[HN Gopher] T cells recognize recent SARS-CoV-2 variants
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       T cells recognize recent SARS-CoV-2 variants
        
       Author : onetimemanytime
       Score  : 46 points
       Date   : 2021-03-31 20:05 UTC (2 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.nih.gov)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.nih.gov)
        
       | burlesona wrote:
       | Sounds like good news.
       | 
       | There's also this bit at the end:
       | 
       | > Optimal immunity to SARS-Cov-2 likely requires strong
       | multivalent T-cell responses in addition to neutralizing
       | antibodies and other responses to protect against current SARS-
       | CoV-2 strains and emerging variants, the authors indicate. They
       | stress the importance of monitoring the breadth, magnitude and
       | durability of the anti-SARS-CoV-2 T-cell responses in recovered
       | and vaccinated individuals as part of any assessment to determine
       | if booster vaccinations are needed.
       | 
       | I haven't heard a lot of discussion around that, but it seems
       | pretty logical to me that we'll continue to see substantial
       | numbers of new variants for this virus, and thus there's a good
       | chance we'll eventually need booster vaccinations to maintain
       | immunity, unless (until?) we could get the whole planet
       | vaccinated and eradicate the disease.
       | 
       | But since eradication seems highly unlikely, I'm hoping that
       | we'll find the basic vaccines we've come up with so far can be
       | modified to target new variants much in the way we come up with a
       | new flu shot every year and don't have to go through the same
       | full approval and manufacturing ramp-up process.
        
         | Trasmatta wrote:
         | > But since eradication seems highly unlikely, I'm hoping that
         | we'll find the basic vaccines we've come up with so far can be
         | modified to target new variants
         | 
         | My understanding is that one of the major benefits of mRNA
         | vaccines is how easy they are to both design and produce
         | (although storage and transportation is a challenge). It seems
         | likely we might need yearly boosters, and I think the mRNA
         | vaccines will be up to the task.
        
           | AbortedLaunch wrote:
           | An important, as of yet unresolved question, is whether those
           | changed vaccines will lead to the generation of new
           | antibodies vs. a boost of the existing ones, a phenomenon
           | called original antigenic sin. Fingers crossed...
        
             | yowlingcat wrote:
             | This is my biggest worry. I can't help but wonder (with a
             | very uneducated and uninformed opinion here) if we are
             | stoking or entering the next stage of an arms race.
        
         | tialaramex wrote:
         | Eradication would have been the economically most sensible
         | approach, but that was also true for elimination within the
         | countries that would be paying for it - and it's not what they
         | chose. Some of them apparently figured if you kill half a
         | million of your people and "open up" your economy you can...
         | offset the enormous cost of losing all those people by
         | pretending they aren't dead? I honestly don't know, I suspect
         | it'll turn out that nobody actually did any analysis, they just
         | assumed if they can spout a talking point and have the numbers
         | to push through the policy Mother Nature will have to go along
         | with them, and er, nope.
         | 
         | So I don't expect them to pursue eradication either once the
         | immediate local threat from the pandemic recedes. There's no
         | great commitment to eradication generally from these countries,
         | the funding mostly comes from charitable donation, even though
         | obviously disease eradication makes economic sense as an
         | investment. How much money for example, did your government
         | spend on global elimination efforts for Rinderpest? Or did it
         | just say "Not our problem" the moment there was no disease in
         | their own cattle?
        
           | jsight wrote:
           | I'm not seeing any evidence that eradication of a virus like
           | this would have been at all likely, even with extreme
           | measures.
        
             | tialaramex wrote:
             | If the virus has a viable non-human reservoir then
             | eradication becomes very difficult and in some cases
             | impossible. We likely cannot get rid of Influenza because
             | viruses from that family thrive in a huge number of other
             | mammals. So you'd be chasing it down in pigs, and in
             | chickens, and it becomes an insurmountable challenge.
             | 
             | But although this virus presumably originated in another
             | mammal species (it is assumed to have once been a bat
             | virus) it's not clear to me whether there's a real
             | reservoir in other species today, the vast bulk of the
             | world's infected seem to be humans.
             | 
             | In a virus that lacks a viable animal reservoir you can
             | achieve eradication by "just" eliminating the virus in
             | humans in each place and ensuring infected humans don't
             | spread it into places where it was eliminated, a strategy
             | that costs money but is final. That's where the previous
             | SARS virus went - we eliminated it and it didn't come back,
             | and of course it's why Smallpox is gone.
             | 
             | And eliminating SARS-CoV-2 is possible, because New Zealand
             | did it. They had outbreaks in elderly care a year ago, and
             | they locked down, tracked down every case, isolated every
             | infected person, and eliminated the virus. All subsequent
             | outbreaks have been connected to their border, if everybody
             | had done likewise the virus would be gone. Of course that
             | wasn't entirely realistic (other large islands like Great
             | Britain could definitely have at least attempted this but
             | they did not, but it's difficult to imagine North America
             | or Russia achieving elimination without a vaccine) but with
             | better tools now I think it could be attempted if the
             | political existed, which I argue it does not.
             | 
             | The trickiest part about this virus for elimination from
             | 2022 onward is maybe it's viable as a virus that doesn't
             | cause much disease, especially in a vaccinated population.
             | If it's infecting otherwise healthy adults and just causing
             | sniffles for a week, once the pandemic headlines stop
             | nobody will isolate and prevent onward spread. In much of
             | the world (including the US) they'll even keep going to
             | work and give it to colleagues as well as those they live
             | with. Lots of coronaviruses thrive this way in humans.
        
         | rootusrootus wrote:
         | > much in the way we come up with a new flu shot every year
         | 
         | I'm hoping that since it is a coronavirus, and not influenza,
         | it won't mutate anywhere near fast enough to evade vaccines on
         | a yearly basis. Right now SARS-CoV-2 is getting a best case
         | environment for mutation. When a substantial portion of the
         | world has been vaccinated, the mutation rate is going to drop
         | significantly, and hopefully with perhaps one more iteration of
         | the vaccine (given to the whole world, granted) we can dispense
         | with this virus altogether.
        
       | mmebane wrote:
       | Another recent study [1], discussed on This Week in Virology [2],
       | also found T-cell immunity to be robust against mutations.
       | However, there seems to be an open question of how well natural T
       | cells, trained on the whole virus, will compare to T cells
       | trained on vaccines that only have the spike protein or some
       | other subset.
       | 
       | [1]: https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.02.27.433180v1
       | [2]: https://www.microbe.tv/twiv/twiv-736/
        
         | jonny_eh wrote:
         | I recall reading that the enhanced immune response from the
         | vaccines were more protective than a natural infection.
        
           | dragontamer wrote:
           | Why is this post downvoted?
           | 
           | I know that P.1 (Brazil variant) seems to totally avoid
           | natural immunity. The proof is from the city of Manaus, which
           | was over 75% infected in October 2020. A resurgent wave of
           | COVID19 hit in January 2021.
           | 
           | At first, this didn't seem possible. But upon further study,
           | it seemed that P.1 was avoiding natural immunity. So its
           | reinfecting a ton of people in Manaus.
           | 
           | ------------
           | 
           | In contrast, the Pfizer vaccine has shown to confer immunity
           | to both the original strain AND to P.1. As such, the immune
           | response created from Pfizer absolutely offers better
           | protection, once we account for the variants (especially P.1
           | and B.1.351, which both have defenses against natural
           | immunity)
           | 
           | B.1.351 is the other "immune avoiding" variant. And I await
           | for more studies before making a conclusion on that matter.
           | 
           | --------
           | 
           | EDIT: It seems like the article is discussing B.1.351 among
           | its list of variants. That's good: the South African strain
           | seemed like it had some ability to avoid our immune system,
           | but our T-cells are still functioning against it. So a P.1 /
           | Manaus event probably won't happen.
        
             | timr wrote:
             | > I know that P.1 (Brazil variant) seems to totally avoid
             | natural immunity.
             | 
             | This is completely false, and is a poor extrapolation from
             | a faulty initial data point. There have now been several
             | publications -- including the J&J clinical trial data
             | itself [1] -- which show that immune responses induced by
             | non-variant virus or vaccine are protective against the
             | Brazilian variant.
             | 
             | > The proof is from the city of Manaus, which was over 75%
             | infected in October 2020.
             | 
             | This number is based on a study that was published in
             | Nature in summer 2020, and used a number of questionable
             | "adjustments" to the raw seroprevalence data to arrive at
             | their conclusion.
             | 
             | The parsimonious conclusion is that the paper citing 75%
             | seroprevalence in Manaus was wrong.
             | 
             | [1] https://www.ucsf.edu/news/2021/03/420071/how-effective-
             | johns...
        
             | anonuser123456 wrote:
             | >The proof is from the city of Manaus,
             | 
             | The Manaus data was not very compelling. Lots of selection
             | bias in their sampling.
        
               | dragontamer wrote:
               | There's multiple studies and multiple sets of data from
               | Manaus. You'll have to be more specific. Which data, from
               | which study, is untrustworthy?
        
               | anonuser123456 wrote:
               | I do not have the citation handy, but in one study, they
               | recruited individuals by enticing them with the results;
               | e.g. if you take take part in the study, we will give you
               | the antibody result. This would obviously bias the
               | results toward people that believed they had the virus,
               | but didn't have a test when sick.
        
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       (page generated 2021-03-31 23:01 UTC)