[HN Gopher] Bitcoin: Magic Internet Money ___________________________________________________________________ Bitcoin: Magic Internet Money Author : Bostonian Score : 23 points Date : 2021-01-13 20:44 UTC (2 hours ago) (HTM) web link (www.researchaffiliates.com) (TXT) w3m dump (www.researchaffiliates.com) | rbtprograms wrote: | Once you accept that everything is a simulation and nothing is | real, the price of Bitcoin makes perfect sense. | ogogmad wrote: | What's the point of Tether? Is it to move money between exchanges | while avoiding KYC/AML? | | Didn't work for me when I was using Bitfinex. They asked for KYC | when I tried to withdraw some Tether. Now I'm at a loss in trying | to understand the point of it. | thinkloop wrote: | It's to exit your crypto positions without the costly process | of going into fiat. | ogogmad wrote: | Why is converting to fiat any more expensive than selling for | Tether? | | [edit] | | Maybe I've figured it out: It's essentially a way of moving a | sum of fiat between exchanges without going through a bank. | If you withdraw to a bank, then you have to wait a while | before you can move that money back into an exchange. At | least that's my experience. | x3n0ph3n3 wrote: | Exiting to fiat requires KYC reporting and taxes. Tether, | in many settings, allows you go get away with _not_ doing | that. | ogogmad wrote: | But that requires that the exchange doesn't impose KYC | requirements when you withdraw Tether. Do such exchanges | exist? Are they legal? Bitfinex, which is closely | affiliated with the company that runs Tether, actually | does _not_ allow you to withdraw Tether without doing | KYC. | marcell wrote: | While Tether may indeed be a fractional reserve, that doesn't | seem like an existential threat to bitcoin. | | At any given time, a small scale bitcoin holder (<1000BTC) can | liquidate their entire position on Coinbase and withdraw USD to | their bank account within a few days. A large holder would have | to be more careful, but the market is big enough to liquidate | 10,000 BTC over a week or two with minimal price impact. | | Given this, we can see from revealed preferences that most small | and large bitcoin holders are _not_ liquidating their positions | for USD. Whether or not Tether is a fractional reserve doesn 't | really change this. | | That said, if Tether is revealed to be a fractional reserve, it | would almost certainly be a huge short term shock to the system | for bitcoin. Liquidity between exchanges would be shot, and the | news would scare many investors away from the market. I wouldn't | be surprised to see an 80% short term drawdown in that scenario, | similar to when Mt Gox crashed. But again, this doesn't really | change the long term dynamics I described above, since holder's | ability to liquidate BTC for USD was never an issue. | arcticbull wrote: | Re: fractional reserve. Fractional reserve banking without a | backstop is dreadful and was a major contributor to the Great | Depression. Luckily, we learned from that and created the FDIC. | It's not at all the same thing and you cannot consider | fractional reserve banking to be equivalent to fractional | reserve banking _with a backstop_. | | It's _not_ the same thing as fractional reserve banking, where | a bank loans money it doesn 't have and leaves itself with a | negative balance until the loan is repaid (which btw, also has | to be backed very carefully). It's printing money to buy BTC | and pump it. | | Last, they also _don 't owe you any money or other assets_ if | you try and withdraw. They can say no, and tell you to stuff | it. Read their T&Cs on their website. | Ulrich2 wrote: | I dont understand that: | | 1. So someone sells (potentially) worthless Tether for Bitcoin, | ok. | | 2. But who is selling his Bitcoin for Tether in these volumes? | Miners need to sell for cash to finance their operations. | tedk-42 wrote: | Ain't no magic. As countries boost their economies via cash | stimulus packages, this cash needs to end up somewhere and two | easy places are crypto exchanges and the stock market. | arcticbull wrote: | I mean yeah, the burden of proof here is very much on Tether, as | it always has been. They've claimed it was backed 1:1 with cash, | that was proven false. They then claimed its backed by all sorts | of stuff maybe, who knows? | | What we do know is that their own website T&C says by holding a | USDT token, they owe you nothing. They never have to allow anyone | to withdraw a single penny. They can sail off to a (different) | island and keep any assets they may or may not have, scot free. | They're chuck-e-cheese tokens. | | They hired an auditor, then the auditor quit. | | They bank with a domestic bank in the Bahamas, Deltec, who they | may well own (as they owned Noble in Puerto Rico before it was | bankrupted due to their ownership being revealed) - and guess | what? The Bahamas' government domestic bank foreign liabilities | do not show a 24B influx of USD over the last year. | | There's no reason - nor has there ever been reason - to believe | Tether is anything other than a scam to enrich Tether and bank | Bitfinex. The crazy thing is that USDT volume amounts for 80% of | BTC trading volume. [1] | | I just can't understand the "well, let's just assume it's fine | until proven otherwise" attitude. If that's your attitude I've | got a tokenized bridge to sell ya. | | To call Tether a systemic risk to the entire crypto space is | quite the understatement. | | [1] https://coinlib.io/coin/BTC/Bitcoin | vsareto wrote: | The fact that Tether has gone on for so long is proof you can | do these kinds of things on the year-long scale and have plenty | of time to plan an exit well before the cards collapse. People | have been calling the risk of Tether for a while (self | included) but it just hasn't been realized. It's entirely | possible it survives a significant amount of time for it to | become a necessary part of BTC, whether that's ultimately good | or bad. ___________________________________________________________________ (page generated 2021-01-13 23:00 UTC)