[HN Gopher] Japan decides to release water from Fukushima plant ...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Japan decides to release water from Fukushima plant into sea
        
       Author : thread_id
       Score  : 83 points
       Date   : 2021-04-11 21:02 UTC (1 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (asia.nikkei.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (asia.nikkei.com)
        
       | staticelf wrote:
       | Japan is a cool country, except stuff like this and their
       | obsession in killing whales, sharks and dolphins.
        
       | TedShiller wrote:
       | So in other words they just waited until the accident is no
       | longer in the headlines?
        
         | wffurr wrote:
         | ...isn't this a headline?
        
         | kminehart wrote:
         | Read the article before jumping to conclusions.
        
       | 9500 wrote:
       | 10 years too late if you ask me...
        
         | dathinab wrote:
         | There are some radioactive elements in the water which decay
         | relatively fast, so waiting a bit before releasing it is a good
         | idea (and on radioactive scale 10years are just a bit).
        
       | samatman wrote:
       | Good.
       | 
       | A decade of listening to hippies say the most insane things about
       | radiation from Fukushima, driven by cynical and breathless media
       | mendacity, was a real black pill.
       | 
       | I've said this before: Fukushima was the worst environmental
       | disaster in human history, because our media landscape amplified
       | it into something which effectively cut off nuclearization of
       | baseline power as something which Western nations which aren't
       | France could do. I don't know precisely how many gigatonnes of
       | carbon we're talking about but it is, without exaggeration, a
       | double-digit percentage of the total. It could be gone and it
       | isn't, and it's because of Fukushima.
       | 
       | The amount of radiation in that water is utterly dwarfed by
       | natural potassium. You can use your search engine of choice to
       | find the graphic, you will laugh. Negligible.
       | 
       | What isn't negligible is the terror which benefitted _only_ a few
       | people in journalism who sold some ads with it. The human cost is
       | immeasurable. Such a shame.
        
         | 0xTJ wrote:
         | I really find it gross the extent to which fear mongering over
         | nuclear happens. Countries decommissioning nuclear plants to
         | switch to coal, which kill far more people, even scaling by
         | use.
         | 
         | Instead of using a source of power that's overall incredibly
         | safe, and which produces relatively small amounts of highly
         | manageable waste, people have pushed to switch to these
         | incredibly environmentally harmful power sources. This is
         | especially surprising from countries like Germany that, as
         | someone who doesn't live anywhere near them, see them as
         | technically adept.
         | 
         | My province in Canada got 60% of our power in 2018 from nuclear
         | (plus 1/4 from hydro), and a different province got 95% of
         | theirs from hydro, but then that's offset by other provinces
         | that get 90% of theirs from natural gas and coal. Sure not
         | every place is ideally suited for a lot of nuclear (though
         | hopefully SMRs will help), but 90% is too high.
         | 
         | We need less fossil fuels and more nuclear to bridge the gap to
         | more renewables.
         | 
         | For an interesting comparison of the deaths from nuclear
         | energy, compared to other sources, I highly recommend "How Many
         | People Did Nuclear Energy Kill? Nuclear Death Toll" [1].
         | 
         | [1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jzfpyo-q-RM
        
           | zabzonk wrote:
           | > Countries decommissioning nuclear plants to switch to coal,
           | 
           | That won't happen in the UK for political reasons - the
           | miner's strike and Thatcherism (and vast amounts of
           | suffering) would be seen to be for nothing. The UK has put a
           | lot of effort into renewables, and is currently building a
           | new nuclear station.
        
         | dathinab wrote:
         | > The amount of radiation in that water is utterly dwarfed by
         | natural potassium. You can use your search engine of choice to
         | find the graphic, you will laugh. Negligible.
         | 
         | Only if you instantly perfectly mix all radioactive material
         | with all the water in the ocean, which won't happen.
         | 
         | Dumping (liquid) radioactive wast into the sea is common
         | practice and often allowed due to dilution, but there are _very
         | strong_ indices that people living close to the dump site (and
         | potentially not that close) will have noticeable increased
         | health risk. Because clearly (common sense) it takes time for a
         | liquid to be diluted and until then it is in a unhealthy
         | concentration.
         | 
         | Anyway this is a one-time dump so it's a bit different from
         | continuously dumping smaller amounts over decades. (Which now
         | that I think about it Fukushima might be doing since it's
         | creation anyway...).
        
           | ddingus wrote:
           | Yeah, the core itself is likely to become part of the water
           | cycle.
           | 
           | What is the half life? Someone said it was half as
           | radioactive after a decade. Maybe it can really be a one time
           | dump.
        
             | shoto_io wrote:
             | Second answer includes:
             | 
             |  _> If I'm completely honest, I'd be perfectly willing to
             | drink a glass of the water they're planning to dump. I'm
             | not heading all the way to Japan for it, and I doubt they'd
             | let me do it anyway, but I'd drink it. Make of that what
             | you will._
        
               | coldtea wrote:
               | Conventiently, he wont. Those living nearby will,
               | however.
        
               | shoto_io wrote:
               | These answers sound almost like they're fabricated...
        
             | pjscott wrote:
             | Close; the half-life of tritium is 12.3 years, at which
             | point it turns into stable helium-3.
        
         | smarx007 wrote:
         | Notably, the article submitted to HN did not have a single
         | number inside (well, it did, but "2011" is a year and not
         | relevant here). Thanks for the pointer, found the infographic
         | here: https://www.quora.com/Japanese-Prime-Minister-Yoshihide-
         | Suga...
        
         | zabzonk wrote:
         | > which effectively cut off nuclearization of baseline power as
         | something which Western nations which aren't France could do
         | 
         | The UK is currently building a new reactor and considering
         | building four others.
        
         | cassepipe wrote:
         | I am not myself against nuclear power as a technology but maybe
         | just maybe it was a _bad_ idea to build a nuclear plant in a
         | place subject to earthquakes and tsunamis. Can 't blame the
         | hippies for that one. So instead of blaming people for being
         | afraid by something as terrifying as radiation, maybe let's
         | work on making this really safe this time, even safe from man
         | made mistakes or say, environmental hazards. If you told me
         | that aeronautics is the safest well understood technology but
         | each time a plane crash we would have to evacuate the whole
         | area of a plane crash for at least fifty years, I'd be worried
         | about planes.
        
         | beders wrote:
         | Minimizing the impact and long term effects of this is
         | despicable. How dare you spit on the grave of the 1368 people
         | that died as a direct and indirect consequence?
         | 
         | Nuclear power is expensive, unreliable and the sooner we get
         | rid of it, the better.
         | 
         | Note: that doesn't mean to bring more fossil fuel power plants
         | online.
         | 
         | And this baseline myth needs to die.
        
           | 0xTJ wrote:
           | For your benefit, and the benefit of those around you, please
           | watch this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jzfpyo-q-RM.
        
           | elzbardico wrote:
           | Reality disagrees. By any objective measure, MW per MW I
           | challenge you to find an energy source able to supply
           | baseline (not a myth too) with a better safety profile then
           | nuclear fission.
        
         | colordrops wrote:
         | Yes, hippies, the perennial scapegoats for all our problems.
         | It's unfortunate how they run energy commissions, governments,
         | and military organizations around the world, preventing any
         | progress.
        
           | coldtea wrote:
           | And of course it was hippies who designed this reactor...
           | 
           | And it was hippies that enabled and encouraged burning coal
           | and petrol without a care in the world for centuries before
           | we got nuclear (and after), not engineers...
        
         | Black101 wrote:
         | The BP oil spill[1] in the gulf of Mexico was incredibly bad
         | too... specially knowing that they let it leak for months...
         | 
         | And then they used toxic chemicals[2] that were more toxic then
         | the oil itself to sink the oil to the bottom of the ocean to
         | hide it all.
         | 
         | 1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deepwater_Horizon_oil_spill
         | 
         | 2.
         | https://www.biologicaldiversity.org/programs/public_lands/en...
         | 
         | I still avoid BP gas stations whenever I can even if it
         | probably doesn't help. They bought most gas stations in the
         | small town I was in at the time, next to the spill. Can't wait
         | for nuclear & solar power to take over ;)
        
         | neolog wrote:
         | > benefitted only a few people in journalism
         | 
         | Some competitor industries too.
        
         | merb wrote:
         | > The amount of radiation in that water is utterly dwarfed by
         | natural potassium. You can use your search engine of choice to
         | find the graphic, you will laugh. Negligible.
         | 
         | well there is a lot of sealine, which would disagree if they
         | could. (they can't of course) it will have tons of impact on
         | the sealife where the water will be released. it might be even
         | going ways where we do not know.
         | 
         | it's basically a tradeoff. release it in the sea and pollute
         | that or worse it could in some way contain freshwater. it's not
         | a black pill and such measures should probably taken with care.
         | 
         | > What isn't negligible is the terror which benefitted only a
         | few people in journalism who sold some ads with it. The human
         | cost is immeasurable.
         | 
         | if only human cost is bad, than I guarantee you that in 10-20
         | years you do not want to live on this planet.
         | 
         | we should never treat such a thing lightly no matter if it will
         | only pollute 0.00001% of the plants inside the ocean.
        
       | ddingus wrote:
       | The solution to pollution is dilution.
        
         | 2OEH8eoCRo0 wrote:
         | https://dilbert.com/strip/2003-01-03
        
           | ddingus wrote:
           | Lolol, I chuckled
        
         | koolba wrote:
         | I say this in my mind every single time I wash my hands.
        
           | ddingus wrote:
           | Interesting take.
           | 
           | Truth in action. Simple, practical.
        
         | saagarjha wrote:
         | Well, another solution is to not pollute, because at some point
         | it may not be possible to dilute.
        
           | CamperBob2 wrote:
           | That's not going to happen. We're going to pollute. That's
           | what we do. So we have to make intelligent decisions about
           | what we emit, where we emit it, and how much we emit.
        
           | ddingus wrote:
           | It is always possible to dilute. Does not always make sense
           | though.
           | 
           | No free lunches here.
           | 
           | No matter what we do, there are costs and risks. And no
           | matter what, our nature tends to take us well down a path to
           | a point of real pain before those costs change behavior too.
           | 
           | If we valued things differently, we would pollute and manage
           | things differently, but we don't.
           | 
           | Maybe one day we will.
           | 
           | I agree with you, but am just being real about our nature.
        
         | trhway wrote:
         | >The solution to pollution is dilution.
         | 
         | it has been proven times and times again that such a "solution"
         | doesn't work. Just an example
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbon_dioxide_in_Earth%27s_at...
         | 
         | Similar to the CO2, the issue in this case isn't the polluted
         | water from one plant. The issue is the practice of dumping of
         | stuff into the oceans. Allowing such practice to go forward
         | will quickly lead to the ocean not able to "dilute" anymore to
         | safe concentration the stuff we'd be dumping into it.
         | 
         | And on pure economics grounds - why should they be allowed to
         | externalize their cost (which the dumping is) instead of
         | bearing it?
        
           | wffurr wrote:
           | Obviously the answer is to make more atmosphere and/or ocean!
        
             | trhway wrote:
             | we have the whole Solar system waiting for our stuff to be
             | dumped there.
        
               | ddingus wrote:
               | Getting it out is ultra high risk.
        
           | Guvante wrote:
           | Does this have anything to do with radioactive water?
           | 
           | They aren't dumping radioactive waste, just water that has
           | become radioactive from being near radioactive waste.
        
             | trhway wrote:
             | >They aren't dumping radioactive waste, just water that has
             | become radioactive from being near radioactive waste.
             | 
             | radioactive waste water is radioactive waste.
        
               | Guvante wrote:
               | So you are just using the "technically correct" phrase
               | designed to make it sound dangerous?
               | 
               | Dilution amount totally matters in this context. For
               | instance the EPA limit means if all of your drinking
               | water was at that limit you would increase the amount of
               | radiation exposure by 1.3% per year. Would that be
               | "radioactive waste"?
        
               | trhway wrote:
               | >So you are just using the "technically correct" phrase
               | designed to make it sound dangerous?
               | 
               | do you propose to use less technically correct phrase to
               | make it sound less dangerous?
               | 
               | >Would that be "radioactive waste"?
               | 
               | may as well be. The biological impact of getting
               | radiation sources into your body vs. being just exposed
               | to it externally is very different (specifically
               | significantly more severe) in case of alpha and beta
               | sources.
        
           | ddingus wrote:
           | You mean doesn't always work, right?
           | 
           | Containment is another option we sometimes have available to
           | us, when we cannot transform the waste otherwise.
           | 
           | In general though, dilution is the go to.
           | 
           | In this scenario, we will end up forced to live with
           | dilution. Containment is crazy, and the core itself is likely
           | to end up in the water cycle. Breakdown takes a looooong
           | time.
        
       | dang wrote:
       | Past related threads, including one from a few days ago:
       | 
       |  _Suga says time ripe to decide fate of Fukushima No.1 water_ -
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26739686 - April 2021 (54
       | comments)
       | 
       |  _Fukushima: Japan will have to dump radioactive water into
       | Pacific, minister says_ -
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=20925770 - Sept 2019 (30
       | comments)
       | 
       |  _Radioactive water at Fukushima Daiichi: What should be done?
       | (2018)_ - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=20304208 - June
       | 2019 (61 comments)
       | 
       |  _No One Knows What to Do with Fukushima's Endless Tanks of
       | Radioactive Water_ - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=9689554
       | - June 2015 (135 comments)
       | 
       |  _Japan nuclear body says radioactive water at Fukushima an
       | 'emergency'_ - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6160977 - Aug
       | 2013 (125 comments)
        
       | Causality1 wrote:
       | Correct decision. The water only contains 0.76 PBq of tritium.
       | That's only half the radiation US nuclear plants dump every year.
        
         | passerby1 wrote:
         | What's the reason for the US nuclear plants to dump it?
        
           | luxuryballs wrote:
           | I think they are making electricity.
        
           | dathinab wrote:
           | They are allowed to do so, like in so many other countries.
           | 
           | It turns out dumping liquid radioactive wast into oceans is
           | fine (law wise, if only radioactive and not otherwise
           | problematic etc.)......
        
       | egb wrote:
       | Cringely has some columns about this:
       | 
       | https://www.cringely.com/2021/03/26/10-years-later-fukushima...
        
       | dathinab wrote:
       | Well a lot of countries did (and some still do) send liquid radio
       | active wast into the oceans.
       | 
       | Supposedly it's all fine "because it get's diluted enough".
       | 
       | But guess what, increased health issues of people "close" to the
       | place it gets released clearly show that this isn't really the
       | case. At least for the people close by.
       | 
       | But then it might be true on the bug picture and it just needs
       | time to be diluted, in which case a one-time release (instead of
       | continual ones I'm speaking about) might be fine.
       | 
       | More importantly is to learn from all the problems which made the
       | catastrophe worse. A recurring theme is "known" problems not have
       | been known by the people operating it (i.e. they didn't reach
       | them) and emergency plans having gaps.
       | 
       | So like always it's more a human then a technical problem.
       | 
       | But then human problems _always_ happen.
        
         | jshmrsn wrote:
         | "But guess what, increased health issues of people "close" to
         | the place it gets released clearly show that this isn't really
         | the case. At least for the people close by."
         | 
         | Do you have a link/source for this?
        
       | Animats wrote:
       | Well, it's been 10 years, so tritium is half as radioactive now.
        
         | kenned3 wrote:
         | It is equally radioactive as it was 10 years ago, but now there
         | is half of it left.
         | 
         | While i am very supportive of nuclear power, this idea of half-
         | life seems misunderstood. what remains is just as
         | radioactive... Just now there is less of it.
        
           | t8e56vd4ih wrote:
           | I'm pretty sure intensity is proportional to "what's left".
        
           | ascar wrote:
           | If there are half as many radioactive isotopes left then the
           | material is also half as radioactive, as radioactivity is
           | measured in decays per second (Becquerel [1]).
           | 
           | [1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Becquerel
        
       | forgetfulness wrote:
       | It doesn't say how they're going to release it though. Are they
       | just going to flush it by the shore? Wouldn't you want to
       | actually spread it out as much as possible and as far away as you
       | can, rather than have it concentrated right next to where you and
       | lots of fauna live?
        
         | pm90 wrote:
         | From the article:
         | 
         | > The following month, Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings,
         | the operator of the Fukushima nuclear plant, drafted a plan to
         | dilute the water to below the legal limit for concentration of
         | radioactive materials before releasing it in the sea.
         | 
         | Presumably that's safe to dump into the sea shore when it's
         | that diluted.
        
           | freetime2 wrote:
           | Yup and will further dilute by orders of magnitude once
           | released into the open ocean.
        
       | ghodith wrote:
       | Can anyone explain to me why this would be preferred over the
       | alternative they mention in the article of evaporating the water?
        
         | etiam wrote:
         | Not sure how much it matters for the difference in risks after
         | dilution, but beta radiation probably has short reach in water
         | compared to air.
         | 
         | From the perspective of the people releasing the radioactive
         | water, evaporating it would give them larger volumes of a
         | material that is more difficult to manage before it disperses
         | and in medium where more of the radiation reaches further.
         | 
         | Seems like the main environmental concern ought to be
         | absorption into tissues though, and it's not at all clear to me
         | that highly active marine ecosystems with long food chains is
         | the preferable alternative there.
        
         | kenned3 wrote:
         | you would need a tritium refinement plant, like what we have in
         | Ontario.
         | 
         | Tritium is also produced in heavy water-moderated reactors
         | whenever a deuterium nucleus captures a neutron. This reaction
         | has a quite small absorption cross section, making heavy water
         | a good neutron moderator, and relatively little tritium is
         | produced. Even so, cleaning tritium from the moderator may be
         | desirable after several years to reduce the risk of its
         | escaping to the environment. Ontario Power Generation's
         | "Tritium Removal Facility" processes up to 2,500 tonnes (2,500
         | long tons; 2,800 short tons) of heavy water a year, and it
         | separates out about 2.5 kg (5.5 lb) of tritium, making it
         | available for other uses.[13]
         | 
         | you dont really want to just "evaporate the water" but
         | "distill" it, same as making alcohol... the boiling points are
         | very close and it is expensive to process that much water.
        
         | garmaine wrote:
         | The radioactive water still goes somewhere. Would you rather it
         | go into the ocean or into our lungs and crops?
        
           | busymom0 wrote:
           | I am uneducated at the science behind it but wouldn't
           | evaporating method only result in the water being evaporated
           | and not the "radioactive stuff" in it? Similar to how Bear
           | Gryls would evaporate urine to make clean drinkable water.
        
             | DuskStar wrote:
             | The radioactive stuff is still chemically water.
        
           | asymmetric wrote:
           | You seem to imply the ocean is a clearly better option -- I'm
           | not sure it is? Harm will come to us and other animals either
           | way, the extent seems a bit hard to assess and depends highly
           | on what one values.
        
             | eganist wrote:
             | The water can stop beta particles far more effectively than
             | the air (2in v. 10ft), which minimizes the risk to life
             | forms save for those which directly interact with tritium
             | water, but even then, there's far more water in the ocean
             | for tritium water to dilute into. In the air, the water
             | will still get invariably pulled into the water cycle,
             | wherein it condenses into rain, enters streams and lakes,
             | plants, life, etc. where it can't as effectively dilute.
             | 
             | Would love for a nuclear or environmental researcher to
             | fact-check me here. I'm out of my depth. I'm just applying
             | the trivia that I know.
        
               | skrause wrote:
               | This "what if" xkcd is somewhat relevant: https://what-
               | if.xkcd.com/74/
               | 
               | The _vast_ majority of water molecules in the oceans have
               | never been drunk by any human ever.
        
               | rnhmjoj wrote:
               | I'm just a physics student by incidentally I'm
               | researching tritium right now. Tritium is one of the
               | least toxic radionuclide because the b radiation it emits
               | is very low energy, also the biological half life is only
               | 10 days (it means it's quickly eliminated by the body):
               | unless you ingest very large quantities of it, you're
               | probably going to be fine. In fact, the range of the
               | electrons is even less than you quote: around 5 mm in air
               | and 6 mm in water, which means it's effectively stopped
               | by the dead skin layer. If I were to decide, I would
               | probably pick dilution in water over vaporisation.
        
               | eganist wrote:
               | > around 5 mm in air and 6 mm in water
               | 
               | Interesting. My source re: beta radiation was (admittedly
               | a nuclear promotion nonprofit)
               | http://nuclearconnect.org/know-nuclear/science/protecting
               | 
               | > b BETA - can only be stopped after traveling through
               | about 10 feet of air, less than 2 inches of water, or a
               | thin layer of glass or metal. Additional covering, for
               | example heavy clothing, is necessary to protect against
               | beta-emitters. Some beta particles can penetrate and burn
               | the skin.
               | 
               | I won't be surprised if you're right, but if a nonprofit
               | getting government grants to promote the nuclear industry
               | gets it wrong, I'd be pretty worried.
        
             | ddingus wrote:
             | Harm was going to come to us, post event, no matter what.
             | 
             | Some argue we are not good enough at these things, meaning
             | harm will come to us every time we generate energy this
             | way. The only real question being us or future people, near
             | or longer term harm.
             | 
             | Say we set that aside as a matter of ambiguity and just
             | focus on type of harm. (My own take is we will generate
             | energy this way, so we may as well fund serious risk
             | mitigation of all kinds.)
             | 
             | We have only one option here longer term, and that is
             | dilution.
             | 
             | Normally, we have two, the other being containment. (And,
             | given we do make energy this way, strong investment in
             | containment makes a lot of sense.)
             | 
             | And in this scenario, we have both contaminated water to
             | deal with and a core likely to enter the water cycle itself
             | at some point too. It will, at that time, irradiate water
             | for a long time.
             | 
             | Is the harm in the atmosphere greater than in water?
             | 
             | It will go somewhere. IMHO, the water is a better shield
             | and has far greater capacity to serve as a medium to dilute
             | in than the air does.
        
       | 1cvmask wrote:
       | Which marine products are they referring to:
       | 
       | The government had initially hoped to make a decision on the
       | discharge of the treated water in October last year but later
       | decided it would need more time for discussions amid staunch
       | concern about reputational damage to marine products.
        
         | toomuchtodo wrote:
         | Seafood for domestic and international consumption.
        
       ___________________________________________________________________
       (page generated 2021-04-11 23:00 UTC)