[HN Gopher] The Universe Is Expanding Faster Than Expected
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       The Universe Is Expanding Faster Than Expected
        
       Author : tinmandespot
       Score  : 74 points
       Date   : 2020-12-21 20:09 UTC (2 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.quantamagazine.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.quantamagazine.org)
        
       | akka47 wrote:
       | I always get a feeling of existential dread when I read these
       | kind of news.
        
         | yokem55 wrote:
         | Don't worry too much about it. In the end, everything will be
         | nearly 0k.
        
           | xwdv wrote:
           | The worry is that not only will we be utterly destroyed, but
           | that the destruction will be so thorough it will blow
           | backward through time erasing all events that ever happened
           | and making it so that we never even lived. That means
           | everything we experience right now didn't happen, we are just
           | seeing a probability of what could happen but didn't because
           | it's all destroyed. These lives mean nothing.
        
             | rytill wrote:
             | I don't see how it's possible to un-make-something-happen.
             | It already happened. It's gone. You can't kill what's
             | already dead.
        
             | ChrisLTD wrote:
             | If there is no afterlife, then oblivion is our inevitable
             | destiny.
        
               | xwdv wrote:
               | No afterlife, no prelife, no life.
        
               | twic wrote:
               | Reminds me of a Stephen Baxter story:
               | http://www.sixwordstories.net/2009/08/big-bang-no-god-
               | fadeou...
               | 
               | (the story is - for once, literally - in the URL)
        
             | thatguy0900 wrote:
             | That's a very specific worry.
        
             | FeepingCreature wrote:
             | "Everything we experience right now, didn't happen, we are
             | just seeing" - Who exactly is seeing?
        
             | maedla wrote:
             | It seems like in that case there isn't much to worry about
             | then :)
        
           | p1mrx wrote:
           | 0K should be uppercase.
        
           | ravenstine wrote:
           | That is brilliant.
        
           | eloff wrote:
           | I appreciate your optimism. I tend to be optimistic about the
           | future myself. But there is no law of the universe that
           | everything will work out ok. Only if we make the right
           | decisions as a species and we don't get unlucky.
           | 
           | I'm quite apprehensive that the great filter lies ahead -
           | that technology accelerates too rapidly compared to our
           | wisdom and we end up nearly destroying ourselves. We're
           | getting the ability to program life itself and to likely to
           | democratize the ability to harness the forces inside the
           | atom. Neither of which we're ready for as a species.
        
             | kiba wrote:
             | What does it mean to not pass the great filter? Humanity or
             | their successor stop existing?
        
               | bartwe wrote:
               | We won't be there ourselves anyways...
        
             | woko wrote:
             | I think it was a joke about zero Kelvin.
        
             | grey-area wrote:
             | I believe the OP said 0K, not OK.
             | 
             | There may not be a universal law which says everything will
             | be OK, but there is one which says everything will be 0K in
             | the end.
        
           | unionpivo wrote:
           | had to read that twice to get it :)
        
         | ASalazarMX wrote:
         | "The aggregate of our joy and suffering, thousands of confident
         | religions, ideologies, and economic doctrines, every hunter and
         | forager, every hero and coward, every creator and destroyer of
         | civilization, every king and peasant, every young couple in
         | love, every mother and father, hopeful child, inventor and
         | explorer, every teacher of morals, every corrupt politician,
         | every 'superstar,' every 'supreme leader,' every saint and
         | sinner in the history of our species lived there-on a mote of
         | dust suspended in a sunbeam" - Carl Sagan
         | 
         | And that pale blue dot means nothing in a cosmic scale. Stop
         | worrying and enjoy the incredible fortune of being alive.
        
       | h2odragon wrote:
       | Time runs slower when you're young; but then as you age there's
       | less time in each day. Perhaps it's the same for everything else
       | that experiences time, from us to galaxies and universes.
        
       | edgefield0 wrote:
       | A few years ago, a published article suggested an alternative to
       | the universe expanding is mass decay. Older objects lose mass and
       | therefore are red shifted. Why isn't this alternative plausible
       | theory recieving such little attention?
        
       | ricardo81 wrote:
       | One thing I've always admired as a Layman about astronomy, is all
       | the eloquent deductions they've been able to make that adds
       | another framework of ways to discover new information,
       | particularly the discovery of Cepheids.
       | 
       | Obviously the engineering side is also as impressive, being able
       | to look at objects light years away and using the paltry several
       | hundred million miles our Earth orbit takes us around the sun as
       | a means of information discovery.
        
       | AnimalMuppet wrote:
       | When this article talked about the ladder of standard candles, I
       | started to wonder: when using the brightness of supernovae
       | between near and far galaxies, what about intergalactic dust
       | absorbing some of the light? Wouldn't that mess up the ability to
       | just straighforwardly determine the distance from the brightness
       | in a 1/r^2 way?
        
       | 7373737373 wrote:
       | Here's a narrated video about this current cosmological crisis:
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0sfvQ_fsil4
       | 
       | This is one of the key graphics:
       | https://i0.wp.com/particlebites.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/...
        
       | jart wrote:
       | tl;dr the universe is expanding at 73kmph rather than 68kmph.
        
         | c-smile wrote:
         | If your "tl;dr" would be true then there will be no difference
         | between day and night ...
         | 
         | 3600 times faster than that ...
        
         | AnimalMuppet wrote:
         | kilometers per second per megaparsec, not kmph.
        
       | mellosouls wrote:
       | Actual title:
       | 
       |  _Astronomers Get Their Wish, and a Cosmic Crisis Gets Worse_
       | 
       | There seems to have been a reframing of the "crisis" at some
       | point, with "discrepancy in measurements" becoming "expanding
       | faster than expected" which latter seems to imply the Reiss camp
       | has the expansion rate correct compared to the earlier mystery as
       | to which might be true and why they might be different but both
       | sides on an equal footing otherwise.
       | 
       | Reader (me) misunderstanding, actual change in scientific
       | perception or PR work by somebody?
        
       | User23 wrote:
       | One thing that really frustrates me about cosmology, or at least
       | popular science reporting and books, is a particular kind of lack
       | of intellectual rigor. Specifically, even as a layman, it's clear
       | that observation and model are being conflated.
       | 
       | Cosmology is a science in the broadest sense of being a field of
       | human knowledge, but it isn't a science the way that, for
       | example, physics is. It would better be described as a
       | phenomenology[1]. I'm sure many will disagree with this factually
       | more accurate description, because of the emotional role their
       | ideation of science plays in their lives, but I believe it has
       | greater intellectual utility and that a phenomenology can even be
       | of greater value than an experimental science. This framing helps
       | us understand that we should spend less time on trying to come up
       | with dubious "natural experiments"[2] and more on the collection
       | and publication of data in useful formats. And most of all, to be
       | absolutely clear what the assumptions of the model are, even the
       | most trusted ones, because they may well prove incorrect. But
       | maybe this is just an issue in the popular press?
       | 
       | [1] "A description or history of phenomena." (not the definition
       | from what we now call philosophy)
       | 
       | [2] Which aren't experiments at all because selection isn't
       | control.
        
         | horsawlarway wrote:
         | I agree with you here. A phrase that always echoes in my mind
         | when discussing cosmology is
         | 
         | "All models are wrong - some models are useful"
         | 
         | The farther you venture from the verified useful section of a
         | model (by which I mean - the farther you are from model
         | predications that have been validated with observational
         | evidence), the less you should trust it - ALL MODELS ARE WRONG!
         | 
         | And for most sciences - this isn't a huge deal - we can do lots
         | of observational work easily right now. For cosmology... well -
         | our observational data on the history of the universe it just
         | astoundingly, mind-bogglingly, miniscule in comparison to the
         | events we're interested in.
        
         | twic wrote:
         | > it's clear that observation and model are being conflated
         | 
         | How so?
         | 
         | > [cosmology] isn't a science the way that, for example,
         | physics is.
         | 
         | Why not?
         | 
         | > I'm sure many will disagree with this factually more accurate
         | description, because of the emotional role their ideation of
         | science plays in their lives
         | 
         | Perhaps i will once i understand what you're going on about.
        
         | lisper wrote:
         | No, you are absolutely wrong here. But before I explain why I
         | need to ask a question: are you by chance a young-earth
         | creationist? Because your rhetoric here is very similar to that
         | employed by YECs. (The reason I ask is that my explanation is
         | going to be different if you are not a YEC than if you are.)
        
           | User23 wrote:
           | I'm engaging in dialectic, not rhetoric. I don't believe
           | rhetoric has a place on this site, at least not from me.
           | 
           | Since this is a site dedicated to intellectual curiosity, why
           | don't you please present me with both?
        
         | cubano wrote:
         | Wasn't there a time, not so long ago in fact (pre-1920's),
         | where almost all your beloved physics models, beside Netwonian
         | gravities, were wrong as well?
         | 
         | So Astronomy, as a "hard science", is around 100 years
         | behind...what's the big deal with that?
        
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       (page generated 2020-12-21 23:00 UTC)