[HN Gopher] Deep Frozen Arctic Microbes Are Waking Up
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Deep Frozen Arctic Microbes Are Waking Up
        
       Author : jonbaer
       Score  : 174 points
       Date   : 2020-11-21 17:07 UTC (5 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.scientificamerican.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.scientificamerican.com)
        
       | echelon wrote:
       | > Permafrost thaw in Siberia led to a 2018 anthrax outbreak and
       | the death of 200,000 reindeer and a child.
       | 
       | This is terrifying and not hypothetical.
        
         | lixtra wrote:
         | To be precise, the 200,000 reindeer were culled [1].
         | 
         | [1]
         | https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10393-020-01474-z...
        
           | nojs wrote:
           | Full paper: https://sci-
           | hub.se/downloads/2020-02-04/2c/10.1007@s10393-02...
           | 
           | This presents some alternate hypotheses for the outbreak and
           | claims Anthrax is fairly unique in its ability to survive
           | repeated freeze-thaw cycles.
        
           | animal_spirits wrote:
           | Thanks for pointing that out. For the unfamiliar (like me a
           | few seconds ago) culling means "to reduce or control the size
           | of (something, such as a herd) by removal (as by hunting or
           | slaughter) of especially weak or sick individuals " [1]
           | 
           | [1] https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/cull
        
         | CraigJPerry wrote:
         | >> This is terrifying
         | 
         | Why?
         | 
         | It's definitely concerning but is it in the same league as say
         | the fact America appears to have lost desire to retain its
         | leadership in the world? Are we ready for another country to
         | decide to take a shot at that role? That sounds like a
         | terrifying prospect to me because i just can't see that
         | happening without bloodshed.
         | 
         | In years gone past, whatever the crisis, America would step up
         | and lead. Over the past few years it's chosen, as is its right
         | to do so, to step back from world leadership (trade, peace
         | keeping, covid response, immigration, climate change, etc etc)
         | 
         | What about a super volcano eruption tomorrow, we know one is
         | coming but we don't know when yet we do very little to prepare
         | for it, e.g. post massive disaster food crop growing research
         | etc.
         | 
         | What about the fact that electrical grids are creaking at the
         | seams today in many countries and that we know it only takes
         | around 2 weeks of no electrical grid to reach catastrophic
         | changes to way of life (hospitals offline, perishable food
         | supplies mostly gone, commerce halted etc etc)
         | 
         | The really terrifying things don't get much in the way of
         | discourse. How can this possibly be in the same league as the
         | terrifying stuff we're a bit scared to talk about because there
         | aren't really any great answers and there's no way to predict
         | when so we have an easy way to ignore it all.
        
           | markdown wrote:
           | > In years gone past, whatever the crisis, America would step
           | up and lead.
           | 
           | Many would argue that America was the one who created many of
           | those crises in the first place.
           | 
           | American capitalism has led the world to the brink of
           | destruction by climate change, so a loss in status is
           | absolutely warranted.
           | 
           | > The really terrifying things don't get much in the way of
           | discourse. How can this possibly be in the same league as the
           | terrifying stuff we're a bit scared to talk about because
           | there aren't really any great answers and there's no way to
           | predict when so we have an easy way to ignore it all.
           | 
           | A super volcano eruption is beyond our control, so there's no
           | point getting worked up about that. Nothing else pales in
           | comparison to the destruction that's coming as a direct
           | result of USA turning a blind eye to climate change.
        
         | bigbubba wrote:
         | Anthrax is found in the soil around the world and generally
         | effects grazing animals like livestock, deer, etc. It is not
         | contagious and isn't something you should lose sleep worrying
         | about. It captures the public's attention because it has been
         | weaponized.
         | 
         | https://www.cdc.gov/anthrax/basics/index.html
        
           | chordalkeyboard wrote:
           | > Although it is rare in the United States, people can get
           | sick with anthrax if they come in contact with infected
           | animals or contaminated animal products.
           | 
           | > Anthrax is not contagious, which means you can't catch it
           | like the cold or flu.
           | 
           | I'm not sure what the technical definition of "contagious" is
           | here but I'm also not sure its helpful when you can catch the
           | disease from an infected animal.
        
       | f_o_m wrote:
       | The sci-fi novel "Mind Painter" explores this in depth - good,
       | scary stuff!
        
         | shishy wrote:
         | Hi,
         | 
         | Where can I find this book? Is it this one (coming out next
         | month)? https://reedsy.com/discovery/book/mind-painter-tom-b-
         | night/u...
         | 
         | Thanks.
        
           | f_o_m wrote:
           | It recently came out and is on Amazon here:
           | https://www.amazon.com/Mind-Painter-Tom-B-
           | Night/dp/B08NDVJ3C...
        
       | zygotic wrote:
       | Fighting, what some call, Mother Nature is essentially futile.
       | Surely this is a lesson takeaway from Global Warming et al.
        
       | based2 wrote:
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pithovirus
       | 
       | https://www.arte.tv/fr/videos/079940-000-A/permafrost-la-bom...
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | cute_boi wrote:
       | Hmm I think I read a similar article like 6 months ago and it's
       | quite sad to read :(. And the more irritating issue is I know
       | many people who deny climate change / global warming by saying
       | earth has always faced climate change.
        
       | feralimal wrote:
       | "Rockabye baby, on the tree top..."
       | 
       | Don't worry about me, just getting those microbes back to bed...
        
       | nosmokewhereiam wrote:
       | "Mycoremediation is the bioremediation technique which employ
       | fungi in the removal of toxic compounds; it could be carried out
       | in the presence of both filamentous fungi (moulds) and macrofungi
       | (mushrooms). Both classes possess enzymes for the degradation of
       | a large variety of pollutants"
       | 
       | Maybe Paul Stammets, Michael Pollan, and the entire next
       | generation of mycology experts can find a way to sporolate these
       | areas in an effective way. Even if it just encapsulates and
       | doesn't eliminate, it's still something.
        
         | kleer001 wrote:
         | Might be time for some Nausicaa of the Valley of the Wind style
         | remediation
        
       | Method-X wrote:
       | Would be a fitting end to 2020; super COVID released from ancient
       | arctic ice.
        
         | strictfp wrote:
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fortitude_(TV_series)
        
         | randycupertino wrote:
         | Perhaps we'll do better for the "next" pandemic now that we
         | have the infrastructure in place and learned some lessons from
         | COVID? Maybe I'm grasping for silver linings and being too
         | optimistic towards humanity...
        
           | ggambetta wrote:
           | One of the lessons that I've learned from this pandemic is
           | that despite overwhelming evidence and over a million deaths,
           | there's a non-trivial amount of people who still believe it's
           | not real, or who refuse to wear a mask, or who protest
           | against the few, mild, reasonable measures we can take to get
           | through this alive. So if anything, my faith in humankind has
           | gone down :(
        
             | knowaveragejoe wrote:
             | Conspiracy culture is a huge problem in modern society that
             | I fear we won't be able to solve
        
             | franklampard wrote:
             | only in the U.S.
        
               | quickthrowman wrote:
               | Incorrect: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Protests_over_
               | responses_to_t...
        
               | bearburger wrote:
               | Unfortunately I see these peoples around in Russia. My
               | estimation of anti-maskers is about 10-15% of population
               | here. Mostly 35-55 males who thinks that wearing a mask
               | is the sign of weakness and/or keeps saying that COVID is
               | "just a flu" and those who died would have been dead
               | anyway in 2-3 month if not from COVID then from something
               | like common cold. Even recent death of 28 y/o school
               | teacher and 23 y/o political activist didn't change their
               | mind.
        
               | voqv wrote:
               | Pictures of the September Moscow marathon make me think
               | even the government are some kind of anti-maskers
        
               | trhway wrote:
               | a good mask will help when you're occasionally visiting
               | an infectious patient in a hospital. There is nothing,
               | short of full bio-defense suit, that can help in the
               | densely packed Moscow (or any other large Russian city)
               | subway or bus, and the people in the country have no
               | resources for any prolonged lockdowns. Add to that that
               | the top people in Russia, like in any other country,
               | receive highly personalized healthcare, and that means
               | that they have practically no risk of death from Covid as
               | it is a very treatable given enough resources (antibody
               | injection, etc. under very personalized treatment
               | resulting in just few days of "bad flu" - i.e. while
               | infection-wise Covid doesn't distinguish much, outcome-
               | wise it is very socially unequal decease).
        
               | strogonoff wrote:
               | > There is nothing, short of full bio-defense suit, that
               | can help in the densely packed Moscow (or any other large
               | Russian city) subway or bus
               | 
               | A mask is very effective and is worn for others, not
               | yourself. At any point in time you might be carrying
               | asymptomatic or not-yet-symptomatic COVID. Your mask
               | prevents your saliva from flying in the air around you,
               | protecting people near you and their parents/susceptible
               | relatives this might get passed on to.
               | 
               | And if it's against your interest when emergency
               | healthcare can't help your sick child because they have
               | not enough resources due to COVID patients, then over
               | long term wearing a mask is actually for yourself, too.
        
               | trhway wrote:
               | >A mask is worn for the others, not yourself.
               | 
               | so, imagine one "other" without a mask and everybody
               | around in masks (actually "face coverings" which allow
               | air in/out from sides) commuting everyday in a densely
               | packed bus. Do you think that "other" has much improved
               | chances when aggregated over several months? (again, i'm
               | not arguing against proper mask's efficiency during
               | occasional exposure)
        
               | admax88q wrote:
               | Yes, I don't see why they wouldn't. If everyone is
               | wearing masks then the likelihood of transmission is
               | lower. Also the viral load of any transmission may also
               | be lower, which could improve the outcome.
        
               | lenkite wrote:
               | One of the big problems is that early in the Pandemic,
               | the WHO, Fauci and most media said that Masks were
               | useless. This was repeated several times. The turn-around
               | occurred later and nobody apologised for their earlier,
               | incorrect stances.
        
               | shakna wrote:
               | > One of the big problems is that early in the Pandemic,
               | the WHO, Fauci and most media said that Masks were
               | useless.
               | 
               | No, the problem was that people took the statement that
               | we didn't yet have the evidence on efficacy to mean that
               | masks were useless.
               | 
               | Not having evidence... Means that things can go either
               | way. And the WHO didn't even stop by saying no evidence,
               | they said no evidence, and then went ahead and said it
               | might help anyway.
               | 
               | > Although there is no evidence that this is effective in
               | reducing transmission, there is mechanistic plausibility
               | for the potential effectiveness of this measure. - WHO
        
               | jsjohnst wrote:
               | > The turn-around occurred later and nobody apologised
               | for their earlier, incorrect stances.
               | 
               | Fauci has widely explained why he felt it was justified
               | at the time, admitted he was wrong, and apologized. Like
               | when I just started to do a search to provide sources, it
               | autocompleted the query even. Probably similar for the
               | other sources you named, so I encourage you to do some
               | research if interested.
        
               | ethbr0 wrote:
               | SARS-CoV-2 is pretty perfectly calibrated to hide in
               | people's inability to comprehend statistics and
               | probability.
               | 
               | High transmission rate + (relatively) low complication /
               | death rate = ideal conspiracy fodder
        
               | jbay808 wrote:
               | Certainly happening in Canada too, even though COVID has
               | basically been treated by the government and opposition
               | parties as a non-partisan issue, federally and in every
               | province, as far as I'm aware.
        
             | gastroturf wrote:
             | The brain is part of the immune system.
        
             | bnt wrote:
             | We can no longer use the phrase "avoid like the plague"
             | because, well, COVID-19 deniers.
        
             | samiru wrote:
             | Well, a crisis situation (be it real or manufactured) is a
             | perfect vehicle for driving all kinds of agendas. It is
             | natural there is some opposition.
        
             | titzer wrote:
             | The most pressing problem we have is not Coronavirus, it's
             | Moronavirus.
        
             | irrational wrote:
             | The fact that people can be literally dying from COVID in a
             | hospital yet still deny its existence has almost totally
             | destroyed any faith I have in humanity.
        
               | Barrin92 wrote:
               | good friend of mine is a nurse. She has seen people in
               | the ER with Covid deny that it exists too. There's people
               | currently on oxygen who go "nah that doesn't exist I
               | don't have it, the media made that up". So yeah
        
               | ethbr0 wrote:
               | Thankfully, life has a way of selecting against people
               | who fail to act to preserve their own.
               | 
               | (Said as someone whose fiance is an ICU nurse)
        
               | rriepe wrote:
               | Social Darwinism, alive and well on HN...
        
               | ISL wrote:
               | This is actual Darwinism.
        
               | jlokier wrote:
               | Unfortunately that doesn't work so well for a disease
               | whose main source of risk to each person is the behaviour
               | of other people.
        
               | phs318u wrote:
               | On a different time scale it does. It's selecting against
               | groups/societies that reward, value or permit the kinds
               | of behaviours and belief systems that allow such doggedly
               | wilful ignorance to flourish.
        
               | imperialdrive wrote:
               | Millions upon millions die around the world each year due
               | to poor choices. Don't let a fraction of that amount
               | getting a bad flu change your outlook. Humanity is doing
               | just fine. Could be better, could be worse, but take a
               | slow walk around the block and I think you'll agree.
        
               | sorokod wrote:
               | Place your faith in natural selection.
        
               | Misdicorl wrote:
               | In addition to being ugly, this sentiment is pretty
               | misguided. The selection pressure is _far_ too mild to
               | have any evolutionary impact.
               | 
               | To whit: covid selects primarily against individuals
               | beyond their reproductive age, selects far too small of
               | the population (unless we see these deaths continue for
               | decades), and is only _mildly_ selecting for anti mask
               | populations.
        
               | rriepe wrote:
               | Anyone who treats science as a religion ends up with a
               | pretty terrifying morality.
        
               | 411111111111111 wrote:
               | You can remove science from that statement and it'll
               | still be true. Whoever derives their morality from
               | religion will at times behave pretty abhorrently.
               | 
               | Thankfully nowadays even people claiming they do so often
               | actually don't. I.e homosexuality is amoral according to
               | the texts, but society moved on for the most part.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | randmeerkat wrote:
               | What helps me to keep faith in humanity is imagining
               | being alive during Galileo's time. How suffocating it
               | must have been for him to find everyone everywhere
               | rejecting science..? Sure we have a large number of
               | people now that don't believe in masks, vaccines, etc..,
               | but keep in mind that the majority of the popular vote in
               | the US voted for someone that does believe in science.
               | Progress is being made, just sometimes it requires a step
               | back to see it.
        
               | kortilla wrote:
               | > majority of the popular vote in the US voted for
               | someone that does believe in science
               | 
               | Why would Trump support accelerated vaccines if he didn't
               | believe in COVID and science?
        
               | randmeerkat wrote:
               | Why would Trump's administration and Trump himself be so
               | anti-masks if they believed in science?
        
               | adamsea wrote:
               | Do you yourself truthfully believe that Trump wanted to
               | make policy decisions based on the best science
               | available?
        
               | Swenrekcah wrote:
               | They know COVID is real and they almost certainly believe
               | in science. They just don't care if it doesn't line their
               | pockets.
        
               | ralph84 wrote:
               | Yeah well back when YouTube started censoring videos
               | suggesting a connection between vitamin D deficiency and
               | covid it became pretty clear times are not particularly
               | changed from Galieo's.
        
               | cyberlurker wrote:
               | Could you provide a source please? Were the videos making
               | claims that taking Vitamin D would protect against COVID
               | or some other misinformation, or were they legitimately
               | talking about mortality rates of those with v.D
               | deficiencies?
               | 
               | I think there is a clear difference in private platforms
               | stopping the spread of misinformation (you aren't free to
               | use their platform to spread information harmful to
               | society) and what happened to Galileo.
               | 
               | But I am making an assumption because I don't actually
               | know what videos you are referring to.
        
               | randmeerkat wrote:
               | The fact that YouTube exists at all shows how much things
               | have changed since Galileo.
        
               | dtech wrote:
               | Censoring? De-monetizing maybe but they do that with
               | every video mentioning Covid no matter the contents.
        
               | vagrantJin wrote:
               | > majority of the popular vote in the US voted for
               | someone that does believe in science
               | 
               | You're an optimistic one. They would have voted for a
               | three legged donkey with a nose ring and gold tooth. As
               | long as it wasn't DJT.
        
               | randmeerkat wrote:
               | The thing that surprises me about modern politics is how
               | much hate there is. I wonder if it was always this bad,
               | or if the internet just shines a light on what was always
               | there.
        
             | x87678r wrote:
             | Elon Musk is one person who is one person who thinks the
             | restrictions are too strict. So maybe it is sensible for
             | younger people to keep working and living near to normal.
        
               | jaynetics wrote:
               | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ad_hominem
        
               | saiya-jin wrote:
               | Musk is a brilliant guy in many things, but psychotic
               | weirdo in many others. Glad we have him, but no way he
               | should be a model role to young folks who often can't
               | cherry-pick the good aspects of character from flawed and
               | dangerous ones, and rather think in absolutes.
        
               | Kye wrote:
               | Elon Musk is on track to become the Martian John McAfee.
        
               | cyberlurker wrote:
               | I totally agree on Musk, but I think you could say
               | similar things about many "role models". We're just going
               | to need to teach young folks that people are complex. In
               | situations like these I think about how Dave Chappelle
               | speaks of Bill Cosby.
        
             | xellisx wrote:
             | This was apparently learned in 1918 also.
        
             | netsharc wrote:
             | Fefe (a prominent German Internet commentator) posted a
             | user's email yesterday which shows 3 perspectives I really
             | haven't given much thought to.
             | 
             | The Google translation is pretty good, one big mistake
             | though, it mistranslated "Asi-Kindern" as "Asian children"
             | instead of "asocial kids": https://translate.google.com/tra
             | nslate?sl=auto&tl=en&u=http%... . And Case 1 is someone who
             | builds booths for conventions.
             | 
             | A lot of people are going through the "denial" phase of
             | grief and loss, although I wonder if this is valid for the
             | people who showed up with guns at state capitols...
        
               | ativzzz wrote:
               | These perspectives make a lot of sense. The livelihoods
               | of people who depend on non-pandemic circumstances are
               | either destroyed or are on death's door. It's a lot
               | easier for us working jobs that are easy to transition to
               | remote and are mildly inconvenienced by the pandemic.
               | 
               | Hopelessness, stress and uncertainty all take huge mental
               | tolls on us, and rejecting covid can help these people
               | cope with this malaise.
        
               | rdiddly wrote:
               | That sounds more like the anger phase. Or maybe
               | bargaining, ha!
        
             | hef19898 wrote:
             | Since this thing started, I re-read various publications
             | about the black death. And the social reactions are so
             | strikingly similar.
        
               | est31 wrote:
               | Do you have a list? I'm interested.
               | 
               | I was surprised that even in 2020 you have people making
               | up straight lies about covid, while I believed that the
               | wild theories that people had about the plague back in
               | the day (e.g. the one that blamed the jews for it) were
               | born from the fact that these people haven't went to
               | school and were badly educated. But now they can write
               | and relevant parts of the population claim similar
               | things. And COVID is way less deadly than the bubonic
               | plague is. This is a pandemic in easy mode. We would have
               | been in for much worse had it been like the bubonic
               | plague.
        
               | adamsea wrote:
               | Sadly these days the ability to read and write is
               | insufficient in order to be an informed citizen because
               | of how complex our media world is.
               | 
               | One really needs to have some solid critical thinking
               | skills in order to be able to judge the overall
               | reliability and trustworthiness of a book, article,
               | tweet, news episode, etc.
               | 
               | And ideally have some fundamental historical knowledge,
               | basic math, logic, fundamentals of science, etc.
               | 
               | Id argue many Americans are, through no fault of their
               | own, not well-educated.
               | 
               | EDIT:
               | 
               | I cribbed from Noam Chomskys description of what it means
               | to be educated:
               | 
               | https://www.openculture.com/2016/04/noam-chomsky-defines-
               | wha...
               | 
               | 'Humboldt, Chomsky says, "argued, I think, very
               | plausibly, that the core principle and requirement of a
               | fulfilled human being is the ability to inquire and
               | create constructively, independently, without external
               | controls." A true education, Chomsky suggests, opens a
               | door to human intellectual freedom and creative
               | autonomy.'
        
               | DyslexicAtheist wrote:
               | not OP but ...
               | 
               | John Kelly: The Great Mortality
               | 
               | An Intimate History of the Black Death
               | 
               | Robert S Gottfried: The Black Death - Natural and Human
               | Disaster in Medieval Europe
               | 
               | Samuel K. Cohn, Jr.: Cultures of Plague: Medical Thought
               | At the End of the Renaissance
               | 
               | Philip Ziegler: The Black Death
               | 
               | Giovanni Boccaccio: The Decameron
               | 
               | there are some fictional works that I enjoyed such as Ken
               | Follet World Without End (should be read after Pillars of
               | the Earth IMO) and it's probably not enough on-topic for
               | what you're asking.
        
               | est31 wrote:
               | Thanks!
        
               | wuschel wrote:
               | I second that - this is very interesting, I would love to
               | see some sources, too.
        
           | trhway wrote:
           | >lessons from COVID
           | 
           | what in our response to COVID was better and more effective
           | than our response to Black Death and Spanish flu? I don't see
           | any improvement despite 700 and 100 years of accumulated
           | knowledge and technology development since then. There has so
           | far been no indication that the only things we were able to
           | muster - archaic lockdown and masks - can prevent it from
           | reaching the 20-30% spread, basically the level of
           | unmitigated spread.
           | 
           | I mean, for example, 700 years ago people couldn't know that
           | that ship coming into the port of Venice brings the
           | infection. A year ago we knew that this plane from Wuhan most
           | probably does.
        
             | lalos wrote:
             | Maybe not the USA but Asians countries which one could
             | argue will carry the torch of progress did improve.
        
               | trhway wrote:
               | yes, like Taiwan who 1. did learn the lesson from SARS
               | and did immediate quarantine upon just hearing (i.e. de-
               | facto using modern communication technology) about some
               | strange flu appearing in China. 2. Used modern technology
               | to do contact tracing. 3. Quickly scaled up extensive
               | testing - again modern science and technology. Most
               | places did nothing like these 3 steps. Those steps
               | weren't available centuries ago and could have prevented
               | the covid from becoming pandemic.
               | 
               | Another noticeable difference is that Taiwan actions were
               | real actions where the government did actually performed
               | them whereis typical "actions" we see around like
               | lockdown and masks are just government orders without the
               | governments actually doing anything.
        
             | jakear wrote:
             | Many orders of magnitude fewer deaths, for one?
        
               | trhway wrote:
               | Orders fewer? Lets look at the Spanish flu in US - the US
               | wasn't ravaged by WWI/revolutions/rebelions, didn't have
               | systemic hunger, etc. and had time to and implemented
               | some of those measures like quarantines/lockdowns/masks,
               | so very reasonable to compare to today. Spanish flu
               | killed 700K in US . Covid already 250K in US - even if we
               | imagine that we're at the peak today, it still means end
               | number like 500K.
        
           | cronix wrote:
           | Why do you think that? They said the same thing after "swine
           | flu" during Obama. Basically, we just got lucky.
           | 
           | "It is purely a fortuity that this isn't one of the great
           | mass casualty events in American history," Ron Klain, who was
           | Biden's chief of staff at the time, said of H1N1 in 2019. "It
           | had nothing to do with us doing anything right. It just had
           | to do with luck. If anyone thinks that this can't happen
           | again, they don't have to go back to 1918, they just have to
           | go back to 2009, 2010 and imagine a virus with a different
           | lethality, and you can just do the math on that."
           | 
           | https://www.politico.com/news/2020/05/04/joe-biden-
           | contain-h...
        
           | est31 wrote:
           | It's gonna come sooner rather than later. Humans encroach on
           | the natural habitats of animals all over the world, which
           | increases the number zoonoses dramatically. Most such
           | spillovers don't cause any further human to human spread.
           | Think of MERS. But there are spillovers that do spread
           | between humans, like in the case of SARS-Cov-2. While the
           | COVID pandemic is a major catastrophy, we were still quite
           | lucky. MERS has a much higher case fatality ratio. Something
           | that spreads as easily as SARS-Cov-2 while being as deadly as
           | MERS is entirely possible.
           | 
           | We should start preparing once most of the population is
           | vaccinated and human societies have returned to normal.
           | Develop and test antivirals targetting the conserved proteins
           | in major virus families. Build a pipeline that can respond to
           | new viruses quickly with a vaccine. Create capacities to
           | quickly ramp up mass production of PPE. Map the viruses that
           | appear in animals around us to know what we are up to.
           | 
           | I hope that political leaders will listen to the people doing
           | such proposals.
        
             | sterlind wrote:
             | I hope that the new mRNA technology the Pfizer and AZ
             | vaccines are based on will help us develop and manufacture
             | more quickly. The delivery mechanism will be well-
             | understood, the pipeline will be there, the limiting factor
             | would still be knowing what to target and screening for
             | safety/efficacy but it should still help.
             | 
             | I hope similar things can be done with rapid antigen/PCR
             | testing equipment.
        
       | mikedilger wrote:
       | Life that has been continually evolving as the environment
       | changes is much more likely to develop into a super threat than
       | life that has been frozen for ages and is waking up into a world
       | that it is not optimized for.
       | 
       | Anthrax outbreaks have occurred all around the world. Just
       | because it occurred in Siberia and there is evidence that it
       | survives being frozen for long periods of time doesn't mean the
       | risk of some super threat from permafrost is of any exceptional
       | significance.
       | 
       | It seems however that people like to be frightened and to have
       | something to panic about, especially Americans, and your
       | newspapers and magazines cater to this by cherry picking data
       | that can be twisted to tell a scary story.
        
         | nix23 wrote:
         | Yeah they like the Smilla's Sense of Snow shiver :)
         | scientificamerican and history channel....
        
       | somurzakov wrote:
       | wait until permafrost thawes and releases gigatonnes of methane
       | into the air that woukd turn our planet into a large greenhouse.
       | 
       | from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arctic_methane_emissions : The
       | Permian-Triassic extinction event (the Great Dying) may have been
       | caused by release of methane from clathrates. An estimated 52% of
       | marine genus became extinct, representing 96% of all marine
       | species.
        
         | blisterpeanuts wrote:
         | What kind of quantity of newly released methane are we talking
         | about, compared to the methane produced by trees and other
         | plants?[1]
         | 
         | 1.
         | https://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=515109...
        
           | sp332 wrote:
           | Yeah, it's a lot.
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arctic_methane_emissions
        
             | clydethefrog wrote:
             | See also
             | 
             | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clathrate_gun_hypothesis
        
           | adrianN wrote:
           | 1% of the carbon stored in the permafrost is roughly as much
           | a all of humanity is currently emitting per year. It's a lot.
           | Permafrost thawing is an important tipping point in the
           | climate system.
        
         | randycupertino wrote:
         | Is there an estimated timeframe on approximately when this will
         | happen?
        
           | irrational wrote:
           | Isn't it already happening? Is that what is creating the huge
           | methane explosions and craters in Siberia?
        
             | samiru wrote:
             | Yes. Check the Yamal Peninsula in Google Maps and you
             | realize this kind of cratering is a process that has been
             | going on for thousands of years (since the ice age
             | really!).
        
               | knowaveragejoe wrote:
               | The scary part is that it's accelerating in on a
               | timescale that's relevant to our needs as a species.
        
               | jonsno56 wrote:
               | That other person is trolling
        
           | omgwtfbyobbq wrote:
           | I think the largest deposits would take thousands of years to
           | be affected, but there are shallow deposits that could be
           | released, especially those near glaciers, where the glacier
           | melting allows the nearby seabed to rise.
           | 
           | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clathrate_gun_hypothesis
        
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