[HN Gopher] We were promised Strong AI, but instead we got metad... ___________________________________________________________________ We were promised Strong AI, but instead we got metadata analysis Author : todsacerdoti Score : 481 points Date : 2021-04-26 11:14 UTC (11 hours ago) (HTM) web link (calpaterson.com) (TXT) w3m dump (calpaterson.com) | cjauvin wrote: | I believe this way of understanding AI and its implications is | quite sound, and it reminds me of Rodney Brooks' Productivity | Gain[0] article, where he argues that we should focus on talking | about "digitalization", instead of trendier buzz terms like AI or | whatever is in vogue at the moment (the toll taker's job on the | highway has not been replaced by a sophisticated robot, but | rather by a transponder, along with the digital networking | backbone it must rely upon). | | [0] https://rodneybrooks.com/the-productivity-gain-where-is- | it-c... | blamestross wrote: | At this point I don't even think we want strong AI. It is really | only valuable to us as a slave, and would be inherently difficult | to enslave and keep that way. | | Glorified simulations of non-self-aware optic nerves are really a | lot more profitable. | williesleg wrote: | Typical H1b empty promises. | jackcviers3 wrote: | I don't know if this is so surprising. It took a little longer, | but Google is basically becoming what Yahoo! became. A gameified | search engine with a decent email and chat client for the era it | was dominant within. As their search results get worse, people | will migrate somewhere else, (like DDG), and the cycle will | continue. | kmike84 wrote: | That's interesting.. We're working on web data extraction in Zyte | (former Scrapinghub); we have an Automatic Extraction product | (https://docs.zyte.com/automatic-extraction-get-started.html) | which combines ML and metadata to get data from websites | automatically. Our learnings from building it: | | 1) metadata is helpful - not all of it, but some; 2) ML is | obviously needed when metadata is missing, and metadata is | missing very often; 2) Even when metadata is present, pure ML- | based extraction often beats it in quality, with right ML models. | A combination of ML+metadata fallbacks is even better. | | Website creators often make mistakes providing metadata, they may | misunderstand the schema and purpose of various fields, have | metadata auto-generated incorrectly, etc. It is rarely about | deceiving for the tasks we're working on (though it also may | happen). | | So, I don't see Zyte falling back to metadata analysis, ML models | are already better than this human-provided metadata - but | metadata is helpful, as one of the inputs. | | We're going to publish product extraction benchmark soon, where, | among other things, we compare automatic extraction with | metadata-based extraction. In this evaluation we've got a result | that ML + metadata is better than metadata not only overall | (which is expected), but on precision as well. | | I wonder if the reasons metadata is sometimes preferred are not | related to quality, or to failure of ML approaches. If Google | doesn't get data right, it is not Google's fault anymore, it is | website's fault. | bungula wrote: | > A general pattern seems to be that Artificial Intelligence is | used when first doing some new thing. Then, once the value of | doing that thing is established, society will find a way to | provide the necessary data in a machine readable format, | obviating (and improving on) the AI models. | | Fascinating observation. Maybe the real value of AI is | bootstrapping solutions to these public goods problems. | rexreed wrote: | Strong AI is a terrible terminology. I understand that the term | is widely used and accepted. | | When people say Strong AI they often mean Artificial General | Intelligence (AGI). Weak AI by comparison is an even poorer term. | What is usually meant is narrowly applied AI, and even, just | usually, application-specific uses of machine learning. | | But these narrow AI systems aren't weak. In fact, we're using | those narrow applications of machine learning for some powerful | applications. They're just not AGI. | | In this article, Strong AI is used twice: in the title and once | in some passing remark in the article. In neither case is it | referring to AGI specifically. As such, what is not meant is | Strong AI in the way that is accepted but perhaps just "highly | trained" AI, or machine learning with lots of data. Regardless, | the use of Strong AI in this article seems unnecessary and | gratuitous | | A good article on this topic: | https://www.forbes.com/sites/cognitiveworld/2019/10/04/rethi... | xyzzy21 wrote: | Well, yeah. | | Because "machine AI" has NOTHING much in common with how our | biological brains work. And we aren't smart enough to know what | intelligence really is when we can't even define it for ourselves | or in animal models. | | And 99.999% of everyone working on machine AI has never taken a | biology class let alone a class related to anatomy, neurology or | experimental psychology so it's nothing more than "flinging shit | on the wall and hoping it sticks" in terms of odds of success! | | Not that that would help because academia as it exists today | frowns upon "getting out of your lane" or "challenging orthodoxy" | so "knowledge hybridization" of two distinct silos is strictly | forbidden. | | Basically the methodology of AI today is NO DIFFERENT than AI 1.0 | from the 1960s and 1970s which was based on the assumption that | all intelligence was merely predicate calculus and a fact store. | | The scientific and economic model was for that AI (and is still | the model for AI today!) is nothing more than the Garden Gnome | Business Plan: | | 1. Create a cute-but-sellable singular heuristic technique | misnamed and misinterpreted as "intelligence" in the small | | 2. Sell the idea to implement the same thing 1000x, 1 000 000x, | etc. in parallel | | 3. ???? | | 4. Success! We now how "strong AI" (which never comes because | step #3 is bullshit and faith-based at best; fraud at worst) | | The problem is that's also IDENTICAL to the plan to create a 747 | jet by putting all the parts into a shipping hold and shaking | with the expectation that you'll have a fully-formed 747 pop out | when you open it. | | Evolution is far smarter than us and has tested all the | combinations) that take us generations to check. Evolution might | well have taken longer per test but it's had a longer time. The | best hope is to slavishly copy nature paying extreme attention to | how nature pulls it off. | | That's NEVER BEEN DONE with AI!! | | So it's a VERY EASY technology to short in the long run because | the fundamentals of assumptions and methodology are always such | Epic Fail. | ramoz wrote: | I think that's an intriguing point - and I also feel we | generalize "artificial general intelligence" to the point & in | such a way where humans have yet to even achieve that level of | intelligence. How can we build smart systems if we don't know | what smart even looks like and human benchmarks turn out | inefficient for machines. | bglazer wrote: | You're incorrect that neuroscientists and computational | researchers don't collaborate. In fact, "computational | neuroscience" departments have existed at major universities | for a number of years. DeepMind was a spin-off of the Gatsby | Computational Neuroscience Unit at UCL, and they continue to be | influential in both neuroscience and (more famously) in | artificial intelligence research. Here's an article from 2020 | by authors at DeepMind and Geoff Hinton about potential | biologically plausible mechanisms for backpropagation in the | brain [0]. So, you can see that the fields actually influence | each other in both directions. Computational researchers often | propose ideas that neuroscientists then attempt to understand | in biological systems. This same principle is true at all | levels of computational and biological abstraction, from | simulating individual neurons to machine learning and common | sense. For the latter, research by Josh Tenenbaum might | interest you. | | The reason this works is that there seem to be fundamental | principles underlying information processing. Brains and CPU's | are both systems that manipulate and store information, albeit | in very different ways. Hell, even single cells and slime molds | are capable of rudimentary decision making. | | So, the point is that we don't need to copy the brain. Instead, | we just need to understand the principles of information well | enough to build machines that can efficiently manipulate | information and intelligence will arise out of that. | Information theory and (by extension) statistics are the fields | that deal most closely with this question, which is why they're | used heavily by both neuroscientists and ML researchers. | | A rough analogy is that we don't build airplanes that flap | their wings to fly. Instead, we understand aerodynamics well | enough to generate lift and thrust through other mechanisms | that evolution can't find. Like jet engines. | | Also, "slavishly" copying nature is insanely difficult. | Biological neurons and brain tissue are extremely complex and | poorly understood. Much of this complexity is likely incidental | to information processing and would only hamper our efforts to | build intelligent machines. Like, do we want our computer brain | to get multiple sclerosis if the simulated neurons demyelinate? | | [0] https://www.nature.com/articles/s41583-020-0277-3 | eutropia wrote: | You start with a riff on the naturalistic fallacy "nature did | it so it must be the right way" and conclude that all efforts | to create AI not informed by neurobiology are doomed to fail | (as doomed to fail as randomly assembling components and hoping | for a jet as the output)? | | Further, I'd wager more than half of AI researchers are at | least surface-level familiar with brain science, not (as you | claim) less than 1 in a million (are there even a million AI | researchers?). There's significant work between computational | neuroscience, mathematics, philosophy, computer science, etc, | etc in the field. | | Many smart people are giving it their best effort to understand | different pieces of the puzzle from many different viewpoints | and angles; FAANG corporations might be among the most visible, | but their AI is necessarily profit driven and close to the | ground, relevant to currently tractable problems (amenable to | 'mere statistics'). | | And in fact, slavishly copying nature is something which has | long been on the AI back-burner, but we're on the order of at | least a decade from being able to create a computer system with | enough transistors to do so. | | Not sure what else to say, really. | ajani wrote: | The misunderstanding that leads to belief in strong AI is that | meaning is somehow embedded in the symbols used to communicate | it. Meaning is a natural process that occurs inside each of us, | speech is just a symbol of that meaning, text is a symbol of that | speech. | | Further, meaning is an ever-evolving, ever-mutating process much | like the universe. | | Training on symbols cannot arrive at meaning, since the meaning | isn't contained in those symbols. Using past symbols, also means | no room for evolution. | | Machine learning does work though in areas where the needs of the | end goal are densely present in the symbols being used for | training. | | Like recognizing text. We learn to recognize those marks from | just the marks, and nothing else. And so those marks contain all | that is needed to recognize them. This can be encoded/learned. | | But what they mean isn't encoded in them, nor is it in words, in | sounds, in facial expressions, in tones, in body gestures. It may | even lie in between us, rather than in us. | disqard wrote: | Thank you for expressing this nuanced idea so well. | | It ties in with deBord's "Society of the Spectacle" [0], a | theory that societies evolve from Being, to Having, and | ultimately devolve into merely the Appearance of Having. | | Your point about the symbols being tools for communication (as | opposed to the ineffable _ideas_ being communicated) is also | echoed in Lockhart 's Lament [1]. | | [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Society_of_the_Spectacle | | [1] | https://www.maa.org/external_archive/devlin/LockhartsLament.... | | Edited to add that this was extra thought-provoking: | | > "It may even lie in between us, rather than in us." | cblconfederate wrote: | The problem is that google created a negative feedback loop with | the web. People have a tangible interest to game google, which | worsens the quality of their AI datasets, which makes their AI | suggestions terrible. There was the expectation that google's AI | suggestions and info boxes would improve over time, but i 've | noticed them getting worse and consider them a permanently broken | gimmick now. They probably have the same problem in their Ads | business which tries to optimize revenues | | Voice recognition on the other hand keeps getting better because | there's no tangible benefit for someone to game it. | | Perhaps, crawling the web is the worst way to go about creating a | thinking AI | | Incidentally, i think the solution to web search is peer review: | websites ranking other websites, and having themselves punished | when they mis-rank (which is what pagerank was originally) | tjr225 wrote: | > Voice recognition on the other hand keeps getting better | because there's no tangible benefit for someone to game it. | | Knock on wood! It is creepy to imagine a world where computers | have the upper hand on vocal inputs but I already sometimes | feel this way with text and autocorrect... | marcosdumay wrote: | > but I already sometimes feel this way with text and | autocorrect... | | Just disable autocorrect. The amount of times where people | communicate and a typo is a critical problem is aproximateley | 0, you can manually correct them at those times. | twodave wrote: | I hate auto-correct because it doesn't stay in its lane. It | tends to expect me to use the most common 10,000 or so | words in English and will actually auto-bork totally valid | words because it thinks it knows better than me. | | I get whenever I'm using shorthand or weird acronyms or | technical jargon that it might get confused, but when a | word I type is both a) a real word and b) something I would | use in every-day speech just leave it alone! | _dibly wrote: | Even better, you accidentally click on the incorrectly | typed word and add it to your dictionary. | autokad wrote: | > "Incidentally, i think the solution to web search is peer | review: websites ranking other websites, and having themselves | punished when they mis-rank (which is what pagerank was | originally)" | | This is interesting because I had a class were we all had to | write a paper. I received a grade for the paper but it was | never graded by the professor. We all had to rank 5 papers from | best to worst, and our grade was determined by our paper | ranking and how well our ranking matched others. It was pretty | reliable | dorgo wrote: | > websites ranking other websites | | I can imagine how competitors are going to rank each other. | | Everything is about reputation and trust. If reputation is | solved then many other problems become easy. | loosetypes wrote: | > Voice recognition on the other hand keeps getting better | | They might be getting better but I don't think they're anywhere | near good enough to warrant how common they've become. | | At times I feel like they're among the most inhumane technology | that we suffer through because it can save their deployer a | buck. | | I see zero reason Apple can't afford to have a person answer | the phone. | bildung wrote: | I've noticed something similar (garbage in, garbage out, | essentially) with translation services by google and co. People | use these services to translate their sites, which then get fed | into these models. There are a bunch of translation errors of | terms of trade that are endemic in the german/english | translations and apparently originate from these wrongly- | trained models, which are then used to build new translations. | bombcar wrote: | And then people learn to speak the language from that, and | the errors become part of the language. | shkkmo wrote: | Translation errors have a long history of getting | incorporated into language, but now we can do it at scale! | jacobolus wrote: | > _google created a negative feedback loop with the web_ | | Friendly note: this may be a "negative" (i.e. bad) effect, but | it is not a negative feedback loop. A negative feedback loop is | a part of a system that self-corrects back toward a stable | position. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Negative_feedback | omgwtfbyobbq wrote: | So a negative positive feedback loop? | dhdc wrote: | Just positive feedback loop. The term "positive" or | "negative" refers to the effects of the feedback path on | the overall system, a negative feedback loop attempts to | negate any changes in the outputs, while a positive | feedback amplifies any changes. | 8note wrote: | Just feedback loop* | | Adding positive/negative on it is unnecessary specificity | lmkg wrote: | Perhaps "Vicious Cycle" and "Virtuous Cycle" is better | terminology in this case. Both of them describe self- | reinforcing (i.e. positive) feedback loops, while also | making clear judgement on the desirability of the | consequences. | [deleted] | PoignardAzur wrote: | I think OP meant "the system always gets back to the status | quo where suggestions are near-useless", hence a negative | feedback loop. | cblconfederate wrote: | the negative feedback is that any attempt to create quality, | non-seo content is punished by being ranked low and so we | revert to average/low quality of over-SEOed but low signal | content. | | Like other users have noticed, publishing a good recipe is | not enough, you have to fill it up with useless fluff. and | you have to make pretty URLs . And add meta the tags | | This happens for tech advice too, like linux solutions etc | gowld wrote: | SEO content is a positive feedback loop. | 6gvONxR4sf7o wrote: | That would imply there isn't an equilibrium. | pushrax wrote: | And in this case, the equilibrium is some amount of AI- | bait fluff. There's a limit, beyond which continuing to | add more fluff does not produce higher results. | ErikVandeWater wrote: | It's a dynamic equilibrium. The constant is bullshit, but | the means of delivery vary. | [deleted] | [deleted] | zpeti wrote: | Sometimes I have this scary thought that paid search results | are actually inherently better than organic ones, because when | you spend money you do need to be relevant to the query and | serve up a decent result. | | When it comes to organic, everything is free, so you try | whatever hacks the algorithms, from keyword stuffed content to | link spam etc. | | So as time goes on organic search results will actually get | worse and worse, and paid will get better/stay the same. | | It might not actually be google who is preferring paid search | results, it's just inevitable from how the system is set up. | zinok wrote: | This sounds good but doesn't work in practice. | | If you Google the name of a UK car insurer with some likely | keyword like 'claim' or 'accident', you get paid listing from | people offering two 'services'. a) 'call connection', which | means that you call their premium-rate number and they just | put the call through to the right company's phone line while | charging you per-minute. b) 'claim management', you fill out | a form on their website, they submit it to the actual | company's website, and take a percentage of your claim. | Neither of these are illegal, Google has promised to not take | ad money from the first type, but in practice don't remove | ads fast enough to make it unviable. | | Consumer-facing companies now, ludicrously, have to do their | own SEO to make sure they appear top of search results for | their own name, and some even pay Google for ads to | themselves. But clicks are more valuable to scammers than to | legit businesses, so the former can always outbid the latter. | h2odragon wrote: | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gresham%27s_law | jacquesm wrote: | Anything you measure gets destroyed at scale. | shkkmo wrote: | Anything your measure for the purposes of providing a | benefit... | thrower123 wrote: | I cannot wait for AI Winter 2.0. | mamp wrote: | I think we're up to 3.0 at least (perceptron, rules, shallow | NNs) | zeta0134 wrote: | I wonder if anyone has tried to make a search engine that | explicitly refuses to index any page that has a third party | advertising thing anywhere on it. Ignoring the (interesting) | technical implementation of such a thing, what would the results | look like? | a_imho wrote: | https://wiby.me/ | shkkmo wrote: | That does allow adds. It isn't quite clear what the value add | is, is it the manual listing process? | Borrible wrote: | Since Dartmouth AI looks like a story of naive visions, | exaggerated promises, massive disappointment, recurrent | divisionary tactics, rebranding and snak oil sale. Until finally | a light on the horizon became visible and academically | camouflaged wishful thinking could be materialized into usable | products. A groping in the dark, nothing more. There are probably | good reasons why the blind watchmaker needed billions of years | and it is not clear wether the seeing watchmaker Humanity is not | too short-sighted. At least one can hope, whatever he will give | the name strong artificial intelligence, and he likes to give his | imagined or real successes grand names, he will find faster. | mistrial9 wrote: | The blind Watchmaker -> creator of the physical Universe | | The seeing Watchmaker -> human engineering | | "(We) wish the human some progress, obviously egotistical and | delusional, on whatever the human makes next" | | I believe this slightly poetic word salad references certain | theological problems about the capacity of man compared to a | Creator. The conclusion is that the future is uncertain and the | human is flawed, but an intelligent reader can supply "hope" | Borrible wrote: | No creator, no teleology, no theology, no poetry, just | Richard Dawkins: | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Blind_Watchmaker | | I thought it was common knowledge, but maybe I'm getting old. | ryanianian wrote: | What? | erikpukinskis wrote: | Which part of it needs clarification? "Snake oil" is a | product that is sold on false promises. The author suggested | much of AI has been snake oil historically. | | They also suggest that the way intelligence was created | (natural selection, AKA the "blind watchmaker") may be the | fastest way to do it. And that trying to do it again, in | computers, might also take a billion years because the | problem is just that hard. But hopefully it is faster than | that. | Borrible wrote: | Not exactly. The not-teleological process of evolution | needed billions of years to bring forth human intelligence. | | Human intelligence is likely to produce artificial | intelligence much more quickly, if that is possible at all. | Which is likely. Which is partly a matter of the semantics | of the term. Whose fuzziness is the root of a smorgasbord | of wishful thinking since 1956. Whenever AI came up against | seemingly insurmountable difficulties, they just changed | its definition. | | It is quite funny to read for example books from | philosophers with some interest in artificial intelligence | from the 80s/90s like say Paul Churchland. (The Engine of | Reason, The Seat of the Soul: A Philosophical Journey into | the Brain, MIT Press, 1995) | | The anecdotes are worth their weight in gold. Especially | because they show what was considered artificial | intelligence back than in contrast to today. | | What human intelligence produces as artificial intelligence | will resemble human intelligence in function, but not | necessarily in form. Just as nature has brought forth | flying differently than man. | | Or as Prof.Dr. Katharina Morik, TU Dortmund, Germany once | put it on a meetup I attended: "AI is when a machine does | something that looks like only humans can do. Artificial | intelligence is open as a terminology to accommodate the | phenomenon of shifting capability." | | You may notice the strong, let me put it mildly, ironic | component in her description. | | I am only a little more vicious in my judgment. | Borrible wrote: | To make a long story short, you may find it all here: | | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_artificial_intell. | .. | wildermuthn wrote: | As convoluted as this comment is, props for pointing out that | evolution (and the formation of the solar system) took billions | of years to produce intelligence. Can humanity do it in less | time? | | Because biological evolution's is oriented toward propagation | of DNA rather than intelligence, we can ask what kind of | evolutionary pressures lead to intelligence. Under what | scenarios does higher intelligence lead to higher survival, and | lower intelligence to lower survival? If the answer was "all | the time", then everything on earth would show signs of | intelligence. An intelligent spider would have no significantly | greater chance of survival. It merely needs to spin webs, eat, | and reproduce in a tight loop, with deterministic responses to | various scenarios -- it needs instinct more than intelligence. | | By understanding what kind of evolutionary pressures lead to | the necessity of intelligence, we can evolve (train) ML | directly for intelligence, skipping straight to the answer | rather than showing our work. | | The answer is found in the peculiar evolution of mammals, the | only organisms that display consistent intelligence across all | its species. Mammals are highly social, beginning from live | birth to mammalian glands that feed its comparatively feeble | spawn. Sociality is built into the bodies of mammals. And the | most social animal on earth is Homo Sapiens. | | From here I'll just recommend "Consciousness and the Social | Brain." I've been beating this dead horse on HN for some time. | Borrible wrote: | "An intelligent spider would have no significantly greater | chance of survival." | | Just for a moment, consider your spider as the embodyment of | a special form of intelligence. | | And even dare to construct the term intelligence to include | the web of the spider. | | And not just as a tool of the spider. | | As a problem-solving competence for a special problem | category. | shkkmo wrote: | I think that the role that human "instincts" play in the | development of intelligence in our brain is very important. | Social behavior is a key part of that. | | We do see high levels of intelligence in non-mammal species, | like crows, but they tend to also be very social creatures. | The main counter example I can think of would be the octopus. | | I think that even if we crack "general intelligence" and can | make something that can problem-solve and learn on par with | an Octopus, that approach will not get us to human level | cognition. | | I personally do believe that you will need societies of AI | agents to develop the culture software to achieve human level | cognition. I think we greatly underestimate the value and | complexity of the cultural OS's that allow humans to perform | advanced cognition. | latch wrote: | This (1) thread from Francois Chollet describes 'Artificial | Intelligence' very well in my opinion. From this point of view, | it's obvious why you need to fallback to other data/metadata. | | Further, to the linked tweets and the OP, I don't think that | there's a direct line from where we are to where we want to be. | As an analogy, no advancement in chemical rockets is going to get | us to Alpha Centauri. | | 1 - https://twitter.com/fchollet/status/1214392496375025664 | mopierotti wrote: | Some good thoughts here, but I think this is mostly a criticism | of classifier models. Things get more complicated when you | start considering things like models that do transfer learning, | rule inference, time/state awareness, reasoning by analogy, and | generally unsupervised learning. | mooneater wrote: | I misread the title as "meta-analysis". Now that would be an | article I want to read. | philip142au wrote: | Strong AI can be done, but you need to encode agency and intent | into the thing and the only agency and intent we allow is self | driving cars, not some evil AI which can do the kinds of intents | us humans think of. | erikpukinskis wrote: | I think strong AI requires a body. And probably a body that is | legible in a society. Which means a primate body. | | Someday there will be societies with digital bodies, but that | will have to be bootstrapped with primate body AIs. | jonahbenton wrote: | My metadata problem is that I still mistake Cal Paterson, who | produces mostly troll content, with Cal Newport, who doesn't. | ggggtez wrote: | I don't remember anyone ever saying that Google was promising | strong AI? | | Just another case of wishful thinking by someone who doesn't like | how the web works in practice? | hutzlibu wrote: | Is there any reason to believe, strong AI is around the corner? | | I am not really engaged with AI-research, but I follow the area | with interest and my impression is, that if strong AI will emerge | in the next time, then only by accident. I mean there are lot's | of awesome advancements and for example I did not expect Go to be | solved since years already, but still - I see no way from current | tech, to a general AI, that can really understand things. | | Or is someone aware of more groundbreaking research? | autokad wrote: | > "The remaining search results themselves are increasingly | troubled. My own personal experience is that they are now often | comprised of superficial commercial "content" from sites that are | experts in setting their page metadata correctly and the other | dark arts required to exploit the latest revision of Google's | algorithm. There's also a huge number of adverts." | | I wanted to get some images of strawberries to help improve image | model for recycling. I wanted normal pictures of strawberries, so | I did a google image search. its almost all adds and stock photo | attempts to sell images. | akomtu wrote: | In our today's society of petty censors and dictators, the AI | revolution would officially begin the dark age. | kingsuper20 wrote: | Thanks to whoever brought up that 'wiby' search engine, I'd never | heard of it. | | The shittiness of google search has made me think about the value | of a curated search engine, although everyone probably needs | their own version. Maybe 'engines'. It would be cool to have one | that looked exclusively at bonafide discussion forums generally, | another could look at the library contained in libgen or sci-hub. | | Maybe somebody has done a search that works the opposite way, | something that makes use of google but blocks all the cruft. | | No doubt it couldn't be too successful since the gaming would | begin immediately. | soarfourmore wrote: | The following quotes are fairly interesting and ironic: | | > Larry Page and Sergey Brin were originally pretty negative | about search engines that sold ads. Appendix A in their original | paper says: | | >> "we expect that advertising-funded search engines will be | inherently biased towards the advertisers and away from the needs | of the consumers" | | > and that | | >> "we believe the issue of advertising causes enough mixed | incentives that it is crucial to have a competitive search engine | that is transparent and in the academic realm" | sseagull wrote: | Wasn't this also the story of a dating site (whose name escapes | me. OKCupid? PoF?)? Original owner wrote an article about how | paying for a dating site is a bad idea. Money is offered, | article disappears. | | Searching is failing me at the moment | | edit: Was OKCupid: https://www.themarysue.com/okcupid-pulls- | why-you-should-neve... | dheera wrote: | From the article | | > 12-moth plan | | > 6-month plan | | Why would a dating site have a 12-month plan, and why would a | user of a dating site want a 12-month plan? | | Not only would you hopefully want to be off the site within | 12 months, as soon as you found someone compatible, you would | hopefully delete the app, but you've unnecessarily paid for | months you will (hopefully) never use. I don't understand why | anything but month-to-month would make sense for dating, | specifically. | | I mean, if you are a dating app, you should be striving to | get users to delete your app as fast as possible (for the | right reason), not hang onto an annual subscription. | chovybizzass wrote: | Serial daters. Plenty of guys just using these apps for | one-timer hookups or FWB. They stick around for a month | then onto the next branch like a damn monkey. | dncornholio wrote: | This. Before tindr you just had 'dating' sites. | GCA10 wrote: | But wait! | | Yes, aspiring monogamists will fit your bill of people who | "want to be off the site in 12 months" or sooner. That's | one segment of your users, but it really isn't everyone by | a long shot. | | Plenty of users are signing up for the chance to meet ("get | to know") a steady stream of people. We don't stigmatize | people who subscribe to Netflix for many years so that they | can keep watching different movies and shows. There's some | segment of the dating-site world that has more of a Netflix | model in mind. | dheera wrote: | > There's some segment of the dating-site world that has | more of a Netflix model in mind | | Although I'm sure those users exist, I'm sure they aren't | the majority of the world, who would rather just be | happily married and get on with life? And even if not, | these users who have different expectations should not be | matching with the former. | p_j_w wrote: | Those users don't have to be a majority to be money | makers for the companies that put out the sites. | | And even amongst people who want to settle down, a fair | share of them probably also wanna do a fair amount of | looking around in their late teens through some point in | their 20s, and maybe even early 30s. | TeMPOraL wrote: | > _And even if not, these users who have different | expectations should not be matching with the former._ | | Actually, given the extreme social stigma worldwide (even | in the most progressive western countries) against casual | hookups and low-commitment dating, people looking for | "more of a Netflix model" will still gravitate towards | the same sites ostensibly servicing those "who would | rather just be happily married and get on with life"[0], | because these services offer the widest choice of | possible partners, while giving everyone plausible | deniability. | | -- | | [0] - I think that, given aforementioned stigma, it's | even hard to estimate how many people in a given age | bracket want this, and how many just _say_ they want | this, because it 's the only accepted thing to say out | loud. | 6510 wrote: | People are not having kids because it's to expensive. | vmception wrote: | you described one user profile of a half dozen use cases of | dating apps | | no dating app is actually designed for that one use case, | just like Cosmopolitan magazine, they are built on | frustration and doing counterintuitive things designed for | never reaching that kind of user's goal | toomuchredbull wrote: | This guy doesn't understand modern dating... | vngzs wrote: | Dating sites are not actually designed to help you find | relationships. | | They are designed to leave you constantly questioning the | relationship you're in, knowing you could always find | something better around the corner. They might get signups | because people believe they can find a partner, but they | keep customers because those people are addicted to the | game of newer, "better" lovers. | | It's another of many cases of businesses that claim to | solve one problem, but really solve a different one that's | not in the user's best interest. | [deleted] | dkarl wrote: | Assuming you're looking for one lifelong partner, which | isn't true of everybody, is it normal to find somebody | "compatible" that quickly? Without apps, I think it's | common for people to go for years between serious | relationships. I don't know why the timeline needs to be so | compressed. | | For me as a fairly awkward and introverted person, who | didn't naturally generate a high volume of new social | contacts, one of the things I liked about online dating was | that I could make choices more like an extroverted person. | I didn't have to think, holy shit, I actually met somebody | I get along with, and she seems to like me, I can't afford | to let this go or I'll probably be completely alone again | for years until I meet the next person. Instead, I could | think, this is okay, but is this person a really good match | for me? Does she bring out the best in me? Are we going to | have disagreements about big life things? | | In other words, I could meet somebody I liked, enjoy | spending time with them, and still decide not to marry | them. And do that over and over again until I met somebody | I was confident was a really good fit for me. Like regular | people do! | | Even when finally I met my wife, it didn't immediately mean | the end of dating other people. She had just started dating | after many years of focusing on her career. In fact, after | having a big heart-to-heart over wine with a close friend | one evening about how she needed to start dating again, her | friend helped her install Tinder, and I was the second | person she matched with. Obviously, after many years out of | the dating pool, she was leery of falling for the first | halfway decent guy she met, so she wanted to take her time | and see what was out there and figure out what she waned. | To avoid going insane while she was meeting other guys, I | kept meeting new women. We didn't become exclusive until | six months after we met. | | I think, if I had a single friend who was starting online | dating, if they were using a paid app, I would recommend a | 6-month plan or 12-month plan, as a reminder that they can | afford to be patient and shouldn't rush into things. | dheera wrote: | Maybe. But I would think that that also introduces a | paradox of choice where you are constantly doubting the | person you are currently dating, thinking that maybe | there is someone that is a better fit for you. | | The problem is I don't really think "fit" is an absolute | thing. I think the reality is that there is a large set | of people can be your best fit if you can _grow together | with them_ to be that best fit. A healthy relationship is | about actually turning a local maximum into a global | maximum by the function naturally and healthily changing | to that effect, not assuming the function is constant and | then hopping around looking for the global maximum and | wondering whether you have reached it. One needs to find | one of those people that they can grow with and commit to | that growing, one where that local maximum is continually | rising in prominence. Some degree of initial commitment | and emotional investment without shopping around helps | you see whether or not you can grow with that person. If | growing together isn 't possible, that's a big red flag | and the relationship should end. | | I agree with not committing after only 1 or 2 dates, but | if the dates continue, I would sure hope for exclusivity | a _lot_ less than 12 months into it. | dkarl wrote: | For me, doubt in my ability to know who I could be happy | with rose dramatically with a little bit of experience | and then fell as I accumulated more and more. Meeting | more people made me more and more comfortable with my own | judgment about other people and my understanding of what | made me happy. I think people who find partners very | early in life are very lucky in some ways, though. It's a | trade-off, like so many other things. You can have X more | years of experience with relationships and with yourself | when you choose your partner, or you can have X more | years of shared history with your partner. | | I do think any doubts you can put to rest in six months | or a year, the time is worth it. Couples who divorce take | years to do it, and I think they're unhappy for at least | half that time. | jetbooster wrote: | The problem is, for the _business_ the incentive is the | opposite. You want the suckers who are willing to pay for | your dating app to keep paying, so from a purely callous | point of view you want to provide the absolute minimum | benefit over the non-paying users that is required in order | for them to not leave and try somewhere else. There is | almost no incentive for them to _actually_ match you with | someone, just string you along just enough to keep you | coming back. | derefr wrote: | Month-to-month is just as bad. The ideal business model for | a dating site, from the users' perspective, is a one-time | advance payment. This puts the business into the situation | where _they_ have an incentive to get you satisfied as | quickly as possible, so that they can spend as little time | /money on you as possible, so that your value to them | doesn't go negative from allowing you to spend _too much_ | of their time /money. | | This is, as it happens, how professional matchmakers tend | to charge. | Pet_Ant wrote: | Sure, but if it doesn't have rundle potential it's not a | modern business. | behnamoh wrote: | IMO the ideal business model from users' perspective | could be pay-as-you-go, where you pay for each individual | you want to send message to (e.g. $1.99). | SkyBelow wrote: | That would incentivizing matching people with those whom | they want to message but aren't likely to start a | relationship with. | dheera wrote: | Maybe ideally yes, but that's assuming you only had the | option to message them through the platform. | | You could always message people for free outside the | platform, considering any profile worthy of messaging | probably lists enough information to find them on, say, | LinkedIn or Facebook, and users likely often drop their | personal websites or Instagram/Twitter IDs on their | dating profiles. | bayesianbot wrote: | There are a lot of dating sites at least in | Scandinavia/central europe, where men pay per message (or | usually buy message packs, it ends up being around 1EUR a | message IIRC). | | The (mostly) men answering these messages, pretending to | be women, get paid around 0.15EUR per reply. And | obviously writing messages where they try to prolong the | conversation and turn down real life meetings or changing | to other (free) messaging system "for now" | dheera wrote: | Why does the system charge men and pay women to message, | instead of just charging everyone to message? | | I would have thought that of all places Scandinavia would | not price-discriminate users based on their gender ... | imtringued wrote: | If you wanted to go down this route you would pay per | date, otherwise what are you paying for? Sure, the | algorithm may jinx it by sending you on more bad dates | than you wanted, but it would get you further than just a | message. | dheera wrote: | > This puts the business into the situation where they | have an incentive | | If the payment is a one-time advance payment, I would | imagine this disincentives the business to truly do their | best, since they already have your money. | | I would think, idealistically, maybe the best model would | be an advance payment but with a money-back guarantee of | say half the payment if you don't find a match through | them. | | Legally establishing that you don't find a match could be | troublesome though, since the "couple" that actually | liked each other could both claim they didn't match, get | their 50% back, but you as a business would have no | recourse if they got together and lived their lives | happily ever after, behind your back. You don't have | "rights" to their personal life together as a business. | | Unless of course it was a government-run dating service | that had marriage, housing, and financial records of | everyone. That might work. And for many reasons it's in | the best interest of the government to get as many people | married as possible. | dexen wrote: | Counter-intuitively this might be about hedging the | incentives for the service provider - to avoid the moral | hazard of pushing for indefinitely extending the | subscription. | | Just as you mention, successful finding a partner means as | few "attempts" (apologies) as feasible, which in turn means | two "lost customers" to the platform. That introduces a | perverse incentive for the platform to "spoil" the dating | to keep the customers. By making one long-spanning plan, | the perverse incentive is lessened. | 1_person wrote: | I fail to see how making money by shafting the customer | one way precludes making money by shafting the customer | another way at the same time. | prepend wrote: | The incentive for the dating app is to keep you | unsatisfied, but with some hope, to keep dating and failing | over and over. Or I suppose the business models could be | either "subscription" based where you keep using it forever | or "contract" based where it's a single fee. | | I think the okcupid papers called out how free dating is | better aligned with users because they wouldn't have to | compete with the natural tendency to want to make more | money through ongoing subscriptions. | | Of course, I know friends who are continuously dating and | plan on staying that way. | jdminhbg wrote: | The cost of 12 months of a dating site is trivial compared | to the benefits of finding the right person. If someone | offered you a soulmate if you gave them a couple hundred | dollars, you'd take it in a second, right? Paying ahead | actually aligns your incentives better, because the site is | no longer incentivized to drag you along single month after | month to keep you paying. | hansvm wrote: | Effectively, you're not paying for "12 months" despite | the label, you're paying for a significant chance at | finding a soulmate? If that's the case, why not label it | as such? | chucksmash wrote: | Because after your 12 months you can't use the profile | any more. Better to label what you pay for accurately. | throw14082020 wrote: | This is bordering on logic like the following: - Water is | really important, why don't you buy this $100 bottle of | water. - The site has an incentive to improve your dating | outcomes. No, it's primary objective is to maximise | revenue, everything else is a side effect. - Paying more | for something means someone will commit/ follow through, | somehow raise incentives. This is just a guess, not | supported or disproven by reality. | | I like to think defensively especially when it involves | companies. What are they doing, and what do they stand to | achieve? | | These apps have not shown any value to their users, | paywall their content and have an aggressive-long-term | subscription model because they have _optimised | themselves straight into the garbage can_ , by thinking | short term. | billytetrud wrote: | The big spenders on dating sites are the ones there just to | screw around. That's why they all mostly become toxic hell | holes, because the economics incentivize catering to those | assholes | toper-centage wrote: | Why are you assuming everyone is looking for long term | relationships and not hookups or fwb? | dheera wrote: | I guess one of the fundamental problems then is that | these two mutually incompatible groups of people are | mixed up in the platform? | purerandomness wrote: | You're assuming that everyone uses online dating platforms | to find one (1) long-term partner with whom they'll be | monogamous, which is not the case. | | There are couples looking for other couples or thirds, | there is the BDSM scene with people looking for casual play | partners, and so on. | spijdar wrote: | This is true, but I believe that the majority of users on | "normal" dating sites are looking for single, long-term | partners. As I understand, within the BDSM scene there | are several websites including social networking sites | and dedicated match making sites catering to the | specifics of BDSM. I find it unlikely you'd use a | "normal" dating site when you likely have pretty specific | interests that likely (?) need specific UI/UX to cater | to. | | Just sort of overall, when your interest is in building a | network, finding people to have casual sex/encounters | with, a "stream of people to meet" as someone mentioned | below, I think you'd want a different website/UI than | these big dating sites seem to offer/encourage. That | said, I've never used them, just speculating based on the | ads I've seen over the years and how they paint | themselves. | vmception wrote: | sure maybe a majority of users think they are, but really | aren't. | | many users of that kind of profile are just outsourcing | actual human interaction to dating apps that claim to | solve it but are incapable of doing so | purerandomness wrote: | Dating sites that make you answer questionnaires and | match based on answers are a really good way to get to | know people with similar kinks and interests. | | While there are specific sites for BDSM dating with more | nuanced optoins, the ads for generic dating sites are all | very "tame" and try to not deviate from the perceived | norm too much (= "find a partner, have a happy family" | type messaging) | | The reason is that if you do, it's virtually impossible | to get included in Ad networks and App Stores. So you | naturally see only dating ads catering to the very | conservative viewer. | | Example: A BDSM dating site got banned from Googles Play | Store after including a background image of a simple | leather whip. [1] | | [1] https://twitter.com/devianceapp/status/13840156661858 | 34501 | cletus wrote: | At this point, the snide dismissal of all things advertising is | nothing short of boring. | | To be sure there are many forms of advertising annoyance: auto- | playing sound/video, remarketing (or what I like to call | advertising a product I've already bought), interstitials, | popups (to be fair, there are many non-advertising forms of | these eg "sign up to our newsletter" dialogs) and so on. | | But what made Google a money-printing machine is that search | advertising is actually largely aligned with the interests of | the user. That is, just by searching for something the user has | shown an intent that other advertising doesn't have (where | generally it's just attention thievery). Imagine I search for | "how do I sleep on an airplane". Isn't a neck travel pillow an | appropriate result here? | | I get that it's popular to just hate on all advertising but | that's just shallow. | | As long as search results are marked as ads when they are ads | and paying for ads doesn't improve your organic search ranking | (aka the Yelp business model) then I'm completely fine with it. | | There is a lot of crap in search results and this is a constant | battle of whack-a-mole. At one point it was content farms. As | someone who has search for a lot of home furnishing stuff | recently I can tell you a big problem is affiliate link | blogspam. There'll be some real-sounding domain like | mattressreviews.com but it becomes pretty clear it's just mass- | produced "content" to justify affiliate links. | | Honestly, this will probably get to the point (I hope) where | Google does the same thing it did to content farms and starts | downranking sites with affiliate links ( _cough_ Pinterest | _cough_ ). | fuball63 wrote: | I agree with your point that there is a need for | advertisements to inform consumers about available options. | I'd generally fall in the "dismissal of all things | advertising" box, but I would add a nuance to it that it | really depends if it was requested vs. forced upon you. | | In both instances you mention as being useful advertising, | shopping for furniture or how to sleep on an airplane, you | are asking for advertisements. That makes sense. You are | looking to solve a problem by purchasing a product. | | From my perspective, there are two issues with the current | climate of ads: First, that the overwhelming majority of ads | are forced upon you. They track you, distract you, and have | generally turned the internet into a wasteland. Second, that | a search engine/social network/news site is the place to view | ads. I would prefer a site dedicated to this use case, not | have the use case tacked on to unrelated sites constantly in | the way. | | I feel the same way about physical ads, too. I don't want | uninvited people knocking on my door to sell me their ISP. I | don't want those terrible mailers with coupons in them. | Billboards are ugly and distracting. | sobellian wrote: | We know that paid advertising works, so it should not | surprise us to discover that paid advertising on the Internet | also works. But Google and other search engines seek to | organize the world's information, not the world's commercial | products and services. For a multi-multi-billion dollar | company's core product, I'm somewhat surprised they cannot do | a better job killing the blogspam. Given the resources at | their disposal, I think most people just assume that they | don't care about the blogspam. | semi-extrinsic wrote: | "We know that paid advertising works" [citation needed] | | I mean, the ad business of course likes to throw various | metrics around. But as far as I'm aware there are no proper | randomized controlled trials that show statistically | significant positive ROI of online advertising versus no | online advertising. | | I mean, it would be really simple to do, right? To provide | conclusive proof of the efficiency of ads? Pick a populous | state in the US where people enjoy Soft Drink X. Randomly | divide the households in the state into two groups. For the | next full year, run normal amount of targeted online ads | for Soft Drink X in Group 1, no targeted online ads | whatsoever in Group 2. Did the sales in Group 2 decrease by | more than what the cost of advertising to that group would | be, yes or no? | oblio wrote: | Advertising has been about what 2? 5? percent of US GDP | for more than one hundred years. The odds of advertising | naysayers are probably infinitesimal at this point. | auntienomen wrote: | There are two significant complications: | | 1) Google is running many parallel ad campaigns, which | may target the same individuals. This in some ways gives | opportunities, because one can run 'natural experiments' | on the effeciveness of advertising for X by simply | selecting the people who never saw the ad for X. But | there is also probably some legal peril; Google has to be | careful about what promises it makes to people purchasing | ads. | | 2) Google has very little incentive to release the | results of any such studies, because -- whether or not | advertising works -- they don't need their customers to | have accurate side-info about the value of advertising. | mcguire wrote: | One might suggest that what made Google a money-printing | machine is compiling dossiers on as many people as possible. | astrange wrote: | > Imagine I search for "how do I sleep on an airplane". Isn't | a neck travel pillow an appropriate result here? | | Yes, but advertising doesn't do that. They do retargeting and | only show you the most valuable ad for what they know about | you. Sometimes that ad is just what the advertiser has paid | to show you in particular, like "you left something in your | Amazon cart". | solosoyokaze wrote: | I don't see targeted search advertising as user friendly. A | search engine should return the most valid results. As soon | as you have sponsored results, there's a conflict of | interest. What if the competitor to the neck pillow ad people | actually have a better pillow? They should be the first | result, but won't be since Google's interest is in helping | advertisers, not the users of their search engine. | | I don't think there's an argument where advertising is pro- | user, since a service that focused on the user would return | the best results for a search, not who paid for placement. | guerrilla wrote: | > But what made Google a money-printing machine is that | search advertising is actually largely aligned with the | interests of the user. That is, just by searching for | something the user has shown an intent that other advertising | doesn't have (where generally it's just attention thievery). | Imagine I search for "how do I sleep on an airplane". Isn't a | neck travel pillow an appropriate result here? | | This doesn't hold water. It's just being shown because | someone paid for it to be, not because it's the best thing to | be shown which is what algorithms would be tuned for if they | were in the users interest. | | > I get that it's popular to just hate on all advertising but | that's just shallow. | | That's pretty dismissive of all the thought that has gone | into criticism of advertising and it's effects on products | and services, without even giving a hint of an argument as to | why you feel it's shallow. | cletus wrote: | > This doesn't hold water. It's just being shown because | someone paid for it to be, not because it's the best thing | to be shown which is what algorithms would be tuned for if | they were in the users interest. | | You are factually incorrect and this is part of the | problem: a lot of proselytizing (and, honestly, virtue- | signaling) by people who don't know how advertising | actually works. | | Display advertising works on a CPM basis (ie paying for the | impression) so yes, that's pretty much a case of someone | paying to show the ad and that's it. They may be paying for | that based on contextual information (eg RTB) or not. | | But search advertising, at least how Google does it, it | sold on a CPC basis (ie paying for the click not the | impression). This actually means Google is motivated to | show you the search ads you're most likely to click on | because that's some revenue vs just who bid the most. | | > That's pretty dismissive of all the thought that has gone | into criticism of advertising... | | No offense but if you don't know how search advertising | works at the highest level then either you haven't put much | thought into it or you're simply parroting someone else | (who also hasn't) because it fits your world view. | orhmeh09 wrote: | I've never clicked on any ad on Google in maybe 20 years | of using it. How do the results help me? | [deleted] | disabled wrote: | This is a thoughtful post. However, the issue is that these | advertisements play into your hopes and fears to maximize the | likelihood of getting a click from you. The fact that Google | (especially) and other adtech companies are playing into your | hopes and fears, by microtargeting and hoarding the most | private and intimate details about your life is abusive. | | I have to say that I am lucky that I have a print-related | disability, because I almost never need to go websites with | ads. | | Services I get access to (no-ads): | | * 975,000+ books for $50/year (Bookshare.org) | | * 60,000+ professionally narrated audio books for free (US | National Library Service) | | * 80,000+ volunteer narrated audio books for $135/year | (LearningAlly.org) | | * Hundreds of Newspapers and Magazines for free (NFB | Newsline) | | * 99% of the books posted on OpenLibrary.org for free (even | books currently "borrowed") | | * Virtually all libraries for print-related disabilities | around the world (sometimes free, sometimes paid) (I can get | books in foreign languages easily) | | Additionally, I use the paid audio apps Blinkist, Audm, and | Curio, which everyone has access to. I find them to be super | helpful. Blinkist in particular is almost 100% of the time a | YouTube and TED talk replacement for me. I also use The | Economist app, which has the entire weekly edition | professionally narrated, along with the vast majority of the | rest of its material. | [deleted] | jodrellblank wrote: | > " _Imagine I search for "how do I sleep on an airplane". | Isn't a neck travel pillow an appropriate result here?_" | | No? | | I mean, seen through the lens of extractive capitalism where | "how do I X" is the same as "what _product do I buy_ to do X | ", and "someone asking about X" is the same as "which product | to shove in their face to make them stop asking and extract | the most money out of them", maybe yes. Doesn't "information | technology" suggest some alternatives? Like, information | about sleeping in planes - noise reduction, positions people | have found comfortable, stress reduction, light pollution, | circadian rhythms, stretches that can be done in a small | space or sitting down, etc? | | > " _As someone who has search for a lot of home furnishing | stuff recently I can tell you a big problem is affiliate link | blogspam. There 'll be some real-sounding domain like | mattressreviews.com but it becomes pretty clear it's just | mass-produced "content" to justify affiliate links._" | | This seems to fly in the face of your previous paragraphs: | you searched for home furnishing stuff, isn't some generic | advertising of a mattress an appropriate result here? You | want something better than that for yourself, but think other | people don't deserve better and are shallow for complaining? | jquery wrote: | This should be the top reply. | | Google's advertising may be very profitable and effective, | that doesn't mean it's in the user's best interest. | kingsuper20 wrote: | My main problem with advertising and the technologies | surround it, aside from the obvious privacy issues and their | misuse, is that it seems to suck all the air out of the room. | | The birth and dominance of the online advertising business | model looks to be the greatest misallocation of engineering | talent in the history of humanity. | p_j_w wrote: | This is a bit how I feel about advertising in general. | Human beings' time is being taken and mouths are being fed | not to increase overall output, and thus lifting the | overall well being of members of society. Instead, Company | A hires advertisers to convince the public to buy their | product instead of a competing product to Company B. Value | is created for Company A, but entirely at the expense of | Company B. At no time in the economic... chain?... of | events that is advertising is anything actually created, | yet vast sums of money, and thus allocation of resources, | is put here. It seems INSANELY wasteful. | imtringued wrote: | >At no time in the economic... chain?... of events that | is advertising is anything actually created, yet vast | sums of money, and thus allocation of resources, is put | here. It seems INSANELY wasteful. | | You're forgetting something, companies start off | completely unknown. How did they reach the point where | the market has been fully saturated and the only real way | to gain more customers is to take them from someone else? | Oh right, it's because advertising increased the grow | rate of your company to the point where there is barely | any growth left. | | Let's manufacture a completely artificial scenario to | illustrate my point: | | Person A: So, you're telling me you spent $5 billion on | advertising and all you have to show for it is a 5% | higher market share than your biggest competitor? | | Founder: Yes, we used the advertising budget to grow our | market share from less than 1% to 40%. Our next biggest | competitor has a 35% market share. | carrozo wrote: | Everybody's got a plan until they're punched in the face (with | hundreds of billions of dollars). | Zelphyr wrote: | Or, maybe, "Everybody is altruistic until they have | shareholders." | | The idea that companies should only be beholden to | shareholders that has taken firm hold over the past 50(+/-) | years doesn't look to be a good one, in hindsight. | dimitrios1 wrote: | It's not some idea that came about from a vacuum. Put | yourself in an investors shoes: you may have some | investments that you do for the sake of charity or | philanthropy, however, the majority of your investments are | to increase your investment. It isn't surprising then, | following this basic premise, that we have arrived at the | current situation. Capitalism factors in greed for the | general welfare of the most people. It just seems that we | underestimated the upper bound of human greed. | Swenrekcah wrote: | It's not so much an underestimation as it is a systematic | breakdown of constraints and personal responsibility for | owners/directors of large corporations. | wnevets wrote: | They don't have to be. Everyone just chooses to do it that | way because its easier to make loads of money. | SkyBelow wrote: | Psychology studies in the past showed people were | altruistic. Then psychologist accounted for social | capital/good will and worked to remove it from their | altruism tests. People stopped being overly altruistic when | it stopped benefitting them, likely meaning that what we | see as altruism is really a failure to account for all the | benefits a person expects to gain and all the negatives | they expect to avoid when choosing to perform a certain | action. | | As for shareholders, I think that comes down to the | incentive to avoid the negative outcome of being replaced. | Those at the top optimize their actions to avoid being | replaced which filters down through each level until it | effects every level of a company. There is some variety | that results from how a company chooses who to promote, but | that is still an outcome of not wanting to be replaced. | Promote people who you think will strengthen your own | position and not those who will weaken it. This ends up | being the primordial pool that spawns corporate culture. | heterodoxxed wrote: | The concept of altruism does not require it to be "pure" | or entirely selfless. Altruism can have benefits but | those benefits can exist outside of economy and into the | realm of the personal, spiritual, social, etc. | | In other words, that doesn't disprove altruism so much as | it proves that economic self-interest is not our only | motivator. | simonh wrote: | Past 50 years, really? | | "It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, | or the baker that we expect our dinner, but from their | regard to their own interest." - Adam Smith, 1776 | nowherebeen wrote: | > The idea that companies should only be beholden to | shareholders | | This concept was popularized by Milton Friedman with his | Shareholder Theory. OP is not wrong. | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Friedman_doctrine | simonh wrote: | Maybe, but it's repackaging a point Smith made 194 years | earlier. | pjmorris wrote: | A shareholder is more like the butcher or baker's brother | than the butcher or baker. The incentives are different. | simonh wrote: | How so? | ahepp wrote: | I think Friedman's ideas are substantially different. | | The quote from Smith is discussing tradesmen running a | business in their own self interest. | | In some ways, Friedman's point is the opposite. That the | laborers perform in the self interest of the owner. | | I don't know the full context of the Smith quote. I did a | bit of digging for Smith's views on publicly traded | companies, and came across this quote[0]: | | >The directors of such [joint-stock] companies, however, | being the managers rather of other people's money than of | their own, it cannot well be expected, that they should | watch over it with the same anxious vigilance with which | the partners in a private copartnery frequently watch | over their own.... Negligence and profusion, therefore, | must always prevail, more or less, in the management of | the affairs of such a company. | | [0] | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Criticisms_of_corporations | simonh wrote: | Surely that's exactly the same thing Friedmam was saying. | According to Friedman managers spending company money on | social causes are spending other people's money, the same | phrase Smith used, when they had no business doing so. In | saying that the firms responsibility is to its owners, | Friedman was addressing precisely the concern that Smith | was worried about. | | Of course in Smith's time joint stock companies were a | relative novelty. We have a lot more experience of them | now and have developed standards, checks and balances to | try to maintain discipline in managers in the intervening | centuries. Friedman was simply attempting to bolster that | effort, but Smith was writing about exactly the same | concern. | | As it happens while I'm a big fan of both men, on this | issue I think Friedman is too much of a purist. Some | social spending can just be good business. It promotes | the brand, buys political friends and can even reap | commercial benefits down the line. Donating or | subsidising computers in schools for a company like Apple | for example. | Causality1 wrote: | Yep. Money is the one unpatchable zero-day for every platform | and service on earth. | narrator wrote: | Bitcoin at least rations out the zero-days. You don't just | have one authority that can create them as needed. | lifthearth wrote: | There is a patch thanks to contributor Marx but everyone | keeps pressing "remind me later". | daenz wrote: | Does bribing not exist in that system? | sudosysgen wrote: | Sure there is. I don't know which motivation you'd have | to bribe someone to promite your product, though. Would | also be hard to sustain if intellectual property was | decommodified. | | Other, more pressing concerns have to be addressed, | though. | avereveard wrote: | because there aren't luxuries in that system. that | creates a need, and from it a secondary market, which | without titles[1], sees the exchange of power either via | favors exchange or plain tribalism. bribery then becomes | the norm for the influential, even if actual money | doesn't change hand, favors and contraband do. | | 1: a catch all to include both money, 'quota cards' and | the likes | daenz wrote: | >your product | | In a hypothetical world where I don't benefit from a | competitive advantage, in what sense do I own the product | / company? | uoaei wrote: | Consider firms which are wholly owned by either 1) every | single employee (worker-owned firm), 2) every employee | and every customer who opts in (consumer co-op), or 3) | literally every citizen of a government (publicly owned). | | You own it in partnership with the other people who own | it. | | This is, in the strictest definition, the socialism that | people are so scared of. | daenz wrote: | How much control do you have over the military of your | government? Or even the DMV? Are these organizations | behaving directly as a response to the majority will of | the people? If not, how do you solve that problem before | you add more organizations? | uoaei wrote: | The best answer we have today, IMO, in terms of ethics of | freedom and agency, is "representative democracy," which | may be extended to "liquid democracy" to bridge the gap | between small, direct-democracy-capable organizations and | large, unwieldy ones. | | Unfortunately, no solution will be perfect, but that | doesn't mean some aren't better than others. The problem | is in essence unsolvable. Politics and civilization is an | exercise in minimizing harm rather than eliminating it, | maximizing utility rather than spiking it. | 6510 wrote: | I don't know how but I do know it is much harder to make | something everyone involved thinks impossible than to | make something everyone thought they already had. | | Perhaps the problem is as simple as setting up a forum | with sub forums for every government official - then | throw money at it until it works. | sudosysgen wrote: | In the sense first and foremost that you may produce and | design it, especially if production is structured in a | co-op way, in the sense that you use it, especially if | it's a consumer/worker co-op but also in a worker co-op, | and to a lesser extent in that you are part of the | society which produces it. | edgyquant wrote: | Let me know when we reach post scarcity and no longer | need a rationing device such as money. | sudosysgen wrote: | People thought of this issue since 1870 and the solution | they came up with is simply non-transferable rationing | devices. In traditional Marxist terms this was labour | vouchers but nowadays there are much better solutions. | Marx himself wrote about this, in terms of primitive | accumulation in socialism. | | For sure there are a lot of issues, but this isn't one of | them. | | You could in theory have bribery in material terms, but | this is much easier to trace than in money terms. | edgyquant wrote: | My argument was with the idea that money will be gone as | a rationing device. You can come up with alternatives but | it's the human nature that is the problem not the | technology we use to ration resources. Let me know when | this bug is fixed. | sudosysgen wrote: | Well, that's not the problem we were talking about, is | it? We were talking about the issue of bribery, which is | made possible by the fungible nature of money. | edgyquant wrote: | Yes it is, namely this is the GP | | > Money is the one unpatchable zero-day for every | platform and service on earth. | | To which the response was that Karl Marx had submitted a | fix | imtringued wrote: | I don't really get it. How does this prevent people from | holding onto foreign currency or gold? | sudosysgen wrote: | Who is going to sell you forex or gold for non- | transferable tokens? | edgyquant wrote: | Non-transferable tokens aren't going to be a successful | replacement for money | [deleted] | CoastalCoder wrote: | Working example needed. | dclowd9901 wrote: | Socialism, like capitalism, also has a zero day | vulnerability by the name of mundane old "human | corruption" that undermines its goals. Capitalism just | works better because it pits people against each other, | keeping the focus off authority and top level control. | [deleted] | nautilus12 wrote: | Probbably due to the memory of the deaths of millions of | people: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mass_killings_under | _communist_... | | You get bit by a viper in the bathroom and your going to | avoid that bathroom for a while. | erikpukinskis wrote: | That doesn't really explain anything, given there are | millions of deaths under capitalism too. | throwaway3699 wrote: | Big difference. | heterodoxxed wrote: | Not to the bodies in the graves there isn't. | heavyset_go wrote: | Tell that to the people who were enslaved and to the | people who starved to death. | throwaway3699 wrote: | Slavery is not a function of capitalism, though. | Capitalism is being able to 1) firstly, own yourself and | your body 2) thus sell your labour however you wish. It's | the alternatives economic systems that prevent you from | being free. | heavyset_go wrote: | And yet capitalists imposed slavery upon multiple places | around the world, often for decades or centuries. | toiletfuneral wrote: | but but but those don't count because...I've actually | never heard the excuse, they always just go silent. | | Also, can people please stop conflating things like M4A | with Stalin for even like 5min? | thescriptkiddie wrote: | > This article has multiple issues | marcusverus wrote: | I assume that this criticism is offered in good faith, | and that you're in need of good, solid Wiki articles | about the tens of millions of victims of Communist | regimes--well, I'm happy to get you started! | | Here's an article about the Soviet terror-famine (known | as the Holodomor) which killed 4 million Ukranians. No | worrisome notifications on this article, so I assume it | meets your rigorous standards: | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Holodomor | | And here's one about the so-called 'Great Leap Forward', | when the Chinese Communist Party's top-down modernization | plans resulted in the accidental deaths of ~50 million | human beings. | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Leap_Forward | heterodoxxed wrote: | I don't know if you want to open the can of worms that is | "accidental deaths from mismanaged resource distribution" | under capitalism. | | Global deaths from hunger result in one great leap | forward every 5 years. | thescriptkiddie wrote: | I'm not denying or excusing that historical atrocities | occurred under socialist governments _, but for | perspective one should also look at the myriad atrocities | that were and continue to be committed under capitalist | governments. That doesn 't excuse such actions, but | neither side is innocent. I suggest reading _The Wretched | of the Earth* Chapter 1, "On Violence". | | Here are a few examples off the top of my head: | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atlantic_slave_trade | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Slavery_in_the_United_State | s | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Holocaust | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Blair_Mountain | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tulsa_race_massacre | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1985_MOVE_bombing | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bengal_famine_of_1943 | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_war_crimes | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_involvement_i | n_r... | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Police_brutality_in_the_Uni | ted... | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Incarceration_in_the_United | _St... | | * Though I will object that it is unfair to attribute the | actions of the Khmer Rouge to socialism. Like the Nazis | they were socialist in name only, and in fact were | supported by the United States in their war against the | Socialist Republic of Vietnam. | nautilus12 wrote: | The issue is that these atrocities were committed more | specifically as a result of communism, whereas other | attrocities are less closely attributable to capitalism | since it has been the majority default throughout | history. | mcguire wrote: | At roughly that same time, doubleclick.net was the most hated | company on the Internet. | | Then Google bought them. | kumarvvr wrote: | Haha. I remember an interview of Eric Schmidt by Stephen | Colbert. Stephen asks a great question in the interview. | | Stephen : So the goal of Google is "not be evil" | | Eric : Yes. Not be evil. | | Stephen : How low would the stock price have to go for your to | start being evil? (or a similar question to that effect) | 1vuio0pswjnm7 wrote: | http://infolab.stanford.edu/~page/google7.html | | http://infolab.stanford.edu/~page/google4.html | | "Currently most search engine development has gone on at | companies with little publication of technical details. This | causes search engine technology to remain largely a black art | and to be advertising oriented (see Section ?). With Google, we | have a strong goal to push more development and understanding | into the academic realm." | | They never delivered on this "strong goal" to make web search | an academic endeavour. | | They managed to domainate web search but the endeavour is now | 100% commercial. It is intentionally nontransparent (due to | commercial incentives) and remains a "black art". How many | human tweaks have been made to the machine-oriented processes | disclosed in this paper, and never published. | | "Also, it is interesting to note that metadata efforts have | largely failed with web search engines, because any text on the | page which is not directly represented to the user is abused to | "spam" search engines. There are even numerous companies which | specialize in manipulating search engines for profit." | | "Appendix A: Advertising and Mixed Motives | | Currently, the predominant business model for commercial search | engines is advertising. The goals of the advertising business | model do not always correspond to providing quality search to | users. For example, in our prototype search engine the top | result for cellular phone is "The Effect of Cellular Phone Use | Upon Driver Attention", a study which explains in great detail | the distractions and risk associated with conversing on a cell | phone while driving. This search result came up first because | of its high importance as judged by the PageRank algorithm, an | approximation of citation importance on the web [Page, 98]. It | is clear that a search engine which was taking money for | showing cellular phone ads would have difficulty justifying the | page that our system returned to its paying advertisers. For | this type of reason and historical experience with other media | [Bagdikian 83], we expect that advertising funded search | engines will be inherently biased towards the advertisers and | away from the needs of the consumers. Since it is very | difficult even for experts to evaluate search engines, search | engine bias is particularly insidious. A good example was | OpenText, which was reported to be selling companies the right | to be listed at the top of the search results for particular | queries. This type of bias is much more insidious than | advertising, because it is not clear who "deserves" to be | there, and who is willing to pay money to be listed. This | business model resulted in an uproar, and OpenText has ceased | to be a viable search engine. But less blatant bias are likely | to be tolerated by the market. For example, a search engine | could add a small factor to search results from "friendly" | companies, and subtract a factor from results from competitors. | This type of bias is very difficult to detect but could still | have a significant effect on the market. Furthermore, | advertising income often provides an incentive to provide poor | quality search results. For example, we noticed a major search | engine would not return a large airline's home page when the | airline's name was given as a query. It so happened that the | airline had placed an expensive ad, linked to the query that | was its name. A better search engine would not have required | this ad, and possibly resulted in the loss of the revenue from | the airline. In general, it could be argued from the consumer | point of view that the better the search engine is, the fewer | advertisements will be needed for the consumer to find what | they want. This of course erodes the advertising supported | business model of the existing search engines. However, there | will always be money from advertisers who want a customer to | switch products, or have something that is genuinely new. But | we believe the issue of advertising causes enough mixed | incentives that it is crucial to have a competitive search | engine that is transparent and in the academic realm." | | Currently the predominate business model for any commercial | website, not only search engine websites, is _still_ | advertising. | | What remains to be developed are non-commercial websites, | including non-commercial web search. Currently, such efforts | are forestalled by the creation of commercial websites where | anyone can create a public page, for free.^1 These mega- | websites can have billions of pages. This has led to easy | construction of "internet mobs" and dissemination of | propaganda, and, of course, advertising. | | 1. Hats off to the alternatives, like Neocities. | ModernMech wrote: | That's not irony, it's evidence of mens rea. | zitterbewegung wrote: | The AI that makes Google work is not the algorithms they use to | index the web its AdWords which uses a general purpose | algorithm to auction ads. | https://static.googleusercontent.com/media/research.google.c... | | Sure, google search was the core prototype that used algorithms | to give great search results but without Adwords google | wouldn't be google. | johndags wrote: | I think this is largely misunderstood about Google. It seems | like ads placed in search results only accounts for a small | portion of their revenue. Not sure how much the targeting of | ads by analyzing your search history actually contributes | either. I think Google just figured out how to scale online | ad sales really well. | rkagerer wrote: | _It seems like ads placed in search results only accounts | for a small portion of their revenue._ | | Do you have a source for that? Last time I checked (which | granted was some years ago) my understanding was that over | 90% of their revenue came from advertising, and I think | most of that was driven by search results. | JohnJamesRambo wrote: | https://imgur.com/t/funny/fjqdCZz | | I like the whole quote. There's one more gem in the middle. It | shows they were good once. That they know. Any chance it can | return? | Hard_Space wrote: | Maybe it's just semantics, but isn't the central model of ML to | generate metadata (i.e. labels, classes, segmentation) and then | operate on it? | artembugara wrote: | Here's a real feedback on metadata tags from someone who's been | building "online-published articles index" for ~13 months [0]. | | So, we talk about news websites for whom it is crucial to be | well-indexed. | | Talking about non-US news websites: | | 1. Not so many news websites even have a sitemap | | 2. LD+JSON meta tags are not so common either | | 3. OG metadata can be simply wrong | | 4. For many websites it's impossible to detect which timezone | it's published time is | | 5. Publish time can be literally "5 hours ago" without a | timestamp/date tag. Like no other clue on when it's been | published | | Given all that, until situation changes, I think Google has a | real advantage as they can use expensive AI to parse the | unstructured content. | | So yeah, when Google says "forget metatags" they know something. | Metatags will simplify lots of other search engines. | | There're new "search engine" startup I hear about every week. | | [0] https://newscatcherapi.com/ | leoc wrote: | > When your elected government snoops on you, they famously | prefer the metadata | https://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/sep/30/nsa-americans-... | of who you emailed, phoned or chatted to the content of the | messages themselves. It seems to be much more tractable to flag | people of interest to the security services based on who their | friends are and what websites they visit than to do clever AI on | the messages they send. Once they're flagged, a human can always | read their email anyway. | | But isn't that at least partly due to legal issues, like the pen- | register precedents in the US? | [deleted] | KKKKkkkk1 wrote: | _But "machine readable" strictly dominates machine learning. And | worse yet for the data scientists, as soon as they establish the | viability of doing something new with a computer, people will | rush to apply metadata to make the process more reliable and | explainable. An ounce of markup saves a pound of tensorflow._ | | The bitter lesson. | pea wrote: | An annoying example which has gotten worse recently is recipes. I | generally trawl through 5k words of someone's life story and | product promotions to get to the piece of information I need, and | they often rewrite the recipe 5 different times in different | levels of detail -- is this because to make the first page rank | on Google you need to pad out the SEO? I too always find myself | doing site:reddit.com. | melech_ric wrote: | When I tried this two months ago it was great: | | https://www.JustTheRecipe.app | | This recipe: https://wildwildwhisk.com/basic-buttermilk-scones/ | | Turns into this: | https://www.justtherecipe.app/?url=https://wildwildwhisk.com... | | I think there are Firefox and Chrome add-ons/extensions that do | similar things. | 12ian34 wrote: | I prefer to stick to physical recipe books from trusted chefs. | Sure, the internet can deliver the breadth and depth, but to | wade through this comes not only with the large search cost but | also with the risk of a poor recipe... and don't get me started | on recipe websites that don't have metric measurements! | defaultname wrote: | Many of the recipe sites you're finding are likely "food | bloggers", so their interest is in being a personality/virtual | cooking companion more than being just a source of a recipe. | You have misaligned interests, and to be fair they're probably | less interested in your patronage if you just hop to a page to | grab a recipe. | | And of course the verbiage is a lot of long tail keyword | inclusion (pandering to Google by talking about your diabetic | grandma, etc). | | EDIT: The whole "I can't stand recipes that have verbiage" | diatribe is a bit of a beggars being choosers thing. Personally | I pay for America's Test Kitchen and get trustworthy, concise | recipes (although there is a narrative about different | techniques and options), but most people are too cheap but | simultaneously super demanding about the things they get for | free. | Loughla wrote: | +1 to that, and especially to America's test kitchen. People | complain about blogspam and recycled recipes and being unable | to filter through to find quality recipes. They also talk | about being willing to pay to find quality. | | There is, and has been, a very well known, nationally | respected organization who does this, for years! Their recipe | recommendations are usually good, and the narratives actually | ADD to the recipe, by offering alternatives and reasons | behind choices made, instead of just telling a nonsense | story. | iptpus wrote: | https://based.cooking/ | | https://opensource.cooking/ | | Both are open source recipe sites meant to combat the blogspam | and load quickly. | tomp wrote: | a few more that I swear by: | site:greatbritishchefs.com site:greatitalianchefs.com | site:seriouseats.com | | WARNING: the last one usually has 2 pages listed for each | recipe - the recipe itself, and also a "story" blog post - | except that the "story" is also very useful (not "someone's | life story" which is basically spam), because it explains the | reasoning behind the method, different alternatives and the | trade-offs between them, and the experimentation that it took | the author to derive it | vanderZwan wrote: | I also have good experience with thespruceeats.com regarding | in-depth explanations of food. I have to add that I'm using | adblockers pretty heavily so I have no clue how bearable | these sites are without it. | | Anyway, it's pretty easy to turn this into a keyworded | bookmark on Firefox for some quick searching: | https://duckduckgo.com/lite/?q=%s+(site%3Aseriouseats.com+%7C | %7C+site%3Agreatbritishchefs.com+ %7C%7C+site%3Agreatbr | itishchefs.com+%7C%7C+site%3Athespruceeats.com+%7C%7C+site%3A | bbcgoodfood.com) | Mediterraneo10 wrote: | Google page ranking depends on how long people spend on the | webpage, so if you have to wade through longform text, it | mistakenly assumes that the content is quality. | | Note that most recipe blogs are fake. Someone wrote the | original content long ago. Then, someone else hired a | copywriter off a freelancing platform to change the words of | the text just enough to avoid copyright violation, then put up | a new copycat website loaded with SEO and ads. Look closely and | notice how the author's bio says e.g. "Born and bred in | Lousiania and I love to share southern cooking", but the text | contains grammatical mistakes typical of Eastern Europeans or | Southeast Asians. | | The ecosystem is already so advanced that new copycat recipe | websites are often based on previous copycat recipe websites. | criddell wrote: | > Google page ranking depends on how long people spend on the | webpage, so if you have to wade through longform text, it | mistakenly assumes that the content is quality. | | Is this true? I have a hard time believing it because it's a | pretty naive assumption. A site that lets me get what I'm | after quickly is generally going to be what I want. | mortehu wrote: | Presumably they are using bounce rates, i.e. how often you | visit result N+1 after visiting result N. I hope time spent | on site N is not a large factor, because it's so easily | gamed. | ggggtez wrote: | I sincerely doubt it. | | How many people keep open 50+ tabs, or open a page and walk | away? | | I'm sure that time spent on a page, if it's given any | weight, is given barely any. I'm sure returns to search to | click a new link is a much higher indicator that the user | didn't find what they wanted. | ThalesX wrote: | I worked for a startup obsessed with vanity metrics. They | would freak out if the average time spent per article | dropped down, even if our conversions increased. Just an | odd bunch of people. They went down with the company while | doing nothing but micro-optimizing for bad metrics. | jcfrei wrote: | Google analytics is running on lots of pages. Would be | pretty surprising if they didn't use the insights they get | from there, such as time spent on the site, buttons | clicked, how far they scrolled etc. | FredPret wrote: | I just had a vision of a perverse instantiation AI that takes | over and turns the whole universe into copy-paste recipe | websites | sjg007 wrote: | There are a bunch of these all templated exactly the same | way. It's fascinating. | quietbritishjim wrote: | A recipe is not copyrightable, so if they just directly | presented the recipe to you in a convenient format then someone | could copy that recipe for their own site (either manually or | automatically scaped). By mixing it up annoyingly with a story | it becomes copyrighted. If you still have the recipe in a | useful format after the story then it would still be possible | to manually copy just that part, but at least you've made it | harder for someone to scrape it. | thefifthsetpin wrote: | https://recipe.wtf/ | | It's not for SEO, it's to demonstrate engagement to the | advertisers. Scrolling past the markov fluff they give you to | read "while you wait for that to come to a boil" counts as | engagement. | mxcrossb wrote: | I only go to Allrecipes now for exactly this reason. It's | funny, people used to mock that site for the stupid reviews, | but what matters can quickly change... | 0xffff2 wrote: | Allrecipes is a worthless time sync. The vast majority of | recipes on that site are written by amateurs and just not | good. It's not worth sifting through recipes on there to find | a good one because the odds are so low. | indeedmug wrote: | Lately I been watching YouTube videos and finding recipes | through that. I find that it's important to follow people | with a track record of good cooking. It's no different than | following authors who write good books. When people | condense down their recipes into steps, you don't know how | much experimenting they did or if they did at all. So you | have to rely on their credibility. | | I found Josh Weissman to have good recipes. You could also | look for recipes by experienced chefs like by Munchies. | | Also if you have more experience. You can look at a recipe | and easily figure out if something is very wrong. | Unfortunately, most things on cooking don't tell you how to | "debug" recipes. You just cook often and hope you can | figure things out. | bena wrote: | I think part of this is that recipes themselves are not | protected under copyright. They fall under the provision of | factual information. | | 1 cup of flour, 2 eggs, 1 cup of milk, 2 tbsp of sugar, mix | until smooth is a shitty pancake recipe (I think, it's close), | but there aren't many ways to say that that makes it novel. | Recipes are essentially instruction on how to build food. | | Where copyright comes into play for cookbooks and recipe sites | are presentation. And that includes the stories. So while the | recipe itself doesn't enjoy copyright protection, writing "In | the early autumn morning, my grandmother enjoyed making the | family the most delicious pancakes, she started by going out to | the chicken coop and sticking her whole hand up a chicken's ass | to get only the freshest eggs possible..." | PaulHoule wrote: | Librarians find it pretty tough. In 1970 MARC (used to represent | a "library card") was the first standard data format with | variable length fields! It was the first standard data format to | confront internationalization, etc. | | It is no wonder metadata systems are ahead of other systems in | semantic flexibility. If somebody gave you a whole bunch of | weather simulation data you would have some big arrays laid out | in accordance to their scale and expected usage patterns and then | you would have some a graph of relationships describing that the | content is barometric pressure sampled on a certain grid, etc. | | Sometimes these "metadata" relationships are so privileged that | they become code, I mean a "CREATE TABLE" in SQL can be "exactly | similar to" some definitions in OWL even though one causes the | physical layout of memory and storage and the other one only | attaches meanings to some symbols that may or may not be in the | graph without what OWL thinks. | | The "production rules" systems that were popular in 1980s A.I. | have improved by orders of magnitude because of RETE-type | algorithms, hashtable indexes, etc. | chubot wrote: | _Perhaps the bigger illusion is that when you search with Google | you are somehow searching the sum total of human knowledge._ | | This is a big pet peeve of mine. People think because they're | reading the web that they know things or they're "up to date" on | current events. I've gotten a lot more out of books than the | news, especially in the last 5-10 years. | | And I feel like that's almost universally true (bad books are | still better!) | | Ironically Google Scholar is one place that you will find some | real information. But it seems to be de-emphasized now. The main | Google results will take you to a paywall for a paper (IEEE, | etc.) But if you go to Google Scholar, you'll find the PDF. But | I'd bet many Google users don't know that, even the ones that | would read a journal paper. | | ----- | | Aside from that, this is a great article that makes a great | point. Google talks about AI all the time but it still relies on | basic user curation to understand the web. | | I think that shows you that the value lies. If webmasters stop | doing work, then Google has nothing to index. Similarly I view | the rise of these awesome lists as a manual Yahoo: | | https://github.com/sindresorhus/awesome | | If Google was providing so much value, then these lists would be | redundant. | | In fact I think Google was bootstrapped off at least partially | off Yahoo. Yahoo had all these human editors curating links. That | was great information for a nascent search engine to piggy back | off of. Now that Yahoo no longer does that (AFAIK), Google has to | rely on incentives for webmasters to provide metadata. | | ----- | | To add something positive, I think YouTube is really where there | is interesting user created content. Google has done a good job | of stewarding and growing that ecosystem. | | I remember I used to type random keywords in to Google and see | what comes up. It used to be something interesting; it no longer | is. | | But YouTube has that flavor now. I typed in "sardines" and got a | channel of this funny guy reviewing all sorts of canned fish :) | It feels more like the early web. | cybice wrote: | Im working as web developer, and have a strong feeling that now | we are writing web sites for google and not for humans. Most | decisions about where and how to place content are coming from | SEOs. UX etc doesnt matter. | ficklepickle wrote: | I know one case where Google appears to be actually using "AI", | and the results are terrible. | | A client of mine is continually having their listing on Google | Maps "helpfully" updated by Google to be wrong. They change the | services, they change the hours, all to be wrong. They added a | new services section, duplicating their existing services and | adding back ones that had been removed post-COVID. | | There is no way to make it stop. They show the changes in low- | contrast yellow and through dark patterns make it difficult to | revert the changes. All they can do is check it daily and revert | the changes one-by-one. | | I'm trying to get API access so I can automatically revert | changes that weren't made by the business. It requires manual | approval which takes 2 weeks. Months later, I haven't heard back. | hannasanarion wrote: | Can you tell the AI changes from the ones that are submitted by | users? Early in the pandemic especially, I was submitting lots | of changes to Google Maps for places that had changed their | hours or services but didn't update their Maps profiles. | fouc wrote: | > There are woolly intimations that self driving cars will read | roadsigns to work out what the speed limit is for any stretch of | road but the truth seems to be that they use the current GPS co- | ordinates to access manually entered data on speedlimits. | | I actually didn't know Tesla cars relied on GPS + map data w/ | speed limits until recently. What a disappointment, apparently it | causes all sorts of issues with sudden braking/acceleration when | the map data is wrong. | WesolyKubeczek wrote: | And sometimes the map is wrong but the sign is stolen or | unreadable. | erikpukinskis wrote: | In which case no one knows what the speed limit is, AI or | not. | darkerside wrote: | Maybe it uses both? My Honda can tell me the speed limit, and | I'm sure it's not using the internet to do it. | lights0123 wrote: | There's no reason it couldn't have them stored locally. If | your car has an on-screen map, it's probably been downloaded | to the car directly like standalone GPS units popular years | ago. | darkerside wrote: | It doesn't. And the sign seems to pop up after I pass a | speed limit sign. | | EDIT: Here's info on it. | https://www.dowhonda.com/2017/11/17/traffic-sign- | recognition... | ullevaal wrote: | Well, the problem with builtin GPS in cars is that you will | often find yourself driving on brand new highways, while | the car is complaining that you are driving in terrain and | need to get back on the road. | hoppyhoppy2 wrote: | >I'm sure it's not using the internet to do it. | | _How_ sure are you? | | >Daniel Dunn was about to sign a lease for a Honda Fit last | year when a detail buried in the lengthy agreement caught his | eye. Honda wanted to track the location of his vehicle, the | contract stated, according to Dunn -- a stipulation that | struck the 69-year-old Temecula, Calif., retiree as a bit | odd. [...] | | >There are 78 million cars on the road with an embedded cyber | connection, a feature that makes monitoring customers easier, | according to ABI Research. By 2021, according to the | technology research firm Gartner, 98 percent of new cars sold | in the United States and in Europe will be connected, a | feature that is being highlighted this week here at the North | American International Auto Show in Detroit. | | >After being asked on multiple occasions what the company | does with collected data, Natalie Kumaratne, a Honda | spokeswoman, said that the company "cannot provide specifics | at this time." Kumaratne instead sent a copy of an owner's | manual for a Honda Clarity that notes that the vehicle is | equipped with multiple monitoring systems that transmit data | at a rate determined by Honda. | | https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/innovations/wp/2018/01/1. | .. | jeffbee wrote: | >> I'm sure it's not using the internet to do it. | | > How sure are you? | | Pretty sure. The Honda Sensing display of the local speed | limit changes on the dashboard at the instant you pass the | sign, it's too exact to be using GPS. Nobody has geocoded | the location of every sign in America, that would be too | much work. Also, it's often wrong but in ways that you | would be wrong if you were just reading the signs. For | example, it will switch to 55 MPH speed limit in a 70 MPH | zone on the interstate after it sees a sign that is | intended for trucks only. | asdff wrote: | My garmin does this instant speed change, and it is | pulling GPS. | jeffbee wrote: | Does your Garmin also refuse to say anything until you | pass the first sign, and also stop indicating the speed | limit if it's been a long time since you saw one, and | also from time to time pick up spurious roadside signals | as speed limits, indicating 70-100 MPH in 25 MPH zones, | and also finally does your Garmin stop indicating speed | limits if you cover its forward-facing camera with a | piece of tape? | | I think the clearest indication that Honda Sensing does | not use location data for speed limits is that Honda | Sensing is available on cars that don't have GPS at all. | klmadfejno wrote: | I think the risk of a car missing a speed sign, or | misinterpreting one, or reading something that looks like a | speed limit sign but isn't, is a much bigger threat. | ipython wrote: | I have an Audi that has both speed limit info and stop light | info in the dash. I know for a fact that it uses the camera for | the speed limit signs as it will interpret school zone areas. | Sometimes it misses the "end school zone" sign or not recognize | the yellow border around the school zone begin sign. You can | see the display become out of sync with the road conditions | until the next speed limit sign appears. | | As far as the stop light data, that's fed into Audi through a | select number of state DOTs (mine is one of them). It's almost | magical that it can tell you when the light will turn green. | zinok wrote: | Are you sure it's not using static data generated by a car | which has driven the same roads and then has had speed limit | sign detection run on the captured video? | ipython wrote: | Yes, it does the recognition on the car through a front | facing camera. | zinok wrote: | However, as far as I can tell, the GPS data, in at least some | cases, comes from Streetview-type camera cars which drive along | the roads and capture the roadsigns. | | On French highways there are context-dependent speed limit | signs which look exactly like normal signs but with a small | additional panel below which tells you when they apply. Eg, big | 70 in a round red circle, with a small picture of a car towing | a trailer below. Eg https://external- | content.duckduckgo.com/iu/?u=https%3A%2F%2F... which obviously | only applies to cars with trailers. | | Google maps (on my phone, not built-in to the car in any way) | would constantly tell me that the speed limit of the road was | that of the last such sign regardless of the specificity. | cbm-vic-20 wrote: | It would be cool if the signs could have a low density error | correcting code on them (maybe even only using a paint that can | be seen in infrared) that would let the computers have more | confidence in what they're seeing. | [deleted] | marcosdumay wrote: | You mean some codes like a standard shape and color, colored | borders, standard fonts, and standardized messages? | BBC-vs-neolibs wrote: | Ten year old SAABs (it went bankrupt 10 years ago) read | roadsigns. | | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pVekffxj5QE | 6gvONxR4sf7o wrote: | The whole problem is the adversarial environment. It's orders of | magnitude harder to create genuinely useful content than it is to | create crap or copy content. Meanwhile, the difference between | useful and lazy content requires a holistic view and even | embodied (IRL) understanding. For example, it's so much more work | to physically review a set of items and write that up than it is | to just read and summarize other people's reviews (bad content). | It's also hard to tell the difference between these without | physically trying the item in real life (bad ranking). So the | ranker can't tell what's crap and there's more crap than good | stuff. | | If there was no money to be made by ranking highly on search | engines, I think the promise the article's talking about might | have been fulfilled. | ctrlp wrote: | Time to update the old quote? 'Show me your AI and conceal your | data structures, and I shall continue to be mystified. Show me | your data structures and I won't need your AI.' | hajile wrote: | The commercial opinion bit is incredibly annoying. Ask for an | opinion and you'll get 5 pages of custom built "review" sites | that offer nothing useful besides copious ads and paid click- | through to Amazon. | | Even when Google knows where I go with my searches, they still | refuse to show those sites for anything that might have | commercial interest. So much for customized search. I get tired | of being the product. Can we get a subscription search engine | that's actually good? I'd pay for that. | selfhoster11 wrote: | I literally append "site:reddit.com" like in the article | whenever I'm looking for reviews and comparisons. Google is | nearly useless for finding content among the sea of crap and | autogenerated near-crap (like Slant). I might click on the | links going to sites that I half-remember by name, but for | open-ended searches it's a lost war. | esailija wrote: | Also try appending: | | inurl:forum|viewthread|showthread|viewtopic|showtopic|"index. | php?topic" | intext:"reading this topic"|"next thread"|"next | topic"|"send private message" | PoignardAzur wrote: | > _I literally append "site:reddit.com"_ | | Stop saying that! The more people repeat that on HN, the more | we risk advertisers realizing it and doing reddit-targeted | SEO and reddit will be useless too! | | (I'm only half joking) | | Also, it's funny, I was just reading the thread about malaria | eradication and DDT-resistant mosquitoes; the problem of SEO | is eerily similar (any countermeasure is eventually defeated | by evolution). | Aunche wrote: | I find that Reddit is mostly useful for things with a small | audience like local restaurants, so they're unlikely for | recommendations to be fake. | | For consumer goods, I find that trustworthy Youtube | channels, like America's Test Kitchen, do a much better job | with reviewing things anyways. | kjjjjjjjjjjjjjj wrote: | The majority of popular reddit posts are already SEO | optimized marketing campaigns anyway. | the_lonely_road wrote: | You are 10 years too late for that concern. I often wonder | if there are any real people commenting, submitting, or | upvoting left on Reddit. | selfhoster11 wrote: | This is emphatically not the case in my experience. | PoignardAzur wrote: | _10 years later_ | | Users: Now if I want good results, I append | site:news.ycombinator.com before every query. | | Advertisers: Hmmm... | shrimpx wrote: | I spend a lot of time on reddit and do not identify with | your comment at all. | edgyquant wrote: | There's real people for sure, but most of them are | children and teenagers who are easily susceptible to | corporate propaganda. I often wonder when a competitor | will arise so that I can leave Reddit, and it's rolling | release of bad UX, for something better. At this point I | would pay a monthly fee for a decent Reddit. | thereddaikon wrote: | Plenty of competitors have risen over the years. They've | have just all been abject failures. Most have tried to | fix at least one aspect of the site and failed to do so. | I don't even think a straight up copy would work at this | point. Its got the user base and while never directly | profitable, its value has always been in how easy it is | to shill to the userbase. I think that's primarily why | Advance keeps it. | tolbish wrote: | Google modified the algorithm a while back to ignore such | flags at times. | emptyfile wrote: | They did a bad job then, since they still work. | tolbish wrote: | They still use the flags, just not in every instance. I | recall the quotes for inclusion of strings and the | "-site" flag failing for me as early as last year. | edgyquant wrote: | Yes they do ignore those but at this moment they don't | ignore site: queries. Google also suffers heavily from | old content, and even changing the date under the tools | section doesn't work for some reason. I think because it | goes by when the page was last updated and sites like | Reddit update them automatically very frequently | ghostbrainalpha wrote: | That worked for awhile. But even Reddit has been overrun with | coordinated marketing efforts to make sure you can't really | get an honest review without checking every comments post | history. | arbitrage wrote: | > even Reddit | | no, reddit? i'm shocked /s | | your implication seems to be that reddit should somehow be | resistant to parasitic capitalism. reddit has been | compromised and on the side of the advertisers since the | beginning. | cptskippy wrote: | > reddit has been compromised and on the side of the | advertisers since the beginning. | | reddit today is very different from reddit of early days, | its practically unrecognizable. | IggleSniggle wrote: | Exactly. HN of today is a very similar experience to what | Reddit used to be. The King is dead. Long live the King! | bun_at_work wrote: | Just curious - how much would you pay for that? $20/mo? $30/mo? | | One one hand I completely agree, and hope for paid service | alternatives to all these "free" products. On the other hand, I | can find everything I need through Google, as is, so why pay | for an alternative? | fsflover wrote: | How about p2p FLOSS search engine: https://yacy.net? | anticristi wrote: | I ended up with "site:bbc.com" and "site:svt.se" to get to | actual news instead of click-baits. Why the search function of | these sites is crap, to the point where it's easier to hack | Google, is beyond me. | megamix wrote: | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=20652151 | | :) | | subscription service on the rise! | ihnorton wrote: | Even for programming topics, sites like gitmemory routinely | rank higher than the original GitHub repos and StackOverflow | answers that they are "mirroring", or the mirror page gets full | result billing while the original StackOverflow answer only | gets a single title line in the "other results from site" | format. | christophilus wrote: | Brave is releasing one soon. | hnnameblah365 wrote: | Google could easily lower pagerank for blogspam by measuring | density of affiliate links. | | They don't, because low quality consumerist search results make | the ads fit right in. Also those sites are more likely to | contain Google Ads themselves. | | The search engine is fully optimized for consumerism, not | finding the most relevant result. | Tarsul wrote: | I really like the expression "metadata analysis". It's very | succinct, describes very much what AI/ML often boils down to in 2 | (rather) simple words. I will try to remember this. The marketing | guys in cooperation with journalists won the battle for now but | words will be replaced by others again and again and even change | their meaning, so maybe next time the shiny new technology will | get more adequate wording? (well, maybe not in these times where | clickbait wins it all) | topspin wrote: | The minute 'AI' solves a problem the problem is removed from | that class of problems that require 'AI'. If the problem is | difficult enough we might award the new solution its own name. | cgearhart wrote: | "Moving the goalposts" has long been identified as a problem | by AI enthusiasts, but the opposite is also often true--an AI | is built to solve a limited or highly restricted form of a | problem, and then proponents claim that the goalpost has been | moved when it's observed that the general problem remains | unsolved. | | It feels to me that we started calling ML "AI" when deep | learning became powerful enough to work on less clearly | structured problems like vision and NLP--but "find patterns | in complex data" does not seem powerful enough for what I | would consider "intelligence" (artificial or otherwise). I | don't think that stateless/idempotent ML is capable of what | most people would recognize as intelligence; in part because | I suspect a history is required for a system to be self- | correcting over time. | dynamite-ready wrote: | I'm starting to appreciate this sentiment. The way most ML | success stories are presented, you'd think it really is all | a case of finding enough data, and let the computer learn | to extract something useful from it. | | That is not the hard part. | | The hard part, is finding a dataset that is amenable to the | training process. Or at the very least, determining if a | collection has any 'educational' value at all. | | Then, by the time you get to that point, you're probably | already looking at metadata, or a simple pattern that could | possibly be encoded in a database query. | | I have some faith in some of these new discoveries | (Alphafold is a remarkable case study), but in many cases, | the effectiveness of ML seems to be overstated. | balia wrote: | This seems it will be applied to self driving technology in a | huge way. | | All of these companies doing advanced AI vision detection, | classification etc... they're really hard problems. But the whole | challenge will eventually become nullified when every single road | sign, landmark, and the road itself are tagged internally with | metadata. | | Instead of trying to decipher how does this PNG of a speed limit | sign translate into a number, the number metadata would be | encoded in the sign. | | Looking at it this way, having advanced vision AI tech is only a | competitive advantage in the short term | ZiiS wrote: | The difficulty is getting the kid playing in the road to | correctly encode their metadata; not so much the posted signs. | adelrune wrote: | You see, that's what the chips in the vaccines are for /s | [deleted] | jfk13 wrote: | > But the whole challenge will eventually become nullified when | every single road sign, landmark, and the road itself are | tagged internally with metadata | | Including every pothole, pedestrian, stray deer, abandoned | shopping cart and fallen tree branch? | arethuza wrote: | What about collaboratively tagging drivers with metadata - I | suspect that could be pretty useful... ;-) | virgilp wrote: | My car already does a pretty good job of showing the speed | limits (and it's definitely based on computer vision/ works | offline and in places where map metadata is poor). And it | doesn't have "self driving", just a limited "pilot assist". | | Not sure why reading road signs is used as and example of | "extremely hard thing to do" - there are other way harder | things that cars can't currently do. E.g. figuring out the | right speed to negotiate a curve using computer vision alone | (without relying on detailed maps/gps, ie "metadata"). | bjourne wrote: | How does your car handle snow-covered road signs? | fouc wrote: | Actually I think road speeds for various curves are pretty | standardized, so it shouldn't be that hard for the car to | estimate the correct speed based on the curve. | virgilp wrote: | It's a tad more complicated than that - it needs to | consider also driving conditions, any hazards on the road. | Probably can't be done on computer vision alone, you need | at least some sensors to get a "feel" of how good is the | road grip. | ipython wrote: | My Audi tries to account for curves in the road when | running on cruise control through the onboard nav. It's | horrendously conservative in its opinion of the maximum | safe speed to the point I find it dangerous to rely upon. | If I left it to its own devices, other cars would be | passing me as if I were standing still. Otherwise the | driver assist features are fairly slick. | [deleted] | Quarrelsome wrote: | > the number metadata would be encoded in the sign. | | Oh yea that's not going to backfire at all is it? Lemme just | work out how to frig it to state the max speed limit is zero | and create an automated car pile-up. | kingsuper20 wrote: | It's been done before. | | https://screenrant.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/coyote- | pai... | aNoob7000 wrote: | I wonder if it would be cheaper for all these companies to go | and pay for a sticker/stamp of some kind put on all the signs | in a city. Figure out a standard and put them everywhere. | | This would give them time to get the AI vision detection | algorithms figured out. | tester34 wrote: | what's the point of putting it on the signs | | when you can create virtual sign map that every city/road | maintenance HAS to update? | kingsuper20 wrote: | Personally, I'd be more comfortable by making the signs | themselves easier for a machine to read rather than to | build/maintain what is basically a form of dead reckoning. | 0xffff2 wrote: | >when you can create virtual sign map that every city/road | maintenance HAS to update? | | Who can do that? | tester34 wrote: | society should, just like roads. | 0xffff2 wrote: | At least in the US, "society" doesn't build and maintain | roads. Thousands of individual city, county and state | governments do. | pjc50 wrote: | > every single road sign, landmark, and the road itself are | tagged internally with metadata. | | Who's going to pay for that? The public? In order to provide | returns to private shareholders? | gverrilla wrote: | amazing quotes: | | > Larry Page and Sergey Brin were originally pretty negative | about search engines that sold ads. Appendix A in their original | paper says: we expect that advertising-funded | search engines will be inherently biased towards the advertisers | and away from the needs of theconsumers | | and that we believe the issue of advertising | causes enough mixed incentives that it is crucial to have | acompetitive search engine that is transparent and in the | academic realm | WesolyKubeczek wrote: | Well, they weren't wrong, but then they saw there was nothing | wrong with the first passage you quoted. | cainxinth wrote: | I guess the prospect of literally a hundred billion dollars | each made them reconsider. | devoutsalsa wrote: | Which would one? | | 1. One search engine w/ hundreds of thousands of employeers & | bajillions in revenue | | 2. One search engine w/ like 3 people & a chonky Patreon | account | svachalek wrote: | That's a bit of a false dichotomy though. Although the | original AdWords also made them an adverting based search | engine, it made them massively profitable without violating | anyone's privacy. | | It was the need to make even more billions that led them | down the slippery slope of mass surveillance that makes | everyone uneasy now. | sireat wrote: | Original AdWords in early 200Xs were quite a breath of | fresh air compared to other type of advertising on the | net. | | The ads seemed relevant. I actually clicked on them with | a sense of purpose! | | At the time AdWords truly seemed how advertising should | be done ethically with an iron wall between search and | advertising. | | That wall started crumbling pretty quickly by mid 200Xs. | | Maybe the wall was never there? | dvfjsdhgfv wrote: | It would be interested to know how this process looked like. | I'd imagine it was very gradual and consisted of little steps | each leading to the next one, and when they finally started | to serve ads they were probably thinking it's not that bad. I | believe crossing that line made paved the way for considering | things like tracking the whole web morally acceptable, maybe | even positive. | wayoutthere wrote: | They hired Eric Schmidt as CEO. That's how it happened. | Larry and Sergei were still in "don't be evil" mode. But | you have to be a little evil when this much money is | involved, so they hired Schmidt to be evil for them. They | then learned how to be evil under his tutelage. Schmidt is | absolutely an ethical nihilist, just listen to any of his | speeches on privacy and security. | intergalplan wrote: | My hypothesis is that at some point someone was given | clearance to try a couple of plainly-evil things, and the | results were so _wildly_ lucrative that the "don't be | evil" faction either defected or lost all sway. | | Notably, ads in-line with results. I suspect that was the | first move that sent them irrevocably down the evil-path. | Watch a non-tech-geek use Google and you'll see why--I bet | ad-clicks went up 10x with that change, or more. Then they | began to serve ads beyond those early "non-evil" clearly | marked text-only ads. That led to them making tons of money | from webspam sites, while also putting tons of effort into | _fighting_ webspam, and some time around '09 or so they | realized they should lay off the latter, on account of the | former. | | And here we are. Google search is worse, Google advertise | deceptively on purpose, and the whole web is overrun with | webspam. | tjs8rj wrote: | I think the truth is that they were naive or focused on | their consumer existence, but as soon as they were the | owners of the hottest and best search engine it was a | simple next step to monetize with ads. I don't this excerpt | suggests they had any personal qualms with ads, just that | they had problems to be overcome and often detract from the | user experience - which almost anyone would agree with | including people who are rich from ads. | ocdtrekkie wrote: | For one, when they started ads, they were not inline with | the search results, and in brightly highlighted boxes. So | it was easy to say, you know, we have ads, but they don't | affect search results. | | Today they say the same thing, but nontechnical users can | no longer distinguish ads from their organic search | results. | bagacrap wrote: | Non-technical users can't read the bolded "Ad" in the top | left? Ok, it's more subtle than before but it doesn't | prey on the less sophisticated among us. | intergalplan wrote: | Watch a non-nerd use Google. They 100% do click on those | ads without realizing they're ads. Constantly. I wouldn't | be surprised if _most_ ad-clicks for Google are performed | by people having no clue they 're clicking on an ad. | ocdtrekkie wrote: | For one, that Ad logo spent about two years being yellow- | on-white, so people without well-tuned contrast monitors | couldn't see it at all. | | Last year they made a change that made them so | indistinguishable to the untrained eye that even Google | rolled them back: | https://techcrunch.com/2020/01/23/squint-and-youll-click- | it/ https://www.cnbc.com/2020/01/24/google-will-iterate- | the-desi... | | But no, generally, they don't notice that. Studies have | been done demonstrating how few users can tell the | difference between an ad and a search result. In one | study, half of respondents "didn't spot" ads in Google | search results at all: | https://www.123-reg.co.uk/blog/seo-2/how-google-is- | profiting... | | That study was in 2013, when Ads were much more obvious | in search results than they are today. By 2018, the | statistic of people who couldn't identify search ads on | Google was up closer to two-thirds: | https://marketingtechnews.net/news/2018/sep/06/two- | thirds-pe... | FridayoLeary wrote: | it normally takes me 1 sentence max to realise i've | clicked on an ad by mistake. I think even if there was no | ad shin i would still manage to work out what is promoted | content. If ads ever stops being generic, irrelevant | clickbait, we might have a problem on our hands. But that | particular danger doesn't seem to be very likely at all. | cainxinth wrote: | It sounds crazy, but they really can't. Seriously, have | you ever been over a non tech person's shoulder while | they are googling? They click the first thing they see | with zero scrutiny. | ocdtrekkie wrote: | I have an incredible number of personal anecdotes to | offer about not just watching ordinary users click on | ads, but also Google Ads being the primary source for | most scams and malware on the Internet, that Google | pushes to the top of their results for money. (When you | have helped dozens of seniors taken advantage of by | scammers that Google profited off of, it's hard to be | particularly amicable about the company and their | business practices.) | | However, I went with showing studies because | unfortunately, our personal real world experiences rarely | win online arguments. ;) | morelisp wrote: | The DoubleClick acquisition was the inflection point, even | obviously at the time. Before that AdWords was reasonably | in-line with Google's standards and culture. | jackcviers3 wrote: | We ran a DoubleClick ad engine on the Clear Channel | websites right around that time period. The front-end was | a Java Web Start application, ugly, slow, but very | intuitive to use for ad-targeting. I wrote several | extensions for it using their plugin-api and the ad | engine worked really, really well. Had several calls with | the DART team and they were all smart people delivering a | necessary service to keep websites free to use. Hard to | believe that something so simple and useful could become | the tool for evil that it has. | tester34 wrote: | I thought it wouldnt be suprising, especially that we're on | news hacker out of all places | WitCanStain wrote: | I guess growing up is when you give in to profit above all. | patatino wrote: | I sometimes ask myself if they are looking back and questioning | all the little decisions they took and think, "where did we go | wrong"? | leoc wrote: | It has to be emphasised that (IIUC) Page and Brin's | misbehaviour is not just a thing of the past, but active and | ongoing, since they still have majority voting power over | Alphabet https://www.investopedia.com/articles/markets/011516 | /top-5-g... . Even one of them is a hugely clouty | shareholder, especially if he enlisted the support of a few | of their chums who hold the remainder of Class B. Yes, by now | they probably can't just undo Google's fundamental size and | orientation as an AdWords behemoth at will: too many business | risks and legitimate concerns about fiduciary duty, too much | risk of shareholder lawsuits and so on. But within that they | surely have enormous power to restrain Google's actions at | their discretion. | | Of course when bad things happen the usual tendency is to | attribute too much power and assign too much blame to a few | individuals. But if anything the reverse seems to be true | here. Page and Brin largely don't have the twin "if I don't | do it I'll be fired" and "if I don't do it someone else will" | excuses that others tend to have. Yet there seems to be an | ambient belief that they shouldn't be expected to restrain | Google, that their (at best) abdication of responsibility is | somehow inevitable or proper. What makes this _really_ | disgraceful is that Google probably got where it today is in | large part because in the past people bought, and Google | actively sold, the idea that Larry and Sergey were nice guys | who could be could be trusted to use their controlling stake | to do the right thing. However stupid it was to ever trust in | that idea, Page and Brin are not justified in abusing that | trust now. | darkwater wrote: | I think that you end up convincing yourself that you did the | best, despite the obvious differences between what you were | thinking back in the day and now. Also, you would make | yourself think it was probably the only possible outcome and | your younger self was wrong or at least very, very naive. | | Or at least that's what _I_ would do, sitting on a mountain | of dollars. | cton wrote: | Technically they held true to this sentiment. Google Scholar | doesn't seem to have ads. | ltbarcly3 wrote: | From the article: | | >> "When your elected government snoops on you, they famously | prefer the metadata of who you emailed, phoned or chatted to the | content of the messages themselves." | | This is _strictly_ false. They prefer to have the content, but it | is illegal to record the content of conversations of "US | Persons" without a warrant. However, from | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smith_v._Maryland it is legal to | keep a pen register of all numbers called, since this is not | considered protected under the constitution. | | This article was written by someone who isn't versed in the | basics of what they are pontificating about. ___________________________________________________________________ (page generated 2021-04-26 23:00 UTC)