cortes-like point of no return,
         | sink the ships (not burned like popularly thought), only move
         | forward from here, do-or-die type of move.
         | 
         | The other comment threads here are correct: IBM Cloud is
         | struggling for relevance. There are some interesting ideas
         | percolating around, but productionalized operations leaves _a
         | lot_ to be desired compared to AWS. They 're in a very distant
         | fourth or fifth place with the likes of Oracle Cloud. I'd
         | possibly place IBM Cloud even behind Alibaba Cloud.
         | 
         | The general idea is that once IBM Cloud sheds the chains of
         | Legacy IBM, IBM Cloud will really take off, since it is
         | _finally_ rid of that pesky, low-margin cruft dragging it down.
         | That  "cruft" is why IBM Cloud is even getting warm
         | introductions and walking through the door at all, powered by
         | high-levered sales spiffs to bundle IBM Cloud.
         | 
         | Post-split, IBM Cloud is going to spend massive amounts of time
         | and money trying to get their foot in the door, to get back to
         | _status quo ante_ of easy introductions, swimming upstream
         | against AWS, Azure, and GCP once they separate from IBM-not-
         | IBM. IBM Cloud will also get dragged into brutal discounting
         | wars against Oracle Cloud and everyone else 's Me-Too Cloud.
         | IBM-not-IBM will initially proclaim a "close partnership" with
         | IBM Cloud, but once freed from on-high diktats to always use
         | and shoehorn in IBM Cloud, they'll gravitate in a few years to
         | a vendor-agnostic-but-really-only-top-2-or-3 partnerships. If
         | vendor-agnostic cloud even becomes realistic in a revenue-
         | impacting way by then.
         | 
         | I expect IBM Cloud will hold onto RedHat post-split, and will
         | likely try to use RedHat as their warm introduction channel. I
         | hope IBM Cloud surprises all of us with something good.
        
         | nexuist wrote:
         | I believe the argument they are making is that their non-cloud
         | units are so huge that they overshadow any progress they are
         | making in the cloud space - if cloud profits increased 1000%,
         | it would increase overall revenue by only a few percentage
         | points, essentially. That makes their work on cloud look
         | useless and unsuccessful, when in reality they could be killing
         | it.
         | 
         | That's what they're telling us, anyways. Who knows the real
         | reason.
        
       | OpticalWindows wrote:
       | Now the red hat buy makes sense
        
       | Operyl wrote:
       | Fun fact, IBM Cloud still does not have Ubuntu 20.04 images
       | citing "lack of demand."
        
       | egberts1 wrote:
       | Great way to send IBM pension group into a soon-to-be
       | bankruptable division.
        
         | bpodgursky wrote:
         | Wonder if the increased H1-B salary bands also had an impact
         | the profitability of their IT consulting arm.
        
           | airstrike wrote:
           | Could be an extra factor but a decision like this takes a lot
           | of consideration and would have been in the works for months
           | if not years
        
         | msoad wrote:
         | Very clever accounting!
        
       | dcolkitt wrote:
       | Genuine question: Who's actually using IBM Cloud?
       | 
       | All I hear is mediocre to terrible reviews. How are they staying
       | in business? Admittedly I could just be hearing a one-sided
       | story. Maybe there's some redeeming feature vis-a-vis AWS or GCP?
        
         | einpoklum wrote:
         | I've never used cloud services.
         | 
         | But I do know IBM has some interesting hardware available in
         | the cloud servers. The Power architecture allows, for example,
         | "1st-class citizen" status to GPUs w.r.t. main memory access:
         | They can access main memory using NVlink. NVIDIA has therefore
         | had some on-mainboard, non-card GPUs available mostly (solely?)
         | in IBM power machines.
         | 
         | Obviously this is not enough for an entire cloud business but
         | they're not just an "also-ran" cloud offering.
        
         | microtherion wrote:
         | I absolutely can believe IBM being successful as a cloud
         | provider.
         | 
         | I have considerably more doubt about them as an AI player. And
         | their efforts to brand themselves as a blockchain player don't
         | even seem to have merited a mention. Have they given up on that
         | already?
        
         | toast0 wrote:
         | I worked at a company that used Softlayer before we were
         | acquired and before Softlayer was acquired by IBM. We moved off
         | to the acquirer datacenter, because that's what you do.
         | 
         | Softlayer was a very nice place to get bare metal hosting. You
         | get a whole machine to do whatever on, they provide a solid
         | network, and replace components when they fail (and you open a
         | ticket). We didn't use any ancillary services for the most
         | part, we had been using their included DNS, but switched off
         | because update delays were getting too large and we didn't like
         | the support response on that; we used their loadbalancers for
         | one service for a few months, but it had worse uptime than the
         | hosts behind it. I have heard their other ancillerary services
         | were (are?) bad too. From what I saw, support in general was
         | getting worse, but that could have been because of IBM takeover
         | or because we were going from a top ten customer to an average
         | customer.
         | 
         | I would consider them an option in cases where you want to run
         | all the services you consume, but you don't want to run your
         | own datacenters. They had a decent worldwide footprint, and
         | post-IBM they got a lot more datacenters outside the US; that
         | could be a big deal, because sometimes you just need a couple
         | machines in another continent, and it's easier if you already
         | are on board. Also, at least when we were there, private
         | network traffic was free, worldwide, which is nice to manage
         | replication for disasters.
         | 
         | If you're more cloudy though, and make use of integrated
         | services, and small instance types with per minute billing, I
         | wouldn't consider it. Also, they had that global routing issue
         | earlier this year, which would have been hard (impossible?) to
         | mitigate as a single vendor customer.
        
         | zn44 wrote:
         | Lloyds bank in UK has signed PS1B contract with ibm that
         | includes use of IBM cloud
         | 
         | I'd imagine it could be popular at banks that are used to
         | working with them for 30 years
        
           | danans wrote:
           | > banks that are used to working with them for 30 years
           | 
           | Given that banks were among the earliest commercial customers
           | of computing machinery, it's more like 70 years:
           | 
           | https://www.ibm.com/ibm/history/ibm100/us/en/icons/bankauto/.
           | ...
        
         | sachinag wrote:
         | Techmeme runs on IBM Cloud.
        
         | goatinaboat wrote:
         | _Who 's actually using IBM Cloud?_
         | 
         | Same as Oracle cloud, their users are organisations locked into
         | long-term support contracts, who are offered sweeteners to use
         | their clouds. Which of course only makes them more locked in.
        
           | RulerOf wrote:
           | We finalized the choice to use OCI for an upcoming project
           | because they're the only major public cloud in the country
           | we're deploying to.
           | 
           | That said, as a person who's coming from AWS, their demo and
           | documentation have thoroughly piqued my interest. There's a
           | decent amount stuff to like. It's got a slick UI, and the
           | APIs appear to be comprehensive enough to cover our use case.
        
         | edejong wrote:
         | The most redeeming feature is that normal cloud providers have
         | a zero friction onboarding funnel whereas IBM seems to make you
         | want to meet as many "sales engineers" as possible.
        
           | ALurchyBeast wrote:
           | IBM tries to capture the 1% of the market that accounts for
           | 99% of the revenue. You or I spinning up a micro instance is
           | not who IBM wants.
        
         | mathgorges wrote:
         | I'd imagine shops that are tightly coupled to the z/OS stack
         | would find IBM cloud attractive.
        
         | curiousllama wrote:
         | IBM had a successful hosting business before cloud (I.e. you
         | could outsource your data center to them). AFAIK, that just
         | rebranded that to "cloud" when AWS came along, despite lacking
         | all the things that made it a cloud rather than a regular data
         | center.
         | 
         | The people who use IBM cloud are the same people who used them
         | for data centers in the past.
        
         | mhh__ wrote:
         | If it's like some areas of IBMs business it could be a _We 'll
         | take your money but we don't actually care either way_
         | situation (e.g. try and buy a POWER machine)
        
         | ivalm wrote:
         | I work for a large company that uses IBM as part of our "hybrid
         | cloud." I am pretty sure we have an at least 9 digit contract
         | with them. We have a private cloud by IBM (click2cloud) and IBM
         | Bluemix. Honestly they are both bad. We also have azure and
         | that's night and day. But then again we even have oracle cloud,
         | which I guess just means we like to step on mines in a
         | minefield.
         | 
         | I think part of why we use IBM cloud services is we also use
         | their consulting heavily. Everything runs on rhel and is
         | supported by ibm.
        
           | quacked wrote:
           | I work for a large organization that uses IBM-maintained
           | tools, and they're awful. Is anything IBM does good?
        
             | johnward wrote:
             | Their legal team is pretty good?
        
             | kbrwn wrote:
             | SQL
        
             | mixmastamyk wrote:
             | They supported Linux early, at a time when it was
             | vulnerable.
        
         | actuator wrote:
         | I used to think the same about Azure. Most of the experience I
         | have heard about it is not positive, yet it is comfortably
         | number 2. I think the overall pie is huge enough. So you can
         | have advantages in niches in product or good customer
         | relationships and still do well.
         | 
         | Though, I haven't personally needed a compelling feature which
         | AWS or GCP was missing, so I have never had to use any other
         | product for work.
        
           | jariel wrote:
           | MS is not IBM though.
           | 
           | Azure is a 'best effort' attempt at a seriously important
           | strategic vertical by a very smart company with deep pockets.
           | 
           | MS would throw zillions of dollars and blood at Azure to make
           | it work.
           | 
           | MS has very deep enterprise relationships, way more so than
           | Amazon or Google and in the long run, that may be the
           | advantage.
           | 
           | A lot of 'fancy services' that we see are not 'the thing'
           | that corps want: they want to spin up servers, basic
           | networking and security, do things at scale. That's the bread
           | and butter and Azure can surely provide that.
           | 
           | Being on the buying side of some of these things, even 100%
           | aware that 'other offers may be better' it's extremely hard
           | to fend off the professionalism of a well managed sales
           | effort. It's even rational: entities that are so
           | operationally effective at managing the relationship 'surely
           | must have tech that works'. And it's a 'safe choice'.
           | 
           | I always assumed Azure would carve something out, IBM, not so
           | much. Oracle, somewhere in between.
        
             | actuator wrote:
             | I am not dismissing Azure. Outside of AWS or GCP, the only
             | IaaS platform I can think of using is Azure. MS certainly
             | has the competency to run a good competitor alongside AWS
             | and GCP in the long run.
             | 
             | I was just pointing out how easily we can misjudge things
             | based on our echo chambers.
             | 
             | > MS has very deep enterprise relationships, way more so
             | than Amazon or Google and in the long run, that may be the
             | advantage.
             | 
             | I think this is something even their competitors realize.
             | That's why the current and previous heads of Google Cloud
             | were from enterprise software companies, Oracle and VmWare.
        
               | disgruntledphd2 wrote:
               | It doesn't really matter, tbh. Culture eats strategy for
               | breakfast, and Google have a terrible partnership
               | culture. FB are a little better, and I assume Amazon must
               | be OK, but MS have a sales force that can actually sell,
               | supported by an organisation that commits to products for
               | the long term.
               | 
               | MS will do very well with Azure, but note that their
               | cloud revenue is also Office 365 revenue (which I suspect
               | is a _lot_ higher).
        
       | Brendinooo wrote:
       | >The new company will have 90,000 employees and its leadership
       | structure will be decided in a few months, Chief Financial
       | Officer James Kavanaugh told Reuters.
       | 
       | >IBM, which currently has more than 352,000 workers, said it
       | expects to record nearly $5 billion in expenses related to the
       | separation and operational changes.
       | 
       | What does the rest of their business consist of that requires
       | 250,000 employees? Or are layoffs in the mix here?
        
         | brailsafe wrote:
         | Consultants?
        
         | venatiodecorus wrote:
         | as a services and solutions provider i imagine they employ a
         | lot of technicians for on site work around the world, and will
         | require much less of them in a cloud environment. just a
         | thought though, anyone who knows better please correct me.
        
         | xemdetia wrote:
         | I think people who haven't worked in/around IBM struggle to
         | comprehend the sheer number of products and services it
         | actively supports and only a portion of that are mainframe
         | products. There are many products that have 100+ engineers on
         | them but might never even make common conversation for how
         | specialized they are. Additionally IBM has a high headcount for
         | supporting those products, with 24/7/365 phone/hands-on support
         | so that can sometimes be almost the similar number of people as
         | the engineers actually developing the product. Since the
         | products are so specialized there are specialized support
         | groups per product. It's definitely easy to have 150+ people
         | per product (especially from the heavy acquisition style they
         | had been doing pre-Red Hat) so the numbers quickly adding up.
         | Many of these groups have enough organization to transition to
         | a standalone company's product team if they could replace the
         | HR, accounting, and other company pieces.
         | 
         | There is certainly also consulting and other groups of people
         | too, but they were not the majority.
        
         | hinkley wrote:
         | They still make and maintain mainframes, apparently.
         | 
         | A lot of this 'cloud technology' we're using, including some
         | that is still being developed, is functionality being ported
         | from mainframe tooling.
         | 
         | I saw a teardown of an IBM cpu module from the early 90's the
         | other day. There were tricks I still haven't seen show up in
         | rackmount hardware.
        
           | curiousllama wrote:
           | Mainframes are shockingly legit. Don't get me wrong, -
           | they're the least sexy possible technology, imo. But they do
           | _work_ in a way that I've rarely seen.
           | 
           | There's a tradeoff between flexibility and stability - the
           | mainframe is just hardcore stable. Sucks to work on a lot of
           | the time, but _damn_ if there isn't a reason financial
           | institutions still do mainframe batch processing.
        
             | LinuxBender wrote:
             | I would gladly take a z15 or two or three [1]. Ability to
             | spin up any number of instances almost instantly, blazing
             | fast speed between them... just super expensive and there
             | has to be a business need to justify the support costs.
             | People often mistakenly think this is old tech, but that
             | could not be further from the truth. One could have their
             | own massive VPS region in a box with much faster deployment
             | of code.
             | 
             | [1] - https://www.ibm.com/products/z15/details
        
               | devdas wrote:
               | After all, the cloud is mostly a mainframe with a self
               | service interface.
        
               | speeder wrote:
               | I saw some old mainframes in a junkyard... considered
               | buying them only to be told that someone that knew they
               | were going to be sent there, purchased them before they
               | even arrived...
               | 
               | I think it would be hell cool to have a mainframe at home
               | :) Assuming it is not ludicrously expensive to keep it
               | running...
        
               | bluGill wrote:
               | I recall for y2k IBM was selling replacement mainframes
               | because the new one was faster and you would pay for it
               | just on power bill savings in 2 years. That the old one
               | would never get the updates to work after y2k was not
               | really a factor in sales. The old mainframes were water
               | cooled and very power hungry, newer chips (now 20 year
               | old technology) were air cooled and used less power.
        
               | cptnapalm wrote:
               | Keep an eye out for a Multiprise 3000 from 1999. It's the
               | smallest of them and runs on regular household
               | electricity at 1300W. If you do find one, make sure it
               | has the hard drives intact or it'll be a 400 lb.
               | paperweight like mine :(
        
           | kingbirdy wrote:
           | Could you share the video? That sounds quite interesting
        
             | hinkley wrote:
             | Sure:
             | 
             | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xQ3oJlt4GrI
             | 
             | Nearly a square foot, and the water block is built into the
             | module.
        
               | jaywalk wrote:
               | Imagine bending one of those pins as you're putting it
               | in.
        
             | ktta wrote:
             | Long shot, but I believe they're referring to this:
             | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xQ3oJlt4GrI
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | cblconfederate wrote:
       | Why is everyone investing in "cloud"? Datacenters became a cheap
       | commodity the first time. Why not this time?
        
         | sjg007 wrote:
         | Call the cloud managed data centers and you have your answer
         | basically.
        
         | Nemo_bis wrote:
         | Because investors hope that companies like Amazon will get a
         | global monopoly on an entire giant segment of the economy,
         | probably an "economic moat" reinforced by bogus patents or
         | copyright or trademark claims (like Oracle vs. Google).
         | 
         | Think how the advertising business was formerly divided in
         | thousands of small actors in each country (publishers) and now
         | it's dominated by a handful of global internet companies.
        
           | cblconfederate wrote:
           | aws's competitors keep popping up though (ibm included). on
           | the contrary google was buying up everything, and there are
           | only so many advertisers. there is no moat in datacenters,
           | it's just computers and they are infinite
        
         | stallmanite wrote:
         | This is an excellent question that I've never seen addressed.
         | Replying just to call attention to it in the hopes that someone
         | knowledgeable HN'ers can answer. It seems like cloud would
         | quickly become a commodity but I have no special insight.
        
           | cblconfederate wrote:
           | the common answer is that tech is in a huge bubble that makes
           | it very profitable .... until it pops
        
       | CivBase wrote:
       | Can someone explain why they're doing this? I'm so used to tech
       | companies merging and acquiring one another. What does IBM gain
       | by splitting up?
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | goatinaboat wrote:
         | _What does IBM gain by splitting up?_
         | 
         | They isolate the compensation of senior management from the
         | company's debts and liabilities, which will by pure coincidence
         | be in the "other" company.
        
         | jpttsn wrote:
         | Stonks. Sometimes the market will value the parts higher than
         | the sum of the parts. It sounds a bit concocted but happens
         | often in practice.
        
           | theonemind wrote:
           | Well, maybe the parts are worth more than the sum of the
           | parts. I remember AOL and Time Warner merged, then dropped
           | the entire value of AOL. (Though you could argue the market
           | was still just irrationally overvaluing them as parts and
           | adjusted down when they merged.)
        
       | fmeyer wrote:
       | I remember my days at redhat where a poster was hang in the
       | cafeteria with Gandhi's quote
       | 
       | First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight
       | you, then you win.
       | 
       | They really meant. Even being swallowed by a behemoth, they
       | managed to cut the beast belly and break free.
        
         | freedomben wrote:
         | That poster still hangs. There's a copy in the Annex also just
         | down the street a little from Red Hat Tower (I took a picture
         | last time I was there for training around this time last year
         | actually).
        
         | st1x7 wrote:
         | How is this announcement related to Red Hat?
        
           | kyuudou wrote:
           | "The NewCo spin-off leaves IBM with Red Hat as its crown
           | jewel, "laser-focused" on the US$1 trillion hybrid cloud
           | opportunity, IBM CEO Arvind Krishna said in a press release."
           | https://www.crn.com.au/news/ibm-spins-off-global-
           | technology-...
        
             | st1x7 wrote:
             | But that's not RedHat "breaking free" as the parent comment
             | sugggested. They're exactly where they were before, just
             | with a slightly smaller parent company now.
        
       | teruakohatu wrote:
       | If Oracle beats Google in the Supreme Court, IBM legal could be
       | their best performing business unit.
        
         | pavlov wrote:
         | Does IBM own some widely used APIs they could realistically
         | start charging/suing for?
         | 
         | For example, SQL was invented at IBM, but it's been published
         | in ANSI and ISO standards. Surely the formal standardization
         | process precludes an Oracle-style attack on implementors...?
        
           | pdw wrote:
           | Now I'm wondering how closely the old Windows APIs resemble
           | OS/2.
        
             | ch_123 wrote:
             | Microsoft still owns rights to OS/2, I believe this is part
             | of why IBM cannot release OS/2's source code to third party
             | distributions of OS/2 such as eComStation and ArcaOS
        
               | skissane wrote:
               | I don't think Microsoft has copyright on the whole of the
               | OS/2 source code, just components they developed. I don't
               | know for sure, but I think it is likely that some
               | components, such as SOM or WPS, contain very little or no
               | Microsoft-developed code. New features developed after
               | OS/2 2.x were developed solely by IBM, without Microsoft
               | involvement - Microsoft was only involved in OS/2 1.x
               | (and possibly earlier stages of 2.x development.) There
               | might also be some components which IBM licensed from
               | third parties (non-Microsoft), but they are likely just
               | individual DLLs or drivers, easily separated from the
               | rest of the code.
               | 
               | I think the real problem here is IBM, not Microsoft or
               | any other third-party. There are significant sections of
               | the OS/2 code which are only under IBM's copyright, and
               | there is nothing legally stopping IBM from supplying the
               | source code to those sections, but it doesn't want to.
               | Also, regarding the sections co-owned by Microsoft, I
               | wonder what the story is - did IBM ask Microsoft and get
               | told "No" (or "Yes" but only under non-viable
               | conditions)? Or did IBM never even bother to ask
               | Microsoft about it? I have no idea, but my gut tells me
               | the later may be more likely than the former.
        
             | skissane wrote:
             | OS/2 1.x was co-developed by IBM and Microsoft. There are
             | some resemblances between OS/2 1.x and Windows 3.x APIs,
             | because many of those APIs were actually designed by the
             | same Microsoft employees - for example, most OS/2 API calls
             | starting with Win* have a similarly named Windows 3.x API
             | call, just without the Win* prefix. (Despite similarities
             | like that, the APIs are incompatible; they probably would
             | have been more compatible if it were not for IBM's
             | influence - for example, OS/2 and Windows use different
             | coordinate systems in their graphics API, because IBM
             | insisted OS/2 had to use the same coordinate system as
             | IBM's mainframe graphics software, GDDM.)
             | 
             | Microsoft and IBM have cross-licensing agreements allowing
             | use of OS/2 code in Windows and vice versa. Microsoft used
             | this to include OS/2 compatibility components in old
             | versions of Windows NT (newer versions have removed it);
             | likewise, IBM used it to include a copy of Windows 3.x in
             | OS/2 to enable running Windows 3.x applications. (The
             | agreement did not include newer software they developed
             | after their breakup, so IBM wasn't allowed to use the
             | Windows 95 or Windows NT code in OS/2, nor was Microsoft
             | allowed to use OS/2 2.x and higher code in Windows.)
             | 
             | So, the odds of IBM trying to sue Microsoft over OS/2 APIs
             | in Windows is zero. It would be precluded by the licensing
             | agreement between them.
        
           | curt15 wrote:
           | Patents that make it into standards are still fair game for
           | licensing. If copyright is understood to apply to APIs
           | themselves (not just the text of the ISO documentation), then
           | why wouldn't a similar sort of licensing practice apply?
        
         | kevin_b_er wrote:
         | Anything from the era of IBM PC compatible computing could now
         | be owned directly by IBM as a copyrighted interface.
        
           | ch_123 wrote:
           | Thankfully there is very little of the PC or AT legacy left
           | in current computers. Even backwards compatibility with the
           | BIOS is starting to disappear from PCs.
        
             | infogulch wrote:
             | Are you sure? I thought Unix, for example, came from IBM
             | APIs. Many crusty APIs underpinning our systems today
             | originated from proprietary products that have been
             | preserved through caked layers of compatible interfaces,
             | like new cities built literally on top of old ones. Sure,
             | maybe the only APIs that are left are stuffed away deep in
             | some broom closet and we can just throw out the whole room,
             | but how sure are you that the APIs shuffled away in a dark
             | corner aren't vital components required to boot or
             | something?
        
               | trasz wrote:
               | IBM never got Unix. There was this saying about AIX, "it
               | will remind you of Unix". Unix as such came from Digital
               | hardware, although Digital as company had some
               | reservations adapting it.
        
         | agseward wrote:
         | IBM filed an amicus brief in support of Google -
         | https://www.ibm.com/blogs/policy/google-oracle-amicus-brief/
        
           | fanatic2pope wrote:
           | Doesn't mean they don't have a plan to profit if it goes
           | Oracle's way.
        
       | suff wrote:
       | The industry cares about platform compliance while minimizing
       | cost per transaction. When has IBM ever been competitive on that
       | metric and why is now any different?
        
       | Zenst wrote:
       | They shifted towards offering `services` more as in mid to late
       | 90's, this is just a logical progression down that demise of what
       | IBM once was.
       | 
       | But the mainframe regular income - that has always been a bit of
       | bread and butter for them and to wave that away, really.
        
       | pm90 wrote:
       | So it sounds like they're spinning out the Red Hat division as
       | the "new" IBM, and shedding the "old" IBM as a different unit?
        
       | TedDoesntTalk wrote:
       | Does the spin off include Red Hat which they only recently
       | purchased?
        
         | Graphguy wrote:
         | No
        
       | myrandomcomment wrote:
       | This is so sad. They have gone from one of the best HW / Systems
       | engineering companies in history to a lost giant managed by
       | people with finance degrees and no love for the engineering that
       | built them. At this rate, they will end up like GE and RCA.
       | 
       | This is a great loss.
        
       | gbasin wrote:
       | This is pretty smart. Cloud is driving the massive valuations for
       | MSFT and AMZN, a standalone company will get a higher multiple
       | here
        
         | johnward wrote:
         | Speaking as a former IBMer. I understand IBM wanting to be a
         | player in the cloud space but I'm not sure they ever will be.
         | Like who seriously uses IBM Cloud? I know some big corps
         | probably accidentally get IBM cloud credits with their large
         | IBM contracts but does anyone actually choose IBM in this
         | space?
        
           | LinuxBender wrote:
           | It also depends on what they mean by cloud. If cloud is their
           | Softlayer acquisition, I am not impressed.
           | 
           | I would love to see them build out a real cloud solution,
           | perhaps even using datacenters full of their z15's. I can't
           | imagine anyone competing with that on commodity hardware in
           | terms of deployment speed and connectivity speed between
           | instances in the same location. It would be crazy expensive
           | though and I doubt they would ever consider it and someone at
           | IBM would have to write a web interface / API into the system
           | that mimics the options of all the current cloud providers.
        
             | pm90 wrote:
             | They acquired RedHat, and with that came Openshift.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | kache_ wrote:
           | Also a former IBMer. IBM cloud has really good compliance for
           | "legacy type" customers. Things like banks and governments
           | where all of the hoops discredit other cloud providers.
        
           | nunez wrote:
           | I'll take a guess. DB2, mainframe, and Watson?
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | mrweasel wrote:
           | IBM bought the best hosting company, at the time, SoftLayer,
           | and transformed it into a the absolute worst.
           | 
           | I see where they're going, if they're trying to learn from
           | what went wrong with SoftLayer. IBM culture destroyed
           | SoftLayer, so if they want another go at cloud, they do need
           | that business to stay VERY fare away from the traditional IBM
           | and their consulting business.
        
             | vl wrote:
             | Oracle tried cloud couple times and failed, and finally
             | they opened huge cloud division in Seattle away from
             | corporate mothership.
        
             | pm90 wrote:
             | Softlayer was a one trick pony. They had the best bare
             | metals in the market. But their product was very poorly
             | built and extremely hard to scale out or add features to.
             | 
             | This is not unexpected. Startups will optimize for a few
             | use cases and deliver, get acquired on those strengths only
             | for the acquiring company to realize that ... the tech
             | isn't easily scalable.
        
           | treis wrote:
           | Much of IT spending is controlled by people that aren't
           | technical and don't really understand what they're buying. No
           | tech firm is going to choose IBM cloud but plenty of
           | corporations will.
        
             | Aperocky wrote:
             | Anyone who has been connected to the internet knows the
             | current cloud standards are set by AWS and Azure (maybe
             | with Google and Oracle thrown in there as decorations).
        
               | treis wrote:
               | Yeah but they're not really buying cloud. Theyre buying
               | applications +consulting + support along with the cloudm
        
             | libria wrote:
             | Even for non-tech corporations, only those with the grayest
             | of hair would consider IBM branding a safer bet than
             | AWS/Azure.
        
               | pm90 wrote:
               | Not really. If you're eg a Retail corporation, you would
               | not want to spend a dime on AWS. So it's usually not just
               | tech that's involved in making these decisions.
        
           | karambahh wrote:
           | I heard (from IBM sales people) that they do sell cloud
           | services to banks.
           | 
           | They are slowly replacing the mainframe contracts by
           | (private) cloud contracts
        
             | hchz wrote:
             | My unit in IB bought such a thing and didn't do anything
             | with the multi-million dollar outlay over the two years I
             | was there.
        
         | Nemo_bis wrote:
         | Even if Microsoft or Amazon multiples are out of reach, if it's
         | perceived as a shiny "cloud" company then it might get
         | something like the average of a popular ETF or index which
         | rides the "cloud" bandwagon, currently e.g. 3.5 on sales. With
         | sales of 77 G$ in 2019, and 25 % lost to the spinoff, new IBM
         | would get to 200 G$ of valuation, twice what it was before the
         | announcement. (Are investors this gullible? Maybe.)
         | https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-10-08/bm-spi...
        
         | tootahe45 wrote:
         | It seems smarter to focus on something the top tech companies
         | aren't all focusing on, especially when you were late to the
         | game and others have better engineering teams. There will
         | probably only be a few winners in the cloud wars..
        
           | gbasin wrote:
           | For IBM, that may not be true. They're a slow moving older
           | company. Their primary asset is their brand (for older
           | companies) and their distribution (their large network of
           | large clients).
           | 
           | That's a perfect opportunity to clone something and sell
        
           | johnward wrote:
           | I _think_ that 's what they attempted to do with Watson and
           | Watson Health, but it didn't take off the way they were
           | hoping. It seems like they were early in the "AI" space.
        
       | sunstone wrote:
       | Ah, the slow follower strategy.
        
       | dgudkov wrote:
       | Very interesting. As I understand it, IBM consistently avoids
       | high-competition low-margin markets and focuses on low-
       | competition, high-margin markets.
       | 
       | This makes sense to me. Apparently, IBM is not good at high-
       | competition/low-margin markets (and has never been), but they
       | have been a huge R&D powerhouse for decades and probably remain
       | so.
       | 
       | Now I think, the previous CEO should've done this split years
       | ago.
        
       | danielovichdk wrote:
       | Honest queston. What are IBM making money from?
        
         | bluedino wrote:
         | Governments and Fortune 500's. I see IBM branded POS systems
         | all over still.
        
         | jsperson wrote:
         | In our case they are milking the past - and doing a good job of
         | it. My current consulting customer has some kind of cloud
         | mainframe agreement with IBM as the result of an acquisition. I
         | don't know the specifics, but I'm integrating data off of it.
         | It's not easy to work with and a lot of tools don't support it.
         | My initial suggestion was migrating to AWS RDS, but there are
         | too many existing integration points and business rules coded
         | to make this cost effective. The cost of migration is something
         | like 20x the annual platform cost.
         | 
         | Edit: I should also point out that they provide stellar support
         | and a great transition from on site hardware to their cloud
         | service. They have always been great to work with - at an
         | appropriately high price.
        
         | 2OEH8eoCRo0 wrote:
         | Good marketing that dinosaurs high up the corporate ladder fall
         | for. I spend my day ssh'd into a Power 6 machine from a Windows
         | 7 machine and using Clearcase and DOORs. I wouldn't wish this
         | on my worst enemy.
        
       | jacquesm wrote:
       | So, where will Watson end up?
        
         | microtherion wrote:
         | "IBM, which has sought to make up for slowing software sales
         | and seasonal demand for its mainframe servers, said it would
         | now focus on open hybrid cloud and AI solutions"
         | 
         | It would seem to me that the latter would cover Watson.
        
       | danans wrote:
       | > IBM will list its IT infrastructure services unit, which
       | provides technical support
       | 
       | What does technical support mean here? The IT help desk services
       | that they marketed heavily about a decade ago, or all of their
       | on-premises related services?
        
       | maxharris wrote:
       | Which IBM is making the mainframes? I couldn't tell by reading
       | the press release.
        
         | shaftoe wrote:
         | Probably their "cloud" unit. Because renting time on a
         | mainframe is the same thing, right?
        
         | ehvatum wrote:
         | Sir, the answer to your query is available via the internal,
         | massive Java web application.
         | 
         | Unfortunately, the web application is down.
         | 
         | Everyone responsible has moved on to Google.
         | 
         | So, in answer, nobody knows and nobody can ever know.
        
       | DebtDeflation wrote:
       | Since there seems to be a lot of confusion as to what is being
       | spun off and what is being kept...
       | 
       | Think of IBM as:
       | 
       | - Hardware
       | 
       | - Software/Cloud
       | 
       | - Services
       | 
       | Within "Services" you have everything from business/management
       | consultants to application development teams to people who
       | support IT infrastructure for clients as part of outsourcing
       | arrangements.
       | 
       | It's that last group, Infrastructure Support, that is being spun
       | off.
        
       | munificent wrote:
       | I'm not a business person so forgive me if this is a dumb
       | question. But if you have a company with an underperforming
       | segment and you split it into two so you can spin off the worse
       | half... what does that mean for the new company that represents
       | that worse part? I can obviously see the upside for the business
       | that jettisons the dead weight.
       | 
       | But the dead weight is a company too. Does everyone who ends up
       | working there just sort of accept that now they work at a company
       | with worse financials and prospects?
       | 
       |  _Edit: All the replies are fantastic. Thank you._
        
         | rvn1045 wrote:
         | There is a lot of financial engineering that goes into
         | situations like this and you have to look into it on a case by
         | case basis. But often times investing in spinoff companies can
         | be very profitable. In fact spinoff companies outperform the
         | overall stock market - you can checkout the Bloomberg Spinoff
         | Index.
         | 
         | The book How to be a Stock Market Genius covers situations like
         | this and gives some tools to analyze them if you are interested
         | in learning more about it.
        
           | arthurcolle wrote:
           | Yup, that's a solid book on 'special situation investing' -
           | despite the lame title
        
           | sumtechguy wrote:
           | I think someone said there is two ways to make money.
           | Bundling and unbundling. This sounds like the second way.
        
             | ethbr0 wrote:
             | Attributed to Jim Barksdale: https://hbr.org/2014/06/how-
             | to-succeed-in-business-by-bundli...
        
               | sjg007 wrote:
               | This is underrated.. everyone interested in startups
               | should read this HBR interview.
        
           | tupputuppu wrote:
           | Large conglomerates like IBM usually trade their shares at a
           | discount because they're poorly managed due to the sprawling
           | size. Breaking businesses with little synergies usually makes
           | the separate pieces better managed and thus more valuable.
        
         | bob33212 wrote:
         | They have a conflict of interest between the groups.
         | 
         | The "Cloud/AI" group wants to sell the new buzzword products.
         | 
         | The "Infrastructure Group" wants to sell the low innovation
         | commoditized services and products.
         | 
         | The sales people from both groups would be telling opposite
         | stories on why you should go with them for your IT needs. So it
         | is easier to split them up and let them compete in the market
         | rather than compete internally . And it probably makes both
         | markets bigger in the long run because they can focus and
         | expand.
        
           | sjg007 wrote:
           | Not sure.. The business model is really hybrid cloud with
           | cloud being the endgame. As a traditional mainframe customer
           | you want your application to work both in house and in the
           | cloud. If you can move everything to the cloud and it's
           | managed for you, you don't really need IT services anymore.
        
         | groby_b wrote:
         | There's a lot of talk about how this is supposedly a good idea
         | for both sides, but here's what actually happens:
         | 
         | The people working in the "lesser" part take a _very_ close
         | look at who the new management is, and what their market
         | chances are. The most likely outcome here is  "meh".
         | 
         | At that point, most career-hungry people who have contacts in
         | the other side of the company start extending feelers, because
         | it's better to be in a growth area than in a steady ship if you
         | want to have quick career growth. The few who've also got
         | contacts outside the industry weigh the rest of the industry
         | for their prospects.
         | 
         | Meanwhile, middle management isn't stupid and knows this is
         | happening. Large turf wars break out, everybody trying to
         | secure the most interesting projects for their teams so they
         | can attract the best remaining people. The resulting office
         | politics drive most of the remaining people who have options
         | outside to leave as well, because it's a cesspit.
         | 
         | At this point you have created a solidly mediocre company.
         | It'll likely plod on for a long time, on a slow downward slope.
         | Every calculates what comes first, implosion or retirement, and
         | chooses accordingly.
         | 
         | Life is, for lack of a better word, solidly grey.
         | 
         | But sure, on paper it's a great opportunity for both sides.
        
         | tekkk wrote:
         | They can be bought or they can buy other companies that are
         | specialized in the same area for synergies. Also it is
         | generally easier to manage smaller organizations so the
         | underperforming half here could become a bit nimbler. Generally
         | speaking it helps when people have some clear focus were it a
         | company or life in general.
         | 
         | I'm not saying that these all are necessarily true here. Time
         | will tell. And about the people, if the culture was bad before
         | it would stay the same regardless. If it takes a turn for
         | worse, then I guess it was inevitable either way.
        
         | dpedu wrote:
         | The HP / HP Enterprise split a couple of years ago is another
         | example of this. Their messaging at the time wasn't so clear,
         | but it became obvious they were divorcing the successful
         | printer/office segments from the struggling enterprise ones.
         | 
         | > But the dead weight is a company too. Does everyone who ends
         | up working there just sort of accept that now they work at a
         | company with worse financials and prospects?
         | 
         | I was on the HPE side - pretty much! This typically doesn't
         | come as a surprise, though. The free swag with the new company
         | logo makes it a little better, though.
        
           | poulsbohemian wrote:
           | What was awful was that HPE had some solid products and could
           | have been a great company, but management at all levels was
           | _so bad_. I was at an HP partner at the time and it was years
           | of watching a train wreck as they muddled along running their
           | acquisitions into the ground.
        
           | microtherion wrote:
           | I was also thinking about HP, but a considerably earlier
           | split, when Agilent was spun off in the late 1990s. I think
           | the motivation was the same, to divorce the dynamic
           | printer/PC segment from the stagnant electronics segment.
           | 
           | But many people at the time thought Agilent was more in line
           | with traditional HP values than HP was, and over the long
           | run, they appear to have performed better than HP.
        
         | crazygringo wrote:
         | It's not really a "worse" part that's "dead weight".
         | 
         | Companies split when two halves just have such vastly different
         | objectives and futures that, at an organizational practical
         | sense, it no longer makes sense for the same
         | board/CEO/management to be running them together.
         | 
         | Splitting them up lets both halves select
         | boards/CEOs/management that is best for them, and pursue
         | strategies that are best separately. The "underperforming"
         | segment may now perform better now that it's free to use
         | AWS/Azure/Google cloud tools instead of just IBM's... it can
         | enter into strategic alliances it couldn't before... it can
         | merge with another company that wouldn't have made sense
         | before.
         | 
         | As for the people who work there... they're still employed so
         | nothing really changes day-to-day.
         | 
         | But the main point is that this _frees_ the  "worse part", if
         | you still want to call it that, to do what is _best_ for it. It
         | may very well turn out to thrive and be a huge success. It 's
         | still a normal business like any other.
         | 
         | If it were truly dead weight it wouldn't be spun off -- it
         | would be shut down and everyone would be laid off. The fact
         | it's being spun off or split means it's expected to be a viable
         | business on its own. Nobody can predict the future -- who
         | knows, it might outperform the cloud part long-term.
        
           | animationwill wrote:
           | >> The "underperforming" segment may now perform better now
           | that it's free to use AWS/Azure/Google cloud tools instead of
           | just IBM's...
           | 
           | The contrary point of view is that this means that either:
           | 
           | 1. crapIBM will need to pay betterIBM for access to continue
           | using the ERP, QRadar, Remedy, licenses, etc tools they use
           | today. This is better for betterIBM and worse for crapIBM
           | 
           | 2. crapIBM will need to stop using betterIBM's tools, and
           | have to quickly negotiate new licenses/tools and spend 6+
           | months of their first fiscal year just moving platforms
           | (moving SAP has often been a 2 year failed IT challenge, good
           | luck). This will make crapIBM continue to look worse, making
           | betterIBM's leadership look good for divesting themselves of
           | it.
        
             | pickle-wizard wrote:
             | I used to work for IBM. When working on customer
             | engagements the services teams are required to pay for IBM
             | software that it uses. This goes back to the consent decree
             | with the Justice Department after the anti-trust
             | investigation in the late 70s. So splitting up won't effect
             | that.
        
               | pfortuny wrote:
               | But (honest question) can the services business NOT offer
               | an IBM product?
        
               | 2sk21 wrote:
               | Most certainly - IBM will happily support software
               | products from companies with competing products like
               | Oracle and SAP in service agreements.
        
             | vosper wrote:
             | Why couldn't they just agree to let each other use the
             | other's tools for free / massive discount for some limited
             | period, or even in perpetuity? It doesn't have to be one
             | company shafting the other?
        
               | dragonwriter wrote:
               | > Why couldn't they just agree to let each other use the
               | other's tools for free / massive discount for some
               | limited period, or even in perpetuity?
               | 
               | A big point of splitting up is so that (in both
               | directions, to the extent that it applies) cross-unit
               | costs aren't baked into operations. Subsidies like you
               | suggest directly undermine that.
        
               | vl wrote:
               | Interesting, Google spun off many companies under
               | Alphabet umbrella, but essentially continues to provide
               | base tooling/compute/IT support to them.
        
               | megablast wrote:
               | You really need to look up the definition of words.
        
               | AnimalMuppet wrote:
               | That would be a more useful comment if you pointed out
               | the flaws in the definitions that vl is using.
        
               | dragonwriter wrote:
               | > Interesting, Google spun off many companies under
               | Alphabet umbrella, but essentially continues to provide
               | base tooling/compute/IT support to them.
               | 
               | Those aren't actually spinoffs in the sense of what IBM
               | is doing; "Google" was effectively just renamed
               | "Alphabet", with its core business in a new subunit
               | called "Google". They are all still within the same
               | corporate ownership structure. Its an _internal_
               | organizational change, not a separation into separately-
               | owned organizations.
        
               | alexdean wrote:
               | It's not that simple, for example Waymo has external
               | investors alongside Alphabet,
               | https://blog.waymo.com/2020/03/waymo-raises-first-
               | external-i...
        
               | marc__1 wrote:
               | Even if they 'spun off' businesses, they still have
               | transfer pricing schemes among each and every subsidiary
               | of Alphabet. This is just BAU for small and large
               | organizations
               | 
               | [1] https://www.pwc.com/m1/en/blog/intangibles-tax-risks-
               | opportu...
               | 
               | [2] https://prospect.org/economy/decisive-tax-defeat-for-
               | the-mul...
        
               | marc__1 wrote:
               | As a shareholder you may require the business to
               | guarantee that every deal negotiated with customers and
               | suppliers are defined on an arm's length basis or face
               | negligence or wrongdoing.
               | 
               | Every holding has transfer pricing [1] as BAU, and I can
               | assume that it is also the case for IBM
               | 
               | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transfer_pricing
        
               | dalore wrote:
               | That way betterIBM can extract as much value out of
               | crapIBM as they can.
        
             | bobthepanda wrote:
             | Well, as an example for the original POV, I believe
             | printerHP is doing much better than cloudHP. So it's
             | possible that cloudIBM will flame out.
        
               | kofejnik wrote:
               | I fully expect cloudIBM to be mostly irrelevant with
               | their watson and cloud vaporware; and boringIBM to do
               | boringly ok with their IT services
        
               | QuesnayJr wrote:
               | Is it clear that boringIBM will keep services, rather
               | than cloud IBM? I can't figure it out from the
               | announcement.
        
               | animationwill wrote:
               | I think you're right
        
             | crazygringo wrote:
             | When a company is spun off, oftentimes the parent company
             | still continues to own a minority stake, and/or
             | shareholders will wind up with shares in both.
             | 
             | It's in nobody's interest for "betterIBM" to succeed at the
             | greater expense of "crapIBM". With so much shared ownership
             | (at least in the medium-term, practically speaking),
             | shareholders want _both_ to succeed.
             | 
             | That's the whole point -- shareholders think both halves
             | will do better as separate entities, and it's in nobody's
             | interest for one half to exploit the other.
             | 
             | Surely your "crapIBM" will continue to have access to
             | "betterIBM"'s tools at a reasonable price, but they'll
             | _also_ be free to migrate to better ones, as they choose,
             | at the pace that is most profitable for them.
             | 
             | It's win-win because that's the entire point of the split
             | in the first place. The two resulting entities aren't even
             | competing with each other, they're in totally different
             | markets.
        
             | hamburglar wrote:
             | If you ever personally split up a company, I strongly
             | advise you to hire a branding consultant. :D
        
         | mceldeen wrote:
         | I know a couple of people who are in the process of riding
         | companies down, so to speak. They're pretty close to retirement
         | (if not already able to retire), they like their coworkers, and
         | are comfortable where they're at. They're happy to man the ship
         | as it slowly sinks. This might be the case for a good many
         | IBM'ers on the "underperforming " side.
        
           | jacquesm wrote:
           | That's roughly how I feel at times about our society as a
           | whole. We went up for 56 years and we've been going down for
           | the last 19.
        
             | WJW wrote:
             | Weirdly, I feel about the same but the downgoing part only
             | started around 2015. We met once at a company you were
             | doing due diligence at, so I happen to know that you are
             | about 15 years older than me. Maybe it's just an age thing
             | and we're getting grumpy? :)
             | 
             | After all, complaining about the state of the world
             | decaying goes back to at least the ancient Greeks.
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | Yes, but from the perspective of those Greeks they were
               | dead on! But good point about grumpy old people :)
               | 
               | Nice to meet you again, mail in profile.
        
               | the-dude wrote:
               | Were you thinking about Plato or Socrates?
               | 
               | Apparently, both didn't say this :
               | https://quoteinvestigator.com/2010/05/01/misbehave/
        
               | WJW wrote:
               | I was thinking of one of those, it's a shame they
               | apparently did not say it. However, I recently learned
               | that the Torah apparently also claims that each
               | generation is more degenerate than the last so perhaps I
               | can fall back onto that :)
        
         | nabla9 wrote:
         | It's not underperforming segment. It's just naturally lower
         | margin business segment. Splitting it off to new owners and
         | CEO's who are interested developing the business to different
         | directions increases the value of that business.
         | 
         | IBM has done this before. They sold personal computer business
         | to Leonovo in 2005.
        
         | guenthert wrote:
         | I read the article and it doesn't make sense to me, but I
         | wouldn't expect it to, as I know next to nothing about
         | business. I however expect this to be similar to the
         | Siemens/Infinion Technologys split a number of years ago: there
         | might have been administrative reasons, but at least as
         | important was the appearance to potential investors. Siemens
         | (and IBM) are huge, diverse, slow moving entities with
         | comparatively stable outlook and correspondingly low
         | expectations of gains, while Infinion (and the new former IBM
         | Cloud entity) are younger, more specialized, riskier, but
         | potentially much more profitable companies, which attract a
         | different crowd of investors / investing strategies.
        
         | unishark wrote:
         | It's more like dumping a great business making a lot of money
         | to focus the company on the sexy hot thing with higher
         | projected growth that will hopefully attract a much higher
         | stock valuation.
        
         | aj7 wrote:
         | Chinese buy it and happily run it.
        
         | varjag wrote:
         | Oftentimes it's more like a corporate equivalent of divorce.
         | 
         | There are distinct, often contradictory interests. Each half
         | figures it's the other one dragging them down, which might be
         | true completely, partially, or not at all. And it's clear who
         | has their head in the clouds in this case ;)
        
         | flurben wrote:
         | It does not directly answer your question, but an illustrative
         | example is DuPont's spinoff of Chemours in 2015.
         | 
         | Chemours was loaded with "assets" like dangerous chemicals, and
         | their accompanying lawsuits. (One phrase used in a later
         | lawsuit was: "unlimited exposure for historical DuPont
         | liabilities")
         | 
         | Chemours' market cap was initially valued at $3b and quickly
         | crashed to $0.75b. But then Trump was elected, it started
         | looking like the liability from dangerous chemicals would be
         | less than previously believed, and eventually this company,
         | which was designed to fail because of open-ended liabilities,
         | was valued as high as $10b.
         | 
         | https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/CC/chemours/market...
        
         | Phobophobia wrote:
         | Honeywell divested from the defense sector a couple decades
         | ago, spinning off "Alliant Techsystems" and sending debt along
         | with the new company. ATK went on to be successful, merged with
         | Orbital Sciences as equals (2015), and then was acquired by
         | Northrop Grumman (2018). Financial Engineering, as one
         | commenter put it, is quite nuanced and interesting.
        
         | jpm_sd wrote:
         | Have you ever worked at a really big company?
         | 
         | If you're in the under-performing division, you already know.
         | You've already accepted that you work there. You feel it in
         | your bones.
        
         | goatinaboat wrote:
         | _But the dead weight is a company too. Does everyone who ends
         | up working there just sort of accept that now they work at a
         | company with worse financials and prospects?_
         | 
         | Yes, this is a thing https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bad_bank
         | 
         | No reason any company can't do it, not just banks
        
         | ivalm wrote:
         | Yeah, the jettison something that is too valuable to just
         | shutdown, but if you are part of that org unless it turns
         | around it will suck.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | pmart123 wrote:
         | There is a very real risk that companies spin off completely
         | dead weight (see Honeywell's spinoff of Garrett). eBay spinning
         | off PayPal a few years ago is an example on the opposite end.
         | Assuming the management team is acting in good faith, it
         | usually is because the two divisions lack synergies and have
         | different potential growth trajectories and paths. For
         | instance, the fast growing division might not be able to spend
         | enough money because investors view the overall company as a
         | slow, stable grower while the stable division is upset that the
         | fast growing division is sucking up its profits to grow. In
         | cases like these, it might not be a dead business, but
         | something like eBay.
        
       | rkagerer wrote:
       | _We divested networking back in the '90s, we divested PCs back in
       | the 2000s, we divested semiconductors about five years ago_
       | 
       | Is it just me or does anyone else feel over the decades they've
       | been divesting some of the best (long term) building blocks? A
       | company with vertically integrated silicon, compute, networking,
       | cloud, AI, Enterprise etc. seems like it could have such an edge
       | if only they had focused those engineering capabilities on
       | consolidated, high-margin end products.
       | 
       | I see the other big players going the opposite direction. e.g.
       | Google and Amazon are building their own silicon for an edge in
       | Cloud and AI.
       | 
       | So-called SexyIBM is just another cloud company without a
       | distinguishing barrier to entry. Sure, their growth will look
       | good on paper for a few years, but when Cloud becomes
       | commoditized (which I think is already happening), the
       | capabilities which could have created the kind of real innovation
       | that opens up whole new industries will have all been cleaved
       | away.
        
         | btilly wrote:
         | They really had no choice about divesting PCs. IBM was on
         | Microsoft's bad side so was being charged more for Windows than
         | competitors, and PCs already had razor thin margins. After they
         | sold off their PC business, Microsoft had no reason to charge
         | extra for Windows and that became a viable company.
        
           | seunosewa wrote:
           | > IBM was on Microsoft's bad side so was being charged more
           | for Windows than competitors
           | 
           | I thought the DoJ investigation stopped Microsoft from doing
           | such things. What am I missing?
        
           | ansible wrote:
           | IBM killed their own PC business by going with the MCA bus,
           | and not allowing 3rd parties to make expansion boards without
           | a license. And the PS/2 series was quite expensive at the
           | time.
        
         | chromatin wrote:
         | Yes, this quote stuck out for me immediately as I thought of
         | the custom network hardware run at Google, AWS, etc.
        
         | dreamcompiler wrote:
         | IBM used to be an engineering-first company. But people are
         | expensive and engineers are some of the most expensive people
         | there are. So when the bean counters took over IBM, they
         | decided to get rid of their expensive people and replace them
         | with cheap, fungible labor. Then IBM embarked on a series of
         | experiments about how they could continue to make money with
         | said cheap labor. This is the result.
        
           | ASalazarMX wrote:
           | The pitch must have been like "hey guys, do you want to make
           | some products, or do you want to make some money?"
        
           | Accujack wrote:
           | Very well put. The same management philosophy happened to
           | Boeing, and I think more quietly to many companies thought
           | too big to fail in the last 50 years.
        
             | kelnos wrote:
             | The difference on impact is interesting. Boeing is an
             | important company because they are one of a tiny number of
             | companies that makes the world's commercial airplanes.
             | Arguably their transformation into a useless junk-heap of a
             | company that can't build good products has been underway
             | for a while, and that's a huge problem for aviation.
             | 
             | IBM is one of many, and their decline wouldn't really
             | matter all that much in the grand scheme of things.
        
           | drawkbox wrote:
           | Hard to create value when ditch or reduce power from the
           | value creators and end up nothing but value extractors.
           | 
           | Companies taken over and run by value extractors
           | (finance/business/marketing) over the value creators
           | (engineers/product/creatives) end up in this stagnated,
           | picked apart state when the grace from the value creation or
           | product wears off.
           | 
           | Value extractors need to learn that you must first create
           | value before you extract it. The reason value extractors
           | originally were attracted to the project/product is usually
           | that it has created value.
           | 
           | R&D has very little value to an MBA so it is cut, but long
           | term it is all the value of the company. Value extractors
           | kill the whales before they even can grow up.
        
           | bsder wrote:
           | > IBM used to be an engineering-first company.
           | 
           | I would argue that this was _never_ true--even from
           | inception. _HP_ was an engineering-first company--not IBM.
           | 
           | IBM was about sales and marketing--they would rent and
           | finance equipment for you even _way_ back.
           | 
           | Now, IBM had world-class engineering, but people forget that
           | a _lot_ of the major companies had great engineering until
           | the 1980s.
        
             | TheCondor wrote:
             | This is very true. It was even proudly stated in new
             | employee orientation when I joined the company in the late
             | 90's.
             | 
             | It was always sales oriented and engineering was something
             | they had to do to deliver some of the things they sold.
             | This may be the first CEO that was actually an engineer.
        
         | Accujack wrote:
         | IBM is going to fade away.
         | 
         | They're divesting lower performing (but not money losing)
         | ventures in order to not hide the performance of their higher
         | performing pieces. This is so they can show the unsustainable
         | growth that stock holders (still) demand from corporations.
         | 
         | They'll look great on paper for a while as you say, at least
         | until their cloud business fails for some reason. When you
         | average growth over a whole company, you do mask high
         | performing parts with low performing ones... the same is true
         | of cash flow and revenue.
         | 
         | If you get rid of parts of your company that are solid
         | performers but aren't doing as well now, then you're getting
         | rid of some of your safety net in the hope you won't need it.
         | 
         | IBM's most impactful business (in terms of wide use) is
         | probably their research labs. Many, many chips today use SOI
         | and copper interconnect technologies. That sort of research
         | doesn't apply much to the cloud, but maybe they're hoping their
         | AI stuff will.
        
         | agumonkey wrote:
         | Let's call them Elppa Corp.
        
           | segfaultbuserr wrote:
           | I prefer HAL Corp.
        
         | lizknope wrote:
         | IBM still designs their own silicon.
         | 
         | They still make chips in the POWER architecture and the Z
         | architecture for mainframes.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/POWER9
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/POWER10
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IBM_z15_(microprocessor)
        
           | nradov wrote:
           | IBM failed to leverage their silicon designs for driving down
           | their cloud costs. As long as the IBM cloud runs mostly on
           | third-party hardware they have no sustainable competitive
           | advantage.
        
             | Zenst wrote:
             | Sony PS/3 was a bold move though in that vain.
        
             | gridlockd wrote:
             | Running on third-party hardware is leveraging _comparative_
             | advantage. Like Itanium, POWER is more expensive and there
             | are very few reasons you would want to run on it.
             | Definitely not a good fit for Cloud.
             | 
             | Full vertical integration isn't necessarily good business.
             | Even Apple doesn't do its own manufacturing.
        
           | pm90 wrote:
           | Additionally, the article doesn't mention IBM research, which
           | I assume will continue to stay with IBM.
        
           | mywittyname wrote:
           | IBM is a very capable company when it comes to technology
           | R&D. But they've always seemed to struggle to develop those
           | capabilities outside of high-end consulting work.
           | 
           | IBM had the technical chops to create the likes of ARM,
           | nVidia, or any number of big tech companies. They just never
           | seemed to have the leadership capabilities to get out of
           | their comfort zone. I understand the idea of keeping a
           | business focused, but Alphabet and MS don't seem to struggle
           | with managing a diverse portfolio of companies.
        
             | mulmen wrote:
             | I wonder how IBM looked at 22 and 45 years old.
        
               | relaxing wrote:
               | The answer probably depends on where you define the
               | "birth" of IBM - the founding of the companies that
               | merged to create IBM, the date of the merger, or the date
               | they changed the name and/or began producing business
               | machines with the name "IBM" on them.
               | 
               | In the context of the thread, it's reasonable to say that
               | both at 22 and 45 IBM had strong leadership (Watson Sr.)
               | that successfully managed a diverse group of
               | subsidiaries. Although in neither case are there any
               | products like a modern digital computer involved.
        
               | boogies wrote:
               | Like Nazi allies, according to some Holocaust survivors:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IBM_and_the_Holocaust
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IBM_during_World_War_II.
        
               | rusk wrote:
               | At 45 I guess they were expanding into Europe.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | GnarfGnarf wrote:
               | Yep, selling Hollerith card equipment to Germany in the
               | 30's and 40's.
        
               | mulmen wrote:
               | That math doesn't work out. IBM was formed in 1911. 45
               | years old would be 1956.
               | 
               | Also doing business in Europe in the 1930s doesn't mean
               | that's when they _expanded_. That business could have
               | been decades old by then.
               | 
               | Some quick reading of the history of IBM and subsidiaries
               | suggests they were doing business in Europe by the 1920s.
        
           | dn3500 wrote:
           | I've been trying to figure out whether the mainframe business
           | is being spun off or retained as part of this split. Haven't
           | been able to figure out whether IBM even manufactures this
           | equipment. I know they outsource the chip fab now. I'm not
           | even sure what the mainframe is called any more, they seem to
           | change the name every couple of years. IBM Z? zSeries? System
           | Z? Something with a "Z" in it I think.
        
         | justapassenger wrote:
         | Vertical integration is a hot term, but unless you have long
         | term monopoly in the market, it's more likely to be a losing
         | strategy. If you bet on wrong direction, you're in much deeper
         | troubles, as you cannot switch to other vendor that went other
         | direction (switching vendors is also hard, but much easier than
         | rebuilding and catching up on your internal R&D).
         | 
         | And you lose power of market and economy of scale. Vendors can
         | focus on developing their tech to be better, for everyone, as
         | they get bigger R&D budgets, and you can just focus on
         | improving things that are your true market advantage, not
         | fighting in commodities market.
         | 
         | Note, that doesn't mean that IBM is doing right thing. But
         | vertical integration is extremely overhyped.
        
           | gigatexal wrote:
           | Yeah. Mainframes are arguably the most vertically integrated
           | products there are and yet they're a dying breed in a rent-
           | maximizing at best industry than a growing one.
        
         | heimatau wrote:
         | > A company with vertically integrated...seems like it could
         | have such an edge
         | 
         | Yes but I guess it was the IBM board whom decided that they
         | could better invest in the money with various initiatives.
         | IMHO, they are now (and for ~15 yrs) only choosing a safe
         | route, not an innovative route.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | all_blue_chucks wrote:
         | IBM is just a conglomerate of neglected acquisitions that share
         | branding ("watson" etc.). It hasn't been a single coherent
         | company in decades.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | tupputuppu wrote:
         | The pieces they've divested haven't been valuable as part of
         | IBM. They've fit their new owners businesses better. Thus
         | they've been more valuable with their new owners, which is why
         | IBM sold them.
        
         | bluedino wrote:
         | It's funny how back in 2005, IBM sells their PC/server division
         | to Lenovo. Lenovo is currently the largest PC maker. During
         | this time Dell has been bought and sold and re-bought.
        
           | jcheng wrote:
           | "Largest PC maker" has been a pyrrhic title for many years
           | now. Lenovo's market cap is $8 billion, Dell's is $51
           | billion.
        
             | frank2 wrote:
             | And IBM's is currently $117 billion.
        
             | ogre_codes wrote:
             | Yep.
             | 
             | And the value of Dell's business isn't in selling PCs, it's
             | in other services around the PC.
        
           | rbanffy wrote:
           | Lenovo's margins are still razor-thin. The thing that bothers
           | me most about IBM keeping POWER and Z is that I can't afford
           | either, because the margins are eye-watering.
        
             | StillBored wrote:
             | Fine, thin margins. So grow your market share and revenue,
             | which is exactly what they did.
             | 
             | Since ~2005 they have ~5x'ed their revenue. Which is pretty
             | significant if you consider one of IBM's big problems has
             | been declining revenue. Proving the problem with the
             | business wasn't the business itself but IBM management.
        
           | JohnL4 wrote:
           | Lenovo is chinese, right? How many other (big) chinese
           | companies have been through Dell's cycle as you describe it?
        
             | marmaduke wrote:
             | Where is Dell making its computers? When I track shipments
             | they seem to be coming from China.
        
               | rbanffy wrote:
               | I don't think they make their own hardware. They design
               | it and then farm out manufacture.
        
               | symlinkk wrote:
               | What do they even design? All of the components inside
               | their computers are off the shelf products from other
               | companies.
        
               | vel0city wrote:
               | Speaking of their servers, their motherboards and chassis
               | seem to be of their own design. Often times these layouts
               | are pretty proprietary and designed exactly around the
               | design of the chassis. They do some level of
               | customization of firmware on the devices they go with, as
               | there's usually Dell firmware on things like hard drives
               | which integrates more with their own management tools.
               | Arguably their software stack of actually managing fleets
               | of their hardware is something they design, along with
               | the actual remote access controller systems they put on
               | the boards.
        
               | criddell wrote:
               | Clayton Christensen has written and talked about how Dell
               | sold their business piece-by-piece. Each individual step
               | seemed like a good move - it lowered costs and increased
               | profits. Until one day the companies they outsourced to
               | had it all and they started selling better computers for
               | less money than Dell.
               | 
               | https://www.forbes.com/sites/stevedenning/2011/11/18/clay
               | ton...
        
         | ansible wrote:
         | > _We divested networking back in the '90s, we divested PCs
         | back in the 2000s, we divested semiconductors about five years
         | ago_
         | 
         | Motorola followed that path. They sold off their computer
         | business in the early 1990's. Analog electronics (On Semi), and
         | then the semiconductor business (Freescale, now NXP). Finally,
         | they split the government biz (Motorola Solutions) from the
         | phones, and that was first sold to Google, and what remained
         | then went to Lenovo.
         | 
         | Motorola was a gigantic powerhouse, and through mismanagement,
         | is a shadow of what it was. Such a shame.
        
         | momokoko wrote:
         | IBM has not been a "company" in decades.
         | 
         | It is a financial engineering project. When you see it through
         | that lens all of this makes much more sense.
        
           | setpatchaddress wrote:
           | That's a real shame. Most large, old American companies have
           | fallen into that trap. Notably RCA (gone) and GE (going).
           | 
           | I hope Apple doesn't eventually succumb. Tim Cook's successor
           | matters.
        
             | DocTomoe wrote:
             | Apple is already on it's way to the trashheap. There's a
             | reason why innovation has essentially stopped and now comes
             | down to "a few megapixels more in the camera", while
             | quality control - both in their hardware as well as their
             | software - has taken a big hit.
             | 
             | I guess they will succumb faster than the old Xerox-age
             | market leaders, because they are not focussed on consulting
             | (= making other companies believe their constantly
             | syphoning money from them brings value).
        
               | nemothekid wrote:
               | > _There 's a reason why innovation has essentially
               | stopped and now comes down to "a few megapixels more in
               | the camera"_
               | 
               | How is literally designing your chips to a point where
               | they could be desktop class to replace x86 not
               | innovation? What other company is doing this?
               | 
               | I can't imagine a "finance company on the out" deciding
               | that they will bring all chip development in house.
        
               | echelon wrote:
               | > _How is literally designing your chips to a point where
               | they could be desktop class to replace x86 not
               | innovation?_
               | 
               | That's more a sign that the company wants more profit by
               | owning the top to bottom stack.
               | 
               | Perhaps they saw the existing chipsets as not delivering
               | what they wanted or not scaling to fit demand, but it's
               | still an investment not directly tied to product (their
               | core competency).
        
               | mschuster91 wrote:
               | > That's more a sign that the company wants more profit
               | by owning the top to bottom stack.
               | 
               | They pretty much had their hands tied. Intel failed to
               | deliver for years now, and AMD never had a competitive
               | offer on mobile and still does not.
        
               | chipotle_coyote wrote:
               | > That's more a sign that the company wants more profit
               | by owning the top to bottom stack.
               | 
               | Is bringing mobile/embedded and now desktop-class CPU
               | design in-house really something one does as a cost-
               | saving measure? Apple wants _control_ over their entire
               | stack, and sure, that relates to their business as a
               | whole, but if this was _solely_ about profit maximization
               | surely there would be better strategies.
               | 
               | > it's still an investment not directly tied to product
               | 
               | I'm not sure I follow your reasoning here. Are you
               | arguing it's not a direct investment because the CPUs
               | aren't products in and of themselves, but rather
               | components for other products? If so, I don't agree --
               | Apple's investment in, say, case tooling/manufacturing
               | processes and equipment exclusive to their products is
               | surely an investment directly tied to those products,
               | right? The CPUs are likewise components exclusive to
               | Apple products. That seems to me to be a pretty direct
               | investment.
        
               | scottlocklin wrote:
               | >How is literally designing your chips to a point where
               | they could be desktop class to replace x86 not
               | innovation? What other company is doing this?
               | 
               | IBM for one; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Z/Architecture
               | 
               | I mean you asked, and it was obvious. Z is a more
               | interesting architecture by far than the turd Apple is
               | shipping.
        
               | hugi wrote:
               | I recently started developing my own chips and put them
               | on all my desktops. Thinly sliced potato, hot oil, a bit
               | of salt... Delicious.
               | 
               | Seriously though, some people just don't like Apple and
               | they make a lot of noise about it.
        
               | drfuchs wrote:
               | There's 2 trillion USD betting that you're wrong, and
               | virtually zero betting that you're right (AAPL Short
               | Percent of Float = 0.00% as per Nasdaq). Buy some puts
               | and you'll make a killing.
        
             | mulmen wrote:
             | Apparently GE sold off _trains_ which seems like a pretty
             | good business to own?
        
               | jonas21 wrote:
               | Out of all the business lines GE has sold off over the
               | years (computers, appliances, financial services,
               | lighthing, television, etc.), why _trains_?
        
               | ahi wrote:
               | The business lines you offered as examples are low margin
               | commodities or stuff GE really sucked at. Trains seems
               | like a reasonable high margin line of business for a
               | company that is actually good at industrial engineering.
        
               | mulmen wrote:
               | They needed cash and it's a profitable business so they
               | sold it.
        
               | senko wrote:
               | GE was a slow-mo train wreck for years (pun intended).
               | 
               | Recently read "Lights out", about their problems in the
               | last ~20 years, fascinating read, heartily recommended.
        
               | cultus wrote:
               | And yet Jack Welch somehow came to be looked upon as a
               | management guru instead of someone who gutted the long-
               | term viability of GE in favor of financialization.
        
               | loganfrederick wrote:
               | Luckily I think history is doing its job in changing how
               | Jack Welch's legacy will be remembered. I don't think
               | students or upcoming businesspeople are really learning
               | Welch's approach anymore.
        
               | beambot wrote:
               | GE Transportation still exists, just in a different form.
               | It's called Wabtec:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wabtec_Corporation
               | 
               | Just because it didn't retain the name "GE" doesn't mean
               | the business is gone.
        
               | mulmen wrote:
               | Yes it exists but GE doesn't own it.
        
               | charwalker wrote:
               | If it was train lines including rail ownership I can see
               | why they would want to drop out. Logistically that's a
               | nightmare unless it's totally private.
               | 
               | Then again around here the rail lines are mostly owned by
               | grain/grass farmer groups who ship product by rail and
               | can load from their farm directly. Passenger lines that
               | share the rails wait for those trains.
        
               | mulmen wrote:
               | It was the business that builds trains.
        
           | boris wrote:
           | Exactly, IBM is a company run by finance, not technical
           | people. They survive despite, not because of what they do.
        
             | cmsj wrote:
             | Not to nitpick, but the current CEO has a PhD in Electrical
             | Engineering and started working at IBM Research in 1990.
        
               | Supermancho wrote:
               | I'm sure lots of people at IBM have EE degrees throughout
               | it's existence. That hasn't caused the company to behave
               | any differently. When approached by IBM to help my
               | company build out our cloud infrastructure, we had
               | salient measured targets and the reps (and subsequent
               | "technical people to answer our questions") who presented
               | were woefully inept. I was the Director of Engineering,
               | what did they think they were doing pitching me
               | butterflies and rainbows? What IBM has done for decades,
               | like all the other parasitic remnants of industry
               | (Oracle, Yahoo, arguably Apple, etc), and no CEO is
               | changing that culture.
        
               | ezequiel-garzon wrote:
               | _like all the other parasitic remnants of industry
               | (Oracle, Yahoo, arguably Apple, etc)_
               | 
               | Would you mind sketching the case for Apple as an
               | example?
        
               | pishpash wrote:
               | They are indeed incompetent, since a large chunk of
               | competent people won't go there any more. But what kind
               | of financial voodoo is keeping them afloat? Is it another
               | Sears in waiting?
        
               | whymauri wrote:
               | The CEO is one piece of the administrative puzzle for a
               | company that large (>100k employees).
        
             | Sylamore wrote:
             | can confirm, IBM (GTS at least) has more people dedicated
             | to ensuring you _project_ your future billable hours and
             | will directly reduce your performance rating for not
             | providing the projections every 2 weeks than if you miss
             | client deliverables consistently.
        
               | 1MachineElf wrote:
               | You're absolutley right about GTS, but it's clear that
               | the services offerings from IBM aren't what top level
               | commenter here is praising.
        
               | sushshshsh wrote:
               | good thing its much easier to project future billable
               | hours compared to actually delivering value quickly in
               | 2020 ^.^
        
           | edem wrote:
           | Can you elaborate on that? I worked for IBM for a little more
           | than a year and it was deeply disturbing, but I don't really
           | understand what's happening under the hood.
        
             | Minor49er wrote:
             | Can _you_ elaborate on what was deeply disturbing about
             | your experience? Your comment has me curious.
        
             | bob33212 wrote:
             | Large companies allocate some percentage of their budget to
             | "modernization" or "IT improvements" IBM tries to grab as
             | much of that budget as possible and then to spend a little
             | money as possible internally delivering results. So they
             | end up selling "Watson AI" or implement a "24/7 Cyber
             | Security Operation Center". They don't give a shit how
             | useful or long term successful those products or services
             | are. They only care about how big the contract is and how
             | high their margins are on the contracts.
        
               | echelon wrote:
               | Why is IBM's stock soaring? This is the sign of a dead
               | company barely walking.
               | 
               | Furthermore, IBM has been in this state since the 90s,
               | right? How are they still lumbering around? Why do
               | companies fall for their sales pitch?
        
               | plorkyeran wrote:
               | IBM's stock is down 30% since 2013 and is only up 10%
               | from its post-dotcom crash 2000 number. They pay decent
               | dividends so it's been an okay place to park some money,
               | but it's the opposite of soaring.
        
               | bob33212 wrote:
               | IBM stock is performing terribly compared to other
               | technology companies from 15 years ago GOOG,AMZN,APPL.
               | 
               | They deliver a good story to other inefficient companies.
               | Those companies can tell their board that the "new Watson
               | AI will optimize their operations in Q4"
        
         | stefan_ wrote:
         | That sentence struck me as well, mostly because people continue
         | to make tons of money in networking, "PCs" and semiconductors.
         | It's not that they didn't "fit the integrated value
         | proposition", it's that IBM has terrible leadership.
         | 
         | No bets needed for what band of clowns will lead the hip,
         | "value proposition" part of the company of course.
        
           | grouseway wrote:
           | How about this then: IBM realized they're a bunch of clowns
           | and can't compete in these industries so they made the smart
           | move and got out.
        
         | jacobwilliamroy wrote:
         | Vertically integrated monopolies are inefficient because
         | practically, what you really have in a vertically integrated
         | monopoly is a bunch of separate companies, all following a
         | single, centralized entity and paying tribute to that entity.
         | There is an opportunity for profit here, for shareholders, but
         | very little room to actually improve technology, provide
         | utility to users. Every product in that monopoly becomes less
         | of a computer, more of a mouse-trap to keep people in the
         | ecosystem. If your monopoly has even a single component which
         | can interoperate with other monopolies, then you're basically
         | subsidizing a whole layer of infrastructure.
         | 
         | Plus this practice paints a huge target on your back for anti-
         | trust action, as you are seeing now with the other monopolies.
         | The bigger your monopoly gets, the more potential profit there
         | is for whatever government agent can bust you up. This could
         | result in promotion, christmas bonus, maybe even a corner
         | office with a window. Very high stakes.
        
         | kevindong wrote:
         | Vertical integration is high risk, high reward in that if each
         | component in the stack is a market leader in their industry,
         | the overall company becomes exponentially more valuable.
         | 
         | On the other hand if any component is non-competitive, the
         | other components in the stack are still obligated to give that
         | unperformant component their business. Which reduces the
         | pressure to perform and causes the overall company to gradually
         | become less competitive.
         | 
         | I think a good example of this would be Intel designing chips
         | and also owning the fabrication plants. It's no secret that
         | Intel has been to fabricate their chips for a while now.
        
         | SkyMarshal wrote:
         | That was my first impression too. It was extraordinary that
         | that comment was said positively by the CFO, rather than
         | critically by a shareholder or journalist.
         | 
         | Apple, Google, Amazon are all proving the value of vertically
         | integrated product lines, while IBM chooses short-termism.
        
         | dralley wrote:
         | >I see the other big players going the opposite direction. e.g.
         | Google and Amazon are building their own silicon for an edge in
         | Cloud and AI.
         | 
         | IBM still designs chips - what they divested was their
         | semiconductor manufacturing (fab) business.
        
           | Accujack wrote:
           | They actually design tech that goes in other companies'
           | chips.
        
         | lsllc wrote:
         | Like Boeing there are too many MBAs and not enough engineers in
         | charge!
        
           | Graphguy wrote:
           | I see this type of comment thrown around a bit, but a quick
           | pass of the senior management suggests otherwise.
           | https://newsroom.ibm.com/executive-bios? Not a whole lot of
           | MBAs and a decent amount of engineers.
        
             | sushshshsh wrote:
             | Ask those managers when the last time they wrote a line of
             | production code was :)
        
               | ponker wrote:
               | Even the most technical CEOs like Bill Gates stopped
               | writing code pretty early in their careers
        
               | [deleted]
        
             | rhizome wrote:
             | If you loosen your sense of "MBA"...
             | 
             | - Rometty (Chair): Technical degrees, held technical
             | positions for first 10yrs at IBM, then in sales for the
             | 90s, two decades working primarily with finance customers
             | and she worked the PWC acquisition.
             | 
             | - Krishna (CEO): EE, Idea guy.
             | 
             | - Whitehurst (Pres): MBA
             | 
             | - Boville (SVP Cloud): Business degrees (UK)
             | 
             | - Browdy (SVP Legal): IP attorney
             | 
             | - Foster (SVP Services): Art degree, Accenture guy
             | 
             | - Gherson (SVP): Management degrees
             | 
             | - Gil (Dir IBM Research): EE/CS
             | 
             | - Kavanaugh (CFO): MBA
             | 
             | - Got bored
             | 
             | One trait is pretty dominant: decades at IBM
        
               | lol636363 wrote:
               | You don't need MBA to have MBA mindset. A lot of computer
               | science grads use their degree to get foot in the door
               | and then move into management positions.
               | 
               | At IBM, to do anything you need to get permissions from 5
               | different semi-tech approvers. They have not done any
               | real work in a while but read a few blog posts and come
               | up with their own policies that contradicts each other.
               | It is a pita to want to produce high quality code.
               | 
               | And that is just middle management. All those people
               | higher up can define tech words but hardly anyone can
               | actually explain the definition of those tech terms.
        
               | x87678r wrote:
               | Ironically Whitehurst came from Red Hat.
        
               | Graphguy wrote:
               | The loosening lens is a bit of strawman argument. I would
               | hope someone at the level has experience with the
               | business side of things... Pichai and Nadella weren't
               | tapped to run their business straight after shipping a
               | release.
               | 
               | Also, Howard joined in May (which is an important
               | one...because this press release is about Cloud not about
               | HR/patents.)
        
           | ethbr0 wrote:
           | Yeah! Why differentiate in quality, when we can blame all
           | holders of a type of degree?!
        
             | skolsuper wrote:
             | It's perfectly fair. If they had hired all chefs into upper
             | management, one could say "too many chefs and not enough
             | engineers!", regardless of the quality of the chefs.
        
               | jodrellblank wrote:
               | Only if you think "Master of Business Administration" and
               | "Chef" convey equal amounts of business administration
               | skill. The exective board page linked above is 22 people,
               | even if all of them held MBAs could it really be that 22
               | expert business administrators is too many for a global
               | company with 350,000 employees?
        
             | wahern wrote:
             | "The secret of Costco's success revealed! (hint: no MBAs
             | need apply)", https://washingtonmonthly.com/2013/06/09/the-
             | secret-of-costc...
             | 
             | "... Costco does not hire business school graduates--thanks
             | to another idiosyncrasy meant to preserve its distinct
             | company culture. It cultivates employees who work the floor
             | in its warehouses and sponsors them through graduate
             | school."
             | https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2013-06-06/costco-
             | ce...
        
         | 1MachineElf wrote:
         | As a former IBMer, I completely agree with that sentiment.
         | Little of what IBM is _good at_ is _sexy_ but that doesn 't
         | change the fact that they lead on many vertically integrated
         | things. Turning back on those things will hurt them in the long
         | run.
        
           | rbanffy wrote:
           | IBM still has plenty of sexy hardware stuff - mainframe and
           | POWER (AIX not so much) are pretty impressive.
           | 
           | That z/OS has tens of millions of lines of code surprised me
           | the other day. It's not like it needs to support 23 brands of
           | mouse and dozens of GPU architectures.
        
             | devdas wrote:
             | It's backwards compatible to really old versions. It
             | wouldn't surprise me if 70% of that code was emulators for
             | previous versions of the OS.
        
               | segfaultbuserr wrote:
               | Even IBM S/360 is still being emulated.
        
               | trasz wrote:
               | There's not much compatibility for old versions of the OS
               | - IIRC anything older than the hardware itself is not
               | supported at all. Backwards compatibility is for user
               | code.
        
         | rafaelturk wrote:
         | Couldn't agree more! I actually believe that only the divested
         | business unit, NewCo, will survive
        
       | johnnyAghands wrote:
       | Wow I literally handed in my two weeks today -- this is either a
       | very good move or bad... I'm thinking good still.
        
       | prepend wrote:
       | Is there ever an example of this working out well? Either for the
       | "good part" that is kept? Or the "bad part" that doesn't get to
       | keep the name?
       | 
       | The only one I can think of is Phillip Morris International,
       | Kraft, and Altria that all split out of Phillip Morris. But I
       | think that was because of all the tobacco litigation.
       | 
       | I've seen this happen quite a bit and it always seems to be a
       | sign of a declining company. IBM splitting off Lenovo and disk
       | units. HP splitting off enterprise/automatic.
       | 
       | These kind of transformations just seem like accounting tricks
       | for restructuring debt away from some parts into others. It's
       | curious how this split has $5B planned in expenses. That seems
       | really high.
       | 
       | Maybe Google successfully bought and then shot out Motorola and
       | Boston Dynamics. Their Alphabet reorg didn't seem to actually
       | change companies.
        
         | reducesuffering wrote:
         | eBay and PayPal
        
         | Nemo_bis wrote:
         | Just this week, spinning off Siemens Energy created about 15
         | GEUR of paper money out of thin air.
         | https://www.reuters.com/article/us-siemens-energy-spinoff-id...
        
       | balozi wrote:
       | How well is this plan working out for HP/HPe?
        
       | envolt wrote:
       | Remind me of the Andrew's Intel story, when they decided to stop
       | focusing on memory and moved entirely to building micro-
       | processor, which worked out pretty-pretty well for them.
       | 
       | Looks like it's best of both word situation for IBM.
        
       | manicpolymath wrote:
       | I'm curious what the new name will be. I want it to be
       | International Cloud Business Machines (ICBM).
        
         | cblconfederate wrote:
         | HAL
        
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