[HN Gopher] Deep Frozen Arctic Microbes Are Waking Up ___________________________________________________________________ Deep Frozen Arctic Microbes Are Waking Up Author : jonbaer Score : 174 points Date : 2020-11-21 17:07 UTC (5 hours ago) (HTM) web link (www.scientificamerican.com) (TXT) w3m dump (www.scientificamerican.com) | echelon wrote: | > Permafrost thaw in Siberia led to a 2018 anthrax outbreak and | the death of 200,000 reindeer and a child. | | This is terrifying and not hypothetical. | lixtra wrote: | To be precise, the 200,000 reindeer were culled [1]. | | [1] | https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10393-020-01474-z... | nojs wrote: | Full paper: https://sci- | hub.se/downloads/2020-02-04/2c/10.1007@s10393-02... | | This presents some alternate hypotheses for the outbreak and | claims Anthrax is fairly unique in its ability to survive | repeated freeze-thaw cycles. | animal_spirits wrote: | Thanks for pointing that out. For the unfamiliar (like me a | few seconds ago) culling means "to reduce or control the size | of (something, such as a herd) by removal (as by hunting or | slaughter) of especially weak or sick individuals " [1] | | [1] https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/cull | CraigJPerry wrote: | >> This is terrifying | | Why? | | It's definitely concerning but is it in the same league as say | the fact America appears to have lost desire to retain its | leadership in the world? Are we ready for another country to | decide to take a shot at that role? That sounds like a | terrifying prospect to me because i just can't see that | happening without bloodshed. | | In years gone past, whatever the crisis, America would step up | and lead. Over the past few years it's chosen, as is its right | to do so, to step back from world leadership (trade, peace | keeping, covid response, immigration, climate change, etc etc) | | What about a super volcano eruption tomorrow, we know one is | coming but we don't know when yet we do very little to prepare | for it, e.g. post massive disaster food crop growing research | etc. | | What about the fact that electrical grids are creaking at the | seams today in many countries and that we know it only takes | around 2 weeks of no electrical grid to reach catastrophic | changes to way of life (hospitals offline, perishable food | supplies mostly gone, commerce halted etc etc) | | The really terrifying things don't get much in the way of | discourse. How can this possibly be in the same league as the | terrifying stuff we're a bit scared to talk about because there | aren't really any great answers and there's no way to predict | when so we have an easy way to ignore it all. | markdown wrote: | > In years gone past, whatever the crisis, America would step | up and lead. | | Many would argue that America was the one who created many of | those crises in the first place. | | American capitalism has led the world to the brink of | destruction by climate change, so a loss in status is | absolutely warranted. | | > The really terrifying things don't get much in the way of | discourse. How can this possibly be in the same league as the | terrifying stuff we're a bit scared to talk about because | there aren't really any great answers and there's no way to | predict when so we have an easy way to ignore it all. | | A super volcano eruption is beyond our control, so there's no | point getting worked up about that. Nothing else pales in | comparison to the destruction that's coming as a direct | result of USA turning a blind eye to climate change. | bigbubba wrote: | Anthrax is found in the soil around the world and generally | effects grazing animals like livestock, deer, etc. It is not | contagious and isn't something you should lose sleep worrying | about. It captures the public's attention because it has been | weaponized. | | https://www.cdc.gov/anthrax/basics/index.html | chordalkeyboard wrote: | > Although it is rare in the United States, people can get | sick with anthrax if they come in contact with infected | animals or contaminated animal products. | | > Anthrax is not contagious, which means you can't catch it | like the cold or flu. | | I'm not sure what the technical definition of "contagious" is | here but I'm also not sure its helpful when you can catch the | disease from an infected animal. | f_o_m wrote: | The sci-fi novel "Mind Painter" explores this in depth - good, | scary stuff! | shishy wrote: | Hi, | | Where can I find this book? Is it this one (coming out next | month)? https://reedsy.com/discovery/book/mind-painter-tom-b- | night/u... | | Thanks. | f_o_m wrote: | It recently came out and is on Amazon here: | https://www.amazon.com/Mind-Painter-Tom-B- | Night/dp/B08NDVJ3C... | zygotic wrote: | Fighting, what some call, Mother Nature is essentially futile. | Surely this is a lesson takeaway from Global Warming et al. | based2 wrote: | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pithovirus | | https://www.arte.tv/fr/videos/079940-000-A/permafrost-la-bom... | [deleted] | cute_boi wrote: | Hmm I think I read a similar article like 6 months ago and it's | quite sad to read :(. And the more irritating issue is I know | many people who deny climate change / global warming by saying | earth has always faced climate change. | feralimal wrote: | "Rockabye baby, on the tree top..." | | Don't worry about me, just getting those microbes back to bed... | nosmokewhereiam wrote: | "Mycoremediation is the bioremediation technique which employ | fungi in the removal of toxic compounds; it could be carried out | in the presence of both filamentous fungi (moulds) and macrofungi | (mushrooms). Both classes possess enzymes for the degradation of | a large variety of pollutants" | | Maybe Paul Stammets, Michael Pollan, and the entire next | generation of mycology experts can find a way to sporolate these | areas in an effective way. Even if it just encapsulates and | doesn't eliminate, it's still something. | kleer001 wrote: | Might be time for some Nausicaa of the Valley of the Wind style | remediation | Method-X wrote: | Would be a fitting end to 2020; super COVID released from ancient | arctic ice. | strictfp wrote: | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fortitude_(TV_series) | randycupertino wrote: | Perhaps we'll do better for the "next" pandemic now that we | have the infrastructure in place and learned some lessons from | COVID? Maybe I'm grasping for silver linings and being too | optimistic towards humanity... | ggambetta wrote: | One of the lessons that I've learned from this pandemic is | that despite overwhelming evidence and over a million deaths, | there's a non-trivial amount of people who still believe it's | not real, or who refuse to wear a mask, or who protest | against the few, mild, reasonable measures we can take to get | through this alive. So if anything, my faith in humankind has | gone down :( | knowaveragejoe wrote: | Conspiracy culture is a huge problem in modern society that | I fear we won't be able to solve | franklampard wrote: | only in the U.S. | quickthrowman wrote: | Incorrect: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Protests_over_ | responses_to_t... | bearburger wrote: | Unfortunately I see these peoples around in Russia. My | estimation of anti-maskers is about 10-15% of population | here. Mostly 35-55 males who thinks that wearing a mask | is the sign of weakness and/or keeps saying that COVID is | "just a flu" and those who died would have been dead | anyway in 2-3 month if not from COVID then from something | like common cold. Even recent death of 28 y/o school | teacher and 23 y/o political activist didn't change their | mind. | voqv wrote: | Pictures of the September Moscow marathon make me think | even the government are some kind of anti-maskers | trhway wrote: | a good mask will help when you're occasionally visiting | an infectious patient in a hospital. There is nothing, | short of full bio-defense suit, that can help in the | densely packed Moscow (or any other large Russian city) | subway or bus, and the people in the country have no | resources for any prolonged lockdowns. Add to that that | the top people in Russia, like in any other country, | receive highly personalized healthcare, and that means | that they have practically no risk of death from Covid as | it is a very treatable given enough resources (antibody | injection, etc. under very personalized treatment | resulting in just few days of "bad flu" - i.e. while | infection-wise Covid doesn't distinguish much, outcome- | wise it is very socially unequal decease). | strogonoff wrote: | > There is nothing, short of full bio-defense suit, that | can help in the densely packed Moscow (or any other large | Russian city) subway or bus | | A mask is very effective and is worn for others, not | yourself. At any point in time you might be carrying | asymptomatic or not-yet-symptomatic COVID. Your mask | prevents your saliva from flying in the air around you, | protecting people near you and their parents/susceptible | relatives this might get passed on to. | | And if it's against your interest when emergency | healthcare can't help your sick child because they have | not enough resources due to COVID patients, then over | long term wearing a mask is actually for yourself, too. | trhway wrote: | >A mask is worn for the others, not yourself. | | so, imagine one "other" without a mask and everybody | around in masks (actually "face coverings" which allow | air in/out from sides) commuting everyday in a densely | packed bus. Do you think that "other" has much improved | chances when aggregated over several months? (again, i'm | not arguing against proper mask's efficiency during | occasional exposure) | admax88q wrote: | Yes, I don't see why they wouldn't. If everyone is | wearing masks then the likelihood of transmission is | lower. Also the viral load of any transmission may also | be lower, which could improve the outcome. | lenkite wrote: | One of the big problems is that early in the Pandemic, | the WHO, Fauci and most media said that Masks were | useless. This was repeated several times. The turn-around | occurred later and nobody apologised for their earlier, | incorrect stances. | shakna wrote: | > One of the big problems is that early in the Pandemic, | the WHO, Fauci and most media said that Masks were | useless. | | No, the problem was that people took the statement that | we didn't yet have the evidence on efficacy to mean that | masks were useless. | | Not having evidence... Means that things can go either | way. And the WHO didn't even stop by saying no evidence, | they said no evidence, and then went ahead and said it | might help anyway. | | > Although there is no evidence that this is effective in | reducing transmission, there is mechanistic plausibility | for the potential effectiveness of this measure. - WHO | jsjohnst wrote: | > The turn-around occurred later and nobody apologised | for their earlier, incorrect stances. | | Fauci has widely explained why he felt it was justified | at the time, admitted he was wrong, and apologized. Like | when I just started to do a search to provide sources, it | autocompleted the query even. Probably similar for the | other sources you named, so I encourage you to do some | research if interested. | ethbr0 wrote: | SARS-CoV-2 is pretty perfectly calibrated to hide in | people's inability to comprehend statistics and | probability. | | High transmission rate + (relatively) low complication / | death rate = ideal conspiracy fodder | jbay808 wrote: | Certainly happening in Canada too, even though COVID has | basically been treated by the government and opposition | parties as a non-partisan issue, federally and in every | province, as far as I'm aware. | gastroturf wrote: | The brain is part of the immune system. | bnt wrote: | We can no longer use the phrase "avoid like the plague" | because, well, COVID-19 deniers. | samiru wrote: | Well, a crisis situation (be it real or manufactured) is a | perfect vehicle for driving all kinds of agendas. It is | natural there is some opposition. | titzer wrote: | The most pressing problem we have is not Coronavirus, it's | Moronavirus. | irrational wrote: | The fact that people can be literally dying from COVID in a | hospital yet still deny its existence has almost totally | destroyed any faith I have in humanity. | Barrin92 wrote: | good friend of mine is a nurse. She has seen people in | the ER with Covid deny that it exists too. There's people | currently on oxygen who go "nah that doesn't exist I | don't have it, the media made that up". So yeah | ethbr0 wrote: | Thankfully, life has a way of selecting against people | who fail to act to preserve their own. | | (Said as someone whose fiance is an ICU nurse) | rriepe wrote: | Social Darwinism, alive and well on HN... | ISL wrote: | This is actual Darwinism. | jlokier wrote: | Unfortunately that doesn't work so well for a disease | whose main source of risk to each person is the behaviour | of other people. | phs318u wrote: | On a different time scale it does. It's selecting against | groups/societies that reward, value or permit the kinds | of behaviours and belief systems that allow such doggedly | wilful ignorance to flourish. | imperialdrive wrote: | Millions upon millions die around the world each year due | to poor choices. Don't let a fraction of that amount | getting a bad flu change your outlook. Humanity is doing | just fine. Could be better, could be worse, but take a | slow walk around the block and I think you'll agree. | sorokod wrote: | Place your faith in natural selection. | Misdicorl wrote: | In addition to being ugly, this sentiment is pretty | misguided. The selection pressure is _far_ too mild to | have any evolutionary impact. | | To whit: covid selects primarily against individuals | beyond their reproductive age, selects far too small of | the population (unless we see these deaths continue for | decades), and is only _mildly_ selecting for anti mask | populations. | rriepe wrote: | Anyone who treats science as a religion ends up with a | pretty terrifying morality. | 411111111111111 wrote: | You can remove science from that statement and it'll | still be true. Whoever derives their morality from | religion will at times behave pretty abhorrently. | | Thankfully nowadays even people claiming they do so often | actually don't. I.e homosexuality is amoral according to | the texts, but society moved on for the most part. | [deleted] | randmeerkat wrote: | What helps me to keep faith in humanity is imagining | being alive during Galileo's time. How suffocating it | must have been for him to find everyone everywhere | rejecting science..? Sure we have a large number of | people now that don't believe in masks, vaccines, etc.., | but keep in mind that the majority of the popular vote in | the US voted for someone that does believe in science. | Progress is being made, just sometimes it requires a step | back to see it. | kortilla wrote: | > majority of the popular vote in the US voted for | someone that does believe in science | | Why would Trump support accelerated vaccines if he didn't | believe in COVID and science? | randmeerkat wrote: | Why would Trump's administration and Trump himself be so | anti-masks if they believed in science? | adamsea wrote: | Do you yourself truthfully believe that Trump wanted to | make policy decisions based on the best science | available? | Swenrekcah wrote: | They know COVID is real and they almost certainly believe | in science. They just don't care if it doesn't line their | pockets. | ralph84 wrote: | Yeah well back when YouTube started censoring videos | suggesting a connection between vitamin D deficiency and | covid it became pretty clear times are not particularly | changed from Galieo's. | cyberlurker wrote: | Could you provide a source please? Were the videos making | claims that taking Vitamin D would protect against COVID | or some other misinformation, or were they legitimately | talking about mortality rates of those with v.D | deficiencies? | | I think there is a clear difference in private platforms | stopping the spread of misinformation (you aren't free to | use their platform to spread information harmful to | society) and what happened to Galileo. | | But I am making an assumption because I don't actually | know what videos you are referring to. | randmeerkat wrote: | The fact that YouTube exists at all shows how much things | have changed since Galileo. | dtech wrote: | Censoring? De-monetizing maybe but they do that with | every video mentioning Covid no matter the contents. | vagrantJin wrote: | > majority of the popular vote in the US voted for | someone that does believe in science | | You're an optimistic one. They would have voted for a | three legged donkey with a nose ring and gold tooth. As | long as it wasn't DJT. | randmeerkat wrote: | The thing that surprises me about modern politics is how | much hate there is. I wonder if it was always this bad, | or if the internet just shines a light on what was always | there. | x87678r wrote: | Elon Musk is one person who is one person who thinks the | restrictions are too strict. So maybe it is sensible for | younger people to keep working and living near to normal. | jaynetics wrote: | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ad_hominem | saiya-jin wrote: | Musk is a brilliant guy in many things, but psychotic | weirdo in many others. Glad we have him, but no way he | should be a model role to young folks who often can't | cherry-pick the good aspects of character from flawed and | dangerous ones, and rather think in absolutes. | Kye wrote: | Elon Musk is on track to become the Martian John McAfee. | cyberlurker wrote: | I totally agree on Musk, but I think you could say | similar things about many "role models". We're just going | to need to teach young folks that people are complex. In | situations like these I think about how Dave Chappelle | speaks of Bill Cosby. | xellisx wrote: | This was apparently learned in 1918 also. | netsharc wrote: | Fefe (a prominent German Internet commentator) posted a | user's email yesterday which shows 3 perspectives I really | haven't given much thought to. | | The Google translation is pretty good, one big mistake | though, it mistranslated "Asi-Kindern" as "Asian children" | instead of "asocial kids": https://translate.google.com/tra | nslate?sl=auto&tl=en&u=http%... . And Case 1 is someone who | builds booths for conventions. | | A lot of people are going through the "denial" phase of | grief and loss, although I wonder if this is valid for the | people who showed up with guns at state capitols... | ativzzz wrote: | These perspectives make a lot of sense. The livelihoods | of people who depend on non-pandemic circumstances are | either destroyed or are on death's door. It's a lot | easier for us working jobs that are easy to transition to | remote and are mildly inconvenienced by the pandemic. | | Hopelessness, stress and uncertainty all take huge mental | tolls on us, and rejecting covid can help these people | cope with this malaise. | rdiddly wrote: | That sounds more like the anger phase. Or maybe | bargaining, ha! | hef19898 wrote: | Since this thing started, I re-read various publications | about the black death. And the social reactions are so | strikingly similar. | est31 wrote: | Do you have a list? I'm interested. | | I was surprised that even in 2020 you have people making | up straight lies about covid, while I believed that the | wild theories that people had about the plague back in | the day (e.g. the one that blamed the jews for it) were | born from the fact that these people haven't went to | school and were badly educated. But now they can write | and relevant parts of the population claim similar | things. And COVID is way less deadly than the bubonic | plague is. This is a pandemic in easy mode. We would have | been in for much worse had it been like the bubonic | plague. | adamsea wrote: | Sadly these days the ability to read and write is | insufficient in order to be an informed citizen because | of how complex our media world is. | | One really needs to have some solid critical thinking | skills in order to be able to judge the overall | reliability and trustworthiness of a book, article, | tweet, news episode, etc. | | And ideally have some fundamental historical knowledge, | basic math, logic, fundamentals of science, etc. | | Id argue many Americans are, through no fault of their | own, not well-educated. | | EDIT: | | I cribbed from Noam Chomskys description of what it means | to be educated: | | https://www.openculture.com/2016/04/noam-chomsky-defines- | wha... | | 'Humboldt, Chomsky says, "argued, I think, very | plausibly, that the core principle and requirement of a | fulfilled human being is the ability to inquire and | create constructively, independently, without external | controls." A true education, Chomsky suggests, opens a | door to human intellectual freedom and creative | autonomy.' | DyslexicAtheist wrote: | not OP but ... | | John Kelly: The Great Mortality | | An Intimate History of the Black Death | | Robert S Gottfried: The Black Death - Natural and Human | Disaster in Medieval Europe | | Samuel K. Cohn, Jr.: Cultures of Plague: Medical Thought | At the End of the Renaissance | | Philip Ziegler: The Black Death | | Giovanni Boccaccio: The Decameron | | there are some fictional works that I enjoyed such as Ken | Follet World Without End (should be read after Pillars of | the Earth IMO) and it's probably not enough on-topic for | what you're asking. | est31 wrote: | Thanks! | wuschel wrote: | I second that - this is very interesting, I would love to | see some sources, too. | trhway wrote: | >lessons from COVID | | what in our response to COVID was better and more effective | than our response to Black Death and Spanish flu? I don't see | any improvement despite 700 and 100 years of accumulated | knowledge and technology development since then. There has so | far been no indication that the only things we were able to | muster - archaic lockdown and masks - can prevent it from | reaching the 20-30% spread, basically the level of | unmitigated spread. | | I mean, for example, 700 years ago people couldn't know that | that ship coming into the port of Venice brings the | infection. A year ago we knew that this plane from Wuhan most | probably does. | lalos wrote: | Maybe not the USA but Asians countries which one could | argue will carry the torch of progress did improve. | trhway wrote: | yes, like Taiwan who 1. did learn the lesson from SARS | and did immediate quarantine upon just hearing (i.e. de- | facto using modern communication technology) about some | strange flu appearing in China. 2. Used modern technology | to do contact tracing. 3. Quickly scaled up extensive | testing - again modern science and technology. Most | places did nothing like these 3 steps. Those steps | weren't available centuries ago and could have prevented | the covid from becoming pandemic. | | Another noticeable difference is that Taiwan actions were | real actions where the government did actually performed | them whereis typical "actions" we see around like | lockdown and masks are just government orders without the | governments actually doing anything. | jakear wrote: | Many orders of magnitude fewer deaths, for one? | trhway wrote: | Orders fewer? Lets look at the Spanish flu in US - the US | wasn't ravaged by WWI/revolutions/rebelions, didn't have | systemic hunger, etc. and had time to and implemented | some of those measures like quarantines/lockdowns/masks, | so very reasonable to compare to today. Spanish flu | killed 700K in US . Covid already 250K in US - even if we | imagine that we're at the peak today, it still means end | number like 500K. | cronix wrote: | Why do you think that? They said the same thing after "swine | flu" during Obama. Basically, we just got lucky. | | "It is purely a fortuity that this isn't one of the great | mass casualty events in American history," Ron Klain, who was | Biden's chief of staff at the time, said of H1N1 in 2019. "It | had nothing to do with us doing anything right. It just had | to do with luck. If anyone thinks that this can't happen | again, they don't have to go back to 1918, they just have to | go back to 2009, 2010 and imagine a virus with a different | lethality, and you can just do the math on that." | | https://www.politico.com/news/2020/05/04/joe-biden- | contain-h... | est31 wrote: | It's gonna come sooner rather than later. Humans encroach on | the natural habitats of animals all over the world, which | increases the number zoonoses dramatically. Most such | spillovers don't cause any further human to human spread. | Think of MERS. But there are spillovers that do spread | between humans, like in the case of SARS-Cov-2. While the | COVID pandemic is a major catastrophy, we were still quite | lucky. MERS has a much higher case fatality ratio. Something | that spreads as easily as SARS-Cov-2 while being as deadly as | MERS is entirely possible. | | We should start preparing once most of the population is | vaccinated and human societies have returned to normal. | Develop and test antivirals targetting the conserved proteins | in major virus families. Build a pipeline that can respond to | new viruses quickly with a vaccine. Create capacities to | quickly ramp up mass production of PPE. Map the viruses that | appear in animals around us to know what we are up to. | | I hope that political leaders will listen to the people doing | such proposals. | sterlind wrote: | I hope that the new mRNA technology the Pfizer and AZ | vaccines are based on will help us develop and manufacture | more quickly. The delivery mechanism will be well- | understood, the pipeline will be there, the limiting factor | would still be knowing what to target and screening for | safety/efficacy but it should still help. | | I hope similar things can be done with rapid antigen/PCR | testing equipment. | mikedilger wrote: | Life that has been continually evolving as the environment | changes is much more likely to develop into a super threat than | life that has been frozen for ages and is waking up into a world | that it is not optimized for. | | Anthrax outbreaks have occurred all around the world. Just | because it occurred in Siberia and there is evidence that it | survives being frozen for long periods of time doesn't mean the | risk of some super threat from permafrost is of any exceptional | significance. | | It seems however that people like to be frightened and to have | something to panic about, especially Americans, and your | newspapers and magazines cater to this by cherry picking data | that can be twisted to tell a scary story. | nix23 wrote: | Yeah they like the Smilla's Sense of Snow shiver :) | scientificamerican and history channel.... | somurzakov wrote: | wait until permafrost thawes and releases gigatonnes of methane | into the air that woukd turn our planet into a large greenhouse. | | from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arctic_methane_emissions : The | Permian-Triassic extinction event (the Great Dying) may have been | caused by release of methane from clathrates. An estimated 52% of | marine genus became extinct, representing 96% of all marine | species. | blisterpeanuts wrote: | What kind of quantity of newly released methane are we talking | about, compared to the methane produced by trees and other | plants?[1] | | 1. | https://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=515109... | sp332 wrote: | Yeah, it's a lot. | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arctic_methane_emissions | clydethefrog wrote: | See also | | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clathrate_gun_hypothesis | adrianN wrote: | 1% of the carbon stored in the permafrost is roughly as much | a all of humanity is currently emitting per year. It's a lot. | Permafrost thawing is an important tipping point in the | climate system. | randycupertino wrote: | Is there an estimated timeframe on approximately when this will | happen? | irrational wrote: | Isn't it already happening? Is that what is creating the huge | methane explosions and craters in Siberia? | samiru wrote: | Yes. Check the Yamal Peninsula in Google Maps and you | realize this kind of cratering is a process that has been | going on for thousands of years (since the ice age | really!). | knowaveragejoe wrote: | The scary part is that it's accelerating in on a | timescale that's relevant to our needs as a species. | jonsno56 wrote: | That other person is trolling | omgwtfbyobbq wrote: | I think the largest deposits would take thousands of years to | be affected, but there are shallow deposits that could be | released, especially those near glaciers, where the glacier | melting allows the nearby seabed to rise. | | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clathrate_gun_hypothesis ___________________________________________________________________ (page generated 2020-11-21 23:00 UTC)