[HN Gopher] Israel, Cyprus and Greece agree to link power grids ...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Israel, Cyprus and Greece agree to link power grids via subsea
       cable
        
       Author : awiesenhofer
       Score  : 387 points
       Date   : 2021-03-08 13:19 UTC (9 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.reuters.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.reuters.com)
        
       | Waterluvian wrote:
       | How do you sync phases? Do you just slightly slow one down until
       | they're aligned and then flip a breaker?
       | 
       | I'm sure it's more complex than this, if the case.
        
         | progre wrote:
         | It's DC so no phases to sync.
        
         | pjc50 wrote:
         | That is the traditional way of bringing generators into sync,
         | yes, but these links are nearly always DC links with inverters
         | at each end. The inverter will be digitally controlled to
         | distributed the DC power across the three phases in sync with
         | the grid. So the two AC grids do not have to be synced.
        
           | Waterluvian wrote:
           | Oh I see. That makes sense. But I always thought DC was a
           | pretty poor option for long distance transmission of power?
        
             | wl wrote:
             | AC runs into a problem with skin effect. At a certain
             | point, making conductors thicker won't make them handle
             | more current. DC doesn't have this problem.
             | 
             | Why AC? For a given power transmission line, higher voltage
             | will lower transmission loss. Historically, it was easier,
             | cheaper, and more efficient to get higher voltages with AC
             | using transformers. These days, DC is still more
             | complicated and expensive than AC, but the efficiency has
             | gone up and the price has gone down somewhat on the DC side
             | of things. And if grid synchronization is a problem and
             | you're transmitting a lot of power, the benefits might
             | outweigh the costs.
        
             | dlgeek wrote:
             | I could be wrong, I'm not an expert, but as I understand
             | it, DC's not inherently bad, it's just that you want a
             | higher voltage and traditionally that is much easier to do
             | with AC because you can use transformers to step up/step
             | down.
        
             | krastanov wrote:
             | It is the opposite, high voltage DC is much better for long
             | distance, because at such distances the powerlines
             | themselves start acting as inductors with relatively large
             | impedance.
        
               | gimmeThaBeet wrote:
               | Also, while the cable capacitance above ground usually
               | isn't negligible, it's definitely not when you talk about
               | underground.
        
               | krastanov wrote:
               | Silly question: can you arrange it so that the
               | capacitance and inductance cancels out?
        
           | throwaway894345 wrote:
           | Others have mentioned a ~5% loss for the cable transmission,
           | but what are the losses for converting to AC?
        
       | crmd wrote:
       | As a DC interconnect, does this mean their respective grids will
       | not be synchronized?
        
         | Ottolay wrote:
         | Yes. There would be no need to be synchronized if the
         | interconnect is only DC.
        
       | marshmallow_12 wrote:
       | Will lots of electricity be lost in transmission? Also, this
       | article is very scant on information, why is this project
       | mutually beneficial for Greece, Cyprus and Israel? I understand a
       | bit the other commenter who thinks it's in order to poke Turkey
       | in the eye.
        
         | siculars wrote:
         | Greece, Cyprus and Israel are natural allies in the geo
         | political oneupsmanship that is the middle east. Israel
         | provides the technology and protection to execute this
         | maneuver.
        
           | koheripbal wrote:
           | Since this is a counter to Turkish influence, it is a good
           | thing
        
           | RobertoG wrote:
           | I think you are underestimating greatly Greece military
           | capabilities with that comment.
        
             | ocschwar wrote:
             | Apples and oranges. It's been 2200 years since Jews and
             | Greeks last fought, and both sides aim to keep it that way.
             | 
             | Israel has 0 island-hopping capabilities compared to
             | Greece's ability to patrol its Aegean waters.
        
               | marshmallow_12 wrote:
               | Israel has a navy, and nuclear-fitted subs allegedly.
        
               | newsclues wrote:
               | Navy's aren't interchangeable.
               | 
               | Is real has many costal patrol ships and a few subs. The
               | Greeks have a navy suitable for their archipelago waters
        
               | ocschwar wrote:
               | Israel could do Greece a favor send some IDF forces to
               | play as the Turks and war game a land invasion on the
               | Thracian border. It would be a useful exercise for Greece
               | because Israel's infantry capabilities map closer to
               | Turkey's than to Greece's.
        
               | kuschku wrote:
               | Israel and Greece even use the same dieselhydroelectric
               | TKMS submarines (just Israel using a special larger
               | version with special features).
        
               | gorkemyurt wrote:
               | Outside of germany and poland most jews died in greece in
               | the Holocaust. Salonika had a vibrant jewish population
               | in early 1900s and now virtually no jews live in
               | Salonika. During ottoman times greeks and jews were
               | fierce enemies and killed each other in many occasions in
               | Istanbul, Smyrna, Alexandria and Salonika.. Jews, mostly
               | loyal to ottamans during the greek independence war were
               | punished (aka murdered) by the greek army in many
               | occasions.
        
               | elorant wrote:
               | _Outside of germany and poland most jews died in greece
               | in the Holocaust._
               | 
               | "Most" as a percentage, not an absolute number. There
               | were approximately 60.000 Jews who were murdered from
               | Greece which amounts for 87% of the total Jewish
               | population in the country. Hungary had some 500k loses,
               | Poland 3M, Romania at least 200k, Soviet Union 1,3M etc.
        
               | throwaway894345 wrote:
               | > It's been 2200 years since Jews and Greeks last fought
               | 
               | Which conflict was that?
        
               | ocschwar wrote:
               | the Maccabean Revolt.
        
               | TedDoesntTalk wrote:
               | Still celebrated today as part of the Jewish holiday
               | Hanukkah
        
             | siculars wrote:
             | No, I'm fairly confident in that comment. Any ranking of
             | military capabilities on virtually any dimension puts
             | Israel in a higher tier than Greece.
             | 
             | https://www.forbes.com/sites/dominicdudley/2018/02/26/ten-
             | st...
             | 
             | https://ceoworld.biz/2020/03/03/ranked-military-strength-
             | of-...
        
               | herodoturtle wrote:
               | > Any ranking of military capabilities on virtually any
               | dimension puts Israel in a higher tier than Greece.
               | 
               | Those rankings are accurate when looking through the lens
               | of "how many offensive resources do they have", but when
               | you say "on virtually any dimension" I think one needs to
               | also take geography into account.
               | 
               | For example Switzerland is also ranked well below Israel,
               | but good luck invading the Swiss on their home turf.
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | Switzerland isn't a great example; they're on friendly
               | enough terms with the EU their air force had 8-5 office
               | hours until a few years ago.
               | 
               | https://www.theguardian.com/world/shortcuts/2014/feb/19/s
               | wis...
               | 
               | Israel is... not in a comparable "surrounded by friendly
               | democracies" scenario.
        
               | mhh__ wrote:
               | The Swiss thing is a weird one because anyone who
               | actually wants to invade Switzerland is probably going to
               | be mad enough to just start bombing all the civilians
               | with nerve gas or similar. The Swiss air force for
               | example consists of some F-5s and some regular Hornets so
               | I wouldn't bet on them for long either.
        
         | _Microft wrote:
         | It is a high-voltage direct current transmission line, so I
         | would expect losses to be well below 5% per 1000km.
         | 
         | See also: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/High-
         | voltage_direct_current#Ad...
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | raverbashing wrote:
           | Yeah, DC is pretty much a need for under(salt)water, maybe
           | except for very short distances.
        
             | marshmallow_12 wrote:
             | Saltwater specifically, or just in practice?
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | I believe AC current creates magnetic interference that
               | is greatly magnified in water - causing "drag" on the
               | transmission if you will.
        
               | ncmncm wrote:
               | What it creates is induction currents in the surrounding
               | water, with dissolved ions being pulled this way and
               | that, against drag of the water, as the fields vary.
               | 
               | On DC lines, fields don't vary (much) so induce
               | negligibly little currents.
               | 
               | In fresh water, there are fewer dissolved ions, but not
               | none. Losses are less.
               | 
               | In perfectly pure water, small losses would come from
               | swinging water molecules to point this way and that.
               | Raindrops hanging on AC transmission line wires consume
               | negligible power.
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | I suppose that's what things like this [0] do?
               | 
               | [0] https://www.homedepot.com/p/Scalewatcher-Nano-
               | Electronic-Des...
        
               | ncmncm wrote:
               | Those purport to operate on the ions themselves,
               | supposedly to favor one kind of crystallization pattern
               | over others. In lab conditions, a permanent magnet is
               | said to work equally well, presumably interacting with
               | the ions as they flow past.
               | 
               | From what I have been able to determine, nobody has shown
               | that such a gadget works with any reliability. I.e., it
               | might work under certain circumstances, but there is no
               | way to know if your water and pipes match such a
               | circumstance without buying. And, the prices quoted seem
               | badly excessive. There is probably not more than $5 worth
               | of parts in there, if in fact there are _any_.
               | 
               | Personally, I would not buy one. You could experiment
               | with a permanent magnet, but it would be hard to know if
               | it was helping or making it worse.
               | 
               | A somewhat similar sort of gadget is supposed to actually
               | work, on diesel immediately before injection into truck
               | engine combustion chambers, to produce more complete
               | combustion.
        
               | gmueckl wrote:
               | Saltwater is a very poor dielectric between wires (it is
               | a high resistance conductor actually). An AC line would
               | have a low efficiency because the dissolved ions
               | transport a leak current between the wires. Around a DC
               | line, electric field just generates an ion gradient once
               | when powered on (and assuming the insulation doesn't
               | experience electrolysis).
               | 
               | Long AC lines in air also have a finite resistance
               | between wires, but it is much higher and not much of a
               | concern.
        
               | simonebrunozzi wrote:
               | Upvoted, and let me add: what a fantastic comment - deep
               | and clear and easy to grasp.
        
               | koheripbal wrote:
               | Does a long distance DC line even need a negative wire,
               | or can you just connect it to ground at the destination?
        
               | marcosdumay wrote:
               | The more conductive the surroundings of the cables, the
               | more losses you'll get by induction.
               | 
               | Fresh water is way worse than air, and salt water way
               | worse than fresh.
        
               | ziofill wrote:
               | worse as in more conductive
        
               | marcosdumay wrote:
               | Worse as in larger losses, that is the consequence of
               | more conductivity, so yeah, you can read it that way too.
        
             | cr1895 wrote:
             | For offshore wind farms, typically only very long export
             | cables are HVDC, or long interconnector cables. Inter-array
             | and export cables up to around 100km or so are AC.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | parsimo2010 wrote:
         | I expect the cables will be quite fat (physically) which
         | reduces their resistance. Also, by increasing the voltage, you
         | decrease the current for any given power, which decreases the
         | resistive losses. So yes, there will be some losses in
         | transmission (as is the case for literally all power
         | transmission methods), but engineers clearly consider this and
         | design around it.
        
           | toomuchtodo wrote:
           | HVDC cables are very efficient physically. Haven't dived into
           | this cable's details yet, but you can push 1.5GW over two
           | conductors roughly 5" in diameter each.
        
         | cblconfederate wrote:
         | The islands need connections to have a stable grid. Crete for
         | example has maxed out its capacity to produce from renewables
         | and needed new cables to export to the mainland. For this
         | reason it still runs an oil plant. Islands in general are a
         | very hard case for renewables.
         | 
         | The project that is meant to "poke turkey in the eye" is the
         | EuroMed gas pipeline which is a different project.
         | 
         | But to be fair, turkey is welcome to join both forums, although
         | this will probably mean that they will have to accept the
         | application of international law in their maritime borders
        
         | Someone wrote:
         | It enables trade in electricity between the countries.
         | 
         | Certainly with more and more power coming from renewables that
         | can't be switched on or off at will, that's a gain for all.
         | 
         | Also, as to the poking,
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electricity_Authority_of_Cypru...
         | says:
         | 
         |  _"In 2015, the EAC generated a total of 4,128 GWh of
         | electricity consuming 947,226 tonnes of fuel costing
         | EUR288,632,000. Maximum demand in the areas controlled by the
         | Republic of Cyprus reached 939 MW. A total of 2.0 GWh of the
         | produced electricity in 2015 valued EUR240,000 ended up in the
         | area occupied by Turkey and no money could be collected for
         | it."_
         | 
         | I guess that might stop once Cyprus can export power to the EU
         | (but I also wonder why they would produce such excessive
         | amounts of electricity. Could be to keep the peace, because
         | they promised the UN, or something similar?)
        
           | mordae wrote:
           | So the beaches of Iraklion won't smell like diesel anymore?
        
           | petertodd wrote:
           | About 36% of Cyprus by area has been occupied by Turkey since
           | 1974:
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turkish_invasion_of_Cyprus
           | 
           | The amount that couldn't be collected is less than 1% of the
           | total generation. So my guess is it's due to decades old
           | infrastructure where lines just happen to cross over to where
           | the dividing line ended up. Something similar happened in
           | Berlin, where two West Berlin train lines happened to pass
           | through East Berlin briefly, and were allowed to continue to
           | do so even after the wall went up:
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Berlin_U-Bahn
           | 
           | I can easily see the utility deciding that it's easier and
           | cheaper to just let a small bit of power get stolen than
           | incur the costs of changing that infrastructure, as well as
           | the PR costs of cutting off that power. Overall grid losses
           | are likely to be 5% or so anyway.
        
             | Someone wrote:
             | Oops. Misread that American comma thousands separator as a
             | decimal one, thinking it was close to 50%. That makes a
             | huge difference.
        
               | xxpor wrote:
               | * English language comma thousands separator
               | 
               | You'll never find . used as a thousands separator in the
               | UK, Australia or English-speaking Canada either.
        
           | magicalhippo wrote:
           | > Certainly with more and more power coming from renewables
           | that can't be switched on or off at will, that's a gain for
           | all.
           | 
           | Just today there was a story in the news here in Norway how
           | the windmills in Sweden is causing a massive price disparity
           | between north and south of Norway, due to lack of
           | transmission capability.
           | 
           | These days the price disparity can be over 50%, and Sweden is
           | planning to massively expand their windmill generation up
           | north.
           | 
           | [1]: https://www.nrk.no/urix/tror-svensk-vindkraftsatsing-
           | vil-gi-...
        
             | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
             | But I live in Texas and all my politicians tell me wind
             | turbines can't work in the cold! /s
        
       | zeristor wrote:
       | A depth of 2.7km, didn't the Mediterranean Sea dry out in one of
       | the recent ice ages, that must have been quite an interesting
       | place 2.7km below sea level, well maybe ~2.5km below sea level if
       | the sea level was quite a bit lower.
       | 
       | Much higher pressure, I imagine it would have been a desert too.
       | 
       | Wouldn't a higher partial pressure of Oxygen have opened quite a
       | few new evolutionary branches?
        
         | zeristor wrote:
         | Seemingly about 35% increase for 2500m
         | 
         | https://www.mide.com/air-pressure-at-altitude-calculator
        
       | btbuildem wrote:
       | Impressive agreement given the historical.. tensions between
       | these nations.
        
       | smt1 wrote:
       | Meanwhile, in Texas, there are very few high voltage (usually
       | called HVDC) interconnects between West Texas (where there is a
       | huge amount of wind and solar but it is variable), and
       | Colorado/New Mexico (where you can store a lot of potential
       | energy and excess electricity by using the Rockies). A lot of
       | this is due to the historical dominance of the oil/gas industry
       | in Texas politics.
       | 
       | Instead of building a lot of expensive batteries you can just use
       | a lot of pumped hydro or air, it would have saved the Texas grid.
        
       | IG_Semmelweiss wrote:
       | I read this headline, and thought....
       | 
       | How disappointing (and unsurprising) that Lebanon is not included
       | in this group.
       | 
       | That country has suffered so much recently, COVID, Economic
       | Depression, Bank Holiday, Syrian Refugee crisis, Explosions...
       | 
       | and yet their politicians can't seem to do 2+2. Horrible.
        
         | notsureaboutpg wrote:
         | Israel is the country with all the power in this deal. They
         | would never allow Lebanon in on this, especially while they
         | have elected Hezbollah party members in parliament (and growing
         | in popularity).
        
         | heywherelogingo wrote:
         | Bank holiday?
        
           | IG_Semmelweiss wrote:
           | its the most logical translation into english language of the
           | government-mandated action that closes bank depositor windows
           | at the start... or during a bank run... prior to a major
           | currency devaluation.
           | 
           | This is true at least in french, portuguese, and spanish.
           | 
           | I understand the problem that a "bank holiday" in the US is
           | actually used to identify a federal holiday.
           | 
           | I don't think this expression has been used a lot in recent
           | times (in anglo nations) since there hasn't been
           | hyperinflation in US, UK...but there is a record of such
           | expression :
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_United_States_(.
           | ..
        
             | gelert wrote:
             | The expression "Bank Holiday" is actually really common in
             | the UK - I would expect most brits to know it. We use it to
             | refer to a public holiday in which the banks are closed,
             | there are quite a few every year. It has very positive
             | connotations here.
        
       | Florence9899 wrote:
       | I'm naked here https://vk.cc/bZoVGs
        
       | MentallyRetired wrote:
       | Doesn't electricity have a limit on how far it can be pushed
       | through a wire? Looking for a little enlightenment on this topic.
        
         | MayeulC wrote:
         | Not really, that limit is only due to the wire resistance,
         | which goes down with wire thickness.
         | 
         | There will be a delay of course, which is the cable impedance
         | (inductance), mostly due to the speed of electricity not being
         | infinite in a conductor.
         | 
         | A bit like there is no limit for the length of a stick you can
         | push with your arm. There's only resistance if it's on the
         | ground (push it in space to visualize a superconductor). It
         | also has inertia (mass, which is inductance). And at longer
         | lengths, you won't see the end move before the movement you
         | impulsed has reached the end at ~the speed of sound in that
         | material.
         | 
         | Now, to go a bit into the details:
         | 
         | A/C can also exploit "skin effect" where a high frequency A/C
         | signal only travels on the outside of conductors. That way, you
         | can make thinner conductors (just coat regular cables in an
         | expensive conductor)... Up to a certain point, since if you
         | need to carry more power, you need extra large cables, hollow
         | ones, and/or multiple cables). That wastes part of the
         | conductor: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Skin_effect
         | 
         | With A/C, you can also use transformers, but not with D/C,
         | which has traditionally been an hindrance to high-voltage DC.
         | You have to generate alternative current, or use boost circuits
         | (basically charge a capacitor at constant current to increase
         | voltage). Cutting power in high-power A/C is simpler, since you
         | can do it when voltage crosses 0 V.
         | 
         | I'm not sure what the pros and cons of both are when it comes
         | to economics. It seems D/C is getting more affordable thanks to
         | semiconductors: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/High-
         | voltage_direct_current#Ad...
        
         | briffle wrote:
         | On the west coast of the US, we have a 3GW DC link between
         | Portland (actually, The Dalles, a few miles from google's first
         | datacenter) and Los Angeles. DC power transmission over long
         | distances has less loss, and only requires 2 wires. Its 850
         | miles (about 1350km)
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pacific_DC_Intertie
        
           | pkulak wrote:
           | We ship all this renewable power to LA, and yet more than
           | half my local (Portland) power makeup is coal.
        
             | asdff wrote:
             | Oh come one, that's small box thinking, you gotta look at
             | the big picture. LA has a larger electricity demand than
             | portland and it oscillates in a different pattern than
             | portland. In the summer, due to AC, LA needs more peak
             | capacity. However in the winter, the equation flips and now
             | Portland needs that capacity to heat homes. Keeping all
             | that hydro in washington to support the comparitively
             | teensy population of 650k in portland is a waste,
             | especially when demand is needed down south and not in the
             | north and vice versa; this line serves 3 million in LA and
             | represents half the LADWP peak capacity. I'd argue cutting
             | LA off would force more coal plants to open than what is
             | needed to electrify portland today.
        
               | pkulak wrote:
               | You misunderstood me a bit, though I was pretty vague. I
               | was just remarking on how we have enough local, renewable
               | power locally, and yet burn coal. We could easily get our
               | power from hydro AND send the majority to LA, but instead
               | we don't. Probably because LA is willing to pay so much
               | more for it.
        
               | dan_quixote wrote:
               | I don't know the political climate in Oregon about hydro,
               | but it's starting to turn a bit in Washington. Dams are
               | pretty awful for salmon and so much of our ecology is
               | salmon-based as well as the culture/livelihoods of Native
               | Americans.
               | 
               | The biggest story in recent years was the Elwha dam
               | removal. It's stunning to see how much the landscape has
               | changed since: https://therevelator.org/elwha-dam-
               | removal/
               | 
               | And a recent story about a Skagit river dam: https://www.
               | king5.com/article/news/investigations/seattles-s...
        
               | xxpor wrote:
               | I don't think anyone's seriously proposing getting rid of
               | any of the major electricity producing dams though, just
               | the minor old ones that are doing nothing of
               | significance.
        
               | asdff wrote:
               | In raw economics terms, the price LA pays is lower than
               | the cost of them opening their own coal plants, otherwise
               | they would do just that. Therefore, it is for some reason
               | cheaper to open a coal plant near portland (maybe closer
               | to the coal source) and run a wire down to LA, than it is
               | to come up with some other source of peak demand
               | electricity for those 3 million people in LA who rely on
               | this capacity. A private market does what is profitable,
               | ultimately.
               | 
               | Maybe if we had public utilities, however, we would
               | actually invest in 'unprofitable' nuclear energy and save
               | our planet in the process, since we wouldn't be beholden
               | to making shareholders a profit.
        
               | d4mi3n wrote:
               | Fantastic and valid points, though I think pkulak also
               | has a fair point in identifying that this big picture
               | setup negatively impacts folks in Portland via air
               | pollution and other side effects of more coal plants than
               | would otherwise be required.
        
               | asdff wrote:
               | On the other hand, that energy has to come from some
               | place and this set up negatively impacts someone no
               | matter where the coal plant is located. Maybe the coal
               | comes from the cascades and it makes more sense to put
               | the plant close to the source, rather than somewhere near
               | LA and have to freight in the coal from the mines and
               | deal with those externalities that might be worse than
               | simply running a wire to LA.
        
         | dan_quixote wrote:
         | Power loss is a function of current. So major transmission
         | lines use very high voltage to lower the current (and thus the
         | power loss). Of course, there are losses at the transformer(s)
         | the step the voltage up and down. Unsurprisingly, it's a very
         | use-case-dependent engineering problem.
        
         | pkulak wrote:
         | Not really. The higher the volts, the fewer amps and losses.
         | So, if you can just get the voltage high enough, there's really
         | no limit.
         | 
         | Not sure what the current highest volt transmissions are. Maybe
         | a couple million volts on some DC lines? But I think that's
         | good enough for hundreds, if not thousands, of miles of
         | efficient transmission.
        
       | sradman wrote:
       | Wow, I'd like to hear more about the _subsea cable_ [1]
       | technology used. In terms of economics and geopolitics, this
       | sounds like a win-win scenario. Perhaps necessity will force the
       | eastern Mediterranean to re-emerge as an economic powerhouse.
       | Southern Italy, Croatia, Turkey, and Egypt should pay attention.
       | 
       | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Submarine_power_cable
        
         | mschuster91 wrote:
         | > Perhaps necessity will force the eastern Mediterranean to re-
         | emerge as an economic powerhouse
         | 
         | As a half Croat: sorry, won't happen. Croatia's economy is
         | tourism dominated and will stay that way. There is a bit of
         | agriculture and industry (especially shipbuilding), but
         | _nowhere_ enough to compete with heavyweights such as Germany.
         | 
         | For those out of the loop: the Balkans have historically
         | suffered from brain drain - first during the Yugoslavia era
         | where many fled/emigrated from realcommunism, then during the
         | wars for obvious reasons, and now simply because Germany and
         | other EU nations pay _way_ better and those who don 't find
         | work in tourism find it elsewhere in Europe instead. Good luck
         | finding a nurse on the Balkans... Germany has to recruit from
         | the Philippines meanwhile.
         | 
         | The fact that Croatian (and other Balkan countries') politics
         | are extremely corrupt doesn't help much either, it's really
         | sad.
         | 
         | Regarding Southern Italy: similar situation re/ brain drain,
         | plus the added complexity of having to deal with the Mafiya.
         | 
         | Regarding Turkey: Turkey already _is_ an economic powerhorse
         | and a regional hard-power leader - the early Erdogan years
         | showed what Turkey is capable of. Unfortunately Erdogan turned
         | into Erdolf and investors are pretty much shying away from
         | Turkey as a result of the instability, not to mention that
         | Turkey is directly adjacent to the Syria cluster-fuck.
        
           | sradman wrote:
           | The geography of southern Italy, Croatia, and Greece place
           | all three at a disadvantage compared to continental nations
           | connected via road, rail, and canal. The Mediterranean is a
           | comparative advantage that can be leveraged. The natural
           | beauty that attracts tourism can help repatriate the talented
           | diasporas.
           | 
           | The question is whether brain drain, crime, and corruption
           | are due to incurable pathologies or symptoms of transient
           | disadvantages.
        
             | mschuster91 wrote:
             | > The Mediterranean is a comparative advantage that can be
             | leveraged.
             | 
             | How? There isn't much trade between Africa/Arabia and
             | Europe other than oil, some agricultural products and used
             | cars/outright waste.
             | 
             | > The natural beauty that attracts tourism can help
             | repatriate the talented diasporas.
             | 
             | That's already the case in Croatia, many pensioners who
             | worked in richer European countries retire back in Croatia
             | because they can "live like kings" from pensions that would
             | barely fetch a 1br micro apartment otherwise. For 500EUR
             | you can get a 75 m2 flat in the center of Rijeka - in
             | Munich that would be around 1500-2000EUR.
             | 
             | And those in working age... it's _rare_ for them to return
             | to their homelands for that reason.
             | 
             | > The question is whether brain drain, crime, and
             | corruption are due to incurable pathologies or symptoms of
             | transient disadvantages.
             | 
             | Neither, in my opinion. "Incurable pathologies" is
             | bordering on racism, but it aren't "transient" issues on
             | the other side. What's needed is _massive_ amounts of
             | wealth redistribution across Europe, combined with throwing
             | the whole lot of political elites into jail (and that 's
             | also sadly valid for Germany, just look at Andreas Scheuer
             | or the MPs who allegedly got huge kickbacks for anti-corona
             | masks).
             | 
             | Basically Europe would need something like what the US did
             | post-1945: a complete clean-up. Absent that, I'd also
             | accept a revolution of the masses, but that isn't on the
             | pipelines anywhere except in France...
        
               | sradman wrote:
               | How? Subsea power cables, optical fiber, and pipelines
               | (?). Midsize autonomous ships providing a cost effective
               | alternative to truck and rail transport. Promotion of
               | English as the lingua franca. Policies that attract new
               | talent and promote the free movement of goods and people
               | between new coastal charter cities. Partnering with
               | people in the same boat (or sea).
               | 
               | Adam Smith not only promoted specialization but also
               | extending the "reach" of trade. Politicians have the
               | power to ruin things but they only succeed when riding
               | the coat-tails of talented makers. I'd focus on promoting
               | the makers rather than punishing past ruiners. Nihilism
               | is never the answer.
        
             | idownvoted wrote:
             | I've long held the conviction that tourism is a toxic
             | sector. If it grows too large a share of GDP, so much
             | talent, money, and effort is sucked into tourism and away
             | from society which otherwise would have found better use
             | for it.
             | 
             | Who builds the next startup, starts a franchise chain or
             | scouts investors to build a new machine, if you can always
             | double your salary by serving rich foreigners?
        
               | bryanmgreen wrote:
               | It 100% is a toxic sector.
               | 
               | Hawaii's education suffers dramatically because the work
               | is all in tourism - this is firsthand knowledge from
               | teachers I know over there.
        
               | paganel wrote:
               | > I've long held the conviction that tourism is a toxic
               | sector.
               | 
               | It's sort of a Dutch disease [1]. I've seen it happening
               | from afar to Barcelona, which was on route to become what
               | Berlin now is in terms of IT/programming back in
               | ~2005-2006 but the ever increasing rent prices caused by
               | tourism put an end to that (plus the 2008-2010 crisis, of
               | course, which hit Spain especially hard). I had expected
               | the same thing to happen to Amsterdam, but it looks like
               | it managed to hold up better.
               | 
               | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dutch_disease
        
               | idownvoted wrote:
               | Barcelona: Particulary sad. As a tourist one could sense
               | the unworthiness of this proud city going thorugh this
               | transformation. From something that stood on its own feet
               | (rich, industrious history) and aimed at creating its own
               | future (there are still some tech-giants left - although
               | it feels like remnants of a once brighter outlook) into
               | something dependent on wealthy foreigners, whether it is
               | domestically unbearable rents or a battered public life
               | because of agressive hawkers at day and aggressive
               | thieves at night (which eye the tourists, but pollute the
               | place for the citizens as well). I remember somewhere in
               | the 2000s Barcelonians put out a map for visitors
               | (domestic and foreign) of what kinds of robberies/con
               | games to expect in what area. And then there was of
               | course this guy:
               | https://www.theguardian.com/cities/2015/aug/11/commuting-
               | fro...
        
               | mschuster91 wrote:
               | > I had expected the same thing to happen to Amsterdam,
               | but it looks like it managed to hold up better.
               | 
               | Well... many of the German tourists only come to
               | Amsterdam for smoking pot on a day or weekend trip, and
               | the French additionally for a night in the brothels since
               | sex work is banned in France, so all you need is a lot of
               | cheap hotels with beds, no stuff like beach resorts or
               | other... more high-class venues to deal with these
               | people.
               | 
               | Additionally, over the last years many of the "coffee
               | shops" (weed shops) have closed down - in the early 2000s
               | there were 280+ in Amsterdam, now there are 166. The
               | government wants to introduce a "weed pass" that's only
               | for Dutch citizens to further crack down on weed tourism:
               | https://www.tagesschau.de/ausland/corona-
               | coffeeshops-101.htm...
        
           | StavrosK wrote:
           | As a Greek, this is accurate, and Greece has the same brain
           | drain problems as well. All my university-educated friends
           | now live and work abroad.
        
             | mschuster91 wrote:
             | Another parallel between our countries is that we both have
             | "centrists" in power that are actually rather on the far-
             | right... well, that happens when all young and progressive
             | minds leave for greener fields. :(
        
               | StavrosK wrote:
               | Yep :/ Nothing is going to improve when none of the
               | people who want things to improve can bear to stay.
        
               | monoideism wrote:
               | You have two major political parties that have vied for
               | power since the war, and only one of those of is of the
               | right (HDZ).
               | 
               | And it has little to do with "progressive" minds, and
               | everything to do with opportunity. I personally have
               | known Croatians of all politics who have left the country
               | due to lack of opportunity, not because they were
               | progressive.
               | 
               | Also, leaving the country because of lack of opportunity
               | becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy.
        
             | egeozcan wrote:
             | Which is also correct for Turkey. I'm just a data-point,
             | but Facebook showed me that nearly everyone who can get a
             | job and a visa will leave and, IMHO, not just because of
             | Erdogan. He was the reason I left but I decided to stay in
             | Germany permanently for other reasons, and those other
             | reasons are probably more clear to others now even before
             | leaving the country.
             | 
             | Related: Turkey is not an economic powerhouse at all. You
             | can't have such a fragile economy and still be called that.
             | You think Erdogan keeps poking at sensitive matters because
             | he has power to do so? Those are just distractions.
        
       | vijayr02 wrote:
       | I wonder what the Turkish response to this is going to be?
       | 
       | As background:
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Northern_Cyprus
       | 
       | https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/may/20/turkey-insists...
        
         | siculars wrote:
         | Many articles in Turkish run media. But in reality? Not much.
        
         | mytailorisrich wrote:
         | There's no negative impact on Turkey apart from making it more
         | difficult for them to blockade Cyprus (which would be a highly
         | aggressive move, anyway)
        
           | baybal2 wrote:
           | They will have to acknowledge the territorial waters as
           | Greek, or go, and do something about it.
        
           | bszupnick wrote:
           | The "negative impact" is Cyprus being recognized as a
           | sovereign.
        
             | mytailorisrich wrote:
             | Cyprus is a member of the EU, it is recognised
             | internationally, it is a member of the UN... an electric
             | cable is nothing.
        
             | brmgb wrote:
             | Cyprus is a member of the EU and has been recognized as a
             | sovereign country by pretty much everyone already. The
             | northern part called the TRNC and under Turkish control
             | isn't however.
        
         | Denvercoder9 wrote:
         | Probably not too much. Turkey is already part of and
         | synchronized to the continental European grid. Connecting
         | Cyprus to it makes sense for them as well.
        
         | ulucs wrote:
         | It isn't even acknowledged in the news right now, so probably
         | nothing
        
         | iso1631 wrote:
         | Even if you were to believe that Northern Cyprus was an
         | independent country, or part of Turkey, this cable passes
         | through Israeli, Cypriot and Greek waters, to the south of the
         | island
        
           | tpoacher wrote:
           | This hasn't stopped Turkey from laying claim on oil reserves
           | found on the south side of the island. So why should this be
           | any different?
        
           | throwawayffffas wrote:
           | You can see the conflicting claims here,
           | https://www.sigmaturkey.com/energy-and-geopolitics-in-the-
           | ax...
           | 
           | Edit: It should be noted the article takes a pro-Turkish
           | stand, but it does demonstrate the conflicting claims.
        
       | WJW wrote:
       | Perhaps they should try and broker a peace with Israel like
       | Jordania and Egypt have done. Access to the power sharing
       | agreement could be an interesting bargaining chip for both
       | parties. There is a lot to gain for Lebanon (more stable power,
       | less expenses on the military) and also a lot of potential
       | benefits for Israel (less threat from the north, overland
       | (railway) transport possibilities to the European mainland).
       | 
       | (Yes, I know the influence of Hezbollah over Lebanese politics
       | makes this development unlikely. I'm just saying it would be a
       | good idea for both countries to get closer together. Source: I
       | used to be in the military and served as a UN military observer
       | in the region.)
        
         | Synaesthesia wrote:
         | Israel also needs to make peace with Lebanon, a country they
         | have invaded 5 times.
        
           | ocschwar wrote:
           | Lebanon issued the declaration of war. They can withdraw it
           | at any time. A declaration of war is an invitation to be
           | invaded.
        
           | WJW wrote:
           | As a (former) military officer I will refrain from commenting
           | on current foreign politics. I just observe that both
           | countries could gain a lot from the cessation of their
           | current conflict.
           | 
           | Which country actually initiates negotiations is not very
           | interesting, if you can even accurately determine the "start"
           | of any negotiation in this time of digital communications and
           | backchannel diplomacy.
        
             | eli_gottlieb wrote:
             | > As a (former) military officer I will refrain from
             | commenting on current foreign politics. I just observe that
             | both countries could gain a lot from the cessation of their
             | current conflict.
             | 
             | It would also be nice if Lebanon accepted the international
             | community's ruling that yes, the 2000 Israeli withdrawal
             | from Lebanon _really happened_ , and there is in fact no
             | remaining occupation of Lebanese land.
        
               | bjourne wrote:
               | Why should Lebanon accept rulings from the international
               | community when Israel has ignored almost every single one
               | since 1948?! The core of the issue is the 30 square
               | kilometers Shebaa Farms area which Israel occupied in
               | 1967. Syria and Lebanon claims that it is Lebanese
               | territory and Lebanon wants it back. Israel claims that
               | it was Syrian territory that it occupied and subsequently
               | annexed in 1980.
               | 
               | Regardless of whether the Shebaa Farms area is Syrian or
               | Lebanese territory, it clearly isn't Israeli territory.
               | https://pij.org/articles/9/understanding-the-shebaa-
               | farms-di...
        
               | eli_gottlieb wrote:
               | That sounds like rather much of a diversion from the
               | simple factual question of whether any _under
               | international law_ Lebanese land remains occupied by
               | Israel, to which the answer is a simple no.
        
           | marshmallow_12 wrote:
           | errr....
           | 
           | https://www.timesofisrael.com/rebuffed-by-lebanon-
           | israelis-s...
        
             | ceejayoz wrote:
             | This shouldn't be at all surprising.
             | 
             | The CIA did a fake vaccination program to find Bin Laden.
             | I'd probably look askance at offers of aid workers from a
             | country I'm technically at war with.
        
               | marshmallow_12 wrote:
               | People were up in arms that palestinians weren't offered
               | vaccines. If Israel doesn't give medical aid they are
               | devils, when they do, they really want to cause harm.
               | 
               | Come on.
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | Yes, millennia of feuding leads to mistrust, on both
               | sides.
               | 
               | It's unlikely to be solved anytime soon.
        
               | nivertech wrote:
               | millennia? more like since 1964 [1] ;)
               | 
               |  _The Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) [...] is an
               | organization founded in 1964 with the purpose of the
               | "liberation of Palestine" through armed struggle, with
               | much of its violence aimed at Israeli civilians._
               | 
               | Before that it was vanilla antisemitism, pogroms and
               | massacres organized by the local Muslims, no different
               | than how it was done in other places in the Middle East
               | (or other places in the world). Some even were Nazi
               | sympathizers/collaborators, like the Mufti of Jerusalem
               | [2].
               | 
               | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Palestine_Liberation_Or
               | ganizat...
               | 
               | [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amin_al-Husseini
        
               | hpcjoe wrote:
               | I wouldn't say millenia, but hundreds of years seems
               | appropriate[1][2][3][4] ....
               | 
               | The "resistance" didn't start with the PLO. They are only
               | the latest manifestation of a conflict going back
               | centuries. It didn't start in 1948, or 1964, etc. It
               | started long before that.
               | 
               | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1929_Hebron_massacre
               | 
               | [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1936%E2%80%931939_Arab_
               | revolt_...
               | 
               | [3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1517_Hebron_attacks
               | 
               | [4] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Hebron
               | 
               | ad nausem
        
               | nivertech wrote:
               | That's exactly what I wrote, so we're in agreement here.
               | 
               | Before 1964 it wasn't driven by a Palestinian national
               | aspirations, it was driven by religious
               | antisemitism/bigotry, and in a much lesser extent by pan-
               | Arabism.
               | 
               | There were many massacres of the Jews (including of women
               | and children) by the local Arabs. It wasn't something
               | specific to Israel, it happened with many minorities all
               | over the Middle East. My family has oral memories of one
               | such massacre.
               | 
               | But I wouldn't call massacres of the civilian minority
               | population - a "resistance".
        
               | hpcjoe wrote:
               | I should clarify that I was ironically using that word.
               | Basically the point is that this is part of a much larger
               | history, that has pretty much nothing whatsoever to do
               | with the formation of Israel.
               | 
               | Unfortunately, most of the people who've been tasked with
               | bringing the "conflict" to an end cannot seem to fathom,
               | or more importantly, actively choose to deny the
               | existence of these prior elements. As they would
               | completely undermine their (only) thesis.
               | 
               | Again, I hate giving Trump credit for stuff, but his
               | approach of "lets make deals with parties willing to make
               | deals, and ignore those who want to waste our time" has
               | opened doors. It would be a tremendous shame if we walked
               | backwards to the old (failed) peace processors viewpoint.
               | With the current administration, I'd say that was
               | inevitable.
               | 
               | Lebanon could benefit from this. So could the Pals. All
               | they have to do is stop trying to kill Israelis and
               | destroy Israel. I have little hope of this happening in
               | my lifetime.
        
               | jraby3 wrote:
               | There is a lot of confusion here. Israel is 25% Arab
               | (mostly Palestinian). All those Palestinians have full
               | medical care just like any other citizen of Israel.
               | 
               | Israel has now begun to vaccinate Palestinian workers
               | that commute from Gaza and the West Bank, and has also
               | donated vaccines (despite the Palestinian government
               | stating repeatedly they don't want help from Israel) to
               | Palestine.
        
               | KDJohnBrown wrote:
               | Very much similar to the Tuskegee experiment. When your
               | opressors experiment on you in the name of science it is
               | logical to distrust the science of your oppressor.
               | 
               | Would any Jew in 1950 have willingly taken a German
               | vaccine?
        
           | golemiprague wrote:
           | Israel has no problem making peace with Lebanon as there is
           | no land conflict there or anything. I guess also Christians
           | and Druze in Lebanon will be happy to do it. But how do you
           | convince the Shia and Sunnies to make peace I am not sure,
           | even though some of them probably don't want this artificial
           | conflict imposed on them by the more extreme factions
        
         | hpcjoe wrote:
         | Many things would need to fall in place for this to happen.
         | Since Hezb is a puppet of Iran, it is unlikely to allow this to
         | happen. If anything, I would suspect they (Hezb/Iran) are
         | planning on attacks against the infrastructure.
        
         | sgt wrote:
         | Yes, I think people need to just accept that Israel is a part
         | of the middle east and is not going anywhere. It's in
         | everyone's best interest to become friendly with Israel, and
         | that will help the neighboring countries prosper.
        
           | Daho0n wrote:
           | Is this a viewpoint special for Israel or does it also cover
           | other countries with, let's say, complicated politics?
           | Without comparing Russia, China, North Korea, Syria comes to
           | mind.
        
             | SpicyLemonZest wrote:
             | It also applies to those other countries. You can and
             | should offer harsh criticisms of a government when you
             | think they've done wrong, but eliminationist rhetoric is
             | pointless and self-destructive in the modern world.
        
             | slg wrote:
             | I don't really see those as directly comparable. The
             | problem most people have with the countries you listed is
             | the specific regime in power. Depose the leaders, have a
             | free election, and many of those complaints go away. The
             | problem that many people in neighboring countries have
             | traditionally had with Israel is its existence. You can't
             | change the Israeli government in a way to satisfy those
             | demands. It is more than just "complicated politics" for
             | them.
        
               | konart wrote:
               | >Depose the leaders, have a free election, and many of
               | those complaints go away.
               | 
               | I love when people oversimplify things like that.
        
               | slg wrote:
               | I thought it was obvious that I was both simplifying the
               | situation and talking about the long term repercussions.
               | I recognize that holding a national election tomorrow in
               | North Korea wouldn't result in any real improvement.
               | 
               | The important point is that Israel's problems are largely
               | detached from the flaws of its current leaders. Meanwhile
               | the problems in the listed countries are often created or
               | reinforced by their current or former leaders.
        
               | 8note wrote:
               | You certainly could swap out the regime from being a
               | Jewish state to being an Islamic state? Constitutional
               | change would solve that issue
        
               | mola wrote:
               | Yeah, well after the holocaust no jew will give up
               | sovreignity and rule so it can be a minority in an
               | islamic state.
        
               | slg wrote:
               | That wouldn't provide any real solution to the region's
               | political problems. Jewish people make up some 75% of the
               | country. The only way to turn Israel into an Islamic
               | state would be through conquest. The country would still
               | have Occupied Territories except the map would be
               | inverted.
        
               | eli_gottlieb wrote:
               | Yeah, I can't imagine why all of us Jews aren't voting
               | for the policy of an Islamic State in the Levant. That
               | platform has obviously never been tried before, certainly
               | not by the region's most disgustingly, genocidally evil
               | terrorist group, the Islamic State of Iraq and the
               | Levant.
        
             | grumple wrote:
             | No, it's not special for Israel. It makes sense for nations
             | to learn to live peacefully with their neighbors,
             | especially when those neighbors are vastly more powerful
             | than them.
             | 
             | But there's also a bit of a false equivalence here: Israel
             | is a true democracy, which ranks significantly higher on
             | lists of economic and individual freedoms than the nations
             | you just named. Israel also soundly beat Lebanon in several
             | wars, and Lebanon's conflict with Israel is rooted in
             | religious hatred - it's not like Lebanon is taking a moral
             | stand here. Hezbollah, which has run Lebanon for years, is
             | an Iran-supported extremist / religious / terrorist group.
        
               | maybelsyrup wrote:
               | > Israel is a true democracy
               | 
               | For whom? What does this even mean?
        
               | SpicyLemonZest wrote:
               | It contrasts with countries like China or Russia, where
               | voting does exist, but major government leaders can
               | ensure that they're always re-elected and their policies
               | are always enacted.
        
               | grumple wrote:
               | It means that all citizens (which includes many Arabs and
               | Muslims) can vote and those votes are binding and not
               | manipulated by fraud or threats of violence.
        
               | Daho0n wrote:
               | >which includes many Arabs and Muslims
               | 
               | Yes but not all of them which is the problem. Ask poor
               | Palestinians how democratic Israel is. It would be like
               | if the US made laws specifically to imprison masses of
               | black people and then say "we are a democracy, except for
               | those who have been in prison".
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | ethbr0 wrote:
               | True, yes. Functional, eh?
               | 
               | What # election are they on? Four in the last 2 years?
        
               | grumple wrote:
               | Seems better to have more elections than be stuck with
               | someone for 4 years without any chance of recall. How is
               | more elections worse than fewer?
        
               | vinay427 wrote:
               | I'm not sure it's clear that one is better than the other
               | in general. For instance, I would be wary of a snap
               | election after an event perceived as politically
               | significant (e.g. a declaration of war, a major terrorist
               | attack, etc.). Obviously, there can be benefits to
               | building a government or coalition as a response to this
               | sort of event, but it can also lead to transient or
               | reactionary politics. When circumstances permit, I much
               | prefer a more stable system such as a Switzerland-style
               | executive council or otherwise stable administration with
               | a fixed and limited term as long as there is sufficient
               | oversight to deal with neglect of duties, corruption or
               | incapacitation, etc.
        
               | crimper wrote:
               | I think this discussion is missing important facts: 1.
               | The current ruling government forced these elections 2.
               | the same prime minister was elected in all of these and
               | he could not compile a government due to lack of mandate
        
           | bjourne wrote:
           | Unfortunately, that is not the attitude that ended apartheid
           | in South Africa and it is not the attitude that will end the
           | Israeli apartheid system.
        
             | 2rsf wrote:
             | As an Israeli living abroad I am torn on this. Not that I
             | think Israel has South Africa level apartheid, but since
             | both Israel and the Palestinians are up to their chins in
             | the conflict and both wouldn't budge a millimetre a good
             | kick in the ass towards one of them could lead to somekind
             | of dialog.
             | 
             | As much as I disliked Trump and his actions in the area, at
             | least he did something out of the ordinary that could have
             | led to untying the mess. The latest "peace agreements" with
             | Arab countries are probably a result of this and might lead
             | to something in the future.
             | 
             | Unlike South Africa the level of religion extremism is too
             | high on both sides to allow a peaceful resolution of the
             | conflict.
        
               | marshmallow_12 wrote:
               | Zionism has minus nothing to do with religion, Religious
               | Zionists non withstanding. It is a popular misconception,
               | i think.
        
               | 2rsf wrote:
               | You are technically right, although currently it's a
               | mixed bag. Many cite religious as the reason for not
               | letting go of the land, others simple Zionism.
        
               | marshmallow_12 wrote:
               | As for letting go of the entire country, there is nowhere
               | else to go, as for giving the Palestinians what they
               | want, just look at the trouble Gaza alone is causing,
               | look how many innocent civilians (on both sides, mind)
               | Hamas has killed. I don't think for the majority of
               | Israelis it's ideological.
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | Can you clarify your definition of "Zionism"?
               | 
               | It seems to be widely defined as the establishment and
               | maintenance of an explicitly Jewish state.
        
               | mola wrote:
               | "Explicitly jewish" could be a democratic state with
               | jewish majority. And it could be a jewish minority ruling
               | over a non jewish majority.
               | 
               | Most Israel want the former. A hard core minority wants
               | the latter. The last few decades the latter set the tone
               | because the dovish side of the map hadn't propose a
               | viable course of action to change the status quo. The
               | moderate majority is too scared and it lost faith in
               | trying to reach a peace agreement again after the
               | violence the last try brought, And the "death to israel"
               | rhetoric of palestinian leaders.
               | 
               | So while the majority is pretty moderate, the perceived
               | lack of partner basically put in power an extreme right
               | minority. This might change as there's an undercurrent of
               | population change, where the new majority might be less
               | preoccupied with western values of democracy and citizen
               | rights.
        
               | slavak wrote:
               | That is correct, but Jewish in this context is an ethnic
               | group, not a religion. Much of the original Zionist
               | movement was comprised of secular Jews.
        
               | slavak wrote:
               | You're conceptually right, but the current right wing in
               | Israel is very much centered around the concept of a
               | united Israel rooted in Biblical reasoning.
               | 
               | Zionism might not be religious, but the political forces
               | that would prevent relinquishing territories in modern
               | day Israel very much are.
        
               | jariel wrote:
               | Trump's 'peace agreements' were mostly mutual defence
               | signals (re: Iran) that paradoxically make the 'real
               | issue' between Israel and West Bank even harder to solve.
               | 
               | Gulf states are more worried about Iran's intransigence
               | than they are about the rights of Palestinians and that's
               | where we are today.
        
               | 2rsf wrote:
               | Fifty something years of more or less the same type of
               | international efforts didn't really work, that's why I
               | think something extraordinary is needed.
               | 
               | Trump is not here anymore, but I don't think his efforts
               | actually made the situation harder to solve, this is a
               | misconception, they did push the Palestinians to a corner
               | and they lost some Arab support, but it could have led to
               | new negotiations where the Palestinians are pushed by
               | this reduced support and Israel is pushed by behind the
               | scenes threats from Trump to lose support.
               | 
               | The Palestinians nothing more than a play tool for other
               | Arab nations, not just the Gulf states. Even their close
               | neighbors, Lebanon, Jordan, Syria and Egypt, are not big
               | fans
        
               | jariel wrote:
               | So you're right I don't think Trump did anything to make
               | it so much harder - however - he had absolutely not one
               | iota of interest in helping to solve the Palestinian
               | problem.
               | 
               | Trump's 'big gamble' on N. Korea for example does not
               | apply to Israel in that way.
               | 
               | If anything Trump would 'end' the situation by caving to
               | pressure to declare the occupations 'legal territory of
               | Israel' or something along those lines.
               | 
               | I don't think he remotely understands the history or
               | cares, he'll take what some of his wealthy buddy
               | 'advisers' tell him about it.
               | 
               | I believe he would do it in a heartbeat in exchange for
               | guarantees for financing on construction of a few
               | buildings in NYC and Tel Aviv.
               | 
               | He is as corrupt as he can be within the law, he will
               | offer powerful people 'whatever' on a personal basis, in
               | exchange for some personal gain be it populist or
               | prospect of future deals.
               | 
               | FYI I don't think he had anything to gain on N. Korea but
               | some kind of accolade, it's the only situation that
               | didn't provide for considerably conflict of interest.
               | 
               | And yes, I agree that the Gulf States don't care that
               | much about the Palestinians, but they do at least a
               | little bit.
        
               | mola wrote:
               | You are wrong, because trump didn't push israel to do
               | anything. So the Palestinians got nothing, netanyahu
               | "proved" that being an asshile is how you get good deals.
               | 
               | And this situation get to fester while corrupting both
               | our people.
        
               | armenarmen wrote:
               | > Not that I think Israel has South Africa level
               | apartheid
               | 
               | What is Israel doing better than pre apartheid South
               | Africa? Or rather, what are the positive differences
               | between the two regimes?
        
               | mola wrote:
               | Arab(muslim/christian) citizens get full rights under
               | law, vote like any jew israeli. On the flip side, in the
               | occupied territories the Palestinians (arab
               | muslims/christians) don't get to vote, and are basically
               | under military occupation.
               | 
               | So Israel is (was) willing to give equal rights to any
               | one who accepts jews place in israel.
               | 
               | The last few decades are begining to erode this
               | willingness. And I fear we maybe slipping to full
               | apartheid.
        
               | vxNsr wrote:
               | Not that surprising though that someone who is trying to
               | form their own country won't get to vote in a country
               | which they don't recognize as having a right to exist and
               | don't want any part in.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | nailer wrote:
             | What do you mean? Literally every characteristic of South
             | African apartheid would be illegal under the Israeli
             | constitution.
        
               | mola wrote:
               | We don't have a constitution per se. We do have
               | "fundamental laws" protected by an independent supreme
               | court. The Israeli right wing is orchestrating a decades
               | long campaign to discredit the supreme court and make it
               | less independent. So who knows what the future will
               | bring.
        
               | throwaway210222 wrote:
               | Well, except for the bit about deliberately not
               | conscripting Arab citizens.
               | 
               | Apartheid South Africa also didn't give rifles to the
               | conscripted black Africans either and ask them to patrol
               | white cities.
               | 
               | For the same reasons.
        
               | eli_gottlieb wrote:
               | This is a fucking stupid take. Why the hell would we want
               | to force Arabs to fight each-other? Let them pay taxes
               | that fund the army and not have to shoot at their own
               | cousins. Conscripting them into civilian national service
               | is a good idea, though, and has broad support.
        
               | throwaway210222 wrote:
               | And, the very fact that you consider it OK to
               | *unilaterally* decide what level of conscripted service
               | is acceptable for other Israeli citizens is all the proof
               | you need.
               | 
               | Just keep them away from the guns.
               | 
               | Like South Africa.
        
               | eli_gottlieb wrote:
               | Unilaterally? You mean, by voting for a Parliament that
               | makes laws, the same as all other citizens? I don't see
               | any unilateralism there. The Joint Arab List is welcome
               | to put forth a bill to draft all the non-Jews like the
               | Jews -- I'll even demonstrate in support, if it's by
               | their own initiative. But God forbid, apparently, that I
               | should allow people their own choices.
               | 
               | Zionism Derangement Syndrome.
        
               | throwaway210222 wrote:
               | " You mean, by voting for a Parliament that makes laws,
               | the same as all other citizens? "
               | 
               | Nope: by not having a consitutuion that prevents any
               | parliament voted in by the majority from treating them
               | any differently than Jewish Israelis. Either in terms of
               | benefits or obligations.
               | 
               | Equals is well, equal. Completely or not at all.
        
               | marshmallow_12 wrote:
               | Are the Arab Israelis clamoring to get themselves blown
               | up by human-shield toting, radical extremists in Gaza? I
               | think not.
               | 
               | Also, simply not true;
               | https://www.ynetnews.com/article/rJVoNmyCP
        
               | throwaway210222 wrote:
               | Volunteers aren't conscripts. Surely you know this.
               | 
               | Non-apartheid-type governments _by definition_ do not
               | have laws that discriminate by race.
               | 
               | Both Apartheid South Africa and contemporary Israel had
               | and have laws explicitly preventing an emormous fraction
               | of their society from every getting near military
               | hardware.
               | 
               | Again, for the same reason.
               | 
               | I personally couldn't care, but the OP was falsely
               | stating that Israel had no race defined laws in common
               | with Apartheid South Africa.
               | 
               | [They have a few more in common, but this was one example
               | I chose].
        
               | nailer wrote:
               | You're arguing that the privilege of Arabs avoiding
               | military service proves the Israeli government
               | discriminates /against/ Arab citizens. If that's your
               | strongest argument then I'm quite happy.
        
               | throwaway210222 wrote:
               | So why then put the extra burden of defending Israel on
               | just the Jews? An act of unsolicted kindness?
               | 
               | Unless of course Israeli jews really, really, really want
               | to avoid training generation after generation after
               | generation of Arabs citizens in IDF tactics and
               | technology. Every year, year-in, year-out.
               | 
               | Clearly not trusting people is very obviously a form of
               | government sanctioned discrimination.
               | 
               | Which again, is also why Apartheid South Africa also
               | didn't feel comfortable handing millions of young Zulu
               | men (ironically) Israeli designed R4 automatic weapons.
               | 
               | Peas, pods.
        
               | stale2002 wrote:
               | The point though, is that it is weird to bring up a
               | situation where arabs are being discriminated in favor
               | of, as some sort of killer argument as for why israel is
               | discriminating against Arabs.
               | 
               | It undermines the argument.
               | 
               | Use a different one if you want to make that argument,
               | because that one is bad.
        
               | throwaway210222 wrote:
               | Because, they aren't being discriminated in their favour
               | (except in the most immediate sense).
               | 
               | Rather, like Apartheid South Africa, Arab Israelis are
               | being very, very clearly told that they cannot be TRUSTED
               | in bulk with something like assault rifles in the
               | presense of Jewish citizens.
               | 
               | Apartheid was not merely Jim Crow type laws - it was
               | existential.
               | 
               | I deliberately chose these laws because they get to the
               | heart of what an Apartheid state is.
        
               | stale2002 wrote:
               | > Because, they aren't being discriminated in their
               | favour
               | 
               | On that specific point they are being discriminated in
               | favor of, though. Please show the specific harm, of how
               | not forcing someone to join the military but still
               | allowing them to if they want, is harm, if you disagree.
               | 
               | If you have other examples of them being discriminated
               | against, just use those.
               | 
               | > they cannot be TRUSTED
               | 
               | They are allowed to volunteer if they want. They aren't
               | being prevented from joining. Instead they are only not
               | being forced to, which is discrimination in favor of the
               | people who are not forced to join.
               | 
               | You need to show an actual specific law that harms them,
               | to support your argument. Not forcing people to join the
               | military is a benefit, not a drawback.
               | 
               | There are basically no circumstances, where not forcing
               | someone to join the military, is a drawback.
        
               | mola wrote:
               | There are non jewish israelis in the IDF. Mostly
               | Muslim...
        
               | nailer wrote:
               | Edit: looks like the parent didn't even bother much
               | research - Arabs aren't forced to do military service but
               | they're welcome to do so:
               | 
               | > National service is compulsory in Israel, with some
               | exemptions -- three years for men and two years for
               | women. This rule also applies to the country's non-Jewish
               | Druze and Circassian communities.
               | 
               | > Muslim Bedouins, who tend to identify more as Israeli
               | than other Arabs, and Christian Arabs can voluntarily
               | sign up and each minority is represented by a couple of
               | hundred members of the armed forces.
               | 
               | https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/arab-israelis-are-
               | joining...
        
               | throwaway210222 wrote:
               | "Arabs aren't forced to do military service but they're
               | welcome to do so"
               | 
               | Exactly the same situation in Apartheid South Africa.
               | There were whole battalions of volunteer black soldiers.
               | Hell, after 1981 there were even black commissioned
               | officers.
               | 
               | But under no circumstances where they arming and training
               | the 'enemy' wholesale - as you said before your edit 'to
               | protect THEIR people'. (Telling choice of words there).
               | 
               | You keep making my case for me.
        
               | mola wrote:
               | South africa also had water pipes, so your country is an
               | apartheid country. See? This is silly.
               | 
               | Israel is in a tough situation where there are civilians
               | with relative who swear they want to kill al jews. Israel
               | tries to be fair in this scenario.
               | 
               | A matter of fact is, non jews can vote, join the police
               | the army and the country has laws that gives non jews the
               | same rights as jews. There are scholarship for non jews,
               | and even programs to make sure they are getting to be
               | doctors lawyers etc.
               | 
               | Heck, there are non jewish judges (in the supreme
               | court!), parliament members, and government ministers.
               | 
               | The situation is far from normal or sane, But this is
               | very different than what the situation in SA was.
               | 
               | Now, all of this might change, as there are very dark
               | forces that through the political situation in israel are
               | trying to change israel from being a liberal democracy
               | (at least striving to be) to become a
               | theocracy/ethnocracy.
               | 
               | If they succeed, you might be right in calling israel an
               | apartheid state.
        
               | marshmallow_12 wrote:
               | i'm genuinely curious. What is the precise nature of
               | these "Dark Forces" and who are the powers driving them?
        
               | detcader wrote:
               | I would suggest one Google "hasbara."
        
               | slavak wrote:
               | Arab citizens are very much allowed to volunteer for
               | military service and are given access to the same kind of
               | weapons as any other soldier:
               | https://www.ynetnews.com/article/rJVoNmyCP
               | 
               | It's true they are exempted from the draft, but I don't
               | quite see how that constitutes discrimination _against_
               | them.
        
             | marcosdumay wrote:
             | How much of the influence to end the apartheid at South
             | Africa was internal, how much was local, and how much was
             | global?
             | 
             | I really don't know the answer to that. It's hard to say
             | what kind of influence will work on the Israel apartheid,
             | but a declared ongoing external war makes a strong
             | impression that is an influence on the wrong direction.
        
               | bjourne wrote:
               | I don't know that. Economic historians and others have to
               | figure out exactly what caused the end of South Africa's
               | apartheid system (my layman's guess is that it was a
               | combination of multiple factors).
               | 
               | What I do know is that black South Africans begged us not
               | to do business with their country until apartheid was
               | abolished. Many of us (and even the US in the end)
               | obliged and cut ties with South Africa. Palestinians are
               | similarly begging us not to do business with Israel over
               | similar human rights violations. We did (eventually) heed
               | the black South Africans' call, so why can't we today
               | heed the Palestinians' call?
        
               | ars wrote:
               | You have got to be kidding me. You think lack of peace
               | with Palestinians is because of Israel?
               | 
               | Do you have any idea how mean peace treaties Israel
               | offered the Palestinians, and Palestinians rejected every
               | single one?
               | 
               | If there's anyone you should be pressuring it's
               | Palestinians, but no, instead you are painting Israel
               | with some false apartheid label, and imagining it's
               | Israel that's bad over here.
               | 
               | Israel is signing peace treaties with Arab countries
               | right and left, and Palestinians can't even make peace
               | between Hamas and Fatah.
               | 
               | Your boycott is very misdirected.
        
               | dleslie wrote:
               | Have any of those treaties offered full and unconditional
               | return of the occupied territories, along with full state
               | independence?
        
               | ars wrote:
               | Yes, most of them. The amount of land offered varied.
               | 
               | In particular check the Olmert peace offer from 2008
               | which offered Palestinians basically every single thing
               | they wanted - but they refused it anyway (apparently
               | because Abbas was too weak politically to make it happen,
               | and Olmert did not want to go public without assurances
               | from Abbas that it would actually happen).
               | 
               | (Not sure about the unconditional part though - why in
               | the world would it be unconditional?)
        
               | dleslie wrote:
               | Land provided with conditional use is not sovereign land.
               | If the palestinians must continue to defer to israeli
               | conditions on use then the land hasn't truly been
               | returned.
               | 
               | The Olmert offering required the large settlements
               | remain, which is an obvious non-starter.
        
               | vkou wrote:
               | Or, alternatively, integration as equals?
        
               | dleslie wrote:
               | Pressure from the commonwealth, particularly from Canada,
               | was an enormous factor in ending apartheid.
        
             | secfirstmd wrote:
             | True. Peace has been on the table for two decades but the
             | expansion of settlements makes it very very difficult to
             | deliver any kind of contiguous Palestinian State. Imagine
             | trying to turn this map into a two state solution
             | https://www.btselem.org/map.
        
               | jraby3 wrote:
               | In the past two decades Israel has given back complete
               | control of Gaza to the Palestinians. They had one
               | election 15 years ago. Hamas won on a campaign of
               | abolishing Israel ("from the river to the sea..."). They
               | proceeded to shoot thousands of rockets into major
               | Israeli population centers - rockets that couldn't have
               | reached had Israel not given back Gaza.
               | 
               | While I don't at all agree with the settlements, the
               | truth is that's a lightening rod point and the actual
               | amount of land is a drop in the bucket. Israel has always
               | been willing to trade land for peace. But both parties
               | must want peace.
        
               | throwaway210222 wrote:
               | "In the past two decades Israel has given back complete
               | control of Gaza to the Palestinians."
               | 
               | Bollocks - there is a complete naval blockade.
               | 
               | [Before the _Hasbarati_ downvote me - I truly couldn 't
               | care whether is a good or bad thing, but HN is for
               | facts].
        
               | yerwhat01010 wrote:
               | To those who would like to learn more, GP is referring to
               | the Israeli disengagement from the Gaza Strip, which, to
               | quote Wikipedia, "was the unilateral dismantling in 2005
               | of the 21 Israeli settlements in the Gaza Strip and the
               | evacuation of the settlers and Israeli army from inside
               | the Gaza Strip." [0]
               | 
               | But did Israel give back "complete control of Gaza"?
               | Here's another Wikipedia quote: "Israel maintains direct
               | external control over Gaza and indirect control over life
               | within Gaza: it controls Gaza's air and maritime space,
               | and six of Gaza's seven land crossings. It reserves the
               | right to enter Gaza at will with its military and
               | maintains a no-go buffer zone within the Gaza territory.
               | Gaza is dependent on Israel for its water, electricity,
               | telecommunications, and other utilities." [1]
               | 
               | My own opinion on the matter is not contained within this
               | post; just providing some more facts for the interested.
               | 
               | [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israeli_disengagement_f
               | rom_Gaz... [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gaza_Strip
        
             | yerwhat01010 wrote:
             | I saw "Israel" in the title of this post and immediately
             | thought "there is going to be a lengthy discussion in the
             | comments, irrelevant to the subject of the post, where
             | people argue about politics." Scrolled down, wasn't
             | disappointed.
        
             | whearyou wrote:
             | Please be considerate in how you phrase the apartheid
             | comparison. Many, myself include, feel it reeks of anti-
             | semitism.
             | 
             | I also don't think this is a helpful way of phrasing your
             | point that we should consider the downstream carrots and
             | sticks of our positions.
        
               | notsureaboutpg wrote:
               | Well anyone who ever visited the Israeli Palestinian
               | border or ever had to go through a border crossing
               | security check would see how obviously it is apartheid.
               | 
               | I'm sorry it hurts your feelings but real people are
               | losing their homes and livelihoods every day to ever
               | increasing Israeli settlement.
        
               | whearyou wrote:
               | I've visited it numerous times. The label on it doesn't
               | make it ok or not.
               | 
               | The issue is the circumstances there don't meet the
               | factual criterion of apartheid. That's not a question of
               | feelings. The fact the apartheid label is applied here
               | while it is not emphasized or even applied to non-Jewish
               | countries is a double standard. That fits the definition
               | of anti-semitism.
        
               | notsureaboutpg wrote:
               | They do meet the factual definition whether you like it
               | or not.
               | 
               | If I'm Palestinian, I live my life completely according
               | to the rules of Israel (because of the blockade and
               | checkpoints and control of the territory). As a
               | Palestinian, I also cannot vote in Israel and will never
               | be granted the ability to vote in Israel, in order to
               | preserve the ethnic majority of Israel. As a Palestinian
               | I can also have my home taken away from me to make room
               | for Israeli settlers.
               | 
               | That's apartheid.
        
               | bjourne wrote:
               | I'm sorry that you feel that way. But "apartheid" is the
               | nomenclature adopted by well-known human rights
               | organizations, (https://www.btselem.org/publications/full
               | text/202101_this_is...), by the Palestinians themselves
               | (https://bdsmovement.net/apartheid-free-zones), and by
               | one of my personal heroes, Desmond Tutu
               | (http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/1957644.stm) to
               | describe Israel. I have also visited the West Bank many
               | times and what I saw with my own eyes suggests to me that
               | the apartheid-label absolutely fits.
               | 
               | The point of calling Israel an apartheid state is of
               | course not to claim that Israel is _identical_ to what
               | South Africa was. The point is to emphasize that it is
               | the same racist and supremacist ideology that permeates
               | both systems. In South Africa, you had white people
               | (Boers) dominating and oppressing colored people. In
               | Israel and the occupied Palestinian territories, you have
               | Jews dominating and oppressing Palestinians.
        
               | dagav wrote:
               | The Palestinians agreed in the Oslo Accords t govern
               | themselves. They don't vote in Israeli elections, and
               | Israelis don't vote in their elections (if they had any).
        
               | fortran77 wrote:
               | We get it. You don't like Jews. But what does this have
               | to do with power transmission lines?
        
           | jariel wrote:
           | "in everyone's best interest to become friendly with Israel"
           | 
           | Said the Arabs in the West Bank?
           | 
           | We can't use the argument that 'Israel has a right to exist'
           | (ok) to dismiss the illegality of the occupied territories
           | (not ok).
           | 
           | Hezbollah exists for this historical reason. (Edit: people
           | flinching at this comment, I meant to imply 'partly for this
           | reason', i.e. in the context the overall conflict and brought
           | them up because the article is about Lebanon. Of course
           | Hezbollah is not primarily about Palestenians)
           | 
           | So yes 'let's make peace' but that would involve something
           | like a two state solution or whatever.
           | 
           | I have a funny feeling that Israel is maybe paying for most
           | of this cable, and that Greece is getting the added benefit
           | of 'it's side' of Cypress getting a big win. Israel has a lot
           | to gain from a geostrategic perspective from this whereas
           | Cypress is too small and Greece doesn't have enough money for
           | this to be a top line item.
        
             | dragonwriter wrote:
             | > Hezbollah exists for this historical reason.
             | 
             | That's true for the PLO, Hamas, Islamic Jihad, etc., but
             | not Hezbollah, which responds to Israel's periodic
             | occupations of South Lebanon, not their occupation of
             | Palestine.
        
             | mariksolo wrote:
             | Hezbollah isn't the PLO, they were formed out of Shia
             | militia groups from Lebanon's previous civil wars, not to
             | help the Palestinians.
             | 
             | Lebanon absolutely does not have the Palestinians rights in
             | mind. They have "refugee camps" with tens of thousands of
             | people in them that they have been kept there since the
             | 1950's and 1960's, and haven't given them citizenship.
             | 
             | How come you're so concerned about other countries making
             | peace with Israel, but not concerned with countries making
             | peace with Lebanon?
        
               | jariel wrote:
               | "How come you're so concerned about other countries
               | making peace with Israel, "
               | 
               | I'm not concerned with any nation making peace with the
               | next because mostly they have a pragmatic peace.
               | 
               | The 'concern' is the ongoing incursion into the occupied
               | territories, against all international condemnation and
               | the duplicity of US actions i.e. technically declaring
               | the occupation illegal while literally at the same time
               | moving embassies etc..
               | 
               | The legitimacy of the Jews right to a homeland and their
               | problems derived from nearby enemies is constantly used
               | as cover for their other actions.
               | 
               | Zionism is not supposed to be Apartheid, but in pragmatic
               | reality, it is.
               | 
               | That there are not sanctions against Israel is a
               | testament to it's far reaching influence.
        
             | slavak wrote:
             | Hezbollah does not exist to fight for Palestinians. It was
             | created to resist Israeli presence in South Lebanon, which
             | in itself was a response to PLO attacks on Israeli
             | territory launched from within Lebanon (e.g.:
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coastal_Road_massacre).
             | 
             | Any rhetoric by Hezbollah leaders to the contrary is just
             | that, plus an excuse to maintain relevance following
             | Israel's withdrawal from South Lebanon. After all, why
             | maintain an extra-legal paramilitary force after it has
             | successfully achieved the goal it was created for?
        
           | Robotbeat wrote:
           | I think this is true, but I wonder why this olive branch of
           | "right to exist" doesn't also extend to the Palestinian
           | government? Maybe the Palestinians need a stronger military
           | force to establish their right to exist?
        
             | mola wrote:
             | In the 90s, There was a majority of Israelis willing to
             | give the Palestinians a state and recognition for peace and
             | recognition. This was met with packed buses being blown
             | away in major cities by palestinian extrimists during
             | negotiations.
             | 
             | This allowed Israeli extremists to take the reigns, and
             | after three decades of hegemony managed to convince most of
             | the Israeli population that peace is a dangerous pipe dream
             | and any sort of compromise will be met with violence. And
             | to establish facts on the ground which would make a
             | palestinian state practically impossible without rooting
             | out masses of Israelis from their home by force.
             | 
             | The Israeli left kept warning of this scenario, because the
             | end game is either a non democratic jewish state, or a
             | civil war torn single state. This cost the traditional
             | Israeli left (the labor party) to be almost electorally
             | eliminated during these 3 decades. Now the hegemony opinion
             | is that no peace is possible, and the Palestinians are to
             | be basically ignored.
        
               | Robotbeat wrote:
               | Yeah, I have no idea what the answer is. But if the
               | Palestinians somehow all of a sudden had a massive (and
               | well-organized) military, they couldn't be ignored and
               | settlers would see it in their interest to leave
               | voluntarily. Then maybe peace could happen. The asymmetry
               | of the military situation means that one side is
               | desperate and the other side sees no reason to
               | compromise, and therefore you have a low level conflict
               | forever which is not actually good for anyone.
        
               | hpcjoe wrote:
               | They are ignored as they've proven again and again that
               | their words are not worth the paper that they sign, that
               | they cannot be trusted. That they are as corrupt as an
               | entity could be. That they are unwilling to make hard
               | compromises ... nay ... any compromise whatsoever. Even
               | when compromise enables them to declare "victory" and
               | free their people from a lifetime of violence.
               | 
               | The conflict will continue until one side realizes that
               | it has been utterly defeated. This hasn't happened yet.
               | They have been defeated. They just don't want to admit
               | it.
        
               | Robotbeat wrote:
               | This seems like it could be applied in either direction.
        
               | [deleted]
        
             | elcritch wrote:
             | Note Palestinian's situation isn't just due to Israel.
             | Neither Egypt nor Jordan really "want" Palestinians either.
             | Palestinians refugees in Jordan often face as bad or worse
             | discrimination as those in Israel. Egypt could welcome the
             | people of Gaza but don't either. In contrast after Israel
             | declared itself independent most Arab states in the
             | Mediterranean ejected their historical Jewish inhabitants
             | (roughly equal to the number of Palestinians at the time),
             | and the state of Israel accepted them (it had incentives
             | too to do so). But in short it's a much more complicated
             | issue than just having a stronger military and Palestinians
             | are victims of more than just one state or political
             | expediency.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | eli_gottlieb wrote:
               | Palestinians are victims of an imperialist pan-Arab
               | politics that sees the removal of non-Arab sovereignty
               | from the region as fundamentally more important than
               | ensuring democracy, civil rights, or economic development
               | for all Arabs within Arab nations.
        
             | js2 wrote:
             | > I wonder why this olive branch of "right to exist"
             | doesn't also extend to the Palestinian government?
             | 
             | The right of a homeland for the Palestinians has been
             | recognized since before Israel was even granted statehood
             | by the U.N as part of the two-state solution.
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Two-state_solution
             | 
             | The PA has been recognized since the Oslo accords in 1995.
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Palestinian_National_Authorit
             | y
             | 
             | Hamas in the Gaza strip is not recognized by Israel and its
             | allies, but Hamas does not recognize Israel's right to
             | exist:
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hamas_Covenant
        
             | mongol wrote:
             | The assassination of Yitzhak Rabin is said to have been the
             | most successful political assassination in history. It
             | changed the tide for real, in the way that the assassin
             | strived for.
        
             | whearyou wrote:
             | They spent a decade blowing up Israelis in schoolyards and
             | cafes. I don't think more violence is their path to
             | freedom.
        
               | Robotbeat wrote:
               | I've always thought that hitting soft targets was a sign
               | of weakness and desperation. So your point doesn't seem
               | to contradict mine.
        
               | whearyou wrote:
               | No, not really. You're suggesting more capability for
               | violence will secure their freedom. I'm noting the
               | observation of facts at hand suggest the opposite.
        
               | Robotbeat wrote:
               | Does that mean reducing the Israeli military would also
               | help?
               | 
               | The goal is for both the Israeli and Palestinian states
               | to exist and for there to be peace. An Israeli hegemony
               | over the Palestinian state, with settlers and all,
               | certainly doesn't help that, and it may be a rational
               | goal of the Palestinian state to become too much of a
               | nuisance to be ignored. If peace means subjugation, I
               | think many Palestinians probably wouldn't be okay with
               | that. The Palestinians are seeing a lot of "might makes
               | right" arguments right now about why they should just
               | accept subjugation.
        
               | stale2002 wrote:
               | Nobody said anything about what is "right".
               | 
               | Instead, the argument is that the observable fact is that
               | continued violence has not helped the palestinian cause.
               | 
               | It simply has not worked.
               | 
               | That's not a moral statement. It is simply the
               | descriptive truth that violence for decades has not
               | helped their cause, and therefore it probably won't in
               | the future.
        
               | Robotbeat wrote:
               | But the violence by the Israeli military DOES seem to
               | have worked! Israel exists and no serious person doubts
               | that Israel will continue to exist for quite a while
               | because of it. So why would violence help one side more
               | than the other? Probably because one side is much more
               | powerful than the other. Hence my asking about whether a
               | stronger (and more organized) Palestinian military would
               | help.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | whearyou wrote:
               | Given the two wars of survival the Israelis have fought
               | in the past 50-ish years it seems very likely that it
               | would reducing their military would reduce the freedom
               | and literal existence of the Israelis.
               | 
               | For the Palestinians, perhaps reducing the Israeli would
               | increase freedom in the short term. In the longer term,
               | in the absence of Israel, it seems more likely they would
               | end up dominated by either larger neighbors like Lebanon
               | by Syria or experience low-freedom autocracies like
               | Egypt, Iraq, etc.
        
               | Robotbeat wrote:
               | Who said anything about eliminating Israel? Why eliminate
               | EITHER side? I think a two state solution makes the most
               | sense, but right now the one state Israeli right wing has
               | the upper hand and a near monopoly on violence (and let's
               | not ignore there has been plenty of targeting of
               | civilians, including retribution). This doesn't seem to
               | be a great argument about how freedom-loving the State of
               | Israel is. An autocratic (or ethnocratic), low-freedom
               | Israel snuffing out the Palestinian state doesn't seem
               | preferable to me whereas a peaceful two state solution
               | seems like it could be super awesome for both sides if
               | they can just get over themselves.
               | 
               | And if one can understand why Israel would fight for its
               | right to exist as a state, then why should it be
               | surprising that the Palestinian state fights for the same
               | reason?
        
               | hpcjoe wrote:
               | Hitting these 'soft targets' is and has been a war crime,
               | but hey ...
        
               | Robotbeat wrote:
               | Yeah, ain't no angels in this conflict. It'd be doing the
               | world a favor to move everyone out and then sow the
               | ground with highly radioactive waste making it entirely
               | uninhabitable for hundreds of years, denying it to
               | everyone. So much blood spilt over a bit of land no
               | bigger than Massachusetts (and much of it desert).
        
               | skrebbel wrote:
               | To take this thread further off topic, i feel like
               | there's some remarkably not-hot-headed people in this
               | thread so maybe I can finally get an answer to a question
               | that's been bothering me a long time:
               | 
               | Why do some Israelis build settlements? I mean, in the
               | middle of what used to be Palestinian-controlled land?
               | What's their goal? Also isn't it super risky/scary?
               | 
               | It seems to me to just be a needless provocation but that
               | makes no sense, why would anyone risk their family's
               | safety just to provoke? I'm clearly missing some key
               | insight.
        
               | bjourne wrote:
               | Over two thousand years ago there were two kingdoms
               | called Judah and Israel. Judah encompassed the southern
               | West Bank and Israel the northern West Bank. These
               | kingdoms were destroyed and became part of the Assyrian,
               | Babylonian, Persian, and the Roman empires. The modern
               | State of Israel claims that it is the spiritual successor
               | to these kingdoms and that it therefore has a right to
               | the same territory that these kingdoms once encompassed.
               | Furthermore, Judaism's holy book, the Torah, describes
               | how God gave his people, the Israelites, this territory.
               | Many Israeli Jews believe that they are somehow related
               | to the ancient Israelites.
               | 
               | While many Israeli Jews (likely a majority) acknowledge
               | that the West Bank is "occupied", technically, according
               | to international law, for the above reasons, they insist
               | that Israel has a legitimate claim to it. The West Bank
               | is in Israel commonly referred to as "Judea and Samaria"
               | because those are the names used in the Torah.
               | 
               | The goal of the settlements is to create "facts on the
               | ground" to make it harder for future governments to
               | relinquish the occupied Palestinian territories. As
               | Israel's former prime minister Ariel Sharon phrased it:
               | "Everybody has to move, run and grab as many
               | [Palestinian] hilltops as they can to enlarge the
               | [Jewish] settlements because everything we take now will
               | stay ours... Everything we don't grab will go to them."
               | This is precisely why it is considered a war crime for an
               | occupying power to transfer parts of its civilian
               | population into occupied territory.
               | 
               | Most Israeli settlers live in settlement blocs and it is
               | not dangerous for the setters to live in them. A smaller
               | number of settlers are religious extremists and they
               | establish "outposts" - settlements built without explicit
               | permission by the government. These settlers are often
               | well-armed and coordinate with the Israeli military.
               | Palestinians, on the other hand, are for the most part
               | not allowed to own firearms.
        
               | whearyou wrote:
               | Originally, security . Israel's economic and population
               | core is contained within a region as wide the distance
               | from your average small city to a suburb. It's also
               | geographically a low plain. It's called Gush Dan and
               | looking at a map is helpful for understanding how extreme
               | this geography really is.
               | 
               | The land on the Palestinian side of that border are
               | hills. Prior to when Israel conquered that land in 1967,
               | Arab militants/terrorists would take pot shots at and
               | occasionally kill drivers of cars and busses driving
               | along roads in this region. It's really that small,
               | single digit miles wide. Apparently school busses were a
               | favorite since they are large bright targets.
               | 
               | The settlements were originally limited in number and
               | designed to offer the Israelis opportunity for physical
               | security. This is still the case today when the preferred
               | weapon of militants/terrorist is missiles.
               | 
               | After 1973 when the Right came to power the settlements
               | adopted a religious connotation. They were massively
               | expanded as a conscious effort to absorb the entire West
               | Bank. Since then the problem has only deepened.
        
               | Robotbeat wrote:
               | Right. Irredentism is a lot of the reason as I understand
               | it.
        
             | eli_gottlieb wrote:
             | Yeah, the Palestinian government and voters should try
             | pursuing a politics of statehood and independence, rather
             | than one of "return" to 1946 or the Ottoman period.
             | http://www.wilf.org/English/2016/12/02/the-war-isnt-over-
             | yet...
        
               | Robotbeat wrote:
               | Yup, I agree. Same for the Israelis who want peace
               | shouldn't be pushing for settlement and subjugation of
               | the Palestinian state. Extremists on both sides don't
               | want to compromise on their visions.
        
               | eli_gottlieb wrote:
               | Yeah, if I wasn't abroad for my PhD I'd be voting for the
               | Labor Party this election. They've got a new party head
               | who's taking a stronger stand against Netanyahu and the
               | pro-settlement Right than the other parties.
               | 
               | I do really wish my people's country could come up in the
               | news without people breaking out in Zionism Derangement
               | Syndrome in the comments, insisting genocide refugees are
               | colonizers and racism is when we don't force minorities
               | to fight in the army if they don't support the state. It
               | brings to mind that academic crank who once said Israeli
               | soldiers are racist for not raping Palestinian women.
               | This kind of ZDS is why Netanyahu keeps winning -- it's
               | all Israelis and Jews hear from people in other
               | countries, and it affects our discourse.
        
           | solosoyokaze wrote:
           | Israel commits massive human rights violations and is
           | aggressively and illegally expanding its borders (which were
           | a colonization project from the start). No one should support
           | or work with them and the US should stop funding Israel.
        
             | falcor84 wrote:
             | I don't want to get into the rest of your argument, but
             | just wanted to say that based on my reading of history,
             | pretty much all of the borders on Earth "were a
             | colonization project from the start".
        
               | solosoyokaze wrote:
               | Important to remember but not quite the same as
               | colonizing a region in the 20th century. This isn't the
               | distant past, it's actively happening.
        
               | ocschwar wrote:
               | So's the arrival of Jewish refugees from Arab countries,
               | which is still ongoing.
        
               | bzbarsky wrote:
               | Which is why Poland and Germany constantly fight over the
               | border that was imposed post-WWII (20th century, yes) and
               | the population displacement that took place at that time,
               | right?
               | 
               | It's really easy to declare things as black and white.
               | It's seldom accurate.
               | 
               | (Important note: a large fraction, a majority depending
               | on how you count it, of Israel's population are
               | descendants of Jews who were ejected from other Middle
               | Eastern countries after the establishment of Israel? Are
               | they to be considered "colonizers" in your framing?)
        
               | solosoyokaze wrote:
               | > a large fraction, a majority depending on how you count
               | it, of Israel's population are descendants of Jews who
               | were ejected from other Middle Eastern countries after
               | the establishment of Israel
               | 
               | This is not modern history. Yes they are colonizers. By
               | your logic, anyone could just invade Africa and start a
               | country there since all humanity's ancestors descended
               | from the region.
               | 
               | > It's really easy to declare things as black and white.
               | 
               | Colonization and genocide are actually pretty black and
               | white. Israel is violating international law and
               | committing human rights violations.
        
               | bzbarsky wrote:
               | > This is not modern history.
               | 
               | Just to make sure we're talking about the same thing:
               | we're talking about the mass ejections of Jews from
               | various Middle Eastern and North African countries in the
               | 50s, 60s, and 70s of the 20th century, right?
               | 
               | And if that's not modern history, then how is the
               | establishment of Israel at the same time modern history?
               | 
               | > Yes they are colonizers.
               | 
               | They were refugees, more precisely. But just to be
               | specific, what is your concrete proposal for where they
               | should have gone?
               | 
               | > By your logic, anyone could just invade Africa and
               | start a country there since all humanity's ancestors
               | descended from the region.
               | 
               | No, I don't see how that's an analogous situation at all.
               | My question about Israel is a pretty specific one: I
               | challenge its presentation as a "European" or "Western"
               | colonial project. Though maybe that was not your intent?
               | 
               | > Colonization and genocide are actually pretty black and
               | white
               | 
               | We'd have to clearly define "colonization", since I
               | suspect we disagree on whether specific actions
               | constitute it.
               | 
               | Genocide is pretty black and white, I agree. I am opposed
               | to genocide. We may disagree on whether there is
               | genocide, or attempted genocide going on in various
               | situations, unfortunately.
               | 
               | Concretely: Do you feel that Israel is attempting a
               | genocide campaign against the Palestinians? Do you feel
               | that the Israeli electorate supports such a campaign? Do
               | you feel that the Palestinians are attempting a genocide
               | campaign against Jews? Do you feel that their electorate
               | (using that term loosely, due to lack of elections)
               | supports such a campaign?
               | 
               | Fundamentally, I disagree with both the "from the river
               | to the sea" narrative and the "all of Judea and Samaria"
               | narrative... (And I do note that neither of those is
               | necessarily genocidal, though both can be nice jumps onto
               | slippery slopes towards there.)
               | 
               | > Israel is violating international law and committing
               | human rights violations.
               | 
               | Yes, I agree. But just to make sure we're on the same
               | page, so are the Palestinians, every single country
               | Israel has a border with (on the human rights violation
               | parts of the ledger for sure), and quite a number of
               | other entities. Including, I am 99% sure, the country you
               | live in. There are questions of scope and degree, of
               | course. Please don't mention the words "false
               | equivalence", because I am not claiming that anything
               | here is "equivalent" to anything else, and if I were we'd
               | likely disagree on what equivalences are "true" vs
               | "false".
               | 
               | More practically, what specific actions do you think
               | would be required for Israel to stop committing what you
               | perceive as human rights violations and international law
               | violations? And if your answer is "dissolve itself as an
               | entity and have all the Jews go somewhere else", then I
               | can see how that's a consistent moral position, but that
               | does not match either international law nor morality as I
               | perceive it.
               | 
               | If that's not your position, then were back to trying to
               | figure out various shades of grey, as far as I can tell,
               | which we're probably not going to manage to work out in
               | this sort of discussion.
        
               | solosoyokaze wrote:
               | Israel actively planned to grow its non-native population
               | and encouraged immigration from neighboring countries:
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/One_Million_Plan
               | 
               | Yes, I think Israel is attempting a genocide against the
               | Palestinians. The ICC is currently investigating war
               | crimes:
               | 
               | https://apnews.com/article/israel-west-bank-palestinian-
               | terr...
        
               | bzbarsky wrote:
               | Israel encouraged immigration, yes. And the countries the
               | Mizrahi Jews left did all sorts of things that encouraged
               | their Jews to leave.
               | 
               | > Yes, I think Israel is attempting a genocide against
               | the Palestinians.
               | 
               | OK, we have that clear. I asked three other questions in
               | the paragraph where I asked that question, and I'd love
               | to know what your answers to those are.
               | 
               | > The ICC is currently investigating war crimes
               | 
               | As they should, yes. I don't think everything Israel does
               | is either acceptable or even justified, by any means.
        
               | solosoyokaze wrote:
               | No, I don't think the Palestinians are engaging in
               | genocide against the Israelis. Yes, I think Israel should
               | be disbanded. As for what to do with people who don't
               | want to stay? I'd be more than happy to welcome them to
               | the US.
        
               | bzbarsky wrote:
               | Thank you, that makes your position quite clear. I
               | appreciate your continued engagement with this
               | conversation and the fact that I think we managed to keep
               | it reasonably polite...
        
               | eli_gottlieb wrote:
               | I admire your ability to bite the bullet and call Mizrahi
               | Jews colonizers for being ethnically cleansed and fleeing
               | to their indigenous homeland.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | someperson wrote:
               | I think the point was fair. We try to have a world where
               | force is not used to reshape borders. Eg, we rightfully
               | call out Russia's annexation of Crimea and sanction them.
               | 
               | If we are to call out China's genocide of the Uighers, we
               | should also call out the Saudi Arabia, Israel and the
               | United States when they commit human rights abuse.
               | 
               | It's about applying human rights and international law as
               | impartially as possible, and using economic might to
               | sanction any country which breaks the rules.
        
               | smachiz wrote:
               | I mean... economic might is a version of human rights
               | abuses.
               | 
               | Ask the Cubans.
               | 
               | The are no simple applications of pithy thoughts. The
               | world is messy, subjective and everyone has an inherent
               | bias to their world view. And most importantly, it isn't
               | fair or just. We just hopefully try to do better than
               | yesterday.
        
               | solosoyokaze wrote:
               | There are officially recognized war crimes and crimes
               | against humanity. There's national sovereignty. These
               | aren't "pithy thoughts", they're well regarded basics
               | that Israel regularly violates with the support of the
               | US.
        
               | smachiz wrote:
               | Officially by whom?
               | 
               | Go look at the UN Council on Human Rights, which is
               | historically a literal who's who of human rights abusers.
               | 
               | The UN Security Council is actually the only UN group
               | that can officially declare Human Rights Abuses... but of
               | course a single veto prevents that.
               | 
               | The ICC has its own host of issues around bias.
               | 
               | I guess my point is most issues are not as clear cut in
               | the moment as they are in retrospect.
               | 
               | Some are clearer than others, of course. But life is
               | messy, and the victors have always written the narrative
               | that past events are judged. It's a relatively recent
               | artifact where we can argue about this stuff in real
               | time.
        
               | watoc wrote:
               | You're right but that doesn't mean we should accept it.
               | Why we didn't accept it when Saddam invaded Koweit or
               | when Russia annexed Crimea? Colonization of Palestine has
               | very negative direct and indirect consequences on our
               | world.
        
               | smachiz wrote:
               | Sorry - has something changed with Crimea? Begrudging
               | acceptance seems to be exactly where we're at....
        
               | watoc wrote:
               | AFAIK very few countries have recognized Crimea as part
               | of Russia. So my comment is still valid, most countries
               | did not accept the annexion.
        
               | slavak wrote:
               | No countries recognize Israeli claims to the Occupied
               | Palestinian Territories, and even the comparatively tame
               | annexation of the Golan Heights is recognized by very
               | few.
               | 
               | That means, formally, Israeli actions in the OPT are even
               | less accepted than Russia's annexation of Crimea.
               | Practically, begrudging acceptance seems to be a very apt
               | description, arguably of the latter even more so than the
               | former.
        
               | watoc wrote:
               | Didn't the Trump administration declare that the
               | settlements were not illegal? Palestine is not even fully
               | recognized as an independent state.
               | 
               | Besides the comparaison with Crimea, the point was that
               | borders throughout history have been shaped by
               | colonizations and invasions but that cannot be used to
               | justify colonization itself.
        
               | smachiz wrote:
               | but also haven't really done much about it right?
               | 
               | We threw some sanctions on them... that appear to be
               | fairly toothless.
        
               | nailer wrote:
               | Crimea was given by Stalin to Ukraine relatively
               | recently. Yes, Russia took it back by threat of force,
               | but it's not like they didn't have some historic claim to
               | the land, much like Jews do to the Kingdoms of Israel and
               | Judea.
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_Crimea#1954_Tran
               | sfe...
        
               | watoc wrote:
               | That's a very slippery slope if you justify the
               | colonization of Palestine by Israel because it was part
               | of a jewish kingdom thousands of years ago. Spain has
               | been muslim for centuries would that be acceptable if
               | they settled again there by force?
        
               | nailer wrote:
               | There is no colonisation to justify or otherwise, there
               | was a continuous use of the land by Jewish people since
               | this time. The name 'Palestinea' only came about as a
               | punishment by the Romans for Simon bar Kokhba.
               | 
               | Not that Wikipedia itself is a good source, but thi has a
               | bunch of references:
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simon_bar_Kokhba
               | 
               | > In the aftermath of the war, Hadrian consolidated the
               | older political units of Judaea, Galilee and Samaria into
               | the new province of Syria Palaestina, which is commonly
               | interpreted as an attempt to complete the disassociation
               | with Judaea.
        
               | watoc wrote:
               | There has been a continuous use of the land by Christians
               | and Muslims for centuries as well. So because Judaism has
               | existed the longest they have the right to expel
               | everybody else or best case scenario, make them second-
               | class citizen (Law of Return, Jewish National Fund ...).
               | There has also been a continuous presence of native
               | Americans for much longer than Europeans in North
               | America...
               | 
               | If you're denying that colonization even exists it will
               | be difficult to have a discussion based on facts.
        
               | nailer wrote:
               | I'm not denying there has been Arabs and other groups
               | there. The situation regarding expelling is in many cases
               | more more likely to do with people avoiding tax under the
               | Ottomans (if you didn't own a field you were using, you
               | couldn't be taxed on it) than forced expulsion though.
               | 
               | You're also confusing a religion with an ethnicity in
               | your comment. The issue is Arabs and Jewish people not
               | anything to do with Islam, Christianity or atheism.
        
               | watoc wrote:
               | > The issue is Arabs and Jewish people not anything to do
               | with Islam, Christianity or atheism.
               | 
               | Religion has a lot to do with the issue. Religion and
               | ethnicity are often strongly related especially for Jews.
               | Judaism is the main element that identifies Jews together
               | and the vast majority of Arabs living in Israel/Palestine
               | are Muslims.
        
               | excieve wrote:
               | That's a very dangerous position. If you want to go there
               | you'll find a long list of claims of almost anything.
               | 
               | Take Crimea for example: the Russian Empire only
               | conquered it in the late 18th century (relatively
               | recently too). Should the Turks claim it next (as the
               | Crimean state was the Ottoman Empire's vassal before) or
               | maybe Mongols, Greeks, or descendants of Goths, Huns?
               | 
               | There's a reason for avoiding forceful border carving in
               | the modern world for "historic justice". It is a phony
               | cause and leads to a chain of generational violence. Too
               | bad the modern world never acts to efficiently prevent
               | it.
               | 
               | And by the way, Stalin was already dead by 1954 --
               | difficult to "give" anything in that state. Not even
               | mentioning that "giving" in USSR is just an
               | administrative re-arrangement of a territory within an
               | empire. By that logic, all the states ever being part of
               | any empire have a "historic claim" on the other parts.
        
               | nailer wrote:
               | Are you saying there are a lot of Turkish people in
               | Crimea?
        
             | detritus wrote:
             | Much the same could be said about America, Australia or New
             | Zealand - or in older days the expansion of the First
             | Calpihate - but time and humanity blithely blunders on
             | regardless of critics' mores.
        
         | dang wrote:
         | 'They' = Lebanon. We detached this subthread from
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26385835.
        
         | ocschwar wrote:
         | Lebanon's diversity is the problem. It only takes a veto from
         | ONE faction.
        
           | hnISmongoguy wrote:
           | OMG! You can't just say bad things about diversity. Diversity
           | is axiomatically good because it helps prevents unions and
           | saves big corporations
        
         | citrusybread wrote:
         | Lebanon tried to make peace before the civil war. I think
         | anyone with Lebanese family can see how Lebanon pre-civil war
         | and Israel had more in common than Lebanon had with the greater
         | arab world, or even with Palestine.
         | 
         | But Israel basically wanted the leadership to bend over further
         | than they'd be willing to do, and the deal was cancelled.
         | 
         | Today with a more diverse Lebanon it's still possible. There
         | would need to be a shift away from Syrian and Iranian interest
         | but it is definitely possible.
        
       | sirmoveon wrote:
       | Will magnetism underwater have any effect on organic creatures'
       | livelihood?
        
       | anonu wrote:
       | This is awesome. The real loser in all of this is Lebanon. 30
       | years after the end of the civil war there, and 24-hour
       | electricity is a pipe dream. People still rely on neighborhood
       | generators that contribute to the already bad pollution.
        
         | jablala wrote:
         | I would also add 'The Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus' as a
         | loser. Having to now take electricity from Turkey, further
         | solidifying this horrible depending relationship.
        
         | bjourne wrote:
         | Why is it awesome? I don't think European countries should
         | share energy grids with countries that does not respect human
         | rights such as Israel and Russia.
        
           | marshmallow_12 wrote:
           | Probably, everything you are wearing, plus your
           | phone/computer, plus the petrol you put in your car come from
           | countries that abuse human rights, such as china, Saudi
           | Arabia etc.
        
             | Cthulhu_ wrote:
             | That doesn't mean I (or the person you're replying to)
             | agree with it. I mean I don't agree with US politics and
             | their human rights violations, yet here I am, commenting on
             | a US community on US-designed hardware and US-developed
             | software.
             | 
             | "We should improve society somewhat." "Yet you participate
             | in society. Curious!"
        
             | forgotmypw17 wrote:
             | aside from simplicity in living, this is the second to top
             | reason why i abandoned buying anything unless it is
             | absolutely necessary...
        
               | marshmallow_12 wrote:
               | Have you checked under the furniture for the paper your
               | password was written on? Do you even have furniture:)
        
           | cblconfederate wrote:
           | Turn off your computer and stop using the internet because
           | someone's rights have definitely been violated for you to
           | read this comment.
        
           | roncohen wrote:
           | How do you feel about the EU being connected to the Turkish
           | electricity grid? [1] and Germany being increasingly
           | dependent on Russian gas? [2]
           | 
           | [1] https://www.avrupa.info.tr/en/plugging-turkey-eu-
           | electricity...
           | 
           | [2] https://www.dw.com/en/nord-stream-2-pipeline-row-
           | highlights-...
        
             | bjourne wrote:
             | Didn't I cover that in my comment? I feel that that is bad.
             | But I also feel that the whataboutism argument is overused
             | when it comes to Israel. We should minimize our incidental
             | support of repressive regimes wherever they are found.
             | Especially when we are explicitly called on to do so (see
             | BDS) by those oppressed by such repressive regimes.
        
           | sandworm101 wrote:
           | Depends on which way the power flows. Perhaps if Israel
           | becomes depended on European electricity some of its more
           | offensive behaviors can be moderated.
        
           | jraby3 wrote:
           | Israel does respect human rights. It also has the right to
           | protect its citizens and borders.
        
             | Cthulhu_ wrote:
             | Even if it used force to establish said borders in the
             | first place? Israel as the nation we know today only came
             | about fairly recently, and it was only established as a
             | modern-day state in 1948.
        
               | dogma1138 wrote:
               | All borders were established by force... Israel is just
               | more recent, about as recent as every other nation in
               | that region. Jordan, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq and essentially
               | every other nation in the region was formed around the
               | same period.
               | 
               | The issue is that unlike other cases they were never left
               | to their own devices and let sort their own shit out.
        
               | eli_gottlieb wrote:
               | Tell me, when was the unification of Germany, and how did
               | its borders get the way they are now? I seem to recall
               | some unpleasantness with American and British planes.
        
             | ravenstine wrote:
             | They took over someone else's land because of a
             | cultural/religious belief that they need an ethnostate. I'm
             | sure that they protect their citizens and their borders,
             | and almost every country would say the same. That doesn't
             | mean they didn't bring localized conflict upon themselves
             | by disrespecting the rights of others.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | IG_Semmelweiss wrote:
         | There is a reason for this.
         | 
         | The first time I ever went to Beirut over 10 years ago, I asked
         | a partner of a large Civil Engineering firm
         | 
         | Me : "Why does the power go out all the time?"
         | 
         | The response: "There is no political will to fix this."
         | 
         | I didn't understand the reply. Surely there was immense value
         | in economic development in doing this ?
         | 
         | I drew parallels to being in South America, particularly
         | Ecuador, who had the same issue back in the 90's. That caused
         | so much economic loss. I understood the issue was rainfall
         | swings drove hydro power outages. They finally built extra
         | capacity, and now brownouts are a thing of the past. Everyone
         | benefitted.
         | 
         | But lebanon had no such luck. Why?
         | 
         | I didn't understand the undertones of what was being told to
         | me. But the answer was there. It is a political issue, but not
         | a question of will. Its a question of money.
         | 
         | The neighborhood generators now have cartel power over the
         | generation of electricity. They have a vested interest in the
         | government NOT producing cheap electricity for the masses.
         | Anything that disrupts the status quo means their business is
         | effectively over.
         | 
         | Full 360: The market response to electricity production during
         | civil war, gave lebanon electric resilience (via power
         | generators)...but now with regulatory capture, the incentives
         | are only to sustain the broken model.
        
           | imachine1980 wrote:
           | as Argentinian , other south American country we have cities
           | without energy next to power generation plants, and
           | subsidizes for sector who don needed (residential downtown)
           | but have political influence, i live in the richest and
           | biggest cities of my country and i have subside
           | transportation while,in the north who have a lot less
           | resource pay the full tariffs only because my cities have
           | more political influence in national elections.
        
             | IG_Semmelweiss wrote:
             | Thanks I learned too.
             | 
             | Allow me to contribute a bit and please don't take this the
             | wrong way. I understand why you are using tariff. You are
             | using the spanish tarifa.
             | 
             | The word commonly used to represent bus payments is "fare"
             | (train fare, etc). Hope this helps!.
             | 
             | Tariff in english is commonly used instead to refer to the
             | word "arancel" i.e. the cost to export / import food, etc.
        
             | airstrike wrote:
             | Thanks for the insight. Gives a whole new meaning to the
             | "Bitcoin farming uses more energy than Argentina"
             | catchphrase
             | 
             | I'm not arguing pro or against Bitcoin, just stating
             | reality is nuanced.
        
           | Florin_Andrei wrote:
           | Regulatory capture is the long-term attractor for any "free
           | market" system.
           | 
           | The rule of law needs to put its thumb on the scale if you
           | want to get rid of the predatory elements.
        
             | missedthecue wrote:
             | seems less like a market problem and more like a government
             | problem
        
               | asdff wrote:
               | It's more a human nature problem. A perfectly free market
               | is the jungle, and the most brutal jaguar is king there.
        
               | Florin_Andrei wrote:
               | Which is exactly why you need to add feedback loops to
               | the system (minimum wage, progressive taxation, etc), to
               | prevent it from devolving into Bioshock.
        
               | Florin_Andrei wrote:
               | Yes. When the government is too weak, or is government in
               | name only, or is infected with "free market" true
               | believers, it becomes the plaything of the great
               | moneybags. Policy shifts towards "freedom" - i.e. the
               | freedom to use the brute force of capital for personal
               | benefit, disregarding the larger and the longer term
               | outcomes and the greater good.
        
           | flak48 wrote:
           | Lack of will to disrupt the status quo is also the reason why
           | many new builds in Indian cities like Bangalore/Hyderabad are
           | forced to rely on the water tanker cartels instead of getting
           | reliable piped water supply from the local municipal
           | corporations.
           | 
           | The icing on the cake is that water tanker cartels steal from
           | the municipal water supply in the first place.
        
           | asdff wrote:
           | It happens in the US too. 1br rents are like $2000 in LA. 3
           | bedroom 1500sqft starter homes are north of $1.5m even in the
           | worst neighborhoods in the city. If you ask why rents and
           | housing is so high, it's due to a a lack of political will to
           | increase supply. It seems backward until you realize the
           | majority of voters in local elections are homeowners, the
           | council members in charge of unilateraly approving or
           | disallowing development in their district are homeowners, and
           | the lawmakers at the state level are also homeowners, all of
           | which have a vested interest in achieving exponential gains
           | on their assets.
           | 
           | I can't help but imagine how different this state would be if
           | the governor of California came from a rental apartment, or
           | from living in their car, and not the latest approved
           | candidate from the old California political machine (Governor
           | Gavin Newsom is a respected SF judge's son, Mayor Eric
           | Garcetti's father was the LA DA for 20 years). Maybe
           | political priorities would actually shift to the working poor
           | rather than the landowning elite for the first time ever in
           | California.
        
             | ivraatiems wrote:
             | I think we should clarify what we mean by "lack of
             | political will." The stakeholders who don't want (lots of
             | government-supplied electricity | lots of low-cost housing)
             | have plenty of political will. Their opponents also have a
             | political desire, but a lack of political _power_.
             | 
             | "Lack of will" as a phrase suggests nobody feels like doing
             | anything about it, when in fact, lots of people want to do
             | different things and those with more power are winning out
             | over those with less, regardless of which thing would be
             | maximally beneficial.
             | 
             | This isn't a slight against you or the GP for using the
             | phrase - it's just something that sticks in my craw when I
             | hear it. Don't even ask me how I feel about the word
             | "unprecedented."
        
         | ocschwar wrote:
         | It is awesome. Any project that improves daily life for any
         | part of the Middle East is a way to show the haters that the
         | world isn't waiting for them to come around.
        
         | anovikov wrote:
         | That's what happens to people who piss Israel too much.
        
         | sandworm101 wrote:
         | >> rely on neighborhood generators
         | 
         | I often wonder if places like this are where real green energy
         | revolution will start. Perhaps the greatest motivation for off-
         | grid solar is not having access to a grid in the first place.
         | The first targets in many wars are the power plants, plants fed
         | by fossil fuel deliveries. A country powered by widespread
         | small "gridless" solar power solutions would be very resilient
         | in a crisis, much more difficult a target in a war. Maybe
         | Lebanon can move forward without a reliable national grid.
        
           | anonu wrote:
           | It's a nice idea. But does solar work in a densely populated
           | city like Beirut where at least a quarter of the population
           | lives? Or any dense city for that matter?
        
           | pgt wrote:
           | This is becoming true in South Africa due to the unreliable
           | power supply from state-owned Eskom.
        
             | sandworm101 wrote:
             | I'm seeing it on the other side of the economic spectrum:
             | rich people building vacation houses on green fields. Other
             | than Texas, North America has a very dependable grid. But
             | if your new house is more than a couple hundred meters from
             | that grid an overkill solar solution will probably be
             | cheaper than connection cost. So new vacation homes in the
             | woods/mountains/coastline are installing solar for purely
             | economic reasons.
        
               | richjdsmith wrote:
               | That's what my parents did. When they built their lake
               | cottage it was cheaper to tie in sewer and water, but the
               | cost to tie in to the power grid was going to be over
               | $30k at which point, they were cheaper to install a full
               | solar system. So they did.
        
               | burlesona wrote:
               | Wow, check your decency bias. Having lived in California
               | with rolling blackouts becoming normal in the last five
               | years, it's hardly fair to say that Texas has a uniquely
               | bad electrical grid. Texas got hit by a freak weather
               | event that people weren't prepared for. We can have an
               | interesting discussion about why they weren't prepared
               | and what could be done about it, but to imply that Texas
               | grid is unreliable in general is just silly.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | Qwertious wrote:
               | > But if your new house is more than a couple hundred
               | meters from that grid an overkill solar solution will
               | probably be cheaper than connection cost.
               | 
               | If this becomes a thing without charging non-users a flat
               | fee for the electricity grid, then the grid will fall
               | into a death spiral as renewables+storage become cheaper
               | - namely, fewer people using the grid will increase the
               | relative cost for each remaining user, encouraging them
               | to go off-grid which further increases the relative cost
               | of grid-attachment.
        
               | OldHand2018 wrote:
               | The grid is already in trouble in places where it makes
               | little economic sense to keep it reliable (rural regions,
               | especially California/West Coast).
               | 
               | The ex-Texas US grid is reliable because of economic
               | reasons (especially industrial) and the Texas grid is not
               | that reliable for economic reasons!
               | 
               | If you leave the interstate system and drive the state
               | and national highways, especially east of the Mississippi
               | River, you'll see industrial facilities all over the
               | place in small towns and cities, etc. They consume a lot
               | of electricity, so it is in the national interest to have
               | a good grid. West of the Mississippi: go read the
               | Bershire Hathaway annual report from a few weeks ago.
               | Warren Buffett spends quite a bit of space writing about
               | how and why they are spending billions on the future of
               | the grid.
        
               | mschuster91 wrote:
               | > The grid is already in trouble in places where it makes
               | little economic sense to keep it reliable
               | 
               | This is why regulation is needed and competition on the
               | lowest level of infrastructure a bad idea.
               | 
               | In Germany, we have a legal mandate (per SS36 EnWG,
               | https://www.gesetze-im-internet.de/enwg_2005/__36.html)
               | for the dominant local utility to provide the core gas
               | and electricity network upon which the customer can
               | choose any utility to provide gas and electricity (with
               | this utility then paying a set rate for using the network
               | to the local utility). Additionally, SS11 EnWG
               | (https://www.gesetze-im-internet.de/enwg_2005/__11.html)
               | forces all network-operating utilities to keep their
               | network operation "safe, reliable and free of
               | discrimination" - and the authority BNetzA has the legal
               | power to actually enforce this.
               | 
               | Events like the shoddy maintenance that led to a number
               | of wild fires in California or the lack of winterization
               | that led to the Texas debacles in 2011 and 2021 simply
               | would not happen here.
        
               | rhodozelia wrote:
               | Not sure why you are downvoted. Utilities are natural
               | monopolies. It makes sense for one entity to provide the
               | network. The risk is that the monopoly gets fat and lazy,
               | but there are many examples of failures from both
               | approaches.
               | 
               | And I also believe Germans would not produce or tolerate
               | the California or Texas debacles.
        
               | mschuster91 wrote:
               | > Not sure why you are downvoted
               | 
               | Probably because I'm advocating for government owned or
               | at least heavily regulated infrastructure.
               | 
               | > The risk is that the monopoly gets fat and lazy, but
               | there are many examples of failures from both approaches.
               | 
               | Agreed (and California is a perfect example)... with a
               | monopoly situation (and in "captive market" situations
               | such as housing where people can't go without the
               | services of the market) regulation agencys need teeth.
               | Basically you want pitbulls, not poodles.
        
               | NullPrefix wrote:
               | You say it like it's a bad thing.
        
               | sandworm101 wrote:
               | >> without charging non-users a flat fee for the
               | electricity grid
               | 
               | With hookup cost to a new property often measuring in the
               | tens to hundreds of thousands of dollars, the non-
               | connection fee/penalty would have to be very high.
               | 
               | In pacific northwest, estimate 10-15k per electrical
               | pole. Plus any necessary upgrades to the system. Plus
               | easements. Plus maintenance costs. Plus cutting the
               | trees. Plus then paying for power. ... A kickass solar
               | rig and backup generator is very cheap by comparison.
        
         | cblconfederate wrote:
         | Lebanon could join in the future as could other countries, if
         | this project goes through
        
         | marshmallow_12 wrote:
         | Lebanon is in an awful state. they seem to be little more than
         | a satellite of Iran via Hezbollah. I haven't heard anything
         | about them since that terrible explosion in Beirut. i hope they
         | get sorted out soon.
        
           | anonu wrote:
           | You got downvoted by others - maybe because your comment
           | isn't super additive to the conversation. But the general
           | sentiment is right. They have a strong control over the
           | country no matter which way you look at it. They build
           | parallel infrastructures to that of the state: different
           | phone systems, power systems, healthcare, etc... so they are
           | shielded from the corruption and complacency that happens in
           | the government - all while contributing to it.
        
             | marshmallow_12 wrote:
             | -maybe because your comment isn't super additive to the
             | conversation.
             | 
             | You are correct, but i felt i should draw attention to an
             | issue i think is extremely serious. Also, there is the
             | possibility to explore that Hezbollah may sabotage the
             | project.
        
               | solosoyokaze wrote:
               | Do you feel the same desire to point out Israel's war
               | crimes and genocide?
               | 
               |  _That_ is a serious issue that needs attention.
               | Especially because they are in large part funded by the
               | US.
        
               | megaman821 wrote:
               | My understanding is most the aid given to Israel is spent
               | on American military equipment. Israel is ok with it
               | because they get free military equipment, and the US
               | likes it because it funnels aid money to the military.
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | The US also likes the live testbed for anti-insurgency
               | tech.
        
               | underdeserver wrote:
               | Defense contractors, surely, not the US military?
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _Defense contractors, surely, not the US military?_
               | 
               | Both. We get allied assets in the region. We also get
               | purchasing volume for military hardware, which feeds R&D
               | budgets for things we want.
        
               | typesystem wrote:
               | answering to your other comments as well, Israel fulfils
               | American interest in the area as I understand it. It is
               | the best freedom-per-dollar the US can get, except maybe
               | south-Korea. between all of American attempts to
               | establish their dominance and their believes in the
               | world, you pointed to one of their more successful
               | investments. for this topic. If you want to reduce the
               | violence in the area of the middle east, joint local
               | economical ventures are a perfectly good start. hopefully
               | one day with Lebanon too. disclaimer I'm Israeli.
        
               | solosoyokaze wrote:
               | As an American I don't want my interests fulfilled at the
               | expense of other's human rights, basic peace and
               | sovereignty.
        
               | typesystem wrote:
               | I'm not going to debate US politics with American but
               | this page [0] shows me Israel is not exception in
               | American policy. As I said before probably one of the few
               | successful attempt to encourage a democracy.
               | 
               | [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foreign_policy_of_the_U
               | nited_S...
        
               | solosoyokaze wrote:
               | I don't know what point you're trying to make with that
               | link. The US normally sanctions countries committing
               | human rights violations, it doesn't typically fund them.
               | Israel is an outlier there.
        
               | adventured wrote:
               | Israel isn't particularly funded by the US. They receive
               | a small amount of money from the US, as do about 100
               | other nations around the world, including several
               | prominent nations that have historically disliked Israel
               | (see: Egypt, Pakistan).
               | 
               | Israel is now one of the most prosperous nations in world
               | history. Their GDP per capita will soon be among the
               | highest of any nation. They passed Japan, Britain and
               | France recently on that metric; next they'll pass Canada
               | and Germany. They're entirely free-standing economically
               | at this point and do not require US funding (even though
               | the US will obviously continue to have deep economic ties
               | with Israel, including militarily).
        
               | solosoyokaze wrote:
               | The US gives Israel billions of dollars every year:
               | 
               | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israel-
               | United_States_relatio...
        
               | adventured wrote:
               | The US has given Egypt $80 billion over the last 40
               | years, which is about what the US has given Israel over
               | 70 years.
               | 
               | Of course the US gives Israel some money still, mostly
               | related to its on-going military relationship with Israel
               | in developing weapons systems and technology. There isn't
               | anybody in this thread that doesn't already know that.
               | And the US gives money to a lot of other nations too.
               | 
               | None of that negates what I so precisely worded to try to
               | avoid this follow-up response. I failed unfortunately.
               | 
               | Israel has a $400 billion GDP at this point. As I noted,
               | the US does not particularly fund Israel. US funding to
               | Israel represents a now trivial part of their economic
               | system. They do not require the US, they are free-
               | standing.
        
               | snypher wrote:
               | Israel received $3.8b in the covid bill passed a few days
               | ago. If they don't need it, send it back because we could
               | sure use it here.
        
               | solosoyokaze wrote:
               | > Of course the US gives Israel some money still, mostly
               | related to its on-going military relationship with Israel
               | in developing weapons systems and technology
               | 
               | This is the problem I have with funding Israel. We're
               | literally giving them money to commit war crimes and
               | illegal military action. We should be sanctioning them
               | (if we want to be consistent), not funding them.
        
               | slavak wrote:
               | War crimes and illegal military action seem to very much
               | be the preferred business of the American military-
               | industrial complex. Most of the US foreign aid given to
               | Israel can only be spent on purchasing US military
               | hardware. The people who benefit from funneling
               | additional billions into the MIC are the same ones that
               | benefit from ongoing American military actions on foreign
               | soil...
        
               | marshmallow_12 wrote:
               | here's a better link, i think (Sam i am).
               | 
               | https://fas.org/sgp/crs/mideast/RL33222.pdf
        
               | solosoyokaze wrote:
               | Thanks. From the link:
               | 
               |  _In 2016, the U.S. and Israeli governments signed their
               | third 10-year Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) on
               | military aid, covering FY2019 to FY2028. Under the terms
               | of the MOU, the United States pledged to provide--subject
               | to congressional appropriation--$38 billion in military
               | aid ($33 billion in Foreign Military Financing grants
               | plus $5 billion in missile defense appropriations) to
               | Israel. This MOU followed a previous $30 billion 10-year
               | agreement, which ran through FY2018._
        
               | marshmallow_12 wrote:
               | My pleasure! Always happy to discuss facts.
        
               | yostrovs wrote:
               | Israel and Egypt are always pointed to as recipients of
               | greatest US aid. But that is only because the US military
               | that is stationed in South Korea, Japan, and a bunch of
               | other countries is not counted as aid. And all that
               | military is very expensive, like in the tens of billions
               | or maybe even hundreds. I don't know how much it costs to
               | maintain an aircraft carrier fleet to protect the Arabs
               | from the Persians.
        
               | yostrovs wrote:
               | And on a similar note, when comparing overall spending on
               | the military, the perception of the size of the US
               | military is inflated because in China and many other
               | countries there's a draft, so they pay their soldiers
               | next to nothing while the US has to pay theirs a
               | prevailing wage, which is somewhere around the highest in
               | the world.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | [deleted]
        
             | koheripbal wrote:
             | Hezbollah has a strong influence in the south of Lebanon,
             | and consequently proportionate control in parliament, but
             | the other half of Lebanon is strongly anti-Iran.
             | 
             | The civil war is over, but divisions and complexity
             | continues.
        
           | baybal2 wrote:
           | How it is? It's a majority christian country!
        
             | anonu wrote:
             | Using a 1932 census. Let's get real...
        
             | ceejayoz wrote:
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lebanon#Government_and_politi
             | c...
             | 
             | > Lebanon is a parliamentary democracy that includes
             | confessionalism, in which high-ranking offices are reserved
             | for members of specific religious groups. The President,
             | for example, has to be a Maronite Christian, the Prime
             | Minister a Sunni Muslim, the Speaker of the Parliament a
             | Shi'a Muslim, the Deputy Prime Minister and the Deputy
             | Speaker of Parliament Eastern Orthodox.
             | 
             | > Lebanon's national legislature is the unicameral
             | Parliament of Lebanon. Its 128 seats are divided equally
             | between Christians and Muslims, proportionately between the
             | 18 different denominations and proportionately between its
             | 26 regions.
        
             | fennecfoxen wrote:
             | This is the country with multiple cabinet ministers from
             | Hezbollah. Perhaps "how" is through these and similar
             | vehicles.
        
             | marshmallow_12 wrote:
             | https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/lebanon-in-crisis/ it
             | seems the UK government is also worried that Iran/Hezbolla
             | are too powerful in Lebanon. that's just from a quick
             | search.
        
             | SpicyLemonZest wrote:
             | I'm not sure where you heard that from exactly, but their
             | unique confessionally-sharded politics mean claims like
             | that often won't be deeply scrutinized within Lebanon. They
             | won't conduct a new census to check, multiple Muslim groups
             | claim that they have the majority, and most observers who
             | aren't constrained by Lebanese politics think it's closer
             | to 30% Christian.
        
         | sjakobi wrote:
         | How does Lebanon lose from this project?
        
           | eschulz wrote:
           | They don't directly lose from Greece, Cyprus, and Israel
           | cooperating further with each other. However, they are
           | missing out on something they need, and this shows how
           | Lebanon is diplomatically struggling to cooperate with other
           | nations in the region to help them improve their
           | infrastructure. This is the ideal project for them to join
           | and help the Lebanese people, but unfortunately it's just
           | another potential missed opportunity.
        
       | StavrosK wrote:
       | I have a geopolitical question I haven't been able to answer:
       | Greece claims its EEZ includes Kastelorizo and extends near
       | Turkish shores (which is unreasonable, IMO). Turkey claims
       | islands have no EEZ, and Turkish EEZ extends below Cyprus and
       | past all the Greek islands to about the middle of the Aegean
       | (extremely unreasonable and counter to basically all of UNCLOS,
       | which everyone else recognizes).
       | 
       | Greece, Cyprus and Israel agreed to construct the EastMed
       | Pipeline[0], which crosses into the Turkish EEZ and even
       | territorial waters. Does that run counter to the UNCLOS or not?
       | 
       | Also, please correct me if I got anything in my understanding
       | wrong.
       | 
       | [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/EastMed_pipeline
        
         | cblconfederate wrote:
         | the eastmed is passing though what is greek and cyprus EEZ, not
         | turkish. According to the UNCLOS (at least according to the
         | reading that Greece does) turkey does not have a maritime
         | border with Egypt because of kastellorizo.
         | 
         | That being said, Turkey has been invited to join the eastMed
         | pipeline
        
           | StavrosK wrote:
           | Agreed, but from the images I've seen, the EastMed doesn't
           | "dip down" under the Turkish EEZ (in the corridor between the
           | Turkish EEZ and the Egyptian EEZ), it goes straight from
           | Cyprus to Crete. Maybe the images are simplified, though.
        
             | cblconfederate wrote:
             | There is no final plan yet, but it won't pass through
             | Turkey's EEZ unless they join the eastMed forum.
             | 
             | Here s another image
             | https://trendsresearch.org/insight/turkey-and-the-
             | geopolitic...
        
               | StavrosK wrote:
               | That clarifies things, thanks!
        
         | karpierz wrote:
         | Isn't EEZ more about resource extraction (fishing, oil) rather
         | than construction? I don't think running undersea cables for
         | example would violate EEZ.
        
           | StavrosK wrote:
           | I think so too, but territorial waters isn't the same, no?
           | You can't cross into those without some sort of
           | authorization, AFAIK.
        
             | [deleted]
        
           | throwawayffffas wrote:
           | I think the owner of the continental shelf (the bottom of the
           | sea under the EEZ), has the right to deny the installation of
           | cables or pipelines. That's how I read paragraph 3 of article
           | 79 of UNCLOS.
           | 
           | See here https://www.un.org/Depts/los/convention_agreements/t
           | exts/unc...
        
             | koheripbal wrote:
             | Isn't the entire Mediteranean Sea on the continental shelf?
             | I don't think it's comparable to the shelf off the Atlantic
             | and Pacific.
        
             | karpierz wrote:
             | They have the right to limit it in their territorial sea (h
             | ttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Territorial_waters#Territorial
             | ...) but outside of that, their complaints are only valid
             | if the pipelines would affect the state's ability to use
             | its EEZ.
        
               | yellowapple wrote:
               | Which they might, if the cable happens to sit right on
               | top of a drilling spot.
               | 
               | The likelihood of that seems astronomically slim, but
               | it's still a possibility.
        
         | mattjaynes wrote:
         | EEZ: Exclusive Economic Zone
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exclusive_economic_zone
         | 
         | (new acronym for me, and I imagine a few others too)
        
           | yellowapple wrote:
           | But once you know it, it's EEZ to remember.
        
         | throwawayffffas wrote:
         | Slight correction, I don't think the EastMed pipeline would
         | cross turkish territorial waters. Territorial waters only
         | extend 12nm (22 km) from the shore. The pipeline would
         | definitely not venture that close to the turkish shores.
        
           | StavrosK wrote:
           | Very likely, I'm going by maps like this one:
           | 
           | https://fanack.com/wp-
           | content/uploads/sites/5/2014/10/natura...
           | 
           | There's a "nose" that drops down from Turkey, and the EastMed
           | pipeline goes straight from Cyprus to Crete, so it would
           | cross into that "nose". It says "territorial waters" there,
           | so I'm confused as to whether that's so or, if not, what it
           | is.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | throwawayffffas wrote:
             | Indeed this is a rather confused map, the zones demarcated
             | in that map are the EEZ(Exclusive Economic Zones). As they
             | are claimed by Greece and Cyprus. Two hundred nautical
             | miles from their shores or the middle line where they
             | overlap with the Turkish EEZ.
             | 
             | The crux of the dispute though is that while that's how
             | Greece and Cyprus interpret their rights, there is no
             | provision in UNCLOS for handling overlaps, it only says
             | there should be an agreement.
             | 
             | As far as the pipeline is concerned, I think the Greek plan
             | would be to make the pipeline, a bit more to the south
             | where Greek and Cypriot zones meet.
        
               | StavrosK wrote:
               | Okay, that makes sense, thanks. I was wondering why those
               | "Territorial waters" looked much the same as the EEZ
               | claims.
        
       | Qahlel wrote:
       | I don't understand Greece's actions in this matter. Why is Greece
       | so keen on poking Turkey rather than working together? There is
       | no winners in this lose-lose scenario.
       | 
       | This is like trying to go Manhattan from NJ without entering NY.
       | I mean... it's impossible.
       | 
       | (Greek nationals doesn't seem to like this comment)
        
         | siculars wrote:
         | Na. Turkey needs to be counterd by others. And others need to
         | defend themselves from Turkey. These the are natural allies in
         | this region for obvious, not so obvious, subtle and not so
         | subtle reasons. There is a very long history of unhappiness
         | between Turkey and these three countries.
        
         | jo6gwb wrote:
         | To go from NJ to Manhattan without entering other boroughs one
         | would simply take the Lincoln Tunnel, Holland Tunnel or GWB.
         | Alternatively one can take a ferry or even a railroad barge.
        
           | Qahlel wrote:
           | I didn't say without entering other boroughs. Manhattan is in
           | NY. You can't go to Manhattan without being in NY.
        
             | ceejayoz wrote:
             | But... you _can_ go from Israel to Cyprus to Greece without
             | entering Turkey, even if you accept their claim to
             | _Northern_ Cyprus.
        
         | gregoriol wrote:
         | It's more likely that Israel here has interest into linking
         | with the European grid (Cyprus being just in the middle), and
         | not Greece linking with Israel's
        
         | Grazester wrote:
         | Don't Turkey and Greece have issues with one another? Why run a
         | backup line through a country you have grievances with? Every
         | time you enter Manhattan from NJ using the tunnels or the
         | George Washington bridge you are directly entering the City of
         | New York(which is in the state of New York).
        
           | StavrosK wrote:
           | Turkey has a history of claiming an EEZ way to the south of
           | Cyprus (and also claiming an EEZ even past Crete in the
           | Aegean), not wanting to work together and then accusing
           | Greece of not working with them when Greece signs treaties to
           | pass undersea cables in areas that Turkey claims as Turkish
           | EEZ.
           | 
           | It's all a bit of a clusterfuck, I'm not even entirely clear
           | on what areas Turkey claims and what areas Greece claims.
           | Turkey also refuses to go to the ICJ to resolve this, which
           | would have been a good solution, in my opinion.
        
         | Jochim wrote:
         | I'm not Greek, but your question seems to be disingenuous
         | considering the fact that the long running dispute between
         | Cyprus and Turkey is fairly common knowledge. See this[1] for
         | why ethnic Greeks might consider Turkey to be disinterested in
         | working together.
         | 
         | [1]https://www.telegraph.co.uk/multimedia/archive/03526/Turkey_
         | ...
        
         | dudul wrote:
         | Sure, the country who invaded and has been illegally occupying
         | 1/3 of another country for half a century is the one being
         | poked at.
        
         | deftnerd wrote:
         | [1] this episode of the Caspian Report (an excellent Youtube
         | channel on international affairs) discusses how Israel and
         | Turkey are trying to establish stronger diplomatic ties in
         | order to directly connect their maritime EEZ's and block Cyprus
         | from the Mediterranean.
         | 
         | It would give the both access to undersea hydrocarbon deposits,
         | and Israel was going to support route changes of pipelines to
         | pass more through Turkey.
         | 
         | I suspect this project and goal is somehow intertwined, but I'm
         | not versed enough with international relations to see the big
         | picture.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BvOMSTElVHk
        
           | cblconfederate wrote:
           | Worth noting that Caspian Report is made by an azerbaijani
           | guy who is, not very objective, with regards to matters that
           | have to do with turkey
           | 
           | The video you talk about is probably talking about a proposal
           | that Turkey made to Israel which runs counter to every
           | international maritime law (it was promptly rejected by
           | israel) . AFAIK they made similar proposals to egypt
        
         | m000 wrote:
         | > Greek nationals doesn't seem to like this comment
         | 
         | Yes, they also seem to have bribed foreignpolicy.com [1] to
         | slander the peace-keeping efforts of Turkey in the region.
         | 
         | [1] https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/10/08/turkey-military-
         | overstr...
        
           | ddddq wrote:
           | Turkey should not invade foreign countries, then they can
           | talk about peace.
        
             | m000 wrote:
             | I was obviously being ironic above.
             | 
             | The point is that as long as Turkey is opportunistically
             | involved in every military conflict they believe they can
             | get gains from, they can't be seen as a trusted partner by
             | their neighboring countries.
        
               | csunbird wrote:
               | All countries (also people) do that. If you have power,
               | you put in use. See USA(Iraq), Russia (Crimea), Germany
               | (WW2), Britain (colonies) etc... I do not support war or
               | occupation but countries behave like high school children
               | - bullies are going to bully.
               | 
               | But, you find all those countries that I listed above,
               | "trustworthy", is that correct?
               | 
               | The problem here is, "trustworthy" does not mean anything
               | in international relations. It is all about having the
               | outcomes you want, one way or another. If peace gets you
               | what you want, its great. If war, then you go to war.
               | 
               | That is why European Union removed the borders, unified
               | the economic area, so that they will be too
               | integrated/extremely hard to decouple to have war again,
               | because treaties or trustworthiness is meaningless in
               | scale of countries.
        
               | chr1 wrote:
               | It's not completely random, e.g. it would be very hard
               | for a politician in USA to convince population that it is
               | a good idea to bully Canada. And it would not require any
               | convincing for Turkish citizens to accept any action
               | against Greece. So being extremely suspicious of Turkey
               | is the only possible policy for Greece.
        
         | 1234throwaway wrote:
         | is also isreal decision
         | 
         | reality is turks are often... detach from reality politically.
         | such is life in 2nd world countries like lebanon, turkey,
         | malaya, indonesia etc
        
         | PartiallyTyped wrote:
         | Things would have been better had Turkey tried to actually
         | cooperate for once, instead of repeatedly provoking and going
         | as far as invading Greece's and Cyprus' EEZs.
        
         | p_papageorgiou wrote:
         | Whys is this considered poking? I think the interpretation of
         | this is highly linked to political interpretation.
        
           | ddddq wrote:
           | Because turks are really nationalistic and they see
           | everything as a threat and they see themself always a victim.
           | Like they see a country with a population of 10 millions
           | provoking a country with 82 million inhabitants, just because
           | Israel wants to link their power grid to Europe. Talking of
           | poking and insecurity, how is it even possible to see Israel
           | connecting their power grid to Europe as poking by Greece?
           | Why should Greece, Cyprus and Israel ask Turkey first, if
           | doesn't go through turkish sea and land?
        
             | csunbird wrote:
             | Disclaimer: I am Turkish and I live in Europe.
             | 
             | I mean, the dispute between Turkey and Greece mostly is
             | about the islands that are literally 5 to 10kms away from
             | Turkish mainland and Greece trying to claim the whole Aegan
             | See for themselves, citing the islands are her waters and
             | there a LOT of islands, enough to cover Aegean See and
             | isolating Turkey's west shores. It causes a dispute, since
             | if Greece would have their way, Turkey would not even be
             | able to use her west shores.
             | 
             | Greece invading west Turkey in WW1 does not help either.
             | 
             | The conflicts are really feels like children arguing with
             | each other. Both parties needs to stop, but I think both
             | governments/ruling parties enjoy nationalist votes from
             | fueling this dispute. Other countries, who have interest in
             | this dispute, does not help either.
        
               | eruci wrote:
               | Incorrect! Greece did not invade Turkey in WW2. It was
               | itself invaded by Italy & Nazi Germany in WW2.
        
               | csunbird wrote:
               | I mistyped WW1 as WW2 - thank you! It is now fixed.
        
         | ziofill wrote:
         | Not to mention that Turkey is preventing Cyprus from accessing
         | their own offshore oil reserves:
         | https://www.politico.eu/article/eu-warns-turkey-over-oil-dri...
        
         | pjc50 wrote:
         | > Greece so keen on poking Turkey rather than working together
         | 
         | Turkey has not yet withdrawn from what is legally Cypriot
         | territory on the north of the island. That would be the bare
         | minimum of cooperation required.
         | 
         | (No connection to Greece myself)
         | 
         | https://www.europarl.europa.eu/enlargement/briefings/1a2_en....
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | apples_oranges wrote:
       | EE noob question: Could it be dangerous if a cable were damaged
       | in the (salty) sea?
        
         | srs_sput wrote:
         | Underwater high power cables are a mature technology. The
         | operators would have equipment distributed across the line to
         | monitor the cable. Any shorts or opens would be detected and
         | breakers would be used disconnect the section of the cable.
        
         | stmw wrote:
         | The cables are well-protected, but if they are damaged - same
         | as with HV overhead lines - there is protection circuitry on
         | both sides that trips and shuts off the power. So it will limit
         | the damage to the rest of the grid, but you probably wouldn't
         | want to be scuba-diving next to the cable when that happens.
        
         | marshmallow_12 wrote:
         | also, what's stopping an antagonist from severing the cable?
        
           | doctoboggan wrote:
           | Same thing that is stopping them from cutting other power
           | lines: laws, and punishment for breaking those laws.
        
             | marshmallow_12 wrote:
             | I mean countries in time of war. Presumably that is one of
             | the Emergencies for which this cable is intended.
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | No, not really. In a war footing, the power plants
               | themselves would likely be targets; the cables are fairly
               | irrelevant. This sort of interconnect lets spikes in
               | consumer demand get smoothed out.
        
               | petertodd wrote:
               | The cables are extremely relevant: it is far harder to
               | protect hundreds of kilometres of underwater cable, of
               | which any part can be cut by a difficult to detect
               | submarine, than it is to protect power plants.
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | The cables aren't critical, though. They're nice to have
               | for peacetime, but given it _hasn 't happened yet_ it's
               | clear each nation is able to at least function without
               | them. In a war, there'll be bigger concerns than
               | "everyone turned on their AC in Israel and we'd like to
               | buy energy from Greece".
        
               | petertodd wrote:
               | One of the biggest goals of the many undersea cable
               | projects around the world is to enable much higher
               | dependence on unreliable renewable power. They may not be
               | critical yet. But they will be.
        
               | nradov wrote:
               | No there's really no way to protect civilian power plants
               | against modern stand-off weapons. It's just impractical
               | at any reasonable cost.
        
               | petertodd wrote:
               | There is no such thing as a perfect defence, against an
               | enemy with unlimited resources. But it is much more
               | expensive to attack an enemy's power plants with $1
               | million cruise missiles than it is to cut their
               | underwater cables by dragging anchors over them. Also,
               | you can plant bombs on underwater power lines and set
               | them off later - that's a huge problem re: how much
               | energy capacity could go down at once.
               | 
               | Anyway, we definitely can protect installations from
               | stand-off weapons: CIWS systems like the Phalanx can
               | shoot them down these days, and they're relatively cheap.
               | It's not perfect protection - eventually one will get
               | through - but it does raise the cost of a successful
               | attack substantially.
        
               | Cthulhu_ wrote:
               | It, and any kind of infrastructure, would be a prime
               | target - assuming that is what they want. But
               | infrastructure represents value, destroying a country's
               | powergrid and connections like that is only a thing if
               | your aim is complete destruction.
               | 
               | Ideally, in war, you destroy their military, or at least
               | damage it enough for the other party to concede and
               | discuss peace terms, and leave the rest alone.
               | 
               | WW2 was, I believe, the last war where they went for
               | complete destruction of infrastructure, industry, and
               | civilians. The Allies firebombed Dresden and nuked
               | Hiroshima and Nagasaki. It is estimated that 50-55
               | million civilians died in WW2, of which part due to
               | disease and famine. No conflict since has had that high a
               | civilian casualty rate.
        
           | andy_ppp wrote:
           | The armed forces of these nations.
        
             | marshmallow_12 wrote:
             | not across 1,700km
        
               | bawolff wrote:
               | They dont have to directly prevent them, just you know,
               | shoot anyone who tries after the fact.
               | 
               | Military is a deterent because of the threat of
               | retalitation, not because they literally prevent other
               | countries from doing things in the moment.
        
               | 1234throwaway wrote:
               | 1700km is fuck all. 2 hour flight for commercial
               | airliner, less for pointy aeroplane. even eurocopter can
               | go 300-400 kmh, not a problem
        
               | Cthulhu_ wrote:
               | 1700km underwater?
        
               | maratc wrote:
               | The navies of these nations, then.
        
           | throw1234651234 wrote:
           | The same thing that's stopping them from cutting the under-
           | ocean internet cables, I imagine - political and military
           | repercussions.
        
           | siculars wrote:
           | Israel has the means to detect and prevent such shenanigans.
        
           | pardavis wrote:
           | Unrelated but fun story about antagonists and undersea cables
           | that I saw in some Cold War history book in college.
           | 
           | The CIA had cooked up a bonkers covert mission to send a
           | submarine with an airlock right into the soviets' top
           | submarine harbor. There, divers were to place a tap an
           | underwater data cable that fed the nearby submarine base--a
           | crown jewel of Soviet sub deployment intel.
           | 
           | The CIA knew the cable passed through the harbor somewhere.
           | But where?
           | 
           | To search the entire harbor for a tiny cable would have taken
           | too long. The mission planners were stuck on this problem
           | until one day one of the CIA planners is out on his personal
           | boat. He sees a sign that says "WARNING: Undersea Cable" and
           | has a moment of clarity.
           | 
           | They brought a translator, popped up the periscope in the
           | Soviet harbor, and spotted an equivalent sign which they used
           | to carry out the mission successfully.
           | 
           | For extra credit they had to go back to exfiltrate the data
           | if my memory serves.
        
             | dmos62 wrote:
             | I think you're misremembering the part with the signs. The
             | guy came up with the idea to look for a sign on the beach
             | that forbids anchoring. They found it and the cable proved
             | to be there. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blind_Ma
             | n%27s_Bluff:_The_Untol...
        
               | pardavis wrote:
               | It sounds like you're right. Also, that's the book I read
               | way back then! Neat, I'll have to pick it up again.
        
             | marshmallow_12 wrote:
             | Operation Ivy Bells
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Ivy_Bells
        
               | pardavis wrote:
               | >The large recording device was designed to detach if the
               | cable was raised for repair.
               | 
               | Clever!
        
       | _Microft wrote:
       | This has a Wikipedia entry already:
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/EuroAsia_Interconnector
        
         | algorithm314 wrote:
         | Which is mostly an advertisement. Probably the main author is
         | linked to the Euroasia Interconnector.
         | 
         | Also note that there is little reference for the Greek part of
         | the interconnector for which there was a great debate. Greece
         | decided to create the part connecting Crete with Attica on it's
         | own citing delays that cost Greece hundrends of millions a year
         | because it is forced to operate diesel plants in Crete.
         | 
         | Also Greece also has the longest and deepest AC connection in
         | the world under construction (2 cables connecting Peloponesse
         | with Crete). One of the cables is already operational.
        
           | capableweb wrote:
           | > Which is mostly an advertisement. Probably the main author
           | is linked to the Euroasia Interconnector.
           | 
           | Maybe, but judging by the history page(https://en.wikipedia.o
           | rg/w/index.php?title=EuroAsia_Intercon...), it was initially
           | created by someone in the US and later edited by a diverse
           | set of editors. So unlikely the entire page is an
           | advertisement. If you see some specific snippets you think
           | don't fit on Wikipedia, Be Bold and delete them
           | (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Be_bold)
        
             | algorithm314 wrote:
             | The person I was refering is Karaol. Even the top image
             | that is described as his own work and is used in the main
             | Euroasia site without any attribution. You can see the
             | image in the main site here https://euroasia-
             | interconnector.com/at-glance/the-big-pictur...
             | 
             | The article fails to address the controversy between Greece
             | and Euroasia interconnector. The only reference I can find
             | is that in the top image, the line connecting Attika and
             | Crete became dashed at some time. Also Greece cited that
             | Ariadne interconnector is a company with only 25k capital
             | and no previous completed project.
        
               | _Microft wrote:
               | Yandex.com reverse image search might help if you want to
               | investigate that.
        
       | sorokod wrote:
       | Something for Turkey to think about.
        
       | hourislate wrote:
       | I have a suspicion that this might have something to do with the
       | large Leviathan Gas field find off the coast of Israel along with
       | some recent finds.
       | 
       | https://www.haaretz.com/largest-natural-gas-reserve-discover...
       | 
       |  _The reserve, Leviathon, is the largest amount of natural gas
       | discovered in the world in the last decade and is located in
       | approximately 5,400 feet (1,645 meters) of water, about 130
       | kilometers offshore of Haifa and 29 miles (47 kilometers)
       | southwest of the Tamar discovery._
       | 
       | It would certainly make sense for Israel to get into the
       | generation business and sell power to others. The country is too
       | small to otherwise make use of 16 trillion cubic feet of NatGas
       | for personal consumption. I was also under the assumption they
       | were building a gas pipeline to Europe.
        
         | golemiprague wrote:
         | Israel sells the gas, although Israel is small it provides
         | energy also to the west bank and Gaza so about 13 million
         | people altogether. A lot of energy goes into desalination and
         | now with electric cars growing in sales it will increase the
         | local demand even more. So I don't think Israel will have any
         | spare production, the cable is more for backup purposes for
         | extreme cases
        
         | cblconfederate wrote:
         | there is another project, the eastMed pipeline for the transfer
         | of natgas to europe
        
       | GekkePrutser wrote:
       | Will this benefit the Turkish side of Cyprus as well?
       | 
       | That would surprise me. Greek Cyprus and Greece aren't exactly
       | friends with Turkey. To put it mildly.
        
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       (page generated 2021-03-08 23:01 UTC)