[HN Gopher] Stripe valuation soars to $95B after latest fundraising
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       Stripe valuation soars to $95B after latest fundraising
        
       Author : minimaxir
       Score  : 56 points
       Date   : 2021-03-14 21:13 UTC (1 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.ft.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.ft.com)
        
       | qntty wrote:
       | https://archive.is/mraaX
        
       | Taylor_OD wrote:
       | Wow. It takes a lot of money to take on the PayPal monster huh?
       | Incredible.
        
         | kjrose wrote:
         | Well, and I could be wrong. Paypal was able to be basically a
         | bank without having to follow any of the rules of what a bank
         | needed to follow.
         | 
         | Sorta like Uber being a taxi service without having to follow
         | any of the rules of a taxi service.
         | 
         | My guess is it's very expensive to beat someone who has already
         | broken the rules to get to where they are before the rules
         | caught up to them.
        
       | heavyset_go wrote:
       | I'm building a non-profit and Stripe fees eat into donations. Are
       | there any good Stripe alternatives out there?
        
         | edwinwee wrote:
         | Stripe can oftentimes lower fees for nonprofits
         | (https://support.stripe.com/questions/fee-discount-for-
         | nonpro...). Email nonprofit@stripe.com and CC edwin@stripe.com
         | --we'd be happy to chat.
        
         | 1123581321 wrote:
         | Are you already getting the non-profit discount from Stripe?
         | Any processor will cost you something if you take credit card
         | donations.
        
         | ceejayoz wrote:
         | The underlying issue is credit cards have interchange fees,
         | which aren't going away anytime soon. PayPal offers a slightly
         | lower transaction rate to non-profits
         | (https://www.paypal.com/us/non-
         | profit/fundraising/fundraising...) and Stripe appears to have
         | similar (no rates disclosed;
         | https://support.stripe.com/questions/fee-discount-for-
         | nonpro...) but you're not gonna get to zero with anyone.
         | 
         | There's always accepting checks and cash. Or ACH payments, but
         | each of these will probably cause drop-off in people who'd
         | prefer to use a CC.
         | 
         | I would tend to expect that the ease of donating via CC readily
         | outweighs the fees you'd save by ditching it. I've seen a few
         | charities have a checkbox on the form that says something like
         | "processing this costs us 3%; will you add that much to cover
         | it?"
        
           | heavyset_go wrote:
           | We don't expect to get zero fees from any payment processor,
           | we're just at the crossroads of developer convenience and
           | making sure each dollar is maximized, so we're leaning
           | towards discriminating on cost in this case.
        
         | vmception wrote:
         | no. target richer people like the rest of us do.
        
         | bombcar wrote:
         | Make it clear where to send checks on your donation page - and
         | encourage people to use their bank's bill pay. Usually free to
         | them and to you.
        
           | heavyset_go wrote:
           | Good idea, thanks.
        
         | missedthecue wrote:
         | At the end of the day someone has to pay the interchange fees.
        
           | Cu3PO42 wrote:
           | Sure, but not necessarily the ridiculously high ones. You
           | could just cap them to a reasonably low percentage. In the EU
           | it's 0.3% on credit cards and 0.2% on debit cards.
           | 
           | Edit: This is also reflected in Stripe's pricing. They charge
           | EU customers 1.4%+25ct on EU cards and honestly you can go
           | lower. Adyen does Interchange++ and 10ct, which if you're not
           | a big customer probably works out to around 1%+10ct.
        
         | ianhawes wrote:
         | If you email them, they will usually give you a rate of around
         | 2.7% for VC/MC and 3.9% for Amex
        
           | ceejayoz wrote:
           | Sounds risky; Stripe's standard rate for Amex is 2.9%.
        
             | ianhawes wrote:
             | Yes, because according to published information, all Stripe
             | Amex transactions are at a loss.
        
       | davej wrote:
       | Particularly interesting that the Irish sovereign treasury is co-
       | leading this round.
        
         | polote wrote:
         | Leading a round of 600M at a 95 valuation, They did not even
         | took 1% of the company. Is that still leading ?
        
       | bitcoinGod88 wrote:
       | How is stripe not bigger than PP.. i swear few people use pp
       | these days
        
       | cecida wrote:
       | Stripe are an engineering first company. You even see the
       | Collison brothers posting here on a regular basis. Creating great
       | tech is built into the DNA of the company.
       | 
       | Great to see them investing further in their home country as
       | well, and mentioning that some of their global leadership team
       | will be based in Dublin.
        
       | ffggvv wrote:
       | am i the only one that thinks fintech is massively overvalued?
       | especially square etc, or anything adjacent. sure they have great
       | growth and revenue but i don't see any path where profit can
       | justify the value
        
       | sharkweek wrote:
       | Throw out any number for Stripe's valuation and I probably
       | believe it at this point.
       | 
       | 95B honestly seems relatively cheap.
       | 
       | Trying to figure out why this was announced on a Sunday (in the
       | US) though.
        
       | Graffur wrote:
       | What is Stripe's moat? It's developer friendly but from my
       | experience management will only care about the cost.
        
         | klelatti wrote:
         | I just listened to a podcast with Patrick Collison in which he
         | listed the ways in which Stripe's market seemed unattractive
         | when they started out. Dauntingly complex, highly regulated
         | etc.
         | 
         | Anyone looking to compete with Stripe will have the same
         | thought process and probably won't bother.
         | 
         | And if they do then they will have to execute as successfully
         | as Stripe over an extended period.
         | 
         | Edit: Just to add that the podcast was "The Knowledge Project"
         | [1] - just a fascinating conversation.
         | 
         | [1] https://fs.blog/knowledge-project/patrick-collison/
        
           | disiplus wrote:
           | sure that was then, but that changed over the years. stripe
           | is not cheap, i'm pretty sure if somebody came with the same
           | UX many would switch, us including. We are B2B and with
           | postpaid so the customers are using Stripe to pay Invoices.
           | There are zero charge backs or fraud but still have to pay
           | high fees.
        
             | klelatti wrote:
             | You'll notice I didn't mention price!
             | 
             | Sure you'd like an identical service to Stripe for a lower
             | fee but the moat is that doing what Stripe does isn't easy
             | at all. You're paying for that fact.
        
         | manishsharan wrote:
         | Think of it this way: there is no opportunity for an new
         | entrant into this market almost globally. Stripe's fee is low
         | enough and its API is super easy to use and the brand is well
         | loved by most ecommerce companies. A new entrant will have to
         | go up against this enormous amount of goodwill that Stripe has
         | accumulated. The only danger to Stripe is if a major bank
         | decides to get into this space. I work for a major bank and let
         | me assure you that the technical expertise , market savvy and
         | wisdom to pull off a new venture like this just doesnt exist in
         | banks.
        
           | Graffur wrote:
           | > there is no opportunity for an new entrant into this market
           | almost globally?
           | 
           | Why is that? Is it something Stripe achieved over time?
        
           | abalone wrote:
           | Low pricing is not a moat.
        
             | 0xy wrote:
             | This is totally wrong, considering Stripe has enormous
             | negotiating leverage.
             | 
             | My employer never bothers switching to any competitor
             | because Stripe match any deal that their competitors
             | present to us.
             | 
             | Could you, a single person and $500m of seed funding match
             | Stripe's prices? Not without hemorrhaging cash.
             | 
             | One of Amazon's moats is low pricing as well, which can
             | only be achieved with eye-watering scale (their margins are
             | 0% in some categories, they make it up by delaying payments
             | to vendors and pocketing the interest).
        
               | ianhawes wrote:
               | Fun fact: I presented Stripe an opportunity to meet or
               | beat a proposal by Braintree. They countered with a
               | microscopic fee decrease and wanted to lock us into a 2
               | year deal.
               | 
               | Not only was the offer from Braintree way better, they
               | gave us a better deal on PayPal fees as well.
               | 
               | Stripe's focus on their supplementary offerings, like
               | Billing (which used to be effectively free) and Checkout
               | show that they're trying to eat more of the transaction
               | percentage. Try mentioning PayPal button on a Stripe
               | Checkout page and you will be muted from talking in their
               | YouTube broadcast.
               | 
               | Overall, I'm bearish on Stripe and look forward to
               | shorting them on the public market, whenever that day
               | comes.
        
             | klelatti wrote:
             | Why? If you have scale and the cost base that enables you
             | to sustain the pricing profitably in can be very, very
             | difficult for competitors to enter your market.
        
           | buro9 wrote:
           | Disagree.
           | 
           | Every ecommerce company and retailer looks at payment fees as
           | money left on the table.
           | 
           | The more money Stripe take on, the more they need to return
           | to investors, and so the more pressure to make margin. That
           | is the opportunity for the future.
           | 
           | I too doubt it would come from a bank, nor from Visa and
           | Mastercard... but could another exist? Yes!
           | 
           | If it came from a big player, I'd be looking at Shopify.
        
             | ampdepolymerase wrote:
             | Shopify already has a first party processor, but they are
             | not available to non-shopify customers.
        
               | masom wrote:
               | We use Stripe...
        
         | pxue wrote:
         | they locked in the bottom up approach. Payments typically isn't
         | something people have deep knowledge about, so management defer
         | to devs to do the research, when that happens devs going to
         | pick the easiest API to work with.
        
           | that_guy_iain wrote:
           | Honestly, I find that a lot of the time it's management picks
           | a payment provider and then devs have to implement it. You
           | don't need to have deep knowledge to know you want to accept
           | payments and how much it'll cost. And if I remember correctly
           | when they entered the market they were all about how much you
           | paid was cheaper and clear than with the big boys who all had
           | a higher barrier to entry.
        
         | chiefalchemist wrote:
         | Moat? The payments market is growing. A lot, to say the least.
         | All you need is a small percentage of that and it's still
         | significant.
         | 
         | It's like the soft drink market. You don't have to be #1 or #2
         | and you can still do quite well.
         | 
         | Stripe might never be on top but it'll print money fairly
         | easily for a long time.
        
         | SmellTheGlove wrote:
         | Think about how much complexity Stripe abstracts away from you
         | as its user. In the US it might seem "simple" in that it's just
         | cards, but each network/acquirer behaves differently enough
         | that even that isn't easy. Now incorporate payment methods that
         | aren't cards -- which are way more popular than cards in other
         | parts of the world. Then think about decoupling the payment
         | method from the geo. And then decouple the pay-in from the pay-
         | out. We're not even talking about their other products at this
         | point, and already it's a pretty complex business.
         | 
         | The fact that we can think "what's so hard about that?" is
         | declaring Stripe's moat without even knowing you did it.
        
       | polote wrote:
       | So Ayden is valued at 100 times revenue. Per the article Stripe
       | is bigger than Ayden and growing faster, so Stripe must be worth
       | more than 100 times revenue and less than 95000/684 = 138 times
       | revenue. So comparatively to Ayden their valuation seems cheap
       | (or they are not bigger than Ayden)
        
         | bitcoinGod88 wrote:
         | valuation should not increase linearly based on revenue. the
         | market winner will eventually get the lions share
        
       | sebmellen wrote:
       | This certainly makes Stripe the most valuable private startup in
       | the world.
       | 
       | Where does Stripe rank among the world's most valuable private
       | companies, though? It's easy to find lists of dubious quality
       | like this: https://news.yahoo.com/10-most-valuable-private-
       | companies-21..., but I'm sure there are more lurking. What are
       | they?
        
         | beaner wrote:
         | Coinbase is still private and is valued at $100 B.
        
         | ThePhysicist wrote:
         | Bosch is privately owned and they made 71 BEUR of revenue in
         | 2020, so about 180 times bigger than Stripe.
        
         | masom wrote:
         | > This certainly makes Stripe the most valuable private startup
         | in the world.
         | 
         | Stripe has not been a startup for a while, they've been in
         | public operations for about 10 years now and probably power a
         | large portion of online purchases.
        
         | DLay wrote:
         | Bytedance was valued at $180 billion back in November. I was
         | shocked to learn how many products they have besides of
         | Douyin/TikTok.
         | 
         | https://techcrunch.com/2020/11/05/tiktoks-parent-company-byt...
        
         | gota wrote:
         | Yeah, I don't know about these lists. Cargill valued at 40bn
         | when wikipedia says they own 60bn in assets and profiting...
         | 
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cargill
        
           | nl wrote:
           | > Cargill valued at 40bn when wikipedia says they own 60bn in
           | assets and profiting
           | 
           | This is true, but it's unclear how much debt they are
           | carrying, and a quick Google couldn't find out.
        
           | qeternity wrote:
           | Cargill is an agritrader. They are a big company but
           | definitely not as valuable as Stripe (look at some of the
           | other ABCDs).
           | 
           | Trading businesses never get high valuations. But they throw
           | off real cash. Different strokes for different folks.
        
             | tryptophan wrote:
             | True.
             | 
             | They don't get high valuations because their earnings
             | fluctuate a lot, and their average profit margin is like
             | 1-3%, as compared to like stripe or apple which probably
             | has like 30%.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | missedthecue wrote:
         | Koch Industries is worth well in excess of $100 billion.
        
       | missedthecue wrote:
       | Is Stripe unprofitable? What kind of scale are they going to
       | reach that will push them over the edge into the black that they
       | haven't been able to reach at the vast scale they already have?
       | 
       | If they are profitable, why go the expensive equity route rather
       | than using retained earnings? Or bonds? American Airlines
       | recently sold $10 billion of them at 5.5%. Surely Stripe could do
       | just as well or better.
        
         | SMAAART wrote:
         | Payment is just the entry point; from there they are probably
         | going to expand into other quasi-bank services; the first low-
         | hanging fruit that comes to mind is Advance Loans secured by CC
         | receivables; easy, popular and highly lucrative.
        
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       (page generated 2021-03-14 23:00 UTC)