[HN Gopher] So you want to build a house more efficiently
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       So you want to build a house more efficiently
        
       Author : srl
       Score  : 188 points
       Date   : 2021-06-26 18:12 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
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       | swiley wrote:
       | The most efficient way to build houses is in bulk by building
       | large buildings with condos/apartments, no one seems to want to
       | hear or accept that though.
        
         | ctdonath wrote:
         | USA population density is 6.6 acres per person, or 37 people
         | per square kilometer. I'd far rather my family be in a more
         | expensive larger home on 25 acres (with prospect of self-
         | sufficiency) than jammed into a large building with X # of
         | strangers and no land.
         | 
         | Funny thing is, that "more expensive larger home" isn't more
         | expensive - it's on par or cheaper, even with the land. Blows
         | my mind that urban dwellers think paying equivalent of my
         | mortgage (on a 2400sqft house) for a couple rooms is
         | reasonable.
         | 
         | Building big may be more efficient, but that's not what
         | occupants see in their rent bill.
        
         | xnx wrote:
         | Or as large subdivisions built all at once, like Levittown
         | mentioned in the article.
        
         | bradleyjg wrote:
         | Californians would rather preen about with paper straws and
         | compost bins and then drive their telsas back to single family
         | homes with lawns.
         | 
         | Meanwhile New Yorkers are taking the subway to their apartment
         | homes.
         | 
         | Different cultures.
        
         | IshKebab wrote:
         | Everyone knows and accepts that. They just don't really want
         | those houses.
        
           | occz wrote:
           | I very much doubt that to be true. As far as I've understood
           | it, a far too large amount of land in the U.S is zoned to be
           | single-family housing, effectively preventing this type of
           | home to be built. That precludes any choice in the matter.
           | People in the U.S opt for single-family homes because they
           | are really the only available option.
        
             | ghaff wrote:
             | There are a ton of apartments/condos in the the US. They're
             | just expensive in the most in-demand areas.
        
               | PaulDavisThe1st wrote:
               | Which, compared to their European counterparts, are
               | flimsy, lacking acoustic insulation and a certain je ne
               | sais quois. I've lived in both, and while I'd never want
               | to move into most US apts/condos, I'd happily live in
               | many European ones, even those built after 1970
               | (arbitrary number).
        
       | dctoedt wrote:
       | FTA: "Flexible technologies that work within the current system
       | and simplify processes have had the most success. These
       | technologies allow the high precision and efficiency of factories
       | to make it to the building site. [Example:] Experienced
       | carpenters use chisels to create post and beam members on site.
       | -> 2x4s and nails are mass manufactured and assembled by semi-
       | skilled workers on site."
        
       | elihu wrote:
       | If fancy manufacturing facilities with expensive equipment don't
       | scale well because construction materials are manufactured in a
       | lot of small factories rather than a few big ones, it seems like
       | an obvious way to improve construction is to reduce the cost of
       | that fancy equipment so that it's available even to small
       | operations.
       | 
       | We see this with a lot of smaller-scale tools: 3D printers, CNCs,
       | laser cutters, welders, pick-and-place machines for assembling
       | circuit boards, etc.. are things that have become affordable to
       | casual hobbyists.
       | 
       | I could see augmented reality being a big deal for construction.
       | See exactly where everything is supposed to go as you install it.
       | 
       | Maybe eventually a mobile 3D-printing gantry that can be quickly
       | deployed on site will be something that a small local business
       | would own.
        
       | WalterBright wrote:
       | One thing I notice is the large volume of waste from stick
       | framing on site. A huge pile of cut lumber that just goes to the
       | dump.
        
         | creato wrote:
         | I haven't seen this at the job sites I've been on. Most of the
         | wasted wood is a small pile of cuttings from the oddly sized
         | parts of the build, but it's surely less than 5% of the whole
         | build, probably even less than 1%. Any scraps more than a foot
         | long will usually get used for something.
         | 
         | The incentives are aligned here, contractors don't want to buy
         | more wood than necessary.
        
           | kingsuper20 wrote:
           | Exactly.
           | 
           | It isn't like walls are 8'2" high. There's a great deal of
           | standardization built into modern home design.
        
           | ohyeshedid wrote:
           | I've seen large houses framed out and the scrap loss didn't
           | fill a trashcan. Running jokes about the tags weighing more
           | than the actual wood scrap.
        
         | Syonyk wrote:
         | If you ever get a chance to tour a manufactured home facility,
         | one of the big things you'll notice is that there is almost no
         | waste coming out the back end, and certainly far, far less
         | waste than you see in a typical site-built home (huge dumpsters
         | of waste being hauled off regularly).
         | 
         | They're designed so that there's just not much in the way of
         | waste - because dimensions are standard, and consistency is
         | pretty good, you simply make sure that if you have a cut of a
         | standard piece, you need the other half of it over there.
         | There's just very, very little waste.
         | 
         | On top of that, there's very little transporting of random
         | stuff, because it's all built onsite. Cabinets are built as an
         | entire unit in a quarter of the factory I toured, and are
         | simply run across into the house before the roof goes on.
         | There's no need to make sure the cabinets fit through doors and
         | such - the entire assemblies are brought in and dropped in
         | place (or nearly so) through the top.
         | 
         | The roof, meanwhile, is built at more or less waist height
         | (depending on slopes). It's assembled, "drywall up," on some
         | jigs that hold it properly, wiring is run, the joists are
         | added, and you end up with a roof segment that is then lifted
         | up, painted, and set down on top of the house. It almost
         | entirely eliminates the "roof work" risk for doing roofs.
         | 
         | I know in most modern tech circles it's incredibly popular to
         | hate "trailer homes" - which tells me that most people's vision
         | of them is a 1970s single wide, 50 years of limited maintenance
         | later. Modern manufactured homes have nearly nothing to do with
         | that - ours is 2x6 exterior construction, drywall, Energy Star
         | rated, metal roof, good insulated windows, etc. Out of
         | curiosity I signed up for the power company's free "energy
         | analysis" thing, where they come and check the ducts, do a
         | blower door test, etc, and they left saying "There's literally
         | nothing we can improve - this is a tight house, comfortably in
         | the top range, and your ducts are very well sealed too." I'd
         | wager my results against any similar size site built home in
         | the area.
         | 
         | People we have over are consistently surprised to find out that
         | our place is a manufactured, because it doesn't match the
         | "trailer house" image. I think it's blindingly obvious it's
         | manufactured, but I also saw it come in on trucks, and I know
         | the signs to look for - simple rectangular floor plan, a strong
         | marriage line down the center, and typically water only on one
         | half of the house (it avoids having to do any water pipe joins
         | onsite, which reduces the risk of leaks). We have a concrete
         | foundation under the house, and it works great for us.
         | 
         | But, you know, we do legally live in a "trailer home." Doesn't
         | bother us in the slightest.
        
           | maxsilver wrote:
           | > It's incredibly popular to hate "trailer homes" - which
           | tells me that most people's vision of them is a 1970s single
           | wide, 50 years of limited maintenance later. Modern
           | manufactured homes have nearly nothing to do with that
           | 
           | How do you actually find these? How can you tell the
           | difference?
           | 
           | Every 1970's-era trailer house manufacturer has rebranded
           | themselves as "Modular, not Mobile". For non-experts, it's
           | hard to tell the difference, which might be why everyone
           | lumps them all together.
           | 
           | I would love to buy a well-designed actually-good factory-
           | standardized home. Every thing I've seen that _claims_ such,
           | is just a rebranded trailer house.
        
             | Syonyk wrote:
             | In the 80s, the standards changed so you can't have the old
             | newspaper and spit style manufactured homes anymore.
             | 
             | But I'm not sure what exactly you're looking for. Our house
             | is absolutely a "trailer" - it came in two pieces, has long
             | I-beams under the floor, and still has axles down in the
             | crawlspace. I believe one can get the "modular" version
             | which is the same thing, same factory, and doesn't keep the
             | axles (with perhaps a few other changes - it didn't matter
             | to me and was more money for the same end result).
             | 
             | Despite that, it's a solid drywall based house, 2x6
             | exterior walls, etc.
             | 
             | But if you want more details, you'll have to find someone
             | in your area who sells them and go find out more - my
             | regional knowledge probably isn't applicable to your
             | situation.
        
             | dangrossman wrote:
             | > Every 1970's-era trailer house manufacturer has rebranded
             | themselves as "Modular, not Mobile".
             | 
             | This isn't just branding. The Housing Act of 1980 required
             | the term "manufactured" be used in place of "mobile" in all
             | federal laws about homes built after 1976.
             | 
             | If you look at a "mobile" home, it's one built before
             | modern standards, where if you look at a "manufactured" or
             | "modular" home, it's one that conforms to the National
             | Mobile Home Construction and Safety Act (1974) and HUD
             | Manufactured Home Construction and Safety Standards (1976).
             | 
             | Now "manufactured" vs "modular" is whether it's built just
             | to the federal HUD standards, or also built to the same
             | local codes as a site-built home.
             | 
             | All three (mobile, manufactured, modular) are terms for
             | factory-built pre-fab homes, i.e. "trailer homes".
        
           | lostapathy wrote:
           | > because dimensions are standard, and consistency is pretty
           | good, you simply make sure that if you have a cut of a
           | standard piece, you need the other half of it over there.
           | There's just very, very little waste.
           | 
           | They also operate at a scale such that if they need an
           | oddball length of some material, the lumber mill is happy to
           | supply it cut to that oddball length since they are buying it
           | by the railcar.
        
         | lazypenguin wrote:
         | The amount of waste in general for constructing or remodeling a
         | house is incredible. In my experience, even if you wanted to be
         | conscientious about the waste (e.g repurpose timber), it would
         | require so much more effort that's already going into the
         | project that it's just easier to throw all the waste together
         | in one bin and take to the landfill.
        
         | alkonaut wrote:
         | It's indeed much easier to reduce waste in a factory when the
         | production line can optimize for reducing waste.
         | 
         | It's a delicate problem though. I have recently implemented
         | such an optimization for wall panel production lines and it's
         | not so easy for the operators cutting sheets of material to
         | keep too many leftover bits for the following wall panel being
         | built, and the order of the panels built can be dictated by a
         | specific loading order on the delivery truck so can't be
         | reordered to reduce waste.
         | 
         | Working on various bin-packing and cutting stock problems is an
         | interesting challenge!
        
         | ohyeshedid wrote:
         | That largely depends on the builders, and in particular the
         | project managers.
        
       | 0xbadcafebee wrote:
       | I think the solution to reduce housing costs is simple and three-
       | fold.
       | 
       | First: most people can build a house. It's _really_ not
       | difficult. Today 's homes are quite complex in terms of their
       | layers of parts, and constantly varying building codes don't
       | help. But if you can swing a hammer and push a saw, you can build
       | a house.
       | 
       | Ikea has shown it's not only possible, but profitable, to sell
       | virtually everything that goes in a home to consumers and have
       | them put it together themselves. So why not the rest of the house
       | too? We've done it before: Sears shipped people houses on the
       | railroad along with instructions and (eventually) pre-fab parts.
       | They sold them for 30 years.
       | https://www.amusingplanet.com/2021/06/sears-mail-order-homes...
       | 
       | A huge chunk of the cost of a home is the labor. So let the
       | homeowner handle more of it! They can build in stages, offsetting
       | costs and building at their own pace. And if somebody gets tired
       | of doing it themselves, they can always hire a contractor.
       | 
       | Second: customers interest in having a unique home is a huge
       | cost. So let's focus on building either the variable parts, or on
       | making a "core home" that can be customized after the fact by
       | customers. Most homes are just boxes. It should be possible for
       | us to construct some basic designs that can then be modified or
       | "spruced up" by the homeowner later. Most of the features that
       | make a home look unique could be turned into add-ons, so that we
       | could focus on efficiency of the bare home, and let customers
       | take on additional cost when and if they choose.
       | 
       | Third: most people don't need huge houses! Due to the increasing
       | cost of renting, most renters rent apartments that are absolutely
       | tiny by comparison to the average new home. We can reduce housing
       | costs further by simply making the building smaller, and gaining
       | efficiencies by taking advantage of that smaller size. Want a
       | bigger home? By having simpler designs by default with add-on
       | exteriors, we can make it much easier to add extensions on to
       | houses. Simply unbolt the exterior facade, build on your
       | extension, and bolt the facades back on. This allows us to spend
       | less money on materials and labor, while still allowing the
       | consumer to add to the property over time.
        
         | greedo wrote:
         | I think it's a bit reductive to say that if you can push a saw
         | and swing a hammer that you can build a house. Sure in theory,
         | but the idea runs into a lot of problems quickly.
         | 
         | 1. Navigating the permitting process 2. Finding a lender
         | willing to finance a self-built home. 3. Learning the
         | complicated trades (plumbing/electrical/foundation) 4.
         | Affording to take the time to build a house.
         | 
         | Just #4 alone makes this a non-starter for most people. The
         | average home takes between 6-9 months to build, and that's with
         | an experienced crew. Learning as you go would easily add 6
         | months to this. Affording to take a year off to build is just
         | not something "most people" can do.
         | 
         | I have a neighbor who is a building contractor. He built his
         | house on his weekends, doing the majority of the work himself.
         | It took him over a year, and he has the skills, tools, and
         | knowledge. Joe Six Pack isn't going to know enough to avoid the
         | pitfalls that can make this a disaster.
        
       | csours wrote:
       | If there was a way to never have electric cables or plumbing in
       | walls, that would speed up construction and reduce the cost.
       | 
       | The savings for this don't just show up in the plumbing and
       | electrical categories, but also in framing and finishing, as well
       | as hidden inefficiencies - you have to pre-wire and plumb, and
       | then late come back to finish wiring and plumbing.
       | 
       | Also, this article is about how to construct a house in an
       | efficient manner, not how to construct a house that is efficient
       | throughout it's life.
        
       | walrus01 wrote:
       | Ctrl-f "SEER"
       | 
       | No results found
       | 
       | Since nobody has mentioned it yet, I recommend doing some
       | dedicated research into the efficiency level and measurements of
       | various types of air conditioners, mini split and otherwise.
       | There is a great deal of variation.
        
       | mortenjorck wrote:
       | It was interesting to see architecture and engineering broken out
       | as ~1.5% of the total cost of building a home, and it made me
       | wonder: How much does better residential architecture actually
       | cost?
       | 
       | If I were in the market to build a home, and the difference
       | between building something that looks like your average suburban
       | detached versus something modern and striking were, say, an extra
       | 1.5% (doubling the cost of architecture and engineering), I
       | wouldn't even consider skimping on architecture.
       | 
       | And yet, most architecturally-interesting homes are most
       | certainly not 1.5% or even 15% more than average-looking homes,
       | being generally restricted to luxury markets. Why is that?
        
         | ghaff wrote:
         | Probably because the architecture and engineering is only a
         | small part of the cost, the things the architects design in are
         | _much_ more expensive to build.
         | 
         | The actual design of the striking granite-block construction
         | with large windows on the coast may not cost all that much. But
         | the materials and skilled artisans sure do.
        
       | manmal wrote:
       | The concepts in the article sound foreign to me - they are, since
       | I live in the EU. In Central European countries, most houses are
       | built to last 80-150+ years. People like to use bricks, aerated
       | concrete or specially treated wood that will last for a very long
       | time. There are other systems too, like walls filled with small
       | clay pellets mixed with concrete. Houses built in such a way are
       | quite expensive, usually EUR300k or more for a typical family
       | home where I live. That leaves some room for prefab
       | (Fertigteilhaus) to be cheaper, contrary to what OP wrote.
       | 
       | There are small model cities you can visit where several dozen
       | prefabbers exhibit their current model homes, and if you stick to
       | their plan, you will usually pay less than building on your own.
       | Those are often built on wood frames, but are still quite sturdy
       | and supposed to last at least 100 years. Others are built with
       | bricks or aerated concrete just like individually built homes.
       | Savings are probably achieved by bulk orders, prefab, and a well
       | coordinated team who has built the exact same house ten times
       | already.
        
         | ajuc wrote:
         | Yup, American building culture is so weird.
        
         | fpoling wrote:
         | In US in many areas the earthquakes safety requires to build
         | lighter houses. Plus many areas are subject to tornados and
         | hurricanes when it is rather pointless to build anything that
         | lasts 100 years. On that time scale the house will be destroyed
         | or badly damaged in any case.
        
           | mcguire wrote:
           | " _Atlanta has seen 77 tornadoes in the four counties of
           | Clayton, Cobb, Dekalb and Fulton from 1950-2013. This is a
           | density of 0.94 tornadoes per year per 1,000 square miles._ "
           | 
           | 1,000 sq mi is about 640,000 acres, so that's .0000015
           | tornadoes per year per acre. If I've got my math right,
           | that's about a 99.9% chance that your 1 acre plot will not be
           | hit by a tornado in 1000 years, if you live in the Atlanta
           | area, which is only a middling high-probability area.
           | (https://weather.com/storms/tornado/news/tornado-odds-of-
           | bein...)
           | 
           | Hurricanes are generally only a coastal problem, although
           | flooding is a fairly large issue everywhere. (Don't get a
           | house in a low lying area. Please.)
           | 
           | Earthquakes are mostly a West Coast thing, modulo New Madrid
           | (pronounced "mad-rid") and various oil drilling operations.
           | But then there's fires and termites and everything else.
           | 
           | There are plenty of hundred-year-old houses all over the US,
           | as well as plenty of newer ones that could last more than a
           | century with proper maintenance.
           | 
           | Few houses today are built to last that long, though, because
           | it's more expensive but doesn't add anything to the purchase
           | price like granite countertops. Stick frame on slab
           | construction is pretty close to mini-maxing housing
           | construction as the article describes (even in areas where
           | slab foundations are geologically idiotic).
           | 
           | Anyway, when you get down to the second-to-last section of
           | the article, remember that, past a certain point, efficiency
           | is the enemy of resiliency.
        
           | Ericson2314 wrote:
           | I lived in a wooden house with a brick facade from 1905 in
           | San Francisco, so I think this is overstated.
           | 
           | They have earthquakes in e.g. Italy and Turkey too, you know.
        
             | fpoling wrote:
             | On my visit to SF I saw a warning an a building that it did
             | not satisfy earthquake safety standards of the government
             | of California. A colleague explained that this was a common
             | thing with old buildings in SF.
        
           | estaseuropano wrote:
           | I don't want to doubt you, but this sounds like 'folk wisdom'
           | or 'common sense' logic, rather than fact. You are not
           | seriously claiming that every piece of land is hit by
           | earthquakes or hurricanes once every 50 years? While they get
           | lots of attention my guess would be this is a shark attack-
           | like phenomenon: its so unusual that its news worthy, which
           | is why people think it is more frequent than it is.
           | 
           | There are certainly earthquake (and hurricane) areas but the
           | majority of the US population does not live in those. I'd
           | need some risk/benefit analysis and actual data before
           | believing they are even a factor in the equation for most
           | people and areas. I can think of 100 other possible reasons
           | (eg historically people moved frequently, or it was simply
           | cheaper to rebuild than maintain as building
           | standards/expectations change frequently, or in the cities
           | you anyway expect someone to come in and buy up old building
           | stock and rip it all down to put something bigger in, or ...
           | ).
        
             | Enginerrrd wrote:
             | You are blessed with having quite a bit of ignorance in
             | this subject, and therfore very much you can learn!
             | 
             | See ASCE 7-16 Minimum Design Loads and Associated Criteria
             | for Buildings and Other Structures, For wind: Chapters
             | 26-31 for 144 pages of wind load design criteria.
             | (California Building Code and International Building Codes
             | recognize and point to that standard)
             | 
             | Of particular note, is a concept called "Basic Wind Speed"
             | which is derived from mapped values. What you'll find is
             | that its intimately correlated with hurricane landing. Most
             | people live on the coast in the US where the wind speed is
             | highest. Depending on the risk category of the building, a
             | typical value on the West coast is ~105 mph. On the east
             | coast, it vaires by latitude from ~115-200 mph, increasing
             | in all the areas that get hit by hurricanes. Despite your
             | ignorance, I assure you it is a significant design concern.
             | 
             | The seismic load is similar.
             | 
             | Both loads are fundamentally designed to give a defined
             | risk of failure from storms and earthquakes with particular
             | recurrence intervals ranging from 50-100 years. (Offhand, I
             | believe this value is ~1% for total collapse with a much
             | higher risk of damage.). It is indeed carefully weighted
             | and considered balance between risk reduction and
             | feasibility, and indeed, having less than 1% risk for
             | intervals over 100 years starts to get rather difficult. We
             | still require it for schools, police stations, and
             | emergency gathering locations and the like, but not normal
             | houses. Anyway, OP is exaggerating slightly, but fairly
             | spot on.
        
           | manmal wrote:
           | Please bear in mind that I don't mean the following in a
           | cynic way. Damage from storms is horrible, and I feel for the
           | families losing their homes every year.
           | 
           | There was a tornado just a few days ago in the Czech Republic
           | (not far from where I live), and as far as I can see, houses
           | did lose their roofs, or the shingles at least, but the
           | structures remained mostly intact. Many houses have basements
           | in which people could hide in relative safety. Five people
           | died unfortunately, not sure how many of those were in their
           | homes at the time. But I think those rather sturdy houses
           | made of bricks did infact save a lot of lives, and prevented
           | many more from totally losing their home.
           | 
           | To me it feels deeply illogical to build a house basically
           | made of light wood frames when I know a hurricane can blow it
           | away while I'm inside of it. I'm not sure about earthquakes,
           | we have them of course, but they are less severe than in
           | other areas in the world.
        
             | strstr wrote:
             | The frequency and maximum strength of tornadoes are higher
             | in the central US. Casual skim of the wikipedia page
             | indicates about as many F4 tornadoes in Europe as F5
             | tornadoes in the US since 2000.
        
             | octopoc wrote:
             | There are many tornadoes where I live and most of the
             | houses don't have basements. Directly in the path of the
             | tornado, houses built on a slab were completely gone,
             | leaving only a clean slab. This happened to a few entire
             | neighborhoods.
             | 
             | But, tornadoes here follow similar paths over a fifty year
             | period. When I bought my house I found a hole in the fifty
             | year tornado map and I've never had one come near me. Every
             | couple decades the patterns may shift to other patterns,
             | but generally speaking both the new patterns and old
             | patterns have all happened in the last fifty years.
        
               | ahnick wrote:
               | > I found a hole in the fifty year tornado map
               | 
               | What was your source for this information?
        
               | manmal wrote:
               | That's devastating. I wonder why houses in such areas are
               | not required to provide underground shelter, or at least
               | be built more solidly.
        
               | mcguire wrote:
               | After the 2011 tornadoes in the Southeast US, many
               | communities built above-ground shelters (think "bunker"),
               | with the downside being going any distance to a shelter
               | is likely to be more dangerous than staying where you
               | are. Also, many homeowners bought smaller above-ground
               | shelters (think "steel pill-box").
        
               | ghaff wrote:
               | You cannot reasonably build solidly enough to withstand a
               | high-level tornado unless you're talking underground
               | bunkers, which are not an acceptable answer.
        
               | manmal wrote:
               | That's a bit defeatist, though? Efforts have been made,
               | eg https://tigerprints.clemson.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?ar
               | ticle=...
               | 
               | It seems a concrete dome would also work if digging a
               | bunker is too expensive. Yes it's not pretty, but not
               | being afraid of dying during the next hurricane season
               | must be worth something. A small dome can't cost much.
        
               | ghaff wrote:
               | Sure. Building a reinforced shelter for tornadoes,
               | nuclear attack, etc. may make sense. Historically, in the
               | US Midwest that meant going into the basement. But you
               | don't live there.
        
               | bobthepanda wrote:
               | Is it not?
               | 
               | For a few decades the Swiss required building concrete
               | nuclear fallout bunkers for every resident. This was
               | relaxed only recently, but presumably it was doable for
               | five decades. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-swiss-
               | bunker/swiss-relax-...
        
               | ghaff wrote:
               | So you can be in a bunker above ground. At that point
               | you're quibbling.
        
               | kayodelycaon wrote:
               | Many places the basement would be under the water table
               | or have to be carved out.
        
             | crooked-v wrote:
             | I just looked that up and that appears to have been an EF2
             | tornado. That intensity deals an order of magnitude less
             | damage than the EF3, EF4, and EF5 tornadoes that regularly
             | appear in the US, which can literally tear entire houses
             | off their foundations. A brick building in those conditions
             | would be reduced to individual bricks.
        
               | bradleyjg wrote:
               | Hurricanes and earthquakes are one thing, but what
               | percentage of the US population lives in areas regularly
               | subject to EF3-5 tornadoes?
        
               | kayodelycaon wrote:
               | Much of the Midwest, which is 21% of the US population.
               | 
               | Hurricanes are far more destructive and many spawn
               | tornadoes. About 44% of Americans live in a Hurricane
               | zone.
               | 
               | Add earthquakes and fires maybe 60~70% of Americans live
               | in a place with reoccurring natural disasters.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | Kalium wrote:
               | You might be surprised:
               | https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/tornado-
               | all...
               | 
               | EF4 or EF5 tornadoes are around 2% of those in the US (ht
               | tps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tornadoes_in_the_United_State
               | s), which means any state with more than 34 or so a year
               | can expect to see at least one. That accounts for 14
               | states with a combined population of about 106 million
               | people. That's approximately 32% of the total US
               | population.
               | 
               | 8%-ish of tornadoes rate EF3. At which point any state
               | with seven or more a year should expect at least one in
               | the EF3-5 range (yay, birthday paradox!). That's _32_
               | states totaling 270 million people - 82% of the US.
        
               | sudosysgen wrote:
               | EF2 is not a measure of force of wind. It's a measure of
               | total damage. . The wind speed was in the F4 category.
        
               | manmal wrote:
               | I read it was estimated to be F4. Brick houses are
               | definitely less likely to be destroyed than timber.
        
               | syoc wrote:
               | Timber can be many things. I have a hard time seeing a
               | log house being swept away by almost any force of wind.
        
               | TylerE wrote:
               | Then you don't appreciate the forces at play. An EF4 will
               | rip deep rooted trees right out of the ground.
        
         | dcolkitt wrote:
         | It doesn't economic make sense to build homes to last 100+
         | years. Equity markets have historically returned 8% per year.
         | You're much better off cutting corners, investing the money,
         | then fixing the problems in the future with your compounded
         | wealth.
         | 
         | Pretend you have two options, you can build a home that lasts
         | forever or a house that will fall apart in a half century but
         | is 10% cheaper. By year 40, you'll have enough wealth
         | accumulated to buy _two_ new replacement homes.
        
         | AngryData wrote:
         | I mean there is no reason wooden structures shouldn't last over
         | 100 years if not double or triple that except for lack of
         | maintenance, usually involving leaking roof or a negligent
         | design that traps water. I grew up in a house that was 150
         | years old and the only thing not wooden on it was the roofing
         | material, although when it was first built it likely was cedar
         | shake. The walls were wood, the floors were wood, the siding
         | was wood, and any interior plaster was backed with wood. We
         | never had to question any of the woods condition despite the
         | majority of it being completely original.
        
           | manmal wrote:
           | Let's add a lack of termites, no lightning strikes, and great
           | care about open fires to the list of requirements. While I
           | personally like the idea (and smell!) of pure wood houses, I
           | would not want to live in one permanently. Wood is a great
           | material for sure, but why not mix it with other materials to
           | make things safer and more sturdy.
        
             | insaneirish wrote:
             | > but why not mix it with other materials to make things
             | safer and more sturdy.
             | 
             | Because wood is a renewable resource, not a source of
             | carbon emissions (like concrete), and is absolutely strong
             | enough for single family homes.
        
             | belval wrote:
             | One other drawback of wooden houses is that wood absorbs
             | moisture so in winter you have to run a humidifier because
             | the air moisture is basically non-existent and that will
             | irritate your nose and throat.
             | 
             | I'll take a typical drywall panels on a wooden frame over
             | wooden walls.
        
               | Johnny555 wrote:
               | Wood can't continually absorb moisture, at some point it
               | would become saturated.
               | 
               | I always thought that the reason that winter air is dry
               | is because warm air can hold more moisture than cold air,
               | so as you heat it, relative humidity decreases. So, for
               | example, if it's 5C outside with 50% relative humidity,
               | if you heat that air to 22C, then it will have only 17%
               | relative humidity.
               | 
               | But modern houses (even wood ones) are so well sealed
               | that even in winter you could end up with too _much_
               | humidity inside just from normal activities (cooking,
               | bathing, breathing).
        
             | xyzzyz wrote:
             | Termites are not a problem in huge swaths of the world,
             | lightning strikes are... very unlikely, and fires will
             | destroy any house, wood or not.
             | 
             | All in all, correctly built wooden houses are pretty much
             | as safe and sturdy as anything else.
        
             | syoc wrote:
             | Wood houses do not burn very well. Pure wood houses (think
             | lumber cottages) are especially hard to set fire to.
             | 
             | The things that do burn are furniture, paint, drapes etc
             | and are present in any house.
        
             | horsawlarway wrote:
             | Because wood is plenty strong and safe.
             | 
             | I've lived in wood houses all my life, all of them built
             | between 1920 and 1950.
             | 
             | Balloon construction has, generally speaking, been great.
             | The frames are strong and light, easy to run
             | cabling/utilities, easy to modify/remove/renovate (You know
             | what else I've done in every house I've owned? Moved at
             | least one wall - in my current house we just completely
             | modified the layout of the upstairs. Moving the walls cost
             | on the order of a few hundred dollars each, since they
             | weren't structural supports, and it's just wood and
             | drywall)
             | 
             | Basically - They're cheaper, better for the environment,
             | and when cared for last a LONG time. Do they have some
             | specific downsides? Sure. But overall they work
             | fantastically well.
             | 
             | Also - if you think concrete is sturdier than wood
             | frames... in most cases I suspect you're wrong for
             | residential homes. I live in a temperate rain forest
             | (Atlanta, GA) the pine trees are HUGE, and they fall
             | constantly - they hit houses a lot. Most take damage, but
             | it's usually easy to repair, and honestly, the wood frame
             | alone usually keeps people inside safe. Hundreds of houses
             | a year take tree hits, and having someone die is rare
             | enough it usually makes the news. Wood is tough. I've seen
             | a 100ft pine literally bounce off a house.
        
         | crazygringo wrote:
         | Every thread that's ever about US housing construction, some
         | Europeans chime in to talk about how strange it seems to them
         | to build houses out of wood, rather than stone/brick/etc that,
         | as you put it, will "last for a very long time".
         | 
         | Here's the thing, though: most Europeans seem to be suffering
         | some pretty serious misconceptions.
         | 
         | First, Americans build out of wood because we _have wood_ ,
         | lots of it. Europeans don't skip wood because brick or stone is
         | superior -- it's because Europe is _largely deforested_. Europe
         | doesn 't _have_ wood for people to use at the same scale.
         | 
         | Second, wooden houses last a plenty long time. "80-150+ years",
         | as you put it, is entirely expected for a well-constructed
         | wooden house. Neighborhoods that date from, say, 1850, e.g. in
         | New England, have plenty of old wooden homes that people adore
         | because of their character.
         | 
         | Third, wood construction has a ton of advantages. Not only is
         | it less expensive to build, but it's _tremendously_ more
         | energy-efficient when filled with insulation. Brick and stone
         | homes are absolute _energy guzzlers_ both in hot summers and
         | cold winters. And remember, e.g. in New York State you 're
         | dealing with 100degF (38degC) summers and -10degF (-23degC)
         | winters. Insulation _matters_.
         | 
         | The idea that American homes are somehow lower quality or
         | shorter-lasting because they're built out of wood is a myth
         | through and through. To the contrary, they're built out of wood
         | because that's the _best_ construction for local climate and
         | availability.
        
           | zdragnar wrote:
           | Insulation does matter, but American insulation is also
           | pretty strange- it is all rated by R value, which is only
           | meaningful if you have a really good airtight seal. Any
           | drafting ruins the insulative value very quickly.
           | 
           | Aerated concrete doesn't have that issue, because the
           | concrete cells are closed and don't draft. If you end up with
           | a poorly fitted window or 50+ mph winds, it doesn't let air
           | through.
           | 
           | OTOH, totally agree about wood. Cheap(er), plentiful, and
           | most importantly, everyone already knows how to work it and
           | has the tools to do so.
           | 
           | Masonry work is physically harder, requires a sounder
           | foundation that won't settle at all due to the increased
           | weight, and there are fewer people willing to do the work.
           | Getting anyone to do foam or aircrete is impossible- you have
           | to watch a bunch of YouTube videos and DIY it yourself.
        
           | newguy886 wrote:
           | ROTFL
        
         | bumbada wrote:
         | Europe has much more density of people living in the same
         | space. And Asia is even more dense.
         | 
         | In the US there are things that do not make sense because
         | people density is so low there, even in places like New York,
         | most people live in individual homes, spread over a big area.
         | 
         | When I was living in China I saw lost of things made sense that
         | do not make sense in Europe just by the economic of scale of so
         | much people living in such small areas.
        
           | marcinzm wrote:
           | >In the US there are things that do not make sense because
           | people density is so low there, even in places like New York,
           | most people live in individual homes, spread over a big area.
           | 
           | That's patently false. In NYC only 9% of homes are single
           | unit detached and in NY state it's only 41%.
        
           | 411111111111111 wrote:
           | While it's true that Europe has a few cities that are
           | significantly more dense then new York, your phrasing makes
           | it sound like the average town is more dense then NY is...
           | And that's not the case
           | 
           | I don't know the exact number, but there are very few cities
           | in Europe with a density higher then NY (10,716.36
           | people/km2), and i'm pretty sure they're all in France,
           | Greece and Italy
        
           | IshKebab wrote:
           | The use of bricks over wood can't be due to population
           | density because the practice goes back hundreds of years.
           | 
           | I think it is partly due to tradition, and partly due to
           | climate differences.
        
             | manmal wrote:
             | I think it has to do with prices and available know-how.
             | You can build a typical US home for 1/2 or less than a
             | Central European home. Right now, if I were to build a
             | 150m2 (1600sqft) home, that would cost me at least EUR250k.
             | More likely 300. Zoning often requires houses to be of a
             | certain build and look, so building cheaper than that is
             | often not even an option. As far as I know, a US home of
             | that size usually costs $100k? Please someone correct me if
             | I'm wrong.
        
               | greedo wrote:
               | The average cost per square foot for new construction is
               | between $100-$155 in the US. That might be a bit low
               | considering current lumber prices though. So a 1600 sq/ft
               | house would be between $160K-$248K.
        
               | manmal wrote:
               | Thank you!
        
             | xyzzyz wrote:
             | I think it is pretty conceivable that structural lumber
             | could have been more expensive than bricks in the past.
             | Before modernity, there was scarcely enough food for
             | everyone, so using it for something like forest would have
             | been relatively expensive. For this reason, today more
             | Europe is covered with forests than in 1700. On the other
             | hand, bricks only need small amount of land for extraction
             | of substrates, and some fuel, which didn't have to be prime
             | firewood like we're used to now, but more like thin twigs
             | from coppiced trees.
        
       | 29athrowaway wrote:
       | I am just going to say one thing: Superadobe.
        
       | brianolson wrote:
       | Framing is a plausible place to optimize, so how about steel? The
       | factory cuts all the pieces to be assembled on site. It goes up
       | real fast. This is what we want, right?
        
         | lostapathy wrote:
         | At very small scales, this is already done with wood framing.
         | There are vendors that will send out a pre-cut framing package
         | with every piece of wood cut and marked, and even stacked in
         | the right order for fairly optimal assembly.
         | 
         | The trouble is that most house plans are not put together to a
         | sufficient level of detail for this to work - contractors rely
         | on all kinds of field decisions/adjustments.
        
       | trunnell wrote:
       | I recently read Gates' book _How To Avoid a Climate Disaster_
       | which left me with the impression that the overriding factor in
       | building costs is the energy required (and CO2 produced) for
       | construction, heating, and cooling.
       | 
       | Unfortunately I didn't see any mention of energy or carbon in
       | this post.
       | 
       | Seems like the biggest breakthrough would be a pre-construction
       | estimate of energy costs over, say, 30 years. Similar to the
       | Energy Star sticker on appliances sold in the US which tell you
       | the cost to run a given appliance with typical usage compared to
       | the range for other models.
       | 
       | This would allow you justify spending more upfront for better
       | insulation, HVAC, air sealing, etc. and recoup that over time. At
       | scale this would allow our civilization to be more energy
       | efficient and reduce the need to build more power plants.
       | 
       | This suggestion stood out: "...move to resistance heating and
       | thermoelectric cooling"
       | 
       | Unless I'm missing something, this would be a step backward.
       | Modern heat pumps are 3-4x more efficient than resistance
       | heating, since they aren't creating heat but moving it from one
       | place to another. For cooling, if the author is referring to
       | Peltier type thermoelectric cooling, the same applies: heat pumps
       | are many times more efficient.
       | 
       | The building revolution we need is one that cheaply produces
       | extremely energy-efficient homes, IMO.
        
         | rhinoceraptor wrote:
         | This video is a great explainer on heat pumps [1]. The TL;DR is
         | that they are essentially nothing more than air conditioners
         | that run in the opposite direction. Plus, a heat pump and an
         | air conditioner can be combined into a single system.
         | 
         | 1: https://youtu.be/7J52mDjZzto
        
         | wffurr wrote:
         | Heat pumps need plumbing and installation which increases the
         | construction cost.
         | 
         | Agreed that they are the way to go, but it's not going to bring
         | down construction costs.
         | 
         | The author's strawman proposal was a nuclear battery for
         | effectively unlimited onsite power with the no marginal cost in
         | order to minimize construction costs.
        
       | bumbada wrote:
       | >Vinyl flooring, vinyl siding, one-piece shower stalls, and
       | laminate countertops are examples of innovations that reduce the
       | cost and increase durability.
       | 
       | Vynil is one of the worst thing you could have in your house. And
       | the production of it is horrible for the environment too.
       | 
       | Vynil chemical group is not toxic, but the "Polyvinyl chloride"
       | people are referring to when they talk about "Vynil" is. It is
       | extremely toxic because of the chemical additives it has like
       | plasticizers that are breathable and never go away in your body.
       | 
       | It is also extremely toxic when burn as it generates dioxins, and
       | flame retardants are added to it, also very toxic.
       | 
       | It is also extremely cheap so people use it so much over big
       | surfaces.
       | 
       | It is great for plumbing and I would only use it for that use.
       | 
       | But don't use it on big surfaces because you and your family are
       | going to breath its additives when it is exposed to sunlight.
        
       | jackcosgrove wrote:
       | I think we already have the future of housing: mobile homes.
       | 
       | With remote work gaining acceptance, location will lose its
       | premium for many. Socially we have pared down our living
       | arrangements to small nuclear families if that, which can fit in
       | a mobile home.
       | 
       | Mobile homes offer better protection against deterioration of a
       | real estate or job market, and also better opportunities for
       | moving to a growing market. Mobility is in the name.
       | 
       | Trailer parks have a bad rap because of classism. But the less
       | well-off are often trailblazers because they need to make things
       | work with less.
       | 
       | The mobile homes of tomorrow need not be run-down single-wides.
       | They could be more luxurious and larger if broken apart into
       | components.
       | 
       | I think this is mostly a marketing and image problem which is
       | only starting to change, mostly because of cost-of-land
       | pressures.
        
         | toast0 wrote:
         | > Mobile homes offer better protection against deterioration of
         | a real estate or job market, and also better opportunities for
         | moving to a growing market. Mobility is in the name.
         | 
         | Mobility is in the name, but not in reality. Once you install a
         | mobile home, it's expensive and unlikely to move it and install
         | it somewhere else. It's better to call these buy their new
         | name, manufactured homes, which eliminates the misconception
         | from having mobile in the name.
         | 
         | Now, that doesn't mean they couldn't be the future of housing,
         | but it doesn't seem to be what developers are building or what
         | people are buying when they've got choices. I think the cost
         | difference vs a wood framed house built on site doesn't make up
         | for the lack of flexibility.
        
           | handrous wrote:
           | > Mobility is in the name, but not in reality.
           | 
           | "Mobile" wasn't in the name, originally. "Mobile" (Alabama)
           | was.
        
           | bradleyjg wrote:
           | A few people have made this point in this thread. There's
           | still actual trailers ("RV") though, which is what the
           | grandparent poster meant.
        
       | landryraccoon wrote:
       | If I'm reading this correctly, optimizing construction costs is a
       | very difficult problem because a huge part of the costs is
       | transportation, not the material itself or assembly thereof.
       | 
       | Transportation is by nature highly distributed among a wide range
       | of actors, unlike industries like semiconductors where the costs
       | are centralized in a factory where a single agent can optimize
       | everything.
       | 
       | In other words, the majority of improving construction costs is
       | actually a political problem, and engineers are unsuited to
       | optimizing it. Transportation costs can be reduced, but only at a
       | collective, national or state-wide level. Moving vast quantities
       | of lumber, insulation, wiring, drywall, roofing and other housing
       | materials across state lines is much more a political
       | coordination problem than an engineering one. Sure, a team of
       | engineers could design a more efficient, cost effective
       | transportation method - but how would consensus ever be achieved
       | to actually build the thing and align all the disparate interest
       | groups to rally around it rather than opposing it?
       | 
       | My hot take is that in the current era (at least in the United
       | States) "Smart" people have neglected political concerns in favor
       | of technical concerns. But the risks aren't technical, they are
       | political, so this is inefficient. The problem will not be solved
       | simply by engineering, no matter how clever the engineers are, if
       | they are limited to purely technical approaches.
        
         | wallacoloo wrote:
         | I think I need a more concrete example. In many distributed
         | networks, you can add a new path to it, and if that path is
         | cheaper, then neighboring entities will (gradually) adopt it
         | for cost savings. So if I developed a way to transport material
         | between Seattle and NYC more efficiently, a bunch of individual
         | actors will gravitate toward using that route. In a distributed
         | system, I wouldn't need any external approval to do that, and
         | other participants would be free to choose to interact with me:
         | it's not political so much as it is markets.
         | 
         | Is your claim that any improvement to the system will
         | inevitably conflict with a centralized authority -- like a
         | regional government that has to approve commerce or land use?
         | Is your argument that it's a political problem because it's
         | _not_ , actually, distributed?
        
           | R0b0t1 wrote:
           | How are you going to transport materials more cheaply? I work
           | in manufacturing and a large part of the ultimate bill is
           | S&H. We need to pass that onto our customers. Shipping is
           | bearable outside of the US but as soon as you enter into the
           | US it will eat your margins and leave nothing.
           | 
           | As I understand it the main cost in S&H is personnel, as with
           | most businesses. So either you need more automation or higher
           | wages for the people who need to buy S&H services.
        
             | wallacoloo wrote:
             | > As I understand it the main cost in S&H is personnel, as
             | with most businesses. So either you need more automation or
             | higher wages for the people who need to buy S&H services.
             | 
             | You just highlighted one opportunity for a technological
             | improvement ("automation"). Warehouse automation: a
             | decades-long trend which -- while it can be slowed -- so
             | far seems to be unstoppable by political force. Driverless
             | vehicles and drones: which, which technical solutions, and
             | contingent upon political outcomes. OTOH 90% of the
             | politics is around how these will be deployed on _public_
             | land and air space, and those politics could be avoided if
             | the players decided to build their own infrastructure like
             | the big railroads did back in the day. Etc.
        
           | lostapathy wrote:
           | > So if I developed a way to transport material between
           | Seattle and NYC more efficiently
           | 
           | I think the point wasn't that we need to make this trip
           | cheaper, but that we need to figure out a way to build houses
           | with materials that travel less.
        
             | wallacoloo wrote:
             | Two sides of the same coin, no? You can lower the
             | transportation costs of materials either by doing less of
             | it (as you suggest), or by decreasing the cost per
             | weight/volume/distance (my earlier comment).
        
             | PaulDavisThe1st wrote:
             | It's complicated. Here in southwest, we have suitable
             | (clayish) soil for building adobe with all over the place.
             | Very little transportation in terms of miles compared to
             | lumber, bricks etc.
             | 
             | However ... extremely labor intensive and compared to stick
             | framing, relatively slow. So, despite its local-ness, huge
             | thermal mass and excellent karma, adobe loses out and
             | stick-framed OSB sheathed things that look like adobe win.
        
               | lostapathy wrote:
               | But perhaps that's exactly where we need investment - to
               | figure out a way to apply automation to adobe type
               | building?
               | 
               | Unfortunately this isn't the kind of thing the market is
               | good at sorting out, but there could well be some
               | breakthrough tech that makes adobe building cheap. We
               | just don't look for it.
        
               | PaulDavisThe1st wrote:
               | There have been attempts over the centuries. Rammed earth
               | walls attempt to do away with the "dealing with lots of
               | relative small pieces" problem (adobe bricks). But they
               | require form building, which adds a significant labor
               | component that isn't there for the "lots of small pieces"
               | approach.
        
         | kingsuper20 wrote:
         | > If I'm reading this correctly, optimizing construction costs
         | is a very difficult problem because a huge part of the costs is
         | transportation, not the material itself or assembly thereof.
         | 
         | You have to go beyond the first section.
         | 
         | His main points are that (a) it's hard to standardize on the
         | larger parts and (b) there is no low hanging fruit.
        
           | gpm wrote:
           | > You have to go beyond the first section.
           | 
           | Please don't imply people didn't read the article. It's
           | boring, unnecessarily rude, against the guidelines [1], and
           | at least in this case I _did_ read the entire article and
           | agree with that comment.
           | 
           | [1] https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
           | 
           | > (b) there is no low hanging fruit.
           | 
           | There is no low hanging fruit _when you divide up the pricing
           | the way he did_ , but transportation is part of nearly every
           | category that he divided it up into. From the data he shows
           | we don't have any reason to think that transportation is not
           | a single substantial fraction of the house cost, when you
           | some up all the different transportation costs between the
           | different sections he uses.
           | 
           | To make an analogy to programming, transportation is like an
           | allocator, and his data shows that execution time is spent
           | evenly between 20 different functions. But all of those
           | functions allocate, it's perfectly plausible the program is
           | spending 50% of it's time in it's allocator and that speeding
           | up that allocator by 50% would reduce the overall execution
           | time by 25%.
        
       | Fiahil wrote:
       | This kind of article depress me to the highest point. I'm not a
       | "consumer" with "expensive taste", nor someone who put a brake on
       | innovation.
       | 
       | I want a house built to last, by a skilled professional, with
       | wood, steel, stones, and slates. Less plastics and only locally
       | sourced materials. If I'm going to live there for the next half
       | century, it better be a place I love.
       | 
       | Please stop pushing your capitalism and your economy of scale in
       | every corner of the world.
        
         | cies wrote:
         | > I'm not a "consumer" with "expensive taste"
         | 
         | Saying so does not make it true. If you want to live in a
         | house, your a consumer of house. If you like a nicer than most
         | basic/economic house because "I'm going to live there for the
         | next half century, it better be a place I love"; voila there
         | come the expensive taste.
         | 
         | Author explained where and where not the scale-upping worked in
         | construction. It seems author was on point, even in your case.
         | 
         | To author does not shove anything down our reader throats by
         | saying how it is. You link to capitalism is pretty far of: the
         | scale-upping worked really well in socialist places as well, in
         | fact Marx himself obsessed over industrial scale-upping. You
         | seem to be misguided over what capitalism actually means
         | (spoiler alert: a system of law/govt that protects a person's
         | hoarded wealth ad infinitum).
        
         | jessaustin wrote:
         | You don't have to let the capitalists build your house. All
         | building trades of today and (especially) yesterday are
         | accessible to capable people.
         | 
         | First, however, you're going to have to come to terms with the
         | fact that "professional" is a capitalist word.
        
           | readflaggedcomm wrote:
           | Capitalists build for ourselves as amateurs, hobbyists, or
           | artisans, too. Do we offend you as much as dog whistles do?
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | WJW wrote:
         | > I'm not a "consumer" with "expensive taste",
         | 
         | But also
         | 
         | > I want a house built to last, by a skilled professional,
         | 
         | > only locally sourced materials
         | 
         | Pick one or the other mate, those points don't mix well.
        
           | alkonaut wrote:
           | Having natural materials instead of vinyl isn't exactly
           | extravagant...
           | 
           | Did that article suggest vinyl siding, as in the exterior of
           | a building using plastic?
        
             | Kalium wrote:
             | It specifically mentions vinyl siding as a cheap option
             | that better-off consumers spend money to avoid in favor of
             | more expensive wood or brick.
             | 
             | Extravagance is perhaps, at times, a matter of perspective
             | and opinion. Some might consider consciously choosing more
             | costly materials, even if they happen to be natural
             | materials, to be matters of aesthetic choice that increase
             | cost. Or even expensive tastes.
        
               | alkonaut wrote:
               | I think in any scenario I'd rather refurbish half as
               | often or build half the size and use "better" materials.
               | 
               | Same as buying "good" meat at 2x (better cuts, organic,
               | etc) isn't a costly extravagance if you simply buy half
               | as much by eating less of it each time or having meat
               | less often.
               | 
               | If there is one thing you immediately notice when you
               | visit the US for example is you often see homes that are
               | of quite shoddy quality but might be 2500sq ft or even
               | 3000. I'd trade 500sq ft for a decent countertop alone...
        
               | Kalium wrote:
               | That's an excellent point! It also provides a handy
               | analytical framework. I'm going to try apply it to
               | siding.
               | 
               | The cost differential between brick and vinyl siding can
               | easily be a factor of five, and wood vs vinyl a factor of
               | six (stone is more like 25). At this point you're trading
               | 2400-2500 sqft of that 3000 sqft house to use "better"
               | materials, assuming shapes that scale surface area
               | directly with flooring size.
               | 
               | I expect this resulting cottage will be of wonderfully
               | high-quality materials, but you may run into a few limits
               | on how many people you can have comfortably living there
               | compared to the original 3000 sqft building. I imagine
               | you might want to be somewhere in between, at which point
               | your choice of "better" materials may become an
               | extravagance in the eyes of some.
        
               | alkonaut wrote:
               | Not sure why wood is so expensive, I'm paying under $2/m
               | or for cladding wood for the extension I'm building now.
               | Its around $1 per square foot. It gets slightly more
               | expensive before it's painted 3 times though (repeat
               | every 15 years as is standard with softwood).
               | 
               | I'm fairly sure I couldn't find a cheaper exterior
               | cladding. And obviously the cladding is a tiny percentage
               | of the total cost of even just the wall, let alone the
               | whole construction. Cladding will be sub $300 and the 150
               | sq ft extension is north of $50k all together. Insulation
               | is probably 3-5x what the cladding is, and so is the
               | flooring.
        
               | Kalium wrote:
               | The numbers I'm using include installation costs too.
               | Wood and brick are more labor than vinyl as I understand
               | it.
               | 
               | I think my key lesson here is that even building smaller,
               | using "better" materials is an expensive matter of taste.
        
               | alkonaut wrote:
               | Painting is a bit of work but just nailing up standard
               | wooden cladding is such a tiny part of the work it hardly
               | even shows up on the total, including labor!
               | 
               | Perhaps this is partially because of the high buikding
               | costs to begin with (It's cold so walls are 3-400mm, a
               | single window is $6-700 (triple glass) and so on. The BOM
               | for my extension was $25k which is half the total.
               | Cladding _including_ labor is a lot less than $1k. I have
               | never seen a vinyl clad house but I doubt I'd pick one to
               | save that little.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | tootie wrote:
         | I feel like that's based on some naturalism fallacies. Durable
         | plastic is more efficient to produce that growing a tree. And
         | sourcing thingy locally isn't always practical. You want the
         | best lumber for the job that will last and that's usually
         | cultivated at scale. You can chop down trees from your backyard
         | or you'll destroy your neighborhood.
        
           | PaulDavisThe1st wrote:
           | There's almost no such thing as durable plastic when you're
           | talking about the lifetimes of traditional building material.
           | As a result, without a genuine recyling process for plastic
           | (rather than just "down cycling"), even if there was nothing
           | wrong with it during its normal lifetime, it just becomes
           | more trash at the end. Quite different for wood (stone,
           | glass, adobe, even concrete).
        
       | 015UUZn8aEvW wrote:
       | Great essay. This is a much more sophisticated analysis of
       | construction efficiency than you typically find; most of them
       | basically imply that construction is inefficient because
       | contractors are dumb.
       | 
       | One minor comment: balloon framing is not a synonym for light
       | wood framing, it's a (mostly archaic) version of it. Balloon
       | framing features long exterior wall studs that extend up multiple
       | stories, as opposed to modern "platform framing", in which the
       | studs stop at each floor.
        
         | jakewins wrote:
         | Came here to say exactly this. Balloon framing was abandoned
         | due to fires. This made me hesitant about the rest of the text.
        
           | brudgers wrote:
           | Balloon framing is, like all construction, more common in
           | some regions than others.
           | 
           | Short construction seasons are somewhat favorable to it. Dry
           | in can be quicker. A trade base familiar with the necessary
           | fire blocking makes it practical. Same with designers and
           | inspectors.
           | 
           | The sun belt tends toward platform framing. Being the
           | sunbelt, construction tends to be more year round.
        
             | lostapathy wrote:
             | Where specifically is balloon framing done now? Genuinely
             | curious as I know people who have posted construction
             | pictures all over the country and I've never seen it.
        
           | aardvarkr wrote:
           | Saying something is invalid due to a personal choice in
           | vernacular is quite brazen and ignorant... it's like writing
           | off someone's opinion because they used the wrong
           | their/they're/there
        
             | gpm wrote:
             | If I was reading an article about grammar and the author
             | used the wrong version of their/they're/there I would
             | seriously consider whether or not I should stop reading it.
        
             | earleybird wrote:
             | Would you clarify your comment please. Are you saying
             | balloon vs platform framing is a personal choice?
        
             | function_seven wrote:
             | It's more than "personal choice in vernacular". Someone
             | speaking authoritatively on construction methods should
             | know the differences in terms. Calling a vertical wall
             | framing member a "joist" would be just as wrong.
             | 
             | Balloon framing and platform framing are different,
             | exclusive terms. Author uses it as a catch-all for stick
             | framing throughout the article.
             | 
             | The rest of the article seems fine and insightful, but it's
             | totally reasonable to see that incorrect terminology usage
             | as an indicator of knowledge gaps. And the author appears
             | to be more involved with cryptography and related concepts,
             | so it tracks.
        
         | aardvarkr wrote:
         | As a layman I hadn't heard either term so I looked it up while
         | reading the essay and the overwhelming opinion I found is that
         | platform framing is a variant of balloon framing that has
         | completely replaced the original method due to fires in 1860
         | (Chicago) and 1903 (San Fran). most of what I read said the
         | terms used the terms interchangeably
        
           | steffan wrote:
           | Another likely reason is that balloon framing makes use of
           | single studs that extend the height of the structure, with
           | the 2nd floor suspended. The nature of available framing
           | lumber has shifted and it would be likely much more expensive
           | and difficult to obtain satisfactory 16'-20' studs vs. the
           | more common 8' length.
        
         | avernon wrote:
         | Thanks! If I would have known it would go to front page of
         | Hacker News I would have had one of my construction science
         | friends proof read it first!
         | 
         | I've been writing for fun and to learn and have always been
         | curious about construction productivity.
        
         | brudgers wrote:
         | The problem is that construction schedules are NP hard. And
         | that optimization is expensive due to market efficiency for
         | labor.
        
         | kingsuper20 wrote:
         | >most of them basically imply that construction is inefficient
         | because contractors are dumb.
         | 
         | Yeah, that's a problem.
         | 
         | Usually, next up is some handwaving about building homes from
         | shipping containers because they're rectangular.
        
       | iandanforth wrote:
       | I was onsite at a modular manufacturer today and I can tell you a
       | lot of what is said here is just wrong. The cost estimate is not
       | quality adjusted. If you look at cost per square foot and don't
       | take into account the quality of work provided then you haven't
       | calculated anything worth knowing. Also the article doesn't price
       | out the value of speed. Modular can take half the time to move-in
       | as stick build.
       | 
       | I agree there are plenty of points for improving efficiency. For
       | example the builder I visited was not vertically integrated at
       | all. They bought manufacturing time on a modular line for their
       | box plans, worked with external designers and all kinds of subs
       | they can't guarantee for onsite work. But having seen it up close
       | I can tell you there is far more opportunity for process
       | improvement on a assembly line (even if each build is custom)
       | than there is in the field.
       | 
       | If you look to Japan, Toyota is getting into modular with steel
       | framing that is way ahead of anything in the states. I look
       | forward to that being available here.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | opportune wrote:
       | I don't understand the worldwide disdain for the concrete paneled
       | construction the article briefly mentions:
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Khrushchyovka
       | 
       | Most of the "badness" people associate with these, IMO, are due
       | more to the fact that 1. in recent times they are inhabited by
       | less well-off people 2. they usually need to be washed or
       | painted, probably because they are inhabited by less well-off
       | people who don't make it a priority 3. to the extent they are
       | seen as crime/drug dens, that's because they have a stigma/are in
       | disrepair so only poor people want to live there. It is possible
       | for them to be nice, even moreso if they are new (and not poorly
       | maintained, 60 years old). See
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zelenograd as an example of a city
       | with this style (go to Google images for more pictures). The
       | whole city is like a park.
       | 
       | From an urban planning perspective, they have a lot of benefits.
       | People can actually end up with a lot of green space in between
       | buildings. They make it easy to set up bus or train-based public
       | transportation, with walking a viable way to navigate toward a
       | hub. The density creates obvious economies of scale in other
       | areas. From a cost perspective, they are inexpensive to construct
       | because of the economies of scale. The article mentions them as
       | one of the few building styles amenable to mass-
       | production/assembly off-site.
       | 
       | Probably my main gripe is that they are not often 'mixed use' and
       | could perhaps do with shops on the first floor, though this is
       | partially an artifact of the economic regime under which they
       | were mostly built.
        
         | OminousWeapons wrote:
         | The worldwide disdain arises from what you said, the additional
         | association with communism / cheapness, and the fact that they
         | are mass produced, generic, and boring, and no one wants to
         | spend a lot of money to get generic and boring.
        
           | nine_k wrote:
           | If McMansions aand cookie-cutter suburban communities are any
           | indication, some still want to spend a lot of money on
           | generic and boring.
           | 
           | The reasons must be different.
        
             | OminousWeapons wrote:
             | McMansions are ugly but they're not boring or generic.
             | Unless you're in a housing development, most are fairly
             | unique. Units in housing developments do suffer from the
             | same stigma though, and a lot of people won't buy them for
             | that very reason, even though they are generally cheaper
             | than units located outside of those developments.
             | 
             | The problem is really the combination of all 3 factors.
             | McMansions definitely make people think the inhabitants
             | have no taste, but they don't make people think the
             | inhabitants are poor. Buildings that look like public
             | housing make people think the inhabitants are poor, which
             | is worse for a lot of people.
        
             | cmrdporcupine wrote:
             | It seems to me... people will spend a lot of money to get a
             | generic, boring, mass produced version of what their
             | parents generation thought was luxurious or classy.
             | 
             | McMansions + perfect lawn in a suburb full of curves and
             | crescents; and various kinds of "luxury" cars, big TVs,
             | etc. All things _just_ out of reach of many of our middle
             | class parents or grandparents. So now you 've _made_ it
             | when you have it... until you look close and see there 's
             | no actual class differentiator in it, no taste to it, no
             | art to it, or any particular advantage to it...
             | 
             | Just my, like, opinion, man...
        
         | orthoxerox wrote:
         | Seam insulation is an issue, modern apartment blocks in Russia
         | use monolithic concrete instead.
        
         | Animats wrote:
         | It's hard to rent out all those street level shops. The tenants
         | of a 4-6 story structure can't support those shops. There are
         | not enough residents per shop for that. Such places are not
         | usually convenient to drive to. The SF peninsula is getting way
         | too many of those things. Many shops are vacant.
        
           | BeFlatXIII wrote:
           | Then the rent is too high for the ground-floor businesses.
           | Lower the rent to allow niche retailers to use those
           | storefronts as the physical presence for a largely online
           | business. However, it's often in the owner's financial
           | interest to leave them vacant at a high rent so they can make
           | up the difference by charging extortionate rents to the
           | businesses who bring in enough revenue to afford it. That's
           | why those first floors are inevitably filled with banks,
           | Starbucks, and Chipotle.
        
           | opportune wrote:
           | I used to live on the Peninsula and know what you mean. It's
           | worth mentioning though that you don't need a shop, or
           | multiple, in every building. It would be enough for there to
           | be a smattering of convenience stores and basic common
           | services like barbers and salons. Moreover, they are not
           | meant to be driveable so long as the surrounding density is
           | sufficient. Polk Street in SF is very inconvenient to drive
           | to but the shops there seem to do quite well.
        
           | marcinzm wrote:
           | >The tenants of a 4-6 story structure can't support those
           | shops.
           | 
           | In the polish version of these, the stores are in one
           | building of the cluster of 4+ buildings, generally on the
           | main street of the area. The US has a retail store for every
           | 500 people or so which is about how many fit into a few of
           | these buildings..
           | 
           | >Such places are not usually convenient to drive to.
           | 
           | You don't drive to them, you take whatever local public
           | transportation there is or walk. It's dense enough that you
           | can visit all the important stores without driving or leaving
           | your local area.
           | 
           | >Many shops are vacant.
           | 
           | That has more to do with the increasing rents and commercial
           | rates being locked in for 5+ years. More economical to keep
           | the place vacant for the landlord.
        
             | Ericson2314 wrote:
             | Agree except for the US _does_ have way to much total
             | retail, out of line with other countries.
             | 
             | But that's a minor point.
        
               | marcinzm wrote:
               | Do you have data for that? Having visited a number of
               | countries in Europe, Japan and the US I've found roughly
               | the same number of retail stores (at least in terms of
               | area). The US tends to have fewer but larger stores in my
               | experience. For example, Google indicates that Germany
               | alone has almost as many grocery stores as the US despite
               | being a fraction of the population.
        
       | grouphugs wrote:
       | i don't have a home
        
       | 4b11b4 wrote:
       | I was hoping this was going to be an article about building with
       | earth, but it's stuck in the same framework of thinking.
        
         | abraxas wrote:
         | Earthships are not cheap nor any other rammed earth style
         | building. It's cool stuff but definitely not cheap.
        
       | zarzavat wrote:
       | Semi-autonomous road convoys and electric trucks are technologies
       | that are in development. That may completely alter the calculus
       | of the article and unlock those economies of scale that are
       | missing at the moment.
        
       | Grakel wrote:
       | That's a long way to say construction is already optimized for
       | our current level of technology.
        
         | f38zf5vdt wrote:
         | A somewhat less meandering explanation for the modern dominance
         | of balloon framing, which also draws parallels to software
         | development:
         | 
         | https://constructionphysics.substack.com/p/balloon-framing-i...
        
           | redtexture wrote:
           | Balloon framing has been gone for nearly a century, which
           | implies no firestops between floors.
           | 
           | Stick built framing is the follow on, also called plate
           | building, the plates constituting inter-floor fire stops.
        
       | aaron695 wrote:
       | > Almost every advancement in construction is small enough for
       | someone to carry
       | 
       | > Each advancement fits within a simple construction system.
       | 
       | Powerful idea.
        
       | robotbikes wrote:
       | Nuclear batteries removing the need for electrical wiring seems
       | very pie in the sky to me but perhaps I'm just ignorant of the
       | practical application of it.
       | 
       | Concrete seems far more common in residential construction
       | outside of the U.S. I wonder if technologies such as aircrete
       | (concrete with uniform foam produced air bubbles).
       | 
       | Also well There's Your Problem had an interesting article about
       | the 5-1 construction that is used for a lot of new apartment
       | buildings in the U.S.
       | https://wtyppod.podbean.com/e/episode-46-five-over-ones/
        
         | vbezhenar wrote:
         | Aerated concrete is extremely popular in Kazakhstan and Russia
         | in private houses. It's cheaper than bricks, it's sturdy
         | enough, it provides good insulation, it does not require much
         | skill to use, pieces are huge, so it's much faster to build.
         | 
         | There are drawbacks, of course, but overall it's a very popular
         | technology.
        
           | jessaustin wrote:
           | _...it provides good insulation..._
           | 
           | This might be true, but it would be surprising, since even
           | "aerated" concrete would still be made of highly thermally
           | conductive... _concrete_.
        
             | R0b0t1 wrote:
             | The thermal mass of your house is part of the perceived
             | insulation. In the desert especially nights are cold, the
             | house chills, and retains that chill throughout the day,
             | keeping it cool inside.
        
               | earleybird wrote:
               | Thermal mass to manage comfort could be seen as tuning
               | latency for your arrival and departure of your heat
               | packets.
        
             | elihu wrote:
             | If memory serves, normal concrete has an R value of about 1
             | per foot, whereas AAC is more like 1 to 2 per inch. So, an
             | 8 inch wall would have an R-value of about 8-16. That
             | doesn't seem like enough for a cold climate, so I'd assume
             | for those applications you'd probably add an extra layer of
             | actual insulation. (This would mean having pretty thick
             | walls.) You wouldn't need as much supplemental insulation
             | as you would with a regular concrete wall, though.
             | 
             | The thermal mass is also nice, though it doesn't really
             | help much in winter-time. I think AAC is a bit more suited
             | to warm desert climates where you have a daily hot/cold
             | cycle.
        
               | vbezhenar wrote:
               | 20-inch wall is enough for pretty cold climate according
               | to my calculations. Either that or thin wall with
               | insulation (or thin wall and more money on heating which
               | might be an acceptable solution, if you have cheap coal
               | and your country does not care what you build).
        
               | PaulDavisThe1st wrote:
               | Fairly sure that AAC has less thermal mass than regular
               | concrete. It's more air, less concrete, and the thermal
               | mass comes from the concrete.
        
             | orthoxerox wrote:
             | Here in Russia it usually requires an external layer of
             | insulation plus cladding, you don't just stucco it and call
             | it a day. I did the math and a wall two blocks thick should
             | be barely sufficient, but needs a vapour barrier inside, or
             | the dew point will be inside the wall, ruining it. A vapour
             | barrier and a drywall finish means no reduction in
             | construction costs.
        
           | fpoling wrote:
           | In has been popular in the whole former USSR. But for some
           | reason in past it was not considered as a suitable material
           | for houses, only for storage facilities etc. But it could be
           | just a cultural perception.
           | 
           | For example, my father built a temporary house from it in
           | Belarus in 1980s while waiting for the main house
           | construction that was using ordinary bricks. I remember as a
           | child that building from aerated concrete was indeed very
           | quick affair.
        
             | ArkanExplorer wrote:
             | Disadvantages From Wikipedia:
             | 
             | "Installation during rainy weather: AAC is known to crack
             | after installation, which can be avoided by reducing the
             | strength of the mortar and ensuring the blocks are dry
             | during and after installation.
             | 
             | Brittle nature: they need to be handled more carefully than
             | clay bricks to avoid breakage.
             | 
             | Attachments: the brittle nature of the blocks requires
             | longer, thinner screws when fitting cabinets and wall
             | hangings and wood-suitable drill bits or hammering in.
             | Special, large diameter wall plugs (anchors) are available
             | at a higher cost than common wall plugs.
             | 
             | Insulation requirements in newer building codes of northern
             | European countries would require very thick walls when
             | using AAC alone. Thus many builders choose to use
             | traditional building methods installing an extra layer of
             | insulation around the entire building."
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autoclaved_aerated_concrete
        
           | kingsuper20 wrote:
           | >Aerated concrete is extremely popular in Kazakhstan and
           | Russia in private houses.
           | 
           | In California (FWIW), I expect that you hit seismic issues.
        
             | Gibbon1 wrote:
             | Problem in California is insane mandated R values for
             | walls. Aerated concrete can meet previous standards. But
             | not the new ones. So it's use is effectively banned.
             | 
             | Old saw about Generals fighting the last war. Energy
             | efficiency standards assume the need to conserve limited
             | supplies for fossil fuels. And the need to not interfere
             | with building large houses for upper middle class people.
             | 
             | Bad thing is R value is a metric designed to upsell
             | insulation. R30 insulation is twice as good as R15, if
             | you're the guy selling it. If you're the guy buying it, not
             | as much.
        
           | bolangi wrote:
           | I know a guy who researched aerated concrete. He used a slimy
           | additive to help hold the bubbles. Basically, the compression
           | strength of concrete is so much higher than necessary that
           | addition of a large portion of air results in a material that
           | is much lighter with more than adequate compression strength.
           | He couldn't find interest among concrete companies in his
           | state.
        
           | elihu wrote:
           | I think in the U.S. the only place that makes the stuff
           | (Aercon) is in Florida, and there's Hebel that has a plant in
           | Mexico near Texas.
        
         | R0b0t1 wrote:
         | > Nuclear batteries removing the need for electrical wiring
         | seems very pie in the sky to me but perhaps I'm just ignorant
         | of the practical application of it.
         | 
         | tl;dr very feasible sans NIMBYs
         | 
         | The DoE investigated this exact thing. I happened across the
         | papers while browsing microfiche. It makes the most sense to
         | serve a neighborhood off small house/shed sized generating
         | facility. As you scale up you can switch to normal turbine
         | operation, as you scale down you move back to thermoelectric
         | operation. Single houses could be powered from thermoelectric
         | piles but this would probably have been reserved for expensive,
         | remote vacation homes.
         | 
         | Closer to battery sized, you can layer radioactive material
         | against quantum dots that turn alpha particles into photons and
         | emit those photons directly onto a PV cell.
        
         | tootie wrote:
         | I thought the point about modular wiring was interesting. Why
         | aren't all wall studs fitted with grommeted mouseholes at
         | outlet and switch height?
        
         | elihu wrote:
         | I think that was kind of a whimsical suggestion; like, even if
         | you had a magical technology that eliminated all need for
         | electrical wiring, you'd still only reduce building costs by a
         | small amount.
        
           | Gibbon1 wrote:
           | I've thought that creating a 100-150 watt power over Ethernet
           | standard for home wiring would be a win. Advantage faster
           | install, cheaper cabling, and better safety. Better safety
           | because you can limit the default power to under 15W. Faster
           | install because you use crimp connectors.
        
             | imgabe wrote:
             | What if you want to plug in a vacuum cleaner, hair dryer,
             | space heater, curling iron, or any other thing that might
             | use more than 150 watts?
        
         | ben_w wrote:
         | Nuclear batteries have their place, but consumer products are
         | not it.
         | 
         | First, you can't switch them off, so they are either always
         | warm or the are trickle-charging another storage system
         | (batteries, capacitors, whatever) within the device.
         | 
         | Second, the radiation. You can do various things to limit the
         | risk, but the LD50 is something like 0.25 watts of absorbed
         | ionising radiation sustained for 18 minutes, so damage to the
         | batteries (malicious or accidental) would have significantly
         | greater harms than, say, asbestos, CFCs, or domestic carbon
         | monoxide sources.
         | 
         | You absolutely do not want a 10 watt lightbulb powered by
         | built-in atomic batteries anywhere it can get messed with, let
         | alone a 2 kW kettle or a 5 kW oven.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Acute_radiation_syndrome
        
       | jeffbee wrote:
       | The article does not even mention planning and permitting until
       | the last sentence, but in my city that is virtually all of the
       | cost. Fancy cabinet faces have _nothing_ to do with the fact that
       | a house costs $2 million.
       | 
       | When I look at what techies are trying to do I just shake my
       | head. Factory_OS built an apartment building on Union Street in
       | Oakland "in ten days " but planning, permitting, site prep,
       | finishing, and inspections added up to seven years. Believing
       | that off-site fabrication helps this problem is right up there
       | with believing that hyperloops can solve traffic jams, in the
       | universe of nonsensical American beliefs.
        
       | failwhaleshark wrote:
       | Favelas tin-roof shanties would be cheaper too.
       | 
       | In the US, why not distribute value, transportation, and land
       | sufficiently so people can have a better basic standard of
       | living? Right now, I'm looking at 1000 homeless people and tents
       | huddling under a highway, while my drunken idiot neighbors shout
       | and dance with glee feet from them in a gentrifying, mixed-use
       | development pool. The people who have just enough have no shame
       | or consideration because their motto is "F U, I got mine."
        
       | lrgzdmn wrote:
       | Anyone have any experience with SIPs (structural insulated
       | panels)? The claim is that their use reduces waste and labor, but
       | I'm not aware of any independent analysis to corroborate the
       | claims.
        
         | R0b0t1 wrote:
         | I tried to price them out. They definitely save on labor but
         | they are not particularly cheap. Depending on area your codes
         | may not permit them and/or your local PEs may not want to sign
         | off on them, even though they're fine. (This usually comes
         | about by the local codes only assuming a finite set of valid
         | structures, and some structure you wish to build not neatly
         | fitting into those classifications.)
         | 
         | They _could_ nebulously reduce  "waste" but with how much more
         | you're paying for them, it seems economically unviable to use
         | them. In the sense that money is a signal, the waste is still
         | there, you're just not seeing it and being put at an economic
         | disadvantage for paying more.
        
         | twothamendment wrote:
         | I worked with them twice and loved it. But three times I've
         | built my own house and passed them over.
         | 
         | By my math, it makes sense to spend on a really good envelope
         | like SIPs or a very efficient HVAC like ground source heat
         | pumps - but buying the best of both is only for bragging rights
         | and never pays off. Pick one or the other to go all out on and
         | your bills won't be that much different if the other is just
         | above average.
         | 
         | The downside of spending extra on anything that isn't seen by
         | the buyer is that they done want to pay extra for it. To bring
         | it back around to SIPs, if two similar houses are for sale,
         | nobody picks the more expensive one because it has SIPs. (ok,
         | not nobody, maybe I would)
        
       | kingsuper20 wrote:
       | Great article.
       | 
       | It would be interesting to compare the US to Japan and Japan's
       | tendency to favor new construction (plus the differences in
       | features and styles).
        
         | chrisseaton wrote:
         | > It would be interesting to compare the US to Japan and
         | Japan's tendency to favor new construction
         | 
         | You make it sound like these are opposing views but doesn't the
         | US also heavily favour new construction?
         | 
         | In the US and Japan I understand that a new build is seen as
         | attractive and the best option for people with money to do it?
         | 
         | If you want a real contrast, in the UK new build is seen as the
         | worst option, for people without any money. People with money
         | in the UK buy old houses. The older the better. I would
         | literally never buy a new-build in the UK unless I had no other
         | option whatsoever. I'm saving up to upgrade to an older house
         | here.
        
           | dimitrios1 wrote:
           | > but doesn't the US also heavily favour new construction?
           | 
           | I don't know if my view reflects the majority, but around
           | where I am from, older and even historic homes are the crown
           | jewels because they were built before the race to the bottom
           | occured in construction -- namely cheaper, thinner walls,
           | smaller usable space, etc. Older homes are built with old
           | growth lumber, and often come with thicker plaster walls and
           | better layouts.
        
             | chrisseaton wrote:
             | > I don't know if my view reflects the majority
             | 
             | It doesn't. For example this article expressing surprise:
             | 
             | https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-04-26/previous
             | l...
             | 
             | Even the term 'previously owned' for a house is baffling to
             | UK ears. Of course a house is previously owned. Why would
             | you be building your own?
        
               | jjeaff wrote:
               | I have never seen a home listed as previously owned. In
               | the US, homes are by default assumed "previously owned"
               | unless specifically advertised as new. And only the very
               | well off tend to demo and build fresh. Most people will
               | remodel and add in to existing structures.
        
               | chrisseaton wrote:
               | > I have never seen a home listed as previously owned.
               | 
               | Ok but Bloomberg have.
        
             | redtexture wrote:
             | And older structures have much less insulation, compared to
             | the present building code, as put forth in the so called
             | International (actually US) Residential Building Code,
             | adopted by most states.
             | 
             | Energy use for heating and cooling is typically much higher
             | in older buildings, over a lifetime of decades.
        
               | chrisseaton wrote:
               | I don't know about building codes, but I know a 1900
               | house built from foot-thick stone is better insulating
               | that anything we build today.
        
               | Pxtl wrote:
               | I have never seen a building from that era with foot-
               | thick stone, you have to go back further for that here in
               | Canada.
               | 
               | The century homes here in southern Ontario are double-
               | wall brick with beefy 2x4 framing within the interior
               | wall, then lath and plaster, and no insulation.
        
               | chrisseaton wrote:
               | My 1930s UK house is foot-thick stone and brick on all
               | walls, even internal. It doesn't have insulation except
               | in the attic because it's one absolutely massive heat-
               | sink mass - by the time it's warmed up from the summer
               | it's already autumn and then it starts emitting the heat
               | usefully instead.
               | 
               | That's the way to build, in my opinion.
        
               | earleybird wrote:
               | Thermal mass as a tool is so very under utilized. When
               | it's considered, it's often only on a 24hr cycle. As you
               | point out, the 365 day cycle may be even more important.
               | For a modern take (with for realz engineers and
               | measurements even) have a look at Drake Landing community
               | in southern Alberta. https://www.dlsc.ca/
               | 
               | edit: They've discontinued the 'Current Conditions' part
               | of their website but I followed it with some regularity
               | in the early years
        
           | mixmastamyk wrote:
           | No. Nimbys have been in control for decades and only starting
           | to lose their grip. In our city most folks are trapped in
           | shitbox two story apartments from the sixties, that are now
           | being renovated into luxury-light because supply is so highly
           | constrained.
           | 
           | Older mostly exists on the east coast with a few exceptions.
        
             | chrisseaton wrote:
             | > shitbox two story apartments from the sixties
             | 
             | Literally not sure if you consider these old or new-builds
             | for the purpose of this conversation?
             | 
             | I'd call anything post 1950 'new-build'.
        
         | germinalphrase wrote:
         | I've read that build quality in Japan is significantly lower
         | due to the depreciating nature of houses as an asset and the
         | bias toward building new.
        
           | xivzgrev wrote:
           | Seems like it's a self-reinforcing cycle: houses are built
           | lower quality, people thus don't value older houses, so
           | builders build lower quality to lower "new" cost
           | 
           | https://www.theguardian.com/cities/2017/nov/16/japan-
           | reusabl...
        
           | BeFlatXIII wrote:
           | I admire the Japanese presence for building new because it
           | means that the owners build the house they want rather than
           | build for what the imaginary buyer 20 years in the future
           | would want. So many people here in the states have nonsense
           | houses for their family situation because their eye is
           | incessantly on resale appreciation value.
        
           | jbay808 wrote:
           | With few exceptions, houses are a depreciating asset just
           | about everywhere; it's only land that appreciates. Japan is
           | no different except that the depreciation rate of the house
           | may be somewhat faster, and appreciation of the land
           | significantly slower than in other countries.
        
             | greedo wrote:
             | I'm not sure this is accurate. I purchased my house in
             | 2004, and it's currently valued at $349K (purchase price
             | $199K). The lot itself sold for $40K in 2003.
             | 
             | Looking at available lots in my neighborhood, they average
             | about $70K for my house size. So that means my house itself
             | is valued at $280K.
             | 
             | So yes, the land has appreciated by $30K (over 18 years),
             | but the house itself has appreciated $120K in the same
             | timeframe. The land appreciated at roughly 3% per annum,
             | while the house appreciated at roughly the same rate.
             | 
             | Of course this doesn't include any improvements, or
             | maintenance costs associated with the house.
        
         | ianmiers wrote:
         | From what I've seen in residential Tokyo, houses are usually
         | one offs built when the owner buys the land. And look, at least
         | superficially, to be similar construction methods to American
         | construction rather than European: i.e. wood framing as opposed
         | to masonry/concrete.
         | 
         | Maybe some of it is prefab, but given the narrowness of roads,
         | I wonder.
        
           | coryrc wrote:
           | You are correct. The SFHs in Tokyo are usually built roughly
           | similar to stick-built (slightly post-and-beam, but walls are
           | load-bearing). Wood can be precut to length, but they are
           | constructed on-site.
        
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