[HN Gopher] 1MW Molten-Salt Test Reactor by Copenhagen Atomic fo... ___________________________________________________________________ 1MW Molten-Salt Test Reactor by Copenhagen Atomic for EUR88k [video] Author : jbverschoor Score : 179 points Date : 2020-12-11 17:37 UTC (5 hours ago) (HTM) web link (www.youtube.com) (TXT) w3m dump (www.youtube.com) | andy_ppp wrote: | Love this, but why are the timescales so long? | bra-ket wrote: | regulation | jbverschoor wrote: | Uber, Airbnb etc. circumvent regulation ;) | wmf wrote: | Please do not invent Uber for nuclear. | bcrosby95 wrote: | Move fast and irradiate things. | maeln wrote: | To be fair, it was basically the history of early | military nuclear technology. US, France and USSR | irradiated many of their own people to develop their | first nuclear bombs. Civil nuclear heavily benefited from | those advances. Still, I rather not be irradiated to make | science go faster. | mywittyname wrote: | Mushroom Cloud. | | IaaS for all thing nuclear. | Havoc wrote: | I hope this makes more waves. | | Anything atomic for <100k deserve attention. | | ...but molten salt for <100k. | | WOW | ortusdux wrote: | To the best of my understanding, one of the main reason that MSRs | have not gone to market is that the salts are so corrosive that | containment over the long term is not currently possible. Note | the questions about materials, alloys, and flow sensors in the | video. | | ORNL had fully functional reactors in the 60's, but those | reactors were only safe to operate for a few years, and they were | at lower temperatures than what we are targeting today. Liquid | fluoride thorium salts at 700+ C will readily dissolve chromium, | which makes working with stainless very difficult. Other common | alloying agents are susceptible to radiation (Co & Ni transmute | when irradiated) which further shortens the lifespan. There is | also the issue of tritium, which can permeate stainless steels, | cause embrittlement, and escape into the environment. | | ORNL developed Hastelloy N to help address these issues, and | there is an effort to certify other structural steels to for use | in reactors (316H, 800H, inco 617). None of the studies that I | have seen indicate that any of these metals will survive for more | that 5 years or so. | yholio wrote: | A similar issue exists with metal coolant reactors, which | conceptually would be very simple, and would use proven | technology, fuel rods and cladding and have similar or better | operating characteristics to molten salt: low internal | pressure, high temperature, inherent safety (fuel is physically | separated from colant and never touches internal piping, pumps | etc.) | | It's very hard to formulate a metal coolant that has low | melting point (pure lead is already too high), does not react | with air or water (Sodium cooled reactors are notorious), has | low cross-section (Hg fails), does not activate under the | neutron flux to long lived chains (Bismuth and potassium in | eutectic alloys) and does not dissolve the steel structure of | the reactor (Tin). | | If this problem could be fixed and have a safe, inert metal | coolant with good thermal characteristics, fast breeders would | become common place. | BlueTemplar wrote: | Aren't they already used in Russian submarines? | Tuna-Fish wrote: | They are, but this is because the Soviet designers thought | that the improvement in power density were worth the | serious disadvantage of having coolant that freezes well | above room temperature. | p_l wrote: | They were used and the design was modified into small | portable nuclear reactor, the SVBR-100, a 100MW(e) reactor | that can be sold containerised and delivered on a rail | flatcar. | | The problem is that a) the project owners have issues | getting money to finish certification b) we don't mine | enough bismuth. | | The second problem is pretty major issue, because as far as | I know, we don't actually mine bismuth - all the bismuth | available worldwide is from processing of tailings in other | mines, and isn't under any kind of high production rate. | | Making just a dozen or so reactors for submarines was easy. | Making mass-production line would actually mean a | noticeable drain on world-wide supply of bismuth! | | Then there are political problems involving buying russian | tech.. :( | tomp wrote: | Why use stainless steel? I thought "stainless" is mainly useful | because it doesn't rust (is there water & oxygen in a MSR?). | Also, couldn't the steel have another layer inside (e.g. just | iron or something else non-reactive) so that it never comes | into contact with the salts? | Sharlin wrote: | Iron is vastly more reactive than stainless steel, that's | exactly why we have stainless steel. | flyingfences wrote: | "Rust" is just oxidation and there are a lot of substances | that will cause oxidation. | [deleted] | mywittyname wrote: | To add to this, temperature plays a really critical role in | oxidation/corrosion of stainless steel (and other metals). | The scale that forms at high temperatures has a different | composition than what develops at lower temperatures. In | certain environment, the scale remains on the surface, | inhibiting further oxidation, but in other environments, | the scale is continuously removed, eventually destroying | it. | ortusdux wrote: | For many of the same reasons that Spacex is using it for | their starship. It's cheap and readily available, relatively | easy to work with, and very well studied. There also really | are not that many materials that have passed certification | for use in reactors. I believe that "BPVC Section III-Rules | for Construction of Nuclear Facility Components-Division | 5-High Temperature Reactors" only covers half a dozen | stainless steels. | | As for cladding, the DOE's 2021 budget includes money for | testing novel claddings. They are also looking for robust | redox reference electrodes and additive manufacturing | methods. | carapace wrote: | To contain molten salt use solid salt. | jbverschoor wrote: | Why not use a stone type of material. Like a furnace? | ortusdux wrote: | There are a few reasons, but the biggest one is that ceramics | and composites also react with the molten salts. One study | from 2015 (1) showed that even testing the corrosion | resistance of metals was difficult because the type of | crucible used had a large effect on the results. | | These systems need pumps at a minimum. Sensors (temp, ph, | flow rate, chemical composition, etc.) are also very | important for prolonged, low maintenance use. These cannot be | made of ceramics (that I know of) | | The container will also need to safely hold a dense pool of | molten salt. The linked $88k test reactor has a capacity of | 350 liters, which at 1.94 g/cc is ~680kg/1500lbs of Li2BeF4. | | Another important reason is that heat transfer is the whole | point of the reactor, and most metal alternatives have poor | thermal properties. | | 1. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/282433901_Impact_ | of... | dukeofdoom wrote: | I know on boats they use a piece of sacrificial metal | (Anodes) that corrodes more readily than what the boat is | made of. This prolongs the life of the boat. Maybe they can | use something like that in this situation too. | corty wrote: | no, because you would have to let the molten salt react | with the sacrificial metal, introducing a lot of | complicated impurities into your salt bath that may | influence your reactor in numerous ways. | fennecfoxen wrote: | Furnaces use stone because it is not very sensitive to heat. | Stone generally remains sensitive to acid. | echelon wrote: | Plastics would be great to withstand the acid, but they're | sensitive to heat. | mywittyname wrote: | Ultra-high-temperature polymers might get there. There | are polymers used in specialized industrial applications | that can handle ~500deg C. | HexagonalKitten wrote: | Granite, for instance, has a 1200c melting point which sounds | good. Its large grainy structure might cause porosity issues. | And it's main constituents are silicon and aluminum, both of | which do transmute under neutron bombardment. (An expert | could say if they transmute to anything you really don't want | around, and how long it'll be there.) | | I think ceramics are an answer to the porosity and similar | issues. Consistent structure, no inclusions or other | weaknesses. But they would face the same transmutation and | induced radioactivity problems as stone of the same material. | christkv wrote: | Would diamond do better? | hajile wrote: | Diamond will burn like super-expensive coal. Probably not | ideal for those temperatures. | baybal2 wrote: | Yes, exactly. | | Making a _working_ reactor is as easy as disoling a critical | mass of uranyl nitrate in a bucket of vodka. | | Making a _lasting_ reactor that will work non-stop for years is | not so at all. | | This is why I am sceptical about this. Solid fuel is by far | more troble free, even if it doesn't last that long. | ortusdux wrote: | Makes me think of Oklo: | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Natural_nuclear_fission_reacto. | .. | hajile wrote: | > To the best of my understanding, one of the main reason that | MSRs have not gone to market is that the salts are so corrosive | that containment over the long term is not currently possible. | | I've wondered why "long-term" is such a huge criteria. One of | the biggest nuclear issues today is using them way past their | lifespan because they are so expensive to build. | | Let's assume molten-salt is cheaper to build and less dangerous | (from a radioactivity point of view). Why not make expendable | designs? Make them smaller so the building requirements are | easier. Make them easy to remove and replace. Ease up on the | restrictions a bit so they can be replaced every 5-10 years | instead of decades. | | Long-term mass production has tons of advantages. Costs per | unit decrease. Defects per unit decrease (this is part of cost | per unit usually, but not if a defect gets through inspection). | Recycling used units should radically decrease material costs | when getting close to peak reactor count (chain of custody | paperwork from mine to installation in the nuclear plant is why | an otherwise $0.15 screw winds up costing $50-100). Constant | employment will build experience over many years and further | decrease errors. Once the site design is finalized and | enforced, the reactor design can be gradually improved and | given the short lifespan, efficiency will increase a minimum of | every decade. Likewise, design mistakes (once caught) will only | be around a decade at most instead of a half-century like we | see today. | [deleted] | escape_goat wrote: | Kibitzing outside of any expertise that I have, here, but | thorium reactors are generally regarded as a significant | nuclear weapons proliferation risk. This has been an | inhibiting factor with regards to investment in research. | | This design -- cheap and transportable in a standard shipping | container -- significantly ups the ante on that risk, to put | it mildly. | | Deployed singly, small, low-power, short-lifespan reactors | would increase the burden of maintaining regulatory control | over those reactors -- destined, by design, for catastrophic | failure unless they are retired within a safety period -- | which in turn would the risk of a nuclear contamination | incident. This could be mitigated by operating the reactors | in banks at a containment/maintenance site. | | I'm not sure what parts of the reactor could be usefully | recycled. All the metals would be embrittled by neutron | bombardment. | baybal2 wrote: | A recommended video to watch explaining corrosion protection: | | https://youtu.be/jO37sMRqv8o | redis_mlc wrote: | > One of the biggest nuclear issues today is using them way | past their lifespan because they are so expensive to build. | | Or they're trying to avoid the staggering and bankrupting | cost of decommissioning them. | [deleted] | sergio102305 wrote: | I think you have to have oxigen present for it to be corrosive. | Can't they vacuum it? | sandworm101 wrote: | From an engineering standpoint any chemical reaction that | changes the properties of a metal in an unwanted way will be | called corrosion. It is something to prevent and/or monitor | that will inevitably shorten the lifespan of the metal part. | (Non-metals like fiberglass can also "corrode".) | ta988 wrote: | You need an oxydizer whatever it is. Oxygen is only one | oxidizer. Chlorine, fluorine and the other halogens are | oxidizers too. | ortusdux wrote: | "Corrosion is a natural process that converts a refined metal | into a more chemically stable form". | | Oxidation is the most well known form of corrosion, but there | are many other corrosive reactions out there. | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sulfide#Corrosion_induced_by_s. | .. | socialdemocrat wrote: | Are any other Molten Salt Reactor builders doing anything | similar? | | If SpaceX had taught me anything then it is that rapid iterations | on prototypes is the way to go. | nickik wrote: | Unfortunately there are only two ways get a nuclear reactor | working, one is for research, the other full on production. In | the US regulatory system there is no in-between. | | That is why all the reactor companies go for a fully functional | production design with the first try. Without such a plan and | reactor built, you do not get access to fissile material. Since | you have to build many of them to ever have a hope of making | money fast iteration is gone be difficult. | | In general they all want to use the same basic design with | different fuel and different operations to create a different | type of reactor. Uranium fast burners are the easiest, thorium | breeders are much further away. | | For Molten Salt Reactors, the most advanced in development is | probably IMSR by Terrestrial Energy, after that SSR by Moltex | Energy are both currently in Canadian regulatory process. | | Flibe energy is trying in the US but that is longer term, there | is not even a regulatory process in the US yet. Flibe is by | Kirk Sorensen the guy who basically restarted Thorium hype. | njarboe wrote: | If the US government was serious about wanting to let nuclear | power development happen in the US, they should set up a | location where companies could work with live nuclear | material while developing reactors. Workers could be required | to have some type of security clearance and each company | could have its own building(s) to avoid "mistakes" at one | company from effecting other companies people and worksites. | OSHA rules could be relaxed to allow quicker development, as | everyone working there will be well informed of the radiation | risks. The former nuclear test site in Nevada would seem to | be a great location for this. | PopeDotNinja wrote: | If you can fund them. | Gravityloss wrote: | There are many! | TKnab wrote: | A prototyping failure on a fission reactor is a little | different than a rocket exploding on the launchpad... | socialdemocrat wrote: | These prototypes don't contain radioactive material though. | wlesieutre wrote: | SpaceX blowing up a Crew Dragon capsule wouldn't be good | either, but can you do the fast development testing and | expect some failures, and don't go near nuclear material | until much later in the process. | Someone wrote: | Even ignoring the radiation, how do you test that it keeps | working with a 100 MW heat source inside it without putting | nuclear material in? | | Edit: where did I get the idea it's 100MW from? Title talks | of 1MW. That makes it a lot easier. | [deleted] | bob1029 wrote: | If 1MW is the actual design limit, it should be possible | to test the loop with a mock heat source. At this scale, | you could pay for grid power ($40-60/hr). | | 100MW would be a lot trickier to test due to | infrastructure limitations, but you could probably figure | something out with natural gas or propane burners. | AnimalMuppet wrote: | By putting enough resistors inside, and pumping 100 MW of | electricity in? If you're a utility trying this out, you | can probably handle that (for some hours, maybe not for | weeks). | juancampa wrote: | To clarify, this reactor doesn't have any thorium or any other | radioactive elements in its core. It's for testing before they | get to "the nuclear part". | jbverschoor wrote: | Don't forget to sign the petition at | https://start.thorium.today | deeviant wrote: | Pass on that. Solar and wind are already clapping nuclear in | LCOE, and before you can rip out the nuclear battlecry, "But | BASELOAD", storage costs are in freefall too. | manfredo wrote: | Storage costs, despite being in freefall still are still in | the hundreds of dollars per kilowatt hour range. And it's | kind of moot since the total amount of storage produced | globally is still a fraction of what is necessary to make | renewables feasible as a primary source of power. To put | this in perspective, the US alone consumes about 500 GWh of | electricity every hour. The entire _world_ produces about | 300 GWh of lithium ion batteries every year. It 's dubious | whether electrochemical storage will ever be able to match | the requires scale, hence why a lot of renewable proponents | turn to experimental solutions like the Sabatier process, | hydrogen storage, or things like cranes lifting weights. | toomuchtodo wrote: | https://gspp.berkeley.edu/news/news-center/the-us-can- | reach-... ("The US can reach 90 percent clean electricity | by 2035, dependably and without increasing consumer | bills") | | https://www.2035report.com/ | | https://www.2035report.com/data-explorer/ | | "The target year of 2035 allows sufficient time for most | coal and gas plants to recover their fixed costs, thereby | avoiding risk of stranded costs for consumers and | investors, if the right policies are in place. Wind, | solar, and battery storage can provide the bulk of the 90 | percent clean electricity. The report finds that new | fossil fuel generators are not needed. Existing gas | plants, used infrequently and combined with storage, | hydropower, and nuclear power [my note: existing, not | new, nuclear], are sufficient to meet demand during | periods of extraordinarily low renewable energy | generation or exceptionally high electricity demand. | Power generation from natural gas plants would drop by 70 | percent in 2035 compared to 2019." | | That's US centric; Australia is targeting 100 renewables | by 2032, using only hydro, renewables, and storage. Let's | not say it can't be done while it's being done. | | https://reneweconomy.com.au/australia-could- | be-100-renewable... | sien wrote: | Australia is not targeting 100% renewables by 2032. Your | own link says 'could be'. | | Australia is currently at ~24% renewables. Note this is | also because Australia has substantial amounts of hydro | power that can be used in conjunction with solar. | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Snowy_Mountains_Scheme | manfredo wrote: | Academic papers claiming feasibility decades from now is | a vastly different thing than something actually being | feasible. If it were, then we'd have all been using | fusion power since the 1980s. | | If you prefer a global approach as opposed to a US- | centric approach, then consider the fact that the world | consumes 60 TWh of electricity per day, or 2.4 TWh per | hour. By comparison the entire world only produces 300 | GWh, or 0.3 TWh of lithium ion batteries. And only a | small fraction of that is used for grid storage [1]. | These plans for intermittent sources as a primary source | of energy are contingent on vast - 3 or 4 orders of | magnitude at least - increases in the production of | storage capacity. This isn't something that can be relied | upon. This is like pointing to Moore's law and developing | an application assuming a 4 THz CPU is going to be around | 10 years from now. | | Lastly, I can't help but appreciate the irony of | complaining about a US-centric approach and cherry- | picking Australia - a country with lots of undeveloped | land and huge solar power potential - as an example. Like | I said in my previous comment, the bulk of global energy | consumption occurs in North America, Europe, and Northern | Asia (China, Japan, Korea). These places have much lower | solar potential between greater inclinations of the Earth | and less amenable weather. And even with it's natural | advantages, Australia still only generates 7% of its | electricity from wind and solar each. | | By comparison, the US already generates 20% of its | electricity from nuclear and several countries like | France, Ukraine, and Belgium are majority nuclear | generation. Nuclear is by far the best proven way of | delivering carbon free energy, save for hydroelectric | power but the latter is geographically dependent. It's | more expensive than fossil fuels, nobody denies that, but | it's actually doable with current technology. Its | feasibility is not contingent on orders-of-magnitude | improvements in key technologies. Using nuclear for the | bulk of energy generation _has_ been done by multiple | countries, we merely need to walk in their footsteps. | | 1. https://energycentral.com/c/ec/world-battery- | production#:~:t.... | aidenn0 wrote: | > Academic papers claiming feasibility decades from now | is a vastly different thing than something actually being | feasible. If it were, then we'd have all been using | fusion power since the 1980s. | | Of course the same holds true for MSRs. Regulatory | hurdles mean any widespread deployment of nuclear is | minimum 10 years away as well (the video shows the | timeline for this reactor as 100MW in 2028, but I think | that's optimistic, and it's just for the very first | reactor. | | I think we should pursue many avenues of reducing fossil- | fuel reliance, primarily because I think its premature to | say what solution(s) will win out. | manfredo wrote: | Correct, we shouldn't use modular small reactors (or | molten salt reactors for that matter). We should use the | pressurized water reactors we actually know how to build. | France generates over 70% of its electricity from them, | and the US already generates 20% from PWRs. For every | existing PWR we need to build 4, and that's enough to | fulfill 100% of our electricity demand. Larger reactors | are actually more efficient, too. The price per watt is | 2-2.5x that of fossil fuels but they remain the only way | to produce carbon-free energy around the clock besides | geographically dependent solutions like geothermal and | hydroelectric power. | | MSRs may be useful eventually for remote power | generation, but as far as bulk power generation the | decades of experience building and operating PWRs is too | compelling an advantage. | toomuchtodo wrote: | You are of course free to your opinion, but the economics | and cost decline curves of renewables and storage are | clear [1]. | | The entire world is transitioning to electrified | transportation, and is going to scale up energy storage | (battery manufacturing) accordingly [2], faster than any | commercial nuclear operation will be built. Can you build | a nuclear reactor in less than a decade cheaper then | storage and renewables? The evidence indicates no. But if | you can, _the world would love that, just demonstrate it | 's possible._ Until then, it's hydro, batteries, | renewables, and demand response full speed ahead. | | [1] https://www.lazard.com/media/451419/lazards- | levelized-cost-o... (Lazard LCOE 2020, pages 3 and 11 are | most relevant to our subthread discussion) | | [2] https://energycentral.com/c/ec/world-battery- | production ("As of Dec 2019, the number of lithium ion | battery megafactories in the pipeline has reached 115 | plants. The world's leading EV and battery manufacturer | added a huge 564GWh of pipeline capacity in 2019 to a | global total of 2068.3GWh or the equivalent of 40 million | EVs by 2028.") | HexagonalKitten wrote: | > Can you build a nuclear reactor in less than a decade | cheaper then storage and renewables? The evidence | indicates no. But if you can, the world would love that, | just demonstrate it's possible. | | Sure, the USA got to the moon in less time, in the 60s. | As a technical problem it's _easily_ doable. Even in | quantity it could probably be done. (There are some | questions of making many of the larger parts at once, | such as the containment vessel, and if enough factories | remain which are capable of it - in the USA. If it was | worldwide, that 's not an issue because China now has | that capability.) | | On the political side, it's either impossible or pretty | easy, depending on the motivation. It's currently | impossible because of the nuclear boogeyman and all of | the obstacles that opponents can throw out. (It is | implied that these obstacles have no ultimate merit.) | | However, if we had a focus on pollution-related deaths, | which are like a never-ending global pandemic - 10k | deaths per week from coal pollution alone - then we'd | probably find the will to fix it. | | Considering that (estimated lifetime) deaths by all | Nuclear (including Chernobyl and Fukushima, but excluding | bombs) are less than one week of pollution deaths, it'd | be an easy sell if we actually looked at numbers. | | In the Lazard study, do you see what they budgeted for | non-panel costs in utility-grade solar? In residential | the cost of the panels is often quite a lot less than the | total system cost. | | > Until then, it's hydro, batteries, renewables, and | demand response full speed ahead. | | Hydro is almost tapped out, and not carbon neutral. But I | agree we should build it everywhere possible because it | is dependable, and comparatively cheap. | | Batteries are not gonna happen for grid-scale power. A | few terawatt hours (a minimal estimate for the USA's | storage needs) would be every battery produced in ten | years, even with a ramp-up, and the pollution from the | mining and manufacture would be huge. They're a great | solution for certain storage solutions though because | they're solid state unlike flywheels and pumped hydro | storage. Places where convenience weighs heavily will | adopt batteries. | | Renewables are absolutely the answer - as much as they | are. Any generation that can be peaky, should be solar | and wind if possible. Like if we built desalination | plants they'd be a great use of intermittent power. Or if | they're just charging the storage layer. Neither is free | of pollution though, like batteries they merely front- | load it and appear green when operating. | | You're 100% right though about full speed ahead. I'd | rather start on solar today, which I don't fully believe | in, than spend years arguing and be stuck where we are | today. | deeviant wrote: | > Considering that (estimated lifetime) deaths by all | Nuclear (including Chernobyl and Fukushima, but excluding | bombs) are less than one week of pollution deaths, it'd | be an easy sell if we actually looked at numbers. | | Than again, if Chernobyl or fukushima had experienced | their worse-case scenarios, it's possible that nuclear | would have caught up with pollution-related deaths | instantaneously. Which illuminates the poor risk- | assessment ability of the average person in regards to | black swan events. | HexagonalKitten wrote: | Worst operating failure, or worst engineerable outcome? | | I mean if you took the nuclear fuel and fed it to people | one lethal does at a time - yes. You could kill tens of | millions. | | But both reactors experienced almost the worst possible | operating failure and this is how low the casualties | were. Fukushima is leaking into the ocean and still not | expected to cause a single radiation-based death. | | Vastly more people have been (/will be) killed by runoff | ponds of coal ash slurry rupturing and running into | rivers than from radiation from power plants or spent | fuel. | | At 10k pollution deaths per week, for even just ten | years, no. A nuclear reactor couldn't meet that (5M | deaths) even if you left the switch in 'boom' mode and | went home for the night. | deeviant wrote: | You just took what you originally said, and said it | again. Did you expect a different result? | | If the worse-case engineering disaster happened in either | case, millions would have died. If you want to dig into | this point, great, happy to. If you want to repeat your | original point ad-infinitum, pass. | HexagonalKitten wrote: | > You just took what you originally said, and said it | again | | Only half of the last sentence, the conclusion, was | repeated. But with space not being at a premium, I would | happily restate something from up-thread because it can | make it easier to read and reply to. | | > If the worse-case engineering disaster ... millions | would have died. | | No, I don't think so. I think you'd need an engineered, | as in intentional, disaster for that. Like terrorists. | | And engineering disaster (improper planning) is what | Fukushima had. That's very unlikely to be improper enough | to kill an entire city because engineering mistakes tend | to be planned for to some degree and mitigated by | building redundant systems. | | Very unlikely to cause a disaster, as in almost | impossible even if you tried to form the same materials | into a bomb. | manfredo wrote: | Levelized cost of energy in your link excludes the cost | of storage. For the third time, nobody is arguing that | raw renewable generation isn't cheap. The issue is that | translating raw renewable generation into usable, | dispatchable power is very, very expensive. | | Yes, we absolutely can build nuclear in much much shorter | time than renewables plus storage. I don't think you | fully comprehend the staggering mismatch between the | scale of storage required and storage produced. | | We cited the same source on battery production. Take a | closer look at the graph: | https://www.nextbigfuture.com/wp- | content/uploads/2020/02/blo... The small magenta segment | that says "stationary storage" is the portion of battery | production actually going to renewable storage. Even by | 2030, it's still being added at a rate of less than 200 | GWh per year. The world uses 2,400 GWh of electricity per | _hour_. That 's more than the entire height of this | graph. It'll take well beyond 2035 to even provide _just | one hour of grid storage_ with batteries. | | By comparison, France increased it's share of nuclear | generation from under 15% to over 80% in 15 years: https: | //en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_power_in_France#Messme... | jasonwatkinspdx wrote: | Lazard has levelized cost of storage analysis too: | https://www.lazard.com/perspective/levelized-cost-of- | energy-... | melbourne_mat wrote: | I see discussions about storage re renewables but I never | see anyone mention the obvious solution. If you need | power at night, just use led lights to power your solar | cells. | | /s | deeviant wrote: | > Storage costs, despite being in freefall still are | still in the hundreds of dollars per kilowatt hour range. | And it's kind of moot since the total amount of storage | produced globally is still a fraction of what is | necessary to make renewables feasible as a primary source | of power. | | Funny that you also fail to mention that although storage | levels are very low, we are still very far from reaching | the market penetration of requiring storage. | Transitioning a world's electric grid takes take, | decades, plenty of time for storage to drop. | AnthonyMouse wrote: | Storage costs are in freefall because the bulk of the car | market about to transition to electric and it's creating | economies of scale and spurring a ton of R&D which is | picking all the low-hanging fruit in battery cost | improvements. | | It's difficult to predict how long that will continue | before the easy gains run out. Maybe the existing curve | will continue for another 30 years. Maybe it will continue | for another 30 days. | | If it continues for 30 years, we're fine. If it peters out | before solar+batteries are cheap enough, we still need | nuclear and we're that far behind where we would be if we | started building it now. | | Worst case if we build it now is that we have some nuclear | plants that cost somewhat more to generate power than | future technologies will (but still in line with existing | prices). Worst case if we don't is we get more climate | change. Which one is more expensive? | deeviant wrote: | > Storage costs are in freefall because the bulk of the | car market about to transition to electric and it's | creating economies of scale and spurring a ton of R&D | which is picking all the low-hanging fruit in battery | cost improvements. | | That's not true. Utility scale storage is a huge area of | interest, has had many advancements in recent past and | many of technology paths have absolutely no relation to | electric tech or economies of scale. | AnthonyMouse wrote: | It is true. Making batteries for electric cars is a large | fraction of the storage R&D, and the existence of non- | vehicle storage technology development doesn't really | change the equation anyway. | | The question is whether storage gets cheap enough before | the cost stops falling, and the answer is we don't know | and we need to be prepared in case it doesn't. | deeviant wrote: | Sticking your fingers in your ears and saying, "Ah ha!", | does not an argument make. | | I spent 6 years in the solar industry, working at both a | start up and a fully vertically integrated behemoth that | manufactured panels and built plants and while I'm no | longer in the industry today, I'm confident I am up-to- | date on utility-scale storage progress and it is not | summed up by, "electric car batteries!" | AnthonyMouse wrote: | You're arguing with a straw man. I never claimed storage | technologies other than lithium batteries didn't exist. | Electric cars continue to be a central example of the | relatively recent increase in research into storage | technologies. | | And you still can't extrapolate indefinitely from an | exponential curve. We don't know where the floor will be, | or whether it will be low enough. | Scoundreller wrote: | And we're still doing storage wrong. My A/C could have a | reservoir of refrigerant that is compressed overnight. Same | for my fridge/freezer. Or my fridge could make ice that's | held until peak hours. My deep-freezer could have an ultra- | chill zone that runs at night. My dryer could run in slow- | mode if I turn it on at a dumb time. My water heater (even | a gas one has a 250w powered vent) could ultra-heat during | off-peak. My dishwasher could auto-delay until 3am...... | | We don't even need "smart" 2-way comm appliances. Just a | weather forecast should work well enough to predict. | bigbubba wrote: | Fridge/freezer combos are already a compromise design | that sacrifice efficiency for floor space. Chest freezers | that open from the top are far more efficient (the cold | air doesn't all pour out when the door is opened.) | aidenn0 wrote: | FWIW, my gas water heater has a chimney, not a powered | vent. | MertsA wrote: | >My A/C could have a reservoir of refrigerant that is | compressed overnight. | | Not unless you want to just vent all of the refrigerant | during operation. You need to keep the suction side under | low pressure otherwise it'd just stop boiling the | refrigerant. | | >My deep-freezer could have an ultra-chill zone that runs | at night. | | That'd be making it much less efficient so even if you | can get away with some load shifting here you'd be | increasing the load substantially in order to do so. Also | this would cause large repeated temperature swings for | everything inside, might not be too big of an issue once | it's already frozen but still, undesireable. | | >My dryer could run in slow-mode if I turn it on at a | dumb time. | | Your dryer could be replaced by a much more efficient | design such as a heat pump dryer or a mechanical steam | compression dryer. | | >My water heater (even a gas one has a 250w powered vent) | could ultra-heat during off-peak. | | Safety devices make this a complete non-starter. A mixing | device to lower the output water temperature can fail and | probably eventually would fail stuck all the way hot | making this a substantial burn hazard. Even ignoring | this, all water heaters have a temperature and pressure | relief valve and increasing the water temperature to e.g. | 200 degrees instead of 140 substantially reduces the | safety margin you have between normal operating | conditions and catastrophic failure of the tank (a | sizeable explosion). Also you're not really gaining a lot | here, you could just use a standard water heater timer to | turn it off during peak hours and rely on storage | capacity. Increasing the setpoint from 140 to 210 | assuming ambient cold water temperature of 70 degrees | only doubles your hot water equivalent capacity. I | suspect it would be cheaper to increase the tank size and | not have to deal with the more challenging operating | conditions. Also, again, a much better solution is just | widespread adoption of heat pump water heaters. For most | homes you don't need the higher output of a resistive | water heater and even if you did every heat pump water | heater I've seen still comes with resistive heating as | well if it can't keep up with demand. The decrease in | energy bills pays for itself over the lifespan of the | appliance. | | Personally I've always wanted to see a practical combined | heating and refrigeration system for a home that could | tie in a fridge, HVAC, hot water heater, etc via CO2 | refrigerant. | throwaway201103 wrote: | > I've always wanted to see a practical combined heating | and refrigeration system for a home that could tie in a | fridge, HVAC, hot water heater, etc via CO2 refrigerant. | | This has been done commercially for decades, but my guess | is that the potential savings at home residential scale | are not enough to offset the cost and additional | complexity. | BlueTemplar wrote: | My water heater, dishwasher, washer and dryer are already | timed to work during off-peak - what are you waiting for | ? (I'll have to check about fridge ice, good idea!) | the8472 wrote: | > storage cost is in freefall too | | That's short-term storage. No seasonal storage technology | is at a point where we could just point at a learning curve | chart, draw a circle around some future intersection point | and say "problem solved here". | deeviant wrote: | Seasonal storage? | | That's not a thing. You just scale your solar/wind | installations to the part of the season with the least | resource (solar and wind do not often have the same low | point, either), which is economically feasible because it | is cheaper than nuclear (and coal). | the8472 wrote: | That dramatically changes cost calculation. Currently | "cheaper than X" models don't account for such | overcapacity factors. If there's no wind in summer and no | insolation during winter you'll have to overbuild _each_ | by a factor of 5 or so and then build short-term storage | on top of that. Conversely that means the bar to meet now | is _(renewables + storage) < fuel-based / 5_. | | That's a rather fat margin. And things would be a lot | cheaper overall if we could shave that off with some | long-term storage. | bryanlarsen wrote: | Running the numbers usually gives you numbers like 50% | overbuild, but even if you're right, a 5x overbuild still | is significantly cheaper than nuclear. | | A 5x overbuild would give you massive amounts of "free" | electricity. I'm sure the world would find something | economically useful to do with it. Maybe you could use it | to generate green hydrocarbons from atmospheric CO2, | killing several birds with one stone. | the8472 wrote: | > Maybe you could use it to generate green hydrocarbons | from atmospheric CO2 | | Which would start to look a lot like long-term storage. | But subsidized by negative energy prices during excess | production. So rather than bleeding money while someone | else makes profits any power company will prefer to build | less overcapacity (which also avoids risking devalued | assets) and run their own peak-shaving if they can. Which | means this problem still has to be solved one way or | another. Whether you call it long-term storage or excess | energy use. | HexagonalKitten wrote: | It isn't quite that easy though because it's night for | all 5x at once, for instance. So you need to have | transmission capacity for the 4x you don't use locally, | to send it elsewhere when it is sunny, and to import 1x | at night from your sunlit neighbors. | | > generate green hydrocarbons from atmospheric CO2, | killing several birds with one stone. | | This is great because it means we can use guilt-free | hydrocarbons where they're important. Like rocketry and | airplanes, making lubricants, plastic bags, etc. | | > overbuild would give you massive amounts of "free" | electricity. I'm sure the world would find something | economically useful to do with it. | | Generating proofs of work for a blockchain collectible | card game? :D | deeviant wrote: | > If there's no wind in summer and no insolation during | winter you'll have to overbuild each by a factor of 5... | | If nuclear power physics stopped working October to | March, that would drastically effect nuclear power | economic competitiveness... | | Wait, what's this people are telling me, I can't just | make stuff up? | | You make up a completely BS example but then actually go | through and try to come out with actual numbers. Right. | [deleted] | manfredo wrote: | Windless days and cloud cover are phenomena that actually | exist and are observed. The behavior of beta particles | suddenly changing is not. | | Yes, 5x variability in wind production has actually been | observed: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Erie_Shores_ | Wind_Farm_out... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Windp | owerprediction.png | deeviant wrote: | The statement was no X in Summer, no Y in winter. It was | not talking about a daily or even weekly phenomena but | seasonal one. | | There is no summer which have had _no_ winds, no winters | that have had _no_ insolation or vice versa. Instead of | making up numbers, you can use a site like this: | https://www.solar-electric.com/learning-center/solar- | insolat.... | | You'll find that by comparing seasonal best case to | seasonal worst case it is something like, on average, 50% | difference. It gets worse the closer you to get to the | pole obviously. | | Furthermore, surplus production does not go into | dev/null. Excess resources create markets, and there will | be consumers that take advantage of cheaper surplus power | (smelting, heavy industrial, desalination, hydrogen | production, and whatever else anybody cooks up). | the8472 wrote: | > There is no summer which have had no winds, no winters | that have had no insolation or vice versa. | | The part of "no production" were not meant to be taken | literally. If you want a more precise statement then let | me put it this way: | | For PV in central europe even an overcapacity factor of 5 | would be insufficient to cover the difference between | summer and winter. Germany's PV plants produced 7.3TWh | during June 2019 and 0.58TWh during december 2018. | | Wind does look a bit better as far as seasonal | differences go (about 4-5x) but it suffers from more | short-term variability, so you might need less seasonal | storage for it but it would require more medium-term | (multi-day or -week) storage compared to solar which is a | bit less variable during its peak months compared to | wind's peak months. | sp332 wrote: | It may be dramatic, but so far it's still a lot less | money than building several months worth of batteries. | maxerickson wrote: | Chemical storage (as methane or whatever) would work fine | and the operational side would be more or less carbon | neutral. The cost is high compared to burning fossil | fuels, but we could do it as a society (have an excess of | solar to meet household winter electrical needs and | synthesize methane in the summer to use as household heat | fuel in the winter). | | Just pulling numbers out of the darkness, the upfront | cost here in a cold region would be ~1/4 to 1/2 the cost | of a house. High, but also clearly workable. | BlueTemplar wrote: | Iron-based storage seems promising... | | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24996153 | qwertox wrote: | There is this concept of "Gravity Storage" [1] which | could be promising, if some testing were to be done on | it. | | Basically you cut a large cylinder out of the earth and | lift it by pumping water below it. When you then need the | energy, you release the water with the help of the weight | of the cylinder and use it to generate electricity. | | It sounds a bit crazy, but it could be worth testing that | approach, since it can also be used in a flat area like a | desert. | | In any case, the company filed for insolvency this year | [2]. | | There is a podcast episode [3] from "omega tau podcast" | dedicated to it, which is worth listening to. | | [1]: https://heindl-energy.com/ | | [2]: https://heindl-energy.com/about-us/ | | [3]: https://omegataupodcast.net/299-gravity-storage/ | dTal wrote: | The energy density of gravity storage is abysmal. How | abysmal? A mobile phone battery can lift a 1-ton weight | 10 meters. | the8472 wrote: | That is missing the point of my comment. I didn't say | that no experimental technology exists. I said that no | technology exists _where we can point to a chart_ from | which we can conclude that the technology will be ready | and economical in a certain number of years if trends | continue. | bjornsing wrote: | Why would anybody pay for that? | neltnerb wrote: | It is better to make sure that the reactor won't corrode | through just from the molten salts prior to testing it with | radioactive molten salt. This is currently not clear. | magicalhippo wrote: | Because it's a pretty good idea to know if the stuff that's | responsible for containing the radioactive parts can do the | job? | jupp0r wrote: | They are selling these to customers. GPs question is what | customers would do with them. | NortySpock wrote: | Low corrosion materials and parts designs might still be | worth it in other non-nuclear industrial processes? | magicalhippo wrote: | I presume customers are manufacturers of potential | reactor parts that want to see that they can handle the | salt, temperatures etc. | | edit: from the datasheet[1]: | | _The portable loop are sutable rapid prototype | validation, long term testing of mean time between | failure, salt compatibility testing, and many types of | experiments that require flowing molten salts._ | | _Components such as gaskets, flanges, filters, valves, | pumps, pressure sensors, flow meters, and heat | exchangers, etc. can be tested inside the furnace with | flowing molten salt._ | | [1]: https://www.copenhagenatomics.com/products.php | api wrote: | ... which is a very good idea for both cost and safety reasons. | | It's sort of like how SpaceX is blowing up a lot of flying beer | cans before packing one with people and expensive equipment. | usrusr wrote: | Apparently unrelated to Copenhagen Suborbitals. As much as I love | Copenhagen Suborbitals, I'd rather not want to see them growing | an atomics subdivision.. | ChuckMcM wrote: | That is the future merged company :-) | koeng wrote: | I'm wondering what kind of safety these would have. A 100 MW | reactor in a single shipping container is crazy efficient - just | curious what infrastructure around that would have to be built | yvdriess wrote: | The shipping container only has the reactor, it does not | produce the actual power. You would still need turbines etc for | that externally. | hairytrog wrote: | You mean crazy dangerous. At that power density, everything has | to work for this thing to not meltdown. | jbverschoor wrote: | So actually that's the whole design of these things. You have | to work to keep them running. In case of a meltdown, the fuel | is passively drained by a plug. | quasse wrote: | In case anyone else was wondering how having the molten | fuel pour out of the reactor is safe - it is designed to | pour into a container with criticality safe geometry to | stop fission: | | "in an emergency situation [the fuel] can be quickly | drained out of the reactor into a passively cooled dump | tank. MSRs designs have a freeze plug at the bottom of the | core--a plug of salt, cooled by a fan to keep it at a | temperature below the freezing point of the salt. If | temperature rises beyond a critical point, the plug melts, | and the liquid fuel in the core is immediately evacuated, | pouring into a sub-critical geometry in a catch basin. This | formidable safety tactic is only possible if the fuel is a | liquid." [1] | | [1] https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1687 | 85071... | TheOtherHobbes wrote: | So instead of melting down by accident it melts down | deliberately, controlled by a fan? | | Somehow I'm not as reassured as I might be. | mohaine wrote: | This would not be melting down. Melting down is melting | out of the containment device, which this is not doing. | True it is melting INTO a secondary containment device | but unless it continues to melt through that it would not | be a 'melt down' | rland wrote: | Well, no. A meltdown is when the stuff escapes | containment and then continues undergoing fission, | heating up and melting out of containment and into | groundwater/the environment. | | The drain tanks are shaped specifically so if the | (liquid) fuel flows in, it will stop reacting. And | presumably the whole apparatus (drain tanks included) is | inside of a biological shield. | | So a "meltdown" here just means a big hunk of solid | nuclear salt inside the bio-shield. I think the idea | being that you could just bury the whole thing in case of | failure. | jabl wrote: | IIRC draining the fuel salt into the drain tanks was | standard operating procedure for one of the early MSR | experimental reactors. | | Next morning when they came in to continue experiments, | started the (electrical?) heaters to liquify the salt and | pump it back into the reactor core. | | Wouldn't surprise me if the modern designs are similar. | jbverschoor wrote: | Also, there is no pressure build up, which is what caused | the big explosion in Fukushima. All the coolant starts | boiling, turning into gas, and well the rest was in the | news | bbojan wrote: | Just for clarification, the big explosion at Fukushima | was a hydrogen explosion. At high temperatures, fuel | cladding breaks water into hydrogen and oxygen. Hydrogen | collected at the highest point in the structure and later | exploded. | joncrane wrote: | I would love to see what a sub-critical geometry looks | like. I also wonder what kind of math and engineering | they did to come up with the shape they ended up with. | NortySpock wrote: | http://thorconpower.com/wp- | content/uploads/2019/03/ColdWallL... | | This one is just a bunch of separate tanks spaced as far | away from each other as possible. | | I've also seen a "Bed of nails" design where the liquid | salt would flow over a bunch of moderating spikes, seep | down between them and freeze. | julienfr112 wrote: | a pancake ? | mhh__ wrote: | > I also wonder what kind of math and engineering they | did to come up with the shape they ended up with. | | I assume this is why some Finite Element Analysis | packages come with warnings along the lines of "You must | not use this to help Kim Jong-Un do you know what" | | Feynman wrote of this when he was working at Los Alamos, | i.e. the labourers weren't informed as to what they were | really working with, so they could come very close to | criticality accidents. | donor20 wrote: | A pyramid may work with a wide flat basin at edge, | especially if core material is moderating itself (vs just | separating). | bigbubba wrote: | In some contexts, a subcritical geometry is simply a | plastic jug that's too small to hold a critical mass. | Obviously they're not using plastic jugs for this, but | the principle of the thing is pretty straight forward. | They could create a wide 'dish' under the reactor which, | if the liquid fuel were drained into, would spread the | fuel out into a shallow puddle using the self-leveling | property of fluids. | bigbubba wrote: | > _This formidable safety tactic is only possible if the | fuel is a liquid. " [1]_ | | Isn't something similar possible with pebble reactors, at | least in principle? | morning_gelato wrote: | My understanding is that these reactors are designed to have | a lot of passive safety features (e.g. if all operators walk | away the reactor will cool itself and go sub-critical), so | quite the opposite of what you are claiming. | aardvarkr wrote: | Those safety systems don't exist in a shipping container | sized nuclear reactor. One method that I think you're | talking about is when the temperature of the molten salts | goes beyond a certain safety threshold then a heat | sensitive plug is disintegrated and the Milton salts are | drained into a safe underground reservoir for them to cool. | (This is my recollection from that why thorium is the | future video that went viral years ago) Can't do that in a | shipping container. | morning_gelato wrote: | I was thinking of Copenhagen Atomics' Waste Burner design | where they describe their passive walk-away safety | features as "Prime minister safety" [1]. | | > _The CA Waste Burner has a set of systems governed by | the laws of physics that cannot be overruled by humans, | and which will cause the reactor to shut down safely if | something goes wrong...This means that operators are not | required to watch for alarms and act in accordance. The | CA Waste Burner must be able to automatically shut down | before any human can react to an alarm and choose what to | do. If human action were ever required for operation, | other than during startup procedures, then we would | consider it a design failure..._ | | [1] https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-08-101126-3.00023-3 | lostlogin wrote: | > The CA Waste Burner has a set of systems governed by | the laws of physics that cannot be overruled by humans, | and which will cause the reactor to shut down safely if | something goes wrong. | | This is really good, but humans have an amazing knack for | messing stuff up and I really hope corners aren't cut | building and maintaining it. | | What comes to mind is the situation in Japan where | workers inadvertently had some material go critical, and | while this was being investigated it was found that they | were carrying waste uranium and nitric acid around by | hand in buckets. | | https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn20263-japans- | record-o... | joncrane wrote: | Reactor shipped with "some assembly required." | dave333 wrote: | Nuclear is obsolete now that there are working prototypes | producing 250KW for 100 hours+ from the reaction of hydrogen to | hydrino (dark matter): | | https://brilliantlightpower.com/the-suncell-at-the-100-hour-... | tln wrote: | I didn't see EUR88k in the video... but I did find it on Amazon! | | https://www.amazon.com/Molten-Salt-Loop-40-Liter/dp/B077782Y... | | $88,000 + $4.49 shipping. | jbverschoor wrote: | At 80 seconds in the video he states they sell it for 88k | tln wrote: | Thanks | | https://youtu.be/A9zfYTWjZqk?t=80 | | "That's a bargain" :) | jbverschoor wrote: | Tbh. That looks badass to have in your garage | discreditable wrote: | > Cloud Data Acquisition | | Is this the most expensive IoT? | ChuckMcM wrote: | I like that Amazon says, "People also buy 'Diamond Crystal | Kosher Salt' when buying this product." AI recommendation fail. | symplee wrote: | Gotta love the "Customers also viewed these products" section | on that page, for example: | | "Salt Block Grilling: 70 Recipes for Outdoor Cooking with | Himalayan Salt Blocks" | mywittyname wrote: | I've heard that molten salt sous vide cooking is starting to | really take off. | genericacct wrote: | If you look at the brochure pictures you'll see that that they | wrote "two layers of contaminant" instead of "two layers of | containment", which is unsettling to me. | stevespang wrote: | The Guy says $88K at 1:21 minutes in the video - - but he does | not state 1 MW for $88K, probably a LOT smaller. Molten salt | reactors STILL require a source of uranium isotope as a neutron | source to get the thorium hopping. ___________________________________________________________________ (page generated 2020-12-11 23:01 UTC)