[HN Gopher] War Elephants, Part II: Elephants Against Wolves (2019)
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       War Elephants, Part II: Elephants Against Wolves (2019)
        
       Author : plat12
       Score  : 91 points
       Date   : 2020-10-23 15:38 UTC (7 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (acoup.blog)
 (TXT) w3m dump (acoup.blog)
        
       | jungletime wrote:
       | I would like to see wild elephants in a national park in the US.
       | You can't really say they are not part of the eco system when
       | mammoths only disappeared during the last ice age. Its basically
       | the difference between a hairless cat. There are still plants
       | around that relied on elephants to propagate them (osage orange)
        
       | nickbauman wrote:
       | _" Moreover, the Roman elephants were smaller African elephants,
       | effectively useless against the large Asian elephants the
       | Seleucids used"_
       | 
       | I thought African elephants were larger than Asian elephants?
        
         | rendall wrote:
         | I was _just_ coming here to comment on this. The blog _is_
         | "Unmitigated Pedantry" after all so I think this kind of detail
         | would be appreciated
        
           | strulovich wrote:
           | It is mentioned in one of the captions.
        
         | z3phyr wrote:
         | There were two kinds of African Elephants; one from North
         | Africa were domesticated and became extinct due to
         | overexploitation. North African elephants were very small and
         | lightly built compared to Asian varieties.
         | 
         | The White African Elephants of the Savanah, to which we all are
         | familiar were never domesticated.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_African_elephant
        
           | thaumasiotes wrote:
           | > were domesticated and became extinct due to
           | overexploitation
           | 
           | That would be a highly unusual trajectory.
           | 
           | Were they really domesticated? Indian elephants were never
           | domesticated either, because it's more cost-effective to
           | capture them from the wild than to invest the decades it
           | takes to rear a calf in captivity.
           | 
           | And this sort of arrangement is vastly more conducive to
           | extinction through overexploitation than domesticating the
           | animal would be.
        
             | DavidAdams wrote:
             | My guess is that these elephants weren't actually
             | domesticated, but rather tamed. That is, as with Asian
             | elephants, they were captured in the wild rather than
             | raised in captivity.
        
       | smogcutter wrote:
       | It's interesting that his analysis of war elephants has a lot of
       | parallels to his thoughts about chemical weapons. In the hands of
       | a sufficiently advanced military, both are an expensive,
       | complicated solution in search of a problem, and both are easily
       | neutralized by a peer competitor.
       | 
       | https://acoup.blog/2020/03/20/collections-why-dont-we-use-ch...
        
         | padobson wrote:
         | _both are easily neutralized by a peer competitor._
         | 
         | This is what I was thinking the whole time. Rome was surrounded
         | by peer competitors, and OP says their most effective use of
         | elephants was against non-peer competitors like Spain or Gaul.
         | 
         | So why would competitors continue to use elephants? Not because
         | Roma was susceptible, but because THEIR boarder competitors
         | were susceptible.
         | 
         | Elephants were not worth it to defeat well-trained troops, but
         | were more than worth it to defeat smaller, less disciplined
         | armies/militias.
         | 
         | My guess is that Rome's peers were often using elephants to
         | keep smaller competitors in check, and only used them against
         | Rome because they happen to have them anyway.
        
           | dddddaviddddd wrote:
           | > So why would competitors continue to use elephants?
           | 
           | Not specifically for Rome's competitors, but elephants were
           | kept also for prestige reasons in other regions, as described
           | in this follow-up article:
           | 
           | https://acoup.blog/2019/08/09/collections-war-elephants-
           | part...
        
           | mcguire wrote:
           | IIRC, horses.
           | 
           | Cavalry can't be used around elephants unless the horses are
           | specifically trained to be around elephants. Rome itself of
           | the Republican/early Imperial era didn't use cavalry,
           | although some of their allies did. As a hypothesis, those
           | using elephants may have been fighting entities that used
           | cavalry.
        
         | sandworm101 wrote:
         | >>in order to produce mass casualties in battlefield
         | conditions, a chemical attacker has to deploy tons - and I mean
         | that word literally - of this stuff.
         | 
         | While I do agree with much of what this guy has to say about
         | elephants, he is totally wrong about chemical weapons. We don't
         | use mustard gas because it would indeed require tons of gas and
         | be ineffective, but chemical weapons have evolved in the last
         | _100 years_. Modern chemical weapons do not need tons.
         | 
         | Novichok literally translates to "new thing". Such nerve agents
         | were developed in the 60s/70s/80s. Infinitesimal amounts of
         | this stuff will kill. Hazmat suits and gas masks are irrelevant
         | when one _gram_ might contain 5000 lethal doses.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Novichok_agent#Effects_and_cou...
        
           | smogcutter wrote:
           | The wikipedia article for sarin gas is also extremely
           | frightening, but the example Bret gives of the Tokyo subway
           | attack shows that it's probably less effective than
           | advertised in a modern military context. The bar isn't "is
           | this stuff deadly", it's is it deadly enough to overcome the
           | expense, complication, and incompatibility with highly mobile
           | modern doctrine to make it worth using on a militarily
           | relevant scale over conventional options.
           | 
           | I'm certainly no expert, so I'm not going to go any further
           | with "is this poison poisonous enough", but that wikipedia
           | article at least doesn't seem to make the case.
        
             | sandworm101 wrote:
             | The tokyo attack was unprofessional. A military attack
             | would be exponentially more effective. Sarin is also tame
             | compared to some of the more nasty stuff out there.
        
               | cortesoft wrote:
               | Is it nastier than a conventional explosive weapon,
               | though, at least for military purposes?
        
               | jcranmer wrote:
               | How would militaries be exponentially more effective? As
               | far as I'm aware, the military can't magically change the
               | laws of gaseous diffusion.
        
               | Retric wrote:
               | A major avenue of research in chemical weapons was
               | efficient delivery.
               | https://fas.org/programs/bio/chemweapons/delivery.html
               | 
               | But to simplify, you don't just release a gas on it's own
               | you need a dispersal system like an explosive.
        
           | jcranmer wrote:
           | Well, how much does it take to create a cloud of poisonous
           | gas that is sufficiently concentrated to induce lethality and
           | also spreads reasonably quickly that people can't escape it?
           | 
           | Bret gives the example of the Tokyo terrorist attack that
           | released sarin in several crowded subway cars... and killed
           | 12 people. Grenades would have killed far more people far
           | more quickly... and that's the point: chemical weapons are
           | far less effective at delivering death than explosives are.
           | 
           | Edit: Wikipedia gives 7mg/m3 for a lethal concentration for
           | one of the Novichok agents, 28mg/m3 for sarin.
        
             | Retric wrote:
             | Dispersal is a well studied problem:
             | https://fas.org/programs/bio/chemweapons/delivery.html
             | 
             | But to simplify, cluster mutinous are more effective vs
             | troops than a single large detonation. Similarly, rather
             | than starting from a single source you want to spread the
             | weapon from a large number of points. By comparison to
             | 7mg/m3 a 1 metric ton weapon could ideally cover a square
             | kilometer to a thickness of 30m and concentration of
             | 30mg/m3.
             | 
             | Notably, exposure time plays a major role in lethality so
             | covering a wider area makes it much harder to escape from.
        
           | autocorr wrote:
           | That's not the main point in the series on chemical weapons
           | though. The main point is that modern armies are mobile and
           | well equipped ("the modern system") and that chemical weapons
           | are only well suited to stationary, fixed opponents that are
           | poorly equipped. However, if you are fighting fixed position,
           | poorly equipped opponents there are better and cheaper
           | alternatives that pose less of a risk of self-harm (and war
           | crimes).
           | 
           | In both the posts about elephants and chemical weapons, the
           | theme is the same: they are not useful nor practical given
           | the circumstances so the states make the rational decision
           | not to use them.
        
         | thaumasiotes wrote:
         | > It's interesting that his analysis of war elephants has a lot
         | of parallels to his thoughts about chemical weapons.
         | 
         | Well, both technologies find themselves in the same situation;
         | they are well understood by the militaries of their day, and
         | those militaries have no interest in using them. It's not
         | surprising that the same results might come about for the same
         | reasons.
        
       | Abishek_Muthian wrote:
       | During early wars between Islamic army vs Persian army in 634 AD,
       | war elephants were crucial strategic weapons employed on the
       | Persian side to rattle the horses of their opponents as the
       | horses of Islamic army had never seen an elephant before.
       | 
       | Though the strategy worked, Persian side still lost as the
       | Islamic army regrouped and specifically targeted the carriage
       | harness to topple the rider, blinded the elephants and made them
       | run amok causing disarray within Persian faction or straight away
       | killed the elephants with skilled warriors[1].
       | 
       | [1]https://youtu.be/r2cEIDZwG5M?t=3863
        
         | fakedang wrote:
         | To be fair to the Persian elephants, a large part of the
         | Islamic victory against Persia was not because of any superior
         | skill but because of severe infighting among the Persians. When
         | the Arabs invaded, Persia was literally in the middle of a
         | civil war. Soldiers and generals would betray their commanders
         | midway during battles, and there was often zero coordination.
         | 
         | The Romans on the other hand... lots of hubris and
         | underestimating. There were some brilliant strategies employed
         | by the Arab generals that are even thought in military schools
         | to this day. For example, the time when Khalid bin Walid
         | conquered the walled city of Antioch - without siege weaponry,
         | but by drawing the Romans out by cunning.
        
       | faitswulff wrote:
       | I'm really appreciating the video game references - literally the
       | article mentions the cost of elephants relative to horses in the
       | Total War and Imperator series:
       | 
       | > Let's take Total War: Rome II as an example: a unit of Roman
       | (auxiliary) African elephants (12 animals), costs 180 upkeep,
       | compared to 90 to 110 upkeep for 80 horses of auxiliary cavalry
       | (there are quite a few types) - so one elephant (with a mahout)
       | costs 15 upkeep against around 1.25 for a horse and rider (a 12:1
       | ratio). Paradox's Imperator does something similar, with a single
       | unit of war elephants requiring 1.08 upkeep, compared to just
       | 0.32 for light cavalry; along with this, elephants have a heavy
       | 'supply weight' - twice that of an equivalent number of cavalry
       | (so something like a 2:1 or 3:1 ratio of cost).
       | 
       | > Believe it or not, this understates just how hungry - and
       | expensive - elephants are. The standard barley ration for a Roman
       | horse was 7kg of barley per day (7 Attic medimnoi per month; Plb.
       | 6.39.12); this would be supplemented by grazing. Estimates for
       | the food requirements of elephants vary widely (in part, it is
       | hard to measure the dietary needs of grazing animals), but
       | elephants require in excess of 1.5% of their body-weight in food
       | per day. Estimates for the dietary requirements of the Asian
       | elephant can range from 135 to 300kg per day in a mix of grazing
       | and fodder - and remember, the preference in war elephants is for
       | large, mature adult males, meaning that most war elephants will
       | be towards the top of this range. Accounting for some grazing
       | (probably significantly less than half of dietary needs) a large
       | adult male elephant is thus likely to need something like 15 to
       | 30 times the food to sustain itself as a stable-fed horse.
        
         | fakedang wrote:
         | Can confirm.
         | 
         | Back in India, my grandparents had a driver who later won the
         | lottery. He used the winnings to buy two elephants, what he
         | thought were a good investment (elephants are regularly rented
         | out for expensive sums to temples for functions and
         | celebrations).
         | 
         | Now he's a driver once more. But he has two elephants tho.
        
         | bitbckt wrote:
         | Many of his video game or (current, pop) cultural references
         | seem to stem from the challenges he faces teaching students for
         | whom these references are their only exposure to pre-modern
         | ideas.
         | 
         | But they are fun. :)
        
       | mcguire wrote:
       | " _Livy - who appears to be quoting Polybius, a contemporary of
       | the battle - is quite clear what he thinks of the elephants, "For
       | as new inventions often have great force in the words of men, but
       | when tried, when they need to work, and not just have their
       | working described, they evaporate without any effect - just so
       | the war elephants were just a name without any real use." (Liv
       | 44.41.4, my rough translation)._ "
       | 
       | Livy's comments apply to so many things....
        
       | ekanes wrote:
       | Definitely interesting, but the post isn't about elephants vs
       | wolves (no wolves are mentioned!) but about why the Romans didn't
       | adopt the use of elephants in war.
       | 
       | TLDR; Despite being theoretically SUPERBADASS (my words),
       | elephants are only somewhat effective against prepared armies,
       | but are expensive and hard to maintain, especially compared to
       | horses.
        
         | z3phyr wrote:
         | The Wolves are representative of the Romans!
         | 
         | Legend has it that the founders of Rome were raised by a she
         | wolf! A lot of roman cultural items have an imagery of the she
         | wolf.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Romulus_and_Remus
        
           | ekanes wrote:
           | Oh, of course. Sigh. Thanks.
        
         | smogcutter wrote:
         | The wolves in this case are the Romans themselves (The wolf
         | being a symbol of Rome thanks to the Romulus and Remus myth).
         | republican light infantry wore wolf pelts, and legionary
         | standard bearers wore animal pelt headdresses, including
         | wolves.
        
           | ekanes wrote:
           | Thanks!
        
         | wavefunction wrote:
         | And the elephants were explicitly linked to three war-elephant
         | using states absorbed by the Roman Empire, Carthage, Ptolemaic
         | Egypt and the Seleucid Empire.
        
       | doytch wrote:
       | If anyone is new to his blog and finds this series entertaining,
       | his series on Sparta is amazing and incredibly insightful:
       | https://acoup.blog/tag/sparta/
        
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