[HN Gopher] Is that ship still stuck? ___________________________________________________________________ Is that ship still stuck? Author : ColinWright Score : 302 points Date : 2021-03-25 20:58 UTC (2 hours ago) (HTM) web link (istheshipstillstuck.com) (TXT) w3m dump (istheshipstillstuck.com) | gm3dmo wrote: | Smit are like the Winston Wolf of the shipping business. No | problem too big to solve. | dghlsakjg wrote: | Why do so many people here think they have some solution that | could get this done faster? There is an entire industry that is | built around heavy salvage, and their best and brightest are | working around the clock to resolve the situation. | | Everybody here knows what Dunning Kruger is. | | If you have a solution that starts with: "Why don't they | just...". The answer is either 1. They will when they can, that | kind of operation is very hard to set up in the Egyptian Desert, | or 2. That is a dumb/impractical/impossible thing you are | suggesting. | dang wrote: | Recent and related: | | _Suez canal blocked by a massive ship_ - | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26560319 - March 2021 (419 | comments) | tamaharbor wrote: | Drop salt around the ship to increase the buoyancy of the | water... | _the_inflator wrote: | Looking at how stuck the ship is, this could also be a new | terrorist vector to attack the channel via such a ,,derailed" | ship. | Tenoke wrote: | It does legitimately seem like you can do tremendous damage by | derailing a few ships in the right spots. Bringing bombs or | other small ships or something else seems doable for a | terrorist organization on the face of it. | WWWWH wrote: | Wasn't this the plot of an Ian Banks novel? Canal dreams. | Imagine die hard, with the Bruce Willis part being a middle- | aged, female, Japanese cellist. | bigfudge wrote: | This is true more generally. When I lived in London and the | IRA campaign was going on I never understood why they didn't | just set fire to a few stolen vans on Euston road/City | road/Waterloo bridge every morning rather than actually | killing people. Would have been more effective. | simmerup wrote: | What freedom fighter would throw away their life to cause a | traffic jam? | | And what government would cave to whats essentially a minor | inconvenience | randompwd wrote: | Such an ignorant comment. | moritonal wrote: | Shh! The modern world is based on the fact a few really mad | stupid people don't realise how brittle the hacks we built | society on are. | bawbag wrote: | Not related to this, but is there a company out there who could | profit from this kind of thing? "I got stuck but my friend made | it through, prices are up lol". | tobr wrote: | The ship is named "Ever Given", but the huge text on the side | says "EVERGREEN", which is confusingly similar. Does anyone know | why? | nabla9 wrote: | The ship stuck (Ever Given) is build to Suezmax limits. It fits, | but barely. | | Ever Given (Suezmax limit) length: 399.94 m (400 | m) tonnage: 199,629 DWT (200,000 DWT) | [deleted] | CosmicShadow wrote: | How long before this gets made into a Netflix series? | drno123 wrote: | One peaceful nuclear explosion would do the trick. | elihu wrote: | I suppose I'll kick off the usual "why don't they just do X" | thread. | | It seems to me that if they can't move it by any normal means, | they could just start pushing cargo containers overboard and fish | them out until it's light enough to move. | | I could also a lot of plausible reasons why they wouldn't do | that: | | - it wouldn't work (no equipment to move containers) | | - the ship's owner doesn't want to do that and no one has the | authority to force them | | - the ship's owner wants to do that, but the owner of the cargo | doesn't want them to | | - the cost of lost cargo is more than the cost of delaying other | ships | | - it would take too long or be too messy to clean up | brundolf wrote: | Perhaps most importantly: the channel is only a couple dozen | meters deep, which is part of the problem. Dropping a bunch of | containers down there would almost certainly create a new | obstacle for this and other ships | JumpCrisscross wrote: | > _they could just start pushing cargo containers overboard and | fish them out until it 's light enough to move_ | | Light boats are less stable. About the only thing that cold | make this situation worse would be the damn thing capsizing in | the canal. | laurent92 wrote: | Yes. Unloading is a science, also, if you want to avoid | capsizing. And the risk is increased because they don't know | on which sand the boat rests (it may be balanced at some | point just by one bank + the pressure of the flow of water) | and the tides add some random every 6 hrs. | dshibarshin wrote: | The carrier can announce a general average [1] which allows it | to throw the containers overboard if they believe it will help | the ship get moving. | | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/General_average | jdasdf wrote: | A general average requires an imminent danger which the ship | is clearly no in, since it's just stuck. | | You also can't argue that they have to dump it overboard | because of the costs that the delays will cause, because such | costs are explicitly excluded in the 2004 rules on general | averages [1] | | [1] Rule C, paragraph 3 | https://shippingandfreightresource.com/wp- | content/uploads/20... | mongol wrote: | They need to pump out sand from beneath the ship. If it is indeed | sand. | damontal wrote: | Job interview question: how many helicopters would it take to | lift it? | BrianOnHN wrote: | 15,000 Chinooks. Good luck finding that many, though. | ryanmarsh wrote: | This thread reminds me similar threads here and elsewhere when | Deep Water Horizon's well head was spewing hydrocarbons into the | Gulf of Mexico for weeks. The immense scale (depth, pressure, | etc) and logistics (distance from shore, open ocean) exceeds | everyone's intuitive high-school grasp of physics. The ideas | presented are laughable and immediately shot down by people armed | with just a few facts (plenty again given the scale and logistics | involved). | | I'm eager to see what clever solution the engineers eventually | pick. | lovemenot wrote: | Could the water be made sufficiently denser by dissolving salt or | another chemical into it? Or by refrigerating it? | jay_kyburz wrote: | Anybody know at what point the backed up ships start taking the | long way around? (Around Africa!) | bertmuthalaly wrote: | It might be already happening? | https://twitter.com/AriaCallaghan/status/1375154205233721348 | donaldo wrote: | Wow, didn't know it was stuck horizontally. Hope they can fix it. | [deleted] | cghendrix wrote: | Wonder how the data for the actual position of the ship is | obtained or if it's estimated and just hard coded on to the map? | | I always love sites that are question in the domain with answers | in the webpage as the main content. | samizdis wrote: | You can see it here: https://www.vesselfinder.com/?imo=9811000 | Animats wrote: | Yes. I notice that the two Maersk freighters behind the Ever | Given are no longer there. It looks like all traffic has been | cleared from the canal on both sides. Zoom out. The north end | of the Gulf of Suez looks like a parking lot. So does the Med | north of Port Said. So does Fayed, the lake in the middle of | the canal. | | Smit, the big Dutch salvage firm, has been called in and | already has their first heavy equipment, a dredger, on site. | "Days to weeks" is all they'll say. The good case is that | they pump fuel and ballast water out of the ship, plus some | dredging, and it floats free. The not so good case is they | bring in a big crane and start unloading containers. The bad | case is that the ship is partly sunk and will have to be | patched and refloated. The really bad case is that the hull | is so badly damaged that the ship has to be cut apart in | place. | | Meanwhile, shipping from China to Europe is now US$4000/TEU. | Usually it's around US$1000. China's "Belt and Road" rail | plan may pay off. | stragies wrote: | Or the super-extra-bad case: The ship breaks while | attempting to pull it free. Pieces of ship + 20000 | containers in the canal. How long would it be blocked for. | Full-spectrum catastrophe! | ceejayoz wrote: | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Automatic_identification_syste... | | See the "Broadcast information" section. | | Position, heading, speed, unique ID, etc. are all broadcast | "every 2 to 10 seconds". | [deleted] | lacker wrote: | I know very little about boat data but I was also curious; it | looks like it is using Vesselfinder which in turn uses data | from this AIS system. | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Automatic_identification_syste... | | There is as much information as a normal human could want to | know about how ship location data is tracked ;-) | onedognight wrote: | On iOS you can use Vessel Finder Pro. It provides a real-time | world map of all (for some reasonable definition of all) ships. | Most of maps views I have seen of this ship are just screen | shots from this app. I paid the $10 just to confirm this fact | yesterday as Ship Finder, my old standby, didn't have it. | munk-a wrote: | This is one particular outlet[1] for that data but, AFAIK, all | modern commercial vessels continuously report their location | via satellite or, preferably, coastal AIS. That data is | collected by something then APIs happen along with aggregation | and probably more APIs and... after all that, the data is | pretty widely available. | | Ship location isn't considered privileged security information | which was a bit surprising to me since pirates are still a | thing, but yea - that's the state of the world. | | Edit: Apparently I forgot to include the link, here it is: | | 1. | https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/home/centerx:32.5/cente... | WJW wrote: | It's super useful to know the location, speed and course of | other vessels nearby for navigational purposes. For those few | regions where piracy is a serious issue, vessels are either | escorted by navy ships in convoys, arrange private security | contractors or turn off AIS. The benefits of hiding yourself | don't outweigh the downsides though, especially not in | "civilized" oceans. | laurent92 wrote: | > isn't considered privileged information | | Not only that, but Bloomberg terminals have the ship | locations in real time because it impacts trading a lot: | Petrol, ore, cereals, etc. | cricalix wrote: | As a small vessel (10 metres) owner and operator, it's quite | nice that AIS operates over VHF. I can install an AIS | receiver and see precisely what's coming my way, and the | instrumentation available to me can predict whether I might | collide with the ship, or if I'll pass ahead/behind (I prefer | behind). Useful in the dark when distance is hard to gauge. | | Saw on twitter the other day that one vessel going past the | east coast of Africa had changed their info field | (destination I think) to "ARMED GUARD ONBOARD".. | bmurray7jhu wrote: | Twitter link: | | https://twitter.com/lemonodor/status/1374803809696817154 | cricalix wrote: | VesselFinder and MarineTraffic use the data broadcast by | vessels on AIS[0]. The AIS devices can be programmed with the | dimensions of the vessel, location of the AIS GPS antenna | relative to the vessel (ie, is it right aft, or in the middle, | etcetera), and uses sensor data from the network bus to get | direction, speed and the like. So yeah, if the ship's AIS is | saying "I'm at latitude, longitude doing 0 knots, last reported | course was 73 degrees", the websites can generate a somewhat | accurate picture. | | 0: | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Automatic_identification_syste... | cgdub wrote: | A single canal is a single point of failure. We need to have | multiple canals to handle unexpected failures. | aidenn0 wrote: | A balloon half a kilometer in radius filled with hydrogen should | be able to float the ship. | BrianOnHN wrote: | How would you acquire that much hydrogen, and how much would it | cost? | [deleted] | barbegal wrote: | It will be weeks before this ship is free. | | Fuel and oil can be pumped out but that only makes up a fraction | of the total weight of the vessel. Containers can be unloaded but | again the lightest will be at the top so a significant number | will need to be removed to make a big enough difference. And | unloading them will be a slow process. You can maybe unload a few | per hour with helicopters. There doesn't exist any infrastructure | which could get to that location and lift off containers. You | could build a custom crane barge but that would take at least a | month to fabricate and get to the site. The easiest way to remove | containers will be using cutting equipment, winches and possibly | explosives. It won't be easy and will likely take several weeks | to unload a significant number of containers, the ship and | containers will be damaged in the process. | | That leaves dredging the sand under the ship. Again the | infrastructure to do this rapidly doesn't exist. You can dig out | the sand around the ship but there is a huge amount that the ship | is resting on. It will take specialist dredging equipment to | start removing this sand. | maxerickson wrote: | The excavators make sense as the first stage of a dredging | operation. | kergonath wrote: | I wonder how expensive and complicated it would be to let it | there and dig another lane to bypass it. | ksec wrote: | ~15% of the World's trade is dependent on it and this is taking | much longer than expected. Why? | vkou wrote: | Because your expectations were far too high. | yuliyp wrote: | So yes it affects a lot of trade. But it can be worked around. | Ships can sail around Africa or goods can be shipped across the | Pacific and across the Panama Canal or via rail across America. | Obviously those are more expensive, but the goods will still be | transported. | madeofpalk wrote: | Is this taking longer than expected? | ksm1717 wrote: | For real. Why haven't they just mobilized hacker news? | gizmo385 wrote: | "We should take the ship, AND PUSH IT SOMEWHERE ELSE" :D [1] | | [1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t0sTNLdNhuE | ksm1717 wrote: | You can trust that I don't need to follow that link, | brother. | [deleted] | arnaudsm wrote: | Extrapolating from the 2014 extensions, building a 2nd backup | canal would cost >$8B. | | Considering it earns $10B/year to Egypt, I don't know if this | short downtime will justify the cost to them. | kergonath wrote: | It is costing much more than that to shipping companies and | the broader industry. If that is an option, I am sure they'll | find the money. That probably would take much longer than un- | sticking the ship, assuming this is possible. | albertgoeswoof wrote: | Because it's hard | londons_explore wrote: | Just dig a new canal around the ship? | | A quarter mile diversion can't take that long to dig. The | whole canal is 120 miles, so an extra quarter mile they | should be able to dig in a few days I would think? | Hamuko wrote: | Sounds easier to just dig through the ship. | pjc50 wrote: | This man doesn't infrastructure. | | (If you think it's that easy, pop over and ask if you can | have a go on the JCB) | londons_explore wrote: | I actually spent a few weeks of my life driving a JCB | commercially... | phkahler wrote: | "Just" widen the canal so it can continue pivoting around | the most stuck end until its straight again. | azornathogron wrote: | > The whole canal is 120 miles, so an extra quarter mile | they should be able to dig in a few days I would think? | | Uh, what? Why would the length of the canal as a whole tell | you anything about how long digging a quarter-mile section | would take? If the canal as a whole was longer or shorter, | would that somehow change your estimate? | gm3dmo wrote: | Just get people who know what they are doing to sort it | out. | londons_explore wrote: | Yes it would... I know the suez canal was a once-per- | century type infrastructure investment for Egypt. Doing | that same investment again probbaly isn't feasible. But | doing 0.2% of the work again is starting to sound pretty | affordable... | LegitShady wrote: | "Quarter mile" is a linear dimension. What is the width? | | If you had to estimate the volume of earth in that 'quarter | mile', and then estimate the size of an excavator bucket, | and the capacity of a dump truck, and the availability of | all those things at any given time (even if you ship them | in), you'd soon realize that just digging out that earth | will take more time. | | On top of that, there's going to be FLOW in the canal - | what will your diversion to for erosion, pressure on the | locks, etc. | | You risk damaging the canal itself to deal with a temporary | problem if you think you can just 'dig around it' in 5 | days. My bet is you've never seen how long it takes to plan | something with this much risk involved. | | This isn't software, you aren't going to Agile it away if | you screw it up. | anyfoo wrote: | I hope the people trying to remedy the situation right now | are reading your comment about your idea that you thought | up in five minutes, presumably without any background or | qualification. (Sarcasm, in case that wasn't obvious.) | Andrew_nenakhov wrote: | Volume is ^3 of the linear size. To get a clear picture of | how much it is do this: | | - launch minecraft in creative mode and make 40x40 pad of | steel blocks, 1 block high. You should do it in a few | minutes. | | - now do a 40x40x40 cube. Good luck for the rest of your | day. | ClumsyPilot wrote: | Lol no | gizmo385 wrote: | This sounds eerily similar to "Just add the new feature, it | can't take that long". Things are complicated. | spookthesunset wrote: | I mean it is just typing... how hard can it be? | dekhn wrote: | because it's "cheaper" to build a SPOF and then handle the | exceptions when they come. | JKCalhoun wrote: | Ship is no longer on the happy path. | panzagl wrote: | It's stuck like a couch in a stairwell. | smiley1437 wrote: | Pivot! | RantyDave wrote: | Except it's a couch with a bulbous bow that got buried into | the side of the stairwell, which just happens to be made of | clay. I assume the stern is stuck, too. | | And all you have to remove it is a pin. So, this is going to | take a while. | dkarl wrote: | Oh, dear. Time travelers really ought to be more careful. | phkahler wrote: | Yeah, they forgot their towel. | dr_orpheus wrote: | Do you think getting David Schwimmer to come yell "Pivot!" | would help? | fuzzy2 wrote: | Because it's, you know, stuck. If they accidentally sink it, | the cleanup will be even more messy. | RantyDave wrote: | I think it would be very, very difficult to sink. Quite aside | from the (hopefully) large number of bulkheads and other such | safety measures, the ship will be close to maximum draft for | the canal and as such would only be able to sink a metre or | two anyway. True, you'd then need to refloat it in situ, | which would not be fun ... and it would probably just become | more stuck rather than less. | | I think it's just going to take time and lots of digging. | gm3dmo wrote: | Suez canal is 24 meters deep. i count 9 iso containers | stacked high on the deck (an iso container is 2.59m high). | | Smit will be making bank on this. | blhack wrote: | One of the largest ships in the world has run aground. How long | did you expect it would take to salvage it? | nabla9 wrote: | ~30% of World container traffic goes trough it. | | Many bulk carriers exceed Suezmax limits and can't go trough. | dcolkitt wrote: | My question, for those who know more about this domain than me, | is this a problem that enough money could fix? If the | governments of the world wrote a $1 trillion blank check, would | that be enough to get the ship out in the next 24 hours? | | Or is this a problem that money alone can't solve? | johnchristopher wrote: | Let the answers to your question be a caution to all the Musk | and Star Trek fans around here: like this ship, not matter | how much money you throw at mars terra-forming, FTL drives | and climate change reversal or control technology some things | have non-negotiable deadlines. | dghlsakjg wrote: | There is a limited number of people that have the expertise, | and equipment to pull it off, and it takes them time even if | they had been standing by at the accident site. Money isn't | the issue right now. I'm a mariner, but not a salvage law | expert, but the ship and the cargo on it are effectively the | collateral for whoever removes this thing, so money is likely | not an issue. | | This is now an engineering and logisitics problem. What is | necessary for the ship to be floating again? And what | equipment is needed for that to happen? If it isn't already | at hand, how can they get the equipment there (there is | navigable water nearby, but there may be no way to unload | heavy equipment onto the land). | cricalix wrote: | We're discussing a ship that is 400 metres long, 59 metres | wide, and has a draft of 16 metres[0]. It's carrying | somewhere over 18,000 containers, each of which could weight | up to 27,000 kg[1]. It's unlikely that all of them weigh that | much, but still, they can be heavy. | | The load has been very carefully placed on the ship to ensure | maximum stability. So the heavy loads are probably deeper in | the hull and the lighter loads are higher up. When ships get | unloaded in port, it's unlikely that all the containers are | for that port, so an intricate dance starts - offloading some | containers, moving other ones to maintain the balance, and | loading new ones. At all times, you have to keep the load | within tolerances so that your ship doesn't go "I'm out!" and | roll over. | | So yeah, money alone can't solve this in 24 hours. They've | got to calculate the load changes when they offload | containers, so that you don't accidentally cause the ship to | roll over in the canal. You're not going to stop that | happening with a few bits of rope tied to some concrete | pillars in the ground.. | | [0] https://www.vesselfinder.com/vessels/EVER-GIVEN- | IMO-9811000-... | | [1] https://www.dsv.com/en/our-solutions/modes-of- | transport/sea-... | cricalix wrote: | And as a bit more context, the cranes that are used at | ports are capable of moving 60+ tonnes[0] - physics becomes | a bit of a problem when your crane is a lever.. | | 0: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Container_crane | anyfoo wrote: | Is it even that easy to get any containers off the ship, | without the machinery and infrastructure at ports? | | Is it common at all to get containers off a ship outside of | docking areas? | WJW wrote: | Certainly not common, but it can be done with specialized | vessels. | cricalix wrote: | Well, they fall off of ships all the time, especially in | rough weather (all the time is hyperbole, but it | absolutely happens). So sure, you can probably push one | off with a pretty big lever, but shipping containers are | actually designed to "clip" together to an extent, to | make the load more solid. Problem is, the canal is only | about 24 metres deep, so you're going to end up blocking | the canal with containers instead if you just push them | off. | | The modern shipping world is _all_ about containers, | container cranes, and container ships. 99 Percent | Invisible hosted some episodes of the Containers podcast | [0] that will probably provide some insight. | | 0: https://99percentinvisible.org/episode/containers- | ships-tugs... | sliken wrote: | Well it's a question of odds. Hard to imagine you couldn't | get a big auger, drill a bunch of holes, put a bunch of | telephone poles into the holes and start running steel cables | + winch from each one to the end of the ship. Repeat on the | other end of the canal/ship and start applying ever more | force to realign the ship with the canal. | | Question is, what would happen? Would the ship move the sand | it's embedded in, realign with the deepest part of the | channel and move off? | | Or would the (potentially already damaged) hull breach? | chki wrote: | I'm also just speculating but my understanding is that there | is already a lot of money behind this and that it simply | takes time for companies specialized in salvaging ships to | physically get there with their equipment and also develop a | solution that works. | | I don't think more money would make those companies work | faster and I don't think there is some reasonable alternative | solution available other than using these companies. | kergonath wrote: | At some point no amount of money is enough to overcome | Physics. | Denvercoder9 wrote: | Nine women can't make a baby in a month. Some things just take | time, regardless of how much resources you throw at it. | Black101 wrote: | Somebody just have to come up with a good idea.... IE: blow | up a boat load of C4 on the side of it... | munk-a wrote: | I'm pretty certain if you nuked the container ship you'd | solve the first problem - it'd be messy and expensive but | if you could explosively throw chunks out of the canal you | could _probably_ resume service. | | And just imagine how badass the canal would look if we | glassed the banks and lined them with some LEDs! | | (please don't do this) | azornathogron wrote: | I think you might inadvertently create a few new problems | if you did this. | munk-a wrote: | I was thinking the same thing - that glassed canal would | probably be so scenic that you'd cause several future | traffic jams from private vessels and romantic cruises | charting a path through the already near-capacity canal. | krisoft wrote: | Just in case you are not joking, what do you think blowing | up C4 at the side of the ship would achieve? | WJW wrote: | The canal is just 10 metres deeper than the ship and it's | more than 10 metres high, so just blowing up the ship is | not enough to clear the canal. You also need to take away | the 200 million kg of steel afterwards. At that point it's | easier to just wait for the Really Big Tugboats to come | over. | nomy99 wrote: | not if you blow up so hard that there is a massive | crater. Then let nature fill it up. Isn't the canal | connected to large waterways on both ends | xbar wrote: | That's not exactly the problem here. | johnchristopher wrote: | You can dance on your head as hard as you can but nine | women won't make a baby in one month. | reilly3000 wrote: | > Nine women can't make a baby in a month. This is my new | favorite phrase. | cmckn wrote: | Visited this on my phone and it said "No.". I yelped. Turns out | there's just an issue with the site on mobile! Still stuck. | timgarner0 wrote: | The site provides a tongue-in-cheek warning for this: "Tornado | Guard warnings apply." | | https://xkcd.com/937 | TheAdamAndChe wrote: | How does liability work here? Who is liable for all the work | required to get the ship dug out? Who keeps the insurance that | will pay for all this? | ampdepolymerase wrote: | Had rockets not been so regulated, this problem could have easily | been solved. It would not be cheap but with a 150million | insurance budget it is doable. Egypt is losing 400million in | trade every hour. The ship weighs 200 000 tons. You only need to | drag it out of the sand, not bring it to LEO. Another option | would be a lot of shaped charges but the side effects are much | more catastrophic if things go wrong. In the olden days, they | would just use nuclear (See project Plowshare for the Panama | Canal). | | Before you downvote, do the math. | tehjoker wrote: | I like how everyone thinks that by using money, bombs, or | radiation they can fix a carefully engineered project by | essentially kicking it hard enough. | | Blowing a messy radioactive hole in the ground does not | guarantee maritime navigability.... | gm3dmo wrote: | This is Hacker News. | riffraff wrote: | > Egypt is losing 400million in trade every hour | | this seems excessive, if they made 400M in trade per hour that | would be 3T per year, but Egypt's GDP is ~1T. | dcolkitt wrote: | At the very least, why aren't they using helicopters to take | the containers off one-by-one. That would reduce the overall | weight, and it'd be easier to move an empty ship than one | weighed down by cargo. | dageshi wrote: | Are there helicopters capable of lifting a fully loaded cargo | container? | kmonsen wrote: | In addition to the weight issues, there are up to 20k of | them on board. | Baeocystin wrote: | No. The absolute heaviest-lift helicopter, the MI-26, can | lift a little over 20 short tons. Most helicopters can | carry a ton or two at most. | | In comparison, unloaded shipping containers are already a | few tons. Loaded ones are all over the place, of course, | but max out at around 30. | karagenit wrote: | Not sure if that's possible. Some quick Googling told me a | typical 40' cargo container has a capacity of 30 tons, but | the largest commercial cargo helicopter (the Mi-26) can carry | only 22 tons. | PeterisP wrote: | It has something like 20000 containers on it. Even if | helicopters would lift a container off every 10 minutes, it | wouldn't make any meaningful difference. | | Also, you can't do the maneuvering they were trying to with | the tugs at the same time you're doing something like that, | unless you want to kill someone. | | Unloading such a ship to empty would take a long time even if | it's in port facilities under many cranes. | dghlsakjg wrote: | The worlds highest capacity heavy lift helicopter can lift | 44k lbs (russian M-26, estimated to be 20 in working | condition). An empty 40 ft. container weighs 9k lbs. With a | max loading of 66k lbs gross. The Ever Given has a capacity | of 20k TEU, or 10k 40 ft. containers. | | Being generous, you could move maybe 5 per hour. Probably 1 | per hour would be realistic. But give them the benefit of the | doubt and say they could move 20 per hour for some reason, | including fuel and maintenance stops. | | So assuming that they could work 24 hours per day, they could | do 480 containers per day (again assuming that all of the | containers are 22k lbs lighter than capacity). They should be | able to get this helicopter unloading done in 20 days of | around the clock work with a bunch of highly optimistic | assumptions. | | Plus they have to stay out of the way of the dozens of | salvage workers trying to move the actual ship, while | operating a soviet era machine in a VERY harsh desert | environment with no infrastructure. | | If they need the ship to float higher, they would start by | removing ballast, fuel, crew water, etc. | | Large salvage operations are notoriously expensive, tricky, | dangerous, and often don't make sense to outsiders. There's a | reason that there's really only about half a dozen firms | worldwide that have the expertise and equipment to pull | something like this off. | londons_explore wrote: | It looks like there might be a kind of priority difference | going on here... | | To all the ship owners and cargo owners, this blockage is a | big problem and massive amounts of money should be spent to | solve it. | | But to the canal owners, they are only losing relatively | small amounts of revenue by the canal being shut, so while | they are sending all their boats to try pull it free, they | aren't yet at the stage of calling in the army helicopters to | help unload the ship. | | At some point Egypts government will probably get involved, | and then the army will show up with tanks with a lot of | pulling power, massive winches installed on the shoreline, | and helicopters for unloading. | Baeocystin wrote: | Just to throw some numbers out there, last year the canal | grossed ~15 million USD/day in revenue from the toll | charge. | dragontamer wrote: | An entire fleet of tug-boats seem unable to move the ship. | I don't think tanks would fare much better. | | The proper solution is probably (?? I'm not an engineer, | just spitballing here) a system of pulleys. See Archemedies | and The Syracusia: Archemedies allegedly moved a ship | powered only with his own muscles using only a system of | pulleys as an assist. | | I realize that the Syracusia is probably smaller than this | container ship in the canal. Still though: a system of | pulleys is probably cheaper and stronger than what a team | of Tanks would do. | | ------------- | | They're at least in a situation where there's a ton of land | nearby that can serve as an anchor point. I mean... the | problem right now is probably just figuring out where and | how to safely pull the ship. They need to apply hundreds- | of-thousands of tons of force in a way that: | | 1. Won't break the ship apart | | 2. Successfully dislodges it | | Its a relatively simple problem to apply hundreds-of- | thousands of tons of force. But doing it in such a way to | keep the ship floating... that's the hard part. | ArkanExplorer wrote: | Egypt is losing transit fees. | | A typical bulk carrier pays about $200,000 per transit. | | 51 ships transit the canal each day, on average. | | Egypt is losing $10m per day. | | Edit: the canal generated $5.85billion in revenue in 2018, or | $16million per day. | | https://www.reuters.com/article/uk-egypt-economy-suezcanal-i... | yitchelle wrote: | Egypt could claim the lost fees from the ship owner, maybe? | p1mrx wrote: | "The humor of the entire situation suddenly gave way to a run | for survival as huge chunks of container blubber fell | everywhere." | frozenlettuce wrote: | "the blast blew blubber beyond any believe boundaries" | stragies wrote: | The original source: | | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yPuaSY0cMK8 | Denvercoder9 wrote: | Brute force won't really help here, as the ship does not have | the structural integrity to resist the force rocket engines | would exert on it. Breaking the ship up would be catastrophic, | as clean-up of many pieces would take a lot longer than getting | it unstuck. | electrotype wrote: | Genuine question: why not simply pull its back in the reverse | direction it was going, until its front is unstuck? | artificial wrote: | Both ends are jammed now. | sliken wrote: | Because the momentum of a huge ship dug quite deeply into the | sides of the canal quite hard, so it's no longer floating. | | It's nowhere close to floating currently, and a ship can't be | pulled with arbitrarily large forces without damage. | vpribish wrote: | the stern is stuck already in the other bank | nitramm wrote: | Do you know why half of the internet is using evergiven when on | all the photos is written evergreen? | ksm1717 wrote: | Hi. pm me and I can explain you | andylash wrote: | The name of the company is Evergreen. All their ships start | with Ever. This ship is Evergiven. | JKCalhoun wrote: | "Ever Grounded"? | tsm wrote: | Evergreen is the company name, Ever Given (which does appear on | the ship in much smaller letters) is the ship's name. | [deleted] | jachee wrote: | This confused me, too, at first. | | The vessel name (on the bow) is _Ever Given_. | | The company operating it, emblazoned on the side in large | letters, is Evergreen. | JKCalhoun wrote: | Evergreen is the company, all their ships are named "Ever X" | where "X" is some word that begins with "G". | | Like how some people name all their kids with the same first | letter. I know, weird. | snakeroman wrote: | Evergreen is the company, Evergiven is the name of the ship. | gizmo385 wrote: | Because Evergreen is the name of the company that operates the | ship [1] and Ever Given is the name of the ship [2]. | | [1]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Evergreen_Marine | | [2]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ever_Given | topspin wrote: | Evergreen Marine Corporation owns the ship named Ever Given. | [deleted] | [deleted] | evanlong wrote: | Great minds think alike: | | https://isthesuezcanalblocked.com | dnautics wrote: | Principle of maximal irony prediction: the ship rolls over while | trying to free it and the suez gets littered with containers, | takes even longer to clear it. | WJW wrote: | The Dutch national news had an interview with the CEO of | Boskalis, which is the company hired to unlodge the ship. They | have one team on the ground atm and another building computer | simulations exactly to calculate how much oil and ballast they | can pump out (to lighten the ship up and make it easier to tow) | without endangering the stability of the ship. | | Apparently they had a similar case (same size of ship) a few | years back on the Elbe in Germany, in the end it took 12 (!) of | the largest tugs they had to get it loose. | em-bee wrote: | do you mean this case? https://www.mopo.de/hamburg/frachter- | rammt-faehre-knapp-an-d... | | that was the very same ship | | EDIT: no, the incident needing 12 tugs was a different ship. | see comment below. | Forge36 wrote: | This gave me a good laugh. | wussboy wrote: | Oh my god who is driving this thing? | RupertEisenhart wrote: | Thats.. almost literally unbelievable. I almost want to | suspect that that's a code name? For any sufficiently large | ship that blocks a major waterway? Incredible. | Anther wrote: | Perhaps Uncle Albert from Only Fools and Horses is driving | this one. | BatFastard wrote: | Very strange that it was the same ship, very strange! | sliken wrote: | I don't read German, but I can find reports of the same | SIZE chip getting stuck on the Elbe and requiring 12 tugs | to free it. The ship was called the CSCL Indian Ocean. | doublesocket wrote: | And again a strong wind was blamed. Maybe there's a limit | to how big these ships can be built? | kmonsen wrote: | Is that ship abnormally large or something or is this just | a super wild coincidence? | bolasanibk wrote: | It is one of the largest container ships in the world. | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_largest_container_s | hip... | anigbrowl wrote: | Needs a counter for ongoing cost. An experienced military | logistics person I know estimated yesterday that the bill for | this is up to about $40 billion already. | Denvercoder9 wrote: | That might be the total value of impacted shipping, but nobody | is going to get a $40 billion bill for this. | laurent92 wrote: | Do they have deadlines for delivery and late fees? I've heard | a quarter of the worldwide cargo capacity will be delayed by | this event, this could rise very fast. | blhack wrote: | Those two guys on excavators are gonna be RICH! | hikerclimb wrote: | I hope it never gets unstuck | Jedd wrote: | An image showing an excavator near the pointy end. | | I'm sure the overwhelming scale is reduced at this proximity. | | https://i.imgur.com/aAyrXub.jpeg | gm3dmo wrote: | Smit salvage have got this. I just hope they had enough notice to | to take their film crew with them: | | https://www.youtube.com/c/SmitSalvageTowage/videos | aidenn0 wrote: | They said "days to weeks" for how long it will take, so they | got plenty of time to film it. | piinbinary wrote: | I wonder if they could build a dam around the ship and lift it | with water. | Denvercoder9 wrote: | Physically that would work, but this ship has a draught of 14.5 | meters. You'd need to build a pretty high dam. It would need to | cross the canal twice, as otherwise the water level inside the | dam would never be higher than the current water level, and | you'd need to pump in the water. Then, once the ship floats, | you'd somehow need to move it out of your small artificial lake | into the canal, and remove the dam you created in the canal. | | It's easier to lighten the ship. | tediousdemise wrote: | Is it naive to suggest that they start digging a detour around | this roadblock? I feel like it would take less time to do that | than to try to move the ship out of the way. | | The Army Corps of Engineers can build waterways and levies like | it's nobody's business. | saberdancer wrote: | Dig it with what? By the time you could get anything in place | and start digging any sort of a detour, you'll get this ship | removed. | | This is not a small detour. These ships can't turn well so any | detour would need to be very long and would take months to dig | out (even if you had infrastructure in place to do it). | | You could nuke it though. Throw a bunch of nukes in a line and | you are good to go. :D | TedShiller wrote: | I feel like this whole thing is a perfect metaphor for the | current US government | rbx wrote: | Apparently, the ship drew a giant penis before getting stuck: | https://nypost.com/2021/03/24/cargo-ship-drew-penis-before-g... | blhack wrote: | I don't think people are giving enough credit to _how_ stuck the | ship is. | | Look at some of the photos of the front of it. Look at how far | out of the water it is sitting. The ship might look like that if | it were totally empty, but not when it is full of containers like | this. | | Some people saying: just drag it off of the sand. Okay! And what | happens when that causes you to rip a hole into the hull of the | ship? Now it's _really_ stuck. | | Some people have suggested unloading the ship. I don't think you | realize the infrastructure required to unload a ship. You're | basically asking to build a port in the middle of the egyptian | desert. That isn't going to happen. | | It's really stuck. It's probably going to take a couple of weeks | to get it unstuck. | adflux wrote: | Love the armchair engineers who think they're gonna solve this | better than billion dollar companies | lamontcg wrote: | Just let the air out of the tires, simple. | yitchelle wrote: | Put balloons around it to give extra buoyancy. That should | work. | dghlsakjg wrote: | That actually is something that you can do in smaller | salvage operations. The technical word for these balloons | is lift bag. | raisedbyninjas wrote: | I searched for the biggest ones I could find this week | and it was something like several tons. So we only need | about 10 thousand of them. | fendy3002 wrote: | Or with crabs, potc style! /s | Arrath wrote: | Just bring in a Bagger 288[1] and use it to excavate a new | diversion canal in front of the ship long enough to get it | out of the main canal, bada-bing bada-boom. Simple! | | [1]Obligatory: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=azEvfD4C6ow | atdt wrote: | It's a way of thinking out loud and providing an opening for | someone more knowledgeable to explain what is being | overlooked. It makes for interesting threads. | DanBC wrote: | > It makes for interesting threads. | | The threads are not particularly interesting because people | make the same suggestions over and over again. | jonplackett wrote: | In that case... why don't we get Elon Musk's Submarine to | get it out? | arkitaip wrote: | It's hilariously arrogant too. | breckinloggins wrote: | I feel like we need a "why don't you just?" safe word, | where the intent is to signify "hey I'm not being a | smartass, I'm really just curious about why this | seemingly simple solution won't actually work". | | So much of what happens on the internet is in bad faith | that it makes it really hard to just have innocent | conversations without being misunderstood. :-( | 1123581321 wrote: | Agreed. I've thought the same for posting an interesting | fact. Anymore, I want to preface every single one by | saying, "hey, you may already know this; I'm just sharing | it because it hasn't been mentioned yet and I think it's | neat. If you were implying the fact already, I apologize | for overlooking that." | rjmill wrote: | I try to replace any "I think..." and "Why don't they | just..." comments with "I wonder if..." ones. | | I've found it communicates my curiosity in a way that's | less likely to be misinterpreted. It's made my | internet/IRL conversations much more productive. | noizejoy wrote: | > So much of what happens on the internet is in bad faith | | ... and I have to admit I'm still not able to easily | recognize the difference between bad faith and utter lack | of experience and/or intelligence without digging deep | into the history of the individual posting such | "questions". | | And the need for that extra digging makes such questions | effectively the same waste of time and emotional energy | as responding to a troll. | breckinloggins wrote: | Same. It's super easy to know when _I_ am communicating | in good faith, but it 's not so trivial to know when | _you_ are. | | You know those scenes in the movies where two characters | circle around each other giving the side eye like "so are | you fucking with me or are we cool?" | | Twitter in particular feels like a whole site of people | doing that. :) | lovemenot wrote: | Why dont you just coin a new phrase? Perhaps it'll stick. | breckinloggins wrote: | I've actually seen literal quotes before, e.g. a question | like: | | "Why don't you just" get a bunch of people on rafts and | row real fast to push it off? | ksd482 wrote: | Maybe but maybe not. | | Like the parent comment said, it's a way of thinking out | loud. | | For e.g., when someone says "just dig it out, it just | pull it away...", I give them a benefit of doubt by | assuming what they are really saying is "I know it's not | as simple as just pulling it out but can someone explain | why we can't though?" | [deleted] | TeMPOraL wrote: | What do you think people at "billion dollar companies" do | in such situation? | | Exactly the same thing. Just not on a public board. Just | like everyone else is doing when discussing problems they | face in any line of work. | | Since it's unlikely anyone here has any decision making | power relevant to the Suez canal, look at this discussion | as an exercise in group problem solving. Sharpening the | saw. | HenryBemis wrote: | > Exactly the same thing. | | Not exactly-exactly. There are (e.g.) 1000 suggested | solutions. | | 950/1000 of them are silly, stupid, impossible, | -facepalm-, etc. | | 25/1000 are doable. | | 10/25 are doable and cost less than the other 25 | | 5/10 are faster than others | | 2/5 are actively being investigated, and of course they | won't be announced to 'us'. They | (thinkers/engineers/specialists) will have to talk to | their CEOs/COOs/CFOs, insurance companies, Egypt's | military, handlersof the canal, and a bunch of other key | stakeholders. | | (my ratios are pure guesstimates, but it makes sense that | there is a selection process, and we won't figure them | out from our couches) | ortusdux wrote: | Cunningham's Law: "The best way to get the right answer on | the Internet is not to ask a question; it's to post the | wrong answer." | gregoriol wrote: | That's what some scientists said about mRNA research | prox wrote: | If this was space engineers I would build a crane drone and | offload it unto nearby ships. Or build giant trucks to help | the ship get unstuck. | | Or just tow it outside the environment... | gizmo385 wrote: | > Or just tow it outside the environment... | | For those who haven't seen this video... | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3m5qxZm_JqM | topspin wrote: | Where is Elon when you need him? | ericj5 wrote: | He just offered to build them a little submarine | kergonath wrote: | That ship is never going to fit in that submarine. | olalonde wrote: | That's how a lot of billion dollar companies got started. | tiborsaas wrote: | We have the luxury of just throwing around ideas and not | caring about the consequences (because nobody in power will | read it). It's just fun to think about how you'd solve a | problem like this. | | For example I'd try to attach a two Raptor engines to the | ship and blow it back to the water :) | TeMPOraL wrote: | Or tear the ship apart :). Which makes me think - why not | cut the ship in half? Two pieces will be easier to dislodge | and tow away :). | gregoriol wrote: | Someone actually is trying that idea in Georgia right now | (https://www.thedrive.com/news/34648/capsized-cargo-ship- | in-g...) but it really is not easy! | | Many likely problems: equipment avilability to do so, | time it will take, debris falling off and from the | operations, risk of capsizing, probably need to load | pieces on barges/crane but canal is not much large | prof-dr-ir wrote: | in half? I would not go for less than nine pieces. | | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0ENOJBLVgjw | ampersandy wrote: | What a fascinating watch! That they were able to produce | such clean cuts through the entire ship with the cutting | wire is absolutely incredible. | danaris wrote: | I think there's still room for suggesting potential solutions | that might _work_ , even if they make the operation of the | cargo ship (even more?) unprofitable for its owners. | | That said, the ones mentioned there don't pass the smell | test. | undefined1 wrote: | but did they try turning it off and on again? | zepearl wrote: | Detonate a small but still relatively powerful bomb upstream | (or maybe multiple small but staggered ones), to create a | small tsunami-like wave, which in turn will move at least the | ship's aft/stern (as the ship creates in the canal a "V"-like | shape which will therefore concentrate most of the wave's | force in that area) when it hits it. Almost guaranteed to | work, theoretically. | [deleted] | wongarsu wrote: | So you are complaining that on a startup forum people are | trying to solve billion dollar questions? | | Besides, billion dollar companies often miss things. Yes, | they have the more relevant experts and much better data than | we, but they have to content with internal and external | politics and have fewer people throwing around ideas. | Sometimes the answer is to "why haven't you done X" is simply | "nobody with a voice to be heard had that idea". If billion | dollar companies were the infallible giants you make them out | to be then startups straight up couldn't work. | [deleted] | grenoire wrote: | Weeks are measured in what I'd call, a lot of money. Is it a | consolidation of funds sort of issue? Anybody responsible for | getting it fixed? | dan-robertson wrote: | The people who should be desperately trying to pay a lot of | money to get the ship unstuck are maritime insurance | underwriters. There is a lot of insurance against late | delivery. Unless they have managed to figure out how this is | an act of god, that is. | WJW wrote: | They hired a company specialized in this kind of stuff | (Boskalis), but as their CEO mentioned of TV it depends on | how stuck it is. If you're lucky, pumping out the fuel and | ballast can make the ship light enough to drag it clear with | tugboats. If that doesn't work, you might have to unload | some, most or all of the 20k containers from the ship to make | it light enough. It can be done, but depending on how much is | required it'll take a few days to a week to get the required | equipment all the way to Egypt. | maxerickson wrote: | If I estimated right, the fuel is a few percent of the | total mass (maybe around 5%). Not the most encouraging | result. | bostonfincs wrote: | Military does it all the time with helicopters. Not cheap or | easy but probably the most likely outcome | nomy99 wrote: | People think I'm joking but we should bomb it to smithereens. | The crater would probably just fill up with the water flow. | BrianOnHN wrote: | What would be the total loss cost of this ship? | nomy99 wrote: | As someone mentioned in the thread below, "Lloyd's List | estimated that every day Suez is closed costs US$9 billion | ($400 million per hour)." | | I am not sure what the value of the ship is but it wouldn't | be comparable. | samizdis wrote: | > Some people have suggested unloading the ship. I don't think | you realize the infrastructure required to unload a ship. | | It seems, though, that a partial unloading is being considered | by a professional in the field according to quotes in an | article in The Guardian [1]: | | _However, Peter Berdowski, CEO of Boskalis, a specialist | dredging company that has sent a crew to the scene, said data | so far suggested "it is not really possible to pull it loose" | and that the ship may need to be unloaded. "We can't exclude it | might take weeks, depending on the situation," Berdowski told | Dutch television. | | He said the ship's bow and stern had been lifted up against | either side of the canal. "It's like an enormous beached whale. | It's an enormous weight on the sand. We might have to work with | a combination of reducing the weight by removing containers, | oil and water from the ship, tugboats and dredging of sand."_ | | [1] https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/mar/25/suez-canal- | blo... | 6nf wrote: | Only about the center third of the channel is actually deep | enough for this massive ship. Both ends of the ship is stuck in | several meters of sand. So far they've only managed get two | bulldozers on to try and dig it out but progress is slow. | blhack wrote: | Those excavators are there for show while they try to figure | out what to do. There is absolutely no chance that 2 guys | with excavators are going to dredge out enough of the canal | to free the ship, and the canal authorities know this. | | It there was even shadow of a chance that that might work, | then every single excavator in Northern Africa would be on | it's way to the canal to dig it out and free the ship. | | In fact I'd say that if there was even a snowball's chance in | hell that that would work, China would be airdropping | excavators into the area as we speak. | londons_explore wrote: | Kind of amazing that in 48 hours, an event happens that | threatens one of Egypts major income streams and political | power sources, and the maximum they can spare is 2 | bulldozers... | | Like why not call in the army, rent every bulldozer in the | district, and within 12 hours you'll have 30 on site and be | able to move a lot of sand quickly to free it? | SilasX wrote: | In fairness, the US couldn't ramp up mask or ventilator | production very fast when the coronavirus was going to tank | the entire economy. | eliseumds wrote: | They know they have a monopoly. There are no viable | alternative routes, so they just don't care enough. | ceejayoz wrote: | Sure there is. It's about to be busier than usual. | | https://imgur.com/a/nu0CNPi | londons_explore wrote: | If I were South Africa, I would announce a tax on passing | within 100 miles of their shore for commercial | shipping... | gregoriol wrote: | It's probably not easy to dig with excavators into the | canal: they likely won't reach far enough | tibbydudeza wrote: | I watch Gold Rush and one of the prospectors use a massive | Volvo excavator that makes those two tiny ones they use in | Suez look like tinker toys. | | I think they have no idea at this moment as the tugs can't | get it done. | nabla9 wrote: | Lloyd's List estimated that every day Suez is closed costs US$9 | billion ($400 million per hour). | | If it could be done technically and open up the canal, it would | be cheaper for insurance companies to buy the ship, it's cargo, | buy all nearby property and then blow the whole ship up. | maxerickson wrote: | From orbit. | 01100011 wrote: | Could you build a temporary barrier around the ship and the | section of the canal, bring in some massive pumps, and | temporarily raise the water level around the ship? | rapnie wrote: | In the middle parts of the ship it is probably not grounded, | so you might have ropes below the hull with large inflatable | balloons on both sides below water level, to give the ship | extra lift. Then on a high tide, with oil & water removed, | maybe some dredging on the sides where it needs to rotate to, | and.. go! | wongarsu wrote: | Maybe something like those air/water tanks they attached to | the side of the Costa Concordia to float it [1]. | | But you would have to take great care to prevent it from | rolling over, so you probably can't lift it up too far. | | 1: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-28288823 | brown9-2 wrote: | the land around the canal looks pretty flat, those would have | to be very strong barriers | fileeditview wrote: | I've had the exact same idea but the canal bank is very | shallow.. so you would have to build around the whole ship | (as you said). This also seems like a major undertaking. | | I am excited to see how they will solve the problem though! | wongarsu wrote: | If the bank is very shallow and mostly sand, maybe instead | of building a damn all around the ship it would be easier | to just dredge a new passage that goes around the stuck | ship. After all the real problem isn't that the ship is run | aground, it's that the canal is blocked for everyone else. | [deleted] | rblatz wrote: | I'm not at all qualified on these matters, but that's one of | the better ideas I've read. | JoeAltmaier wrote: | If you unload 20,000 TEU's onto rail cars it takes 5000 cars, | double-stacked. That's 50 100-car trains. It'll take weeks to | months to load and unload all that, if a proper rail depot is | available to take it. It takes huge cranes to reach across a | megaship and into its hold. That'd have to be build. On sand. | | The idea that there's any quick way to manage the cargo of this | ship is whistling in the dark. | wongarsu wrote: | Cranes on barges or ships, unloading the cargo into other | ships is probably the most viable way to unload any | significant amount of cargo. | xwdv wrote: | This ship is delaying $400 million dollars per hour in global | trades. | | It better not fucking take weeks. | Zenst wrote: | > It's really stuck. It's probably going to take a couple of | weeks to get it unstuck. | | My armchair engineering would dump a load of salt into the | water to increase buoyancy of the ship long enough for the tugs | to get some momentum with less effort than currently. | | That would be my cheap try solution to help the tugs that have | already hit there limit so why not change the physics and add a | load of salt. | leesec wrote: | Dumb question but what about heavy lift helicopters moving | containers off 1 by 1? | michaelt wrote: | It has 20,000 TEUs (twenty-foot-container-equivalent-units). | | Weight-wise, the _average_ container could be lifted with a | military heavy lift helicopter: The ship carries 20,000 tons, | i.e. 1 ton per TEU, and a CH-47F can lift 11 tons. Although a | TEU can weigh up to 26 tons, so you couldn 't lift the | heaviest ones. | | The problem is speed: A ship-to-shore crane at a properly | equipped port can do a lift every 2 minutes. Ports can speed | things up by lifting several TEUs in a single lift - but | you'd also expect a helicopter to be slower, because we | haven't put decades of optimisation into the process. So | let's assume those cancel each other out. | | If they can keep up that rate with a helicopter, and they | operate 24 hours a day, it would take 28 days to unload the | ship. | BrianOnHN wrote: | It's a lot of containers. | leesec wrote: | You don't need to remove all of them? Just get it light | enough to float it? | BrianOnHN wrote: | Helicopters also have limited capacity. So it's not like | you could pick up the heaviest first. Which brings back | the issue of sheer quantity. | londons_explore wrote: | it's a quarter mile long. You can probably have 10 | helicopters working at once while still keeping safe | distances. | | Each helicopter has a crew of 4 on the boat and 4 on the | shore. They hook 4 chains to the 4 corner hoists of each | container. Say it takes 1 minutes per container to affix | the chains, 1 minute to fly to the sand, 1 minute to | unhitch, and 1 minute to fly back. Thats a lot slower than | agricultural helicopters, but nobody will be very practiced | with this yet, so it'll be slower. | | The entire ship could be unloaded with this method in 5.5 | days. Perhaps less if not all the cargo needs unloading. | | The job could be half done by now... | yongjik wrote: | You're joking, right? It's a quarter mile, or 400m long. | Ten helicopters in it means ~40m distance. That's less | than safe distance _between cars_ in a highway. | totalZero wrote: | You're assuming that the helicopters don't stagger their | work cycles. | dghlsakjg wrote: | The worlds highest capacity heavy lift chopper (M-26, of | which there are 20 operational) has a max take off weight | of 44k lbs. A standard 40 ft. container can be loaded to | a gross weight of 66k lbs. | | It takes a purpose built crane a few minutes to unload a | container, so I sort of doubt a helicopter could make it | happen faster. | spookthesunset wrote: | A quarter of a mile long is a huge ship. Damn. Never | really got that until now. | kergonath wrote: | It's really tall as well. You can't take any quickly | assembled crane to unload that. | JoeAltmaier wrote: | Or, depending on how quick it really is, it could take | months. Its easy to arm-chair speculate. | gizmo385 wrote: | Based on the information on Wikipedia, it sounds like the | ship could potentially hold more than 20,000 containers. | Assuming I'm understanding the article correctly, that'd be a | lot of containers to move 1-by-1. | ceejayoz wrote: | If it's fully loaded, that'd be something like ten _thousand_ | 40 ' containers to move. | | Hooking them up to a helicopter would be a slow, dangerous | process as well. | 6nf wrote: | The biggest choppers in the world can only lift about 20 | tonnes. 20 foot containers max gross is 25 tonnes, and 40 | foot containers even more. | gm3dmo wrote: | Typically an empty 20 foot shipping container weighs | between 1.8-2.2 metric tonnes (about 3,970 - 4,850 lb) and | an empty 40 foot shipping container weighs 3.8 - 4.2 tonne | (8,340 - 9,260 lb) depending on what kind of container it | is. For example, high cube containers tend to be heavier. | blhack wrote: | Why would these containers be empty? | eCa wrote: | Yes, especially with the container shortage[1] reported | earlier this week, I would be very surprised if empty | containers are being sent _away_ from where there already | is a shortage. | | [1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26574077 | blhack wrote: | There are 20,000 containers on the ship. Assuming you needed | to remove 1/4 of those containers to get it to rise far | enough to get off of the sand, you need to move 5000 | containers. | | Assume that it takes 5 minute to connect a bridle to a | container, hook it to a helicopter, and move it...and then | also assume that the helicopters can run 24/7 and never have | to refuel, that they can hot swap in pilots, and that there | is never a single problem, you're talking about 25000 | minutes, or about 17 days of absolutely non stop running | helicopters. | | And that only gets you 1/4 of the containers, and it might | not even work at all. | | (It's not a dumb question, and I'm sure that it was already | discussed by the team who is dealing with this. It's just | that the scale of what is happening here is restrictive.) | jeffgreco wrote: | How many copters are you assuming? | kergonath wrote: | We really are bad at dealing with large numbers. 20 000 | does not seem that much when it's just written that way. | Even looking at the pictures, this is a lot of containers, | but the efforts needed to get them out of that ship are | hard to imagine. | bkor wrote: | Just a small correction: 20.000 TEU is not the same as the | amount of containers. TEU is the number of twenty foot | equivalent. There will be enough 40 foot containers on | there. If it was going to Europe there will hardly be any | empty containers. | | Amount of actual containers is probably the 20.000 divided | by 1.6 or so, though it's not a given that any vessel is | fully loaded to max capacity. Sometimes need to deal with | restrictions. | gizmo385 wrote: | You'd also need a helicopter than can lift containers that | heavy, which might be a long shot. | WJW wrote: | Most heavy lift helicopters don't really go above 20 tons | takeoff weight, while even a 20 foot container has a max | allowable weight well above that. Most shipping containers | will the 40 footers, so helicopters will probably be a no-go. | There's also 20k of them so it would take quite a while. | | That said, taking off some containers is a viable option but | it'll probably have to wait for a crane ship to arrive. | JshWright wrote: | Unloading it may be exactly what happens (based on comments | from the Dutch salvage company brought in to deal with the | mess). And yeah, it's going to take weeks (best case scenario). | qbasic_forever wrote: | Comedy option, what wacky cold war era aircraft do we have | capable of lifting massive loads like a container ship? Perhaps | an enormous fleet of Chinook helicopters could take it straight | up? | eCa wrote: | If I understand [1] properly, the Chinook can lift 13 | tons[2]. | | The Evergiven's maximum weight is 200000 tons. So that would | be 15000+ Chinooks lifting it. A sight to behold. | | Added: Only about 1200 were ever produced, so that won't fly. | | [1] | https://www.army.mil/article/137584/ch_47_chinook_helicopter | | [2] 26000 pounds | gizmo385 wrote: | I desperately want someone to photoshop this. | qbasic_forever wrote: | Oh what about magnetism? Could we wrap the ship in wire and | send so much current through that it repels against the | Earth's magnetic field and shoots itself right into the | atmosphere? Basically building a giant rail gun. Might need a | small nuclear power plant or two to make it feasible. | Denvercoder9 wrote: | > Might need a small nuclear power plant or two to make it | feasible. | | Amazingly, that's a severe underestimation. | | The force on a wire carrying current in a magnetic field is | given by F = B*I*l, and to move it upwards that force needs | to be at least equal to gravity, so equate to F = m*g. | | - Let's be generous and assume B = 100 uT = 100 * 10^-6 T. | | - Likewise, assume the ship is a rectangular box with sides | of 400 m x 100 m, so a circumference of 1000 m, and that we | can wrap a wire 100,000 times around it, to give total wire | length l = 10^8 m. | | - m = 200,000 metric tonne = 2 * 10^8 kg (we assume magic | wire that is massless). | | - g = 10 m/s^2. | | Solving for I yields I = mg/Bl = 2 * 10^5 A. That's a lot | of current. | | If we assume the wire has a diameter of 10 cm (which is | ridiculously high considering we just wrapped it 100,000 | times around the ship, but whatever) and is made out of | copper, it has a resistance of ~200 Ohms. Necessary power | to generate such a current is P = I^2*R = 8*10^12 W (= 8000 | TW). That's about half the total energy consumption of | humanity. | | The largest nuclear power plant puts out about 8000 MW, so | you'd need a 1000 of them. | _Microft wrote: | The most important thing here is the magic wire. The ship | is 60m wide and 30m tall, that makes a circumference of | 180m. 0.05m radius, 100000 windings, made of copper with | a density of approx. 8900kg/m^3 gives a total mass of | approx. 1.3*10^6 tons for the cable. | qbasic_forever wrote: | Well, on the bright side once we free it with this | incredible contraption then we've also solved all of | humanity's power needs for a few more centuries. :) | stordoff wrote: | I've now got the most amazing image in my head of a | container ship being fired at the moon. | qbasic_forever wrote: | Hah or if we reverse the polarity maybe we can crush it | into something the size of an aluminum can. | afarrell wrote: | An entire fleet of Chinook helecopters would blow a mighty | draft of air downward onto the ship, holding it in place. | neartheplain wrote: | Better Cold War option: | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_Plowshare | | The ship's a total loss, but Egypt also gets a new lake! | HPsquared wrote: | Those passing through the area afterwards might not like | that idea. | qbasic_forever wrote: | You know there's probably someone doing the cost-benefit | analysis right now to see if just digging a new canal | channel around the ship would be faster and cheaper than | removing it. | neartheplain wrote: | Why dig when you can blast? | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lake_Chagan | samizdis wrote: | How about combining Britain's supposed Dunkirk spirit - | lots of small, plucky volunteers etc - with the pent-up | frustration of lockdown, not to mention Britain's | hopelessly reduced global role ... and the solution you | get is sending 5,000 British 10-year-olds with buckets | and spades. They'd make quite a dent. A bit like building | the pyramids, but in reverse. | | It'd be a win-win situation, surely. OK, or I could just | take my meds and leave quietly. | munk-a wrote: | I'd be amazed if the density of weight on the ship is such | that an arbitrarily large fleet of Chinooks could actually | safely accomplish this. And helicopters flying in a dense | formation under strain is quite likely to result in a lot of | really big problems. | qbasic_forever wrote: | The rotor wash beneath it all would be breathtaking.. and | might blow all the water out of the canal. :) | TeMPOraL wrote: | Which makes me think - what about using all these | choppers to blow the water _in_ - and keep it there? :). | | (I assume this is an equivalent problem to the lifting | problem, as the extra pressure they'd be fighting would | be that of the ship displacing water.) | munk-a wrote: | Somebody get Randall Munroe on the phone - I think we've | found the next What-If topic. | smegger001 wrote: | Yeah because what we really need to fix this situation is | several hundred giant blenders exploding in mid air | fireball of high velocity steel on top of the jammed ship | Izkata wrote: | Now I wonder... | | Let's assume it was possible. Would the force of lifting | that much mass be enough to shift the earth in a measurable | way? (I'm assuming it would be a lot stronger lifting it | into the air than what floating on the water produces, but | have no idea what the math would be) | lisper wrote: | F=ma no matter what, so if things aren't accelerating, | the force isn't changing, it's just being transferred to | the earth by other means. In this case, it would be | through the air rather than the water. | [deleted] | sixstringtheory wrote: | It has a 20,000 container capacity, so if it's full and you | could unload them at a rate of 1 per minute (assuming | multiple choppers) it would take 2 weeks with no stopping, | but I assume the frequency would be much lower than that so | you're talking possibly months to unload even a fraction of | them. | josiahq wrote: | Yeah, from the middle out. | munk-a wrote: | Also - it's quite possible it'd further beach itself during | the unloading unless you replaced the mass in an easily | removable manner... To which end I'd like to suggest self- | launching lead trebuchets. | sverhagen wrote: | I understand this is all not realistic, but since we're | just spitballing here, before I realized how many | containers we're even talking about here, I had rather | wondered if lifting off a lesser number of containers in | the right place would be exactly right to shift the | weight/balance for the ship to get unstuck. | leesec wrote: | Not even close. This ship is absolutely giant. | qbasic_forever wrote: | Hrm change of plans, let's pull a few ICBMs out and set | them up on each corner with massive tow lines. We'll get it | out the way in an instant... and into low earth orbit | minutes later! | garaetjjte wrote: | ICBMs won't do it, we need something stronger. | | I cannot find how much ship weights itself, but | deadweight tonnage which is about 200000t. Let's assume | 300000t. Thrust of Saturn V S-IC stage is 3300t, with | diameter of 10m, empty mass of 130t and 2150t of | propellant for 150s burn time. It would need nearly 300 | fully fuelled S-IC stages to lift it! Which is a bit too | much, as with 400x60m ship area we can only fit about 240 | stages. But as we're _definitely_ not going into orbit | anyway we can reduce propellant amount for shorter burn | time. Cutting propellant by half reducing burn time to | 75s we only need around 143 stages, fitting on ship with | room to spare. | | So in that regard it is doable. But there's problem of | what to do with all the exhaust, as rockets obviously | aren't designed for pulling load attached to the | bottom... | WJW wrote: | Ya no. An ICBM like the | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SM-65_Atlas has a launch | thrust of only 1,300 kN, or about 130 tons. That would | lift about 4 of the 20000 containers aboard. | lstodd wrote: | Forget it. | | Let's just nuke it, them nuclear weapons have to be | disposed of somehow, and the channel needs some | expansion, it seems. | smegger001 wrote: | well lets just dig out the old mothballed project | plowshare out of the coldwar toolbox and see what we can | do. | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_Plowshare | pjc50 wrote: | If I've done the maths right, you need a force of two | billion Newton to lift it, and even if you round up a | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/LGM-30_Minuteman to 1MN | you still need two thousand of them. ICBMs are not that | big. | | Use musk's starship and you need >166 of them... | qbasic_forever wrote: | Drat, we never should have given up on nuclear powered | rocket engines in the 50s! | [deleted] | erulabs wrote: | (200,000 short tons) / (130,000 pounds lifting capacity) = | 3,076 Spruce... Geese. | qbasic_forever wrote: | I'm imagining an incredible system of hooks setup so that | the fleet of Spruce Gooses pass over at low altitude and | speed, snare the hooks, and _YOINK_ pull it right out in | one pass. | ceejayoz wrote: | It's been done. | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fulton_surface-to- | air_recovery... | elihu wrote: | Maybe supplement the Chinooks with V-22 Ospreys and Harriers? | jacquesm wrote: | Exactly. I'm guessing weeks rather than days, and maybe more | than that. | | The best I can come up with is heavy lift helicopters to at | least remove the front most containers to relieve some of the | pressure but even that would be an enormous operation. | | Anything else would require major construction especially if it | is to reach more than just the first four or five rows which is | likely not going to be enough. | zeteo wrote: | >Some people have suggested unloading the ship. I don't think | you realize the infrastructure required to unload a ship. | You're basically asking to build a port in the middle of the | egyptian desert. That isn't going to happen. | | I think you just need a smaller crane ship to transfer the | cargo e.g. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Auxiliary_crane_ship | PeterisP wrote: | IMHO would take weeks to unload the cargo with something like | that. | zeteo wrote: | Yeah but you may not need to unload it completely. At some | point as the buoyancy improves the tugs become more likely | to pull it off. | dogma1138 wrote: | Assuming the crane ship can even get into position to offload | it. | | The ship is stuck because the sides of the canal are quite | shallow. | | You are quite likely to get two stuck ships instead of one. | thewarrior wrote: | Crazy idea : Can we roll it into the water by pulling it over | high strength rollers of some sort ? It would be pretty cool to | use the same technique that was use to build the pyramids. | cricalix wrote: | Sane answer: No. | | The ship is 400 metres / 0.25 of a mile long. With | containers, it weighs anywhere up to 199 _thousand_ tons. One | does not simply attach a few hundred cables, put some rollers | under it, and pull with all the tractors you can find in | Egypt. | | Also, it's already in the water. It's just turned sideways | and buried the bulb (by the looks) into the canal wall. | blhack wrote: | Okay hear me out: | | Somebody call Elon. Get the TBMs, and set them to work | building a tunnel under the ship. | | Now fill the tunnel with giant rubber bladders. | | Call the Saudis and have them start shipping over helium. | Fill the bladders with helium. | | Okay, keep the saudis around and get them to bring over one | of the high pressure water drilling rigs that they use for | oil. Start digging out the sand above the bladders, and float | them up to be UNDER the ship. | | Okay now call the Dutch. Get them to bring over some MASSIVE | water pumps and some damming equipment. The two guys on | excavators can help. Dam up the canal on both sides of the | ship, and pump out all the water. | | The bladders become rollers. Roll that ship back into the | middle of the canal. | | Okay now repump the canal, and float the ship away. Bam. | Done! | testaoijoiaj wrote: | > Get them to bring over some MASSIVE water pumps and some | damming equipment. | | If you had this, then I would damn each side and pump water | INTO that space. Raise water level, ship frees. Boom | postingawayonhn wrote: | Unloading is feasible, it would just take a couple of weeks. | They just need a floating crane on each side and some barges to | take the containers away. | bigfudge wrote: | Is there a reason they couldn't have a smaller crane on board | and dump them over the side. Surely even losing the cargo | would be cheaper than keeping it blocked at this point? | gregoriol wrote: | Nature loves you! | input_sh wrote: | I think you're severely overestimating the depth of the | canal. I'm too lazy to look up the depth of the specific | section where it's stuck, but some sections are just 20 | something meters deep. | | In other words, just deep enough for ships to come through | with little wiggle room. Not as tight as the Panama Canal, | but it's not much bigger. | dogma1138 wrote: | The canal is only 24m deep.... one or two containers would | essentially block it for most traffic. | Denvercoder9 wrote: | If you dump the containers over the side, you managed to | remove a ship blocking the canal, but now it's blocked by | containers. | bigfudge wrote: | Right, but you don't need to leave them there. If it's | limited depth you could pull them away with barges. | Arrath wrote: | Dumping things over the side, into the canal? That would | rapidly block up the canal even worse. | [deleted] | mcdevilkiller wrote: | Plus a couple of weeks to get the cranes there, I guess. | blhack wrote: | Maybe. That's a lot of barges. Remember that you then have to | go and unload the barges, and there are 20,000 containers. | tempestn wrote: | I read that there aren't any tall enough cranes in that area | to do it, so they're considering unloading some containers by | helicopter. | barbegal wrote: | Even if you could unload a container per minute you could | only unload less than 1000 containers per day (assuming | it's too dangerous to work at night) so at least 3 weeks of | continuous helicopter operations. | tempestn wrote: | Yes, that's true. It still might be faster than other | options. You wouldn't likely need to unload the whole | thing though, just lighten it enough to get it unstuck. | moonbug wrote: | that "just" is doing even more work than the guy in the | digger. | mc32 wrote: | Not saying it can work in this scenario, but I think salvagers | have used pneumatic devices to float and or manoeuver derelict | ships. | tomc1985 wrote: | The pictures I've seen completely hide the ship's bulbous bow. | It juts out seemingly like 50 feet from the front of the bow | that you can see. It looks like all of that is wedged in the | sand | RantyDave wrote: | Bingo. It's long, fat, and like the pharaohs ... buried in | Egypt. | NicoJuicy wrote: | How about creating a mini-dam surrounding the vessel and | raising the water level so it can turn. | | Or stopping the current at 90% of the ship and letting it push | to the front ( if it's in the right direction), perhaps in | combination with gigantic sails ( if there's enough wind) | and/or sucking sand/mud from the bottom. | nine_k wrote: | Apparently, there are no watertight gates anywhere near. | | Filling in the entire canal is unrealistic. | NicoJuicy wrote: | I'm not saying the entire canal. Surround the boat, make a | dam somehow. | | Concrete is dry in 24-48 hours. Sand and wooden poles could | be enough. | | Some ideas on the how, could be found in this video, on how | they created a bridge in the middle ages: | https://youtu.be/nJgD6gyi0Wk | | I'm pretty sure engineers could find better/faster | solutions than what I'm proposing. | cricalix wrote: | The canal is 200 metres wide, 25ish metres deep. Gotta | think in the cube, because now you're talking volume. I | have zero idea what thickness you're going to need for | your dam, but I'm going to spitball and say 10 metres at | the top, and 30 metres at the bottom to get a slope like | you'd see on something like the Hoover Dam. | | This means you need to provide .. lets see, a trapezoidal | cross section is 500 square metres.. 100,000 cubic metres | of filler. Twice. And then you probably need to curve it | to resist the pressure, so that's a bit of a lowball | figure. You can't dam any less, because the ship is stuck | sideways across the canal. | | Using some old numbers for concrete pours in Ireland | (2016 era) per cubic metre, that's 7.5 million Euro worth | of concrete. Sure, you're not going to use pure concrete | like that though - you'd probably start dropping massive | boulders in first, and then try to cap/fill it. | | Have a read of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Palm_Islands | to get a feel for how long it takes to lay in that much | material.. | | And then you have to dig it all back up to reopen the | canal. | _Microft wrote: | What if we could _part_ the water at both sides of the | ship? Would that suffice as makeshift gates? | | The Egyptians had a bad experience with that in the past | though and lost a lot of gear and many men in an incident. | Might be understandable if they didn't want to do that | again. | nomy99 wrote: | Let me call moses, hold on. | Karupan wrote: | OT: is it a given that the person responsible (the captain?) will | be fired once this is over? Can the org running the Suez Canal | deny entry to vessels by black listing the captain? | phenylene wrote: | My non-techie wife just said to me, "We need to NFT this | situation somehow." | | She's been down that rabbit hole ever since reading about the | Beeple piece. | aritmo wrote: | MarineTraffic direct URL: | https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/home/shipid:5630138/zoo... ___________________________________________________________________ (page generated 2021-03-25 23:01 UTC)