[HN Gopher] Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. c...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip factory
       race heats up
        
       Author : thunderbong
       Score  : 382 points
       Date   : 2021-09-28 09:59 UTC (13 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.reuters.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.reuters.com)
        
       | robotnikman wrote:
       | I pass by there every day on my way to work. Based on all the
       | construction equipment I saw around the campus I figured the new
       | fabs were going to start being built soon.
       | 
       | It also still amazes me how huge the campus is
        
       | kd913 wrote:
       | Doesn't chip making a lot of water, most of it in Arizona is fed
       | by Lake Mead?
       | 
       | The same reservoir that is at 30% capacity, with acute water
       | shortages and with 4 years of increased precipitation necessary
       | for an adequate refill.
       | 
       | We are adding a chip making facility which needs a lot of water
       | here?
       | 
       | This sounds like a recipe for disaster whenever there is a period
       | of water stress which appears to be occurring in that region
       | significantly more frequently.
       | 
       | The more I think about it, the more US infra/urban planning makes
       | absolutely 0 sense to me. Seems to more closely follow tax breaks
       | and tax income than necessarily smart resource allocation.
        
         | mschuster91 wrote:
         | > The more I think about it, the more US infra/urban planning
         | makes absolutely 0 sense to me. Seems to more closely follow
         | tax breaks and tax income than necessarily smart resource
         | allocation.
         | 
         | An issue that doesn't just plague the US. Here in the EU, we
         | have similar issues with governments from local city councils
         | to federal governments doing anything they can to poach
         | businesses. Tax breaks, subventions, lax law enforcement (e.g.
         | Ireland vs GDPR)... it's madness. And the problem is, you can't
         | simply go ahead and centralize that planning because you always
         | have to be afraid of a political party taking over and
         | completely abusing that power in the next legislative period.
        
         | new_guy wrote:
         | Probably a good time to remind people that this entire planet
         | is 70% water. Water shortage shouldn't be a thing, but greed
         | and short sightedness is.
        
           | Cthulhu_ wrote:
           | Probably a good time to remind people that only 3% of that is
           | fresh water. Fresh water shortage is definitely a thing.
        
             | coldacid wrote:
             | Desalinization is a thing, and one that's often overlooked
             | because the people holding the purse strings are generally
             | cheap-asses.
        
               | NineStarPoint wrote:
               | Desalinization is an extremely energy intensive process
               | for the amount of water we use. Eventually we probably
               | will produce so much energy that that's less of a
               | concern, but at the moment we're having plenty of issues
               | getting our fossil fuel usages lowered without adding
               | Desalinization to our civilization's requirements.
        
               | standardUser wrote:
               | Desalination can be achieved using the cheapest energy
               | source there is, solar.
        
               | seanmcdirmid wrote:
               | Desalination requires high energy inputs. It also creates
               | highly salted water as waste (some gets cleaned, other
               | water gets i cleaned) that is difficult to deal with.
               | Given cheap energy and somewhere to store the waste
               | water, it could be viable.
        
           | matheusmoreira wrote:
           | > Water shortage shouldn't be a thing, but greed and short
           | sightedness is.
           | 
           | Yup. We'll never ever run out of water. Whatever problems
           | arise, there are solutions for them. People just don't want
           | to pay. They want it cheap and convenient.
        
             | pope_meat wrote:
             | I don't want to be priced out of the water market the same
             | way I got priced out of the housing market.
             | 
             | But then again, sacrifices must be made to the profit gods,
             | it is the way.
             | 
             | Sigh.
        
               | rmah wrote:
               | That will only happen if you live in a region that is
               | arid or semi-arid. Most of the US is literally
               | overflowing with fresh water and almost all the expense
               | for water is related to simply piping it to you or
               | cleaning up the wastewater you create. For the vast
               | majority of people in the USA, water is very cheap.
        
               | matheusmoreira wrote:
               | Water should be a basic human right. No human should ever
               | be priced out. Whatever infrastructure is needed to bring
               | potable water to people, the government should pay for
               | it. The whole point of governments is to pay for basic
               | infrastructure like this. Taxes ought to fund something
               | other than politician corruption.
               | 
               | Corporations on the other hand have no human rights at
               | all. They can and should be priced out.
        
               | TimTheTinker wrote:
               | > The whole point of governments is to pay for basic
               | infrastructure like this.
               | 
               | That's a pretty steep oversimplification there.
               | Governments usually exist to promote justice and rule-of-
               | law, keep people safe from internal and external threats
               | to their physical safety, and to protect individual
               | freedoms and liberty.
               | 
               | Paying for infrastructure is only a small part of all of
               | that.
        
               | brewdad wrote:
               | Wouldn't ensuring a reliable supply of safe drinking
               | water fall under keeping people safe from threats to
               | their physical safety?
        
               | TimTheTinker wrote:
               | Technically, no. But safe drinking water does fall under
               | other categories of "promoting the general welfare", so
               | that's not to say it shouldn't be under government's
               | purview.
        
               | matheusmoreira wrote:
               | Everything you cited is part of the common good. So is
               | infrastructure. Governments exist to pay for this stuff,
               | _especially_ the unprofitable endeavors that benefit
               | everyone.
               | 
               | They essentially rob their population in order to do it.
               | If a government isn't paying, it's corrupt.
        
           | thrashh wrote:
           | It's not greed and shortsightedness.
           | 
           | It's logistics. Logistics is expensive af
        
         | adminscoffee wrote:
         | very good point about the water, side note for anyone reading
         | this. we really ought to invest heavily in permaculture
         | (restoring eco-systems). anyone who doesn't know exactly what i
         | am talking about please check out the this "tech". it is a lot
         | cooler than it sounds. the process can restore underground
         | watersheds in the dessert and bring back forests. it's a
         | science, but can be learned outside of a university on your own
         | if you don't want to do more schooling, at first i thought it
         | was some hippy dippy stuff but it has fangs
        
         | hosh wrote:
         | I live in Phoenix and have heard some of the local discourse
         | about this.
         | 
         | Fabs need a lot of water, like a swimming pool. Once you fill
         | it up, then you need comparatively less to stay operational.
         | 
         | Intel has invested in both recycling water as well as
         | partnering with organizations on water conservation and ecology
         | projects.
         | 
         | Arizona does draw water from the Colorado River, but among the
         | four states, Arizona is at the bottom of the water rights. We
         | get what is left over after Colorado, California, and Utah get
         | their legal share.
         | 
         | The biggest user of water here in Arizona are the commercial
         | farmers. (The Hopi people practice dryland agriculture and so
         | don't irrigate at all; most everyone else irrigates using
         | inefficient and destructive land management practices).
         | Aquifers here have been draining, and it has been a big issue.
         | Farmers are already getting restricted on water use this year
         | (despite an unusually wet monsoon season), and water
         | restrictions has not hit residential users yet. It is on the
         | radar for policymakers though.
         | 
         | Both TSMC and Intel are attracted to Arizona because it is
         | seismically stable. They each had to invest an enormous amount
         | in the more seismically active Taiwan and California, and it
         | gets more sensitive the smaller the chips get.
         | 
         | If we want to conserve more water, the most effective way is to
         | change commercial farming practices. Fabs have already invested
         | a lot to reducing ongoing water use.
         | 
         | For an example of what I mean by better land management
         | practices in regards to water: https://youtu.be/-8nqnOcoLqE
        
           | j_walter wrote:
           | >Fabs need a lot of water, like a swimming pool. Once you
           | fill it up, then you need comparatively less to stay
           | operational.
           | 
           | This is just not true. The amount of cooling required for
           | fabs is extremely significant and without major evaporative
           | cooling you can't get it. With evaporative cooling comes
           | water loss...and not a small amount of it, especially in the
           | desert. You can do a lot to recycle water that is used in the
           | process, but not the water loss using in cooling.
           | 
           | This is also evident in the environmental goals set forth by
           | Intel...they talk about returning 100% water to the
           | environment. Well evaporation is back to the environment...
        
             | spaztastical wrote:
             | That is not how that works. Las vegas is full of pools and
             | fountains... INDOORS. they retain the moisture in their
             | enclosed ecosystems. We have ACs that pull water out of the
             | air, and we also know how to make buildings.
        
               | j_walter wrote:
               | You can't just have AC when it comes to industrial
               | cooling. You have to have chillers connected to cooling
               | towers and those work on evaporative cooling. Feel free
               | to debate all day on this though...I literally run the
               | department in charge of it at a semiconductor
               | manufacturing plant.
               | 
               | Here is proof, it's just some of the cooling towers at
               | Intel's current site in Chandler: https://www.google.com/
               | maps/@33.2451403,-111.8923691,135m/da...
        
               | tinco wrote:
               | So is the problem then that you can't push enough heat
               | into the air, so you need to evaporate water? Sounds like
               | a nice input to a desalination plant. Does this mean you
               | agree that Arizona is a strange choice?
               | 
               | If they need so much water, does that mean you agree that
        
               | j_walter wrote:
               | Absolutely it's a strange choice. From a power
               | perspective it can make sense since solar works very
               | well, but from a water perspective it's a very strange
               | choice. Cheap land is also a very big factor. TSMC
               | purchased over a thousand acres. Where else in the US can
               | you find a thousand acres so near a populous area and so
               | easily accessible off a major freeway like that?
               | 
               | Tax promises and Trump trying to sway the state for the
               | 2020 election had more to do with the choice than
               | anything I think.
        
               | paulmd wrote:
               | the west coast also has a pretty low incidence of natural
               | disasters. The east coast regularly gets bad hurricanes,
               | the northeast and midwest get really bad snowstorms,
               | plains states regularly get tornadoes, etc, but on the
               | west coast if you pick a region that's not geologically
               | active then there aren't really a ton of huge natural
               | disasters that occur regularly.
               | 
               | of course I guess there's wildfires now too, but that's
               | not really an Arizona thing either.
               | 
               | of course you're not wrong about companies often being
               | lured by the particular states that are willing to offer
               | them massive tax breaks, in some cases even to places
               | like Texas that do get hurricanes on an occasional basis.
               | And that doesn't always work out well in the end like
               | with the Texas power outages that seem to be occurring
               | more and more frequently, there are a LOT of fabs in
               | Dallas/etc that are having to deal with widespread power
               | outages multiple times a year.
               | 
               | (you're the expert here but it seems like the generator
               | capacity usually isn't sufficient to continue normal
               | operation of the fab, it's more to maintain
               | containment/purity of the feedstock and you still lose
               | wafers that were in-process at the time? that's the
               | impression I've gotten at least)
        
             | softfalcon wrote:
             | You're right, fabs need more water than a swimming pool,
             | maybe a big swimming pool.
             | 
             | The fabs in Arizona are likely not going to be the main
             | cause of water shortages there. How do I know this? Cause
             | when Motorola had its massive (and inefficient) fabs
             | running there in the 90's-00's and there were water
             | shortages, they kept running just fine off their on premise
             | reserves.
             | 
             | Modern fabs are even more efficient with water usage.
             | 
             | I know this because I have visited the old fabs and they
             | are quite good at re-using and capturing the water since
             | it's inside an air controlled bunker. Modern (and older)
             | fabs aren't open to air, so water loss is minimal.
        
               | j_walter wrote:
               | The latest 300mm fabs use 10-50X the power of what the
               | old 8" fabs used (I know this for a fact...). That power
               | gets turned into heat and that heat has to be removed. I
               | work at an "inefficient" 200mm factory that has pretty
               | good internal recycling (~65%)...we still use 600K
               | gallons per day.
               | 
               | A single state of the art EUV tool uses ~2MW of
               | power...<0.1% of that gets to the wafer. Most of the rest
               | of that is lost to heat...and that heat goes where?
        
               | softfalcon wrote:
               | Definitely not arguing that the heat doesn't need to go
               | somewhere. You're absolutely right.
               | 
               | All I remember is family saying they had effective means
               | for recycling the water without losing it in these boiler
               | chambers.
               | 
               | I'm no expert, but they were saying significantly higher
               | efficiency than 65%.
        
               | nealabq wrote:
               | An acre-foot is about 325K gallons, and an irrigated farm
               | uses 1 or 2 acre-feet per acre per year. So the
               | "inefficient" fab you work at uses less than 2 acre-
               | feet/day, or maybe 700 per year. About what a 500-acre
               | farm uses.
               | 
               | Arizona has about 1.3 million acres under irrigation. So
               | 2,500 similar fabs would use all the irrigation water.
               | 
               | It's a lot of water, but maybe not a deal breaker?
        
               | hosh wrote:
               | Seeing those numbers, I wonder how much that affects the
               | local microclimate, as that adds a lot of moisture and
               | heat into the air. And if there are ways to add plant
               | life in the surrounding areas that could benefit from it,
               | and from which people can obtain a yield.
               | 
               | I'm not so sure about the hotter months, but during the
               | colder months, it can potentially be used for
               | greenhouses, or for when temperature dips during
               | nighttimes. Lots of tropical plants want hotter, moist
               | air and will die from frost.
        
               | rland wrote:
               | Right, I think the gp comment is referring to fabs being
               | impacted by water shortages, not fabs causing water
               | shortages.
               | 
               | Although if push comes to shove I guess all of this can
               | be solved trivially by not growing ridiculous water
               | intensive crops and not having golf courses and stuff in
               | the middle of the desert.
        
             | dghlsakjg wrote:
             | This is super interesting. Since you seem to have inside
             | knowledge can you compare it to agriculture?
             | 
             | For example: the google machine tells me that cotton
             | production in AZ uses somewhere in the neighborhood of
             | 2.5-3.5 acre ft. water per acre. Would a large fab consume
             | a comparable amount of water?
             | 
             | 1 acre = 43.5k sq ft 1 acre foot = 325k gallons
        
               | j_walter wrote:
               | In this case I can't compare it to agriculture. I don't
               | think growing food in a desert is a good idea either.
               | 
               | The Intel site in Portland, OR uses ~2 Billion gallons of
               | water per year. They claim they are bringing enough
               | recycle capacity to save about half that.
               | 
               | https://www.oregonlive.com/silicon-
               | forest/2017/08/intel_wate...
        
               | rayiner wrote:
               | That's not much. The average family of 4 in Arizona uses
               | about 325,000 gallons a year. So a billion gallons is
               | equivalent to 3,000 families, or a very small town.
        
           | celestialcheese wrote:
           | If seismic stability was the primary concern, why not choose
           | a state like Minnesota? (lowest seismic activity in the US)
           | Is it tax / local governments + seismic stability?
        
           | icemelt8 wrote:
           | Excellent informative reply.
        
           | dillondoyle wrote:
           | Interesting relevent article came out from Bloomberg
           | yesterday about Arizona water authority helping boost new
           | more efficient and cheaper drip tech:
           | 
           | https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2021-09-23/how-
           | micro...
        
           | UncleOxidant wrote:
           | > Both TSMC and Intel are attracted to Arizona because it is
           | seismically stable
           | 
           | There are a lot of places in the US that are at least as
           | seismically stable and also have more abundant water. I
           | suspect the choice of Arizona has more to do with tax
           | incentives and the fact that fabs already exist there (and
           | thus there is an experienced workforce).
        
             | spaztastical wrote:
             | and those places have hurricanes or tornadoes
        
           | da_chicken wrote:
           | > The biggest user of water here in Arizona are the
           | commercial farmers.
           | 
           | And farming has been booming in Arizona. I lived there about
           | 10 years ago and even then there were a lot of complaints
           | about all the tree farms (almonds, etc.) that were showing up
           | in Arizona. Massive water consumption and virtually
           | impossible to be sustainable in the desert.
        
             | MengerSponge wrote:
             | The irony is that with current incentives, it's a self-
             | reinforcing cycle. Nuts have a huge return on investment,
             | so nut farmers can afford to buy even very expensive water,
             | so they plant more trees, etc etc.
        
               | hosh wrote:
               | What's also ironic is that people can grow nut trees in
               | arid land at a smallholder scale. Folks in the
               | permies.com forum talk about chucking nuts randomly, and
               | the ones that survive to grow on their own are more
               | drought-tolerant.
               | 
               | If you are not trying to force greater yield in order to
               | squeeze out profit, the nut trees can do well to yield
               | enough for people to have their fair share.
               | 
               | When done as part of a practice that involves
               | diversifying crops, the entire smallhold is far more
               | resilient to any number of external pressure, including
               | climate, pests, market crashes, etc.
        
               | jkestner wrote:
               | Distributed nut farming is cool, and would solve my
               | dilemma as a voracious nut eater. I cut out almonds for
               | the amount of water they suck up in California, but
               | probably every nut is problematic.
               | 
               | Too bad resilience against future problems loses to
               | maximizing profits, so all the resources are capital-
               | efficiently extracted from one location before moving on.
               | Even if I buy local, it's likely that it's farmed at a
               | damaging scale. I'm guessing that sustainable farming,
               | crop rotations, etc have fewer externalities.
        
               | MagnumOpus wrote:
               | > nut farmers can afford to buy even very expensive water
               | 
               | (x) doubt
               | 
               | If they actually can pay for "very expensive water" i.e.
               | water at the rates that residential/commercial users pay,
               | then fair play to them. But from what I heard, they are
               | only profitable by paying near-zero (orders of magnitudes
               | less than other users).
        
               | xxpor wrote:
               | What's the rough residential rate in AZ? Here in Seattle
               | (obviously a MUCH different situation wrt water
               | availability) I pay $6.96 per CCF (748.052 US gal, 3400
               | L). Even if every tree used an entire CCF over a season,
               | that'd still be trivial compared to the amount of nuts
               | you'd get (I assume)
        
               | brewdad wrote:
               | It's been almost 20 years but when I lived in Phoenix
               | (and had a lawn) my water bill was about $25 a month. Now
               | in the PNW, using a similar amount of water, my water
               | bill is about $100 a month.
               | 
               | Water is heavily subsidized in AZ. There is little
               | incentive to conserve it.
        
               | xxpor wrote:
               | Are you actually spending that much on _water_ though? Or
               | water and sewer? Sewer is _a lot_ (~$18 per CCF, iirc)
               | more expensive. Farmers wouldn 't have to pay that. Don't
               | disagree about water in the SW being stupidly subsidized
               | of course.
        
               | brewdad wrote:
               | Yes sewer is a lot but I was paying for sewer in both
               | places. Maybe Phoenix wasn't bothering to put any money
               | away for future repairs.
        
               | xxpor wrote:
               | Wouldn't surprise me. I also think Seattle's sewer fees
               | are probably relatively high because of the upgrades
               | they've had to do to the whole system to avoid dumping so
               | much untreated waste straight into the sound.
        
               | Jensson wrote:
               | California farmers use 40 trillion litres of water per
               | year. At your rate that would be roughly 80 billion
               | dollars a year or so. California's entire agriculture
               | sector is worth around 50 billion a year dollars. So just
               | the cost of water would be way more than all their
               | earnings. And then you have to pay for equipment, pay for
               | workers etc.
        
               | inglor_cz wrote:
               | I think their water privileges are not going away.
               | 
               | After Covid and all the disruption of international
               | trade, self-sufficiency in food production will be
               | considered more important than before.
        
               | plussed_reader wrote:
               | With privileges come responsibilities; like forgoing the
               | profit motive for an activity that must be so heavily
               | subsidized by gov't influence.
        
               | nearbuy wrote:
               | Almonds in California are reported to use about 2.6
               | billion liters of water and the industry is worth about
               | $5 billion. So still not viable at $6.96/CCF, but maybe
               | more viable than the average for Californian crops.
        
               | MengerSponge wrote:
               | Allow me to rephrase in a way that is more accurate but
               | not substantially more insightful: "Nuts tend to be far
               | more profitable than other crops, allowing nut farmers to
               | expand their operations as escalating water prices
               | squeeze out lower-margin water users."
        
         | Galaxity wrote:
         | I don't understand why people keep saying Lake Mead when
         | referring to water use. Technically the CAP canal come from
         | Lake Havasu. But it's all from the Colorado River.
         | 
         | Regardless it's not the primary source of water. The majority
         | of water for the Phoenix area comes from central Arizona
         | rivers. The Salt river project, the Salt river and Verde, etc.
         | You can see the big reservoirs to the east of Phoenix and from
         | groundwater.
        
         | NortySpock wrote:
         | https://youtu.be/Dq04GpzRZ0g?t=472
         | 
         | Asianometry did a breakdown on water usage of chip fabs in
         | Taiwan and Arizona, including noting Arizona's state-wide water
         | management plan, and pointing out that land-use wise, a chip
         | plant makes more money per acre (gross revenue, and in property
         | taxes) than other commercial or industrial or farming zones. A
         | gallon of water makes more money in a chip plant than in an
         | almond tree. (Especially since it can be cleaned and reused,
         | rather than evaporated as in a tree.)
        
           | 1234letshaveatw wrote:
           | Wouldn't it make just as much money in a spot with no water
           | usage concerns?
        
             | NortySpock wrote:
             | Sure, but where else in the country has no hurricanes, no
             | tornados, and no earthquakes? A dry desert on top of a
             | continental plate is a relatively disaster-free zone.
             | 
             | When insuring your multi-billion-dollar fab... apparently
             | zero disasters is a plus.
        
               | kd913 wrote:
               | Do you really think there will be zero disasters in
               | Arizona in the coming years?
               | 
               | Sure the plant may survive a water crisis, how about it's
               | power grid? How about the local communities and states
               | who will run out of water?
               | 
               | Over the next 20 years, I wouldn't rank Arizona highly
               | for stability.
        
         | ktistec wrote:
         | The average golf course in Arizona uses 450,000 gallons a day
         | according to [1]. According to [2], this means we're talking
         | about 4-8 golf courses per day. There are over 200 golf courses
         | near Phoenix, so your concern is legitimate the water usage
         | here is marginal relative to the economic impact. As other
         | commenters have pointed out, if you really want to impact water
         | issues, there are far more efficient ways to tackle them.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/local/arizona-
         | environme...
         | 
         | [2] https://www.reliableplant.com/Read/25055/Ultrapure-water-
         | sem...
        
         | ckastner wrote:
         | > _Doesn 't chip making a lot of water_
         | 
         | Can anyone share an insight on why this is the case? (I'm
         | assuming it is true because I've heard the claim quite often on
         | HN.)
         | 
         | It's not really obvious to me where water is consumed during
         | the fabrication process. It doesn't end up in the chips, so
         | where does it go? If it were just used for cooling, it would be
         | returned somewhere.
        
           | mwint wrote:
           | There's a lot of chemistry as part of the chip making
           | process. Water is often an ingredient mixed with concentrated
           | nasty stuff to get less concentrated, but still nasty stuff.
           | Then they do something with it (like wash a part), but you
           | can't then effectively recover all the water.
           | 
           | This is how it was explained to me by someone who works
           | directly on the process; I could be butchering the
           | explanation.
        
             | deelowe wrote:
             | This is my understanding as well. There's a lot of washing
             | of components involved in the process. Cleanliness is
             | crucial to chip manufacturing so wafers are constantly
             | being washed. In newer lithographies, water is a crucial
             | part of the the photo etching process itself (X-Ray IIRC).
        
               | sanxiyn wrote:
               | Re use of water in lithography: it became necessary at 90
               | nm level (~2004), so it is not exactly new. Water is used
               | to bend light. (Isn't it amazing?)
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Immersion_lithography
               | 
               | While this use requires extreme purity, it is not a big
               | use in terms of volume.
        
           | ksec wrote:
           | As mentioned, they are used to clean / wash off chemicals
           | from wafers. And not just any water, but Ultrapure Water [1],
           | it is an actual terminology, not marketing speak.
           | 
           | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ultrapure_water
        
         | cletus wrote:
         | The general perception of Arizona is that of a desert. But did
         | you know that Arizona has ski resorts? The Rocky Mountains
         | extend into Arizona and they get snow in the winter. >90% of
         | Arizona's water comes from snow melt.
        
         | HomeDeLaPot wrote:
         | Intel isn't stupid; they will want a return on their
         | investment. I would love to see the internal whitepaper or
         | whatever that summarized the decision.
        
           | wibagusto wrote:
           | It's not about being stupid it's about their self-interests
           | versus all the folks who live in Arizona and depend on the
           | water supply.
           | 
           | Remember intel's modus operandi is increasing profits for
           | shareholders.
        
             | ryan93 wrote:
             | Thank you for informing hacker news that companies want to
             | make a profit. Now. Do you have some evidence that intel is
             | harming people? The water is almost completely recycled
        
         | ZetaZero wrote:
         | The "average" chip fab uses about as much water as 3 "average"
         | irrigated center pivot farms. If the fab land was previously
         | irrigated farm land, this will be a net savings of water.
         | 
         | Math:
         | 
         | 130 acres at 0.25 inches of water = 10 million gallons of
         | water. Done once per week for 3 farms = 4.3m gallons per day.
         | 
         | Average chip fab uses 2-4 million gallons per day
        
           | wibagusto wrote:
           | 2-4 million gallons per day is a lot of water to piss away
           | for some chips that go out of fashion in 5 years.
        
             | ryan93 wrote:
             | The water doesn't disappear. It stays h2o
        
               | lazide wrote:
               | Just now in a place/form (underground or in the sky, and
               | if underground usually contaminated) that makes it
               | economically far less valuable - maybe even useless.
               | 
               | If the economics of water didn't matter, we'd be happy to
               | build nuke power plants and run condensers all day to get
               | it, but the reality is the marginal cost of water
               | determines the feasibility of vast sections of economic
               | activity, and that determines the fortunes (or not) of
               | people and their leaders in concrete ways.
               | 
               | This is also true of other natural resources of course -
               | oil, iron, coal, uranium, etc.
        
               | ryan93 wrote:
               | Intel recycles and stores the water. They even
               | remineralize and put back into the city water system.
               | they don't dump it into the dessert.
        
               | lazide wrote:
               | They don't do that for a large portion of the water -
               | they dance around that with weasel words (like 'return to
               | the environment'), aka evaporate. You can see they are
               | constantly weaseling out of giving anything concrete that
               | someone could accuse them of lying, or could use to point
               | out the actual impacts, and stating 'a lot' can be
               | reclaimed from evaporation for instance in the building -
               | while ignoring cooling, which is evaporative at these
               | scales [https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cnbc.com/amp/202
               | 1/06/04/why...]
               | 
               | It's pretty typical corporate green washing of a real
               | problem that other folks will end up having in diffuse,
               | hard to pin on them ways, that with some nudging on the
               | right officials will never be pinned on them. In my
               | experience, anyway.
        
             | jhgb wrote:
             | Pretty much any facility capable of manufacturing
             | semiconductor components has been very busy for the past
             | few years -- Intel even had to resurrect 22nm chips at some
             | time. Why do you assume that this will "go out of fashion
             | in 5 years"? Historically this seems extremely unlikely. If
             | anything, tens of millions of people going out of poverty
             | every year are going to be consuming even more chips.
        
               | adventured wrote:
               | And every year 80+ million people come of age such that
               | they become electronics consumers, buying smartphones,
               | laptops and so on. A billion new electronics consumers
               | every ~12 years. The world is going to need a lot more
               | chip manufacturing capacity over the next few decades.
        
         | cannabis_sam wrote:
         | Well, it's a market, so the corporations with cashflow stand at
         | the front of the queue. There is no other way of organizing
         | this in our late stage capitalist shitscape...
         | 
         | It's unfortunate that poor people need to starve or freeze to
         | death to keep billionaires "alive", but that's what our
         | genocidal, fellow citizens have been voting for..
        
           | ryan93 wrote:
           | Please try and actually contribute to the discussion. In
           | reality countries without many billionaires have way more
           | issues with water supply and heating.
        
             | cannabis_sam wrote:
             | Like you, who didn't engage with what I actually said?
             | 
             | Please don't waste people's time, thank you.
        
         | jmartrican wrote:
         | From what I understand they will try to recycle the water.
         | 
         | https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/04/why-intel-tsmc-are-building-...
        
         | ovi256 wrote:
         | > Seems to more closely follow tax breaks and tax income
         | 
         | It follows feasibility, AFAIK. All new manufacturing is in
         | Southern US states because they're the ones that allow new
         | plants to be built. The others tie projects down in long,
         | expensive, non-successful environmental studies.
         | 
         | At this point, it's easier to bring water to the desert
         | (Arizona) than get approval for a manufacturing facility in a
         | non-desert.
        
           | runako wrote:
           | > All new manufacturing is in Southern US states because
           | they're the ones that allow new plants to be built.
           | 
           | New manufacturing is built in the South because that's where
           | wages are low, worker protections are weaker, and there is
           | less union activity. Companies will essentially tell you this
           | in their PR about opening new plants.
        
           | kesselvon wrote:
           | It's the lack of unions and cheap wages. Southern states are
           | famously lax on workers rights and business regulations.
        
             | rendang wrote:
             | Arizona is not a Southern state, and while it is a right-
             | to-work state, the minimum wage there is higher than in
             | most of the country.
        
           | syshum wrote:
           | There are many business friendly regions in the US with
           | plenty of water. The mid-West for example. is pretty business
           | friendly. KY, IN, TN, AR, MO, WV, and others all have plenty
           | of water, and more business friendly laws than AZ
        
           | IgorPartola wrote:
           | A thousand years from now your last sentence will be a
           | proverb if unknown origin.
        
             | dntrkv wrote:
             | Israel, UAE, and the Saudis have figured it out, you really
             | think the US can't?
             | 
             | Arizona is close to the ocean and has plenty of sunlight.
             | Solar power + desalination will make this a non-issue in
             | the next 40 years.
        
               | lazide wrote:
               | UAE and the Saudis are desperately diversifying their
               | economies and the royal families of those countries are
               | desperately extracting wealth from those nations because
               | they know their current approaches are fundamentally
               | economically unviable without very high margin oil - and
               | the market value, margins, and quantity available of that
               | oil long term is highly suspect.
               | 
               | Israel is also investing heavily in knowledge work and
               | other high margin industries, as well as investing
               | outside the country, in an attempt to get high margin,
               | high value income to offset the dangerous economic risks
               | they have, in part due to limited and expensive water -
               | and which for very strong and fundamental religious
               | reasons still gives a very, very strong incentive for
               | them to stay and stay functional. Israel in particular
               | has a history of wars and armed conflict around the
               | Jordan River (November 1964 to May 1967 and others).
               | 
               | There is a saying in the West - Whiskey is for drinkin',
               | water is for fightin' - and it is very apparent how true
               | it is if you watch how things develop over time. Water is
               | life in the desert.
        
               | IgorPartola wrote:
               | That's not what I'm saying. I am saying that tax
               | incentives will always create artificial conditions such
               | that it'll be cheaper to bring the mountain to Muhammad
               | than Muhammad to the mountain (or ship a pair of sneakers
               | half way a cross the world than to make them locally, or
               | to build a water using plant in the desert than by the
               | ocean).
               | 
               | Globally centralized allocation of resources would solve
               | this, but that's not feasible for a whole number of
               | reasons, so instead it's every desert for themselves.
        
           | enkid wrote:
           | It's more about seismic stability from what I've read.
           | Arizona has much less severe weather than basically anywhere
           | in the US.
        
           | seanmcdirmid wrote:
           | Intel has built fabs in Arizona for a long time, this isn't a
           | new thing. They do this because of seismic stability and a
           | lack of severe weather. Water isn't a huge concern because
           | they can internally recycle most of it.
        
             | 1234letshaveatw wrote:
             | vs. somewhere like Ohio? It is hard to believe moderate
             | snowfall would override environmental externalities such as
             | cooling costs and water use.
        
               | bsder wrote:
               | Salt is _BAD_.
               | 
               | Sodium contamination messes up the threshold voltages of
               | transistors.
               | 
               | And the Northeast uses salt everywhere for snow and ice
               | control and removal.
        
               | brewdad wrote:
               | A thunderstorm will wreak havoc on a fab. A single, power
               | blip lasting less a second can ruin whatever chips were
               | being processed. At a minimum there will need to be
               | additional testing done to ensure there is no hidden
               | damage.
               | 
               | The thunderstorms that central AZ gets are extremely
               | isolated and basically only happen for about 6 weeks a
               | year.
        
               | m4rtink wrote:
               | Don't they have any backup power to cover short blips ?
               | Sure their power draw is massive, but given the potential
               | loses one would exect sufficiently beefy and expensive
               | backups in place so that a burned out generator in a
               | power plant or tree on a line does not cost you billions.
        
               | seanmcdirmid wrote:
               | You would basically need to isolate yourself from the
               | grid to be immune to any blips...it takes a while for a
               | backup to come on line and even things out.
        
             | avs733 wrote:
             | And power from palos verde nuclear power plant
        
             | sitkack wrote:
             | Not challenging you, but I'd love to see some hard numbers
             | on this. Like what is the total volume of water, recycle
             | rate and. discharge rate and intake rate over a year.
             | 
             | Is it low enough to truck the water in?
        
               | seanmcdirmid wrote:
               | Here is what I can find off hand:
               | 
               | https://www.theverge.com/22628925/water-semiconductor-
               | shorta...
               | 
               | > Last year, the company pledged that by 2030 it will
               | restore and return more freshwater than it uses. It's
               | nearing that benchmark in Arizona, where Intel says it
               | cleaned up and returned 95 percent of the freshwater it
               | used in 2020. It has its own water treatment plant at its
               | Ocotillo campus in Chandler that's similar to a municipal
               | plant. There's also a "brine reduction facility," a
               | public-private partnership with the city of Chandler,
               | that brings 2.5 million gallons of Intel's wastewater a
               | day back to drinking standard. Intel uses some of the
               | treated water again, and the rest is sent to replenish
               | groundwater sources or be used by surrounding
               | communities.
               | 
               | I'm not sure what 95% is based on, and it seems like they
               | can't reuse it all, but other clients can (e.g. it isn't
               | suitable for cleaning machines, but is ok to drink).
        
               | sitkack wrote:
               | Thanks, I appreciate it.
        
             | NineStarPoint wrote:
             | I'd argue there are plenty of other places in the US that
             | fit that bill, but Intel having built fabs in Arizona for a
             | long time is an important point on its own. Because of
             | local history that's where expertise for running a fab
             | exists, so they'll have a better supply of workers if they
             | keep building fabs in Arizona than trying it out somewhere
             | new.
        
         | bserge wrote:
         | Can they create a water pipeline from elsewhere? Crazy, but not
         | that far out. Oil and gas is transported this way.
        
           | solarhoma wrote:
           | Society pays significantly more for a gallon of oil than
           | water. Water can cost less than a cent in some
           | municipalities. Building a pipeline would increase that cost
           | 100x easily
        
           | pwarner wrote:
           | you use a lot more water than oil, maybe 100x? I think 100
           | gallons / person / day is not crazy for water, and I hope you
           | don't use that much oil, maybe a gallon a day?
        
           | eCa wrote:
           | Not far out at all. The list of the world's longest
           | tunnels[1] is filled with water tunnels.
           | 
           | Added: They are of course short whem compared to pipelines,
           | but still.
           | 
           | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_longest_tunnels
        
           | tyleo wrote:
           | Anecdotal but I have a friend who is an engineer in water
           | treatment and he said pipelines aren't a silver bullet for
           | two reasons:
           | 
           | 1. They are leaky so you end up paying more for the same
           | amount of water
           | 
           | 2. Wherever you are buying the water from (the source of the
           | pipeline) knows their water is valuable and can charge more
        
             | gitfan86 wrote:
             | Also future weather patterns are hard to predict. What if
             | 20 years from now a place who needs water today is getting
             | a ton of rain?
        
               | uptown wrote:
               | Reverse the flow?
        
               | seanmcdirmid wrote:
               | Assuming your pipeline or canal is gravity driven, that
               | could be hard.
        
               | lazide wrote:
               | It may also be economically unviable. Phoenix is around
               | 1000 ft AGL, and much of the rest of Arizona that is
               | populated is higher (Tucson 2300, Prescott ~5k, and
               | Flagstaff almost 7k ft above sea level).
               | 
               | Someone above was quoting CCF/HCF (Centrum Cubic Feet, or
               | 100ft^3 of water or 748 gallons), which is a customary
               | way to measure water volume in many utilities, and noting
               | ~ $6.89 per CCF I believe. I did some random googling and
               | ran across [https://www.tucsonaz.gov/water/residential-
               | rates-and-monthly...], which shows a connection charge of
               | ~ $12
               | 
               | Which shows that the average Tucson resident seems to be
               | paying less then $5/ccf right now - discounting
               | connection fee- with 'high use' (~ 60 CCF, the top
               | bracket they list), around $10/ccf.
               | 
               | 1 ccf being 748 gallons, and each gallon weighing 8.34
               | lbs means you're getting 6238 lbs of water for less than
               | $5 if you're a typical Tucson resident, and for ~ $10 if
               | you're a high use resident.
               | 
               | Lifting water from ~ sea level to the 2300 ft AGL level
               | takes energy (in a conservation of energy sense,
               | regardless of efficiency). Specifically, approx 27,176
               | joules per gallon (yeah sorry) to lift in this case, or
               | 20,327,648 joules per CCF, or in 'American' raw energy
               | terms 5.65kwh.
               | 
               | Properly sized electric motors are around 90 percent
               | efficient, with the best possible about 97%. Large
               | centrifugal pumps, properly sized, can hit up to 93%.
               | 
               | Combined, that means in theory we could pump water uphill
               | at, at best, 90% efficiency, and assuming no losses to
               | friction in the pipes (which would be notable over the
               | distances we're talking about, but is too complex to
               | guesstimate here, but feel free to check out
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Friction_loss),
               | 
               | So, if we pump in energy at 90% efficiency, we need 7.38
               | kwh of energy to get that water from sea level to Tucson
               | - not counting cleaning or treating the water,
               | infrastructure maintenance/piping, friction losses moving
               | it over that distance, losses due to leaks, etc.
               | 
               | Tucson has cheap electricity by California Standards (my
               | typical price per kwh is ~ $.45, there are a lot of
               | misleading numbers out there), and though I see .12/kwh,
               | CA says .24 and that is blatantly false. Even so, if we
               | use that number .12, it would add $1, literally if all we
               | were doing was taking perfectly great water and just
               | pumping it to Tucson, with no need for pipes, or any
               | other infrastructure.
               | 
               | That may not sound like much, but for a typical Tucson
               | resident that would increase their bills by 20%. High
               | users less as a percentage, but still over 10%.
               | 
               | When you add in the major infrastructure building and
               | maintenance costs (which probably swamp the energy
               | costs), you're looking at 50% or more increase. If you
               | add in acquisition of drinkable water from somewhere
               | closer than Oregon (which bringing it up and over
               | multiple mountain ranges is going to be fun), also even
               | more of an increase.
        
               | seanmcdirmid wrote:
               | California electricity is generally cheap in the sense
               | that you don't need to use much of it (the big metro
               | areas with the most people have very mild climates). I
               | imagine AC is important in a place like Tucson.
               | 
               | The fact that pumping water uphill is so expensive is why
               | most of the water in the mountain west comes from the
               | Rockies (where it flows down hill), though the exhaustion
               | of the rocky mountain glaciers (due to global warming or
               | whatever one believes is the reason) means that all that
               | water built up over millions of years is coming to an
               | end.
        
               | Cthulhu_ wrote:
               | Yup, should require only a few adjustments.
               | 
               | Over here (NL) they're looking into repurposing the
               | existing natural gas network to transport hydrogen
               | instead. I mean we're years away from removing the use of
               | natural gas entirely, but the idea is there.
        
               | m4rtink wrote:
               | Given how small hydrogen atoms are, causing all kinds of
               | leaks even in purpose built equipment & that hydrogen
               | fires are invisible in sunlight I'm skeptical.
        
             | JumpCrisscross wrote:
             | > _Wherever you are buying the water from (the source of
             | the pipeline) knows their water is valuable and can charge
             | more_
             | 
             | Less "knows their water is valuable" than "knows you have a
             | massive, immovable infrastructure investment they have a
             | natural monopoly with respect to." Pricing piped non-traded
             | commodities are complicated negotiations.
        
               | Workaccount2 wrote:
               | CME now offers water futures for some regions of
               | California.
        
         | thehappypm wrote:
         | Arizona is famously good at water management. They require a
         | 100 year plan and are basically completely non-dependent on the
         | ever-shrinking Colorado River. If any state would have a plan
         | for recycling and make sure this plan is done appropriately
         | it's AZ.
        
           | ethanbond wrote:
           | ... what?
           | 
           | The US southwest is entering its first ever Tier 1 water
           | shortage next year, meaning Arizona will have reduced supply
           | equivalent to 1.2MM people's annual consumption. No reason to
           | believe we don't go straight from here to Tier 2, onto Tier
           | 3, and so on. Nature doesn't provide enough water _in a
           | desert_ to be running sprawling metropolises and even more
           | massive farms and graze land - especially water-intensive
           | cotton farms.
           | 
           | https://www.nature.org/en-us/newsroom/drought-water-
           | shortage...
           | 
           | > Already, water levels in Lake Powell and Lake Mead, the two
           | major reservoirs that store the Colorado River's water, are
           | down to 34% of their capacity and may soon drop too low to
           | spin the hydroelectric turbines in their dams. Some smaller
           | reservoirs began emergency releases in summer 2021 to prop up
           | water levels in these lakes.
           | 
           | https://westernresourceadvocates.org/projects/arizona-
           | colora...
           | 
           | > The Tier 1 shortage will reduce water to the Central
           | Arizona Project by 320,000 acre-feet (enough water to supply
           | 1.2 million individuals for a year).
           | 
           | Maybe Arizona is losing this battle as gracefully as anyone
           | could, but they are very much losing this battle.
        
             | thehappypm wrote:
             | Contrary to common belief, cities do not really need
             | gigantic amounts of water. You take a shower, water goes
             | down the drain, you can reclaim most of it if you want to.
             | Don't allow irrigated lawns, reclaim gray water, urban
             | water needs drop to a trickle. AZ is a leader in this
             | space.
        
               | ethanbond wrote:
               | Oh good, cities can be more water-efficient than people
               | commonly believe.
               | 
               | Guess it's solved!
               | 
               | Pay no attention to the drying rivers, emptying
               | reservoirs, and depleting aquifers. If cities are more
               | efficient per capita than people commonly believe, we can
               | probably just grow our cities arbitrarily and our cotton
               | farms and golf courses even more so.
        
               | thehappypm wrote:
               | Industrial and urban use cases can be very water resource
               | friendly. Sure, maybe we shouldn't grow almonds in the
               | desert. But that's not what's being discussed here.
        
               | ethanbond wrote:
               | My point is that saying "Arizona is among the best at
               | driving itself into water depletion" is not a
               | satisfactory answer to "Arizona is driving itself into
               | water depletion."
        
               | skybrian wrote:
               | Is gray water reuse happening at scale?
        
             | adventured wrote:
             | > Nature doesn't provide enough water in a desert to be
             | running sprawling metropolises
             | 
             | It sure does. Nature created us. We build desalination
             | plants and pipelines. Humans are amazing.
             | 
             | There's no reason Arizona can't work with California to
             | fund a bunch of desalination plants along the coast near
             | San Diego (which already has relevant expertise at it).
             | It's something like 120 miles from the ocean to Arizona's
             | border, a quite solvable problem if an arrangement can be
             | made with California.
             | 
             | Alternatively the Gulf of California is 50 miles away.
             | Arizona can do a deal with Mexico. Mexico would agree to
             | that instantly. See:
             | 
             | May 2021 "ACCIONA will build and operate a desalination
             | plant in the municipality of Los Cabos, in Baja California
             | (Mexico). The project has an overall budget of EUR134.5
             | million."
             | 
             | https://www.acciona.com/updates/news/acciona-build-
             | operate-c...
        
               | thehappypm wrote:
               | Nobody would ever pump water into Arizona from the coast.
               | That's basically running hydro plants in reverse.
        
             | 1123581321 wrote:
             | I believe the user is saying that AZ planned ahead to end
             | the necessity of using too much CAP water, which would mean
             | that the Colorado River declaration won't devastate their
             | industry/ag. Reading some of the articles on its water
             | authority website seems to bear this out, but certainly a
             | lot depends on good management of their renewable sources
             | and how strictly new construction like Intel's is held to
             | water reclamation standards (Intel is claiming to be a net
             | positive contributor to the water supply.)
             | https://new.azwater.gov/
        
           | kirjav wrote:
           | I am not sure having a giant aqueduct diverting water from
           | Colorado River counts as "completely non-dependent".
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Central_Arizona_Project
        
         | dcchambers wrote:
         | Wishful thinking, but would be nice if Intel could take over
         | that Foxconn plant in Wisconsin that has been a complete
         | failure. There's 1180 cubic miles (1299318214239334 gallons) of
         | fresh water right there in Lake Michigan.
        
         | nabla9 wrote:
         | You are not wrong, but having access to people with right
         | experience and companies that supply the products and services
         | for chip manufacture chips is more important. Seismic stability
         | is another benefit.
         | 
         | They have to spend more on recycling and cleaning the water
         | than in other places. In 2020 Intel cleaned up and returned 95
         | percent of the freshwater it used in Arizona. They have their
         | own water treatment plats and public-private partnerships for
         | water purification that purify Intel's wastewater back to
         | drinking standard.
         | 
         | https://download.intel.com/newsroom/2021/manufacturing/Intel...
        
         | subsubzero wrote:
         | And yet you have the east coast(north east in my example) which
         | is extremely lush and has 0 water issues and most companies are
         | building these large sites in western water poor areas, intel -
         | arizona phab, tesla - nevada gigafactory, facebook, datacenter
         | southern new mexico.
        
           | heavyset_go wrote:
           | The east coast gets hit by several hurricanes each year, some
           | of which result in disasters and states of emergency being
           | declared and cause billions of dollars worth of damage.
        
             | willcipriano wrote:
             | North east isn't that bad, that's mostly the south east.
        
               | heavyset_go wrote:
               | There are at least a few devastating storms in the
               | Northeast each decade. Even the ones that aren't
               | completely devastating can impact sensitive production
               | equipment.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | baybal2 wrote:
         | Microchips are a more strategic resource than water.
         | 
         | I would not be surprised if even using tanker caravans to bring
         | water from Utah is an option for chip production.
        
           | phreeza wrote:
           | Surely water is more strategically important than chips? It's
           | just that chips are scarcer and thus easier to deny an enemy.
           | If an enemy had the choice to deny one of the two resources,
           | water would be the better strategic choice.
        
             | FredPret wrote:
             | No way, if water gets really scarce, the price will go up,
             | and two things will happen:
             | 
             | 1. many frivolous uses will go away - swimming pools,
             | spray-and-pray agricultural irrigation
             | 
             | 2. new sources will become viable - like desalination
             | 
             | Ultimately we live on a planet replete with water, it's
             | just uneconomical to purify most of it for use at current
             | rates. The same is not true of microchips.
        
               | g_sch wrote:
               | Markets aren't going to fix everything. You know what
               | else desalination requires a lot of? Energy, which
               | currently comes largely from nonrenewable carbon-
               | intensive fuel sources. Can we simply spend more money to
               | bring renewable energy sources online? It's unclear,
               | because in addition to being pretty expensive, it raises
               | questions of resource extraction (lithium for batteries,
               | rare earth minerals for wind turbines) and land use (wind
               | and solar farms take up a lot of space). And while we're
               | spending all that money, we're presumably deciding not to
               | spend it on other stuff, like other types of critical
               | infrastructure or social programs.
               | 
               | At some point it becomes simpler to address this problem
               | at the starting point rather than assuming the market
               | will automatically fix any downstream issues.
        
               | lazide wrote:
               | The problem is (and why market driven or markets as a
               | major component countries do tend to do better over the
               | long run, near as we can tell), is that there IS no
               | 'starting point', and downstream/upstream is often
               | oversimplifying.
               | 
               | Everything interacts with everything else in a way far to
               | complex to fully understand for any one person or
               | organization. The most we can do is pick something and
               | try to set it, and let the other knock on effects work
               | themselves out (which markets help with), and then when
               | THOSE cause undesirable problems, rinse and repeat.
        
               | Cthulhu_ wrote:
               | Given that there's numerous cities and countries that are
               | suffering from water shortages, you'd think that the
               | price of water would go up already. But it hasn't,
               | because there's interests at play to keep the price of
               | water relatively low.
               | 
               | Anyway you'd need different prices for different types of
               | consumers, because it's a basic need for humans; you
               | can't make water unaffordable for poorer people.
               | 
               | I'm all for increasing the price of water and electricity
               | for big consumers though, so that they will invest more
               | R&D into reducing their consumption. Because when it's
               | cheap, they'll just use more of it without thinking.
               | That's also why coal power was (is?) a thing for so long.
        
               | Sevii wrote:
               | The price of water can't go up significantly because the
               | marginal cost of water to farmers is lower than that to
               | residential consumers. Its a lot easier to buy out a few
               | farmers than to take the political hit on high
               | residential water prices.
        
               | lotsofpulp wrote:
               | > Given that there's numerous cities and countries that
               | are suffering from water shortages, you'd think that the
               | price of water would go up already. But it hasn't,
               | because there's interests at play to keep the price of
               | water relatively low.
               | 
               | That just means the shortage is not sufficiently severe
               | to cause prices to move.
               | 
               | > Anyway you'd need different prices for different types
               | of consumers, because it's a basic need for humans; you
               | can't make water unaffordable for poorer people.
               | 
               | The simpler way is to give poorer people money.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _you 'd need different prices for different types of
               | consumers_
               | 
               | Water shortages are a policy choice in any country above
               | middle income. A simple x gallons for free per person or
               | residence and market pricing thereafter would solve the
               | issue for 90% of the spectrum, with potentially
               | agricultural subsidies filling the gap. Instead, we
               | choose a regressive policy system where individuals
               | subsidise almond farmers.
        
           | comeonseriously wrote:
           | That would be, what, several thousand trucks per day? I don't
           | see how that would be any better.
        
             | baybal2 wrote:
             | Yes, now calculate the fuel cost. Expensive, but not crazy
             | expensive in comparison to other wafer costs
        
         | vmh1928 wrote:
         | Some statistics about Arizona's water sources and where it
         | goes. 72% of the water is used by agriculture. 6% to industry
         | 22% to municipal use
         | 
         | http://www.arizonawaterfacts.com/water-your-facts
         | 
         | But yes, water usage is a big issue in AZ at the moment with
         | Lake Mead and Powell at very low levels which has triggered and
         | will trigger more cuts to the use of Colorado River water via
         | the Central Arizona Project canal.
         | 
         | Arizona has no law even measuring, much less restricting
         | groundwater pumping which is a big problem getting bigger as
         | cuts in Colorado River usage lead to more pumping.
        
         | buryat wrote:
         | I decided to check how much water a plant would use
         | 
         | a plant used 4 million gallons of water a day (according to
         | https://www.theverge.com/22628925/water-semiconductor-
         | shorta...) which is about 126000 metric tons a day
         | 
         | arizona used 7 million acre-foot of water in 2017
         | (https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/local/arizona-
         | environme...) which is about 19000 acre-feet a day == 23014434
         | metric ton a day (using http://www.conversion-
         | website.com/volume/acre-foot-to-ton-wa...)
         | 
         | so a chip plant would be responsible for about 0.55% of overall
         | water usage
        
           | rrss wrote:
           | Why does this metric matter, when 95% of the water Intel uses
           | is already returned to the water supply?
           | 
           | From the same verge article as the 4 million gallons a day
           | figure:
           | 
           | > Last year, the company pledged that by 2030 it will restore
           | and return more freshwater than it uses. It's nearing that
           | benchmark in Arizona, where Intel says it cleaned up and
           | returned 95 percent of the freshwater it used in 2020
        
             | spiderice wrote:
             | How is it possible to return more fresh water than you use?
             | Where does the surplus come from?
        
               | jjoonathan wrote:
               | Because water that isn't fresh can become fresh. We have
               | the technology.
               | 
               | They're already purifying a staggering amount of water,
               | might as well purify a bit more while they're at it.
        
               | BurningFrog wrote:
               | That still doesn't explain where this unfresh water comes
               | from.
        
               | TrueDuality wrote:
               | They're taking raw untreated river/lake/aquifer water,
               | purifying it to an incredible degree for the fab. When
               | they use the water it gets cleaned again.
               | 
               | Now that water can either be returned to the
               | river/lake/aquifer or if you clean it sufficiently well
               | it can go straight into municipal drinking water
               | supplies. That's how this fresh water comes out of
               | nowhere.
        
               | arcticfox wrote:
               | That doesn't seem right. As far as I know,
               | rivers/lakes/aquifers are pretty much the definition of
               | fresh water.
        
               | hunterb123 wrote:
               | Yes they are the definition of fresh water, not purified
               | water.
               | 
               | Running fresh water is relatively clean, but it doesn't
               | mean there isn't giardia or other microbes / impurities.
        
               | reissbaker wrote:
               | Okay, but Intel promised to return more _freshwater_ than
               | it used. So it can 't simply take freshwater, purify it,
               | and return it at a surplus.
        
               | caeril wrote:
               | Maricopa and Pinal counties have lots of agricultural
               | water that either comes directly off the Colorado river
               | via canal, or is pumped from shallow alfalfa field runoff
               | groundwater that is too full of nitrates to be even
               | remotely potable.
               | 
               | We also, unlike the CA Central Valley or the Midwest who
               | are apparently cool with depleting their resources as
               | fast as humanly possible, are acutely aware of our
               | groundwater supply constraints, given that we live in a
               | desert, and practice a lot of aquifer recharge and
               | management.
               | 
               | Intel cleans it, uses it, and dumps it into aquifer
               | recharge, which cleans it even further.
        
               | bluGill wrote:
               | The midwest gets more than enough water via rain, so
               | nobody worries about water. Farmers don't irrigate crops,
               | they just accept lower profits in drought years. You
               | might be thinking of the west where water is a problem.
        
               | caeril wrote:
               | I'm pressing 'X' to doubt, right now:
               | 
               | https://www.climate.gov/news-features/featured-
               | images/nation...
               | 
               | edit: Maybe I should have said Great Plains, which
               | overlaps, but is not precisely the same as, the Midwest.
        
               | bluGill wrote:
               | The great plains does have issues. The rest of the
               | midwest doesn't.
        
               | tedivm wrote:
               | They can take wastewater (which is no longer fresh),
               | clean it up for use, and return it back to the system.
               | 
               | While Arizona is landlocked there's also not a ton of
               | distance between it and the Gulf of California so they
               | could do desalinization, although I imagine that's too
               | costly to consider at the moment.
               | 
               | > It has its own water treatment plant at its Ocotillo
               | campus in Chandler that's similar to a municipal plant.
               | There's also a "brine reduction facility," a public-
               | private partnership with the city of Chandler, that
               | brings 2.5 million gallons of Intel's wastewater a day
               | back to drinking standard. Intel uses some of the treated
               | water again, and the rest is sent to replenish
               | groundwater sources or be used by surrounding
               | communities.
        
           | lovemenot wrote:
           | Thanks for doing a fact-check.
           | 
           | Might there be other other downstream states in USA or Mexico
           | that would push that 0.55% ratio higher?
        
           | BurningFrog wrote:
           | Note that the Verge quote is
           | 
           | > _It'll guzzle between 2 to 4 million gallons of water a day
           | by some estimates_
        
           | Buttons840 wrote:
           | So one business / structure will use 1/200th of all water?
           | That does sound like a lot.
        
             | baron_harkonnen wrote:
             | Not to mention that industry itself only accounts for 6% of
             | Arizona's water usage [0] so we're talking about one single
             | structure increasing the industrial usage by ~10%.
             | 
             | [0]
        
               | PragmaticPulp wrote:
               | Industry is a surprisingly small portion of water
               | consumption in many places. In many states, household
               | water use (including lawns) can handily exceed the water
               | used by industry.
               | 
               | Using this water for domestic chip making is arguably a
               | very reasonable use of water. If we're going to start
               | cutting water usage, let's start with things like golf
               | courses in the desert instead of critical chip-making
               | infrastructure.
        
               | throwaway894345 wrote:
               | I feel a bit of tension. I'm not a big fan of people
               | using water to grow grass in the desert, but I'm also not
               | a big fan of making tens or hundreds of thousands of
               | people sacrifice so that one large corporation can
               | profit.
               | 
               | Yeah, I know that chip manufacturing helps everyone by
               | improving our economic independence, and that's not a
               | small thing, but we're already writing Intel a big check
               | and they obviously benefit from the profits of the chips
               | they will manufacture (assuming they manage it correctly
               | and it doesn't just get left behind for cheaper foreign
               | manufacturing the moment the market economics change).
               | 
               | Maybe chip manufacture really benefits from being
               | somewhere arid, and that's probably just pretty
               | incompatible with water conservation?
        
               | imajoredinecon wrote:
               | Is it potentially a little narrow to frame "one large
               | corporation... profit[ing]" as the main result of
               | consuming the water?
               | 
               | They're also:
               | 
               | - producing useful things
               | 
               | - employing people to do said production (and design the
               | production process, and the thing that's getting
               | produced)
               | 
               | - paying suppliers for the parts that go into the useful
               | things getting produced
        
               | throwaway894345 wrote:
               | Yeah, I agree that my framing was narrow. Corporations of
               | course benefit society.
               | 
               | > paying suppliers for the parts that go into the useful
               | things getting produced
               | 
               | I suspect this is overstated considering how much of
               | these parts likely come from abroad, especially from
               | oppressive countries that subsidize their manufacturing
               | via pollution and pseudo slave labor. But still there are
               | certainly American wholesale and logistics jobs which are
               | supported.
        
               | ryan93 wrote:
               | What sacrifice are people making when the water is
               | recycled?
        
               | throwaway894345 wrote:
               | I was responding to the implication that people should
               | reduce their water consumption for this facility.
        
               | selectodude wrote:
               | Chip manufacturing benefits from somewhere that has very
               | predictable weather and low/no seismic activity.
        
               | hosh wrote:
               | I used to get so mad about people growing lawns here in
               | Phoenix until I discovered that Burmuda grass will
               | tenaciously grow with little irrigation, and that _some_
               | kind of vegetation is better for water retention in soil
               | than bare dirt.
               | 
               | As I mentioned in my longer comment elsewhere, Arizona is
               | seismically stable, and fabs don't need specialized
               | structures when using advanced process nodes.
               | 
               | The biggest misuse of water resources and poor land
               | management comes from our conventional, commercial
               | farming practice. Healthy, living soil can do a lot
               | ecologically including water conservation, but we farm in
               | a way to continually deplete soil.
               | 
               | Changing how residential homeowners do landscaping can
               | help as well.
        
               | bcrosby95 wrote:
               | It also helps with the heat island effect.
               | 
               | But yeah, there's lots of different types of grasses that
               | are OK to have in arid climates. But most lawns in my
               | region (socal) aren't these special grasses. Subterranean
               | irrigation can help too.
        
               | sumtechguy wrote:
               | I switched out my whole yard to zoysia (which is one of
               | those creeping vine grasses like Bermuda). I picked it
               | over Bermuda because it grows in thicker. I went from
               | watering at least once a week to maybe once or twice a
               | year if at all. That is in a area with an ok amount of
               | rain.
               | 
               | I liked this type of grass as it grows relatively slowly
               | which means about half the amount of mowing needed to be
               | done. Low water (less than Bermuda), kills most weeds
               | (less pesticides and weed killers), less mowing, those
               | are the upsides. Downsides are turns yellow in October
               | and does not turn green until the end of april (not HOA
               | friendly), and like most creeping vine grasses is
               | invasive and hard to get rid of if you do not like it, it
               | also grows very poorly in shaded areas. Aggressive
               | trimming is also needed when it reaches walkways,
               | streets, driveways, and the side of your house.
               | 
               | I also spent a good amount of time building up a decent
               | bed for the grass to grow in with mulching and proper
               | aeration. Another thing I did was to make sure I had a
               | good mix of the correct type of insects, moss, worms, and
               | transplanted from local areas potting soils for other
               | bits in the soil, trying to keep area and the type of
               | grass in mind. As the original builder had scraped off
               | the good stuff, leaving me with clay and rocks and rye
               | grass, then took it to another site before I bought the
               | place. This helped tremendously with the soil. Though I
               | could have done better on my homework with that.
               | 
               | Depending on where you live, what sort of rain you get,
               | and the soil types, this can be a 1 year job or a 10 year
               | job. It really takes time to do.
        
               | NikolaeVarius wrote:
               | Its fucking lawn grass. Its one of the most worthless
               | things in the world and a complete waste of resources. At
               | least chips do something other than sit there wasting
               | water.
        
               | throwaway894345 wrote:
               | I agree. But the idea of asking tens or hundreds of
               | thousands to give up their frivolities so a single
               | corporation can profit strikes a nerve in me, however
               | irrational it may be. I'm not reflexively anti-
               | corporation--corporations are economically necessary--but
               | I guess I'm touchy about the question of whether people
               | exist for corporations or corporations for people.
        
               | ryan93 wrote:
               | They can keep their lawn. She's should just have to pay
               | more money since the water has more valuable uses
               | elsewhere
        
               | 8note wrote:
               | Itel can also move somewhere else. It's bad coming into a
               | community and telling everyone their water costs more now
               | because you want a lot of it.
               | 
               | If anything, Intel should pay them to get rid of their
               | lawn
        
               | ryan93 wrote:
               | The article didnt say water prices are increasing. They
               | get most of their water from recycling what they use.
               | Regardless filling a pot of water for pasta would go from
               | a fraction of a penny to a fraction of a penny even if
               | intel increased their water use ten fold
        
               | BurningFrog wrote:
               | The simple answer is to set the water price so supply
               | matches demand, and let everyone sort out what they
               | prioritize.
               | 
               | I don't expect this to happen.
        
             | apocalyptic0n3 wrote:
             | Not exactly. Fabs use a lot of water to run, but it's
             | mostly self-contained with very little loss. I can't
             | remember the exact number, but the fabs Intel already have
             | in Phoenix only lose around 4-5% of the water. The rest is
             | reclaimed and recirculated. I believe the two breaking
             | ground today will be even more efficient, possibly even net
             | _producers_ once rain water and other sources are taken
             | into account. It 's been a few months since I read into it,
             | though, so I may be misremembering
        
               | mistrial9 wrote:
               | net producers of water? check this please
        
             | kspacewalk2 wrote:
             | Definitely sounds like a lot. Perhaps conservation efforts
             | are in order, to reduce water waste by ~1% to allow for
             | this strategically important, high value added industry to
             | develop further. Thankfully, water waste is so rife in
             | Arizona that it shouldn't be all that difficult to do so.
        
               | Nbox9 wrote:
               | Maybe, if there are important reasons why this factory
               | should be in a desert state. I think everyone agrees that
               | chips are vitally important now, but chip shortages
               | aren't nearly as bad as a water shortage is.
        
             | bottled_poe wrote:
             | That's one metric for impact. Perhaps you can think of some
             | other metrics to compare it to before influencing the
             | reader's opinion?
        
           | spaetzleesser wrote:
           | Sorry, can't resist but you gotta love the units. Gallons,
           | acre foot. Thank god the US isn't socialist metric where one
           | unit can easily be converted to another :)
        
             | tzs wrote:
             | We can easily convert just fine in the US:
             | 
             | > "Alexa, how much does 4 million gallons of water weigh in
             | metric tons?"
             | 
             | > "4 million gallons of water weighs about 15 thousand
             | metric tons"
             | 
             | :-)
             | 
             | Not that this actually makes it easy to deal with unit
             | conversion, because we still have to find the right gizmo
             | to ask and phrase the question right. "Hey Google" for
             | instance when I ask it the above question just tells me how
             | much a million gallons of water weighs in pounds.
             | 
             | Not being sure if Google was right on that, I asked Alexa
             | how much 1 million gallons of water weighs in pounds. It
             | told me that 5000 gallons of water weighs 41726.320547
             | pounds. If I ask without saying I want the answer in pounds
             | it then does tell me the answer for the requested 1 million
             | gallons in pounds.
             | 
             | But if we happen to ask the right gizmo, and happen to
             | phrase it just right...unit conversion is no problem for
             | Americans.
             | 
             | (Of course I still had to do it by hand, because Alexa's
             | answer disagreed with the answer at the top of this thread,
             | and I am not confident that when Alexa disagrees with an HN
             | commenter that Alexa is right).
        
           | kiklion wrote:
           | What is 'using water' in this context? Is it boiled off?
           | Contaminated and needs to be cleaned?
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | brianbreslin wrote:
             | In chip making they remove all the impurities making it
             | PURE h20, which is in fact too pure to be just dumped back
             | in the ground, needs to be re-mineralized before it can be
             | dumped.
        
               | TimTheTinker wrote:
               | Sounds like an excellent candidate for re-use.
        
               | LgWoodenBadger wrote:
               | If that's all that it needs, why would they not recycle
               | it back into the water supply?
        
               | rrss wrote:
               | From the same verge article:
               | 
               | > Last year, the company pledged that by 2030 it will
               | restore and return more freshwater than it uses. It's
               | nearing that benchmark in Arizona, where Intel says it
               | cleaned up and returned 95 percent of the freshwater it
               | used in 2020
        
               | jjoonathan wrote:
               | Yeah.
               | 
               | It's unfortunate that alongside this incredibly important
               | detail the article carries a bunch of highly judgemental
               | wording that encourages people to incorrectly interpret
               | "use" not as "cycle through" but as "remove from water
               | supply and banish to a superfund site."
               | 
               | The rest of the comment section is guilty of this too.
               | 
               | I fully appreciate the need for independent verification,
               | but assuming the worst is not that, and it actually leads
               | to bad incentives in the same way as assuming the best
               | (or refusing to think about it at all) leads to bad
               | incentives.
        
               | rrss wrote:
               | yeah. If there is something I'm missing, hopefully
               | someone can point out what it is, because I don't really
               | understand why this matters.
        
               | 8note wrote:
               | Historically, companies have shown that they will do the
               | worst imaginable.
               | 
               | The bar needs to be set high on holding them too account,
               | or else the shareholders will get their way and Arizona
               | will gets new superfund site. Being charitable will be
               | abused by companies
        
               | jhpankow wrote:
               | Clean, pure, delicious semiconductor wastewater.
        
               | NikolaeVarius wrote:
               | You do understand that literal sewage is treated and
               | returned to the water supply just fine
        
               | mentos wrote:
               | "It's got what plants crave"
        
               | throwaway946513 wrote:
               | "It's got electrolytes!"
        
               | sgc wrote:
               | Probably better to just re-filter it back to pure H2O and
               | reuse on site.
        
               | bernawil wrote:
               | > which is in fact too pure to be just dumped back in the
               | ground, needs to be re-mineralized before it can be
               | dumped
               | 
               | how so? isn't rainwater also "pure H2O"?
        
               | bluGill wrote:
               | No, rainwater has dissolved air and dust in it.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | smolder wrote:
               | Good question. I assume rainwater picks up minerals
               | naturally as it filters through dirt and whatnot, but
               | then why couldn't that be the case for fab wastewater? It
               | also makes me think about the sheer amount of polluted
               | filth that must wash out of a city after it gets rained
               | on.
        
           | dralley wrote:
           | One single factory using 0.55% of the entire state's water
           | consumption is pretty massive.
        
           | iamgopal wrote:
           | On the other hand, there are very standard technologies for
           | water recycling. UHF, RO, ZLD, MEE etc. Water is quite easy
           | to recycle given intention to do it.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | tzs wrote:
           | 4 million gallons X 3.785 kg/gallon X 1 metric ton / 1000 kg
           | = 15140 metric tons, not 126000 metric tons. The calculation
           | for Arizona is correct.
           | 
           | That gives 0.066%, no 0.55%.
        
             | buryat wrote:
             | yeah, you're right, I accidentally used "US short ton" smh
             | that one of the online calculators gave me, very
             | embarrassing
        
       | black_13 wrote:
       | For years ive been reading these apologist news articles about
       | how chips or laptops or phones or so on couldn't be made here but
       | here we are.
        
       | _Understated_ wrote:
       | What kind of ramp-up time are we looking at here? This can't be a
       | quick process to get chips out the door I imagine!
        
         | wongarsu wrote:
         | They are supposed to start production in 2024 (which sounds
         | very quick, considering they just started construction). No
         | idea how quickly they can ramp up production from there, but
         | delays wouldn't be anything unusual for a new semiconductor
         | plant.
        
         | acoard wrote:
         | I've heard that the general industry estimates for something
         | like this are 5 (up to 10) years. However, both Intel and
         | TSMC's USA are saying 2024. Potentially related is that 2024 is
         | a presidential election year.
         | 
         | It's like trees: a long-term investment, and you might as well
         | start now.
        
       | sneak wrote:
       | I often wonder if Intel and Boeing are going to end up as
       | effective branches of US government, too big/strategic to ever
       | let actually fail (or even let be sufficiently battered by market
       | realities).
       | 
       | Boeing seems like it's already there, and Intel can't be far
       | behind.
        
         | dillondoyle wrote:
         | There's already precedent with a fab in MN
         | https://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/14416247
         | 
         | And the US Govt props up other critical industry, not just for
         | military but trade, gas, & food.
         | 
         | Personally I support it.
        
       | wiz21c wrote:
       | Next time the communication department says "less is more", I'll
       | explode. Do we really need to produce more IC's ? Can't we just
       | limit the demand a bit ?
       | 
       | Can't we make washing machines, cars, bikes, fridges, dish
       | washers, coffee machines,... without IC's ? My Core2 Duo is 12
       | years old and I still use it 8 hours a day, do I really need a
       | new generation CPU ?
       | 
       | I understand that global economy (and thus employment and other
       | important stuff) rely on the trade of IC's but do we really need
       | so much more ?
       | 
       | (kiddo's have been waiting their PS5 for 9 months now, but is
       | that a insurmountable problem?)
       | 
       | Not to say that IC's are bad (I'm CS :-)) but just asking if the
       | current IC shortage may be a good time to think about the
       | sustainability of our appetite, or if it's the good time to think
       | about living in a world with actual limits...
        
         | Nbox9 wrote:
         | How is raising the information processing capabilities of
         | humanity anything but a net good thing?
        
           | Dah00n wrote:
           | If it is to scan milk inside a refrigerator? Most can do
           | without "smart" functionality.
        
         | valine wrote:
         | How exactly do you expect to build an EV without ICs? We've
         | already tried cars without ICs, they're noisy polluters. You
         | talk about sustainability like we weren't pumping carbon into
         | the atmosphere before computers.
         | 
         | Also maybe your job is such that you can get by with and old
         | power hungry cpu like the core 2 duo, most people can't.
        
           | speed_spread wrote:
           | Most newer CPU power is geared towards AI and telemetry (IoT,
           | web advertising), which essentially feed the surveillance
           | economy. Desktop CPUs have been powerful enough for non-ad
           | driven web browsing and office applications for at least a
           | decade.
        
           | wiz21c wrote:
           | > old power hungry cpu
           | 
           | note that global CO2 has risen since the birth of my CPU. So
           | I doubt the next gen leads us to make less CO2... I know, the
           | current CPU's consume less energy, but globally, because of
           | the fall in price, I'm pretty confident that the energy saved
           | on the CPU is completely offset by the number of CPU sold.
        
             | Cthulhu_ wrote:
             | Plus the total consumption of a CPU doesn't actually go
             | down, they just do more with it. They look at thermal
             | limits more than power consumption, like, how much work can
             | we make it do within these temperature ranges.
             | 
             | Mobile chips are a bit different, but to a point it's the
             | same story there. If you put the chips of today in the
             | smartphones of a decade ago they would probably last a week
             | on a battery charge.
        
           | theandrewbailey wrote:
           | Power hungry is not a term I'd use to describe a Core 2 Duo.
           | 
           | Or do CPUs need more power to run as they get older? That
           | would be news to me.
        
             | kcb wrote:
             | It surely needs a lot more power to do the same work as a
             | modern CPU. Like if you were encoding a video on it where
             | against a modern CPU that may use the same power but finish
             | many times sooner.
        
               | Dah00n wrote:
               | The new CPU has another carbon footprint added, plus the
               | RAM and motherboard, etc. to overcome before it is
               | comparable. I doubt a new CPU is effective enough to
               | offset that anytime soon on an average use PC.
        
         | mcphage wrote:
         | > Do we really need to produce more IC's ?
         | 
         | In this case, it's not so much about _more_ ICs (although we do
         | need more right now), but it 's _who 's making the ICs_. The US
         | is trying to ramp up their internal production capability,
         | rather than depending on Taiwan as heavily.
        
           | seanw444 wrote:
           | And then when (if*) we become independent, and China finally
           | gets the balls to scoop up Taiwan, our administration will be
           | nowhere to be found.
        
             | CivBase wrote:
             | As romantic as the US gallantly defending Taiwan from the
             | Chinese invaders sounds, let's be honest. The US could do
             | little more than buy the Taiwanese some time to escape.
             | 
             | If the CCP ever decides it's time to take control of Taiwan
             | by force, they could. It's the economic backlash from the
             | rest of the world they are currently worried about, not
             | military resistance. Although I'm not sure just how much
             | they even have to be worried about economically considering
             | how the world has handled recent CCP atrocities.
        
               | dsq wrote:
               | Crossing a wide span of water (wider than the English
               | Channel) against a determined defender is really hard.
               | Taiwan is bristling with anti ship missiles and are very
               | much against being taken over by the PRC.
        
               | Dah00n wrote:
               | That doesn't change that fact that Taiwan doesn't stand a
               | snowballs chance in hell. At most it adds a few days from
               | start to end. It is extremely unrealistic to have Taiwan
               | not become part of PRC if war breaks out. The US only
               | have one way to win and that's all-out invasion after
               | nuking mainland China - but then no-one wins.
        
           | PerkinWarwick wrote:
           | A lack of Taiwan dependency may well avoid a world war.
        
             | josephcsible wrote:
             | I'd rather have another world war than for China to slowly
             | but "peacefully" conquer the world.
        
               | beebeepka wrote:
               | That's how I know you imagine yourself to be on the
               | winning side of this world war. Good luck with that. Not
               | really, though
        
               | josephcsible wrote:
               | I do think we would win in the end, but even if we
               | didn't, I'd rather go down fighting than graciously
               | accept our new CCP overlords.
        
               | Dah00n wrote:
               | The US is looking more and more like ancient Rome. In
               | 10-15 years it likely neither can win a war against China
               | but it will also likely not have many allies on its side
               | if it tries.
        
               | PerkinWarwick wrote:
               | I might have thought so some years ago.
               | 
               | In an era when 1/2 of the Western world hates Western
               | civilization, I'm not sure that it matters anymore.
               | 
               | Of course, in the long run, it's all just fodder for a
               | history book. The further out you go, the less the
               | details matter.
        
         | mywittyname wrote:
         | Without ICs, these devices have to rely on mechanical
         | controllers, which are much larger, more expensive, less
         | reliable, less efficient, louder, and really worse in ever
         | metric.
         | 
         | I think your sentiment is not to produce wifi-powered, ad-
         | driven refrigerators, and yeah, I can agree with that point.
         | But the core ICs in these devices have been there for decades
         | and do provide substantial, tangible benefits.
         | 
         | I can't speak for every device, but I've replaced the circuit
         | board on a few appliances over the years and they are mostly
         | generic boards with really cheap, ancient chips produced by
         | brands most people have never heard of and sell in bulk for a
         | quarter each. These are definitely not cutting the cutting edge
         | designs that Intel will be building here. So let's not throw
         | the baby out with the bathwater.
        
       | bloopernova wrote:
       | Forgive my ignorance, but wouldn't you want to build a
       | semiconductor fabrication factory somewhere cold?
       | 
       | Or is it because Arizona is dry?
       | 
       | (honest questions, I don't know what impacts the location of a
       | fab)
        
         | newacct583 wrote:
         | You want to build them where you can staff them, and these fabs
         | are going up next door to Intel's existing fabs in Chandler.
        
         | user568439 wrote:
         | Why should it be cold? This is necessary for data centers but
         | for factories probably it's much better to have your own solar
         | powered energy
        
         | josaka wrote:
         | I think it's because it's dry. Facilities guy in the semi plant
         | I used to work in told me that their highest energy usage was
         | when it was humid, not when it's hot or cold. Said the energy
         | cost to cool the humid air to pull out water and then heat it
         | back up to the fab's target temp was pretty massive.
        
           | dv_dt wrote:
           | seems like you should be able to dump part of the waste heat
           | back into the output air after the cooling stage.
        
         | jdshupe wrote:
         | There were also a lot of Tax incentives for building in this
         | location. The company I work for is doing the electrical work
         | and all of our materials are tax free.
        
         | lvl100 wrote:
         | You don't need a large constant source of water. It's a bit
         | like filling a very large swimming pool. They also already have
         | plants down there and it works for them because AZ is
         | surprisingly shielded from natural disasters. Also they can
         | utilize solar power down there.
        
           | Nbox9 wrote:
           | > AZ Natural Disasters
           | 
           | AZ suffers from heat waves, which are steadily getting worse
           | over time. Last year in a heat wave Phoenix saw several days
           | above 115F. A 115F heatwave is a natural disaster mitigated
           | by air conditioning. Hopefully a heat wave doesn't coincide
           | with a 2020 Texas sized electrical blackout.
           | 
           | This isn't a massive problem now, but imagine how bad AZ heat
           | waves will be by the end of his factories life.
        
             | KingMachiavelli wrote:
             | Sure but a chip fab is a giant flat building with lots of
             | AC and plenty of solar panels.
             | 
             | At this point you really can't rule out 115F heatwave
             | anywhere since the PNW just had one.
        
             | clarkmoody wrote:
             | Usually a heat wave isn't accompanied by thick cloud cover
             | that shades your solar panels.
        
               | pm90 wrote:
               | It can kill your (human) staff though.
        
               | [deleted]
        
             | cronix wrote:
             | Where do you propose to build, then? Alaska? I live near
             | the massive Intel campuses in Hillsboro, OR. We rarely get
             | above 100F, but we experienced the same several days of
             | 115F+ weather this last June just before summer officially
             | hit. Almost 200 people died in Oregon/Washington directly
             | from that heatwave and up to 500 in BC, Canada[1].
             | 
             | [1] https://www.theguardian.com/us-
             | news/2021/jul/08/pacific-nort...
        
               | Izikiel43 wrote:
               | I think in the vancouver news and investigation
               | afterwards, a bit over 1k people died.
        
             | lvl100 wrote:
             | I don't think heat is an issue. I remember a bunch of
             | Middle Eastern countries considered building fabs in order
             | to diversify away from oil about 20 years ago. Of course,
             | they also realized they'd need to import labor as well due
             | to low-skill and unwilling local labor.
        
         | thehappypm wrote:
         | Arizona is a place where, with enough investment (like the
         | billions here) power can be extremely green and cheap, with
         | solar. Needing a huge amount of air conditioning is not a
         | problem when it coincides with the moment the sun is pouring
         | huge amounts of energy into your solar array.
        
           | raverbashing wrote:
           | If you can manage to build your solar as to shade your
           | building, your AC costs will greatly diminish as well.
        
             | conductr wrote:
             | This is the first time I've heard this from someone besides
             | me :) I am involved with an effort to plant arbors to shade
             | homes in low income areas of my city so that residents can
             | afford the A/C costs. A typical home we work on has no
             | central HVAC and has 3 or 4 window units running non-stop
             | 6+ months of the year (Texas). Vines are fast growing and
             | shade makes a huge impact!
        
           | zwirbl wrote:
           | this leaves out the issues with the large amounts of water
           | needed for semiconductor fabrication, although another
           | commenter noted that Arizona has pretty good water management
           | (I guess this includes recycling?)
        
             | minhazm wrote:
             | > Globally, Intel is on track to achieve net positive water
             | use by 2030. Today, in Arizona, we're already at 95%.
             | 
             | https://download.intel.com/newsroom/2021/manufacturing/Inte
             | l...
        
               | lazide wrote:
               | This is PR.
               | 
               | Water needs are local, except where it is explicitly part
               | of the same watershed/supply system. 'Net positive' here
               | means 'we help retain a bunch of water over there...
               | <points to other side of state where no one lives and the
               | water isn't captured well>, and use it over here <points
               | to middle of extreme desert with greater outflows than
               | inflows of water into all sources>', and we're net
               | positive!
        
         | dragonelite wrote:
         | You already need extreme climate and dust control don't think
         | the location will matter that much.
        
         | CompuHacker wrote:
         | As I understand it, you want inexpensive power and water. Bonus
         | points for environmental stability over absolute temperature.
        
         | softfalcon wrote:
         | Arizona has a few major things going for it:
         | 
         | - lack of seismic activity
         | 
         | - very cheap, flat, easily excavated land
         | 
         | - rich history of fab production (see: Motorola) which provides
         | the necessary city infra, construction groups, supply
         | distribution to build such fabs
         | 
         | - consistently dry climate that despite being hot, is easily
         | controlled for humidity
         | 
         | - numerous tax and subsidy enticements to do business there
        
           | sbierwagen wrote:
           | >rich history of fab production
           | 
           | I would rank this way higher. Clustering fabs together makes
           | it much easier to hire.
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_semiconductor_fabricat.
           | .. Intel, Microchip, NXP, TSMC and Entrepix all have plants
           | in Arizona.
           | 
           | As an antiexample, the Bay Area has every negative attribute
           | you could hope to think of for basing a software company
           | there, and yet everyone does it anyway, just for hiring.
        
             | softfalcon wrote:
             | Yeah, my points are in no particular order. Specifically
             | avoided using numbered points for that reason. You're right
             | in that effective hiring is a major draw.
        
       | jmpman wrote:
       | Is there any evidence that Intel has fixed its process problems?
       | Otherwise aren't they building a $20B liability?
        
         | acomjean wrote:
         | I think they're doing ok. I don't follow too closely, but 11th
         | gen intel mobile is behind AMD. The good new for intel is
         | they're not so far behind this generation that no one will buy
         | their chips.
         | 
         | Intel have new management and some optimism and by the time the
         | plant is finished in 2-3 years they'll have their ducks in a
         | row, but who knows what the market will be like then. In a bad
         | scenario they could be a end up a bulk supplier to other
         | companies of close to state-of-the-art chips, which might be an
         | ok place to be.
        
           | thehappypm wrote:
           | If you look at many applications that are absolutely guzzling
           | chips -- automotive, appliances, IoT -- you don't need
           | cutting edge chips. Cheap and fast enough is a great market
           | niche. Especially when "fast enough" is state-of-the-art from
           | 5 years ago.
        
           | comeonseriously wrote:
           | So many of the AMD laptops I see are geared towards gaming.
           | Makes sense in that they're powerful, but I wish there were
           | more options for general purpose lightweight laptops.
        
       | phkahler wrote:
       | Has Intel mastered EVU lithography yet? They've been close for a
       | long time now.
        
         | htrp wrote:
         | Nope... still getting pretty bad yields.
        
       ___________________________________________________________________
       (page generated 2021-09-28 23:00 UTC)