[HN Gopher] Powering the Lunar Base
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Powering the Lunar Base
        
       Author : mercutio2
       Score  : 116 points
       Date   : 2021-08-07 14:32 UTC (8 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (caseyhandmer.wordpress.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (caseyhandmer.wordpress.com)
        
       | zardo wrote:
       | With 1/6 g, no wind, and no quakes, I'm not sure you can rule out
       | building a 3km tall tower without actually doing a design study.
        
         | llukas wrote:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quake_(natural_phenomenon)#Moo...
        
           | inglor_cz wrote:
           | Also, extreme temperature changes. At least compared to
           | Earth.
        
       | unchocked wrote:
       | I find it odd that the author dismisses hydrogen storage largely
       | based on the requirement to mine water for electrolysis and then
       | goes on to propose using ~12,000 tonnes of water for thermal
       | energy storage.
        
         | tuatoru wrote:
         | 12 000 t of water is a large swimming pool (about 5 Olympic
         | pools) and could be used as such, perhaps.
         | 
         | Edit: using hydrogen for steelmaking or other reductive
         | processes yes; for energy storage, we have better choices.
         | You'd make it as you need it.
        
         | baybal2 wrote:
         | Storing water does not require pressure vessels, nor cryogenic
         | coolers.
        
           | errantspark wrote:
           | It pretty definitely requires pressure vessels if you care
           | about it's phase.
        
             | natosaichek wrote:
             | Well it requires a closed container that maybe has to take
             | a few psi of water pressure. It doesn't require anything
             | that can tolerate thousands of psi like hydrogen does.
        
           | nine_k wrote:
           | More importantly, water does not diffuse through metal
           | vessels.
        
       | sfifs wrote:
       | Personally, I think the most viable long term option would be to
       | build solar farms with 120 degrees separation on the moon's
       | circumference so you'd always have a fairly constant amount of
       | solar power generation & run a HVDC grid. From what I can make
       | out, a 1000 Amps capable Aluminum Composite core power cable
       | seems to weigh about 500kg per km [1](I may be mistaken here,
       | happy to be corrected). Moon's circumference is about 10000 km &
       | so you'd need about 7000km of cabling or about 3500 tons. That's
       | only about 20-40 Starship trips to transport the cables itself.
       | Maybe with some minimal cladding (no rain/ice etc on moon), it
       | could possibly even be laid or buried on the ground vs. requiring
       | pylons. Once the solar panels are installed, there's little
       | maintenance needed compared to earth (dust) and you could
       | progressively add over time.
       | 
       | [1] https://multimedia.3m.com/mws/media/480556O/3mtm-accr-
       | techni...
        
         | ramshanker wrote:
         | There must be a redundancy of minimum 2 independent cables
         | though. Can't risk losing power with any single fault event.
        
           | kwhitefoot wrote:
           | Just add another 3000 km of cable to complete the ring main
           | then every point is supplied from both directions.
        
         | tuatoru wrote:
         | That 1000 A rating probably assumes some conductive and
         | convective cooling, and earth-surface temperatures.
         | 
         | It'd need to be bigger. And 1000 A isn't much if you're
         | planning to make anything at scale on the Moon.
         | 
         | Great idea though.
        
         | bishoprook2 wrote:
         | Is there somewhere on either pole with constant partial
         | sunlight? or is there some sort of 'seasonal' tilt?
         | 
         | I like the idea of the three power stations, but you still need
         | enough backup power for eclipses.
        
         | politician wrote:
         | The cable could be manufactured from the Aluminum in the Lunar
         | regolith which could simplify the logistics.
        
           | jfk13 wrote:
           | Although shipping the cable-manufacturing plant out there
           | might not be entirely trivial either.
        
       | nkingsy wrote:
       | How many starships full of copper would be required to run a hvdc
       | line between enough points to get constant coverage?
        
         | baybal2 wrote:
         | Moon is 10% aluminium, with that constrain, I doubt copper will
         | see much use for long range transmission.
        
           | voakbasda wrote:
           | Mining and refining aluminum takes a huge amount of power, so
           | you're back to hauling tons of wire to build the initial
           | infrastructure. Mining is definitely the way to go after that
           | bootstrap stage, but this question remains: is this the best
           | bootstrap plan?
        
             | inglor_cz wrote:
             | You have a shitton of solar power at your disposal _during
             | the lunar day_. Lunar surface is raked by the full solar
             | constant of power, no atmosphere = no attenuation. That is
             | quite a sizzle.
             | 
             | So you can smelt a lot of aluminium during the fortnight
             | when the sun is up. And build a web of wires around the
             | entire Moon so that during the cold and dark lunar night
             | you can get power from the other side of the Moon.
        
             | gpm wrote:
             | But one of the key observations from this article is that
             | we won't be power constrained, we will be constrained by
             | _consistent_ power, since power at night costs far, far,
             | more than power during the day.
             | 
             | If we can ship some extra solar panels up and refine
             | aluminum during the day, to reduce the cost of power at
             | night, it seems likely to be entirely worth it.
        
       | javajosh wrote:
       | It's funny, I never thought of electricity as being a big issue
       | for a moonbase. There are so many ways to store potential energy
       | - you could, for example, put a bunch of moon rock/dust on a
       | platform and run electric motors to raise it for 14 days, and
       | then, during the lunar night, allow the platform to lower and
       | generate electricity. But the remarkable 300 deg temp swing is a
       | dream for power generation, although the OP is right that you'd
       | need a medium (e.g. lots of water) to harness it as a carnot
       | engine. Still, fun to think about since it's a hard, but not
       | unsolvable problem.
        
       | gpm wrote:
       | I'm a fan of this comment:
       | https://caseyhandmer.wordpress.com/2021/04/25/powering-the-l...
       | 
       | TL;DR - Just don't be there during long winter nights.
        
       | TheOtherHobbes wrote:
       | Apparently McMurdo Station needs 7000 tons of assorted supplies
       | each year. Assuming Moon Base runs on a similar scale, that's an
       | initial annual budget of $7bn _just for the shipping._
       | 
       | This assumes air and water are solved problems and don't need to
       | be shipped.
       | 
       | Note that oxygen != air. 100% oxygen atmospheres are not a good
       | idea for extended stays.
       | 
       | Nitrogen is not common on the Moon. Nor is carbon (for filtering
       | or other organic applications.)
       | 
       | It's not easy to imagine a lunar base generating >$7bn of returns
       | every year. Apart from space tourism, there isn't a whole lot you
       | can do/build/sell on a moon base that has more value on Earth
       | than it would cost to transport back here.
       | 
       | Of course you could argue Science, and that's fair enough. But
       | literally all the commercial arguments I've seen have been
       | "Something will no doubt appear" - which is possibly not going to
       | win over rational investors.
        
         | jhgb wrote:
         | > Apparently McMurdo Station needs 7000 tons of assorted
         | supplies each year. Assuming Moon Base runs on a similar scale,
         | that's an initial annual budget of $7bn just for the shipping.
         | 
         | This would never be a real scenario. McMurdo supply runs are
         | not designed for such high transportation costs. With such
         | transportation cost expectations you'd be pressed to lower the
         | mass of the supplies in the first place so that the sum of the
         | cost of preparing the supplies and the cost of transferring
         | them were minimized. You need to compare two Pareto optima
         | completely, not just one axis of them.
        
           | ketzo wrote:
           | Yeah, but flipside, you're probably gonna need things on the
           | Moon that you wouldn't for a terrestrial base. I think it's
           | fair to assume that the $7bn a year figure is just a very
           | rough number, but still a useful one for understanding just
           | how outrageously expensive it would be to maintain a Moon
           | base.
        
             | jhgb wrote:
             | You kind of have a model of a lunar space station in the
             | form of ISS. That's definitely not 7000 tonnes of supplies
             | for a base. Maybe something like 15 tonnes per year or so.
        
         | aplummer wrote:
         | So that's 1% of the US military budget. Double it and it seems
         | affordable? What is the return on aircraft carriers 8-11, when
         | the next most powerful nation has 1.
        
           | taneq wrote:
           | Also let's be honest, aircraft carriers are super awesome and
           | fun and good for scaring brown farmers but in a modern war
           | against an equal power they're not especially practical.
           | Couple o' kinetic strikes and your $13 billion new toy is
           | slag on the ocean floor for like, what... cost to get mass to
           | LEO is $2600 per kg so if we want 100 special order
           | deliveries of 1-ton rods from God that's $2.6mil per rod =
           | $260 million to sink a $13 billion aircraft carrier and
           | destroy how many billions of dollars worth of F22s and
           | ammunition?
           | 
           | Like, I love aircraft carriers, they're so cool. But also
           | physics says not so effective. :S
        
             | jeffdn wrote:
             | That's also assuming that the satellite that drops said
             | rods can maneuver into the orbit required to drop the rod
             | without:
             | 
             | 1. getting knocked out at the commencement of hostilities
             | by an anti-satellite weapon
             | 
             | 2. the Defense Intelligence Agency/National Reconnaissance
             | Office noticing and telling the carrier to change course
             | 
             | 3. getting blown up by an anti-satellite missile fired by
             | an aircraft, or a member of the carrier's strike group
             | 
             | Rods from god are a much more potent weapon when used
             | against static targets!
        
               | taneq wrote:
               | 1. Sure once we're under way but that doesn't change how
               | good they are from a first strike perspective.
               | 
               | 2. As a species we can land a rocket on a barge, do you
               | think we can't land a big crowbar on a slowly moving
               | target?
               | 
               | 3. Might make 2 more difficult but a 1-ton tungsten rod
               | is pretty durable.
               | 
               | Certainly more potent against a static target but with
               | modern tech and one skilled, ethically ambivalent
               | engineer, these days you could probably hit a row boat.
        
               | Andrew_nenakhov wrote:
               | Because the barge is carefully positioned to be in a
               | place this exact rocket drops from the sky.
               | 
               | Satellites are not 'sitting in orbit', they are falling
               | on earth extremely fast, and not reaching it only because
               | they fall sideways. Since they go very fast, they have
               | immense momentum. To attack a target you have to steer
               | that momentum elsewhere, and _that_ takes a lot of energy
               | and precision,and you also have a _very_ small attack
               | area for every satellite. So to cover all earth reliably
               | you 'll need a constellation with numbers like Musk's
               | Starlink - i.e. thousands of satellites.
        
             | dnautics wrote:
             | Honestly the most important use of a carrier (especially
             | for china) is going to be in supporting naval vessels
             | interdicting against pirates harassing or stealing from oil
             | tankers shipping from the middle east; china depends on
             | mideast oil to feed its people. The us does not as of
             | 2019-ish, and may in the short to mid term cease protecting
             | international sea lanes especially in the mideast since we
             | are rapidly disengaging out interests in the area (e.g.
             | pulling out of Afghanistan).
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | kcb wrote:
             | I'd imagine in the opening phase of a war most orbital
             | military systems aren't going to last very long.
        
           | driscoll42 wrote:
           | The problem is that if you want one aircraft carrier on
           | active deployment, you really need three physical carriers.
           | One on patrol, one about to go on/off patrol, and another in
           | maintenance. So really 11 carriers lets you actively patrol
           | 3, maybe 4 zones. And again, that's just one carrier in that
           | area, if you can to concentrate resources you might get a few
           | more there, but then you're delaying maintenance/training. If
           | anything the US needs more carriers as recent years have
           | taught the navy.
           | 
           | https://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/homeland-
           | security/25...
           | 
           | https://www.popularmechanics.com/military/navy-
           | ships/a359282...
        
             | pirate787 wrote:
             | Except that aircraft carriers are obsolete-- sitting ducks
             | that will be sunk by long range guided missiles within
             | hours of the next Great Power conflict. Submarine carriers
             | with fleets of drones are the obvious replacement.
        
           | robertk wrote:
           | In fact, they have 2 in active service and are rapidly
           | constructing more.
           | 
           | https://www.businessinsider.com/leaked-photos-show-chinas-
           | ne...
        
             | nsonha wrote:
             | As long as there is a race then it justifiable, is it
             | bigger fool economy or not quite?
        
         | dwaltrip wrote:
         | It looks like you are using a price of $1000 / kg to get that
         | figure. Prices will be much lower than that once fully reusable
         | rockets are widely deployed.
         | 
         | Currently, equipment costing tens of millions $USD are thrown
         | away on every launch. It's hard to overstate the shift fully
         | reusable rockets will bring.
        
           | tintt wrote:
           | People were optimistic about LEO shipping costs when the
           | Space Shuttle program just started, but it didn't exactly
           | work out economically. Partially reusable F9 was meant to
           | decrease lunch costs, and it did, but not to the extent some
           | hoped. Starship, no doubt, will bring prices down, but then
           | again, even $1k/kilo to the moon surface sounds kind of... an
           | aspirational stretch.
        
         | sandworm101 wrote:
         | Retirement homes in the lower gravity? And there is the
         | helium-3 fusion dream. That's the purpose of so many recent
         | scifi moonbases.
        
           | garmaine wrote:
           | Helium-3 from the moon will never be a commercially viable
           | energy source. At best it might be captured incidentally as
           | part of other mining operations and sold to research labs.
           | There are just too many other fusion options that, while not
           | as ideal, have fuels that are vastly easier to obtain.
        
           | cstross wrote:
           | Get back to me on 3He fuel mining in the regolith after (a)
           | demonstrating a working 3He cycle aneutronic fusion reactor
           | (hint: it's _much_ harder than the D-T fusion cycle that we
           | haven 't got working yet, although ITER is supposed to
           | demonstrate it), and (b) ruling out other aneutronic fusion
           | fuels like, oh, proton-Lithium-7, or proton-Boron-11 ...
           | which are only somewhat harder to achieve than 3He fusion,
           | and which run on fuels readily available here on Earth.
           | 
           | (My gut sense is that if aneutronic fusion is practical _at
           | all_ then it 'll be cheaper to build more expensive reactors
           | that can run on terrestrial fuels so cheap we use them for
           | car batteries and as an insecticide, rather than slightly
           | less difficult reactors that are fuelled by magic
           | extraterrestrial unicorn sparkle-dust.)
        
             | ben_w wrote:
             | I saw a blog calculate that regolith He3 was so sparse that
             | even with a reactor to use it in, one would make more
             | energy from purifying the metals, coil-gunning the purified
             | ingots just past the L1 point so they would fall to Earth,
             | and setting fire to the ingots. Or, entirely separately, by
             | pointing the ingots at electromagnets and collecting the
             | energy from the induced currents from electromagnetic
             | braking.
             | 
             | (I wish I could find the original and link to it. For all I
             | remember it might have been you who wrote it).
        
           | medstrom wrote:
           | 70 wealthy retirees, each paying $100M annually.
        
             | nsonha wrote:
             | Let's coerce them into spending that money, in fact what do
             | old people need that much for, let's seize it for science
        
             | sonograph wrote:
             | The market for retirees who are willing to pay $100M
             | annually to live in a pressurized bubble on the moon is
             | maybe one or two, for only one annum
        
             | sandworm101 wrote:
             | I assume that catering to those 70 Uber wealthy might
             | increase cargo needs slightly. But it would cut down on
             | family visits. The kids might pay to have grandpa sent to
             | the moon.
        
           | Andrew_nenakhov wrote:
           | It is likely that permanent low gravity will kill them even
           | before boredom and depression from realization that the rest
           | of their lives will have to be spent in those small confines.
           | 
           | (Low gravity is extremely unhealthy. And even a relatively
           | short 1-week stay in such conditions severely affects cardio
           | muscles, so that super-healthy astronauts have to exercise
           | for several hours per day to keep their heart in shape)
        
         | Nexialist wrote:
         | A paper I read recently (Harper 2016 - 10.1089/space.2015.0029)
         | has numbers based on the supplies needed to the ISS.
         | 
         | The gist was, "Without some sort of recycling and/or use of in
         | situ resources, meeting the lunar settlement goal of 100 people
         | would require delivery of over 1 million kilograms of life-
         | support consumables per year."
         | 
         | And then assuming a PLSS life support system you get to to
         | needing about 5500kg of consumables delivered per person per
         | year.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.liebertpub.com/doi/abs/10.1089/space.2015.0029
        
           | WalterBright wrote:
           | All the biomass would have to be recycled back into water and
           | food.
           | 
           | The gating thing may be if lunar dust is workable as raw
           | material for soil or not.
        
         | LatteLazy wrote:
         | I can't tell you whether the figures are accurate, or if it's a
         | good investment but...
         | 
         | $7bn is 20 usd per US citizen. If the US and EU did it together
         | its less than $9 per person per year.
         | 
         | We can afford vastly more for aircraft carriers or walls
         | between the us and Mexico or farm subsidies admin costs or
         | medicare.
        
           | ben_w wrote:
           | Yeah, but one of the big parts of the Brexit referendum's two
           | Leave campaigns was moping about a number merely twice that
           | size being spent for all the combined benefits of a customs
           | union and single market (the absence of which is now being
           | blamed as a partial cause for empty supermarket shelves!),
           | not something which cynics already deride as a billionaire
           | size-measuring contest. Much as I love space, any proper
           | space program -- even ones well short of colonies -- must do
           | something tangible down on Earth.
        
             | LatteLazy wrote:
             | I'd be careful taking anything from the brexit campaigns as
             | evidence of anything. It was a baseless conclusion in
             | search of excuses...
             | 
             | I take the wider point though. Its hard enough to get
             | voters to find money for anything other than pensions, tax
             | cuts or bombs.
             | 
             | People love criticizing Bezos and Musk for spending money
             | on rockers. But I actually think they're fulfilling
             | something we as a society have sadly neglected.
        
         | samstave wrote:
         | Will we ever get to some other metric than "money" WRT
         | 'returns'?
         | 
         | I've always wondered about this WRT "black budgets" and the
         | theories about Breakaway Civilizations; "Of what value does
         | 'Money' have in Space?"
         | 
         | ---
         | 
         | Lets assume that trillions are funnelled off into black budgets
         | for [purposes] -- that assumes that hte 'money' (fiat currency
         | (paper/the-concept-of-value/10101010s/etc)) is being used to
         | pay for/buy [goods/services] -- Where the hell is all this
         | money going? is there an economy and a place where such vast
         | amounts are being spent.
         | 
         | Lets assume they are paying their
         | engineers/suppliers/companies/etc - the Deep Workers far beyond
         | the depths of SkunkWorks etc - where exactly is that money
         | going? What are they buying.
         | 
         | This has been the biggest flaw for me in thinking about
         | Breakaway Civs - and spending money/making money in Space.
         | 
         | If we were to assume that the moon had some set of valuable
         | minerals/etc that would be beneficial to mine and then return
         | to earth, where is the value in mining Tungsten on the Moon
         | (given your shipping calc, for example) and bringing that back
         | to earth unless the earth had none of said resource...
         | 
         | Personally, it would be interesting to think about how a
         | production capability could be built on the moon to support the
         | fabrication and manufacture of vessels on a lunar-orbitting
         | ship-dock, which then could carry on to mars/wherever... and
         | pull from the resources of metals on the moon, which AFAIK is
         | supposed to have a lot of metal...
         | 
         | Further, why has Musk constantly talked about "going to Mars",
         | but said seemingly very little about doing a dry-run, proto,
         | etc to the Moon first?
         | 
         | Shouldnt building a Moon-base be much more immediately
         | important than a Bezos-esque trip to Mars?
         | 
         | FFS SpaceX is talking about getting to Mars, but all the
         | required life support eco-system requirements do not appear to
         | have been even addressed?
         | 
         | It all feels amiss... Please enlighten me.
        
         | tintt wrote:
         | $7bn is just a third of NASA budget, it's doable, but you're
         | right, there's no reason to go as big as McMurdo Station with
         | today's technology.
        
         | taneq wrote:
         | > Assuming Moon Base runs on a similar scale, that's an initial
         | annual budget of $7bn just for the shipping.
         | 
         | Wow that seems like a lot, which figures for launch and payload
         | delivery are you using? Because NASA was like $1mil per kg to
         | LEO and isn't SpaceX like $5000?
        
       | go_elmo wrote:
       | Looking forward for the re-boost of nuclear space-technology so
       | many scientific opportunities!
        
       | aerophilic wrote:
       | The idea I have always liked, though have never done the numbers
       | on, is a giant "heat pipe" that would circle the moon. You could
       | put it on any latitude you want, but you effectively take
       | advantage of the temperature gradient to continuously flow a
       | gas/liquid around the moon. That in turn turns turbines attached
       | wherever you need the power.
        
       | alphydan wrote:
       | for those interested, this Austin startup is hiring and building
       | potential lunar bases: https://www.iconbuild.com/technology/space
        
       | papito wrote:
       | This doesn't even mention Helium-3? Come on.
        
         | ncmncm wrote:
         | Lunar Helium-3 is a mirage. There is no plausible scenario
         | where trying to gather lunar He-3 turns out well.
        
       | Diggsey wrote:
       | How about two/three sites around the Shackleton crater which beam
       | power back and forth wirelessly across the crater as each site
       | goes in and out of sunlight?
        
         | ncmncm wrote:
         | Cabling would be the thing.
         | 
         | Shackleton Crater might make an awesome radio telescope.
        
         | edgyquant wrote:
         | This is a sexy idea. I don't know if it would work, but it
         | would be fun to work on
        
       | h2odragon wrote:
       | dont miss the bit on "remotely beamed microwave power."
       | 
       | "silly idea" it may be but now i _want_ a mega-maser as described
       | for my own sporting purposes.
        
         | coatdoor wrote:
         | Wouldn't you just use earthlight and normal solar panels? The
         | internet says moonlight is 1/345th the power of sunlight but
         | once you factor in Earth's larger radius and larger albedo you
         | get 1/9th the power of sunlight. IE you just use 10 times as
         | many solar panels to get you through the night.
        
           | jhgb wrote:
           | > The internet says moonlight is 1/345th the power of
           | sunlight but once you factor in Earth's larger radius and
           | larger albedo you get 1/9th the power of sunlight.
           | 
           | That sounds weird. As per Wikipedia, Sun's apparent magnitude
           | is around -26.7, full Moon's is -12.7, so the Sun is 400000
           | times brighter than the Moon under the best circumstances.
           | Earth being larger can't correct this by three orders of
           | magnitude.
        
         | MCllorf wrote:
         | I'm not trained in STEM at all but these discussions are always
         | a little confusing for me because if our goal is to bootstrap
         | mining/manufacturing in space, why does everyone jump to
         | expensive, complicated and inefficient solutions like "energy
         | lasers" when we've had power lines for like 150 years and can
         | make them on-site much more easily?
        
           | jdavis703 wrote:
           | This question is answered in the article and I guarantee you,
           | most STEM specialities will never discuss this particular
           | problem.
           | 
           | Anyways, the TL;DR is all those cables weigh a lot, so
           | launching them in to space isn't cheap.
        
           | whatshisface wrote:
           | Well, cables are going to be cheaper at some distance and
           | power beaming will be cheaper at a greater distance, and the
           | question is, where's the crossover.
        
             | h2odragon wrote:
             | Look at the efficiency numbers on contact free charging
             | pads. "Beaming" fails for power transmission immediately;
             | it needs other factors to justify the efficiency hit; and
             | once you're out of near field its much much worse.
        
               | gpm wrote:
               | Microwave transmission of power hits 70 or 80% efficiency
               | http://large.stanford.edu/courses/2011/ph240/shu2/
               | 
               | What you're seeing with phones isn't microwave, but
               | inductance, very different technology with very different
               | benefits/drawbacks.
        
           | sjansen wrote:
           | The article mentioned why very quickly while discussing
           | building multiple solar farms so that at least some aren't in
           | shadow at the same time: sending enough cable up on rockets
           | to connect all of them would be more expensive than the
           | "expensive, complicated and inefficient solutions".
        
           | extrapickles wrote:
           | Its likely because bringing a smelter and wire drawing
           | machine don't feel "space age". Also most people think of
           | small bases where its not cost effective to bring a bunch of
           | manufacturing capacity as quite a few processes don't scale
           | down well. Mining is another issue as you would need to find
           | good sources of each major metal within transportable
           | distance of your base.
           | 
           | With the current capital cost of ~$50/W to beam power, its
           | reasonable to think about for small endeavors, but for a base
           | designed for 100k people making power lines onsite is better,
           | as you will need that manufacturing capacity for other things
           | anyway.
        
           | Uke wrote:
           | it might be a weight constrain?
        
         | extrapickles wrote:
         | Its probably more realistic to put a few satellites in orbit of
         | the moon and beam power from them. This keeps the distances
         | down so the transmitter and receivers can be more reasonably
         | sized.
         | 
         | If you also switch to laser power beaming, they can illuminate
         | the existing solar farm so a separate receiver is not needed.
        
           | h2odragon wrote:
           | I'm totally in favor of any plan that has multiple megawatt
           | SPACE LASERS as part of it, yes.
        
         | hereforphone wrote:
         | Do they expect to outdo the sun?
        
           | h2odragon wrote:
           | In one very specific frequency band, at one comparatively
           | small place, yes. by a large amount. Ocean vs firehose.
           | 
           | Or, better: In the same way every "daytime headlight" you see
           | is outdoing the sun.
        
             | hereforphone wrote:
             | Which 'frequency band'?
             | https://www.researchgate.net/figure/Spectral-power-
             | density-o...
        
               | jhgb wrote:
               | The one that the receiver is the most sensitive to. The
               | fact that sunlight comprises many wavelengths is the
               | reason why single-junction cells have comparatively low
               | efficiency.
        
               | rrss wrote:
               | microwave
        
               | hereforphone wrote:
               | Brilliant answer
        
               | h2odragon wrote:
               | > Achieving a beam that narrow (1/2000000 rad) from the
               | Earth would require a phased array spaced out over a much
               | larger area, at least 200 km at 5 Ghz (6cm).
               | 
               | I doubt they'd want a very large band but in microwave
               | work I dunno what counts as "large".
               | 
               | and i'm a little afraid to go look deeper into this
               | because i'll wind up tearing up junkyard microwave ovens
               | and building something i shouldn't.
        
               | hereforphone wrote:
               | It won't let me reply to your response to _my_ response
               | to this comment. But just let me say that as an engineer
               | with tons of RF experience, you 're full of shit.
        
               | IggleSniggle wrote:
               | At least one person here is exploring an idea and trying
               | to learn. I don't get how that makes a person "full of
               | shit"
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | Maybe you should add the HN guidelines to your 'tons of
               | RF experience' and see where that leads you?
        
               | TigeriusKirk wrote:
               | This thread would be interesting if you would show your
               | work. I'm here for interesting ideas, not people
               | declaring their expertise without educating us.
               | 
               | Educate me.
        
               | hereforphone wrote:
               | I'm not the one making the wacky assertions. Ask the
               | parent posts to demonstrate their claims first.
        
               | h2odragon wrote:
               | The only assertions I've made are that im interested in
               | this idea. The assertions the blog post made included a
               | link to another post [1] under the text "I have written
               | more than once about how silly this idea is". referring
               | to "the space-based solar power trope."
               | 
               | You're arguing against ... what then?
               | 
               | [1] https://caseyhandmer.wordpress.com/2019/08/20/space-
               | based-so...
        
               | macintux wrote:
               | One of you is performing some mildly interesting
               | speculation out of confessed limited knowledge. One of
               | you is being rude, insulting, claiming to be the expert,
               | but offering no new information.
               | 
               | One of you is contributing to the thread, at least. It's
               | not you.
        
               | hereforphone wrote:
               | The headlight vs. sun comparison (which I think was an
               | edit?) is irrelevant because we're comparing the amount
               | of energy deliverable over distance. The energy delivered
               | by the sun (at a tenable band) vs. the energy delivered
               | by the remote transmitter on earth, after the 'link
               | budget' has been applied (taking into account distance,
               | atmospheric attenuation, and so on) are the two things
               | that need to be compared.
        
               | h2odragon wrote:
               | I beg you pardon, im not arguing for the idea of a earth
               | to moon microwave power link as viable. or sensible. I
               | think it's _beautifully insane_ , i have severe doubts
               | about the actual practicality of such a thing, etc.
               | 
               | But thats the thing: now i want to do a mad max maser on
               | a truck with maybe dozens of magnetrons if i could tow a
               | generator...
               | 
               | It fits with my "Orbital Slingshot" project so well, too.
        
               | hereforphone wrote:
               | What is your Orbital Slingshot project?
        
               | h2odragon wrote:
               | I'm glad you asked :)
               | 
               | It's a totally silly idea to built a big ass slingshot
               | that throws things as high as possible. I figure calling
               | it an "Orbital Slingshot" makes it at least as viable and
               | investment worthy as some of the other efforts [1] and
               | [2] forex.
               | 
               | If I can get my daughter to do some artwork I might fire
               | up a web page for it finally.
               | 
               | [1] https://www.space.com/23015-slingatron-reusable-
               | launch-syste...
               | 
               | [2] https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2018/02/spinlaunch-is-
               | using-la...
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | rrss wrote:
               | Ok, check my math.
               | 
               | basics:                 solar constant: 1.36 kW / m^2
               | earth-to-moon range: 400 km
               | 
               | parameters from the article:                 frequency: 5
               | GHz -> wavelength: 6cm       earth antenna array linear
               | dimension: 200 km       transmit power density: 100 W/m^2
               | 
               | Let's assume that the earth antenna array elements are
               | 50m wide, and spaced out such that they cover 1% of the
               | total 200km * 50m area, for a total antenna aperture of
               | 1e5 square meters (10% of the SKA). Combining the stated
               | transmit power density of 100 W/m^2 with the antenna
               | area, we get a total transmit power of 10 MW.
               | 
               | Throw it at Friis:                 power density at moon
               | = transmit power * earth antenna area / (range^2 *
               | wavelength^2)         = 10e6 watts * 1e5 m^2 / ( 400e3^2
               | m^2 * 0.06^2 m^2)         = 1.73 kW / m^2
               | 
               | Atmospheric attenuation at 5 GHz is pretty minimal. If we
               | conservatively assume 20% loss, I think we still end up
               | with a higher power density at a single frequency than
               | from the sun across the entire spectrum.
               | 
               | I don't think anything like this will ever be built, but
               | I don't see why it is impossible. Where's the mistake?
        
               | inglor_cz wrote:
               | > earth-to-moon range: 400 km
               | 
               | Three zeros seem to be missing.
        
               | rrss wrote:
               | yikes, thank you
        
       | state_less wrote:
       | I'd imagine they'll need to do a number of electrochemical
       | reactions to make oxygen to breathe and fuel to burn, etc... Use
       | an oversized solar array and store the chemical products in
       | tanks. Batteries are chemical stores too, no? Anyhow, not sure of
       | the efficiency of all these reactions, but more panels could help
       | until further reaction improvements can be made.
        
         | Diggsey wrote:
         | The article does consider that option via splitting and storage
         | of water, and then recombination via hydrogen fuel cells.
         | 
         | According to the article the mass of the storage vessels needed
         | to store 2 weeks of pressurized hydrogen and oxygen are
         | comparable with the mass of batteries you'd need, although I
         | haven't done the calculations myself... Intuitively I would
         | expect this to be more efficient than batteries though.
        
           | gpm wrote:
           | I think the point here is rather that power load at night can
           | be much lower than power load during the day, if most of the
           | energy is going to optional processes like making oxygen
           | and/or rocket fuel.
        
           | ncmncm wrote:
           | If you are storing gases at the lunar pole, liquid is the
           | right form. Then the tanks are very light and cheap.
           | Liquifying gases is very easy there.
        
       | fnord77 wrote:
       | another Musk fanboi, redoing the speculative work that NASA did
       | in the 70s and then claiming credit for it.
        
       | ttul wrote:
       | So, nuclear then.
        
         | edgyquant wrote:
         | It's both hilarious and sad that we don't talk about nuclear
         | because other countries will think we're building bombs. I
         | definitely think the space treaty has to go and be replaced by
         | a reasonable treaty that allows militarization of space.
         | 
         | Right now it's akin to nobody building planes that can Cary
         | more than a single person (and no cargo) because they know it
         | gives the other party an advantage
        
           | MichaelZuo wrote:
           | You want to allow every nation to be able to militarize
           | space? Since that's what a renegotiated UN treaty implies.
        
             | edgyquant wrote:
             | Yes. We are only putting it off at the moment and it's
             | hampering progress. If we could put nukes in space it would
             | remove the stigma of using nuclear energy. And other
             | countries could build their defenses so they aren't as
             | worried. We should build a more realistic treaty that
             | doesn't hamper progress.
        
           | gpm wrote:
           | You're creating an imaginary strawman and arguing against it
           | here.
           | 
           | The space treaty does not ban nuclear power, only nuclear
           | weapons. Nuclear power is just for the most part not worth
           | it, and in the rare cases where it has been worth it, we've
           | used it, in the form of RTGs because that's the only form of
           | nuclear that has ever made sense for any space mission we've
           | launched. Nuclear power is talked about a _ton_ in the space
           | community, with everything from  "here's a way we could
           | potentially power spacecraft to bases" to "hey, maybe we
           | could build a nuclear powered rocket engine and get much
           | better mass ratios when we send things to mars".
        
             | edgyquant wrote:
             | I said that because nuclear weapons are restricted when
             | anyone _wants_ to build anything nuclear in space it gets
             | put on the back burner because no one wants to piss of
             | other countries (who are understandably afraid of it being
             | a covert weapon.)
             | 
             | I didn't create a strawman, you did by claiming I did and
             | then arguing against that. You did by claiming it's talked
             | about in the "space community," whatever that means, when
             | we're talking about actual space infrastructure in the
             | implementation phase.
        
               | gpm wrote:
               | It is simply not the case that nuclear weapons being
               | restricted means anything nuclear in space gets put onto
               | back burner. And there is no serious opposition from the
               | poliferation from despite your strawman that there is and
               | your strawman that it is forbidden by the otuer space
               | treaty. This is not a strawman on my part, I am directly
               | addressing the argument you actually made in your
               | comment, even if I was wrong it would not be a strongman,
               | and I resent the fact that you would say "no you" when it
               | is obviously false.
               | 
               | Space community here is just a throwaway phrase I used
               | for the various entities involved in Space, space
               | agencies like nasa and the esa, research agencies like
               | darpa, and the huge groups of contractors around them.
               | For instance the latest award of funding that I'm aware
               | of from the US is that General Atomics was awarded $22
               | million in April of this year for nuclear thermal
               | propulsion research (and theoretically to demonstrate in
               | on orbit by 2025, I'm fairly skeptical that they will
               | meet that goal): https://www.ga.com/general-atomics-
               | awarded-darpa-contract-to...
        
         | inglor_cz wrote:
         | The tricky part about nuclear in space is that you either
         | manufacture the fuel somewhere off Earth too, or you need to
         | launch it from Earth, with a non-zero chance of the rocket
         | failing and tons of highly radioactive fuel contaminating the
         | atmosphere.
         | 
         | I would probably risk that on a rocket that proved to be
         | reliable enough, say, 500 launches in a row without a single
         | failure.
        
         | ncphil wrote:
         | Yeah. Nuclear may not make sense here on Earth -- even
         | Antarctica -- where the environmental and human health
         | consequences are practically unavoidable (especially when
         | implemented by the lowest bidder), but space outside of LEO is
         | another matter. NASA is in fact looking at it.
         | https://cen.acs.org/energy/nuclear-power/NASA-thinks-
         | nuclear.... Although the idea of migrating researchers to a
         | sunlit base when night falls at their primary base has
         | potential, it's probably going to be more practical to stand up
         | a whopping big RTG or full-on fission reactor a distance off
         | from the habitats. Space borne fission plants are going to be
         | necessary anyway if we're ever going to send people to the
         | outer solar system (Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune). We might
         | as well learn how to make them work on the Moon ("It's a damned
         | research project!").
        
           | devoutsalsa wrote:
           | Nuclear is basic the safest (and climate change friendly)
           | form of power generation am we have. Isn't it?
        
             | ncmncm wrote:
             | On Earth's surface? No. But various forms make sense
             | elsewhere.
        
           | ncmncm wrote:
           | A smallish chunk of Strontium-90 would safely power quite a
           | lot of moonbase for years, as the Soviets did their remote
           | lighthouses. Strontium-90 is the ideal radionucleide;
           | emitting negligible gamma rays or neutrons, it just sits
           | producing heat.
           | 
           | For power in the cloudtops of Venus, Titan, Saturn, Uranus,
           | or Neptune, a full-scale nuclear reactor is as simple as a
           | naked atomic pile hanging near the bottom of a big fabric
           | tube with a wind turbine at the top, supported by a balloon.
           | All the radiative output goes into heating the air around the
           | pile, which rises and drives the wind turbine, which is the
           | only moving part.
           | 
           | On the gas giants, it would have to be supported by a hot-air
           | balloon, because the atmosphere is hydrogen.
           | 
           | On all four planets, surprisingly, gravity is very close to
           | Earth-normal. (On Titan it is rather less.) Orbital velocity
           | at the gas giants is much higher, though, so as comfortable
           | as it might be there, it's hard to get home from them.
        
       | andyxor wrote:
       | the only answer is nuclear, simply because of energy density
       | required for space applications.
       | 
       | the creators of the original solid-core Krusty/Kilopower reactor
       | are trying to commercialize the tech, I hope they have enough
       | funding (@sama, I hope this is on your radar)
       | https://www.spacenukes.com/
       | 
       | This is the first fundamentally new reactor actually built and
       | tested by NASA in more than 50 years (vs. countless paper
       | designs) https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/tdm/fission-surface-
       | power...
       | 
       | EDIT: I highly recommend watching the presentation by David
       | Poston "Space Nuclear Power for Mars"
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luQfEYs2L0w
        
         | baybal2 wrote:
         | I don't see battery storage as a problem for the first outpost,
         | but yes, kilopower reactors were made exactly for this.
         | 
         | Another option for early missions is just to limit them to 14
         | days.
         | 
         | Heating of the base can be achieved by preheating the regolith
         | deep beneath the surface. With regolith density we know, it
         | should be well feasible.
         | 
         | Thermal insulation can be made very efficient in space because
         | there is no atmosphere.
         | 
         | I see a nuclear/rtg base power for life support, and solar
         | powered regolith smelting following the 14 day cycle.
        
           | Robotbeat wrote:
           | That's pretty reasonable. Particularly since nuclear (fission
           | or radioisotope) produces a lot more heat than electricity
           | (thermal to electrical conversion efficiency is just 23% for
           | Kilopower and 3-9% for RTGs), so using it for base heating
           | during the night is a much better argument. And even some
           | solar powered rovers like Spirit and Opportunity used small
           | radioisotope heat sources to stay warm.
        
         | Robotbeat wrote:
         | "The answer is nuclear" is repeated often but often is an
         | innumerate answer. Kilopower for most uses in the inner solar
         | system performs considerably worse than solar. The power to
         | weight ratio of Kilopower is about 6-7W/kg, no better than old
         | time RTGs. UltraFlex solar panels do about 150W/kg near 1AU.
         | 
         | Nuclear in the lunar case may be useful for base power due to
         | the long lunar night which makes storage pretty heavy, but
         | nuclear is actually usually WORSE performance than solar,
         | producing much less power for the same mass. It's only in the
         | outer solar system around Jupiter or in niche cases like lunar
         | night where nuclear has a solid lead on solar. Otherwise it's
         | similar or worse, besides being a lot more expensive. ~$100
         | million for 10kWe Kilopower.
        
           | slfnflctd wrote:
           | > in niche cases like lunar night
           | 
           | Why would lunar night be considered a niche case? Wouldn't
           | this affect any and every long term installation?
        
             | Robotbeat wrote:
             | No. The lunar night is 14 days long, which means you need
             | 336 kWh of storage for every kilowatt of constant power. In
             | orbit, you only need maybe 30 minutes of battery, so
             | 0.5-1kWh per kilowatt of power. Mars surface has a similar
             | day/night cycle as Earth, plus a need for margin for dust
             | storms, so nuclear is roughly the same mass as solar if you
             | need near constant power, but still solar is potentially
             | cheaper if you need a LOT of power.
        
               | inglor_cz wrote:
               | Another nearby place with really long nights is Mercury.
               | 
               | Well, Venus too, but surface conditions are absolutely
               | unsurvivable for people. While you can build an
               | underground city on Mercury.
        
           | andyxor wrote:
           | i think you are missing the point of Kilopower, it was to
           | build a working micro reactor prototype on realistic
           | timeframe and actually ship it, they have designed the
           | extension of this to MW scale where energy density is order
           | of magnitude better.
           | 
           | Nuclear scales better than any other source of energy. How
           | many sq feet of solar panels do you need for 1, 10, 100,
           | 1000, 10000 MWe, now translate it to lbs and $$$ cost
           | (including shipping to the moon or mars base), also consider
           | dust and lunar night conditions affecting solar use.
           | 
           | if you look at scaling it vs. weight and cost (including
           | maintenance and replacement panels over 20-30 years), solar
           | is no competitor to nuclear.
        
             | Robotbeat wrote:
             | No, the larger nuclear power plants (50kWe) NASA has
             | developed to reasonable TRL are still around the same power
             | to weight ratio. Nuclear, in addition to everything else
             | like the dynamo and the reactor itself, requires heavy
             | radiators.
             | 
             | Also, Kilopower has a SHORTER lifespan of about 15 years
             | whereas solar can last 30-50 years (solar degradation is
             | much slower than is often claimed, at least when we'll
             | engineered and in the absence of high humidity) as there's
             | no moving parts and nothing to refuel. Remember,
             | terrestrial nuclear reactors are regularly refueled
             | (annually?) and maintained.
             | 
             | The traditional argument has always been that nuclear
             | scales better than solar, but usually such comparisons are
             | looking at sandbagged, outdated solar panels and very low-
             | TRL nuclear designs relying on super high rejection
             | temperatures (ie unrealistic) or shorter lifespans.
             | 
             | I'm not anti-nuclear by any stretch, and I fully support
             | increased funding and deployment of nuclear power, but I
             | think there has been a lot of hand waving by some nuclear
             | advocates. If you look at actually achievable, near term
             | nuclear designs, none of them perform anywhere near as good
             | as solar does in orbit near 1AU, and it's not even close.
             | It's surface applications or outer solar system where
             | nuclear has a chance against solar. Outside of those cases,
             | solar is much more powerful for a given weight (meaning
             | cheaper to transport) plus being far cheaper to build and
             | not requiring special launch vehicle risk mitigations
             | (currently, the only nuclear-rated launch vehicle is Atlas
             | V... and every nuclear launch must be approved by the
             | executive branch).
             | 
             | (A human Mars base may benefit from a mix of power sources
             | for resiliency purposes.)
        
       | mschuster91 wrote:
       | I wonder... we used to use electrically heated stone as storage
       | medium for heating homes, until it became uneconomical due to
       | energy price hikes.
       | 
       | A lunar base could electrically heat up a _lot_ of easily mined
       | rock and use that to store enough heat to keep the base warm
       | enough?
        
         | bbojan wrote:
         | Yes, but that's not an issue here. Life support would require a
         | lot of electrical energy, not heat.
        
           | mschuster91 wrote:
           | What do you need for basic human life support? Light, oxygen
           | generation/CO2 removal, water, and electricity for vehicles
           | and work appliances.
           | 
           | Oxygen and water can be stored in tanks sufficient enough to
           | ride out the 14 days dark cycle, LED lighting is extremely
           | efficient (especially if everything is under 9m of moon soil,
           | so no light can escape useless to space), the only thing that
           | may be a problem is CO2 removal - no idea how much energy
           | that uses.
        
             | gpm wrote:
             | I think CO2 depends heavily on what you're doing with it.
             | 
             | You filter CO2 out of the atmopshere using zeolite beds at
             | relatively low temperature/high pressure, you then recharge
             | those by venting the beds at relatively high
             | temperature/low pressure.
             | 
             | If you're venting the CO2 to space (they do on the ISS), I
             | don't have numbers/proof to back this up but you probably
             | don't need much energy at all. You just pass air through
             | the absorbing bed at ~1ATM (i.e. with a fan), and a heat
             | exchanger from the venting bed to the absorbing bed might
             | even be enough to keep the temperatures in the right range.
             | 
             | If you're capturing the CO2 afterwards however, you
             | probably need some more energy-expensive machinery. Again,
             | I don't have numbers, but you're definitely talking about
             | running a compressor to force the venting CO2 into a tank
             | now, and you might want to compress the absorption side as
             | well to get a bigger pressure gradient.
             | 
             | The only real use of that captured CO2 is to recycle it
             | into something useful (e.g. O2 and CH4 using the sabatier
             | reaction), and that reaction is going to be endothermic,
             | but you can probably just store the CO2 until you have
             | sunlight and do it then.
        
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