[HN Gopher] Mosquito saliva alone has profound effects on the hu...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Mosquito saliva alone has profound effects on the human immune
       system (2018)
        
       Author : danboarder
       Score  : 167 points
       Date   : 2021-08-23 17:22 UTC (5 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (journals.plos.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (journals.plos.org)
        
       | autokad wrote:
       | "We detected both Th1 and Th2 human immune responses, and delayed
       | effects on cytokine levels in the blood, and immune cell
       | compositions in the skin and bone marrow, up to 7 days post-
       | bites."
       | 
       | I wonder if this could be a treatment for cytokine storms caused
       | by things such as the spanish flu.
        
       | gillytech wrote:
       | > ... mosquito and sandfly saliva have also been shown to enhance
       | infectivity and disease progression
       | 
       | I wonder if it was mosquitos that have evolved to make disease
       | they are carrying more infectious or it's the pathogen that
       | evolved to take advantage of the mosquito's biology to make the
       | host more likely to become infected. Regardless this is
       | fascinating.
        
       | inglor_cz wrote:
       | On a related note: interestingly, humans can develop immunity to
       | _ticks_. Which means that if a tick bites them, it dies.
       | 
       | https://www.caryinstitute.org/news-insights/media-coverage/h...
       | 
       | Utterly fascinating. Our bodies are so much more complex than I
       | could have imagined.
        
         | dwighttk wrote:
         | Instead of a Lyme vaccine we should work on spreading this to
         | everyone
         | 
         | (Or you know, we could do both.)
        
         | mv4 wrote:
         | ticks' bodies are pretty amazing to:
         | 
         | https://www.cdc.gov/ticks/alpha-gal/index.html
        
         | Kenji wrote:
         | That's interesting. I seem to kill small mosquitoes when they
         | bite me. I've observed it multiple times. It lands, it bites
         | and it becomes completely unresponsive. Because I was drunk at
         | the time, I chalked it up to blood alcohol content which will
         | yield quite a bit of alcohol if a mosquito drinks so-and-so
         | many times its own body weight (I did some basic math) but
         | since then it also happened when I was sober.
        
           | ProjectArcturis wrote:
           | Even if you were at 0.5% BAC (legal driving limit is 0.08%,
           | and 0.5% would kill a lot of people), that's still about the
           | alcohol percentage in NA beer. Unlikely to have any effect.
        
           | parsecs wrote:
           | That's very interesting as well. Could you expand a little on
           | what you mean by them becoming completely unresponsive?
        
       | BurningFrog wrote:
       | Sounds like mosquito saliva can yield new drugs to treat immune
       | system problems.
        
       | personjerry wrote:
       | I read the abstract but it told me nothing. Could someone smarter
       | to me help translate?
       | 
       | What are the profound effects?
       | 
       | What are Th1 and Th2 responses?
       | 
       | What are cytokines?
       | 
       | What are immune cell compositions?
       | 
       | Overall is this a good effect or a bad effect?
        
         | mcguire wrote:
         | The Author Summary seems to provide a more plain-English
         | description:
         | 
         | " _Mosquito saliva proteins have numerous effects on the immune
         | system, and we describe here the use of mice with a humanized
         | immune system to study the effects of mosquito bites on human
         | cells. Our results show that the number of immune cell types
         | affected is much larger than previously described, and some
         | immune responses to mosquito bites can be detected up until 7
         | days post-bite. The biological significance of these changes
         | remains to be determined, but it might explain how some
         | pathogens, such as viruses, can spread through the body in
         | these cells, replicate to higher extents, and even remain in
         | some tissues for far longer than detected in blood._ "
         | 
         | They're using stem cells to provide mice with "humanized"
         | immune systems. The mosquito saliva is interacting with more
         | types of immune cells than previously thought and remain active
         | for longer than thought. The effects of these interactions is
         | still unknown, but may be part of how bacteria, viruses, etc.
         | carried by mosquitoes infect humans.
        
         | aborowie wrote:
         | Cytokines are signaling molecules used by the immune system,
         | there are around 20 of them with names like IL-4 and IL-10. The
         | IL stands for inter leukin (signal between white blood cells).
         | 
         | T Cells start as B Cells and then graduate from Thymus school
         | after rigorous coursework (mainly don't target and attack
         | self). Most T helper cells stay as Th0 or undifferentiated. Th1
         | are specialized for inter cellular pathogens (bacteria and
         | virus), Th2 broadly speaking are specialized for intra cellular
         | pathogens (helminths and parasites).
         | 
         | Pathogens that have been around for a while like bacteria,
         | virus, helminths, and parasites have evolved to push back
         | against immune systems to varying degrees.
         | 
         | Source "The Body" by Bill Bryson
        
           | yhoneycomb wrote:
           | I think it's so interesting how this guy asked pretty
           | rudimentary questions and got such an amazing response. I
           | wish the tech community could be just as nice to newcomers.
        
         | danboarder wrote:
         | Regarding understanding this as a good or bad effect, I think
         | this is still an open question and further research is needed.
         | My take away is that the rush to eradicating mosquitoes may
         | have unintended consequences as we don't fully understand how
         | symbiotic they are in the development of the human immune
         | system.
        
       | tartoran wrote:
       | When I was a kid I couldn't care less about mosquitoes and during
       | the summer most of the kids' legs and arms had mosquito bites and
       | deep scratches, but for some reason some kids were never bitten
       | regardless of where they'd hang out or sleep.
       | 
       | Not sure whether it's a good thing or not but now I am extremely
       | cautious not to get any bites. This summer for example I avoided
       | the backyard almost completely for this reason, with some
       | exceptions when I covered myself in mosquito repellant spray. The
       | mosquito candles I tried last time weren't very efficient in my
       | case.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | nomel wrote:
         | I was one of the kids that mosquitos loved. One night I counted
         | 30 bites on my legs/arms, where my friend had one. This stopped
         | after I hit 25 or so.
         | 
         | This makes me assume there's some pheromone that could be
         | extracted from a younger me, used to lure mosquitos to their
         | death.
        
           | learn_more wrote:
           | Could also be lack of hair on your arms/legs.
        
           | jcims wrote:
           | There are observed biases based on blood type
           | 
           | https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/15311477/
           | 
           | I'm O negative and have always seemed to get the worst of it
           | when out when friends.
           | 
           | I recently took up cigar smoking (yes i know) and anecdotally
           | have found that I don't get bit as often if I've been smoking
           | recently...to the point of watching someone six feet from me
           | get destroyed while they avoid me completely. My father-in-
           | law has been smoking for 50+ years and they ignore him.
        
             | notdang wrote:
             | They avoid you only when you smoke or in general, also when
             | you don't smoke?
        
         | monkeytaco wrote:
         | I've found these to be pretty effective.
         | https://www.amazon.com/dp/B08PDNCMMN
        
           | NegativeLatency wrote:
           | Saved my ass (literally) in an outhouse in the Alaskan tundra
           | this summer.
        
           | gilbetron wrote:
           | +1 to those. I was shocked to actually have a repellent that
           | really worked. When I bought two years ago, I had gotten a
           | puppy and would work in my back yard so he and my other dog
           | could hang around outside, chewing and messing around. Summer
           | came and the mosquitoes were awful. Stick one of those under
           | my chair, and I'd go from 10+ bites a minute to 1 bite per
           | hour, if that.
        
           | wintermutestwin wrote:
           | It is so awesome that you have to dig into the comments to
           | determine that this uses metofluthrin. :-\
        
           | djmips wrote:
           | Toxic to cats and bees?
        
             | pishpash wrote:
             | Yes, most of these are neurotoxins, at insect doses of
             | courses.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | heavyset_go wrote:
         | You might be on to something. I got a fever and was sick for a
         | while after being bit by a lot of mosquitoes last year. It
         | could have been a coincidence, but I'm still going to try to
         | avoid getting weird illnesses from their bites from now on.
        
       | stamourd wrote:
       | The things you can learn on HN.
       | 
       | "humanized mice footpads" are a thing.
        
         | echelon wrote:
         | Mice are one of the most effective research tools available
         | right now.
         | 
         | Many protocols use foot injury to look for heat shock response,
         | immune recruitment, inflammation, etc.
         | 
         | There are monoclonal lines for gene knockouts, human chimeras,
         | etc. to aid in certain types of study.
        
       | tmaly wrote:
       | What I find interesting is how I react to mosquito bites in
       | Southeast Asia verse how I react to bites in North America. The
       | difference is huge.
        
         | lossolo wrote:
         | Could you elaborate?
        
       | sillyquiet wrote:
       | Speaking anecdotally - here in central Texas, we have a few
       | species of mosquito, and my reaction to a bite varies from a
       | small bump that goes away in a day to intense swelling and
       | itching. And it all seemingly depends on which type of mosquito
       | bit me.
        
         | jmnicolas wrote:
         | Try heating it with a hair dryer until pain. I'm not sure for
         | mosquitoes but it works for me with hornets and horse flies
         | bites.
        
           | Vaslo wrote:
           | That's a great trick. I was always told to use a metal spoon
           | and get it as hot as you can stand it and press it the bite
           | as much as you can and as long as you can stand it. Never
           | thought about the hair dryer.
        
             | jmnicolas wrote:
             | The hair dryer is much more controllable, you might
             | severely burn yourself with the spoon (and need another
             | trick to relive the pain ;)
             | 
             | For what it's worth my hair is so short I never owned a
             | hair drier until I heard about this trick. So I bought a
             | cheap one and it's only used in summer.
        
           | Sunspark wrote:
           | I just use a blue gel ice pack on the bite for 2 minutes.
        
           | wintermutestwin wrote:
           | This is my solution as well. I find that an intense heating
           | session will keep the itch at bay for up to 8 hours.
           | 
           | I think the hot spoon that others have mentioned is also
           | worth a try as the circumference of the bite and spoon could
           | keep non bite areas from burning.
        
           | kennywinker wrote:
           | There are little infrared pens that you can get that do this
           | without pain, just heating the area with IR to denature the
           | proteins injected by the insect
        
             | currydove wrote:
             | Oh interesting. Any recommendations that you have?
        
               | EGreg wrote:
               | Please share the Amazon links!
        
               | goldenkey wrote:
               | Please don't act like Amazon is the only shop around.
               | They are a terrible shop, actively adversarial to their
               | merchants and customers. They are chock full of fake
               | reviews, they comingle inventory, and practice many dark
               | patterns.
               | 
               | Most people think that Amazon sells all the products on
               | their site - because Amazon designs their site to look
               | like it. Even young people who are technically literate
               | are fooled. This results in a lot of harm..
               | 
               | https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2021/08/amazons-plan-
               | to-...
               | 
               | In actuality, eBay is more of a trustworthy marketplace
               | than Amazon...
        
               | willyt wrote:
               | I just bought something from amazon and it turns out it
               | was coming from a seller in another country and i had to
               | pay an extra PS24 in import duties and carrier charges.
               | Nowhere on the listing did it say it was coming from
               | outside the UK.
        
               | goldenkey wrote:
               | I am sorry to hear that. Amazon's UI is purposely
               | designed to make it difficult to notice this kind of
               | information. Buyers are lulled into a false sense of
               | assuredness.
               | 
               | Listings are often even hijacked!
               | 
               | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27684807
               | 
               | (And Amazon couldn't care less!)
        
               | brnt wrote:
               | Didn't y'all vote for having extra tariffs a while back?
        
               | bserge wrote:
               | Your effort is appreciated.
        
               | goldenkey wrote:
               | Thank you. It's difficult to oppose such a large
               | behemoth.
        
               | meristohm wrote:
               | Thanks for promoting other options. When recommending
               | books I use worldcat.org links rather than the more-
               | exploitative for-profit vendors.
               | 
               | In the interest of making more art available to more
               | people, independent of spending-money, I'd rather us
               | collectively invest more in public libraries. To what
               | degree do public libraries fund authors?
        
               | TonyTrapp wrote:
               | BiteAway works well for me.
        
               | emptyfile wrote:
               | This stuff absolutely works, but I would call it the
               | opposite of painless.
        
             | a_brawling_boo wrote:
             | I had a handful of marks/scars that lasted for several
             | years on my legs after using one of these. I am sure it
             | depends on the brand, but please be careful using these.
        
             | tempestn wrote:
             | These are great. I find they are slightly
             | uncomfortable/painful, but only mildly so and momentarily.
             | Much more localized than something like a hairdryer or
             | spoon though. Helps with wasp stings too.
        
           | Kenji wrote:
           | Yes, heat works wonders. Hot water also works. Even against
           | bee stings. Practically no swelling and no pain within a few
           | minutes.
        
           | yosito wrote:
           | I just take a super hot shower. It works for all kinds of
           | itching: bug bites, poison ivy, eczema...
        
             | bserge wrote:
             | I just ignore it and wait.
        
             | meristohm wrote:
             | Doesn't hot water make skin conditions worse in the long
             | run?
        
               | yosito wrote:
               | It depends on the condition and it's cause.
        
           | ozim wrote:
           | How long after bite does it work?
           | 
           | Usually in the woods I don't have a hair dryer with me. So
           | you are using it if you get bitten in the backyard or if you
           | get back home from the hike?
           | 
           | Usually I also notice bites the next day when they start
           | itching or when I get evening shower unless I really slap
           | that mosquito in the act.
        
             | jmnicolas wrote:
             | The first time I heard about this method I tried one or 2
             | days later after the bite and it worked, so if it's a day
             | hike there won't be any problem.
        
             | clipradiowallet wrote:
             | Depends what you take hiking with you...but I imagine at
             | the minimum you have a fire method(matches? lighted? flint?
             | etc) and metal object(pocket knife? belt knife? eating
             | utensil?). Those will work well in a pinch, just don't heat
             | it too much and have an impromptu branding session...
        
           | toss1 wrote:
           | Good trick - I use hot water, at hot as I can stand for both
           | bites and poison ivy rashes, trying to minimize exposure
           | beyond the affected area. Really calms it all down for hours
           | after the zing of the hot water.
        
             | petre wrote:
             | Also rubbing with salt, vinegar, 70% alcohol. Apple vinegar
             | helped me with a contact allergy I got after walking
             | through some "grass".
        
           | mayankkaizen wrote:
           | It does work on mosquito bite. Actually try putting anything
           | (tolerably) hot at the place of mosquito bite. I don't have
           | hair drier so I use just hot spoon. I guess this heat
           | treatment somehow disintegrates the chemical released by
           | mosquito.
           | 
           | Edit: posted this comment before reading other comments so
           | didnt realize others have also suggested the same.
        
           | elteto wrote:
           | A hot spoon works too. It should not burn you though, just
           | hot enough to be somewhat uncomfortable. I just run hot tap
           | water over the spoon.
        
         | gHosts wrote:
         | I suspect wrong hypothesis there.... the variable is probably
         | what other allergen is on you skin (or finger nails) and
         | whether and how much you scratch it! Temperature is probably
         | also a factor.
        
         | Igelau wrote:
         | I get those reactions with one bite. If I get a lot of them I'm
         | fatigued for days.
        
         | hendler wrote:
         | Tiger mosquitos gave my son a strong reaction
         | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3708019/
        
         | bserge wrote:
         | Same thing in Europe.
        
         | charles_f wrote:
         | Totally! I leave in BC, the few mosquitoes which make it into
         | my house despite nets usually give me big bumps that last for a
         | few days and scratch like hell. When I get into the deeper
         | woods, I get eaten alive, but these bites' effect seems to last
         | only a few hours. Might also be the blood pumping though, but I
         | do think that natural selection, even over a short variation of
         | geo, results in such differences
        
         | singlow wrote:
         | Seems like a plausible explanation but how do you have any idea
         | which species bit you in order to be able to draw a conclusion
         | that there's a correlation?
        
           | Lammy wrote:
           | They're pretty visible/memorable due to their white stripes:
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aedes_albopictus
        
             | singlow wrote:
             | But do you see the mosquito that bit you most of the time,
             | unsmashed? Often enough to correlate?
        
               | sillyquiet wrote:
               | Speaking personally - not always do I notice the
               | mosquito.
               | 
               | But I have noticed often enough to note the difference.
               | For me, the smaller, more stealthy mosquitos give me the
               | small, temporary bump, but the larger more noticeable
               | ones like the tiger mosquito or what we call zebra
               | mosquitos (I _think_ they are actually western
               | encephalitis mosquitos (!)) have a more dramatic
               | reaction.
        
         | aidenn0 wrote:
         | I visited my parents in the DC area, and there's been a bunch
         | of people developing really nasty rashes from insect bites, I
         | don't know if it's confirmed, but it seems to be attributed to
         | an oak-mite[1]
         | 
         | 1: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pyemotes_herfsi
        
           | pwg wrote:
           | There was an article on that topic in the Washington Post at
           | the end of July:
           | 
           | WaPo link: https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-
           | va/2021/07/30/oak-mites...
           | 
           | Archive.is link (no paywall): https://archive.is/AEi6a
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | 01100011 wrote:
         | My wife has 'skeeter syndrome' and the bites vary from normal
         | mosquito bites to 3-4" wide, weeping bumps depending on where
         | we were at when she got bit. Hawaii was the worst. WA state
         | wasn't too bad.
        
         | wil421 wrote:
         | We have some in Georgia but I don't think there are as many
         | species as Texas.
         | 
         | A mosquito has never left a mark or made me itch in my life.
         | Poison ivy on the other hand...I could look at it and get a
         | rash but not the go to the doctor rash.
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | jokoon wrote:
       | Of all the place i get bit, the ankle is the worst and most
       | sensitive place, and I always get rash and scars.
        
       | KoftaBob wrote:
       | This is actually the main idea behind the "Bug Bite Thing"
       | product I came across recently. It acts as a suction tube to
       | remove mosquito saliva from the bite and therefore minimize the
       | immune inflammation at the site.
       | 
       | Naturally, as soon as it came in the mail, I have yet to get a
       | mosquito bite since.
        
         | morsch wrote:
         | So you're saying it works as a preventative, as well.
        
       | ivoras wrote:
       | One of the few things which can reliably fuck up brains are
       | (auto)immune events.
       | 
       | It would be impossible to collect the data but I would LOVE to
       | see how longevity and mental faculty correlate with
       | attractiveness to mosquitoes.
        
         | amelius wrote:
         | Perhaps you could start by comparing longevity and mental
         | faculty between countries with/without large amounts of
         | mosquitoes.
        
       | yourapostasy wrote:
       | It would be quite ironic if The Great Filter turned out to be the
       | xeno equivalent of mosquitoes spreading some unstoppable virus.
       | Or if mosquito saliva contains the proteins(s) to unlock some
       | medical breakthrough like some immune system stimulant that
       | obsoletes antibiotics, or cryo-sleep. I try to keep those
       | possibilities in mind whenever I get carried away with my
       | fantasies of an _anopheles_ genetic bomb, but durnit, those bites
       | do have a convincing way about them to persuade one to a  "kill
       | 'em all" disposition. Thanks for the paper, it was a very neat
       | read.
        
         | jcims wrote:
         | Agreed. It boggles my mind that people are willing to just
         | assume that all of the unknowns balance in our favor when it
         | comes to wiping out mosquitoes. How many species has the human
         | immune system had to adapt to more than mosquitoes? Yes they
         | kill a lot of people, but its entirely possible that by
         | normalizing the immune response against wide swaths of the
         | planet they save a lot more.
        
       | fezzez wrote:
       | Mosquitos are the closest thing to a predator that we have.
       | They're by far the animal that kills the most humans (outside of
       | other humans), and it's been that way for at least 10s of
       | thousands of years.
       | 
       | We already know that billions of humans have genetic mutations
       | that specifically are there to protect us from mosquitos. So I'm
       | not surprised that mosquitos have specific adaptations made for
       | us either.
        
       | dcolkitt wrote:
       | Imagine if dirty needles started flying around randomly targeting
       | children. It constantly shocks me that mosquito eradication is
       | controversial, let alone not one of the highest priorities of
       | society.
        
         | wintermutestwin wrote:
         | It seems like eradication is a blunt instrument approach to the
         | problem. We know that some people are much more likely to get
         | bit. How can it be so hard to determine the differing factor??
         | To your point (and ignoring the extreme solution), why have we
         | not put the requisite energy towards solving this problem?
        
         | fguerraz wrote:
         | OMG children! Therefore we must do something.
        
           | droopyEyelids wrote:
           | Ok.. do something, do something... how about we use cutting
           | edge genetic modification technology to eliminate categories
           | of life from the biosphere? Then afterwards we can talk about
           | ethical implications and deal with unexpected consequences as
           | the technology proliferates
        
             | asddubs wrote:
             | we've accidentally killed so many species, can't we just do
             | this one single one on purpose
        
       | timonoko wrote:
       | I remember sitting in Kautokeino bus with an older Sami man.
       | Dozens of mosquitoes just sat on his forehead just waiting for
       | something edible. I was only semi-edible with DEET. But an
       | Italian couple was totally. It was incredible to watch, I wish I
       | had a camera. Blood bath and genocide.
        
         | eitland wrote:
         | There is a joke about mosquitoes in Northern Norway that goes
         | like this:
         | 
         | Two mosquitoes caught a soldier and one asked the other: should
         | we eat him here or bring back home? To which the other mosquito
         | answer: No, lets eat him here lest we want one of the big
         | mosquitoes come and take him.
         | 
         | Source: close friend who served next to the Russian border.
         | 
         | I was south in Troms and down there they were so small we could
         | easily kill them with a shovel or something ;-)
        
         | cinbun8 wrote:
         | We found the gpt-3 everyone
        
           | riffic wrote:
           | it makes perfect sense to me.
        
             | ask_b123 wrote:
             | I'm not sure why the comment is dead, but I also don't
             | really understand the comment. Could you explain it please?
        
               | timonoko wrote:
               | I was trying to point out that Mosquito saliva produces
               | somekind of deterrent and antigen. It takes only few
               | bites and days to adapt with suitable genetic background.
               | But Italians were offended and it turned into flame war.
        
               | riffic wrote:
               | I vouched your comment. I don't know why stuff needs to
               | be downvoted to oblivion around here. HN voters, stop it
               | and stop being so damn fickle.
        
               | thatguy0900 wrote:
               | He's giving an anecdote. Mosquitos would land on a native
               | man but not bite him. Some mosquitos bit him(timonoko)
               | but he had DEET on so not many did. An Italian couple got
               | very badly bitten and spent the trip trying to slap and
               | genocide all of the mosquitos.
        
             | nawgz wrote:
             | I mostly agree, there is an omission of "edible" after
             | "totally" that makes it read confusingly. However, I find
             | the last sentence - "blood bath and genocide" - to be very
             | out of place, to the point where invoking "genocide" to
             | talk about some mosquitos getting swatted feels quite
             | inappropriate.
        
               | nitrogen wrote:
               | Wouldn't the reverse reading make more sense, that the
               | mosquitoes were creating a blood bath? And when did
               | colorful metaphors become anathema?
        
               | riffic wrote:
               | it's metaphoric. Language can be used outside of its
               | typical idiomatic expression.
        
       | ineedasername wrote:
       | We really seem to know extraordinarily little about how our
       | bodies work apart from physical mechanics & electrical activity.
       | I can't even put a % on the rest except that we have barely
       | scratched the surface. From epigenetics to the brain, metabolism,
       | and immune system, we have a long way to go.
       | 
       | On the other hand, we've probably made more progress in that
       | understanding during the past 100 years than in all of the time
       | before that. So, if our rate of knowledge acquisition is
       | increasing, maybe that upward hill isn't quite so steep.
        
         | jes wrote:
         | I was having a discussion with a friend yesterday and we got
         | onto the topic of vaccinations.
         | 
         | To my knowledge, while we can develop a statistical assessment
         | of a vaccine's safety, we can never know how the vaccine will
         | affect a specific person that takes it. My argument here is
         | that the human body is so fantastically complex that no two
         | cases are ever the same, and so the only way to know how a
         | vaccine will affect a person is to run the experiment, by
         | having them take it.
         | 
         | I think this is one attribute of what are called "Wicked
         | Problems": The only way to know if a change is going to be an
         | improvement or not is to make the change and see how the system
         | state evolves forward in time.
         | 
         | Is this roughly correct?
        
           | skulk wrote:
           | It points to an interesting gap in discourse around vaccines.
           | 
           | One side (the mainstream) claims vaccines are effective and
           | safe. The other side, claims that no, we do not in fact know
           | that the vaccine is safe and therefore you should not get it
           | and take your chances with the disease.
           | 
           | The problem is that we don't in fact know that the vaccines
           | are truly safe for everyone, because mRNA technology (while
           | incredible) is new, but from my personal interactions I've
           | observed that most intelligent people see that getting the
           | vaccine increases your expected quality of life given you've
           | never had COVID before. However, those who don't believe this
           | will take any claim made by the mainstream (vaccines are
           | safe) as evidence that they are hiding something, further
           | deepening their suspicions.
           | 
           | This is a feedback loop; the more people that refuse the
           | vaccine, the more the mainstream will push for more
           | vaccinations, causing more people to refuse the vaccine. All
           | because the nuance of "we don't know that this is as safe as
           | taking a walk in the sun, but we have solid evidence that it
           | improves your E[QOL]" isn't easy to communicate.
        
             | endgame wrote:
             | More precisely, "the other side" claims that we do not in
             | fact know the vaccine is safe, and points to all the other
             | times "the mainstream" side lied to us as reasons to be
             | skeptical: the US Surgeon-General told us "masks don't
             | work", lying to manage supply, now they're critical; Biden
             | said "get vaccinated, or wear a mask until you do", now the
             | masks are going back on; Kamala Harris said she wouldn't
             | take a Trump vaccine, now there's a big fight over mandates
             | and passports; Fauci kept dangling a vaccine target just
             | beyond what the country was tracking towards (there are
             | articles where he's quoted as saying "I can nudge this up a
             | bit"); Cuomo was hailed as some great leader despite
             | sending covid-positive people into old people's homes (it
             | was his sexual misconduct that finally sunk him).
             | 
             | Hesitancy around covid vaccines isn't the antivax of the
             | previous generation, and responding as if it was won't help
             | anything. Actually having an honest conversation with the
             | public that you're more likely better off with a vaccine is
             | not an easy concept to communicate (as you correctly point
             | out), but it would be a good first step in trying to
             | rebuild that lost trust.
        
           | Cort3z wrote:
           | With this reasoning you can't know if drinking water is good
           | for you without drinking it, so bringing vaccines into the
           | mix has nothing to do with it.
        
           | ineedasername wrote:
           | We have a very bare minimum of knowledge for individual
           | treatment, but only in a very few cases. There are genetic
           | markers known, for example, to impact metabolism of specific
           | medications, and there are tests (Genesight) to find out your
           | own profile. So there is some _very_ minimal progress on that
           | front. It 's a start towards personalized treatments, but we
           | don't always know _why_ a specific genetic marker doesn 't
           | work the same way or why an enzyme has such a large impact on
           | things.
        
           | dd36 wrote:
           | Evolution says hi.
           | 
           | I like Kevin Kelly's technium concept. We are merely an
           | extension of evolution and our purpose is to continue it,
           | which we do willingly and unwillingly.
        
           | teekert wrote:
           | Not really, we can test a drug on a large population and
           | determine it to be effective on 5% of all people. With no
           | further info you know you have about a 5% chance of getting
           | better. With more research we may determine that for people
           | with a specific variant in their DNA the succes rate is 60%,
           | so you can be part of two groups. We can keep making it
           | better, maybe never 100% but very from "a gamble".
           | 
           | Would you say that hopping on a plane is an experiment in
           | testing if it will crash? When you know it very likely will
           | not?
        
         | amelius wrote:
         | Things can really speed up once we have robots that grow cells
         | and perform experiments on them, and collect (big) data and
         | automatically analyze the data.
        
           | asdff wrote:
           | People already can grow up billions of cells for experiments
           | and use supercomputers to process terabytes of sequencing
           | data with statistical modelling. The hard part isn't the
           | scale, but designing experiments and figuring out what
           | evidence is needed to answer specific biological questions.
           | That stuff you can't speed up with robotic arms and more
           | processor cores, it takes time for people to think about
           | these things and have conversations with others about these
           | topics.
        
             | EamonnMR wrote:
             | Not to mention the amount of time experiments take-suppose
             | we want to know if a drug prevents an illness that takes
             | decades to develop? Sure you can model it in a mouse, but
             | to do that you need to know exactly what the parameters of
             | your model are.
        
             | amelius wrote:
             | I'm not so sure about that. For example, with robots you
             | can run "for GENE in GENOME do ..." For humans even
             | thinking about what that statement does is a lot of work
             | already!
        
               | mythrwy wrote:
               | It's not a one dimensional problem though. There is a lot
               | of interaction between the various systems in a human
               | body.
               | 
               | To keep with the programming analogy, ya, you can see the
               | SUM statement and that is necessary to understand, but
               | what is it for? What is it's role in the larger program?
               | Where do it's inputs come from? Where do they go? What
               | effect does changing it have in other places?
               | 
               | I do agree our knowledge of genetics etc. will be much
               | expanded soon. But we'll probably also make some nasty
               | errors.
        
               | amelius wrote:
               | > There is a lot of interaction between the various
               | systems in a human body.
               | 
               | Yes, the interactions are the interesting bit. Perhaps we
               | can figure out the biological pathways at the cellular
               | level by taking a systematic approach of turning genes
               | on/off and turning their expression on/off, then looking
               | at the expression of other genes. This is exactly what
               | could be done by robots.
        
           | ezconnect wrote:
           | The problem is how do we sense and measure them. Once we
           | invent the methods of sensing, measuring and observing a
           | single process we need a million more for the other process
           | and that takes time.
        
             | amelius wrote:
             | There are various techniques for that. For example with
             | RNAseq you can measure which genes are expressed as a
             | result of an experiment.
        
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