[HN Gopher] Federal Court Orders BitMEX to Pay $100M over Illega...
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       Federal Court Orders BitMEX to Pay $100M over Illegal Crypto
       Trading
        
       Author : wmf
       Score  : 62 points
       Date   : 2021-08-10 21:18 UTC (1 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.cftc.gov)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.cftc.gov)
        
       | ABeeSea wrote:
       | Most of these entities probably don't have that much liquid cash.
       | Are they going to need to sell a bunch of crypto to pay the fine?
       | $100M is a huge amount in these shallow markets.
        
         | ur-whale wrote:
         | > $100M is a huge amount in these shallow markets.
         | 
         | Is it? What are your sources?
        
           | arcticbull wrote:
           | Coinlib says USD trading volume today was $193M vs $5.2B in
           | 3%-backed ersatz dollars (USDT). So that's 60% of a day's
           | entire trading volume globally.
           | 
           | [1] https://coinlib.io/coin/BTC/Bitcoin
        
         | felixbraun wrote:
         | They have $1.7b in the insurance fund and take in $300-500m /
         | yr (easy calculation if you know their fees and volume, which
         | is known to be "real"; Bitmex is absolutely legit and it is
         | disturbing that charges against their founders continue)
        
           | Permit wrote:
           | > Bitmex is absolutely legit and it is disturbing that
           | charges against their founders continue
           | 
           | When you say "absolutely legit" what exactly do you mean?
           | That they clearly have anti-money laundering programs in
           | place?
           | 
           | Or do you mean they are "absolutely legit" in the sense that
           | they created a foreign entity that shouldn't be held to U.S.
           | anti-money laundering laws?
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | huac wrote:
         | A single block order taking out $100M of liquidity could move
         | markets but it's not a priori that big. Bitmex has $1-2B of
         | daily trade volume (per nomics) even after all of the
         | controversy, Binance has $50B and FTX has $11.5B.
        
           | vngzs wrote:
           | Yeah, but trading volume is not liquid cash. It's not the
           | exchange's money. They make money on fees / commissions, but
           | they can't just dip into the customer funds and use them to
           | pay the government.
        
             | gruez wrote:
             | >but they can't just dip into the customer funds and use
             | them to pay the government.
             | 
             | But if they have $1B-2B worth of trade volume daily and
             | they charge a 0.1% fee per trade, wouldn't that mean
             | they're generating $1M daily in revenue? From that,
             | wouldn't it be reasonable to assume they have profits
             | accumulated to pay the fine?
        
             | rootsudo wrote:
             | You'd think but look at Mt. Gox.
        
               | ur-whale wrote:
               | > You'd think but look at Mt. Gox.
               | 
               | Gox was a ridiculously amateurish affair run by a french
               | pimply php hacker and manga lover teenager.
               | 
               | Bitmex is in a slightly different league.
        
           | schmichael wrote:
           | How is trading volume related to cash liquidity? An exchange
           | with 0 fiat on/offramps and no cash in the bank could still
           | trade billions of USD worth of cryptocurrencies a day.
        
             | gruez wrote:
             | >How is trading volume related to cash liquidity
             | 
             | It's not. The parent commentis talking about the liqudity
             | of the market as a whole (ie. what would happen if 100M
             | worth of bitcoin was sold at once)
             | 
             | >An exchange with 0 fiat on/offramps and no cash in the
             | bank could still trade billions of USD worth of
             | cryptocurrencies a day.
             | 
             | It would presumably have millions of USD worth of _crypto_
             | in their wallet (since they charge trading fees). They can
             | take the crypto and dump it into the very liquid bitcoin
             | market to turn it into cash.
        
         | latchkey wrote:
         | $100m is peanuts in crypto now.
         | 
         | A Chinese defi site just got hacked for $600m today.
        
           | whynotkeithberg wrote:
           | Exactly. Someone else commented that 100m in USD is way
           | different than 100 worth of crypto... But that's just not
           | true anymore. 100 million in a highly liquid market where you
           | can see 100 million dropped on a single exchange in a single
           | minute candlestick on bitcoin alone, then it really isn't
           | that much of a difference.
        
             | arcticbull wrote:
             | 100M USDT yeah, USD who knows? It's 85% of trading volume.
             | Check out the plot on Coinlib. [1]
             | 
             | Today's USD trading volume was $193M while USDT was $5.2B.
             | USD trading volume is a rounding error against USDT volume.
             | 
             | 100M USD is more than 1/2 of the entire day's trading
             | volume of BTC against real dollars.
             | 
             | [1] https://coinlib.io/coin/BTC/Bitcoin
        
               | latchkey wrote:
               | Doing any of these comparisons is futile now that there
               | is multiple versions of tokenized BTC (tbtc, ren, sbtc,
               | hbtc... i could go on), BTC analogies (digg/queen are
               | examples), as well as a ton of various stablecoins. Never
               | mind OTC and DEX trades that never even hit the order
               | books.
               | 
               | There is a lot more volume than you probably know about
               | it.
        
             | qeternity wrote:
             | You can see $100m volume in a single timeframe. That's
             | different than dropping $100m. There isn't $100m of net
             | selling in those candles (at least the ones that don't rip
             | through thousands of dollars in testing liquidity)
        
           | inasio wrote:
           | $100m and an order to stop selling crypto derivatives...
        
           | schmichael wrote:
           | $100m of USD is different from $600m _worth_ of
           | cryptocurrencies.
        
             | whynotkeithberg wrote:
             | It is in a market without liquidity... However, in a market
             | with enough trading volume from enough unique people there
             | isn't that much of a difference. especially not in a market
             | where hundreds of million get dropped in literal minutes.
        
         | graeme wrote:
         | 900 Bitcoin are mined each day. If we make two assumptions we
         | can get an estimate of how much fiat enters the markets each
         | day:
         | 
         | * Bitcoin mining is an efficient market and there are no
         | profits
         | 
         | * Bitcoin miners sell all of the bitcoin they mine
         | 
         | These assumptions aren't exactly realistic but over the long
         | run they should actually be close enough to the truth. Given
         | those assumptions, at current market rates then an extra
         | $41,121,180 has to enter the markets each day to keep prices
         | stable, assuming buy/sell demand is otherwise equal.
         | 
         | More than that wanting to enter, prices go up, less, prices go
         | down. Leaving aside price manipulation by Tether, Binance etc
         | (THIS is a big assumption, but the exercise is still valuable I
         | think).
         | 
         | So, the fine is only 2.5x the daily excess needed to keep
         | prices stable. Shouldn't have a giant effect.
         | 
         | (You may wonder, if no profits, what are the miners doing?
         | Essential the bitcoin network is an organized effort to take
         | capital, acquire coal, and burn it. Contrary to "store of
         | value" claims, literally all money invested into bitcoin either
         | gets burned up, or goes to pay someone who entered bitcoin
         | previously. It's an entirely negative sum game, with guaranteed
         | capital losses in aggregate. However, this added $100 million
         | is not a meaningful amount in view of the actual scale of
         | energy burnt each year to run the network. It _might_ be a
         | meaningful amount of Bitmex 's capital, but likely this won't
         | wreck them on its own.)
        
           | mdoms wrote:
           | Your post assumes that there's no manipulation of the market
           | occurring, an assumption we know to be false.
        
             | csomar wrote:
             | I don't think the miners can manipulate their energy bill,
             | salaries, rent, hardware costs, etc...
        
               | Clewza313 wrote:
               | The OP's assumption was that $42M in fiat has to enter
               | every day to keep prices stable. Manipulation can
               | definitely keep prices stable without a net fiat
               | inflow... until one day it can't, because as you note the
               | bills have to be paid in fiat, not Tether etc.
        
       | slyrus wrote:
       | Wasn't there some news about a $100M BTC transaction yesterday?
       | Coincidence?
        
       | johnnyApplePRNG wrote:
       | So I'm working on a crypto derivatives trading bot... have been
       | for a few years now... it's going alright.
       | 
       | I am personally situated in Ontario, Canada, and getting more and
       | more anxious by the day as seemingly every major legitimate
       | derivatives trading platform with any volume is banning Ontarians
       | from trading.
       | 
       | Kraken, Bitmex, Okex, and Huobi all won't even look at me simply
       | because I have a personal address inside Ontario.
       | 
       | I can trade on their spot markets with them, sure... but the fees
       | are MUCH higher than that of derivatives markets and my bot isn't
       | THAT good to swallow a 0.3% trade cost when it's essentially
       | performing high frequency trading. A fee of 0.075% however is
       | manageable.
       | 
       | Binance still allows me to trade derivatives, and I can't figure
       | out how or why. They don't have any legal authority to allow
       | Ontarians to trade afaik, and they're the absolute largest
       | derivatives trading platform on the planet right now.
       | 
       | I tried setting up a corporation in the UK back when Bitmex
       | originally banned Ontarians, but when I went to register that
       | corporation as a trader with Bitmex, they demanded to know the
       | identity of all of the owners of the corporation, and if any of
       | them resided inside Ontario then they wouldn't work with that
       | corporation as well.
       | 
       | (the bot was originally setup to trade on Bitmex as they had the
       | most liquidity at the time, but that has dwindled significantly
       | ever since they banned Ontarians and all of the USA from trading
       | in October 2020)
       | 
       | I don't have millions of dollars in my pocket, so I don't have
       | the money to jump through legal loopholes by registering shell
       | corporations and paying representatives to act as proxy owners in
       | non-banned jurisdictions.
       | 
       | I'm not doing anything wrong imho. I'm not risking my life
       | savings or going to crash the cryptocurrency market with my
       | derivatives trading ways or whatever the Ontario government is
       | trying to protect me from?
       | 
       | I am just another guy trying to make a buck like everyone else on
       | this planet. Why is my government trying to prevent me from doing
       | so at every turn? I just don't get it?
       | 
       | What are my options if/when Binance decides to ban Ontarians as
       | well?
        
         | ur-whale wrote:
         | > What are my options
         | 
         | Vote with your feet.
        
       | tiborsaas wrote:
       | > The Seychelles-based company wrote it agrees to pay as much as
       | $100 million to resolve the charges with the US organizations,
       | but did not clarify how much was going to each agency.
       | 
       | https://blockworks.co/bitmex-agrees-to-settlement-up-to-100m...
        
       | qeternity wrote:
       | > The CFTC's litigation against BitMEX's founders continues.
       | 
       | I'm surprised that it's "only" $100m given that they are
       | continuing to pursue criminal charges against the founders.
        
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       (page generated 2021-08-10 23:00 UTC)