[HN Gopher] Apple Reports Fourth Quarter Results
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       Apple Reports Fourth Quarter Results
        
       Author : Bahamut
       Score  : 57 points
       Date   : 2021-10-28 20:32 UTC (2 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.apple.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.apple.com)
        
       | throwaway4good wrote:
       | There is a fairly big drop (-3.4%) in the after market.
       | 
       | So I guess those results are a disappointment.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | sgt wrote:
       | Isn't a $0.22 dividend per common share quite low?
        
         | nabla9 wrote:
         | They use mostly share buybacks to return money to investors.
        
         | r0fl wrote:
         | Same as before. I'm surprised they didn't increase it.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | abhv wrote:
           | Dividends are not an efficient mechanism to return cash to
           | investors. The recipient is forcefully taxed.
           | 
           | Share buybacks technically accomplish the same; the
           | proportional increase in shareholder value should be the
           | same. However, investors who do not want to recognize income
           | that year do not have to; whereas investors who need the
           | dividend income can sell a small number of appreciated
           | shares.
        
             | rileymat2 wrote:
             | I need to look at this more, but don't dividends mostly
             | return real current earnings where share buybacks are
             | moving your return to future earnings which may never
             | exist?
             | 
             | Also, many people are harmed by this tax treatment because
             | a couple making 80k a year pay no tax on the dividend
             | capital gains?
             | 
             | I am just saying dividends v share buybacks are not the
             | same and have other effects.
        
               | ghaff wrote:
               | Yeah. They're different. Dividends give you cash on the
               | barrel each quarter that is very sticky about heading in
               | a downward direction--but tax treatment is pretty much
               | like ordinary income in most cases.
               | 
               | Stock buybacks may drive stock prices upwards in an
               | unpredictable way that may lead to being able to sell
               | appreciated stock in a tax-advantaged way a couple years
               | out.
               | 
               | Theoretically, it's all the same after tax effects but we
               | don't live in that theoretical world.
        
               | rileymat2 wrote:
               | https://www.nerdwallet.com/article/taxes/dividend-tax-
               | rate
               | 
               | These are lower than ordinary income.
        
               | ghaff wrote:
               | As the article says, it depends.
        
         | dkonofalski wrote:
         | I think, historically, Apple's dividends have been pretty low
         | in general. Most of my dividends from other stocks are much
         | higher.
        
         | sz4kerto wrote:
         | Given that tech companies don't tend to pay any dividends, it's
         | good.
        
         | syspec wrote:
         | You have to take the recent split into account.
        
         | oh_sigh wrote:
         | No, since there was a 4:1 split last August. $0.22/share is
         | historically high:
         | 
         | https://investor.apple.com/dividend-history/default.aspx
        
           | jbverschoor wrote:
           | I don't think it is. The dividend yield was in the 1.5-2%
           | range about 10 years ago iirc.
        
         | zsmi wrote:
         | There was a 4:1 split in July, 2020 so it's comparable to the
         | $0.82 dividend Apple was issuing earlier in 2020.
         | 
         | https://investor.apple.com/dividend-history/default.aspx
        
       | MangoCoffee wrote:
       | >"This year we launched our most powerful products ever, from
       | M1-powered Macs to an iPhone 13 lineup that is setting a new
       | standard for performance and empowering our customers to create
       | and connect in new ways," said Tim Cook
       | 
       | one platform for all their products. (one ring to rule them all)
       | how much did Apple saved by going with their own in-house
       | designed chip?
        
         | jbverschoor wrote:
         | Cost of products went from 70% to 66% and will only decrease I
         | presume
        
           | darwinwhy wrote:
           | This is very good news for them, since their services revenue
           | looks to be at risk due to antitrust scrutiny.
        
             | syspec wrote:
             | You keep repeating that, are you trying to will it into
             | existence?
        
               | colinmhayes wrote:
               | Google just cut their fee by 15%. Apple can't be too far
               | behind.
        
               | kube-system wrote:
               | I think it's factual statement. When regulators are
               | investigating one of your business practices, that is a
               | business risk.
               | 
               | https://www.reuters.com/technology/apple-likely-face-doj-
               | ant...
               | 
               | https://www.reuters.com/technology/exclusive-eu-
               | antitrust-re...
        
             | spsful wrote:
             | I've never heard of this before. Are you talking about
             | services like Apple pay, arcade, tv+, fitness+, icloud+?
        
               | klelatti wrote:
               | Presumably App Store fees as the 30% is under scrutiny /
               | threat in lots of jurisdictions.
        
               | Spartan-S63 wrote:
               | Then it's good news they're branching out their services
               | beyond just the App Store commission.
        
               | klelatti wrote:
               | Indeed. Actually I think the impact will be less than
               | many expect - it's definitely not going to zero!
        
               | jbverschoor wrote:
               | Yup.. watch out aws, gcp, azure
        
       | zsmi wrote:
       | > as we continue to make progress toward our goal of reaching a
       | net cash neutral position over time
       | 
       | Can someone more business savvy explain what that means?
        
         | sandymcmurray wrote:
         | This started in 2018. See
         | https://www.fool.com/investing/2018/02/02/understanding-appl...
        
         | pdpi wrote:
         | Apple has massive cash reserves that it can't really put to
         | use. That cash isn't doing much of anything for anybody, so
         | growing it any further is pointless. Going cash neutral here
         | means "instead of uselessly adding to our cash reserves, we're
         | going to aggressively dispose of our revenue", which presumably
         | means dividends (they wouldn't have the cash reserves they do
         | if they thought they had other productive ways to spend the
         | money)
        
           | novok wrote:
           | Apple could hire more engineers to make it's software less
           | buggy at least and to fix a lot of long time small
           | annoyances. And to double their devtools engineer count to
           | make the entire company and all of their external developers
           | more effective.
        
             | pwinnski wrote:
             | You think adding more engineers would make their software
             | _less_ buggy? Really? This seems contrary to literally
             | everything I have ever read, experienced, or in any way
             | known for my entire career, including reading books written
             | about software engineering 30+ years ago.
        
               | Gigachad wrote:
               | They could create more products with their own teams.
               | Apples cloud offering pales in comparison to Google's and
               | part of the reason is they are just missing too many
               | services. iCloud web feels like a bare minimum effort
               | that doesn't get any attention.
               | 
               | I don't know how successful this would be, but they could
               | also start building and selling more apps/programs but
               | perhaps this could be seen as anti competitive.
        
               | rsj_hn wrote:
               | One way it can work is if devs are already overcommitted
               | on multiple projects, so letting them focus more does
               | help. E.g. horizontal scaling, rather than piling more
               | devs onto the same project.
        
           | iamcreasy wrote:
           | Isn't cash looses its value over time due to inflation? Why
           | Apple maintains a cash reserve?
        
             | HWR_14 wrote:
             | I believe the "cash reserve" isn't pure cash, but instead
             | very liquid assets.
        
             | ghaff wrote:
             | "Cash" in balance sheet accounting-speak isn't limited to
             | the dollar bills under Tim Cook's mattress. It refers to a
             | large number of essentially "cash equivalent" things that
             | can be converted to cash quickly and easily, albeit at
             | essentially risk-free rates of return.
             | 
             | You maintain a cash reserve so that, if there is a
             | (hopefully) short-term market correction, you're not stuck
             | with having to sell assets in a dip to meet payroll, etc.
             | Not really much different from people in that regard
             | although obviously at a different scale.
        
               | qeternity wrote:
               | Apple owns a hedge fund (the largest in the world) to do
               | just this.
               | 
               | Braeburn Capital.
        
             | kuratkull wrote:
             | They have it stored around the world, moving it to the US
             | would force them to pay taxes
        
               | mikeyouse wrote:
               | Only in an accounting sense is their money stored "around
               | the world". It's all managed by their Nevada investment
               | company Braeburn Capital. They can freely move it to
               | banks in the US or to anywhere else they need it, it's
               | only "overseas" in the sense that they recognized the
               | revenue elsewhere.
               | 
               | Cash and cash equivalents is the line on the balance
               | sheet and includes things like T-Bills and other low-risk
               | investments. Apple almost certainly does better than
               | inflation and regardless, it's completely normal treasury
               | management to return ~0% since if your shareholders
               | wanted exposure to riskier assets, they'd buy those
               | assets with their own money.
        
               | colinmhayes wrote:
               | > They can freely move it to banks in the US or to
               | anywhere else they need it
               | 
               | But then they'd have a massive tax bill.
        
             | [deleted]
        
           | Angostura wrote:
           | I suppose it could also mean increased investment in plant,
           | R&D. aquisitions or reduced margins.
        
             | smoldesu wrote:
             | I'd hope that money could be put towards researching ways
             | to make their machines less fragile, or how to engineer an
             | M.2 slot in a professional device with more than enough
             | room. Maybe a thinner camera?
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | matwood wrote:
         | As other explained, it's to keep cash inflows and outflows as
         | close to even as possible. They have enough cash for future
         | investments and thus don't need to stockpile any more. Apple
         | has been saying this for awhile, and at this point I see it as
         | a joke/humblebrag ('we're making so much money we literally
         | can't spend it all').
        
           | smoldesu wrote:
           | It's not a joke when the SEC isn't laughing.
        
         | nabla9 wrote:
         | It means that they plan neither accumulate or decrease their
         | net cash holdings.
         | 
         | No dividends or stock buybacks to reduce cash, but no
         | accumulating it either.
        
           | [deleted]
        
       | klelatti wrote:
       | FT reporting that sales $6bn lower due to component shortages-
       | that's a substantial hit.
        
       | darwinwhy wrote:
       | Services revenue is at risk due to increased antitrust scrutiny
       | worldwide. The more Apple focuses on services, the bigger the
       | potential downside on their valuation.
        
         | neom wrote:
         | On the plus side, they have ~24 years of runway in the bank
         | just in case things go south. :)
        
       | klelatti wrote:
       | Gross margin on the the increase in services sales looks
       | astonishing. Has there been a one off increase in eg fees for
       | Google search in services revenue?
        
         | Synaesthesia wrote:
         | It always had a lot of potential in terms of profitability,
         | theoretically you can get the marginal cost of a digital item
         | to nearly zero if you have a large scale.
        
           | klelatti wrote:
           | Agreed but lots of Apple's growing services don't have low
           | marginal costs - Apple Music - or they are investing heavily
           | - Apple TV - so this seemed a bit surprising.
        
       | lvl100 wrote:
       | iPhone 13 is not going to sell well. And while I believe they
       | will sell a good amount of laptops this holiday season, they are
       | relatively low margin products and do not represent cross selling
       | opportunities as you do with phones.
       | 
       | This is to say, Apple "needs" a new major product. Car is a
       | moonshot but I personally think they can easily tackle the gaming
       | space. They have all the right pieces to create $500B market cap.
        
         | dano wrote:
         | Is that 500B in annual revenue maybe? Apples current market cap
         | is $2.5T.
        
         | 0x00000000 wrote:
         | A VR/AR play seems inevitable too
        
           | ghaff wrote:
           | At some point, probably. Very unclear when and what it looks
           | like at this point. Aside from niche commercial use cases, I
           | certainly haven't seen anything that especially interests me.
        
           | Gigachad wrote:
           | For some reason Apple seems to pay no attention to anything
           | other than casual games. They completely crippled the mac
           | gaming scene which was doing OK when they killed 32bit and
           | never implemented vulkan support. IMO they can't embrace VR
           | without going back and helping the game developer scene in
           | getting the tooling they need to make mac support easy.
        
         | windowsrookie wrote:
         | The iPhone 13 has a ~3 week shipping estimate right now. So it
         | seems to be selling just fine. Maybe that's due to the chip
         | shortage, but regardless, they are selling as many as they can
         | make right now.
        
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       (page generated 2021-10-28 23:00 UTC)