[HN Gopher] "Why We Sleep" Is Riddled with Scientific and Factua...
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       "Why We Sleep" Is Riddled with Scientific and Factual Errors
        
       Author : giansegato
       Score  : 125 points
       Date   : 2021-04-03 20:39 UTC (2 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (guzey.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (guzey.com)
        
       | georgewsinger wrote:
       | Tangential: Guzey's "Best of Twitter" (https://guzey.com/best-of-
       | twitter/) is the best Twitter curation list, bar none.
       | 
       | He explores a lot of of interesting contrarian ideas and runs a
       | lot of interesting self-experiments in productivity.
        
       | raphlinus wrote:
       | They say "don't read the comments," but taking that advice would
       | have led me to miss https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MUw3s4evhTE .
       | That is a 7 minute video of science comedy that had me laughing
       | out loud at several points, and its punchline is directly
       | relevant to the question at hand here.
        
       | onethought wrote:
       | This feels cherry picked and dishonest.
       | 
       | - Why we sleep literally calls out the example of treating
       | depression with sleep deprivation.
       | 
       | - The cancer reference was made with the context of "consistently
       | less than 5 hours of sleep", he then referenced many studies that
       | assessed 4 hour sleeps. This essay misrepresents the context of
       | that chapter.
       | 
       | - As counter evidence throughout he references research done
       | AFTER the book was written...
        
         | nonbirithm wrote:
         | The problem is that there are both some inaccuracies with the
         | takedown, the book is still factually inaccurate in dangerous
         | ways even though it _is_ accurate in others, and ultimately
         | neither source gives a satisfactory conclusion to the question
         | of how you should approach sleep issues.
         | 
         | There is something about the _Why We Sleep_ controversy that is
         | uniquely frustrating to me, having dealt with sleep problems
         | for years. If I hadn 't read HN then I probably would have read
         | that book for far longer than I did. What about the people that
         | might not read HN and _still_ aren 't aware of the tangible
         | harms it can cause? It currently has a 4.4 out of 5 on
         | Goodreads and pages of written five-star reviews, proving the
         | utter uselessness of such a metric for topics like health.
         | 
         | It seems the solution is research from a variety of different
         | sources. That worked pretty well for actually sorting out my
         | sleep issues, because I was more careful. But the thing is,
         | time is finite. In the programming realm we can't always do the
         | same militant validation for the thousands of microdependencies
         | a single npm project pulls in. The amount of available
         | information is exploding, and much of it is becoming obsoleted
         | constantly. There has to be a line drawn somewhere. And when we
         | decide to trust the creator as being an "expert" as a
         | compromise, we will inevitably encounter sources like these.
        
       | pedalpete wrote:
       | I personally believe sleep research is at the same stage as the
       | food pyramid was in the 80s.
       | 
       | As someone who is also currently doing sleep trials for our
       | start-up (https://soundmind.co), I can understand why. Clinical
       | sleep trials are time consuming and expensive. Try getting a
       | volunteer to sleep in a lab for more than a few nights, then try
       | to get thousands of people doing that, like you would in a drug
       | trial, also try to factor in all the things that person would
       | have done that day which would affect their sleep, as well as
       | factoring in what their sleep was like the previous 3 or more
       | nights, and how that would affect on going sleep.
       | 
       | When I read Why We Sleep, I remember thinking that the
       | conclusions Dr Walker was arriving at seemed wrong much of the
       | time, and seemed sensationalist. At the same time, I've seen him
       | interviewed where he walks back things like the link between
       | circadian rhythm and blue-light.
       | 
       | I'm not sure if the expectation is that he writes a rebuttal to
       | his own work, or a living document about how the science has
       | changed?
       | 
       | I think we need to look at the emerging field and understand that
       | sleep is still something we don't understand well, and that much
       | of the research is still a moving target.
        
       | nikanj wrote:
       | There seems to be a very strong correlation between popularity
       | and scientific inaccuracy. For example, Sex at Dawn was a massive
       | hit, and completely based on wistful thinking and speculation,
       | like "We found multiple different kinds of arrowheads in one
       | cave. It must mean the lady living in the cave had multiple
       | lovers, in a happy and peaceful polyamorous utopia"
        
         | CJefferson wrote:
         | I wonder if there is a strong correlation between popularity
         | and scientific analysis.
         | 
         | I sometimes see papers getting ripped to shreds by twitter for
         | days, and while the papers are indeed bad, I've seen dozens of
         | papers which are just as bad, just not as interesting to
         | Twitter.
        
         | RachelF wrote:
         | The errors that Matthew Walker make in "Why We Sleep" go beyond
         | simple errors or conformation bias.
         | 
         | The look like scientific fraud - inventing data.
        
       | softwaredoug wrote:
       | My biggest complaint about the book: it's simply terrifying.
       | 
       | If you suffer from insomnia, don't pick up this book. It will
       | have the opposite of the desired effect. It doesn't have a lot of
       | practical guidance. And now, according to this article, much of
       | the terror might be unfounded.
       | 
       | Better books I'd recommend if you have insomnia are "The Sleep
       | Solution" and "The Circadian Code"
        
         | ddek wrote:
         | Absolutely. I found similar advice to that in this book
         | propelled my insomnia about 4 years ago.
         | 
         | My insomnia responded to CBT-I extremely fast. After 18 months,
         | 2 nights of sleep deprivation (4 hours in bed) and the corner
         | was turned. Now, if I feel my sleep is falling away, my
         | solution is to cut sleep. It rebuilds habits too - what do I do
         | at 6am except run?
        
           | msrenee wrote:
           | I need to figure something out for this. I have narcolepsy
           | and depression and I've fallen into this cycle where I'm
           | tired, so I sleep, then I wake up still tired because I don't
           | get restful sleep, so I go back to sleep. When I'm not at
           | work, I'm unmotivated and bored and I'd rather be asleep, so
           | I go to sleep. Then I wake up tired and so on and so forth.
           | Essentially if I'm not at work and don't absolutely have to
           | do something, I'm asleep.
           | 
           | While I'm at work, I'm daydreaming about sleeping. When a
           | friend manages to get me out of the house, I'm thinking how
           | much I'd rather be asleep. I've got meds for the narcolepsy
           | and meds for the depression, and they make it less bad, but
           | I'm still miserable most of the time. The narcolepsy meds
           | make me able to function and the depression meds keep me from
           | killing myself, but being awake and alive isn't the same as
           | content and fulfilled.
           | 
           | It doesn't help that I work a late shift and have been
           | averaging 60 hours a week for the last 6 months.
           | 
           | Sleep deprivation therapy is news to me and you seem like you
           | might have some knowledge about the subject. So do you have
           | any recommendations as far as therapies and strategies I
           | could look into for this anti-insomnia?
        
             | nicoburns wrote:
             | Have you tried bright, blue light? I don't have narcolepsy,
             | but I've found it works wonders at keeping me awake/alert.
        
             | dQw4w9WgXcQ wrote:
             | Couple things:
             | 
             | 1) It sounds like you really just need a break. Can you
             | take one? Can you ask a friend for help? 60 hrs+ on a whack
             | sleep schedule is tough. Do you have blackout curtains, eye
             | mask, or earplugs to protect your sleep?
             | 
             | 2) How is your diet? Under stress if you are eating a crap
             | diet (refined carbs, heavy sugars, caffeine, etc) that will
             | impact your body far more and can even cause cyclical
             | swings of anxiety that impact your ability to rest. See:
             | 
             | https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/prescriptions-
             | life/2...
             | 
             | 3) Come up with an image of relaxation in the highest
             | detail. It needs to be a scene where you feel safe, secure,
             | and feeling the warmth of compassion from someone you
             | trust. Maybe you're on the beach, in the forest, whatever,
             | it needs to be as high detail as you can and engage all the
             | senses. Colors, shapes, smells, textures, temperature,
             | touch. Write it down, draw it out, own it, envision it
             | using every single sense and emotion you can. Practice
             | entering this scene for 20 minutes a day (set a timer) and
             | feel every aspect of it. Take notice of the various details
             | as you are in your scene. Don't expect anything from it,
             | but just work on spending time meditating on and building
             | it for 30 days. Practice this every day regardless of if
             | you feel like it "works" for sleep. After about 3-6 months
             | you'll have a tool you can use to relax pretty quickly, the
             | feelings should follow about 15-30 minutes after spending
             | time in your scene.
             | 
             | 4) Insomnia blows ass, I've been there, but the long-term
             | recovery is taking breaks as you need them, writing down a
             | few key elements to your relaxation + nighttime rituals and
             | sticking to it, exactly. Even if it feels like things
             | "aren't working"... Also, get out of bed if you toss and
             | turn. If you're not sleeping anyway, there's no point.
             | Associating wherever you sleep with anxiety needs to end.
             | 
             | There will be ups and downs but you will recover. But
             | absolutely please schedule in breaks to look forward to.
        
           | onethought wrote:
           | But "Why We Sleep" - recommends CBT-I as "the one of the most
           | effective treatments for insomnia " ... so why is it bad for
           | people who suffer from insomnia? Your experience seems to
           | echo the point the book makes.
        
       | fedorareis wrote:
       | Something doesn't quite sit right with me about him linking to a
       | couple things that mention Walker's rebuttal
       | https://sleepdiplomat.wordpress.com/2019/12/19/why-we-sleep-...
       | but not linking to it directly. If you are trying to get people
       | to think critically about the book it seems like they should at
       | least be given the opportunity to see the authors response to
       | your criticism.
        
         | nabla9 wrote:
         | In his response Walker walks back some of the most outrageous
         | claims he makes, like the cancer claim.
         | 
         | Had he put the same effort to sourcing the book and toning down
         | the claims, there would have not been a controversy.
        
         | mikedilger wrote:
         | Interesting. I briefly checked into one of his retorts and it
         | appears just as poorly sourced. Take this one:
         | The Centers for Disease Control (CDC) has stated that,
         | "Insufficient sleep is a public health epidemic."
         | 
         | If you follow the link (which doesn't even go to the CDC
         | site!), it's dead. If you go get the 473 page report from the
         | CDC for 2014 (implied by the dead link) from
         | https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/hus/hus14.pdf, you find the word
         | sleep used only 3 times (once in the index) and no such quote.
        
       | Barrin92 wrote:
       | personal heuristic of mine, never read something that even
       | remotely reeks of self-help.
       | 
       | when it starts with "popular science person xyz charts a map of
       | the most important scientific breakthrough of the decade" etc
       | just put it back and pick something from the fiction section and
       | you'll have a better time.
       | 
       | Life isn't lived in the aggregate, you don't need "sleep science"
       | to figure out how much _you_ need to sleep. Are you tired? Sleep
       | more, no? you 're fine. This emerging health industrial complex
       | has just one purpose: create neurotic people who try to optimise
       | their life and then sell them answers.
        
         | currymj wrote:
         | the book was appealing because it was something to point to
         | that might convince your boss or friends to let you sleep,
         | rather than acting like wanting to sleep more than 6 hours a
         | night is a sign of weak moral character.
         | 
         | many people hold this attitude, it's appealing to have
         | something "objective" when trying to justify going to sleep.
         | 
         | unfortunately it does have these many scientific inaccuracies.
         | depressing.
        
         | dojitza1 wrote:
         | I'd argue that the "emerging health industrial complex" you
         | mention has been with humans since the dawn of civilization.
         | One wonders how we were able to envision tools that help us
         | move away from our opportunistic instincts.
        
         | karlicoss wrote:
         | This heuristic sadly doesn't always work, it's like saying you
         | don't need "food science" and should just go for that sugary
         | drink if you want it, or not exercising because you're not
         | feeling like it
        
           | Barrin92 wrote:
           | That's not what I was saying. I didn't say you don't need to
           | exercise or eat healthy, I said you don't need a nutrionist
           | or a wellness coach. Do you know how I know I need to
           | exercise or cut down on sugar? When my belt starts to get
           | tight, when my posture gets bad, when I lose muscle and when
           | I wheeze running up the stairs. Then I know I need to switch
           | the beer for water and take the bike instead of the train to
           | work, problem solved.
           | 
           | Never in my life have I ever wasted a minute installing
           | exercise apps on my phone, reading exercise books, instead
           | I've just gone to public pool and done my laps and for some
           | reason I'm in better shape than some of my peers who seem to
           | spend hundreds of dollars per month on books, peloton courses
           | and exercise audiobooks.
        
             | karlicoss wrote:
             | Sure, this sound reasonable. But you needed scientists to
             | figure out at some point that it's optimal for most people
             | to eat some things, and not other. E.g. you can stay lean
             | eating only fruit, but you'll lack some micronutrients.
             | 
             | Also there are some long term longevity effects (or at
             | least people doing studies and claiming such effects).
             | 
             | And even with 'noticing' you feel tired, it doesn't always
             | work, at least not for everyone. Obviously most people
             | would feel suboptimal if they start sleeping 4h/day, for
             | example. But anecdotally, I dont notice any subjective
             | difference as long as I slept something like 6.5h+.
             | Sometimes I feel a little sleepy but then it goes away
             | quickly.. sometimes I feel like crap till afternoon even
             | though I slept a lot. And making long term observations is
             | hard because it's hard to compare how tired you're feeling
             | now with how tired you were a week ago.
        
         | msrenee wrote:
         | I don't read a lot of self-help books, but the ones I have have
         | been extremely helpful. Some people don't respond to them and
         | 95% of what's on the market are bullshit platitudes, but it
         | feels like throwing the baby out with the bathwater to write
         | them off entirely.
        
         | serjester wrote:
         | Calling his book a self help title is a stretch - the author is
         | one of the top researchers in his field. He simply wrote a book
         | making the research out there a lot more accessible to the
         | layman. He isn't selling you anything past that.
         | 
         | As for the field of "sleep science", you're drastically
         | oversimplifying it. Your sleeping habits have tons of second
         | order affects that aren't remotely intuitive. For example, you
         | know alcohol wrecks your sleep quality? Over time that lack of
         | quality sleep is associated to weight gain. Doesn't it make
         | sense to have a solid understanding of something you spend a
         | third of your life doing?
         | 
         | Finally the author of the blog post has no background in this
         | past reading articles on PubMed. I've read some genuine
         | criticisms of the book, most of which Walker addressed, but
         | these are incredibly weak. If you're attempting to synthesize
         | entire fields of research, you should probably have a
         | background in them.
        
           | nabla9 wrote:
           | > He isn't selling you anything past that.
           | 
           | He is selling speaking gigs, advises startups. He is cashing
           | out and part of that is sensationalist book for general
           | audience.
           | 
           | > but these are incredibly weak.
           | 
           | It's riddled with factual errors.
        
         | lethologica wrote:
         | Self help books sell because they give they buyer a sense of
         | having accomplished "something". It's similar to the person who
         | wants to start running to get healthier. They go out, buy a
         | nice pair of running shoes, grab some expensive name brand
         | clothing and perhaps buy themselves a fitness tracker too and
         | then call it a day feeling great. They have convinced
         | themselves they have begun their journey to a life where they
         | run marathons weekly but have in actual fact achieved nothing.
        
       | tayo42 wrote:
       | So how do i, a regular person without a neuroscience or sleep
       | background, know who to trust? The about page on this page
       | doesn't lead me to believe that this is another expert in the
       | field. Maybe Guzey got it wrong, maybe they're both wrong? Why
       | should I take this page at face value?
       | 
       | I guess this leads to a bigger philosophical leaning question,
       | how do I pick out good information when I don't know the field.
       | This has been a struggle for me, I have a recent interest in
       | neuroscience and how it relates to consciousness. This topic
       | seems to have a wide variety of science based, philosophy based
       | and some real out there stuff but it gets pitches as reliable. I
       | really don't know how to pick good books to read. I don't know
       | how to filter out the equivalent of like being antivax in a field
       | i dont know about.
       | 
       | To try to answer my own questions, I guess in some way, you can't
       | ever know the truth? But relying on one book, blog, article, view
       | point to base your understanding will definitely lead to being
       | uniformed unless you are lucky enough to stumble on a god source
       | the first time.
        
         | wpietri wrote:
         | One way to do it is looking at what other experts say. I'm a
         | long-time reader of statistician Andrew Gelman, who has a lot
         | of good critiques of shoddy science. He responds to Guzey's
         | critique here:
         | https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2019/11/24/why-we-sle...
        
           | kachnuv_ocasek wrote:
           | I second the recommendation of Gelman's blog. He's written a
           | lot more about this particular case since then. Here's a more
           | recent article on the topic, for instance:
           | https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/10/07/alexey-
           | guz...
        
         | inimino wrote:
         | Read the history of the field.
         | 
         | Read textbooks, oldest ones first.
         | 
         | Don't try to understand a field by looking at the new research.
         | 
         | Ignore anything you see in the popular press, newspapers, TED
         | talks, or the internet generally.
         | 
         | Read opinions by experts in adjacent fields whose expertise you
         | can more readily evaluate.
         | 
         | Good luck :-)
        
         | polote wrote:
         | > how do I pick out good information when I don't know the
         | field
         | 
         | Search HN threads on the topic, read people who agree and
         | people who disagree then make your own opinion
        
         | anonporridge wrote:
         | You don't know. And you never will.
         | 
         | Even well credentialed experts aren't strictly trustworthy,
         | because they can often be wrong or have big gaps in knowledge.
         | Credentials can be faked or bullshitted into. Even honest
         | experts can fall into self corrupting games that force them to
         | spread bad information to maintain their position in their
         | field.
         | 
         | As individuals, we're going to constantly mess up and follow
         | the wrong ideas. The best we can do is hold lightly to them and
         | be willing to be proven wrong and always be weighing the risks
         | of an idea being wrong. Always ask what the incentives of a
         | person sharing an idea are. Profit incentives distort rational
         | thinking. We all worship the thing that feeds us.
         | 
         | It's important in some cases to take leaps of faith so that you
         | don't become paralyzed to inaction from the vast uncertainty of
         | the world. Just be wary that you don't get stuck on a sinking
         | island or take overly absurd leaps that don't have the reward
         | to justify the risk.
         | 
         | Hopefully, the human colossus is marching closer to truth, even
         | if we as individuals can never achieve it.
        
         | MattRix wrote:
         | It's true that it's hard to know for sure, but there are a
         | bunch of things you can do. One of the most obvious is to see
         | what other reputable sources say about the author. What's their
         | track record in the past? Then for any specific piece, you can
         | look at the arguments they're making, and then look at the
         | sources they reference. Are those sources reputable, etc.
         | 
         | To put it another way, you need to have a bunch of sources you
         | trust, and then see how strong the connections are from any new
         | data back to those original trustworthy sources.
        
         | dojitza1 wrote:
         | You shouldn't trust anybody other than yourself and your
         | ability to recognise scientific consensus. This process is not
         | easy and as goes for most things in life, diversification is
         | key. Basing your research on a single article/book/source is
         | bad, and your confidence that you understand/are knowledgeable
         | about a topic should rise as you do more research.
        
           | neolog wrote:
           | You can also trust individual people and institutions if you
           | follow them for a while and know how they do things.
        
           | thomasahle wrote:
           | > You shouldn't trust anybody other than yourself
           | 
           | And probably not even that either.
        
             | kergonath wrote:
             | Yourself is the last person you should trust. It's much
             | easier to detect logical flaws in other people and be
             | critical about what they say.
        
           | habitue wrote:
           | > You shouldn't trust anybody other than yourself
           | 
           | Oh, definitely don't trust yourself. Everybody is wrong about
           | almost everything, that includes yourself
        
       | binbag wrote:
       | Great article. The percentage reduction bit is particularly
       | bonkers.
        
       | Ansil849 wrote:
       | The thing to remember is that popsci books are not peer-reviewed
       | academic literature. They are the, generally unchecked, thoughts
       | of the author. If you listen to them, you do so at your peril as
       | you are effectively performing alterations to your life based
       | purely on the thoughts of one person. Much like with medicine,
       | you should seek multiple qualified opinions.
        
       | dang wrote:
       | Past threads:
       | 
       |  _"Why We Sleep" Is Riddled with Scientific and Factual Errors_ -
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22419958 - Feb 2020 (34
       | comments)
       | 
       |  _"Why We Sleep" Is Riddled with Scientific and Factual Errors_ -
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21546850 - Nov 2019 (58
       | comments)
        
         | allears wrote:
         | I wonder who keeps submitting this thread. Could it possibly be
         | the same person who wrote the critique?
        
           | drannex wrote:
           | You can check the poster accounts, all very different. Likely
           | just something people keep coming across.
        
             | wpietri wrote:
             | I still hear the book being referenced positively by people
             | who don't know the topic well, so that seems plausible to
             | me.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | RocketSyntax wrote:
       | sure, some of it is wishy-washy, but i've made adjustments based
       | on it (no caffeine after 11:30am), and my health has dramatically
       | improved.
       | 
       | now i'm dreaming every night AND waking up with programming
       | solutions because of it.
        
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       (page generated 2021-04-03 23:00 UTC)