[HN Gopher] Bitcoin: Magic Internet Money
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Bitcoin: Magic Internet Money
        
       Author : Bostonian
       Score  : 23 points
       Date   : 2021-01-13 20:44 UTC (2 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.researchaffiliates.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.researchaffiliates.com)
        
       | rbtprograms wrote:
       | Once you accept that everything is a simulation and nothing is
       | real, the price of Bitcoin makes perfect sense.
        
       | ogogmad wrote:
       | What's the point of Tether? Is it to move money between exchanges
       | while avoiding KYC/AML?
       | 
       | Didn't work for me when I was using Bitfinex. They asked for KYC
       | when I tried to withdraw some Tether. Now I'm at a loss in trying
       | to understand the point of it.
        
         | thinkloop wrote:
         | It's to exit your crypto positions without the costly process
         | of going into fiat.
        
           | ogogmad wrote:
           | Why is converting to fiat any more expensive than selling for
           | Tether?
           | 
           | [edit]
           | 
           | Maybe I've figured it out: It's essentially a way of moving a
           | sum of fiat between exchanges without going through a bank.
           | If you withdraw to a bank, then you have to wait a while
           | before you can move that money back into an exchange. At
           | least that's my experience.
        
             | x3n0ph3n3 wrote:
             | Exiting to fiat requires KYC reporting and taxes. Tether,
             | in many settings, allows you go get away with _not_ doing
             | that.
        
               | ogogmad wrote:
               | But that requires that the exchange doesn't impose KYC
               | requirements when you withdraw Tether. Do such exchanges
               | exist? Are they legal? Bitfinex, which is closely
               | affiliated with the company that runs Tether, actually
               | does _not_ allow you to withdraw Tether without doing
               | KYC.
        
       | marcell wrote:
       | While Tether may indeed be a fractional reserve, that doesn't
       | seem like an existential threat to bitcoin.
       | 
       | At any given time, a small scale bitcoin holder (<1000BTC) can
       | liquidate their entire position on Coinbase and withdraw USD to
       | their bank account within a few days. A large holder would have
       | to be more careful, but the market is big enough to liquidate
       | 10,000 BTC over a week or two with minimal price impact.
       | 
       | Given this, we can see from revealed preferences that most small
       | and large bitcoin holders are _not_ liquidating their positions
       | for USD. Whether or not Tether is a fractional reserve doesn 't
       | really change this.
       | 
       | That said, if Tether is revealed to be a fractional reserve, it
       | would almost certainly be a huge short term shock to the system
       | for bitcoin. Liquidity between exchanges would be shot, and the
       | news would scare many investors away from the market. I wouldn't
       | be surprised to see an 80% short term drawdown in that scenario,
       | similar to when Mt Gox crashed. But again, this doesn't really
       | change the long term dynamics I described above, since holder's
       | ability to liquidate BTC for USD was never an issue.
        
         | arcticbull wrote:
         | Re: fractional reserve. Fractional reserve banking without a
         | backstop is dreadful and was a major contributor to the Great
         | Depression. Luckily, we learned from that and created the FDIC.
         | It's not at all the same thing and you cannot consider
         | fractional reserve banking to be equivalent to fractional
         | reserve banking _with a backstop_.
         | 
         | It's _not_ the same thing as fractional reserve banking, where
         | a bank loans money it doesn 't have and leaves itself with a
         | negative balance until the loan is repaid (which btw, also has
         | to be backed very carefully). It's printing money to buy BTC
         | and pump it.
         | 
         | Last, they also _don 't owe you any money or other assets_ if
         | you try and withdraw. They can say no, and tell you to stuff
         | it. Read their T&Cs on their website.
        
       | Ulrich2 wrote:
       | I dont understand that:
       | 
       | 1. So someone sells (potentially) worthless Tether for Bitcoin,
       | ok.
       | 
       | 2. But who is selling his Bitcoin for Tether in these volumes?
       | Miners need to sell for cash to finance their operations.
        
       | tedk-42 wrote:
       | Ain't no magic. As countries boost their economies via cash
       | stimulus packages, this cash needs to end up somewhere and two
       | easy places are crypto exchanges and the stock market.
        
       | arcticbull wrote:
       | I mean yeah, the burden of proof here is very much on Tether, as
       | it always has been. They've claimed it was backed 1:1 with cash,
       | that was proven false. They then claimed its backed by all sorts
       | of stuff maybe, who knows?
       | 
       | What we do know is that their own website T&C says by holding a
       | USDT token, they owe you nothing. They never have to allow anyone
       | to withdraw a single penny. They can sail off to a (different)
       | island and keep any assets they may or may not have, scot free.
       | They're chuck-e-cheese tokens.
       | 
       | They hired an auditor, then the auditor quit.
       | 
       | They bank with a domestic bank in the Bahamas, Deltec, who they
       | may well own (as they owned Noble in Puerto Rico before it was
       | bankrupted due to their ownership being revealed) - and guess
       | what? The Bahamas' government domestic bank foreign liabilities
       | do not show a 24B influx of USD over the last year.
       | 
       | There's no reason - nor has there ever been reason - to believe
       | Tether is anything other than a scam to enrich Tether and bank
       | Bitfinex. The crazy thing is that USDT volume amounts for 80% of
       | BTC trading volume. [1]
       | 
       | I just can't understand the "well, let's just assume it's fine
       | until proven otherwise" attitude. If that's your attitude I've
       | got a tokenized bridge to sell ya.
       | 
       | To call Tether a systemic risk to the entire crypto space is
       | quite the understatement.
       | 
       | [1] https://coinlib.io/coin/BTC/Bitcoin
        
         | vsareto wrote:
         | The fact that Tether has gone on for so long is proof you can
         | do these kinds of things on the year-long scale and have plenty
         | of time to plan an exit well before the cards collapse. People
         | have been calling the risk of Tether for a while (self
         | included) but it just hasn't been realized. It's entirely
         | possible it survives a significant amount of time for it to
         | become a necessary part of BTC, whether that's ultimately good
         | or bad.
        
       ___________________________________________________________________
       (page generated 2021-01-13 23:00 UTC)