[HN Gopher] Hong Kong: Police Raid Tiananmen Square Museum
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Hong Kong: Police Raid Tiananmen Square Museum
        
       Author : FridayoLeary
       Score  : 299 points
       Date   : 2021-09-09 20:13 UTC (2 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.bbc.co.uk)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.bbc.co.uk)
        
       | smoyer wrote:
       | If China is claiming that Hong Kong citizens are foreign agents,
       | aren't they implicitly admitting that Hong Kong isn't part of
       | China?
        
         | johnzim wrote:
         | Doublethink is a skill that takes some time to learn.
         | 
         | While you're still waiting to get up to speed, just understand
         | and accept that all Chinese people are the property of the
         | Emperor. It's much easier to make sense of things.
        
         | mhh__ wrote:
         | Maybe they are, but they can say whatever they please if the
         | mainlanders don't see it
        
         | azinman2 wrote:
         | No, they're saying they're working for foreign governments (aka
         | the US)
        
       | formerly_proven wrote:
       | Frankly I'm amazed that this was a thing in HK to begin with.
        
       | RcouF1uZ4gsC wrote:
       | The power balance between the US, UK, and China in 1984 was far
       | more in favor of the US and the UK than it is now and they still
       | caved to Chinese demands vis a vis Hong Kong. Given the state of
       | global power balance now, there is not a chance in hell that any
       | of the West will do anything (except maybe words) to support the
       | Hong Kong.
        
         | asdff wrote:
         | In 1984 China was part of the warsaw pact and well allied. Who
         | will stand up to chinas defence in the face of an american
         | coalition today? Russia would honestly probably join the
         | american coaliton.
        
           | hihihihi1234 wrote:
           | China was never a member of the Warsaw Pact.
        
         | johnzim wrote:
         | The U.S. did nothing in the arrangement because their position
         | wrt the CCP was one of engagement to balance against the USSR.
         | 
         | It was the UK, which caved because, as revealed in now-
         | declassified democratic cables from 1958, Zhou Enlai flatly
         | stated that the PLA would invade if HK was given independence.
         | 
         | The UK quite simply could not defend HK. It had failed to
         | defend it in WWII against Japan (it couldn't even defend
         | Singapore) and would have no hope against the CCP, even without
         | the Harbour Tunnel to the Kowloon Peninsula, which had already
         | been operating for some time.
         | 
         | Instead it opted for an agreement in the joint declaration and
         | a hope that the CCP would lean more towards international norms
         | as the Shanghai cadre assumed more control. Objectively a poor
         | solution but, I have to say, probably the most rational.
         | 
         | Of course, we all know what happened. Deng's best laid plans
         | came to naught and another 'great leader' emerged.
        
       | TacticalCoder wrote:
       | I can't wait for the marxist comrades to explain us, using some
       | no true scotman fallacy, how this is not communism, how communism
       | is about freedom of speech, freedom of thoughts, freedom
       | altogether and how communism is the utopia we should strive
       | for...
       | 
       | I can't wait to be living in wonderland with all these komrades
       | for it looks like an amazing place.
       | 
       | /s
        
         | bellyfullofbac wrote:
         | Reading this, I find it funny how so many people have an image
         | of their "enemies" in their minds and laugh at the idiocy
         | they've mentally constructed for these enemies.
        
           | ctdonath wrote:
           | Reading this, I find it funny how way back in the heyday of
           | Usenet it dawned on me "people really believe this stuff!",
           | for a wide array of stuff.
           | 
           | Yes, many people do construct a mental strawman and take
           | great pleasure in assigning & attacking it. It's also
           | interesting how many actually _do_ believe such strawman-like
           | absurdities in earnest. Yes, there are people who construct
           | an image of  "but _real_ communism has never been tried! "
           | types and impute the term so they can attack; there are also
           | people who truly believe "but _real_ communism has never been
           | tried! ".
        
           | VRay wrote:
           | Every time Communism comes up on Reddit I see a thread like
           | OP's satirizing
           | 
           | I don't know if I've ever seen anyone spouting that
           | philosophy on HackerNews though..
        
             | [deleted]
        
           | swayvil wrote:
           | I wouldn't know. The post was "flagged". Which is apparently
           | newspeak for "censored".
           | 
           | This 1984 shit is getting so casual.
        
       | AdmiralAsshat wrote:
       | Completely understandable. Why have a museum for an event that
       | never happened?
       | 
       | /s
        
         | redis_mlc wrote:
         | There were two military groups involved in TS.
         | 
         | The first refused to fire on the protesters.
         | 
         | The second was brought in to shoot the protesters.
         | 
         | The general of the second division is celebrated annually by
         | the CCP. You can see that online.
        
         | 88840-8855 wrote:
         | I know it is a joke, but they do not deny the event. They just
         | put it into a different context. It goes something like: 2000
         | lives for 20 years of stability. Well, actually 30 years now.
        
           | imglorp wrote:
           | That would be an interesting tradeoff conversation if true.
           | 
           | But they basically do deny the event by claiming only 300
           | dead and then villainizing the victims of an atrocity.
        
             | cabalamat wrote:
             | > That would be an interesting tradeoff conversation if
             | true.
             | 
             | While no-one can predict the future, we can have a good
             | guess what a democratic China would be like, because one
             | exists. It's called Taiwan. Which is richer per capita and
             | arguably more stable than the PRC.
        
           | kaladin-jasnah wrote:
           | Interesting. Never heard this before. Can you provide sources
           | to back this up?
        
             | Dig1t wrote:
             | Maybe not what you're asking for but here is a perfect
             | example of the misinformation that is spread by the CCP
             | 
             | https://worldaffairs.blog/2019/06/02/tiananmen-square-
             | massac...
        
               | refenestrator wrote:
               | The tagline "objective, nonpartisan and insightful" on
               | 'World Affairs' really brings it home.
               | 
               | The Chinese government obviously has its own propaganda,
               | but being anti-China is objective and nonpartisan in the
               | US. It's not taking sides, it's just the natural state of
               | affairs, the entire media thinks so, both kinds of it.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | slumpt_ wrote:
           | [citation needed]
           | 
           | They actively suppress awareness of the event.
        
         | mc32 wrote:
         | Good point, but they should realize Roswell and just go along
         | with it and make money.
        
       | SimeVidas wrote:
       | How much longer does China plan to keep this event taboo?
        
         | sneak wrote:
         | My guess would be until everyone who cares about it dies.
         | 
         | He who controls the present, controls the past.
        
       | pphysch wrote:
       | Interesting to see the parallel crackdowns on the glorification
       | of separatism in both USA and PRC this week, with the removal of
       | the Robert E. Lee statue in the former Confederate capital, and
       | now this.
        
         | jmclnx wrote:
         | One was a traitor trying to keep his slaves, the other was
         | fighting for Rights in China.
        
           | pphysch wrote:
           | I wasn't aware Robert E Lee ever traveled to China.
        
           | X6S1x6Okd1st wrote:
           | While that is true that fails to mention IMO a key
           | difference. The civil war is not censored in the US,
           | Tienanmen square is.
           | 
           | Removing a statue is very different than shutting down all
           | discussion around an event and locking up those that want to
           | talk about it.
        
             | pphysch wrote:
             | Expressions of white supremacism (N word, etc) & separatism
             | (Jan 6, etc) are heavily suppressed in USA.
        
               | DixieDev wrote:
               | Yeah, I don't know how America can be considered a so-
               | called "free country" when the people living there will
               | get angry at me for using slurs and being generally
               | discriminative. I'm sure it's just a matter of time until
               | they create some kind of unethical legal punishment too,
               | as they did with expressions of anger (assault, murder,
               | etc.).
        
               | giantrobot wrote:
               | I hope you forgot the /s.
        
               | sneak wrote:
               | Not the same kind of suppression, not by a long stretch.
               | 
               | You're still legally entitled to stand on a street corner
               | in the US and shout racial slurs, if that's your thing.
               | You're also legally entitled to assemble and protest
               | there.
               | 
               | None of the undertakings that are equivalent to those
               | actions are permitted in China, and will immediately
               | subject you to violence.
        
               | pphysch wrote:
               | Of course USA does not have hate speech laws. But there
               | is considerable extralegal hate speech regulation. Your
               | face will be plastered all over social media and you will
               | get "cancelled" and lose your career, and no "free
               | speech" laws will protect you from that.
        
               | jhgb wrote:
               | > But there is considerable extralegal hate speech
               | regulation. Your face will be plastered all over social
               | media and you will get "cancelled" and lose your career
               | 
               | That's a pretty convoluted way to say "people in the US
               | don't tolerate assholes".
        
               | giantrobot wrote:
               | > and no "free speech" laws will protect you from that
               | 
               | You have a right to speak freely without the _government_
               | stopping you. You have no right to have people listen to
               | you. In fact the same guarantee that _you_ have for
               | speech also enshrines free assembly.
               | 
               | So everyone who disagrees with your bullshit is free to
               | ignore you and convince others to ignore you. They're
               | also free to boot you off or out of their property.
        
               | sneak wrote:
               | Important distinction: the government is allowed to do
               | violence to people legally (during law enforcement).
               | Private people generally are not.
               | 
               | This means that if you have free speech, you can't
               | immediately suffer legal violence for saying things.
               | 
               | You may, of course, suffer other things, but it won't be
               | legal violence.
        
           | joshuaissac wrote:
           | Tiananmen Square protests were not separatist, either.
        
             | pphysch wrote:
             | Foreign-backed regime change operations are rather
             | separatist in my humble opinion
        
               | tg180 wrote:
               | The growing unrest amongst students, people and the
               | political elite was caused by divisions within the party.
               | 
               | Deng Xiaoping believed in the need of absolute authority.
               | 
               | The death of general secretary Hu Yaobang (a reformist)
               | fueled anxieties about the future of the country.
               | 
               | Foreign-backed regime change??
        
               | pphysch wrote:
               | There were many different facets to the political turmoil
               | including those you mention, but the actual violence was
               | encouraged by minority groups with suspicious ties to the
               | US regime change apparatus. Student leader Chai Ling
               | infamously quipped that "we are hoping for bloodshed" [1]
               | yet abandoned the protests and was whisked out of China
               | and landed in the USA with a full-ride to Princeton. She
               | now runs what appears to be a business cult.
               | 
               | [1] - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chai_Ling#Documentary
               | _controve...
        
       | jmclnx wrote:
       | I really wish the US and Europe would get *lls and punish China
       | for breaking the treaty with Hong Kong and the UK
        
         | masterof0 wrote:
         | How? Another war? I'm having a hard time believing the economic
         | elite in the US will be in favor of loosing business in China.
        
           | errantmind wrote:
           | Economic sanctions. Tariffs and the like. War with a nuclear
           | power is not a viable option
        
           | president wrote:
           | It's a good question. Assuming war is the only option on the
           | table:
           | 
           | 1. Would Americans be in favor of (relatively) short term
           | destruction in favor of long term prosperity for their
           | children and future generations?
           | 
           | 2. Would the US be able to win a conventional war against
           | China?
           | 
           | I believe the answer to #1 is no. I don't think anybody knows
           | the answer to #2.
        
             | boomboomsubban wrote:
             | On 1, let's not pretend that short term destruction
             | necessarily leads to long term prosperity. We've "won" most
             | of our recent wars, long term prosperity was not the
             | result.
             | 
             | On 2, there is no conventional war with a nuclear power.
        
           | brnt wrote:
           | Western countries irrevocably recognizing Taiwan would be a
           | start.
        
             | mensetmanusman wrote:
             | We are playing the long game, eventually the warmongering
             | Chinese leaders will be gone.
        
               | cabalamat wrote:
               | China doesn't want war, it wants status. They see the
               | last 200 years as a reversal of the natural order of
               | things, and want China to be top dog again. They
               | literally see themselves as the center of the world:
               | Zhongguo means "central country".
        
             | ff7c11 wrote:
             | Don't do this. People live in Taiwan. It's not fair to use
             | them as pawns. Keep the status quo rather than provoke war
             | and chaos.
        
               | cabalamat wrote:
               | I bet loads of people said the same thing when Britain
               | and France gave the Sudetenland to Germany. That didn't
               | work out very well for them, and it was only because
               | Germany and Russia fell out and fought each other that
               | Britain won that war; if not for that it's entirely
               | possible that democracy would not have survived at the
               | world would be a very different place today.
        
               | serf wrote:
               | > Don't do this. People live in Taiwan. It's not fair to
               | use them as pawns. Keep the status quo rather than
               | provoke war and chaos.
               | 
               | until what point?
               | 
               | inaction is generally one of the biggest causes of death
               | and suffering in historical warfare.
        
               | refenestrator wrote:
               | That's really easy to say when it's not you or your kids
               | on the front line.
               | 
               | Beyond just Taiwan, the last cold war kept the third
               | world in a constant state of proxy war between the major
               | powers, costing millions of lives in the short-term and
               | delaying development in the long term.
               | 
               | Worth considering if you're in favor of more of that in
               | the name of human rights.
        
               | tablespoon wrote:
               | > ...the last cold war kept the third world in a constant
               | state of proxy war between the major powers, costing
               | millions of lives in the short-term and delaying
               | development in the long term.
               | 
               | And the alternative might have been "let the Soviets
               | win." That choice would have definitely been a way to
               | avoid war and achieve a kind of "peace."
        
               | refenestrator wrote:
               | What happened when we finally left Vietnam? Absolutely
               | nothing, that's what.
               | 
               | We had to support one-way helicopter rides under Pinochet
               | or contras gunning down nuns? Or else the soviets win?
               | 
               | If it's about national pride and staying on top, fine,
               | but don't tell me it's human rights with that record. The
               | Chinese haven't acted with force outside of what they
               | consider their soil/sea in like 40 years. Xi is pretty
               | worrying but until he starts doing that, let's not
               | agitate for killing a bunch of people just in case.
        
             | Kognito wrote:
             | I suspect if this happened, it'd trigger an invasion by the
             | CCP just to save face.
        
               | ohazi wrote:
               | This would absolutely never happen, but if we were
               | serious about completely removing the possibility of a
               | Chinese mainland invasion of Taiwan, we could just
               | publicly give Taiwan some nukes.
               | 
               | It would be a global political shitstorm, but even
               | mainland China would not be stupid enough to invade after
               | that.
               | 
               | Nuclear proliferation may be bad for all sorts of
               | reasons, but MAD really does appear to work.
               | 
               | Also Taiwan already has nuclear power plants, so it's not
               | _that_ crazy. They are capable of developing nuclear
               | weapons on their own if they really wanted to.
        
               | tablespoon wrote:
               | > ...but if we were serious about completely removing the
               | possibility of a Chinese mainland invasion of Taiwan, we
               | could just publicly give Taiwan some nukes.
               | 
               | IIRC, that's one of the PRC's red lines to trigger an
               | invasion.
               | 
               | Also, I'm not sure if Taiwan could get to the point of
               | having a survivable nuclear arsenal that's large enough
               | to guarantee MAD.
        
               | skissane wrote:
               | > we could just publicly give Taiwan some nukes
               | 
               | US would never do that, it would violate Non-
               | Proliferation Treaty (NPT).
               | 
               | Some non-nuclear NATO countries do host US nuclear
               | weapons, but they are legally and physically under US
               | control. In an actual nuclear war, the US would release
               | these nuclear weapons to their allies - at which point
               | the US would have indeed violated the treaty, but in a
               | nuclear war who cares?
               | 
               | So in principle the US could station US-controlled
               | nuclear weapons in Taiwan, and publicly announce they
               | have done so. But it would be an extremely risky move -
               | basically the Cuban Missile Crisis all over again, but
               | this time with the US playing the role of the Soviet
               | Union.
               | 
               | Given the extreme risk of such a move, I doubt the US is
               | going to make it.
        
               | cabalamat wrote:
               | > US would never do that, it would violate Non-
               | Proliferation Treaty (NPT).
               | 
               | The US unlikely to be enormously bothered about violating
               | treaties if it finds doing so in its interest.
               | 
               | > Given the extreme risk of such a move
               | 
               | What exactly is China going to do? Try to break the US-
               | led world order? They're doing that already!
        
               | skissane wrote:
               | > The US unlikely to be enormously bothered about
               | violating treaties if it finds doing so in its interest.
               | 
               | The US cares greatly about the NPT because it wants a
               | world in which only a small number of countries have
               | nuclear weapons, not a world in which dozens of them do.
               | 
               | NPT limits nuclear weapons to 5 countries only - China,
               | France, Russia, UK, US. Four nuclear states refuse to
               | give up their weapons as the treaty demands (and hence
               | refuse to join it) - India, Israel, North Korea,
               | Pakistan. But a world with 9 nuclear weapons states is
               | preferable to one with 90
               | 
               | > What exactly is China going to do?
               | 
               | Attack Taiwan? China would likely try to call the US
               | nuclear bluff with a massive conventional attack. The
               | ensuing loss of human life and economic damage would be
               | enormous.
        
             | warning26 wrote:
             | It's an interesting idea, but it would amount to calling
             | China's bluff. China has stated that they would
             | _definitely_ commit to a ground invasion of Taiwan if the
             | US recognized it. The question is -- how serious are they
             | about that?
             | 
             | Personally, I think they'd go for it. They've been itching
             | to take over Taiwan by force anyway.
        
               | cabalamat wrote:
               | > Personally, I think they'd go for it.
               | 
               | If there were sizable numbers of US troops on Taiwan, I
               | don't think they'd attack. They don't want a major
               | confrontation, at least not yet.
        
               | tablespoon wrote:
               | > If there were sizable numbers of US troops on Taiwan, I
               | don't think they'd attack. They don't want a major
               | confrontation, at least not yet.
               | 
               | There's a decent chance at this point that all those
               | troops would do is hold the airport for a rushed
               | evacuation mission.
        
               | bpodgursky wrote:
               | > China has stated that they would definitely commit to a
               | ground invasion of Taiwan if the US recognized it.
               | 
               | I don't believe this is true. IIRC they've implied they
               | would invade if Taiwan declared itself independent.
        
               | nradov wrote:
               | China has more than just implied it. They directly stated
               | that a declaration of independence by Taiwan means war.
               | 
               | https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-55851052
        
           | Gray0Ed wrote:
           | Sponsor relocation to US/UK/Taiwan for any HK citizen who
           | wants it? HK will have 0 value to China if every educated
           | person leaves it.
        
             | godelski wrote:
             | It isn't exactly easy to leave your country, family,
             | friends, and entire life behind. The UK did make it easier
             | for HKers to get visas and relocation, but I think efforts
             | like this only go so far in practice. Not enough people
             | want to leave until it is too late. Because, and it is hard
             | to blame them, they hope that their home will end up being
             | saved by the many people fighting to preserve it. Leaving,
             | in a way, is giving up.
             | 
             | We should also note that with the growth of Shenzhen and
             | other mega cities, HK isn't that important to China
             | anymore. That's part of why they've become more aggressive
             | in the situation.
        
             | stingrae wrote:
             | HK doesn't really have value to China other than making the
             | case to its population that it never stands down or loses.
             | 
             | Economically HK isn't that big of a deal compared to the
             | rest of China at this point.
        
             | jogu wrote:
             | While not sponsored exactly, the UK has made some targeted
             | changes to visa policies that make it easier for people in
             | Honk Kong to relocate to the UK.
        
             | kwere wrote:
             | If they could leave
        
             | Closi wrote:
             | The UK has already offered relocation and citizenship to
             | approx 40% of the population of HK, so this has pretty much
             | already happened.
        
         | onethought wrote:
         | Punish them how? The global economy is heavy reliant on a
         | cooperative China.
         | 
         | UK have made it clear they aren't part of the EU so why would
         | the EU care?
         | 
         | Just recall the context China are operating from: Hong Kong was
         | stolen from them at the height of the opium wars. There is no
         | fairness in these geopolitical dealings.
         | 
         | Overall this sucks for HK... but it's actually easy to
         | understand all the parties involved actions/inaction... it's
         | just crap though. :(
        
           | busterarm wrote:
           | Not as reliant as you think.
           | 
           | Chinese exports are rapidly becoming too expensive relative
           | to their neighbors and they seem to be unable to further
           | cheapen the price of their labor.
           | 
           | Economically, China is actually in a real bind.
        
           | robbedpeter wrote:
           | The China of the opium wars was a completely different entity
           | than Communist China. I don't see that there is any
           | obligation whatsoever to deal with the ccp as if they are the
           | legitimate successors of all things formerly China.
           | 
           | They're lying, cheating, and stealing from every entity they
           | deal with on the world stage, blatantly holding themselves
           | above any law, even internally. This doesn't end well unless
           | there's some sort of overwhelming grassroots revolution from
           | the inside. Thanks to Western panopticon tech, that can't
           | happen now, so China's merry band of pirates is headed for
           | Taiwan and global conflict.
           | 
           | Thanks, boomers, ya done good.
        
         | karaterobot wrote:
         | Tariffs? We tried a trade war, and it had some economic effect,
         | but no lasting political effect. We probably don't want to get
         | involved in another land war in Asia, if we can avoid it. We
         | could try asking them nicely, but beyond that I feel like it's
         | up to the people of China to decide their own fate.
        
           | sremani wrote:
           | Hongkong dollar is pegged to USD and US has a special treaty
           | with HK w.r.t Financial transactions.
           | 
           | US can walk out of the treaty but there are downsides to it.
           | It will happen sooner or later.
        
           | GekkePrutser wrote:
           | A land war against China over Hong Kong would be ridiculous.
           | They have the entire country as a base. The western countries
           | would have to fly/sail everything in. Not to mention the
           | legal situation. It's their soil already. It would be an
           | invasion. Against another superpower no less. Really bad
           | idea.
           | 
           | And China can hurt the city enough by just turning the water
           | off. It will only hurt the people of Hong Kong more.
           | 
           | No, this change won't be driven by the military. It will have
           | to come from within. Probably the most durable way anyway
           | (see how this worked out for Afghanistan).
           | 
           | Taiwan would be a totally different thing though. They have
           | been independent for so long and they have no wish to join
           | communist China (which they've never been a part of). And
           | it's much more defensible. I do hope we will stand by them
           | when it comes to it.
        
             | asdff wrote:
             | Western countries probably wouldn't land any ground forces
             | but instead form a naval blockade all along the china sea
             | and use their air superiority to deindustrialize the
             | country.
        
             | cabalamat wrote:
             | > A land war against China over Hong Kong would be
             | ridiculous.
             | 
             | Indeed. It's a complete non-starter.
             | 
             | If the West wants to beat China they must be more subtle
             | and crafty than a direct military invasion: the 2nd Cold
             | War will be mainly fought using diplomacy, trade,
             | economics, technology and spying. Not direct military
             | conflict, apart from maybe a few proxy wars.
        
         | sneak wrote:
         | I really wish that people would stop ascribing masculine
         | traits, violent warmongering, and inherent virtue into the same
         | bucket.
        
         | BurningFrog wrote:
         | All we can do is open our borders for Hongkongers who want to
         | leave.
         | 
         | This is maybe the most highly educated and productive
         | population in the world. Any country would be lucky to get
         | them.
        
           | cabalamat wrote:
           | > All we can do is open our borders for Hongkongers who want
           | to leave.
           | 
           | Yes. And no longer trade with China.
        
       | swayvil wrote:
       | According to the authorities the museum was spreading
       | "misinformation".
       | 
       | There's that word again.
       | 
       | What do you do when all the authorities, and all the news-
       | sources, and everybody you know calls it "misinformation"?
       | 
       | Who's the bad guy here?
       | 
       | It's enough to make you crazy.
       | 
       | I mean have you met the average person? He believes whatever he's
       | told. And with great enthusiasm.
       | 
       | And he hates whoever he's told to hate.
       | 
       | Crazy.
        
       | rmason wrote:
       | Leaders in the former Soviet Union learned the easiest way to
       | erase an historical event was to remove all public record of it.
       | 
       | For those who do not remember they would arrest a member of say
       | the Politburo and then all pictures of him with other leaders
       | would be airbrushed out, sometimes even in library books. It was
       | as if he was no longer ever born.
        
         | mushbino wrote:
         | I work with a lot of Chinese nationals and they know far more
         | about tiananmen than westerners. Look up operation yellowbird.
        
       | kunagi7 wrote:
       | The Chinese Government is speeding up their efforts to swallow
       | Hong Kong and Macau into the Mainland.
       | 
       | Closing the media outlets, museums, websites that speak against
       | them. And a few key people get abducted here and there to scare
       | more people and force them to accept the Beijing Regime. But...
       | The people from Hong Kong still demonstrates and tries to fight
       | for their lost rights.
        
         | president wrote:
         | Very sad and parallels what seems to be happening in the US and
         | other western democracies as well. There is a trend of certain
         | dominant power in all of these countries that is quashing all
         | opposing voices. I predict that some major global events are
         | going to happen within the next few years.
         | 
         | EDIT: Case in point - the quashing of opposing voices occurs on
         | this board on this very comment. You cannot even bring up this
         | fact. Thank you for proving me right fellow HNer.
        
           | warning26 wrote:
           | Or, consider this alternative hypothesis -- people are
           | downvoting you for whining about being downvoted.
        
           | ssully wrote:
           | Are people using the downvote button incorrectly here?
        
           | temp8964 wrote:
           | The parallels are:
           | 
           | Both driven by the left.
           | 
           | Both claim nothing will happen, it's just a myth, people are
           | just being paranoid.
           | 
           | Purge is the common theme across the history of leftism.
        
             | another_story wrote:
             | Define what you mean by left.
        
               | wizzwizz4 wrote:
               | It's the _correct_ side of the road to drive on, in the
               | northern hemisphere! Roundabouts should be the same
               | direction as sundials.
        
             | GekkePrutser wrote:
             | The Nazis were totally right-wing. Their purges shocked the
             | world. It's not just a left-wing thing, it's a common theme
             | across all forms of extremism. Left, right, religion-based
             | (look at the Taliban now, they don't really fit in the left
             | or right category at all)... It always comes down to the
             | same thing. Not listening to the other person but choosing
             | to silence them with violence instead. The flag they wave
             | is different but the extremism remains the same.
             | 
             | What we need is balance. Left and right together. Agreeing
             | to disagree and finding a way to work together anyway.
             | That's democracy. It's hard but it's the only way.
        
           | telllersid wrote:
           | The US republic was basically founded on pamphlets,
           | newspapers, books..then incredibly long debates and
           | respectful discussion.
           | 
           | Look at the structure of the Lincoln-Douglas debates. One
           | candidate spoke for 60 minutes, followed by a 90-minute
           | response and a final 30-minute rejoinder by the first
           | candidate.
           | 
           | That doesn't work anymore. None of this works. Yes, all
           | opposing voices will be silenced until there is 1 party
           | basically everywhere. That is what people want and so that is
           | what you will get in a democracy. There is no evidence to the
           | contrary.
           | 
           | I am just glad I am old enough to have lived most my life
           | already.
        
           | kemiller wrote:
           | Nowhere in the constitution are you protected from
           | consequences when you say something stupid, and right-leaning
           | folks have been saying this particular stupid thing a bit too
           | often. Have the offices of Fox News or Breitbart or the
           | Creation Science Museum been raided by police? No? Then this
           | is not even close to parallel.
        
             | alentist wrote:
             | https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1282404647160942598.html
        
             | inopinatus wrote:
             | There's a seam of individuals cutting across the political
             | spectrum that is confused about their right to speak
             | freely. They think it translates to a right to force
             | everyone to listen to them. Then they become shirty when
             | told to fuck off.
             | 
             | It's naturally correlated to extremities of viewpoint, both
             | due to the absence of critical thinking on the part of the
             | complainant and the elevated likelihood their views fall
             | outside a certain window of acceptability.
        
           | 2OEH8eoCRo0 wrote:
           | You're welcome.
        
           | analognoise wrote:
           | Whose voice is getting quashed in the US? Everyone has a
           | Facebook, Twitter, email, phones, a magazine, protests, their
           | own news channels, subReddits.
           | 
           | What group doesn't have all those things? Whose voice is
           | being quashed - exactly? Even straight up Nazis have
           | websites, newsletters, gatherings, organized protest marches
           | and Facebook pages. The fucking Taliban is on Twitter.
           | 
           | So...who is being quashed because of their beliefs, exactly?
        
             | temp8964 wrote:
             | I have a quick example: the former president.
        
               | jjoonathan wrote:
               | ...and what did he do to get banned?
               | 
               | (Hint: it wasn't "having ideas.")
        
               | kemiller wrote:
               | Hmm... https://lmgtfy.app/?q=donald+trump
               | 
               | So, so quashed. You can barely find any information about
               | him!
        
             | chasd00 wrote:
             | For one, it's well known in tech that you're putting your
             | job/livelihood at risk by speaking contrary to the
             | political groupthink. Many people who didn't vote for
             | Clinton or Biden are effectively in career hiding.
             | Threatening someone's job over their beliefs/opinions is
             | very effective censorship.
        
               | gautamdivgi wrote:
               | The right of free speech protects against government
               | retribution. It does not protect private individual /
               | corporation retaliation. This is why you have secret
               | ballot - so no one can retaliate against you for someone
               | you've voted for.
        
               | krapp wrote:
               | >Many people who didn't vote for Clinton or Biden are
               | effectively in career hiding.
               | 
               | Are they? Where? In the American South, where I live,
               | Republicans, Conservatives and Trumpists are still loud
               | and proud, and gainfully employed.
        
               | sergiomattei wrote:
               | When in history hasn't this been the case?
        
               | treeman79 wrote:
               | Depend on the company's Most companies I keep my mouth
               | shut.
               | 
               | And I mostly just want a balanced budget. This has become
               | harder as more places are requiring active participation
               | in woke mentality.
        
             | alentist wrote:
             | https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1282404647160942598.html
        
             | cabalamat wrote:
             | > Everyone has a Facebook, Twitter [...] subReddits
             | 
             | You appear to be arguing that no-one has ever been kicked
             | off Facebook or Twitter, and that no subreddits have ever
             | been banned. Is that your position?
        
           | throwawaylolx wrote:
           | >Thank you for proving me right fellow HNer.
           | 
           | Well, who do you think does the censoring in the West?
           | Companies that employ people browsing this very forum.
        
         | yuy910616 wrote:
         | Really reminds me of the Taiwan election commercial that
         | compares Taiwan and Hong Kong
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ykcVIQMrc4A
        
           | elihu wrote:
           | Note: there's English subtitles available if you enable close
           | captioning.
        
             | AussieWog93 wrote:
             | Even creepier listening to it with no subtitles and a
             | primary school level understanding of Chinese.
             | 
             | All I heard was "husband", "daughter" and "whole family".
        
           | vmception wrote:
           | wow
           | 
           | that was really powerful
           | 
           | makes me want to rethink some of my flippant comments about
           | Taiwan impending doom after we get our semiconductor pylons
           | up in other places, but now at least they have my sympathy
        
           | yodsanklai wrote:
           | The amount of effort China is putting to sabotage Taiwan
           | independence is astonishing. I have Taiwanese relatives and
           | I'm very worried for them.
        
             | gogopuppygogo wrote:
             | The USA has been losing all war games where it defends
             | Tawain against China.
             | 
             | https://nypost.com/2021/03/11/us-war-games-over-china-
             | threat...
             | 
             | It is not okay to assume USA supremacy against adversaries
             | anymore.
             | 
             | Why Americans still do business with China is astounding to
             | me.
        
         | vmception wrote:
         | What's going on in Macau? I thought there is no contention
         | there. They can if they want, they can do the perpetual lease
         | if they want.
        
           | niij wrote:
           | Portugal gave up their perpetual lease of Macau in 1999.
        
             | arcticbull wrote:
             | On the same terms as Hong Kong.
        
         | kingkawn wrote:
         | The only reason Hong Kong has had this period of independence
         | is a side effect of western power subjugating the Chinese
         | mainland. As the Chinese mainland grows in global power and the
         | west decays into internal squabbles there should be no
         | expectation that the pretenses of western power will remain
         | intact.
        
           | VictorPath wrote:
           | Yes, the UK (with US help) stole Hong Kong from China to help
           | in its effort to turn Chinese people into drug addicts during
           | the Opium wars. It's why they killed Chinese in Hong Kong in
           | 1967 protesting the UK occupation (a few years later the UK
           | gunned down unarmed protestors in Derry marching against
           | British internment camps).
           | 
           | Watched the liberation of Kabul from foreign imperialists
           | last month and have to laugh at the pious western liberal
           | imperial impotent ramblings I see here.
        
         | asdff wrote:
         | If Beijing ever martyrs the protestors like tianeman again I
         | don't think the world will take kindly to that at all. I even
         | think russia would join an american coalition. China has no
         | strong allies that wouldn't prefer to spare themselves in the
         | event of worldwide intervention and they can't fight off the
         | entire developed world alone no matter how far they came in
         | recent decades.
        
           | Yeroc wrote:
           | Ah, but China holds all the financial levers to keep everyone
           | in their place. If there were a war there'd be no "Made in
           | China" goods being exported. Take a look around you and think
           | about that for a few minutes. They can get away with almost
           | anything. The only thing they fear is an internal uprising.
        
             | hker wrote:
             | > They can get away with almost anything.
             | 
             | Not if factories move to Vietnam, Thailand, Laos,
             | Bangladesh, India, etc., as the current trend continues.
        
           | mc32 wrote:
           | You are too optimistic.
           | 
           | The US got too involved in too many wars for the wrong
           | reasons and we got weary of them. China sees this as a
           | weakness (admittedly).
           | 
           | If the US does not flinch, no one else will and we won't and
           | no one else will.
           | 
           | We know terrible things are happening en masse in Xinjiang,
           | Iran does terrible things to dissidents, north Korea does
           | terrible things.
           | 
           | China and N Korea have nukes. Iran is close. In the and no
           | one will do anything if they decide to fully bare their
           | teeth.
           | 
           | Economically it's a "commons" no one is willingly going to
           | leave because it's leaving too much money on the table. In a
           | globalized world, companies really heavily influence foreign
           | policy. These companies want the printer to stay on.
           | 
           | They may do themselves in, but that's on them.
        
             | asdff wrote:
             | US has sophisticated missile defense systems and enough
             | nukes to send the entire continent of asia back to the
             | stone age. A nuclear war started by any other nation than
             | the U.S. is literally suicide, and these world leaders know
             | it which is why all there has been since WWII in terms of
             | nuclear warfare is saber rattling.
        
               | yodsanklai wrote:
               | >US has sophisticated missile defense systems and enough
               | nukes to send the entire continent of asia back to the
               | stone age
               | 
               | So does China with the US.
        
           | labster wrote:
           | Yes, the US and it's allies will send very strongly worded
           | letters to China if that happens, along with its order for
           | ten million more iPhones.
        
           | yodsanklai wrote:
           | I really think nobody cares. Even if China were to military
           | invade Taiwan tonight, I'm not sure there would be any form
           | of retaliation from western countries.
        
       | psim1 wrote:
       | I visited this museum in 2016. It was incredible to see this on
       | Chinese soil.
       | 
       | Hong Kong had a mere 20 years of being truly Hong Kong, free of
       | the UK and generally free of China. Now it is just more China.
        
         | hunterb123 wrote:
         | Communist China has only had a mere 100 years compared to it's
         | 5000 year history.
        
           | SkyMarshal wrote:
           | Even less actually. The CCP has existed for 100yrs (since
           | 1921), but didn't control China till 1949. Communist China
           | has only existed for 72yrs.
        
           | mensetmanusman wrote:
           | I try to remind people of this all the time, it's especially
           | interesting since the leadership is trying to destroy
           | artifacts of their history to fit a very recent narrative.
           | 
           | They only occasionally use bits and pieces to talk about how
           | they are in ancient culture, but they are rapidly becoming a
           | very young culture in a historical sense.
        
           | sneak wrote:
           | This is a pretty interesting perspective to consider, too.
        
           | khc wrote:
           | and 5000 years of dictator rule, not sure what you are trying
           | to say
        
           | Bayart wrote:
           | >it's 5000 year history
           | 
           | Please don't give credence to nonsensical nationalist tropes.
           | The Oracle Bone Script goes back to about 1200 BC during the
           | Shang Dynasty, that makes about 3200 years of history. Before
           | that it's _pre-history_.
           | 
           | It's a bit younger than Linear B, Old Avestan and Vedic
           | Sanskrit. So in terms of a traceable, continuous culture
           | China is at the fourth place of so.
           | 
           | These days I'd probably be called a "historical nihilist" in
           | China for saying that.
        
           | gibolt wrote:
           | Not sure why you are being downvoted. During the communist
           | revolution (in the 40s), the previous government was
           | overthrown and escaped to Taiwan. That was when Mao and
           | Communism took over.
           | 
           | It is an interesting perspective
           | 
           | Edited for accuracy, 'cultural' -> 'communist'
        
             | skissane wrote:
             | > During the cultural revolution, the previous government
             | was overthrown and escaped to Taiwan
             | 
             | Not the Cultural Revolution. Cultural Revolution was in the
             | 1960s, the Communist victory over the Nationalists and the
             | Nationalists' flight to Taiwan was late 1940s. The
             | "Cultural Revolution" was not a "revolution" in the classic
             | sense. It was not an attempt to install a new government.
             | It was a totalitarian exercise in which the Communist Party
             | - led by Mao - attempted to eliminate every aspect of
             | Chinese culture and society that wasn't enthusiastically
             | communist
        
             | patch_cable wrote:
             | That's not what the cultural revolution was.
             | 
             | The cultural revolution took place well after the CCP took
             | over.
        
         | 0cVlTeIATBs wrote:
         | I visited in 2016, too. The fellow there recommended that to
         | learn more about China I should visit Taiwan. At the time I
         | thought that was a pessimistic point of view.
        
           | poorjohnmacafee wrote:
           | Taiwan did seek to preserve the heritage of China after the
           | communist takeover on the mainland, which sought to pretty
           | much destroy said heritage in a cultural revolution.
        
         | arcticbull wrote:
         | It would've been much more free under British rule towards the
         | end but the mainland government pressured the UK not to allow
         | that to happen in preparation for the handover.
        
           | [deleted]
        
       | icelandicmoss wrote:
       | > The national security unit had earlier requested that the Hong
       | Kong Alliance hand over information, reportedly including
       | personal details of all members since the group's founding and
       | financial records.
       | 
       | > On Tuesday, the deadline for the request, the alliance members
       | handed over a letter explaining their refusal to co-operate.
       | 
       | That takes a magnificent and heartbreaking degree of courage.
        
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