[HN Gopher] Lawrence Livermore claims a milestone in laser fusion
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Lawrence Livermore claims a milestone in laser fusion
        
       Author : furcyd
       Score  : 367 points
       Date   : 2021-08-17 16:30 UTC (6 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (physicstoday.scitation.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (physicstoday.scitation.org)
        
       | Izikiel43 wrote:
       | With a tokamak, like SPARC (https://www.psfc.mit.edu/sparc) it's
       | clear how energy will be extracted, the vessel will be heated and
       | the cooling fluid goes through a heat exchanger to get the
       | energy.
       | 
       | How would it work here? I imagine something like spiderman 2
       | where a big ball of fire is suspended in a chamber, but how would
       | energy be transformed to electricity?
        
         | adnmcq999 wrote:
         | Without any googling, wouldn't be the same way as a fission or
         | coal power plant? Energy from exothermic reaction heats up
         | water which is then used to turn a steam turbine
        
           | api wrote:
           | Seems like it could also be mechanical. There are gigantic
           | Diesel engines that have pistons capable of each absorbing
           | this kind of energy. Have a little bit of gas or water near
           | the target and there will be quite an expansion.
           | 
           | Also a "thermonuclear internal combustion engine" is kind of
           | retro-futuristic and cool.
        
             | willis936 wrote:
             | This is General Fusion's approach.
        
             | skinkestek wrote:
             | Wow, cool idea!
        
             | robocat wrote:
             | Largest Diesel engine in the world[1] burns 160g (5.6oz) of
             | diesel each combustion, within a 960mm (38in) diameter
             | cylinder with a 2500mm (8.2ft) stroke. A barrel of oil is
             | about 160 litres and contains 6.1E9 Joules[2], so each
             | combustion stroke is about 6MJ.
             | 
             | The fusion reaction released 1.3MJ of energy. So a single
             | cylinder fusion engine seems realistic!
             | 
             | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wartsila-Sulzer_RTA96-C
             | 
             | [2] https://www.ocean.washington.edu/courses/envir215/energ
             | ynumb...
             | 
             | A Cheeseburger weighs 3.9oz for comparison
             | https://cockeyed.com/science/weight/cheeseburger-
             | mcdonalds.h...
        
       | beefman wrote:
       | The article mentions losses at the hohlraum but doesn't mention
       | losses in the laser. "Ignition" means they controled the
       | implosion well enough to break (almost) even on laser energy, but
       | the laser itself is less than 1% efficient on wall power. Input
       | energy to the entire system is over 400 MJ per shot. Even at max
       | theoretical fusion yield, it wouldn't come close to breakeven.
       | 
       | There's also a firing rate issue. Even if the system produced net
       | power, significant production would require many shots per
       | second. Currently, the laser flash lamps are expendable and it
       | takes on the order of a day (and lots of money) to prep for each
       | shot.
       | 
       | Some of these drawbacks were addressed in the LIFE proposal,
       | which would use fusion neutrons to burn fission fuel in a blanket
       | around the fusion chamber. You could burn spent reactor fuel
       | subcritically (no fission chain reaction), for example. But then
       | it's a fission machine, and criticality excursions aren't much of
       | an issue in conventional fission reactors. In the end, there are
       | many drawbacks and little benefit with such a setup -- even if it
       | worked.
       | 
       | I love lasers, and NIF is a marvel. But there really is no
       | sensical story about power production in it. Even the machine's
       | stated purpose -- stockpile maintenence -- is highly dubious. It
       | is really an elaborate welfare machine, given to weapons
       | scientists in exchange for their support of testing bans.
        
         | dukoid wrote:
         | My money is on stellarators. Just saw Wendelstein in the
         | newsfeed here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28211413
        
           | pfdietz wrote:
           | Stellarators face many of the same likely showstoppers as
           | tokamaks. Power density, materials, maintainability,
           | complexity, cost.
        
         | leephillips wrote:
         | I think your take on this is accurate, but it's a little deeper
         | than a welfare program. The government needs to maintain a
         | population of cleared scientists who know how to calculate
         | things like fusion yields, simulated with classified codes.
         | These fake fusion energy programs contribute to that; some of
         | the most capable scientists don't want to work on weapons, so
         | they can kid themselves that they are working on "energy".
         | 
         | There is no reasonably foreseeable future with fusion as part
         | of the electricity grid. Even if we got fantastically lucky and
         | were able to build a practical (magnetic or inertial) reactor
         | in 50 years, by that time improvements in energy storage and
         | transmission technologies will have allowed renewable energy to
         | dominate, and no government would be crazy enough to permit it
         | to be built.
         | 
         | http://progressive.org/op-eds/let-cut-our-losses-on-fusion-e...
        
           | Ericson2314 wrote:
           | On the contrary, it will be so much energy it will be like a
           | new agrarian revolution. No society outside the be able to
           | resist it.
        
           | AlanSE wrote:
           | This is deeply fascinating to read.
           | 
           | But what about projects like Iter? There's a lot going on in
           | fusion that has no alternative government justification.
           | Surely those provide little to no value for weapons programs.
           | 
           | If fusion for grid-scale energy is really accepted to be non-
           | viable (and if we're honest... it is) then that has some
           | pretty far-reaching consequences.
           | 
           | I don't think that fusion is categorically non-viable, but
           | the approaches of the currently funded megaprojects all seem
           | to be. More creative and compact approaches could still have
           | potential. Of course, there's always PACER, which illustrates
           | our cognitive dissonance.
        
             | whatshisface wrote:
             | Don't get too fascinated by the takes you hear about on
             | Hacker News, as many of these comments are written by
             | software engineers as they are by deeply embedded domain
             | experts.
        
             | Retric wrote:
             | Fusion isn't just about grid power. In terms of covering
             | the needs for food, shelter, etc the Hubble telescope,
             | cassini probe, large hadron collider etc are useless.
             | However, there's plenty of economic capacity to push limits
             | simply to explore what's possible and what's out there.
             | 
             | Fusion is likely the energy source of the future and that's
             | ok. It's ok to dream of far future deep space colonization,
             | and take just one tiny step closer to that dream.
        
             | leephillips wrote:
             | There are plenty of true believers working in fusion
             | energy. Enough to support big projects like ITER.
             | 
             | But consider this analogous situation. I was working in a
             | government physics lab when Star Wars (excuse me--SDI) was
             | still a program that you could get money from for all kinds
             | of projects. Nobody--I mean nobody--actually doing research
             | believed in the program. That we would actually build a
             | Star Wars defense shield to make Ronald Reagan proud. But
             | they happily sent off grant proposals and were glad to
             | accept money to work on various things. You can spin lots
             | of pet projects so it sounds like they are all about
             | missile defense. But the algorithms I worked on, during my
             | brief involvement, would have been more useful for game
             | design.
        
           | blablabla123 wrote:
           | > These fake fusion energy programs contribute to that; some
           | of the most capable scientists don't want to work on weapons,
           | so they can kid themselves that they are working on "energy".
           | 
           | This sounds quite anti-progressive and anti-scientific, I
           | have trouble understanding where this sentiment comes from.
           | If Fusion reactors could be realized, this would solve all
           | energy problems. As you mention, renewables done right
           | doesn't stop at production but also includes global
           | deployment of Smart Grids and Energy storage capabilities.
           | It's nuclear energy done in a reasonable way. Apart from
           | that, it's really not clear if production fusion reactors
           | will ever be possible so it's clearly a research topic.
           | Perhaps better availability of computing power (to engineer
           | the confining magnetic fields) and better abilities to
           | orchestrate such complex projects will also help if you look
           | at the challenges of the ITER project.
        
             | arthurcolle wrote:
             | Maybe some vested interests don't want to solve energy
             | problems. Didn't the cotton industry kill hemp in the early
             | 30s or so? And created the whole Reefer Madness scare?
             | 
             | Why wouldn't the natgas and upstream/downstream petroleum
             | industry want to do the same thing with any potential
             | competitors? There is already propaganda about windmills
             | killing seagulls and windmills being ugly, so why not take
             | it an extra step and flash pictures of thalidomide babies
             | and then say "wow do you really want this?" with respect to
             | nuclear? Seems totally within the realm of possibility.
             | 
             | EDIT: Correction - I think I actually meant the petroleum
             | industry when I was referring to cotton in this post. What
             | killed the hemp industry in the 50s (I said 30s earlier but
             | I made a mistake) apparently was the availability of
             | inexpensive, manufactured synthetic fibers.
        
             | leephillips wrote:
             | "This sounds quite anti-progressive and anti-scientific, I
             | have trouble understanding where this sentiment comes
             | from."
             | 
             | It can't be, it was first published in the _Progressive_.
             | 
             | It comes from my scientific knowledge of the field and is
             | my factual description of what I personally observed,
             | working on-and-off in both magnetic and inertial fusion for
             | many years. My motivation is not anti-scientific but in
             | defense of real science that is not getting done because of
             | the billions wasted on fake energy projects.
        
               | jollybean wrote:
               | I read your article here [1] and I've found it a bit
               | problematic.
               | 
               | You don't give a real foundation impetus to 'stop' fusion
               | research other than the perception not making enough
               | progress in general terms, and that the money could be
               | used on renewables.
               | 
               | It's a problematic argument because 'a few billion' is a
               | very, very small amount of investment for an energy
               | potentially which could yield significant results, even
               | decades away.
               | 
               | It maybe a 80 year-long project, even then, it would be
               | worth it.
               | 
               | Renewables are not suffering from money otherwise
               | allocated to Fusion.
               | 
               | I think if you gave some very specific arguments as to
               | why some investment will not work - even as an
               | experimental vehicle - that would lend more credibility
               | to your argument, but then you'd also have to have that
               | view corroborated in some way aka 'this experiment does
               | not materially advance science, and they know it, here is
               | the evidence or logic'.
               | 
               | [1] https://progressive.org/op-eds/let-cut-our-losses-on-
               | fusion-...
        
           | wffurr wrote:
           | Is NIF even a "fake fusion energy program"? TFA specifically
           | mentions their goal of simulating fusion detonations in
           | nuclear weapons.
        
             | leephillips wrote:
             | Yeah, but they regularly send out press releases gushing
             | about the energy application. This helps with Congressional
             | funding.
             | 
             | Here is the head of the NNSA, the funding agency for the
             | NIF, quoted in the fine article:
             | 
             | "It also offers potential new avenues of research into
             | alternative energy sources that could aid economic
             | development and help fight climate change"
             | 
             | That's some finely tuned BS right there.
        
           | lallysingh wrote:
           | Would they be useful in space?
        
             | pfdietz wrote:
             | No DT reactor will be useful in space. The size of the
             | reactor will dwarf that of a fission reactor of equal
             | output.
        
           | Tossrock wrote:
           | I'll take that bet - say, $500 in 2021 dollars, that a fusion
           | power plant is selling energy to the grid? I'll even make it
           | easier and halve the time you suggested to 25 years, so we
           | can settle the bet in 2046.
        
             | jetbooster wrote:
             | https://longbets.org ?
        
               | Tossrock wrote:
               | That would be my favored platform!
        
               | billiam wrote:
               | I like what Tim Bray's doing with his time.
               | https://longbets.org/863/
        
             | leephillips wrote:
             | I'm interested, but the bet needs another condition, to
             | exclude toy demonstration projects. The reactor will have
             | to generate at least 100MW (far less than existing coal
             | plants) and be in operation for an integrated time of at
             | least 90 days over the course of any one year on or before
             | 2046. Accept?
        
               | Tossrock wrote:
               | 100MW seems like a substantial moving of the goalposts,
               | given your earlier statement that "there is no reasonably
               | foreseeable future with fusion as part of the electricity
               | grid" and that I've already cut the timetable by 25 years
               | :) That said, I'll still accept - I'm emailing you at
               | your profile address for the details!
        
               | leephillips wrote:
               | I didn't mean to move the goalposts. I just want to
               | exclude demonstration projects that might produce some
               | net energy but not be serious commercial sources of
               | electricity. But thanks for accepting anyway.
        
               | Tossrock wrote:
               | I've sent an message to the address listed in your
               | profile, it's coming from a nonstandard domain though, so
               | if you don't see it, it may be in spam. Also, I now
               | realize that the longbet page is still under review, so
               | you might not be able to see that either until the staff
               | approve it.
        
               | kbenson wrote:
               | I wonder how many of the bets on the longbets site stem
               | from HN discussions. Probably not a significant number,
               | but it would be deeply interesting to go back and read
               | the discussions that spawned them.
        
               | toomuchtodo wrote:
               | Longbets should include a link to the thread in question
               | in the bet.
               | 
               | Edit: Would be nice to have a link to refer back to the
               | discussion that led to the bet. To my knowledge, most
               | bets do not provide such a citation.
        
               | kbenson wrote:
               | Is that a prescriptive or descriptive statement? I just
               | looked at about 20 and didn't see anything immediately
               | obvious, but that was with in page text search, and not
               | actually paying attention enough to tell whether it's
               | common or encouraged to include a link to online
               | discussions in general (and I would happily search for a
               | data set or scrape the data if I could expect to find it
               | there).
        
               | maxerickson wrote:
               | "Practical" is in there.
               | 
               | A price competitive 10 MW generator probably meets that
               | standard though (Islands, small towns, isolated mills,
               | etc).
        
               | fasdf23967 wrote:
               | ...very fast spaceships for the solar system,
               | interstellar big ones probably. With continous thrust.
        
               | DennisP wrote:
               | Seems like any profitable plant should count. Some
               | designs work best at smaller scales, but if they worked
               | out they'd be cheap and for more power you just build a
               | lot of them. Even in fission, there's a big push now to
               | build reactors small enough to mass-produce in factories.
               | Maybe say at least 100MW total power?
        
               | jollybean wrote:
               | Energy has the most externalized costs of any industry.
               | 
               | The 5th fleet is in the Gulf to protect the flow of Oil.
               | 
               | The USD is backed to some extent by petrodollar, and that
               | is a geopolitical hammer the Americans like to use at
               | least to some extent.
               | 
               | So what does 'profitable' mean?
               | 
               | If Climate Change gets really problematic quickly, then
               | guess what, all Nuclear Plants become considerably more
               | profitable because the government will socialize the
               | losses in case of catastrophic failure meaning owners
               | don't pay for massive insurance costs which are a problem
               | for profitability today give the possibility of $100B
               | payouts in the case of failure.
               | 
               | I'm wary of the commentator's cynicism. If we can make
               | demo plants operating at some scale, close to break even
               | in 25 years ... then that's a strong hint there's
               | material progress, and that those plants could be
               | breaking even another 25 years later.
               | 
               | It also easily justifies a number of scientists working
               | on it now even if only pans out in 50 years. The long
               | term surpluses are potentially ginormous, like, to the
               | point where they existentially shape the future, much
               | like carbon fuels triggered the industrial revolution.
        
             | ludsan wrote:
             | I think this is a safe bet. Between Commonwealth Fusion's
             | Arc/Sparc, or General Fusion's spinning glob of hot metal,
             | or TAE systems, or any of the others, I think you have a
             | better than average chance of settling this bet within 20
             | years.
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | ARC has a power density 40x worse than a LWR's primary
               | reactor vessel.
               | 
               | General Fusion abandoned their first scheme because of at
               | least three showstoppers (vaporization of the liquid
               | metal wall, Richtmyer-Meshkov instability turning the
               | implosion into jets of metal, and stochastic magnetic
               | field lines in the spheromak causing unacceptable loss of
               | energy via electrons to the metal). The new scheme has
               | extremely serious engineering problems (the central
               | pillar will be in a radiation/thermal environment orders
               | of magnitude worse than the walls of ITER, and subject to
               | extreme JxB forces). And they've never produced a
               | neutron, as far as I know.
               | 
               | Rostoker et al. were told 20+ years ago that their p-11B
               | concept couldn't work, for at least eight different
               | reasons.
               | 
               | https://www.researchgate.net/publication/235032059_Commen
               | ts_...
               | 
               | If I had to bet on any current private fusion effort I'd
               | choose either Zap Energy or Helion.
        
           | eloff wrote:
           | > no government would be crazy enough to permit it to be
           | built
           | 
           | Why? Nuclear fusion doesn't have the meltdown risk or waste
           | problems of fission.
        
             | leephillips wrote:
             | There is no meltdown risk with modern fission reactor
             | designs. But there is the waste problem.
             | 
             | If you follow the links my Op-Ed, you'll find articles
             | describing the radioactive waste and proliferation risks
             | that will accompany _any_ fusion reactor. Not as great as
             | fission, but far from zero. And there is the problem of
             | production and transportation of tritium, a very nasty
             | substance.
             | 
             | A commercial fusion reactor would be fantastically
             | expensive and complex, and require a huge infrastructure to
             | support it.
        
               | blablabla123 wrote:
               | "Does Fusion produce radioactive nuclear waste the same
               | way fission does?
               | 
               | Nuclear fission power plants have the disadvantage of
               | generating unstable nuclei; some of these are radioactive
               | for millions of years. Fusion on the other hand does not
               | create any long-lived radioactive nuclear waste.
               | 
               | Can fusion reactors be used to produce weapons?
               | 
               | No."
               | 
               | https://www.iaea.org/topics/energy/fusion/faqs
        
               | leephillips wrote:
               | Right, as other commenters have pointed out, this is low-
               | level radioactive waste. It, along with tritium, is great
               | for dirty bombs and catnip to terrorists.
               | 
               | A dirty bomb is a weapon. They are talking about "atom
               | bombs".
        
               | kortilla wrote:
               | > is great for dirty bombs and catnip to terrorists.
               | 
               | This is another variant of "think of the children". How
               | many terrorists have built these dirty bombs?
        
               | leephillips wrote:
               | I saw it in at least two movies.
               | 
               | They haven't been able to yet, because we don't have any
               | fusion reactors out there.
        
             | chongli wrote:
             | Fusion still has to deal with waste, just not high-level
             | waste. Through the process of neutron activation all of the
             | parts exposed to neutrons eventually become radioactive
             | enough to be treated as low-level waste. In a reactor large
             | enough to produce energy for the grid these parts could be
             | very large (and expensive) to deal with (not to mention
             | replace).
        
               | bbojan wrote:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aneutronic_fusion
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | Anything beyond D-3He or D-D is likely impossible. And
               | any fuel with deuterium will still make enough neutrons
               | to render the reactor inaccessible to hands-on
               | maintenance. So there will still be a waste problem (as
               | well as a huge reliability and maintenance problem). The
               | reactor might not AS MUCH radioactivity, but much of the
               | cost of dealing with it will scale with the mass of the
               | contaminated material, not its activity. And fusion
               | reactors will be very large. The cost of dealing with the
               | activated material might end up higher than the cost of
               | dealing with spent fission reactor fuel.
        
               | EarlKing wrote:
               | ...is even further from breakeven than deuterium+tritium
               | fusion.
        
               | tux3 wrote:
               | Yes, though the article consists almost entirely of
               | reasons why aneutronic fusion is _really hard_ ( "the
               | conditions required to harness aneutronic fusion are much
               | more extreme than those required for deuterium-tritium
               | fusion being investigated in ITER").
               | 
               | Note that the "Candidate fuels" section is not part of
               | "Technical Challenges", but it might as well be.
               | Helium-3, by far the easiest, is vanishingly rare.
               | Deuterium would not really be aneutronic. Then further
               | down is a list of worse and worse headaches.
               | 
               | The leading scenario for acquiring the most convenient
               | fuel candidate is "mining it on the moon". (The
               | alternative scenario being to scale up production of
               | tritium by existing heavy-water reactors from the nuclear
               | weapons program, which decays into helium-3... and
               | defeats the point of researching extremely complex,
               | clean, aneutronic fusion reactors)
               | 
               | I want to like aneutronic fusion, but it takes an
               | objective that is several breakthroughs away and plays
               | the game on nightmare mode.
        
               | wrp wrote:
               | The main parts of a commercial tokamak would be huge. I
               | read once that due to thermal stresses, replacement might
               | be needed annually. I seem to recall that the STARFIRE
               | project[1] estimated nearly 60 tons of low-grade
               | radioactive waste per year of the operational lifetime.
               | 
               | [1] https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii
               | /002954...
        
               | labawi wrote:
               | Power plant waste:
               | 
               | 60T/y for 1200 MWe = 50g / kWe*y = 1.6 mg/MJ
               | 
               | Coal energy density:
               | 
               | 24 MJ/kg = 0.024 MJ/g -> 42 g/MJ
               | 
               | Not perfect, but depending on what the waste is, doesn't
               | seem too bad.
        
         | phkahler wrote:
         | >> There's also a firing rate issue. Even if the system
         | produced net power, significant production would require many
         | shots per second. Currently, the laser flash lamps are
         | expendable and it takes on the order of a day (and lots of
         | money) to prep for each shot.
         | 
         | Oh, but then there's this part:
         | 
         | >> Further experiments will require the manufacture of
         | additional fuel capsules and hohlraums. These may not be ready
         | until at least October, Herrmann says. The nanocrystalline
         | diamond-coated capsule that was imploded in this month's event
         | took six months to grow at General Atomics, which has long
         | worked with LLNL on fabricating capsules. The spheres have to
         | be polished and the core's interior etched with tools inserted
         | through a 2-micron-diameter hole drilled into it. The tritium-
         | deuterium mixture is injected through a tiny fill tube just
         | prior to the shot.
        
           | hutzlibu wrote:
           | Well, it is aweseom tech. But probably nothing I would bet we
           | can rely on, soon.
        
           | val314159 wrote:
           | for the love of god, someone please rename these "diluthium
           | crystals"!
        
         | MurMan wrote:
         | > There's also a firing rate issue ...
         | 
         | The NIF goal was ignition, not continuous power production. The
         | original spec was one shot every four hours. Achieving one shot
         | per day is close.
        
         | pfdietz wrote:
         | > the LIFE proposal, which would use fusion neutrons to burn
         | fission fuel in a blanket around the fusion chamber.
         | 
         | This is crazy. If you are going to have fission and fission
         | products, you might as well just build a fission reactor. It
         | would be vastly simpler, smaller, and cheaper.
        
         | sam0x17 wrote:
         | Having toured NIF a few times and worked in one of the
         | buildings adjacent to it a few summers ago, I will say the
         | energy stuff always seemed more like a way to get funding. The
         | main use and aim for NIF is and always has been to re-create
         | some of the conditions inside nuclear weapons and similar
         | fusion-based reactions.
         | 
         | The whole NIF building has the ability to switch modes between
         | classified and unclassified. They wouldn't have gone through
         | the trouble of making this a toggleable feature on the building
         | if they weren't actively using it for both.
        
           | sleavey wrote:
           | > The whole NIF building has the ability to switch modes
           | between classified and unclassified.
           | 
           | Interesting, can you explain this more? What gets hidden?
        
             | sam0x17 wrote:
             | I don't know the specifics but I imagine most of it is
             | waving a magic wand and saying _poof_ now this room is
             | classified. But there are logistics that go with that,
             | certain door technologies that have to be in place,
             | probably some complex security procedure for  "switching"
             | between modes, (i.e. I would think they need to clear the
             | building of uncleared personnel and be 100% sure there
             | isn't someone hiding in a bathroom somewhere) etc etc, and
             | it's enough of a pain that most buildings are either one or
             | the other all the time. The ability to switch on the fly
             | for a large facility like that is super rare and indicative
             | of there being a real need for switching.
             | 
             | All I know for sure is on the tour they mention they can
             | switch the whole building to be unclassified or classified
             | and during the tour it is in unclassified mode.
        
               | maxerickson wrote:
               | I imagine a big chunk of switching to classified is
               | shooing the un-cleared visitors.
        
               | sam0x17 wrote:
               | Likewise for going from classified mode to unclassified
               | mode they would have to sweep the whole facility for
               | sensitive material
        
               | usrusr wrote:
               | I'd imagine waste disposal processes and cleaning staff
               | to be major headlines in the switching procedures.
        
             | sam0x17 wrote:
             | To be clear though, I don't think anything about NIF's
             | actual design is classified. Maybe the parameters they use
             | on some tests and the angles on some of the lenses and/or
             | target design/composition are, but the actual setup is all
             | publicly documented AFAIK.
        
             | orbifold wrote:
             | The aliens have to go to their cryopods :).
        
       | TheDudeMan wrote:
       | Holy shit, they got the power and energy units correct.
        
       | fguerraz wrote:
       | What a great distraction from the real problems!
       | 
       | If we had that free limitless renewable energy, and we used it as
       | we do now to fuel "growth" building malls and car parks,
       | extracting ores from the crust, and produce pesticides, then we
       | will have solved no problem at all.
       | 
       | Spieces do not become extinct, they are being exterminated.
       | Energy production is but a tiny part of the ecological crisis
       | we're in. We need to solve the energy usage problem, not its
       | production.
       | 
       | This is madness.
        
       | code4money wrote:
       | Releasing more energy is good, but is it enough of a difference
       | that the delta can be captured (assuming imperfect capture
       | process) + is it able to offset the cost of the expensive laser
       | setup (maintenance)?
        
         | m-watson wrote:
         | Baby steps, there are any number of issues to address if the
         | goal was to create something that is energy producing for
         | consumption. However, taking out even any aspect of
         | commercialization or scaling this is an important milestone in
         | terms of science and engineering. That's not to say don't ask
         | those questions, it is just allow the excitement of progress
         | while asking future questions.
        
         | modeless wrote:
         | The article states that the reaction produced more energy than
         | the fuel absorbed, not more energy than it took to run the
         | lasers. I expect the efficiency of power transfer to the fuel
         | is pretty low.
        
           | jatone wrote:
           | also mentioned chain reactions which would be one way to
           | generate more energy than input even if your input was high.
        
       | belter wrote:
       | Reading the info so far...I would advise a frugal dose of
       | moderate optimist toned down with a spice of healthy scepticism:
       | 
       | "The lab hasn't yet reproduced this month's results, and Herrmann
       | cautioned that doing so might not be straightforward. "We don't
       | know what variability will be in successive shots. It's a
       | nonlinear process where alpha heating heats up the fusion fuel
       | and creates more fusion, which creates more heat." Herrmann says
       | the 3.5 MeV alpha particles, which remain in the plasma, produced
       | 20% of the fusion yield, with 14 MeV neutrons accounting for most
       | of the energy."
       | 
       | "The lab is still analyzing the results from the shot. It's not
       | yet known which or what combination of advances to the targets,
       | laser pulse lengths, or other variables led to the leap in
       | performance. Some of the instruments were saturated by the
       | unexpected yield of the reaction. A few that are used in the
       | target chamber for other, non-ignition experiments will need
       | repair."
       | 
       | "Herrmann acknowledged that the announcement deviates from the
       | standard practice of peer-reviewed publication. But the results,
       | he says, were leaking, "so we wanted to put it out so people
       | could discuss the facts." "
        
       | peter303 wrote:
       | "just around the corner" quote from 1955
        
       | QuadmasterXLII wrote:
       | For reference, the hydraulic press channel recently demonstrated
       | what the fusion energy released here looks like. 10^6 joules is
       | basically one hand grenade. Very exciting!
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eDA7EUDOiwU
        
       | dekhn wrote:
       | wow, I remember my friend in grad school working on this.... 20
       | years ago? They said it would never work and was just funded to
       | keep livermore going.
        
       | brofallon wrote:
       | I'm honestly not sure why there seems to be so much interest in
       | fusion these days. Wind and solar seem to offer a limitless,
       | carbon-free energy supply with relatively cheap, well understood
       | technology that is already price competitive with coal and gas.
       | By contrast fusion seems super expensive and technologically very
       | complex - even fission plants take 10+ years to bring on line.
       | Does fusion offer some advantage over wind + solar that I'm
       | missing?
        
         | sbierwagen wrote:
         | As stronglikedan said, spaceflight propulsion/institutional
         | inertia. (Stationary space facilities will use solar, just like
         | on Earth. Space transport, unlike Earth transport, will be an
         | awful combo of slow and expensive. Space stations will need to
         | be _simple._ One type of computer. One type of microcontroller
         | board. Maybe three sizes of screw. Solar panels are simple,
         | identical, and interchangeable. And not radioactive! (Fun fact:
         | every bolt on the outside of the ISS uses the exact same head
         | size: 7 /16" hex))
         | 
         | Seasonal variation with solar is a bit of a bummer. If we need
         | to fully electrify everything, (Transport and heating) then
         | winter will be a problem. Either we massively overprovision
         | solar in order to still have heat on the shortest day of the
         | year, or we run thousand mile cross-country transmission lines
         | and _enormous_ battery banks.
         | 
         | Even so, the economics are such that heavy industry might
         | become a seasonal job. Right now we run aluminum smelters 24/7
         | because baseload power is fairly consistent, but if solar power
         | is free in July but dear in January you might see multi-month
         | shutdowns. This gives headaches to central planners, and makes
         | them inclined to pour billions into fusion if it can preserve
         | some of the status quo.
        
         | stronglikedan wrote:
         | My best guess? Space.
        
         | joak wrote:
         | Solar+wind(+energy storage) needs a lot more materials and land
         | to produce the same amount of energy.
         | 
         | So the footprint of fusion would be a lot smaller.
         | 
         | Also for the same reason deployment would be faster allowing a
         | faster phase out of fossil fuels.
        
         | Roboprog wrote:
         | More 9s. Closer to 24x7.
        
       | djrogers wrote:
       | > Herrmann noted that in previous experiments, neutrons exiting
       | the capsule on one side of the implosion arrived a few
       | picoseconds earlier than did those flying off the opposite way
       | 
       | Let's all just take a step back here and marvel at this
       | statement. We (science-humans) are capable of building a machine
       | that can detect _and quantify_ picosecond level variances in
       | neutrons traveling in an enclosure. We can do amazing things.
       | 
       | Side note - the lab is just down the road from me, I'm proud of
       | my fellow Livermorons, and continue to hope they keep all those
       | megajoules contained.
        
         | molyss wrote:
         | While everyone is focusing on the picosend part of this, I'm
         | more impressed by the neutron detection. Electrically charged
         | particles sound much easier to detect, let alone with any kind
         | of temporal precision
        
         | CobaltFire wrote:
         | For those questioning the "Livermorons": I can't speak directly
         | to that but can say that Naval Aviation uses a similar term for
         | those who elect to stay at NAS Lemoore: "Leemorons". It's not a
         | perjorative; the people I've talked to use the term
         | affectionately.
        
           | ezekiel68 wrote:
           | In a large enough community, these two (perjorative and
           | affectionate) are not mutually exclusive. c.f. Yankee Doodle,
           | etc
        
         | dredmorbius wrote:
         | A considerable number of post-1960 Nobel prizes in physics and
         | chemistry, as well as a fair bit of the medicine ones, come
         | from sensor-related discoveries.
         | 
         | Either they're directly applicable to sensing phenomena, or
         | they form a substantial part of a sensor technology.
         | 
         | Contrast with the pre-1960 period which was dominated by
         | discovery of fundamental particals, elements, and laws or
         | principles.
         | 
         | Disclaimers: this is based on a somewhat casual review of
         | awards, and even if my own assessment is reliable, the Nobel
         | award process itself has numerous opportunities for bias and
         | trend-based behaviours.
        
         | HPsquared wrote:
         | A nice rule of thumb for these kind of timescales (courtesy of
         | a lecture by Grace Hopper) is to consider the speed of light: 1
         | nanosecond at the speed of light is about 1 foot (300 mm). A
         | picosecond is then 0.3 mm.
        
           | _Microft wrote:
           | Which is also a method to shift light pulses by the shortest
           | of durations! Insert an optical delay line into the setup and
           | by varying the path length, you can delay a light pulse by a
           | tiny amount of time, e.g. for a pump-probe experiment (a
           | pump-probe experiment works like this: first pulse does
           | something to the system ("pump"), second pulse comes a short
           | time later and reads out ("probes") the state of the system
           | at that time. Changing the time delay gives an idea of the
           | dynamics).
           | 
           | Here is a drawing of an optical delay line: https://www.thorl
           | abs.com/images/TabImages/Delay_Line_Kit_D1-...
           | 
           | The part labelled "V-Block" can move along the "translation
           | stage" which changes the length of the optical path by twice
           | this amount. Use the speed of light to calculate which delay
           | the pulse incurred over the distance. You can now send pulse
           | after pulse through your setup while changing the delay by
           | tiny amounts to see how things (e.g. chemical processes)
           | happen on these time scales.
        
           | CobaltFire wrote:
           | Relevant video for those who haven't seen the lecture:
           | 
           | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9eyFDBPk4Yw
        
         | blueprint wrote:
         | We can do so much and yet so little. All of this progress may
         | amount to nothing if we cannot overcome our internal obstacles
         | to our collective survival.
         | 
         | Awaiting the downvotes but it's true.
        
           | blueprint wrote:
           | lol yeah y'all aren't in denial, sure....
        
         | Florin_Andrei wrote:
         | > _I'm proud of my fellow..._
         | 
         | The part after that, was it a typo? :)
        
           | WookieRushing wrote:
           | Nope, looks legit: https://www.google.com/search?q=livermoron
           | s+site:www.reddit....
        
             | credit_guy wrote:
             | To be honest, Livermorans sounds a bit more natural to me
             | than Livermorons. And it does appear that some people from
             | Livermore call themselves Livermorans, like "Cheryl is a
             | native Livermoran" [1].
             | 
             | [1] https://www.lvwine.org/blog/winemakers-talk-harvest-
             | favorite...
        
               | CobaltFire wrote:
               | I think you miss the point: it's a friendly in-joke that
               | the people who stay in that area are "morons".
               | 
               | You see this in places where there isn't much to keep you
               | there except your profession, typically government. I'm
               | aware of Livermore and Lemoore, but I'm sure there are
               | others.
        
               | philwelch wrote:
               | And to completely explain the joke to death, it's also
               | ironic to self-deprecatingly call yourselves "morons"
               | when you work at a scientific laboratory.
        
               | djrogers wrote:
               | No, this has nothing to do with those of us that choose
               | to live here being stuck because of our professions, what
               | the heck gave you that idea?
               | 
               | Everyone I know who lives here LOVES Livermore. It's
               | decent commute distance to most places in the Bay Area,
               | is surrounded by beautiful hills, 40+ wineries, an award
               | winning downtown, and the friendliest people of any
               | biggish California city I've lived in.
               | 
               | It's a joke, but related to the awkward sounding and
               | looking term Livermoran.
               | 
               | There is a LOT more keeping the 100k of us in Livermore
               | than our professions.
        
               | CobaltFire wrote:
               | My apologies; I grew up half and half between Marin and
               | Fresno and that's what I recall for both.
               | 
               | If I mistook where the term up north came from then I do
               | apologize.
               | 
               | Edit: I think an issue was with my explanation. The
               | people I know in both areas actually love it; people
               | outside the area think they are stupid for living there.
               | Therefore there is some appropriation of the pejorative.
               | 
               | Once again, if that's mistaken in reference to Livermore
               | then I apologize.
        
         | taf2 wrote:
         | It still amazing how much of the periodic table we owe to this
         | place. https://www.llnl.gov/news/tags/periodic-table
        
         | choeger wrote:
         | Livermorons? Really?
        
           | AlotOfReading wrote:
           | It's the correct demonym for people from Livermore and also a
           | bit funny. One of the breweries in the area even named a
           | drink after it.
        
           | wolverine876 wrote:
           | Maybe they have a sense of humor about themselves.
        
             | hijinks wrote:
             | you need to with the heat there in the summer
        
         | k0stas wrote:
         | For context, in wired chip-to-chip communication electronics,
         | femtosecond variations are (statistically) measurable.
         | Picoseconds are rather pedestrian. A 56 Gbaud signal has a
         | single-symbol duration of about 18 picoseconds and
         | perturbations on the order of 1 picosecond are rather large
         | 5.6%.
         | 
         | Not to downplay the achievement of the article or the
         | innovation in fusion physics and engineering in general, just a
         | bit of context for the timescales.
        
           | aDfbrtVt wrote:
           | For further context, the fastest oscilioscopes commercially
           | available (Keysight UXR) samples at 256G with 20fs (rms) of
           | jitter. Modern coherent optics runs at over 100GBaud, a
           | picosecond is 1/10th of a symbol period.
        
             | typon wrote:
             | Used a similar scope during my grad school tenure for
             | measuring 200GS/s ADCs. RF electronics is a wonderful
             | field.
        
             | jhallenworld wrote:
             | MSRP of $1.3 Million US dollars
             | 
             | https://www.eevblog.com/forum/testgear/something-
             | amazing!-ke...
        
           | lizknope wrote:
           | In a 5nm semiconductor chip a standard cell inverter (like
           | combinational AND / OR gates) can switch in 5 picoseconds.
           | These things are characterized with at least 2 more
           | significant digits so we feel we know how they respond at the
           | 10's of femtosecond level of precision.
        
         | jjk166 wrote:
         | And it's important to note that these developments in sensor
         | technologies can be carried forward to future experiments even
         | if the NIF is ultimately incapable of being improved much
         | further. The quest for fusion is not simply achieved or failed,
         | working on tough problems like this leads to technological
         | progress at every step along the way.
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | programmer_dude wrote:
       | Probably need to use more fuel for a sustained reaction?
        
         | bufferoverflow wrote:
         | There's no sustained reaction in this setup, it will be dropped
         | targets and lasers pulsing at the right time.
        
           | programmer_dude wrote:
           | I am sorry I did not mean indefinitely sustained. Surely not
           | all of the fuel "ignites" at the same time? Shouldn't a
           | larger mass of fuel increase the energy output (there's more
           | of it to "burn")?
        
       | newman555 wrote:
       | is there somewhere a summary of "basic science" problems that
       | need to be solved to make fusion feasible? And - would throwing
       | more money at the problem?
        
         | apendleton wrote:
         | This book: https://www.simonandschuster.com/books/The-Star-
         | Builders/Art... just came out and is a very accessible
         | explainer.
         | 
         | The maybe-tldr version: we can make fusion occur, but it
         | currently (well, until today) takes more energy to make it
         | happen than we get out. We have good models that predict this
         | relationship, and it mostly boils down to maximizing the
         | "triple product": temperature times plasma density times
         | confinement time. The two most popular broad approaches are
         | "magnetic confinement" (holding a plasma for awhile with
         | magnetic fields) and "inertial confinement" (taking a capsule
         | and rapidly mechanically compressing it, with lasers or a
         | railgun or something, which is what this NIF thing is), and
         | each chooses to maximize the triple product by leaning on
         | different multiplicands -- inertial confinement is much shorter
         | time, but higher density as compared to magnetic. For both, the
         | other factor is plasma instabilities: plasmas don't like to
         | behave, and like to leak out of their enclosures or not
         | maintain the shapes you want them to, and lots of research
         | seems to be about controlling those.
         | 
         | Beyond that, what the challenges are depend on the approach you
         | choose. For inertial, bumping up the triple product seems to be
         | mostly about building bigger and more powerful systems, and
         | managing plasma instabilities. NIF also uses an "indirect"
         | approach where the lasers get (inefficiently) turned into
         | X-rays which then compress the plasma, and "direct" inertial
         | fusion has even bigger plasma instability problems to solve.
         | 
         | For magnetic, the most mature technologies, tokamaks, have
         | well-understood properties in terms of plasma management, and
         | the main still-to-do work had been thought to just be making
         | the machines bigger, which is what ITER is doing, but the
         | recent change is the development of high-temperature
         | superconducting magnets, which might allow for much higher-
         | strength magnetic fields, which would allow for success with
         | smaller machines (that's what, e.g., Commonwealth Fusion, is
         | pursuing). In either case, the goal is just bumping up the
         | triple product until we get to net gain. Other magnetic
         | approaches (stellarators, etc.) are probably at a somewhat-
         | earlier stage of understanding plasma behavior.
         | 
         | For both inertial and magnetic, there will also be development
         | needed after net energy gain to get enough of a gain factor
         | that the economics actually make sense and things can be mass-
         | produced (current thinking is that to actually be economical,
         | we need to get to ~30x energy out compared to what went in),
         | and also likely some materials-science innovations needed to
         | keep the reactor from wearing out due to high neutron flux, and
         | possibly some work producing tritium, the likely fuel, from
         | lithium.
         | 
         | Beyond those MCF and ICF, there are also a bunch of other less-
         | mature technologies that startups are exploring that might also
         | produce good results, and (the founders think) might do so more
         | efficiently than the big approaches, but they're not as far
         | along, and the work still to do is more basic-science-ish. This
         | would be things like Z-pinch, fuel cycles other than deuterium-
         | tritium, etc. etc.
        
           | apendleton wrote:
           | Also, realizing I didn't answer the "money" question. Fusion
           | enthusiasts definitely think so, and personally (just random
           | interested lay-person) it seems like for tokamaks in
           | particular, the physics are now well-enough understand that
           | it's probably just a matter of money/time, but it's hard to
           | say for sure.
        
       | evanb wrote:
       | https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/17/science/lasers-fusion-pow...
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | sb1752 wrote:
       | There's a long history of fraud and misleading / sensational
       | claims made my companies in the fusion space. The industry is
       | nowhere near break-even (total energy into system == total energy
       | out). ITER is a great example today. This is covered well with
       | in-depth research by journalist Steven B. Krivit. He's put
       | together a documentary exposing ITER's many false and dubious
       | claims that I recommend watching:
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xnikAFWDhNw&t=8s
        
       | mensetmanusman wrote:
       | I remember a talk ten years by the director of LL describing how
       | a power plant would potentially need something like liquid
       | lithium walls to absorb the energy and transfer heat to steam.
       | That sounded amazing.
       | 
       | Also, ASML did commercialize EUV which relies on blasting a
       | steady drip stream of molten tin, and people 10 years ago said it
       | would never be useful for industry...
        
       | blisterpeanuts wrote:
       | Slightly tangential, but this amazing scientific work makes me
       | wonder how much more we could have achieved over the last 30-40
       | years, had we diverted even a small fraction of military funding
       | to science and space research. Say, $100B/year.
       | 
       | LLNL's budget is $2.5 billion. The entire Nasa budget is around
       | $25B/year; NSF is $8.5B. It's true that there's also military R&D
       | and of course the majority of R&D is private sector[1], but just
       | saying, what a shame that there isn't more of a national focus.
       | 
       | Not only should we be spending more on civil R&D, but what did we
       | gain from that military expenditure, for example the couple of
       | trillion we poured into Afghan for 20 years?
       | 
       | 1. https://ncses.nsf.gov/pubs/nsb20203/cross-national-
       | compariso...
        
         | ttraub wrote:
         | Raising budgets don't intrinsically guarantee better results.
         | Would a larger staff of physicists etc. lead to more
         | breakthroughs or quicker results? Or would it just be piddled
         | away in frivolous experiments, nicer Aeron chairs and the like?
         | 
         | A physicist friend from NSF told me once that $50 billion would
         | be about right.
        
           | jatone wrote:
           | depends on where the bottle necks in the research are. I
           | doubt its man power. its most likely production of the
           | various parts.
           | 
           | generally speaking you don't get great returns on increasing
           | the number of scientists. you do get great returns by
           | speeding up the production of data.
        
       | binarymax wrote:
       | This is amazing! But then...
       | 
       |  _"It gives the US a lab capability to study burning plasmas and
       | high-energy physics relevant for [nuclear weapons] stewardship,"_
       | 
       | Are you freaking kidding me? How about solving the energy crisis
       | required to reverse climate change? Nope. More bombs :(
        
         | laurent92 wrote:
         | AND to solve the provisioning of fissile-capable material in
         | third world country by having tech that can work on fissiON-
         | capable material, ie non-radioactive. Which makes carrying
         | those to Africa a progress rather than war material. Which
         | means we might need less bombs.
        
         | leephillips wrote:
         | It's not more bombs so much as maintaining our existing nuclear
         | deterrent without actually testing warheads by blowing them up,
         | something that, thankfully, is behind us. Warheads deteriorate
         | over time; you can't just keep them on the shelf and claim that
         | they will still work if used. And our adversaries know this.
        
         | parhamn wrote:
         | Don't get too alarmed by this. It's how a good portion
         | scientific progress in America has always worked (especially if
         | the project needs military scale funding). The tech eventually
         | makes it out to civilian space.
        
       | credit_guy wrote:
       | The US gives about the same amount of money to the National
       | Ignition Facility as to the ITER project, roughly half a billion
       | dollars per year (a bit more for NIF, a bit less for ITER). Of
       | course, the main objective of the NIF is to assist in the
       | stewardship of the nuclear stockpile, not to seek economic
       | nuclear fusion. Still, it's great that they achieved this
       | milestone. Congrats to all involved. And good luck in the future.
        
         | topspin wrote:
         | "the main objective of the NIF is to assist in the stewardship
         | of the nuclear stockpile"
         | 
         | I suspect that's always been a funding fig leaf. The nuclear
         | stockpile stewardship claim is highly dubious.
         | 
         | Not that I mind. There are worse things diverted DOD money has
         | been squandered on.
        
           | vajrabum wrote:
           | This isn't diverted and it isn't DOD money. It's DOE money.
           | If it's a figleaf then what's it covering?
        
             | willis936 wrote:
             | Department of Energy wasn't made when the grid came online;
             | it was made when nuclear bombs were invented. The DoE isn't
             | the department of electrical power security; it is the
             | department of nuclear weapons security. The fusion energy
             | research has been painfully underfunded because there isn't
             | a political motivation to solve the problem. How does
             | solving the energy crisis benefit the countries that
             | benefit the most from it? Put another way: when you are on
             | top of the hill, why would you flatten the landscape?
        
           | willis936 wrote:
           | MCF faces a few engineering hurdles. ICF faces several times
           | more. Investing in a facility on the scale of NIF for ICF
           | doesn't make much sense if the goal is economic fusion power
           | on the grid. There are much lower hanging fruits where that
           | money could be spent: such as on new MCF machines or a wider
           | and shallower mix of ICF machines. Ask non-US fusion
           | researchers how they feel about ICF if you want a proper
           | outside perspective.
        
             | Robotbeat wrote:
             | Magnetic confinement fusion like ITER is no less of a
             | boondoggle. Maybe even more so because the progress is
             | intentionally slow in spite of not having a dual-role for
             | "stockpile stewardship." ITER is being funded not just by
             | the US but by many countries, started development in 1985,
             | detailed design in 2001, and construction in 2013, but it's
             | not even PLANNED to get full fusion until 2035. _2035_!
             | 
             | Plus, it won't even generate electricity at all. That's
             | planned for the DEMO reactor that won't start operation
             | until 2051 at earliest. It is depressingly slow if you
             | think one of the main reasons we should be developing
             | alternative energy sources is to address climate change.
             | It's so bad as to qualify as a waste and maybe even a
             | negative investment as it's pulling a bunch of researchers
             | toward a project that literally has no hope of being
             | relevant to fighting climate change (as its first possible
             | kilowatt-hour of electricity won't start until 30 years
             | from now, well after we've exhausted our carbon budget for
             | 2 degrees C of warming).
        
               | sjburt wrote:
               | The problem is that ITER is funded as a science project,
               | and the researchers want to get as much research as
               | possible.
               | 
               | So they are going to spend a lot of time studying plasma
               | before they irradiate the vessel with fusion byproducts
               | and it's no longer safe to take apart (for example, to
               | add new sensors).
               | 
               | It's the only facility of this size so the research
               | program is completely sequential.
               | 
               | We could have fusion, we just need to spend $20 billion a
               | year for 10 years. Not $1 billion a year for 200 years.
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | The first job of ITER is to show that disruptions can be
               | controlled. This is absolutely necessary, and requires
               | access to the machine to repair it when disruptions
               | occur. So this had better be done without tritium (or
               | possibly even deuterium). And if they can't do it, they
               | will never be allowed to operate the machine with
               | tritium.
        
               | Robotbeat wrote:
               | They could spend the same amount per year and get results
               | in 5-10 years if it were being run competently.
               | 
               | There's no point in babying a facility if it means taking
               | decades too long to get useful results!
        
               | pstuart wrote:
               | What about "magnetic mirrors"?
               | https://www.llnl.gov/archives/1980s/mirror-fusion-test-
               | facil...
               | 
               | I recall hearing a scientist from the lab say that was
               | the way to go and they mothballed it because they wanted
               | to focus on weapons research.
        
               | willis936 wrote:
               | Mirrors are interesting. They hit very high performance
               | metrics in a small budget. However they have this pesky
               | issue of requiring an electrostatic field. Conduction
               | losses are a killer, scale up in nasty ways, and ablate
               | material quickly.
               | 
               | In terms of inexpensive neutron sources: they're perhaps
               | some of the best we have.
        
               | tsimionescu wrote:
               | I also understand that fusion in general is unlikely to
               | be an economically-viable energy source anyway, since the
               | reactor and any surrounding material will be relatively
               | quickly (~few years) be made brittle by the neutron
               | bombardment, while also becoming radioactive - meaning
               | any fusion plant will have to be carefully and constantly
               | torn down and rebuilt, and materials from the old plant
               | securely stored for large amounts of time (not as large
               | as fission waste, but still in the order of decades or
               | centuries). There are other concerns with hydrogen escape
               | etc, but this one seems completely fundamental.
        
               | Robotbeat wrote:
               | Some methods of fusion solve this in varying ways, with
               | liquid metal blankets, etc, or using non-neutron is
               | fusion fuels. But that's missing the point. There's no
               | path to these more viable methods of economically
               | producing power that don't run through the path of
               | generating more fusion energy than it absorbs, so we
               | start with the easier fuels first to prove we can do
               | sustained fusion before worrying too much about neutron
               | embrittlement.
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | Even if we had unobtainium that was free of radiation
               | degradation, fusion reactors would still be unlikely to
               | be competitive -- they're just too large and complex, and
               | hence expensive.
        
             | topspin wrote:
             | I don't buy this view. You can see from the quotes these
             | physicists don't really understand why they got this
             | result. We don't actually know enough about what is
             | happening with ICF of MCF or any other xF to rule out
             | approaches. And why should I need to seek foreign opinions
             | to confirm your view? NIF detractors grow on trees in the
             | US. You never, ever get a story about NIF without one
             | chiming in.
        
           | hppb wrote:
           | Fusion using lasers is an off-shoot of H-Bomb development,
           | and advances by John Nuckolls from early laser-based fusion
           | research in the 1960s(!) were fed back into H-Bomb research.
           | 
           | These fields are surprisingly related. For details, see Alex
           | Wellerstein's book "Restricted Data", chapter 7.
        
       | _Microft wrote:
       | Here is your daily bit of useless knowledge: the energy released
       | by fusion from this single, microscopic target is roughly the
       | caloric value of a McDonald's cheeseburger (~300kCal).
        
         | QuadmasterXLII wrote:
         | For intuition about what it's like to release the energy
         | instantly, it's also ~ one hand grenade.
        
         | colechristensen wrote:
         | A cheeseburger's worth of energy actually extracted from
         | something the size of a spec of dust. It's a good way to make
         | numbers real.
         | 
         | Alternatively it's about the amount of energy to raise 4 L of
         | water from room temperature to boiling.
        
           | jonplackett wrote:
           | For some reason I'm surprised a cheese burger has enough
           | energy to boil my kettle multiple times.
        
             | stickfigure wrote:
             | A cheeseburger has enough energy to power _you_ for most of
             | a day. Possibly doing a lot of heavy lifting, and
             | continuously running the largest and most sophisticated
             | neural network hardware on the planet.
        
               | eloff wrote:
               | That'd be a very large cheeseburger. I burn more calories
               | in a typical 50 min workout (weights, not cardio, it's
               | easier with cardio.)
        
               | stickfigure wrote:
               | Looking up burgers I've eaten recently:
               | 
               | * A bacon cheeseburger from Five Guys is 1060 kcal
               | 
               | * A double-double from In-N-Out is 670 kcal, and that's
               | before you make it animal style
               | 
               | But yeah, not a McDonald's cheeseburger. I'm somewhat
               | offended that they're allowed to call those "burgers".
        
               | aaaaaaaaaaab wrote:
               | A 300 kcal cheeseburger? I don't think so. The baseline
               | metabolic rate of an adult is ~1700 kcal/day.
        
             | furyofantares wrote:
             | Yeah, I mean, it's just generally astounding that the food
             | I eat is enough to power even a sedentary lifestyle, let
             | alone one with a bunch of running and other exercise.
        
             | dralley wrote:
             | The definition of a dietary calorie (kilo-calorie) is the
             | amount of energy needed to raise the temperature of 1kg of
             | water by 1 degree Celcius.
             | 
             | So the kettle math is actually quite straightforwards.
        
           | thereddaikon wrote:
           | Since any practical reactor will use steam turbines to
           | translate heat to useable energy that last one is actually a
           | good way to think of it.
        
             | PaulHoule wrote:
             | Not steam turbines, closed-cycle gas turbines.
        
         | crispyambulance wrote:
         | Yes, the energy equivalent of McDonald's Cheeseburger dietary
         | calories.
         | 
         | From a blob of matter about 100 microns across and over a
         | timespan of less than a nanosecond.
         | 
         | Obviously, once (or IF) they get this thing to be repeatable
         | and then scalable, it will become a big deal.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | lolc wrote:
       | I like how they didn't expect it:
       | 
       | "The lab is still analyzing the results from the shot. It's not
       | yet known which or what combination of advances to the targets,
       | laser pulse lengths, or other variables led to the leap in
       | performance. Some of the instruments were saturated by the
       | unexpected yield of the reaction. A few that are used in the
       | target chamber for other, non-ignition experiments will need
       | repair."
        
       | Robotbeat wrote:
       | This is fantastic. And I agree with the fellow mentioning direct
       | drive as better. If you can get the same results using direct
       | drive, you'll have a sizable energy gain above what the input
       | energy was, perhaps enough to drive a (multiple stage) heat
       | engine and produce net electricity.
       | 
       | Anyway, I also want to point out that laser inertial confinement
       | fusion bears a not-coincidental (some of the same codes and
       | plasma physics techniques developed for laser fusion were used by
       | Lawrence Livermore and others to develop EUV) resemblance to the
       | extreme UV light sources sold by ASML and used for the highest
       | end computer chips today. Compare the LIFE fusion reactor concept
       | (based on an evolution of the NIF) with the EUV light source of
       | droplets of tin being hit with a pulsed laser:
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laser_Inertial_Fusion_Energy
       | 
       | EUV light source: https://youtu.be/IattxYrc9Go
       | 
       | (The Hohlrahm of the National Ignition Facility, surrounding the
       | tritium deuterium fuel pellet, is acting like the tin droplet of
       | the EUV light source, converting longer wavelength pulsed laser
       | light to (near) X-Rays.)
        
         | jeffbee wrote:
         | NIF isn't supposed to achieve net power generation. It's a
         | defense research facility which is intended to test nuclear
         | weapons technology without violating weapons testing bans.
        
           | Robotbeat wrote:
           | That is not quite correct. Yes, its primary purpose is
           | "stockpile management," but it's not _exclusively_ that. It
           | was ALSO sold as a facility to study fusion power generation,
           | hence this announcement.
           | 
           | LIFE was a proposed follow-on project to NIF that would be
           | focused on power generation demonstration (high repetition
           | rates, etc). It never went anywhere and work on it
           | effectively stopped around 2013 or so.
        
             | leephillips wrote:
             | But the comment you're replying to is exactly correct. NIF
             | is not LIFE. Ignition is far from net power generation, by
             | a few orders of magnitude.
        
           | Roboprog wrote:
           | I picked up on that angle as well.
           | 
           | "Ignition" isn't about generating electricity. It's about
           | making fusion bombs which don't emit neutrons or other
           | radiation (from a fission trigger) while the device is in
           | storage.
           | 
           | So, not primarily a power generation design like a tokamak
           | would be.
        
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