[HN Gopher] Immunity Generated from Covid-19 Vaccines Differs fr...
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       Immunity Generated from Covid-19 Vaccines Differs from an Infection
        
       Author : rolph
       Score  : 175 points
       Date   : 2021-08-26 17:30 UTC (5 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (directorsblog.nih.gov)
 (TXT) w3m dump (directorsblog.nih.gov)
        
       | civilized wrote:
       | There's a critical point I think is getting lost in the shuffle:
       | vaccine immunity may be different from natural immunity, but (1)
       | it does seem to protect against severe cases, (2) precisely
       | because the protection is imperfect, the first infection you get
       | after being vaccinated should train the immune system in a
       | similar way as an unvaccinated infection.
       | 
       | So to me, the real question is, what is your immunity like after
       | you get vaccinated AND then infected? Because that's what is most
       | likely to happen in the long run, as COVID becomes endemic.
       | Everyone's going to get an infection, so does vaccine + infection
       | give you better or worse immunity than no vaccine + infection?
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | arisAlexis wrote:
         | And then the question is, should you as a vaccinated healthy
         | person mind getting infected in the sense that it can shield
         | you maybe even more from future variants or is this a dangerous
         | game to play?
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | nightfly wrote:
           | I think it's all about timing. Right now in Oregon our
           | hospitals are full. So the less people getting infected right
           | now the better.
        
             | faeyanpiraat wrote:
             | If I remember correctly, the number of vaccinated people
             | who get infected and require hospitalization is quite low.
        
               | retrac wrote:
               | The number of people possibly infected by a vaccinated
               | person as an asymptomatic or mild symptomatic carrier and
               | who may require hospitalization is still ambiguous. I
               | will continue to err on the side of caution, tho I have
               | little worry for myself personally.
        
               | exhilaration wrote:
               | You remember correctly:
               | 
               |  _More than 99% of recent deaths were among the
               | unvaccinated, infectious disease expert Dr. Anthony Fauci
               | said earlier this month on NBC 's Meet the Press, while
               | Walensky noted on Friday that unvaccinated people
               | accounted for over 97% of hospitalizations._
               | 
               | https://www.npr.org/2021/07/16/1017002907/u-s-covid-
               | deaths-a...
        
           | maxerickson wrote:
           | It's probably still worth trying to reduce the amount of
           | virus in circulation, even if individual risk is low. There's
           | someone in another thread talking about being on
           | immunosuppressants, for example.
           | 
           | I don't think it's a binary condition either, we can do
           | things that are more effective and less costly (like cutting
           | down on large, indoor, adult social gatherings) and not do
           | things that are less effective.
        
           | randomopining wrote:
           | That's what I've been proposing for a few months. Get the
           | vaccine and then get the delta variant a few weeks later to
           | crush it and then be super immune for future variants that
           | jet off of that one.
        
             | faeyanpiraat wrote:
             | Do you have evidence that this is the best course of
             | action?
        
               | contravariant wrote:
               | Well the obvious problems with it is that it's hard to
               | tell you've been infected and you need to quarantine for
               | the entire duration until you are sure you've been
               | infected and have recovered.
               | 
               | Apart from that, if the protection from a vaccine is
               | temporary then there's no reason to believe your immune
               | system will learn anything from an infection it can
               | already handle. That part of the immune response takes a
               | while and may never succeed if the virus is long gone
               | before then.
        
         | pajamanaut wrote:
         | It seems like the article is saying that vaccine immunity is
         | actually more robust that natural immunity though.
        
           | oldgradstudent wrote:
           | If that's the case, then they should retract and work towards
           | understanding why their methodology failed so miserably.
           | 
           | The data from Israel shows an order of magnitude better
           | immunity from prior infection than the vaccine.
        
           | flatiron wrote:
           | For spike proteins. Not for the other targets you get with
           | natural immunity.
        
             | JumpCrisscross wrote:
             | > _For spike proteins. Not for the other targets you get
             | with natural immunity_
             | 
             | From the article: "the new evidence shows that protective
             | antibodies generated in response to an mRNA vaccine will
             | target a broader range of SARS-CoV-2 variants carrying
             | 'single letter' changes in a key portion of their spike
             | protein compared to antibodies acquired from an infection."
             | The study discussed in the article unequivocally states
             | that vaccine-induced immunity is more robust than that from
             | infection.
        
               | criticaltinker wrote:
               | > unequivocally states that vaccine-induced immunity is
               | more robust than that from infection.
               | 
               | It absolutely does not make such a strong claim - a more
               | accurate takeaway is that vaccination using the current
               | mRNA based formulations induces an immune response highly
               | targeted toward the S protein RBD. This has not been
               | conclusively proven to provide better or worse protection
               | than immunity acquired through natural infection.
               | 
               |  _> At first glance, the RBD targeting of the vaccine
               | sera neutralization might seem likely to increase
               | susceptibility to viral mutations, but the rest of our
               | results SUGGEST that this MAY not be the case. _
               | 
               | _> We found that the specificity of the mRNA-1273
               | vaccine-induced RBD-binding antibody response often
               | narrows over time. In contrast, the infection-elicited
               | RBD-binding antibody response often broadens over time _
               | 
               | _> The vaccinated individuals in our study were
               | relatively young (18-55 years) and healthy, whereas the
               | convalescent individuals were older (23-76 years, median
               | 56) with a range of comorbidities (13)._
               | 
               |  _> Additionally, we did not examine effects of mutations
               | or deletions to the N-terminal domain of the spike
               | protein, which can also affect neutralization by vaccine
               | sera (7). _
               | 
               | _> Our experiments assayed binding of antibodies to
               | isolated RBD expressed by yeast, and so cannot capture
               | mutational effects on trimer conformation or antibodies
               | with quaternary epitopes _
               | 
               | _> Evidence from multiple experimental studies showing
               | that single RBD point mutations can lead to resistance to
               | neutralizing convalescent plasma from multiple donors
               | suggests that specific single mutants may be able to
               | evade spike-targeting vaccinal immunity in many
               | individuals and rapidly lead to spread of vaccine-
               | resistant SARS-CoV-2. _ [1]
               | 
               | [1] Risk of rapid evolutionary escape from biomedical
               | interventions targeting SARS-CoV-2 spike protein
               | https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33909660/
        
           | civilized wrote:
           | Good point, edited to clarify.
           | 
           | Beyond just this study, which doesn't give the whole picture
           | of immunity, I think there is conflicting evidence. Given
           | that vaccine effectiveness seems to be going down in Israel,
           | I think there are legitimate concerns about the robustness of
           | vaccine-based immunity - but the question is always "relative
           | to what?". If it ultimately sets you up similar to or better
           | than natural immunity from an infection (which also wanes, as
           | we get, e.g., colds over and over throughout our lives),
           | that's the best you can hope for.
        
         | beamatronic wrote:
         | Here's a pragmatic question - do we need large amounts of
         | people who have natural (non-vaccine) antibodies to donate
         | their blood? To put it more crudely, is there a way that
         | everyone at large can benefit from their (unfortunate)
         | suffering?
        
           | rossdavidh wrote:
           | I know someone who has been donating for exactly this purpose
           | (he's a bar owner, and apparently was told by his doctors
           | that he had an extraordinarily high antibody count).
           | Unfortunately, the results from all of these kinds of
           | treatments thus far has been less than hoped for.
        
       | bsedlm wrote:
       | > A third difference is that natural infection only exposes the
       | body to the virus in the respiratory tract (unless the illness is
       | very severe), while the vaccine is delivered to muscle, where the
       | immune system may have an even better chance of seeing it and
       | responding vigorously.
       | 
       | But the respiratrory tract is constantly exposed to the external
       | world, wheras the muscles are typically protected by the skin...
       | Therefore I find this fact counterintuitive.
        
         | walterbell wrote:
         | A marketing person might consider this a way of spinning a
         | known negative into a rhetorical positive.
         | 
         | Unless people are being bitten by Covid-bearing mosquitoes,
         | blood serum antibodies aren't going to be seeing virus earlier
         | than the upper respiratory tract.
        
       | bobbytit wrote:
       | This more recent Thai study shows that natural immunity is far
       | superior for all known variants... https://www.news-
       | medical.net/news/20210719/Thai-study-looks-...
        
         | jiocrag wrote:
         | CoronaVac vaccine? This is a much less effective vaccine than
         | Pfizer and Moderna (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CoronaVac),
         | so it's not surprising that natural immunity would be superior.
        
           | bobbytit wrote:
           | What about the Israeli study then..
           | https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/natural-immunity-is-
           | stro...
           | 
           | Double pfizer jabbed idiots were 13 times more likely to be
           | infected than those unjabbed who had already recovered from
           | prior infection.
        
       | dogma1138 wrote:
       | It would be interesting to see the duration of the immunity or
       | resistance across multiple vaccine variants. The latest data from
       | the UK indicates that the AZ vaccine suffers less degradation
       | over time than Pfizer, at least when it comes to the Delta
       | variant which is now the prevalent one in the UK.
       | 
       | Israel has now giving boosters to 30 year olds and older in order
       | to boost the immunity to infection and resistance to severe
       | illness.
        
         | arisAlexis wrote:
         | But the lower efficacy drop of Pfizer is still higher than the
         | less degraded AZ efficacy...
        
         | shin_lao wrote:
         | My understanding is that it may be due to the difference of
         | time during the two shots. It's possible that 2 weeks between
         | the two shots of Pfizer is too short. We're learning.
        
           | dogma1138 wrote:
           | In the UK Pfizer and AZ both are on 8 weeks protocols and the
           | UK has seen a sharper drop in Pfizer efficacy compared to AZ.
           | 
           | I got Pfizer in the UK, I also suspect to have had it in
           | March (3 days of some coughing and loss of smell), I'm under
           | 40 so no AZ for me.
        
           | munk-a wrote:
           | In part due to immunity duration concerns and, honestly, in
           | part due to supply issues - Canada ended up going way wide on
           | vaccines - most people ended up with twelve weeks between
           | vaccinations.
        
             | walterbell wrote:
             | Canada also made the bold move of mixing different
             | vaccines, even though there were zero clinical trials of
             | multi-vendor vaccines.
        
           | graywh wrote:
           | Pfizer is 3 weeks, Moderna is 4
        
             | walterbell wrote:
             | Moderna apparently has a 33% higher volume dosage?
        
               | maxerickson wrote:
               | It's 3x larger, at least by the amount of mRNA.
        
       | nanis wrote:
       | Full text here:
       | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8369496/
       | 
       | From the discussion section:
       | 
       | > In this study, we have shown differences in the specificity of
       | polyclonal serum antibodies acquired by infection versus
       | vaccination with mRNA-1273. The neutralizing activity of vaccine
       | sera is more targeted to the RBD than for convalescent sera, with
       | the majority of vaccine sera losing all detectable neutralization
       | at a 1:25 cutoff after depletion of RBD-directed antibodies.
       | (emphasis mine)
       | 
       | From the conclusion:
       | 
       | > Despite these limitations, our results in conjunction with
       | other recent studies (19) suggest that mRNA vaccines and
       | infection elicit somewhat distinct anti-spike antibody responses.
       | Therefore, it is important to differentiate antibody immunity
       | acquired by different means when assessing the impact of viral
       | evolution. Considerable effort is being expended to identify
       | emerging antigenic variants of SARS-CoV-2 and determine which
       | ones might evade immunity (3, 7, 8, 35). Our findings suggest
       | that the results could vary depending on the source of immunity.
       | Furthermore, carefully characterizing and comparing the
       | specificity of antibody immunity elicited by additional vaccine
       | modalities could provide a basis for determining whether some
       | vaccine responses will be more resistant to viral evolution.
        
       | brainbrane wrote:
       | I just learned last week that my COVID antibody count from the
       | vaccine is zero. Since I'm on an immunosuppressing medication
       | that wipes out the B cells in my bloodstream, this isn't really
       | all that surprising to me. I learned about this because I'm in a
       | medical study, and other people in the study who take the same
       | medication also don't produce any COVID antibodies in response to
       | the vaccine.
       | 
       | What's interesting is that I still get side effects from the
       | vaccine, and they seem to be right in line with the side effects
       | that other people generally report. I'm no immunologist, but I've
       | taken an armchair interest in the subject since I've been
       | managing an autoimmune disease (MS) for the past 25 years.
       | 
       | The immune system is an amazingly complex thing with many
       | branches. Different types of cells interact in ways that we have
       | yet to fully understand. In spite of having no B cells (except
       | what's in my bone marrow), my T cell count is solidly in the
       | normal range. And the currently-accepted catalog of types of T
       | cells is enough to make your head swim:
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/T_cell#Types_of_T_cell
       | 
       | Three types of CD4+ Helper T cells are implicated in MS: Th1,
       | Th17, and Th9. And yet by killing the B cells in my bloodstream,
       | for me that seems to stop these T cells from doing MS-like
       | activity without substantially compromising my body's ability to
       | still fight infections.
       | 
       | What does all this mean for my own risk level from COVID, and in
       | particular the Delta variant? Absolutely no clue. I've gotten my
       | third (booster) shot and will be getting more blood drawn next
       | week for the medical study, which I expect will again result in a
       | zero COVID antibody count.
       | 
       | People on my medication have been shown to have more severe cases
       | of COVID when they contract it. I'm a realist about COVID and
       | realize that some day I'll contract it. The best I can do is make
       | sure I'm otherwise in good shape by eating, sleeping, and
       | exercising right. Another option is to go off my medication, let
       | my B cells recover, and then try another less effective
       | medication for a while. For people in my circumstance, there
       | really are no good answers right now.
       | 
       | I know this is all at best tangential to the subject of this
       | study, but I'm glad this research is getting done, and I hope it
       | will lead to a better understanding of how to protect everyone.
        
         | AndrewBissell wrote:
         | Is it possible that your side effects are a result of your
         | immune system reacting against the delivery mechanism (PEG or
         | adenovirus) of the vaccine? Here's one source suggesting this
         | may occur: https://sanchakblog.wordpress.com/2020/12/06/mrna-
         | vaccines-b...
        
         | rossdavidh wrote:
         | "I'm a realist about COVID and realize that some day I'll
         | contract it. The best I can do is make sure I'm otherwise in
         | good shape by eating, sleeping, and exercising right...."
         | 
         | My goodness, what a remarkably calm and informed attitude. It's
         | a wonder you're allowed on the internet.
         | 
         | By the way, it is theoretically possible that your immune
         | system knows how to make the antibodies, but isn't right now
         | because of the immunosuppressing medication. One strategy might
         | be to only pause that if you get sick, hoping that your system
         | knows how to make the antibodies, and will do so more quickly
         | because you've been vaccinated. But that's just a hopeful
         | guess, of course.
        
         | dimgl wrote:
         | > What's interesting is that I still get side effects from the
         | vaccine
         | 
         | What side effects? How can you know this is coming from the
         | vaccine?
         | 
         | > I've been managing an autoimmune disease (MS) for the past 25
         | years.
         | 
         | Wouldn't it be more likely that this [multiple sclerosis] is
         | the cause of your symptoms?
        
           | fshbbdssbbgdd wrote:
           | I assume we're talking about the acute flu-like side effects
           | commonly experienced in the days after getting the vaccine.
           | Presumably this person can tell the difference between those
           | and whatever they've had for the previous 25 years.
        
           | throw_nbvc1234 wrote:
           | Probably means the typically vaccine side-effects that are
           | similar to getting a cold as your body "fights off" the
           | vaccine and develops immunity.
        
         | faeyanpiraat wrote:
         | Which medication are you using?
        
       | superkuh wrote:
       | Intramuscular vaccinations are the _most important first step_
       | and will keep hospitalization down. But intramuscular vaccination
       | for respiratory viruses does not provide long lasting immunity to
       | the surface mucosa tissues of the upper respiratory tract. The
       | IgG antibodies in body serum do seep into the lower lungs and
       | provide robust protection from serious disease, but they do not
       | prevent infections very long in the nose, sinuses, or throat.
       | This is the disparity many studies are now highlighting but
       | failing to acknowledge the cause of.
       | 
       | The required next step is intranasal vaccination to recruit B and
       | T cells to the upper respiratory mucosa and have the B cells
       | produce local IgA antibodies. This would actually stop infections
       | (infections defined from nasal swab testing).
       | 
       | It is up to the NIH and other large organizations in the world to
       | get this messaging out there. There are two types of
       | "breakthrough". There's the fact that intramuscular vaccinations
       | don't protect the upper respiratory mucosa, and then there's the
       | very rare cases when sars-cov-2 actually manages to infect body
       | organs and the lower lungs. They are entirely different things.
       | 
       | The variants currently circulating don't play a huge role in this
       | discrepancy. We'd be seeing the same amount of upper respiratory
       | mucosa infections (not hospitalizations) even if there were no
       | delta and it was just alpha/beta/gamma or even original wuhan
       | sequence sars-cov-2.
       | 
       | ref: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/long-term-
       | evoluti... page 5, #8. "Whilst we feel that current vaccines are
       | excellent for reducing the risk of hospital admission and
       | disease, we propose that research be focused on vaccines that
       | also induce high and durable levels of mucosal immunity in order
       | to reduce infection of and transmission from vaccinated
       | individuals. This could also reduce the possibility of variant
       | selection in vaccinated individuals."
       | 
       | ref: https://science.sciencemag.org/content/373/6553/397 "the
       | ideal vaccination strategy may use an intramuscular vaccine to
       | elicit a long-lived systemic IgG response and a broad repertoire
       | of central memory B and T cells, followed by an intranasal
       | booster that recruits memory B and T cells to the nasal passages
       | and further guides their differentiation toward mucosal
       | protection, including IgA secretion and tissue-resident memory
       | cells in the respiratory tract."
       | 
       | ref: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41577-021-00550-x
        
         | UncleOxidant wrote:
         | Why isn't there more of a push for emergency use of intranasal
         | vaccines? Apparently there are some in the testing phase, but I
         | think if they were given as much resources as the mRNA vaccines
         | were we might have already had an intranasal vaccine in use by
         | now. The Israelis have one in testing but it still sounds like
         | it's a long ways off from being deployed on a large scale. The
         | other advantage of an intransal vaccine is that we might be
         | able to convince a portion of the vaccine hesitant to get it.
        
           | rolph wrote:
           | nasal mucosal immunity[IgA] is short term relative to humoral
           | immunity[IgG; IgM]; this however would be a good prophylactic
           | approach, as the nasal vault is a major contributor to
           | transmission mechanisms
        
           | Animats wrote:
           | Here's a good explanation of why.[1] There are several
           | intranasal coronavirus vaccines in test. There's only one
           | approved nasal vaccine now, for anything: FluMist. It's not
           | recommended for people over 50. There have been previous
           | failures. Intranasal vaccines are hard to make work.
           | 
           | Think of the current mRNA vaccines as a minimum viable
           | product. The basic formulation was computed days after the
           | virus was sequenced and they made it to market fast. They do
           | the basic job. Serious side effects are rare. They require
           | two doses and later, boosters. They're a pain to store and
           | ship because of cold requirements. They're hard to
           | manufacture because putting fragile messenger RNA into a
           | liquid carrier envelope requires exotic equipment. They have
           | reduced effectiveness for virus variants.
           | 
           | Expect later-generation products that solve some of those
           | problems.
           | 
           | [1] https://www.pbs.org/newshour/health/scientists-debate-
           | potent...
        
             | unanswered wrote:
             | This raises an interesting question: is someone who is
             | waiting for an effective intranasal vaccine to get
             | something more like sterilizing immunity, and foregoing the
             | less-effective vaccine meanwhile, anti-vax?
        
               | contravariant wrote:
               | That only seems like an interesting question if you view
               | anti-vax as some kind of ethical group.
               | 
               | If you choose to define it more literally as the people
               | that are against taking any particular vaccine in common
               | use then it's vacuously true.
        
               | Jabbles wrote:
               | Yes. Refusing to get a vaccine now is harmful to yourself
               | and others. The current vaccines are effective. A more
               | effective intranasal vaccine _may_ come, but you should
               | protect yourself and others _now_.
        
               | walterbell wrote:
               | If they are healthy and have survived Covid with natural
               | immunity, that overall beats all vaccines. Antibody and
               | T-cell tests tests are available to find out if they have
               | already recovered from an an infection. If they have not
               | been isolating much for the past 18 months, e.g. first
               | responder or other essential worker, they were likely
               | infected and already recovered.
               | 
               | If they are not yet infected, are healthy and take
               | precautions to isolate at the first sign of illness, they
               | are a lower transmission risk than a vaccinated person
               | who gets infected but whose symptoms are suppressed by
               | the vaccine, so they don't know they should isolate. CDC
               | recommends that vaccinated people exposed to SARS-CoV-2
               | should be tested after exposure, and then wear a mask if
               | the test is positive,
               | https://www.webmd.com/lung/news/20210729/cdc-reverses-
               | guidan... &
               | https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/fully-
               | vac...
               | 
               |  _> Even if they're not showing symptoms, fully
               | vaccinated people should "get tested 3-5 days after
               | exposure to someone with suspected or confirmed COVID-19
               | and wear a mask in public indoor settings for 14 days
               | after exposure or until they receive a negative test
               | result," the agency's website says ... "Our updated
               | guidance recommends vaccinated people get tested upon
               | exposure regardless of symptoms," CDC Director Rochelle
               | Walensky, MD, told The New York Times in an email.
               | "Testing is widely available."_
        
       | bananabiscuit wrote:
       | The spike protein targeting antibodies produced by the vaccine do
       | indeed target a wider range of spike mutations than the spike
       | protein antibodies from previous infection. However, vaccines
       | only target spike protein, while a previous infection will cause
       | your body to produce antibodies for a much larger set of targets
       | on the virus, which in practice leads to a more robust immunity.
       | This is supported by data from Israel and some recent studies.
       | 
       | https://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/309762
       | 
       | https://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/310963
       | 
       | https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.08.24.21262415v...
        
         | tylerhou wrote:
         | As other commentators have noted, it's quite a leap in logic to
         | use reinfection data to make a mechanistic claim on how natural
         | infection may or may not improve the immune response compared
         | to vaccination.
         | 
         | In addition, the naturally-infected and vaccine populations are
         | not the same. For example, having a bad experience with a
         | natural infection of Covid may cause people to not participate
         | as much in virus-risky behavior. On the other hand, people who
         | seek out vaccinations may have done so for business or personal
         | reasons that make them more prone to expose themselves to the
         | virus. It is also possible that (re)infection for the two
         | groups are not monitored at the same rate. Without controlling
         | for these factors (which your first link does not) you cannot
         | make any judgement about which immunity is stronger from your
         | cited data.
         | 
         | Lastly, your second link and your last link directly contradict
         | each other -- the second link claims "Recovered COVID patients
         | don't benefit from vaccine" but your last link says
         | "Individuals who were both previously infected with SARS-CoV-2
         | and given a single dose of the vaccine gained additional
         | protection...." If you're going to cite sources, they should
         | probably have a consistent message :).
        
           | bananabiscuit wrote:
           | That mechanism of action is just what I've seen put forth by
           | immunologists commenting on the these kinds of results.
           | 
           | While the author's opinions on the necessity of vaccines do
           | differ, they do agree on my main point: that empirically,
           | natural immunity is indeed robust and tentatively even better
           | than vaccine acquired immunity.
           | 
           | It looks like getting a vaccine helps boost immunity in all
           | cases, whether you had a previous infection or if you had 2
           | doses and I would bet even after the booster, each additional
           | shot will continue to provide some marginal benefit. So keep
           | getting jabs, I guess, or you're killing grandma.
           | 
           | I think at this point throwing in "you should vaccinate
           | (regardless of your individual circumstance)" into your
           | conclusion, even if it's a complete non-sequitor, is a hedge
           | against losing your job/funding/respect of your equally
           | frightened peers. The COVID research equivalent of the
           | "making the world a better place" SV trope.
        
         | oldgradstudent wrote:
         | > However, vaccines only target spike protein, while a previous
         | infection will cause your body to produce antibodies for a much
         | larger set of targets on the virus, which in practice leads to
         | a more robust immunity. This is supported by data from Israel
         | and some recent studies
         | 
         | No, it does not.
         | 
         | The data from Israel only supports the claim that immunity from
         | infection is longer lasting than from the vaccine, which should
         | not have been a surprise to anyone.
         | 
         | It does not support any specific mechanistic explanation.
        
           | rossdavidh wrote:
           | From the last link: "Conclusions: This study demonstrated
           | that natural immunity confers longer lasting and stronger
           | protection against infection, symptomatic disease and
           | hospitalization caused by the Delta variant of SARS-CoV-2,
           | compared to the BNT162b2 two-dose vaccine-induced immunity.
           | Individuals who were both previously infected with SARS-CoV-2
           | and given a single dose of the vaccine gained additional
           | protection against the Delta variant."
           | 
           | Note the "longer lasting and stronger".
        
             | Godel_unicode wrote:
             | GP is not disputing that. They're pointing out that we know
             | this, but not why.
        
             | IgorPartola wrote:
             | Hmm. This smells of literal survivor bias. The group that
             | survives the delta variant is a smaller set than all who
             | got infected while all vaccinated persons survived, even
             | ones that wouldn't have survived without the vaccine.
        
               | dnautics wrote:
               | While true, it's not by much; mortality for covid-19 is
               | less than a percent of all hospitalizations, iirc.
        
           | criticaltinker wrote:
           | > It does not support any specific mechanistic explanation.
           | 
           | You're right that the recent pre-print cited by GP -
           | regarding the data out of Israel - does not prove or disprove
           | any specific mechanistic explanation.
           | 
           | However, interpreting GPs comment charitably, that study
           | _does_ support the notion that immunity acquired through
           | natural infection may be more robust to mutations and
           | variants - the mechanisms of which have been articulated in a
           | variety of other literature. See my sibling comment [1] for
           | supporting citations and excerpts.
           | 
           | [1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28320340
        
           | lamontcg wrote:
           | Honestly I have yet to see any convincing scientific evidence
           | that is free from confounding factors which suggests that
           | there is waning immunity.
           | 
           | And there's reason to believe from HCoV-229E that immunity
           | against coronaviruses is actually durable and that
           | reinfection is due to mutation and immune escape.
           | 
           | https://journals.plos.org/plospathogens/article?id=10.1371/j.
           | ..
        
             | baxtr wrote:
             | Thank you. I don't understand why more people won't argue
             | like you do. We have 4 endemic human CoVs. Why not learn
             | from the experience we had there?
        
           | buu700 wrote:
           | _which should not have been a surprise to anyone_
           | 
           | Why is that? I have no background in immunology so it's
           | mildly surprising to me.
        
             | lupire wrote:
             | The vaccine is a basically partial copy of the virus, so it
             | stands to reason that the virus would be more dangerous as
             | well as trigger a broader immune response.
             | 
             | But now we're back to speculation about mechanism, which GP
             | was opposed to.
        
         | nradov wrote:
         | That really depends on which vaccine. There are several
         | inactivated virus vaccines such as Sinovac used in other
         | countries which we would expect to produce antibodies for more
         | than just the spike protein. However it's unclear whether those
         | vaccines are more or less effective in practice.
        
           | staticassertion wrote:
           | Are there such vaccines available in the US? It seems like
           | those would make for effective boosters.
        
             | nradov wrote:
             | There are no inactivated virus vaccines authorized in the
             | US. I'm not aware of any research on the effectiveness of
             | using such vaccines as boosters after other types of
             | vaccines.
        
               | staticassertion wrote:
               | Thanks
        
           | Gibbon1 wrote:
           | I think on a personal basis all of them are better than
           | nothing. It's like advice about taking the first bus out of
           | town.
        
         | pier25 wrote:
         | Another consequence of this is that, theoretically, the virus
         | could mutate and be unrecognizable by the antibodies produced
         | by the vaccine.
        
           | trhway wrote:
           | and given that vaccines target only a segment and pretty much
           | the same segment, such mutation based escape from all of the
           | vaccines at the same time is of very high probability - https
           | ://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal... .
           | And the fact that the current vaccines don't prevent delta
           | infection seems to confirm it. Whereis natural immunity
           | targets multitude of the segments (and not only of the spike
           | protein) thus naturally providing much more robust immunity.
           | 
           | We need a vaccine for delta. Unfortunately from MBA
           | perspective it is much more profitable to push the current
           | vaccines down the throat of the populace through forced
           | mandates and hysteric propaganda instead of investing
           | additional billions in the vaccine for the mutated virus.
           | 
           | 2 shots don't work, thus the 3rd, "booster", then what? the
           | 4th? It is pretty typical for the medical industrial complex
           | to push to sell more and more product in response to low
           | effect, like that opioid dosage increase.
        
           | stillbourne wrote:
           | The same could be said for convalescent immunity too.
        
           | BurningFrog wrote:
           | One reason the vaccines target the spike protein is that it's
           | how the virus breaks into human cells.
           | 
           | It it mutates to a different spike shape, it's very unlikely
           | that it will keep that breakin power.
           | 
           | Or at least that is the assumption :)
        
         | FooBarWidget wrote:
         | What about inactivated vaccines such as Sinovac? Does that
         | immune response resemble natural infection?
         | 
         | Does this mean inacticated vaccines work better against
         | variants?
        
         | Ajedi32 wrote:
         | I was confused about that as well. The article suggests that
         | targeting "other portions of the spike protein" (as immune
         | systems previously infected with COVID do) results in the
         | immune system being _less_ robust against variants of the virus
         | than targeting "places on the RBD" (as immune systems exposed
         | to Moderna's mRNA vaccine do):
         | 
         | > Specifically, antibodies elicited by the mRNA vaccine were
         | more focused to the RBD compared to antibodies elicited by an
         | infection, which more often targeted other portions of the
         | spike protein. Importantly, the vaccine-elicited antibodies
         | targeted a broader range of places on the RBD than those
         | elicited by natural infection.
         | 
         | > These findings suggest that natural immunity and vaccine-
         | generated immunity to SARS-CoV-2 will differ in how they
         | recognize new viral variants. What's more, antibodies acquired
         | with the help of a vaccine may be more likely to target new
         | SARS-CoV-2 variants potently, even when the variants carry new
         | mutations in the RBD.
         | 
         | Anyone with more experience in immunology care to weigh in on
         | why the second paragraph there follows from the first? Naively,
         | one might expect targeting a wider variety of places on on the
         | COVID spike protein to result in better immunity against
         | variants, not worse. Why is the article saying the opposite?
        
           | rolph wrote:
           | when you target many epitopes, you are shooting at the 10
           | inch ring; target one epitope of critical function [put one
           | in center of mass] you are shooting the 2 inch ring.
           | 
           | immune systems dont look at everything at once, they find
           | something that sticks and and over trials sharpen the
           | response until highest efficacy of antibody epitope
           | combination is found.
           | 
           | the vaccine is like a laser guided munition, natural immunity
           | is like carpet cluster bombing; both highly effective but in
           | different modalities.
        
           | criticaltinker wrote:
           | > Why is the article saying the opposite?
           | 
           | The cited study in OP may have a slightly pro-vaccine bias,
           | potentially because two authors have "the potential to
           | receive a share of IP revenue" on a relevant patent, and
           | because one author consults for Moderna. Regardless, the
           | study presents scientifically accurate findings, but in a few
           | places it tries to stretch those into questionable
           | conclusions. For example, the authors write:
           | 
           |  _> At first glance, the RBD targeting of the vaccine sera
           | neutralization might seem likely to increase susceptibility
           | to viral mutations, but the rest of our results suggest that
           | this MAY not be the case. _ [4]
           | 
           | So keep that tilt in mind when reading it.
           | 
           | > one might expect targeting a wider variety of places on on
           | the COVID spike protein to result in better immunity against
           | variants
           | 
           | Yes this is good intuition, here are excerpts from other
           | literature illustrating why targeting a wide variety of SARS-
           | COV-2 proteins can provide better immunity. In fact, this
           | reasoning is why ongoing vaccine research is investigating
           | formulations beyond the current solely spike protein focused
           | vaccines. Notably, one shortcoming of the current mRNA
           | vaccine formulations is that they do not induce nucleocapsid
           | (N) protein antibodies - whereas natural infection does.
           | 
           |  _> The nucleocapsid protein of SARS-CoV-2 has been suggested
           | to be an important target for T cell responses. _ [1]
           | 
           |  _> Firstly, this protein contains conserved cross-reactive T
           | cell epitopes that are present among different coronaviruses,
           | suggesting that it could be an ideal target for universal
           | coronavirus vaccines. _ [1]
           | 
           |  _> Secondly, the nucleocapsid protein is among the most
           | abundant structural proteins in the coronavirus lifecycle,
           | which may facilitate early antigen presentation and
           | recognition by T cells. _ [1]
           | 
           |  _> Previous knowledge on other related coronaviruses and the
           | prompt sequencing of the SARS-CoV-2 genome early in the
           | pandemic allowed to identify the spike (S) and the
           | nucleocapsid (N) structural proteins as major targets of
           | antibodies. _ [2]
           | 
           |  _> The surface glycoprotein S, which contains the receptor-
           | binding domain (RBD), has a better known function in immunity
           | and is the leading antigen candidate for vaccine development.
           | N is smaller than S, lacks a glycosylation site, and is
           | extensively used in leading serodiagnostics kits due to its
           | abundant expression during infection and early antibody
           | response but its immunological relevance is less
           | established._ [2]
           | 
           |  _> N forms ribonucleoprotein complexes during the virion
           | assembly process by binding to the viral RNA genome and
           | packing it into long helical structures. Its main function is
           | to regulate viral RNA transcription during replication,
           | promoting the synthesis of its own proteins while interfering
           | with the metabolism, protein translation, and proliferation
           | of the infected host cell. During the process of infection, N
           | dissociates itself from the genome and is exposed to the host
           | immune system, and its high immunogenicity has also prompted
           | its exploration as vaccine target._ [2]
           | 
           |  _> Interestingly, significant protein similarity between
           | SARS-CoV-1, SARS-CoV-2, and other HCoV has been reported for
           | N, including a highly conserved motif in the N-terminal (NT)
           | half of the protein (FYYLGTGP) and relevant immunodominant
           | epitope regions._ [2]
           | 
           |  _> Evidence from multiple experimental studies showing that
           | single RBD point mutations can lead to resistance to
           | neutralizing convalescent plasma from multiple donors
           | suggests that specific single mutants may be able to evade
           | spike-targeting vaccinal immunity in many individuals and
           | rapidly lead to spread of vaccine-resistant SARS-CoV-2. _ [3]
           | 
           | [1] Combining spike- and nucleocapsid-based vaccines improves
           | distal control of SARS-CoV-2 https://www.cell.com/cell-
           | reports/pdf/S2211-1247(21)01108-6....
           | 
           | [2] Immunogenicity and crossreactivity of antibodies to the
           | nucleocapsid protein of SARS-CoV-2: utility and limitations
           | in seroprevalence and immunity studies
           | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7879156/
           | 
           | [3] Risk of rapid evolutionary escape from biomedical
           | interventions targeting SARS-CoV-2 spike protein
           | https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33909660/
           | 
           | [4] Antibodies elicited by mRNA-1273 vaccination bind more
           | broadly to the receptor binding domain than do those from
           | SARS-CoV-2 infection
           | https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34103407/
        
             | walterbell wrote:
             | Thanks for the detailed review. We need AI bots and media
             | metadata to enable automated "supply chain analysis" of
             | media and journal articles, including social network
             | analytics of finance and other influence networks.
             | 
             | Such analytics are now beginning for software supply
             | chains, thanks to a Presidential Executive Order. As
             | warfare spreads from kinetic to cyber to psychological, we
             | will need more tooling to keep pace with the analytical
             | descendants of Cambridge Analytica. Social discourse can be
             | mined in real time to identify high-leverage, transient
             | gaps in narratives, to influence far-reaching real world
             | policy.
             | 
             | Individual humans, parsing text for meaning, have an uphill
             | journey.
             | 
             | TODO: create Streisand bot to extract downvoted comments
             | from HN, differentiate between legitimate vs targeted
             | downvotes, then republish to an audience for critical
             | response on any valid points, i.e. use the infrastructure
             | and human resources of would-be censors, to generate new
             | signals.
        
           | rcxdude wrote:
           | I think it's because the other parts of the virus are more
           | likely to change over time, because there's lots of neutral
           | mutations available: changes which don't affect fitness but
           | do affect antibody response. The RBD by contrast is much more
           | constrained: most mutations there result in a virus which can
           | no longer infect cells, so it's much less likely to change
           | (though of course any mutations which increase its
           | effectiveness will be heavily selected for). This I think was
           | one of the main reasons the spike protein was targeted by the
           | mRNA viruses.
        
           | bena wrote:
           | The way I read it is that vaccine immunity is engineered
           | towards COVID in general. It'll catch variants because
           | they're still COVID.
           | 
           | Natural immunity knows only of COVID-19 Alpha. But it knows
           | it well. All those nooks and crannies the other variants may
           | not have, the natural antibodies can latch on to.
        
           | randcraw wrote:
           | Inoculation with an mRNA vaccine provides recognition of few
           | antigena (e.g. RBD). The size of the vaccine dosage and the
           | delay of a month between doses is designed to create a strong
           | recognition of the chosen antigens.
           | 
           | Infection's response to key antigens like RBD is inherently
           | more limited because: 1) immunity creates antibodies and T
           | cells that target a wider range of antigens, and 2) exposure
           | to COVID antigens usually fades after 7-10 days, limiting the
           | immune system's time to build further defenses.
        
         | bsder wrote:
         | > while a previous infection will cause your body to produce
         | antibodies for a much larger set of targets on the virus, which
         | in practice leads to a more robust immunity.
         | 
         | That is simply not a statement you can make without supporting
         | evidence.
         | 
         | Your immune systems binds to irrelevant targets _all the time_.
         | People normally got measles once, but lots of people got it
         | multiple times.
         | 
         | It is entirely possible that your immune system will bind to
         | something that mutates rapidly and have worse response than the
         | vaccine.
         | 
         | As someone who got the Covid19 in Original Flavor(tm), I
         | _still_ went and got the vaccine. I _don 't_ want to be one of
         | the unlucky ones whose immune system didn't flag the spike
         | protein for destruction.
        
           | walterbell wrote:
           | _> ... measles ... lots of people got it multiple times_
           | 
           | Is there a good reference for the percentage of people who
           | did?
        
       | huibf wrote:
       | Quick, flag this!!!!
        
       | Zigurd wrote:
       | If you are wondering whether you are sufficiently protected by
       | having recovered from COVID, this article provides up to date
       | answers. Get vaccinated. Get a booster if recommended.
        
         | vkou wrote:
         | You are being unfairly downvoted, because what you are saying
         | runs contrary to people's gut feelings.
         | 
         | At this point, we have enough statistics on people getting
         | COVID a second time with or without vaccination, to know that
         | vaccination reduces your odds of re-infection by ~2.3. [1]
         | 
         | [1] https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7032e1.htm
        
           | bananabiscuit wrote:
           | This is true. But given the already high baseline immunity
           | for previously infected people, the messaging for them should
           | be somewhere closer to "you can get the vaccine if you want"
           | rather than "you must get the vaccine otherwise you are
           | causing the pandemic".
        
             | munk-a wrote:
             | I don't know - I consider getting vaccinated to be a matter
             | of common courtesy to those you're going to be interacting
             | with now. I don't feel like thanking folks for only kicking
             | - and not murdering - the adorable puppy at this point.
             | Those who have been advised not to get vaccinated due to
             | immune issues or other medical reasons I completely get -
             | but everyone else is basically saying "I think preserving
             | my pride by sticking to my misinformed opinion is more
             | important than preventing harm to all of you." The vaccines
             | work, get it.
             | 
             | My dad has survived three bouts with different forms of
             | cancer - he's healthy and could be around for a long time.
             | Please don't let your pride put his life in danger.
        
               | incrudible wrote:
               | The first principle for vaccines to be administered
               | ethically is that the benefit must be outweigh the risk.
               | As trials have not completed and more information on
               | vaccine side-effects is yet to be accumulated, this
               | risk/benefit can be assessed only speculatively.
               | 
               | For instance, this[1] study suggests that the risk of
               | Myocarditis from COVID in young men is six times higher
               | from an infection than from a vaccination. If we assume a
               | gratuitous infection risk of 100%, this may sound like a
               | reasonable benefit. If we however consider that actual
               | COVID infections may be undercounted by a factor of
               | 10[2], the benefit turns negative.
               | 
               | [1] https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.07.23.21
               | 260998v...
               | 
               | [2] https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/
               | journal...
        
               | strenholme wrote:
               | What the linked study [1] is saying is that _unvaccinated
               | people who get COVID-19 are even more likely to get
               | Myocarditis than vaccinated people_ ; it counters the
               | allegation that people should not get vaccinated because
               | of the risk of Myocarditis.
               | 
               | Even if the vaccine increased the risk (it doesn't), the
               | risk of COVID-19 is orders of magnitude higher than the
               | risk of the Myocarditis heart condition.
               | 
               | There have been, from the total of 12,910,312 18-24 year-
               | old people vaccinated, [2] about 229 cases of this rare
               | heart disease (and, in almost all cases, the person was
               | discharged from the hospital the same day with a clean
               | bill of health) That means the vaccine has under a 0.002%
               | chance of causing a very rare but not fatal heart
               | condition. [3]
               | 
               | COVID-19, on the other hand, has an overall 1.66% chance
               | of killing someone (38,043,754 cases, 629,644 deaths).
               | [4]
               | 
               | I would rather take a 0.002% non-fatal risk than a 1.66%
               | fatal risk.
               | 
               | Sources:
               | 
               | [1] i.e. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.07.
               | 23.21260998v... "Young males infected with the virus are
               | up 6 times more likely to develop myocarditis as those
               | who have received the vaccine."
               | 
               | [2] https://usafacts.org/visualizations/covid-vaccine-
               | tracker-st...
               | 
               | [3] https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-news/evidence-
               | grows-st...
               | 
               | [4] https://samiam.org/COVID-19/ derived from
               | https://github.com/nytimes/covid-19-data/
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | Clubber wrote:
               | >"I think preserving my pride by sticking to my
               | misinformed opinion is more important than preventing
               | harm to all of you."
               | 
               | People who don't get vaccinated generally say it's
               | because they don't trust the government. Probably because
               | the government has proven time again to be untrustworthy.
               | It's not just right wingers like the news is insinuating
               | (another untrustworthy group), but all sides of the
               | political spectrum and all demographics have people who
               | are afraid to get vaccinated. No amount of scolding from
               | you will change their mind, and COVID is probably here to
               | stay, so you should adapt to that truth.
               | 
               | As to my motivations, I'm fully vaccinated.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | vkou wrote:
               | > so you should adapt to that truth.
               | 
               | And they should adapt to the truth that as long as there
               | are COVID outbreaks, there are going to be epidemic
               | adaptations. And that as long as they are the cause of
               | those adaptations, public sentiment will increasingly
               | shift towards making those adaptations _targeted_ against
               | anti-vaxxers.
               | 
               | One of those adaptations should be getting COVID patients
               | out of hospitals, where they are infecting other people,
               | disrupting ER services and scheduled surgeries, and into
               | field hospitals. Every bed that is currently going to
               | deal with a trivially preventable disease is multiple
               | life-saving surgeries that aren't getting done. It would
               | be nice if we could end this year with a working medical
               | system.
               | 
               | If people want to free-load, that's fine, but we
               | shouldn't be throwing scheduled passengers off the plane
               | to make room for them.
        
             | ceejayoz wrote:
             | A significant confounding issue is a lot of people _think_
             | they 're "previously infected" but aren't, as the symptoms
             | of COVID and the symptoms of flus and colds overlap,
             | especially in milder cases. "I got it but didn't seek
             | treatment" is impossible to verify, too.
             | 
             | My son had a nasty case of pneumonia early in 2020; we
             | thought afterwards it might've been a COVID case. Later
             | antibody testing demonstrated that it wasn't.
             | 
             | That's why advice is still "go get the vaccine".
        
               | mensetmanusman wrote:
               | ' "I got it but didn't seek treatment" is impossible to
               | verify'
               | 
               | 'Later antibody testing demonstrated that it wasn't.'
               | 
               | I'm confused, can't we antibody test people who think
               | they had it?
        
               | peterbell_nyc wrote:
               | Yes, we can. But from a public health perspective, many
               | people will just short circuit to "I had the sniffles
               | some time in the last year so I got covid. So I don't
               | need to find a site, fill out a form, wait in line and
               | potentially lose a couple of days of work due to
               | symptoms. Plus, you know, those microchips - it could be
               | true :)" One of the biggest challenges we have is picking
               | public health messaging for a broad audience that does
               | the most good and the least harm.
               | 
               | I'm still frustrated that the decision was made early on
               | in the pandemic to say that masks don't work. And the
               | convoluted reasoning that if you didn't have a perfect
               | fit or if you touched the outside of the mask that was
               | somehow more dangerous than being unmasked in a location
               | with a sufficiently high viral load for the other stuff
               | to matter. I also understand that the concern was that if
               | we told the truth (masks do matter, and respirators are
               | even better, but please don't buy them to protect
               | yourself and your family because we didn't stockpile
               | enough, so we need them for the doctors and nurses) we'd
               | have had even more supply challenges.
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | > I'm confused, can't we antibody test people who think
               | they had it?
               | 
               | Can we? Sure.
               | 
               | Is it a massive waste of resources versus "just get the
               | fucking vaccine"? Also sure.
        
         | bryan0 wrote:
         | Amazing this is getting downvoted when this is absolutely the
         | conclusion of these studies in such a straightforward way.
         | Whether or not you were naturally infected, the vaccines
         | provide another layer of protection which can save lives.
        
         | corona-research wrote:
         | why?
        
         | munk-a wrote:
         | This really is the TL;DR of all the research comparing natural
         | and vaccinated resistance. The vaccine provides significant
         | benefits to both folks who dodged the pandemic and those who
         | were infected. There isn't a rational reason to avoid getting
         | vaccinated.
        
           | argvargc wrote:
           | 2021:
           | 
           | Q1: "It's perfectly safe!"
           | 
           | Q2: "It's pretty darn safe, just a small number of people get
           | blood clots!"
           | 
           | Q3: "It's safe, just a small number of people get blood clots
           | and a few others have heart problems most of which fully
           | recover but some don't."
           | 
           | Q4: ???
           | 
           | 2022
           | 
           | Q1: ???
           | 
           | Q2: ???
           | 
           | Q3: ???
           | 
           | Q4: ???
           | 
           | 2023
           | 
           | Q1: ???
           | 
           | Q2: ???
           | 
           | Q3: ???
           | 
           | Q4: ???
        
         | rubyist5eva wrote:
         | nah, I'm good
        
         | mlindner wrote:
         | There's no reason to get a booster. The only people pushing
         | that are government officials who are running counter to
         | scientific advice.
        
           | literallyaduck wrote:
           | Can you provide sources?
        
             | rubyist5eva wrote:
             | WHO Says No Conclusive Evidence On Need For Booster Shots
             | 
             | https://www.axios.com/who-data-covid-booster-shots-
             | inconclus...
        
       | corona-research wrote:
       | PLANDEMIC
        
       | fouric wrote:
       | > The new evidence shows that protective antibodies generated in
       | response to an mRNA vaccine will target a broader range of SARS-
       | CoV-2 variants carrying "single letter" changes in a key portion
       | of their spike protein compared to antibodies acquired from an
       | infection.
       | 
       | This seems like a remarkably specific criteria. Using my naive,
       | computer-science brain, I would think that it's unlikely that a
       | mutation would consist of _exactly_ one change to the RBD amino
       | acid sequence (compared to all of the other possible mutations).
       | What am I missing?
        
         | rolph wrote:
         | single letter change is refered to as a point mutation meaning
         | one residue. it is common
         | 
         | there are a number of mutation types and numerous mechanisms.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mutation
         | 
         | in the case of point mutations, cosmic ray ablation, and wobbly
         | fit of the replication mechanism lead to data corruption,
         | conflated by error prone replication or error prone proof
         | reading
        
         | cblconfederate wrote:
         | A variant has multiple mutations which they call "single letter
         | changes". It's not meant to say that there will be only one
         | mutation per variant
        
       | hybrid_cluster wrote:
       | It will be interesting to see how the immune response develops
       | for previously covid-naive vaccinated people after their first
       | covid infection. Specifically, does their immune system still
       | adapt to new variants?
       | 
       | One of the main arguments of controversial anti-covid vaccine
       | people like Geert vanden Bossche is that the immune response
       | generated by the vaccine may thwart the immune system in
       | generating an effective response to future variants after
       | infection[0].
       | 
       | I don't have enough insight into the immune system's intricacies
       | to evaluate whether such claims might be legit, but once variants
       | start to emerge that really evade most of the current vaccine-
       | induced immune response, this question will become increasingly
       | important.
       | 
       | [0] https://www.geertvandenbossche.org/post/not-
       | covid-19-vaccine...
        
       | rubyist5eva wrote:
       | The media and government overreaction to this virus is the
       | biggest scam ever perpetrated on the human race.
        
       | mactitan wrote:
       | Informed consent disclosure to vaccine trial subjects of risk of
       | COVID-19 vaccines worsening clinical disease
       | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7645850/
       | 
       | It seems that the new data invalidates that conclusion?
        
       | mabbo wrote:
       | > antibodies elicited by the mRNA vaccine were more focused to
       | the RBD compared to antibodies elicited by an infection, which
       | more often targeted other portions of the spike protein.
       | 
       | I wonder how this might impact the design of future mRNA
       | vaccines. For example, could vaccines target multiple proteins
       | that both are associated with the virus?
        
         | lax4ever wrote:
         | Looks like they are trying to do something exactly like that:
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28319391
        
         | rolph wrote:
         | this is referred to as a polyvalent vaccine, and it is a good
         | thing to do once we understand enough about the antigens in
         | question to incorporate both in one shot. There is nothing of
         | course precluding two different vaccines of differenct valence,
         | and we have been doing this for a short time now, when we
         | combine single jab mRna vaccines, with adenoviral vectored
         | vaccines, there is very slight sequence variation between adV
         | and mRNA vaccines however by strictest interpretation this is a
         | multivalant[bivalant] scenario.
        
           | cblconfederate wrote:
           | it also generates immunity to the adenoviral vector proteins
        
             | rolph wrote:
             | yes and this has been the big setback for many years this
             | is why we dont have a lot of these vector vaccines.
             | 
             | if someone is immune to adenovirus they typically destroy
             | the vaccine before antigen can be presented. this reduces
             | prophylactic opportunities regarding serial innoculation
             | with adenovirus vector, regardless of the cassette load
             | 
             | i am one of those people, having worked with adenovirus, as
             | well as coronavirus, thus i am obligated to non adenoviral
             | vaccine, and made out quite well during my infection with
             | SARS-1, and with SARS-2
        
               | cblconfederate wrote:
               | you got infected with SARS1?
        
               | rolph wrote:
               | yes i did, when it was brand new, it was very concerning,
               | i was very congested, labouring to breath and walking was
               | starting to feel like running a marathon in 90 degree
               | weather. when SARS-2 came around it was a case of the
               | sniffles, with very high antibody titre, searching on a
               | whim i discovered that i am not alone, and apparently
               | SARS-1 convalesence related to outcome of SAR-2 infection
        
         | dogma1138 wrote:
         | I don't see why not since they already do that, both Pfizer and
         | Moderna already have targeted multiple regions on the spike
         | protein, presumably they also modeled them to optimize for
         | antibody interaction and stability by taking regions that are
         | less likely to mutate without loss of function.
         | 
         | If you reach out the limit of what you can encode in a single
         | mRNA payload you can add additional payloads to a single dose
         | or spread them across multiple doses.
         | 
         | Engineered viral vectors also can do similar things and also
         | have a base pair limit so the solution would be similar.
        
       | dabbledash wrote:
       | I wonder low likely it is that over the course of a lifetime the
       | vaccinated will end up with both forms of immunity. I assume
       | we'll be exposed to the virus regularly. Would the natural
       | immunity be weaker if it comes from a second, very mild,
       | infection?
        
       | fpgaminer wrote:
       | A layman's take:
       | 
       | Maybe the antibodies are different because the immune system is
       | being presented with _only_ the spike protein, rather than the
       | whole virus?
       | 
       | From my understanding, the immune system breaks the viral
       | proteins up into pieces and then starts rapidly "evolving"
       | antibodies to target those pieces. The goal being to ultimately
       | produce antibodies that target those pieces, and don't target the
       | learned whitelist of proteins (from your own body). Once it's got
       | that it begins deploying antibody producing cells, and remembers
       | the antibodies for later infections.
       | 
       | What I'm curious about is the stopping criteria the body uses
       | during the evolution stage. It sounds like it's producing an
       | array of antibodies, not just one kind. So the stopping criteria
       | isn't finding one working antibody. Perhaps it's more like,
       | "Produce at least N different antibodies."
       | 
       | If the latter, then the difference between natural and mRNA
       | immunity makes sense to me. If your immune system is working to
       | produce N different antibodies for the whole viral proteome, less
       | of those antibodies will target the spike protein. And thus it
       | will have less resilience to changes in the spike protein. But of
       | course more tolerance to changes in the virus as a whole. Whereas
       | with mRNA the immune system only sees the spike proteins, and
       | since it's still going to make N different antibodies it'll have
       | more tolerance for changes to the spike protein.
       | 
       | What's most interesting to me, assuming any of the above is close
       | to reality, is that mRNA vaccines allow us to give our immune
       | system an inductive bias of some kind. Presumably our immune
       | systems aren't "smart" enough to know what parts of a virus are
       | most conserved, and thus best to target. It just targets all of
       | it blindly. mRNA vaccines used the spike protein because we
       | believe that to be the most conserved proteins. If those change
       | too much the virus either won't work, or will effectively be a
       | different species. So our mRNA vaccines are a way of telling our
       | immune systems to focus their work on the "important" proteins,
       | and thus, we would assume, give us better immunity.
       | 
       | Whether our guess about the spike proteins is correct remains to
       | be seen I suppose.
        
         | criticaltinker wrote:
         | Solid layman reasoning, just wanted to clear up one slight
         | misconception:
         | 
         | > mRNA vaccines used the spike protein because we believe that
         | to be the most conserved proteins
         | 
         | The spike protein was chosen mostly because it was well known
         | to serve a primary role in the process of infection and
         | subsequent immune response. Ongoing vaccine research is
         | exploring the use of additional proteins, because they have
         | been demonstrated to be a major factor in viral replication and
         | protective immunity. For example, nucleocapsid (N) protein
         | antibodies are induced by natural infection, but not by
         | vaccination using the current solely spike protein focused mRNA
         | vaccine formulations. N protein antibodies likely have a
         | synergistic effect with S protein antibodies, and thus vaccine
         | formulations incorporating both elements may result in more
         | robust protection, especially against variants.
         | 
         | See my other comment on this thread for supporting excerpts and
         | citations from the literature.
         | 
         | [1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28320340
        
         | IX-103 wrote:
         | It's not "make N antibodies". It's a bunch of cells in parallel
         | creating cells specialized to each create a single random
         | antibody. Cells that create antibodies that don't work don't
         | reproduce (linear decay). Cells that create antibodies that
         | worked reproduce (exponential growth). This process stops when
         | the infection is gone.
         | 
         | For the mRNA vaccines, the antibodies only target the some
         | protein, but on the other hand they _all_ target the spike
         | protein. Natural immunity products antibodies that could match
         | want part oft the virus.
         | 
         | The amount of protection you get against a new variant is
         | related to how well your existing antibodies match the new
         | virus. With natural immunity it is likely that only some of the
         | antibodies match (and since each antibody exists in random
         | amounts, the matching antibodies may be the ones that you have
         | much less of). With vaccine immunity, _all_ of the antibodies
         | produced will work against the new variant if the spike protein
         | is the same, offering nearly the same immunity to the variant
         | as the original virus (assuming the spike protein doesn 't
         | change significantly). We know that the spike protein is
         | significantly less likely to change than other parts of the
         | virus so that's a reasonable assumption.
        
       | anonuser123456 wrote:
       | Antigen targets aside, there is also a difference in the
       | production of antibodies in the mucosal system.
       | 
       | Current vaccines are intra muscular and lacks a robust mucosal
       | response while natural infection will provide mucosal immunity as
       | well.
       | 
       | As one can imagine, mucosal immunity is very important in an
       | upper respiratory track disease w.r.t. symptomatic infection and
       | transmission.
        
         | UncleOxidant wrote:
         | Yeah, why aren't we putting more effort into getting an
         | intranasal vaccine approved for emergency use? An intranasal
         | vaccine would confer mucosal immunity and might also be more
         | acceptable to the vaccine hesitant. They're talking about 3rd
         | shot boosters, but I'd really like to be able to get an
         | intranasal vaccine as the third booster.
        
           | jart wrote:
           | I don't think anyone's concerned about IM vs. IN as they are
           | mRNA vs. DNA. The boosters deliver double stranded helix
           | straight to the nucleus like a Windows update. You'd have to
           | pull an Apocalypse Now to roll that back. GM people nobody
           | panics but GM organic food and everyone loses their minds.
        
             | fshbbdssbbgdd wrote:
             | I thought the boosters just have mRNA strands like the
             | original mRNA vaccines do? I haven't heard anything about
             | them using CRISPR or otherwise editing the human genome.
             | Would be neat but it seems like pharma companies charge a
             | million dollars for that kind of treatment.
        
           | nradov wrote:
           | Nasal vaccine trials are underway. We should have preliminary
           | results in a few months.
           | 
           | https://www.medpagetoday.com/special-
           | reports/exclusives/9252...
        
           | pettusftw wrote:
           | IIRC there is an intranasal expected to be approved mid next
           | year. I can't find the source I read that in, so take the
           | timing with a grain of salt. Another source I can't find at
           | the moment mentioned questions about the duration of
           | protection from that method of vaccination as well.
           | 
           | I would guess the push for intramuscular was driven for
           | multiple reasons, the first being ease of development and the
           | second to keep hospitalizations and death at a minimum.
        
       | [deleted]
        
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