[HN Gopher] Ramstein Air Base in Germany Experiences Potential I...
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       Ramstein Air Base in Germany Experiences Potential Incoming Missile
       Scare
        
       Author : SEJeff
       Score  : 59 points
       Date   : 2020-12-13 19:43 UTC (3 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.thedrive.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.thedrive.com)
        
       | ExcavateGrandMa wrote:
       | Just before charlie hebdo attack (in france) by terrorists...
       | 
       | some ppl told that a rescue test had been performed just before
       | attack...
       | 
       | It smell the brown out... :D
        
       | ulzeraj wrote:
       | I heard Russian missiles in Kaliningrad can reach any place in
       | Poland and Lithuania. I wonder how did they managed to keep that
       | piece of land surrounded by ex-soviet republics that are
       | basically not very fond of Russia to say the least.
        
         | est31 wrote:
         | Kaliningrad's original population was German. After WW 2 the
         | red army displaced them, and Stalin settled ethnic Russians in
         | the city. So unlike the areas around it, it's truly made up of
         | Russians.
        
         | baybal2 wrote:
         | Very easy, Baltic republics were in no way capable of waging
         | war right after the independence, let alone get out with any
         | hope of territorial gains.
         | 
         | And historically, USSR always been placing military members
         | from ethnic minorities into weakest, and most "cannon-fodderry"
         | military units, predominantly foot infantry, and motorised.
         | 
         | Even ethnic Russians from more far away places were likely
         | never to see any advanced military hardware.
        
           | ulzeraj wrote:
           | Thanks. That was an honest question. No idea why I got
           | downvoted multiple times.
        
         | jacquesm wrote:
         | Because they likely would have pulled a 'Ukraine' on Lithuania
         | if it came to that.
        
           | ulzeraj wrote:
           | Well the fact that Kaliningrad is part of the Russian
           | federations means that they did pulled an Ukraine on Poland
           | and/or Lithuania.
           | 
           | I'm not an expert and by any means I'm giving opinions here
           | but I thought Crimea, South Ossetia and Abkhazia were
           | territories were Russia at least has an historical or
           | cultural excuse to claim. Again, not that I agree on those
           | claims. On the other hand Kaliningrad was never part of
           | Russia. It belonged to Poland and then to Germany. It was
           | annexed by the Soviet Union in 1945.
           | 
           | I guess the reason Kaliningrad exists is that Poland and the
           | Baltiks were in no means to fight for territory and Germany
           | doesn't care.
        
             | Spooky23 wrote:
             | It was directly annexed into Russia during the war when the
             | various states didn't exist in a meaningful way, and was
             | ethnically cleansed.
             | 
             | The other territories vary... iirc Crimea was subject to a
             | treaty in the 90s, etc. End of The day the relative power
             | imbalances and international interest tend to rule the day.
        
           | cnorthwood wrote:
           | although Lithuania is both in the EU and NATO which would
           | make it a very different proposition
        
             | jacquesm wrote:
             | It is now, but it wasn't always so.
        
       | Trombone12 wrote:
       | US defence planners: "Attacking with all nukes as soon as we get
       | a warning of an enemy launch is the only rational way to use
       | these weapons"
       | 
       | US missileers: "I'ma wait a bit to see if maybe it's just Joyce
       | that forgot to update the spreadsheet today before destroying the
       | world"
        
         | littlestymaar wrote:
         | Fortunately this sort of common sense was shared by Russian
         | soldiers too:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1983_Soviet_nuclear_false_alar...
        
           | vbezhenar wrote:
           | There are rumours about automatic Russian system Dead Hand
           | which is supposed to launch hidden nuclear missiles
           | automatically if everything is lost. It's horrifying to think
           | about bugs in that system.
        
             | pampa wrote:
             | It is probably airgapped, running on vacuum tubes and
             | sprayed with DEET as part of regular maintanance.
        
             | Fnoord wrote:
             | Cool, now I figured where Dune 2's Death Hand [1] got its
             | inspiration from.
             | 
             | [1] https://dune.fandom.com/wiki/Death_Hand
        
             | sterlind wrote:
             | From what we know, supposedly Dead Hand is usually switched
             | off except in times of crisis, and it has humans in the
             | loop that turn the launch keys, along with repeated
             | attempts to contact the Kremlin.
             | 
             | In my mind it makes things safer because there's less
             | pressure to launch a counterattack before any missiles
             | actually hit - revenge will be had.
        
       | phelm wrote:
       | perhaps someone let off 99 red balloons
        
       | Cu3PO42 wrote:
       | I live in Kaiserslautern, which is right next to Ramstein Air
       | Base. I just want to say I find it somewhat strange--unsettling
       | even--that I hear about this for the first time from an article I
       | happened to find on HN, but not the German national alert app,
       | local news or even social media.
        
         | azalemeth wrote:
         | I wonder if that means, that, well, _the system works_. There
         | _wasn 't_ an incoming missile strike: part of the early-alert
         | system sounded and another part -- a much more _human_ part --
         | interrogated the data further and decided to _not_ declare a
         | loud alarm that could have potentially severe consequences.
         | And, well, no missile strike came.
        
           | Trombone12 wrote:
           | No, the article recounts the base sending out a live warning
           | to base personnel.
           | 
           | If you've sent an alert to the soldiers on the base, you've
           | decided the warning is genuine, so the conclusion must be
           | that they don't inform the surrounding areas as soon as
           | they've accepted a warning as accurate.
        
             | KineticLensman wrote:
             | > No, the article recounts the base sending out a live
             | warning to base personnel.
             | 
             | More precisely, it said "After the strike never
             | materialized, the sprawling installation's command post put
             | out a notice stating that "the missile launch was then
             | assessed to be part of a training exercise" and wasn't
             | deemed a threat to the base"
             | 
             | > If you've sent an alert to the soldiers on the base,
             | you've decided the warning is genuine
             | 
             | Or that you are checking. It may be a false alarm, in which
             | case you will at least get a test of your readiness drills,
             | which may find bugs in the process. Sometimes better to
             | start getting ready while there is still time, and then
             | stand down. Rather than wait until it is too late.
        
               | Trombone12 wrote:
               | Look, you got to read the whole thing, and don't ignore
               | the bit that says: "The Command Post followed proper
               | procedure and _provided timely and accurate notifications
               | to personnel_ in the Kaiserslautern Military Community "
        
             | bonestamp2 wrote:
             | I don't think it's clear in the article if the initial
             | alert was sent out manually or by an automated system. The
             | first mention of it sounds manual, but then later it sounds
             | like it may have been automated, since they're trying to
             | move the blame down one level to whoever initiated the
             | training exercise that caused the alert.
        
               | Cu3PO42 wrote:
               | I don't think the training exercise refers to one
               | executed by the US (or its allies).
        
         | Voloskaya wrote:
         | > but not the German national alert app
         | 
         | You are in a way complaining about not getting a false
         | positive. Surely, if you had received an alert when nothing
         | happened, you would take the next alert less seriously.
        
       | jacquesm wrote:
       | America under Trump is seen as weak by its adversaries, it should
       | come as no surprise that the last days of the Trump
       | administration will see a lot of saber rattling. Let's hope it
       | stays at that level.
        
         | hourislate wrote:
         | Ummm...The USA has the most powerful military in the world and
         | a budget that is larger than the next 10 largest spending
         | countries put together.
         | 
         | They have also participated in 20 years of war testing,
         | training, and honing skills.
         | 
         | I mean he wanted to nuke Iran but the establishment wouldn't
         | let him. Is that what you consider weak?
        
           | pengaru wrote:
           | > I mean he wanted to nuke Iran but the establishment
           | wouldn't let him. Is that what you consider weak?
           | 
           | They're talking about _perception_ of weakness, and frankly
           | what you 're describing there would be evidence of his being
           | weak if "the establishment" blocked him.
           | 
           | Not that I'm agreeing with what any of what either of you are
           | saying here.
        
           | Spooky23 wrote:
           | What's the national interest? Weakness is the fact that a
           | moron like Trump became POTUS by some accident of history,
           | and that he may have wanted to attack a country with nuclear
           | weapons because he heard some lunatic talk about it on TV.
           | 
           | Military planners and diplomats are ultimately amoral. But
           | the realpolitik of the devastation of Iran is a shift in the
           | balance of power that doesn't benefit the national interest,
           | or creates bigger problems.
           | 
           | Weakness is the 101 other cuts that impacted US standing.
           | Everything from the insanity of Brexit and failure to
           | exploit, to the betrayal of US allies in Iraq and Syria, to
           | the rise of a dangerous regime in Turkey, to damaged
           | relations with Canada and destruction of the power of the US
           | passport to the epic, historic incompetence of the COVID
           | pandemic and impending depression.
        
         | RobRivera wrote:
         | [Citation needed]
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | hikerclimber wrote:
       | nice!
        
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       (page generated 2020-12-13 23:00 UTC)