[HN Gopher] Facebook testing notification to users about Apple p...
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       Facebook testing notification to users about Apple privacy changes
        
       Author : asimpletune
       Score  : 387 points
       Date   : 2021-02-01 16:40 UTC (6 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.axios.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.axios.com)
        
       | imheretolearn wrote:
       | I am happy that this is happening. It was about time someone gave
       | it back to FB. FB has time and again crossed boundaries for which
       | it has had to apologize everytime. It seems like they cannot
       | regulate themselves so someone from the outside has to step in. I
       | hope this changes the individual tracking landscape a bit even
       | though the Big G is still a larger issue that needs to be
       | addressed
        
       | grishka wrote:
       | > Apple's new prompt suggests there is a tradeoff between
       | personalized advertising and privacy; when in fact, we can and do
       | provide both.
       | 
       | We provide both as long as you trust us.
        
       | kerng wrote:
       | To be honest, I dont accept the argument that extremly detailed
       | tracking is the only way to show relevant ads. High level
       | information is probably enough and I'm sure FB would still make
       | tons of money by even showing random ads.
       | 
       | Makes you wonder if there is actually another reason for
       | collecting all that data? Like building AI and ML models for
       | other purposes.
        
         | cwkoss wrote:
         | If regulations don't prevent them from doing so, I expect FB to
         | pivot into Surveillance As A Service for authoritarian states.
        
       | 0x0 wrote:
       | So I guess you should click "Allow" in the first facebook-
       | designed prompt, to trigger the second Apple iOS level system
       | prompt, and click "Don't allow" there, to actually register the
       | do-not-track request to be enforced on the OS/API level?
       | 
       | If you just click "Don't allow" on the first FB screen, it
       | doesn't look like iOS will know about the do-not-track preference
       | at all?
        
       | temp667 wrote:
       | Thank goodness we've all been conditioned by the EU cookie
       | consent screens to say yes to every damn popup that pops up!
       | 
       | Seriously - the EU is bombarding us with damn cookie notice
       | screens. I wish apple had been more in charge of the web than
       | these EU folks.
        
       | ruined wrote:
       | do i get a consent screen if i don't have an account
        
         | metalliqaz wrote:
         | if you don't have a FB account, why would you install the app?
        
           | rolph wrote:
           | in my case i would install so i can sniff the connections and
           | suss out the code where possible, likely tuck all that away
           | into a folder for development of a putative anti app.
        
           | code_duck wrote:
           | FB has been known to maintain marketing profiles for people
           | who have never or no longer use their services.
        
       | moolcool wrote:
       | "Support business which rely on ads to reach customers"
       | 
       | Well if you put it that way... still no.
        
       | yters wrote:
       | https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.theonion.com/cias-facebook-...
        
         | reaperducer wrote:
         | Non-Amp link: https://www.theonion.com/cias-facebook-program-
         | dramatically-...
        
           | yters wrote:
           | I wonder if Google ever sanitizes web pages filtered through
           | its amp servers.
        
         | acheron wrote:
         | I thought the more appropriate one is
         | https://www.theonion.com/entire-facebook-staff-laughs-as-man...
        
       | racl101 wrote:
       | I'm ok with Facebook having to beg for my permission to use my
       | data instead of just taking what they want without telling me.
        
       | Lammy wrote:
       | I'm impressed (in a bad way) at the subtle emotional manipulation
       | in the combination of "support businesses" and the header image
       | they chose for this design.
        
         | mtnGoat wrote:
         | i wonder if that would have even be a useful ploy if covid
         | hadn't of damaged so many businesses in the last year. tugging
         | on the ole heart strings.
        
       | cronix wrote:
       | From what I gather, Apple has been using IDFA since 2012. It's
       | baked into the OS and Apple generates the ID. It was enabled by
       | default. Before IDFA, Apple used UDID. My question is why did the
       | privacy focused Apple ever include such a thing in the first
       | place? They provided the tools. Others, like FB, used it and were
       | profiting. I'm no fan of FB (I don't have an account) but it
       | seems the blame is being laid at the wrong feet?
       | 
       | https://branch.io/idfa/
        
       | rolph wrote:
       | actual title:
       | 
       | "Facebook testing notification to users about Apple privacy
       | changes"
        
         | dang wrote:
         | Yes, that was bad. Changed now. (Submitted title was "FB
         | testing screen to encourage users to accept active tracking")
         | 
         | Submitters: please follow the HN rules, which ask you " _Please
         | use the original title, unless it is misleading or linkbait;
         | don 't editorialize._"
         | 
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
        
       | 29athrowaway wrote:
       | Myspace wasn't that bad after all.
        
       | tnt128 wrote:
       | Here is the logic, if you allow tracking, we would show your more
       | relevant ads, if you don't allow, we will spam the shit out of
       | you. Either way, you see tons of ads, but allow tracking, you see
       | ads more relevant.
       | 
       | Of course that's not how they word this. They framed it as a
       | benefit,
       | 
       | Notice how it's worded - allowing for better personalized ad
       | experience - I bet when worded this way, a good percentage of
       | people will think, of course I want the ads to be more related to
       | me and click allow.
        
         | gowld wrote:
         | What's wrong with ads? Facebook costs money and effort to
         | produce for its users to enjoy.
         | 
         | I don't use FB, but people who do use presumably enjoy it.
        
           | cwkoss wrote:
           | Because Facebook's ads require a panopticon of surveillance
           | across every page with a FB like button in order to function
           | in current form.
           | 
           | People are sending much more data to facebook than they
           | realize, and are typically upset when they learn the scope of
           | facebooks dragnet.
           | 
           | If Facebook only used data from the Facebook platform itself
           | (and none of their web of acquired companies), I think people
           | would have much fewer objections to the tracking.
        
       | wackget wrote:
       | It's hugely ironic that this article is written/hosted by a
       | website which runs entirely via the Google AMP platform.
       | 
       | You can't read the article without going via Google's AMP
       | servers, unless you use a website like https://printfriendly.com
       | to parse it for you.
        
         | ffpip wrote:
         | Disable javascript for axios.com. You can do it with uBlock
         | Origin.
         | 
         | Then simple click Firefox's reader mode icon. Even if the page
         | is blank, just click the reader mode icon.
        
       | golondon wrote:
       | if FB stops using IDFA completely and just create the profile out
       | of the logged in user ID, wouldn't that be enough? At the end of
       | the day, mobile Facebook app gets most of its data from FB
       | servers? So, If someone has liked /YellowBirds page and spent 2
       | hours on /BirdsBirdsBirds page, you kinda get they are into the
       | birds? Wouldn't that already provide looots of information?
       | 
       | If they don't use IDFA, I guess they would loose capability of
       | linking the events from different apps. I don't know targeted
       | advertising world that much, but is that a big deal? I think even
       | without cross app tracking, FB has capability to provide quite
       | detailed targeting. I'm not sure why they reacted this
       | aggressive, feels to me like there is egos involved, possibly
       | Zuck struggling to accept Tim can force him to do something.
       | 
       | Other thing I wonder is how this notification going to look like
       | in the apps using FB SDKs.
        
       | ArmandGrillet wrote:
       | Wow, those encouragements are very weak. "Get ads that are more
       | personalized", "Support businesses that rely on ads to reach
       | customers": why would I support businesses relying on that when
       | only 1 out of 5 ads in my feed is not garbage?
       | 
       | These encouragements make me think that Facebook seems to believe
       | that their ads are useful, which is a bit insane from a user
       | perspective.
        
         | gameman144 wrote:
         | Agreed that a lot of ads are useless, but I've personally seen
         | a few that I wouldn't have otherwise known about. For instance,
         | there's a really cool used technical bookstore near me that I
         | only discovered because I saw an ad for it. Also I would have
         | missed a Humble Bundle that I really liked without an ad.
         | 
         | Don't get me wrong, I probably hate the average ad more than
         | most people (any Liberty Mutual ad just makes me angry), but to
         | say that ads are _not_ useful from a user perspective is a bit
         | too absolute a position; for me, the good ones definitely are
         | useful.
        
         | grishka wrote:
         | Have you ever talked to someone who works in adtech? They do
         | sincerely believe that ads are helpful to people.
        
           | lumost wrote:
           | I worked in ad-tech for years, ultimately the convincing data
           | is that people actually do click on ads. They do buy the
           | products, and they do this more often than they would have
           | had we not shown the ads at all (for some market segments).
           | 
           | I've often wondered if there is a population of users who
           | simply hate ads to the extent that any impression will be net
           | negative value to the advertiser, and what mechanisms could
           | be used to stop showing them ads. There used to be services
           | which let you purchase all of your own ads, but I think
           | people want something more transparent which outright removes
           | them from the services they use.
        
             | local_dev wrote:
             | >if there is a population of users who simply hate ads to
             | the extent that any impression will be net negative value
             | to the advertiser
             | 
             | This segment of the population absolutely exists and I
             | would guess that it is growing. Many people in my circle
             | block ads on every device possible. Seeing any ad is an
             | immediate negative impression for my group of friends.
             | 
             | This is entirely anecdotal, but I've seen this same
             | sentiment in many other circles and am hearing it more and
             | more often.
        
             | grishka wrote:
             | > I've often wondered if there is a population of users who
             | simply hate ads to the extent that any impression will be
             | net negative value to the advertiser
             | 
             | Yes, I would characterize myself as such. The best products
             | gain their exposure through word of mouth, and don't need
             | paid advertising. Incessantly raping my eyeballs with your
             | brand would just make me hate it even more. Especially so
             | if it's happening on my own electronic devices against my
             | will.
             | 
             | But then there are people who legitimately _want_ to be
             | advertised to -- I know some personally.
             | 
             | > I think people want something more transparent which
             | outright removes them from the services they use.
             | 
             | These are called ad blockers. I use them in some form on
             | every device I own.
        
             | AlexandrB wrote:
             | > I worked in ad-tech for years, ultimately the convincing
             | data is that people actually do click on ads. They do buy
             | the products, and they do this more often than they would
             | have had we not shown the ads at all (for some market
             | segments).
             | 
             | This says nothing about whether ads are useful or
             | beneficial to people. Buying a product does not mean the
             | product was not a net loss for the customer, with the
             | classic example being cigarettes.
        
           | otabdeveloper4 wrote:
           | Complaining about advertising is like complaining about
           | money. Advertising is inevitable in any economy.
        
             | wtetzner wrote:
             | I'm OK with advertising existing, it's just the way in
             | which it's being conducted that's objectionable.
        
         | tehjoker wrote:
         | Tech companies have been using this kind of rhetoric since the
         | early 2000s. Back then, people were sympathetic to helping keep
         | websites online, especially blogs and such owned by
         | individuals. The line has lost its charm when it's turned into
         | an inescapable global surveillance apparatus.
        
         | 1123581321 wrote:
         | I'm not on Facebook so I can't speak to what you personally
         | see. However, I think the "support small business" angle is
         | going to be somewhat compelling. I have, for example, two
         | friends who are starting a niche business, offering a good and
         | ethical service, and reaching people in that niche through
         | Facebook and Instagram ads. The customers they find _love_ what
         | they're doing and happily paying. If I had Facebook, I could
         | see doing my small part to help them find a few more of those
         | types of good businesses succeed.
         | 
         | I also kind of despise Facebook, hence no account, so I don't
         | mind if this permission screen fails. :)
        
           | purplecats wrote:
           | I have no empathy for them. I tried to advertise my dating
           | business on there, and got insta-banned both times because
           | they basically don't let you compete with their dating
           | services.
        
             | ddoolin wrote:
             | Wow! Really. I'm currently working on a nascent dating
             | business and that's kind of disappointing to hear as I was
             | counting on being able to advertise through that channel.
             | Thanks for sharing.
        
           | bluesign wrote:
           | I bet for every one small business like your friend, there is
           | 10 scammy business (something like selling 1$ item for 20$
           | with 40% discount) who is betting 10x more than your legit
           | friend for impressions.
        
       | blinktag wrote:
       | I don't know if the mockup is what will actually appear in
       | production, but there is some psychology about showing a flower
       | and a smiling black woman. The image plays first to trust
       | (nature, a mother figure, the smile) and if that isn't enough,
       | secondly to guilt (I need to start trusting black women) to prime
       | the user into accepting the prompt. Imagine if it were a
       | cartoonish Mark Zuckerberg with his tight little smirk, and
       | instead of a flower, a piggy bank.
       | 
       | Facebook isn't stupid or random. This image must have been very
       | carefully developed and run past some of their staff PhDs.
       | Assuming this is real.
        
       | bluelu wrote:
       | I know that this is unpopular here, but a lot of people
       | (including me) don't mind that they get targeted ads.
       | 
       | If you fear for abuse, then there should be clear laws what
       | should not be allowed and severe punishment for this.
       | 
       | But forbidding facebook to track behaviour and then allowing
       | apple to do so (e.g. they even track what programs you run, is
       | just wrong. Who knows, maybe apple will even start its own
       | "privacy" network later on.
        
       | JMTQp8lwXL wrote:
       | The button saying "Ask App Not to Track": is it binding or non-
       | binding? If I kindly asked an app to not track, I'm fairly
       | certain the app would tell me to pound sand.
        
         | Nextgrid wrote:
         | "Ask App Not to Track" just means the app will be denied access
         | to the IDFA (which you can already do by turning on "Limit ad
         | tracking" in settings). It's worded like that because this
         | can't prevent the app from using something else (IP address or
         | device fingerprinting) to track you.
        
           | JMTQp8lwXL wrote:
           | Is the discussion moot if users can be easily fingerprinted
           | without IDFA? It makes life slightly more difficult for
           | advertising partners and social media companies, but not
           | impossible. It's just a small additional barrier to friction
           | that buys Apple some good PR.
        
             | K0nserv wrote:
             | That's against Apple's guidelines, violations of which will
             | get your app kicked off the only distribution channel on
             | iOS. We'll have to see how this shakes out in reality, but
             | as a deterrent it's pretty strong.
        
               | Nextgrid wrote:
               | There has been an article on here just a day ago where
               | the "app privacy" labels turned out to be false, so
               | clearly Apple doesn't actually police this very well.
        
               | K0nserv wrote:
               | I found at least one instance of that in my own research.
               | Do you have the link to that submission?
        
               | JMTQp8lwXL wrote:
               | Apple might dislike Facebook, but it's difficult to
               | imagine a world where it's removed from the App Store.
        
               | colejohnson66 wrote:
               | Apple, almost exactly 2 years ago, revoked Facebook's
               | _enterprise signing key_ after shenanigans they had
               | pulled with their fake VPN. Until that was fixed,
               | Facebook devs were unable to install new builds on their
               | testing devices.
               | 
               | Based on that history, I don't think Apple is scared of
               | Facebook. They probably won't pull the app because it
               | would be flipped back on Apple, but I'm sure they could
               | find something to push back on Facebook with.
               | 
               | [0]: https://arstechnica.com/gadgets/2019/01/facebook-
               | and-google-...
        
             | Nextgrid wrote:
             | At least it's a start.
        
             | criddell wrote:
             | If it was irrelevant, Facebook wouldn't be worried.
        
       | comeonseriously wrote:
       | That's all well and good, but does anyone believe that this won't
       | be a broken feature?
       | 
       | Edit: Also, I am absolutely positive that some of my family will
       | agree because they'll think FB would not work correctly (update
       | their feed) otherwise.
        
       | 3gg wrote:
       | Do not miss the Facebook articles linked from the page.
       | 
       | "We disagree: personalization doesn't have to come at the expense
       | of privacy. We can do both, and we can do both well. We've built
       | products that lead the industry in transparency and offer
       | settings and controls to help people manage their privacy."
       | 
       | "So if you recently bought a hiking backpack from a local outdoor
       | gear supplier and are no longer looking for a new one, you can
       | choose to remove the outdoor gear supplier from this list of
       | businesses, and disconnect that information from your account."
       | 
       | For a company that prides itself with transparency, you could
       | start with not lying to people in such a blunt and despicable
       | way. See, I don't want you to know that I bought a hiking
       | backpack. Why should you know? Why do you think you are the
       | arbitrer of the market, that people cannot do their own research
       | and that small business need you? This is a false premise, and
       | your position is a blatant JOKE that at this point is also sad
       | and unremarkable.
       | 
       | Stop lying to people, you sad surveillance capitalists.
       | 
       | https://about.fb.com/news/2020/12/personalized-advertising-a...
       | 
       | https://about.fb.com/news/2020/10/a-path-forward-for-privacy...
        
       | danShumway wrote:
       | > "Apple's new prompt suggests there is a tradeoff between
       | personalized advertising and privacy; when in fact, we can and do
       | provide both."
       | 
       | It's a somewhat bold but not completely implausible claim to
       | argue that highly personalized ads are compatible with privacy.
       | There are theoretically schemes that could make that work.
       | 
       | But it is, however, a wicked bold claim for Facebook to go a step
       | farther say they are already _currently_ providing both privacy
       | and personalized advertising. Does anyone, at all, believe them
       | when they say that?
        
       | midrus wrote:
       | The more I know about Facebook, the more I like Apple
        
       | chrischen wrote:
       | Facebook makes so much money off of tracking users... why don't
       | they just start paying us.
        
       | yalogin wrote:
       | I am really surprised the amount of tantrums FB is throwing in
       | this saga. This is a golden opportunity for them to reset their
       | platform and change their brand in the world.
       | 
       | Large businesses don't get these kind of opportunities often and
       | this is something, I thought, they will seize. I really thought
       | they will build security/privacy into their platform and weed
       | things out. They could have gone to a paid model in some cases
       | and doubled down on privacy in others. They would have lost
       | revenue in the short term but would be great in the long term.
       | 
       | However, they are doubling down on the catering to fear
       | mongering, cult marketing type things and kicking and screaming
       | without much to show.
        
         | Balgair wrote:
         | Likely this is because they do not have other options. Ever
         | since 2016, they have been 'alerted' that their stack is
         | fragile to regulation and other outside forces. Zuck has been
         | hauled up in front of Congress a few times now over many
         | things, including the tracking issues. The C-suite is very much
         | aware of the problems.
         | 
         | I suppose they are trying to throw a fit now, and then relax to
         | their secondary position when they must. But knowing how large
         | bureaucracies (don't) work, there is no fall-back position.
         | There is no 'there' anymore.
        
       | Havoc wrote:
       | >Ask App Not to Track
       | 
       | Gotta love how they flipped that phrasing around from facebook
       | asking you for permission to you requesting something from them.
       | 
       | This whole thing reeks of having been A/B tested to death for max
       | psychological manipulation without straying into territory where
       | they can be accused of aggressive dark patterns.
        
         | RL_Quine wrote:
         | That's the text provided by apple.
        
       | erentz wrote:
       | What would happen if legislation were passed to ban all tracking,
       | across the board? Perhaps also inclusive of limits on targeted
       | advertising also (to reduce the incentive to gather personal
       | data).
       | 
       | It seems this kind of universal disarmament (so to speak) still
       | leaves FB in the same dominant position from an advertising
       | perspective. It has the same huge audience, and it's advertising
       | product is the same as everyone else. If so why wouldn't FB be
       | actively lobbying for this right now?
       | 
       | (I'm just putting aside questions of monopoly, etc. Purely from
       | an FB self interest stand point.)
        
         | gameman144 wrote:
         | One worry I have is regarding poorly handled legislation
         | hobbling national companies more than intended and driving
         | consumers to worse options (as opposed to just preventing them
         | from doing creepy things.) One of the prime examples here is
         | search: if Google didn't keep a history of my search terms
         | and/or other data about my account, the results they'd return
         | would be far less personalized. I could (and do) use DuckDuckGo
         | instead, but the search results are far less convenient (e.g.
         | when I look up "compilation", DDG shows me literary
         | compilations, Google shows me code-related things).
         | 
         | This in itself is fine, as long as either: 1. The drop in
         | convenience isn't so high that people would prefer an
         | alternative service 2. We can impose these rules worldwide.
         | 
         | If the drop in convenience isn't too bad, then even though
         | there's a little more friction, there's not a mass exodus from
         | these services. If we could impose these rules worldwide,
         | that'd also make this an easy decision.
         | 
         | Given that the web is global, however, my biggest area of worry
         | is that we squeeze all national companies to protect privacy,
         | but it turns out the consumers really _did_ like the
         | personalized and convenient experiences and immediately switch
         | over to Baidu or some other site that falls outside national
         | jurisdiction _and_ personalizes user experience well
         | (presumably through even stronger privacy invasions).
         | 
         | tl;dr: I am cool with legislation, but given the global scale
         | of the web we need to make sure we get the incentives/changes
         | _just_ right.
        
         | flavius29663 wrote:
         | I have a different idea other than banning: make companies pay
         | a tax on each bit of user information they hold.
        
           | vaduz wrote:
           | Great idea! It means that the company gets to do the tracking
           | as much as it wants as long as it shares some of these
           | profits with the government, and as a bonus gets to enjoy a
           | reasonably confidence that any initiative to futher enhance
           | privacy will be quashed in a hurry - with bipartisan support,
           | too, especially in the current tax revenue slump thanks to
           | the ongoing pandemic. /s
           | 
           | The word you were probably looking for is _fines_ , but they
           | would have to be punitive and extraordinarily risky to stop
           | the practice...
        
             | flavius29663 wrote:
             | what I meant was taxes high enough to matter for the bottom
             | line. Also, this would force the companies to open up their
             | databases for government or public inspection, kind-of like
             | we do today with uranium processing. This alone would
             | expose dark behavior much earlier than today
        
           | broknbottle wrote:
           | Tax, how about royalties to the user. They use that data to
           | advertise to other users within a family or circle. It's data
           | about us, why shouldn't they have to pay a royalty to users
           | and get our permissions beforehand when they want to utilize
           | the data in different ways.
           | 
           | We have different licenses for code and projects. Why not
           | have something similar for user data / metadata
        
             | gameman144 wrote:
             | You could argue that they _do_ pay a royalty to users, and
             | that royalty gets put toward free access to software and
             | services. Whether or not that royalty is sufficient is fine
             | to debate, but at the end of the day someone is footing the
             | bill.
        
         | chias wrote:
         | > ban all tracking
         | 
         | That's a whole can of worms. Does the existence of things like
         | your website's Apache request log count as "tracking"? Or does
         | it only count if it's multiple domains? Maybe we'd need to say
         | multiple organizations, to account for applications with
         | multiple domains (e.g. facebook.com, fbcdn.com, etc.) But then
         | what is an organization? If I sign an agreement with you to
         | sell you my Apache request log, is that now illegal? If so,
         | what was it about that that made it illegal? How do you make
         | that illegal without also making it illegal to share these
         | otherwise benign logs with people for the purpose of debugging
         | website issues? Are you going to base this on "intent"? That
         | is, "you're free to share this data with X as long as X does
         | not intend to use it for advertising, or to share it with
         | anyone else who might [...] who might intend to use it for
         | advertising"? These kinds of intent-chains are spectacularly
         | ineffective, in part because the advertising ecosystem is set
         | up to make these chains as convoluted as possible, and suddenly
         | someone just has some data there and _why not_ make profiles
         | out of it? etc.
         | 
         | :\
        
         | lumost wrote:
         | There are a few factors at play here when it comes to
         | advertising.
         | 
         | 1) Digital is taking over all ad-channels
         | 
         | 2) Digital ads can be tracked and attributed ways that were
         | never possible with traditional media
         | 
         | 3) It turns out most non-targeted ads aren't actually that
         | effective, and aggregate ad spend is falling.
         | 
         | FB ads are effective and high value _because_ of tracking. If
         | tracking goes away, FB ad revenue will fall to that of banner
         | advertising at roughly 1 /100th to 1/10000th the price per
         | impression that FB currently receives.
         | 
         | Such a change would effectively force a rethink of the entire
         | consumer technology business, and see FB/GOOG re-structure to
         | some form of subscription revenue or shutdown large feature
         | sets and product offerings which would no longer be tenable.
        
           | mgreg wrote:
           | > 3) It turns out most non-targeted ads aren't actually that
           | effective, and aggregate ad spend is falling.
           | 
           | While this is a commonly held believe in many corners it
           | doesn't appear to be well backed by data & research.
           | Freakonomics also covered this topic in some detail recently.
           | 
           | Some examples where it's proven untrue:
           | 
           | Nytimes drops targeted advertising in Europe:
           | https://digiday.com/media/gumgumtest-new-york-times-gdpr-
           | cut...
           | 
           | >"The fact that we are no longer offering behavioral
           | targeting options in Europe does not seem to be in the way of
           | what advertisers want to do with us," he said. "The
           | desirability of a brand may be stronger than the targeting
           | capabilities. We have not been impacted from a revenue
           | standpoint, and, on the contrary, our digital advertising
           | business continues to grow nicely."
           | 
           | Danish broadcaster grew revenue after dropping targeted ads:
           | https://techcrunch.com/2020/07/24/data-from-dutch-public-
           | bro...
           | 
           | >The data shows the NPO grew ad revenue after ditching
           | trackers to target ads in the first half of this year
        
             | lumost wrote:
             | Typically, platforms with smaller reach ( read < 10 million
             | DAU) will only have a few big advertisers who are willing
             | to purchase _most_ ad positions. Behavioral targeting on
             | such platforms with large advertisers will probably only
             | limit spend by cutting out bad impressions, and the in-
             | house or external behavioral targeting isn 't anything
             | close to what FB offers.
             | 
             | FB/Goog dominate ad-spend as they are able to effectively
             | match _small_ advertisers with the appropriate audience,
             | and these advertisers typically have specific customer
             | goals in mind. If the goal of the ad buyers on the NYT is
             | simply to associate their brand with the trustworthiness of
             | the NYT, then there won 't be much benefit from behavioral
             | targets.
        
           | grishka wrote:
           | How much does Facebook earn from one user, $1 a year? No one
           | would've died if they switched to a $1/year subscription
           | model. People tend to respect companies that are honest with
           | them. Except Facebook won't ever be able to regain its
           | reputation, but still.
        
             | Zelphyr wrote:
             | Doing that would equate to $2.7 billion a year in revenue.
             | They currently generate about $70 billion a year. So, yeah;
             | they'd pretty much die if their revenue dropped that much.
        
               | grishka wrote:
               | Imagine how much money they could save if they stop
               | redesigning every little thing all the time to squeeze
               | every last cent. Imagine not needing hundreds of
               | developers working on a single app.
        
             | judge2020 wrote:
             | https://mondaynote.com/the-arpus-of-the-big-four-dwarf-
             | every....
             | 
             | Depends on the metric you use.
             | 
             | > Facebook's revenue per user is roaring. For Q4 2018 vs.
             | Q4 2017, it's global ARPU increased by 19 percent to $7.37,
             | and the US-Canada ARPU by 30 percent to $35. Between 2011
             | and 2018, the social network global ARPU rose nearly 6x,
             | while the US-Canada grew 11x. With a domestic revenue per
             | user of $112, Facebook is the equivalent of a publisher
             | charging $9 a month. It does that with a free service.
        
               | grishka wrote:
               | TIL. I thought these kinds of numbers weren't at all
               | possible with an ad-supported business model.
        
             | lumost wrote:
             | Assuming that the only users who would be willing to pay
             | are those who use one of FB's services at least once per
             | month; then FB would need to charge $26/yr to match their
             | current revenue. Given that they already have 2.7 billion
             | MAUs it's unlikely that they could grow their way out of
             | such a change, and serving ads is ultimately inexpensive.
        
             | marketingtech wrote:
             | In Q4 alone, they made $53/user in US/Canada, and $10/user
             | worldwide. This revenue is not evenly distributed, and the
             | type of user who is willing to pay $50/quarter for FB is
             | worth much more than that to FB advertisers.
             | 
             | source: Slide 4 (ARPU) https://s21.q4cdn.com/399680738/file
             | s/doc_financials/2020/q4...
        
           | throwaway2245 wrote:
           | > It turns out most non-targeted ads aren't actually that
           | effective
           | 
           | Non-personalised television advertising is still doing great.
        
             | marketingtech wrote:
             | No, it's not. Eyeballs are down, thus prices and market
             | share are down compared to digital. Different industry
             | sources have different figures, but everyone agrees TV
             | spend was down >5% in 2020 and expected to drop faster in
             | 2021 as digital continues to grow at >30%.
             | 
             | There's now a mad rush to standardize tech for personalized
             | tv advertising, as providers plan to use the email/phone
             | number you used for your cable/streaming service as a
             | personal identifier that can be joined against 3rd party
             | targeting data.
             | 
             | I'm not trying justifying this - just describing where the
             | industry (and money) is going.
        
               | throwaway2245 wrote:
               | Is it not right that 2019 was the highest spend ever for
               | TV advertising?
               | 
               | And a 5% drop would be less than the drop in broader TV
               | production, via coronavirus?
               | 
               | Major events that are associated with large advertising
               | budgets haven't happened: the Olympics didn't happen. The
               | Eurovision Song Contest didn't happen.
        
           | otabdeveloper4 wrote:
           | > FB ads are effective and high value
           | 
           | Not really.
           | 
           | Digital advertising, frankly, sucks from the advertiser's
           | point of view. It's just that people are online now and
           | advertisers have no choice: the inventory providers are
           | monopolistic and unregulated.
        
             | lumost wrote:
             | A more fair comparison might be that all advertising sucks
             | from an advertisers perspective... but we just didn't have
             | a good way to measure it.
             | 
             | In the world of Nielson and print the only consistently
             | measurable ads were brand ads - and brand awareness had a
             | loose correlation across businesses with revenue. There was
             | no way of rigorously testing whether individual customers
             | propensity to purchase a good from a given business was
             | actually tied to any of the brand awareness ads that were
             | being purchased, or customer's brands they had heard of for
             | trust reasons after deciding on a purchase, or if
             | customer's simply didn't care about the branding. Bear in
             | mind, any negative datapoint that indicates customer's
             | didn't care could always be taken as a sign that the
             | "brand" had to be improved. Not that the ads were
             | worthless.
             | 
             | Now on digital any brand exercise, direct pay per
             | conversion, or other form of ad gets attributed to
             | downstream revenue, and we're quickly discovering which
             | half of the marketing budget isn't working.
        
             | Permit wrote:
             | > Digital advertising, frankly, sucks from the advertiser's
             | point of view.
             | 
             | What advertising does not suck from the advertiser's point
             | of view? How are metrics gathered that demonstrate these
             | forms of advertising work?
        
       | metalliqaz wrote:
       | Does Android have any analogue to this kind of tracking
       | protection?
        
         | metalliqaz wrote:
         | Ok I found that Google does have a GAID/AAID and you can hide
         | it in Android under Settings -> Google Services -> Ads
        
       | munchbunny wrote:
       | I'm glad Apple is at least making sure users are aware that this
       | is even a thing. While people on HN are much more likely to
       | follow the issue and do something about it, a lot of laypeople
       | are just vaguely aware that Facebook might be a privacy problem
       | without really understanding what levers they have to manage it
       | themselves.
        
         | VRay wrote:
         | all I hear from my non-tech friends is "Oh yeah, the government
         | and companies have 'my data' nothin I can do"
         | 
         | they basically just assume they're living in a totalitarian
         | society already and don't even think having any semblance of
         | privacy is possible (or understand how easy it is for sinister,
         | small-time third parties to spy on them via publicly-
         | purchasable advertising data..)
        
         | throwaway789394 wrote:
         | There's also people here who have a financial incentive to
         | dismiss privacy concerns bc it conflicts with their RSUs.
         | 
         | For a forum named Hacker News were very accepting of Zuck and
         | his shenanigans.
        
         | whammywon wrote:
         | Yes, but I think it would be a bit naive to think that Apple is
         | doing so out of the kindness of their hearts.
         | 
         | Apple already has access to all the metrics that Facebook would
         | be interested in. It seems to me like this is a set-up for
         | Apple to force FB to buy the data directly from them.
        
           | judge2020 wrote:
           | But Apple isn't selling any of that data (which is really
           | just 'downloaded apps' - they don't have the web browsing
           | habits that FB and GOOG have). Their financial interest here
           | is selling privacy with the price being the ongoing
           | commitment to buy Apple products.
        
             | whammywon wrote:
             | Perhaps, but who is to say that they don't have plans to
             | branch out into that business?
             | 
             | It's possible that they have no intent to do so, but a
             | corporation's primary interest is making profit. And what
             | would be a simple, yet significant, source of new revenue?
             | Selling user data.
        
               | TimothyBJacobs wrote:
               | They tried offering an ad service called iAd that would
               | do things the "Apple" way. No one used it.
        
           | JumpCrisscross wrote:
           | > _it would be a bit naive to think that Apple is doing so
           | out of the kindness of their hearts_
           | 
           | Good. If they were doing it out of charity, a bit profit
           | pressure, shareholder activism or change in management and
           | the move is reversed. Being grounded in sound business logic
           | and self-interest makes me trust it.
        
             | whammywon wrote:
             | I never meant to imply that I thought Apple's (possible)
             | intent was a good thing.
             | 
             | I just think that a significant number of people will see
             | what they're doing and thing "Oh, they're looking out for
             | me." I think it's best to be skeptical of any company's
             | motives, whether their current business decisions seem to
             | help their users or not.
        
               | 52-6F-62 wrote:
               | I don't think it's that. More that Apple in this case is
               | the old "devil you know".
        
               | toiletfuneral wrote:
               | Apple is openly trying to sell 'premium' privacy services
               | at consumer costs, be as skeptical you want but this is
               | an obvious business decision and in many ways they
               | actually are looking out for people...at a price
        
       | alex_young wrote:
       | Can't FB incentivize this a bit? I understand that they can't
       | gate the app with ad tracking approval, but what if they promised
       | to provide you with discounts on the merchants this tracking
       | promotes or something like that?
        
         | sneak wrote:
         | Better: Opt in or your WhatsApp stops working.
        
           | nerdo wrote:
           | Opt in or get universally deplatformed and lose access to the
           | banking system. Private companies btw.
        
       | notyourwork wrote:
       | Why would anyone agree to this? I don't see a benefit to letting
       | Facebook or any company track me across the internet. When did we
       | ever decide this was what consumers wanted?
       | 
       | Every time this topic comes up I check Facebooks stock price and
       | realize how detached people are from facebooks revenue driven by
       | the advertisement market.
        
         | chias wrote:
         | I think a big factor is that you don't have an easy choice.
         | Notice it's not "Allow" or "Reject", it's "Allow" or "Ask us
         | not to".
         | 
         | The only "Reject" is to flat out not use Facebook, and probably
         | throw a few related domains into a blackholed HOSTS file.
         | That's a steeper price than most are willing to pay.
        
         | dr-detroit wrote:
         | Facebook is a dying sexapp platform and they are hoping to....
         | save face. YEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEAAAHH
        
         | otabdeveloper4 wrote:
         | You're not the consumer here. You're not paying for anything.
        
           | catacombs wrote:
           | > You're not the consumer here. You're not paying for
           | anything.
           | 
           | But you are the PRODUCT.
        
           | throwaway2245 wrote:
           | You are quite literally the consumer - you consume the
           | service.
           | 
           | You're just not the one paying for what the service is.
        
         | meekrohprocess wrote:
         | People like you and I didn't decide that it was what we wanted.
         | We just have no other options, because the companies which
         | impose the terms aggressively snuff out or buy up their
         | competition.
         | 
         | I would argue that people are accepting these terms under
         | duress; "consent" is the wrong word.
         | 
         | The market believes that Facebook et al will be able to
         | continue enforcing their will unilaterally, and that is good
         | for the companies, so their stocks go up.
        
           | randmeerkat wrote:
           | Everyone has options. I deleted FB years ago. No one actually
           | needs FB.
        
             | _jal wrote:
             | I never signed up in the first place.
             | 
             | But I don't go to a school that posts assignments on FB (I
             | have heard of this quite a bit), my workplace doesn't use
             | it (ditto) and I'm in a comfortable-enough place that
             | putting up with the passive aggression from family and
             | friends when they whine about my comm preferences is no big
             | deal.
             | 
             | Yes, everyone has options. But not everyone operates under
             | the same pressures.
        
             | samstave wrote:
             | I absolutely detest FB - and I don't like the fact that you
             | can't determine if FB is tracking you even when you do not
             | use it.
        
             | meekrohprocess wrote:
             | I agree in principle, and so did I, but there's no denying
             | that it puts a major crimp on your social life. It's wrong
             | that people are forced to decide between accepting
             | predatory terms or losing touch with friendly
             | acquaintances.
             | 
             | Also, if you own a small business, there's a real chance
             | that you'd rely on Facebook for a significant portion of
             | your business, because without a presence on their
             | platforms you had may as well not exist.
        
               | madeofpalk wrote:
               | > but there's no denying that it puts a major crimp on
               | your social life.
               | 
               | I completely deny that.
               | 
               | I deleted Facebook when I was 25 and never once missed
               | it. It never once put a crimp on my social life because
               | my social life was never really organised around facebook
               | in the first place. I still wanted to keep in touch with
               | friends, and they wanted to keep in touch with me,
               | without facebook.
        
               | logifail wrote:
               | > if you own a small business, there's a real chance that
               | you'd rely on Facebook for a significant portion of your
               | business
               | 
               | Source?
               | 
               | Even if this is true for _some_ types of small business,
               | in _some_ markets, it 's a bit of a stretch to claim this
               | applies across the board.
        
               | cmorgan31 wrote:
               | Yes, valid points. Also don't think they should hold
               | social interactions hostage in an effort to not lose
               | their grip on selling your attention span. If their
               | product is worth paying for or the individuals in
               | question are too cheap to pay for it without using ads
               | then so be it. Let them monetize on ads, but I don't
               | expect anyone to give a shit about small businesses
               | profiting off our data. I didn't agree to support them by
               | selling my data so I don't feel any emotional attachment
               | to their situation.
        
               | umvi wrote:
               | > but there's no denying that it puts a major crimp on
               | your social life
               | 
               | In what way? Social lives existed before 2008 when FB
               | went mainstream. I don't have a FB anymore, and I still
               | text my friends for get-togethers.
        
               | artful-hacker wrote:
               | I deleted my facebook account a long time ago, but I
               | definitely do not get invitations to some parties and
               | events because of that. Facebook events are the easiest
               | way to invite people to a party or other gathering.
        
               | logifail wrote:
               | > I definitely do not get invitations to some parties and
               | events [..]
               | 
               | Our 7 year old goes to an arts and crafts centre, in the
               | aftermath of the furore over the WhatsApp Terms of
               | Service update the organizers changed their contact
               | details to suggesting reaching them via Signal instead.
               | So we switched. Job done.
        
               | ska wrote:
               | > In what way?
               | 
               | In the obvious way for some people? It's disingenuous to
               | pretend that opting out of FB doesn't have negative
               | social consequences for some (many?) people, and
               | dismissing their concerns probably isn't a good way to
               | change anyone's mind.
        
               | MonAlternatiu wrote:
               | A lot of my friends use social media to stay in touch.
               | Not being on social media would keep me out of the loop,
               | which is not desirable. I try to restrict its usage as
               | much as possible though.
        
               | umvi wrote:
               | Collect alternative methods of staying in touch with
               | friends you care about before leaving social media (phone
               | numbers, email addresses, mailing addresses, etc.)
        
               | ryandrake wrote:
               | Yea. If your friends will abandon you just because you're
               | not on social media anymore, then I have bad news for
               | you: they probably aren't really your friends. When I
               | ditched Facebook about 10 years ago, I lost contact with
               | a whole bunch of people who weren't really part of my
               | life anyway, they were simply "names I recognized."
               | 
               | My social life actually got better after dropping social
               | media simply because I'm spending less time scrolling in
               | front of a screen.
        
               | MonAlternatiu wrote:
               | > If your friends will abandon you just because you're
               | not on social media anymore
               | 
               | That's a very binary view of the world that I don't
               | share. But that's not a topic I want to get into.
               | 
               | Can you keep in touch with a certain group of friends
               | through non-social media platforms? Absolutely. I do it
               | daily, but that's not the point.
               | 
               | The point is that staying away from these social media
               | platforms reduces your ability to have a social life.
               | It's quite like saying that you decrease your chances of
               | finding work without a driving license or cellphone
               | number.
               | 
               | I could probably get away without social media today
               | (modulo telegram/whatsapp). But at what point would I
               | surrender? Most people of my generation use it, and it
               | looks like newer generations will have even higher
               | usages.
        
             | OkGoDoIt wrote:
             | Actually I run a live theater venue and the vast majority
             | of our tickets are purchased through a combination of
             | Facebook advertising and Facebook event pages. There's no
             | getting around that. I had deleted Facebook but needed to
             | reinstate my account once I got involved in the theater
             | industry. It's really frustrating actually. Facebook is the
             | Comcast of social media, you don't really want to use them
             | and you know they're abusing you, but you don't really have
             | a choice.
        
             | ska wrote:
             | > No one actually needs FB.
             | 
             | No one actually needs a car either. Or to eat industrially
             | produced food. Or etc. etc.
             | 
             | "Nobody actually needs X" where X is a thing that
             | empirically a huge percentage of people do, is I suspect
             | never a compelling argument.
             | 
             | edit: bordercases brings up a good point, I picked
             | particularly entrenched/difficult areas for examples but it
             | wasn't necessary.
             | 
             | My point was more about the futility of observing a common
             | behavior and rejecting it superficially, so perhaps I
             | should have used "Nobody needs a smart phone" or "No family
             | of 4 needs a >2000sq/ft house" or the like as examples.
        
               | zepto wrote:
               | "No one actually needs a car either. Or to eat
               | industrially produced food. Or etc. etc."
               | 
               | This is a false equivalence.
               | 
               | Facebook is nowhere near at that level of need yet.
        
               | ska wrote:
               | I think it's not really a false equivalence, as a matter
               | of degree - but see edit made in response to this.
               | 
               | There is also an issue of Maslow style leveling here, but
               | the core point is identical.
        
               | zepto wrote:
               | I still think it's essentially a false equivalence:
               | 
               | > Nobody needs a smart phone" or "No family of 4 needs a
               | >2000sq/ft house" or the like as examples.
               | 
               | Even these are in a totally different class of 'need' to
               | Facebook which is trivially substituted by comparison.
        
               | ska wrote:
               | I think you miss the point the point I was trying to make
               | (i.e. I didn't articulate it well).
               | 
               | Regardless of how trivial you think it is, the fact that
               | so many people demonstrate a preference not to should
               | make you think harder about the problem. It's not just
               | the technology, and many tech people tend to get this
               | wrong consistently.
               | 
               | Let's put it another way: if it was actually as trivial
               | as you seem to think, it probably would have happened
               | already.
        
               | zepto wrote:
               | That makes the point a lot worse, and really just comes
               | across as you responding to a set of assumptions nobody
               | is actually making.
               | 
               | What is the 'it' which you imagine people think is
               | trivial?
               | 
               | Who is saying anything is trivial?
               | 
               | Where is anyone saying it's just technology?
               | 
               | Who said people don't have a preference to use Facebook?
               | 
               | How do you know how hard people have thought about this?
               | 
               | I don't think Facebook is trivial to replace, but that
               | isn't because people are dependent on it in a way that is
               | comparable to the other examples you mentioned.
               | 
               | Unlike the examples you listed, _people can easily do
               | without Facebook_. There just isn't much incentive for
               | most people to do so, since they don't perceive the
               | downsides adequately.
        
               | bordercases wrote:
               | Categorically yes, but the connotation is that it's still
               | possible for the vast majority of people to get rid of
               | Facebook and still lead a satisfying life. I can buy
               | this. I can reason that it's likely true from e.g. the
               | hedonic setpoint. There are a lot of people that were
               | happy before Facebook and will be happy after Facebook is
               | gone.
               | 
               | Facebook is only ~15 years old and it deals mostly with
               | aggregating text-based communications from people that
               | feel the compulsion to post almost entirely because it's
               | there. And they don't need Facebook, they just need the
               | functions it provides; there was a time when these
               | functions would have been split up into separate services
               | until they were acquihired or integrated.
               | 
               | And although Facebook is monolithic, its monopoly is
               | primarily enforced by network effects and conventions.
               | Shit happens, like stock rallies or privacy scares.
               | Facebook might still be around but the exodus of e.g.
               | WhatsApp to Signal still shows the power of close
               | substitutes to challenge what is "necessary".
               | 
               | There's also nothing fallacious in your counterargument.
               | Both cars and industrial farming are being challenged in
               | their own right. Cars for issues behind pollution and
               | sprawl (resulting in ride-sharing, electric cars and
               | transit) and industrial farming for its ethics and
               | chemical impact on the environment (organic food,
               | veganism, greater awareness of bioaccumulation of
               | pesticides and microplastics). In educated circles these
               | have become widely considered as Good Things, but would
               | involve challenging the assumption that things we take
               | for granted as necessary are actually so. That's just
               | progress.
        
             | dfxm12 wrote:
             | Is Facebook still creating shadow profiles? Whether or not
             | you have an account with them, they might still be
             | harvesting data about you. An individual can't really
             | "delete FB".
        
             | dTal wrote:
             | It's very narrow-minded to assume that because _you_ don 't
             | need Facebook, no one does. Facebook clearly provides some
             | value, or no one would use it at all. Some people can't
             | afford not to take advantage of that value. You can't tell
             | a small business "don't use Facebook for social media
             | outreach, it's evil and monopolistic" when the alternative
             | is being outcompeted by those who do.
        
               | phito wrote:
               | Totally agree. I have a very niche small business (you
               | can check my comment history) and all the community is on
               | facebook, it has completely replaced forums. I don't have
               | a choice, I need facebook and instagram otherwise I
               | wouldn't be able to reach them.
        
               | intrasight wrote:
               | Also, remember that this is only about the FB app - and
               | only on iOS. You can use only the FB site like I do and
               | have all tracking and ads disabled.
        
         | rdiddly wrote:
         | So that the ads you don't want, are also creepily specific to
         | things you mentioned recently? :D
        
         | reaperducer wrote:
         | _Every time this topic comes up I check Facebooks stock price
         | and realize how detached people are from facebooks revenue
         | driven by the advertisement market._
         | 
         | People don't drive stocks. Banks and bots do.
         | 
         | Except for GameStop. But that's a different fish.
        
           | flatline wrote:
           | If you think that's all retail driven I have a bridge to sell
           | you...
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | adrr wrote:
         | More relevant ads would be the benefit for the user.
        
         | api wrote:
         | To see the dancing bunny, of course.
         | 
         | (There's a term "dancing bunny attack" for putting interesting
         | content behind a confirmation dialog you want people to click.
         | Facebook kind of does that implicitly. All they have to do is
         | hide appealing content behind this option.)
        
         | sneak wrote:
         | Millions of people already agreed to this: this is how every
         | iPhone works right now, and always has.
         | 
         | Apple shipped this tracking feature in the first place.
        
           | Nextgrid wrote:
           | They didn't agreed per-se, it was just a default and Apple
           | should be shamed for this.
        
         | m463 wrote:
         | > Why would anyone agree to this?
         | 
         | And that is the entire story of dark patterns.
        
         | newscracker wrote:
         | > Why would anyone agree to this?
         | 
         | To help small businesses that thrive because of Facebook and to
         | show the finger to greedy corporations like Apple. /s
         | 
         | That's kinda how Facebook will paint this, without directly
         | mentioning its disgust for Apple in the message prompt.
         | Facebook will also paint a picture of it being the protector of
         | privacy of the user and how it doesn't "sell" information.
         | There will be a lot of smoke and mirrors, for sure.
        
         | PeterStuer wrote:
         | Why would anyone agree to this?
         | 
         | Because the opt-out is hidden under the third pane behind the
         | per party 1 by 1 drop-downs of the opt-outs for "legitimate
         | interests", in a list of 120 "vendors" that require individual
         | sub-pane drop downs and a radio button all having an "agree to
         | selected" button that will immediately negate all your previous
         | selections and just blast you to the content as if you "agreed
         | to all".
        
           | HotHotLava wrote:
           | There's no opt-out, that's the whole point of the change.
        
         | naiveai wrote:
         | So that the ads are more personalized. I know this sounds
         | weird, but if I'm going to get ads anyway, I'd like them to
         | potentially be products I'm going to maybe have a use for and
         | might make my life easier.
         | 
         | I get the privacy implications, but asking "why would _anyone_
         | agree to this " is kind of narrow-minded.
        
           | afterburner wrote:
           | Funny, I feel the opposite. If they're going to try to
           | manipulate me, I want it to be shitty and ineffective, not as
           | effective as possible.
        
           | ryanianian wrote:
           | There are many ways to have relevant ads that don't track you
           | as an individual.
           | 
           | You may find that only 70% of the ads are relevant versus
           | 75%, but you will not find that you've unwittingly given away
           | your personal information for the pleasure of buying
           | something.
        
           | bavent wrote:
           | Does that actually work though? I've been buying things on
           | Amazon for over a decade. For a while I got my groceries
           | through them, I watch a lot of stuff on Prime Video. You
           | would think they, of all people, know what I like. I can't
           | think of more than a couple times where anything suggested to
           | me was actually something I wanted.
           | 
           | Even when I used FB, the ads were so off target from things I
           | am interested in as to be laughable. Like, THIS is the best
           | you can do with teams of engineers making > $200k/year
           | throwing AI at everything? I'm not convinced that all of this
           | tracking crap is just a way for them to market their ad
           | business - "Look we gather all this data about people, your
           | ads will definitely be seen by people who we know for a fact
           | will be interested in them because of coding and algorithms
           | and machine learning and blah blah blah."
        
             | Terretta wrote:
             | Perhaps a small cohort of targeted-ad-susceptible users
             | skew the targeting efficacy stats so far it looks like
             | targeted ads work overall.
             | 
             | Perhaps this cohort doesn't overlap much with, say, New
             | York Times readers, which might be why NYT and every other
             | brand that tried first party non-retargeted ads saw an
             | uptick in ROI.
             | 
             | For most of us, perhaps these ads don't work or are
             | negative, while this cohort are more like Candy Crush in-
             | app-purchase whales -- for them they really really work, so
             | they spend enough that most players think the game is "free
             | to play" while griping about the endless in-app-upsells.
        
               | bavent wrote:
               | Ah so it's the "Nigerian Prince" scam, basically?
        
             | reggieband wrote:
             | > THIS is the best you can do with teams of engineers
             | making > $200k/year throwing AI at everything?
             | 
             | Maybe it is the best we can currently do and maybe it isn't
             | objectively great. But the real question: is it better? I
             | mean, better than the random shotgun approach that was TV,
             | magazines, bus wraps, billboards, etc. Is it better than
             | the spam flyers or "yellow pages" the post office delivered
             | to every single household in some geographic area?
             | 
             | Rather than compare to some idealized perfect, we should
             | compare to the practical alternatives. Maybe this is
             | legitimately the best we can currently do given the state
             | of AI and machine learning. If that is the case, the right
             | question for both advertisers and consumers is whether or
             | not it beats the available alternatives. Because if it
             | does, and advertisers seem to think it does, then that
             | explains why Google and Facebook are worth what they are
             | worth and how they can afford to pay what they pay.
        
               | svachalek wrote:
               | Is it one tiny increment better? Maybe? I'm with others
               | who are not really impressed. For years the best Facebook
               | could do were "Hot single [your gender preference] in
               | [your city] are looking for [your age] [your gender]".
               | Thanks, Mad Lib ads.
               | 
               | But for the sake of argument let's say there is some
               | small increment. What is the cost we are willing to pay
               | for that? Databases that know exactly how much time we
               | spend on the toilet? Political disinformation campaigns?
               | Insurrection attempts?
               | 
               | It's like making baby monitors a little bit more
               | convenient, but in the process opening the door for pedo
               | hackers to speak directly to your children's cribs. Tiny
               | conveniences aren't worth sacrificing everything we have.
        
               | bavent wrote:
               | I don't buy that. For example - I bought a rowing machine
               | on Amazon. It was the first piece of home gym equipment
               | I'd ever purchased. For months after, other rowing
               | machines were suggested to me. I already bought one, why
               | would I buy another, especially if I hadn't returned the
               | first one?
               | 
               | Ads like this are very common for me - a purchase that I
               | would consider to be a one-off thing (at least, for
               | several years, whatever the standard lifetime of that
               | product is) just leads to more ads for different models
               | of that same thing. Occasionally, accessories that only
               | go to a different model or brand of that thing.
               | 
               | I don't see how this is any better than the random
               | shotgun approach - these ads that are 100% irrelevant and
               | not going to lead to a purchase are taking up space that
               | ads that are possibly < 100% irrelevant (even if
               | completely random) could be occupying.
               | 
               | It seems like this would be a solvable problem for Amazon
               | - aggregate the data of everyone who has purchased X
               | model of rowing machine and see how many of them
               | purchased a second rowing machine, which brand it was,
               | and how long after purchasing #1 they bought #2. Don't
               | show ads for rowing machines to people who have purchased
               | X until time is >= avgTimeBetween1And2, with some fancy
               | statistics in there somewhere.
               | 
               | Clearly I'm missing something in my logic, because plenty
               | of people a lot smarter than me work on this adtech
               | stuff.
        
               | reggieband wrote:
               | > Clearly I'm missing something in my logic
               | 
               | Your logic may be solid but you probably lack sufficient
               | data. Plato was a pretty smart guy but he thought the
               | four elements were Water, Fire, Air and Earth. His
               | mistake wasn't intelligence or even flaws in his logic -
               | it was missing data. If you begin your logic from one or
               | more faulty assumptions then you will arrive at wrong
               | conclusions regardless of how intelligent you are or how
               | flawless your application of logic is.
               | 
               | I don't have the data either - but you should at least
               | use logic to consider possible reasons why you are seeing
               | the same products you have purchased previously. Perhaps
               | this is a strategy that wins significantly more often
               | than you assume and you just lack the data to illuminate
               | why.
               | 
               | As the other commenter noted, you are but one data point
               | in the literal hundreds of millions of data points
               | available to Amazon. It would be humble to consider that
               | they've tried your best first guess approach and it was
               | suboptimal compared to the alternatives running now. Or
               | maybe you choose to believe you are smarter than every
               | single engineer that has worked on the problem there? And
               | you believe this while lacking any data, having performed
               | no experiments, etc.
        
               | kd0amg wrote:
               | > Clearly I'm missing something in my logic
               | 
               | Sampling methodology. Every ad impression in your sample
               | was shown to the same person, but the ad industry is
               | interested in billions of people.
        
               | bavent wrote:
               | I'm sorry, I don't really follow. Could you explain a
               | little bit more?
        
               | 0xffff2 wrote:
               | >Ads like this are very common for me - a purchase that I
               | would consider to be a one-off thing (at least, for
               | several years, whatever the standard lifetime of that
               | product is) just leads to more ads for different models
               | of that same thing. Occasionally, accessories that only
               | go to a different model or brand of that thing.
               | 
               | I don't have the industry expertise to know how true it
               | is, but I've seen it stated numerous times in threads
               | like this that this is entirely intentional. Supposedly
               | the data shows that a person who just bought a rowing
               | machine is actually quite likely to buy another one
               | (because they aren't satisfied with the first one,
               | because they collect rowing machines, etc) compared to
               | most other demographics.
        
             | artificial wrote:
             | It comes down to the advertiser who is creating the
             | audiences on the platform. "I can haz this many people?!" A
             | terrible analogy is no programming language can save you
             | from yourself. The current issue is the inaugural purchase
             | mechanic, like buying a big ticket item or something that's
             | a one off like toilet/toilet seat and now that's all you
             | get moving forward.
        
           | tal8d wrote:
           | Marketers aren't trying to match you up with products that
           | meet some unfulfilled need you have, they are trying to get
           | you to buy anything in the very limited window available to
           | them. You seem to be under the impression that they'll
           | maximize that opportunity by presenting you with something
           | you'd find useful. There are more effective ways to sell,
           | with an enormous amount of research dedicated to perfecting
           | the process. Unsurprisingly, the result of such efforts -
           | unbounded by any sense of morality, are pretty disgusting.
           | Depression. Depressed people make the best consumers. That is
           | what they are looking for when they're tracking your off-site
           | activity. Do you imagine they are above trying to induce
           | depression?
        
           | pmlnr wrote:
           | Long, long time ago, when last.fm radio was still a thing on
           | it's own, I loved it: instead of pre-arranging a playlist, it
           | kept adding the next song by searching for similar ones based
           | on the one currently playing. It kept crawling away,
           | sometimes into terrible direction, but more often into an
           | area I'd like to refer to as "satellite".
           | 
           | "Satellite" would be friends-of-friends or even friends-of-
           | friends-of-friends in social media terms.
           | 
           | And this is how it comes to ads: when I bought a magazine, I
           | got a set of ads that only had a rough idea about their
           | audience. Those edges were the ones that allowed ads to
           | broaden my views on the world, and, therefore, ads were
           | useful for me. This, and the financial impossibility of ever
           | getting one - early teen in Hungary -, were the reasons why I
           | loved Sony catalogues in the '90s.
           | 
           | Targeted ads are the polar opposite: they want to change me,
           | force me to buy a certain, specific product, instead of
           | gradually opening my interest to a lot more things in the
           | world.
        
             | TRcontrarian wrote:
             | I feel the exact same way about sampling 'alien' ad
             | culture. It's fun to switch on the local TV station in a
             | new city and see what ads are being shown to people there.
             | It's like a form of social calibration that shows what 'is
             | available.' Same thing with reading the ads in the back of
             | Popular Science or The Economist. I don't get that online
             | unless I VPN+incognito, and I absolutely cannot get it on
             | my phone, which is locked down much tighter.
        
           | Spivak wrote:
           | I want personalized ads _when I'm searching for product_. I
           | really don't get the fetishization of sticking ads next to
           | unrelated content. Like I get the whole brand mindshare
           | aspect but that's not exactly a small-business type of ad
           | campaign.
           | 
           | Like Jesus. If a company had good ad targeting I would
           | actually pay to access it and use it as my product search.
           | It's remarkably difficult given the type of product you want
           | to buy to survey the market and find different people that
           | sell it. I'm currently going through that hell trying to find
           | a water filter dispenser/pitcher. All of the search results
           | are garbage. I know there is more out there than just the 17
           | models of cheap plastic crap from Brita/Pur but it's an
           | absolute slog to actually find anything.
        
             | spaetzleesser wrote:
             | I remember the good, ol' days when you were on a
             | kiteboarding site and the ads were for kiteboarding
             | equipment and not for more toasters after I just bought
             | one. I don't mind ads in the old style but I seriously
             | resent the current state.
        
             | ryanianian wrote:
             | The Wire Cutter (NYTimes) is doing this more and more and
             | iirc they're quite profitable in doing it. They find the
             | "best" products and give you referral links to buy them.
             | 
             | Sometimes your site searches will show lists of things
             | ("looking for a jacket? see our list of the best cold-
             | weather gear"). This isn't a dark pattern. It's not
             | targeting you the individual, it's targeting you the person
             | who just explicitly showed intent to buy X. It's really how
             | buying online would ideally work in all scenarios.
        
           | Const-me wrote:
           | Interestingly, my preference is opposite. If I'm going to see
           | ads anyway, ideally I want to see them in a language I don't
           | speak.
        
           | dvfjsdhgfv wrote:
           | Tracking aside, I prefer not to have "personalized" ads for
           | two reasons. First, they create another bubble based on their
           | perception of me. Second, their personalization is so poor I
           | sometimes wonder how come advertisers believe them.
           | 
           | And this is all assuming you actually _want_ to see ads. I
           | don 't. It's only when I need to buy something I enter the
           | buying mode: I disable adblockers and start doing research -
           | this is the only small window when ads are allowed to bother
           | me.
        
             | ryanianian wrote:
             | If ads weren't clickbait, obnoxious, or misleading (and
             | didn't violate your privacy) you may find yourself more
             | open to seeing them. Even if they're not always super
             | relevant to you and only you.
             | 
             | Respectful advertising will always have its place whenever
             | the buyer has a choice. It's when the companies selling
             | those ads learn how to manipulate their audience that the
             | 'respectful' parts of the equation get dropped and
             | consumers start to push back.
             | 
             | My Kindle shows me ads. I could pay to opt out, but I
             | actually like the way it handles them. My (former) Alexa on
             | the other hand was IN MY FACE with ads whenever I wanted to
             | even just set a timer. That is grossly disrespectful of me
             | as a human being, so it was shown the door.
        
               | HenryBemis wrote:
               | > My Kindle shows me ads
               | 
               | I have no experience on Kindles, but on my Amazon Fire
               | HD, I have rooted it, uninstall 50-60% of the bloatware,
               | I have installed "NoRoot Firewall" to cut down on the
               | unwanted comms between my tablet and Amazon, and I now
               | have a perfectly functioning tablet for reading.
               | 
               | Extra tip: install ReadEra and you can read the non-
               | Kindle-app pdf, mobi, epub, etc.
        
         | ljm wrote:
         | They're essentially asking their users to bail them out by
         | trying to garner sympathy towards the nebulous 'small
         | businesses' who probably wouldn't notice any difference anyway.
         | Unless FB threw a bunch of them under the bus first and then
         | tried to blame Apple for it.
         | 
         | FB aren't entitled to a user's entire internet presence
         | (digital and physical) just because the user doesn't pay for
         | the account.
        
         | idreyn wrote:
         | I'm a simple man -- if I see a button with a primary intent
         | color standing between me and my content I've been conditioned
         | to press it, often before I realize what I'm doing or reading
         | the accompanying text. Probably tens of millions of people will
         | do the same here.
        
           | rickdeveloper wrote:
           | What do you think about a 10s delay (or whatever an
           | appropriate reading time is) before the buttons become
           | active?
        
           | mqus wrote:
           | I propably already learned the "don't klick the obvious
           | button asap" lesson pretty early, when websites had like 5
           | "Download now" buttons (ads) and you had to search for the
           | small text with a link to actually get the download.
        
           | godelski wrote:
           | While I agree with your point about this and that most people
           | will do this it really brings up a lot of questions about
           | what consent actually means. Especially with dark patterns
           | and asymmetric information.
        
           | vincentmarle wrote:
           | True but looking at my own iTunes App Analytics dashboard for
           | example, about 50% of users don't opt-in to share analytics
           | with us.
           | 
           | At Facebook-scale 50% means at least a billion users will
           | still opt-in, but probably significantly less than what they
           | were tracking before at the 100% level.
        
           | smhg wrote:
           | > if I see a button with a primary intent color standing
           | between me and my content I've been conditioned to press it
           | 
           | While cookie-laws have good intentions, this side effect
           | should have been properly researched first. An internet full
           | of shady and useless pop-ups which drive this behavior makes
           | me sad. I'm still hoping they will someday disappear.
        
             | jakear wrote:
             | The skeptic in me bets that side effect was quite
             | thoroughly researched, by the media companies, who found by
             | normalizing intrusive banners they could get users to agree
             | to whatever they heck they'd want.
        
           | asddubs wrote:
           | used to be like this but these days there's so many dark
           | patterns that try to make you pay for extra shit (or sign up
           | for prime), i instinctively look for the non highlighted
           | button if the button stands out a little too much
        
             | MaxBarraclough wrote:
             | Same here. If I understand correctly, the GDPR states that
             | if the user is tricked into clicking that they give
             | consent, that doesn't count as them truly giving consent.
             | Despite this, many otherwise reputable websites try to
             | deceive you into 'agreeing'. Disappointingly, TomsHardware
             | is one such.
             | 
             | These dark patterns will only go away once there are
             | properly enforced laws against them.
        
           | Wowfunhappy wrote:
           | Remember though that this doesn't replace Apple's prompt!
        
             | idreyn wrote:
             | That's true, I forgot about that. I appreciate that those
             | prompts don't highlight a particular option which tends to
             | force you to read them.
             | 
             | I wonder how often Apple will allow apps to re-request this
             | permission when it's been denied; I have a handful of iOS
             | apps that are constantly asking me to grant permission to
             | see more of my photos, and I wish they'd rate-limit that
             | kind of abuse.
        
               | egypturnash wrote:
               | Shit, every time I reboot my iPad it asks for permission
               | to connect to my phone for wifi calling, and I keep on
               | saying "no" and I wish I could just say "never ask this
               | again". It's just as annoying when Apple does it.
        
               | metaxis78 wrote:
               | You can disable this feature, it's specifically a thing
               | that you enabled at some point. The reason you're getting
               | prompted is because you indicated that you want it. IIRC
               | it's something to do with the wifi calling settings on
               | your phone, not your ipad.
               | 
               | It IS annoying that their nag box doesn't have a "go to
               | settings" option, at least.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | monadic3 wrote:
               | > I wish they'd rate-limit that kind of abuse.
               | 
               | They do. Observe that apps will prompt you in-app, and
               | only if you indicate you're open to it will they invoke
               | the system prompt, which will only trigger from the app a
               | single time before you have to change it from the system
               | preferences pane.
        
               | dmitrygr wrote:
               | It actually is. A while ago, someone (i think fb)
               | produced an article that showed that to avoid the issue,
               | they find it is best to show user their own similar
               | screen, and only if the user clicks "yes", show the OS
               | screen (cause for that one you only get one chance). I
               | suspect you're seeing the apps' first "app-made" screen
               | and not the OS one. Look carefully. If so, click yes
               | there, and NO on the OS screen.
        
               | roblabla wrote:
               | Wouldn't this be against the Apple TOS? Might want to
               | report application that are using this kind of dark
               | pattern.
        
               | monadic3 wrote:
               | If it is, virtually every app on my phone is in
               | violation.
        
               | ryandrake wrote:
               | Similar theory behind those "do you like this app"
               | prompts that come from the app itself. If you tap "yes"
               | they'll give you the prompt to rate on the AppStore. If
               | you tap "no" they won't. This can seriously inflate an
               | app's rating and help prevent low ratings. Nice,
               | underhanded and effective dark pattern!
        
               | InitialLastName wrote:
               | The funny thing is when they do that, you leave a bad
               | review, they delete your review, and then keep begging
               | you to leave a review.
        
               | Aulig wrote:
               | This is called review gating and isn't allowed:
               | https://appradar.com/blog/ask-users-leave-review-in-app-
               | stor...
        
               | ryandrake wrote:
               | Interesting! It's obviously been a while since I was in
               | the 3rd party app business because in my day, the use of
               | these was widespread! Nice to see the vulnerability was
               | closed.
        
               | allenu wrote:
               | Is it actually explicitly disallowed in Apple's
               | guidelines? Their wording almost makes it indicate they
               | want you to only ask for a rating when people are happy
               | with the app:
               | https://developer.apple.com/app-store/ratings-and-
               | reviews/         Make the request when users are most
               | likely to feel satisfaction with your app, such as when
               | they've completed an action, level, or task.
        
               | another-dave wrote:
               | I understood that to mean, if you've goals within you app
               | (e.g. CityMapper -- completing a journey; Dropbox --
               | uploading a file; some game -- beating a level), ask
               | after the user has completed them, rather than what apps
               | used to do (e.g. before you've been created an account,
               | or getting in your way while you're changing some
               | setting). But when they _do_ ask theyre meant to show the
               | rating dialog either way, not first check what rating you
               | would give.
        
               | idreyn wrote:
               | No doubt FB is preparing to A/B test dozens of variants
               | for maximum "conversion" :)
               | 
               | The dialog I am constantly seeing is this one, which
               | seems to come from the OS:
               | https://i.imgur.com/7JGotq3.png
               | 
               | Now that iOS allows you to share only some photos with
               | apps (which is great) I see this before practically every
               | photo selection dialog in third-party apps. My choice
               | here doesn't affect my ability to share a single image
               | with the app in that moment; they just want to suck my
               | whole library of photos in for background processing. I'd
               | very much like to not see this dialog more than once a
               | month.
        
               | 0bit wrote:
               | Go to Settings, scroll down to find the app, and select
               | it. Then you get the "Allow <app> to access" and a list
               | of entitlements, one of which is "Photos". Select
               | "Photos" and you get three options "Selected Photos"
               | (which is what you likely have), "All Photos", and
               | "None". Push "None" and you should never see that dialog
               | again.
        
               | hobofan wrote:
               | If the notification consent prompt on iOS is any
               | indication, it will only be shown the first time it is
               | requested, which is the reason these notification
               | requests usually already have a "testing screen" like the
               | one described in the article.
        
           | Illniyar wrote:
           | I assume the button will prompt a system alert of some kind,
           | no?
        
             | MonAlternatiu wrote:
             | The article has precisely that prompt in one of the images.
             | 
             | The thing is, just like certain apps require certain
             | permissions (camera app wants to access the camera, device
             | files, etc..) I believe a lot of people will just accept
             | these conditions without realizing they are completely
             | optional.
        
               | Illniyar wrote:
               | A lot of people will.
               | 
               | But there's also strong education regarding system
               | prompts. Users know when an app is asking for extra
               | permissions (which this is basically the same of). Those
               | people who care about what permissions apps have will
               | know what to click.
               | 
               | Those who don't care, that's the most you can do. Besides
               | even Facebook estimate that only 10-30% will click allow.
               | I'm not sure if you can ask for more at this point.
        
               | MonAlternatiu wrote:
               | It would be awesome if the users were forced to navigate
               | a settings menu, find the app on a list of apps, and
               | manually enable the option.
               | 
               | One can only dream.
        
         | drran wrote:
         | Better ads.
        
           | dredmorbius wrote:
           | </s>>
        
         | retrac wrote:
         | Why would anyone ever agree to the terms in most software
         | EULAs?
        
           | Wowfunhappy wrote:
           | Because otherwise you can't use the software?
        
         | ATsch wrote:
         | This is said so often it's become a platitude, but: Your free
         | labor of creating and curating things people want to look at is
         | the product. It's the companies bidding on access to content
         | you're willing to look at, in hopes of changing your behaviour,
         | that are the consumers.
        
         | godelski wrote:
         | There's weird cases. In my DnD group only one person has not
         | switched to Signal and they refuse to. Their answer is that "I
         | can't fight them so why switch?" Which weirds me out since this
         | is exactly how you fight tracking. Btw, this is someone who has
         | a PhD in computer science so it isn't like they are tech
         | illiterate. But I've seen several people like this and honestly
         | I don't understand.
         | 
         | I think at this point a lot of people are now apathetic and
         | have given up. And we know people like to double down on good
         | or bad positions when faced with adversaries. Doing things like
         | "switching to Signal" (when you already have most of your
         | friends there) and "using an adblocker" seem like very simple
         | things that easily respond to "what can I do about it?"
        
           | purplecats wrote:
           | wow what a weak mindset your friend has
        
         | mensetmanusman wrote:
         | I would rather get advertisements about tech toys than get
         | advertisements about debeers diamonds.
        
           | Nextgrid wrote:
           | I'm the opposite.
           | 
           | I spend 8+ hours a day in the tech world; if the "tech toy"
           | is any good chances are I already know about it and/or have
           | it.
           | 
           | If I absolutely have to see ads (which I don't - haven't seen
           | online ads for years) the last thing I want is _more_ tech. I
           | 'd rather see ads for stuff I don't actually know about.
        
           | criddell wrote:
           | If HN were supported by non-tracking ads, do you think you
           | would be more likely to see an add for a tech toy or a
           | diamond here?
        
             | mensetmanusman wrote:
             | I hope it would be ads about recent companies Y has helped
             | start :)
        
         | fabatka wrote:
         | Why would anyone read this and think about the implications? I
         | may be overly pessimistic, but I think the average user just
         | sees this modal as a potential obstacle between him/her and the
         | content their brain tells them to consume. I know _my_ first
         | instinct would be to go on the path that minimizes the risk
         | that I don 't get to do the things I set out to do.
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | 2Gkashmiri wrote:
       | what... benefit can facebook offer to its sheeps now with this
       | consent screen? pennies?
        
       | albanberg wrote:
       | It would be great to see the public bombard these companies with
       | a demand for privacy. Petitions/demonstrations/email
       | campaigns...whatever it takes.
        
       | cellar_door wrote:
       | lol @ people who think Apple pushing back on FB tracking is out
       | of their goodness of heart.
       | 
       | They want FB to introduce a subscription model so they can rake
       | in that sweet 30% commission.
       | 
       | I am in favor of more consumer options, always prefer
       | subscriptions to ads/tracking, and am a huge fan of Apple
       | products. The issue is more that 30% commission is extortionate
       | imo.
        
       | twostorytower wrote:
       | I would hate to be the PM on this project. They would be lucky to
       | get 5% conversion. That's still worth billions in the long run.
        
       | DLay wrote:
       | Are all the smaller social media companies like Twitter,
       | SnapChat, TikTok, and Reddit struggling with Apple's new rules
       | too?
        
       | bezout wrote:
       | I think that this is going to end well if:
       | 
       | - Facebook educates people about how the company uses their data
       | - Apple doesn't make it hard to access data for companies that
       | got their users' consent
        
       | United857 wrote:
       | Not unique to FB, these days it seems every news site has (at
       | least) a nag popup if a ad blocker is detected, with many having
       | a hard block on content.
        
         | grishka wrote:
         | Disabling JS for that site helps and most news websites don't
         | make any good use of it anyway.
        
           | metalliqaz wrote:
           | do you use a plugin for that?
        
             | grishka wrote:
             | Yes, this one: https://github.com/mtimkovich/one-click-
             | javascript-toggle
        
       | indymike wrote:
       | In the end, they will end up asking each user until they consent.
        
       | mensetmanusman wrote:
       | Usually Apple hates when App developers make any user prompts
       | that points out changes Apple has made.
       | 
       | I wonder if Apple will pull the Facebook app in response.
        
       | bnj wrote:
       | It's simultaneously remarkable and utterly unremarkable that
       | Facebook has been dragged kicking and screaming into building a
       | consent screen for this kind of tracking.
       | 
       | Watching this tracking notification conflict unfold in the media
       | has really helped me to refine where I stand on this: if a
       | business depends on non-consensual tracking to be able to
       | survive, then I'd prefer that the business has to fold before
       | stripping users of their opportunity to understand and agree to
       | the surveillance infrastructure at issue here.
        
         | kibwen wrote:
         | You're more forgiving than I am. As far as I'm concerned,
         | individual-targeted advertising has such inherently perverse
         | incentives that even those starting out with good intentions
         | (e.g. consensual opt-in) will eventually find themselves
         | engaged in unethical, privacy-eroding behavior as a matter of
         | course.
         | 
         | Consider what would happen if you outlawed individual-targeted
         | advertising. Ad relevancy falls overall. What then?
         | 
         | Would ad companies like Google make less money? Not really.
         | Overall advertising budgets are not dominated by the
         | effectiveness of advertising, but by adversarial spending by
         | their competitors. Companies have to spend money on ads because
         | the competition is spending money on ads. It doesn't matter how
         | absolutely effective the campaign is, as long as it's
         | relatively more effective than your rival's.
         | 
         | Would consumers spend less money? No, a consumer has a budget
         | that is independent of the relevancy of the ads they see.
         | 
         | The advertising industry thrived for a long time in the absence
         | of individual user tracking. It could do so again.
        
           | aledalgrande wrote:
           | If the company is public, multiply that by 10.
        
           | sriram_sun wrote:
           | Exactly! How do you grow by 25% quarter over quarter _without
           | discovering new business models_?  "Knowing" us even more and
           | getting us to fork over 25% more! Or moving spend from a site
           | outside of FB to within it.
        
           | sanedigital wrote:
           | > Overall advertising budgets are not dominated by the
           | effectiveness of advertising, but by adversarial spending by
           | their competitors.
           | 
           | This is absolutely not the case. Google's biggest ad clients
           | achieve pretty incredible ROI (called ROAS) on each dollar
           | they spend. And they track these obsessively--I supported a
           | large travel client that had a small (but highly skilled)
           | engineering team dedicated exclusively to their SEM bidding
           | and monitoring systems.
           | 
           | The reason digital advertising is so valuable is pretty
           | exclusively related to attribution and tracking. If companies
           | weren't sure they could make so much money with their spend,
           | their budgets would absolutely drop.
        
             | kibwen wrote:
             | Companies obsess about these metrics because they don't
             | want their ROI to be less than their competitors', because
             | that would put them at a competitive disadvantage. It's not
             | in doubt that individual-targeted advertising is more
             | effective than than the alternatives; by eliminating user
             | tracking you would be decreasing ROI across the board, but
             | that's fine because, again, all that you're fighting for is
             | a higher ROI than your competitors. And to reiterate, it's
             | not like consumer dollars are just vanishing into the
             | ether; every dollar a consumer makes either gets spent or
             | saved, and regardless of the ROI of a specific ad campaign
             | they've still got to buy dish soap or diapers or what have
             | you. Just because advertising ROI drops does not mean that
             | the company revenue/profit will drop; if it did, that
             | probably means another company has better ROI (and if they
             | can do so, and as long as they're not tracking users, then
             | good for them!).
        
               | kortilla wrote:
               | This model is based on the assumption that ads are for
               | things the consumers already know about. This is not
               | correct.
               | 
               | Example: I type "housing insurance" into Google and the
               | "organic" results are dominated by the mega insurance
               | companies.
               | 
               | Without targeted advertising, the ads are also dominated
               | by mega insurance companies because they have the biggest
               | advertising budgets.
               | 
               | With targeted advertising, I can see an ad from a
               | provider specific to my location that I didn't know
               | existed who offers way better rates because of the
               | different risk pool.
               | 
               | The same applies for thousands of other products/services
               | that are localized.
               | 
               | Similarly, the ads for someone interested in DIY vs
               | someone who is happy to pay for skilled labor are
               | drastically different when you search "drywall repair".
        
               | somedude895 wrote:
               | > Without targeted advertising, the ads are also
               | dominated by mega insurance companies because they have
               | the biggest advertising budgets. > With targeted
               | advertising, I can see an ad from a provider specific to
               | my location that I didn't know existed who offers way
               | better rates because of the different risk pool. The same
               | applies for thousands of other products/services that are
               | localized.
               | 
               | You're talking about geo targeting here, which imo should
               | still be possible. That's an in-the-moment targeting akin
               | to an advertiser choosing to show their ad on a local
               | news site. This doesn't require extensive tracking and
               | profiling of users.
        
               | biztos wrote:
               | I don't think these examples require individual targeting
               | at all, but I agree with your point.
               | 
               | When you are looking for housing insurance and Facebook
               | shows you divorce attorneys, because they know you're
               | gonna need one pretty soon, _that_ is a spend that would
               | be affected.
        
               | olex wrote:
               | On both examples, the user can trivially reach the
               | desired search outcome by manually adding their location
               | or "diy"/"for hire" to the search query, without the
               | search engine needing to know a single thing about them.
        
             | majormajor wrote:
             | You aren't necessarily disagreeing - their ROI would be
             | even better if their competitors were spending less.
             | 
             | Or, flipping it: if some advertisers are extremely
             | effective, that pushes up the price for the ones that
             | aren't.
        
             | betenoire wrote:
             | Advertising has existed without this feature in other
             | mediums forever
        
             | fingerlocks wrote:
             | At least someone in this thread gets it. Ad tracking really
             | is about attribution, personalized ads are secondary nice-
             | to-have.
             | 
             | This is how small businesses figure out their advertising
             | budget. Where are our customers coming from, or more
             | importantly, where are they _not_ coming from, so we know
             | where to spend or not spend our limited resources?
             | 
             | But I'm not surprised this isn't pointed out more often.
             | The hardcore privacy zealots really blow up when you try to
             | explain that it's mostly innocuous.
        
               | josephg wrote:
               | It can be mostly innocuous. And I feel no sympathy for
               | facebook's business model here. I don't want my attention
               | to be bought and sold like a horse between faceless
               | companies. I'd much rather pay $1/year to WhatsApp than
               | have the content of my personal life analysed by the
               | world's marketing teams. I want to be the customer, not
               | the product. I want the software I use to be primarily
               | designed around my needs - not the needs of advertisers.
        
               | Closi wrote:
               | So you mean their REAL purpose is attribution, but they
               | just chose to build giant databases covering peoples
               | locations, friend groups, hobbies, desires, careers, sex,
               | sexual preferences, relationship statuses, political
               | alignment, voting probability, race and more in order to
               | implement a 'secondary nice-to-have'?
               | 
               | And that's better?
               | 
               | As a side point, I don't see why attribution tracking
               | requires any form of cross-site tracking or
               | fingerprinting. It seems like it would be pretty trivial
               | to implement this without all the privacy issues (i.e.
               | just direct the ad to domain.com/ad123 and track the user
               | on-site from there).
        
               | fingerlocks wrote:
               | None of that has anything to do with this topic. This is
               | about Facebook's access to the Apple IDFA. There are no
               | web URLs involved[0] when you click an ad on instagram
               | and it launches another app on your phone. These are
               | separate issues, and I don't entire disagree with the
               | others you brought up.
               | 
               | [0] Before someone comes in to correct me, I know I'm
               | handwaving here. The point stands.
        
               | danShumway wrote:
               | The apps on your phone would not have the ability to suck
               | up isolated pieces of data about your usage and combine
               | them into a single profile with your age/gender/etc... if
               | they didn't have a set of shared identifiers that they
               | could use to associate that data across multiple sources.
               | 
               | It seems very relevant to me. The larger privacy problems
               | wouldn't be quite as bad if there was no way to tell what
               | device an app was running on or who was using it. That
               | seems like it would limit data collection in a pretty
               | significant way.
        
               | bordercases wrote:
               | The tracking technology itself has a much wider scope of
               | application than "small businesses focusing their
               | development budget". Ads are used as a commercial
               | justification for broadening the larger ability to
               | surveil.
        
               | danShumway wrote:
               | Because (all other concerns and objections aside) the
               | intent doesn't matter.
               | 
               | Apologies for the crude analogy, but if I install a
               | camera in your bathroom and say, "okay, technically I
               | _could_ watch you poop, but the only reason I 'm actually
               | doing this is to figure out when you're out of toilet
               | paper", that explanation won't leave you satisfied.
               | 
               | Similarly, if someone is tracking me across the web and
               | trying to link my identity across multiple sites/devices,
               | I don't really care whether or not they're worried about
               | attribution. The concerns about attribution are secondary
               | to the fact that they're still watching everything I do
               | online.
        
               | fingerlocks wrote:
               | Filming me defecating in the privacy of my home is not
               | comparable to a quasi-anonymous unique value traveling
               | from my computer to another.
               | 
               | Also, please remember that this conversation is very
               | specifically about Facebook's access to the Apple IDFA,
               | not about general web tracking or other data vacuuming
               | issues. The fact that these two separate issues get
               | conflated is part of the problem.
        
               | danShumway wrote:
               | > about Facebook's access to the Apple IDFA
               | 
               | Which is used to uniquely identify me across apps, a
               | totally equivalent level of tracking as identifying me
               | across websites. It is the same result, just on a
               | different platform.
               | 
               | And all of this data gets combined and utilized with the
               | "other data vacuuming issues" you're talking about. You
               | can't treat those like isolated issues, the unique
               | identifiers across websites/apps _enable_ the data
               | vacuuming.
               | 
               | You're arguing that these identifiers aren't primarily
               | being used to build profiles, that they're mostly
               | innocuous, and then you're saying that the fact that
               | profiles are being built and data vacuuming is happening
               | is a separate issue that's not relevant to the current
               | conversation? No, the data vacuuming wouldn't be possible
               | to nearly the same degree without persistent identifiers.
               | That makes it relevant.
               | 
               | > is not comparable to a quasi-anonymous unique value
               | traveling from my computer to another.
               | 
               | You're arguing about a matter of degree. The point I'm
               | making is that violating my privacy doesn't become
               | automatically OK just because the advertising industry
               | promises me they won't look at the extra data they're
               | getting. And I think the reasoning behind why it's not OK
               | is the same in both scenarios -- because in both
               | scenarios, it's not reasonable to trust the person
               | gathering that data to keep it secure or to never misuse
               | it.
               | 
               | People bring up "quasi-anonymous" as if it's some kind of
               | perfect defense that puts these identifiers into a
               | separate category of information, but it's not. If it was
               | actually anonymous, you wouldn't need to put the "quasi"
               | in front of it. But if it makes you feel better, I'll put
               | a camera in your bathroom and then disassociate the video
               | stream from your home address or name, and then I'll blur
               | your face with an AI. Then the video stream will be
               | quasi-anonymous too. I promise I won't ever try to link
               | it to a real identity, you can trust me.
               | 
               | The point is, it is a violation of my privacy to track
               | every website I visit and every app I use. The reason why
               | a company is doing that _doesn 't matter._
        
               | TeMPOraL wrote:
               | You're too generous. I disagree with the parent that the
               | intent is innocuous.
               | 
               | The intent is almost always to convince people to
               | purchase something where they otherwise wouldn't purchase
               | it - by a mix of catching them in a vulnerable moment,
               | and brainwashing them with repeated exposure over time.
               | It's malicious.
        
             | squeezingswirls wrote:
             | 'When Big Brands Stopped Spending On Digital Ads, Nothing
             | Happened. Why?'
             | 
             | https://www.forbes.com/sites/augustinefou/2021/01/02/when-
             | bi...
        
               | fingerlocks wrote:
               | What happens when small brands don't spend on digital
               | ads? _Nothing Happening_ is the worst possible outcome.
        
           | sriram_sun wrote:
           | Exactly! How do you grow by 25% quarter over quarter _without
           | discovering new business models_?  "Knowing" us even more and
           | getting us to fork over 25% more! Or moving spend from a site
           | outside of FB to within it.
           | 
           | What could be the end result? I give the algorithms my bank
           | account and they are responsible for restocking my fridge,
           | refilling prescriptions to purchasing books and investing in
           | my stocks?
           | 
           | Some aspiring product manager (of course another algorithm in
           | training) is furiously jotting down all of the above...
        
             | TeMPOraL wrote:
             | What bank account? With everything-as-a-Service, minimalism
             | being trendy (a form of consumerism as a lifestyle), ever
             | shrinking buffers in supply chains, ever shrinking
             | apartments - soon we won't be collecting money on accounts,
             | we'll be paid in and paying with _securities_. Your
             | position at ACME will entitle you to 100 units of payment,
             | which you 'll allocate to different services...
        
           | imheretolearn wrote:
           | >> Overall advertising budgets are not dominated by the
           | effectiveness of advertising, but by adversarial spending by
           | their competitors
           | 
           | I would like to know how this conclusion was reached. By that
           | logic, the advertising industry would not really need
           | individual targeting at all
        
             | kibwen wrote:
             | _> By that logic, the advertising industry would not really
             | need individual targeting at all_
             | 
             | You're right, they don't. But the point is not to argue
             | that ad relevancy itself is bad. In a vacuum, improved ad
             | relevancy is good! However, the improved relevancy of
             | individually-targeted advertisements is not offset by the
             | social detriment of user tracking.
             | 
             | To use an example, on a Facebook group for gamers, it would
             | be fine and dandy for Facebook to establish a market where
             | PC hardware and video game companies bid to show ads to
             | users browsing the group page. Note that this doesn't have
             | to involve advertisers receiving any identifiable data
             | about _who_ the ad was shown to, and nor does it have to
             | involve Facebook tracking your behavior online in order to
             | show ads based on _other_ sites you 've visited, e.g.
             | gaming communities on Reddit. The targeting is as simple as
             | "show the game ads to the people in the game group"; it's
             | extremely coarse demographic-based targeting that doesn't
             | require any sort of persistent user profiling. It's no more
             | of a privacy issue than back in the old-timey days when a
             | company would buy an ad in an enthusiast magazine.
        
               | imheretolearn wrote:
               | >> But the point is not to argue that ad relevancy itself
               | is bad. In a vacuum, improved ad relevancy is good!
               | However, the improved relevancy of individually-targeted
               | advertisements is not offset by the social detriment of
               | user tracking
               | 
               | Agreed, this is where the incentives of the users are
               | misaligned with the incentives of the ad tracking
               | companies. But users don't have a choice, hence
               | individual ad tracking.
        
             | panta wrote:
             | Individual ad targeting is needed only as soon as someone
             | does it. It is not "needed" per se.
        
               | bluesign wrote:
               | For sure there are some advertisers, they would not be
               | able to advertise if there is no individual targeting.
               | Problem is for one of those honest businesses, there are
               | 10 dishonest ones abusing the individual targeting.
        
               | panta wrote:
               | If it is targeted without explicit direct consent of the
               | targeted individual, it is not honest, at least from my
               | personal point of view. If it was for me, targeted
               | advertising would illegal.
        
             | dylan604 wrote:
             | Have you ever spent time around advertising people? This is
             | exactly how they talk to each other. An agency shooting a
             | commercial for a hospital in Houston, TX shot in Amsterdam
             | because the director wanted to. Another agency person
             | bragged to a person in another agency about how much they
             | spent. It's a game to these people. Once you become a
             | brand, it is less about advertising a product/lifestyle as
             | much as it is to keep the name prevelant in people's mind.
        
             | prostoalex wrote:
             | This would just return to 2000-esque state of affairs,
             | where the ad model was based on selling page views, clicks
             | or actions.
             | 
             | That model favors small publishers (as niche advertisers
             | flock to niche publications) and disadvantages large
             | generic publishers (social networks, email clients,
             | portals).
        
               | AlphaSite wrote:
               | I'm not entirely convinced this is true, but equally if
               | it is I see it as an absolute win.
        
               | somedude895 wrote:
               | > That model favors small publishers (as niche
               | advertisers flock to niche publications) and
               | disadvantages large generic publishers (social networks,
               | email clients, portals).
               | 
               | I agree. Advertisers would have to go back to contextual
               | targeting, identifying websites that are likely to appeal
               | the target audience, rather than simply buying the
               | audience programmatically on Google's ad network
        
               | liaukovv wrote:
               | Which in turn would create an incentive to actually
               | create websites attracting different audiences?
        
           | mc32 wrote:
           | >" Would consumers spend less money? No..."
           | 
           | I'm not sure about that. A lot of advertising is about
           | appearances and superficial things. Example. Do we need cars
           | in the US to get from place to place (NYC, etc excepted) Yes!
           | Does it have to have bells and whistles? No. Can an entry
           | level car do the job in the great majority of cases? Does it
           | have to be a "luxury" brand? Or an upscale model?
           | 
           | Spending would go down. Good, bad? That's another discussion.
        
             | fuster wrote:
             | I think there is the question of what people would do with
             | the money they save by buying only the entry-level car.
             | Would everyone really just save the money? I expect people
             | would just spend it on something else (that maybe has more
             | effective advertising, even if via word-of-mouth or
             | something else). So spending would remain roughly the same.
             | I don't have any hard research I can personally point to
             | though.
        
             | jfk13 wrote:
             | Given how many people seem to find themselves with
             | crippling debt, or unable to save enough of a buffer to
             | handle unexpected (but not especially unusual) expenses,
             | I'd be inclined to say "good".
             | 
             | Much of the advertising industry isn't about getting you to
             | choose Company A's product rather than Company B's, or to
             | choose the deluxe version rather than the entry-level one;
             | it's about getting you to buy things you would never even
             | have considered otherwise, and certainly have no "need"
             | for.
        
           | EGreg wrote:
           | _Would ad companies like Google make less money? Not really.
           | Overall advertising budgets are not dominated by the
           | effectiveness of advertising, but by adversarial spending by
           | their competitors_
           | 
           | This premise seems wrong to me. It assumes that advertising
           | is always a net positive, regardless of how targeted it is.
           | 
           | As someone who runs a company that built apps and have spent
           | ZERO on advertising and PR, I can tell you that is _usually_
           | not the case.
           | 
           | In fact, the biggest component of user acquisition cost is
           | the untargeted advertising. Much better to reduce that cost
           | to zero by increasing the viral k-factor and user retention.
           | Those two metrics matter way more than advertising. If you
           | can reduce the ad spend per user, or per customer, you are
           | BETTER off, not worse.
           | 
           | For example, Google adwords nor any other advert network
           | offers NO WAY of targeting MacOS, only iOS and Android, so we
           | couldn't make any money advertising our Calendars for Mac
           | app.
           | 
           | And trust me we experimented with all kinds of monetization
           | in that app:
           | 
           | https://www.bbc.com/news/amp/technology-43386918
           | 
           | Original article was im ArsTechnica:
           | https://arstechnica.com/information-
           | technology/2018/03/there...
           | 
           | https://www.google.com/search?q=qbix+mining&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-.
           | ..
        
           | acchow wrote:
           | > Would ad companies like Google make less money? Not really.
           | 
           | I disagree. Currently, targeted advertising is able to hold a
           | premium over non-targeted advertising. The more targeted, the
           | higher the premium. Facebook wants to keep up in the arms
           | race with Google (and others) in how targeted it can be.
        
         | hctaw wrote:
         | > if a business depends on non-consensual tracking to be able
         | to survive, then I'd prefer that the business has to fold
         | before stripping users of their opportunity to understand and
         | agree to the surveillance infrastructure at issue here.
         | 
         | Up there with "we can't afford to pay our workers a living
         | wage." Businesses do not have an unalienable right to exist.
        
         | ROARosen wrote:
         | From Facebook's consent screen: "This doesn't give us access to
         | _new types of information_ " [emphasis mine]
         | 
         | I don't know whether to laugh out loud or to cry. It literally
         | shows the consumer that - at least according to Apple - the
         | data Facebook was collecting up until now is detailed enough to
         | require an extra prompt.
         | 
         | How exactly is that supposed to reassure someone who would
         | supposedly deny them tracking once the prompt shows?!
        
         | rationalfaith wrote:
         | Apple is doing a great service for the industry. Google should
         | follow very promptly but then again, Google's business model is
         | on tracking users :p
        
         | ryanisnan wrote:
         | "This won't allow us to collect new types of information..."
         | 
         | Yeah, just information you've already been shadily collecting.
        
       | hourislate wrote:
       | Do people who use facebook actually care about privacy?
       | 
       | I can't understand why any user would want to be targeted by
       | tailored ads or any ads for that matter? It's psychological
       | warfare with the goal of separating you from your money. Stop
       | spending, you'll realize you don't need all that shit they try to
       | peddle.
       | 
       | Less is more...
        
         | judge2020 wrote:
         | The difference is that this will show up for every app that
         | uses FB's audience network to show and make money from ads, so
         | many mobile games will have this show after install.
        
         | edmundsauto wrote:
         | I think most people prefer ads to paying for something. The ads
         | are only a means to what they care about.
        
         | jraph wrote:
         | > Do people who use facebook actually care about privacy?
         | 
         | Many people probably both use Facebook and care about privacy.
         | Many probably would rather quit Facebook but think they can't
         | because a part of their social life they think important is
         | there. Or even a part of their education is (many students have
         | a Facebook group for their class).
         | 
         | I sympathize with you but it would help to try and understand
         | people who care about privacy but still use Facebook if the
         | goal is to solve this problem.
         | 
         | I've had luck so far I haven't got trapped in Facebook though.
        
         | kin wrote:
         | Call me weird but if I had ads at all, I prefer that they be
         | relevant. I hate being shown something that I have zero
         | interest for. I actually really enjoy when a targeted ad is
         | spot on at showing me something that I would want. I can
         | sympathize with the idea that it is psychological warfare and I
         | think I'd rather pay for an ad-free experience over seeing
         | irrelevant ads.
        
       | mensetmanusman wrote:
       | I wish we had consent forms like this in regards to medical data.
       | 
       | There is so much to be learned and gained if people were more
       | sharing of aggregate data in this area.
        
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