[HN Gopher] The Divide Between Political Parties Is Smaller Than...
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       The Divide Between Political Parties Is Smaller Than We Think
        
       Author : undefined1
       Score  : 36 points
       Date   : 2021-02-03 21:58 UTC (1 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (behavioralscientist.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (behavioralscientist.org)
        
       | vmception wrote:
       | great graphs for that example
       | 
       | I've found the same thing because I neither deflect talking
       | points, nor do I immediately block people that don't match my
       | talking point
       | 
       | and then I make the cardinal sin of saying "both sides are doing
       | this" and that simply makes both sides dehumanize me
       | 
       | depolarize yourself kthx
        
       | eyelidlessness wrote:
       | This would be great news if everyone were invested in minimizing
       | polarization and detoxing the political conflicts that we're
       | facing. But that's not the case.
       | 
       | The biggest divide between the "parties" (which isn't political
       | in nature and has nothing to do with the very real and
       | significant differences between the parties) is that one sees
       | polarization as a tool and the other doesn't acknowledge that.
       | 
       | On Twitter, this has been exceedingly shorthanded into "tan
       | suit". One party is so invested in conflict that they invent it
       | by manufacturing a scandal out of a fashion choice. The other is
       | so invested in conflict avoidance that it pathologically refuses
       | to hold the first accountable for anything meaningful.
       | 
       | In other words the divide isn't political, it's about ambition
       | and shrewdness. This won't be overcome by finding common ground.
       | 
       | Edit: added a comma because it would've driven me nuts not to.
       | Also to add a reasonable disclaimer that I'm not philosophically
       | a member of either party, but I caucus/coalition with the one I
       | obviously perceive to not be fundamentally bellicose.
       | 
       | Edit 2: well since it needed clarification, I consider the
       | Republican Party to be the bellicose one and the Democratic Party
       | to be the spineless one.
        
         | witherk wrote:
         | Interesting, what are some things that you think democrats
         | could do to hold republicans accountable?
        
           | munk-a wrote:
           | I think Dems have an uphill battle to fight - media seems
           | strongly slanted against liberal policies as evidenced by the
           | lack of deficit spending being anywhere in the debate when
           | tax cuts were happening compared to deficit spending to
           | address the viral crisis. There are entrenched interests that
           | will put a lot of messaging toward suppressing discussions of
           | liberal policies.
        
           | leesalminen wrote:
           | Pretty sure it goes both ways ;). Which is perhaps why the
           | parent didn't specifically mention party names. The statement
           | is interchangeable for both parties.
           | 
           | Ps- I'm not a member of any political party.
        
             | jdub wrote:
             | It _doesn 't_ go both ways, and that's precisely the point
             | the original poster was trying to make. US parties do not
             | behave the same way. One has been festering extremism for
             | 60 years.
        
               | munk-a wrote:
               | The issue is that if you ask different people in the
               | country which party that "one" is - you'll get a fifty-
               | fifty split.
        
         | vkou wrote:
         | > is that _one_ sees polarization as a tool and the other
         | doesn't acknowledge that.
         | 
         | Which _one_? I 've seen this argument argued to hell and back
         | by people on both sides, and I feel that it misses a bit of
         | nuance.
         | 
         | My view is that both parties view this polarization as a tool,
         | but they polarize in very different ways, for very different
         | issues.
         | 
         | Mind you, by saying this, I am not _equating_ their behaviour.
         | I have very little patience for two-sideism.
        
         | munk-a wrote:
         | As long as users are watching, clicking or re-tweeting then
         | news companies will shout "Keep doing that thing!" I think
         | media companies mostly found out that these sorts of petty
         | debates were popular when they all starting trying to drag out
         | news to 24/7 and found that viewers "cared" more about the tan
         | suit discussion than anything else. But there is another big
         | factor, advertisers, making controversial statements on news
         | (or, god forbid, calling out a corporation that advertises with
         | your network) drives away ad revenue and works against the goal
         | of media corporations.
         | 
         | Everyone is a lot more comfortable chatting about suit color
         | than talking about poverty in our nation and having a complex
         | debate over how to siphon some of the excess wealth toward
         | addressing the issue. Copy-and-paste this for every other issue
         | that politics is utterly dropping the ball on these days.
        
           | vkou wrote:
           | > Everyone is a lot more comfortable chatting about suit
           | color than talking about poverty in our nation and having a
           | complex debate over how to siphon some of the excess wealth
           | toward addressing the issue.
           | 
           | I mean, about ~40% of the voter base, and about ~60-80% of
           | the political class does not believe that we need to have any
           | debate about siphoning excess wealth, because they do not
           | believe it should be done.
           | 
           | Why would they want to debate it, when they can instead talk
           | about literally anything else? When you are cheerleading for
           | the status quo, ignoring the issue makes it go away - at
           | least for another two or four years.
        
         | KingMachiavelli wrote:
         | You could post this as a satire and it would work as is. _Both_
         | sides see each other becoming more extreme  & polarizing. It
         | may not be apparent because it's very easy to ignore
         | sensationalism from your own side as sensationalist individuals
         | that don't reflect the party/group itself while sensationalism
         | from the otherside is endemic of that sides philosophy.
         | 
         | The 'right' ran something about the "tan suit" but I am also
         | sure I have read half a dozen articles about poorly fitting
         | suits and bad fake hair.
        
           | mikepurvis wrote:
           | But where is the left's QAnon? Where is the left's
           | birtherism? Where is the left's Marjorie Taylor Greene?
           | Election fraud claims that drag on for months, enabled by
           | major party players who see an opportunity and refuse to
           | clearly shut it down?
           | 
           |  _Of course_ the tan suit  "scandal" was trivial bullshit,
           | but that's the whole point, that that's the source material
           | that Fox News is working with to drum up this kind of
           | outrage-- the rest is pure fabrications. So it may well be
           | that both sides _see_ the other as extreme and polarizing,
           | but it 's important to not actually equate them, because that
           | is super unfair when one of the sides is in a state of denial
           | about basic reality.
        
         | BobbyJo wrote:
         | It appears to me completely differently, which I guess is
         | something else that feeds into the divide. I get the "they're
         | pitting us all against each other" thing from the people I know
         | I on both sides, and honestly I think they both have a point.
         | The fact that I can't tell which party is which in your story
         | makes believe this more so.
        
           | TheGrim-999 wrote:
           | Only one party has near complete control over mass media,
           | social media, and big tech. If you want to get a first
           | approximation of who's driving the "scandal", you should
           | pretty obviously look at the ones who control nearly every
           | piece of information you consume. The ones who spent every
           | second of every minute of every day for the last five years
           | straight finding some propaganda to use against Trump and the
           | other half of the country. The ones who are actively
           | censoring any opposition to their political ideology. The
           | ones who have redefined "democracy" to mean them getting
           | their way, and "the end of democracy" to mean any other
           | political ideas getting heard. Maybe you should start there,
           | with the ideology that controls every piece of information
           | you're allowed to consume.
           | 
           | Bring on the downvotes, censor me, anyone with different
           | political ideas than you deserves to be censored and removed
           | from society. Bring on democracy! You're not the ones causing
           | scandal, that's for sure.
        
             | munk-a wrote:
             | Please don't openly solicit down votes - it's a tactic that
             | has no place on hackernews and will end up getting you down
             | votes completely ignoring the rest of your statement.
        
             | Daho0n wrote:
             | How funny, I was 100% sure you meant the republicans but
             | then..
             | 
             | >finding some propaganda to use against Trump
             | 
             | Oh boy.
        
             | mattnewton wrote:
             | I don't think there is a political party who owns all the
             | media, there is media selling to the highest bidder. How
             | can that be with the incredible reach of Fox?
             | https://www.foxnews.com/media/fox-news-finishes-2020-as-
             | most...
             | 
             | If you're downvoted, it'll be because of asking for
             | downvotes and talking about censorship without evidence.
             | It's incredible to me that you cannot see right wing bias
             | as well as the left bias.
        
       | jdavis703 wrote:
       | While using a scale to measure divide on particular issues such
       | as open vs closed borders is interesting, the part about
       | "disliking" opposing partisans seems to be an inappropriate way
       | to measure political distance.
       | 
       | For example a Black Democrat voter probably thinks Republican
       | voters don't like her because she's Black, not because she's a
       | Democrat.
       | 
       | Regardless this shows there's room for compromise on certain hard
       | policy issues, but soft issues (i.e. the culture wars) requires
       | more nuanced study.
        
       | Daho0n wrote:
       | For the life of me I cannot see why this article is written in a
       | positive light. The result is pretty clear: Members of the two
       | parties hate each other less in reality than they think they do
       | and they are actually closer than they think.
       | 
       | "Hey you know what? The two only real options we have in an
       | election doesn't actually disagree as much as you'd think!" How
       | is that a good thing? With only two options they better be far
       | apart or those left-leaning on the right and those that are
       | right-leaning on the left starts to blend together and you have
       | one party in reality with two names and two outer wings that hate
       | each others guts. At least as one party they might work better
       | together (hah, okay sorry that was stupid).
        
       | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
       | I think a common reason behind this (and I've find myself doing
       | this) is that when the most extreme elements of _your_ preferred
       | party do something crazy and outlandish, you have a tendency to
       | push it aside and think  "that's only the fringe of my party",
       | but when you see it on the other side, you think "Anyone who
       | could even think of being on the same side as those nutjobs is
       | evil."
       | 
       | That is, most folks have a tendency to personify themselves with
       | the middle of their party, but personify those in the other party
       | as the extreme of that party.
        
         | neartheplain wrote:
         | "Too often, we judge other groups by their worst examples,
         | while judging ourselves by our best intentions."
         | 
         | https://time.com/4403510/george-w-bush-speech-dallas-shootin...
        
         | minikites wrote:
         | I don't disagree with this in abstract but I think the idea
         | that both sides have extreme elements that are in any way
         | comparable died on January 6th. There's a difference between
         | Bernie Sanders and Marjorie Taylor Greene, but a lot of people
         | don't see it that way because they're uncomfortable being in
         | the same group as Marjorie Taylor Greene. I think the
         | Republicans have a responsibility to address this and I don't
         | think the Democrats are in a similarly dire situation.
        
       | sxp wrote:
       | https://slatestarcodex.com/2014/05/12/weak-men-are-superweap...
       | is a long but good essay on this topic. Each Tribe judges the
       | other based the most extreme case. And the media hypes the
       | outliers for the sake of views. Only a small set of BLM
       | protesters were setting buildings on fire and only a small set of
       | Trump supporters were committing insurrection. But The media
       | tends to focus on these extreme parts of the spectrum so people
       | have distorted views about the behavior of the other side.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | lebrad wrote:
       | In 2000, Ralph Nader supporters called this idea "the two-headed
       | uniparty"
        
         | Daho0n wrote:
         | I hadn't head that before. How very fitting.
        
       | EEMac wrote:
       | This frustrates a LOT of people who want more political
       | difference expressed than the two parties exhibit.
        
       | harimau777 wrote:
       | The problem with articles like this is that what matters is how
       | people vote not what they say their policy preferences are.
        
         | munk-a wrote:
         | But people don't have freedom to vote as they'd like. Voting in
         | a two party system is reduced to a "which is worse" question.
         | If you're fiscally and socially liberal but feel very strongly
         | about preventing abortion you might end up holding your nose
         | while voting for the R candidate.
        
         | witherk wrote:
         | Great point. Measuring the divide between parties by the issue
         | positions their voters misses the more important things like
         | "would you rather your party try to hold onto power or admit
         | defeat" after an election.
        
       | Daho0n wrote:
       | I wish we had a tool, like the political compass, that those who
       | run for (re-)election had to fill out by law before they could
       | run. As it is now no one have any idea where different candidates
       | are on the political spectrum as all they do is talk in
       | soundbites and repeat their slogans over and over again.
        
       | orthecreedence wrote:
       | It's a perceived difference between two wings of the "capitalist
       | imperialist" party stoked by media outlets following the money by
       | realizing that people click more when they're outraged.
       | 
       | No, both parties are not the same if you're a centrist, but from
       | the fart left side of things, you definitely need your spectacles
       | on to see the difference. Granted, one faction tends to be on the
       | right side of history/civil rights a lot more.
       | 
       | If we're interested in real reconciliation within the current
       | system, I'd definitely advocate for state and nation-wide voter
       | reform. Some sort of proportional representation voting protocol
       | would allow people to pick representatives that argue on behalf
       | of maybe 50-80% of their beliefs, rather than 10-20% of their
       | beliefs. I know that when "my person" wins, I never feel like
       | they're going to particularly represent me or the people I care
       | about in any impactful way.
       | 
       | I think the perception that there are only two real choices
       | stokes the divide quite a bit, because being either _with us_ or
       | _against us_ is a lot easier when there are only two teams.
       | Breaking up the two party system with voter reform would be my #1
       | fix. That, and reversing Citizens United.
        
       | monocasa wrote:
       | Particularly ever since the New Democrats took over the party.
       | Their whole shtick was injecting a bunch of right wing policies
       | into the Democratic Party, under the idea that voters had shifted
       | to the right and the only way to win was to follow them. Clinton
       | made good on his promise to "end the welfare system as we know
       | it". Obamacare was an unashamed rewrite of Newt Gingich and The
       | Heritage Foundation's 1993/1994 HEART Act, all the way to the
       | individual mandate.
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Democrats
       | 
       | IMO a lot of the both party's issues right now stem from the fact
       | that Democrats have moved so far to the right that only the far
       | right positions differentiate a Republican from a mainline
       | Democrat opponent.
        
         | minikites wrote:
         | I think this is a great analysis. One factor I would add to
         | both your comment and about the political divide in general is
         | earmarks. Eliminating earmarks (political "pork" in bills)
         | seems like a great way to eliminate wasteful spending. Except
         | now we're in a situation where many of our representatives and
         | senators can't point to a new bridge and say "I'm the reason we
         | have that, now re-elect me" so they move to culture war issues
         | as a way to fire up the base. This effect, combined with
         | gerrymandering for House seats, means that the only thing many
         | politicians have to fear is a primary fight. In an effort to
         | avoid primary challengers, the Democrats and Republicans both
         | ran to the right, leaving us where we are now: Biden, a
         | Republican by 1960s standards, is painted as a "radical
         | socialist" against all evidence, because it turns out the base,
         | because there's literally nothing else for politicians to offer
         | to their constituents. I've heard rumblings that earmarks might
         | be coming back and I really hope they do.
        
         | adventured wrote:
         | The Republicans have moved very far to the left over the past
         | 30-40 years, from where they used to be.
         | 
         | Topics no longer up for serious discussion in the Republican
         | Party that used to be very common:
         | 
         | Doing away with Social Security / replacing SS. Getting rid of
         | Medicare and Medicaid, replacing them with entirely private
         | systems. The gold standard, going back to it. Cutting spending
         | (actually attempting to do it, not just paying rare lip service
         | to it). Getting more aggressive with the war on drugs.
         | Increasing punishment for crime, putting people into prison for
         | longer sentences.
         | 
         | It was George W Bush's administration that implemented the
         | successful Housing First program for homelessness assistance,
         | which would have been considered an exceptionally bad welfare
         | state program by the 1980s Republicans. Back then it would have
         | been considered to encourage homelessness, they would have said
         | it entrenches it.
         | 
         | Today's Republicans support rampant welfare give-aways in the
         | form of stimulus checks. That would have been considered a
         | crazy Socialist program universally by Republicans just as
         | recently as the early 1990s. Giving people checks during a
         | recession was unthinkable by Republicans as recently as 20
         | years ago (eg the 2001-2002 recession).
         | 
         | Trump - with wide Republican support - just implemented the
         | best criminal justice reform in US history. That would have
         | gotten near zero Republican support in the 1980s.
         | 
         | The Republicans in Reagan's time were very militantly against
         | gay marriage, and any form of sexuality being shown anywhere at
         | any time. In the early 1990s Murphy Brown - a fictional TV
         | character - deciding to raise a child on her own was a very
         | controversial matter among Republicans, so much so that Dan
         | Quayle made it a prominent issue. Republicans just 30 years ago
         | were radically more conservative than they are today and that's
         | putting it mildly.
         | 
         | Those same Reagan era Republicans were almost universally -
         | with very few exceptions - strongly in favor of the war on
         | drugs. Every other word out of their mouths was about how to
         | further criminalize drugs. Today the exact opposite is true,
         | very few Republicans are in favor of the war on drugs. Trump
         | just came and went and the Republicans barely lifted an eyebrow
         | at trying to roll back the positive momentum of drug
         | liberalization.
         | 
         | If people on the left think Republicans today are far right,
         | well, ha. They don't remember what Republicans were like back
         | then apparently. Today's average Republican is a centrist
         | Democrat circa the mid 1980s and early 1990s.
        
           | minikites wrote:
           | >Cutting spending (actually attempting to do it, not just
           | paying rare lip service to it).
           | 
           | When did this actually happen?
        
         | flamble wrote:
         | I agree with your point about the Democrats' disastrous
         | rightward slide but I don't think that the resulting problem is
         | that Republicans now struggle to distinguish themselves.
         | They're still the party of further tax cuts and deregulation,
         | even if the Democrats have become the party of the status quo
         | ante (or a "return to the Obama years"). I do agree, however,
         | that economics deeply receded in importance for a decade or
         | two.
         | 
         | But during that time, parties were quite content to focus their
         | message to voters on cultural issues: patriotism vs
         | multiculturalism, religious freedom vs tolerance, etc. The
         | problem that the Republicans had was that after decades of the
         | conservative media stoking their voters' rage to searing
         | intensity, Trump came along and gave the base what it wanted,
         | which was an end to the restraint and doublespeak, and
         | posturing / policy which produced as many "liberal tears" as
         | possible; politics as punishment. Now in the aftermath of his
         | presidency they have to figure out how to appeal to the mass of
         | their voters' who are still fiercely loyal to Trump while
         | continuing to serve the interests of their donors, who would
         | like someone more stable.
         | 
         | The Democrats, for their part, are trying to figure out how to
         | digest the left wing of their party and appeal to its voters
         | while spending as little as possible (see the $1400 vs $2000
         | debacle).
        
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       (page generated 2021-02-03 23:00 UTC)