[HN Gopher] Why does it take so long to get to Mercury?
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       Why does it take so long to get to Mercury?
        
       Author : 5faulker
       Score  : 93 points
       Date   : 2021-08-09 17:26 UTC (5 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.esa.int)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.esa.int)
        
       | mmaunder wrote:
       | This is super cool. I recommend reading the article and then
       | watching the animation. I'm no physicist, but it looks like the
       | fundamental idea is to use elliptical orbits to slip in front of
       | a planet along it's orbital track, and have the planet's gravity
       | slow the probe, and then get out of the way fast as the planet
       | passes. It's kind of the opposite of a cyclist drafting.
        
       | JoeAltmaier wrote:
       | Delta-v
        
         | JoeAltmaier wrote:
         | Only on HN can a correct comment be 'disagreed' with silently
         | to oblivion. :)
        
       | siavosh wrote:
       | I'm so curious what the navigation department for a place like
       | NASA/JPL consists of. Each probe/satellites mission is so custom,
       | do they have a software suite that they've refined over the last
       | 50 years, is it a couple physics professors etc, are there two
       | teams working independently to make sure no one messes up?
        
         | 7kay wrote:
         | They use GMAT, the General Mission Analysis Tool
         | https://opensource.gsfc.nasa.gov/projects/GMAT/index.php
        
           | amelius wrote:
           | Do Russians and the Chinese use a similar tool?
        
           | mishafb wrote:
           | I should have expected it to be matlab...
        
             | darkwater wrote:
             | Where do you see it being MATLAB? It just says that has a
             | MATLAB compatible syntax. This is the SF page, with some
             | screenshot: https://sourceforge.net/projects/gmat/
        
       | MichaelZuo wrote:
       | It's a decent explanation for a phenomena that is not intuitively
       | obvious just by looking at a diagram of the solar system. I
       | wonder just how much fuel is needed to go directly without
       | gravitational slingshots.
        
         | azernik wrote:
         | The delta-V is around 16km/s.
         | 
         | For high-efficiency chemical propulsion (e.g. hydrogen - which,
         | note, non-storable!) that's about 3.5-4x the exhaust velocity,
         | meaning around 98-99% of your spacecraft's mass needs to be
         | fuel.
         | 
         | For electric propulsion (which has issues because of low thrust
         | and electrical power requirements), it's only about 0.5-1x the
         | exhaust velocity, so only maybe 50-70% of spacecraft mass needs
         | to be fuel.
         | 
         | In any case, it's a LOT.
        
       | teslaberry wrote:
       | more importantly why is it so much easier to get to geostationary
       | orbit from the lunar surface, than it is from earth's surface ?
       | 
       | and does this have major implications for the race to control the
       | moon, as whoever controls the moon, may have a much easier time
       | launching anything to geostationary orbit, including firing
       | directed energy weapons to that orbit, which, despite long
       | distance attenuation of the energy, still faces no interference
       | by an atmosphere as it would if directed from earth's surface.
       | 
       | the military probably has that questions answered but you'd need
       | a security clearance to retrieve it.
        
       | ithkuil wrote:
       | "There is an art to flying, or rather a knack. The knack lies in
       | learning how to throw yourself at the ground and miss. ...
       | Clearly, it is this second part, the missing, that presents the
       | difficulties."
       | 
       | -- The Guide
       | 
       | Turns out that missing the Sun is much much easier.
        
       | radley wrote:
       | This reminded me of Kim Stanley Robinson's "2312" and the idea of
       | standing on Mercury in the narrow hospitable belt, looking at the
       | sun, and experiencing solar rapture.
       | 
       | Apparent size of the sun from the planets
       | http://www.astronoo.com/en/children/sun-apparent-size.html
        
       | syncsynchalt wrote:
       | The short version: it takes much more fuel to fly directly from
       | the earth into the sun than it does to escape the solar system.
       | Because of this you need to use longer and slower methods.
        
         | bonzini wrote:
         | The problem is not flying into the Sun, it's slowing down to
         | get in an orbit around Mercury.
        
           | shadowgovt wrote:
           | It's both. The sun is actually pretty expensive to hit from
           | Earth... Earth's orbital velocity around the sun is about
           | 29.78 km/s. Even to fall into the sun, you need to kill most
           | of that (not quite zero is needed, of course, as the sun has
           | a wide radius... But closer to zero than simple Earth escape
           | velocity).
           | 
           | The Parker Solar Probe, for example, pulled the trick off of
           | getting a high-eccentricity orbit around the sun by
           | slingshotting Venus seven times (the transfer orbit from
           | Earth to Venus is about 3 km/s delta-v).
           | 
           | There's a pretty good overview of the math at the Space
           | stackexchange:
           | https://space.stackexchange.com/questions/38612/how-much-
           | les...
        
       | sxp wrote:
       | https://www.reddit.com/r/space/comments/1ktjfi/deltav_map_of...
       | is another way of looking at the problem. Once you're in Earth
       | orbit, you need 2.4+.68+.14+.68+1.73 = 5.63 km/s to get to the
       | moon. But you need 2.4+.68+.09+.28+2.06+6.31+1.22+3.06= 16.1 km/s
       | to get to Mercury.
       | 
       | So if you don't use gravitational slingshots (which can be
       | modeled as ramming your spaceship into a planet's gravitational
       | field and bouncing off in the other direction), then you need ~3x
       | the delta-v to get to Mercury compared to the moon. And getting
       | to the Moon required one of the most powerful rockets in human
       | history.
       | 
       | In theory, you could just use a rocket that's 3x as powerful as
       | the Saturn V to get enough fuel into orbit to get to Mercury via
       | a direct route. But this runs into engineering issues with
       | creating a rocket that big. Alternatively, you could develop a
       | way to refuel rockets in orbit and then launch 3x Saturn Vs with
       | one space probe and 2 fuel tanks. This is the plan for SpaceX
       | where they will launch a Starship with humans/robots and a
       | Starship with fuel to get enough fuel into orbit for a trip to
       | various parts of the Solar System.
       | 
       | [edited to fix units]
        
         | firebaze wrote:
         | Please fix your units :)
         | 
         | You don't need 16.1 m/sec to get to mercury, there's a 'k'
         | missing. To put it another way: that's off by about a factor of
         | 1000.
        
         | keanebean86 wrote:
         | How long until we can strap a massive laser to the moon and use
         | it to push ships around the solar system?
        
           | shadowgovt wrote:
           | Any old time. Powering and maintaining it would be a chore,
           | and since it's on a rotating body it wouldn't always be
           | pointing the direction we wanted it to, but solve those
           | problems and we're great.
           | 
           | Also somewhat fun is the idea of "solar sailing." Both the
           | particulate solar wind and the raw solar radiation have
           | momentum, and by redirecting either one you can get a push.
           | Since increasing / decreasing the "height" of your orbit is
           | actually a function of causing acceleration in the direction
           | of orbit (or opposite that direction), we should be able to
           | change the shape of a vessel's orbit by deflecting outward-
           | streaming sunlight and particles so they're facing along the
           | orbital path (i.e. a 90-degree turn, with a 45-degree-angle
           | mirror). You'd need a lot of surface area for a reasonable
           | amount of delta-V in a human timeframe, but nothing we know
           | of makes this approach impossible. JAXA demonstrated it can
           | work (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IKAROS); the Planetary
           | Society has been looking into it
           | (https://www.planetary.org/sci-tech/lightsail).
        
             | nitrogen wrote:
             | _since it 's on a rotating body it wouldn't always be
             | pointing the direction we wanted it to_
             | 
             | Could you put it on one of the poles?
        
               | 8note wrote:
               | It's also on a moving body, by reference to the sun
        
         | amanzi wrote:
         | I don't fully understand that chart, but it seems like it's
         | showing that it's harder to get to smaller planets than larger
         | ones - i.e. takes more effort (fuel) to get into a smaller
         | planet's gravitational pull, but you get a lot less benefit
         | since the gravitational pull is less. Is that a reasonable
         | assessment?
        
           | firebaze wrote:
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orbital_mechanics explains the
           | mathematics behind the delta-v calculations quite well.
        
           | bananabreakfast wrote:
           | It's actually the other way around. If takes more effort to
           | lower yourself into a large gravity well than a small one.
           | 
           | Traveling anywhere outside of Earth's gravity means you are
           | always going to fall into a well, so the smaller the better.
           | The problem with Mercury is to get there you have to fall
           | into the Sun's gravity well.
           | 
           | The sun has the biggest gravity well around, and Mercury is
           | deep down inside of it. If Mercury was bigger it would
           | actually be even harder to get there, since you'd then also
           | have to fall down it's large well too.
        
             | amanzi wrote:
             | Ah, got it - thanks.
        
             | b33j0r wrote:
             | Right on. Someone has mentioned aerobraking somewhere
             | above, but for those with fewer hours spent in Kerbal, this
             | may be of interest ;)
             | 
             | A delta-v map will usually include atmosphere as a separate
             | route from the raw energy requirements of entering and
             | exiting gravity wells. Some of the counterintuitive aspects
             | of these flight plans involve "very nice, ok! But how do
             | you plan to slow down when you get there?"
             | 
             | On arrival to the moon or mercury (or Minimus) you have to
             | be able to stop under your own power, which you have
             | necessarily brought in your tanks. And therefore mass.
             | 
             | Too bad the resonant microwave propulsion thing was more
             | likely a poorly designed experiment (acceleration without
             | propellant). But... it violated our understanding of
             | physics, so we're stuck with bringing our gas everywhere.
        
         | Natsu wrote:
         | Now where's the version of the map that accounts for
         | lithobreaking[1] as well as aerobraking? :)
         | 
         | [1] I feel that lithobreaking is slightly more correct than
         | lithobraking.
        
         | state_less wrote:
         | One might employ a solar sail/parachute. When you get near
         | Mercury, you'd have more than 4 times the force on the sail
         | too.
        
         | robotresearcher wrote:
         | [edit: typo was corrected, nevermind]
         | 
         | 5.63 m/2 vs 16.1 m/s ?
         | 
         | Neither 5.63 meters divided by 2, nor 16.1 meters per second
         | can be right, from context.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | milansuk wrote:
           | The chart in the link says: Delta-V in km/s.
        
             | sxp wrote:
             | Yup. I fixed the units.
        
         | ithkuil wrote:
         | > then you need ~3x the delta-v to get to Mercury compared to
         | the moon. [..] > In theory, you could just use a rocket that's
         | 3x as powerful as the Saturn V to get enough fuel into orbit to
         | get to Mercury via a direct route
         | 
         | I'm a bit confused. I have a vague memory that due to the
         | Tsiolkovsky rocket equation the amount of fuel needed to reach
         | a delta-v grow exponentially. How is it possible that you need
         | a 3x bigger rocket to reach 3x the delta-v?
        
           | sxp wrote:
           | I'm fuzzing the math a bit, but assume you have a Saturn V
           | style rocket that can get 100 tons into orbit. And that
           | consists of 50 tons of spaceship and 50 tons of fuel. Then
           | you get something like V_e * ln((50+50)/50) = .69 * V_e of
           | delta-v. But if you had two more rockets that launched an
           | additional 2 * 100 tons of fuel into orbit, you get V_e *
           | ln((250+50)/50) = 1.79 * V_e. This gives you 2.5x the
           | delta-v. Decrease the propellant mass fraction and this value
           | goes up.
           | 
           | The numbers are completely made up and based on my time
           | playing KSP (https://xkcd.com/1356/) rather than real rockets
           | so change the numbers as you see fit. But my core point is
           | that orbital refueling greatly extends the usable delta-v of
           | a rocket once it's prepared in orbit since it's easier to
           | build 3x of a normal rocket than a rocket with 3x the
           | payload.
        
         | bee_rider wrote:
         | Huh, LEO really is just about halfway to almost anywhere if you
         | are willing to aerobrake, other than Mercury.
         | 
         | I wonder why the chart doesn't consider the possibility to
         | aerobreak into the sun.
        
           | bagels wrote:
           | A lot more delta-v to get a transfer to the sun, then you
           | have to deal with the thermal problems which are pretty
           | difficult to overcome. If you're close enough to the sun to
           | be in its atmosphere, it's going to be pretty hot.
        
       | fred_is_fred wrote:
       | If you had a thousand (or million) satellites doing this, could
       | you actually measurably modify the orbits of planets? Mercury is
       | small enough that presumably 1000 satellites each doing 9 gravity
       | assists could change it in some way?
        
         | antognini wrote:
         | Yes, you can do this with Mercury. Mercury's orbit is chaotic,
         | so even modifications in its position on the order of
         | millimeters can build up to produce completely different long-
         | term dynamics. In particular, there's a few percent probability
         | that Mercury will get ejected from the Solar System before the
         | Sun dies. [1] It's also possible that Mercury will collide with
         | Venus.
         | 
         | [1]: https://www.nature.com/articles/nature08096
        
           | collaborative wrote:
           | Isn't space exploration then a bit like playing with fire?
           | Like, we could mess up some delicate balance by attempting
           | too many fly-bys
        
             | colechristensen wrote:
             | No. Everything gets hit by big rocks all the time and are
             | subject to all sorts of perturbations which dwarf anything
             | a little spacecraft can do to a planet.
        
             | Gibbon1 wrote:
             | Chaotic systems like mercury orbiting the sun have zone of
             | stability where all the potential orbits lay. The energy
             | from a space probe doing a flyby won't impart enough energy
             | to pop it out of that zone. I'm not going to do the math
             | but probably other planets have a larger effect on
             | Mercuries orbit than a space probe does.
        
         | ninju wrote:
         | Of course by slowing down the speed of the Mercury it would
         | affect is ability to be stable and it might end up be sucked
         | into the Sun :-(
        
         | baggy_trough wrote:
         | Because comets and asteroids have been zooming around for
         | billions of years, it's clear that the effect would be
         | negligible.
        
           | Andrew_nenakhov wrote:
           | Not negligible at all. Comets and asteroids do not target to
           | move a planet in some other direction, but a swarm of
           | satellites can do it in a coordinated way. Of course you will
           | need millions of satellites performing such dives over
           | million of years.
           | 
           | But if your goal is to move the planet farther from the sun
           | because it becomes more luminous and threatens to scorch the
           | earth and you need to move away to cancel it, it is probably
           | doable.
        
             | baggy_trough wrote:
             | Let's take Voyager as an example. It weighs under 1000kg. 1
             | million Voyagers then weighs 1x10*9 kg.
             | 
             | A 1km radius rock asteroid, which is nowhere close to the
             | maximum, weighs an order of magnitude more than this.
        
         | ufmace wrote:
         | There's kind of an XKCD What If for this, though with Jupiter:
         | https://what-if.xkcd.com/146/
         | 
         | Summary is no for Jupiter, even the entire planet Earth
         | wouldn't affect it that much. Mercury is much smaller though,
         | so it might be possible to make a significant change, though
         | you're probably still talking about sending a significant
         | fraction of the mass of the whole planet Earth.
         | 
         | You might be able to alter the orbit like that without
         | destroying the Earth if you figure out how to gather a ton of
         | mass already in space, asteroids or something maybe. But now
         | you've got to figure out how to redirect their orbit into the
         | exactly right one without throwing most of their mass around,
         | and do it with a reasonably-sized mission from Earth.
        
         | WJW wrote:
         | This is literally impossible to tell without more information.
         | 
         | According to Wikipedia Mercury weighs about 3.285 x 10^23 kg,
         | about 10^20 times more than most satellites. You'd need _much_
         | more than 1000 satellites (or have much heavier satellites) to
         | significantly impact the orbit. OTOH, if you 'd have sensitive
         | enough instruments you could measure the effect of even a
         | single gravity assist.
        
         | jwm1 wrote:
         | Cycling a large asteroid between Earth and Jupiter could be
         | used to slowly shift the orbit of Earth, most of the energy
         | coming from Jupiter. Astronomical engineering: a strategy for
         | modifying planetary orbits [https://arxiv.org/abs/astro-
         | ph/0102126]
        
           | dylan604 wrote:
           | There's a congressman that would like to have a converstation
           | with you about this to save Earth from climate change.
        
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