[HN Gopher] Qualcomm to Acquire Nuvia: A CPU Magnitude Shift
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       Qualcomm to Acquire Nuvia: A CPU Magnitude Shift
        
       Author : pella
       Score  : 136 points
       Date   : 2021-01-13 14:08 UTC (8 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.anandtech.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.anandtech.com)
        
       | nirv wrote:
       | Quite sad news, to be honest.
       | 
       | I hoped that Nuvia, given its great team of ex-Apple CPU
       | architect engineers, would maintain its independence and become a
       | full-fledged competitor in the desktop and server market.
       | Instead, they sold to a company that is often described as "the
       | Oracle of hardware companies" and "a law firm with a few
       | engineers"[1][2][3].
       | 
       | [1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18333270
       | 
       | [2]
       | https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-05-22/qualcomm-...
       | 
       | [3]
       | https://old.reddit.com/r/Android/comments/71rjyx/why_exynos_...
        
         | wyldfire wrote:
         | > maintain its independence and become a full-fledged
         | competitor in the desktop and server market.
         | 
         | If I had to guess, Nuvia's expertise will be used to optimize
         | Qualcomm's ARM, Adreno and Hexagons for the next generation of
         | Snapdragon cx. Qualcomm and Microsoft dipped their toe into
         | this market and now that Apple is all-in, they need an answer
         | to the M1. They won't get there with reference designs from
         | ARM.
         | 
         | But once they're producing optimized ARMs for SoC apps
         | processors, who's to say that they couldn't re-enter the server
         | space?
        
         | robotresearcher wrote:
         | Viterbi was a founder. He was an historically significant
         | engineer.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrew_Viterbi
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Viterbi_algorithm
        
         | devwastaken wrote:
         | With how similar processors are can you even have a small
         | company without being threatened by patents at every corner?
         | Part of the capitalism endgame isn't innovation, but to buy up
         | potential competitors by having grey area ownership of the
         | mechanisms they work with. Sometimes letting those companies
         | then use your patents to continue work.
        
         | blinkingled wrote:
         | But on the other hand they didn't have many other viable
         | options did they? Their expertise is ARM and they need a BigCo
         | to back their R&D and subsequently manufacturing. So that
         | leaves them with Nvidia and Samsung as options.
        
           | wmf wrote:
           | No, I think they could survive independently on VC funding.
        
             | blinkingled wrote:
             | Having read HN I got the impression that VC funding isn't
             | always a good thing either. How is VC funding at this level
             | better? (It might well be I just don't have any insight.)
        
               | wmf wrote:
               | I don't know which route is better (clearly the Nuvia
               | team decided to accept the acquisition) but I think
               | independence would have been possible.
        
         | oblio wrote:
         | > Instead, they sold to a company that is often described as
         | "the Oracle of hardware companies" and "a law firm with a few
         | engineers"
         | 
         | Didn't Qualcomm beat out a ton of competitors?
        
           | ohazi wrote:
           | Yes, using patents.
           | 
           | They got lucky and a handful of their early patents became
           | required parts of early cellular standards. Since then
           | they've lobbied the standards bodies to include features that
           | require their newest patents. When that fails, because the
           | mobile manufacturers are tired of Qualcomm's monopoly, they
           | simply buy up more patents to make up the difference.
        
           | baybal2 wrote:
           | Yet, very remarkable given that they were nearly stomped out
           | of the market around 2010-2012 by previously "no-name" SoC
           | makers, making cookie cutter SoCs cheap, fast, and selling by
           | tons.
           | 
           | Yet, they recovered, and clawed back their way to the top,
           | with only MediaTek now threatening them.
           | 
           | I don't expect MediaTek to be as inept, and Pavlovian if
           | Qualcomm will ever come to them with a deal, as they did with
           | Allwinner 8 years ago (Allwinner gave up on mobile market,
           | and Qualcomm gave them an obscene cut from their low-end
           | Snapdragons in return.)
           | 
           | And knowing Taiwanese, they simply don't sell companies
           | owners spent their life working on. Very ego driven business
           | culture.
        
             | robert_foss wrote:
             | Mediatek has 31% market share of the smartphone SOC market,
             | and Qualcomm 29%.
             | 
             | https://www.counterpointresearch.com/mediatek-biggest-
             | smartp...
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | modeless wrote:
       | I hope this means they are at least going to try to catch Apple.
       | The complete lack of effort by them on the CPU side has been sad.
       | Given hardware timelines, though, I'm sure any improvement is
       | many years away.
        
       | tambourine_man wrote:
       | What are the chances of lawsuits in the near future?
       | 
       | Not my area of expertise by a long shot, but Qualcomm and Apple
       | are not strangers in court and acquiring a slew of ex-Apple CPU
       | engineers is probably like trowing gas on that fire.
        
         | wmf wrote:
         | The lawsuit is already happening:
         | https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-02-14/nuvia-exe...
        
           | tambourine_man wrote:
           | Yeah, I remember that one and was referring to it as well.
           | 
           | What I mean is, what are the chances of new ones in light of
           | this acquisition? Or is this old one not settled yet and it's
           | still the same case?
        
       | liminal wrote:
       | Microsoft must be kicking themselves for not acquiring them
        
       | arusahni wrote:
       | I initially read this as "NVidia". I'm still recovering from the
       | shock.
        
         | jannes wrote:
         | Happened to me too. I was already thinking about Qualcomm
         | suddenly owning ARM (through Nvidia) and how anti-competitive
         | that would be.
        
           | shroom wrote:
           | Think everyone did :D
        
       | jabl wrote:
       | That's kind of interesting considering Qualcomm spent plenty-o-
       | millions not many years ago to develop the ARM64 Falcor core and
       | Centriq server SoC, only to throw it all away just before it was
       | supposed to hit the market.
        
         | wyldfire wrote:
         | It is a shame but I think they figured they had to go on a diet
         | or risk an LBO.
        
           | robocat wrote:
           | Is this a common scenario? Bet all capital on a new product,
           | and get bought out at the low point in market valuation:
           | before the product has shown promise and the market price has
           | still not recovered?
           | 
           | Edit: I am wondering about older companies more than startups
           | (presumably it is more common for startups that look like
           | failing but are actually on brink of success).
        
             | wyldfire wrote:
             | I don't think it's common, no. In the 1980s I think it
             | happened more often (because they had a lot of assets that
             | weren't reflected in the valuation maybe?).
             | 
             | But in Qualcomm's case they were arguably undervalued
             | because of ongoing regulation/lawsuits regarding their
             | licensing practices. IIRC they had shipped their Amberwing
             | Centriq CPU but the reception was kinda lukewarm.
             | 
             | AWS ended up introducing Graviton not long after -
             | presumably AWS wouldn't have sourced Centriq if they had
             | their own designs in the works.
             | 
             | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Qualcomm_Centriq
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | klelatti wrote:
         | That was in response to the Broadcom bid I think? Corporate
         | vandalism.
        
       | Iolaum wrote:
       | Do I remember wrong that Nuvia higher ups have stated that they
       | wanted to bring products to market rather than get acquired? P.S.
       | I know such statements shouldn't be taken at face value anyway.
       | Just curious.
        
       | WatchDog wrote:
       | 1.4B, not bad for 2 years of work.
        
       | solarkraft wrote:
       | Is it true that this will uniquely position them to compete with
       | Apple's processors while everyone keeps having to use the bog
       | standard (and apparently not _that_ amazing) Cortex cores?
       | 
       | Are there other companies able to produce promising cores/any
       | that could develop a serious M1 competitor?
       | 
       | Was this acquisition mostly fueled by M1 hype (i.e. "Cortext
       | chips are just fine")?
        
       | ksec wrote:
       | Replying to distract myself from the Intel news.
       | 
       | Nuvia has shown [1] they have designs with Pref Per Watts that
       | rivals or exceed Apple's current A14. Normally these sort of pre-
       | design and slides should be taken with a big pinch of salt from
       | Startup. But this is from Gerard Williams, ARM Fellow and
       | Architect of all current Apple CPU design. So i think they are
       | plausible.
       | 
       | The improvement in Single Thread Performance is what Qualcomm
       | desperately needs for their SnapDragon SoC. It will also reboot
       | their ARM on Server work now that Apple and Amazon has the ball
       | rolling.
       | 
       | Tremendous respect for CEO Steven Mollenkopf, retiring later this
       | summer.
       | 
       | [1] https://www.anandtech.com/show/15967/nuvia-phoenix-
       | targets-5...
        
         | BugsJustFindMe wrote:
         | > _Nuvia has shown [1] they have designs with Pref Per Watts
         | that rivals or exceed Apple 's current A14._
         | 
         | Your linked article 1) doesn't mention A14, and 2) only
         | contains a marketing image for something that didn't yet exist.
         | It doesn't appear like they _showed_ anything. Did you mean to
         | link to a different article?
        
       | gigatexal wrote:
       | Qualcomm CPUs for both mobile and non-mobile should be even more
       | compelling in the near future with this acquisition. Apple has a
       | legit competitor here.
        
       | rektide wrote:
       | $1.4 billion. Wow. That's a lot of dough.
       | 
       | I feel like 202x might be another decade where no new chip making
       | companies emerge. I had great hopes for Nuvia becoming one of
       | them. My first most primitive reaction is that this is like
       | another PA Semi[1]: great talent & new prospects, fresh air,
       | vanishing into one of the super-massive existing players.
       | 
       | Qualcomm does some open source work, but most of the support
       | comes from outside engineers reverse engineering their products
       | or otherwise doing the work[2]. The Freedreno graphics driver for
       | example allows their gpu to be used (OpenGL, Vulkan drivers), &
       | has been a huge effort. That work mostly comes from Google
       | engineers like Rob Clark (who started Freedreno iirc), Eric
       | Anholt, Igalia engineers like Danil, & countless others[3].
       | 
       | In the wifi-router world, where Qualcomm also has a huge
       | presence, we rely on hunting around for open-source code drops of
       | what usually seems like pretty old but better than we've got
       | code, such as this recent find[4], which is hopefully going to
       | help us catch a couple years up in support level to what Qualcomm
       | is doing today.
       | 
       | Nuvia explicitly stated they wanted to chase hyperscaler market.
       | And I think a lot of this was positioning. That hyper-scalers
       | wanted good tech, would use good tech. Where-as a lot of the
       | world, they want what they have but better, a lot of legacy
       | concerns, hand holding. Nuvia wanted to build a new platform, a
       | good, well supported platform, with next-gen technologies. We
       | were all expecting open-source perhaps Rust-based firmwares &
       | management systems, pursuant to latest OpenCompute Project specs
       | &c. They were clear about targetting hyper-scalers, & big chips,
       | but somehow the hope always was that they'd help reform & reshape
       | computing & what was available to everyone. They certainly talked
       | the good game, sounded real good on Twitter. Ah well.
       | 
       | [1] https://venturebeat.com/2012/09/18/more-details-shake-
       | loose-...
       | 
       | [2] https://www.phoronix.com/scan.php?page=search&q=Qualcomm
       | 
       | [3] https://github.com/mesa3d/mesa/commits/master/src/freedreno
       | 
       | [4] https://forum.openwrt.org/t/adding-openwrt-support-for-
       | xiaom...
        
       | avrionov wrote:
       | > NUVIA was originally founded in February 2019
       | 
       | Do they hold the record for the fastest and most profitable exit?
        
         | zyang wrote:
         | This is deja vu of the Uber - Otto aquisition.
        
         | wmf wrote:
         | Netscape did a $2.9B IPO after 17 months.
        
           | avrionov wrote:
           | Adjusted for inflation Netscape price is much higher, but at
           | least they had a working product and big team.
        
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       (page generated 2021-01-13 23:00 UTC)